Career Averages - Nathan Fletcher
Career Averages - Caolán Loughran
Nathan Fletcher
Caolán Loughran
Nathan Fletcher - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 19 | 63% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 19 | 63% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 59 of 100 | 59% | 114 of 158 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 30 of 84 | 35% | 65 of 128 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 20 of 26 | 76% | 64 of 73 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 30 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 27 of 54 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 59 of 100 | 59% | 41 of 79 | 12 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 57 | 33 of 40 | 1 of 3 |
| Caolán Loughran | 30 of 84 | 35% | 22 of 67 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 24 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 15 of 38 | 39% | 8 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 3 |
| Caolán Loughran | 12 of 36 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 20 of 26 | 76% | 18 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nathan Fletcher | 24 of 36 | 66% | 15 of 25 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 21 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 15 of 34 | 44% | 10 of 28 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nathan Fletcher, expressing strong dislike for Caolán Loughran's fighting style and personality. He criticizes Loughran for being non-committal, low volume, and failing to use his skills. Fletcher is described as a pressure fighter with good cardio and a never-quit attitude. Angelo expects the fight to go to decision due to Loughran's hesitance.
Brady thinks Loughran has a striking advantage and can take down Fletcher, despite Loughran's poor performance against Jake Hadley. He notes Fletcher gets reversed often and was controlled by Conor O'Malley. Brady expects a competitive fight but picks Loughran to win by decision.
The host notes that Loughran has improved tremendously since their amateur fight six years ago, and his strength and physicality will shut down Fletcher's grappling. He expects Loughran to keep Fletcher on the defensive and grind out a win.
The Guru is confident in Nathan Fletcher, praising his fluidity, head movement, and grappling compared to Loughran's stiffness. He describes Loughran as a 'Marvin Vettori of bantamweight'—tough but non-fluid and hittable. He believes Fletcher's better defense, reach advantage, and dynamic scrambles will be decisive. He expects Fletcher to win, possibly by decision or submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 1:51 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 0 | 14 of 20 | 70% | 40 of 47 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 1:45 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 34 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 6 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 6 of 10 | 60% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 14 of 20 | 70% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 6 of 8 | 75% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 13 of 19 | 68% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 12 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Žygimantas Ramaška | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Nathan Fletcher because he is a well-rounded fighter with solid grappling and striking, and he believes Nathan can land cleaner strikes and take the fight to the ground if needed. He notes that Žygimantas is chinny and hitable, and can be taken down due to his aggressive style. However, he is not betting on this fight due to medical issues and uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Žygimantas Ramaška to win by third-round knockout. He notes that Ramaška is a striker with knockout power, while Fletcher is a grappler who will look for takedowns. Brady believes Ramaška has more paths to victory, including the knockout threat and doing more damage overall, and that Fletcher has been knocked out before. He acknowledges Fletcher's path via takedowns and top control but favors Ramaška's striking and power.
Cody picks Fletcher, citing his wrestling advantage and Ramaška's vulnerability to grapplers. He notes Fletcher's cardio is a concern but believes he can get takedowns and control the fight. He is not highly confident but sees value.
Daniel admits he couldn't watch their Ultimate Fighter fights due to playback errors, so his analysis is limited. He heard Ramaška is exciting but leaves openings, while Fletcher is more cautious. He picks Fletcher again (as he did when the fight was first booked), but warns not to trust his pick.
Fletcher's grappling is expected to be too much for Ramaška, who has questionable takedown defense. Fletcher trains with Paddy Pimblett and has a strong BJJ game, likely securing a submission within a round and a half. However, there is some hesitation due to Fletcher's recent illness, so the bet size is reduced compared to the original play.
Paul picks Fletcher, believing his wrestling and grappling can neutralize Ramaška's striking. He notes Ramaška's losses come against wrestlers, and Fletcher has a path via takedowns and control. He is hesitant due to Fletcher's recent illness and cardio concerns.
The MMA Guru picks Žygimantas Ramaška over Nathan Fletcher. He notes that Fletcher is a bantamweight moving up to featherweight, which he dislikes because Fletcher will be the smaller man. He believes Ramaška's length and range will keep Fletcher at bay, similar to how Dominick Wooding handled him. He predicts a late-round TKO or decision for Ramaška.
Caolán Loughran - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 59 of 100 | 59% | 114 of 158 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 30 of 84 | 35% | 65 of 128 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 20 of 26 | 76% | 64 of 73 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 30 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 27 of 54 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fletcher | 59 of 100 | 59% | 41 of 79 | 12 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 57 | 33 of 40 | 1 of 3 |
| Caolán Loughran | 30 of 84 | 35% | 22 of 67 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 24 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Fletcher | 15 of 38 | 39% | 8 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 3 |
| Caolán Loughran | 12 of 36 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nathan Fletcher | 20 of 26 | 76% | 18 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nathan Fletcher | 24 of 36 | 66% | 15 of 25 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 21 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 15 of 34 | 44% | 10 of 28 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nathan Fletcher, expressing strong dislike for Caolán Loughran's fighting style and personality. He criticizes Loughran for being non-committal, low volume, and failing to use his skills. Fletcher is described as a pressure fighter with good cardio and a never-quit attitude. Angelo expects the fight to go to decision due to Loughran's hesitance.
Brady thinks Loughran has a striking advantage and can take down Fletcher, despite Loughran's poor performance against Jake Hadley. He notes Fletcher gets reversed often and was controlled by Conor O'Malley. Brady expects a competitive fight but picks Loughran to win by decision.
The host notes that Loughran has improved tremendously since their amateur fight six years ago, and his strength and physicality will shut down Fletcher's grappling. He expects Loughran to keep Fletcher on the defensive and grind out a win.
The Guru is confident in Nathan Fletcher, praising his fluidity, head movement, and grappling compared to Loughran's stiffness. He describes Loughran as a 'Marvin Vettori of bantamweight'—tough but non-fluid and hittable. He believes Fletcher's better defense, reach advantage, and dynamic scrambles will be decisive. He expects Fletcher to win, possibly by decision or submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hadley | 0 | 81 of 154 | 52% | 107 of 181 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 66 of 181 | 36% | 68 of 188 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Hadley | 0 | 27 of 48 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jake Hadley | 0 | 24 of 49 | 48% | 36 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 24 of 73 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 3 | Jake Hadley | 0 | 30 of 57 | 52% | 44 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 25 of 73 | 34% | 25 of 74 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hadley | 81 of 154 | 52% | 35 of 106 | 13 of 15 | 33 of 33 | 78 of 150 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 66 of 181 | 36% | 33 of 136 | 18 of 29 | 15 of 16 | 64 of 178 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake Hadley | 27 of 48 | 56% | 6 of 27 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 14 | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 19 of 41 | 46% | 8 of 27 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jake Hadley | 24 of 49 | 48% | 11 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 22 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 22 of 67 | 32% | 13 of 52 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jake Hadley | 30 of 57 | 52% | 18 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 25 of 73 | 34% | 12 of 57 | 5 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 24 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Caolán Loughran due to the size advantage, as Jake Hadley is moving up on short notice. He notes that Loughran will use his size to bully Hadley against the cage and slow the pace. Angelo acknowledges that Hadley is the better technical striker but believes the weight difference and Loughran's pressure will be decisive. He also mentions a potential plus 3.5 round bet on Hadley.
Cody picks Caolán Loughran, citing his physicality, pressure, and durability. He notes that Jake Hadley has looked defeated in recent fights, has poor cardio, and is moving up on short notice. Cody believes Loughran's constant forward pressure and takedowns will overwhelm Hadley, who has shown no ability to overcome adversity.
Daniel picks Caolán Loughran, citing his physical strength and the fact that Hadley is moving up a weight class on short notice. He notes Hadley has been inconsistent and struggled in his last two fights, and doesn't think he'll fare better against a stronger opponent.
Daniel thinks Caolán Loughran is the more physical fighter who can bully Jake Hadley with takedowns and top control. He notes Hadley's takedown defense issues and Loughran's durability, though Loughran is hittable. He picks Loughran to win by grinding out a decision.
Paul also picks Loughran, noting that Hadley's pace is unsustainable and that Loughran's volume (140 significant strikes in his last fight) will be too much. He believes Hadley will get outmuscled and that Loughran's wrestling and pressure will secure the win.
The MMA Guru picks Caolán Loughran, calling Jake Hadley's decision to take this fight on short notice 'awful.' He believes Loughran will have a significant size and strength advantage, being a natural bantamweight, while Hadley is a small flyweight. The Guru notes that Hadley has been 'wet blanketed' by larger grapplers before and expects Loughran to dominate with his grappling. He thinks Hadley's submission skills won't be enough to overcome the weight difference.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 88 of 234 | 37% | 95 of 241 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Angel Pacheco | 0 | 140 of 268 | 52% | 148 of 286 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caolán Loughran | 0 | 46 of 129 | 35% | 46 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angel Pacheco | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 35 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Caolán Loughran | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Angel Pacheco | 0 | 51 of 89 | 57% | 59 of 107 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 3 | Caolán Loughran | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 28 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angel Pacheco | 0 | 54 of 90 | 60% | 54 of 90 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caolán Loughran | 88 of 234 | 37% | 44 of 180 | 32 of 38 | 12 of 16 | 80 of 226 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Angel Pacheco | 140 of 268 | 52% | 112 of 226 | 18 of 30 | 10 of 12 | 97 of 208 | 9 of 10 | 34 of 50 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caolán Loughran | 46 of 129 | 35% | 18 of 97 | 19 of 20 | 9 of 12 | 46 of 129 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Angel Pacheco | 35 of 89 | 39% | 29 of 76 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Caolán Loughran | 17 of 38 | 44% | 9 of 27 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Angel Pacheco | 51 of 89 | 57% | 47 of 83 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 34 of 50 | |
| 3 | Caolán Loughran | 25 of 67 | 37% | 17 of 56 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 61 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Angel Pacheco | 54 of 90 | 60% | 36 of 67 | 11 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 46 of 82 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Caolán Loughran despite criticizing his debut. He thinks Loughran's wrestling and constant leg-diving can grind out a win against Angel Pacheco, who lacks one-punch power. He notes Loughran's takedown accuracy is poor but believes he can keep Pacheco against the cage. He avoids betting at -300.
Cody likes Loughran's physical strength, wrestling, and youth. He thinks Loughran will take Pacheco down and control him, noting Pacheco's lack of takedown defense and recent close fight with Danny Silva.
Loughran has relentless grappling and pressure, training at Team Kaobon with Mike Grundy. Pacheco showed heart but was outclassed on the Contender Series; his competition level is low. Loughran should overpower Pacheco in the clinch and on the ground, controlling the fight. Pacheco may land some shots but Loughran's wrestling and strength will be too much. Prediction: Loughran by decision, but could finish.
Paul agrees, seeing Loughran as a strong wrestler who can exploit Pacheco's weaknesses. He expects Loughran to win by decision or ground control, though the -350 price is not enticing.
The host picks Caolán Loughran to win dominantly via grappling. He believes Loughran will be able to get to his dominant positions and out-explode Pacheco early. He notes that Loughran's stand-up is not great, but Pacheco will be there in the pocket, opening up takedown opportunities. He predicts a TKO or submission in round one or two.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 84 of 163 | 51% | 87 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 48 of 132 | 36% | 70 of 166 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 6:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 30 of 57 | 52% | 31 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 19 of 57 | 33% | 20 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 28 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 37 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 84 of 163 | 51% | 59 of 133 | 18 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 76 of 150 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Caolán Loughran | 48 of 132 | 36% | 28 of 100 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 44 of 125 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 30 of 57 | 52% | 25 of 51 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Caolán Loughran | 19 of 57 | 33% | 11 of 44 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 17 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 19 of 37 | 51% | 9 of 25 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 8 of 21 | 38% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 35 of 69 | 50% | 25 of 57 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 66 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 21 of 54 | 38% | 12 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a slight lean towards Caolán Loughran, trusting his forward pressure and wrestling. He compares Loughran's grit to Erin Blanchfield's. He notes Taylor Lapilus has clean striking but Loughran can march forward and stay in his face. Angelo is waiting for prop bets before betting.
Big Brady picks Lapilus, impressed by his striking, takedown defense, and toughness. He notes Lapilus' previous UFC experience and superior competition compared to Loughran. He expects Lapilus to be the better striker and not be taken down, winning a decision. He questions Loughran's decision to take this tougher fight.
Cody picks Lapilus, highlighting his experience (3-1 in UFC previously), excellent kicks, defensive skills, high ring IQ, and cardio. He notes Loughran is undefeated but his competition has been weak, including opponents with losing records. Lapilus has wins over Nate Maness and Wilson Reis, while Loughran's best wins are against unproven fighters. Cody believes Lapilus's defensive grappling and takedown ability will be key.
Daniel Levi picks Taylor Lapilus, stating that Lapilus is a dynamic kickboxer who should light up Loughran on the feet. He notes that Loughran is a stationary target with poor defense and that Lapilus has the experience and skill advantage. Levi warns that Lapilus sometimes has low output and lets opponents back into fights, but he believes Lapilus will pick Loughran apart as long as he doesn't play with his food. He also mentions that Loughran's path to victory is via takedowns and back takes, which have troubled Lapilus in the past.
I'm going with Lapilus here. He has a speed and distance striking advantage, and his kicking game should keep Loughran at bay. Loughran is a promising prospect but this might be too much too soon. Lapilus has good takedown defense and works well back to his feet. I think Lapilus stops Loughran by KO due to the speed advantage.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Loughran's undefeated record is built on weak opposition, including two opponents with a combined 1-82 record. He says Lapilus is a proven veteran fighting in front of his home crowd, making him a justifiable favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Caolán Loughran, describing him as a physically strong tank who can take the fight wherever he wants. He notes Loughran's recent wins over good regional opponents and his dangerous hands, while Lapilus is a good fighter but Loughran's physicality will be too much. He predicts Loughran will squash Lapilus.
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Nathan Fletcher, expressing strong dislike for Caolán Loughran's fighting style and personality. He criticizes Loughran for being non-committal, low volume, and failing to use his skills. Fletcher is described as a pressure fighter with good cardio and a never-quit attitude. Angelo expects the fight to go to decision due to Loughran's hesitance.
Brady thinks Loughran has a striking advantage and can take down Fletcher, despite Loughran's poor performance against Jake Hadley. He notes Fletcher gets reversed often and was controlled by Conor O'Malley. Brady expects a competitive fight but picks Loughran to win by decision.
The host notes that Loughran has improved tremendously since their amateur fight six years ago, and his strength and physicality will shut down Fletcher's grappling. He expects Loughran to keep Fletcher on the defensive and grind out a win.
The Guru is confident in Nathan Fletcher, praising his fluidity, head movement, and grappling compared to Loughran's stiffness. He describes Loughran as a 'Marvin Vettori of bantamweight'—tough but non-fluid and hittable. He believes Fletcher's better defense, reach advantage, and dynamic scrambles will be decisive. He expects Fletcher to win, possibly by decision or submission.
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