Career Averages - Mitch Ramirez
Career Averages - Mike Davis
Mitch Ramirez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 51 of 111 | 45% | 57 of 118 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 47 of 77 | 61% | 58 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:20 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 43 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 44 of 69 | 63% | 45 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 51 of 111 | 45% | 27 of 85 | 8 of 10 | 16 of 16 | 46 of 105 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 47 of 77 | 61% | 29 of 53 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 8 of 18 | 44% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 43 of 93 | 46% | 23 of 71 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 40 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 44 of 69 | 63% | 27 of 48 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.
Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.
The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Moises | 1 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 53 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 6:36 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 16 of 48 | 33% | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago Moises | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 25 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Thiago Moises | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 11 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Thiago Moises | 1 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Moises | 25 of 39 | 64% | 10 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 12 | 17 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 16 of 48 | 33% | 4 of 32 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 13 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago Moises | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Thiago Moises | 15 of 26 | 57% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 10 of 39 | 25% | 4 of 30 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Thiago Moises | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Moises (-410), Ramirez (+320)
Round 1
Originally expecting to face Brad Riddell in the co-main event slot, Moises (17-7, 6-5 UFC) instead tumbles down to the early prelims to take on late replacement and UFC debutant Ramirez (8-1, 0-0 UFC), who lost in an appearance on last year’s Contender Series. The two lightweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as the fighters consider but abandon a glove touch. The two start rapping the other’s calf with kicks one after the other, testing the waters and doing some work early. They proceed to take turns with these kicks until Moises decides to mix things up with a tackling double-leg takedown. Moises succeeds in placing Ramirez on his seat, and Ramirez turns to his side in hopes of finding a sweep. Moises shuts it down and shifts to half guard, where he slowly opens up with elbow strikes. Ramirez bucks and twists, but the heavy Brazilian is not going anywhere as he proceeds to smother and land shots. Ramirez uses all his might to pop up, but Moises drags him down from behind until Ramirez realizes he should not give up his back and turns over again. Moises leans down to potentially set up an arm-triangle choke, but with half guard on the other side, he is unable to find the right leverage. Ramirez scoots himself to the wall, but Moises drags him away from it so he can hope to pass. Moises lets it go so he can slash down with elbows, and he gets bucked off but this is the best thing for him. Ramirez turns to crawl away on his knees, and like a predatory animal, Moises pounces on his back. Moises almost immediately gets the hooks in and secures a body triangle, and as Ramirez turns over to his back, Moises is already fishing for a rear-naked choke. Ramirez hand-fights well enough to prevent the choke from getting close, and Moises slides arms back and forth in search of the sub. Moises softens his man up with a couple strikes, and Ramirez tries to swing back from behind his head. The round ends in this dominant position, with the horn blaring twice.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Round 2
The lightweights come together in the middle of the cage, and Ramirez pushes the pace by leading off with a whipping overhand right. As Ramirez tries to shove the Brazilian against the wall, Moises turns him about. The two jockey for position while tied up, and Moises tangles up the legs for a trip attempt but does not find it. Moises drives a knee to the chest as he looks for another entry, with a double that fails. This allows Ramirez to break free, and Moises chops down on his lead leg as he gets backed off with punches. Moises reaches out with a front kick, and leans back as a head kick whizzes past his face. Ramirez swings as hard as he can with a right hand, and the veteran shoots in for a double and drives Ramirez back to the wall. The two do a little slow dance when up close in the clinch, and Moises breaks free with an elbow and misses with a front kick by a matter of inches. Ramirez punches his way forward into a clinch, and he is turned around and smacked in the face a few times. Moises lets go to reset, and he kicks the calf of his opponent that is welted and swollen badly. Ramirez kicks back, but Moises aims at the same target again to make Ramirez recoil. As he does this, he fires off a front kick and stings Ramirez with an overhand right. Moises chops low and spins with a wheel kick that buzzes the side of the head, and he calmly works his way forward, landing shots to chop away. Ramirez goes after two leg kicks of his own, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Round 3
Moises begins the round with a front kick, and
he knocks Ramirez off his feet with a vicious low kick. Ramirez hits the deck, and a ferocious Moises chases after him and whips four low kicks down reminiscent of Donald Cerrone against Myles Jury.
Ramirez grimaces in pain and Smith recognizes that he is done, and he waves off the fight. This is a statement performance for the Brazilian, who registers his first knockout as a UFC fighter by putting the newcomer away with leg kicks.
The Official Result
Thiago Moises def. Mitch Ramirez R3 0:15 via TKO (Leg Kicks)
Angelo expects Moises to be a big favorite. He is a slick grappler who stays composed and works for submissions, with technical striking and solid low kicks to set up takedowns. Although Moises was taken down five times and mauled by Benoit Saint-Denis, Angelo notes that Ramirez is not on that level. He thinks Moises will win the striking exchanges and is good enough to defend takedowns or sweep off bottom. He will bet if the line is favorable.
Big Brady picks Thiago Moises to win by second-round submission. He views this as a levels fight, with Moises' BJJ and experience being far superior to Ramirez, who is coming in on short notice. He expects Moises to get a takedown and submit Ramirez.
Cody picks Thiago Moises, noting his experience against top competition and superior skills everywhere. He acknowledges Ramirez's danger as a short-notice debutant but believes Moises is better on the feet and on the ground. He warns about Moises' durability but expects him to win.
The host notes that Ramirez is stepping in on short notice and is less skilled and experienced than Moises. He expects Moises to have the technical striking advantage and eventually open up a club-and-sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez, getting back in the win column.
Paul agrees, stating Moises is better everywhere and has seen every trick Ramirez might have. He notes Ramirez's Contender Series loss and lack of high-level experience. He will not bet Ramirez.
Mike Davis - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 51 of 111 | 45% | 57 of 118 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 47 of 77 | 61% | 58 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:20 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 43 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 44 of 69 | 63% | 45 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 51 of 111 | 45% | 27 of 85 | 8 of 10 | 16 of 16 | 46 of 105 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 47 of 77 | 61% | 29 of 53 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 8 of 18 | 44% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 43 of 93 | 46% | 23 of 71 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 40 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 44 of 69 | 63% | 27 of 48 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.
Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.
The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farès Ziam | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 58 of 83 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 2 | 7:11 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 20 of 35 | 57% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 | 3 | 3:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 20 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 | |
| 2 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 23 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 2:31 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 2 | 1:38 | |
| 3 | Farès Ziam | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 15 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:17 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farès Ziam | 35 of 56 | 62% | 29 of 50 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 17 |
| Mike Davis | 20 of 35 | 57% | 13 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farès Ziam | 16 of 24 | 66% | 12 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 8 of 15 | 53% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Farès Ziam | 10 of 18 | 55% | 8 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 13 |
| Mike Davis | 6 of 8 | 75% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Farès Ziam | 9 of 14 | 64% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Mike Davis | 6 of 12 | 50% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Lightweights are first up on the main card, where Davis (11-2, 4-1 UFC) tackles Ziam (16-4, 6-2 UFC) in an under-the-radar 155-pound appetizer. Tognoni serves as the third man in the cage. They touch gloves and get started. Davis follows a leg kick to the body with a left hook to the body, then shoots on a takedown and pulls guard. He scrambles to his feet and backs Ziam to the fence. They separate. Ziam fires a two-piece combo and again pulls guard. He stands behind an upkick. Ziam backs him to the cage with punches and scores with knees to the body. Jab to the head and another to the body from Ziam. The Frenchman rips a left hook to the body and a right hand over the top. Davis looks out of sorts. Ziam sticks him with a left uppercut, resets and then slams home jab. Davis shoots on a takedown but goes nowhere. He resets, scrambles behind Ziam and slams him to the mat. Davis climbs to full mount with 50 seconds to go. Ziam reclaims half guard. Davis feeds him an elbow and a knee to the body, then another. Strong close for Davis.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Round 2
They greet each other in the center. Jabs from Ziam. Davis plows forward behind a burst of power punches and connects with a left hook. Ziam clinches to protect himself, and they jockey for position along the fence. Ziam lands a knee with Davis crouched and opens a cut. Ziam scoops up the American and dumps him to the floor in the center of the cage. Blood streaming from the wound. Davis threatens with a heel hook, then positions himself for a calf slicer and uses it to take top position. He scrambles into a bid for an arm-triangle but loses position. Ziam scores with standing-to-ground punches. He flirts with an anaconda choke after sprawling on a takedown attempt, then frames an arm-triangle. Too much blood, and Davis slips free. Ziam closes on top with punches and elbows.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Round 3
Back at it. Davis crashes forward with a right hand over the top. Ziam circles off the fence and shoots on the hips. He eventually dumps Davis to the mat. Ziam works in full guard. He stands, hovers above Davis and moves to north-south, firing punches to the body. Ziam stands again and scores with punches and an elbow. Davis gets to his knees. Ziam threatens with an anaconda choke, then settles in half guard. Davis looks spent—and understandably so. Davis gets back to his feet and presses the Frenchman into the cage. They separate. Two punch volley from Ziam, followed by an elbow over the top. He shoots on the hips and dumps Davis to the canvas yet again. Davis goes for a leg lock, but Ziam slips free. Davis gets to top position, in full guard, and opens a serious cut above Ziam’s left eye with a vicious elbow strike. Dark red blood pours from the wound as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Mike Davis—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Mike Davis, citing his speed, power, athleticism, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Farès Ziam has improved but Davis is a more dangerous striker with better wrestling. He expresses concern about Davis's long layoff due to a bicep injury and his age (32), but still believes Davis wins. He includes Davis in a parlay with Shamil Gaziev.
Big Brady is a fan of Mike Davis but notes his inactivity and injury issues. He thinks Davis has a clear path to victory via wrestling and BJJ, as Farès Ziam has been taken down easily in the past, including seven times by Claudio Puelles. Brady predicts Davis will submit Ziam in the second round, citing Davis's black belt and Ziam's submission losses.
Connor picks Ziam, believing his recent performance against Matt Frevola showed significant improvement. He notes that Ziam displayed excellent striking combinations, body work, and clinch transitions, and that he now looks like a complete fighter. Connor thinks Mike Davis, while powerful, makes poor decisions under pressure and relies on wrestling as a crutch, which Ziam can exploit.
James picks Ziam to win, but is not confident due to Davis's grappling upside. He notes Ziam has improved recently while Davis may have declined. He thinks Ziam can defend takedowns and win on the feet, possibly by knockout. However, he acknowledges Davis's athleticism and wrestling could be a problem, as seen in Ziam's loss to McKinney. He is undecided on betting.
Davis is far superior to Ziam, with a tremendous grappling advantage that will lead to a submission. Despite Ziam's recent improvements, Davis has the striking to be competitive and will eventually get the submission. The line around -140 to -150 is surprising value.
The MMA Guru picks Mike Davis despite initially leaning toward Ziam. He notes Davis has good entries on takedowns and wicked stand-up, but worries about Ziam's improvements and the takedowns he gave up to Claudio Puelles. He trusts Davis's inactivity means he shows up at 100% and believes Davis is the better fighter overall.
Zane picks Ziam, agreeing that his last fight showed a new level of maturity and consistency. He notes that Davis has stagnated and often makes desperate moves when uncomfortable, while Ziam now has the tools to capitalize. Zane acknowledges the risk that Ziam's performance could be a one-off, but believes the improvement is real and that Ziam's well-rounded game will be too much for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 18 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Natan Levy | 1 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 5:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 15 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Natan Levy | 1 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Natan Levy | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 8 of 9 | 88% | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Natan Levy | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 5 of 5 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Natan Levy | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Natan Levy | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
Angelo is surprised Davis is a 3-to-1 favorite but agrees with the logic. Davis is a fast, athletic striker with real power and excellent wrestling, as shown in his last fight with 14 takedowns over three fights. He thinks Davis can implement the same game plan as Hafa Garcia did against Levy: wrestle and avoid BJJ. He hopes the line tightens to 2-to-1 or 1.5-to-1 before he bets.
Big Brady picks Mike Davis to win by third-round knockout. He believes Davis is better everywhere and should dominate if he shows up healthy. He acknowledges inactivity concerns but thinks Davis' skill advantage will lead to a finish.
Cody is confident in Mike Davis, highlighting his well-rounded skills, nasty leg kicks, and wrestling. He notes Levy relies on wrestling but Davis is the better wrestler and will stuff takedowns. He predicts Davis will out-strike Levy, shatter his lead leg, and win decisively, likely by decision.
Lucrative James leans toward Mike Davis, citing his superior wrestling and striking. He notes that Levy couldn't finish Dano Valdez and that Davis has fought tough competition. However, he expresses concern about Davis's inactivity and potential lack of focus due to streaming, which could lead to an upset. Overall, he sees Davis as the much better fighter.
The host considers Davis the overall better fighter in both striking and grappling, which is what Levy normally relies on. He expects the fight to be slightly competitive early but Davis will pull away late and eventually find a finishing opportunity in the final round, specifically circling the submission prop.
Paul agrees, noting Davis has skills everywhere but has been inactive. He sees Levy as a reasonable matchup and expects Davis to win however he wants, likely by decision. He mentions Davis by decision at +120 as a prop.
The Guru picks Mike Davis by TKO in round one. He praises Davis's striking and grappling, noting his win over Mason Jones has aged well. He criticizes Levy's performances, calling his win over Jairo Valdez unimpressive and his loss to Hakeem Dawodu. He believes Davis is another level on the feet and will be too quick, catching Levy on the jaw.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 0 | 65 of 133 | 48% | 101 of 174 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 1 | 0 | 8:02 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 63 of 118 | 53% | 84 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 0 | 37 of 61 | 60% | 59 of 87 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 22 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 0 | 20 of 46 | 43% | 22 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 26 of 60 | 43% | 29 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 20 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 33 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 65 of 133 | 48% | 53 of 118 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 27 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 57 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 63 of 118 | 53% | 29 of 81 | 10 of 13 | 24 of 24 | 62 of 115 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 37 of 61 | 60% | 34 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 40 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 21 of 34 | 61% | 8 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 11 | 20 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 20 of 46 | 43% | 16 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 26 of 60 | 43% | 11 of 43 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 10 | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 8 of 26 | 30% | 3 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Viacheslav Borshchev | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Mike Davis to win, highlighting Davis's talent and the praise from training partners. He notes Davis has been inactive but is still young and improving. He expects Davis to counter Borshchev's hooks and low kicks with his jab and straight right, and to mix in takedowns to secure rounds. He is confident Davis gets the job done despite the layoff.
Paul picks Mike Davis by decision, citing Davis's superior wrestling and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes that Borshchev gives up takedowns frequently and Davis has underrated wrestling. He expects Davis to use his jab and hand speed to outpoint Borshchev on the feet if he chooses, but believes mixing in wrestling will solidify rounds. He mentions the 2.5 takedown prop on PrizePicks.
The MMA Guru picks Mike Davis, emphasizing his multiple paths to victory. He notes that Davis is a smart fighter who can implement wrestling and grappling, similar to Mark D. Casey's game plan against Borshchev. He warns Davis not to get into a pure striking affair, as Borshchev is a world-class kickboxer. He expects Davis to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, citing Davis's layoff and Borshchev's short notice as factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 0 | 108 of 207 | 52% | 111 of 210 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Mason Jones | 0 | 117 of 313 | 37% | 132 of 329 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 0 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 31 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Mason Jones | 0 | 29 of 69 | 42% | 38 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 0 | 40 of 77 | 51% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Mason Jones | 0 | 48 of 125 | 38% | 52 of 129 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 0 | 37 of 72 | 51% | 40 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mason Jones | 0 | 40 of 119 | 33% | 42 of 122 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 108 of 207 | 52% | 54 of 131 | 42 of 61 | 12 of 15 | 97 of 189 | 8 of 14 | 3 of 4 |
| Mason Jones | 117 of 313 | 37% | 83 of 265 | 18 of 31 | 16 of 17 | 104 of 285 | 11 of 21 | 2 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 31 of 58 | 53% | 16 of 37 | 11 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 27 of 50 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Mason Jones | 29 of 69 | 42% | 17 of 53 | 3 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 63 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 40 of 77 | 51% | 22 of 50 | 14 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 74 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mason Jones | 48 of 125 | 38% | 39 of 112 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 44 of 114 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 7 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 37 of 72 | 51% | 16 of 44 | 17 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 65 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Mason Jones | 40 of 119 | 33% | 27 of 100 | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 108 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady calls this a very close fight and says the line should be closer. He likes both fighters but gives a slight edge to Mike Davis due to better competition. He notes Davis's boxing is very good and he is powerful, while Mason Jones is a black belt in BJJ and a good finisher. He predicts a decision win for Davis, but says Mason Jones at +150 is a value play and he doesn't hate anyone taking a shot on him.
The host believes Mike Davis's speed, crisp striking, and wrestling background will be too much for Mason Jones, who is stepping up from Cage Warriors. He notes Davis's hand speed and kicks as key advantages, and expects a finish in the second round via KO. He is confident Davis is on a higher level than Jones's previous competition.
The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones as an underdog, believing the odds should be even. He argues Jones has faced better competition, including a first-round TKO of previously undefeated Adam Proctor, and has more pro experience (10-0 vs 8-2). He expects a slugfest where Jones' power, which knocked out welterweights, will be too much for Davis, leading to a first-round TKO. He calls the underdog odds a 'steal'.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 2 | 139 of 222 | 62% | 141 of 224 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Thomas Gifford | 0 | 88 of 242 | 36% | 89 of 243 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 0 | 67 of 109 | 61% | 68 of 110 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Thomas Gifford | 0 | 36 of 111 | 32% | 37 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 0 | 39 of 64 | 60% | 40 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Thomas Gifford | 0 | 24 of 73 | 32% | 24 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 2 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 33 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Thomas Gifford | 0 | 28 of 58 | 48% | 28 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis | 139 of 222 | 62% | 96 of 166 | 32 of 40 | 11 of 16 | 98 of 173 | 17 of 18 | 24 of 31 |
| Thomas Gifford | 88 of 242 | 36% | 45 of 189 | 18 of 23 | 25 of 30 | 80 of 229 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davis | 67 of 109 | 61% | 46 of 81 | 18 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 41 of 75 | 14 of 15 | 12 of 19 |
| Thomas Gifford | 36 of 111 | 32% | 22 of 93 | 8 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 32 of 105 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mike Davis | 39 of 64 | 60% | 31 of 51 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 7 |
| Thomas Gifford | 24 of 73 | 32% | 9 of 55 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 13 | 24 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mike Davis | 33 of 49 | 67% | 19 of 34 | 8 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Thomas Gifford | 28 of 58 | 48% | 14 of 41 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns | 0 | 49 of 87 | 56% | 81 of 122 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 5:26 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 13 of 44 | 29% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Burns | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 40 of 72 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 12 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Burns | 0 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 41 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns | 49 of 87 | 56% | 36 of 71 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 62 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 20 |
| Mike Davis | 13 of 44 | 29% | 5 of 29 | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Burns | 31 of 61 | 50% | 20 of 47 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
| Mike Davis | 12 of 41 | 29% | 5 of 28 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Burns | 18 of 26 | 69% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
| Mike Davis | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
It’s time for a lightweight bout between Mike Davis and Gilbert Burns. The referee is Keith Peterson. They touch gloves and the fight begins. Burns with a kick to the body right away and he follows it up with a low kick. Davis lands a straight right of his own. Burns with a left hook. He changes levels for a double leg but Davis stuffs it and lands a knee to the body on the break. Burns with another kick to the body. He shoots for another double leg and this time completes it. Burns is now looking to take the back of Davis. He has one hook in and is looking to open up Davis with punches to take control of his back. Davis is able to defend the choke attempt and get back to his feet. Davis lands a straight right that rocks Burns but Burns recovers quickly and lands a straight right of his own. Low kick by Burns. Left hook by Burns and then a body kick by Burns. Davis moves forward and lands a straight right. Burns returns with an uppercut. Low kick by Burns. Davis with a left hook and straight right behind it. Left hook by Burns. Davis moves forward but Burns changes levels and completes a double leg takedown. He finishes the round on top of Davis in side control.
Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Burns
Round 2
Round two begins. Burns immediately changes levels for a double leg takedown and completes it. He quickly takes the back of Davis and has both hooks in. Burns is using his punches to try and open Davis up. Burns lands some hard elbows that makes Davis roll over. Now Burns is searching for the rear-naked choke. Davis defends it and rolls over but Burns remains strong on top in half guard. Burns once again changes positions and is looking to take the back. He has the hooks in now and is looking to put his arms around the neck of Davis. Burns continues to land punches on Davis even without getting the choke.
Hard elbow by Burns lands. That opens Davis up for the choke. Burns puts his arms around the neck of Davis, squeezes, and Davis is forced to tap out. Another great submission win for Burns
.
The Official Result
Gilbert Burns def. Mike Davis via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2, 4:15
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.
Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.
The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.
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