Career Averages - Robbie Lawler
Career Averages - Donald Cerrone
Robbie Lawler - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 1 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 1 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 8 of 10 | 80% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 8 of 10 | 80% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Price but is hesitant, calling it a tricky betting spot. He notes Price is younger and less beat up, with similar wild style to Lawler. Lawler is declining and likely to retire. He expects a fun slugfest but is unsure about a finish, and fears the round line might be a trap. He does not place a bet.
Big Brady leans towards Robbie Lawler to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Niko Price has looked bad lately, taking damage and battling injuries, while Lawler still has power and showed life against Brian Barbarena. He believes both will stand and bang, and Lawler lands first. He is surprised by the line (Price -260) and thinks Lawler is very live. He mentions that Price blocks punches with his face and has been knocked out recently.
Cody picks Price but doesn't like the -260 price. He thinks Lawler is past his prime and has been finished recently. He considers the under 2.5 rounds as a better bet, expecting a finish. He notes both fighters have trained together at ATT, which could affect the fight.
Connor picks Niko Price because Robbie Lawler's style is not built for an aging fighter; his reliance on being in the pocket and taking risks is no longer sustainable. Price is a chaotic puncher who can absorb damage and keep coming, and Lawler's decline in durability and cardio makes him vulnerable. Connor notes that Lawler could try to be more methodical but ultimately the other shoe has dropped.
Daniel Levi picks Price, citing his youth and improved volume in recent fights. He notes that Lawler, at 41, is a step slower and has shown a tendency to fade in fights. Levi acknowledges that either fighter could get finished, but believes Price's higher output will allow him to pull away down the stretch. He also mentions that Price has shown good grappling defense and attacks from bottom, which could be a factor if Lawler takes him down. Levi expresses a desire to see Lawler win in his retirement fight but is not counting on it.
James picks Niko Price to win by knockout. He believes Lawler is washed, citing his performance against Nick Diaz where he was touched up. He trusts Price's durability and power more than Lawler's at this stage. He does not advocate betting Price at -260 moneyline, but likes the knockout prop. He notes Price has been finished before but thinks he will get the KO.
Price has youth, speed, and power advantages, and can outwork Lawler late. Lawler still has technical striking and power early, but his durability and pace are questionable. The fight likely ends in a knockout, with Price finishing Lawler in the later rounds. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite prop.
Paul picks Price, acknowledging Lawler's legendary career but noting he is 41 and not the same fighter. He thinks Price's volume will be too much. He mentions Lawler's recent losses and that he has been fighting for decades. He says he would feel happy if Lawler wins but his bank account prefers Price.
The MMA Guru picks Niko Price to win by KO in the third round. He believes Lawler has lost his pain tolerance and finishing ability, while Price storms forward in later rounds. He cites Price's performances against Michael Pereira and Luke Jumeau as evidence of his late-round pressure, and notes the age and reach advantage for Price.
Zane picks Niko Price because Robbie Lawler's style is built on narrow margins and he is declining in durability, cardio, and vision. Price is a messy but powerful puncher who can absorb punishment and land a wild shot as Lawler slows down. Zane notes that Lawler could look good early but will likely get caught, and he hopes Lawler wins but cannot pick him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 81 of 141 | 57% | 81 of 141 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 147 of 316 | 46% | 148 of 317 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Barberena | 0 | 39 of 65 | 60% | 39 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 67 of 171 | 39% | 68 of 172 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bryan Barberena | 0 | 42 of 76 | 55% | 42 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 80 of 145 | 55% | 80 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Barberena | 81 of 141 | 57% | 65 of 124 | 15 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 78 of 137 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 147 of 316 | 46% | 116 of 280 | 18 of 20 | 13 of 16 | 138 of 304 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Barberena | 39 of 65 | 60% | 27 of 53 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 67 of 171 | 39% | 46 of 148 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 64 of 166 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Barberena | 42 of 76 | 55% | 38 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 40 of 74 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 80 of 145 | 55% | 70 of 132 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 74 of 138 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Barberena, emphasizing his forward pressure, volume, and durability. He notes that Lawler is declining and didn't look great against Nick Diaz. Barberena's high strike output (186 vs Matt Brown, 195 vs Vicente Luque) is seen as the difference-maker.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Bryan Barberena, citing his youth and volume, but admits neither fighter looks great. He notes Lawler's recent win over Nick Diaz was his first in years, and Barberena has taken damage. He expects a close decision and advises against betting.
Cody thinks Lawler's power and experience will be too much for Barberena, who has shown poor wrestling defense and bad decision-making. He expects Lawler to mix in takedowns and win a gritty fight.
Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Bryan Barberena as the underdog, citing that Lawler is 40 years old and may not have the same ferocity. He notes that Barberena can still dig deep and throw high output, while Lawler has recently resorted to old habits like shadowboxing. Levi acknowledges that Lawler could win if the old 'Ruthless' version shows up, but he sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and prefers the underdog price.
This is a great stylistic matchup for Lawler; Barberena will stand and trade. Lawler's power and experience should prevail. The only concern is Lawler's age (40), but his power is the last thing to go. Lawler by decision or KO is likely.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Lawler's significant strikes over 73.5 on PrizePicks is a good play. He expects a brawl and thinks Lawler will get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Barberena, arguing that Robbie Lawler has declined significantly, losing power and explosiveness due to age and accumulated damage. He believes Barberena will outwork Lawler with body shots and volume, predicting a 30-27 or 30-26 decision with a possible 10-8 round. He notes Lawler's recent performances have been weak and that Barberena has momentum.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 150 of 339 | 44% | 150 of 339 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nick Diaz | 0 | 131 of 221 | 59% | 131 of 221 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 71 of 176 | 40% | 71 of 176 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nick Diaz | 0 | 57 of 107 | 53% | 57 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 73 of 145 | 50% | 73 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nick Diaz | 0 | 64 of 98 | 65% | 64 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nick Diaz | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 150 of 339 | 44% | 114 of 294 | 36 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 144 of 331 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Nick Diaz | 131 of 221 | 59% | 88 of 176 | 33 of 35 | 10 of 10 | 99 of 182 | 31 of 38 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 71 of 176 | 40% | 54 of 155 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 70 of 174 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nick Diaz | 57 of 107 | 53% | 35 of 84 | 15 of 16 | 7 of 7 | 43 of 90 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 73 of 145 | 50% | 58 of 126 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 68 of 139 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Nick Diaz | 64 of 98 | 65% | 47 of 80 | 15 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 77 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 6 of 18 | 33% | 2 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nick Diaz | 10 of 16 | 62% | 6 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Diaz, defying logic. He argues that Lawler has taken years of damage in wars, while Diaz has had five years off to heal. Angelo believes Diaz's high volume and chin will be key, and he expects Diaz to overwhelm Lawler with strikes.
Big Brady picks Robbie Lawler to win, but with very low confidence. He notes that Lawler has been more active, while Diaz hasn't fought in 6.5 years and hasn't won in 9.5 years. He admits there are too many unknowns to bet this fight and is picking Lawler simply because he's the more active fighter.
Cody picks Lawler, citing Diaz's long layoff, lack of recent wins, party lifestyle, and questionable training. He notes Lawler has been consistently training and competing against top competition. He also mentions Diaz's poor timing in recent sparring footage and the weight advantage Diaz may have, but still favors Lawler's activity and wrestling.
Daniel Levi leans toward Nick Diaz, citing Robbie Lawler's decline since the Carlos Condit fight. He notes Lawler has lost to Ben Askren and Colby Covington, and his spirit seems diminished. Levi believes if Diaz doesn't fall over early, his volume and cardio in a five-round fight will be too much for Lawler. However, he acknowledges the uncertainty around Diaz's long layoff and conditioning, making this a low-confidence pick.
Jacob picks Lawler, citing his recent activity and that he hasn't been finished in his losses. He thinks Lawler will look sharper and that Diaz may struggle early after the layoff. Jacob doesn't love the pick but leans Lawler.
The host leans towards Nick Diaz by fourth-round TKO. He believes Diaz's durability and pace will be key in a five-round fight. He expects Diaz to weather Lawler's early storm and then put it on him later. He notes that both fighters have question marks and advises against betting this fight, but likes the over 2.5 rounds. He thinks Diaz's legendary chin will hold up.
Paul picks Lawler, acknowledging the uncertainty around Diaz's form and motivation. He notes Diaz hasn't won in 10 years and looked poor against Anderson Silva. He expects Lawler to be in shape and possibly use wrestling. He is interested in the weigh-ins for clues.
The MMA Guru picks Robbie Lawler over Nick Diaz, despite acknowledging the possibility of a Diaz win. He cites Diaz's six-year layoff and questionable lifestyle, while Lawler has been active and trains daily. He expects Lawler to come out explosive and finish Diaz by first-round TKO, possibly with calf kicks. He notes that Lawler sees this as a retirement opportunity and will be motivated. He also mentions that Diaz's boxing-heavy style leaves him vulnerable to leg kicks.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 41 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:33 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 62 of 88 | 70% | 116 of 144 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 8:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 0 | 8 of 8 | 100% | 12 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:35 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 11 of 11 | 100% | 40 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 32 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 | |
| 3 | Neil Magny | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 44 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Magny | 26 of 45 | 57% | 18 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Robbie Lawler | 62 of 88 | 70% | 36 of 61 | 21 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 63 | 16 of 18 | 7 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Magny | 8 of 8 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Robbie Lawler | 11 of 11 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 6 | |
| 2 | Neil Magny | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Robbie Lawler | 16 of 21 | 76% | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Neil Magny | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 35 of 56 | 62% | 23 of 43 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 45 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Magny, believing Lawler is on the back end of his career and hesitant to throw. He thinks Magny will use his length and reach to pick Lawler apart from range and win a decision. He notes Lawler's only path to victory is a knockout, but doubts Lawler still has that power.
Daniel Levi picks Robbie Lawler at plus money, arguing that Lawler's level of competition has been much higher than Magny's recent opponents. He believes Lawler will crack Magny with hard shots in the first round, possibly getting a knockout, and that Magny's cardio advantage may only show in the third round. He acknowledges the risk of Lawler being past his prime but sees value in the underdog line.
Magny has good cardio, reach, and a clinch game that can stifle Lawler. Lawler is on a three-fight skid and has been out over a year; his form is uncertain. Magny should grind out a decision, but the -235 line is too high given Lawler's potential if he shows up with a leg-kick-heavy game plan.
The host picks Neil Magny, stating that Lawler's only chance is an early KO, but Lawler hasn't had a KO finish on the feet since Jake Ellenberger. He believes Magny will outrange Lawler with jabs, front kicks, and leg kicks, and that Lawler is injury-prone. He considers Magny a safe bet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Covington | 0 | 179 of 515 | 34% | 201 of 541 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 8:42 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 78 of 167 | 46% | 82 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby Covington | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 24 of 41 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Colby Covington | 0 | 33 of 105 | 31% | 36 of 108 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Colby Covington | 0 | 41 of 117 | 35% | 43 of 122 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 25 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Colby Covington | 0 | 51 of 130 | 39% | 56 of 135 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Colby Covington | 0 | 41 of 134 | 30% | 42 of 135 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 23 of 52 | 44% | 23 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Covington | 179 of 515 | 34% | 128 of 454 | 20 of 28 | 31 of 33 | 154 of 477 | 25 of 38 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 78 of 167 | 46% | 61 of 144 | 10 of 16 | 7 of 7 | 66 of 152 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby Covington | 13 of 29 | 44% | 10 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 12 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Colby Covington | 33 of 105 | 31% | 26 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 28 of 98 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 6 of 7 | 85% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Colby Covington | 41 of 117 | 35% | 24 of 96 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 36 of 108 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 23 of 48 | 47% | 17 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Colby Covington | 51 of 130 | 39% | 38 of 115 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 44 of 121 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 22 of 42 | 52% | 19 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 35 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Colby Covington | 41 of 134 | 30% | 30 of 121 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 38 of 129 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 23 of 52 | 44% | 19 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Askren | 0 | 26 of 29 | 89% | 30 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Askren | 0 | 26 of 29 | 89% | 30 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Askren | 26 of 29 | 89% | 21 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 16 of 18 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Askren | 26 of 29 | 89% | 21 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 16 of 18 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 86 of 212 | 40% | 137 of 267 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 172 of 291 | 59% | 219 of 343 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 7:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 14 of 40 | 35% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 31 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 34 of 74 | 45% | 36 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 58 of 97 | 59% | 60 of 99 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 29 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 19 of 28 | 67% | 40 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 4 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 39 of 63 | 61% | 44 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 5 | Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 36 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 37 of 54 | 68% | 44 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael dos Anjos | 86 of 212 | 40% | 53 of 171 | 32 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 48 of 159 | 38 of 53 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 172 of 291 | 59% | 100 of 199 | 48 of 64 | 24 of 28 | 104 of 203 | 58 of 78 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael dos Anjos | 14 of 40 | 35% | 6 of 28 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 19 of 49 | 38% | 2 of 25 | 9 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 35 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael dos Anjos | 34 of 74 | 45% | 23 of 61 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 61 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 58 of 97 | 59% | 39 of 73 | 13 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 51 of 88 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael dos Anjos | 16 of 26 | 61% | 4 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 19 of 28 | 67% | 15 of 19 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 11 | 10 of 10 | |
| 4 | Rafael dos Anjos | 11 of 40 | 27% | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 39 of 63 | 61% | 24 of 46 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 44 | 16 of 19 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rafael dos Anjos | 11 of 32 | 34% | 10 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Robbie Lawler | 37 of 54 | 68% | 20 of 36 | 13 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 29 | 20 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 0 | 77 of 156 | 49% | 85 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 82 of 166 | 49% | 99 of 185 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 37 of 57 | 64% | 42 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 29 of 69 | 42% | 31 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 0 | 31 of 76 | 40% | 34 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 72 | 52% | 40 of 74 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Lawler | 77 of 156 | 49% | 47 of 116 | 28 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 35 of 101 | 42 of 55 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 82 of 166 | 49% | 50 of 127 | 26 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 56 of 125 | 25 of 40 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Lawler | 37 of 57 | 64% | 24 of 42 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 17 | 31 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 15 of 25 | 60% | 3 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Robbie Lawler | 9 of 23 | 39% | 4 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 29 of 69 | 42% | 18 of 54 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 26 of 60 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Robbie Lawler | 31 of 76 | 40% | 19 of 59 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 61 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 38 of 72 | 52% | 29 of 61 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 50 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Donald Cerrone - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 35 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 21 of 33 | 63% | 24 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:08 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 28 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Donald Cerrone | 21 of 33 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 21 of 29 | 72% | 15 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Donald Cerrone | 17 of 26 | 65% | 10 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jim Miller | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jim Miller based on his recent knockout wins over prospects, while noting that Cerrone is stepping in on short notice and may not be in peak form. He acknowledges Cerrone's technical advantage but believes Miller's toughness and momentum give him the edge. He also mentions that Cerrone at +200 might be worth a small sprinkle.
Big Brady is confident in Jim Miller, stating Donald Cerrone looks washed and doesn't want to be there. He notes Miller's power and first-round finishing ability, predicting a first-round knockout. He mentions Cerrone's recent struggles and weight cuts, while Miller is still active and motivated.
Cody thinks Miller's improved boxing and fast starts will overwhelm Cerrone, who has looked poor recently. He notes Miller's wrestling and submissions are also threats. He expects Miller to finish early.
Daniel Levi leans toward Donald Cerrone as the underdog, citing the price (+165) and the fact that Cerrone has beaten Miller before via head kick. He notes that Miller tends to slow down after the first round, and if Cerrone can weather the early storm, he can take over. Levi acknowledges that Cerrone is past his prime and has lost to lesser opponents, but he sees value in the dog price. He does not bet it himself.
Cerrone is the better fighter with more tools, and the line is too wide. Miller is a quick starter but if he doesn't finish early, Cerrone takes over. Cerrone at 170 lbs benefits him. The host predicts Cerrone by decision, noting Miller's cardio is not as bad as some claim.
Paul is torn, calling it a 50-50 fight. He likes Cerrone's chances if he survives the first round, especially at welterweight, but won't bet Miller at -185. He might sprinkle on a Cerrone late finish prop.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Donald Cerrone as an underdog, citing the fight being at welterweight where Cerrone won't have to cut as much weight, preserving his chin and cardio. He thinks Miller's power may not translate up a division and that Cerrone can survive the first round and rally in later rounds. He calls it a 50/50 fight and predicts a 29-28 decision for Cerrone.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 41 of 90 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 41 of 90 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 17 of 35 | 48% | 5 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 35 of 84 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 73 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 17 of 35 | 48% | 5 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 35 of 84 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 73 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady believes Cerrone is the better fighter everywhere, despite being past his prime. He notes Cerrone has fought much better competition and should have an edge on the feet and on the mat. Brady thinks Cerrone can mix in takedowns against Morono's poor takedown defense (47%). He predicts a decision win for Cerrone but says the line at -185 is too high to bet. He acknowledges Morono's high volume but thinks Cerrone's level of competition gives him the edge.
Daniel Levi picks Donald Cerrone, stating there are levels to this and Morono is not a top 25 guy. He highlights Cerrone's superior striking, grappling, and cardio, and notes Morono's inability to get up from bottom. He expects Cerrone to outclass Morono, possibly via blast double or high kick, and predicts a decision win. He mentions Cerrone's durability in the Nico Price fight as a positive sign.
The host is confident in Donald Cerrone, believing he has advantages in striking, wrestling, and jiu-jitsu. He expects Cerrone to piece up Morono and win a decision, noting Morono's cardio issues and short notice. He likes Cerrone by decision prop.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 113 of 230 | 49% | 113 of 230 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 150 of 312 | 48% | 167 of 330 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 37 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 55 of 115 | 47% | 63 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 89 | 42% | 38 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 57 of 112 | 50% | 57 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 75 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Niko Price | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 47 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 113 of 230 | 49% | 69 of 181 | 38 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 101 of 216 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
| Niko Price | 150 of 312 | 48% | 80 of 225 | 30 of 42 | 40 of 45 | 129 of 284 | 18 of 24 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 37 of 66 | 56% | 20 of 49 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 54 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 55 of 115 | 47% | 40 of 96 | 11 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 38 of 93 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 38 of 89 | 42% | 22 of 69 | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Niko Price | 57 of 112 | 50% | 21 of 68 | 17 of 23 | 19 of 21 | 56 of 111 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 38 of 75 | 50% | 27 of 63 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Niko Price | 38 of 85 | 44% | 19 of 61 | 2 of 6 | 17 of 18 | 35 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Big Brady picks Niko Price, citing Cerrone's decline and recent knockout losses to top competition. He notes Price is faster and a slow starter, while Cerrone has taken a lot of damage. He expects Price to get a first-round knockout, though he admits Cerrone is better on paper everywhere except durability.
The host believes Niko Price's power and explosiveness will be too much for Donald Cerrone, who is on a losing streak and has shown durability issues. He notes Price's ability to finish from any position and Cerrone's tendency to get stopped early. He predicts a first-round KO for Price, and likes the under 1.5 rounds at -105.
The host picks Niko Price over Donald Cerrone, citing Price's size, power, and ability to start fast. He notes that Cerrone has struggled against fighters who come out aggressively, and that Price was competitive against Vicente Luque. He predicts a KO win for Price.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pettis | 0 | 63 of 113 | 55% | 81 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 62 of 148 | 41% | 62 of 148 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 2 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 33 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Anthony Pettis | 0 | 27 of 48 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 25 of 65 | 38% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pettis | 63 of 113 | 55% | 44 of 84 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 11 | 60 of 110 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Donald Cerrone | 62 of 148 | 41% | 31 of 112 | 18 of 22 | 13 of 14 | 59 of 143 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Pettis | 15 of 27 | 55% | 7 of 13 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Donald Cerrone | 17 of 31 | 54% | 10 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Anthony Pettis | 21 of 38 | 55% | 13 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 20 of 52 | 38% | 8 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Anthony Pettis | 27 of 48 | 56% | 24 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 25 of 65 | 38% | 13 of 51 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Donald Cerrone, but with low confidence. He notes both fighters are past their prime and have shown signs of quitting. He believes Cerrone has a step down in competition and more heart, but worries about his durability. He predicts a decision win for Cerrone.
Daniel Levi picks Donald Cerrone, arguing that Pettis is not the same fighter as in 2013 and lacks sustainability. He believes if Cerrone avoids an early fight-ending blow, he will take over with takedowns and pressure. Levi notes that Cerrone is a slow starter but should dominate if he gets to the second round, and that Pettis tends to quit when pressured.
Matt picks Pettis but is not confident, citing both fighters' mental fragility and recent losses. He thinks Pettis can establish pressure and leg kicks early to get a finish, but he doesn't trust either guy. He calls the fight a pass for betting and suggests Cerrone as the value side if forced to bet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 1 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor McGregor | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 16 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Conor McGregor to win by knockout, likely in the first round. He notes that McGregor's left hand is a huge factor and that Cerrone has historically folded under big lights. However, he questions McGregor's motivation and fatigue issues, but believes this is a tune-up fight for McGregor.
The host picks Conor McGregor to win by first-round KO, citing McGregor's range, speed, in-and-out movement, and left hand as key advantages. He believes Cerrone will struggle to deal with these attributes and that McGregor will set up a trap and land a clean left hand. However, he notes that if Cerrone's odds reach +300, he might place a small bet on Cerrone due to value, but his official prediction remains McGregor by first-round KO.
The host strongly favors Conor McGregor, citing his first-round focus and accuracy against Donald Cerrone's lack of head movement and slow starts. He notes Cerrone's recent KO loss to Justin Gaethje and the short turnaround (4 months), which raises chin concerns. He believes McGregor's takedown defense is underrated and that Cerrone's wrestling won't be effective. He predicts a first-round KO by McGregor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 1 | 40 of 61 | 65% | 40 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 1 | 40 of 61 | 65% | 40 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 40 of 61 | 65% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 15 | 36 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 40 of 61 | 65% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 15 | 36 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The main event is here, between two men that have combined for 24 post-fight bonuses, as Cerrone (36-12, 1 NC; 23-9 UFC) tussles with Gaethje (20-2, 3-2 UFC) at lightweight. The referee for this headliner that virtually guarantees action is Jerin Valel. The two touch gloves and we are underway. Cerrone starts with a push kick to the body, and Gaethje replies with a few sharp leg kicks. Gaethje whiffs on another leg kick, and Cerrone brings his knee up to check them. Gaethje presses forward and swings wildly, but nothing connects of significance. Gaethje ducks down to throw a big right hand and misses, but he does crack him with another few leg kicks for good measure. "The Highlight" tags Cerrone coming on, and backs way while launching a few more leg kicks, although "Cowboy" is starting to check them. Gaethje swings with all he has and "Cowboy" barely evades it, and tying up Gaethje tags Cerrone again. Cerrone leaps forward with a left hand, and then throws his own leg kick. A three-punch combination from "Cowboy" lands, and Gaethje cracks him with a counter left hand. As Gaethje swings, Cerrone responds with a body kick. The two men crash together, and Gaethje gets the better of this exchange. "Cowboy" ducks down and Gaethje times an uppercut, and then throws another leg kick that appears to stymie the movement of Cerrone slightly.
Gaethje blasts "Cowboy" right a right hand when coming in, halting the Colorado native in his tracks and dropping him to a knee. Gaethje cracks him with a few more short shots, until "Cowboy" falls to the ground
. "The Highlight" looks to Valel for a stoppage, but he does not get it so he clubs Cerrone with a few more punches until Valel calls the fight. Cerrone pops back up and protests the stoppage, but the fight is over. On the post-fight interview, the two celebrate and Cerrone is all smiles as he congratulates the victor.
The Official Result
Justin Gaethje def. Donald Cerrone R1 4:18 via TKO (Punches)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | 0 | 104 of 200 | 52% | 104 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 68 of 185 | 36% | 68 of 185 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Ferguson | 0 | 52 of 104 | 50% | 52 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 38 of 95 | 40% | 38 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tony Ferguson | 0 | 52 of 96 | 54% | 52 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 30 of 90 | 33% | 30 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | 104 of 200 | 52% | 65 of 144 | 25 of 37 | 14 of 19 | 103 of 198 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 68 of 185 | 36% | 43 of 152 | 15 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 68 of 184 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Ferguson | 52 of 104 | 50% | 31 of 76 | 14 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 51 of 102 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 38 of 95 | 40% | 28 of 82 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 38 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tony Ferguson | 52 of 96 | 54% | 34 of 68 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 11 | 52 of 96 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Donald Cerrone | 30 of 90 | 33% | 15 of 70 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 0 | 90 of 223 | 40% | 90 of 223 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 2 | 138 of 361 | 38% | 140 of 363 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 19 of 58 | 32% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 1 | 28 of 78 | 35% | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 4 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 1 | 26 of 72 | 36% | 27 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 5 | Donald Cerrone | 0 | 20 of 47 | 42% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Al Iaquinta | 0 | 43 of 98 | 43% | 43 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Cerrone | 90 of 223 | 40% | 49 of 165 | 23 of 38 | 18 of 20 | 90 of 223 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 138 of 361 | 38% | 87 of 302 | 17 of 25 | 34 of 34 | 129 of 344 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Cerrone | 19 of 58 | 32% | 10 of 42 | 6 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Donald Cerrone | 24 of 59 | 40% | 11 of 41 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 21 of 68 | 30% | 11 of 57 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Donald Cerrone | 18 of 39 | 46% | 9 of 29 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 28 of 78 | 35% | 15 of 64 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 25 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | |
| 4 | Donald Cerrone | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 26 of 72 | 36% | 17 of 61 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | |
| 5 | Donald Cerrone | 20 of 47 | 42% | 13 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Al Iaquinta | 43 of 98 | 43% | 32 of 85 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 42 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
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