UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Dec 10, 2016 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 41
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Lando Vannata
4.52 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.71 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.24 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - John Makdessi
5.52 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.15 SApM
68.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
86.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Lando Vannata - Fight History
LOSS vs Darrius Flowers
KO R2 0:52 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 27 of 36 75% 31 of 42 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:16
Darrius Flowers 0 20 of 36 55% 44 of 69 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 22 of 29 75% 26 of 35 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:16
Darrius Flowers 0 17 of 30 56% 35 of 53 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:18
2 Lando Vannata 0 5 of 7 71% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Darrius Flowers 0 3 of 6 50% 9 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 27 of 36 75% 19 of 25 5 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 27 3 of 3 4 of 6
Darrius Flowers 20 of 36 55% 10 of 26 4 of 4 6 of 6 15 of 29 1 of 1 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 22 of 29 75% 17 of 23 4 of 5 1 of 1 15 of 20 3 of 3 4 of 6
Darrius Flowers 17 of 30 56% 9 of 22 3 of 3 5 of 5 12 of 23 1 of 1 4 of 6
2 Lando Vannata 5 of 7 71% 2 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Darrius Flowers 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Darrius Flowers

Angelo picks Darrius Flowers primarily because Lando Vannata hasn't fought in three years and was on a losing streak before the layoff. He acknowledges that no one can intelligently break down this fight due to the unknowns, but Flowers has fought recently and will move forward and swing. Angelo is not confident and advises against betting on this fight.

No prop bets or odds mentioned; Angelo explicitly says 'you should do literally nothing with that information'.
"I got to go with Darius Flowers. I'll pick the guy that has fought in this century."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Big Brady picks Lando Vannata despite his long layoff and losing streak. He criticizes Flowers as one of the worst fighters, with many KO and submission losses. He expects Vannata to win by second-round submission, noting Flowers has no chin and poor grappling.

Vannata by submission in round 2
"Give me Leonardo to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody hesitantly picks Vannata, acknowledging his superior skills but concerns about a three-year layoff and injuries. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins and considers a submission prop.

submission +370
"I'm going to take Lando, but I'm taking a little Lando sub plus 370, which is available to me right now."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor also picks Vannata, noting that Flowers fights like a Vegas strip impersonation of Rampage Jackson with no footwork and is stiff and awkward. He points out that Flowers got undressed by Evan Elder and doesn't seem to like fighting. Vannata, despite his own issues, should win easily.

Vannata opened -170, now -210; Flowers opened +145, now +180.
"Flowers got undressed by Evan Elder though."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

James picks Lando Vannata, calling it a weird fight. He notes Vannata's superior striking and level of competition, but is unsure due to both fighters' inactivity. He predicts a spinning wheel kick knockout in round two when Flowers gasses. He expresses confusion about the matchup and low confidence.

Spinning wheel kick knockout in round 2 prediction
"I'll pick Lando Fanata here boys. I'll pick Vanata via spinning wheel kick finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host expects Vannata to win, likely by finish in round 2 or 3, as Flowers has poor cardio and a tendency to fade. He notes Vannata's unorthodox striking and BJJ black belt, while Flowers gasses out and has been submitted before. He advises caution due to Vannata's three-year layoff but still picks him.

under 1.5 rounds at +175; under 2.5 rounds if line improves
"I expect Vanata to win. I don't mind the chalk on him just cuz I don't think Flowers is that good of a fighter... he should go out there and get the finish in round two or round three."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul leans towards Vannata, noting Flowers' poor record and takedown defense. He expects Vannata to win if he uses wrestling, but is cautious due to the layoff.

"Lando's going to be the side for me because like I don't think I would ever bet Darius Flowers in the UFC against just about anybody."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata, recalling his past highlights like the wheel kick KO of John Makdessi. He believes Vannata's rangy striking and teeps will be effective against Darrius Flowers, who has been easily handled by Michael Johnson and Jake Matthews. He predicts a decision win.

Decision win predicted
"Lando Vannata is probably going to win this one. Close decision, 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata confidently despite his flaws, because Flowers is even worse. He describes Flowers as a Rampage Jackson impersonator with no footwork, stiff and awkward, who got undressed by Evan Elder. Vannata, though inconsistent and prone to bad habits, is still good enough to beat a low-level opponent like Flowers.

Vannata opened -170, now -210; Flowers opened +145, now +180.
"The thing is she's gonna beat Darius flowers. Yeah, that is the ultimate fucking tragedy, isn't it?"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 51 of 91 56% 51 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 1 78 of 207 37% 84 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 23 73% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 40 of 91 43% 45 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 22 of 36 61% 22 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 0 22 of 55 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 0 16 of 61 26% 17 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 51 of 91 56% 20 of 41 12 of 24 19 of 26 49 of 87 2 of 2 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 78 of 207 37% 67 of 181 7 of 21 4 of 5 49 of 149 7 of 7 22 of 51
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 23 73% 5 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 13 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 40 of 91 43% 37 of 88 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 35 5 of 5 22 of 51
2 Daniel Zellhuber 22 of 36 61% 8 of 16 6 of 9 8 of 11 21 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 22 of 55 40% 17 of 41 3 of 11 2 of 3 22 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 32 37% 7 of 19 4 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 16 of 61 26% 13 of 52 2 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his gun-shy UFC debut, trusting his pre-UFC fights and 88% takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's length, power, and relentless striking pace when he's on. He expects a close, fast-paced fight but believes Zellhuber's talent will prevail over Lando's well-roundedness.

"I trust his 88 takedown defense I trust his pre-ufc fights to be more indicative of who he actually is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision, giving him one more chance after a poor debut. He notes Zellhuber's size and reach advantages, good takedown defense, and training at Extreme Couture. He is concerned about Zellhuber's previous performance but believes it was a one-off. He expects Zellhuber to bounce back and outpoint Vannata.

"I do like Zell Huber in this match if I'll give him one more chance to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody is unimpressed by Zellhuber's poor UFC debut and thinks Vannata's unorthodox style and grappling could cause problems. He notes Vannata is inconsistent but has the experience advantage. He picks Vannata as a dog.

"I'll be picking him for the purposes of this show"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor agrees, noting that Vannata's losses are to top fighters and that Zellhuber's step up on the contender series was a difficult decision. He believes Vannata's experience and ability to pour in strikes on openings will be key.

"Yeah, I don't really understand that. I guess people are really being down on Lando because of the dejour dan fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber's range and technical striking should pick apart Vannata, who struggles against crisp strikers. Vannata's unorthodox style can be countered by Zellhuber's length and clean shots. Zellhuber's takedown defense should be sufficient. Expect a knockout as Vannata has been clipped before. Zellhuber is a live underdog despite his last loss.

Zellhuber wins by knockout
"I think he'll be able to pick apart Landover nada from distance and I think he will possibly even find binocular here man."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul echoes Cody, noting Zellhuber's terrible performance against Trey Ogden. He thinks Vannata's unorthodox striking and scrambling will overwhelm the inexperienced Zellhuber. He takes the plus money.

"I got to take that plus money Lando or just pass all together Lando's the dog I'm gonna take the dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata as a plus-money underdog, citing his experience, tricky striking, and underrated grappling. He believes Vannata can outstrike Zellhuber, who had a lackluster UFC debut. He notes Zellhuber's youth and reach but thinks Vannata's veteran savvy and motivation will secure the win.

"I am going to side with the veteran in Lando vanata"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata because he has been doing this much longer than Zellhuber, who still looks like he's learning. He notes that Vannata's experience against top fighters gives him an edge, and that Zellhuber's game lacks fundamental connectivity. He also mentions that Vannata has been wrestling lately.

"This is the time where even if you're not going to be in control, this is when you've just been doing this way more than tell Hoover who doesn't look like he's been doing this a lot."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:32 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:57
Lando Vannata 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:57
Lando Vannata 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 8 of 14 57% 5 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
Lando Vannata 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 8 of 14 57% 5 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
Lando Vannata 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Lando Vannata

Round 1
A featherweight scrap expected by some to be the frontrunner for “Fight of the Night” will continue the main card, when Vannata (12-5-2, 4-5-2 UFC) takes on the appropriately nicknamed “Air” Jourdain (12-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC) for the latter’s high-flying prowess. This could get wild, and referee Keith Peterson will have to be on his A-game here at sweeping away nonsense. The gloves get touched ahead of this hopefully exciting matchup, and Jourdain comes out aggressively. When he reaches out a little too far, Vannata scoops him off the mat and slams him down. Jourdain kicks him off and looks to scramble, but Vannata smoothly follows him and even takes his back as Jourdain moves. A couple punches land to the back of the head, and Jourdain explodes back to his feet. When upright again, the Canadian is met with a body kick and a crisp uppercut from “Groovy,” who styles on him with several quick, effective blows. Vannata kicks the body and steps forward with a right hand, only to be met with a piston-like left hand that knocks Vannata clean off his feet. Jourdain snatches hold of a guillotine when jumping on top, and Vannata pulls his neck out and tries to take Jourdain down.
In doing so, Vannata falls into another guillotine choke that Jourdain holds with only one arm. “Air” Jourdain secures the grip, and he sits up to half guard with his hands clasped crushingly tight. Vannata, with his head torqued at a horrible angle, signals that he is ok by putting an arm up in the air, only to then tap out with his other hand, as his head changes to a brilliant shade of vermillion from the application of the choke.
When Peterson steps in, Vannata has to pull his shorts up, because Jourdain apparently choked them off too. That’s two powerful Canadians in a row locking up guillotine chokes just after the midpoint of the round, with each just as impressive as the other.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Lando Vannata R1 2:32 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Angelo has a very slight lean to Lando Vannata, citing his grappling threat and size at 145. He notes Vannata has taken down Bobby Green five times across two fights. He says Jourdain's volume could be the difference if it stays standing, but Vannata's pressure and strength could be an issue. He calls Jourdain a gamer, making it hard to pick against him.

"very slight lean to lando venata in this fight but jordan is just such a gamer it's hard to pick against them"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win a close decision, citing his youth and improvements shown in his last fight against Andre Ewell. He thinks Jourdain has the harder shots and slightly better striking, while Vannata may mix in takedowns but won't control Jourdain. He calls it a coin flip but leans Jourdain.

"I'll take jordan to win a very close and competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody picks Vannata as an underdog, citing his improved performance at 145 against Mike Grundy. He notes Vannata's wrestling background and ability to exploit Jourdain's takedown defense. He believes Vannata can mix takedowns and striking, and that Jourdain's wild style leaves openings.

Vannata by submission prop if juicy enough
"I think as an underdog he could be there to expose jordan a little bit show him a couple things and uh i'm willing to take a shot on that underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Lando Vannata

The host leans towards Lando Vannata but has no bet on this fight. He thinks the fight is likely to go the distance, noting that Vannata has never been KO'd (only sub loss to Ferguson). He includes over 2.5 rounds in his totals parlay.

Included over 2.5 rounds in totals parlay.
"i do like lando there but no bet from me on my side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul agrees with Cody, highlighting Vannata's wrestling and the path to victory via takedowns. He notes Jourdain's poor takedown defense and Vannata's D1 wrestling background. He thinks Vannata can control the fight and potentially submit Jourdain.

Vannata by submission prop; wrestling is life
"i think lando's got more pass maybe he turns it into an absolute banger of a fight but i think that path could be exploited"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, citing his cardio advantage and durability. He notes Vannata slows down in high-paced fights and lacks power at featherweight. He predicts Jourdain will go to the body and take over in the later rounds, finishing by third-round TKO. He mentions Jourdain's great chin and Vannata's headhunting style. He expects a war with both getting rocked, but Jourdain's conditioning will be the difference.

third round TKO
"i am going to be going with charles jordan here i think fight tonight 100 i don't see any way of it going any different"
WIN vs Mike Grundy
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 80 of 168 47% 83 of 173 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Mike Grundy 0 32 of 63 50% 34 of 65 3 of 20 15% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Grundy 0 7 of 12 58% 9 of 14 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:34
2 Lando Vannata 0 39 of 76 51% 39 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Grundy 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Lando Vannata 0 21 of 52 40% 23 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Mike Grundy 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 80 of 168 47% 40 of 118 27 of 36 13 of 14 73 of 161 7 of 7 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 32 of 63 50% 19 of 44 13 of 19 0 of 0 28 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 11 of 28 7 of 10 2 of 2 14 of 34 6 of 6 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 7 of 12 58% 5 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Lando Vannata 39 of 76 51% 19 of 52 13 of 16 7 of 8 38 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lando Vannata 21 of 52 40% 10 of 38 7 of 10 4 of 4 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 16 of 29 55% 7 of 17 9 of 12 0 of 0 15 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Grundy is a grappler who can get takedowns; he took down Movsar Evloev six times. Vannata has 58% takedown defense and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Grundy's cardio is a concern, but Vannata also slows down. I think Grundy grinds out a decision, but I want to see Vannata's weight cut first.

"I'm gonna take mike running to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Cody picks Grundy, emphasizing that Vannata's wrestling defense is poor and Grundy will take him down repeatedly. He notes that Vannata's game plans are questionable and he often fades in later rounds. Cody believes Grundy's wrestling will be the difference, though he acknowledges Vannata could pull off a flashy finish.

"i'm feeling grundy the same way uh you got to go with the wrestling"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Daniel Levi picks Mike Grundy, citing his wrestling pressure and takedowns. He notes that Vannata tends to slow down in fights and has been taken down repeatedly. Levi thinks Grundy's pace and grappling will be too much for Vannata, and predicts a decision win for Grundy. He acknowledges Vannata's striking threat but believes Grundy can neutralize it.

"i'm gonna go with grundy to win a decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

The host picks Grundy, believing his wrestling will be the difference maker. He notes Grundy has cardio issues but thinks Vannata is a far cry from his debut and that Grundy's grappling-heavy style should secure rounds. He predicts a decision win but says he can't trust Grundy even at close odds.

Grundy by decision
"i am gonna go with grundy i think his grappling does end up being the difference maker year but again i just can't trust this guy uh even at these close odds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Paul picks Grundy, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Vannata has been taken down repeatedly in recent fights and his takedown defense is poor. Paul believes Grundy will control the fight with takedowns and top control, though he is not very confident.

"give me grundy minus 120 not very comfortable about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata to win by TKO in the first round. He is surprised that most people are picking Mike Grundy, as he believes Grundy hasn't lived up to expectations and lost to Movsar Evloev. He thinks Vannata's takedown defense and scrambles will keep the fight standing, where Vannata's striking advantage will lead to a first-round finish.

Vannata wins by TKO in round 1
"i'm going with lando vernata and it is shocking to me that everyone is picking mike grande"
LOSS vs King Green
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 54 of 127 42% 64 of 139 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:27
Lando Vannata 1 115 of 195 58% 136 of 219 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Lando Vannata 0 35 of 71 49% 37 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
2 King Green 0 12 of 37 32% 16 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Lando Vannata 0 34 of 61 55% 38 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
3 King Green 0 13 of 31 41% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 46 of 63 73% 61 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 54 of 127 42% 31 of 99 16 of 21 7 of 7 45 of 115 9 of 12 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 115 of 195 58% 67 of 135 20 of 30 28 of 30 89 of 160 11 of 12 15 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 29 of 59 49% 19 of 48 9 of 10 1 of 1 25 of 54 4 of 5 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 35 of 71 49% 20 of 53 5 of 7 10 of 11 32 of 66 2 of 2 1 of 3
2 King Green 12 of 37 32% 5 of 28 3 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 34 of 61 55% 16 of 36 6 of 13 12 of 12 32 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 King Green 13 of 31 41% 7 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 46 of 63 73% 31 of 46 9 of 10 6 of 7 25 of 35 7 of 8 14 of 20
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Big Brady picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round knockout. He recalls their first fight where Vannata nearly finished Green and argues that Vannata has improved his composure and technique. He criticizes Bobby Green's poor fight IQ and tendency to keep his hands down, which he believes will lead to a knockout. He mentions he missed getting Vannata at pick'em odds and is considering a bet at -150.

second round knockout
"i'm gonna pick fanata to win by uh i'm gonna say second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks Bobby Green, noting his heart and ability to take over in later rounds. He points out that Lando fades after the first round and that Green went toe-to-toe with Clay Guida. He expects Green to land crisper shots in rounds 2 and 3 and win a decision.

decision
"i think that bobby probably you know lands the crisper shots on the feet in the second and third round and edges the decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Vannata, expecting him to use his groovy style with hands down and movement to outpoint Green. He notes that Green is a low-output, one-and-done puncher and that Vannata's confidence from the Yancy Medeiros fight will carry over. He also mentions the first fight ended in a draw due to an illegal knee, but believes Vannata will win a clear decision this time.

"i do like lando vana in this fight i do think we see him dance around a little bit and i do think we see him uh you know get the judge's decision here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round TKO. He was not impressed with Bobby Green's performance against Clay Guida and believes Vannata has improved his cardio and pacing since their first fight. He thinks Vannata's movement and output will be too much for Green, and that Vannata will avoid brawling and instead outpoint or finish Green.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna be going with land overnight getting the job done he's younger in my opinion he's improved more since their last fight he gets the job done by second round tko"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 99 of 188 52% 100 of 189 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
Yancy Medeiros 0 68 of 193 35% 68 of 193 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 29 of 51 56% 29 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yancy Medeiros 0 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lando Vannata 0 34 of 65 52% 35 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yancy Medeiros 0 21 of 58 36% 21 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Lando Vannata 0 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Yancy Medeiros 0 24 of 84 28% 24 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 99 of 188 52% 36 of 107 29 of 38 34 of 43 98 of 185 1 of 3 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 68 of 193 35% 42 of 163 14 of 17 12 of 13 66 of 191 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 29 of 51 56% 14 of 30 6 of 10 9 of 11 29 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 23 of 51 45% 9 of 36 6 of 7 8 of 8 23 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lando Vannata 34 of 65 52% 9 of 38 12 of 13 13 of 14 33 of 62 1 of 3 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 21 of 58 36% 17 of 54 4 of 4 0 of 0 21 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lando Vannata 36 of 72 50% 13 of 39 11 of 15 12 of 18 36 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 24 of 84 28% 16 of 73 4 of 6 4 of 5 22 of 82 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Yancy Medeiros

Daniel Levi picks Yancy Medeiros to win by unanimous decision or third-round submission. He believes Vannata is a lost cause with a fragile chin and poor fight IQ, while Medeiros has the Hawaiian spirit and will take over after the first round. He notes Vannata's tendency to gas at the 7-minute mark and not check kicks.

unanimous decision, third-round submission, live betting opportunity on Medeiros after first round
"I'm going in see materials by unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Marc Diakiese
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 40 of 99 40% 45 of 111 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:07
Lando Vannata 0 25 of 70 35% 51 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Lando Vannata 0 10 of 21 47% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marc Diakiese 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
Lando Vannata 0 8 of 32 25% 9 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Marc Diakiese 0 11 of 23 47% 16 of 34 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:32
Lando Vannata 0 7 of 17 41% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 40 of 99 40% 16 of 52 10 of 25 14 of 22 31 of 84 2 of 3 7 of 12
Lando Vannata 25 of 70 35% 4 of 36 8 of 12 13 of 22 24 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 16 of 38 42% 4 of 15 4 of 10 8 of 13 16 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 1
Lando Vannata 10 of 21 47% 1 of 8 2 of 4 7 of 9 10 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Marc Diakiese 13 of 38 34% 4 of 21 4 of 9 5 of 8 11 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 8 of 32 25% 2 of 20 3 of 4 3 of 8 7 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 11 of 23 47% 8 of 16 2 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 7 of 11
Lando Vannata 7 of 17 41% 1 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 5 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (kimura) R1 4:55 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 39 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:35
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 39 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:35
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 18 of 37 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 36
Marcos Rosa Mariano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 18 of 37 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 36
Marcos Rosa Mariano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
John Makdessi - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 88 of 179 49% 88 of 179 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 83 of 188 44% 85 of 190 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 37 of 62 59% 37 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 29 of 72 40% 29 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 38 of 76 50% 40 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 88 of 179 49% 38 of 120 13 of 20 37 of 39 88 of 179 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 83 of 188 44% 37 of 119 22 of 45 24 of 24 83 of 188 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 22 of 45 48% 5 of 24 4 of 8 13 of 13 22 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 24 of 51 47% 6 of 27 10 of 16 8 of 8 24 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jamie Mullarkey 37 of 62 59% 17 of 40 8 of 10 12 of 12 37 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 21 of 61 34% 11 of 40 5 of 16 5 of 5 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 29 of 72 40% 16 of 56 1 of 2 12 of 14 29 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 38 of 76 50% 20 of 52 7 of 13 11 of 11 38 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey but hates the -180 price. He notes that Jamie's relentless pressure and takedown attempts should get him a close decision, but he is not dangerous and has poor chin. John Makdessi has good takedown defense and if he keeps it standing, he wins. Angelo avoids betting on Jamie despite picking him.

Avoid betting at -180
"I'm gonna pick him but minus 180. that I mean that's that's on a fully eyebrow guy that's good at multiple things in fighting that's not on"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Big Brady picks the underdog John Makdessi, citing his durability, high volume, and ability to get back up from takedowns. He notes Mullarkey is hittable and has a questionable chin. He thinks Makdessi can outwork Mullarkey over three rounds and predicts a decision win.

"I'm actually going to take the dog and mcessee to get it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, noting that Mullarkey has a suspect chin and has been knocked out recently. However, he believes Mullarkey's wrestling and size advantage will be too much for Makdessi, who is a natural featherweight with no knockout power. Cody likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.

Mullarkey by decision (+115); Mullarkey over 1.5 takedowns on Prize Picks
"I don't want to bet Malarkey at this price I don't I'm not I just don't see any world yeah I just don't see any world where I'm getting in on John mcdessie"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Mullarkey but is not crazy about the price. He notes that Makdessi is 38 and has been in many wars, while Mullarkey is younger and has a reach advantage. However, Mullarkey has been knocked out four times, which is a concern. Levi expects Mullarkey to outwork Makdessi down the stretch if he fights with aggression.

Odds mentioned: Mullarkey minus 260, Makdessi plus 220.
"I see a situation where Jamie is just a little bit grittier kind of outworks him a bit and just puts it on him down the stretch."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Lucrative James leans toward Jamie Mullarkey, citing his youth, tenacity, and a decent win over Prado. He acknowledges Makdessi could win a split decision but notes Makdessi is old and doesn't have knockout power. James expresses slight concern about Mullarkey's chin after a knockout loss, but believes Makdessi is unlikely to finish him. He thinks Mullarkey will dominate.

"Malarkey should win he's a lot younger he's a lot more he's a lot more tenacious"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Mullarkey has improved significantly, blending takedowns behind his striking and managing distance well. He works with the City Kickboxing camp. Makdessi is a veteran who makes fights close but is 38 and may be slowing down. Mullarkey's output and wrestling should earn him a decision win. The over 2.5 rounds is preferred over the moneyline.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'm looking for a output and wrestling approach from Malarkey to get his hand raised I would much rather the over two and a half than the Malarkey money line here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, citing Mullarkey's durability issues and the -280 price. He notes that Makdessi is a small lightweight with no recent finishes and that Mullarkey should use his wrestling to secure a decision. Paul likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.

Mullarkey by decision (+115); Mullarkey over 1.5 takedowns on Prize Picks
"I think Malarkey's job here is uses bigger frame forces Up Against the Cage don't just kind of have a tick for tack kickboxing match with mcdess because you can lose that fight but uh secure some takedowns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey over John Makdessi, citing Mullarkey's size advantage (6'0", 74" reach) and physicality. He notes that Mullarkey bullies smaller opponents, as seen in his win over Devonte Smith with body shots and knees. Makdessi is 38 and coming off a loss to Nasrat Haqparast. He believes Mullarkey will bully Makdessi and get a TKO in the first or second round, as Makdessi cannot grapple with him or knock him out.

TKO in round 1 or 2
"I got Jamie Malarkey over John mcdess"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Sep 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nasrat Haqparast 0 73 of 196 37% 73 of 196 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 1 64 of 173 36% 72 of 181 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nasrat Haqparast 0 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 12 of 43 27% 12 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nasrat Haqparast 0 23 of 62 37% 23 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 1 28 of 78 35% 28 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Nasrat Haqparast 0 28 of 86 32% 28 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 24 of 52 46% 32 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nasrat Haqparast 73 of 196 37% 26 of 122 18 of 41 29 of 33 72 of 195 1 of 1 0 of 0
John Makdessi 64 of 173 36% 41 of 139 19 of 29 4 of 5 60 of 168 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nasrat Haqparast 22 of 48 45% 3 of 21 5 of 13 14 of 14 22 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 12 of 43 27% 4 of 35 6 of 6 2 of 2 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nasrat Haqparast 23 of 62 37% 7 of 36 7 of 14 9 of 12 23 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 28 of 78 35% 21 of 64 7 of 13 0 of 1 24 of 73 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Nasrat Haqparast 28 of 86 32% 16 of 65 6 of 14 6 of 7 27 of 85 1 of 1 0 of 0
John Makdessi 24 of 52 46% 16 of 40 6 of 10 2 of 2 24 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Angelo picks Nasrat Haqparast because he is younger, faster, and more powerful than John Makdessi, and he believes age and inactivity will keep Makdessi a step behind. He notes Nasrat is a high-volume striker with good takedown defense. He has a moneyline bet on Nasrat and says the line has moved in their favor.

Moneyline bet placed; line moved in our favor
"i think nazareth's a solid play i have him winning this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Big Brady picks the underdog John Makdessi, despite concerns about his age (37) and layoff due to leg surgery. He notes that Makdessi has excellent striking defense and volume, and that Haqparast has looked poor lately, losing to Dan Hooker and Bobby Green. He expects a very close fight, possibly a split decision, but sides with the dog.

"i'm actually gonna side with the dog here macdessey"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Cody picks John Makdessi as a confident underdog, arguing that Nasrat Haqparast is overvalued as a -240 favorite. He notes that Haqparast has looked lost since his knockout loss to Drew Dober, with low volume and poor performances against Bobby Green and Dan Hooker. Makdessi, despite being 37 and on a layoff, is healthy and motivated, and his taekwondo footwork and angles should give Haqparast trouble. Cody believes the fight will be close and go to decision, making the plus money attractive. He has already bet Makdessi at +200.

Makdessi wins by decision (+300); Haqparast under 85.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks
"I missed the plus 205 there was a plus 200 that was still available that I took during your long diatribe there... I was fully intending on betting john mcdessey."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Daniel Levi leans toward Nasrat Haqparast due to his youth and reach advantage, but is not confident. He considers Haqparast a busted prospect and notes that Makdessi is a durable veteran who could win a close decision. He thinks the line is wide and that the fight could be close. He does not bet.

Split decision prop
"I lean hack brows he's 10 years younger you know he's got a four inch reach Advantage blah blah blah they can keep up in Pace but it's not gonna [ __ ] surprise me if Mac Desi comes out …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

The host leans towards Haqparast, believing he will land the bigger shots and win a decision. However, he is not confident due to Haqparast's inconsistency and Makdessi's veteran savvy. He advises caution and suggests the fight is volatile.

"I do think he'll be the one landing the bigger and better shots which will ultimately allow him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Paul also picks John Makdessi, sharing Cody's view that Haqparast's volume is too low and that Makdessi's experience and striking will keep it competitive. He mentions a personal anecdote about meeting Makdessi years ago, but the reasoning is based on Haqparast's recent struggles and Makdessi's ability to win a close decision. Paul has also bet Makdessi at +200 and calls it his first click of the week.

Makdessi wins by decision (+300)
"John the bull mcdessie for me that's my first click of the week uh plus 200."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 29, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Nasrat Haqparast over John Makdessi, citing Makdessi's age (37) and long layoff (1.5 years). He believes Haqparast is still improving and has a solid chin, while Makdessi may not be the same fighter. He predicts a close 29-28 decision win for Haqparast, with his grit carrying him in the later rounds.

Haqparast wins by decision 29-28
"i'm going to be going with nasrat hackperast getting it done against john mcdessey here just because of the age of mcdessen"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Makdessi 0 124 of 232 53% 145 of 257 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 112 of 312 35% 117 of 318 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Makdessi 0 36 of 67 53% 52 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 37 of 85 43% 40 of 88 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
2 John Makdessi 0 43 of 83 51% 47 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 35 of 107 32% 37 of 110 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
3 John Makdessi 0 45 of 82 54% 46 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 40 of 120 33% 40 of 120 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Makdessi 124 of 232 53% 72 of 165 33 of 45 19 of 22 109 of 212 15 of 20 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 112 of 312 35% 75 of 268 22 of 25 15 of 19 99 of 297 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Makdessi 36 of 67 53% 24 of 51 7 of 10 5 of 6 24 of 53 12 of 14 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 37 of 85 43% 22 of 66 9 of 10 6 of 9 31 of 78 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 John Makdessi 43 of 83 51% 24 of 56 14 of 20 5 of 7 43 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 35 of 107 32% 26 of 96 4 of 5 5 of 6 34 of 106 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 John Makdessi 45 of 82 54% 24 of 58 12 of 15 9 of 9 42 of 76 3 of 6 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 40 of 120 33% 27 of 106 9 of 10 4 of 4 34 of 113 6 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Big Brady picks Bahamondes to win by decision, citing his significant reach advantage (75.5" vs 68") and youth (23 vs 35). He believes Bahamondes will use his range to pick apart Makdessi, who is coming off an injury layoff. Brady notes Bahamondes has solid volume and technical striking, while Makdessi is low volume and older. He does not love the -190 line but expects Bahamondes to win.

"i'm gonna take baja monas to kind of stick on the outside pick apart macdessi"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody leans Bahamondes, citing his massive reach advantage and youth. He notes Makdessi's lack of takedowns and suspect chin. However, he acknowledges Bahamondes is green and untested. He does not bet it.

"i'll pick baja mondays but i really do think he's super green"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Daniel Levi picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his youth, height and reach advantage, and training at a high-level gym in Chicago. He notes that John Makdessi has never landed a takedown in his UFC career and has been knocked out multiple times. Levi expects Bahamondes to use his length and volume to out-strike Makdessi, predicting a first-round knockout. He also mentions that Makdessi has a history of skipping wrestling practice.

First round knockout
"I got ignacio obama on this first round knockout man i think he counters him with something big"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The host likes Bahamondes' size and reach advantage (7 inches in height and reach), and his fluid striking. He thinks Bahamondes will keep Makdessi on the outside with his jab and kicks, and that Makdessi will struggle to close the distance. He picks Bahamondes to win by decision, though he acknowledges the Contender Series curse could be a factor.

Bahamondes by decision
"i like baju mundus thick dogs are a little bit too wide uh contender series chris could come into play here but i am still going to eventually or ultimately go with bahamut is to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
John Makdessi

Paul leans Makdessi as a dog, noting his experience, striking volume, and ability to outpoint opponents. He mentions Makdessi's recent ACL surgery and layoff as concerns, but thinks Bahamondes is too green. He calls it a dogger pass.

"i'm looking at it as another dogger pass situation with john mcdessey"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
John Makdessi

The MMA Guru initially leans toward Ignacio Bahamondes but ultimately picks John Makdessi. He notes Makdessi is technically sound and out-landed Francisco Trinaldo in some rounds. He criticizes Bahamondes for close fights and being submitted earlier in his career. He thinks Makdessi's experience and grappling will be the difference.

"i'm going to go with john mcdesser i think i'm going to go with john mcdessey here over ignacio baja mondez"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 55 of 126 43% 55 of 126 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 67 of 123 54% 68 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 25 of 35 71% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 19 of 44 43% 19 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 19 of 38 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 24 of 52 46% 24 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 23 of 50 46% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 55 of 126 43% 34 of 100 17 of 22 4 of 4 53 of 124 2 of 2 0 of 0
John Makdessi 67 of 123 54% 15 of 54 16 of 26 36 of 43 65 of 121 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 30 40% 5 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 25 of 35 71% 5 of 9 7 of 10 13 of 16 25 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 19 of 44 43% 12 of 33 6 of 10 1 of 1 19 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 19 of 38 50% 4 of 18 5 of 8 10 of 12 19 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Francisco Trinaldo 24 of 52 46% 17 of 45 5 of 5 2 of 2 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
John Makdessi 23 of 50 46% 6 of 27 4 of 8 13 of 15 21 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Daniel picks Trinaldo, citing his power and aggression. He thinks Trinaldo's left hand will find Makdessi's chin, which has been broken before. He predicts a decision win for Trinaldo by landing harder shots, even without the crowd.

"I think that he'll drop him along the way and and win this decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
John Makdessi

The host picks John Makdessi over Francisco Trinaldo. He notes that Makdessi has been on a three-fight win streak since a KO loss, while Trinaldo is older and coming off a win over Bobby Green but couldn't beat a one-armed Alexander Hernandez. He expects Makdessi to out-strike Trinaldo for a boring decision win.

"I feel as though John Makdessi is gonna get the jump on Francisco turn our dough and be able to keep him at bay on the feet and slowly out strike him for a free round boring decision fest"
WIN vs Jesús Pinedo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Makdessi 0 73 of 137 53% 75 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jesús Pinedo 0 37 of 113 32% 37 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Makdessi 0 14 of 28 50% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jesús Pinedo 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 John Makdessi 0 28 of 50 56% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jesús Pinedo 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 John Makdessi 0 31 of 59 52% 31 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jesús Pinedo 0 17 of 51 33% 17 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Makdessi 73 of 137 53% 25 of 60 8 of 21 40 of 56 73 of 137 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesús Pinedo 37 of 113 32% 18 of 74 10 of 18 9 of 21 37 of 113 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Makdessi 14 of 28 50% 4 of 10 2 of 6 8 of 12 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesús Pinedo 7 of 25 28% 0 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 9 7 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 John Makdessi 28 of 50 56% 8 of 19 5 of 8 15 of 23 28 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesús Pinedo 13 of 37 35% 7 of 24 3 of 6 3 of 7 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 John Makdessi 31 of 59 52% 13 of 31 1 of 7 17 of 21 31 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesús Pinedo 17 of 51 33% 11 of 37 5 of 9 1 of 5 17 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Ross Pearson
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Makdessi 0 131 of 261 50% 134 of 265 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 79 of 224 35% 81 of 226 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Makdessi 0 30 of 64 46% 30 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 John Makdessi 0 41 of 83 49% 41 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 30 of 89 33% 30 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 John Makdessi 0 60 of 114 52% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 22 of 70 31% 24 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Makdessi 131 of 261 50% 99 of 211 13 of 25 19 of 25 120 of 244 11 of 17 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 79 of 224 35% 51 of 182 9 of 15 19 of 27 79 of 223 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Makdessi 30 of 64 46% 17 of 44 1 of 4 12 of 16 30 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 27 of 65 41% 14 of 48 1 of 4 12 of 13 27 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 John Makdessi 41 of 83 49% 27 of 65 10 of 14 4 of 4 39 of 79 2 of 4 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 30 of 89 33% 21 of 74 6 of 6 3 of 9 30 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 John Makdessi 60 of 114 52% 55 of 102 2 of 7 3 of 5 51 of 101 9 of 13 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 22 of 70 31% 16 of 60 2 of 5 4 of 5 22 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Abel Trujillo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Lawler vs. dos Anjos · Dec 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Makdessi 1 47 of 104 45% 57 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abel Trujillo 0 29 of 91 31% 30 of 93 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Makdessi 1 12 of 28 42% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abel Trujillo 0 7 of 19 36% 7 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 John Makdessi 0 16 of 41 39% 18 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abel Trujillo 0 9 of 36 25% 9 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
3 John Makdessi 0 19 of 35 54% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abel Trujillo 0 13 of 36 36% 14 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Makdessi 47 of 104 45% 17 of 53 13 of 24 17 of 27 47 of 102 0 of 2 0 of 0
Abel Trujillo 29 of 91 31% 23 of 82 3 of 6 3 of 3 28 of 88 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Makdessi 12 of 28 42% 5 of 15 1 of 3 6 of 10 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abel Trujillo 7 of 19 36% 6 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 John Makdessi 16 of 41 39% 4 of 20 6 of 11 6 of 10 16 of 39 0 of 2 0 of 0
Abel Trujillo 9 of 36 25% 8 of 33 0 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 John Makdessi 19 of 35 54% 8 of 18 6 of 10 5 of 7 19 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abel Trujillo 13 of 36 36% 9 of 31 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Lando Vannata
KO (wheel kick) R1 1:40 · UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Dec 10, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 1 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 1 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 11 of 13 84% 2 of 3 5 of 6 4 of 4 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 10 of 32 31% 3 of 14 5 of 11 2 of 7 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 11 of 13 84% 2 of 3 5 of 6 4 of 4 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 10 of 32 31% 3 of 14 5 of 11 2 of 7 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0