UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Age 34
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 73"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Guram Kutateladze
3.53 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.22 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.61 TD Avg
15.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kauê Fernandes
4.28 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
1.42 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.18 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Guram Kutateladze
Moneyline
FanDuel -350
KO/TKO
FanDuel +310
Submission
FanDuel +900
Decision
FanDuel +105
Kauê Fernandes
Moneyline
BetWay +333
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
DraftKings +1600
Decision
DraftKings +800
Guram Kutateladze - Fight History
LOSS vs Kauê Fernandes
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 71 40% 36 of 81 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 2 79 of 149 53% 79 of 149 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 7 of 21 33% 7 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 0 26 of 50 52% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:05
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 23 of 46 50% 23 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 71 40% 16 of 51 10 of 15 3 of 5 23 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 79 of 149 53% 40 of 103 16 of 19 23 of 27 62 of 127 5 of 5 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 7 of 21 33% 3 of 14 3 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 26 of 50 52% 14 of 34 5 of 6 7 of 10 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Guram Kutateladze 9 of 21 42% 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 30 of 53 56% 15 of 37 7 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 35 4 of 4 9 of 14
3 Guram Kutateladze 13 of 29 44% 7 of 19 4 of 7 2 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 23 of 46 50% 11 of 32 4 of 6 8 of 8 19 of 42 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.

Considering win inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds props when they drop
"I'm going to go against the grain... I think Caillou Hernandez wins this fight flat out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.

Guram by decision
"I'm kind of leaning at guram Cuda to L by decision so give me guram here and Guam to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.

"I believe the overall game here from the Muay Thai to the wrestling of Couta Tadz should nullify most of Fernandez's offense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.

"I am going to have to lean towards gram cedi he's just a better fighter overall"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 30 of 68 44% 87 of 152 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:05
Jordan Vucenic 1 34 of 85 40% 81 of 139 0 of 5 0% 0 0 4:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 3 of 13 23% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Vucenic 1 17 of 39 43% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 19 of 42 45% 22 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:03
Jordan Vucenic 0 15 of 39 38% 26 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 8 of 13 61% 49 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
Jordan Vucenic 0 2 of 7 28% 17 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 30 of 68 44% 13 of 48 13 of 16 4 of 4 15 of 50 11 of 11 4 of 7
Jordan Vucenic 34 of 85 40% 23 of 72 10 of 12 1 of 1 24 of 71 7 of 9 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 3 of 13 23% 1 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Vucenic 17 of 39 43% 14 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 34 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Guram Kutateladze 19 of 42 45% 6 of 27 11 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 1
Jordan Vucenic 15 of 39 38% 8 of 31 6 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 31 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Guram Kutateladze 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 6
Jordan Vucenic 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo leans Guram because he is the more technical striker with professional kickboxing experience, but notes ring rust after a year layoff. He thinks Guram will stay outside and be cautious, not looking for a finish. He hopes Guram is a heavy favorite so he can bet on Jordan Vucenic to win inside the distance (decision no action) as a plus-money prop.

If Guram is a 3-to-1 favorite, bet Jordan Vucenic wins inside distance (decision no action) at plus money
"I'm going to lean gam... I'm hoping gam is a massive favorite so that I could grab Jordan venic wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady sees this as a big step up for Vucenic and a stylistic nightmare. He thinks Vucenic won't be able to take down Kutateladze or submit him, as Kutateladze is a great grappler himself. He expects Kutateladze to keep the fight standing and out-strike Vucenic over 15 minutes, winning by decision.

"I think Cuda toad is a great Grappler in his own right uh I think the wrestling is going to be in favor of kudu toades"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Cody picks Jordan Vucenic as an underdog, noting that Guram Kutateladze has cardio issues and tends to fade after the first round. He thinks Vucenic's durability and striking volume can carry him to a decision win. Cody also mentions that Vucenic is a Cage Warriors champion with good submissions and that Guram may not have improved much. He suggests live betting Vucenic after the first round.

"I might take that Underdog shot and Jordan vinich to get a spring the upset in his debut."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel picks Kutateladze, citing his size and UFC experience as key factors. He notes Vucenic is a featherweight moving up and questions whether he can out-duel Kutateladze physically. He views this as a last chance for Kutateladze to prove himself and thinks he will be slightly more physical.

"I'm gonna pick guram here I think the UFC experience and the size as well can make a difference"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Vucenic is taking this fight on short notice and moving up a weight class. Kutateladze's strength and overall game should overpower him, winning on the scorecards.

"I think was heut Dead's strength and overall game overpower vuich here and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Paul picks Jordan Vucenic, noting that Guram has cardio issues and tends to blow his load early. He thinks Vucenic's striking and durability can allow him to take over in later rounds. Paul also mentions that Vucenic has good submissions and that Guram may not have improved. He acknowledges the short notice but notes that Vucenic stays close to fight weight.

"I think I'm gonna lean I want to take the cowards way and just take guram he's had the full Camp."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze over Jordan Vucenic, despite having hyped Vucenic. He notes Vucenic is making his UFC debut on short notice up a weight class, which is not ideal. He believes Kutateladze's power and size will be too much, and that Vucenic lacks the power to keep Kutateladze honest. He also mentions Vucenic's best work is at featherweight as a taller, rangier fighter.

"I know I've been hyping up Jordan venik and he's probably going to watch this rather I can't pick you to win this one but it's gam kedi in your debut on short notice up a weight class it's not …"
LOSS vs Elves Brener
TKO (punches) R3 3:17 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elves Brener 0 85 of 163 52% 99 of 177 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:23
Guram Kutateladze 1 65 of 132 49% 93 of 165 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elves Brener 0 30 of 48 62% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 22 40% 26 of 42 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:11
2 Elves Brener 0 33 of 73 45% 41 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:09
Guram Kutateladze 0 27 of 57 47% 36 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
3 Elves Brener 0 22 of 42 52% 25 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Guram Kutateladze 1 29 of 53 54% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elves Brener 85 of 163 52% 49 of 114 28 of 40 8 of 9 54 of 122 25 of 30 6 of 11
Guram Kutateladze 65 of 132 49% 42 of 101 15 of 18 8 of 13 53 of 112 6 of 8 6 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elves Brener 30 of 48 62% 17 of 30 10 of 15 3 of 3 18 of 30 12 of 16 0 of 2
Guram Kutateladze 9 of 22 40% 3 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Elves Brener 33 of 73 45% 21 of 54 7 of 13 5 of 6 23 of 60 4 of 4 6 of 9
Guram Kutateladze 27 of 57 47% 18 of 44 5 of 6 4 of 7 20 of 46 3 of 3 4 of 8
3 Elves Brener 22 of 42 52% 11 of 30 11 of 12 0 of 0 13 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 53 54% 21 of 42 6 of 8 2 of 3 25 of 46 2 of 3 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo picks Guram Kutateladze confidently, stating his striking is light years ahead and his takedown defense is some of the best in the division. He believes Elves Brener has no path to victory, as Guram won't get taken down or submitted. He thinks the line should be much higher, like -1100.

"this is definitely a garam spot I gotta go gram all the way here his striking is going to be light years ahead his takedown defense is some of the best in the division"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady picks Guram Kutateladze to win by second-round knockout. He sees a massive skill discrepancy, noting Kutateladze went competitive with Mateusz Gamrot and Damir Ismagulov, while Brener's best attribute is grappling, which won't work against Kutateladze's takedown defense. He believes Kutateladze will land repeatedly and eventually finish Brener.

second round knockout
"I'll say garam kudet wins this fight by knockout in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Cody thinks Kutateladze is a legitimate top-15 talent with strong wrestling and physicality. He notes Brenner's win over Zubaira Tukhugov was controversial (all media scored for Tukhugov) and that Tukhugov was an undersized featherweight. Cody expects Kutateladze to win by KO or decision, but acknowledges his injury history and short notice. He still picks Kutateladze.

"I gotta go with Cuda leads to just get him out of there probably with before the third round starts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel confidently picks Kutateladze, citing his superior striking and power. He notes Brener has never been finished but expects Kutateladze to dominate, possibly by knockout or decision. He acknowledges Brener's toughness and submission threat but believes Kutateladze is on a different level, as reflected in the -600 line. He expects a clear win, though he leans decision.

"he's minus 600 for a reason and he will be my pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Paul picks Kutateladze but notes the minus-700 price is hard to back. He mentions Kutateladze's layoff and injury issues, but believes his talent is far superior. Brenner's win over Tukhugov was controversial and Tukhugov was out of shape. Paul thinks Kutateladze should win, but it's risky at such short odds.

"kutata LEDs is the pick but at minus 700 I really don't think there's much there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru picks Guram Kutateladze, citing a massive stylistic mismatch for Elves Brener, who was preparing for Jordan Levitt's slow, non-athletic striking and wet blanket wrestling. He notes Kutateladze's speed and danger, and his impressive performance against Damir Ismagulov, which showed top-15 level. He predicts a TKO finish, as Kutateladze's striking will overwhelm Brener.

"I'm gonna be going with Graham katatzi and I just want to point out... this is a really unfair situation for elves Brenner"
LOSS vs Damir Ismagulov
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Damir Ismagulov 0 79 of 192 41% 83 of 197 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:46
Guram Kutateladze 0 78 of 187 41% 80 of 190 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Damir Ismagulov 0 21 of 57 36% 23 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Guram Kutateladze 0 26 of 63 41% 27 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
2 Damir Ismagulov 0 30 of 65 46% 32 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Guram Kutateladze 0 23 of 58 39% 23 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Damir Ismagulov 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:20
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 66 43% 30 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Damir Ismagulov 79 of 192 41% 63 of 173 14 of 17 2 of 2 76 of 184 3 of 8 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 78 of 187 41% 29 of 129 28 of 33 21 of 25 64 of 170 13 of 16 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Damir Ismagulov 21 of 57 36% 17 of 52 3 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 26 of 63 41% 13 of 44 8 of 11 5 of 8 20 of 55 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Damir Ismagulov 30 of 65 46% 22 of 55 8 of 10 0 of 0 30 of 63 0 of 2 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 23 of 58 39% 7 of 40 10 of 11 6 of 7 20 of 54 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Damir Ismagulov 28 of 70 40% 24 of 66 3 of 3 1 of 1 27 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 66 43% 9 of 45 10 of 11 10 of 10 24 of 61 4 of 4 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo picks Guram Kutateladze, citing his powerful striking, kicks, and submission threats. He notes that even when taken down, Kutateladze is active on the ground and can work back up. He believes Kutateladze will frustrate Ismagulov both on feet and ground. He suggests betting on Kutateladze moneyline or safety net bets like 'wins inside distance decision no action' or plus 3.5 rounds.

moneyline or wins inside distance decision no action or plus 3.5 round bet (available at BetOnline)
"i like garam to frustrate dimir both on his feet and on the ground and i like him to take another underdog win over a solid wrestler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Big Brady picks Damir Ismagulov to win by decision, contingent on a good weight cut. He notes Ismagulov has excellent fight IQ, volume, and striking defense, while Kutateladze is powerful but low volume. He expects Ismagulov to be the minute winner on the feet and can mix in takedowns. He expresses concern about Ismagulov's weight cut and past eye issue.

decision
"I think damiri magulov wins a decision here as long as the weight cut goes good so dimir damir by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Cody picks Ismagulov, citing his technical striking, excellent chin, and wrestling defense. He notes Kutateladze's cardio issues and two-year layoff, and believes Ismagulov will outpoint him over three rounds. He suggests Ismagulov by decision as a prop.

Damir Ismagulov by decision
"i think demir is able to get the job done dimir is also not super active but in the time away he's fought well"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Daniel Levi is confident in Damir Ismagulov, praising his elite striking defense (1.9 strikes absorbed per minute), 100% takedown defense, and sharp boxing. He believes Ismagulov is a potential top-five talent and will outpoint Guram Kutateladze, who is tough but less polished. Levi notes Kutateladze's kicking game is dangerous, but thinks Ismagulov's fight IQ and experience will carry him to a unanimous decision. He is considering a bet on Ismagulov.

considering a bet on Ismagulov; expects unanimous decision
"i'm going dimir ismagullah via unanimous decision here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Paul picks Kutateladze as a dog, noting his training with Khamzat Chimaev and his power. He thinks Kutateladze can walk through Ismagulov's shots and land heavier strikes. He grabbed the line at +150 and believes the volume difference will be close, giving the edge to the Georgian.

"i grabbed some plus 150 um yesterday yeah because i kind of saw the line moving"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze, calling it risky. He notes Kutateladze is younger and more explosive, with good body kicks and skills off his back. He believes Damir Ismagulov has looked worse since his return, struggling against Rafael Alves. He thinks Kutateladze has a higher chance of a finish and will push the pace in later rounds, though he acknowledges Ismagulov is a good underdog.

"i'm going with garam... another risky one though another real risky one... i'm going to side with garam cutter to let's younger and on short notice"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 52 of 126 41% 69 of 151 5 of 16 31% 0 0 3:29
Mateusz Gamrot 1 37 of 86 43% 43 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 15 of 32 46% 25 of 43 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
Mateusz Gamrot 0 11 of 20 55% 12 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 16 of 45 35% 18 of 52 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:56
Mateusz Gamrot 1 15 of 37 40% 20 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 21 of 49 42% 26 of 56 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:32
Mateusz Gamrot 0 11 of 29 37% 11 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 52 of 126 41% 42 of 112 6 of 10 4 of 4 37 of 103 4 of 4 11 of 19
Mateusz Gamrot 37 of 86 43% 12 of 48 12 of 24 13 of 14 35 of 84 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 15 of 32 46% 13 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 0 6 of 8
Mateusz Gamrot 11 of 20 55% 1 of 6 6 of 10 4 of 4 9 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Guram Kutateladze 16 of 45 35% 12 of 40 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 41 2 of 2 1 of 2
Mateusz Gamrot 15 of 37 40% 6 of 24 4 of 8 5 of 5 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Guram Kutateladze 21 of 49 42% 17 of 43 2 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 38 2 of 2 4 of 9
Mateusz Gamrot 11 of 29 37% 5 of 18 2 of 6 4 of 5 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Gamrot as the more technical fighter with good striking defense and accuracy. He notes Kutateladze is dangerous but very hittable, and Gamrot's defense should keep him safe. He predicts a decision win for Gamrot, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide given Kutateladze's danger.

"give me a game rock to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru is very high on Mateusz Gamrot, citing his impressive resume in KSW against tough competition, including beating Norman Parke three times. He notes Gamrot's jiu-jitsu and grappling credentials, including competing with Gary Tonon. He expects Gamrot to win by TKO or submission in the second or third round.

tko in the second or third round
"i'll say by tko in the second or third round or in any way a finish as the fight goes on in the second and third he'll grind him down a little bit first"
Kauê Fernandes - Fight History
CANCEL vs Farès Ziam
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes confidently, criticizing the hype around Ziam. He believes Fernandes' aggression, grappling, and well-rounded skills will be too much for Ziam's point-fighting style. He notes that Ziam's wins are not as impressive as they seem. He plans to bet on Fernandes via a +3.5 round handicap when available, as he only needs Fernandes to win one round for that bet to cash.

plus 3.5 round handicap at plus 110
"I'm going to bet the [ __ ] out of Caillou Fernandez."
KO R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Harry Hardwick 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Harry Hardwick 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Harry Hardwick 8 of 23 34% 6 of 18 0 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 24 of 40 60% 11 of 24 3 of 4 10 of 12 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Harry Hardwick 8 of 23 34% 6 of 18 0 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 24 of 40 60% 11 of 24 3 of 4 10 of 12 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.

Fernandes by decision
"I'm leaning Fernandez here. I think the line's about accurate. Minus 175 makes sense to me."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 71 40% 36 of 81 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 2 79 of 149 53% 79 of 149 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 7 of 21 33% 7 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 0 26 of 50 52% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:05
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 23 of 46 50% 23 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 71 40% 16 of 51 10 of 15 3 of 5 23 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 79 of 149 53% 40 of 103 16 of 19 23 of 27 62 of 127 5 of 5 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 7 of 21 33% 3 of 14 3 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 26 of 50 52% 14 of 34 5 of 6 7 of 10 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Guram Kutateladze 9 of 21 42% 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 30 of 53 56% 15 of 37 7 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 35 4 of 4 9 of 14
3 Guram Kutateladze 13 of 29 44% 7 of 19 4 of 7 2 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 23 of 46 50% 11 of 32 4 of 6 8 of 8 19 of 42 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.

Considering win inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds props when they drop
"I'm going to go against the grain... I think Caillou Hernandez wins this fight flat out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.

Guram by decision
"I'm kind of leaning at guram Cuda to L by decision so give me guram here and Guam to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.

"I believe the overall game here from the Muay Thai to the wrestling of Couta Tadz should nullify most of Fernandez's offense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.

"I am going to have to lean towards gram cedi he's just a better fighter overall"
CANCEL vs Jared Gordon
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Kauê Fernandes as an underdog, arguing that the odds are too wide. He notes that Jared Gordon's only real path to victory is wrestling, and Fernandes has solid takedown defense (62%) and dangerous striking. He worries about Fernandes' takedown defense but thinks Fernandes can win if he uses leg kicks to take away Gordon's wrestling.

"I'm going to lean the dog we're going two fights in a row dog Caillou Fernandez my one and only concern here is the takedown defense of Caillou"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon to win by finish in the second or third round. He heavily criticizes Kauê Fernandes' competition level, noting his opponents have poor records and he has not fought anyone decent. He believes Gordon's well-rounded skills and consistency will overwhelm Fernandes, who likely needs an early finish to win.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go Jared Gordon getting this one done by finish in the second or third round"
TKO (punches) R1 4:45 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.

"caio Fernandez is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.

"I think Fernandez is really solid striking I think he has a lot of power I think he has a very sneaky submission game as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.

"The reason I'm going to end up going with Fernandez not just because he's some big favorite."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.

"I'm a lean CWI because I see them as similar Fighters and CWI just being more physical"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mohammad Yahya

Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.

sprinkle at +340
"I feel Yaya at plus 340 is worth a bit of a sprinkle here to go out there and grind Fernandez out and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.

"Yeah probably um yeah Fernandez makes this fight easier for himself by by Leon the wrestling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.

"I'm gonna go Fernandez over Yaya I think yeah I don't like Yaya feel like he got bruised around a bit too much"
LOSS vs Marc Diakiese
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 23 of 42 54% 67 of 92 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Kauê Fernandes 0 13 of 32 40% 65 of 92 3 of 8 37% 0 1 8:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 6 of 13 46% 17 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 10 40% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:33
2 Marc Diakiese 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 12 33% 16 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:50
3 Marc Diakiese 0 7 of 10 70% 30 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Kauê Fernandes 0 5 of 10 50% 35 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 23 of 42 54% 6 of 20 8 of 13 9 of 9 21 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 13 of 32 40% 11 of 26 2 of 5 0 of 1 7 of 18 2 of 4 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 6 of 13 46% 2 of 6 2 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Marc Diakiese 10 of 19 52% 2 of 9 5 of 7 3 of 3 9 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 12 33% 4 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 9 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 7 of 10 70% 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 5 of 10 50% 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Fernandes despite Diakiese's experience and competition edge. He believes Fernandes can defend takedowns and will stay in Diakiese's face with striking, causing trouble. He notes Diakiese has become more of a wrestler lately, but his wrestling is decent at best, while Fernandes has solid takedown defense. Angelo placed a small underdog bet on Fernandes at +145, noting the line is tightening.

small underdog bet at +145, line tightening to +116
"I am going to lean Fernandez here obviously Marc Dy has the uh experience level the competition Edge heavily favors him but I like Fernandez I think he can defend the takedowns I think he's going to come forward I …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes that Diakiese has evolved into a wrestler, with 11 takedowns against Slava Borshchev and 8 against Damir Hadzovic. He trusts Diakiese's cardio and fight IQ, and believes Fernandes is dangerous early but fades. He also mentions that Diakiese's submission loss to Joel Alvarez was due to a head clash.

"I like di Casey here um and D Casey's fought the much better competition... give me Mark D Casey to win this fight and win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his UFC experience, improved cardio, and well-rounded game. He notes that Diakiese has evolved from a dynamic striker to a more complete fighter who uses offensive wrestling. Levi acknowledges Diakiese's inconsistency and tendency to flake, but believes this is a step down in competition. He sees Fernandes as dangerous early with his BJJ and head kicks, but expects Diakiese's cardio and wrestling to take over in later rounds. Levi is leaning Diakiese but not with high confidence.

Diakiese wins by decision, Diakiese wins inside distance
"I'll pick Diakiese with the experience... but it's not gonna surprise me one bit if this guy flakes out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Marc Diakiese

James acknowledges that Diakiese deserves to be a favorite but sees too much danger on the Fernandes side due to his unproven UFC debut and potential cardio issues. He notes that Diakiese has been submitted multiple times and that Fernandes has speed and power, but he also points out that Fernandes gassed in his last extended fight. Ultimately, James is not betting this fight because he cannot trust either fighter, but he leans Diakiese as the rightful favorite.

"I guess I'm picking mark in this fight because I think he should be a favorite but there's too much danger Factor on the Fernandez side."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Diakiese has a solid submission defense to thwart Fernandes' offensive attacks on the mat. As the fight goes into deeper waters, Diakiese will find it easier to control Fernandes on the mat and do good work from top position. Diakiese is good enough in the striking realm to deal with Fernandes' early threat, and will likely drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision win.

surprised line is dropping; thinks -130 is a gift
"I'm kind of surprised that the line is dropping as much as it has... I think that that's a solid spot, I think that's a gift of a spot to take the Casey here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese over Kauê Fernandes. He notes that Fernandes is a good regional fighter with finishing potential, but he gassed after the first round when facing adversity. Diakiese is tough to finish early, having only lost to Joel Alvarez due to a head clash. The Guru expects Diakiese to weather an early storm and then take over in the later rounds via grappling, predicting a third-round TKO or submission.

"I'm going to go with Mark Jai mainly because although KY Fernandez... he absolutely gassed after the first round... I'm going to go with Mark Jai via a third round TKO or finish by submission"
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.

Considering win inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds props when they drop
"I'm going to go against the grain... I think Caillou Hernandez wins this fight flat out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.

Guram by decision
"I'm kind of leaning at guram Cuda to L by decision so give me guram here and Guam to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.

"I believe the overall game here from the Muay Thai to the wrestling of Couta Tadz should nullify most of Fernandez's offense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.

"I am going to have to lean towards gram cedi he's just a better fighter overall"