Career Averages - Fernando Padilla
Career Averages - Luis Pajuelo
Fernando Padilla
Luis Pajuelo
Fernando Padilla - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 1 | 38 of 71 | 53% | 38 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 22 of 69 | 31% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 1 | 38 of 71 | 53% | 38 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 22 of 69 | 31% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 38 of 71 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Fernando Padilla | 22 of 69 | 31% | 14 of 59 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 61 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 38 of 71 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Fernando Padilla | 22 of 69 | 31% | 14 of 59 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 61 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Woodson due to his excellent range management and boxing background, which should allow him to dance around Padilla. He notes Woodson's 84% takedown defense and long reach, while Padilla has no wrestling and prefers pocket boxing. He expresses slight concern that Woodson's quiet win streak might end, but trusts what he sees.
Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla to win by second-round submission. He thinks Padilla has more power and a slick grappling game, and can match Woodson's length. He notes Woodson has zero power and has been finished by lengthier opponents. He expects Padilla to hurt Woodson on the feet and then submit him.
Cody picks Sean Woodson but with low confidence, citing his volume and reach advantage. He notes that Padilla has power and could catch Woodson, but Woodson's experience and ability to outpoint opponents should win. Cody is concerned about Woodson's chin after being dropped by Luis Saldana.
Connor also picks Woodson, noting that Woodson is comfortable in the pocket and has decent defense, while Padilla is only truly dangerous in close. He points out that Woodson has more reach and a better idea of how to use it, but Padilla's finishing ability and Woodson's tendency to invite brawls make it a risky pick. Connor thinks Woodson can be more functional at ranges where Padilla is not competitive.
Daniel Vreeland picks Sean Woodson to win by decision, citing his cleaner boxing and range management. He acknowledges Padilla's power and tenacity but believes Woodson will win the minutes and outpoint him. Vreeland notes Woodson has improved since his early UFC career and should be able to avoid big shots.
Woodson's height and reach advantage (6'2", 78 in reach) will allow him to touch up Padilla from distance with his jab and footwork, leading to another classic Woodson decision victory.
Paul leans towards Padilla by knockout, citing his power and Woodson's questionable chin. He notes that Padilla's win condition is a KO, and Woodson's tall man defense could be exploited. Paul prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Woodson despite past doubts about his performances. He notes Woodson's composure as the fight progresses, particularly his body work in rounds two and three. He acknowledges Fernando Padilla's dangerous striking but believes Woodson is better in the pocket and at range. He predicts a close decision (29-28) rather than a finish.
Zane picks Woodson but acknowledges it's not easy. He notes that Woodson has a functional long-range game and is learning to lean into it, while Padilla is all about crashing into the pocket. However, Padilla is a fast finisher and Woodson tends to invite pocket exchanges, which could get him in trouble. Zane thinks Woodson's reach and better use of range should prevail, but Padilla has opportunities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 34 of 61 | 55% | 24 of 49 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 29 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 34 of 61 | 55% | 24 of 49 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 29 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Luis Pajuelo as a low confidence underdog, drawing parallels to Padilla's loss to Kyle Nelson where forward pressure caused problems. He believes Pajuelo's constant forward pressure and aggression will overwhelm Padilla, who lacks wrestling to take the fight down. He expects a close decision but will not bet due to Pajuelo being an untested UFC debut.
Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla, citing his reach and height advantage, better cardio, and grappling. He notes Luis Pajuelo is hittable and has zero striking defense, but is durable. He expects Padilla to land many strikes and eventually break Pajuelo, finishing him by third-round knockout.
Cody picks Pajuelo, citing his physical strength, cardio from training at altitude, and high volume. He notes that Padilla struggles against strong, forward-pressure fighters like Kyle Nelson. Cody expects Pajuelo to outwork and outmuscle Padilla, possibly winning by decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Fernando Padilla by decision, citing his seven-inch reach advantage and experience. He notes Pajuelo has holes in his game, especially off his back, and tends to brawl recklessly. He believes Padilla will stay on the outside and pick Pajuelo apart, possibly winning a decision.
Pajuelo is a pressure fighter with great durability and a relentless pace. He will move forward and drown Padilla, who tends to slow down in deep waters. Padilla is slick from range but struggles when pressured. Pajuelo should get a TKO, though he must be careful of submissions in the clinch. Pajuelo is a solid underdog play.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Pajuelo's volume and power will be too much for Padilla. He likes the plus money on Pajuelo and even suggests a prop bet on Pajuelo by decision at +475.
The MMA Guru picks Luis Pajuelo over Fernando Padilla, highlighting Pajuelo's boxing background as a national champion in Peru. He likes Pajuelo's confidence and composure under fire, and thinks he will find Padilla's chin and body. He predicts a liver shot TKO, noting Padilla's narrow frame. He expresses concern about Pajuelo's takedown defense but doesn't think Padilla will wrestle.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 0 | 72 of 208 | 34% | 73 of 209 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 82 of 184 | 44% | 83 of 185 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 26 of 82 | 31% | 26 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 22 of 59 | 37% | 23 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kyle Nelson | 0 | 24 of 67 | 35% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 27 of 76 | 35% | 27 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 72 of 208 | 34% | 42 of 168 | 17 of 22 | 13 of 18 | 65 of 198 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernando Padilla | 82 of 184 | 44% | 43 of 143 | 19 of 20 | 20 of 21 | 80 of 176 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Nelson | 26 of 82 | 31% | 17 of 68 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 24 of 77 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernando Padilla | 25 of 50 | 50% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 25 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kyle Nelson | 22 of 59 | 37% | 11 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernando Padilla | 30 of 58 | 51% | 16 of 43 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 29 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kyle Nelson | 24 of 67 | 35% | 14 of 54 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Fernando Padilla | 27 of 76 | 35% | 15 of 64 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 71 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fernando Padilla, noting his accuracy and clinch work will be the difference. He mentions both fighters like gritty pocket fights, which favors Padilla. He wishes the value were better at -241 and plans to monitor the line movement before betting.
Big Brady is confident in Padilla, criticizing Nelson's recent inactivity and poor performances. He believes Padilla will force the action and that Nelson will revert to his old ways of gassing and getting finished. He notes Padilla's power, cardio, and grappling skills, and predicts a third-round knockout.
Cody considers Nelson a live dog due to his durability, wrestling, and experience. He notes Nelson's low volume is a concern but thinks he can make fights close and has power. However, he is not confident enough to bet and may pass, preferring Giagos as a better dog play.
Daniel Levi picks Fernando Padilla but with low confidence, as he is still unsure what Padilla truly is at the UFC level. He notes Padilla's length and toughness but questions his durability over three rounds. Levi believes Kyle Nelson is a known quantity and that Padilla has the power and reach to win, but he did not bet the fight because the jury is still out on Padilla's long-term potential.
Padilla is a finisher with 13 of 15 wins inside the distance, showcasing pinpoint striking and accuracy. Nelson is on a resurgence but relies on striking and has been inconsistent. Padilla has advantages in reach, speed, and jiu-jitsu if the fight goes to the ground. I expect Padilla to utilize combination striking from distance and get a finish, likely by submission in the second round.
Paul picks Padilla but is not confident. He notes Padilla's dynamic offense and volume, but worries about unknowns and Nelson's durability and wrestling. He sees value in Nelson as a dog but ultimately sides with Padilla's speed and finishing ability.
The MMA Guru picks Fernando Padilla over Kyle Nelson, citing Padilla's dangerous striking and 76-inch reach advantage. He notes Padilla's quick TKO of Julian Erosa on short notice and believes he will look even better on a full camp. He mentions Padilla's takedown defense and that he is hard to finish, predicting a decision or finish by Padilla.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Erosa | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Erosa | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Erosa | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Erosa | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Cody picks Padilla as an underdog, citing Erosa's durability issues and tendency to get knocked out. He notes that Padilla has decent power and could catch Erosa early. However, he is flip-floppy and admits he wants to pick Erosa due to experience, but the favorite tag on a chinny fighter makes him lean towards the underdog.
Connor thinks Erosa's experience and durability will prevail. He notes Padilla's poor defense and tendency to gas, and that Erosa gets stronger as fights go on. He acknowledges Erosa's history of getting KO'd but believes Padilla's lack of power and technical striking make it less likely. He sees Erosa as the more versatile fighter in messy exchanges.
Paul picks Erosa but very cautiously, acknowledging his chin issues and recent knockout losses. He notes that Erosa is talented and exciting but has been knocked out by light punchers. He is not confident enough to bet on Erosa, but for the pick he goes with Erosa, hoping he doesn't get cracked again.
Zane agrees, citing Padilla's limited game and Erosa's ability to win scrambles and late rounds. He notes Padilla's submissions off his back but thinks Erosa's aggression and cardio will be decisive. He sees Erosa as the rightful slight favorite.
Luis Pajuelo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 1 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 34 of 61 | 55% | 24 of 49 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 29 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 34 of 61 | 55% | 24 of 49 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 29 |
| Luis Pajuelo | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Luis Pajuelo as a low confidence underdog, drawing parallels to Padilla's loss to Kyle Nelson where forward pressure caused problems. He believes Pajuelo's constant forward pressure and aggression will overwhelm Padilla, who lacks wrestling to take the fight down. He expects a close decision but will not bet due to Pajuelo being an untested UFC debut.
Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla, citing his reach and height advantage, better cardio, and grappling. He notes Luis Pajuelo is hittable and has zero striking defense, but is durable. He expects Padilla to land many strikes and eventually break Pajuelo, finishing him by third-round knockout.
Cody picks Pajuelo, citing his physical strength, cardio from training at altitude, and high volume. He notes that Padilla struggles against strong, forward-pressure fighters like Kyle Nelson. Cody expects Pajuelo to outwork and outmuscle Padilla, possibly winning by decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Fernando Padilla by decision, citing his seven-inch reach advantage and experience. He notes Pajuelo has holes in his game, especially off his back, and tends to brawl recklessly. He believes Padilla will stay on the outside and pick Pajuelo apart, possibly winning a decision.
Pajuelo is a pressure fighter with great durability and a relentless pace. He will move forward and drown Padilla, who tends to slow down in deep waters. Padilla is slick from range but struggles when pressured. Pajuelo should get a TKO, though he must be careful of submissions in the clinch. Pajuelo is a solid underdog play.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Pajuelo's volume and power will be too much for Padilla. He likes the plus money on Pajuelo and even suggests a prop bet on Pajuelo by decision at +475.
The MMA Guru picks Luis Pajuelo over Fernando Padilla, highlighting Pajuelo's boxing background as a national champion in Peru. He likes Pajuelo's confidence and composure under fire, and thinks he will find Padilla's chin and body. He predicts a liver shot TKO, noting Padilla's narrow frame. He expresses concern about Pajuelo's takedown defense but doesn't think Padilla will wrestle.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Luis Pajuelo as a low confidence underdog, drawing parallels to Padilla's loss to Kyle Nelson where forward pressure caused problems. He believes Pajuelo's constant forward pressure and aggression will overwhelm Padilla, who lacks wrestling to take the fight down. He expects a close decision but will not bet due to Pajuelo being an untested UFC debut.
Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla, citing his reach and height advantage, better cardio, and grappling. He notes Luis Pajuelo is hittable and has zero striking defense, but is durable. He expects Padilla to land many strikes and eventually break Pajuelo, finishing him by third-round knockout.
Cody picks Pajuelo, citing his physical strength, cardio from training at altitude, and high volume. He notes that Padilla struggles against strong, forward-pressure fighters like Kyle Nelson. Cody expects Pajuelo to outwork and outmuscle Padilla, possibly winning by decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Fernando Padilla by decision, citing his seven-inch reach advantage and experience. He notes Pajuelo has holes in his game, especially off his back, and tends to brawl recklessly. He believes Padilla will stay on the outside and pick Pajuelo apart, possibly winning a decision.
Pajuelo is a pressure fighter with great durability and a relentless pace. He will move forward and drown Padilla, who tends to slow down in deep waters. Padilla is slick from range but struggles when pressured. Pajuelo should get a TKO, though he must be careful of submissions in the clinch. Pajuelo is a solid underdog play.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Pajuelo's volume and power will be too much for Padilla. He likes the plus money on Pajuelo and even suggests a prop bet on Pajuelo by decision at +475.
The MMA Guru picks Luis Pajuelo over Fernando Padilla, highlighting Pajuelo's boxing background as a national champion in Peru. He likes Pajuelo's confidence and composure under fire, and thinks he will find Padilla's chin and body. He predicts a liver shot TKO, noting Padilla's narrow frame. He expresses concern about Pajuelo's takedown defense but doesn't think Padilla will wrestle.
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