UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 33
Height 6' 2"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Bruno Lopes
2.88 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.21 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.93 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
2.89 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
1.64 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
3.67 TD Avg
73.0% TD Acc.
61.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Bruno Lopes
Moneyline
Caesars +240
KO/TKO
BetRivers +650
Submission
BetRivers +1150
Decision
BetWay +750
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Moneyline
FanDuel -275
KO/TKO
BetRivers +300
Submission
BetRivers +410
Decision
BetMGM +225
Bruno Lopes - Fight History
LOSS vs Navajo Stirling
KO R2 4:05 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Navajo Stirling 1 63 of 119 52% 90 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Bruno Lopes 0 28 of 63 44% 36 of 71 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Navajo Stirling 0 22 of 54 40% 23 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Bruno Lopes 0 16 of 36 44% 23 of 43 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:50
2 Navajo Stirling 1 41 of 65 63% 67 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Bruno Lopes 0 12 of 27 44% 13 of 28 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Navajo Stirling 63 of 119 52% 30 of 74 21 of 27 12 of 18 43 of 96 2 of 3 18 of 20
Bruno Lopes 28 of 63 44% 15 of 42 6 of 9 7 of 12 23 of 57 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Navajo Stirling 22 of 54 40% 5 of 28 13 of 17 4 of 9 21 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruno Lopes 16 of 36 44% 9 of 25 3 of 5 4 of 6 12 of 31 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Navajo Stirling 41 of 65 63% 25 of 46 8 of 10 8 of 9 22 of 43 1 of 2 18 of 20
Bruno Lopes 12 of 27 44% 6 of 17 3 of 4 3 of 6 11 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Stirling (-500); Lopes (+375)

Round 1
While the two light heavyweights about to hit the stage came into the promotion with high finish rates, neither man can seem to buy a stoppage since getting here. Stirling (8-0, 3-0 UFC) has earned three straight victories under the UFC banner, but they all came after 15 minutes of combat apiece. Standing across the cage from him will be Lopes (14-2, 1-1 UFC), who had only before gone to a decision twice prior to beating Magomed Gadzhiyasulov in his promotional debut last year—Dustin Jacoby punched him out a few months later. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Keith Peterson, who will keep nonsense to a minimum.
They do not touch gloves, as Stirling wants to start off with long, reaching kicks. Lopes chambers his own leg kick that lands with an audible thud, and he tries to offer another but does not put his hips into it. Stirling cannot say the same, slamming his shin into the Brazilian’s calf and welting it up already. They trade these kicks until Stirling mixes up one upstairs, and Lopes is wise to it and parries a jab that follows. They clash together with big swings, with Lopes landing a right hand on the outside. Lopes keeps working the lead leg, and he allows Stirling to come at him so he can lob a counter. Stirling pops Lopes in the chops with a clean left hand, and he pushes out a front kick that gets caught. When he retrieves his leg, he boots Lopes in the face with the other. Lopes catches that one too, and he tries to take the fight down. Stirling retains his balance, so Lopes elbows him in the face.
Lopes chooses to disengage, and he shoots for a double that Stirling sees coming. Stirling elbows him in the face to break off, and he slings a right hand that is ducked in the nick of time. Stirling bullies Lopes to the cage, finding him with his hard swings including a powerful one-two. Lopes ties him up to stop from getting punched in the face for a moment, and Stirling separates and resets. Lopes tries a spinning back elbow when Stirling advances, and he gets kicked in the guts and catches the kick. Stirling springs away to not get taken down, and he lobs a pair of right hands to the head and body. Lopes takes a left hand on the chin before circling, and he catches another kick but lets it go because he cannot do anything with it. Lopes tries to pursue a double, and when that fails, he spins with an elbow and gets kicked in the face. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Stirling
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Stirling
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Stirling

Round 2
Lopes strikes first to start off the round, and this results in both men smacking one another around with calf kicks. Stirling breaks the chain with one to the body, and he leans back as the Brazilian loops a left hand at him. Lopes is out of range, slugging at air while he takes body shots. Lopes counters a right hand up top when Stirling goes for a step-in knee, and he attempts a single-leg entry but lets the leg go and resets. Stirling advances, and he walks face-first into a right hand. Stirling chews up the front leg with his calf kicks, and he defends a single and leans against the cage. Lopes wraps an elbow over the top, and he goes for another and is kneed when they break up. As Lopes kicks the leg, Stirling jabs the body, and they clash together. Lopes goes to the well with a spin, but the elbow is out of range. Stirling drives him back with body shots, and he rifles a right hand up top that stings Lopes.
Lopes has to gather his thoughts as a left hand sets him down, and when he gets to his knees, Stirling punishes him with elbows to bowl him back over. Lopes sits up, and Stirling snatches up a guillotine choke, but this only allows Lopes to stand. Stirling knocks Lopes back down, and Lopes survives but is taking serious punishment. Stirling unleashes a flurry of punches but cannot put Lopes away, with Peterson watching on closely. Stirling holds on to the back of Lopes’ right ankle while busting Lopes in the face with his left hand, and he does not punch himself out but is slowly while Lopes’ face is increasingly bloody.
Stirling falls into a high mount, and he beats on the Brazilian with a nasty elbow and a prolonged barrage of punches and hammerfists. An elbow from the Kiwi further slashes Lopes’ face open, and blood sprays from the gash as Stirling drums the wounded man out with a few more punches. Peterson has no choice but to step in
, with Lopes’ visage quickly transforming into that of a horror movie. Not the artsy type either, but rather an 80s slasher where there is more blood than sense. Stirling walks off and shrugs to the camera as if he knew this was going to happen the whole time, and he is now a perfect 9-0 while registering his first stoppage as a UFC athlete.

The Official Result
Navajo Stirling def. Bruno Lopes R2 4:05 via TKO (Elbows and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Angelo picks Navajo Stirling despite previously being a vocal hater. He acknowledges Stirling's kickboxing skills, mobility, and takedown defense, and believes he is the better striker. He expects Stirling to avoid takedowns and win a straightforward decision, though he is not confident in a finish.

"Navajo Sterling should win this. He's going to be the pick, and I think it's a showcase fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Big Brady picks Navajo Stirling to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Bruno Lopes is very hittable and has a poor chin, having been knocked out by Heber and Dustin Jacoby. Stirling is a good kickboxer with elite volume, landing over six significant strikes per minute. Brady believes Stirling will touch Lopes up and finally get his first UFC knockout.

Stirling by KO round 2
"I think he knocks out Bruno Lopes. I just don't trust the chin at all of Bruno Lopes here."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Cody sees Stirling as a rising prospect with improving skills, while Lopes has been knocked out recently. He expects Stirling to win, possibly by KO.

"Navajo Sterling is the side for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Connor also picks Stirling, agreeing that Lopes is a front runner and that Stirling's wrestling and size will be enough. He notes that Stirling is still raw but has the tools to win.

"I'm happy with steps down lateral moves, prelim card fights."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Daniel expects Stirling to use his speed and length to outpoint Lopes, though he doubts a knockout. He notes Lopes's chin issues and confidence questions after a KO loss.

"I'm definitely going to pick him to win this fight so give me Nawaz Sterling to come out here and win another decision."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Bruno Lopes

The host sees massive value on Lopes as a +471 underdog, giving him a 35-40% chance to win. He believes Lopes' relentless grappling and cardio can wear down Sterling, who has shown vulnerability to wrestling and fades in later rounds. Footage shows Sterling getting taken down and controlled by lesser grapplers, while Lopes commits fully to takedowns and has excellent chain wrestling. The host acknowledges Lopes is likely to lose but insists the odds are far too wide.

Also likes Lopes +3.5 fight spread and over 1.5 rounds as prop bets.
"These odds are crazy... I personally feel it's more than reasonable to give Lopez a 35 to 40% chance of winning this fight, which again gives you an absolutely massive margin of value over the bookies."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

The host is high on Stirling's well-rounded game, noting his kickboxing background and improving grappling. He believes Stirling's defensive grappling will force Lopes to strike, where Stirling will pick him apart and eventually land a knockout. He references Lopes' recent knockout loss to Dustin Jacoby as evidence that Stirling can replicate that success.

knockout
"I'm going to go Navajo Sterling here. I'm going to go Sterling by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Paul agrees, noting Stirling's development and Lopes' chin issues. He thinks Stirling will get the job done.

"I got Navajo Sterling, for sure."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Navajo Stirling

The MMA Guru picks Navajo Stirling, noting his size, reach, and undefeated record. He believes Stirling's striking combinations and takedown defense will be key. He mentions that Bruno Lopes has some grappling ability but thinks Stirling's athleticism and system will keep the fight standing. He predicts a finish in the second or third round by TKO.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think Navajo Sterling's going to win this fight in that combination in the pocket type of range."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Navajo Stirling

Zane picks Stirling because Lopes is a front runner who gets run over when not in front, and Stirling has shown good defensive wrestling and ability to get up. He notes that Stirling is still developing but this is a good step-back fight.

"This is a really good booking to me. Like just low down on cards, give him guys about the level he's already fighting."
LOSS vs Dustin Jacoby
KO R1 1:50 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 17 of 29 58% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Bruno Lopes 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 1 17 of 29 58% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Bruno Lopes 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 17 of 29 58% 16 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Lopes 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 17 of 29 58% 16 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Lopes 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better striker with good takedown defense, but plants a seed of doubt about Jacoby's ability to handle forward pressure. He notes that Jacoby was losing to Vitor Petrino before a comeback KO, and that Bruno Lopes pressures forward well. He advises caution but believes Jacoby wins.

Warns against overexposure in parlays.
"I'm going to pick Dustin here because he is the better striker and he's got very good takedown defense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, believing Bruno Lopes is reckless on the feet and leaves openings. He notes Lopes has a path via grappling but doubts he will use it, citing Lopes' tendency to stand and trade. Jacoby has good get-up game and is hard to hold down. Brady predicts Jacoby will clip Lopes and knock him out in the first round, as Jacoby has many first-round KOs.

first round knockout
"I'll go Dustin Jacobe here. And I think it's early. I think Dustin Jacobe gets a first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Connor also picks Lopes, citing that Jacoby's chin issues have made him hesitant and his game has lost its structure. Lopes, despite being a brawler, has a clear goal and is confident in his aggression. Connor notes that Jacoby used to be able to adjust to wrestlers, but now he seems aimless, making Lopes the safer pick.

"Yeah, also that Jacoby has historically had issues with wrestlers. Yeah. And, you know, he used to be able to adjust to that and, and, and start getting a read on the takedowns and doing a better job of enforcing …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Matt picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He notes that Jacoby is a volume-based striker with good takedown defense, while Lopes is a BJJ black belt who struggles against better strikers. Jacoby should outwork Lopes on the feet, though his durability is a concern. Matt likes the decision prop at +250.

Jacoby by decision +250, Lopes by decision +480, Lopes by KO +400, fight goes to decision +125
"I'm going to pick Jacobe. I I think he wins this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He believes Jacoby's striking is too technical for Bruno Lopes, who has power but is less impressive. He notes Jacoby's good chin and ability to recover, and sees a kickboxing advantage. He predicts Jacoby will piece up Lopes after a shaky first round.

TKO in rounds 2 or 3
"I think Jacob is very underrated... I think he beats Bruno Lopez... I got Jacob by TKO in rounds two or three."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Zane picks Lopes because Jacoby's game has deteriorated significantly; he no longer fights with a clear plan, hesitates, and does wacky things like switching stances needlessly. Lopes, while limited, at least has a simple game plan of aggression, either brawling or pushing to the cage and looking for takedowns. Zane notes that Jacoby historically had issues with wrestlers, and his current indecisiveness makes him vulnerable to Lopes' pressure.

"I think I have to pick Lopez. Yeah. I think I'm kind of feeling that too. He at least want his, what his game still clearly at least seems to revolve around aggression, even if that aggression is just putting …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Lopes 0 31 of 67 46% 68 of 106 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 33 of 70 47% 73 of 126 5 of 14 35% 0 0 9:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Lopes 0 15 of 23 65% 45 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 4 of 21 19% 16 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:05
2 Bruno Lopes 0 9 of 27 33% 15 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 17 of 31 54% 27 of 47 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:59
3 Bruno Lopes 0 7 of 17 41% 8 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 38 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Lopes 31 of 67 46% 9 of 40 10 of 13 12 of 14 24 of 54 7 of 13 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 33 of 70 47% 21 of 48 10 of 13 2 of 9 8 of 39 22 of 26 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Lopes 15 of 23 65% 2 of 9 5 of 6 8 of 8 13 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 4 of 21 19% 2 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 6 2 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Bruno Lopes 9 of 27 33% 4 of 18 4 of 6 1 of 3 6 of 21 3 of 6 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 17 of 31 54% 13 of 25 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 12 12 of 14 3 of 5
3 Bruno Lopes 7 of 17 41% 3 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 3 5 of 13 2 of 4 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 12 of 18 66% 6 of 9 5 of 6 1 of 3 4 of 9 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Angelo picks Magomed Gadzhiyasulov, highlighting his well-rounded skills, solid cardio, and body work. He notes that Magomed's takedown defense is poor but believes his offensive takedowns and striking will be enough. He views the -205 odds as good value, as Magomed's takedown offense should overcome Bruno Lopes' forward pressure. He expects Magomed to get takedowns and control the fight.

Bet on Magomed at -205
"maged gaji aulov at minus 205 is actually some of the better value you're going to get on this entire card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Big Brady is not high on either fighter, calling the fight 'sucky' and 'boring'. He thinks Gadzhiyasulov is the more technical striker and may get takedowns, but he does not like him at -220. He notes that Gadzhiyasulov couldn't finish Jose Medina or Brenson Ribeiro, so he expects a decision. He also mentions Bruno Lopes is chinny and hittable, but Gadzhiyasulov lacks finishing ability. He suggests a prop of over 10 minutes fight time on PrizePicks.

over 10 minutes fight time
"I like godov I do not like him at minus 220 and I think this fight's going to completely suck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Cody picks Lopes as an underdog, questioning Gadzhiyasulov's power and finishing ability. He notes Lopes's takedown defense and power, and believes he can land big shots as Gadzhiyasulov tires. He admits low confidence due to the Dagestani factor.

"I am actually going to take Bruno Lopez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Daniel thinks Lopes is more well-rounded and experienced, with good Jiu-Jitsu and better competition. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's one-dimensional wrestling and lack of striking, but notes his toughness. He believes the odds should be closer and picks Lopes for the upset.

"I'm going go with Bruno Lopez here for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Lopes has good enough grappling to stay out of trouble against Gadzhiyasulov, who is overhyped after almost being finished by Brendson Ribeiro. Lopes can pick him apart on the feet and possibly find a finish or win on the scorecards.

"I think that Lopez has a good enough grappling game that he can stay out of too much trouble against gadia SUV maybe even pick apart gadia SUV on the feet and event you find a finish or win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Paul also picks Lopes, having found a plus-225 price earlier. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's takedown defense and believes Lopes's power and grappling could cause an upset. He is considering adding more to his bet.

"the pick for me is Bruno Lopez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

The Guru picks Gadzhiyasulov, noting his undefeated record (9-0) and win over Brendson Ribeiro. He criticizes Lopes for getting KO'd by Ribeiro. He acknowledges Gadzhiyasulov hasn't looked amazing but thinks he's good enough to beat Lopes. He warns that there will be a time to pick against him but not against this opponent.

"I'm gonna have to go with magamed gulov um to win this one"
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov - Fight History
LOSS vs Bruno Lopes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Lopes 0 31 of 67 46% 68 of 106 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 33 of 70 47% 73 of 126 5 of 14 35% 0 0 9:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Lopes 0 15 of 23 65% 45 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 4 of 21 19% 16 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:05
2 Bruno Lopes 0 9 of 27 33% 15 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:14
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 17 of 31 54% 27 of 47 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:59
3 Bruno Lopes 0 7 of 17 41% 8 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 38 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Lopes 31 of 67 46% 9 of 40 10 of 13 12 of 14 24 of 54 7 of 13 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 33 of 70 47% 21 of 48 10 of 13 2 of 9 8 of 39 22 of 26 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Lopes 15 of 23 65% 2 of 9 5 of 6 8 of 8 13 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 4 of 21 19% 2 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 6 2 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Bruno Lopes 9 of 27 33% 4 of 18 4 of 6 1 of 3 6 of 21 3 of 6 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 17 of 31 54% 13 of 25 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 12 12 of 14 3 of 5
3 Bruno Lopes 7 of 17 41% 3 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 3 5 of 13 2 of 4 0 of 0
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 12 of 18 66% 6 of 9 5 of 6 1 of 3 4 of 9 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Angelo picks Magomed Gadzhiyasulov, highlighting his well-rounded skills, solid cardio, and body work. He notes that Magomed's takedown defense is poor but believes his offensive takedowns and striking will be enough. He views the -205 odds as good value, as Magomed's takedown offense should overcome Bruno Lopes' forward pressure. He expects Magomed to get takedowns and control the fight.

Bet on Magomed at -205
"maged gaji aulov at minus 205 is actually some of the better value you're going to get on this entire card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Big Brady is not high on either fighter, calling the fight 'sucky' and 'boring'. He thinks Gadzhiyasulov is the more technical striker and may get takedowns, but he does not like him at -220. He notes that Gadzhiyasulov couldn't finish Jose Medina or Brenson Ribeiro, so he expects a decision. He also mentions Bruno Lopes is chinny and hittable, but Gadzhiyasulov lacks finishing ability. He suggests a prop of over 10 minutes fight time on PrizePicks.

over 10 minutes fight time
"I like godov I do not like him at minus 220 and I think this fight's going to completely suck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Cody picks Lopes as an underdog, questioning Gadzhiyasulov's power and finishing ability. He notes Lopes's takedown defense and power, and believes he can land big shots as Gadzhiyasulov tires. He admits low confidence due to the Dagestani factor.

"I am actually going to take Bruno Lopez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Daniel thinks Lopes is more well-rounded and experienced, with good Jiu-Jitsu and better competition. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's one-dimensional wrestling and lack of striking, but notes his toughness. He believes the odds should be closer and picks Lopes for the upset.

"I'm going go with Bruno Lopez here for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Lopes has good enough grappling to stay out of trouble against Gadzhiyasulov, who is overhyped after almost being finished by Brendson Ribeiro. Lopes can pick him apart on the feet and possibly find a finish or win on the scorecards.

"I think that Lopez has a good enough grappling game that he can stay out of too much trouble against gadia SUV maybe even pick apart gadia SUV on the feet and event you find a finish or win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Paul also picks Lopes, having found a plus-225 price earlier. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's takedown defense and believes Lopes's power and grappling could cause an upset. He is considering adding more to his bet.

"the pick for me is Bruno Lopez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

The Guru picks Gadzhiyasulov, noting his undefeated record (9-0) and win over Brendson Ribeiro. He criticizes Lopes for getting KO'd by Ribeiro. He acknowledges Gadzhiyasulov hasn't looked amazing but thinks he's good enough to beat Lopes. He warns that there will be a time to pick against him but not against this opponent.

"I'm gonna have to go with magamed gulov um to win this one"
Decision (majority) (29–28, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 26 of 39 66% 93 of 135 5 of 5 100% 0 0 9:59
Brendson Ribeiro 0 17 of 35 48% 29 of 51 3 of 6 50% 1 1 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 8 of 11 72% 29 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
Brendson Ribeiro 0 11 of 22 50% 14 of 29 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:36
2 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 11 of 18 61% 33 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:41
Brendson Ribeiro 0 5 of 10 50% 8 of 13 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:20
3 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 0 7 of 10 70% 31 of 40 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:35
Brendson Ribeiro 0 1 of 3 33% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 26 of 39 66% 15 of 25 4 of 4 7 of 10 12 of 23 4 of 4 10 of 12
Brendson Ribeiro 17 of 35 48% 6 of 19 4 of 4 7 of 12 13 of 29 3 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 8 of 11 72% 1 of 3 3 of 3 4 of 5 4 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 0
Brendson Ribeiro 11 of 22 50% 5 of 14 2 of 2 4 of 6 7 of 16 3 of 5 1 of 1
2 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 11 of 18 61% 7 of 12 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 5
Brendson Ribeiro 5 of 10 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 6 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 7
Brendson Ribeiro 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Angelo picks Magomed but expresses skepticism about the wide odds, noting Magomed's record includes many 'fake fights' on carpet in hotel lobbies. He acknowledges Magomed has solid striking, wrestling, and body work, but Ribeiro is dangerous and hitable. He decided not to include Magomed in the safety parlay due to the debut factor and unproven competition. He still expects Magomed to win because Ribeiro gets hit too much and has a quit button.

Not in safety parlay due to debut; $9,300 DraftKings salary mentioned
"maged should win this fight he's going to be the pick he's got power he's got long kicks got wrestling but Brenson can be dangerous hitable but dangerous"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Big Brady picks Magomed Gadzhiyasulov because he believes he has more paths to victory: on the feet with a big shot or on the ground with a TKO. He questions Ribeiro's durability, noting he has been finished five times, often in the first round. While Gadzhiyasulov's competition has been low-level, Brady thinks his skills are sufficient to exploit Ribeiro's weaknesses. He predicts a second-round TKO.

win by second round TKO
"I'm going to take the guy who I think has more pass to Victory and that's going to be gaji lulov I'll take him to win this fight by second round TKO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Cody picks Gadzhiyasulov but suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a better play. He notes Gadzhiyasulov is a decision machine with questionable finishing ability, while Ribeiro is a glass cannon who either wins early or loses early. He expects Gadzhiyasulov to grind out a win past the first round.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think he wins I don't love the money line you want to get greasy with it the over one and a half plus 200 certainly got some value"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Daniel Vreeland leans with Magomed Gadzhiyasulov but is unsure due to unknowns. He notes Gadzhiyasulov's wrestling and grinding style, while Ribeiro is a banger with power but a questionable chin. He expects Gadzhiyasulov to win a decision but acknowledges Ribeiro's knockout potential.

"I'll lean with the favorite but I don't know I don't know"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Jacob agrees Magomed should win as the more technical and tactical fighter, but warns that Ribeiro is a dangerous puncher who will give himself a chance. He notes Magomed has wrestling as a plan B if he feels pressure, but if he eats a clean shot he could get put out. Jacob calls Magomed a 'parlay buster' waiting to happen and says picks and bets are different—he picks Magomed but understands betting on Ribeiro for the KO.

"Magan bed's that guy that this week should win could look like a minus 500 favorite if he does it or it's going to be a [ __ ] parlay Buster when he get [ __ ] sparked"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

JP picks Godzilla (Gadzhiyasulov) by decision, noting his undefeated record and Ribeiro's recent loss. He highlights Ribeiro's reach advantage but believes Godzilla's wrestling and control will be decisive. Brevan adds that Godzilla's Dagestani wrestling base gives him a huge ground advantage, though he warns about Godzilla's tendency to back up and engage in unnecessary exchanges, which could open a window for Ribeiro to land a KO. Both expect a decision win for Godzilla.

"I'm gonna pick Godzilla by probably decision because both of these guys what he's got three wins by decision the other guy's losses by a decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Paul picks Gadzhiyasulov, citing his wrestling and control. He notes Ribeiro's only path is a first-round knockout, but Gadzhiyasulov's style should neutralize that. He acknowledges the danger early but expects a win.

"I think gadzi YULA wins here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Gadzhiyasulov over Brendson Ribeiro, calling it straightforward. He notes that Ribeiro relies on KO power and reach but was recently knocked out by Mingyang Zhang. He believes Gadzhiyasulov is more technical on the feet and has a ground game, while Ribeiro has been KO'd in his last three losses. He expects a first-round finish, likely by TKO.

first round finish
"I think this is a pretty straightforward fight to predict dangerous dangerous [__] the pair of them nasty magam Med's really I think I would say a bit more technical on the fet okay whereas Brenson riro kind of just …"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Angelo picks Magomed Gadzhiyasulov, highlighting his well-rounded skills, solid cardio, and body work. He notes that Magomed's takedown defense is poor but believes his offensive takedowns and striking will be enough. He views the -205 odds as good value, as Magomed's takedown offense should overcome Bruno Lopes' forward pressure. He expects Magomed to get takedowns and control the fight.

Bet on Magomed at -205
"maged gaji aulov at minus 205 is actually some of the better value you're going to get on this entire card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Big Brady is not high on either fighter, calling the fight 'sucky' and 'boring'. He thinks Gadzhiyasulov is the more technical striker and may get takedowns, but he does not like him at -220. He notes that Gadzhiyasulov couldn't finish Jose Medina or Brenson Ribeiro, so he expects a decision. He also mentions Bruno Lopes is chinny and hittable, but Gadzhiyasulov lacks finishing ability. He suggests a prop of over 10 minutes fight time on PrizePicks.

over 10 minutes fight time
"I like godov I do not like him at minus 220 and I think this fight's going to completely suck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Cody picks Lopes as an underdog, questioning Gadzhiyasulov's power and finishing ability. He notes Lopes's takedown defense and power, and believes he can land big shots as Gadzhiyasulov tires. He admits low confidence due to the Dagestani factor.

"I am actually going to take Bruno Lopez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Daniel thinks Lopes is more well-rounded and experienced, with good Jiu-Jitsu and better competition. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's one-dimensional wrestling and lack of striking, but notes his toughness. He believes the odds should be closer and picks Lopes for the upset.

"I'm going go with Bruno Lopez here for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Lopes has good enough grappling to stay out of trouble against Gadzhiyasulov, who is overhyped after almost being finished by Brendson Ribeiro. Lopes can pick him apart on the feet and possibly find a finish or win on the scorecards.

"I think that Lopez has a good enough grappling game that he can stay out of too much trouble against gadia SUV maybe even pick apart gadia SUV on the feet and event you find a finish or win this fight on the scorecards give me the Brazilian to pull …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Paul also picks Lopes, having found a plus-225 price earlier. He questions Gadzhiyasulov's takedown defense and believes Lopes's power and grappling could cause an upset. He is considering adding more to his bet.

"the pick for me is Bruno Lopez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

The Guru picks Gadzhiyasulov, noting his undefeated record (9-0) and win over Brendson Ribeiro. He criticizes Lopes for getting KO'd by Ribeiro. He acknowledges Gadzhiyasulov hasn't looked amazing but thinks he's good enough to beat Lopes. He warns that there will be a time to pick against him but not against this opponent.

"I'm gonna have to go with magamed gulov um to win this one"