UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018 · Catchweight (118 lbs) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 8"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cynthia Calvillo
4.41 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.12 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
1.8 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
77.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Poliana Botelho
2.9 SLpM
58.0% Str. Acc.
2.8 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.85 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Cynthia Calvillo - Fight History
LOSS vs Loopy Godinez
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 104 of 333 31% 107 of 338 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
Cynthia Calvillo 0 87 of 180 48% 93 of 188 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 18 of 83 21% 21 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Cynthia Calvillo 0 19 of 45 42% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 38 of 118 32% 38 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 32 of 54 59% 33 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 48 of 132 36% 48 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cynthia Calvillo 0 36 of 81 44% 36 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 104 of 333 31% 58 of 249 30 of 64 16 of 20 104 of 333 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 87 of 180 48% 65 of 146 15 of 24 7 of 10 87 of 178 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 18 of 83 21% 12 of 70 3 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 19 of 45 42% 14 of 37 1 of 4 4 of 4 19 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 38 of 118 32% 21 of 84 13 of 26 4 of 8 38 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 32 of 54 59% 25 of 43 7 of 9 0 of 2 32 of 52 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Loopy Godinez 48 of 132 36% 25 of 95 14 of 28 9 of 9 48 of 132 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 36 of 81 44% 26 of 66 7 of 11 3 of 4 36 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Lupita Godinez but is not betting due to her unreliable performance against Angela Hill. He notes that when Lupita shows up, she is a big, strong, powerful wrestler with clean boxing, but she needs to be the bully. He thinks she should be able to push Cynthia Calvillo around, but needs to prove herself after the last fight.

"Loopy's the pick if you want a parlayer go for it I I'm just gonna sit tight have her proof herself to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez but with hesitation due to her poor game plan against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle. He believes Godinez should win by using her wrestling against Calvillo, who is on a losing streak. He predicts a decision win but expresses distrust in Godinez's consistency.

"give me loopy by decision but I'm done trusting loopy after she decided to to not wrestle on the Angela Hill fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Cody picks Calvillo as a value play. He notes Godinez's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and believes Calvillo has a chance despite her losing streak. He mentions Calvillo's wrestling background and that she has been competitive against top fighters. Cody says he already put $200 on Calvillo earlier in the week and may add more. He calls it a system play based on Pat Mayo's CF model.

Calvillo moneyline at +250
"I think I put like 200 bucks earlier in the week on it but uh I may be adding more"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Godinez. He notes that Calvillo's division switch is a bad sign and that her game doesn't connect. Connor also mentions that Godinez is aggressive and should win.

"Yep. Godinas opened to the minus three 26..."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Jacob is leaning towards Lupita but is wary after being burned by her last fight. He notes that if Lupita uses her wrestling, she can dominate, but if she doesn't, it will be a close fight. He thinks Cynthia Calvillo may be 'broke' with zero confidence, but Lupita's inconsistency makes him hesitant.

"if loopy wants to wrestle she can dominate if she doesn't wrestle it's gonna be a close close fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has good wrestling and BJJ, but needs to blend takedowns behind her striking. Calvillo has struggled with her striking and confidence, and a recent camp change may not help at 35. Godinez should have a striking advantage and can stuff takedowns. My only concern is Godinez getting stuck in bad positions, but I think she pulls away via decision.

"I think that godinez is the better fighter odds a little bit too wide for me here but I still think she gets her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Paul picks Godinez but is very hesitant. He criticizes Godinez's poor fight IQ, noting she often abandons her wrestling and strikes instead. He points to her fight against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle despite having a clear advantage. Paul thinks Calvillo is on a losing streak but has faced tough competition. He says Godinez is talented but unreliable at -300.

Godinez under 3 takedowns on PrizePicks
"the pick is gonna end up being on uh on her opponent Lupita godinez but from -300 no we're talking like fourth line Fifth Line low lower on the list"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez to win by 29-28 split decision. He expects Godinez to land crisper shots on the feet and mix in takedowns in the first two rounds, while Calvillo will come back in the third round. He sees round two as a toss-up but believes Godinez's takedowns will be the difference maker. The prediction is close and acknowledges Calvillo's late surge.

"I'm gonna go with Lupita godinez by 29.28 Split Decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Loopy Godinez

Zane picks Godinez because Calvillo has been mentally in a hole and her game is dysfunctional. He notes that Godinez is crazy and aggressive, which should be enough to win. However, he worries that if Godinez can't get takedowns, she loses confidence in her boxing.

"I'm going to take Godinas. I don't love this fight for her... but Calvillo has been mentally in a hole and I can't pick her."
LOSS vs Nina Nunes
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nina Nunes 0 48 of 139 34% 66 of 159 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:09
Cynthia Calvillo 0 39 of 133 29% 47 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nina Nunes 0 10 of 40 25% 10 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:02
Cynthia Calvillo 0 10 of 37 27% 10 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nina Nunes 0 9 of 41 21% 27 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Cynthia Calvillo 0 9 of 39 23% 16 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Nina Nunes 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:23
Cynthia Calvillo 0 20 of 57 35% 21 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nina Nunes 48 of 139 34% 16 of 86 17 of 26 15 of 27 47 of 138 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 39 of 133 29% 17 of 94 4 of 12 18 of 27 38 of 131 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nina Nunes 10 of 40 25% 4 of 26 1 of 4 5 of 10 10 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 10 of 37 27% 1 of 21 1 of 4 8 of 12 10 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nina Nunes 9 of 41 21% 3 of 28 4 of 7 2 of 6 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 9 of 39 23% 5 of 30 1 of 3 3 of 6 8 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nina Nunes 29 of 58 50% 9 of 32 12 of 15 8 of 11 28 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 20 of 57 35% 11 of 43 2 of 5 7 of 9 20 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Nina Nunes

Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.

"i gotta go with nunes here i think calvillo is definitely the better fighter overall ... but if you look at that entourage loss it took something out of her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Nina Nunes

Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.

win by decision
"i guess i'll go with nina nunez here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Nina Nunes

Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.

"i will go with nina nunez there's red flags all over this thing man"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert pick date unknown

Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.

"I got no idea."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert pick date unknown

The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.

"i would say nina nunes as well but i want nothing to do with that fight so i'm not gonna tell you guys to do that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Nina Nunes

Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.

"i'll i haven't bet it yet but i'm considering a shot on the dog nina nunez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.

29-28 decision
"i'm going to be going with cynthia calvillo"
LOSS vs Andrea Lee
TKO (corner stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 47 of 154 30% 47 of 154 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 84 of 210 40% 85 of 211 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 25 of 87 28% 25 of 87 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 43 of 116 37% 44 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrea Lee 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 41 of 94 43% 41 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 47 of 154 30% 18 of 99 21 of 46 8 of 9 47 of 154 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 84 of 210 40% 46 of 155 30 of 45 8 of 10 83 of 208 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 25 of 87 28% 11 of 62 10 of 20 4 of 5 25 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 43 of 116 37% 27 of 92 12 of 19 4 of 5 43 of 115 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 22 of 67 32% 7 of 37 11 of 26 4 of 4 22 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 41 of 94 43% 19 of 63 18 of 26 4 of 5 40 of 93 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.

moneyline bet at minus 105
"andrea leaves my pick and i do have a moneyline bet at her at minus 105 almost even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.

Calvillo by decision
"i will take alveo though and i will take alvey to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Andrea Lee

Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.

"i got a bad gut feeling that calvio's actually gonna end up losing this one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.

"give me cynthia calvio to come out here and and probably win the decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.

"i think she absolutely dominates this fight i i'm a big cynthia fan"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.

"i think calvio is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.

unanimous decision 29-27
"i'm going to be going with cynthia calvillo here and i'm going to be picking her by unanimous decision"
TKO (punches) R1 4:54 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 48 of 86 55% 48 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 27 of 75 36% 27 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 48 of 86 55% 48 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 27 of 75 36% 27 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 48 of 86 55% 34 of 70 2 of 3 12 of 13 41 of 72 7 of 14 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 27 of 75 36% 10 of 52 13 of 18 4 of 5 27 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 48 of 86 55% 34 of 70 2 of 3 12 of 13 41 of 72 7 of 14 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 27 of 75 36% 10 of 52 13 of 18 4 of 5 27 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Angelo picks Andrade, noting her power, bullying style, and that her losses are only to champions. He believes Andrade's strength and aggression will overwhelm Calvillo, who is more technical but lacks power. Angelo thinks Andrade will bully Calvillo and win.

Angelo likes less less on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting a stoppage. He says he won't touch the moneyline at -280.
"Jessica Andre gets this done bullies the hell out of Cynthia"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Big Brady picks Jéssica Andrade to win by decision. He believes Andrade is the better striker with more power and volume, and she should stuff Calvillo's takedowns. He notes Andrade has fought much better competition and expects a dominant performance.

"i'll take jessica andraj to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Cody is confident Andrade wins, citing her superior strength, pressure, and well-rounded skills. He thinks she will finish Calvillo, who has never been finished in MMA but has shown vulnerabilities. He likes Andrade inside the distance at +150.

Andrade inside the distance (+150)
"i like andrade i like android inside the distance i think she becomes the first woman to finish cynthia calvillo"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Daniel Levi picks Jéssica Andrade, acknowledging her power and history of knockouts in the women's divisions. He notes that Andrade's power can override technique, but he questions her motivation after losing two title fights. He respects Cynthia Calvillo's ground game and toughness, but believes if Andrade is mentally focused, she will win. He expresses concern about a potential title-fight letdown.

"if jessica andraj comes out here looking like the just gone we all know and love then i think she's gonna come out here and win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Jacob picks Calvillo, seeing value at +220. He thinks Calvillo can out-tough Andrade and threaten submissions. Jacob notes that Andrade may not be able to bully Calvillo at flyweight. He admits he doesn't think Calvillo will dominate but sees a path to victory.

Jacob considers including Calvillo in his DraftKings lineup at $7,200. He disagrees with Angelo's less less pick, leaning more more.
"I think there's some real value in Cynthia here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

The host picks Jéssica Andrade via decision. He believes Andrade will march forward, land big shots, and stop takedowns. He thinks Calvillo's wrestling is not good enough to take Andrade down repeatedly. He notes that Andrade has a power advantage and will do damage, but Calvillo is durable. He expects the fight to take place mostly on the feet where Andrade has the edge.

"i'm going to go with andraj be a decision in this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

Paul is confident Andrade wins, calling her a 'body snatcher' and noting her power and durability. He acknowledges Calvillo's path to victory via wrestling but doubts she can impose her will. He expects Andrade to dominate.

"i think jessica andrade kills her i don't even think this is going to be particularly close"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jéssica Andrade

The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade over Cynthia Calvillo, citing Andrade's superior striking and grappling. He notes that Calvillo has no finishing ability and cannot keep Andrade down. He expects Andrade to win a decision, possibly with a late-round finish, as she builds momentum. He mentions that Andrade is younger and has fought for titles, while Calvillo couldn't crack the top 10 at strawweight.

decision, good odds on decision
"i'll say a decision for jessica and raj and there might be some good odds on that as well"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 69 of 230 30% 69 of 230 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Cynthia Calvillo 0 60 of 197 30% 60 of 197 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 27 of 72 37% 27 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cynthia Calvillo 0 21 of 60 35% 21 of 60 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:00
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 24 of 80 30% 24 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 17 of 71 23% 17 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 18 of 78 23% 18 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 22 of 66 33% 22 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 69 of 230 30% 45 of 190 11 of 22 13 of 18 68 of 227 1 of 3 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 60 of 197 30% 31 of 134 17 of 46 12 of 17 59 of 196 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 27 of 72 37% 11 of 51 7 of 10 9 of 11 27 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 21 of 60 35% 11 of 42 4 of 11 6 of 7 21 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Katlyn Cerminara 24 of 80 30% 19 of 71 2 of 5 3 of 4 23 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 17 of 71 23% 8 of 51 6 of 15 3 of 5 17 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Katlyn Cerminara 18 of 78 23% 15 of 68 2 of 7 1 of 3 18 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 22 of 66 33% 12 of 41 7 of 20 3 of 5 21 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision. He notes Calvillo has good wrestling and Chookagian has poor takedown defense (48%). He thinks Calvillo will take her down and control the fight, though the line is too wide for a close fight.

"the picks calvio by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Daniel picks Calvillo, citing her toughness, improved striking, and ground game. He notes Chookagian has been talking about retirement and was stopped in her last fight. He believes Calvillo is hungrier and will impose her will, especially if she gets top position.

"i'm gonna go with cynthia cavilla calvillo to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Katlyn Cerminara

The host picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by decision, seeing massive value at plus money. He believes her movement and range will cause problems for Calvillo, and that she can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the ground. He thinks the line is too wide and that Cerminara has a good chance.

"I'm going to go with Tran to win this fight via decision as uh you know if this fight does primarily play out on the feet she could absolutely steal it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

The MMA Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Calvillo's takedowns will be the difference, as she has evolved and has good grappling. He notes Chookagian may be coming back too soon after a body shot loss, and that Calvillo has wins over top flyweights like Joanne Calderwood.

"going to go with cynthia calvio getting the unanimous decision win"
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cynthia Calvillo 0 70 of 280 25% 70 of 283 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 113 of 237 47% 150 of 294 4 of 7 57% 0 0 7:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cynthia Calvillo 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 24 of 68 35% 24 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cynthia Calvillo 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:47
3 Cynthia Calvillo 0 14 of 55 25% 14 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 23 of 53 43% 26 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:17
4 Cynthia Calvillo 0 5 of 34 14% 5 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 17 of 30 56% 33 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
5 Cynthia Calvillo 0 24 of 86 27% 24 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 37 of 68 54% 37 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cynthia Calvillo 70 of 280 25% 59 of 261 10 of 17 1 of 2 69 of 276 1 of 4 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 113 of 237 47% 77 of 185 32 of 48 4 of 4 105 of 225 1 of 1 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cynthia Calvillo 20 of 82 24% 16 of 78 4 of 4 0 of 0 20 of 80 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 24 of 68 35% 13 of 54 8 of 11 3 of 3 24 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cynthia Calvillo 7 of 23 30% 4 of 20 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 12 of 18 66% 9 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4
3 Cynthia Calvillo 14 of 55 25% 14 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 1 14 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 23 of 53 43% 15 of 37 7 of 15 1 of 1 23 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Cynthia Calvillo 5 of 34 14% 5 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 17 of 30 56% 14 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Cynthia Calvillo 24 of 86 27% 20 of 77 4 of 9 0 of 0 24 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 37 of 68 54% 26 of 53 11 of 15 0 of 0 33 of 60 1 of 1 3 of 7
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Cynthia Calvillo

Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Cynthia Calvillo, emphasizing her opportunistic ground game and finishing ability. He notes that while Jessica Eye may have advantages in boxing and athleticism, Calvillo can capitalize on takedowns and ground control to steal rounds. Levi acknowledges his bias against Eye but believes Calvillo's cardio and opportunistic nature could edge her to a close decision or even a finish.

"I'm gonna slightly lean towards Cynthia Calvillo here and maybe that's my own bias Shack because I tend to pick against Jessica eye all the time and that bad I'm way to work like a charm at flyweight it's been …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jessica Eye

The MMA Guru picks Jessica Eye, citing her reach advantage, size, takedown defense, and superior boxing. He notes that Cynthia Calvillo is 32 and not a young talent, so he favors Eye's experience. He predicts a boring five-round unanimous decision with Eye winning every round.

boring five-round unanimous decision, 50-45 scorecard
"Jessica is gonna win this one. She's got a reach advantage, she's way bigger than Cynthia Calvillo, she's got great takedown defense, she's way better at boxing."
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Dec 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marina Rodriguez 0 56 of 140 40% 61 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cynthia Calvillo 0 78 of 130 60% 112 of 173 3 of 4 75% 0 0 5:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marina Rodriguez 0 22 of 53 41% 27 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cynthia Calvillo 0 21 of 32 65% 25 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:35
2 Marina Rodriguez 0 29 of 71 40% 29 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 13 of 39 33% 14 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Marina Rodriguez 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 44 of 59 74% 73 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marina Rodriguez 56 of 140 40% 30 of 110 18 of 20 8 of 10 39 of 117 17 of 23 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 78 of 130 60% 51 of 90 17 of 26 10 of 14 30 of 72 2 of 2 46 of 56
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marina Rodriguez 22 of 53 41% 17 of 48 4 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 21 of 32 65% 12 of 19 4 of 7 5 of 6 16 of 27 1 of 1 4 of 4
2 Marina Rodriguez 29 of 71 40% 13 of 51 11 of 13 5 of 7 20 of 58 9 of 13 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 13 of 39 33% 5 of 22 4 of 10 4 of 7 12 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Marina Rodriguez 5 of 16 31% 0 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 44 of 59 74% 34 of 49 9 of 9 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 42 of 52
WIN vs Cortney Casey
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cynthia Calvillo 0 73 of 176 41% 73 of 177 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cortney Casey 0 82 of 192 42% 82 of 192 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cynthia Calvillo 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cortney Casey 0 32 of 62 51% 32 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Cynthia Calvillo 0 22 of 52 42% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cortney Casey 0 28 of 63 44% 28 of 63 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:33
3 Cynthia Calvillo 0 27 of 66 40% 27 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cortney Casey 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cynthia Calvillo 73 of 176 41% 41 of 136 6 of 8 26 of 32 72 of 175 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cortney Casey 82 of 192 42% 41 of 139 17 of 24 24 of 29 79 of 186 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cynthia Calvillo 24 of 58 41% 14 of 47 2 of 2 8 of 9 24 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cortney Casey 32 of 62 51% 10 of 37 8 of 11 14 of 14 29 of 59 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Cynthia Calvillo 22 of 52 42% 12 of 38 2 of 3 8 of 11 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cortney Casey 28 of 63 44% 15 of 45 7 of 10 6 of 8 28 of 61 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cynthia Calvillo 27 of 66 40% 15 of 51 2 of 3 10 of 12 26 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cortney Casey 22 of 67 32% 16 of 57 2 of 3 4 of 7 22 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 0
Poliana Botelho - Fight History
LOSS vs Karine Silva
Submission (D'Arce choke) R1 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karine Silva 0 17 of 68 25% 23 of 75 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:47
Poliana Botelho 0 19 of 26 73% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karine Silva 0 17 of 68 25% 23 of 75 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:47
Poliana Botelho 0 19 of 26 73% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karine Silva 17 of 68 25% 9 of 49 5 of 8 3 of 11 12 of 63 0 of 0 5 of 5
Poliana Botelho 19 of 26 73% 10 of 17 6 of 6 3 of 3 19 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karine Silva 17 of 68 25% 9 of 49 5 of 8 3 of 11 12 of 63 0 of 0 5 of 5
Poliana Botelho 19 of 26 73% 10 of 17 6 of 6 3 of 3 19 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Poliana Botelho vs. Karine Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-125), Botelho (+105)

Round 1
The final women’s bout of the day comes at flyweight, when two absolute finishers collide in search of a crucial UFC win. Signed off of the 2021 season of DWCS, Silva (14-4, 0-0 UFC) maintains a perfect 100% stoppage rate, with none of her wins coming after the second round. She will have her hands full of powerful countrywoman Botelho (8-4, 3-3 UFC), who on her own right celebrates 75% of her victories by knockout. Referee Chris Tognoni is prepared for whether this fight goes 15 seconds or 15 minutes, and there is no chance of gloves touching as these two are fired up. Botelho starts off with a few kicks, and Silva mimics them although they come up short. Silva stays busy with push kicks from a distance, and even though they don’t land, they keep Botelho off of her. Botelho sits down on a leg kick, and Silva gives one right back to her, as if this were a mirror match thus far. Two identical kicks from the women land at the same time, and Botelho follows with two more as Silva is still trying to get her bearings. It’s primarily a kick fight thus far, as the punches are coming up short from each Brazilian. Silva goes up high with a kick, and she lets go with another as she starts putting punches between the kicks to mix things up. A few jabs succeed from “Killer Karine,” who begins to pick up the pace and chip away as Botelho comes forward without throwing much offense. Silva lands at the end of a right hand, and she is loading up on the strikes, but Botelho is largely able to avoid or dodge the worst of them. Botelho catches Silva coming up with an uppercut, but it is one-and-done as Silva paws out a jab and a front kick of her own. The Silva jab misses the mark a few times, and Botelho goes to the body with a left. Silva strides forward with an overhand right, and she knocks Botelho over and tackles her down to the ground, not letting the knockdown completely register. Silva unleashes a barrage of speedy hammerfists, and she settles to get hold of an arm-triangle from on top.
Botelho sits up and finds herself in brabo choke danger, and Silva rolls her to the side and sets up this maneuver. Botelho twists and looks to free her neck and sit up to ride out the round, but Silva locks her down and cranks so that there is no escape. The crushing choke forces Botelho to surrender,
and Silva has now made a splash in the UFC while maintaining her 100% finish rate with an impressive submission. Her brabo choke is just the second in UFC women’s divisional history, with the first coming from Tatiana Suarez in 2016.

The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Poliana Botelho R1 4:55 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

Angelo describes Karine Silva as a powerful grappler who constantly works for submissions, with all 14 wins by stoppage. Poliana Botelho is a creative striker but with poor fight IQ. Angelo believes Silva will take Botelho down and control her, similar to how Gillian Robertson won. He already placed a moneyline bet on Silva at -115.

moneyline bet on Silva at -115
"karine is the pick and i already threw a moneyline bet on her at 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

Big Brady picks Karine Silva to win by first-round submission. He notes Silva has a 100% finish rate and is very dangerous on the ground with submissions like heel hooks and armbars. He points out that Botelho has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers like Calvillo and Robertson, and thinks Silva will get her to the mat and finish her. He warns that if the fight goes past the first round, Botelho could win due to Silva's cardio issues, but expects an early finish.

Silva by submission, round 1
"I think she kind of kind of runs through his battalion here i think she takes her down gets on top whether it's ground and pounds submission i think she finishes battalion the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

Cody provides a detailed analysis, highlighting Botelho's cardio and size issues, and Silva's composed performance against Qiu Yuyan. He believes Silva's striking, wrestling, and grappling are superior, and that she will win via decision or submission.

"i would look to uh to go with the uh killer killer kareem silva side"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing the line is too short and that Silva's aggression and finishing ability will overwhelm Botelho, who has a history of gassing. He compares Silva to Melissa Gatto and thinks she will get a finish, making the current price a value. He plans to bet Silva straight moneyline, not in a parlay.

Silva moneyline straight bet
"that is actually all my betting card is going to be korean silva moneyline while i would say i'm a little bit scared of the gas tank like you stated a little bit i just think this line is a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

Paul picks Silva, citing her size, strength, and recent improvements. He notes Botelho's struggles at flyweight and her lack of striking combinations. He thinks Silva can win on the feet or via grappling and likes the price.

"skill size all that weight to wayne's if you want it seems like silva's gonna have a crack at it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Karine Silva

The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes Silva's good wins on the contender series and her momentum. He criticizes Botelho's recent losses and believes Silva's grappling and aggression will be decisive. He makes crude remarks about Silva's appearance but ultimately trusts her skills.

Submission in the first or second round
"definitely going to go with karine silva i reckon she gets this one done by submission in the first or second round"
LOSS vs Luana Carolina
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 34 of 57 59% 87 of 112 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:39
Poliana Botelho 0 25 of 46 54% 100 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 5:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 21 of 33 63% 36 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:22
Poliana Botelho 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Luana Carolina 0 8 of 12 66% 35 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:17
Poliana Botelho 0 14 of 22 63% 60 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
3 Luana Carolina 0 5 of 12 41% 16 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Poliana Botelho 0 9 of 18 50% 38 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 34 of 57 59% 12 of 27 14 of 22 8 of 8 22 of 44 6 of 7 6 of 6
Poliana Botelho 25 of 46 54% 6 of 22 13 of 17 6 of 7 13 of 31 11 of 13 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 21 of 33 63% 8 of 14 8 of 14 5 of 5 15 of 27 0 of 0 6 of 6
Poliana Botelho 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 8 of 12 66% 2 of 4 4 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 5 6 of 7 0 of 0
Poliana Botelho 14 of 22 63% 2 of 9 10 of 11 2 of 2 3 of 9 11 of 13 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 5 of 12 41% 2 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Poliana Botelho 9 of 18 50% 4 of 9 3 of 6 2 of 3 8 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Poliana Botelho

Big Brady picks Poliana Botelho to win by decision. He notes that Botelho is better everywhere except in the clinch, where Carolina is dangerous. He believes Botelho can mix in takedowns and smother Carolina on top. Brady mentions that Carolina is hittable at range and has poor striking defense. He would have bet the opener at -185 but passes at -225.

"i'm going to take battalion to win by decision mixing in the takedowns"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Poliana Botelho

Cody picks Poliana Botelho, noting that she is only 27 and training at American Top Team, which should lead to improvements. He points out that her losses are to top-level fighters like Jillian Robertson and Cynthia Calvillo, while Luana Carolina has shown poor strength and grappling. He mentions a video of Carolina struggling to do push-ups and being easily taken down by Ariane Lipski. He expects Botelho to have the grappling advantage and to take Carolina down and control her. However, he dislikes the -220 price tag.

"i would have to go with pollyanna patello but again minus 220 is just not a very uh not a very nice looking price tag"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Luana Carolina

Daniel Levi picks Luana Carolina to win, citing her volume striking and Botelho's poor cardio. He notes that Botelho tends to gas after the first round (the 'Nova' phenomenon) and that Carolina can outwork her down the stretch. Levi also mentions that Botelho's takedowns are a threat but believes Carolina can avoid them and win a decision.

"i'm gonna go with luana carolina to get it done here just by out voluming um pollyanna battellio"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Poliana Botelho

The host picks Poliana Botelho by decision, expecting her heavier shots to outscore Carolina's volume. He notes Carolina's questionable cardio and poor grappling, and that Botelho has takedown ability. He also mentions a possible TKO at +650.

Poliana Botelho by decision at -120; also mentions Botelho by TKO at +650 and by submission at +580
"I like botelio by decision which is minus 120"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Poliana Botelho

Paul agrees with Cody, stating that Botelho should get the job done. He notes that Carolina is a Muay Thai fighter with volume but lacks physical strength and grappling. He thinks Botelho's training with Colby Covington (though not directly) and at ATT will help her implement a game plan to take the fight to the ground. He expects Botelho to be a better version of herself and get the win, but again the price is too high to bet.

"yeah i think pollyanna gets the job done uh the price tag is just too big to to jump on her right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina as an underdog over Poliana Botelho, though he admits it's a worrying pick. He notes that Botelho is aging and looked poor in her last fight against Juliana Robertson, while Carolina is younger and has a longer reach. He expects Carolina to win a decision, but he is not very confident.

"i think i'm gonna pick luanna carolina as an underdog and that might be disagreeable"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 57 of 98 58% 104 of 161 3 of 7 42% 0 0 9:34
Poliana Botelho 0 22 of 43 51% 39 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 9 of 24 37% 17 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:52
Poliana Botelho 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
2 Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 29 65% 42 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:32
Poliana Botelho 0 3 of 4 75% 14 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gillian Robertson 0 29 of 45 64% 45 of 69 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:10
Poliana Botelho 0 5 of 14 35% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 57 of 98 58% 43 of 77 7 of 10 7 of 11 9 of 30 0 of 0 48 of 68
Poliana Botelho 22 of 43 51% 11 of 32 8 of 8 3 of 3 15 of 35 4 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 9 of 24 37% 1 of 11 6 of 8 2 of 5 3 of 18 0 of 0 6 of 6
Poliana Botelho 14 of 25 56% 6 of 17 6 of 6 2 of 2 7 of 17 4 of 5 3 of 3
2 Gillian Robertson 19 of 29 65% 16 of 26 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 26
Poliana Botelho 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gillian Robertson 29 of 45 64% 26 of 40 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 36
Poliana Botelho 5 of 14 35% 4 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady picks Robertson to win by first-round submission, citing her excellent wrestling and top control, and Botelho's poor ground game. He notes Robertson's last nine fights have ended inside the distance, and she recently earned her black belt in BJJ. He is confident she will get the takedown and finish quickly.

inside the distance
"give me jillian robertson to win this fight first round submission um you know i'm confident in her wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gillian Robertson

The MMA Guru picks Gillian Robertson because she has beaten better opponents, is more active, and has a good ground game. He notes that Botelho has not fought since April 2019, which is a long layoff. He expects Robertson to win by submission in the second or third round.

rear naked choke submission in the third round
"i'll go with a submission win for jillian robertson in the second or third round or ground and pound but i'll go with a rear naked choke submission for jillian robertson in the third round"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Poliana Botelho 0 47 of 116 40% 105 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:55
Lauren Mueller 0 47 of 84 55% 152 of 202 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Poliana Botelho 0 9 of 22 40% 26 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Lauren Mueller 0 25 of 37 67% 64 of 80 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:14
2 Poliana Botelho 0 18 of 39 46% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Lauren Mueller 0 12 of 23 52% 47 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:13
3 Poliana Botelho 0 20 of 55 36% 48 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Lauren Mueller 0 10 of 24 41% 41 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Poliana Botelho 47 of 116 40% 28 of 87 9 of 18 10 of 11 42 of 109 4 of 5 1 of 2
Lauren Mueller 47 of 84 55% 19 of 45 14 of 22 14 of 17 33 of 70 8 of 8 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Poliana Botelho 9 of 22 40% 4 of 15 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Mueller 25 of 37 67% 7 of 16 12 of 14 6 of 7 12 of 24 7 of 7 6 of 6
2 Poliana Botelho 18 of 39 46% 13 of 31 2 of 5 3 of 3 15 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
Lauren Mueller 12 of 23 52% 7 of 16 1 of 2 4 of 5 11 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Poliana Botelho 20 of 55 36% 11 of 41 5 of 9 4 of 5 18 of 52 1 of 1 1 of 2
Lauren Mueller 10 of 24 41% 5 of 13 1 of 6 4 of 5 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cynthia Calvillo 0 22 of 41 53% 35 of 54 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:51
Poliana Botelho 0 6 of 20 30% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cynthia Calvillo 0 22 of 41 53% 35 of 54 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:51
Poliana Botelho 0 6 of 20 30% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cynthia Calvillo 22 of 41 53% 7 of 15 11 of 14 4 of 12 9 of 25 2 of 2 11 of 14
Poliana Botelho 6 of 20 30% 1 of 11 1 of 4 4 of 5 5 of 16 0 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cynthia Calvillo 22 of 41 53% 7 of 15 11 of 14 4 of 12 9 of 25 2 of 2 11 of 14
Poliana Botelho 6 of 20 30% 1 of 11 1 of 4 4 of 5 5 of 16 0 of 3 1 of 1
WIN vs Syuri Kondo
TKO (body kick and punches) R1 0:33 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Poliana Botelho 1 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Syuri Kondo 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Poliana Botelho 1 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Syuri Kondo 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Poliana Botelho 9 of 13 69% 7 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 7
Syuri Kondo 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Poliana Botelho 9 of 13 69% 7 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 7
Syuri Kondo 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · Oct 07, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Poliana Botelho 0 27 of 58 46% 89 of 124 0 of 15 0% 0 0 10:09
Pearl Gonzalez 0 67 of 105 63% 157 of 212 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Poliana Botelho 0 12 of 19 63% 32 of 40 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:21
Pearl Gonzalez 0 29 of 43 67% 49 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Poliana Botelho 0 4 of 20 20% 22 of 40 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:11
Pearl Gonzalez 0 14 of 28 50% 44 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Poliana Botelho 0 11 of 19 57% 35 of 44 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:37
Pearl Gonzalez 0 24 of 34 70% 64 of 81 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Poliana Botelho 27 of 58 46% 4 of 27 5 of 6 18 of 25 20 of 50 7 of 8 0 of 0
Pearl Gonzalez 67 of 105 63% 44 of 75 19 of 25 4 of 5 15 of 43 52 of 62 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Poliana Botelho 12 of 19 63% 1 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 10 8 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0
Pearl Gonzalez 29 of 43 67% 26 of 36 1 of 4 2 of 3 3 of 13 26 of 30 0 of 0
2 Poliana Botelho 4 of 20 20% 2 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 7 4 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pearl Gonzalez 14 of 28 50% 9 of 21 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 9 of 14 0 of 0
3 Poliana Botelho 11 of 19 57% 1 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 8 8 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0
Pearl Gonzalez 24 of 34 70% 9 of 18 14 of 15 1 of 1 7 of 16 17 of 18 0 of 0