UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 0"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 6' 1"
Reach 78"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Ikram Aliskerov
6.86 SLpM
64.0% Str. Acc.
5.47 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
3.2 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - André Muniz
2.08 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
2.46 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
3.98 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Ikram Aliskerov
Moneyline
BetWay -400
KO/TKO
FanDuel -140
Submission
BetRivers +650
Decision
FanDuel +600
André Muniz
Moneyline
DraftKings +360
KO/TKO
BetRivers +2200
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
BetRivers +900
Ikram Aliskerov - Fight History
SCHED vs Brunno Ferreira
WIN vs JunYong Park
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 91 of 134 67% 126 of 174 5 of 7 71% 0 0 6:07
JunYong Park 0 78 of 132 59% 91 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 46 76% 37 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:36
JunYong Park 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 52 67% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
JunYong Park 0 38 of 55 69% 42 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Ikram Aliskerov 0 21 of 36 58% 43 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
JunYong Park 0 23 of 34 67% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 91 of 134 67% 57 of 94 26 of 29 8 of 11 79 of 120 3 of 4 9 of 10
JunYong Park 78 of 132 59% 57 of 108 18 of 20 3 of 4 73 of 127 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 46 76% 17 of 25 14 of 14 4 of 7 33 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1
JunYong Park 17 of 43 39% 13 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 52 67% 21 of 36 10 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 45 2 of 2 4 of 5
JunYong Park 38 of 55 69% 29 of 46 8 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 51 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Ikram Aliskerov 21 of 36 58% 19 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4
JunYong Park 23 of 34 67% 15 of 25 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.

I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is.
"Park's not the better striker, he's not the better grappler, and I don't think he's winning this fight. Ikram's the pick. I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.

Park by decision; staying away from betting
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Park side. It just this whole fight to me feels like a big trap. I'm probably staying away from this one, but in terms of a pick, I'm going to go Park here. I'll …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.

"Ikram's the play for me, but another one of these guys maybe similar to Asamat Bakoev last week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.

Aliskerov is a solid favorite at -225; Park is +190.
"Jun Young Park is a guy who, he's my favorite kind of fighter... but it does mean that he will regularly meet athletic walls where he just gets stopped."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.

"Because we're in the desert, I'm going to take the guy with the OV as the last two letters of his last name. And I'm going to take Iram Aliscerov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.

"I'm picking Ikram Aliskarov here. I can't say that there's much value on his money line currently."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I expect Park to really start running away with this matchup and eventually finding a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.

under 2.5 rounds
"for me it's dog or pass. Like um I'm not laying chalk on a guy who seems mostly, at least in his UFC iteration, like a one-round fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.

TKO in first or second round; also mentioned in a PrizePicks parlay for less than 2.5 total rounds
"I think Ikram Aliskerov's going to put him away by TKO, the same way he's put away near enough every opponent bar Whittaker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.

"I think he will also be consistently open to a kill shot. And Aliskerov is pretty damn good at finding them."
CANCEL vs Brunno Ferreira
WIN vs André Muniz
KO R1 4:54 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.

Parlay with Jaqueline Amorim and Zhang Mingyang at -150
"Iram Skirov is going to be the pick. Minus 650 seems crazy, but I have parlayed Icram with Jacqueline Amore."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Give me Alaskarov to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.

"I think Alaskarov is going to catch him. Yeah. Yeah. That's where my gut tell what my gut tells me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe the wrestling of Aliasarov will allow him to shut down the jiu-jitsu game of Munes... eventually find that big shot as Munes slows down probably in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.

TKO round 2
"I'm going to go with Vikramiskov getting this one done by TKO. Round two. I think there'll be some moments early where Manz has a hold of him against the cage... but I'm going to go Maliskarov getting this one …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.

"The temptation is a very strong and even undeniable to just pick Andre Muniz as the more proven quantity."
CANCEL vs André Muniz
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov confidently, stating that outside of a Hail Mary submission, André Muniz has no path to victory. He notes that Aliskerov is a strong wrestler with improving striking, while Muniz has been exposed by fighters who pressure him. He believes Aliskerov will dominate on the feet and can defend takedowns.

"ikal Skov is absolutely the pick and unfortunately these odds don't get insane they're already bad but they're very accurate"
KO (punches) R1 1:49 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ikram Aliskerov 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ikram Aliskerov 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 2 12 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
Ikram Aliskerov 5 of 15 33% 3 of 10 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 2 12 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
Ikram Aliskerov 5 of 15 33% 3 of 10 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Aliskerov, citing a changing of the guard. He thinks Whittaker is starting to phase out, showing chin issues and getting hit more. He notes Aliskerov has genuine one-punch KO power and can wrestle, though he hasn't shown it in the UFC. He is not confident enough to bet due to the short notice for Aliskerov, but as a pick he goes with the younger fighter.

No bet due to short notice concerns
"I think rram wins this fight not confident enough to bet on it I wish the odds were wider so I could but I am going to pick rram here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Whittaker

Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker confidently, citing the many disadvantages for Aliskerov: short notice, weight cut issues, travel, and a massive step up in competition from Antonio Trócoli to Whittaker. He expects Whittaker's experience and cardio to take over as the fight goes on, predicting a late finish or decision. Brady acknowledges Aliskerov's early danger but believes Whittaker's chances skyrocket after the first round.

"I got to go Whitaker here there's no way I can I can pick against Whitaker it's a show me spot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Whittaker

Cody picks Whittaker based on his superior striking, footwork, and experience in deep rounds. He notes Whittaker's takedown defense and ability to use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan, while Aliskerov has not faced top-level competition and may fade in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Aliskerov's power and the risk of Whittaker getting caught early.

"I gota go with Robbie Knuckles to uh to get a win here but I'm expecting it to be a competitive main event that you're going to be puckered up in because I mov is a first round knockout guy"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Robert Whittaker

Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Whittaker but with caution. He notes Whittaker's elite takedown defense, scrambling, and striking (left hook, high kick) but questions his durability and chin, citing recent wobbles. He acknowledges Aliskerov's power and potential but sees the step up in competition as too big. He leans Whittaker but is not fully confident due to Whittaker's long career and possible decline.

"I'm gonna go Robert Whitaker here but proceed with caution because again when Fighters are I don't know if I want to call it the Twilight of his career because again he's only 33"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Jacob picks Aliskerov, comparing the situation to Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira. He thinks Whittaker's win over Paulo Costa is overrated and that Costa is not a top-five guy. He notes Whittaker gets wobbled often and blitzes in, which plays into Aliskerov's power. He worries about Aliskerov's short notice and two weight cuts but thinks if he lands, he knocks Whittaker out. He has not bet it but picks Aliskerov.

No bet placed
"I'm going rram here but I'll be honest I I haven't bet it you I still respect Bobby and you know that short notice and you know five rounds and I haven't eded yet but as a pick I'm going …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

JP picks Aliskerov by decision, comparing him to Dricus du Plessis who beat Whittaker. He believes Aliskerov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Whittaker, who has looked a step slower. Brevan agrees, noting Whittaker's decline and Aliskerov's hunger. Both see great value in Aliskerov as a dog and expect him to dominate. They suggest betting on Aliskerov moneyline and possibly by decision.

Aliskerov by decision (dog money)
"I see rram doing the exact same thing I think it goes to decision because I think Rob's tough I think Rob can hang in there I think rro by decision dog money"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Whittaker

Paul picks Whittaker, citing his proven track record and the step-up in competition for Aliskerov. He mentions travel advantages for Whittaker and notes that Aliskerov hasn't proven himself against top-tier opponents. Paul expects a competitive fight but leans on Whittaker's experience.

"I can't really back him at this price until he kind of proves against a higher level of competition that he belongs in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Robert Whittaker

The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker over Ikram Aliskerov, arguing that Aliskerov's regional wins are not impressive enough to suggest he can finish a former champion. He notes that Aliskerov went to the third round with Dennis Tulin and struggled with other lower-level opponents, while Whittaker has a proven chin and has faced elite competition. He believes Whittaker's experience, takedown defense, and ability to adapt will be key, and that Aliskerov's best path is a knockout, but Whittaker doesn't make the same mistakes as Aliskerov's previous opponents. He admits that if Whittaker loses, it would change his entire view of MMA.

"I am going to go with Whitaker I believe in Whitaker here if he loses it will change my entire opinion on MMA so we'll see."
WIN vs Warlley Alves
TKO (flying knee and punches) R1 2:07 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 26 of 36 72% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Warlley Alves 0 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 26 of 36 72% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Warlley Alves 0 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 26 of 36 72% 20 of 29 6 of 6 0 of 1 26 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Warlley Alves 12 of 16 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 26 of 36 72% 20 of 29 6 of 6 0 of 1 26 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Warlley Alves 12 of 16 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, noting his wrestling pressure and that he was preparing for a good striker originally. He thinks Alves has cardio issues and is on short notice. He expects Ikram to avoid a slugfest and control the fight with wrestling. He has Ikram in parlays.

parlay inclusion
"aram's the pick I have him in parlays as well I think he's pretty safe to do that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by second round knockout. He notes that Warlley Alves is coming up a weight class on short notice, has questionable cardio, and has been finished in the second round multiple times. Aliskerov is a heavy favorite and Brady expects him to overwhelm Alves as the fight extends.

second round knockout
"give meam alisar to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Aliskerov, highlighting that Alves is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He notes that Aliskerov has good wrestling and striking, and that Alves has been submitted and out-struck in recent fights. Cody believes Aliskerov will take Alves down and control him, leading to a finish or clear decision. He also mentions that Alves is giving up size and reach.

"Aliskerov is the pick but I mean at the number and what is available even on the props it just doesn't feel like something I'm going to get to on my betting card this week"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel picks Ikram Aliskerov to win, noting his dominant finishes and wrestling, but acknowledges that Aliskerov went to a split decision with a low-level opponent, suggesting he might be slightly overrated. He describes Warlley Alves as a talented flake who can beat anyone or lose to anyone, and notes that Alves has fraud-checked prospects before. Daniel says it's a 'dog or pass' situation and that picking a -550 favorite is obvious, but he wouldn't be surprised if Alves pulls an upset.

Aliskerov minus 550, Alves plus 400; mentions Alves as a 'talented flake' and potential fraud check
"It doesn't take a [ __ ] genius to to pick a minus 550 favorite um and I will pick rram to win this fight but it's not going to surprise me if warley... looks amazing."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Aliskerov is a big fan, impressed with his wrestling and improving hands. He can shut down Alves' kicking game by taking the fight to the ground, grinding him out, and doing damage from top position. Alves has cardio issues and slows down, so Aliskerov can find a TKO in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"give me Ali scar of by TKO in round let's call it round two I might even take a sprinkle on round three"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov, noting that Alves is on a two-fight losing streak, has poor cardio, and is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. Aliskerov is a natural middleweight with a full camp, while Alves is moving up on short notice. Paul expects Aliskerov to out-volume Alves and mix in takedowns, leading to a finish or dominant decision.

"I'm getting Ikram Aliskerov who got ready for a better fighter he's got a full camp now he's getting Warlley Alves short notice Alves doesn't have a great gas tank to begin with"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov, though he is not fully sold on him. He notes Aliskerov has good grappling and striking, and is in his prime with a full camp. He criticizes Aliskerov's split decision with Chad Hanam at Brave FC. He thinks Alves has taken too much damage and hasn't been active, so Aliskerov should win.

"I'm going to go with ikram alisov winning this fight for sure"
WIN vs Phil Hawes
KO (punches) R1 2:10 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Phil Hawes 1 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 17 of 28 60% 4 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Phil Hawes 20 of 33 60% 13 of 24 6 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Phil Hawes

Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.

0.2 units at +175 for America
"I'm gonna ride or die with American wrestling here Phil Hall's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Phil Hawes

Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.

First round knockout prediction; probably not betting this fight
"I'm gonna pick Phil Hawes and you can never have confidence in in Phil Hawes honestly ever against anybody but I'm gonna take him to the stuff the takedown's here keep it on the feet and do the better work …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds at even money; live betting Aliskerov after round 1
"I think -210 pre-flop yeah I would bet him because I think he's gonna win but I think we can get a much better price on that after the first"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I feel pretty okay actually about picking Aliskerov. Phil Hawes just doesn't have it, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.

Aliskerov inside the distance, round 2
"I'm picking the Russian fighter to get his hand raised and I think he does it inside the distance let's call it round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.

"I think ikram is the side at minus 210 I don't know if I'm going to attack it from a betting perspective though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.

"I'm gonna side with ikramalisker of here I just think he's going to be smart to shoot on one of the legs and make Phil Hall's balance on the other leg"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.

Aliskerov opened -309, now -189; Hawes opened +261, now +167.
"I'm going to pick him. I hate to do it, but got to happen."
André Muniz - Fight History
KO R1 4:58 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edmen Shahbazyan 1 25 of 50 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
André Muniz 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 1 25 of 50 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
André Muniz 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edmen Shahbazyan 25 of 50 50% 20 of 45 3 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 27 1 of 2 12 of 21
André Muniz 15 of 38 39% 6 of 20 2 of 10 7 of 8 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 25 of 50 50% 20 of 45 3 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 27 1 of 2 12 of 21
André Muniz 15 of 38 39% 6 of 20 2 of 10 7 of 8 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Muniz vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Shahbazyan (-290), Muniz (+235)

Round 1
It’s submission vs. striking in this next phrase of the prelims, with both athletes sporting finish rates north of 75% in this middleweight affair. Still just 27 years of age with a few camps behind him at Xtreme Couture, Shahbazyan (15-5, 8-5 UFC) is ready to turn the corner and become “The Golden Boy.” To get there, he will have to surpass grappling ace Muniz (24-7, 6-3 UFC), who no one will forget when he snapped the arm of “Jacare” Souza with a stellar armbar. Referee Mark Smith will be here for the match wherever it takes place, and the 185ers bump gloves to introduce themselves.
Shahbazyan moves to the center of the Octagon and blocks a quick head kick that leads things off, and he hops away from a subsequent sweeping calf kick. Muniz goes high with another kick, and Shahbazyan pitches a calf kick back his way. They jab at one another, and Muniz misses on a short combination of punches. Shahbazyan scores a body kick and takes a low kick on the way out, with the two seemingly trading blows one after the other. Muniz spins with a wheel kick, and when he plants his feet, he shoots for a takedown. Shahbazyan forces him to stand up and knees him in the torso, bullying the grappler against the fence and staying tight to him. Muniz falls to the ground to pursue a leglock, and Shahbazyan steps out of it and makes Muniz stand. Muniz gets back up and is ready to throw hands, and his head kick after bangs into the guard. Shahbazyan responds with a single solid left hook, and he splits the gloves with a right.
Muniz stays committed to body kicks, and he uses one to close the distance only for the younger fighter to push him towards the fencing. Muniz separates without much effort, and he defends a high kick he knows is coming. The Brazilian plants his heel on Shahbazyan’s side from a back kick, and his swinging hooks miss the mark by a matter of feet. Muniz catches a kick and tries to trip Shahbazyan up, but he abandons that and just slugs his way closer. Muniz goes after the calf and swings it out for a moment with Shahbazyan, who takes a right hand and is shaken up for a moment. Shahbazyan plants his feet and takes a body kick, so he backpedals as Muniz puts it on him. Muniz manages to drag Shahbazyan to the floor, and although he cannot keep him there, he does land a kick. Muniz opens up with big punches, and Shahbazyan clips him with a left hook that puts the Brazilian on ice skates.
The sheer momentum of Shahbazyan and his swinging left hands bowl Muniz to the floor, and he starts battering the downed man with punches and elbows. Muniz turns to his side to defend the beating, but Smith is watching closely and not seeing much intelligent defense. As Muniz appears to lose consciousness from the drubbing, Smith steps in to call a halt to the match before the buzzer
. It takes some time for Muniz to come to, but he manages to sit and stand up, and his team and medical professionals seat him on a stool to further recover. Meanwhile, that is three wins in a row for Shahbazyan, who may be knocking on the door of the top 15 again.

The Official Result
Edmen Shahbazyan def. Andre Muniz R1 4:58 via KO (Punches and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Edmen's striking advantage is wider than André's grappling advantage, and that Edmen can win by keeping the fight on the feet. He notes André's chin is starting to fail and that Edmen has good takedown defense when not tired. He also thinks the fight will not go the distance.

Fight does not go the distance.
"I think Edmond Shabbazian wins this fight... Whoever wins this fight is going to do so in dominant fashion. I think the best bet here is the fight does not go the distance."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Big Brady believes André Muniz has a weak chin, citing his recent knockout losses and a delayed reaction to a shot. He notes that Muniz has been knocked out six times and all his losses are inside the distance. He thinks Shahbazyan has power and will knock out Muniz, likely in the first round. He predicts a first-round knockout for Shahbazyan.

Edmen Shahbazyan by first round knockout.
"Give me Evan Shabbazian to win. And Evan Shabbazian to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
André Muniz

Connor picks Muniz to keep it interesting, seeing a path where Muniz sucks Shahbazyan into a grappling hell early on, making Shahbazyan fight well but have a miserable time, leading to his typical panic and collapse. He notes that Muniz's aggressive grappling could overwhelm Shahbazyan, especially if Muniz commits to wrestling from the start.

Shahbazyan opened at -175, currently -310; Muniz opened at +150, currently +260. Connor comments: 'Crazy considering how often Shabazzian has just self-destructed. It should be close.'
"I'll take Muniz just to keep it interesting. I can totally see the fight that you laid out. I can also see Muniz sucking Shabazzian into hell."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Edmen Shahbazyan

The host is skeptical of Shahbazyan as a chalky favorite due to gas tank issues, but still expects him to walk Munz onto a big shot and win by knockout.

"I'll always be skeptical in terms of playing Shahbazyan as a chalky favorite given his gas tank issues at times... I still think Shahbazyan will be able to walk Munz onto a big shot and win this fight by knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

The MMA Guru picks Edmen Shahbazyan, believing his youth, power, and takedown defense will be key. He notes André Muniz's vulnerability to strikes and poor decision-making. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first-round TKO
"I'm going to go with Edmen Shahbazyan getting this one done by TKO in the first round over Andre Muniz."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Zane picks Shahbazyan because he believes Muniz is a pure grappler who is not good at staying in control of a fight, unlike the fighters who have previously broken Shahbazyan (e.g., Derek Brunson, Jack Hermansson). He notes that Muniz is a risky, chancy grappler who can get a quick submission but is a mess standing, and Shahbazyan is a rangy, sharp shooter with good striking. However, he acknowledges the potential for Shahbazyan to meltdown.

Shahbazyan opened at -175, currently -310; Muniz opened at +150, currently +260. Zane comments: 'Crazy considering how often Shabazzian has just self-destructed. It should be close.'
"I'm going to take Shabazzian here because like I say, I once again, I just think that these kinds of this kind of pure grappler who is not that good at staying in control of a fight... I just don't …"
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
KO R1 4:54 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 1 44 of 68 64% 55 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
André Muniz 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 44 of 68 64% 26 of 46 10 of 13 8 of 9 25 of 44 1 of 1 18 of 23
André Muniz 16 of 36 44% 6 of 23 6 of 9 4 of 4 16 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.

Parlay with Jaqueline Amorim and Zhang Mingyang at -150
"Iram Skirov is going to be the pick. Minus 650 seems crazy, but I have parlayed Icram with Jacqueline Amore."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Give me Alaskarov to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.

"I think Alaskarov is going to catch him. Yeah. Yeah. That's where my gut tell what my gut tells me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe the wrestling of Aliasarov will allow him to shut down the jiu-jitsu game of Munes... eventually find that big shot as Munes slows down probably in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.

TKO round 2
"I'm going to go with Vikramiskov getting this one done by TKO. Round two. I think there'll be some moments early where Manz has a hold of him against the cage... but I'm going to go Maliskarov getting this one …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.

"The temptation is a very strong and even undeniable to just pick Andre Muniz as the more proven quantity."
CANCEL vs Ikram Aliskerov
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov confidently, stating that outside of a Hail Mary submission, André Muniz has no path to victory. He notes that Aliskerov is a strong wrestler with improving striking, while Muniz has been exposed by fighters who pressure him. He believes Aliskerov will dominate on the feet and can defend takedowns.

"ikal Skov is absolutely the pick and unfortunately these odds don't get insane they're already bad but they're very accurate"
WIN vs JunYong Park
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 27 of 60 45% 52 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:58
JunYong Park 0 14 of 30 46% 35 of 60 11 of 14 78% 0 1 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
JunYong Park 0 3 of 4 75% 10 of 11 5 of 6 83% 0 0 3:07
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 12 50% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
JunYong Park 0 9 of 16 56% 21 of 37 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:16
3 André Muniz 0 8 of 31 25% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:10
JunYong Park 0 2 of 10 20% 4 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 27 of 60 45% 21 of 54 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 25 0 of 0 16 of 35
JunYong Park 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 15
JunYong Park 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
JunYong Park 9 of 16 56% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 8 of 31 25% 7 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 20
JunYong Park 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.

"Park just at works you know he's in a couple bad spots here and there sure but in the end he's going to Tire him out he's gonna beat on him he's gonna land the bigger shots and he's either …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
André Muniz

Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.

submission in round 1 or 2, points win if he doesn't finish
"I think there's a good chance that mun gets a submission in this spot if he doesn't get a submission yes it's going to be very very dangerous for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.

"I think it's Park Park who's looking better than kind of ever in his last few fights you know he's mixing in some submission skills"
LOSS vs Paul Craig
TKO (elbows) R2 4:40 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Craig 0 40 of 82 48% 54 of 101 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:56
André Muniz 0 24 of 40 60% 31 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Craig 0 9 of 25 36% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Muniz 0 13 of 23 56% 15 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:45
2 Paul Craig 0 31 of 57 54% 44 of 75 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:56
André Muniz 0 11 of 17 64% 16 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Craig 40 of 82 48% 31 of 66 8 of 15 1 of 1 10 of 32 0 of 0 30 of 50
André Muniz 24 of 40 60% 15 of 30 2 of 3 7 of 7 15 of 27 1 of 1 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Craig 9 of 25 36% 1 of 10 7 of 14 1 of 1 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 13 of 23 56% 4 of 13 2 of 3 7 of 7 13 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Paul Craig 31 of 57 54% 30 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 30 of 50
André Muniz 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 12
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

Angelo is split between gut and brain. His gut leans toward Paul Craig's toughness and power, but his brain says Muniz has better wrestling and control. He notes Muniz looked old in his last fight but still gives a slight lean to Muniz because he can control with wrestling. He disagrees with the 2-1 odds on Muniz.

"the ever the slightest lean in the history of liens right now is probably towards Andre Muniz because he can control with the wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

Big Brady picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission. He notes Muniz is a much better grappler than Craig, who relies on triangles off his back. He thinks Muniz can take Craig down and submit him, or knock him out on the feet. He mentions Craig's move to middleweight may affect his chin. He is confident Muniz has multiple paths to victory.

first round submission
"give me money is to win this fight I'll say he takes down Paul Craig kind of runs right through him here first round sub for Andre minis in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Cody thinks Muniz is a terrible matchup for Craig, with superior BJJ and better striking. He questions Craig's weight cut to 185 and notes Craig's wins often come from being dominated then catching a submission. He expects Muniz to roll.

Muniz over 1.5 takedowns
"I can't think of like a worse matchup for him on the roster than Andre Muniz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel is uncertain about this fight but sides with Muniz due to his experience at middleweight and his high-level jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Paul Craig's dangerous guard and submission ability, noting Craig has submitted top light heavyweights. However, he is concerned about Craig dropping to 185 and thinks Muniz's grappling is a level above. He mentions that Muniz's last loss was due to fatigue, not skill, and that Craig's weight cut is a risk. He says he usually takes the dog when unsure but goes with the favorite here.

Daniel says 'I'll go with Muniz' but does not mention a bet. He notes the line is -220 and Craig is +185.
"I just really don't know so I'll go with Muniz but let's see"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

James picks Muniz to win by KO. He has a strong read on Muniz, having bet on him multiple times successfully. He believes Muniz is an elite jiu-jitsu player and that Craig won't be able to submit him. He thinks Muniz will crack Craig's chin, as Craig has a bad chin and Muniz hits hard. James notes that Muniz is dropping down in weight, which often doesn't go well, but he still expects a KO. He mentions that Muniz by KO is +350 on BetOnline and he hopes to find better odds elsewhere.

Muniz by KO at +350 (BetOnline), hopes to find +450 elsewhere
"I think moon is going to kill him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The host picks André Muniz, believing his BJJ black belt will keep him safe on the ground and that he is the better striker. He notes Craig's danger off his back but thinks Muniz can grind him out from top position. He predicts a decision win for Muniz.

"give me Munez to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Paul agrees, citing Muniz's superior Jiu-Jitsu and improved striking. He notes Craig's striking volume is very low and his wrestling is poor. He thinks Muniz will take Craig down and control him, though he doesn't love it as a lock.

Muniz over 1.5 takedowns
"I side with the superior skill set and it belongs to Andre Muniz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz, arguing that Paul Craig's wins come from opponents taking him down, and Craig has poor stand-up. He believes Muniz will stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, where he has a striking advantage. The Guru recalls Muniz wobbling Uriah Hall and predicts a KO win. He also notes Craig's chinny nature and lack of submission threats from top position.

KO
"I am gonna have to go if Andre minus the problem is people have been trying to convince me"
LOSS vs Brendan Allen
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:25 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brendan Allen 0 43 of 112 38% 45 of 114 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:15
André Muniz 0 42 of 102 41% 64 of 129 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brendan Allen 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
André Muniz 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brendan Allen 0 11 of 34 32% 13 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
André Muniz 0 12 of 28 42% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
3 Brendan Allen 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Muniz 0 11 of 27 40% 20 of 39 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brendan Allen 43 of 112 38% 25 of 88 8 of 13 10 of 11 43 of 111 0 of 1 0 of 0
André Muniz 42 of 102 41% 21 of 76 12 of 16 9 of 10 40 of 98 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brendan Allen 16 of 40 40% 7 of 28 5 of 7 4 of 5 16 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
André Muniz 19 of 47 40% 8 of 32 6 of 9 5 of 6 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brendan Allen 11 of 34 32% 7 of 30 1 of 1 3 of 3 11 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 12 of 28 42% 6 of 22 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 4
3 Brendan Allen 16 of 38 42% 11 of 30 2 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Muniz 11 of 27 40% 7 of 22 2 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendan Allen vs. Andre Muniz
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Muniz (-205), Allen (+175)

Round 1
A place among the top 10 at middleweight may loom for the victor of this match now serving as the main event. Muniz (23-4, 5-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat since making his UFC debut in 2019, and he is fast approaching the company’s armbar record. Against him will be fellow willing grappler Allen (20-5, 8-2 UFC), and thrilling ground exchanges may ensue should this one hit the mat – although sometimes, the ground games cancel out and the two get things done with kickboxing instead. No matter where the fight ends up, referee Jason Herzog will be right there on top of the action. All class, the two 185ers touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. The two fighters in opposing stances gauge the range without throwing much of merit, other than a single leg kick on either side. Allen offers another low kick, and Muniz picks his leg up to give a partial check in time. Allen walks into a body kick as he chambers a right hand, and he shrugs it off and fires off another right over the top. Muniz front kicks the knee, and he backs off from a hook kick that whizzes past his face. Allen connects with a one-two that knocks the Brazilian back to the wall, shaking Muniz up briefly. Muniz fires back with a vengeance, swinging hard enough to make Allen think twice about coming in with an exchange. Muniz has two hooks bounce off the guard, and Allen catches him with a straight left and smiles. Allen absorbs a spinning kick to the midsection and bounces back, with Muniz’ corner loudly cheering from the audible impact. Allen recovers and strides forward to back Muniz up to the wall, where he lets go with a left hand and a body kick. Muniz replies with a trio of punches, driving Allen back briefly before Allen steps forward with a low kick and a pair of strikes up top. Muniz lines up a right hand that cracks Allen right on the temple, and Allen wears it well and looks for counters. When Allen scores a kick to the body, he ducks a huge right hand coming back from the Brazilian. Muniz pushes forward, ducking a punch, and he pursues a single and lifts Allen’s leg up to drag him away from the wall. Allen hops away and sprints to the fence to get his balance, and he keeps things upright. Allen overextends on a punch, and he just barely dodges oncoming fire aimed at his head. Muniz releases a body kick, and he pushes his hands out and his fingers scrape on Allen’s right eye. Herzog recognizes the accidental foul immediately, and Allen takes 30 seconds to blink it out before he is good to go. Allen strikes first with a fierce right hand, and he throws two more and has one of those blocked off the guard. Allen spins with a back kick to the body, Muniz answers with a flying knee, and Allen gathers his thoughts and strikes back with a superman punch before the bell sounds to end the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 2
The middleweights greet in the middle with a quick tap of fingers, and Allen reaches out with a right hand to start only to get countered with a body kick. The two trade shins to the midsection, and Muniz goes high with a pair of kicks. Allen rolls with both of them, and he steps through with a one-two down the pipe. The Brazilian measures another body kick, and he lunges with a subsequent right straight to surprise Allen. Allen steps through to spin with a back fist, grazing off the top of Muniz’ head, and Muniz answers with a few punches to the head in response. Allen steps in with a stomp kick to the knee, and Muniz lets three fists fly. Allen backs Muniz up to the wire to engage in a slugfest, and he pops Muniz and mixes in a knee for good measure. Muniz gathers his bearings and sneaks a right hand over the top, and they trade heavy strikes down the middle until “Sergipano” changes levels to take the fight down. When they hit the ground, Allen continues moving, and he manages to sweep Muniz over and put him on his back. Allen postures up to land an elbow, and Muniz wraps him up to prevent any additional blows. Allen pops up again to get off another cheeky elbow, picking his spots and damaging the bridge of Muniz’ nose a little to draw a thin trickle of blood. Allen continues to sneak in elbows as Muniz defends from the rest of the offense, and he uses them to step over into side control. Allen calmly uses presses his elbow on Muniz’ throat to hold him down, frustrating the Brazilian and landing a few punches before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 3
There is a respectful bow and an embrace between the two sudden headliners, who are ready for one final round. Muniz spins with a back kick, and when it grazes off Allen’s forearm, Allen motions to it to poke fun at him. Muniz lets his hands go, drilling Allen in the head with a right hook. Allen takes it flush and fires back, and Muniz keeps throwing and marking Allen’s face up. The Brazilian backs off to measure his range, and he scores with a one-two and a body kick in rapid succession. Muniz kicks low and swings a left hand with a wide arc when Allen advances, and he knocks Allen off-balance in a combination. Allen gains his footing and shakes his finger at him. Muniz strings together a few punches, and Allen lands one square on the button. Muniz does not budge and instead throws back with a vengeance until Allen disengages. Muniz throws a kick, and Allen snatches it out of the air, scoops him up and throws him to the mat. The American lands in side control, and he quickly moves to full mount and pursues an arm-triangle choke. Muniz rolls to give up his back, and Allen changes to get both hooks in and pursue a rear-naked choke. Muniz hand-fights to keep himself safe from choke danger, and Allen switches his grip and goes for a rear-naked choke on the other side.
Incredibly, the forearm of “All In” slides all under the chin, and Muniz is in serious jeopardy. Allen squeezes with all his might with both hooks in, and Muniz realizes his goose is cooked. For the first time in his professional career, the Brazilian taps out, surrendering to the choke with less than a minute to go in the fight.
What a spectacular win for Allen, who catapults himself up the middleweight rankings by doing what very few expected. In his victorious post-fight interview, Allen calls for the UFC to travel to Louisiana, and he is ready for the final question by calling for fights against Sean Strickland, Chris Curtis, Jack Hermansson or Dricus Du Plessis. Whether any of those matches materialize, we will be there for them. Next week, however, we have a massive pay-per-view UFC event in Las Vegas, featuring the return of Jon Jones against Ciryl Gane for the vacant heavyweight strap. We will undoubtedly be here for UFC 285, and we hope you are too.

The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Andre Muniz R3 4:25 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Muniz because he is a little too good for Allen. He notes that Allen has gotten lucky battling through bad positions, but this is where that luck runs out. Connor emphasizes Muniz's technical grappling and ability to force submissions, and while Allen is a confident grappler, Muniz's pressure and chain wrestling will be decisive.

Muniz opened at -110, dropped to -181, currently -226. Allen opened +110, jumped to +156, now +183.
"It feels like we've seen Allen really get good luck battling through really bad positions a lot in his fights. And this feels like the point where that luck runs out to me. Muniz is just a little too good."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz because of his superior positional grappling and chain wrestling. He notes that Muniz is a much better back-taker than Jacob Malcolm, who repeatedly took Allen down with single legs. Zane highlights Muniz's ability to cut through guards and create pressure, and while Allen is a tough grappler who scrambles well, Muniz's technical edge should prevail. He also mentions Muniz's tendency to gas in the third round but believes his early dominance will be enough.

Muniz opened at -110, dropped to -181, currently -226. Allen opened +110, jumped to +156, now +183.
"I think the point that Brendan Allen gets owned on the ground and it hasn't happened for a long time. But the principal thing I got to look at here is the fact that as you say, Allen is sort …"
WIN vs Uriah Hall
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 6 of 26 23% 24 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:18
Uriah Hall 0 17 of 39 43% 99 of 185 4 of 10 40% 0 0 10:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 0 of 8 0% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uriah Hall 0 7 of 17 41% 29 of 58 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:41
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 15 40% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Uriah Hall 0 5 of 13 38% 52 of 86 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:28
3 André Muniz 0 0 of 3 0% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Uriah Hall 0 5 of 9 55% 18 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 6 of 26 23% 6 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 9
Uriah Hall 17 of 39 43% 11 of 31 2 of 3 4 of 5 12 of 32 0 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 0 of 8 0% 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uriah Hall 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 1 2 of 3
2 André Muniz 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 9
Uriah Hall 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 André Muniz 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uriah Hall 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

Angelo leans toward Muniz, highlighting his dangerous BJJ and clean striking entries. He worries that Uriah Hall may be timid and slow to let his hands go, giving Muniz openings. He notes that Hall has never been submitted but Muniz broke Jacare's arm, and calls the odds wide at 3-to-1, suggesting Hall could be a live underdog.

Odds are wide at 3-to-1; Hall may be a live underdog
"I need to lean moonies here because i think he's going to waste zero time striking immediately look to grapple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
André Muniz

Big Brady is confident in André Muniz, citing his impressive submission wins over Jacare Souza and others. He believes Muniz will submit Uriah Hall in the first round, despite Hall never being submitted. He notes Muniz's suspect cardio and chin, but thinks the fight ends early on the mat.

Muniz by first round submission
"give me andermen needs to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Cody thinks Muniz's BJJ is world-class and he will submit Hall if he gets top position. He notes Muniz's striking is poor and he's been knocked out before, so he prefers the submission prop over the moneyline.

Muniz by submission -110
"I'm actually probably gonna add Moonies by submission to my card right now"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel Levi confidently picks André Muniz, citing his improved wrestling and submission game. He notes that Muniz has shown blast doubles and submissions, including submitting Jacare. Levi believes Muniz will take Hall down and become the first to submit him in the UFC. He acknowledges Hall's explosive power but notes his low output and inconsistency.

"i'm gonna go with andre muniz to come out here take down uriah hall one time and be the first man in ufc history to submit them"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Uriah Hall

Hall has never been submitted and showed great grappling defense against ACJ. Muniz's cardio looked poor in the Antonio Arroyo fight. Hall has knockout power and could put Muniz away early. The line is too wide; Hall's submission defense and striking give him a live dog shot.

Hall by KO prop; round 3 KO
"i gotta take a shot on a hulk here this line is just too crazy to me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
André Muniz

Paul agrees with Cody that Muniz by submission is the play. He notes Hall has never been submitted in the UFC but thinks Muniz's BJJ is on another level. He has a half unit on Muniz by sub at -110.

Muniz by submission -110
"I've got like a half unit on Moonies by sub at minus 110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round via rear-naked choke. He emphasizes Uriah Hall's inconsistency and poor grappling defense, noting that Sean Strickland took Hall down four times. He believes Muniz's power on the feet and athleticism will set up takedowns, and once on the ground, Muniz's submission game will be too much for Hall.

submission in round 1
"i can just see it so clearly both guys landing some decent shots on the feet uriah hall lands something good feels good about himself starts coming forward andre miniz times the double leg uriah hall gives his back up …"
WIN vs Eryk Anders
Submission (armbar) R1 3:13 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 8 of 16 50% 12 of 20 2 of 5 40% 2 0 2:18
Eryk Anders 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Eryk Anders 3 of 13 23% 0 of 8 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, but with low confidence. He notes that Muniz is a phenomenal grappler with a wizard-like BJJ, but his striking is poor and he has been knocked out in all four losses. Anders has good takedown defense (76%) and power, and if he can stuff takedowns and extend the fight, he can finish Muniz by knockout. However, if the fight hits the mat, Muniz is extremely dangerous. Brady is concerned about Muniz's cardio and Anders' fight IQ.

Anders by knockout
"i'm going to go with eric anders here to stuff the takedowns get into the second round the third round and eventually finish andre minis and give him his fifth knockout loss"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders to upset André Muniz. He argues that Muniz will have difficulty taking Anders down due to Anders' size and strength, and that Anders' jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive on the mat. Levi notes that Anders has never been submitted and rarely taken down. On the feet, he believes Anders throws more and has knockout power. Levi acknowledges Muniz's elite jiu-jitsu but thinks Anders can sprawl-and-brawl to a decision or KO.

"give me eric anders to upset someone i respect very much in andre muniz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission (rear-naked choke). He highlights Muniz's dangerous grappling, as seen in his armbar win over Jacaré. He notes Anders is taking the fight on short notice and has been taken down before. He suggests a live bet on Anders if the fight goes to the third round, as Muniz has slowed down in the past.

first-round rear-naked choke; live bet on Anders in third round if Muniz fails to secure early submission
"i think he's going to get this one done on draymond is by the way by real naked choke in the in the first round"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.

Parlay with Jaqueline Amorim and Zhang Mingyang at -150
"Iram Skirov is going to be the pick. Minus 650 seems crazy, but I have parlayed Icram with Jacqueline Amore."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Give me Alaskarov to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.

"I think Alaskarov is going to catch him. Yeah. Yeah. That's where my gut tell what my gut tells me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe the wrestling of Aliasarov will allow him to shut down the jiu-jitsu game of Munes... eventually find that big shot as Munes slows down probably in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.

TKO round 2
"I'm going to go with Vikramiskov getting this one done by TKO. Round two. I think there'll be some moments early where Manz has a hold of him against the cage... but I'm going to go Maliskarov getting this one done by second round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.

"The temptation is a very strong and even undeniable to just pick Andre Muniz as the more proven quantity."