Career Averages - Daniel Bárez
Career Averages - Victor Altamirano
Daniel Bárez
Victor Altamirano
Daniel Bárez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 0 | 113 of 246 | 45% | 117 of 252 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Luis Gurule | 0 | 149 of 299 | 49% | 178 of 335 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 1 | 2:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 22 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Luis Gurule | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 30 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:21 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 42 of 69 | 60% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luis Gurule | 0 | 51 of 107 | 47% | 69 of 125 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 51 of 136 | 37% | 52 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luis Gurule | 0 | 73 of 137 | 53% | 79 of 148 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 113 of 246 | 45% | 79 of 208 | 20 of 22 | 14 of 16 | 108 of 241 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Gurule | 149 of 299 | 49% | 129 of 273 | 8 of 13 | 12 of 13 | 133 of 278 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 20 of 41 | 48% | 11 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Gurule | 25 of 55 | 45% | 21 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 50 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 42 of 69 | 60% | 27 of 52 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 41 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Gurule | 51 of 107 | 47% | 45 of 99 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 49 of 103 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 51 of 136 | 37% | 41 of 124 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 51 of 136 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Gurule | 73 of 137 | 53% | 63 of 124 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 62 of 125 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Jerin Valel is the referee. Barez uses his lead hand early, and then he tages Gurule with a right hand. Barez is also mixing in leg kicks well. Barez catches a kick and lands several strikes before relinquishing the limb. Gurule wakes up and pressures with a series of punches before punctuating the assault with an elbow. Barez slows it down with a clinch. Back at range, Gurule lands another heavy shot. Barez is able to get a takedown and take his foe’s back. Gurule scrambles into top position and hunts for a choke. Barez is eventually able to scramble up. Gurule lands a short elbow and they break. Barez pumps his jab to keep his adversary at bay. Gurule tags Barez with several right hands. Barez steps in with a knee and then shoots for a takedown, shoving Gurule into the wire. Gurule turns his man and lands some short shots before Barez breaks free. Another right gets through for Gurule. They trade before the horn, and it’s a Gurule right that seems to have the most impact.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Round 2
Barez targets the legs and then throws a jab. Gurule moves in but eats a hard counter from the Spainard. Gurule marches forward with a combination. Gurule with a hard kick to Barez’s lead leg. A couple rights land for Gurule, but Barez is firing back with combinations. Barez stings Gurule with a counter right, and the American shoots. Barez denies it and lands a combination, mixing punches to the head and body .A right over the top gets through for Barez. Barez is landing more combinations this round. Gurule forces the issue, and he starts landing a variety of punches. These two are trading willingly. A right from Gurule tags Barez. Gurule goes on the assault and Barez appears to be wobbled. Gurule follows him and unloads near the fence. Barez tries to slow things with a takedown, but Gurule takes the back and executes a beautiful suplex. Barez stands and they clinch near the fence. Gurule lands a stiff 1-2 and Barez shoots out of desperation. Gurule sprawls and pushes his man into the fence. He creates space and tees off with a combination. Barez answers with a spinning attack. Gurule backs up Barez with a left before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Round 3
Gurule lands a combination and follows with a low kick. Gurule is throwing in volume quite well, and he backs Barez into the fence, where he unloads with a barrage of short punches and elbows. Barez pushes Gurule off the fence and they separate. Gurule follows a punching combination with kicks to the body. Gurule tries a level change but Barez remains upright. Gurule measures and lands a right. They clinch in the center of the cage. They break and Barez tries to go on the attack. However, it’s Gurule with another solid right hand. Barez moves forward and connects with an impactful right. Barez is still throwing, but anytime he seems to be gaining momentum, Gurule has an answer. A right snaps Barez’s head back. The flyweights continue to trade, but again it’s Gurule who snaps the Spaniard’s head back with a right. Gurule is landing at will, rocking Barez with hooks to the dome. Barez has plenty of fight in him, as he continues to answer with offense of his own. The fight ends with one last spirited exchange, and Valel wraps up Barez before he can unleash a spinning attack after the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
The Official Result
Luis Gurule def. Daniel Barez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
Angelo picks Luis Gurule, viewing the fight as close to a coin flip. He notes that Barez struggled against forward pressure, which is Gurule's style. He expects Gurule's pressure and volume to earn a close decision, possibly a split. He is not betting on this fight.
Big Brady leans toward Daniel Bárez despite concerns about his age and cardio. He believes Bárez's power and early finishing ability will be too much for Luis Gurule, whose chin he no longer trusts. He predicts a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the fight could turn ugly if it goes longer.
Cody picks Luis Gurule, noting that Daniel Bárez has a poor gas tank and fades after the first round. Gurule is slow to start but has good cardio and comes on late. Cody expects Bárez to win the first round but tire, allowing Gurule to take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late stoppage.
Connor picks Gurule, agreeing with Zane. He notes Bárez is 37 and was signed at 35, which is old for flyweight. Gurule is American and has a solid style, though he lacks a next gear at this weight.
Lucrative James hesitantly picks Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's superior cardio and will to win, while Bárez tends to fade after round one. He acknowledges Bárez's early power and knockout threat, but believes Gurule can win rounds two and three. He is not confident and may avoid betting.
The host feels this is the best stylistic matchup for Gurule to get his first UFC win, as Bárez doesn't have the same power or athleticism as Gurule's previous opponents. He expects Gurule's pressure and pace to wear down Bárez in the second and third rounds, leading to a decision win. He is confident in Gurule at -110.
The host picks Luis Corrales (Gurule) over Daniel Barres, believing Corrales will finally get his first UFC win. He expects Corrales to use pace, pressure, and forward movement to win on the scorecards.
Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight, noting that both fighters are low-level flyweights and that the winner will likely face a Contender Series pickup next. He does not express a strong opinion.
Zane picks Gurule because Bárez is an undercooked regional power striker, while Gurule has a nuts-and-bolts wrestle-boxer style. However, he notes Gurule is a step behind at flyweight and lacks a next gear. Bárez might land hard shots but won't follow up.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Lima | 0 | 33 of 79 | 41% | 34 of 80 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Daniel Bárez | 0 | 108 of 159 | 67% | 161 of 220 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Lima | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 26 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Daniel Bárez | 0 | 47 of 74 | 63% | 48 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | André Lima | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 6 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Bárez | 0 | 56 of 77 | 72% | 76 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 | |
| 3 | André Lima | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Bárez | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 37 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Lima | 33 of 79 | 41% | 21 of 66 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 108 of 159 | 67% | 59 of 99 | 23 of 27 | 26 of 33 | 90 of 140 | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Lima | 26 of 50 | 52% | 17 of 40 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 47 of 74 | 63% | 21 of 45 | 12 of 13 | 14 of 16 | 47 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | André Lima | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 56 of 77 | 72% | 36 of 50 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 13 | 39 of 59 | 16 of 17 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | André Lima | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lima (-355), Barez (+280)
Round 1
Keeping things pushing in a lengthy lineup, a classic matchup of Spain vs. Brazil will play out between flyweights. Entram Gym representative Barez (17-6, 1-1 UFC) is aiming to go on a run, while Lima (10-0, 3-0 UFC) won his pro debut in 2022 and never looked back. The two will be joined in the cage by Octagon ranger Kerry Hatley, who is ready for wherever this fight takes them. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Lima winds up and slams his shin on the lead leg. He does this three more times, until Barez responds with one of his own. Barez steps in with a thudding right hand, but the leg kicks from “Mascote” are damage-dealing and frequently coming. Lima has already reddened up his foe’s leg as he continues assaulting it, and he keeps his guard up to parry a few punches. Lima flashes out a jab and follow with a straight right, and he continues battering the front leg. Lima cracks the Spanish fighter with a huge right, and Barez bends over and briefly reevaluates his life decisions leading up to this point. Meanwhile. Lima marches him down with accurate, clubbing punches, and Barez is taking them well but still hurt. Barez grabs hold of his advancing opponent in pursuit of a takedown, and when that fails, he somehow circles around to take the back. Barez looks for a choke while riding the back, but Lima shimmies him off and gets back to pummeling his front leg. Barez fires back with impunity, and Lima loads up on several body shots to back Barez up. Lima nails the ribcage with a mean-spirited right hand, and he dips and rips the liver with his other fist. Lima spins with a back kick, and Barez slips out of the way and wipes at his bloodied nose. Lima keeps on the with the aggression, walking through jabs to load up. Barez backpedals, absorbs a few more body shots, and one particularly nasty left to the liver drops his hands for a second. Barez tries to back his man off with a step-in knee, and Lima ignores it and unleashes a hellacious kick to the lead leg that is welted up and swollen after four minutes of punishment. As they keep trading, Lima pushes off and his thumb jams into Barez’ eye. Hatley calls time, and Barez takes 30 seconds to recover. On the restart, Lima gest right back to attacking the front calf, with strikes landing with thumps and not slaps. Barez shoots for a takedown, and Lima stonewalls him and jams him up against the fence until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lima
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lima
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Lima
Round 2
The fighters clap hands and immediately pick up where they left off. Barez sticks out his jabs early to keep Lima from coming at him, but that does not slow “Mascote” one iota. Lima hammers the front leg with kicks, and he mixes in head and body shots as Barez’ nose busts open again. Lima turns his hips into his leg kicks, thrashing Barez with these blows until Barez has to turn or lift his leg up gingerly to take some of the sting out of it. Lima is far from a one-trick pony, as he pounds on Barez’ torso with bad intentions. Barez punches back a few times, but Lima is firmly in the driver’s seat putting it to the Spaniard. Barez circles away after taking a painful leg kick, limping as he tries to escape. Lima is a steamroller of offense, chewing up Barez’ midsection while putting his leg through a veritable wood chipper. Barez wobbles as he backs off, and Lima has to stop to shut down a feeble takedown effort before beating on Barez some more. It is a varied attack of head, body and legs, and when Lima gets in close, he starts shredding Barez with vicious elbows. Hatley wans Lima to not strike behind the head, and Lima changes things up once more and trips Barez up to deposit him to the canvas. Lima postures up in the guard, landing ground-and-pound while blood continues to flow out of Barez’ nose. Barez is able to slow Lima by hanging on in the guard, and he is sucking wind with deep breaths until Lima puts his hand over Barez’ mouth. Lima grinds his elbow down and works on Barez until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Lima
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Lima
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Lima
Round 3
Despite quite a shellacking, a swollen, bloodied and battered Barez is able to answer the bell and double high-five his opponent. Lima says hello with a hard leg kick, and he stays with the strike until Barez attempts to take him down. Lima not only stops it, but reverses him and tackles the Spanish fighter to his back. Barez closes up his guard, and Lima settles for occasional ground-and-pound that is not active enough for Hatley. Barez gets away with a borderline upkick as he throws his legs up for a triangle setup, and Lima stands up and then lowers himself back down in the guard. As Barez turns, Lima scrambles to claim his back, hooking his legs around the waist while fishing for a choke. Barez twists to his side, and
Lima actively pursues and eventually finds a rear-naked choke. The submission is instantly tight and partly a neck crank, a bit high on Lima’s right shoulder but gripped so tightly that Barez has no way out. Lima continues to crush on the windpipe until Barez says enough is enough and surrenders.
Hatley sees the tap and breaks them apart, and Lima walks off to celebrate with his team after earning his first career submission. “Mascote” is now a perfect 11-0 as a pro, and this performance will almost certainly put him as yet another talented flyweight to watch out for going forward.
The Official Result
Andre Lima
def.
Daniel Barez
R3 3:05 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks André Lima over Daniel Bárez. He acknowledges Lima is a solid striker but criticizes him for cheating (grabbing fence, inside gloves) and for struggling against Felipe dos Santos. He thinks Lima should win but cannot bet him at -280, citing better value elsewhere on the card.
Big Brady picks André Lima, noting his skill advantage but criticizing his frequent cheating (cage grabbing, missing weight) and lack of urgency. He believes Lima is the better striker and has improved takedown defense and ground game, now a BJJ black belt. However, he worries Lima's low output and tendency to go to split decisions against lesser opponents could be an issue. He expects Lima to dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision.
Cody picks Gabriella Fernandez, noting her experience and wins over decent competition. He acknowledges that Julia Stoliarenko has submission skills but believes Fernandez can avoid submissions and win on the feet or by decision. He is not confident in Stoliarenko's ability to get the fight to the ground.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host believes Lima is the overall better fighter with defensive grappling that will keep the fight in Muay Thai or allow him grappling success. He expects Lima to touch up Barz and eventually find a finish.
Paul also picks Fernandez, noting that Stoliarenko's submission wins have come against lower-level competition. He believes Fernandez has good takedown defense and can keep the fight standing. He is not tempted by the dog price on Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru leans towards André Lima, calling him the more well-seasoned fighter with hidden kickboxing experience (10-12 matches). He notes Lima is undefeated (10-0) and a big dude for flyweight, with no massive weakness in his ground game. However, he warns that the UFC might favor Daniel Bárez because he's Spanish, so he advises watching for close controversial decisions. He acknowledges Bárez's grappling is a treat to watch but thinks Lima is more effective on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 1 | 67 of 130 | 51% | 78 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 71 of 177 | 40% | 76 of 184 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 1 | 22 of 34 | 64% | 33 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 35 of 79 | 44% | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 67 of 130 | 51% | 34 of 90 | 18 of 22 | 15 of 18 | 61 of 122 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Victor Altamirano | 71 of 177 | 40% | 28 of 105 | 28 of 54 | 15 of 18 | 71 of 177 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 22 of 34 | 64% | 12 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Victor Altamirano | 15 of 43 | 34% | 3 of 23 | 6 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 24 of 50 | 48% | 11 of 33 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victor Altamirano | 21 of 55 | 38% | 5 of 27 | 9 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 21 of 46 | 45% | 11 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victor Altamirano | 35 of 79 | 44% | 20 of 55 | 13 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Backs are against the wall in this flyweight affair, as 35-year-old Spaniard Barez (16-6, 0-1 UFC) hopes to right the ship against the struggling Altamirano (12-4, 2-3 UFC). A pink slip could be awarded to the losing fighter, depending on how things play out. The referee of this fast-paced contest will be Rich Mitchell, who clocks the fighters in and is ready for what happens next. The two 125ers share a glove touch to commence, as Altamirano almost sprints past him to get set up. Altamirano leads the dance with a body kick, and Barez trips the front leg with a short low kick. Barez misses on a second kick, and he reaches the belly with a right straight. Altamirano swings his way in with a big left hook that does not connect, and Barez goes to the body again with a right hand. Barez chambers and fires a massive right hand, sending “El Magnifico” hurtling to the canvas. Barez pounces, letting loose ground-and-pound as Altamirano gathers his bearings and tries to close down the guard. Barez calms himself rather than spending his gas tank pursuing a finish that might not be around the corner, and he stands back to let his adversary up. Altamirano follows him up and uses his front leg to go after a side kick, a lead-leg high kick and a wheel kick. The Spaniard dodges all three and corrals Altamirano towards the fence, reaching the body and avoiding a kick at the same time. Barez’ strategy of that specific body shot must have been studied, because he lands it again and does not get hit with a counter. Altamirano uses a body kick to keep distance, only for Barez to crowd him with a right hand. Altamirano sneaks a head kick up, and Barez dodges it and ignores the second, even signaling to the Texan that it was no big deal. Altamirano kicks the ribs as he circles away, and his calf gets kicked in response. As the two battle it out, the commentary booth battles on the correct Spanish pronunciation of Barez’ name. Altamirano lines up several powerful body kicks, giving the older fighter pause and discouraging him from coming in. Barez tries to crash the pocket, and Altamirano parries effectively to get away. A second blitz from Barez is more successful, ending the round with a clean combination.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Round 2
The second round begins where the two left off, with Altamirano whipping kicks at his opponent while Barez tries to find a way in. Altamirano uses a side kick to aim at the head and body, preventing Barez from pursuing him constantly and instead forcing him to work in spurts. Barez manages to get inside, landing a few shots and slipping away. Altamirano charges forward and misses with every punch, and Barez is warned for outstretched fingers as he holds them towards his opponent. Altamirano dodges a haymaker to work the body, going to the lead leg and aiming a high kick in a rapidly transitioning combo. Altamirano’s activity is beginning to frustrate Barez, chipping and chopping with kicks at a safe berth. The more kicks he aims to the midsection and land on the right arm, the slower Barez’ right hands come back at him. Altamirano slips big, telegraphed blows while using that body kick to pepper the Spaniard again and again. Barez maintains a steady pace forward, but Altamirano is able to counter him and work away. Barez reaches him with two punches, dropping Altamirano to a knee, but it might be because of a trip and not a clean knockdown. When Altamirano gathers himself, Barez bears down on him and drills him in the head with a right hand, sending “El Magnifico” back down to the mat. Altamirano appears to be fine after the flash knockdown, with Barez chasing him and swinging until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano
Round 3
Gloves are touch to start the round, and the two are intense as can be. Altamirano does not slow down launching his rear-leg body kick, and Barez is giving Altamirano everything he can handle. Barez swings hard, and Altamirano’s primary weapon lands cleanly or is blocked cleanly—and either is a win for the Texan. Altamirano dips a left to the body and fires a right to the head, stunning the Spaniard for a moment. Altamirano capitalizes on the opening with an inside low kick, and he ducks a Barez charge to blast him in the face with a spinning back fist. Barez’ aggression works against him, and Altamirano pours it on and spams kicks to every target. Barez’ busted nose starts leaking, and his composure changes as his volume diminishes. Altamirano’s does not, keeping Barez honest with a constant stream of kicks to the head and midsection. Altamirano dances away from a looping right hand, resetting and firing a kick to the noggin. Altamirano jams a front kick to the body, and Barez walks him down and jabs him to the body. Barez swipes out with a left hand, and it is his right that lands. Altamirano slows his own pace until surging into action, rushing with a knee but extending a left hand that connects on the bloodied nose. Altamirano drills the ribs with a kick, and then hammers the raised guard with a kick. As Barez rushes towards him once more, Altamirano counters him with a spinning back fist, and it lands but not as cleanly as before. Altamirano comes up short with a wheel kick, and Barez gets his hands on him with a right hand. Both men land flush, and a furious brawl ensues. Barez eats a few shots and responds with a power right hand that sends Altamirano flying. Altamirano recovers instantly and swings it out until the back-and-forth scarp wraps.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Barez)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)
The Official Result
Daniel Barez def. Victor Altamirano via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Victor Altamirano as an underdog. He notes that Victor has been competitive in all his losses and has better wrestling. Daniel Bárez is returning after a year away and can be reckless chasing submissions, which could lead to losing positions. Angelo believes Victor's slickness and overall wrestling give him the edge.
Big Brady picks Victor Altamirano by third-round submission, expecting Bárez to win the first round but fade due to poor cardio. He notes Bárez has a kill-or-be-killed style and empties his tank early, while Altamirano has a great chin and BJJ black belt. He believes Altamirano will weather the storm and finish Bárez late.
Cody leans towards Altamirano due to his durability and pace. He notes that Bárez is a 35-year-old flyweight who gasses after the first round. Altamirano can take a punch and push a pace, potentially taking over in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Bárez's power and early threat.
Connor agrees, picking Altamirano as well. He notes that Bárez will look good early, kicking Altamirano's spleen out, but Altamirano's innate toughness and scrappiness will carry him through. Connor likes Altamirano as a self-taught fighter who overperforms.
Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Bárez to win. He thinks Bárez is the better boxer in the pocket with more power, and that Altamirano's unorthodox style may not work as well. He notes Bárez's cardio and toughness, and that Altamirano has slowed in recent fights. He likes Bárez at plus money.
JP picks Victor Altamirano because he doesn't like that Daniel Bárez lost on the Contender Series and then got signed anyway. He notes Altamirano has UFC experience and has lost to tough opponents like Tim Elliott and Felipe dos Santos. He says the lines are close and he won't put money on it.
Paul picks Bárez, expecting him to do more damage in the first two rounds and hold on for a decision. He notes Bárez's power and submission threat, but acknowledges Altamirano's durability. He doesn't plan to bet heavily but leans Bárez.
The MMA Guru picks Victor Altamirano over Daniel Bárez, noting Bárez's age (35) and his history of beating low-level competition. He believes Altamirano is more proven at UFC level and will land better shots. He also mentions Altamirano's reach advantage and Bárez's poor takedown control.
Zane thinks Altamirano will win because he is incredibly tough, has never been knocked out, and will gut through Bárez's early damage. He notes that Bárez is a kickboxer who hates MMA and tends to break when pressured. Altamirano will turn the fight into a brawl and scramble his way to victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jafel Filho | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 23 of 62 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Daniel Bárez | 1 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jafel Filho | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 23 of 62 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Daniel Bárez | 1 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jafel Filho | 21 of 54 | 38% | 11 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 18 of 30 | 60% | 8 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jafel Filho | 21 of 54 | 38% | 11 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Bárez | 18 of 30 | 60% | 8 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Filho (-125), Barez (+105)
Round 1
Returning to its favorite city in England, the UFC once more travels to London with a show crammed to the rafters with local talent. The matchmakers made certain that those from the U.K. battle it out against foreign opponents in hopes of getting the crowd lathered up, and the final 10 bouts will see just that kind of matchup. The first fight on the card, however, is simply South America vs. Spain, when Brazilian finisher Filho (14-3, 0-1 UFC) hunts for his first Octagon win against Burjassot native Barez (16-5, 0-0 UFC). Combined, the two flyweights celebrate just four decision wins across their 30 pro victories, so the UFC knows exactly what it is doing by putting these two spinning tops together. Before they clash, referee Marc Goddard fixes the cage door, and then he clocks them in. They meet in the middle of the Octagon without a touch of gloves, as Filho instead leads the dance with a sharp body kick. Filho dances back to avoid a one-two, and he tosses out another kick to the ribs. Following the blow with a takedown shot, Barez shoves him away. Barez sits down on a trio of leg kicks, with the third making Filho move awkwardly. Barez walks him down and slugs him in the face, and he proceeds to launch a right to the head and a left to the liver. The body shot sends him crashing down to the floor, and Barez backs off and lets him back off. From there, Barez stalks own his injured opponent and blasts him in the body again, forcing Filho once more to crumble to the mat. Barez is smart to not follow him into the guard, and he instead allows Filho to stand so he can line up a kick to the side. Filho is fired up, and instead of taking more punishment, he dishes it out and tags Barez. Barez is surprised, and he gathers his thoughts and smashes Filho in the dome with a right hand. Filho shakes it out and swings back with bad intentions, and in the middle of a furious exchange, he times a perfect takedown to deposit the surging Spaniard to the canvas. Filho meanders into the guard, passing to half guard fairly easily while putting his right arm behind the neck.
Filho sets up an arm-triangle choke and moves to full mount, and he transitions straight to the side to complete the submission. With his shoulder pressure tight and Filho going nowhere, it is only a matter of time at this point.
Barez thinks about what to do next, and his sole remaining option is to tap out before he drifts off to dreamland. When Goddard steps in, Filho has successfully completed the comeback after a wild three-plus minutes of action. The time of the stoppage is announced at 1:34 of the first round, but this is not the case, as there was instead 1:34 left in the opening frame.
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The Official Result
Jafel Filho def. Daniel Barez R1 3:26 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo sees Jafel Filho coming out hot but fading, while Daniel Bárez maintains a high pace and doesn't slow down. He notes that even if Filho gets takedowns, Bárez will force him to work and exhaust him. Angelo is not betting on this fight, indicating a lean rather than a strong pick.
Big Brady picks Daniel Bárez to win by knockout in the second round. He is impressed with Bárez's striking, especially his body work, and believes he can keep the fight standing to avoid Filho's dangerous grappling. He notes Bárez's age (34) and debut as red flags but likes his finishing ability.
Cody picks Bárez, noting his power and takedown ability. He thinks Bárez is physically stronger and has better striking. He is concerned about cardio but likes the plus money for a wild fighter.
Daniel bet Daniel Bárez at +110 to win 2 units. He believes Bárez is a seasoned veteran who has fought top competition like Manel Kape and Carlos Hernandez, and should be the favorite. He praises Bárez's work rate, clean hands, body work, and leg kicks, contrasting with Filho's low output and reliance on opportunistic submissions. He is concerned about Filho's guillotine and back takes but thinks Bárez's pressure and activity will overwhelm him. He expects Bárez to win by TKO or decision.
The host leans with Daniel Bárez, citing his striking advantage and aggressiveness as keys to victory. He acknowledges that Filho could have success if he takes the fight to the ground, but expects Bárez's damage-heavy approach to prevail. The fight is described as a pick'em, and the host predicts Bárez by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, citing Bárez's power and aggression. He notes Filho was submitted in his last fight and Bárez has finishing ability. He is willing to take a shot at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Jafel Filho, citing his impressive performance against Muhammad Mokaev where he nearly ripped his leg off. He criticizes Daniel Bárez's competition level, noting his wins are against low-level opponents. He also questions Bárez's wrestling effectiveness in MMA, stating his takedowns lack control and his striking is not impressive. The Guru believes Filho's submission attempts and damage will earn him a close decision win.
Victor Altamirano - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 1 | 67 of 130 | 51% | 78 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 71 of 177 | 40% | 76 of 184 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 1 | 22 of 34 | 64% | 33 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 35 of 79 | 44% | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bárez | 67 of 130 | 51% | 34 of 90 | 18 of 22 | 15 of 18 | 61 of 122 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Victor Altamirano | 71 of 177 | 40% | 28 of 105 | 28 of 54 | 15 of 18 | 71 of 177 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Bárez | 22 of 34 | 64% | 12 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Victor Altamirano | 15 of 43 | 34% | 3 of 23 | 6 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Bárez | 24 of 50 | 48% | 11 of 33 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 24 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victor Altamirano | 21 of 55 | 38% | 5 of 27 | 9 of 20 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Bárez | 21 of 46 | 45% | 11 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victor Altamirano | 35 of 79 | 44% | 20 of 55 | 13 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Backs are against the wall in this flyweight affair, as 35-year-old Spaniard Barez (16-6, 0-1 UFC) hopes to right the ship against the struggling Altamirano (12-4, 2-3 UFC). A pink slip could be awarded to the losing fighter, depending on how things play out. The referee of this fast-paced contest will be Rich Mitchell, who clocks the fighters in and is ready for what happens next. The two 125ers share a glove touch to commence, as Altamirano almost sprints past him to get set up. Altamirano leads the dance with a body kick, and Barez trips the front leg with a short low kick. Barez misses on a second kick, and he reaches the belly with a right straight. Altamirano swings his way in with a big left hook that does not connect, and Barez goes to the body again with a right hand. Barez chambers and fires a massive right hand, sending “El Magnifico” hurtling to the canvas. Barez pounces, letting loose ground-and-pound as Altamirano gathers his bearings and tries to close down the guard. Barez calms himself rather than spending his gas tank pursuing a finish that might not be around the corner, and he stands back to let his adversary up. Altamirano follows him up and uses his front leg to go after a side kick, a lead-leg high kick and a wheel kick. The Spaniard dodges all three and corrals Altamirano towards the fence, reaching the body and avoiding a kick at the same time. Barez’ strategy of that specific body shot must have been studied, because he lands it again and does not get hit with a counter. Altamirano uses a body kick to keep distance, only for Barez to crowd him with a right hand. Altamirano sneaks a head kick up, and Barez dodges it and ignores the second, even signaling to the Texan that it was no big deal. Altamirano kicks the ribs as he circles away, and his calf gets kicked in response. As the two battle it out, the commentary booth battles on the correct Spanish pronunciation of Barez’ name. Altamirano lines up several powerful body kicks, giving the older fighter pause and discouraging him from coming in. Barez tries to crash the pocket, and Altamirano parries effectively to get away. A second blitz from Barez is more successful, ending the round with a clean combination.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Round 2
The second round begins where the two left off, with Altamirano whipping kicks at his opponent while Barez tries to find a way in. Altamirano uses a side kick to aim at the head and body, preventing Barez from pursuing him constantly and instead forcing him to work in spurts. Barez manages to get inside, landing a few shots and slipping away. Altamirano charges forward and misses with every punch, and Barez is warned for outstretched fingers as he holds them towards his opponent. Altamirano dodges a haymaker to work the body, going to the lead leg and aiming a high kick in a rapidly transitioning combo. Altamirano’s activity is beginning to frustrate Barez, chipping and chopping with kicks at a safe berth. The more kicks he aims to the midsection and land on the right arm, the slower Barez’ right hands come back at him. Altamirano slips big, telegraphed blows while using that body kick to pepper the Spaniard again and again. Barez maintains a steady pace forward, but Altamirano is able to counter him and work away. Barez reaches him with two punches, dropping Altamirano to a knee, but it might be because of a trip and not a clean knockdown. When Altamirano gathers himself, Barez bears down on him and drills him in the head with a right hand, sending “El Magnifico” back down to the mat. Altamirano appears to be fine after the flash knockdown, with Barez chasing him and swinging until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano
Round 3
Gloves are touch to start the round, and the two are intense as can be. Altamirano does not slow down launching his rear-leg body kick, and Barez is giving Altamirano everything he can handle. Barez swings hard, and Altamirano’s primary weapon lands cleanly or is blocked cleanly—and either is a win for the Texan. Altamirano dips a left to the body and fires a right to the head, stunning the Spaniard for a moment. Altamirano capitalizes on the opening with an inside low kick, and he ducks a Barez charge to blast him in the face with a spinning back fist. Barez’ aggression works against him, and Altamirano pours it on and spams kicks to every target. Barez’ busted nose starts leaking, and his composure changes as his volume diminishes. Altamirano’s does not, keeping Barez honest with a constant stream of kicks to the head and midsection. Altamirano dances away from a looping right hand, resetting and firing a kick to the noggin. Altamirano jams a front kick to the body, and Barez walks him down and jabs him to the body. Barez swipes out with a left hand, and it is his right that lands. Altamirano slows his own pace until surging into action, rushing with a knee but extending a left hand that connects on the bloodied nose. Altamirano drills the ribs with a kick, and then hammers the raised guard with a kick. As Barez rushes towards him once more, Altamirano counters him with a spinning back fist, and it lands but not as cleanly as before. Altamirano comes up short with a wheel kick, and Barez gets his hands on him with a right hand. Both men land flush, and a furious brawl ensues. Barez eats a few shots and responds with a power right hand that sends Altamirano flying. Altamirano recovers instantly and swings it out until the back-and-forth scarp wraps.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Barez)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)
The Official Result
Daniel Barez def. Victor Altamirano via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Victor Altamirano as an underdog. He notes that Victor has been competitive in all his losses and has better wrestling. Daniel Bárez is returning after a year away and can be reckless chasing submissions, which could lead to losing positions. Angelo believes Victor's slickness and overall wrestling give him the edge.
Big Brady picks Victor Altamirano by third-round submission, expecting Bárez to win the first round but fade due to poor cardio. He notes Bárez has a kill-or-be-killed style and empties his tank early, while Altamirano has a great chin and BJJ black belt. He believes Altamirano will weather the storm and finish Bárez late.
Cody leans towards Altamirano due to his durability and pace. He notes that Bárez is a 35-year-old flyweight who gasses after the first round. Altamirano can take a punch and push a pace, potentially taking over in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Bárez's power and early threat.
Connor agrees, picking Altamirano as well. He notes that Bárez will look good early, kicking Altamirano's spleen out, but Altamirano's innate toughness and scrappiness will carry him through. Connor likes Altamirano as a self-taught fighter who overperforms.
Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Bárez to win. He thinks Bárez is the better boxer in the pocket with more power, and that Altamirano's unorthodox style may not work as well. He notes Bárez's cardio and toughness, and that Altamirano has slowed in recent fights. He likes Bárez at plus money.
JP picks Victor Altamirano because he doesn't like that Daniel Bárez lost on the Contender Series and then got signed anyway. He notes Altamirano has UFC experience and has lost to tough opponents like Tim Elliott and Felipe dos Santos. He says the lines are close and he won't put money on it.
Paul picks Bárez, expecting him to do more damage in the first two rounds and hold on for a decision. He notes Bárez's power and submission threat, but acknowledges Altamirano's durability. He doesn't plan to bet heavily but leans Bárez.
The MMA Guru picks Victor Altamirano over Daniel Bárez, noting Bárez's age (35) and his history of beating low-level competition. He believes Altamirano is more proven at UFC level and will land better shots. He also mentions Altamirano's reach advantage and Bárez's poor takedown control.
Zane thinks Altamirano will win because he is incredibly tough, has never been knocked out, and will gut through Bárez's early damage. He notes that Bárez is a kickboxer who hates MMA and tends to break when pressured. Altamirano will turn the fight into a brawl and scramble his way to victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe dos Santos | 0 | 40 of 74 | 54% | 52 of 97 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 5:02 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 62 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felipe dos Santos | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 14 of 36 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Felipe dos Santos | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 17 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 25 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Felipe dos Santos | 0 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe dos Santos | 40 of 74 | 54% | 7 of 33 | 23 of 31 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
| Victor Altamirano | 37 of 87 | 42% | 24 of 66 | 8 of 16 | 5 of 5 | 31 of 73 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felipe dos Santos | 9 of 23 | 39% | 2 of 11 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Victor Altamirano | 6 of 21 | 28% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Felipe dos Santos | 13 of 22 | 59% | 1 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 16 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Victor Altamirano | 14 of 35 | 40% | 8 of 26 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Felipe dos Santos | 18 of 29 | 62% | 4 of 12 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Victor Altamirano | 17 of 31 | 54% | 13 of 24 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Felipe dos Santos as the more dangerous fighter, citing his shootboxing style and aggression. He notes that both fighters are tough and coming off tough losses, but dos Santos' danger gives him the edge. He also mentions hoping for an over 1.5 rounds line.
Big Brady picks Felipe dos Santos to win by decision, but notes the line is too high at -275. He acknowledges dos Santos looked good in his debut against Manel Kape but has red flags in his film, including poor takedown defense and get-up game. He thinks Altamirano can wrestle a bit but doesn't have much control, so the fight will play out on the feet where dos Santos has volume and variety. He also mentions that dos Santos is a Shooto Box guy arriving late to Mexico City, which is a concern.
Cody picks dos Santos by submission at +600, having bet that prop. He notes dos Santos has a bunch of submission wins on the regional scene and Altamirano's takedown defense is suspect. He thinks dos Santos can exploit that and find a submission. He also mentions Altamirano has never been knocked out but has been submitted.
The host sees both fighters as similar but gives the edge to dos Santos due to his more aggressive approach. He expects dos Santos to utilize either a grapple-heavy or volume-heavy striking game with kicks and punches from distance to grind out a decision win.
Paul picks dos Santos on the moneyline, though he thinks the price is a bit much. He notes dos Santos looked great against Manel Kape on short notice and has a full camp now. Altamirano is hittable and not durable. He expects dos Santos to win, possibly by knockout, though he hasn't bet it yet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott | 0 | 28 of 57 | 49% | 153 of 237 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 11:13 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 102 of 142 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Elliott | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 44 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:43 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 47 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tim Elliott | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 49 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 35 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 3 | Tim Elliott | 0 | 14 of 34 | 41% | 60 of 101 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:22 |
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott | 28 of 57 | 49% | 22 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 32 |
| Victor Altamirano | 19 of 39 | 48% | 10 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 31 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Elliott | 9 of 14 | 64% | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 14 |
| Victor Altamirano | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tim Elliott | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Victor Altamirano | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tim Elliott | 14 of 34 | 41% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 16 |
| Victor Altamirano | 10 of 18 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Elliott (-175), Altamirano (+150)
Round 1
This flyweight affair figures to be a wild one, as former title challenger Elliott (18-12-1, 7-10 UFC) has gone through a lot lately and is looking to push past personal drama to record a win. He faces Texan Altamirano (12-2, 2-1 UFC), who has strung two wins together on his own ledger. This potentially high-paced contest will have referee Mark Smith serve as the Octagon ranger, and the amped up fighters touch gloves quickly. Altamirano leaps out from his corner with kicks, and as he does, Elliott grabs hold of one and lowers him to the floor. Altamirano defends when his seat hits the mat with powerful hammerfists, and Elliott responds with his own from on top. Altamirano is active on his back with strikes and movement, wriggling and trying to force a scramble or irritate Elliott enough with his blows to slow offense. Altamirano kicks off the chest to fight his way up, and when he is upright again, he throws a low kick. Elliott catches it and dumps his man to the floor, and he starts unloading with Donkey Kong-esque hammerfists. Altamirano threatens with an armbar off his back, and Elliott shucks it off so that he can continue striking. Altamirano sets up a high guard and considers another armbar, and Elliott once more pushes through it to land shots. Altamirano stays busy with an offensive guard, despite the strikes landing on his face repeatedly, and the veteran Elliott sees the setups and knows how to avoid any of them from getting too close. Elliott stands up to stack his man up, and he lowers himself back down while dropping punches. Elliott grinds his forehead on the opponent, slugging away all the while. Elliott is seemingly frantic with his strikes, but doing so allows him to not set up a pattern that can allow him to fall into a trap. Altamirano tries to secure another armbar, and Elliott tosses it aside to punch “El Magnifico” in the face. Elliott keeps beating on Altamirano, with no strike individually immensely powerful, but the number is adding up fast. The round ends, and Smith is quick to get between them as they still want to keep going at it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Round 2
The fighters toss out a glove touch just before engaging, and Elliott walks into a leg kick and a right hand. Altamirano gets up close, and Elliott manages to force a scramble that lets him dump Altamirano to his back. Elliott looks to pick up where he left off, with erratic ground strikes and no fear of Altamirano’s guard. Elliott places his knee on his foe’s to pry open the guard, and he drags his elbow back and forth on Altamirano’s face as if he were trying to saw a log with it. Elliott postures up after landing some strikes, and he allows Altamirano to stand up so that he can drive several knees to the body. Altamirano celebrates the standing position again by booting Elliott upside the head, and the former title challenger is stung and ends up falling to his back. Altamirano climbs on top of him, and he laces an elbow over the top while Elliott maintains butterfly hooks. Elliott manages to kick off, and he darts forward with a right hand. Altamirano responds with a single, and Elliott drops down for a guillotine choke that has no legs to it. Elliott lines up a left hand, a haymaker from downtown, and he succeeds in blasting Altamirano in the head with it. Elliott takes advantage of this by bowling Altamirano over, and he moves on top even as Altamirano turns to his side in an effort to escape. Elliott settles for controlling position as he looks to move into a more traditional position on top, and he shifts into the guard that closes around him. Elliott grinds his forehead in the eye socket, and Altamirano throws his legs up for something, anything. Elliott ignores this so he can mount some offense, and he proceeds to batter Altamirano until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Round 3
Elliott practically runs out of his corner to start kicking, and he lifts his leg up in the air to hop forward and kick down with a stomp to the knee. Elliott hops back and forth, springing to the side, and Smith tells to fight. Elliott obliges him by swinging a monstrous right hand, and Altamirano eats it like brisket and strikes back. Altamirano slips a kick up to the head, and Elliott ducks into a subsequent kick and avoids a spinning wheel kick. The kicks from the Texan open him up to grappling, and Elliott exploits this with an easy takedown. Elliott leans Altamirano up against the cage between the corner of the floor and the wall, and he sits in the guard slamming Altamirano with elbows. Altamirano keeps his guard up to not let many get through, but Elliott is busy attacking while Altamirano is stuck defending on his back. Altamirano gets dragged out from sitting up so that Elliott can keep working him over, and Altamirano tries and fails for a high guard to a submission effort. Elliott remains active on top with movement and control, but he lacks offense as Smith grows restless. Altamirano explodes to his seat and up, and Elliott meets him on the way up with a knee that was borderline. Altamirano gets up and releases a head kick, and Elliott takes it on the chin and keeps on chugging. Altamirano strings a few punches together into a leg kick, and Elliott gathers his thoughts and secures a takedown to place the Texan flat on his back. Elliott lands in the guard, and Altamirano closes it up and hangs on to prevent getting struck. Elliott grinds with a few elbows as Altamirano feebly tosses his legs up for an armbar. Elliott keeps on striking right to the bitter end, and he stands and marches away with a frown on his face at the sound of the horn, expecting he will get his hand raised very shortly.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-27 Elliott)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-27 Elliott)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elliott (30-27 Elliott)
The Official Result
Tim Elliott def. Victor Altamirano via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Elliott, citing his pressure, volume, and grappling. He thinks Altamirano's takedown defense is improving but still not good enough. Elliott's ability to keep coming forward and secure takedowns will be the difference. Angelo is confident Elliott gets it done.
Cody picks Elliott but with reservations. He highlights Elliott's wrestling as his best weapon, but worries that Elliott's stated intention to slug it out could backfire. Cody notes Altamirano's durability and speed, and that Elliott's best performances come when he has personal animosity (like against Espinoza). He thinks the under is an interesting play but is not confident in Elliott's game plan.
Connor picks Elliott, agreeing it's a levels fight. He notes that Altamirano's striking is poor and his grappling is functional but not dangerous. Connor believes Elliott's experience and scrambling ability will be too much, even if Elliott is emotionally affected by his divorce.
Daniel leans Tim Elliott in a three-round fight, citing Elliott's experience and the fact that Altamirano is a slow starter. He notes that if it were five rounds, he'd pick Altamirano, but in three rounds Elliott's early pressure and wrestling should carry him. He acknowledges the outside drama but doesn't think it affects the fight.
Jacob picks Elliott, believing he does everything a little better than Altamirano. He notes Elliott's gas tank and ability to outwork opponents. Jacob is concerned about Altamirano's power but thinks Elliott's wrestling and pressure will prevail. He also mentions Elliott's emotional state could be a factor but still picks him.
Elliott has personal motivation and a grappling-heavy style that will exploit Altamirano's questionable takedown defense. Altamirano has a good kicking game but struggles in the smaller cage. Elliott will land multiple takedowns, control positions, and win a decision.
Paul picks Tim Elliott but is not confident. He notes Elliott's wrestling advantage and Altamirano's suspect takedown defense. However, Elliott's recent comments about seeking a KO and doing wild stuff raise concerns about game plan discipline. Paul also mentions Elliott's age (38) and personal issues. He thinks the under 2.5 rounds at +215 is interesting due to narrative, but he's not fully sold on Elliott's approach.
The MMA Guru picks Tim Elliott, noting he has a win over Tagir Ulanbekov and has fought the best in the flyweight division, including competitive decisions with top fighters. He criticizes Victor Altamirano for being technically not good, though dangerous with crazy shots. He expects Elliott to outpoint and frustrate Altamirano to a 29-28 decision win.
Zane picks Elliott, viewing this as a levels matchup. He notes that Altamirano is tough but has poor defense and limited technique, while Elliott's scrambling and wrestling should dominate. Zane acknowledges the personal turmoil in Elliott's life (divorce) but believes his anger could fuel a strong performance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 0 | 62 of 118 | 52% | 109 of 171 | 3 of 22 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 5:04 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 47 of 130 | 36% | 83 of 168 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 39 of 54 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Victor Altamirano | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 33 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Victor Altamirano | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 37 of 63 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 62 of 118 | 52% | 28 of 69 | 14 of 27 | 20 of 22 | 54 of 106 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 47 of 130 | 36% | 26 of 102 | 15 of 21 | 6 of 7 | 39 of 119 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 16 of 29 | 55% | 2 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 10 | 13 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 11 of 33 | 33% | 4 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Victor Altamirano | 24 of 42 | 57% | 10 of 22 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 23 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 24 of 56 | 42% | 15 of 43 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Victor Altamirano | 22 of 47 | 46% | 16 of 34 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 12 of 41 | 29% | 7 of 34 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Altamirano, citing his speed, power, and patience. He notes that Salvador is a high-volume striker with poor defense, and that Altamirano can work in offensive wrestling. He thinks Altamirano is more of a dog and will come forward, hit less, and use grappling to win.
Big Brady picks Vinicius Salvador by first-round knockout, citing his power and 100% finish rate. He notes Salvador's improvements since his Contender Series appearance, where he looked much better against Shannon Ross. Brady acknowledges Altamirano's grappling threat but believes Salvador's dangerous striking will prevail early. He calls it a close fight but favors Salvador's explosiveness.
Cody leans Salvador, citing his power, speed, and striking accuracy. He notes Altamirano is hittable and has cardio but may be outgunned. He worries about Salvador's cardio and takedown defense but thinks Salvador can land a KO early. He calls it a 50/50 fight and suggests a live bet on Altamirano if Salvador doesn't finish early.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Salvador. He describes Altamorano as a very awkward, hittable fighter with a weird style that won't survive against most flyweights. Salvador looks like a real flyweight with potency, while Altamorano is a not-very-athletic guy who has put in weird work. Connor thinks Salvador will maintain the pocket and find Altamorano right in front of him, unable to throw power shots back.
Jacob picks Salvador, noting his power, volume, and confidence. He thinks Altamirano will brawl, which plays into Salvador's hands. He warns that Altamirano needs to get takedowns early, but if he doesn't, he is in trouble. He believes Salvador is longer and quicker and will get the job done.
The host leans with Salvador, believing his technical defense is slightly better and he will land unorthodox strikes. He likes the over 1.5 rounds prop, expecting both fighters to throw a lot but not land finishing power early. He predicts Salvador wins by decision.
The Guru picks Salvador, citing his youth and finishing potential. He notes that Altamirano has been dropped before and that Salvador's power could be decisive. He acknowledges it's a close fight but trusts Salvador's ability to bounce back if hurt.
Zane picks Vinicius Salvador because he believes Altamorano's awkward, off-balance style lacks punching power and will be easily exploited by Salvador's pocket boxing. Salvador is willing to eat shots to stay in range and throw wide hooks, while Altamorano struggles to deliver hard strikes from his stance. Zane notes that Altamorano's win over Daniel Lacerda was more an indictment of Lacerda's lack of longevity than a sign of Altamorano's quality.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 1 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 1 | 58 of 83 | 69% | 94 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 1 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 1 | 58 of 83 | 69% | 94 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 22 of 45 | 48% | 14 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 58 of 83 | 69% | 48 of 71 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 53 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 22 of 45 | 48% | 14 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 58 of 83 | 69% | 48 of 71 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 53 |
Angelo picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) over Victor Altamirano. He calls it a razor-thin fight that should be a pick'em. He notes that both are solid strikers with okay wrestling and good BJJ, but believes Lacerda is the better striker and more dangerous fighter. He acknowledges Altamirano's takedown defense isn't great but he sweeps well. Angelo is concerned about Lacerda's poor wrestling but thinks he can still get it done. He admits he doesn't love the pick but is going with the underdog due to Lacerda's danger.
Big Brady sees this as a tricky fight. He notes that Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) is dangerous early with a 100% finish rate but fades badly if the fight extends, as seen in his loss to Jeff Molina. Victor Altamirano has terrible takedown defense but is durable and has cardio. Brady expects Lacerda to look good early but fade, with Altamirano taking over and finishing by submission in the second or third round. He is hesitant because Lacerda could win the first round if he lands early.
Cody picks Altamirano, emphasizing his Mexican toughness and durability. He notes Lacerda's cardio issues and thinks Altamirano can break him down. He likes the under 12.5 minutes as it covers both fighters' finishing potential.
Daniel Levi picks Victor Altamirano to win a decision. He notes that Daniel Lacerda is hell on wheels early but fades, and in the elevation, Lacerda will gas even faster. Levi believes Altamirano's Mexican heart and long strikes will take over in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges that Lacerda could get an early finish, but if he doesn't, Altamirano wins.
Victor Altamirano is the lock of the night play with 4 units at -168. He expects Altamirano to survive early trouble from Lacerda's takedowns and jiu-jitsu, then take over as Lacerda's cardio fades after the first few minutes. Altamirano's striking advantage and ability to create scrambles should lead to a finish in the second or third round. He also took 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at -165 as a hedge.
Paul picks Altamirano, citing his durability and cardio advantage. He notes Lacerda's explosive style but poor cardio. He likes the under 12.5 minutes on Prize Picks and thinks Altamirano can weather the early storm and take over.
The Guru predicts Victor Altamirano wins via 29-28 unanimous decision. He describes a sloppy, chaotic fight where Lacerda gives Altamirano problems early with takedowns and punches, but Altamirano lands leg kicks and body kicks. He sees Altamirano wearing Lacerda down in the second and third rounds, beating him up badly in the third.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Victor Altamirano as an underdog. He notes that Victor has been competitive in all his losses and has better wrestling. Daniel Bárez is returning after a year away and can be reckless chasing submissions, which could lead to losing positions. Angelo believes Victor's slickness and overall wrestling give him the edge.
Big Brady picks Victor Altamirano by third-round submission, expecting Bárez to win the first round but fade due to poor cardio. He notes Bárez has a kill-or-be-killed style and empties his tank early, while Altamirano has a great chin and BJJ black belt. He believes Altamirano will weather the storm and finish Bárez late.
Cody leans towards Altamirano due to his durability and pace. He notes that Bárez is a 35-year-old flyweight who gasses after the first round. Altamirano can take a punch and push a pace, potentially taking over in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Bárez's power and early threat.
Connor agrees, picking Altamirano as well. He notes that Bárez will look good early, kicking Altamirano's spleen out, but Altamirano's innate toughness and scrappiness will carry him through. Connor likes Altamirano as a self-taught fighter who overperforms.
Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Bárez to win. He thinks Bárez is the better boxer in the pocket with more power, and that Altamirano's unorthodox style may not work as well. He notes Bárez's cardio and toughness, and that Altamirano has slowed in recent fights. He likes Bárez at plus money.
JP picks Victor Altamirano because he doesn't like that Daniel Bárez lost on the Contender Series and then got signed anyway. He notes Altamirano has UFC experience and has lost to tough opponents like Tim Elliott and Felipe dos Santos. He says the lines are close and he won't put money on it.
Paul picks Bárez, expecting him to do more damage in the first two rounds and hold on for a decision. He notes Bárez's power and submission threat, but acknowledges Altamirano's durability. He doesn't plan to bet heavily but leans Bárez.
The MMA Guru picks Victor Altamirano over Daniel Bárez, noting Bárez's age (35) and his history of beating low-level competition. He believes Altamirano is more proven at UFC level and will land better shots. He also mentions Altamirano's reach advantage and Bárez's poor takedown control.
Zane thinks Altamirano will win because he is incredibly tough, has never been knocked out, and will gut through Bárez's early damage. He notes that Bárez is a kickboxer who hates MMA and tends to break when pressured. Altamirano will turn the fight into a brawl and scramble his way to victory.
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