Career Averages - Jean Matsumoto
Career Averages - Brad Katona
Jean Matsumoto
Brad Katona
Jean Matsumoto - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 76 of 220 | 34% | 111 of 263 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 4:40 |
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 80 of 152 | 52% | 95 of 172 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 1 | 2:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 29 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 20 of 66 | 30% | 30 of 77 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 31 of 52 | 59% | 33 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 37 of 102 | 36% | 52 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 29 of 64 | 45% | 38 of 75 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 76 of 220 | 34% | 40 of 162 | 20 of 29 | 16 of 29 | 62 of 197 | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Farid Basharat | 80 of 152 | 52% | 63 of 132 | 14 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 66 of 136 | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 19 of 52 | 36% | 11 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 11 | 16 of 48 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Farid Basharat | 20 of 36 | 55% | 13 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 20 of 66 | 30% | 8 of 44 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 11 | 14 of 56 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Farid Basharat | 31 of 52 | 59% | 25 of 46 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 46 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 37 of 102 | 36% | 21 of 78 | 12 of 17 | 4 of 7 | 32 of 93 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Farid Basharat | 29 of 64 | 45% | 25 of 58 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-280); Matsumoto (+230)
Round 1
It takes a lot to get ranked in the jam-packed bantamweight division, and the winner between Matsumoto (17-1, 3-1 UFC) and Basharat (14-0, 5-0 UFC) may still be another victory away from getting a number next to their name come Monday. They both still have time, clocking in at 26 and 28 years of age, respectively. Former professional fighter and current ref Herb Dean will have the age disadvantage in this affair, but he can still keep up just fine. The fighters touch gloves.
The commentary booth notes that when both Basharat brothers fight on the same card together, they always win. We will see if that trend continues. Matsumoto does not want that to happen, and he gets right in front of Basharat and slugs it out with him. When Basharat responds, Matsumoto fires off a jump knee that skims his intended target. Matsumoto slowly advances, and he takes a spinning back fist on the side of the dome. Matsumoto gathers himself and chucks a low kick, and he absorbs a step-in elbow that slashes open his cheek. Basharat continues pressuring his opponent to the wall, grabbing the fence to hold him there with both hands, and Dean finally sees it and tells him to stop. Matsumoto turns him about when Basharat is not illegally grabbing the cage wall, and they split apart. Matsumoto works his way forward, taking a jab and a low kick that forces a stance switch. He swarms Basharat with his fists, and Basharat slides to the side and bounces off the wall. They toss out left hooks, and Basharat connects with another elbow. He follows the strike with a bullying takedown attempt, pushing Matsumoto back but hitting the wire and springing around.
Basharat spins with a back elbow that partially connects, and he flashes out a jab that knocks Matsumoto’s head back each time. Matsumoto turns the tables and shoots in for a double, and he transitions to a single as Basharat hops around. Matsumoto elevates and dumps him, and Basharat gets right to his knees no worse for wear. Matsumoto grinds and works short punches on the inside until Basharat explodes back upright again in the clinch. Basharat drops down for a single, and an up-elbow from Matsumoto makes Basharat rethink his choice to hang in tight. Matsumoto walks Basharat down, swinging hard but largely whiffing, while Basharat cleanly counters him. Matsumoto whiffs on a spinning back kick and a takedown effort, and Basharat clips him with a right on the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Round 2
Matsumoto charges out of his corner but into the waiting arms of Basharat, who grabs him and turns him around in the clinch. The two jockey for position until Matsumoto splits off, and Basharat thanks him for this with a spin kick that grazes the side. Basharat clips Matsumoto with a short burst of punches, backing up the Brazilian but not taking full advantage of the damage. Matsumoto comes back after him, and Basharat intercepts him, drives a knee into his chest and chucks him carefree to the floor. Matsumoto scampers back up and is met with knees from Basharat, who further bloodies Matsumoto up with his strikes. Matsumoto knees him back, but the impact is substantially different. Basharat voluntarily drops to a knee so that he is a grounded fighter and will not be kneed in the face, so Matsumoto lifts him off the floor and slams him back down. Basharat stands, and Matsumoto takes his back while upright. Basharat grabs the fence again to nearly stop a takedown, but Dean’s admonishment forces him to release it.
Basharat gets pulled to the floor after clinging to the cage, and Matsumoto mat returns him and briefly takes control of his back. Basharat quickly, calmly reverses the position to wind up on top, where he slices through the guard but cannot keep Matsumoto down. Basharat dings him with a knee on the way out, and he throws out another as Matsumoto comes at him. Matsumoto lines up a one-two down the pipe, and he takes a punch while shooting. Basharat considers jumping guard for a guillotine, but he lets it go so he can return to a knee. Matsumoto works Basharat on the side of the head, taking his back again and even briefly hopping on it. He lets go and knees Basharat in the face and clubs him with a left, and is met with quick punches coming back at him. Matsumoto wildly flails to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Round 3
Matsumoto swarms his man as soon as the round kicks off, backing Basharat to the fence with big swings and catching him with some. Matsumoto’s sheer pressure result in a brief clinch, and Basharat separates and shoots for a double. Matsumoto stonewalls him and knees him in the stomach before giving him and elbow to think about, and his head kick is barely blocked in the nick of time. Matsumoto lands at the end of a left, and he knocks Basharat’s head around with a subsequent stream of punches. Basharat times a perfect takedown to sweep Matsumoto off his feet and deposit him gingerly to the floor. Matsumoto scoots his way to the fence and wall-walks to stand after a few seconds, and Basharat grabs the cage again as the rules mean nothing when all you have is Herb Dean yelling at you. Matsumoto ducks and dips when Basharat engages, as both men trade hands in flurries. Matsumoto goes for a double, and Basharat takes a knee to defend it.
The Brit stands once more, putting his back to the wall, and he spins out quickly to escape the tie-up. Basharat dings the increasingly bloody Matsumoto with a one-two, and he beats Matsumoto to the punch with faster strikes. Matsumoto is starting to swing with more labored, arcing strikes, but he manages to tag Basharat with one and stun him. Basharat settles down to use straight punches to keep Matsumoto at bay, and he shoots for a double and puts Matsumoto down. Matsumoto rolls through to partially reverse the position, and both men stand back up and start duking it out. Matsumoto keeps his foot on the gas, backing up Basharat with heavy punches as Basharat tries to parry and keep his head on a swivel. Matsumoto chains a takedown into his attack, dragging Basharat to the mat and considering a back take. Basharat stands up before that can happen, which leads Matsumoto to throwing caution to the wind. Basharat absorbs serious punishment and goes for a desperate takedown, dragging the Brazilian to the floor in the waning seconds of the fight. Basharat drops down an elbow and illegally knees Matsumoto in the head with Matsumoto’s knee down on the floor. Matsumoto stands back up and throws leather, ignoring the many fouls inflicted upon him this match, and the close tilt comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Basharat)
The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Jean Matsumoto via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Farid Basharat, noting he is the better of the Basharat brothers and a well-rounded wrestler with solid striking. He thinks Farid will work on the outside, touch and go, and get takedowns. He warns that Vegas doesn't care about wrestling, so if Farid doesn't do anything with takedowns, it may not matter. He acknowledges Jean Matsumoto's potential but thinks his lack of defense is a problem.
Big Brady picks Farid Basharat, calling him the better prospect. He notes that Matsumoto has poor takedown defense (53%) and has been taken down multiple times in past fights. Basharat is a good wrestler and grappler, and Brady expects him to take the fight to the ground and win a decision.
Cody also picks Basharat, emphasizing his wrestling advantage and Matsumoto's tendency to be taken down. He notes both fighters are decision-oriented, making the over a strong play. Cody expects Basharat to control the fight with takedowns and win a clear decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, praising Basharat's ability to solve problems and his technical wrestling. He notes that Matsumoto is a tough, indefatigable bully, but Basharat has the tools to handle him. He thinks Basharat's wrestling and fight IQ will be the difference, though Matsumoto's durability could make it a tough fight.
Lucrative James picks Farid Basharat to win by decision. He expects Basharat to employ a grappling-heavy game plan, using his elite cardio and takedown volume to control the fight. James notes that Matsumoto has been taken down multiple times in past fights and that Basharat's wrestling will be the key to victory.
The host picks Basharat, believing his overall game and grappling will be the difference. He notes Basharat's reach and height advantage, and his ability to mix in takedowns after striking. He expects Basharat to snipe Matsumoto from distance, then use control time and top damage to win on the scorecards. He acknowledges Matsumoto's striking could make it competitive but thinks Basharat's grappling edge is decisive.
Paul picks Farid Basharat, citing his high ring IQ and ability to stick to game plans. He notes Matsumoto's poor takedown defense and defensive striking. Paul expects Basharat to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, recommending a prop on Basharat by decision.
The host picks Farid Basharat over Jean Matsumoto. He notes Matsumoto's recent performances have been lackluster, while Basharat has size and physicality. He thinks Basharat's mix of striking and grappling will be too much, and he can bully Matsumoto against the cage and in scrambles.
Zane picks Basharat because of his impressive game planning and technical wrestling. He notes that Basharat has shown he can adapt to any opponent, using pressure boxing against Gutierrez, counter wrestling against Hugo, and wrestling against Lapelis. He thinks Basharat's technical wrestling will be too much for Matsumoto, who relies on scrambling and physicality.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johns | 0 | 83 of 184 | 45% | 89 of 191 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 95 of 233 | 40% | 109 of 249 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Johns | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 23 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Miles Johns | 0 | 34 of 67 | 50% | 35 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 39 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:27 | |
| 3 | Miles Johns | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 31 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 44 of 100 | 44% | 50 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johns | 83 of 184 | 45% | 70 of 170 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 78 of 175 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 95 of 233 | 40% | 49 of 160 | 27 of 38 | 19 of 35 | 87 of 224 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Johns | 22 of 42 | 52% | 17 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 16 of 49 | 32% | 8 of 29 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 11 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miles Johns | 34 of 67 | 50% | 31 of 63 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 63 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 35 of 84 | 41% | 15 of 55 | 14 of 19 | 6 of 10 | 33 of 82 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miles Johns | 27 of 75 | 36% | 22 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 44 of 100 | 44% | 26 of 76 | 8 of 10 | 10 of 14 | 39 of 94 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matsumoto (-310); Johns (+250)
Round 1
A pair of bantamweights trying to bounce back from tough decision losses will come to blows next, with one of the two falling to the first losing streak of their career barring something bizarre. Johns (15-3, 1 NC; 6-3, 1 NC UFC) has not been the poster boy for high activity since coming to the organization in 2019, as this will be his first trip to the cage this year. His foe Matsumoto (16-1, 2-1 UFC) came up short to Rob Font in a “separate the wheat from the chaff” pairing, although some scoring it gave it to the 25-year-old Brazilian. Referee Herb Dean takes charge of the cage, paying close attention as the fighters decide against touching gloves.
They stay a safe distance from one another, with Matsumoto watching out for Johns’ anticipated blitzes. Johns rushes out behind a few punches, but they are out of range. When Matsumoto commits to a low kick, Johns wings a right hand over the top. He follows it with a few more up the middle, and keeps Matsumoto on his back foot with his surges. Johns dips and wings an overhand right, and his guard is raised well in time to defend against the counter. “Chapo” beats the once-beaten athlete to the punch literally and figuratively, clubbing him with his fists before crashing the pocket to shoot for a double. Lifting Matsumoto up in the air, Johns gingerly deposits his man down much kinder than a previous bantamweight tonight. Matsumoto hangs on with his right arm draped around Johns’ neck for a guillotine choke, and Johns is suddenly trapped as his head turns red and veins bulge. Johns does not appear overly concerned, and he slides his neck out before long.
Matsumoto is able to fight back to his feet, and he immediately faces cracking right and left hands from the Marathon MMA fighter. Matsumoto evades and tries to counter, but Johns is faster and putting his punches together. Matsumoto lets loose a body kick that does land, and Johns strikes him back immediately. Matsumoto zings a left hand that grazes the top of his foe’s head, and Johns appears to have to gather himself before winging responses. Matsumoto leaps forward with a flying knee, and Johns grabs him midair and slings him to the mat like a back of groceries. Matsumoto jumps back up to his feet with the fence behind him, and he frames off with an elbow. They both let their hands go, hooking their arms at the crook of the elbow. Matsumoto turns the tables on the American by shooting for a single, and Johns pushes—and not grabs—the fence to rebound. Matsumoto lets him have it with one last elbow before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johns
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Johns
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johns
Round 2
Matsumoto is the immediate aggressor to start the round, letting fly a head kick before Johns can shift into gear. Matsumoto chops the front leg of Johns and uses it to set punches up upstairs. Johns throws back, while avoiding the looping counters of his foe. Matsumoto works the body with both legs, trying to stay away from the counters that Johns commits to regularly. Nearly each time Matsumoto goes to a kick, Johns is ready with a right or left hook. This has decent effect, but he falls in love with his big power that he overswings with. Matsumoto strings together short but effective combinations, usually ending with a body shot.
Johns clubs his man behind the ear, sending Matsumoto staggering back, but Matsumoto is able to gain a full head of steam as he jumps at Johns with a flying knee. Once more, Johns times the jump to tackle Matsumoto to the floor. Matsumoto defends with a guillotine choke, using it to sit up and push Johns to the fence. Johns stands, and Matsumoto tags him with a few strikes before the reset. Matsumoto snaps out a left hand that gets Johns’ attention, and Johns bites down on his gumshield and hurls three hooks back at him. Johns tags his opponent with right hands, and a left hook scores just before Matsumoto goes for a body kick. Johns hurls his looping punches, snapping the head back when he lands, while Matsumoto is more than willing to stand in the pocket. A jump knee from Matsumoto drills Johns in the chest, and Johns grips hold of him and turns him to the wall. Matsumoto breaks free and tosses out a kick, and Johns responds with looping punches. Johns fakes a takedown shot that makes Matsumoto hit the deck, and he evades the follow-up strikes when the younger fighter gets up and chases after him.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 3
The fight could be up for grabs in this last round, and Matsumoto knows this well by going back to attacking Johns’ lead leg. A low kick from Matsumoto trips Johns up, and Johns explodes back to his feet and drills Matsumoto in the face with a right hand. Johns connects with a calf kick that forces a stance switch, and Matsumoto backs off and rolls with a huge overhand right. Matsumoto’s jab pierces through the guard, and Johns’ hands are up to defend the worst of the additional blows. Johns leans on his own jab to rifle off a few one-twos, using straight strikes instead of the booming hooks from downtown. Meanwhile, Matsumoto does not waver from his approach of breaking down his opponent with body work to set up head shots. Johns sees this approach coming and tags him with two hooks, and he catches a body kick and sets it down before something can come of it. Johns puts fists on Matsumoto, and Matsumoto drives him back with a crisp uppercut.
Matsumoto intercepts his foe with a slapping low kick, and “Chapo” is struggling to put all of his weight on it. Matsumoto dances back and slips in a few more low kicks and a body kick, and now Johns briefly changes stances after absorbing the damage. Matsumoto circles all the way around, a 360-degree revolution, to settle again and kick at Johns’ legs. Johns fires off huge punches that knock Matsumoto back, including a power right hand as Matsumoto kicks at him. Johns swings for the bleachers, and Matsumoto is tough as nails but is forced to deal with a takedown shot after taking blows to the head. Matsumoto briefly clings to a guillotine, and Johns steps over to the side to get out of it. Matsumoto works his way back up with Johns behind him, and Johns trips him back out. This cycle nearly continues when Johns jams knees to the back of the younger fighter’s thigh, and all Matsumoto can offer is a handful of no-look back elbows. Matsumoto puts his back to the fence as he stands, his cheek leaking from absorbed strikes, and he pushes off with 15 seconds to spare. Johns opens up with two punches that miss, and Matsumoto pursues his own double as time expires. It could go either way here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johns (29-28 Johns)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
The Official Result
Jean Matsumoto def. Miles Johns via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Miles Johns as a dog, noting he is a strong wrestler with heavy hands and explosive speed. He thinks Matsumoto gets hit a lot and cuts easily, and in Las Vegas damage matters. Angelo likes the plus money on Johns and may bet the spread (+3.5) instead of the moneyline.
Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto, criticizing Miles Johns for not using his wrestling and having low volume. He believes Matsumoto's higher volume and ability to mix in takedowns will be key. Brady expects Matsumoto to win by decision, though he notes the fight is not exciting.
Connor picks Matsumoto, describing him as a brute who sits down on his punches and forces opponents to prove they can handle his power. He notes that Johns struggles when opponents stay in his face and keep up the pace, as seen against Felipe Lima. Connor believes Matsumoto's pressure, boxing, and ability to cut off the cage will overwhelm Johns, though he acknowledges Johns hits hard and could land a big shot.
The host is a big fan of Matsumoto and thinks he can replicate what Philippe Lima did to Miles Johns. He expects Matsumoto to use a Muay Thai heavy approach, mix in takedowns, and chip away at Johns' lead leg, eventually winning on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Jean Matsumoto, noting he arguably beat Rob Font and has multiple paths to victory. He criticizes Miles Johns as flat-footed and coiled up, which will allow Matsumoto to mix in grappling and striking. He predicts a decision win for Matsumoto, possibly 30-27.
Zane picks Matsumoto, highlighting his fast hands, good mobility, and technical boxing. He notes that Johns is a wrestle-boxer who needs to get takedowns to succeed, but Matsumoto's pressure and power will make that difficult. Zane compares Matsumoto to a bantamweight Danny Yay or Josh Emmett, a reliable gatekeeper who is always dangerous.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Font | 0 | 95 of 171 | 55% | 113 of 191 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 77 of 181 | 42% | 113 of 225 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 6:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Font | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 27 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 32 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Rob Font | 0 | 34 of 56 | 60% | 36 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 29 of 61 | 47% | 35 of 69 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 | |
| 3 | Rob Font | 0 | 40 of 81 | 49% | 50 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 46 of 107 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Font | 95 of 171 | 55% | 82 of 157 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 85 of 157 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 77 of 181 | 42% | 43 of 135 | 9 of 13 | 25 of 33 | 69 of 169 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Font | 21 of 34 | 61% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 7 of 19 | 36% | 1 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rob Font | 34 of 56 | 60% | 28 of 50 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 29 of 61 | 47% | 16 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 14 | 29 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rob Font | 40 of 81 | 49% | 34 of 74 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 69 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Matsumoto | 41 of 101 | 40% | 26 of 80 | 3 of 6 | 12 of 15 | 37 of 93 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
His back no longer totally against the wall, Font (21-8, 11-7 UFC) ended a losing streak last year by outworking Kyler Phillips. It is up to the Boston native to play spoiler once more, as he battles undefeated youngster Matsumoto (16-0, 2-0 UFC) at 140 pounds. With Font initially expecting to fight Dominick Cruz, Matsumoto stepping in late forced the weight shift. The assignment goes to referee Keith Peterson, who steps back to let the fighters get to nonsense-free business. They touch gloves, and Font walks straight forward hurling serious leather with a questionable tactic. Matsumoto is caught off-guard, and he fights for a takedown to slow things down and get his bearings. Font turns him against the fencing, and he staves off a single a few times as his seat hits the canvas for less than a second. Font gets up and breaks free, and he promptly puts a one-two on the chin. Matsumoto stumbles and rebounds off the fencing, and he narrowly escapes a huge uppercut soaring his way. Font fearlessly marches his foe down, whose one-twos are clean as can be. Font’s aggression gets the better of him, as the Brazilian tags him with a right hand to surprise him. Matsumoto rushes forward in pursuit of a takedown, and Font allows this so he can fall to his back and implement an offensive guard. Font goes for a triangle choke and transitions to an omoplata shoulder lock, and when both of those do not materialize, he hunts for a kimura to sweep. Matsumoto breaks out of it and shifts from one side to the other, not settling down or establishing himself in a guard. Matsumoto keeps moving, and he moves to half guard so he can keep Font pinned to the mat without any chance of throwing up a submission. Font still explodes to his feet, and Matsumoto sees this coming and wraps up a guillotine choke. Font, on his side, keeps his neck safe from danger, and he pops his head out. Matsumoto moves to a partial side control for a moment to land strikes, only for Font to get back to his feet. Matsumoto slams him back down with emphasis, dropping down a pair of punches to punctuate the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 2
Font charges out of his corner, and Matsumoto learned his lesson about accepting the touch of gloves this time. Matsumoto slows him down with his own jab, but Font is still right in his face. Matsumoto slaps a kick off the side and one to the lead leg, and Font flashes his own jab. Matsumoto turns his hips into a hard low kick, and Font snaps his head back a few times with speedy fists. Matsumoto fires right back to open up a takedown, and he finds himself in a guillotine choke. The Brazilian easily climbs out of it, and Font works his way to one knee and then upright. Matsumoto awkwardly hangs on the back ankle, using the leverage to wrench the veteran back to the mat. Font thinks about grabbing the fence to stand, and ultimately works his way up to break free. Font walks his man down and completely no-sells a few low kicks so he can fire off a massive uppercut that buzzes past the youngster. Font goes to the body and head in a combination, while Matsumoto is active with his feet. Font digs a few more to the body, and he defends a head kick. Matsumoto mixes up his kicks high and low, not giving Font a pattern to follow. Font ignores these all so he can punch the youngster square in the face, with sharp one-twos that are fast and effective while keeping him out of counter danger. Matsumoto runs at him and trips him up by the ankle to set him down, and Font egregiously grabs the cage to keep himself upright. Peterson slaps his hand out of the fencing, and Matsumoto again wraps up Font’s back ankle to get a mat return. Instead of tripping Font up like that, he elects to lift Font up the air and drive him down into the mat. Font wraps up a kimura to sweep, and it allows him to get back to his feet. Font is right back to walking his man down, with Matsumoto on his bike trying to not get hit with the worst thrown at him. Font attacks the body and gets stung up top, but he is willing to fire and take damage. Matsumoto boots his man upside the head, and he absorbs a stern right hand at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Font
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 3
Scores could be all over the map in this one, and the final frame starts as aggressively as the first two. Font is a man on a mission, leading into combinations and not seeming to flinch any time the Brazilian slugs him back. Matsumoto keeps him honest with counters, and his leg kicks are beginning to add up. Font clubs his man in the side of the head and just misses with a head kick, and he keeps chasing forward. Matsumoto rips a mean left to the liver, and it is as if nothing happened as Font is in his grill slinging furious leather. The strikes from Font rip open a cut on his foe’s forehead, and he targets it with a knee when Matsumoto clinches him up. Matsumoto slips with a low kick and throws back a right hand up top, only to be met with a jab and a right. The blood quickly flows down the youngster’s face, transforming his visage into something out of a horror movie. Matsumoto tries to take the fight down with Font on him so doggedly, and Font stonewalls him and blasts him with an uppercut. Matsumoto chews up Font’s lead leg with kicks, and he doubles or triples up on them to open up takedowns. Font breaks out of a clinch to wrap his right hand around the guard of his foe, and he protects himself with a head kick and knees his man in the stomach. Font attacks with an elbow, a knee and several clinch strikes to put the 25-year-old through the wood chipper. Matsumoto fires back as well, but Font’s is putting volume and heavy pressure on him. Matsumoto sells out for a takedown, and Font pushes it aside and gets some space. They stand in the pocket throwing hands, and Font swings hard. Matsumoto goes wild with a flurry of punches, kicks, spinning strikes and anything else he can muster. One flying knee from Matsumoto is met with a huge right hand, and the two go ballistic with an onslaught of offense with shades of Max Holloway vs. Ricardo Lamas minus the pointing to the floor. Both men hit, get hit, hurt the other and get hurt as the torrid exchange only ends when the final horn blares. Judges will have their hands full with this one, but what a fight these two turned in.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Font)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Font)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Matsumoto)
The Official Result
Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto, citing his youth, aggression, power, and multiple ways to win. He notes Rob Font is 37 and aging, and while Font's boxing is clean, he can't defend takedowns. He draws a parallel to Calvin Kattar being out-struck by a younger fighter. He is surprised the line moved toward Font.
Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto, noting that Rob Font's takedown defense and ground game have looked awful recently, citing the Cory Sandhagen and Kyler Phillips fights. He believes Matsumoto, though not the best wrestler, is a good grappler who can take Font down and keep him there. He expects Matsumoto to win by decision, as Font has good submission defense but is content to stay on his back and lose minutes.
Connor picks Font, agreeing that Matsumoto is uncreative and predictable, while Font is a skilled boxer with good durability. He notes that Matsumoto fights in bursts and leaves gaps, which Font can exploit. Connor also points out that Font has a reach advantage and is a good puncher himself, as seen in the Yadong fight.
The host notes Matsumoto is a short-notice replacement but expects his damaging style and effective striking in the pocket to be too much for Font. He thinks Matsumoto's damage-based approach will win on the scorecards as long as Font doesn't get too far ahead in volume.
The Guru strongly picks Font as an underdog, calling it a no-brainer. He criticizes Matsumoto's undefeated record, noting close fights with Brad Katona and Dan Arreta where he was outgrappled. He highlights Font's experience against top competition, durability (never finished by strikes), and striking menace. He believes Matsumoto lacks KO power and won't submit or outgrapple Font.
Zane picks Font because Matsumoto is a limited fighter who fights in bursts and is predictable, while Font has a clear winning formula of jabbing and boxing. He notes that Font is durable, mentally tough, and has a reach advantage. Zane believes Matsumoto would need to hurt Font badly every round to win, which is unlikely given Font's durability.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 89 of 141 | 63% | 117 of 171 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 89 of 201 | 44% | 109 of 223 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 39 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 37 of 61 | 60% | 46 of 70 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 45 of 100 | 45% | 50 of 105 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 32 of 48 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 24 of 48 | 50% | 35 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 89 of 141 | 63% | 68 of 118 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 73 of 124 | 15 of 15 | 1 of 2 |
| Brad Katona | 89 of 201 | 44% | 62 of 164 | 6 of 10 | 21 of 27 | 85 of 196 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 30 of 44 | 68% | 21 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 20 of 53 | 37% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 19 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 37 of 61 | 60% | 28 of 52 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 45 of 100 | 45% | 33 of 87 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 | 43 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 20 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 24 of 48 | 50% | 15 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 23 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matsumoto (-265), Katona (+215)
Round 1
Moving things along on the prelims, Katona (14-3, 4-3 UFC) has a new lease on life in his second stint with the organization. It will be up to him to try to defuse surging Brazilian Matsumoto (15-0, 1-0 UFC), who comes in with a full head of steam having throttled Dan Argueta a few months ago in his successful promotional debut. What could be a high-paced affair will be officiated by referee Mark Smith, who checks the bantamweights in as they opt not to share a glove touch. Katona wants to start out guns blazing, and he strings off several quick three-strike combinations to get going. Katona lunges in, lands two punches and a kick before darting away, and he gets out of the way of any notable counters. Matsumoto looks for a short left hook, but Katona slides to the side and dings him with an overhand right. Katona connects with two heavy punches and gets cracked with a right hand, and Matsumoto finds another right hand and staggers veteran of “The Ultimate Fighter.” Matsumoto’s right hand continues to connect when Katona throws low kicks, and he chases after the Canadian and clips him with a left hand. Katona ties him up and knees him once, and Matsumoto gets shoved to the wall. Katona grabs the fence to remain in place, receiving a warning, and he tries to change levels but is stonewalled. Katona strikes on the break, and Matsumoto walks him down fearlessly. Matsumoto flashes out two punches and a thumping leg kick, and he walks directly into a vicious standing elbow. Katona nails him with an overhand right, further doing some damage, and Matsumoto bites down on his mouthpiece and starts trading. They sit down on massive hooks, and Katona checks a kick that follows. Matsumoto slows things down on his own decision to clinch Katona, leaning all the way down to snatch the Canadian’s ankle. Katona defends with elbows to the side of the noggin, and he gets dragged to his knees. Matsumoto eats a few more elbows before standing, and he bangs the back of his head on Katona’s chin. Katona frowns, and the two fighters break apart with Matsumoto giving chase. Matsumoto strikes with a kick first and then a few punches, and he considers a takedown but is easily stuffed. Matsumoto tries to scoop Katona up, and the SBG Ireland fighter is well-schooled and stops the effort in its tracks. Katona stands Matsumoto up with a hacking elbow, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 2
The fighters pick up where they left off, blasting one another with power strikes. Neither man is willing to take a backward step while they sling it out, and Matsumoto appears to land the cleaner of the two even as he has a slight cut on the right eyebrow developing. Matsumoto takes one punch to throw two back, and Katona gets his bell rung even when he fires heavy punches. Katona’s chin holds up well from the power strikes of the Brazilian, and he gets backed to the fence where he knees up the middle before getting pushed to the wire. Blood leaks from the cut on Matsumoto’s eye, and Katona targets it with two more elbows before breaking off. They meet in the middle of the cage and throw bombs, with the kind of sheer power and intensity not often seen at 135 pounds. Katona checks a few kicks when they trade leather, and Matsumoto lands as often as he gets hit. They throw caution to the wind slinging wild shots, and Matsumoto blocks a high kick to knock Katona back. Katona recovers and punches his way into a takedown effort, and the Brazilian turns him about and shoves him to the fence. As they continue battering one another, Katona’s eyebrow gets ripped open from oncoming fire. Matsumoto further bloodies his opponent up as both men are showing damage above their right eye, and it has not slowed the momentum or ferocity one iota. Matsumoto dives after an opportunistic takedown, and Katona manages to stuff it and strike back with a few knees. Katona groans as one might have landed on the groin, and Matsumoto jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The wild round ends before Katona can do anything with it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 3
It takes a matter of seconds for the bantamweights to stand and bang. Matsumoto absorbs a few kicks to split the guard with a right hand that sends Katona staggering back. Katona gathers a full head of steam, absorbs a few punches and kicks the side. Matsumoto sits down on a pounding body kick, and he walks Katona down and is met with a diving double. Matsumoto backs himself up against the wall to stay upright, and Katona transitions to a single that also comes up short. Matsumoto grabs the fence to stay on his feet, and his hand is slapped away but he otherwise gets away with it. Katona is wise to a guillotine choke setup and shifts to a body lock before the unbeaten fighter pushes him away. Katona races at him for a double, and Matsumoto advertises the price of admission by blasting a bloody Katona in the face with a number of punches. Katona slips away from a high kick and throws one to the body, and Matsumoto belts the legs with kicks and follows those kicks with straight, piston-like punches. Katona snaps the head back successfully during an exchange, but he eats shots right back as Matsumoto does not back down. Katona shoots, and Matsumoto bounces him off and lands cleanly until Katona pursues another level change. Matsumoto wrestles Katona to a knee as they trade short but clean strikes on the inside, and Matsumoto lifts up a knee and sells out for a single. Katona hits his seat for no more than a second before exploding up, and he succeeds in turning the corner to drag Matsumoto down. Matsumoto eats a few strikes before bursting up to his feet to attempt a final takedown, and the final bell rings to wrap up what is an easy “Fight of the Night” candidate. The scores could range anywhere from 3-0 Matsumoto to 2-1 Katona, so the judges will have their hands full.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (30-27 Matsumoto)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Matsumoto)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Matsumoto)
The Official Result
Jean Matsumoto def. Brad Katona via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto but is hesitant, acknowledging that Brad Katona is a tough, durable fighter who could spoil the plans. He notes Matsumoto's well-rounded skills, BJJ black belt, and Muay Thai, but also points out that he was taken down nine times by Dan Argueta and nearly lost. He thinks Matsumoto's volume and willingness to let his hands go will be key, but he is not confident enough to bet the moneyline. He is considering a plus 3.5 round prop on Katona or the over 1.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto by decision. He acknowledges Katona's high fight IQ and ability to win minutes, but believes Matsumoto will be the more active striker and do more damage. He compares it to Katona's loss to Garrett Armfield, where Katona was out-struck. He expects a competitive fight but Matsumoto's damage will win the decision.
Connor also picks Matsumoto, citing Katona's tendency to have a bad start and not dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a strong athlete who will come forward, but acknowledges that Katona is tough and often comes on strong late. Connor sees it as a mirror match and a split decision possibility, but leans Matsumoto due to his physical advantages.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript.
Katona is a high-IQ fighter, but Matsumoto has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight upright and utilize his striking advantage to touch up Katona en route to a decision victory. The line is a bit wide, so there could be some Katona value on his underdog line, but Matsumoto is more dangerous in the striking realm.
The Guru is impressed by Matsumoto's debut win over Dan Argueta, noting he looked amazing and showed talent. He criticizes Brad Katona's wins as being over low-level opponents and points out Katona's short reach. He believes Matsumoto, an undefeated 25-year-old prospect with a full training camp, will get the win.
Zane picks Matsumoto mainly because he expects Katona to have a slow start, as Katona often lets physically imposing fighters dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a powerful athlete who will blitz with power, but acknowledges that Katona has a good jab and could jab Matsumoto up. Zane sees it as a real 50-50 toss-up and doesn't feel great about the pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 39 of 69 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
| Dan Argueta | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 29 of 47 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 26 of 41 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Dan Argueta | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 13 of 28 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Dan Argueta | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 21 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 14 of 39 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 5 |
| Dan Argueta | 19 of 35 | 54% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 13 of 26 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
| Dan Argueta | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 8 of 23 | 34% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Dan Argueta | 13 of 23 | 56% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matsumoto (-185), Argueta (+154)
Round 1
Bantamweights take the stage next as Argueta (9-1, 2 NC; 1-1, 2 NC UFC) tries to get back in the win column after two unusual events resulting in no contests. Against him will be the debuting undefeated Matsumoto (14-0, 0-0 UFC), who will likely welcome any grappling that Argueta brings to the table. Joining them in the Octagon will be referee Jason Herzog, who clocks them in as they decide against touching gloves. Argueta circles around on the outside while Matsumoto holds the center of the cage, and he swings his way in with a clubbing left hand so he can shoot in on the hips. Argueta manages to drag the unbeaten fighter down, and Matsumoto leans up against the wall and starts getting hammered with elbows and punches. Matsumoto looks to work his way up, and Argueta drags him down and continues smacking him around with his free right hand. Matsumoto gets back to his feet, and Argueta quickly trips him out down to a knee. When Matsumoto stands once more, Argueta hits a trip and lands right in full mount. Argueta opens up with elbows and punches, and Matsumoto uses every bit of his energy to explode and reverse the position to stand back up and grab Argueta from behind. Matsumoto looks to wrest Argueta down, and he even lifts the American up, but Argueta does not go down. On a third effort, Matsumoto succeeds in putting Argueta on his back, but only for a moment before Argueta gets back up and turns the tables to toss Matsumoto down. Matsumoto regathers himself and pursues a deep single, and Argueta defends with a kimura in an attempt to sweep. Matsumoto still lands on top, but Argueta turns him over and they get back to their feet. Argueta chases his man down, walking him from one side of the cage to the other before shooting in on a double. Matsumoto sprawls and puts the wall behind him, but Argueta still manages to cinch up Matsumoto’s leg to ground him. Matsumoto fights his way back up and takes a flush knee. Matsumoto gathers himself and lands a leg kick that flusters Argueta, and he rushes after Argueta and kicks him in the face to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Argueta
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Argueta
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Argueta
Round 2
Argueta rushes out of his corner to start off the second round, where he charges for a double and evades a knee by a whisker. Argueta succeeds in stripping Matsumoto’s base and putting him on the mat, but briefly. When Matsumoto climbs up, Argueta lands a mat return. Matsumoto bounces off the floor as if he had springs in his trunks, and Argueta stays tightly pressed against him as he continues to pursue his grappling. Matsumoto gets his hand slapped for grabbing the fence, and Argueta works his way around to take the back. Matsumoto turns around and splits his hips to preemptively prevent a takedown, only for Argueta to still take him down. Argueta’s landed takedown quantity may be high, but his ground control time is limited. Matsumoto counters an advancing Argueta with a right hand, disrupting the takedown as Argueta did not like taking that strike flush. Matsumoto slips and scores a low kick, and he cracks “The Determined” with a right hand that stands him up. Argueta gathers his thoughts and runs face-first into the hips to secure a takedown. Lacing Matsumoto’s legs beneath his own, Argueta keeps Matsumoto down until Matsumoto turns things around and somehow stands and lowers himself to get a single. Argueta stands up and Matsumoto slides out the back door, and he goes after a double but is stood up by the undefeated fighter. Argueta hits his knees for a different approach, and he lets go and stands up to throw hands. Landing a few and getting caught with a right hand, Argueta then decides to stop trading and go after another takedown. Matsumoto stops it in its tracks and pushes him back, and he checks a leg kick and dings Argueta with a right hand when Argueta lands after a missed flying knee.
Argueta dives after a single, and Matsumoto jumps guard with a guillotine choke with seconds to go. Argueta punches the hip as Matsumoto rolls to lock up the guillotine in mount. Argueta taps out and goes out, and he wakes up on top surprised as Herzog tends to him.
This is the first time that Argueta has been finished as a pro, and Matsumoto does it in a big way as he might have been down two rounds had they reached the third. In his successful promotional debut, Matsumoto’s record now reaches 15-0 with one more guillotine added on his ledger.
The Official Result
Jean Matsumoto def. Dan Argueta R2 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Dan Argueta despite the line movement making him a big underdog. He believes Argueta's pressure and wrestling will be too much for Jean Matsumoto, who is a Contender Series prospect. He notes that Matsumoto beat a wrestler on Contender Series but thinks Argueta is a different animal. He mentions that Argueta's pressure is bigger and better than anything Matsumoto has seen, and that Matsumoto will have to defend every takedown. Angelo is watching the line movement and may bet Argueta if the odds get better.
Big Brady picks Dan Argueta as a live dog, noting that Matsumoto has a tendency to play off his back too much and can be taken down. While Matsumoto is the better striker, Argueta has the wrestling to get the fight to the mat and potentially win two out of three rounds. Brady sees a grinding decision win for Argueta.
Cody also picks Matsumoto, noting Argueta's inconsistency and tendency to gas. He thinks Argueta will get takedowns early, but Matsumoto's submission threat off his back and striking advantage will allow him to take over late. Cody is wary of Argueta's power wrestling but believes Matsumoto's youth and skill will prevail.
Daniel Vreeland leans slightly toward Jean Matsumoto, citing his upside and striking combinations. He acknowledges Dan Argueta's wrestling and physicality will likely win the first round, but questions Argueta's cardio if he expends too much energy early. Vreeland believes if Matsumoto can survive the early grappling, he can pick Argueta apart on the feet in later rounds and edge out a decision.
Matsumoto is a bright prospect with great all-around skills, especially striking. He has solid defensive grappling and should be able to stuff takedowns or get back to his feet. His combination striking and leg kicks will damage Argueta, who relies on wrestling but lacks striking. Matsumoto wins by decision.
Paul picks Matsumoto but is hesitant. He likes Matsumoto's striking and BJJ, but notes Argueta is a strong wrestler early. Paul thinks if Argueta doesn't get the takedown early or gasses, Matsumoto will take over. He sees Matsumoto as a future contender but acknowledges Argueta's early danger.
The host calls Argueta awful, citing losses to Miles Johns and a no-contest with Ronnie Lawrence. He praises Matsumoto as an undefeated prospect with wicked striking, low kicks, strong hips, and good takedown defense. He notes Matsumoto's small size (5'5") may help stuff takedowns. He predicts a decision win where Matsumoto does more damage than Argueta's control time, but also mentions Matsumoto has good submissions from stuffing takedowns.
Brad Katona - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bekzat Almakhan | 1 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bekzat Almakhan | 1 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bekzat Almakhan | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bekzat Almakhan | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almakhan (-180), Katona (+150)
Round 1
The UFC is back in Montreal, the city of the world-famous Expos, for the first time in over a decade. Two champions will attempt to defend their thrones for the first times—with the first of those two on her second stint as a titleholder. Before then, an even 10 matches from flyweight to light heavyweight will play out with plenty of Canadians in tow to give the home crowd someone to support in most of those bouts. The first of those fights pits Canada’s Katona (14-4, 4-4 UFC) against the hard-swinging Almakhan (11-2, 0-1 UFC) at 135 pounds. With referee Jason Herzog taking charge of the contest, the two men consider touching gloves but bail so they can get after it. It’s time for some action. Almakhan takes the center of the cage, allowing Katona to circle around him. Almakhan leads the dance with a body shot, and then strings together a few punches up top before Katona could get away. When Katona settles down, Almakhan surges towards him and connects with a trio of punches. Katona ducks face-first into an uppercut, wears it well and counters to give the Kazakhstani a taste of his own medicine. Almakhan appears to have his foe’s timing early, as he bounces in and out while watching Katona’s movement carefully.
The moment Katona is about to attack, Almakhan offers a destructive uppercut that sends Katona crashing to his back. Almakhan leaps on top, hammering “Superman” with hammerfists that prove to be Katona’s kryptonite
. Herzog does not need to see more than a few before stepping in as Katona’s lights flicker on and off, and Almakhan has notched his first UFC victory in a huge way. “The Turan Warrior” violently becomes the first fighter to ever finish the durable Canadian, getting him out of there in a little over a minute. Despite a home country fighter getting wrecked in the opening bout, fans have to give it up to the impressive display from the Zhekpe Zhek practitioner.
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The Official Result
Bekzat Almakhan def. Brad Katona R1 1:04 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Brad Katona, criticizing the hype around Bekzat Almakhan who lost his UFC debut despite landing one good punch. He trusts Katona's grit and forward pressure. He mentions a safer bet on Katona plus 3.5 (buying points) rather than the moneyline, noting Katona is at home and may get favorable judging.
Big Brady sees this as a very close fight, with both fighters well-rounded. He notes that Bekzat Almakhan's hype is based on one moment against Umar Nurmagomedov, but he lost most of that fight. He favors Brad Katona's volume and wrestling, and thinks the fight goes to decision. He picks the Canadian Katona in what he expects to be a close fight, relying on the judges.
Connor picks Katona, citing his proven process at the UFC level and relentless pace. He notes that Katona is a tough, durable fighter who builds momentum as fights go on, and that Almakhan may not be used to the pace and pressure Katona brings. Connor acknowledges that Katona often loses the first round but believes his conditioning and aggression will overwhelm Almakhan in later rounds.
The host believes Brad Katona has been underachieving and will showcase his pace, fight IQ, and defensive grappling to keep the fight in the striking realm. He expects Katona to dictate the pace with his striking advantage and mix in some grappling to secure a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Almakhan, citing his physicality, power, and performance against Umar Nurmagomedov. He thinks Katona is untalented and lacks finishing ability, while Almakhan will stuff takedowns and land a TKO. He notes Almakhan's fast, dangerous striking and Katona's well-rounded but unimpressive style.
Zane picks Almakhan, arguing that Katona's game is predictable and that Almakhan has the confidence and timing to exploit it. He notes that Almakhan dropped Umar Nurmagomedov early in their fight and has a unique, comfortable style developed on the regional scene. Zane expects Katona to lose the first round and that Almakhan can front-run to a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 89 of 141 | 63% | 117 of 171 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 89 of 201 | 44% | 109 of 223 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 39 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 37 of 61 | 60% | 46 of 70 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 45 of 100 | 45% | 50 of 105 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 32 of 48 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 24 of 48 | 50% | 35 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Matsumoto | 89 of 141 | 63% | 68 of 118 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 73 of 124 | 15 of 15 | 1 of 2 |
| Brad Katona | 89 of 201 | 44% | 62 of 164 | 6 of 10 | 21 of 27 | 85 of 196 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Matsumoto | 30 of 44 | 68% | 21 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 20 of 53 | 37% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 19 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jean Matsumoto | 37 of 61 | 60% | 28 of 52 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 45 of 100 | 45% | 33 of 87 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 | 43 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jean Matsumoto | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 20 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 24 of 48 | 50% | 15 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 23 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matsumoto (-265), Katona (+215)
Round 1
Moving things along on the prelims, Katona (14-3, 4-3 UFC) has a new lease on life in his second stint with the organization. It will be up to him to try to defuse surging Brazilian Matsumoto (15-0, 1-0 UFC), who comes in with a full head of steam having throttled Dan Argueta a few months ago in his successful promotional debut. What could be a high-paced affair will be officiated by referee Mark Smith, who checks the bantamweights in as they opt not to share a glove touch. Katona wants to start out guns blazing, and he strings off several quick three-strike combinations to get going. Katona lunges in, lands two punches and a kick before darting away, and he gets out of the way of any notable counters. Matsumoto looks for a short left hook, but Katona slides to the side and dings him with an overhand right. Katona connects with two heavy punches and gets cracked with a right hand, and Matsumoto finds another right hand and staggers veteran of “The Ultimate Fighter.” Matsumoto’s right hand continues to connect when Katona throws low kicks, and he chases after the Canadian and clips him with a left hand. Katona ties him up and knees him once, and Matsumoto gets shoved to the wall. Katona grabs the fence to remain in place, receiving a warning, and he tries to change levels but is stonewalled. Katona strikes on the break, and Matsumoto walks him down fearlessly. Matsumoto flashes out two punches and a thumping leg kick, and he walks directly into a vicious standing elbow. Katona nails him with an overhand right, further doing some damage, and Matsumoto bites down on his mouthpiece and starts trading. They sit down on massive hooks, and Katona checks a kick that follows. Matsumoto slows things down on his own decision to clinch Katona, leaning all the way down to snatch the Canadian’s ankle. Katona defends with elbows to the side of the noggin, and he gets dragged to his knees. Matsumoto eats a few more elbows before standing, and he bangs the back of his head on Katona’s chin. Katona frowns, and the two fighters break apart with Matsumoto giving chase. Matsumoto strikes with a kick first and then a few punches, and he considers a takedown but is easily stuffed. Matsumoto tries to scoop Katona up, and the SBG Ireland fighter is well-schooled and stops the effort in its tracks. Katona stands Matsumoto up with a hacking elbow, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 2
The fighters pick up where they left off, blasting one another with power strikes. Neither man is willing to take a backward step while they sling it out, and Matsumoto appears to land the cleaner of the two even as he has a slight cut on the right eyebrow developing. Matsumoto takes one punch to throw two back, and Katona gets his bell rung even when he fires heavy punches. Katona’s chin holds up well from the power strikes of the Brazilian, and he gets backed to the fence where he knees up the middle before getting pushed to the wire. Blood leaks from the cut on Matsumoto’s eye, and Katona targets it with two more elbows before breaking off. They meet in the middle of the cage and throw bombs, with the kind of sheer power and intensity not often seen at 135 pounds. Katona checks a few kicks when they trade leather, and Matsumoto lands as often as he gets hit. They throw caution to the wind slinging wild shots, and Matsumoto blocks a high kick to knock Katona back. Katona recovers and punches his way into a takedown effort, and the Brazilian turns him about and shoves him to the fence. As they continue battering one another, Katona’s eyebrow gets ripped open from oncoming fire. Matsumoto further bloodies his opponent up as both men are showing damage above their right eye, and it has not slowed the momentum or ferocity one iota. Matsumoto dives after an opportunistic takedown, and Katona manages to stuff it and strike back with a few knees. Katona groans as one might have landed on the groin, and Matsumoto jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The wild round ends before Katona can do anything with it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Round 3
It takes a matter of seconds for the bantamweights to stand and bang. Matsumoto absorbs a few kicks to split the guard with a right hand that sends Katona staggering back. Katona gathers a full head of steam, absorbs a few punches and kicks the side. Matsumoto sits down on a pounding body kick, and he walks Katona down and is met with a diving double. Matsumoto backs himself up against the wall to stay upright, and Katona transitions to a single that also comes up short. Matsumoto grabs the fence to stay on his feet, and his hand is slapped away but he otherwise gets away with it. Katona is wise to a guillotine choke setup and shifts to a body lock before the unbeaten fighter pushes him away. Katona races at him for a double, and Matsumoto advertises the price of admission by blasting a bloody Katona in the face with a number of punches. Katona slips away from a high kick and throws one to the body, and Matsumoto belts the legs with kicks and follows those kicks with straight, piston-like punches. Katona snaps the head back successfully during an exchange, but he eats shots right back as Matsumoto does not back down. Katona shoots, and Matsumoto bounces him off and lands cleanly until Katona pursues another level change. Matsumoto wrestles Katona to a knee as they trade short but clean strikes on the inside, and Matsumoto lifts up a knee and sells out for a single. Katona hits his seat for no more than a second before exploding up, and he succeeds in turning the corner to drag Matsumoto down. Matsumoto eats a few strikes before bursting up to his feet to attempt a final takedown, and the final bell rings to wrap up what is an easy “Fight of the Night” candidate. The scores could range anywhere from 3-0 Matsumoto to 2-1 Katona, so the judges will have their hands full.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (30-27 Matsumoto)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Matsumoto)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Matsumoto)
The Official Result
Jean Matsumoto def. Brad Katona via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto but is hesitant, acknowledging that Brad Katona is a tough, durable fighter who could spoil the plans. He notes Matsumoto's well-rounded skills, BJJ black belt, and Muay Thai, but also points out that he was taken down nine times by Dan Argueta and nearly lost. He thinks Matsumoto's volume and willingness to let his hands go will be key, but he is not confident enough to bet the moneyline. He is considering a plus 3.5 round prop on Katona or the over 1.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto by decision. He acknowledges Katona's high fight IQ and ability to win minutes, but believes Matsumoto will be the more active striker and do more damage. He compares it to Katona's loss to Garrett Armfield, where Katona was out-struck. He expects a competitive fight but Matsumoto's damage will win the decision.
Connor also picks Matsumoto, citing Katona's tendency to have a bad start and not dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a strong athlete who will come forward, but acknowledges that Katona is tough and often comes on strong late. Connor sees it as a mirror match and a split decision possibility, but leans Matsumoto due to his physical advantages.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript.
Katona is a high-IQ fighter, but Matsumoto has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight upright and utilize his striking advantage to touch up Katona en route to a decision victory. The line is a bit wide, so there could be some Katona value on his underdog line, but Matsumoto is more dangerous in the striking realm.
The Guru is impressed by Matsumoto's debut win over Dan Argueta, noting he looked amazing and showed talent. He criticizes Brad Katona's wins as being over low-level opponents and points out Katona's short reach. He believes Matsumoto, an undefeated 25-year-old prospect with a full training camp, will get the win.
Zane picks Matsumoto mainly because he expects Katona to have a slow start, as Katona often lets physically imposing fighters dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a powerful athlete who will blitz with power, but acknowledges that Katona has a good jab and could jab Matsumoto up. Zane sees it as a real 50-50 toss-up and doesn't feel great about the pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 0 | 68 of 113 | 60% | 148 of 217 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 10:50 |
| Jesse Butler | 0 | 30 of 82 | 36% | 32 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 44 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:31 |
| Jesse Butler | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 41 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:49 |
| Jesse Butler | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 0 | 45 of 75 | 60% | 63 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Jesse Butler | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 22 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 68 of 113 | 60% | 59 of 101 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 40 of 56 |
| Jesse Butler | 30 of 82 | 36% | 16 of 63 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 9 |
| Jesse Butler | 7 of 11 | 63% | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 15 of 24 | 62% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 20 |
| Jesse Butler | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 45 of 75 | 60% | 36 of 63 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 27 |
| Jesse Butler | 21 of 68 | 30% | 14 of 59 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Brad Katona. He notes that Brad is a two-time Ultimate Fighter winner with high fight IQ, good technical striking, and fantastic cardio. He can wrestle if needed, as shown in his last fight. Jesse Butler was knocked out quickly in his UFC debut and has terrible takedown defense. Angelo thinks Brad dominates everywhere and sees no path to victory for Jesse.
Big Brady picks Brad Katona to win by decision. He thinks Katona should not be a -600 favorite but sees no path to victory for Jesse Butler, who is cutting to bantamweight for the first time and has poor takedown defense. He doubts Katona will finish but expects a clear decision win.
Cody picks Katona, noting that Butler has been inactive for two years and was knocked out quickly by Jim Miller in his UFC debut. Katona is a decision machine with six UFC fights all going to decision, and he has faced better competition. Cody expects Katona to use his wrestling and control to win a decision, though he warns that the minus 600 price is steep for a decision fighter.
Daniel expects Katona to win a decision but calls it a dog-or-pass situation due to the steep price. He notes Katona is on a decline and fights on slim margins, while Butler has a nine-inch reach advantage and is dropping two weight classes. However, he doubts Butler's skills are UFC-level.
Jacob picks Brad Katona, but adds a caveat about Jesse Butler's weight cut. He notes that Butler is dropping from 170 to 135, which could be a huge disadvantage. Brad is not a dangerous finisher, but the weight cut might make Butler vulnerable. Jacob thinks Brad will win, possibly by decision, but the weight cut could lead to a finish. He also mentions that Brad's takedown prop might be interesting.
Katona is a solid all-around fighter with great fight IQ and cardio, who should outwork Butler with his grappling and grinding style. Butler has power but was knocked out quickly by Jim Miller. Katona's experience and reliability should lead to a decision win, though the -600 price is steep.
Paul picks Katona, noting that Butler has not impressed and Katona is a proven UFC fighter. He expects Katona to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges the price is high. Paul thinks Katona's wrestling and experience will be too much for Butler.
The Guru initially leans Katona but switches to Butler after considering Butler's massive reach advantage (73-inch reach vs Katona's 64.5). He says Katona has no ability to finish on the feet and looked incapable of inflicting pain against Garrett Armfield. He thinks Butler is too big, strong, and powerful, and will catch Katona and finish him. He acknowledges Butler lost to 'absolute schmucks' but is willing to risk the underdog pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 64 of 155 | 41% | 76 of 172 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 105 of 168 | 62% | 130 of 193 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 20 of 48 | 41% | 23 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 31 of 51 | 60% | 31 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 27 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 41 of 66 | 62% | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 26 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 58 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 64 of 155 | 41% | 49 of 138 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 8 | 46 of 126 | 17 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 105 of 168 | 62% | 74 of 131 | 21 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 99 of 162 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 20 of 48 | 41% | 14 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 39 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 31 of 51 | 60% | 16 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 31 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Garrett Armfield | 25 of 66 | 37% | 20 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 20 of 58 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 41 of 66 | 62% | 28 of 50 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Garrett Armfield | 19 of 41 | 46% | 15 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Brad Katona | 33 of 51 | 64% | 30 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 45 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Katona, citing his footwork, volume, and cardio as advantages. He expects Katona to take over as Armfield slows down, predicting a 29-28 decision. He initially thought the odds were wide but talked himself into confidence, planning to place a bet.
Big Brady picks Katona, expecting him to fight smart and use wrestling. He notes Armfield has poor takedown defense and has lost by submission twice. He believes Katona's fight IQ and experience against better competition will lead to a decision win. He thinks Katona won't brawl like he did against Cody Gibson.
Cody picks Katona due to his well-rounded skills, technical boxing, and experience. He thinks Armfield lacks the grappling to stick with Katona and will break under pressure. He predicts a late stoppage or decision win for Katona.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Brad Katona but hopes he is wrong. He notes Katona's experience and ability to slow down younger fighters, but worries about his recent war with Cody Gibson and potential decline. Armfield has heavy hands and could knock Katona out, but Vreeland expects Katona to grind out a decision or get a submission.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Armfield vs Katona.
I'm taking Katona to win by decision. He has a huge experience advantage and higher fight IQ. He can blend his wrestling behind his striking to catch Armfield by surprise. I think Armfield will be surprised by the pace Katona sets. Katona will give Armfield different looks and outpoint him. However, Armfield has potential and could showcase he's ready for this level, but I'm still going with Katona.
Paul picks Katona, noting his intelligence and well-rounded game. He jokes about Katona's fake Irish accent but respects his skills. He thinks Katona will use takedowns and top control to win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Katona, calling him underrated and noting his wins over undefeated fighters in Brave CF. He criticizes Garrett Armfield's level of competition and questions his consistency. He highlights Katona's toughness, kicks, and takedown ability. He predicts a submission win via rear-naked choke in round two.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 0 | 160 of 311 | 51% | 173 of 327 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Gibson | 0 | 164 of 268 | 61% | 169 of 273 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 0 | 36 of 87 | 41% | 39 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Gibson | 0 | 49 of 85 | 57% | 49 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 0 | 58 of 108 | 53% | 59 of 111 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Gibson | 0 | 64 of 94 | 68% | 66 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 0 | 66 of 116 | 56% | 75 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Gibson | 0 | 51 of 89 | 57% | 54 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 160 of 311 | 51% | 116 of 254 | 25 of 37 | 19 of 20 | 127 of 262 | 33 of 49 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Gibson | 164 of 268 | 61% | 130 of 228 | 22 of 27 | 12 of 13 | 134 of 233 | 30 of 35 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 36 of 87 | 41% | 22 of 70 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 29 of 76 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Gibson | 49 of 85 | 57% | 39 of 73 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 42 of 78 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 58 of 108 | 53% | 45 of 91 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 47 of 89 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Gibson | 64 of 94 | 68% | 47 of 76 | 12 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 52 of 79 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 66 of 116 | 56% | 49 of 93 | 14 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 51 of 97 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Gibson | 51 of 89 | 57% | 44 of 79 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 40 of 76 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Katona (-168), Gibson (+142)
Round 1
There could be some history in the making for this bantamweight battle that will kick off the ESPN portion of the prelim card. The first of two victors of Season 31 of TUF will be crowned, with the first coming at 135 pounds. Both men are UFC veterans, but Katona (12-2, 2-2 UFC) is the one who could break new ground by becoming the first two-time TUF winner ever. Of note, his opponent, Gibson (19-8, 1-3 UFC), faced future champ and UFC 292 headliner Aljamain Sterling in his promotional debut back in 2014, where he ultimately dropped a decision. The “six-figure contract” and bragging rights will be awarded to the winner, in a matchup that will be governed by referee Marc Goddard. The former show teammates do not decide to clap hands, and instead they rush out towards one another to strike. They do just that, one after the other, until they end up swinging at the same time and ending up in a clinch. Gibson pushes off and lands a pair of hooks, and Katona knocks him back with a counter. Gibson connects with a clean right hand, and Katona shakes it off and gets off a jab. Katona comes up hitting nothing but air when he looses hooks, and Gibson attempts to reach him with a front kick and fails. Katona sticks his man with a left, and Gibson ducks down to get off a body kick. Katona retaliates with a leg kick, and Gibson dips and strikes while avoiding offense that wings towards him. Both fighters are amped up and trading shots, and Gibson pushes out two jabs and dings Katona with a left hand. Gibson trips on his way in, and this allows Katona the briefest amount of time to shake it off. Gibson clubs his man with a right, and Katona stands firm and bashes him with a solid left hook. Gibson is not remotely concerned as he meanders forward, and he swings himself into a clinch. Gibson absorbs a right hand and misses with a second, and Katona counters with a left that marks up Gibson’s eye. Gibson continues to surge forward, hurling offense and making Katona have to match his pace. “The Renegade” mixes things up with a chopping kick, and he shrugs off anything that Katona lands on him to throw his own heavy blows. The two tie up, but nothing comes up it other than a right hand from Gibson on the break. Gibson tries to follow it, and he ends up lobbing strikes that are way off the mark. Katona strings together several low kicks, and they both work the body. The furiously paced round ends with a sharp left from Katona.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Round 2
The bantamweights come back to the middle to start off the round, and Katona is the first to spring into action with a combination of fists. Katona then switches to a leg kick, and he rips a left to the body and nails Gibson with a right over the top. Gibson steels himself and throws back with gravitas, drawing a takedown attempt out of the Canadian. Gibson drills his man with an uppercut, and he pressures forward until they tie up and trade additional uppercuts. Katona does not register a leg kick, and he pops Gibson with a jab. Gibson does the same with his own jab and a follow-up right hand, and the two are taking turns to smack the other around. Katona flicks out a jab, and Gibson counters him with an uppercut and a body shot. Gibson walks face-first into a left hand, and he fires off a right hook and then goes to the body. Gibson again eats a few strikes, and the two start fighting in a phone booth and lay into each other. Gibson slings a right hand that bounces off the temple, and Katona smiles and delivers a right hand on the chin and a clean left shortly thereafter. Gibson lands a leg kick, gets up close to land a body shot, and then backs off when Katona scores with two hooks. Gibson overswings with a left hand, and Katona tags him a few times while he is recoiling. Katona suddenly goes up high with a kick, and frowns when it is blocked. Gibson misses the mark with a huge uppercut, and a few right hands from Gibson have developed some swelling around Katona’s left eye. Gibson targets it with a clubbing right and an elbow, and Katona tries to tie him up for a moment but ends up eating a few clinch strikes before releasing. Katona sits down on a right hand, timing it perfectly as Gibson ducked right into it, and Gibson powers forward to clinch up and recover. Katona jumps at him with a knee, and he fires off a short salvo of strikes that knock Gibson back again. Katona keeps Gibson honest with pawing jabs and a right hand, and Gibson appears to be fading. Katona lines up a right hand down the middle, and the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Katona
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Katona
Round 3
Gibson waves to the crowd to get them fired up, and the audience reacts positively. Going into the last round, it could be all tied up, and they treat things as such as they get right after it. Gibson walks through the fast fists that fly at his face so that he can drive a right hand home, and Katona reels but comes back. Katona slides to the side and avoids the huge hooks, and he starts peppering Gibson with jabs. When Gibson changes this up to let go with his own jabs, Katona lets him have it with big punches. Gibson parries a jump knee and a kick to the body, and he drills Katona with a right hand down the pipe. Katona backpedals and eats another one like a plate of poutine, and the two let the other have it. This results in them coming together for a brief clinch, and Katona pushes him back and lets fly a high kick that slaps into the shoulder. Katona kicks with his other leg, and he books Gibson in the calf when he speedily moves. Gibson takes a punch to give one back, and he stings Katona with a right hook. Gibson plants two uppercuts on the chin, and he slides back and pops Katona with a clean right. Katona ignores a leg kick, and he knees the body and sneaks in a short right. Katona loads up and connects with a right, and he digs a few punches to the body and might have hurt Gibson. A few left hands force Gibson to cover his eye, and it is swelling badly. Gibson backs up to the wall as Katona lays into him, until Gibson decides to activate and sling fire back at him. Katona staggers back and then rushes back into action, and the two proceed to give it everything they have in an absolutely terrific brawl. Katona lands, Gibson gets him back, Katona stings him and Gibson shakes Katona up. This back-and-forth trading ends only when they tie up to catch their breath. Gibson pushes off and then sprints at Katona, who is backing away to try to let time expire. Gibson reaches him and blasts him with a few punches, and this all-action thriller comes to a close – unless there is an unexpected “sudden victory” round in the event of a draw. No matter who gets their hand raised, this is an instant “Fight of the Night” frontrunner as well as a scrap that might earn “Fight of the Year” consideration when it is all said and done. The two bantamweights embrace, having put on a display reminiscent of Forrest Griffin vs. Stephan Bonnar.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)
The Official Result
Brad Katona def. Cody Gibson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Cody expects Katona to win by decision regardless of opponent. He notes Gibson is the better fighter but has a knee injury, and if Rico wins, Katona still wins. He sees Katona as a talented favorite.
Daniel Levi leans toward Brad Katona, believing he should be favored but is not confident. He notes that Katona fights close decisions and that Gibson has a seven-inch reach advantage and is four inches taller. Levi thinks Gibson is live at plus money, especially if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach. He mentions that Gibson had a knee injury on The Ultimate Fighter and wants more information on that.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 21 of 60 | 35% | 40 of 83 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 6:23 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 41 of 118 | 34% | 55 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Azure | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 16 of 25 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Hunter Azure | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 13 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 18 of 46 | 39% | 23 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Hunter Azure | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 11 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 15 of 50 | 30% | 21 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Azure | 21 of 60 | 35% | 18 of 51 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 54 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 41 of 118 | 34% | 25 of 91 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 7 | 33 of 105 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Azure | 5 of 12 | 41% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 8 of 22 | 36% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Hunter Azure | 8 of 23 | 34% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 18 of 46 | 39% | 10 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Hunter Azure | 8 of 25 | 32% | 7 of 19 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 15 of 50 | 30% | 9 of 39 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 55 of 102 | 53% | 215 of 274 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 8:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 49 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 114 of 122 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:20 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Katona | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 52 of 72 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 32 of 56 | 57% | 21 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 17 of 36 | 12 of 16 | 3 of 4 |
| Brad Katona | 55 of 102 | 53% | 43 of 85 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 65 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 32 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 16 of 29 | 55% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 9 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Katona | 25 of 54 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 12 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 8 of 11 | 72% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brad Katona | 7 of 10 | 70% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Brad Katona | 23 of 38 | 60% | 18 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 15 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 0 | 76 of 158 | 48% | 86 of 170 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Matthew Lopez | 0 | 69 of 142 | 48% | 79 of 155 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 0 | 37 of 54 | 68% | 45 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Matthew Lopez | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 30 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Matthew Lopez | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 20 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 0 | 16 of 54 | 29% | 16 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Matthew Lopez | 0 | 23 of 51 | 45% | 29 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Katona | 76 of 158 | 48% | 40 of 106 | 12 of 26 | 24 of 26 | 67 of 146 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Matthew Lopez | 69 of 142 | 48% | 41 of 99 | 17 of 31 | 11 of 12 | 65 of 134 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Katona | 37 of 54 | 68% | 18 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 14 | 31 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
| Matthew Lopez | 28 of 56 | 50% | 19 of 39 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Katona | 23 of 50 | 46% | 11 of 32 | 3 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Matthew Lopez | 18 of 35 | 51% | 13 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Brad Katona | 16 of 54 | 29% | 11 of 41 | 3 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Matthew Lopez | 23 of 51 | 45% | 9 of 34 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 46 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto but is hesitant, acknowledging that Brad Katona is a tough, durable fighter who could spoil the plans. He notes Matsumoto's well-rounded skills, BJJ black belt, and Muay Thai, but also points out that he was taken down nine times by Dan Argueta and nearly lost. He thinks Matsumoto's volume and willingness to let his hands go will be key, but he is not confident enough to bet the moneyline. He is considering a plus 3.5 round prop on Katona or the over 1.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto by decision. He acknowledges Katona's high fight IQ and ability to win minutes, but believes Matsumoto will be the more active striker and do more damage. He compares it to Katona's loss to Garrett Armfield, where Katona was out-struck. He expects a competitive fight but Matsumoto's damage will win the decision.
Connor also picks Matsumoto, citing Katona's tendency to have a bad start and not dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a strong athlete who will come forward, but acknowledges that Katona is tough and often comes on strong late. Connor sees it as a mirror match and a split decision possibility, but leans Matsumoto due to his physical advantages.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript.
Katona is a high-IQ fighter, but Matsumoto has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight upright and utilize his striking advantage to touch up Katona en route to a decision victory. The line is a bit wide, so there could be some Katona value on his underdog line, but Matsumoto is more dangerous in the striking realm.
The Guru is impressed by Matsumoto's debut win over Dan Argueta, noting he looked amazing and showed talent. He criticizes Brad Katona's wins as being over low-level opponents and points out Katona's short reach. He believes Matsumoto, an undefeated 25-year-old prospect with a full training camp, will get the win.
Zane picks Matsumoto mainly because he expects Katona to have a slow start, as Katona often lets physically imposing fighters dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a powerful athlete who will blitz with power, but acknowledges that Katona has a good jab and could jab Matsumoto up. Zane sees it as a real 50-50 toss-up and doesn't feel great about the pick.
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