vs
+650 -900
UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 11"
Reach 71"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age N/A
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mitch Ramirez
3.51 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.98 SApM
37.0% Str. Def.
0.59 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mike Davis
0.0 SLpM
0.0% Str. Acc.
0.0 SApM
0.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Mitch Ramirez
Moneyline
BetMGM +650
Mike Davis
Moneyline
DraftKings -900
Mitch Ramirez - Fight History
SCHED vs Chase Hooper
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.

Hooper by submission +150, Ramirez by KO round 1 +1000
"I am THE LAST CHASE HOOPER FAN STANDING... Chase Hooper should be able to outgrapple him pretty handily here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mitch Ramirez

AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.

Ramirez by KO, over 1.5 rounds (-140)
"I think I got to just pick Mitch Ramirez and ride. Like, yes. Could Chase Hooper get to his back and strangle him? Of course."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

Hooper by sub +160; Ramirez KO round 1 +1100 (hedge); Hooper by sub in parlay
"Chase Hooper by sub at plus 160... Hooper's clear pathway and Ramirez's clear pathway. And you can play both sides of it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.

Hooper by submission (+160), under 2.5 rounds (-200), Ramirez by KO (+525) as hedge
"I'm pick flipping to Chase Hooper. I'll go Hooper by sub."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.

"I think Chase Hooper wins this fight. I'll throw Chase Hooper in my lineup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.

"Chase Hooper should absolutely win this fight. But before we go betting on a dude that's coming off two knockouts in a row, let's just get him a win under his belt."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Hooper. ... Hooper by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.

Chase Hooper by submission
"I have been circling around Chase Hooper by submission this week, but minus 350. I mean, two years ago they make this match up. Chase Hooper's minus a thousand."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.

"Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage. And, uh, just not a natural fighter. And easy to get out ahead of in exchanges, which should make it easy for Hooper to jump into really advantageous position."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.

betting advice: dog or pass situation
"I'm going Chase Hooper all day. But uh I think I think from a betting perspective, this is a dog or pass situation."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.

"There's no way that I would bet Hooper at an implied probability of 75%. These odds are way too steep."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.

"I'll pick Chase Super in this fight. I'll pick him via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.

Ramirez round one KO at plus 900 hedge
"I believe Hooper should be able to find his way to the back of Ramirez and eventually find a submission, but it's hard to trust him at chalk, especially considering how he's been looking in his last two fights. Ramirez …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.

Hooper by submission at +200, under 2.5 rounds if better than -150, Ramirez round 1 KO at +900
"I think Hooper wins. I think Hooper finds his way to get to the back of Ramirez. I think he eventually suffocates and submits Ramirez with the rear naked choke."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.

"It's got to be Hooper for me. I I can't click Mitch Ramirez this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.

submission win, late first round
"I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though... I think we're looking at a late first round submission for Chase Hooper."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.

Odds: Hooper -350 favorite, Ramirez +285 underdog.
"Chase Hooper is just going to be some insane, like nonsensical clench tie up that leads to a standing backtake rolling for a leg lock. Ramirez is not going to be up to speed with all that stuff."
LOSS vs Mike Davis
KO R2 4:08 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mitch Ramirez 0 51 of 111 45% 57 of 118 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 47 of 77 61% 58 of 94 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mitch Ramirez 0 8 of 18 44% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Davis 0 3 of 8 37% 13 of 24 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:20
2 Mitch Ramirez 0 43 of 93 46% 43 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 44 of 69 63% 45 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mitch Ramirez 51 of 111 45% 27 of 85 8 of 10 16 of 16 46 of 105 5 of 6 0 of 0
Mike Davis 47 of 77 61% 29 of 53 15 of 20 3 of 4 44 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mitch Ramirez 8 of 18 44% 4 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4 6 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Davis 3 of 8 37% 2 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mitch Ramirez 43 of 93 46% 23 of 71 8 of 10 12 of 12 40 of 89 3 of 4 0 of 0
Mike Davis 44 of 69 63% 27 of 48 15 of 19 2 of 2 41 of 66 0 of 0 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.

"Mike Davis is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.

dominant decision
"I got to go Mike Davis going forward. I will have some concerns... I'll take him to win this fight by a pretty dominant decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Connor agrees, pointing out that Ramirez loses sense of defense when aggressive, and if he's not aggressive, he's a sitting duck. Davis has the skills to take him down and win. Connor also notes that Davis's lack of ambition is a concern, but against this opponent, he should prevail.

Davis -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.

finish in round 2
"Another prohibitive favorite here in Davis at -900. And I think he reminds us how good he actually is after a fumble against Ferris ZM earlier this week this year. I think we'll see Davis put together a solid body …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.

no value in betting Mike Davis at -1000; suggests live betting if Ramirez has a good first round
"I'm going to go with Mike Davis over Mitch Ramirez. This is a bit of a no-brainer. Um, he's a massive favorite again, minus a thousand."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Zane notes that Mike Davis is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, but lacks drive. However, against Mitch Ramirez, who is a wild over-committing swinger, Davis should be able to take him down and control the fight. He thinks Davis's slick transitions and grappling will be too much for Ramirez, who is a sitting duck if not aggressive.

Davis opened -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
LOSS vs Thiago Moises
KO R3 0:15 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Moises 1 25 of 39 64% 53 of 72 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:36
Mitch Ramirez 0 16 of 48 33% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Moises 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:18
Mitch Ramirez 0 6 of 8 75% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Thiago Moises 0 15 of 26 57% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Mitch Ramirez 0 10 of 39 25% 11 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Thiago Moises 1 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Mitch Ramirez 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Moises 25 of 39 64% 10 of 23 3 of 4 12 of 12 17 of 30 2 of 2 6 of 7
Mitch Ramirez 16 of 48 33% 4 of 32 5 of 7 7 of 9 13 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Moises 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2
Mitch Ramirez 6 of 8 75% 0 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Thiago Moises 15 of 26 57% 8 of 18 2 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mitch Ramirez 10 of 39 25% 4 of 30 4 of 5 2 of 4 7 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Thiago Moises 6 of 7 85% 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5
Mitch Ramirez 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Moises vs. Mitch Ramirez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Moises (-410), Ramirez (+320)

Round 1
Originally expecting to face Brad Riddell in the co-main event slot, Moises (17-7, 6-5 UFC) instead tumbles down to the early prelims to take on late replacement and UFC debutant Ramirez (8-1, 0-0 UFC), who lost in an appearance on last year’s Contender Series. The two lightweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as the fighters consider but abandon a glove touch. The two start rapping the other’s calf with kicks one after the other, testing the waters and doing some work early. They proceed to take turns with these kicks until Moises decides to mix things up with a tackling double-leg takedown. Moises succeeds in placing Ramirez on his seat, and Ramirez turns to his side in hopes of finding a sweep. Moises shuts it down and shifts to half guard, where he slowly opens up with elbow strikes. Ramirez bucks and twists, but the heavy Brazilian is not going anywhere as he proceeds to smother and land shots. Ramirez uses all his might to pop up, but Moises drags him down from behind until Ramirez realizes he should not give up his back and turns over again. Moises leans down to potentially set up an arm-triangle choke, but with half guard on the other side, he is unable to find the right leverage. Ramirez scoots himself to the wall, but Moises drags him away from it so he can hope to pass. Moises lets it go so he can slash down with elbows, and he gets bucked off but this is the best thing for him. Ramirez turns to crawl away on his knees, and like a predatory animal, Moises pounces on his back. Moises almost immediately gets the hooks in and secures a body triangle, and as Ramirez turns over to his back, Moises is already fishing for a rear-naked choke. Ramirez hand-fights well enough to prevent the choke from getting close, and Moises slides arms back and forth in search of the sub. Moises softens his man up with a couple strikes, and Ramirez tries to swing back from behind his head. The round ends in this dominant position, with the horn blaring twice.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 2
The lightweights come together in the middle of the cage, and Ramirez pushes the pace by leading off with a whipping overhand right. As Ramirez tries to shove the Brazilian against the wall, Moises turns him about. The two jockey for position while tied up, and Moises tangles up the legs for a trip attempt but does not find it. Moises drives a knee to the chest as he looks for another entry, with a double that fails. This allows Ramirez to break free, and Moises chops down on his lead leg as he gets backed off with punches. Moises reaches out with a front kick, and leans back as a head kick whizzes past his face. Ramirez swings as hard as he can with a right hand, and the veteran shoots in for a double and drives Ramirez back to the wall. The two do a little slow dance when up close in the clinch, and Moises breaks free with an elbow and misses with a front kick by a matter of inches. Ramirez punches his way forward into a clinch, and he is turned around and smacked in the face a few times. Moises lets go to reset, and he kicks the calf of his opponent that is welted and swollen badly. Ramirez kicks back, but Moises aims at the same target again to make Ramirez recoil. As he does this, he fires off a front kick and stings Ramirez with an overhand right. Moises chops low and spins with a wheel kick that buzzes the side of the head, and he calmly works his way forward, landing shots to chop away. Ramirez goes after two leg kicks of his own, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 3
Moises begins the round with a front kick, and
he knocks Ramirez off his feet with a vicious low kick. Ramirez hits the deck, and a ferocious Moises chases after him and whips four low kicks down reminiscent of Donald Cerrone against Myles Jury.
Ramirez grimaces in pain and Smith recognizes that he is done, and he waves off the fight. This is a statement performance for the Brazilian, who registers his first knockout as a UFC fighter by putting the newcomer away with leg kicks.

The Official Result
Thiago Moises def. Mitch Ramirez R3 0:15 via TKO (Leg Kicks)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Angelo expects Moises to be a big favorite. He is a slick grappler who stays composed and works for submissions, with technical striking and solid low kicks to set up takedowns. Although Moises was taken down five times and mauled by Benoit Saint-Denis, Angelo notes that Ramirez is not on that level. He thinks Moises will win the striking exchanges and is good enough to defend takedowns or sweep off bottom. He will bet if the line is favorable.

waiting for odds; will bet if line is favorable
"Moises is the pick and if we somehow get something that even resembles a favorable line I'm probably going to go ahead and jump on him here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Big Brady picks Thiago Moises to win by second-round submission. He views this as a levels fight, with Moises' BJJ and experience being far superior to Ramirez, who is coming in on short notice. He expects Moises to get a takedown and submit Ramirez.

by second round submission
"I'm going to take Thiago Moises to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Cody picks Thiago Moises, noting his experience against top competition and superior skills everywhere. He acknowledges Ramirez's danger as a short-notice debutant but believes Moises is better on the feet and on the ground. He warns about Moises' durability but expects him to win.

"Moises is a legitimate gatekeeper to the top 15... how does Mitch Ramirez pull this thing out of his hat?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Thiago Moises

The host notes that Ramirez is stepping in on short notice and is less skilled and experienced than Moises. He expects Moises to have the technical striking advantage and eventually open up a club-and-sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez, getting back in the win column.

"I think that will eventually open up a club and sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez and get Moes back on The Winning Side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Paul agrees, stating Moises is better everywhere and has seen every trick Ramirez might have. He notes Ramirez's Contender Series loss and lack of high-level experience. He will not bet Ramirez.

"Moises seems like the rightful favorite here I will not be betting Mitch Ramirez."
Mike Davis - Fight History
WIN vs Mitch Ramirez
KO R2 4:08 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mitch Ramirez 0 51 of 111 45% 57 of 118 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 47 of 77 61% 58 of 94 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mitch Ramirez 0 8 of 18 44% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Davis 0 3 of 8 37% 13 of 24 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:20
2 Mitch Ramirez 0 43 of 93 46% 43 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 44 of 69 63% 45 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mitch Ramirez 51 of 111 45% 27 of 85 8 of 10 16 of 16 46 of 105 5 of 6 0 of 0
Mike Davis 47 of 77 61% 29 of 53 15 of 20 3 of 4 44 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mitch Ramirez 8 of 18 44% 4 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4 6 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Davis 3 of 8 37% 2 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mitch Ramirez 43 of 93 46% 23 of 71 8 of 10 12 of 12 40 of 89 3 of 4 0 of 0
Mike Davis 44 of 69 63% 27 of 48 15 of 19 2 of 2 41 of 66 0 of 0 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.

"Mike Davis is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.

dominant decision
"I got to go Mike Davis going forward. I will have some concerns... I'll take him to win this fight by a pretty dominant decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Connor agrees, pointing out that Ramirez loses sense of defense when aggressive, and if he's not aggressive, he's a sitting duck. Davis has the skills to take him down and win. Connor also notes that Davis's lack of ambition is a concern, but against this opponent, he should prevail.

Davis -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.

finish in round 2
"Another prohibitive favorite here in Davis at -900. And I think he reminds us how good he actually is after a fumble against Ferris ZM earlier this week this year. I think we'll see Davis put together a solid body …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.

no value in betting Mike Davis at -1000; suggests live betting if Ramirez has a good first round
"I'm going to go with Mike Davis over Mitch Ramirez. This is a bit of a no-brainer. Um, he's a massive favorite again, minus a thousand."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Zane notes that Mike Davis is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, but lacks drive. However, against Mitch Ramirez, who is a wild over-committing swinger, Davis should be able to take him down and control the fight. He thinks Davis's slick transitions and grappling will be too much for Ramirez, who is a sitting duck if not aggressive.

Davis opened -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farès Ziam 0 35 of 56 62% 58 of 83 4 of 7 57% 0 2 7:11
Mike Davis 0 20 of 35 57% 30 of 49 1 of 8 12% 1 3 3:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farès Ziam 0 16 of 24 66% 20 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:23
Mike Davis 0 8 of 15 53% 10 of 18 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:34
2 Farès Ziam 0 10 of 18 55% 23 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 2 2:31
Mike Davis 0 6 of 8 75% 8 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 2 1:38
3 Farès Ziam 0 9 of 14 64% 15 of 21 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:17
Mike Davis 0 6 of 12 50% 12 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farès Ziam 35 of 56 62% 29 of 50 5 of 5 1 of 1 20 of 33 5 of 6 10 of 17
Mike Davis 20 of 35 57% 13 of 26 5 of 6 2 of 3 13 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farès Ziam 16 of 24 66% 12 of 20 3 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Davis 8 of 15 53% 3 of 8 4 of 5 1 of 2 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Farès Ziam 10 of 18 55% 8 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13
Mike Davis 6 of 8 75% 5 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Farès Ziam 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 4
Mike Davis 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Davis vs. Fares Ziam

Round 1
Lightweights are first up on the main card, where Davis (11-2, 4-1 UFC) tackles Ziam (16-4, 6-2 UFC) in an under-the-radar 155-pound appetizer. Tognoni serves as the third man in the cage. They touch gloves and get started. Davis follows a leg kick to the body with a left hook to the body, then shoots on a takedown and pulls guard. He scrambles to his feet and backs Ziam to the fence. They separate. Ziam fires a two-piece combo and again pulls guard. He stands behind an upkick. Ziam backs him to the cage with punches and scores with knees to the body. Jab to the head and another to the body from Ziam. The Frenchman rips a left hook to the body and a right hand over the top. Davis looks out of sorts. Ziam sticks him with a left uppercut, resets and then slams home jab. Davis shoots on a takedown but goes nowhere. He resets, scrambles behind Ziam and slams him to the mat. Davis climbs to full mount with 50 seconds to go. Ziam reclaims half guard. Davis feeds him an elbow and a knee to the body, then another. Strong close for Davis.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 2
They greet each other in the center. Jabs from Ziam. Davis plows forward behind a burst of power punches and connects with a left hook. Ziam clinches to protect himself, and they jockey for position along the fence. Ziam lands a knee with Davis crouched and opens a cut. Ziam scoops up the American and dumps him to the floor in the center of the cage. Blood streaming from the wound. Davis threatens with a heel hook, then positions himself for a calf slicer and uses it to take top position. He scrambles into a bid for an arm-triangle but loses position. Ziam scores with standing-to-ground punches. He flirts with an anaconda choke after sprawling on a takedown attempt, then frames an arm-triangle. Too much blood, and Davis slips free. Ziam closes on top with punches and elbows.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 3
Back at it. Davis crashes forward with a right hand over the top. Ziam circles off the fence and shoots on the hips. He eventually dumps Davis to the mat. Ziam works in full guard. He stands, hovers above Davis and moves to north-south, firing punches to the body. Ziam stands again and scores with punches and an elbow. Davis gets to his knees. Ziam threatens with an anaconda choke, then settles in half guard. Davis looks spent—and understandably so. Davis gets back to his feet and presses the Frenchman into the cage. They separate. Two punch volley from Ziam, followed by an elbow over the top. He shoots on the hips and dumps Davis to the canvas yet again. Davis goes for a leg lock, but Ziam slips free. Davis gets to top position, in full guard, and opens a serious cut above Ziam’s left eye with a vicious elbow strike. Dark red blood pours from the wound as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Mike Davis—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo picks Mike Davis, citing his speed, power, athleticism, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Farès Ziam has improved but Davis is a more dangerous striker with better wrestling. He expresses concern about Davis's long layoff due to a bicep injury and his age (32), but still believes Davis wins. He includes Davis in a parlay with Shamil Gaziev.

Included in a parlay with Shamil Gaziev.
"I am picking Mike Davis I think Mike Davis is far more dangerous I think he's a faster more athletic more powerful Striker"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady is a fan of Mike Davis but notes his inactivity and injury issues. He thinks Davis has a clear path to victory via wrestling and BJJ, as Farès Ziam has been taken down easily in the past, including seven times by Claudio Puelles. Brady predicts Davis will submit Ziam in the second round, citing Davis's black belt and Ziam's submission losses.

second round submission
"I think Mike Davis is going to tap out far as I am so give me Mike Davis to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Connor picks Ziam, believing his recent performance against Matt Frevola showed significant improvement. He notes that Ziam displayed excellent striking combinations, body work, and clinch transitions, and that he now looks like a complete fighter. Connor thinks Mike Davis, while powerful, makes poor decisions under pressure and relies on wrestling as a crutch, which Ziam can exploit.

"I got to pick Ziam here. Yeah. And the reason is is that David Davis is probably the stronger. He's probably the better athlete just all around. And yeah. Might be an equally capable technician everywhere. Honestly. But he will …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

James picks Ziam to win, but is not confident due to Davis's grappling upside. He notes Ziam has improved recently while Davis may have declined. He thinks Ziam can defend takedowns and win on the feet, possibly by knockout. However, he acknowledges Davis's athleticism and wrestling could be a problem, as seen in Ziam's loss to McKinney. He is undecided on betting.

"I'm going to pick ZM to win the fight I'm not confident in it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Davis is far superior to Ziam, with a tremendous grappling advantage that will lead to a submission. Despite Ziam's recent improvements, Davis has the striking to be competitive and will eventually get the submission. The line around -140 to -150 is surprising value.

submission, line around -140 to -150
"I'm surprised that we're getting Mike Davis around that minus 140 minus 150 line as I believe he is far superior to Farès Ziam... Davis has the striking to be competitive there but a tremendous advantage in the grappling realm …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru picks Mike Davis despite initially leaning toward Ziam. He notes Davis has good entries on takedowns and wicked stand-up, but worries about Ziam's improvements and the takedowns he gave up to Claudio Puelles. He trusts Davis's inactivity means he shows up at 100% and believes Davis is the better fighter overall.

"I'm going to go with Mike Davis... he's one of the fighters where he's so inactive as a prospect I trust he's in 100% capacity when he does actually fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Zane picks Ziam, agreeing that his last fight showed a new level of maturity and consistency. He notes that Davis has stagnated and often makes desperate moves when uncomfortable, while Ziam now has the tools to capitalize. Zane acknowledges the risk that Ziam's performance could be a one-off, but believes the improvement is real and that Ziam's well-rounded game will be too much for Davis.

"I'm going to pick the same way. But I think for both of us, this pick is really making the assumption that it was not a one off. Yeah. What we saw from Ziam in Paris."
WIN vs Natan Levy
Submission R2 1:43 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 8 of 9 88% 18 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Natan Levy 1 3 of 7 42% 10 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 5:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 5 of 5 100% 15 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Natan Levy 1 2 of 4 50% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:46
2 Mike Davis 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Natan Levy 0 1 of 3 33% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 8 of 9 88% 2 of 3 5 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 3
Natan Levy 3 of 7 42% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 5 of 5 100% 1 of 1 3 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3
Natan Levy 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Mike Davis 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Natan Levy 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo is surprised Davis is a 3-to-1 favorite but agrees with the logic. Davis is a fast, athletic striker with real power and excellent wrestling, as shown in his last fight with 14 takedowns over three fights. He thinks Davis can implement the same game plan as Hafa Garcia did against Levy: wrestle and avoid BJJ. He hopes the line tightens to 2-to-1 or 1.5-to-1 before he bets.

waiting for line movement to bet; hopes for better odds
"Mike Davis is going to be the pick I'm hoping this line rebounds a little bit I'm not betting on him at 3 to one so hopefully that tightens up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady picks Mike Davis to win by third-round knockout. He believes Davis is better everywhere and should dominate if he shows up healthy. He acknowledges inactivity concerns but thinks Davis' skill advantage will lead to a finish.

by third round knockout
"I'm going to take Davis to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Cody is confident in Mike Davis, highlighting his well-rounded skills, nasty leg kicks, and wrestling. He notes Levy relies on wrestling but Davis is the better wrestler and will stuff takedowns. He predicts Davis will out-strike Levy, shatter his lead leg, and win decisively, likely by decision.

by decision
"Mike Davis should eat this guy... he's the better wrestler between the two."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Lucrative James leans toward Mike Davis, citing his superior wrestling and striking. He notes that Levy couldn't finish Dano Valdez and that Davis has fought tough competition. However, he expresses concern about Davis's inactivity and potential lack of focus due to streaming, which could lead to an upset. Overall, he sees Davis as the much better fighter.

"I like Mike Davis in this spot I feel like something weird could happen in that fight I don't really know why I think that."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

The host considers Davis the overall better fighter in both striking and grappling, which is what Levy normally relies on. He expects the fight to be slightly competitive early but Davis will pull away late and eventually find a finishing opportunity in the final round, specifically circling the submission prop.

submission
"I am circling the submission prop here for Mike Davis"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Paul agrees, noting Davis has skills everywhere but has been inactive. He sees Levy as a reasonable matchup and expects Davis to win however he wants, likely by decision. He mentions Davis by decision at +120 as a prop.

by decision (+120)
"Davis should be able to win this fight however he wants... likely by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The Guru picks Mike Davis by TKO in round one. He praises Davis's striking and grappling, noting his win over Mason Jones has aged well. He criticizes Levy's performances, calling his win over Jairo Valdez unimpressive and his loss to Hakeem Dawodu. He believes Davis is another level on the feet and will be too quick, catching Levy on the jaw.

TKO in round one
"I'm definitely going to go with Mike Davis getting this one done by you know what I'll say TKO in round one I think he's going to be way too quick for Natan Levy and catch him straight on the …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 65 of 133 48% 101 of 174 9 of 11 81% 1 0 8:02
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 63 of 118 53% 84 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 37 of 61 60% 59 of 87 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:52
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 21 of 34 61% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:14
2 Mike Davis 0 20 of 46 43% 22 of 49 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:17
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 26 of 60 43% 29 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Davis 0 8 of 26 30% 20 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 16 of 24 66% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 65 of 133 48% 53 of 118 5 of 7 7 of 8 27 of 75 1 of 1 37 of 57
Viacheslav Borshchev 63 of 118 53% 29 of 81 10 of 13 24 of 24 62 of 115 0 of 0 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 37 of 61 60% 34 of 57 1 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 20 1 of 1 27 of 40
Viacheslav Borshchev 21 of 34 61% 8 of 20 2 of 3 11 of 11 20 of 32 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Mike Davis 20 of 46 43% 16 of 41 2 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 15
Viacheslav Borshchev 26 of 60 43% 11 of 43 5 of 7 10 of 10 26 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Mike Davis 8 of 26 30% 3 of 20 2 of 2 3 of 4 6 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 3 of 3 3 of 3 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Cody picks Mike Davis to win, highlighting Davis's talent and the praise from training partners. He notes Davis has been inactive but is still young and improving. He expects Davis to counter Borshchev's hooks and low kicks with his jab and straight right, and to mix in takedowns to secure rounds. He is confident Davis gets the job done despite the layoff.

"I think Davis is wrestling is underrated the red flags are more around the fact that he rare he hasn't really fought all that much"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Paul picks Mike Davis by decision, citing Davis's superior wrestling and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes that Borshchev gives up takedowns frequently and Davis has underrated wrestling. He expects Davis to use his jab and hand speed to outpoint Borshchev on the feet if he chooses, but believes mixing in wrestling will solidify rounds. He mentions the 2.5 takedown prop on PrizePicks.

Davis by decision; over 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I got Davis by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru picks Mike Davis, emphasizing his multiple paths to victory. He notes that Davis is a smart fighter who can implement wrestling and grappling, similar to Mark D. Casey's game plan against Borshchev. He warns Davis not to get into a pure striking affair, as Borshchev is a world-class kickboxer. He expects Davis to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, citing Davis's layoff and Borshchev's short notice as factors.

Mike Davis by decision
"I think Mike Davis is just gonna fight a really smart fight here... implements the wrestling and grappling and wins the decision."
WIN vs Mason Jones
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 108 of 207 52% 111 of 210 3 of 9 33% 0 0 0:50
Mason Jones 0 117 of 313 37% 132 of 329 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 31 of 58 53% 31 of 58 3 of 5 60% 0 0 0:43
Mason Jones 0 29 of 69 42% 38 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Mike Davis 0 40 of 77 51% 40 of 77 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Mason Jones 0 48 of 125 38% 52 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
3 Mike Davis 0 37 of 72 51% 40 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 40 of 119 33% 42 of 122 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 108 of 207 52% 54 of 131 42 of 61 12 of 15 97 of 189 8 of 14 3 of 4
Mason Jones 117 of 313 37% 83 of 265 18 of 31 16 of 17 104 of 285 11 of 21 2 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 31 of 58 53% 16 of 37 11 of 15 4 of 6 27 of 50 1 of 4 3 of 4
Mason Jones 29 of 69 42% 17 of 53 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 63 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Mike Davis 40 of 77 51% 22 of 50 14 of 22 4 of 5 37 of 74 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 48 of 125 38% 39 of 112 4 of 7 5 of 6 44 of 114 2 of 4 2 of 7
3 Mike Davis 37 of 72 51% 16 of 44 17 of 24 4 of 4 33 of 65 4 of 7 0 of 0
Mason Jones 40 of 119 33% 27 of 100 11 of 17 2 of 2 36 of 108 4 of 11 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady calls this a very close fight and says the line should be closer. He likes both fighters but gives a slight edge to Mike Davis due to better competition. He notes Davis's boxing is very good and he is powerful, while Mason Jones is a black belt in BJJ and a good finisher. He predicts a decision win for Davis, but says Mason Jones at +150 is a value play and he doesn't hate anyone taking a shot on him.

Mason Jones at +150 is value; fight likely goes to decision
"i'm going to go with mike davis i think he's fought the better competition"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Mike Davis's speed, crisp striking, and wrestling background will be too much for Mason Jones, who is stepping up from Cage Warriors. He notes Davis's hand speed and kicks as key advantages, and expects a finish in the second round via KO. He is confident Davis is on a higher level than Jones's previous competition.

"mike davis is just a completely other level than what mason jones has faced in the cage warrior scene"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones as an underdog, believing the odds should be even. He argues Jones has faced better competition, including a first-round TKO of previously undefeated Adam Proctor, and has more pro experience (10-0 vs 8-2). He expects a slugfest where Jones' power, which knocked out welterweights, will be too much for Davis, leading to a first-round TKO. He calls the underdog odds a 'steal'.

first round TKO, underdog
"i'm gonna go with mason jones getting the job done by first round tko against mike davis it should be evens odds he's an underdog that's a steal for me"
KO (punch) R3 4:45 · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Oct 12, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 2 139 of 222 62% 141 of 224 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:56
Thomas Gifford 0 88 of 242 36% 89 of 243 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 67 of 109 61% 68 of 110 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Thomas Gifford 0 36 of 111 32% 37 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Davis 0 39 of 64 60% 40 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:40
Thomas Gifford 0 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Davis 2 33 of 49 67% 33 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Thomas Gifford 0 28 of 58 48% 28 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 139 of 222 62% 96 of 166 32 of 40 11 of 16 98 of 173 17 of 18 24 of 31
Thomas Gifford 88 of 242 36% 45 of 189 18 of 23 25 of 30 80 of 229 8 of 11 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 67 of 109 61% 46 of 81 18 of 22 3 of 6 41 of 75 14 of 15 12 of 19
Thomas Gifford 36 of 111 32% 22 of 93 8 of 10 6 of 8 32 of 105 4 of 5 0 of 1
2 Mike Davis 39 of 64 60% 31 of 51 6 of 10 2 of 3 29 of 54 3 of 3 7 of 7
Thomas Gifford 24 of 73 32% 9 of 55 4 of 5 11 of 13 24 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mike Davis 33 of 49 67% 19 of 34 8 of 8 6 of 7 28 of 44 0 of 0 5 of 5
Thomas Gifford 28 of 58 48% 14 of 41 6 of 8 8 of 9 24 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 1
LOSS vs Gilbert Burns
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 49 of 87 56% 81 of 122 3 of 6 50% 1 0 5:26
Mike Davis 0 13 of 44 29% 17 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 31 of 61 50% 40 of 72 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:32
Mike Davis 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gilbert Burns 0 18 of 26 69% 41 of 50 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:54
Mike Davis 0 1 of 3 33% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 49 of 87 56% 36 of 71 4 of 6 9 of 10 28 of 62 4 of 5 17 of 20
Mike Davis 13 of 44 29% 5 of 29 6 of 13 2 of 2 11 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 31 of 61 50% 20 of 47 4 of 6 7 of 8 24 of 53 4 of 5 3 of 3
Mike Davis 12 of 41 29% 5 of 28 6 of 12 1 of 1 10 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gilbert Burns 18 of 26 69% 16 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 14 of 17
Mike Davis 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Davis

Round 1
It’s time for a lightweight bout between Mike Davis and Gilbert Burns. The referee is Keith Peterson. They touch gloves and the fight begins. Burns with a kick to the body right away and he follows it up with a low kick. Davis lands a straight right of his own. Burns with a left hook. He changes levels for a double leg but Davis stuffs it and lands a knee to the body on the break. Burns with another kick to the body. He shoots for another double leg and this time completes it. Burns is now looking to take the back of Davis. He has one hook in and is looking to open up Davis with punches to take control of his back. Davis is able to defend the choke attempt and get back to his feet. Davis lands a straight right that rocks Burns but Burns recovers quickly and lands a straight right of his own. Low kick by Burns. Left hook by Burns and then a body kick by Burns. Davis moves forward and lands a straight right. Burns returns with an uppercut. Low kick by Burns. Davis with a left hook and straight right behind it. Left hook by Burns. Davis moves forward but Burns changes levels and completes a double leg takedown. He finishes the round on top of Davis in side control.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Burns

Round 2
Round two begins. Burns immediately changes levels for a double leg takedown and completes it. He quickly takes the back of Davis and has both hooks in. Burns is using his punches to try and open Davis up. Burns lands some hard elbows that makes Davis roll over. Now Burns is searching for the rear-naked choke. Davis defends it and rolls over but Burns remains strong on top in half guard. Burns once again changes positions and is looking to take the back. He has the hooks in now and is looking to put his arms around the neck of Davis. Burns continues to land punches on Davis even without getting the choke.
Hard elbow by Burns lands. That opens Davis up for the choke. Burns puts his arms around the neck of Davis, squeezes, and Davis is forced to tap out. Another great submission win for Burns
.

The Official Result
Gilbert Burns def. Mike Davis via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2, 4:15
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.

"Mike Davis is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.

dominant decision
"I got to go Mike Davis going forward. I will have some concerns... I'll take him to win this fight by a pretty dominant decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Connor agrees, pointing out that Ramirez loses sense of defense when aggressive, and if he's not aggressive, he's a sitting duck. Davis has the skills to take him down and win. Connor also notes that Davis's lack of ambition is a concern, but against this opponent, he should prevail.

Davis -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.

finish in round 2
"Another prohibitive favorite here in Davis at -900. And I think he reminds us how good he actually is after a fumble against Ferris ZM earlier this week this year. I think we'll see Davis put together a solid body of work. Really put it on Ramirez and then finish …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.

no value in betting Mike Davis at -1000; suggests live betting if Ramirez has a good first round
"I'm going to go with Mike Davis over Mitch Ramirez. This is a bit of a no-brainer. Um, he's a massive favorite again, minus a thousand."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Zane notes that Mike Davis is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, but lacks drive. However, against Mitch Ramirez, who is a wild over-committing swinger, Davis should be able to take him down and control the fight. He thinks Davis's slick transitions and grappling will be too much for Ramirez, who is a sitting duck if not aggressive.

Davis opened -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."