UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
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Age 30
Height 5' 4"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 4"
Reach 62.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alexia Thainara
4.62 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
2.46 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
4.54 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
1.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Molly McCann
5.28 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.65 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.78 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
38.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Alexia Thainara
Moneyline
DraftKings -198
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1000
Submission
FanDuel +430
Decision
FanDuel +135
Molly McCann
Moneyline
BetWay +200
KO/TKO
BetRivers +800
Submission
BetRivers +2000
Decision
DraftKings +350
Alexia Thainara - Fight History
WIN vs Bruna Brasil
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexia Thainara 0 73 of 150 48% 137 of 227 6 of 11 54% 2 0 9:34
Bruna Brasil 0 37 of 56 66% 72 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexia Thainara 0 29 of 59 49% 41 of 75 3 of 5 60% 1 0 2:16
Bruna Brasil 0 16 of 23 69% 25 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexia Thainara 0 28 of 51 54% 59 of 85 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:45
Bruna Brasil 0 15 of 20 75% 33 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexia Thainara 0 16 of 40 40% 37 of 67 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:33
Bruna Brasil 0 6 of 13 46% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexia Thainara 73 of 150 48% 32 of 91 25 of 37 16 of 22 53 of 119 12 of 18 8 of 13
Bruna Brasil 37 of 56 66% 13 of 29 15 of 17 9 of 10 31 of 50 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexia Thainara 29 of 59 49% 11 of 32 8 of 14 10 of 13 25 of 55 2 of 2 2 of 2
Bruna Brasil 16 of 23 69% 5 of 11 5 of 5 6 of 7 15 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alexia Thainara 28 of 51 54% 14 of 34 12 of 14 2 of 3 18 of 37 6 of 8 4 of 6
Bruna Brasil 15 of 20 75% 4 of 8 10 of 11 1 of 1 10 of 15 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Alexia Thainara 16 of 40 40% 7 of 25 5 of 9 4 of 6 10 of 27 4 of 8 2 of 5
Bruna Brasil 6 of 13 46% 4 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Angelo is extremely confident in Alexia Thainara, calling her the biggest favorite on the card. He describes her as a strong, forward-pressure fighter with heavy hands and grappling ability, who bullied Loma Lookboonmee. He contrasts Bruna Brasil's recent timid performances and poor takedown defense, predicting Alexia will run through her.

"I don't see a world where Bruna Brasil wins this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Cody picks Thainara, citing her physicality, improved wrestling, and cardio. He acknowledges the previous loss but believes Thainara has improved significantly since then.

"Taynara is my play of the week. I think she rolls."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor also picks Thainara, agreeing that she has improved and that Brasil has not. He notes that Thainara's recent performances show good give and take on the ground.

"I mean, I don't know. Odds on the fight. Thynara is a huge favorite."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Daniel expects Thainara to dominate Brasil, who he criticizes for being timid and running away. He believes Thainara's grappling and striking will overwhelm Brasil, leading to a clear win.

"I think Tonara's going to win this fight by simply doing more than Brunno Brazil."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Alexia Thainara

Thainara is a massive favorite at -768, and the host believes she should win easily due to her aggression, high pace, and wrestling. He notes that Bruna Brasil is more technical but passive and tentative, often failing to impose herself. Thainara's work rate and grappling in the clinch should overwhelm Brasil, and a finish is possible but not necessary for the win.

Pass on moneyline due to steep odds; fight likely goes distance but odds of 1.44 not attractive.
"I'd be amazed if Bruna Brazil were to win. She's probably the more technical striker than Tonara, but the problem with Bruna Brazil is that she's very passive, very tentative, holds back a lot, and often struggles to put her …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host believes Thainara has made significant improvements since her first fight with Brasil, evidenced by her 11-fight winning streak. He notes her aggression in striking and grappling, ability to establish top position, and youth at 28. He expects her to dominate with forward pressure and takedowns, though he is less confident in a finish, predicting a decision win. He mentions she is worthy of being a parlay piece despite the chalky price.

parlay piece
"I like Theara here. I don't mind her at this chalky price either. I think she's more than worthy of being a parlay piece."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Paul agrees, noting Thainara's trajectory and Brasil's inconsistency. He thinks Thainara's strength and wrestling will be too much.

"Taynara is a complete package for this division."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The MMA Guru picks Alexia Thainara, citing her recent win over Luma Lookboonmee and her physical strength. He believes Thainara is too muscular and strong in grappling exchanges for Bruna Brasil, who is coming off a loss. He notes that Thainara's takedown ability and pressure will be key, and that Brasil can be tricky on the back foot but will likely get taken down.

"I'm going to go with Alexia Thinara. I think she's going to be a little bit too masculine for Bruno Brazil."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Zane picks Thainara confidently, noting that she has improved since their first fight and looks controlled in recent performances. He mentions that she worked top position methodically against McCann and defended an armbar smoothly. He assumes she won't make the same mistake of walking into a guillotine again.

"I'm going to basically just assume that dinars really got better. Like that won't happen."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 30 of 61 49% 67 of 102 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Alexia Thainara 0 44 of 107 41% 110 of 202 5 of 11 45% 1 0 10:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 15 of 21 71% 28 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alexia Thainara 0 24 of 48 50% 35 of 64 2 of 4 50% 1 0 2:39
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 9 of 20 45% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexia Thainara 0 12 of 36 33% 44 of 75 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:46
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 6 of 20 30% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Alexia Thainara 0 8 of 23 34% 31 of 63 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 30 of 61 49% 14 of 37 12 of 19 4 of 5 25 of 51 5 of 10 0 of 0
Alexia Thainara 44 of 107 41% 29 of 78 7 of 13 8 of 16 23 of 70 9 of 18 12 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 15 of 21 71% 9 of 14 3 of 3 3 of 4 14 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alexia Thainara 24 of 48 50% 16 of 35 2 of 4 6 of 9 12 of 30 0 of 1 12 of 17
2 Loma Lookboonmee 9 of 20 45% 3 of 12 5 of 7 1 of 1 7 of 15 2 of 5 0 of 0
Alexia Thainara 12 of 36 33% 9 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 4 7 of 26 5 of 8 0 of 2
3 Loma Lookboonmee 6 of 20 30% 2 of 11 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 16 2 of 4 0 of 0
Alexia Thainara 8 of 23 34% 4 of 14 2 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 14 4 of 9 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Konklak Suphisara vs. Alexia Thainara
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Thainara (-240); Suphisara (+200)

Round 1
Kerfuffle after kerfuffle led to this event that at one time had what would have been a record 17 books saw the tally plummet to 12 on fight night. The losses include both Tafa brothers, so fans will have just one big-man battle tonight—and for a time, it was the first bout of the evening. Instead, due to reshuffling, the curtain jerker comes at 115 pounds. Suphisara (10-3, 7-2 UFC), the birth name of the Thai fighter known as “Loma Lookboonmee,” shall be called her combat name for the remainder of this write-up. As for her opponent, she takes on the surging Brazilian Thainara (12-1, 1-0 UFC), whose wrangling of Molly McCann was so meaningful that “Meatball” hung up her gloves—for now. Referee Matt Wynne will take charge of the first bout of the morning, as it is 7 a.m. locally in Perth today. The ladies rub the sleep out of their eyes during the announcements and clap hands to signal that they are ready to punch one another in the face repeatedly.
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Thainara is the immediate aggressor, stalking the Thai down and ultimately walking into a leg kick and an elbow. Thainara fires back, but Lookboonmee stands her ground and pops her with a one-two and a body kick. The Brazilian comes up short on her own one-two as she circles around to try to find an angle in, and Lookboonmee is evasive as can be and ready to counter. Thainara catches her with a right hand down the pipe, and she uses the strike to surge forward and press into a clinch. The takedown effort from her fails almost before it materializes, and Lookboonmee thanks her for her push by getting a tiny amount of space and booting Thainara upside the head with her shin. Thainara shakes it off and lines up single strikes down the middle, with her kicks largely inaccurate. Lookboonmee steps in with an elbow, and Thainara gives her a look like, “We’re throwing elbow stuff now” and fires off a spinning back kick. When Lookboonmee bounces off the cage wall, Thainara rushes after her to pursue a takedown.
On a redoubled effort, the Brazilian secures a trip takedown and bowls Lookboonmee to the mat, where she lands in half guard and goes right to smacking Lookboonmee around with short ground strikes. Lookboonmee looks to cling to her foe, and she turns to a side to stand while still being close enough to her foe to not get caught with something. The Thai works to her feet with Thainara still clinging to her. Using sheer horsepower, Thainara shrugs off a flush elbow and wrenches Lookboonmee off her feet and drags her to the mat, where she opens up with offense. Bludgeoning Lookboonmee with offense, she finds an opening and grips hold of a can opener on the back of the Thai’s neck. Lookboonmee is uncomfortable but survives it, so Thainara transitions to nasty 12-to-6 elbows to complete the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thainara
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Thainara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thainara

Round 2
Lookboonmee opens up by using distance strikes, keeping the Brazilian off of her. Thainara answers her with her own offering of kickboxing moves including a quick side kick, and she transitions her way forward to tackle Lookboonmee to the floor. Thainara smoothly completes the takedown and gets on top, where her offense gets going in a hurry. Lookboonmee forces her way to her feet under fire, and Thainara imposes her weight against her on the fencing until Lookboonmee shoves her back. They trade body kicks, and the Thai’s lands far more emphatically. Thainara pays it no mind and opens up with a one-two to wing a spinning back kick. Lookboonmee answers with another kick only for Thainara to crash the pocket and go for a takedown. When Lookboonmee appears to turn the tables on her and land on top, Thainara keeps the action moving and flips the Thai to her back.
Thainara, in half guard, puts Lookboonmee flat on her back as she starts driving down punches and the occasional elbow. The action slows down as Thainara slowly but methodically works offense, and sporadic boos from the few in the building at 7 am—again, this is a morning card locally for Aussies—until Thainara starts putting more mustard into her blows. This prompts Lookboonmee to give up her back so she can work to her feet, and she succeeds in putting her back to the fence as Thainara busts the nose open from her big swings. Thainara clings to her opponent like mean-spirited Saran Wrap, working her over with her fists and sharp elbows. With seconds to spare, Lookboonmee gets space and starts brawling, and Thainara not only welcomes it but puts her hands in the air to celebrate that she got caught and also hit back hard. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thainara
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Thainara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thainara

Round 3
Lookboonmee strikes first with a body kick, and Thainara immediately snatches it out of the air and bullies her to the wall. The ensuing scramble from a trip effort actually allows Lookboonmee to get her foe to the floor, and Thainara pops back up and tries to implement her own grappling. When clinched, Thainara peppers the Thai with knees to the thigh, foot stomps and surprisingly effective short kicks to the shin. The power advantage for the Brazilian allows her to maintain these positions for prolonged stretches, where she nullifies most of what Lookboonmee can offer. Thainara elects to back off, and she has her hands high to guard a head kick she knows is coming. When Lookboonmee plants her foot back down, she connects with a solid elbow. This spurs Thainara into a clinch push, where she stalls out Lookboonmee as she calmly works her over.
Lookboonmee again gets some space and the two start trading body kicks in a lower-intensity version of Frank Dux vs. Paco in “Bloodsport.” One seemingly effective kick gets through from the Thai, and Thainara grits her teeth and races forward to tie Lookboonmee up. Thainara loops a hook in and knees Lookboonmee in the face while pressed on the cage, and Wynne wants more from the strawweights. Lookboonmee clings to Thainara’s wrist to keep her trapped, and Thainara pushes off the fence with her foot to pull the Thai to the floor in an unorthodox but extremely effective takedown directly into back control. After a few seconds, Lookboonmee is able to muscle her way to the side to get to a 50-50 position, and Thainara threatens with a calf slicer. The two separate, and Lookboonmee sprints at her adversary and throws everything and the kitchen sink at her. Thainara laughs and sticks her tongue out, and she backs away until time expires. Expecting to get her hand raised in a moment, Thainara celebrates by flopping onto her stomach in the center of the Octagon and posing like a Glamour Shot model. That’s one way to start off the morning.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thainara (30-27 Thainara)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Thainara (30-27 Thainara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thainara (30-27 Thainara)

The Official Result
Alexia Thainara def. Loma Lookboonmee via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Angelo picks Alexia Thainara over Loma Lookboonmee, citing Thainara's strength, aggression, and ability to ragdoll opponents. He notes that Loma is tiny and has poor jiu-jitsu when taken down, while Thainara will charge forward with bombs and takedowns. He is more confident in Thainara than in Navajo Stirling, despite Loma being a better fighter than Bellato.

"Alexia Tinara wins this fight. Alexia Tanara may ragdoll Loma and make Lma look stupid. We have not seen that yet. Loma has not looked stupid in any fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Big Brady picks Alexia Thainara to win by decision. He notes Thainara has significant size and reach advantages, improved striking, and a strong grappling game. He believes she can get takedowns and control the fight, though he admits the line is a bit wide and disrespectful to Loma.

"I'm going to say Tyara wins this fight. DHNR wins this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Cody picks Thainara, citing her size, volume, and wrestling. He notes Lookboonmee is low-volume and has struggled against volume strikers, while Thainara is physically strong and can mix in takedowns. He also mentions Lookboonmee's past mental health issues and inactivity.

"I think wins. I'm not going to waste too much of your time on this one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor agrees, noting that Lookboonmee's technical advantages on the feet may not matter if Thainara can get the fight to the ground. He points out that Lookboonmee has a history of being passive and giving up rounds, and that Thainara's strength and grappling could overwhelm her. He also mentions that Lookboonmee doesn't have power to keep Thainara off.

"I think you have to take Thainara here. Lookboonmee is a known quantity who is essentially probably always going to be stuck as a fairly low level gatekeeper."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

James is confident in Alexia Thainara due to her superior grappling. He believes Thainara will take Lookboonmee down and control the fight, potentially by submission. He notes Lookboonmee's takedown defense has improved but is still vulnerable against a high-level grappler.

by submission (potential)
"I like Tyara here. I like Tyara to get a submission here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host believes Alexia Thainara is one of the best fighters from the Contender Series last season. He expects her to take the Thai fighter to the ground and find a submission within two rounds, indicating a confident pick with a specific method and round prediction.

submission within two rounds
"I think Theara is one of the best fighters to come out of that contender series from last season. And I think we'll see her continue her winning ways here by taking the Thai fighter to the ground and eventually …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee as an underdog, believing she is underrated and has more UFC experience. He notes her strong clinch work and base, making her hard to take down, unlike Molly McCann who was submitted by Thainara. He expects a close decision win, 29-28, and thinks the odds should be closer to even.

over 41.5 significant strikes for Lookboonmee; plus 200 underdog; should be evens fight
"I'm going to go with Luma Look Boom over Alexa. I am a Lumalook Boom enjoyer."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Zane thinks Thainara's strength and power will be too much for Lookboonmee, who is consistently weaker than her opponents. He notes that Lookboonmee can be passive and make questionable decisions, and that Thainara is a ferocious brawler with strong grappling. He believes Thainara is an actual prospect in the division.

Odds comment: Lookboonmee opened +130 now +195, Thainara opened -150 now -230
"I think you have to take Thainara here. I think she's an actual prospect in this division and Lookboonmee is a known quantity."
WIN vs Molly McCann
Submission R1 4:32 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.

Bet on Molly at +150
"Molly's a pick got the bet on Molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.

Thainara by submission round 1
"give me thara here and I think she gets a sub ... first round sub"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I'll take i'll take tainara just because there is no level of opponent that molly mccann knows too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.

submission or decision
"I think Fenara will be able to get this into the grappling realm and keep man kind of on her back foot or even just on her back."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.

TKO
"I'm gonna go with Alexia thara here over Molly maccan"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I think i'm still gonna pick mccann ... thina just seems incredibly undercooked."
Molly McCann - Fight History
LOSS vs Alexia Thainara
Submission R1 4:32 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.

Bet on Molly at +150
"Molly's a pick got the bet on Molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.

Thainara by submission round 1
"give me thara here and I think she gets a sub ... first round sub"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I'll take i'll take tainara just because there is no level of opponent that molly mccann knows too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.

submission or decision
"I think Fenara will be able to get this into the grappling realm and keep man kind of on her back foot or even just on her back."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.

TKO
"I'm gonna go with Alexia thara here over Molly maccan"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I think i'm still gonna pick mccann ... thina just seems incredibly undercooked."
LOSS vs Bruna Brasil
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruna Brasil 0 32 of 56 57% 57 of 84 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:31
Molly McCann 0 44 of 74 59% 63 of 99 3 of 3 100% 0 1 5:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruna Brasil 0 10 of 21 47% 10 of 22 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:55
Molly McCann 0 25 of 38 65% 31 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
2 Bruna Brasil 0 11 of 20 55% 30 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
Molly McCann 0 11 of 19 57% 21 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:20
3 Bruna Brasil 0 11 of 15 73% 17 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:31
Molly McCann 0 8 of 17 47% 11 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 1 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruna Brasil 32 of 56 57% 19 of 38 11 of 15 2 of 3 28 of 52 2 of 2 2 of 2
Molly McCann 44 of 74 59% 20 of 46 22 of 24 2 of 4 32 of 56 8 of 9 4 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruna Brasil 10 of 21 47% 7 of 15 2 of 4 1 of 2 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 25 of 38 65% 8 of 18 15 of 17 2 of 3 18 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 5
2 Bruna Brasil 11 of 20 55% 6 of 13 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1
Molly McCann 11 of 19 57% 6 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Bruna Brasil 11 of 15 73% 6 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1
Molly McCann 8 of 17 47% 6 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 1 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.

"I think the forward pressure the output the crowd I think all of that is just going to work in Molly's favor"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.

"I think Molly wins based on like the style and the skill level it just really depends on her and like where her motivation level is at."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.

"I think Molly mcc's going to win this fight but just being meaner just wanting it a little bit more"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.

"I think Molly wins based on like the style and the skill level it just really depends on her and like where her motivation level is at."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Molly mccan over Bruno Brazil am I am I gonna go with Molly mccan over Brun I think I am I think Molly mcan's like a tough [ __ ] to be honest with you"
Submission (armbar) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 0 42 of 91 46% 43 of 92 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:08
Diana Belbiţă 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 42 of 91 46% 43 of 92 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:08
Diana Belbiţă 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 42 of 91 46% 27 of 71 14 of 19 1 of 1 34 of 76 2 of 4 6 of 11
Diana Belbiţă 29 of 77 37% 9 of 46 13 of 23 7 of 8 24 of 72 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 42 of 91 46% 27 of 71 14 of 19 1 of 1 34 of 76 2 of 4 6 of 11
Diana Belbiţă 29 of 77 37% 9 of 46 13 of 23 7 of 8 24 of 72 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.

No bet
"Molly's going to be the pick I think she's going to win this fight but hopefully everybody learned their lesson betting on Molly mccan in these favorite spots"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.

second round, submission
"give me Molly mccan to win this fight by second round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.

"I'll take the dog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.

"I know better than to try to trust her as a minus 300 favorite in any spot period."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.

"that number's dumb"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.

30-27 decision
"I'm going Molly mccan funnily enough... I think that Molly maccan is Tough Enough aggressive enough I think that's going to be the difference... I'm going to go Molly mccan fun scrap 3027."
Submission (armbar) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.

suggested as parlay piece
"Molly McCann's going to win this fight I don't know if it's gonna be by stoppage but she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.

first round knockout
"Molly McCann first round knockout my goodness"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.

would bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better
"I think Molly meatball McCann out volumes out Tufts uh uh solo renko she just has to avoid getting taken down and subbed in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.

Daniel says 'it's less than minus 200 to fade one of the worst fighters on the roster' and expects a highlight-reel finish.
"I think Molly is gonna bust this girl up gonna get a highlight real finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.

by knockout, waiting for better price around -200
"give me model McCann by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.

"I think this is an absolute setup for Molly McCann to go out there and roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I'm going with Molly McCann over Julius dolorenko"
Submission (kimura) R1 3:37 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.

Molly McCann inside the distance (decision no action) on BetOnline
"I am not putting Aaron blanchfield in a parlay and the BET might actually be Molly McCann inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.

Blanchfield by submission; inside the distance
"it's blanchfield all day and honestly it's maybe even blanchfield inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.

"I'm leaning towards uh McCann strictly because of the number."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.

"I'm going to pick Blanchfield. No, I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.

No bet at -390; odds mentioned: Blanchfield -390, McCann +320 at DraftKings
"Aaron's my pick it's just not really in any kind of Rush delay minus 400 on it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.

under 2.5 rounds (+180), Blanchfield by submission
"I'm gonna take her to win by submission I'll be keeping my eye on that submission prop"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.

"I got Blanche field but I'm gonna try to chase the price and go by blanchfield by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.

"I'm going with Aaron blanchfield"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.

"I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
WIN vs Hannah Goldy
TKO (spinning back elbow and punches) R1 3:52 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.

plus 3.5 rounds handicap bet
"i do think molly wins here but i genuinely think it's because of the crowd"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.

McCann by decision
"give me molly mccann to win give me molly mccann to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.

McCann by TKO +425
"i think she's going to just come you know continue to come forward and do whatever she wants"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.

"i just see molly mccann coming out here and outworking her putting a pace on her and just overwhelming her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.

Goldy by submission +1200, Goldy by decision +500 (mentioned as possibilities)
"I'm throwing a half unit shot on Hannah Goldie this fight's gonna play out close"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.

"i'll pick molly mccann but like it just isn't in my dna to lay minus 425 on meatballs so"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.

29-28 decision
"molly mccann gets this one done way more experienced"
KO (spinning back elbow) R3 1:52 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 85 of 159 53% 99 of 174 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
Luana Carolina 0 64 of 132 48% 76 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 56 of 107 52% 61 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 52 42% 23 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 Molly McCann 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Luana Carolina 0 26 of 51 50% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 1 14 of 22 63% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Luana Carolina 0 16 of 29 55% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 85 of 159 53% 52 of 118 28 of 36 5 of 5 69 of 139 14 of 18 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 64 of 132 48% 26 of 88 33 of 39 5 of 5 47 of 113 17 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 56 of 107 52% 35 of 79 19 of 26 2 of 2 47 of 96 9 of 11 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 22 of 52 42% 6 of 32 13 of 17 3 of 3 16 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Molly McCann 15 of 30 50% 5 of 19 8 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 26 1 of 2 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 26 of 51 50% 13 of 37 12 of 13 1 of 1 16 of 40 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 16 of 29 55% 7 of 19 8 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.

"i'm siding with the bookies here and i'm just gonna give a tiny tiny slight edge to molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.

"give me carolina for the upset give me carolina to win a very close probably greasy split decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.

"the pick would be my mccann by decision ever so slightly"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.

"close fight favors uh molly mccann um but i think that molly mccann might turn up on luana carolina maybe even get 130 27 in there too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.

McCann via decision; McCann by submission (+1100)
"I expect her at her optimal level to go out there and outstrike Luana Carolina."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.

"i'll pick carolina for the purposes of this show but uh i don't think i'm gonna get money my money in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.

split decision
"i'm gonna go luanna carolina here... she's longer, she's got good kicks, she was able to stuff takedowns"
WIN vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 0 127 of 272 46% 130 of 275 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:47
Ji Yeon Kim 0 122 of 361 33% 134 of 374 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 21 of 51 41% 23 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Ji Yeon Kim 0 24 of 75 32% 35 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:35
2 Molly McCann 0 51 of 101 50% 51 of 101 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Ji Yeon Kim 0 42 of 124 33% 42 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 0 55 of 120 45% 56 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 56 of 162 34% 57 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 127 of 272 46% 110 of 249 16 of 22 1 of 1 126 of 270 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 122 of 361 33% 87 of 316 24 of 33 11 of 12 114 of 349 6 of 10 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 21 of 51 41% 17 of 45 4 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 24 of 75 32% 15 of 63 7 of 9 2 of 3 17 of 64 5 of 9 2 of 2
2 Molly McCann 51 of 101 50% 43 of 93 7 of 7 1 of 1 51 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 42 of 124 33% 27 of 106 8 of 11 7 of 7 42 of 124 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 55 of 120 45% 50 of 111 5 of 9 0 of 0 54 of 118 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 56 of 162 34% 45 of 147 9 of 13 2 of 2 55 of 161 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision, citing her superior striking accuracy (50% vs Kim's 34%) and volume. He notes Kim has a 10-inch reach advantage but doesn't use it effectively and misses a lot. McCann can also mix in takedowns against Kim, who has poor takedown defense (42%). Brady points out that McCann's losses have come against grapplers, while Kim is not a wrestler. He expects McCann to win a decision.

"i like molly mccann to win by decision kim is very tough she's never been knocked out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody slightly leans McCann, noting her wrestling and ground-and-pound against lower-level opposition. He acknowledges Kim's 10-inch reach advantage and better striking, but thinks McCann can get takedowns and grind out a decision. He is not confident and may flip depending on weigh-ins.

"i'm going to go with my mccann"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

I like Kim here. She has a huge size advantage—10-inch reach and 3-inch height advantage. She's fought much better competition like Antonina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso and had moments standing with them. McCann's wins are over low-level opponents, and she lost to the only decent fighters she faced. Kim's takedown defense has been a concern, but McCann isn't a great wrestler and her control time is weak. I think Kim wins the stand-up easily and can even finish. I'm sprinkling Kim by KO at +1160.

Kim by KO +1160, Kim decision +150
"I really like Kim here... I think she's much better on the feet than Molly McCann... I'm gonna take a little sprinkle on that KO prop."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Paul is high on Kim, calling her the best bet on the card. He cites the 10-inch reach advantage and Kim's superior striking. He doubts McCann can sustain wrestling for three rounds and thinks Kim will win on the feet. He plans to bet Kim.

"i feel like kim may be the best bet on the cart"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann to win by close decision. He calls it a pick'em fight but trusts McCann's toughness and grit to push the pace and finish rounds strong. He notes McCann's wins over Ariane Lipski, Diana Belbita, and Priscila Cachoeira as evidence of her ability to grind out decisions. He expects a split decision 29-28.

"i think i'm going to go with molly mccann i think she's just a bit tougher and a bit grindier"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.

Bet on Molly at +150
"Molly's a pick got the bet on Molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.

Thainara by submission round 1
"give me thara here and I think she gets a sub ... first round sub"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I'll take i'll take tainara just because there is no level of opponent that molly mccann knows too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.

submission or decision
"I think Fenara will be able to get this into the grappling realm and keep man kind of on her back foot or even just on her back."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.

TKO
"I'm gonna go with Alexia thara here over Molly maccan"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I think i'm still gonna pick mccann ... thina just seems incredibly undercooked."