Career Averages - Jarno Errens
Career Averages - Steven Nguyen
Jarno Errens
Steven Nguyen
Jarno Errens - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 10 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 7 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 10 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 7 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 10 of 12 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jarno Errens | 6 of 26 | 23% | 3 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 10 of 12 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jarno Errens | 6 of 26 | 23% | 3 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-395), Errens (+310)
Round 1
Attention shifts to the featherweight division, where Errens (14-5-1, 1-2 UFC) awaits Zalal (14-5-1, 4-3-1 UFC) at 145 pounds. Mike Beltran serves as the third man in the cage. Errens pumps out his jab, looking to get a read on range. Zalal greets him with a leg kick, then another and another. Errens light on his feet in the center of the cage. He shoots a leg kick of his own, then and overhand right. Leg kick from Zalal. Errens answers with a jab. Another leg kick from Zalal. Errens whiffs on a spinning wheel kick, then charges forward. Zalal scores with a left hook to the body. Eye poke from Errens results in pause to the action and warning from Beltran. Errens looks to up the aggression midway through the round. Zalal shoots on the hips and powers the Dutchman into the cage. Errens avoids the initial takedown attempt but not the second. Zalal establishes top position, then moves to the back with a body triangle. Errens stands.
Zalal goes to work on a rear-naked choke, forces his arms into place, tightens his squeeze and prompts the tapout
.
The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jarno Errens—Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) 3:52 R1
Angelo is very confident in Zalal because of his high fight IQ, incredible defense (only 1.73 significant strikes absorbed per minute), and well-rounded skills. He notes that Errens overcommits and extends while chasing power, which sets him up to be taken down. Zalal is one of Angelo's most confident picks on the card.
Cody is high on Zalal, citing his improved grappling, slick Jiu-Jitsu, and dominant win over Billy Quarantillo. He notes Errens has poor takedown defense (26%) and is one-dimensional. Cody expects Zalal to submit Errens and took Zalal by submission at plus 310.
Zalal has a solid all-around game with good striking, leg kicks, and aggressive grappling, plus high-level cardio training at elevation. Errens has shown flaws in takedown defense and has been out-grinded by strikers. Zalal should mix in takedowns to separate himself and win on the scorecards, though Errens is tough to finish.
Paul agrees, calling Zalal a potential top-five guy. He notes Errens' takedown defense is a massive flaw and Zalal should dominate. Paul took Zalal by submission as well, believing Zalal will take the smart route and not risk striking.
The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal, citing his experience and underrated skills. He notes Zalal's ability to float on the outside and play the point-fighting game, which he believes will be effective against Jarno Errens. He mentions Zalal's close fight with Ilia Topuria and his win over Billy Quarantillo as evidence of his quality. He dismisses Errens' recent win over Steven Nguyen, stating Zalal is a step up in competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarno Errens | 1 | 105 of 207 | 50% | 106 of 208 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 63 of 226 | 27% | 63 of 227 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarno Errens | 0 | 39 of 71 | 54% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 21 of 63 | 33% | 21 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Jarno Errens | 1 | 33 of 72 | 45% | 33 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 22 of 91 | 24% | 22 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jarno Errens | 0 | 33 of 64 | 51% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 20 of 72 | 27% | 20 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarno Errens | 105 of 207 | 50% | 51 of 139 | 29 of 38 | 25 of 30 | 103 of 203 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 63 of 226 | 27% | 47 of 187 | 8 of 16 | 8 of 23 | 59 of 219 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarno Errens | 39 of 71 | 54% | 15 of 43 | 13 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 39 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 21 of 63 | 33% | 13 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 12 | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Jarno Errens | 33 of 72 | 45% | 13 of 46 | 11 of 15 | 9 of 11 | 31 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 22 of 91 | 24% | 17 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 9 | 21 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jarno Errens | 33 of 64 | 51% | 23 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 20 of 72 | 27% | 17 of 67 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo is confident in Steven Nguyen, believing he is better everywhere in the fight with superior skills, power, and grappling. He notes that Nguyen is a real prospect with heavy hands and slick submissions, while Errens is durable but sets himself up to be taken down. He would include Nguyen in parlays but not the safety parlay due to his UFC debut status.
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default due to Jarno Errens' extremely low volume (1.67 significant strikes per minute). He notes Nguyen is high volume and active, landing over 8 strikes per minute on the contender series. He thinks Nguyen's toughness and activity will lead to a decision win, though he is not in love with Nguyen as a fighter.
Cody picks Nguyen, citing his high volume and cardio. He notes that Errens has low output and poor cardio, often gassing after a strong start. Cody believes Nguyen's constant pressure and striking volume will overwhelm Errens.
Daniel Vreeland picks Steven Nguyen by decision, citing his high output and durability. He criticizes Errens for poor fight IQ, often dropping opponents then ending up on his back. He believes Nguyen's volume will overwhelm Errens over three rounds.
Nguyen is the better overall fighter with high-level striking and good combinations. However, his striking defense is lacking and he is hittable. Errens could make it close, but Nguyen should win a decision by putting together a better body of work. The line at -180 is too wide for comfort, so no bet is recommended.
Paul agrees, highlighting Nguyen's volume (over 100 significant strikes in fights) and Errens' inability to keep pace. He notes Errens' lack of urgency and poor takedown defense. Paul sees Nguyen as a clear play.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Jarno Errens, citing Nguyen's composure, willingness to push a pace, and ability to handle pressure. He criticizes Errens for not committing to winning and leaving fights to decisions. He thinks Nguyen will be the larger opponent and will push forward, leading to a decision win in the later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeungWoo Choi | 1 | 56 of 115 | 48% | 108 of 179 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:21 |
| Jarno Errens | 1 | 30 of 76 | 39% | 40 of 88 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SeungWoo Choi | 0 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 2 | SeungWoo Choi | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 28 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Jarno Errens | 1 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | SeungWoo Choi | 1 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 51 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeungWoo Choi | 56 of 115 | 48% | 22 of 69 | 8 of 15 | 26 of 31 | 51 of 107 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 |
| Jarno Errens | 30 of 76 | 39% | 13 of 47 | 6 of 14 | 11 of 15 | 30 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SeungWoo Choi | 26 of 52 | 50% | 10 of 32 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 14 | 24 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jarno Errens | 18 of 41 | 43% | 9 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 10 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | SeungWoo Choi | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Jarno Errens | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | SeungWoo Choi | 21 of 44 | 47% | 7 of 24 | 3 of 7 | 11 of 13 | 21 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jarno Errens | 8 of 27 | 29% | 2 of 16 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges Choi's three-fight losing streak and recent TKO loss, but notes that his losses came against solid competition. He highlights Choi's technical striking, leg kicks, and takedown setups. Despite the losing streak, he believes Choi is the better fighter and picks him, but with no bet due to the streak.
Big Brady acknowledges Choi Seung-woo's three-fight skid but believes he is much better than his record indicates, with good striking and power. He thinks Choi has improved his takedown defense enough to keep the fight standing. He is not a fan of Jarno Errens, citing a lackluster debut and disadvantages in volume and power. He expects Choi to outpoint Errens over 15 minutes.
Cody picks Errens as an underdog, noting his Dutch kickboxing style and volume. He thinks Choi's chin is deteriorating and Errens can outwork him. Cody likes the plus money value.
Daniel leans Choi Seung-woo, noting that he is the more skilled mixed martial artist. He mentions that Choi has a habit of dropping his right hand and getting countered with left hooks, and his chin may be damaged. He acknowledges that Errens has a good submission game and takedown defense issues. He is not confident and advises staying away from this fight.
James leans towards Jarno Errens as an underdog, citing Choi's poor durability and defensive technique after being dropped multiple times in recent fights. He believes the fight will be a 15-minute striking affair and trusts Errens' durability and technical striking over Choi's power. He notes the line has moved but originally Errens was at +180, which he sees as value.
The host notes that Choi Seung-woo is on a 0-3 slump, has been finished in two of those fights, and his durability is declining. He highlights Choi's poor striking defense and vulnerability to grappling. Jarno Errens has a judo background and decent power, and the host believes his power and grappling advantage will allow him to pull off the upset. The host mentions that Errens' odds have moved from +210 to +140/+150, indicating public support.
Paul picks Errens, noting Choi's low volume and defensive issues. He expects Errens to pressure and land more strikes. Paul is not confident but likes the underdog value.
The MMA Guru picks Choi Seung-woo over Jarno Errens, citing Errens' lack of skill and poor performance against William Gomez. He notes Choi's mixed results but highlights his experience at a high level, takedown defense, and composure. He believes Choi's striking and clinch strength will be decisive, predicting a TKO finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gomis | 0 | 32 of 70 | 45% | 69 of 121 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 8:04 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Gomis | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 17 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | William Gomis | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 27 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 12 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | William Gomis | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 25 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:27 |
| Jarno Errens | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gomis | 32 of 70 | 45% | 14 of 43 | 10 of 18 | 8 of 9 | 27 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 |
| Jarno Errens | 20 of 53 | 37% | 10 of 32 | 8 of 14 | 2 of 7 | 15 of 47 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Gomis | 10 of 24 | 41% | 4 of 14 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Jarno Errens | 7 of 17 | 41% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | William Gomis | 10 of 22 | 45% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jarno Errens | 8 of 24 | 33% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | William Gomis | 12 of 24 | 50% | 5 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
| Jarno Errens | 5 of 12 | 41% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomis (-220), Errens (+195)
Round 1
Two UFC neophytes will take center stage on a surprisingly high placement on the main card, with MMA Factory product Gomis (10-2, 0-0 UFC) aiming to be the last fighter to get on the board for France until the main event. He will square off against recent Brave CF victor Errens (13-3-1, 0-0 UFC), with the winner hoping to impress the bosses in this matchup booked on quite short notice. Both happy to be inside the UFC cage for the first time, the featherweights happily touch gloves as referee Jason Herzog waits in the wings. Errens pushes the pace, but he gets struck first when Gomis lets go with a body kick. Errens cautiously approaches his foe, as they are both tense and coiled to strike. Gomis misses a front kick, and Errens darts forward with a straight right hand to the body. Gomis reaches out with a couple leg kicks, and he blocks a high kick that darts at him. The Dutch fighter goes for a spinning wheel kick, and Gomis sees it coming and is well out of the way. Gomis blasts the body with his shin, and Errens tries to punch the same spot in response. Gomis continues to work the body with his legs, and he is forced to back off as Errens leaps at him with a flying knee. Errens checks a kick and punches his way in, but Errens is able to swat it away and stomp the knee with his heel. They go kick for kick low, until Gomis crashes the pocket with a few swarming punches. Gomis gets grabbed in the clinch, but he manages to put Errens on his back through sheer power. In the full guard, the Frenchman can do little more but hang on, as Errens clings to him tightly. Errens scoots his back to the wall, and he opens his guard as he considers a triangle choke. The angle is such that he cannot set anything up, so Gomis holds on and punches him once. Errens grips the wrist to protect himself from harm, and he gets bulled and smacked with an elbow and a few short punches before threatening with a double off his back. The attempt allows Errens to stand back up, and Gomis jams him up against the wall. They trade knees, and one bounces off a cup but there is no pause. They break apart, and Gomis lets fly kicks with both legs until the horn ends the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Round 2
A touch of gloves starts off the second stanza, and they are tentative to trade like the previous round. Gomis strikes first with two looping punches, and he blocks a counter kick with his knee and jumps with a switch kick. Errens pushes forward, throwing hands, and the crowd begins conflicting chants for each man. Errens catches Gomis with a knee, but he does not capitalize and slowly works his way in while Gomis backs off. Gomis jumps forward with a superman punch, and Errens clocks him with a counter right. Gomis is staggered but still remains upright, and he shoots in only to get met on the way down with a flying knee. Gomis still powers through it, possibly hurt badly from the concussive blow, but he manages to ground the Dutchman. Errens scoots his back to the wall again, but his closed guard is preventing him from escaping. Gomis is comfortable in this position, occasionally landing strikes but more content to nullify his opponent. Errens sits up and turns to a side, but Gomis pushes him back over. Errens puts his feet on Gomis’ hips to kick him off, and when they both stand back up, Errens begins to trade. The Dutch fighter plods forward with a stream of punches, only to be backed off when Gomis kicks high at him. Gomis fires an inside thigh kick that slides up to the cup, and they do not break, so Herzog tells them they are even in terms of uncalled groin strikes. Gomis shoots for a takedown, and Errens rolls all the way through and even gets mount for a second. “Jaguar” keeps moving, doing enough to fight all the way to his feet again and in pursuit of a takedown once more. Gomis has his hands clasped around the waist, and Errens counters with a judo through only to get turned to his back once more. The round ends in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gomis
Round 3
Double high-fives and a hug start off the last round, and the two featherweights motion to the crowd to let their voices be heard. The audience begins to chant as Gomis starts his offense, kicking while fighting off his back foot. Gomis turns his hips with a body kick, and Errens meets him with punches to the face and two more to the body. The Frenchman threatens with a flying knee and a spinning back kick, and the latter slams into the side of Errens. Errens takes it and keeps coming forward, half-checking a low kick so that he can crack Gomis with a right hand over the top. Gomis clinches up and turns Errens to the fencing, where he begins to knee the thigh repeatedly. Herzog asks them to work as they stall out, so Gomis replies by lifting Errens up with a powerful double and setting him down gingerly. Errens defends when he hits his back with a guillotine choke, only to bail on it when Gomis wriggles his neck out of harm’s way. Errens tightens up a body triangle from off his back, and Gomis breaks it by slamming his fists into Errens’ jaw. Errens drags his backside to the wall, and he keeps a high guard with a possible triangle or armbar setup as he attempts to roll for a sweep. Gomis is tightly pressed to him and keeps him trapped, and he opens up with heavy punches to the body and elbows to the jaw. Errens keeps working and turns to his side, but Gomis is able to toss him back over. As Gomis scrambles to maintain top position, Errens flings his legs up and traps Gomis in a triangle choke. Gomis stands up, and in the process, allows his right arm to be snagged with a triangle armbar. The Frenchman slowly but calmly slides his neck out, and the crowd goes wild for Gomis’ smooth escape. Gomis moves to half guard and stays in that position until the horn blares. Even if the next two French fighters end up suffering defeats, France has beaten the world with three wins tonight for five fighters.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Errens (29-28 Gomis)
The Official Result
William Gomis def. Jarno Errens via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-29)
Angelo picks William Gomis because Gomis is a counter-striker and Errens likes to come forward, which plays directly into Gomis's strength. He notes Gomis has solid clinch work and is well-rounded, but warns the odds are too wide and Errens is legitimately good. He advises not to look at the betting line and make a decision, and does not consider Gomis a parlay piece.
Big Brady picks William Gomis to win by decision. He notes that Jarno Errens has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Gomis has a clear path to victory by taking him down and controlling him on the mat. He warns that if Gomis chooses to strike, it could be close, but trusts the wrestling advantage.
Cody picks Jarno Errens as a dog, arguing that William Gomis is a green prospect who was signed on short notice to fill a local spot. He notes that Gomis backs straight up to the cage and swings wild, while Errens has better experience, cardio, and a more well-rounded game. Cody believes the line is too wide and that Errens has a solid chance to win.
Daniel Levi leans toward William Gomis, citing his African physicality and explosiveness, but is cautious due to Gomis's low volume and the fact that both are debutants. He notes that Errens has more volume and leg kicks, but Gomis has the edge in power and grappling. He is not confident in the -215 price.
The host picks Gomis due to his persistent grappling and cardio, expecting him to land takedown after takedown and grind out a decision. He notes Errens has striking advantages but poor defensive grappling. He finds the over 2.5 rounds at plus 100 intriguing.
Paul changes his pick to Jarno Errens after hearing Cody's reasoning, admitting he was initially leaning toward Gomis. He agrees that Gomis is unproven and that Errens has a better chance than the odds suggest. Paul says he may not bet it but will pick Errens for the show.
The MMA Guru picks William Gomis over Jarno Errens, believing in Gomis as a prospect with good finishing ability and momentum. He notes that Gomis has an eight-fight win streak and has beaten decent opponents, while Errens has mostly decision wins and lacks finishing ability. He predicts Gomis will get a finish by TKO or submission in the early rounds.
Steven Nguyen - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 57 of 151 | 37% | 60 of 154 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Steven Nguyen | 6 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 108 of 194 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 33 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Nguyen | 5 | 59 of 112 | 52% | 65 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 24 of 65 | 36% | 27 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Steven Nguyen | 1 | 33 of 62 | 53% | 43 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 57 of 151 | 37% | 41 of 126 | 14 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 57 of 151 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 92 of 174 | 52% | 76 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 14 | 50 of 111 | 7 of 7 | 35 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 33 of 86 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 33 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 59 of 112 | 52% | 47 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 12 | 35 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 38 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 24 of 65 | 36% | 19 of 57 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 33 of 62 | 53% | 29 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 18 |
Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.
Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarno Errens | 1 | 105 of 207 | 50% | 106 of 208 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 63 of 226 | 27% | 63 of 227 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarno Errens | 0 | 39 of 71 | 54% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 21 of 63 | 33% | 21 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Jarno Errens | 1 | 33 of 72 | 45% | 33 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 22 of 91 | 24% | 22 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jarno Errens | 0 | 33 of 64 | 51% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Steven Nguyen | 0 | 20 of 72 | 27% | 20 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarno Errens | 105 of 207 | 50% | 51 of 139 | 29 of 38 | 25 of 30 | 103 of 203 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 63 of 226 | 27% | 47 of 187 | 8 of 16 | 8 of 23 | 59 of 219 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarno Errens | 39 of 71 | 54% | 15 of 43 | 13 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 39 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 21 of 63 | 33% | 13 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 12 | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Jarno Errens | 33 of 72 | 45% | 13 of 46 | 11 of 15 | 9 of 11 | 31 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 22 of 91 | 24% | 17 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 9 | 21 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jarno Errens | 33 of 64 | 51% | 23 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 20 of 72 | 27% | 17 of 67 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo is confident in Steven Nguyen, believing he is better everywhere in the fight with superior skills, power, and grappling. He notes that Nguyen is a real prospect with heavy hands and slick submissions, while Errens is durable but sets himself up to be taken down. He would include Nguyen in parlays but not the safety parlay due to his UFC debut status.
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default due to Jarno Errens' extremely low volume (1.67 significant strikes per minute). He notes Nguyen is high volume and active, landing over 8 strikes per minute on the contender series. He thinks Nguyen's toughness and activity will lead to a decision win, though he is not in love with Nguyen as a fighter.
Cody picks Nguyen, citing his high volume and cardio. He notes that Errens has low output and poor cardio, often gassing after a strong start. Cody believes Nguyen's constant pressure and striking volume will overwhelm Errens.
Daniel Vreeland picks Steven Nguyen by decision, citing his high output and durability. He criticizes Errens for poor fight IQ, often dropping opponents then ending up on his back. He believes Nguyen's volume will overwhelm Errens over three rounds.
Nguyen is the better overall fighter with high-level striking and good combinations. However, his striking defense is lacking and he is hittable. Errens could make it close, but Nguyen should win a decision by putting together a better body of work. The line at -180 is too wide for comfort, so no bet is recommended.
Paul agrees, highlighting Nguyen's volume (over 100 significant strikes in fights) and Errens' inability to keep pace. He notes Errens' lack of urgency and poor takedown defense. Paul sees Nguyen as a clear play.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Jarno Errens, citing Nguyen's composure, willingness to push a pace, and ability to handle pressure. He criticizes Errens for not committing to winning and leaving fights to decisions. He thinks Nguyen will be the larger opponent and will push forward, leading to a decision win in the later rounds.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Steven Nguyen, believing he is better everywhere in the fight with superior skills, power, and grappling. He notes that Nguyen is a real prospect with heavy hands and slick submissions, while Errens is durable but sets himself up to be taken down. He would include Nguyen in parlays but not the safety parlay due to his UFC debut status.
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default due to Jarno Errens' extremely low volume (1.67 significant strikes per minute). He notes Nguyen is high volume and active, landing over 8 strikes per minute on the contender series. He thinks Nguyen's toughness and activity will lead to a decision win, though he is not in love with Nguyen as a fighter.
Cody picks Nguyen, citing his high volume and cardio. He notes that Errens has low output and poor cardio, often gassing after a strong start. Cody believes Nguyen's constant pressure and striking volume will overwhelm Errens.
Daniel Vreeland picks Steven Nguyen by decision, citing his high output and durability. He criticizes Errens for poor fight IQ, often dropping opponents then ending up on his back. He believes Nguyen's volume will overwhelm Errens over three rounds.
Nguyen is the better overall fighter with high-level striking and good combinations. However, his striking defense is lacking and he is hittable. Errens could make it close, but Nguyen should win a decision by putting together a better body of work. The line at -180 is too wide for comfort, so no bet is recommended.
Paul agrees, highlighting Nguyen's volume (over 100 significant strikes in fights) and Errens' inability to keep pace. He notes Errens' lack of urgency and poor takedown defense. Paul sees Nguyen as a clear play.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Jarno Errens, citing Nguyen's composure, willingness to push a pace, and ability to handle pressure. He criticizes Errens for not committing to winning and leaving fights to decisions. He thinks Nguyen will be the larger opponent and will push forward, leading to a decision win in the later rounds.
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