UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024 · Catchweight (187.5 lb) · Completed
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Age 30
Height 6' 3"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 35
Height 6' 0"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ihor Potieria
4.44 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.96 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.73 TD Avg
18.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Robert Bryczek
3.74 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
4.08 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.56 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
85.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ihor Potieria
Moneyline
Caesars +190
KO/TKO
FanDuel +230
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
BetMGM +1400
Robert Bryczek
Moneyline
BetWay -150
KO/TKO
FanDuel -125
Submission
BetRivers +2000
Decision
BetRivers +1200
Ihor Potieria - Fight History
LOSS vs Marco Tulio
TKO (punches) R1 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marco Tulio 1 29 of 54 53% 34 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Ihor Potieria 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marco Tulio 1 29 of 54 53% 34 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Ihor Potieria 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marco Tulio 29 of 54 53% 20 of 41 5 of 7 4 of 6 17 of 37 1 of 1 11 of 16
Ihor Potieria 6 of 15 40% 2 of 8 1 of 2 3 of 5 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marco Tulio 29 of 54 53% 20 of 41 5 of 7 4 of 6 17 of 37 1 of 1 11 of 16
Ihor Potieria 6 of 15 40% 2 of 8 1 of 2 3 of 5 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ihor Potieria (188: Missed Weight) vs. Marco Tulio

Round 1
With the recent memory of a spinning back kick knockout to earn him a spot on the UFC roster, Tulio (12-1, 0-0 UFC) surges into what would have been a middleweight affair with plenty of momentum on his side. The same cannot be said for the struggling Potieria (20-7, 2-5 UFC), who has not only dropped four of five but missed weight ahead of what may be a pink-slip matchup. This bout now taking place at 188 pounds will be covered by referee Mark Smith, who is prepped and ready to jump in at a moment’s notice. Potieria offers an apologetic glove touch to get going, and it is accepted. The center of the cage goes to Potieria, who springs away from a low kick early. Tulio unleashes a one-two, and when that comes up short, his leg kick does not. Potieria absorbs a right hand to counter with a hook over the top, and it marks Tulio’s eye up fast. Potieria goes after a second power left hook, and Tulio’s footwork keeps him safe. Tulio chains a punch into a kick, and the two lean towards one another and clack their heads together. Smith calls time to warn them, and they are quick to resume after the warning with two punches from Tulio. Potieria ducks down, and he eats a particularly stern right hand. Tulio lines up another right as he backs away, and he steps in and blasts Potieria in the groin with a knee, drawing a sound that echoes in the arena. Potieria collapses to the mat and does not make a sound, as Smith pauses the fight and tells Potieria he will have five minutes to recover. Smith warns Tulio, and Potieria blows his nose while on one knee. After 90 seconds, Potieria climbs to his feet using the fence, and he tells Smith he does not need the doctor. Three minutes elapse before Potieria is good to go, and they start up again. Tulio is quick to strike again when resuming, with a head kick and standing back fist surprising the Ukrainian. Tulio cracks “The Duelist” with a right hand, and he puts Potieria down with a follow-up right. Potieria’s nose busted open with blood leaking fast. Potieria tries to get hold of an armbar off his back, and Tulio punches and elbows through it.
Potieria turns to his knees, and Tulio clubs him with a devastating undercut beneath his armpit that shuts his lights out. Smith witnesses that Potieria has been deprived of his consciousness and waved the fight off
, and a bloody, beaten Potieria comes to and coughs his mouthpiece out. This is a statement introduction for Tulio, whose performance is slightly marred for the earlier foul but sealed the deal with his fists.

The Official Result
Marco Tulio def. Ihor Potieria R1 3:04 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Angelo picks Marco Tulio, stating that the fight is set up for him to win. He notes Tulio's diverse striking and solid grappling, while Ihor Potieria is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense. He believes Tulio's wrestling and power will be enough, though he dislikes the -500 odds on a UFC debut. He expects Tulio to win, possibly via takedowns and ground control.

"Marco Tulio is going to be the pick minus 500 uh not great don't love that minus 500 on UFC debut don't love that but Marco Tulio is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Big Brady thinks Tulio is the better fighter overall, with more ways to win. He acknowledges Potieria has looked better than expected, even having moments against Bolat and Almeida, but still considers him bad. Brady notes Tulio can push Potieria against the cage, get takedowns, and is a better striker. He predicts Tulio wins by decision, though he thinks the line is too wide.

"I'm going tulo I'm going tulo to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody picks Potieria as a big underdog, arguing the line is inflated on Tulio. He notes Potieria's power, experience against tough competition, and improvements at 185. He believes Tulio is not a proven prospect and Potieria has a puncher's chance.

"dogger pass for me in this scenario going to be the dog absolutely no hisp being ehore this week"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Daniel highlights Tulio's confidence and ground game, noting he is nasty on the mat and trains at Shoot the Box. He thinks Potieria is better than his record shows but lacks confidence and is on a losing streak. He predicts Tulio will get the fight to the mat and finish quickly.

"I'm going go Marco Tulio here to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marco Tulio

This should be a chaotic matchup favoring Tulio, but not enough to justify -500 odds. The host lacks confidence to back Potieria either, but expects chaos and Tulio to win, probably by knockout.

by knockout
"I think that will see chaos erupt and I think we'll see the Brazilian come through and I think he wins this matchup probably by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul also picks Potieria, calling it a 'dogger pass' fight. He notes Tulio's unimpressive Contender Series performances and Potieria's ability to grapple a little. He expects a competitive striking match where Potieria can land.

"just plug your nose and take ehore man"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

The Guru picks Tulio, calling him an underrated prospect with good standup and grappling. He notes Tulio's win over Yusri Belgar on the contender series and his momentum. He sympathizes with Potieria's tough career but thinks Tulio is the better fighter. He mentions Tulio trains at Shooter Box with Diego Lima and has a decent chin.

"I'm going to go of Marco too I think he's incredibly underrated"
LOSS vs César Almeida
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
César Almeida 0 57 of 113 50% 78 of 137 0 of 2 0% 1 1 2:15
Ihor Potieria 0 44 of 89 49% 57 of 102 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 César Almeida 0 23 of 41 56% 24 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ihor Potieria 0 16 of 32 50% 17 of 33 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:58
2 César Almeida 0 22 of 36 61% 37 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:13
Ihor Potieria 0 10 of 17 58% 13 of 20 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:17
3 César Almeida 0 12 of 36 33% 17 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ihor Potieria 0 18 of 40 45% 27 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
César Almeida 57 of 113 50% 32 of 69 14 of 28 11 of 16 41 of 90 1 of 1 15 of 22
Ihor Potieria 44 of 89 49% 22 of 64 9 of 12 13 of 13 42 of 85 1 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 César Almeida 23 of 41 56% 6 of 16 7 of 14 10 of 11 23 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ihor Potieria 16 of 32 50% 6 of 21 5 of 6 5 of 5 16 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 César Almeida 22 of 36 61% 17 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 22
Ihor Potieria 10 of 17 58% 6 of 13 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 15 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 César Almeida 12 of 36 33% 9 of 24 2 of 8 1 of 4 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ihor Potieria 18 of 40 45% 10 of 30 2 of 4 6 of 6 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2024 (6 days before fight)
César Almeida

Angelo picks César Almeida, citing his superior striking and kickboxing background, including a win over Alex Pereira. He notes Ihor Potieria is hittable and has poor takedown defense, but Almeida is the better striker. He wishes Almeida were more affordable at -400 but expects the win.

Wishes odds were better at -400
"Caesar Raa is the better Striker it is literally that simple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
César Almeida

Big Brady confidently picks César Almeida, noting that Potieria will likely attempt takedowns but has poor wrestling (0 for 10 or 11 in the UFC). He believes Almeida will stuff takedowns and out-strike Potieria, eventually breaking him and winning by second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"I'm going to go Ona here I think he's going to stuff the takedowns keep it on the feet and I think he's going to break pateria as the fight goes on give me caesar Al to win this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
César Almeida

Cody picks Almeida, calling Potieria a 'bum' and noting Almeida's striking pedigree. He believes Potieria's poor chin and cardio will be exposed, and that Almeida will win by knockout. He dismisses Potieria's grappling threat.

"I'm taking Caesar Almeida"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
César Almeida

Connor is confident Almeida will win, noting that Potieria's boxing is unstructured and he leaves massive openings. Almeida's low kicks will disrupt Potieria's tricky strikes, and Almeida's kickboxing pedigree should overwhelm Potieria, who cannot challenge him in that realm.

"Picking him over Poteer. Yeah. Oh, absolutely. Boxer who has trouble actually sitting on big strikes. That just sounds like a nightmare."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
César Almeida

Daniel Vreeland leans toward César Almeida due to his superior kickboxing background, including a trilogy with Alex Pereira. However, he is concerned about Almeida's age (36) and transitioning to MMA, as he can be taken down. Vreeland notes that Potieria has improved and could win if he gets the fight to the mat, but he favors Almeida's striking.

"I'm gonna lean with Cesar I'm just not convinced about you know minus 400"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
César Almeida

The host acknowledges that Almeida let down many people last time against Roman Kopylov by not showing urgency to get back to his feet. However, he believes Potieria lacks that type of grappling and will be forced to strike with the better striker, leading to Almeida finding a knockout.

"I don't think poera has that type of grappling and he will be forced to strike with the better Striker which should ultimately lead to CER Alida finding a knockout here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul is hesitant to pick either fighter. He acknowledges Almeida's flaws and Potieria's puncher's chance but doesn't like the minus 350 price. He calls it a 'dogger pass' and doesn't commit.

"it's dogger pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
César Almeida

The MMA Guru picks César Almeida over Ihor Potieria, citing Almeida's superior striking and fewer flaws. He notes Almeida trains with Alex Pereira, which helps with takedown defense and striking. He believes Potieria makes mistakes on the feet and won't get takedowns, and at altitude, Almeida's better striking defense will prevail. He predicts Almeida gets the win.

"I'm going to go with Caesar almea I think he's a way better Striker I don't see eho Pia getting takedowns on him"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
César Almeida

Zane agrees, stating that Almeida is a great MMA kickboxer who will exploit Potieria's defensive flaws. He notes that Potieria's one-and-done strikes leave him out of position, and Almeida's low kicks will neutralize his boxing. This is a perfect matchup for a kickboxer dabbling in MMA.

"I will take sixes are all made to, uh, to win a kickboxing bout with an MMA fighter. Perfect kind of middleweight bout to line up for a kickboxer dabbling in MMA."
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:54 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:09
Ihor Potieria 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:09
Ihor Potieria 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 6 of 10 60% 4 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Ihor Potieria 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 6 of 10 60% 4 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Ihor Potieria 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Ihor Potieria
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-535), Potieria (+400)

Round 1
Keeping the action pushing, surging wild man Pereira (30-11, 2 NC; 8-2 UFC) is ready to push his win streak to eight at the expense of struggling Ukrainian Potieria (20-5, 2-3 UFC). Since moving to middleweight, Pereira has appeared to have leveled up, while Potieria also shows that changing gears to 185 pounds did him some good. Referee Fernando Portella will see who makes it out of this encounter, and before it begins, the fighters sternly bump fists together. Pereira hops from side to side, his hands not particularly high, and he ignores a low kick coming his way to jab the body and follow it with a straight punch to the same target. Potieria retaliates with a slapping leg kick, and Pereira leaps at him with a straight right hand that knocks Potieria off his feet. The maniac Brazilian back flips and lands with his knee on Potieria, which is an illegal blow as Potieria is grounded. Nevertheless, Portella stands back, marveling at the move pulled off before his eyes. Pereira decides to latch onto a guillotine choke, and he allows Potieria to stand up and wrench the neck on the way up. Pereira squeezes with all his might, and “The Duelist” frantically taps out. As Pereira releases the grip, Potieria falls to his back, completely unconscious. Before Portella can reach him, Potieria’s head clatters lifelessly off the canvas. Pereira solemnly walks away, until he sees that Potieria has regained consciousness, and he starts dancing to celebrate. Meanwhile, commission officials speak to UFC brass about the foul, determining whether or not it impacted the result and if Pereira should be penalized for it. Given the nature of the strike, a disqualification is not off the table--although Portella did not call the foul during the action, so that may be unlikely--and a post-fight review might also find another result.

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Ihor Potieria R1 0:54 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is confident in Pereira, citing his speed, power, creativity, and grappling. He notes Potieria is a technical striker but hittable and with poor takedown defense. He expects Pereira to win by finish.

Angelo says 'he probably wins by finish'
"Michelle peda is the pick and he probably wins by finish"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady is high on Pereira's middleweight resurgence, noting his two quick finishes. He views Potieria as a step down and believes Pereira will knock him out in the first round, possibly mid to late.

"I think he Sparks Pia I think he does it in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, noting his improved fight IQ, cardio, and well-roundedness at middleweight. He believes Potieria is a one-dimensional knockout artist with poor durability and cardio. Cody expects Pereira to win, likely by knockout.

Pereira by KO
"I think he wins probably by knockout..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Vreeland leans with Pereira but considers it a dog-or-pass situation. He acknowledges Potieria's recent improvements, including better cardio and confidence, but believes Pereira's top-15 trajectory and finishing ability give him the edge. He suggests that Pereira's decision prop at +550 might be a better value than the moneyline, as Potieria could last the distance.

Pereira by decision +550
"I'm gonna lean with Michelle but I'mma keep it a buck as always I think this is a dogger pass situation"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 2, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff Fox on Michel Pereira. He notes that Pereira has chilled out his wild style since gassing out against Tristan Connelly, and has been on a seven-fight winning streak. Vreeland thinks Pereira will win easily, though he doesn't elaborate on a specific method. He later mentions that Pereira's submission prop has moved from +650 to +370, indicating the books are aware of his submission threat.

"I think he was gassing himself out being a wild man so yeah yeah that that's his lost to Tristan Connelly right like that's how he lost he's been weird chose not to do that from then on"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 2, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Jeff Fox is very confident in Michel Pereira, calling him a 'demolisher' and noting his seven-fight winning streak since two losses. Fox explains that one loss was due to an illegal knee against Diego Sanchez, and the other was a short-notice grappling loss to Tristan Connelly. Since then, Pereira has been more measured and finished opponents like Andre Petroski. Fox believes Potieria is not UFC caliber, with wins only over aged fighters like Shogun. He expects Pereira to do whatever he wants, and later in the show he picks Pereira by submission for the Hungry Man parlay.

Pereira by submission +370 (part of Hungry Man parlay)
"I don't think he's UFC caliber if I'm being completely honest with potier I think they're giving Michelle paa a chance to do whatever he wants in there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

Pereira is on a crazy run, harnessing his big striking power over 15 minutes. His speed and power advantage will be enough to find Potieria's chin and put him out clean.

knockout
"I expect his speed and power advantage to be more than enough for him to go out there and find the chin of portieria and putting him out clean"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, highlighting his 8-2 UFC record, athleticism, and evolution into a winning style. He dismisses Potieria's chances, citing his poor durability, cardio, and ground game. Paul sees Pereira as a rightful favorite.

"Gotta go with Pereira... I understand why he's the big favorite."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira, praising his skills at middleweight and noting that welterweights often make better middleweights. He highlights Pereira's wins over Andre Petroski and Maxime Gremont, and predicts a first-round rear-naked choke. He criticizes Potieria's record and recent performances, including a loss to Shogun Rua.

rear naked choke round one
"I'm going to say rear naked choke round one for Mel per"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ihor Potieria 0 32 of 133 24% 41 of 143 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Robert Bryczek 1 67 of 168 39% 77 of 181 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ihor Potieria 0 12 of 35 34% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 14 of 41 34% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
2 Ihor Potieria 0 12 of 56 21% 12 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 28 of 62 45% 28 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ihor Potieria 0 8 of 42 19% 13 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Robert Bryczek 1 25 of 65 38% 27 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ihor Potieria 32 of 133 24% 19 of 103 10 of 24 3 of 6 30 of 127 2 of 6 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 67 of 168 39% 47 of 139 5 of 12 15 of 17 61 of 156 6 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ihor Potieria 12 of 35 34% 7 of 26 5 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 14 of 41 34% 5 of 26 1 of 5 8 of 10 12 of 35 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ihor Potieria 12 of 56 21% 6 of 41 3 of 10 3 of 5 12 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 28 of 62 45% 20 of 51 3 of 6 5 of 5 28 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ihor Potieria 8 of 42 19% 6 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 1 6 of 37 2 of 5 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 25 of 65 38% 22 of 62 1 of 1 2 of 2 21 of 59 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Robert Bryczek vs. Ihor Potieria (187.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bryczek (-198), Potieria (+164)

Round 1
Just one of the 14 fights on this card featured someone missing weight—Flowers and Marcos both missed initially and then came back to hit their proper marks. Former light heavyweight Potieria (19-5, 1-3 UFC) took his fight against Bryczek (17-5, 0-0 UFC) on short notice, and he clocked in one and a half pounds over the middleweight limit. As a result, Potieria surrenders 20% of his purse to the Polish slugger. Whether that 20% will be from Potieira’s one check or two, the two men have the next 15 minutes or less to decide it. Referee Mike Beltran checks them in as they touch gloves. Potieria is the aggressor as he pitches kicks from his rear leg to the waist and knee. Bryczek allows Potieria to crash the pocket, so he can sit down on two punches that stop Potieria in his tracks. The Ukrainian shakes out immediate cobwebs and continues to move forward, looking for a right hook that is not there. Bryczek takes a kick to the ribs and responds with a right hand, and he pushes off as a finger jabs into Potieria’s eye. Beltran sees it immediately and calls time, and he lets Potieria wipe it out with a towel as he brings in the doctor. Potieria remarks that he is a little bleary in his eye, but that he is otherwise good to continue. After two minutes, the fighters resume their mutual combat in the center of the cage. Potieria tosses out low kicks, and one lands with a thump instead of a slap. Bryczek loops punches to the body, and Potieria scores a solid kick and a right hand. Bryczek opens up with a huge right hand, and he cracks Potieria again. Bryczek lets loose several more punches, and Potieria bounces away and absorbs one more flush right hand on the jaw. As Potieria backpedals, he parries a right hand from the Polish fighter, which rebounds square into Potieria’s cup in an unlucky turn of events. Beltran recognizes the unintentional foul and allows Potieria to recover once more, and Potieria takes all the time he needs. This results in another lengthy stoppage of three minutes long, and Beltran loudly and sternly admonishes Bryczek that he will lose a point if he fouls again. When they resume, Bryczek is ready and rearing to throw hands, and he lands several hard ones to force Potieria to shoot for an ill-advised takedown. Bryczek stops it, but he gets pressed into the fence from behind, with Potieria kneeing him in the back of the thigh frustratingly. Bryczek spins around with seconds to go, and they bang it out right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle and jab at one another from range, with neither landing much early. Potieria misses with an overhand right, but he plants a kick on the inside of the Polish fighter’s calf. Potieria shoots for a takedown, and he abandons it right when Bryczek sprawls so that he can aim an uppercut on the dome. Bryczek sees it at the last second and dodges it, and he ducks a subsequent spinning back fist. Potieria drops his hands and lands a few punches from a safe distance, and he punctuates a combination with a low kick. The two clash together and bang heads, but it does not result in anything more problematic. Bryczek digs a left to the body, and Potieria shrugs at him and then shoots for a single. Potieria again follows that failed takedown with an uppercut, and this one brushes the side of the UFC newcomer’s head. Bryczek looks for a right hand over the top, and he kicks the body as Potieria again shrugs at him mockingly. Potieria sprints in for a single, and Bryczek hops away and walks Potieria down. Potieria intercepts him with a spinning back kick to the midsection, and Bryczek takes it cleanly and keeps his guard up to block and overhand left. Potieria taps his chest and drops down to the floor with a Mortal Kombat-esque leg sweep. Bryczek look at him confusedly. Potieria is in his groove, having fun and dodging and weaving anything coming from Bryczek. Potieria clips his man a few times with short shots, and he catches Bryczek on the chin with an uppercut. Bryczek headhunts and struggles to reach his opponent, and they trade one big punch right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Potieria

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to check in the last round, and Potieria stays firmly in his groove with jabs and funky hand movements. Bryczek reaches his foe with a straight left hand, but it is one-and-done. Bryczek loads up on a right hand, only to get countered with a left hook that shakes him up. Bryczek charges into action with a huge left hook, and Potieria’s head snaps back like a Pez dispenser. Potieria replies with a three-punch salvo that knocks Bryczek off his feet, and Bryczek barely keeps with it courtesy of a desperation takedown. Bryczek gets back to his feet, and Potieria chases after him and swings for the bleachers. Bryczek does the same, and he manages to catch Potieria coming in but is taking shots as well. Both men use a ton of energy, and Potieria presses the Polish fighter into the wall and strings four elbows together. Bryczek slips and rips Potieria with big punches, and he splits Potieria’s eyebrow open in the process. Potieria rips an elbow that misses slightly, but he blasts Bryczek with an elbow and several punches from up close. Bryczek turns his man around in the tie-up, and he sneaks an elbow up top before breaking away. Potieria reaches his foe with a few punches, and Bryczek tags him back with his own short flurry. The two clash together, and Potieria clinches up to wear on the exhausted Bryczek. Bryczek gets space with 10 seconds to go, and the two throw down and knee one another right as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)

The Official Result
Ihor Potieria def. Robert Bryczek via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Angelo notes that Ihor Potieria has good striking power and accuracy but poor cardio and is hittable. Robert Bryczek is a trained boxer with good footwork, feints, and power, and solid takedown defense. Angelo believes Bryczek just needs to survive Potieria's early danger and then take over as Potieria fades. He calls this one of his most confident picks and suggests a potential under 2.5 rounds bet.

under 2.5 rounds, my mortgage will go on that
"Robert is the pick very very confident pick one of my most confident picks on the card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Big Brady picks Robert Bryczek to win by first-round KO. He notes that Bryczek has unreal power and has been knocking out opponents cold in his recent fights, while Potieria has poor striking defense (41%) and limited cardio. He expects a one-round banger where both fighters swing, but Bryczek's power and the fact that Potieria is cutting to middleweight on short notice give him the edge.

first round KO
"I'm going to take breek to come in there and take off Pia's head but gosh somebody's getting served in this one in the first round so give me bre check first round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody is hesitant but picks Potieria as a dog. He questions Bryczek's level of competition, noting he's 33, making his UFC debut, and has fought lower-level opponents. Potieria has faced better competition at 205 and showed competitiveness against Rodolfo Vieira. Cody thinks Bryczek's physique and quick finishes may not translate against a UFC-level opponent, and Potieria's power at 185 could be a factor.

"I'd be taking a shot on the dog ehore here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Bryczek has speed, power, and athleticism. He should be able to land an early knockout against Potieria, who is making his middleweight debut on short notice. Potieria has poor durability and slows down in deep waters. The under 1.5 rounds is a strong play. Bryczek by first-round knockout.

under 1.5 rounds at -240
"give me bur under one and a half I don't mind that chalk at all I think it hits with relative easier but give me birek to win his fight first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul is also hesitant but picks Potieria. He notes that Bryczek's record is padded with low-level competition and that he has never fought at this level. Potieria, despite his losses, has fought good fighters and has power. Paul thinks Bryczek's size and possible PED concerns are red flags, and that Potieria at his natural weight class could surprise.

"I'm actually in the same boat uh taking the shot on ehore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

The MMA Guru picks Robert Bryczek because Potieria is taking the fight on short notice after a recent TKO loss, and has been finished multiple times. He notes Bryczek is a dangerous knockout artist in his prime, with a full camp. He expects Bryczek to get a first-round finish.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with him getting a finish over Pia in the first round."
LOSS vs Rodolfo Bellato
TKO (punches) R2 4:17 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodolfo Bellato 0 80 of 131 61% 99 of 160 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:49
Ihor Potieria 1 73 of 127 57% 92 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodolfo Bellato 0 18 of 43 41% 27 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:07
Ihor Potieria 0 37 of 69 53% 42 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rodolfo Bellato 0 62 of 88 70% 72 of 106 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:42
Ihor Potieria 1 36 of 58 62% 50 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodolfo Bellato 80 of 131 61% 70 of 116 9 of 12 1 of 3 18 of 46 11 of 14 51 of 71
Ihor Potieria 73 of 127 57% 58 of 111 9 of 10 6 of 6 38 of 73 12 of 21 23 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodolfo Bellato 18 of 43 41% 12 of 32 5 of 8 1 of 3 9 of 32 9 of 11 0 of 0
Ihor Potieria 37 of 69 53% 22 of 53 9 of 10 6 of 6 29 of 56 8 of 13 0 of 0
2 Rodolfo Bellato 62 of 88 70% 58 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 14 2 of 3 51 of 71
Ihor Potieria 36 of 58 62% 36 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 17 4 of 8 23 of 33
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rodolfo Bellato vs. Ihor Potieria
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bellato (-455), Potieria (+350)

Round 1
Light heavyweights are next to the stage, as Bellato (11-2, 0-0 UFC) makes his organizational debut opposite Potieria (19-4, 1-2 UFC) at 205 pounds. Potieria will be remembered as the man who retired Brazilian icon Mauricio “Shogun” Rua.
For more on Bellato, read “Zero Hour” from Sherdog’s own Christian Stein
. Jacob Montalvo steps up as the third man in the cage. They touch gloves, and we are underway. Bellato backs Potieria onto his back foot and clips him with a right hook. Potieria answers with an inside leg kick. Bellato closes the distance, but Potieria shrugs off his bid for a takedown. Jab-jab-cross combo from the Ukrainian. Bellato tests the midsection with a kick. Potieria finds a home with a clean straight left, which has been his best weapon thus far. Sweeping hooks from both hands wobbles Bellato. Potieria using his speed and lateral movement to stay ahead of the Brazilian. He steps into a knee to the body. Bellato steps forward and engages his adversary in the clinch. A knee south of the equator draws an audible reaction from Potieria and results in a halt to the action. Future generations of Potierias cry out as we await a restart. Potieria sticks the Brazilian with a straight left, dodges a flying knee and circles out into open space. He clips Bellato with a multi-punch burst, avoids return fire and scores with another straight left. Bellato presses his efforts in the clinch, drawing boos from the crowd. A knee and a right hook gets Potieria’s attention. They trade at close range to close out the round. Excitement starts to build.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Potieria

Round 2
Bellato immediately closes the distance and scores with a front kick to the gut. He follows clubbing left hand with an elbow strike and knee up the middle. Potieria floors him with a multi-punch volley, follows up with heavy fire, shuts down a takedown, takes top position and unleashes a barrage of brutal hammerfists. Bellato somehow survives the onslaught. Potieria slows, waits for his second wind and gets busy again with punches and hammerfists. The Brazilian may not be able to take much more, with Montalvo hovering above. Potieria passes guard and slams home more punches and hammerfists. Bellato rises to his feet. Potieria looks exhausted but continues to throw. Bellato connects with a left hook, ducks a few counterpunches and trips the Ukrainian to the floor. What a turn of events.
Bellato sets up in half guard and slams elbows into the legs, body and head. Bellato moves to full mount with a minute to go and cuts loose with punches. Potieria offering no intelligent defense, and Montalvo decides to stop it
. Amazing rally from Bellato in his UFC debut.

The Official Result
Rodolfo Bellato def. Ihor Potieria—TKO (Punches) 4:17 R2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rodolfo Bellato

Big Brady is very confident in Rodolfo Bellato, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Bellato's well-rounded game, including leg kicks, clinch work, and BJJ. He thinks Potieria has a padded record and poor cardio, and that Bellato will break him down against the cage, drag him to the mat, and finish him in the second round by submission.

second round submission
"I think they're setting up bat here to go out there and get a win and I think the ehor Pia experiment is about over"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rodolfo Bellato

Cody picks Bellato, calling Potieria a fraud. He notes Potieria's only win condition is an early knockout, and his cardio and durability are terrible. He thinks Bellato can take him down and finish him. He warns that Bellato might stand and bang, which could be risky, but still expects a win.

"Rulo will fight a stupid game plan and is still gonna win but he can make himself look like a minus 10,000 or he can make himself look like a minus 400 I'm hoping he just takes the path of …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Lucrative James leans towards Ihor Potieria, noting that the line is wide and that Bellato may be overvalued after a big win on Dana White's Contender Series. He thinks Potieria has a good chance of knocking out Bellato early, especially in round one or two, as Bellato keeps his chin up. However, he is not fully confident and may bet on Potieria by KO if the prop odds are favorable.

considering Potieria by KO; may bet moneyline or KO when props are widely available
"I think pia has a good chance of knocking out early at least in round one or two round three I don't think he's going to get a knockout but round one or two definitely can happen"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Bellato

Bellato is a BJJ black belt with improving striking and forward pressure. He has shown confidence and power, and his training at Teixeira MMA should provide good partners. Potieria has been exposed against higher-level competition and tends to break under pressure. Bellato is expected to swarm Potieria and finish him either on the ground or on the feet.

"I think that this is a pretty easy spot for Bello to go out there and get a win in his UFC debut"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rodolfo Bellato

Paul picks Bellato but doesn't love the price. He thinks Bellato is a rightful favorite with a well-rounded skill set. He notes Potieria has shown nothing except finishing an aged Shogun. He believes Bellato should win easily if he wrestles, but worries he might stand and bang.

"I think vat is a rightful favor but at mine is 400 it's hard to argue that there's meat on the bone there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rodolfo Bellato

The MMA Guru picks Rodolfo Bellato, calling him a tank with good takedown defense and pressure. He believes Potieria lacks quality wins and will fade if he can't finish early. He predicts Bellato will break Potieria in the second round by TKO, citing Bellato's toughness and ability to walk down opponents.

TKO in second round
"I'm gonna go with Rodolfo Bellato... I think he's going to walk down Potieria in the second or third round and get himself a TKO."
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Ulberg 1 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ihor Potieria 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Ulberg 1 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ihor Potieria 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Ulberg 13 of 21 61% 11 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 8 of 10
Ihor Potieria 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Ulberg 13 of 21 61% 11 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 8 of 10
Ihor Potieria 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Angelo picks Ulberg, calling him a world-class kickboxer with incredible footwork and range management. He notes Ulberg has 100% takedown accuracy and defense (though only one attempt defended). He says Potieria is a brawler who keeps his hands low and relies on his chin. He expects Ulberg to win inside the distance and would hammer the under if a 2.5 round line is available.

Under 2.5 rounds if line available; has Ulberg in light parlays
"I gotta go Uber here for the win right his striking is so smooth both offensively and defensively"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Big Brady is very confident in Ulberg, calling him the much better striker. He notes Potieria has terrible striking defense and will rush in, allowing Ulberg to catch him. Brady references Ulberg's impressive first-round knockout of Negumereanu as evidence of his power. He sees no path to victory for Potieria outside of landing a big shot, and predicts Ulberg will starch him in the first round. He mentions Ulberg is a popular parlay piece but says he's not laying the -400 himself.

first round knockout
"olberg's Gonna Knock this guy out and he's going to knock him out in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Cody picks Ulberg by knockout, expecting him to flatline Potieria. He praises Ulberg's kickboxing and training with Adesanya, and notes Potieria's wild style and disrespectful behavior after the Shogun win. He believes Ulberg's precision will counter Potieria's aggression.

under 1.5 rounds, Carlos Ulberg by KO
"I expect Albrecht to absolutely Flatline him and knock him unconscious but your will come to fight you are will come to throw down but again it's like a precise technical kickboxer yeah puncher's chance I get it but uh …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Connor agrees with Zane, calling it a bad matchup for Potieria. He notes that Ulberg is a good low kicker and counter-puncher, and Potieria's wild pressure will play into Ulberg's hands. He thinks Potieria's lack of defense and inability to handle kicks will be his downfall.

"It's just a bad matchup for Potieria. He could win it, but... this just feels like it's going to be a lot like the Nicolai Nega Mariano fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel Levi picks Carlos Ulberg, highlighting his sharp striking and recent performances against tough opponents. He notes Ulberg's precise combinations and ability to avoid damage, as seen in his last fight where he wasn't touched. Levi criticizes Potieria's padded record and lack of high-level competition, though he acknowledges Potieria's power and the risk of a knockout. He believes Ulberg's cleaner technique and higher ceiling will prevail, but the price is too high for a bet.

missed line at -280; would have bet at that price
"I think olberg is a lot sharper a lot cleaner a lot more precise than e-horse so for that reason I'm gonna pick him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Ulberg is far superior in striking, with a disciplined kickboxing style. He has 100% takedown defense, though he hasn't faced a dedicated wrestler. Potieria has power but poor cardio and will likely gas trying to get the fight to the ground. Ulberg will keep it upright and walk Potieria into a big shot, knocking him out. The fight likely ends inside the distance.

fight doesn't go to decision, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm expecting violence here and I expect it to come from auberg by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Paul is confident in Ulberg, noting his consistent improvements and striking. He mentions Ulberg's adjustments after his first fight, and his ability to pick shots and finish. He sees Potieria as wild and less technical, and expects Ulberg to roll. He added Ulberg to a parlay.

added to parlay
"I think he absolutely rolls here what's your take"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg, calling it a mismatch. He notes that Ulberg is more complete on the feet and that Potieria's win over Shogun is not impressive. He predicts a TKO in round two or late in the first round.

TKO in round two or late first round
"I'm gonna have to go with Carlos alberg getting a KO here... I think I'm gonna go with all Burger getting a TKO in round two or something along those lines"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Zane picks Ulberg, noting that he has figured out his game after a prospect loss and now fights with more composure. He highlights Ulberg's good low kicks, straight punches, and counter-punching, which are terrible for Potieria's wild pressure style. He thinks Potieria has no answer to kicks and will be overwhelmed.

"It's just a bad matchup for Potieria. He could win it, but... this just feels like it's going to be a lot like the Nicolai Nega Mariano fight."
WIN vs Maurício Rua
TKO (punches) R1 4:05 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ihor Potieria 0 17 of 31 54% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Maurício Rua 1 21 of 41 51% 27 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ihor Potieria 0 17 of 31 54% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Maurício Rua 1 21 of 41 51% 27 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ihor Potieria 17 of 31 54% 4 of 17 3 of 4 10 of 10 17 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 21 of 41 51% 16 of 35 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 31 5 of 6 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ihor Potieria 17 of 31 54% 4 of 17 3 of 4 10 of 10 17 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 21 of 41 51% 16 of 35 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 31 5 of 6 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Big Brady calls this the sketchiest fight on the card and is staying far away from betting. He notes Potieria has power and finishing ability, with most wins in the first round, but is not sold on his UFC caliber. Shogun is washed at 41 and has been for a while. Potieria has a huge hole in takedown defense, but Shogun doesn't wrestle much. He leans towards Potieria by first-round knockout but has no confidence.

"pateria first found knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody picks Ihor Potieria confidently, noting Potieria's power, speed, and youth advantage over an aging Shogun. He says Shogun is past his prime, has poor durability, and is retiring, which historically leads to losses. He thinks Potieria will land something early and put Shogun away. He mentions Shogun's recent performances have been poor, and that Potieria is a limited striker but enough to beat the current Shogun.

mentions Shogun's retirement announcement as a negative factor
"I think he's going to land something he's going to put him away he showed in that sadolski fight on the contender series that he absolutely does have good power"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Connor agrees with Zane, stating Shogun's prime ended in 2009 and he's been too slow and fragile. He notes Potieria is not very good but not bad enough to lose to Shogun at this point.

"He's a decent athlete with speed and size for the division."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul picks Ihor Potieria, agreeing with Cody. He says he hopes he's wrong but thinks Potieria will win. He notes Shogun's decline and the retirement announcement curse. He says he won't bet on this fight but picks Potieria. He mentions Shogun's legendary status but says his time is up.

not betting on this fight
"I hate to say I agree with you and I'm not even really going to add anything to it I hope I'm wrong I'm picking ihor I won't be betting on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

The Guru picks Potieria despite calling him a 'can crusher.' He notes Shogun is 41 and looked awful in recent fights, struggling against Saint Preux. Potieria is young and scrappy, and the Guru trusts the younger fighter to land first. He predicts a first-round TKO for Potieria, though he admits it would be nice to see Shogun win.

TKO in first round
"I'm going with Igor pateria I think you'll find the TKO on Shogun Shogun looks awful in his last few fights"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Zane picks Potieria because Shogun is too slow and lacks durability. He notes Potieria is a decent athlete with speed and size, and can take shots. He mentions Shogun's recent losses to Paul Craig and OSP show he's done.

"You got to pick him because you can't pick Shogun anymore."
TKO (punches and knees) R2 3:33 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolae Negumereanu 0 51 of 95 53% 72 of 122 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:01
Ihor Potieria 0 38 of 70 54% 52 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolae Negumereanu 0 8 of 18 44% 29 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:36
Ihor Potieria 0 7 of 15 46% 20 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nicolae Negumereanu 0 43 of 77 55% 43 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ihor Potieria 0 31 of 55 56% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolae Negumereanu 51 of 95 53% 44 of 84 7 of 11 0 of 0 23 of 57 25 of 32 3 of 6
Ihor Potieria 38 of 70 54% 26 of 58 3 of 3 9 of 9 31 of 62 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolae Negumereanu 8 of 18 44% 7 of 15 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 6
Ihor Potieria 7 of 15 46% 2 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Nicolae Negumereanu 43 of 77 55% 37 of 69 6 of 8 0 of 0 19 of 46 24 of 31 0 of 0
Ihor Potieria 31 of 55 56% 24 of 48 2 of 2 5 of 5 25 of 48 6 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Big Brady picks Nicolae Negumereanu to win by decision. He is not impressed with Potieria's padded record and poor competition, while Negumereanu has faced better opposition. He notes both fighters are hittable and reckless, but favors Negumereanu's chin, toughness, and cardio. He expects Potieria to have moments early but fade as the fight goes on.

"give me negan mariano to win i you know one thing i like about negamariano is this guy has a crazy chin"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Cody picks Negumereanu as a dog, citing his UFC experience and wins over real UFC fighters like Kennedy Nzechukwu. He notes that Potieria's record is padded with questionable fights and that he hasn't fought anyone. He thinks Negumereanu is more seasoned and can take punishment, and that Potieria's cardio is suspect. He also mentions that Negumereanu has been working on his wrestling and can implement it once Potieria tires.

"wrong fighter favored as far as i'm concerned nick's already got the real ufc credentials he's already beaten real ufc fighters"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Daniel leans Negumereanu, citing his UFC experience, willingness to push the pace, and training at Extreme Couture. He heavily criticizes Potieria's record, noting he fought mostly cans, was dropped by a fat 5'9" heavyweight, and even took an amateur fight in 2019. He thinks Negumereanu's grit and pressure will be too much for Potieria, especially in a deep-water fight. He missed the line at +145 and is now +110, so he passes on betting.

"I'm going Nick Negumereanu to welcome this kid to the UFC."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Preet got in on Negumereanu at +125 earlier in the week, citing the padded record of Potieria and the low level of competition he faced. He notes Potieria was dropped by an 'ice cream vendor' and that Negumereanu's durability and grimy style should carry him. He is unsure of the method but happy with the plus money.

"i got in on nicolia plus 125 earlier this week i just thought that was a spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Paul leans Negumereanu but is not passionate. He notes that Potieria's record is suspicious with many amateur fights on the same day and possible padding. He thinks Negumereanu is more experienced at a higher level and can take a punch. He also mentions that Potieria has cardio issues and that Negumereanu could take over in later rounds. He says it's a good live betting opportunity.

"i'm not gonna be beating the drum and being like super super passionate about either side in this fight i'm just going no but you're the guy with a little bit more experience at a higher level"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Nicolae Negumereanu

The MMA Guru picks Nicolae Negumereanu by TKO in the first round. He expects Ihor Potieria to start fast with big shots and create chaos, but once things calm down, Negumereanu will find his range, chop the legs, and land a big shot to finish. The Guru emphasizes Negumereanu's patience and defense as key factors.

TKO in round 1
"nikolai nagumayanu gets this one done moving on"
Robert Bryczek - Fight History
LOSS vs Cam Rowston
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cam Rowston 0 79 of 150 52% 125 of 217 3 of 7 42% 0 0 10:10
Robert Bryczek 0 17 of 37 45% 39 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cam Rowston 0 24 of 56 42% 29 of 67 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:03
Robert Bryczek 0 8 of 17 47% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Cam Rowston 0 32 of 56 57% 45 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:00
Robert Bryczek 0 7 of 15 46% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cam Rowston 0 23 of 38 60% 51 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:07
Robert Bryczek 0 2 of 5 40% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cam Rowston 79 of 150 52% 69 of 137 6 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 82 2 of 2 45 of 66
Robert Bryczek 17 of 37 45% 5 of 22 8 of 10 4 of 5 17 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cam Rowston 24 of 56 42% 19 of 49 3 of 5 2 of 2 17 of 46 0 of 0 7 of 10
Robert Bryczek 8 of 17 47% 1 of 8 4 of 6 3 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cam Rowston 32 of 56 57% 29 of 53 1 of 1 2 of 2 9 of 20 1 of 1 22 of 35
Robert Bryczek 7 of 15 46% 3 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cam Rowston 23 of 38 60% 21 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 16 of 21
Robert Bryczek 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Robert Bryczek vs. Cameron Rowston

Round 1
“Battle Giraffe” Rowston (14-3; 2-0 UFC) seeks to continue his impressive UFC run at the expense of Poland’s Bryczek (18-6; 1-1 UFC), with referee Lukasz Bosacki in charge of rules enforcement. Both men are in orthodox stance to start things off, and it’s Bryczek stalking forward as Rowston gives ground and looks for counters. Bryczek is doing a lot of hand fighting, trying to get inside on the much taller, rangier Aussie, but Rowston is wise to it and catches him with the right cross twice in a row. Bryczek wades into the pocket and lands a flurry of hooks to the body. They appear to have had an effect, because Rowston changes levels for a takedown. He hauls Bryczek to his seat, but Bryczek will not concede the position, scooting and using underhooks to get back up. Rowston changes levels again, drives Bryczek to the fence and scoops him up for an easy-looking takedown. Rowston is in his opponent’s full guard at the base of the fence with 90 seconds to go, trying to posture up and drop punches while Bryczek controls the wrists. Bryczek switches to butterfly hooks and kicks Rowston off, but Rowston dives back into his guard before he can get up. Rowston smashes Bryczek with a couple of hard ground punches before the horn. 10-9 Rowston.

Round 2
Rowston strikes first with a calf kick from distance. Bryczek surges forward and Rowston tags him with a three-punch salvo. As Bryczek backs off, Rowston gives chase, changing levels for a double-leg attempt against the fence. Rowston can’t finish the takedown and they circle away from the cage. Rowston comes forward for another takedown attempt, which Bryczek intercepts with a front headlock. Rowston pops his head out and finishes the takedown. Rowston is in Bryczek’s full guard at the base of the cage, posturing up and landing a couple of strikes. Rowston applies shoulder pressure, sets up a possible arm-triangle choke and passes to side control. Bryczek is surviving for the moment, but making no moves to escape, let alone launch any offense of his own. Rowston gives up on the choke, stands up from side control and nails Bryczek with a couple of standing-to-ground punches. Rowston keeps bombarding his man with long punches from above. Bryczek gets Rowston back into guard, but this slows, rather than halts, the onslaught. Thirty seconds to go and the round has been all Rowston so far. Bryczek survives to hear the horn after a lopsided five minutes. 10-9 Rowston.

Round 3
The momentum is all with the home fighter as they come out for Round 3. They exchange punches in the center of the cage, with both men landing bur Rowston getting the better of it. Rowston lands a slapping left kick to the midsection. Rowston grabs the Thai clinch and drives a knee up the middle, then lets go, changes levels as Bryczek straightens, and plows him to the floor effortlessly. Rowston sets up in half guard, lands a couple of strikes and passes to side control. Rowston is riding high, weighing heavy on Bryczek’s chest and possibly looking for a topside choke, but slithers to his opponent’s back when Bryczek bridges. Rowston is on Bryczek’s back for a moment, but Bryczek manages to spin back to guard. Bryczek gets butterfly hooks, elevating Rowston, but Rowston’s reach is such that he’s pelting him in the face anyway. Rowston gets back to full guard, postures up and lands a couple of elbows as he passes to half guard. Rowston passes to side control, then takes back control when Bryczek turtles up. Bryczek gets back to guard, but Rowston keeps throwing punches. Rowston shrugs off a last-ditch leglock attempt and keeps dropping strikes until the final horn. Dominant performance by Cam Rowston. 10-8 Rowston (30-26 Rowston).

The Official Result
Cam Rowston def. Robert Bryczek via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Angelo picks Cam Rowston but is very hesitant, calling it a trap. He notes that Cam is very hittable and Robert Bryczek is a clean boxer, but Cam has a good chin and grappling upside. He thinks the -260 odds are too wide and plans to avoid betting, possibly taking the over on rounds.

Over on half-round line considered; no bet recommended.
"Cam's gonna be the pick though, but I'm I don't think I'm gonna go ahead and place. Maybe we got a run on the half round line. I'll do the over."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Big Brady picks Cam Rowston to win by decision. He likes Rowston as a prospect with good grappling and power, and notes that Robert Bryczek is not a wrestler and has poor cardio. Brady expects Rowston to take over as the fight goes on, as long as his chin holds up, and mentions Bryczek's only chance is an early knockout.

Rowston by decision
"Give me Kam Rauscher. I'll take Rauscher to win by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Cody picks Rowston but is hesitant, noting his tall man defense and vulnerability to power punchers. He believes Rowston's cardio and volume will outlast Bryczek, but acknowledges the risk of a knockout loss.

"I am picking him, but if I'm going to lose this fight, I'm going to look like an idiot because he's going to get knocked down the first or second round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Connor picks Bryczek because he thinks Rowston may not fight a good fight, similar to how Poitier didn't. He notes that Rowston does poorly when forced to go backwards, and Bryczek is willing to press forward into the pocket. He sees it as a fine filler fight between two action-forward middleweights.

"Yeah, I'll take Brishek. I think against Poteeria, again, we did not fight a good fight, but Rouston may not either."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Bryczek as an underdog, believing the odds are off. He notes Bryczek's superior boxing and power, and Rowston's tendency to leave his head on the center line. He took Bryczek at plus 230 and sees value at plus 155.

"I took Brchek when he was plus 230. I mean, I just thought those odds were completely off. ... give me Robert Brchek to come out here and get this upset over Cam Rston down under."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Bryczek is a good bet at underdog odds because this fight is 50/50 at worst. Rowston is tall and lanky, slow, clunky, and bad defensively, while Bryczek is ultra-aggressive, powerful, and pressures well. Bryczek's takedown defense is unknown but his body type makes him hard to take down. The fight spread on Bryczek is also interesting but not locked in.

Moneyline bet at +138 (1 unit); considering fight spread
"I think Bryczek should be the favorite... I will be betting him at underdog odds."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Lucrative James picks Cam Rowston to win via decision. He acknowledges Robert Bryczek's power and durability make this a dangerous fight, but believes Rowston's superior skill set and multiple paths to victory (striking from outside, grappling) will earn him the win. He plans to study more tape on the wrestling matchup.

"I'm going to pick Cam for that reason. You know multiple paths to victory... Cam Rston to win this fight via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

The host thinks Rowston will fight a safe game, mixing in clinch and ground work to wear down Bryczek. He expects a TKO or submission inside the distance, noting Rowston's striking power and BJJ brown belt. The host suggests a sprinkle on Bryczek KO as a hedge, but believes Rowston wins.

Inside the distance; sprinkle on Bryczek KO prop
"I think it's going to be Roston that fights a safe game here, gets into the clinch, gets this fight to the ground, and really start showcasing his BJJ brown belt. And I think that could lead to him getting …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Paul leans towards Bryczek, citing his power and the possibility that his poor UFC debut was due to jitters. He likes the KO prop and thinks Bryczek can catch Rowston.

KO prop
"I'm gonna lean ever so slightly towards uh Robert Brightche here. His KO prop is looking a little juicy at some places."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cam Rowston

The MMA Guru picks Cam Rowston, citing his nasty KO wins and confidence from finishing Cody Brundage. He believes Rowston's striking will be effective against Robert Bryczek, who he expects to stand and trade. He predicts a TKO in round three and mentions fight of the night potential.

TKO in round three, fight of the night potential
"I'm going to go over Ralston getting this one done by TKO in round three."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cam Rowston

Zane picks Rowston because he believes Rowston's bad grappling instincts won't be as problematic against Bryczek, who is a hooks man limited to the pocket. He thinks Rowston will eventually figure out to use his reach and throw straight punches, avoiding the stupid fight that could get him knocked out. However, he acknowledges it could easily go either way.

"I think I'm going to take Rouston just because the bad grappling instincts are bad, but they're probably not bad against Brishek."
WIN vs Brad Tavares
KO R3 1:43 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Tavares 0 42 of 102 41% 50 of 111 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:22
Robert Bryczek 1 68 of 138 49% 77 of 149 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Tavares 0 17 of 40 42% 25 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:22
Robert Bryczek 1 39 of 73 53% 48 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
2 Brad Tavares 0 15 of 40 37% 15 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Brad Tavares 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 20 of 37 54% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Tavares 42 of 102 41% 17 of 69 8 of 13 17 of 20 41 of 100 1 of 2 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 68 of 138 49% 47 of 104 16 of 27 5 of 7 43 of 101 9 of 16 16 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Tavares 17 of 40 42% 12 of 34 3 of 3 2 of 3 16 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 39 of 73 53% 26 of 56 11 of 15 2 of 2 22 of 46 9 of 14 8 of 13
2 Brad Tavares 15 of 40 37% 3 of 23 3 of 6 9 of 11 15 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 9 of 28 32% 4 of 17 3 of 7 2 of 4 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Brad Tavares 10 of 22 45% 2 of 12 2 of 4 6 of 6 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 20 of 37 54% 17 of 31 2 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 27 0 of 2 8 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Robert Bryczek vs. Brad Tavares
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tavares (-220); Bryczek (+190)

Round 1
Longtime veteran Tavares (21-10, 16-10 UFC) had his most recent contract come to an end, and after a brief time of uncertainty he was brought back to the promotion he joined by winning the 11th season of “The Ultimate Fighter.” While he has faced many of the best fighters in the history of the middleweight division, he draws a Polish adversary in Bryczek (17-6, 0-1 UFC) that may be a bit less decorated but is just as dangerous given his stoppage rate above 70%. Referee Lukasz Bosacki draws the charge to handle the 185ers, who clap hands to initiate the match.
Bryczek puts his foot on the gas, chasing the longtime vet around, and he finds himself in the pocket with Tavares. This results in them both trading, and Tavares backs off and takes a body shot and a jab up top. Tavares replies with a pushing front kick, and he catches Bryczek ducking down with a pair of punches on the temple. Tavares stays on his back foot, firing off kicks as Bryczek advances towards him. Bryczek continues marching ever forward, with Tavares more than ready to counter, his right hand ready for action. Bryczek smacks the front leg of his foe with a kick, and puts his guard up to block a one-two that he expects. Bryczek swings for the fences and knocks Tavares clean off his feet. Tavares works his way up with the wall, but Bryczek is swarming him with fists to the dome and guts. Tavares ties him up to clear the cobwebs, and Bryczek settles for a few knees to the thigh before breaking off.
Tavares circles away, letting fly kicks and a pair of punches up high, and the Polish athlete is incensed and ready for destruction. He lays into Tavares with punches in bunches, dropping Tavares to a knee as he tries to put his man away. Tavares is able to get back up despite being under fire, and he even manages some looping counters. When Bryczek overcommits on his attack, Tavares times a magnificent double-leg takedown to put the heavy-handed Polish fighter on his back. The nose of the Hawaiian is busted open and leaking on the mat, but he pays it no mind as he climbs into half guard and recovers. Tavares does some work on top but is largely content to control the remainder of the round and take a possible 10-8 score off the table—although that remains to be seen if judges believe the damage was substantial enough to award such a score. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Bryczek
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Bryczek

Round 2
The second round kicks off with a barrage of kicks from the Hawaiian, using them to keep distance and prevent Bryczek from hurling big hands at him. The low kicks are starting to mark up the lead leg of Bryczek, who is lumbering awkwardly on it as he advances. Tavares is the quicker of the two, as Bryczek may have punched himself out in the first round, because Bryczek cannot reach him. As Bryczek plods towards his man, Tavares shoots in on his hips. Bryczek knows it is coming and defends it, and he stands up and avoids a right hand zooming at his jaw.
Bryczek bears down on Tavares, replying with his own chopping kicks as he makes his way forward. Tavares lets fly a three-punch salvo that hits nothing but air, but his technical kickboxing is stifling Bryczek for the most part. Tavares backs himself to the wall and quickly realizes he needs to reposition himself, scurrying to the side as he spams the leg kick. Bryczek no-sells a head kick as he goes after Tavares, but his offense is otherwise fairly muted. The fans do not like this pick-and-poke strategy of low intensity, perhaps spoiled by the action of the previous bouts as well as this one’s first round, and they start booing heartily. A storied veteran with a lot of decisions on his ledger, the audience has no effect on the Hawaiian. He keeps his distance and probes with kicks and one-twos until the not-so-great round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Tavares
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tavares

Round 3
The middleweights touch ‘em up to show some respect opening the final frame, and Bryczek gets back to his forward-or-bust strategy. Tavares welcomes this, as he is able to simultaneously hop on his bike and land enough strikes to gain the upper hand. The Hawaiian puts some mustard into a body kick, and Bryczek does not like it and twirls around to take some of the sting out of it. When Bryczek gathers his thoughts, he marches Tavares down and guns for him with big, swinging fists. Tavares’ are straighter, jabbing and getting off one-twos. With a full head of steam, Bryczek attacks. Backing Tavares up to the fence, Bryczek strings together a prolonged combination of looping punches, cracking Tavares with a heavy right hand.
Stunned, Tavares starts to go down to a knee while still under fire, and Bryczek continues battering the grizzled veteran with all he has. With Bryczek hammering away with hammerfists as some land directly on the back of the head, Bosacki steps in, and Tavares immediately protests the stoppage.
His team is equally upset about what they feel was premature referee intervention, but as the referee is the sole arbiter of the bout, that’s a wrap. Bryczek notches his first UFC victory and it is a huge scalp he collects by melting a formerly ranked fighter in Tavares.

The Official Result
Robert Bryczek def. Brad Tavares R3 1:43 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo leans towards Brad Tavares based on experience and toughness, but is surprised Tavares is nearly a 3-to-1 favorite given his age and decline. He acknowledges Bryczek's clean boxing and power, and notes that a one-punch knockout or decision win for Bryczek wouldn't surprise him. He advises against betting Tavares at these odds, warning that Bryczek is not a bum.

"I'm gonna lean Tvarez. I'm gonna lean on his experience. I'm gonna lean on his toughness."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Big Brady is hesitant but picks Brad Tavares, as he wants to fade Tavares but cannot trust Bryczek after his poor performance. He notes Tavares has looked done since taking heavy damage, but Bryczek looked even worse, gassing quickly. He expects a decision win for Tavares.

Tavares by decision
"Although I'm very hesitant in picking Brad Dvarez, I don't want to pick him, but I'm kind of getting forced to pick Brad Dvaris here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Connor picks Bryczek, agreeing that Tavares is past his prime and that Bryczek's power could be a factor. He notes that Tavares has struggled against aggressive fighters in the past and that Bryczek's one-dimensional style might be effective if he lands clean. Connor also expresses dislike for the matchup but sees Bryczek as the more likely winner.

Tavares opened at -250, now -205; Bryczek opened at +210, now +175
"I guess I'll take Burchak too. But it's a stupid fight. It does not need to be happening at this level."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The host expects a classic performance from Tavares but notes his deteriorating durability and decline. He acknowledges Bryczek could spoil plans with a big shot, but thinks Tavares keeps it clean and outpoints Bryczek to a decision victory.

"I'm expecting Tavvarz to give us a bit of a classic performance here, but his deteriorating durability and his just decline is evident and Bert could definitely spoil his plans here by landing a big shot of his own."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The Guru picks Brad Tavares, dismissing Robert Bryczek as 'terrible' and 'dog [__]'. He criticizes Bryczek's debut performance and regional record, while noting Tavares has been competitive against proven UFC fighters. He expects a standup fight and predicts a 29-28 split decision for Tavares, citing his experience and well-roundedness.

"I think Tvarez is more well-rounded and more experienced. He knows what to do to win certain rounds. I'm going to go Tvarez by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Zane picks Bryczek hesitantly, noting that Tavares is past his prime and that Bryczek's one-dimensional power punching could catch him. He acknowledges that Tavares has a history of frustrating opponents but believes Bryczek's physicality and aggression might be enough to overwhelm him. Zane also mentions that Tavares's recent win over GM3 was against a shot opponent.

Tavares opened at -250, now -205; Bryczek opened at +210, now +175
"I think I'm going to take Burchak just for the fun of it. Just in the hope that he ices Tavares, because if it's a three round fight, I don't want to see Brad Tavares outmaneuver Robert Prushe."
LOSS vs Ihor Potieria
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ihor Potieria 0 32 of 133 24% 41 of 143 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Robert Bryczek 1 67 of 168 39% 77 of 181 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ihor Potieria 0 12 of 35 34% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 14 of 41 34% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
2 Ihor Potieria 0 12 of 56 21% 12 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Bryczek 0 28 of 62 45% 28 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ihor Potieria 0 8 of 42 19% 13 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Robert Bryczek 1 25 of 65 38% 27 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ihor Potieria 32 of 133 24% 19 of 103 10 of 24 3 of 6 30 of 127 2 of 6 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 67 of 168 39% 47 of 139 5 of 12 15 of 17 61 of 156 6 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ihor Potieria 12 of 35 34% 7 of 26 5 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 14 of 41 34% 5 of 26 1 of 5 8 of 10 12 of 35 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ihor Potieria 12 of 56 21% 6 of 41 3 of 10 3 of 5 12 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 28 of 62 45% 20 of 51 3 of 6 5 of 5 28 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ihor Potieria 8 of 42 19% 6 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 1 6 of 37 2 of 5 0 of 0
Robert Bryczek 25 of 65 38% 22 of 62 1 of 1 2 of 2 21 of 59 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Robert Bryczek vs. Ihor Potieria (187.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bryczek (-198), Potieria (+164)

Round 1
Just one of the 14 fights on this card featured someone missing weight—Flowers and Marcos both missed initially and then came back to hit their proper marks. Former light heavyweight Potieria (19-5, 1-3 UFC) took his fight against Bryczek (17-5, 0-0 UFC) on short notice, and he clocked in one and a half pounds over the middleweight limit. As a result, Potieria surrenders 20% of his purse to the Polish slugger. Whether that 20% will be from Potieira’s one check or two, the two men have the next 15 minutes or less to decide it. Referee Mike Beltran checks them in as they touch gloves. Potieria is the aggressor as he pitches kicks from his rear leg to the waist and knee. Bryczek allows Potieria to crash the pocket, so he can sit down on two punches that stop Potieria in his tracks. The Ukrainian shakes out immediate cobwebs and continues to move forward, looking for a right hook that is not there. Bryczek takes a kick to the ribs and responds with a right hand, and he pushes off as a finger jabs into Potieria’s eye. Beltran sees it immediately and calls time, and he lets Potieria wipe it out with a towel as he brings in the doctor. Potieria remarks that he is a little bleary in his eye, but that he is otherwise good to continue. After two minutes, the fighters resume their mutual combat in the center of the cage. Potieria tosses out low kicks, and one lands with a thump instead of a slap. Bryczek loops punches to the body, and Potieria scores a solid kick and a right hand. Bryczek opens up with a huge right hand, and he cracks Potieria again. Bryczek lets loose several more punches, and Potieria bounces away and absorbs one more flush right hand on the jaw. As Potieria backpedals, he parries a right hand from the Polish fighter, which rebounds square into Potieria’s cup in an unlucky turn of events. Beltran recognizes the unintentional foul and allows Potieria to recover once more, and Potieria takes all the time he needs. This results in another lengthy stoppage of three minutes long, and Beltran loudly and sternly admonishes Bryczek that he will lose a point if he fouls again. When they resume, Bryczek is ready and rearing to throw hands, and he lands several hard ones to force Potieria to shoot for an ill-advised takedown. Bryczek stops it, but he gets pressed into the fence from behind, with Potieria kneeing him in the back of the thigh frustratingly. Bryczek spins around with seconds to go, and they bang it out right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bryczek

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle and jab at one another from range, with neither landing much early. Potieria misses with an overhand right, but he plants a kick on the inside of the Polish fighter’s calf. Potieria shoots for a takedown, and he abandons it right when Bryczek sprawls so that he can aim an uppercut on the dome. Bryczek sees it at the last second and dodges it, and he ducks a subsequent spinning back fist. Potieria drops his hands and lands a few punches from a safe distance, and he punctuates a combination with a low kick. The two clash together and bang heads, but it does not result in anything more problematic. Bryczek digs a left to the body, and Potieria shrugs at him and then shoots for a single. Potieria again follows that failed takedown with an uppercut, and this one brushes the side of the UFC newcomer’s head. Bryczek looks for a right hand over the top, and he kicks the body as Potieria again shrugs at him mockingly. Potieria sprints in for a single, and Bryczek hops away and walks Potieria down. Potieria intercepts him with a spinning back kick to the midsection, and Bryczek takes it cleanly and keeps his guard up to block and overhand left. Potieria taps his chest and drops down to the floor with a Mortal Kombat-esque leg sweep. Bryczek look at him confusedly. Potieria is in his groove, having fun and dodging and weaving anything coming from Bryczek. Potieria clips his man a few times with short shots, and he catches Bryczek on the chin with an uppercut. Bryczek headhunts and struggles to reach his opponent, and they trade one big punch right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Potieria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Potieria

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to check in the last round, and Potieria stays firmly in his groove with jabs and funky hand movements. Bryczek reaches his foe with a straight left hand, but it is one-and-done. Bryczek loads up on a right hand, only to get countered with a left hook that shakes him up. Bryczek charges into action with a huge left hook, and Potieria’s head snaps back like a Pez dispenser. Potieria replies with a three-punch salvo that knocks Bryczek off his feet, and Bryczek barely keeps with it courtesy of a desperation takedown. Bryczek gets back to his feet, and Potieria chases after him and swings for the bleachers. Bryczek does the same, and he manages to catch Potieria coming in but is taking shots as well. Both men use a ton of energy, and Potieria presses the Polish fighter into the wall and strings four elbows together. Bryczek slips and rips Potieria with big punches, and he splits Potieria’s eyebrow open in the process. Potieria rips an elbow that misses slightly, but he blasts Bryczek with an elbow and several punches from up close. Bryczek turns his man around in the tie-up, and he sneaks an elbow up top before breaking away. Potieria reaches his foe with a few punches, and Bryczek tags him back with his own short flurry. The two clash together, and Potieria clinches up to wear on the exhausted Bryczek. Bryczek gets space with 10 seconds to go, and the two throw down and knee one another right as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Potieria (29-28 Potieria)

The Official Result
Ihor Potieria def. Robert Bryczek via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Angelo notes that Ihor Potieria has good striking power and accuracy but poor cardio and is hittable. Robert Bryczek is a trained boxer with good footwork, feints, and power, and solid takedown defense. Angelo believes Bryczek just needs to survive Potieria's early danger and then take over as Potieria fades. He calls this one of his most confident picks and suggests a potential under 2.5 rounds bet.

under 2.5 rounds, my mortgage will go on that
"Robert is the pick very very confident pick one of my most confident picks on the card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Big Brady picks Robert Bryczek to win by first-round KO. He notes that Bryczek has unreal power and has been knocking out opponents cold in his recent fights, while Potieria has poor striking defense (41%) and limited cardio. He expects a one-round banger where both fighters swing, but Bryczek's power and the fact that Potieria is cutting to middleweight on short notice give him the edge.

first round KO
"I'm going to take breek to come in there and take off Pia's head but gosh somebody's getting served in this one in the first round so give me bre check first round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody is hesitant but picks Potieria as a dog. He questions Bryczek's level of competition, noting he's 33, making his UFC debut, and has fought lower-level opponents. Potieria has faced better competition at 205 and showed competitiveness against Rodolfo Vieira. Cody thinks Bryczek's physique and quick finishes may not translate against a UFC-level opponent, and Potieria's power at 185 could be a factor.

"I'd be taking a shot on the dog ehore here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Bryczek has speed, power, and athleticism. He should be able to land an early knockout against Potieria, who is making his middleweight debut on short notice. Potieria has poor durability and slows down in deep waters. The under 1.5 rounds is a strong play. Bryczek by first-round knockout.

under 1.5 rounds at -240
"give me bur under one and a half I don't mind that chalk at all I think it hits with relative easier but give me birek to win his fight first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul is also hesitant but picks Potieria. He notes that Bryczek's record is padded with low-level competition and that he has never fought at this level. Potieria, despite his losses, has fought good fighters and has power. Paul thinks Bryczek's size and possible PED concerns are red flags, and that Potieria at his natural weight class could surprise.

"I'm actually in the same boat uh taking the shot on ehore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

The MMA Guru picks Robert Bryczek because Potieria is taking the fight on short notice after a recent TKO loss, and has been finished multiple times. He notes Bryczek is a dangerous knockout artist in his prime, with a full camp. He expects Bryczek to get a first-round finish.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with him getting a finish over Pia in the first round."
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Angelo notes that Ihor Potieria has good striking power and accuracy but poor cardio and is hittable. Robert Bryczek is a trained boxer with good footwork, feints, and power, and solid takedown defense. Angelo believes Bryczek just needs to survive Potieria's early danger and then take over as Potieria fades. He calls this one of his most confident picks and suggests a potential under 2.5 rounds bet.

under 2.5 rounds, my mortgage will go on that
"Robert is the pick very very confident pick one of my most confident picks on the card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Big Brady picks Robert Bryczek to win by first-round KO. He notes that Bryczek has unreal power and has been knocking out opponents cold in his recent fights, while Potieria has poor striking defense (41%) and limited cardio. He expects a one-round banger where both fighters swing, but Bryczek's power and the fact that Potieria is cutting to middleweight on short notice give him the edge.

first round KO
"I'm going to take breek to come in there and take off Pia's head but gosh somebody's getting served in this one in the first round so give me bre check first round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody is hesitant but picks Potieria as a dog. He questions Bryczek's level of competition, noting he's 33, making his UFC debut, and has fought lower-level opponents. Potieria has faced better competition at 205 and showed competitiveness against Rodolfo Vieira. Cody thinks Bryczek's physique and quick finishes may not translate against a UFC-level opponent, and Potieria's power at 185 could be a factor.

"I'd be taking a shot on the dog ehore here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

Bryczek has speed, power, and athleticism. He should be able to land an early knockout against Potieria, who is making his middleweight debut on short notice. Potieria has poor durability and slows down in deep waters. The under 1.5 rounds is a strong play. Bryczek by first-round knockout.

under 1.5 rounds at -240
"give me bur under one and a half I don't mind that chalk at all I think it hits with relative easier but give me birek to win his fight first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul is also hesitant but picks Potieria. He notes that Bryczek's record is padded with low-level competition and that he has never fought at this level. Potieria, despite his losses, has fought good fighters and has power. Paul thinks Bryczek's size and possible PED concerns are red flags, and that Potieria at his natural weight class could surprise.

"I'm actually in the same boat uh taking the shot on ehore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Bryczek

The MMA Guru picks Robert Bryczek because Potieria is taking the fight on short notice after a recent TKO loss, and has been finished multiple times. He notes Bryczek is a dangerous knockout artist in his prime, with a full camp. He expects Bryczek to get a first-round finish.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with him getting a finish over Pia in the first round."