UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026 · Bantamweight · Scheduled
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Age 28
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Farid Basharat
4.25 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
2.89 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
3.34 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ethyn Ewing
7.44 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
4.53 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
1.68 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Farid Basharat - Fight History
SCHED vs Ethyn Ewing
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jean Matsumoto 0 76 of 220 34% 111 of 263 7 of 11 63% 0 0 4:40
Farid Basharat 0 80 of 152 52% 95 of 172 2 of 7 28% 0 1 2:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jean Matsumoto 0 19 of 52 36% 29 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:19
Farid Basharat 0 20 of 36 55% 24 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:10
2 Jean Matsumoto 0 20 of 66 30% 30 of 77 4 of 6 66% 0 0 1:59
Farid Basharat 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:33
3 Jean Matsumoto 0 37 of 102 36% 52 of 118 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:22
Farid Basharat 0 29 of 64 45% 38 of 75 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jean Matsumoto 76 of 220 34% 40 of 162 20 of 29 16 of 29 62 of 197 14 of 23 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 80 of 152 52% 63 of 132 14 of 16 3 of 4 66 of 136 14 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jean Matsumoto 19 of 52 36% 11 of 40 0 of 1 8 of 11 16 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 20 of 36 55% 13 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 3 15 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Jean Matsumoto 20 of 66 30% 8 of 44 8 of 11 4 of 11 14 of 56 6 of 10 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 31 of 52 59% 25 of 46 5 of 5 1 of 1 26 of 46 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jean Matsumoto 37 of 102 36% 21 of 78 12 of 17 4 of 7 32 of 93 5 of 9 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 29 of 64 45% 25 of 58 4 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 59 4 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-280); Matsumoto (+230)

Round 1
It takes a lot to get ranked in the jam-packed bantamweight division, and the winner between Matsumoto (17-1, 3-1 UFC) and Basharat (14-0, 5-0 UFC) may still be another victory away from getting a number next to their name come Monday. They both still have time, clocking in at 26 and 28 years of age, respectively. Former professional fighter and current ref Herb Dean will have the age disadvantage in this affair, but he can still keep up just fine. The fighters touch gloves.
The commentary booth notes that when both Basharat brothers fight on the same card together, they always win. We will see if that trend continues. Matsumoto does not want that to happen, and he gets right in front of Basharat and slugs it out with him. When Basharat responds, Matsumoto fires off a jump knee that skims his intended target. Matsumoto slowly advances, and he takes a spinning back fist on the side of the dome. Matsumoto gathers himself and chucks a low kick, and he absorbs a step-in elbow that slashes open his cheek. Basharat continues pressuring his opponent to the wall, grabbing the fence to hold him there with both hands, and Dean finally sees it and tells him to stop. Matsumoto turns him about when Basharat is not illegally grabbing the cage wall, and they split apart. Matsumoto works his way forward, taking a jab and a low kick that forces a stance switch. He swarms Basharat with his fists, and Basharat slides to the side and bounces off the wall. They toss out left hooks, and Basharat connects with another elbow. He follows the strike with a bullying takedown attempt, pushing Matsumoto back but hitting the wire and springing around.
Basharat spins with a back elbow that partially connects, and he flashes out a jab that knocks Matsumoto’s head back each time. Matsumoto turns the tables and shoots in for a double, and he transitions to a single as Basharat hops around. Matsumoto elevates and dumps him, and Basharat gets right to his knees no worse for wear. Matsumoto grinds and works short punches on the inside until Basharat explodes back upright again in the clinch. Basharat drops down for a single, and an up-elbow from Matsumoto makes Basharat rethink his choice to hang in tight. Matsumoto walks Basharat down, swinging hard but largely whiffing, while Basharat cleanly counters him. Matsumoto whiffs on a spinning back kick and a takedown effort, and Basharat clips him with a right on the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
Matsumoto charges out of his corner but into the waiting arms of Basharat, who grabs him and turns him around in the clinch. The two jockey for position until Matsumoto splits off, and Basharat thanks him for this with a spin kick that grazes the side. Basharat clips Matsumoto with a short burst of punches, backing up the Brazilian but not taking full advantage of the damage. Matsumoto comes back after him, and Basharat intercepts him, drives a knee into his chest and chucks him carefree to the floor. Matsumoto scampers back up and is met with knees from Basharat, who further bloodies Matsumoto up with his strikes. Matsumoto knees him back, but the impact is substantially different. Basharat voluntarily drops to a knee so that he is a grounded fighter and will not be kneed in the face, so Matsumoto lifts him off the floor and slams him back down. Basharat stands, and Matsumoto takes his back while upright. Basharat grabs the fence again to nearly stop a takedown, but Dean’s admonishment forces him to release it.
Basharat gets pulled to the floor after clinging to the cage, and Matsumoto mat returns him and briefly takes control of his back. Basharat quickly, calmly reverses the position to wind up on top, where he slices through the guard but cannot keep Matsumoto down. Basharat dings him with a knee on the way out, and he throws out another as Matsumoto comes at him. Matsumoto lines up a one-two down the pipe, and he takes a punch while shooting. Basharat considers jumping guard for a guillotine, but he lets it go so he can return to a knee. Matsumoto works Basharat on the side of the head, taking his back again and even briefly hopping on it. He lets go and knees Basharat in the face and clubs him with a left, and is met with quick punches coming back at him. Matsumoto wildly flails to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 3
Matsumoto swarms his man as soon as the round kicks off, backing Basharat to the fence with big swings and catching him with some. Matsumoto’s sheer pressure result in a brief clinch, and Basharat separates and shoots for a double. Matsumoto stonewalls him and knees him in the stomach before giving him and elbow to think about, and his head kick is barely blocked in the nick of time. Matsumoto lands at the end of a left, and he knocks Basharat’s head around with a subsequent stream of punches. Basharat times a perfect takedown to sweep Matsumoto off his feet and deposit him gingerly to the floor. Matsumoto scoots his way to the fence and wall-walks to stand after a few seconds, and Basharat grabs the cage again as the rules mean nothing when all you have is Herb Dean yelling at you. Matsumoto ducks and dips when Basharat engages, as both men trade hands in flurries. Matsumoto goes for a double, and Basharat takes a knee to defend it.
The Brit stands once more, putting his back to the wall, and he spins out quickly to escape the tie-up. Basharat dings the increasingly bloody Matsumoto with a one-two, and he beats Matsumoto to the punch with faster strikes. Matsumoto is starting to swing with more labored, arcing strikes, but he manages to tag Basharat with one and stun him. Basharat settles down to use straight punches to keep Matsumoto at bay, and he shoots for a double and puts Matsumoto down. Matsumoto rolls through to partially reverse the position, and both men stand back up and start duking it out. Matsumoto keeps his foot on the gas, backing up Basharat with heavy punches as Basharat tries to parry and keep his head on a swivel. Matsumoto chains a takedown into his attack, dragging Basharat to the mat and considering a back take. Basharat stands up before that can happen, which leads Matsumoto to throwing caution to the wind. Basharat absorbs serious punishment and goes for a desperate takedown, dragging the Brazilian to the floor in the waning seconds of the fight. Basharat drops down an elbow and illegally knees Matsumoto in the head with Matsumoto’s knee down on the floor. Matsumoto stands back up and throws leather, ignoring the many fouls inflicted upon him this match, and the close tilt comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Matsumoto)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Matsumoto (29-28 Basharat)

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Jean Matsumoto via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat, noting he is the better of the Basharat brothers and a well-rounded wrestler with solid striking. He thinks Farid will work on the outside, touch and go, and get takedowns. He warns that Vegas doesn't care about wrestling, so if Farid doesn't do anything with takedowns, it may not matter. He acknowledges Jean Matsumoto's potential but thinks his lack of defense is a problem.

"I think Fared wins this fight. I think Fared's just going to work on the outside, touch and go a little bit, get the takedowns, and I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady picks Farid Basharat, calling him the better prospect. He notes that Matsumoto has poor takedown defense (53%) and has been taken down multiple times in past fights. Basharat is a good wrestler and grappler, and Brady expects him to take the fight to the ground and win a decision.

by decision
"I'm going Bosch here. I'm going to take Bosch to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody also picks Basharat, emphasizing his wrestling advantage and Matsumoto's tendency to be taken down. He notes both fighters are decision-oriented, making the over a strong play. Cody expects Basharat to control the fight with takedowns and win a clear decision.

over 2.5 rounds, Farid Basharat by decision
"I'll be taking Basher up by decision at plus money before that is gone."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Connor agrees with Zane, praising Basharat's ability to solve problems and his technical wrestling. He notes that Matsumoto is a tough, indefatigable bully, but Basharat has the tools to handle him. He thinks Basharat's wrestling and fight IQ will be the difference, though Matsumoto's durability could make it a tough fight.

Same odds discussion.
"I have to pick Bashirat."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Lucrative James picks Farid Basharat to win by decision. He expects Basharat to employ a grappling-heavy game plan, using his elite cardio and takedown volume to control the fight. James notes that Matsumoto has been taken down multiple times in past fights and that Basharat's wrestling will be the key to victory.

"I think Fared extends his winning streak to 15. I think he goes 15 and0 with a decision win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The host picks Basharat, believing his overall game and grappling will be the difference. He notes Basharat's reach and height advantage, and his ability to mix in takedowns after striking. He expects Basharat to snipe Matsumoto from distance, then use control time and top damage to win on the scorecards. He acknowledges Matsumoto's striking could make it competitive but thinks Basharat's grappling edge is decisive.

"Official prediction here will be Basharat, just a better overall game. His grappling will be the difference maker, and I think that leads to Basharat winning this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul picks Farid Basharat, citing his high ring IQ and ability to stick to game plans. He notes Matsumoto's poor takedown defense and defensive striking. Paul expects Basharat to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, recommending a prop on Basharat by decision.

Farid Basharat by decision
"Bosat sticks to the game plan like doesn't deter from it which is why he's 14-0."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Farid Basharat

The host picks Farid Basharat over Jean Matsumoto. He notes Matsumoto's recent performances have been lackluster, while Basharat has size and physicality. He thinks Basharat's mix of striking and grappling will be too much, and he can bully Matsumoto against the cage and in scrambles.

"I'm going to go Farid Basharat. I like his mixing up of the striking and the grappling."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Zane picks Basharat because of his impressive game planning and technical wrestling. He notes that Basharat has shown he can adapt to any opponent, using pressure boxing against Gutierrez, counter wrestling against Hugo, and wrestling against Lapelis. He thinks Basharat's technical wrestling will be too much for Matsumoto, who relies on scrambling and physicality.

Basharat opened at -400, currently -265; Matsumoto opened at +330, currently +225.
"I got to pick him."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Gutierrez 0 31 of 86 36% 61 of 119 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:42
Farid Basharat 0 41 of 110 37% 56 of 126 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Gutierrez 0 3 of 7 42% 27 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Farid Basharat 0 9 of 24 37% 23 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:39
2 Chris Gutierrez 0 9 of 33 27% 11 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Farid Basharat 0 20 of 48 41% 21 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Chris Gutierrez 0 19 of 46 41% 23 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:42
Farid Basharat 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Gutierrez 31 of 86 36% 18 of 63 0 of 3 13 of 20 30 of 85 0 of 0 1 of 1
Farid Basharat 41 of 110 37% 19 of 75 5 of 11 17 of 24 39 of 104 0 of 0 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Gutierrez 3 of 7 42% 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 9 of 24 37% 2 of 9 0 of 3 7 of 12 7 of 20 0 of 0 2 of 4
2 Chris Gutierrez 9 of 33 27% 2 of 20 0 of 2 7 of 11 9 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farid Basharat 20 of 48 41% 11 of 36 3 of 4 6 of 8 20 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Gutierrez 19 of 46 41% 15 of 41 0 of 0 4 of 5 18 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Farid Basharat 12 of 38 31% 6 of 30 2 of 4 4 of 4 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Chris Gutierrez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-440), Gutierrez (+340)

Round 1
Two bantamweights on the way up will meet in a bout shifted down to the early prelims for some reason, even though the victor may have a number next to their name on Monday. Gutierrez (22-6-2, 10-3-1 UFC) will likely be fighting behind his many kicks, while “Ferocious” Basharat (13-0, 4-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat in the cage. Referee Herb Dean will take care of business, and the fighters gladly bump fists before engaging.
What results early on is a whole lot of shadowboxing, feinting and faking to find their respective range. The first strike committed to is a spinning back kick from Basharat about 90 seconds in, and Gutierrez pays it no mind and keeps raising his leg up to serve as a shield. Basharat kicks his way into a takedown shot, and his double-leg entry succeeds in bringing Gutierrez to the floor.
Basharat gets busier than the few athletes from earlier tonight that have taken the fight down, but it does not take long for Gutierrez to shut him down from much more. Basharat postures up and drives down a right hand, and it is one-and-done as he gets swallowed up in the guard. Gutierrez maintains a high guard, it seemingly active enough to stave off much offense. Basharat scores another ground strike or two, but he is much more interested getting to half guard. The upkicks from Gutierrez allow him to push Basharat off of him, only for the man born in Afghanistan to climb back on top and ride out the slow round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
Basharat runs out of his corner but stops right in the center of the cage, not willing to go much further ahead. This allows Gutierrez to lobby kicks at him, although Basharat’s punches that he sits down on are much more effective. Gutierrez fakes spins to draw Basharat off-guard, and he punches through the raised hands to scores a straight left. Gutierrez chips at the lead leg from his preferred range of distance kickboxing, and Basharat meets him with one or two back before swinging with a big left and a high kick on the other side to get the American’s attention. Gutierrez blocks a wide overhand right and kicks the lead wheel again, with Basharat offering back a hefty body kick.
Basharat splits the guard with a huge one-two that staggers Gutierrez, and he backs off to celebrate his success. Basharat hurls looping strikes, and a front kick surprises the kickfighter. Gutierrez replies with a spin kick to the ribs, and Basharat gathers his thoughts and sits down on a power right hand. Basharat ties them up against the fencing, and Gutierrez separates without much issue. Gutierrez fakes to spin a few times, and Basharat leaps at him with a jump knee that does not find the mark. A Rolling Thunder kick from Basharat punctuates the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 3
The bantamweights meet in the middle, and Basharat strikes first with a calf kick. Gutierrez hammers him back with a low kick and a combo of punches, and he gets Basharat’s attention. The pressure from the American has surprised Basharat, who is on his heels and on the verge of being taken down. Gutierrez wrenches his man down to the floor, and holds him down from behind without tossing much. Basharat powers back to his feet and throws everything he has into a monster left and right, and Gutierrez dances out of the way without absorbing anything. Basharat pitches a left hand around the guard, and he just misses a spin kick. Basharat’s one-two skims off his intended target, and his spin without a kick just makes him twirl around aimlessly. Gutierrez scoops in a heavy left hook, but it is a single strike and what follows are feints.
Basharat drops to his knees and commits to a picture-perfect explosive double, scooping Gutierrez up and slamming him down to his back. Gutierrez gives his back up standing, and he shimmies Basharat off of him to put the Brit on his back now. Basharat scrambles to his knees and dives for a single-leg takedown, and Gutierrez lets him up and pushes off to fake spin weakly with a back fist. Basharat tries to keep him at bay with a push kick, and he takes a left hand and fires off a body kick that glances the cup. Gutierrez adjusts his athletic supporter and just manages to block a spinning wheel kick, and he crashes the pocket for two punches. Gutierrez reaches his foe with a spinning back fist, and his front kick after it appears much more effective. They both swing for big hooks and crash into one another, and a Gutierrez spin goes wide. Gutierrez knocks Basharat off his feet with a shovel right hand as seconds remain on the clock, and time expires before he can do anything with his opponent on his back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gutierrez (29-28 Basharat)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gutierrez (29-28 Basharat)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gutierrez (29-28 Basharat)

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Chris Gutierrez via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo sees Farid Basharat as the better fighter everywhere, with underrated striking and very good wrestling. He notes Chris Gutierrez has wrestling holes, having been taken down seven times in his last four fights. He thinks Farid's takedown defense and movement will be key, and that Gutierrez's leg kicks might not be enough to slow him down. He considers the 4-to-1 odds appropriate.

"Fared is an underrated striker, a very good wrestler. I think he can beat Chris Gutierrez everywhere. I think he likely wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady is very confident in Farid Basharat, calling him a massive favorite at -450. He criticizes Chris Gutierrez as a boring fighter who relies on leg kicks and has poor takedown defense and get-up game. He notes that Gutierrez has been taken down by lesser wrestlers, and Basharat has a massive advantage in wrestling and grappling. He predicts Basharat wins by decision.

"Give me Farid Bosat. I think he wins this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farid Basharat

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Basharat because Gutierrez has shown he cannot handle persistent pressure, as in the Pedro Munhoz fight. He notes that Basharat's real skill is taking openings given to him, using strikes to set up takedowns, and that Gutierrez's frustration will mount. However, he cautions that Basharat has never applied the relentless pressure of Munhoz and may need to adjust to Gutierrez's frustrating style.

Basharat opened at -600, currently -450; Gutierrez opened at +450, currently +350. Connor comments: 'Basra, way too big a favorite here. This is a much more difficult test than most he's faced to this point.'
"I think Basra is going to go out there and pressure and wrestle him... I think Basra is that's exactly what he wants to do."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Farid Basharat

Basharat's grinding game is expected to be effective against Gutierrez, who is a fish off his back. The host expects Basharat to be competitive in striking and mix in wrestling for a decision victory.

"I believe this is a perfect stylistic matchup for Basharat to go out there and get to his grinding game as most opponents have struggled to deal with it. Specifically, Gutierrez, who is a fish off his back."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his offensive grappling and mixing of strikes. He notes Chris Gutierrez's vulnerability to takedowns and lack of finishing ability. He predicts a 29-28 decision.

"I'm going to go with Farid Basharat getting this one done by 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farid Basharat

Zane picks Basharat because he believes Basharat's pressure and wrestling will break Gutierrez, who has a history of emotional breakdowns when fights get difficult, as seen against Pedro Munhoz. He notes that Basharat's game allows for connective pressure, and even if Gutierrez frustrates him early, Basharat's versatility will eventually overwhelm Gutierrez's neutralization game.

Basharat opened at -600, currently -450; Gutierrez opened at +450, currently +350. Zane comments: 'Basra, way too big a favorite here. This is a much more difficult test than most he's faced to this point.'
"I think Basra is going to go out there and pressure and wrestle him... I think Basra is that's exactly what he wants to do."
WIN vs Victor Hugo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 60 of 126 47% 89 of 168 4 of 7 57% 0 0 4:37
Victor Hugo 0 45 of 125 36% 48 of 128 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 22 of 38 57% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
Victor Hugo 0 10 of 38 26% 11 of 39 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:04
2 Farid Basharat 0 30 of 71 42% 30 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Victor Hugo 0 25 of 66 37% 25 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:14
3 Farid Basharat 0 8 of 17 47% 32 of 47 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:53
Victor Hugo 0 10 of 21 47% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 60 of 126 47% 39 of 98 8 of 13 13 of 15 54 of 116 2 of 3 4 of 7
Victor Hugo 45 of 125 36% 23 of 82 14 of 28 8 of 15 43 of 122 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 22 of 38 57% 11 of 24 2 of 4 9 of 10 20 of 33 0 of 0 2 of 5
Victor Hugo 10 of 38 26% 4 of 24 3 of 8 3 of 6 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Farid Basharat 30 of 71 42% 22 of 59 5 of 8 3 of 4 29 of 69 1 of 2 0 of 0
Victor Hugo 25 of 66 37% 11 of 40 9 of 17 5 of 9 25 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Farid Basharat 8 of 17 47% 6 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2
Victor Hugo 10 of 21 47% 8 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Victor Hugo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-625), Hugo (+455)

Round 1
Once preparing for a bantamweight contest, Basharat (12-0, 3-0 UFC) learned on Friday morning that his opponent Hugo (25-4, 1-0 UFC) was about to come in 10 pounds over the 136-pound limit. Rather than the match falling apart, the Brit born in Afghanistan decided to allow Hugo to weigh in at that newly agreed range of featherweight. Basharat will officially clock in eight pounds lighter than his opponent as a result, and the bout may not have remained together if the event were running with commission oversight. This 145-pound tilt will be officiated by referee Kerry Hatley, and because of what would have been a nearly historic miss, there is no interest in a glove touch. The fight begins with Hugo diving after a takedown, missing so badly that Basharat stands firm and slugs him in the chops on the way up. Hugo walks his man down, and Basharat is lighter on his feet, sniping him from a safe distance. Hugo steps in with a solid right hand, and Basharat gathers himself, bounces off the fence and pays the Brazilian back with his own right hook. Hugo catches a front kick and trips his man up, and Basharat regains his balance and winds up with a right hand. Hugo keeps chasing, fighting behind a jab and a front kick, and Basharat connects with a leg kick on the outside. Basharat shoots for a single, and he bails on it when seeing it will not succeed. Leg kicks come on both sides, and Hugo whips a high kick at him that is blocked. Basharat slips and rips a right hand over the top, and walks face-first into a spinning back elbow. The man from Afghanistan wears it well and chops down the front leg a few times, and Hugo dives for a rolling heel hook and succeeds in dragging Basharat to the floor. Basharat turns to the side and gets out of danger, where he walks over to side control easily and opens up a cut on the corner of Hugo’s left eye with strikes. Hugo explodes back to his feet and leans back to dodge a spinning wheel kick, and he meanders forward to throw hands with his opponent. Basharat lines up a right hand and a left, beating the heavier man to the punch and getting off a quick kick before intercepting a spinning Hugo. Basharat wraps his hands around his foe’s waist and pushes off to reset, and he dodges a looping punch and drives a right hand over the top. Hugo leaps after another heel hook, and Basharat wags his finger at his opponent at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
The fight resumes with both men meeting in the middle measuring their strikes. Basharat pushes off a few punches, and Hugo fights behind kicks to the lead leg and body. Hugo crashes the pocket, and Basharat times a perfect jump knee that bashes his man in the face. Hugo keeps a stiff upper lip and rebounds off the fence, and he lets loose a number of unanswered calf kicks. Basharat lets fly a right hook, and he switches stances to work his way in and connect with another. Hugo spins with a back fist that makes him hit the deck, and he springs back up when Basharat does not want to deal with him on the mat. Basharat instead allows Hugo up so he can stick out a right hand, and Hugo spins with nothing and chains a kick into it. Basharat works the body a few times with long left hands, and Hugo drops his hands and lines up a low kick. Hugo clips Basharat with a left, and Basharat blinks it out and counters him cleanly a few times. Basharat’s footwork allows him to slip and rip strikes, rolling with counters if they land at all and giving him the proper distance to get in and get away. They trade jabs, and Basharat fakes a takedown to draw out a reaction. Hugo loads up on power strikes, and he raises his arms in the air after they nail one another with heavy blows. Hugo gets his foe’s attention with a sharp left hand, and he follows it with another to wobble Basharat’s legs briefly. Hugo’s momentum allows him to grip hold of the Afghan-born fighter, lifting him in the air to slam him on his seat. Basharat wall-walks to get up and free, and he lets Hugo swing at him wildly so he can counter slickly. Hugo spins with another elbow that dings his man in the chin, and Basharat wags his finger at him. The jabs from Basharat have reopened Hugo’s cut, and Hugo shrugs at him and tries to engage a brawl. Basharat stays light on his feet, pushing through to grab Hugo when Hugo spins. The horn sounds when they clash together.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 3
Hugo is loaded for bear to begin the final frame, swinging wildly with punches and kicks. Basharat uses his footwork and head movement to stay safe until Hugo catches him with a right hand and knocks him across the cage with a spinning back kick to the ribcage. Basharat rebounds off the fence and back upright, and he circles away to get some space. Hugo’s momentum gets him tied up, and Basharat knees him in the chest, but Hugo is exploding to do anything and his punches have some serious heat on them. This forces him off-balance, and Basharat sees this and times a smart takedown to put the Brazilian on his back. Hugo throws his legs up to threaten off his back as soon as he hits the ground, and Basharat wriggles out of it and assumes side control. Hugo gets hold of an unorthodox triangle from the side, and Basharat forces his way out once more and rolls Hugo to his back. Hugo attempts a brief shoulder lock, and Basharat softens him up with some ground-and-pound. Hugo works to his feet, only to succumb to a mat return. Basharat climbs on the back, and he fastens a rear-naked choke that is on the jaw. Hugo does not show any concern, instead pulling on the fence to stand back up. Hatley sees this and swats his hand away, and Basharat remains focused on wrenching the newcomer to the floor and taking his power away. Hugo rolls for a leglock, and this forces Basharat to abandon ship. Hugo charges like a bull, swinging wildly and into another takedown from the unbeaten fighter. Basharat easily puts Hugo on his knees, where he slips a hook in and takes the back. Basharat wraps a body triangle around the waist, preventing the Brazilian from turning while smacking him upside the head with an elbow. Before Basharat can assume full mount, Hugo turns to his back, and Basharat rains down another sharp elbow. Hugo pursues one final leglock, and Basharat grabs the fence to break free. They both stand up, and Hugo races at him but cannot reach him before time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Victor Hugo via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat with medium confidence. He highlights Farid's well-rounded skills, especially his wrestling, and expects him to take Victor Hugo down and control him. He notes Victor is dangerous but wild, and Farid's wrestling should neutralize that. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds is probably safe.

Over 2.5 rounds probably safe.
"fared is going to be the pick here I'm medium confident in that because Victor Hugo is a dangerous guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Bigrady picks Basharat, believing he has Hugo covered everywhere. He notes that Hugo is a grappler who can be taken down and controlled, and that Basharat is the better striker and can easily get takedowns if needed. He thinks the price is a bit high but expects Basharat to cruise to a decision win.

"I'm going BOS rat to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody picks Farid Basharat, praising his high ring IQ and relentless grappling. He notes that Basharat's chain wrestling and control will neutralize Hugo, who has poor takedown defense. Cody believes Basharat will dominate with takedowns and control time, winning by decision or submission. He considers Basharat a top play.

"I got Fred bosra and to be honest with you I think I got him probably everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Farid Basharat

Connor picks Basharat, agreeing that he is a very simple call. He notes that Basharat is a really technical wrestler and grappler with a functional striking game, and he has handled tough opponents. Hugo's game is based on opportunistic grappling, but Basharat will shut that down easily.

"So. So great. Very simple call. Yes. And Bashirat, he is the biggest favorite on the card, which he well deserves to be."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Vreeland sees Basharat as clearly better on the feet and expects him to have multiple takedowns if needed. He notes that Hugo got out-wrestled in his Contender Series fight and only won via a kneebar, which won't work against Basharat. Vreeland predicts Basharat cruises to an easy win, though with low finishing upside.

"this is as simple as the fact that bat's cleaner on the feet bosot should have half a dozen takedowns if he needs them"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Vreeland picks Farid Basharat to win, citing his superior process and minute-winning ability. He acknowledges that Victor Hugo is a tough veteran with a long unbeaten streak but believes Basharat's volume and pressure will be the difference. Vreeland notes that Hugo's leg lock attacks could pose a threat if Basharat takes him down.

"I'm going to pick bosot here"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Jeff Fox agrees with Vreeland, stating that Basharat is better at what Hugo likes to do and worse at what Hugo hates. He implies Basharat's wrestling and pace will be too much for Hugo, and expects a dominant performance.

"he's better that he Hugo what Hugo likes to do so yeah BOS rot is and what he hates to do"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Farid Basharat

Basharat is the better brother, mixing his grappling behind educated striking. He should grind out Victor Hugo and win on the scorecards. His overall game is superior.

"look for fared to go out there and grinding out Victor Hugo and getting the win on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul picks Basharat, noting that Hugo is a step down in competition and that Basharat's grappling will be too much. He mentions that Hugo has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Basharat's wrestling is elite. Paul is confident Basharat wins, possibly by submission.

"basharat was able to go against Alan boso who has pretty good Jiu-Jitsu"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his well-roundedness and UFC experience. He was unimpressed with Victor Hugo's last performance against Pedro Falcao, noting Hugo spent too much time being controlled. He believes Basharat's mixing of strikes and takedowns will outwork Hugo, who is more of a striker with takedown defense. The Guru also mentions Basharat's wins over Da'Mon Blackshear and Mario Bautista as solid.

"I think I'm going to go with Farid Basharat because I was very unimpressed with Victor Hugo's last performance."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Farid Basharat

Zane picks Basharat confidently, noting that he is really good everywhere and has handled three completely different tricky opponents effortlessly. Hugo is an opportunistic grappler who can be backed up easily, and Basharat will shut down his grappling and control the fight anywhere.

"So now you've got Hugo who can be backed up really easily and tends to only kind of take single opportunities to strike and try to drive his opponent off of him and from pressuring him. ... I cannot for …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Farid Basharat

Zane picked Basharat emphatically, using the fight to argue against the idea that missing weight is a huge advantage. He noted that Hugo missed weight by 10 pounds and looked massive, but Basharat fought way better, took good counters, and made the most of opportunities. Zane believes that if one pound is the difference between winning and losing, the fighter's game is too limited.

"farid basherat went out there and proved that absolutely correct because victor hugo looked massive he looked dangerous he went for he hit basherat really hard and basherat just fought way better than him"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 42 of 100 42% 55 of 116 5 of 16 31% 1 0 6:58
Taylor Lapilus 0 40 of 93 43% 41 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 14 of 35 40% 20 of 41 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:37
Taylor Lapilus 0 14 of 29 48% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Farid Basharat 0 15 of 33 45% 18 of 37 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:28
Taylor Lapilus 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Farid Basharat 0 13 of 32 40% 17 of 38 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:53
Taylor Lapilus 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 42 of 100 42% 14 of 53 7 of 19 21 of 28 39 of 92 2 of 5 1 of 3
Taylor Lapilus 40 of 93 43% 24 of 67 11 of 16 5 of 10 34 of 86 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 14 of 35 40% 2 of 16 1 of 7 11 of 12 14 of 33 0 of 2 0 of 0
Taylor Lapilus 14 of 29 48% 7 of 19 6 of 6 1 of 4 8 of 22 2 of 3 4 of 4
2 Farid Basharat 15 of 33 45% 6 of 17 4 of 9 5 of 7 12 of 27 2 of 3 1 of 3
Taylor Lapilus 19 of 39 48% 11 of 28 5 of 7 3 of 4 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Farid Basharat 13 of 32 40% 6 of 20 2 of 3 5 of 9 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Taylor Lapilus 7 of 25 28% 6 of 20 0 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Taylor Lapilus
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-278), Lapilus (+225)

Round 1
Treating fans next is a historic bantamweight clash pitting Afghanistan against France, as Basharat (11-0, 2-0 UFC)—who currently resides and trains in England—collides with MMA Factory’s Lapilus (19-3, 4-1 UFC). The former still has his zero intact, while the latter has earned six victories in a row, the most important of which was his last triumph that came over the highly touted Caolan Loughran. The third man in the cage will be referee Chris Tognoni, and he starts the clock as the fighters do not touch gloves. Basharat starts the fight off with two kicks up top, and Lapilus leans back to evade them. Basharat changes it up with a pair of calf kicks, and he gets in an axe kick to surprise his opponent. Lapilus aims several punches at his foe, but Basharat is able to avoid and continue scoring kicks. Basharat suddenly shoots in for a single, and he succeeds in setting the Frenchman on his seat for a second before Lapilus bounces right back up. Lapilus gets away with a fence grab as he keeps scrambling, and Basharat cannot keep his foe down for long. Lapilus defends a takedown effort by wrapping up a choke, and Basharat drops to his back in order to escape it. Lapilus gets back to striking range when both fighters get back up, and he absorbs or blocks a number of kicks from the distant man from Afghanistan. Both men land single punches, but it is Basharat who is following with kicks. When “Double Impact” attempts his own kick, Basharat snatches up his leg and dumps him to the ground. Lapilus pops back up, sneaks in a knee and pushes off. Basharat prods and pokes with low kicks, until Lapilus grabs hold of him to blast him in the chest with a knee. Basharat retreats and dodges a left hand, and he keeps his guard up to defend from a high kick. Basharat kicks the side twice and shoots for a double, and Lapilus falls to his knees and grabs the cage wall for a moment. Lapilus elbows his foe in the spine a few times to draw a pair of warnings, and Basharat pulls his legs out from beneath him to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
Lapilus turns up his volume slightly to start off the second round, and Basharat retaliates with his own kicks high and low. Lapilus slaps his foot off the side of his opponent’s head, and Basharat grabs his hand to try to keep him stuck on one position. When Basharat does this, Lapilus wraps his other foot around the top and smacks Basharat in the face. Basharat backs off and suddenly attacks with a takedown effort, but the Frenchman shuts it down much easier than before. Basharat goes to the body with a kick, and Lapilus responds with a punch and a high kick that glances off the shoulder. Lapilus is just out of his range with his fists, and he ducks away from a spinning back fist. Basharat drops down for a single, and on his second attempt, he succeeds in grounding his foe. Lapilus gets to a knee, and Basharat circles around to take his back. As this happens, Lapilus scrambles to get out of the bad position and right back to his feet. Lapilus prods out several jabs, as Basharat kicks him in the sternum. Lapilus lets his hands go as he walks Basharat down, and Basharat absorbs or blocks some of them before sprinting and tackling Lapilus to his seat. Basharat lowers himself down to trap Lapilus, sitting in half guard and shutting down any escape attempts from “Double Impact.” Lapilus tugs his toes on the fencing several times to try to improve position, and Basharat elbows him twice before the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 3
The final round kicks off with both bantamweights meeting one another in the center of the cage. Basharat strikes first with a head kick attempt, and Lapilus responds with a kick that glances off the pectoral. Lapilus kicks low and punches high, and Basharat backs him off with a right hand. The two hand-fight, leading to Basharat trying to locate another head kick. Lapilus evades it and sticks out a big left hand, forcing Basharat to reset. Lapilus lands another solid left hand, and Basharat is there in his face with an overhand right. The two clash their shins together with kicks until Basharat shoots for a single. Lapilus defends and backs himself to the wall, but the London Shootfighters product is able to elevate him and dump him to his backside. Lapilus leans his back on the wall as he tries to sit up, and Basharat drags his legs down and pulls him away from the wire to stop him from wall-walking. Lapilus scoots himself towards the barrier and works his way up, and he thanks Basharat for his takedown by punching him in the face a few times. Lapilus sits down on a heavy left hand, and Basharat shakes it off. “Ferocious Farid” lashes out with a punch, a kick and a takedown try. The single allows Basharat to drag his foe to the floor, and he climbs into side control and maintains heavy chest pressure. Basharat considers moving into mount, but Lapilus defends his effort even as he is pinned to his back. Basharat grinds his elbow on the face and lands a few punches, and he looks to lock down one of Lapilus’ arms before shifting the other direction to north-south position. The space Basharat leaves allows Lapilus to turn to get out, but Basharat locks down a brabo choke that is suddenly quite tight. Lapilus manages to break the grip and explode back to his feet, and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Taylor Lapilus via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat confidently, citing his superior wrestling and solid striking. He notes that Taylor Lapilus is a good kickboxer with decent takedown defense but was taken down twice by C.J. LaRue, and Farid is a much better wrestler. He believes Farid will win on the feet and in grappling exchanges with forward pressure. He likes the over 2.5 rounds and has it in a parlay.

Over 2.5 rounds in a parlay
"fared is going to win just on the feet he's going to win the grappling exchanges he's going to win with forward pressure."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Big Brady thinks the line is too wide and that Taylor Lapilus is underrated. He believes Lapilus has good takedown defense and fast hands, and if he keeps the fight standing, he can out-strike Basharat. He sees a close fight possibly going to a split decision, and picks Lapilus as a live underdog.

split decision
"I'm going to pick lapas here as as a really big dog I'm going to take him to win by decision like a split decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Cody picks Lapilus as a sizable underdog, citing his striking advantage, speed, footwork, and solid takedown defense. He believes Lapilus can stuff takedowns and outpoint Basharat on the feet. He notes that Basharat's wrestling may be overrated and that Lapilus has the experience to win a decision.

"I'm just going to plug my nose and take lapas"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Vreeland leans with Farid Basharat, praising his pace, stance switching, and relentless takedown attempts. He acknowledges Lapilus's technical striking and improved takedown defense, but thinks Basharat's pressure and ground game will be the difference. Vreeland notes that if Lapilus can keep it standing, he might have success, but Basharat's relentless style could make him hesitant.

"I'm gonna lean a little bit towards fared here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 1, 2025 (fight day)

James does not discuss this fight in the transcript. He discusses a fight between Fared Basherat and Chris Gutierrez, which is not on the card.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Farid Basharat is a talented 26-year-old with crisp striking and a strong grappling game, training at Extreme Couture under Jake Shields. He mixes takedowns well and has a smothering top game. Taylor Lapilus is an experienced striker with decent power but has shown vulnerability to grappling, as seen in the Colin Anglin fight. Basharat's wrestling and control should be the difference, allowing him to grind out a decision. The line at -245 is a bit wide, but Basharat's grappling advantage should secure the win.

Farid by decision, hoping for plus money on decision prop
"what I'd be looking to Target is possibly fared by decision as I think they will get at least a decent plus money spot there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Paul picks Lapilus, echoing Cody's sentiments. He notes that Lapilus has a massive advantage on the feet and that Basharat's grappling may not be as effective against a good takedown defender. He believes Lapilus will be making his card at +235.

"at plus 235 he will 100% be making my card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat after considering Taylor Lapilus as an underdog. He rewatched Lapilus's fight with Kyler Phillips and was unimpressed, noting Lapilus lacked versatility and didn't make reads. He believes Basharat is on a different level and will win, though he acknowledges Lapilus could stuff takedowns.

"I'm going to go fared basharat I think he's a lot better I just don't think Taylor lapus has what it takes"
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 36 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:15
Kleydson Rodrigues 0 7 of 8 87% 25 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4
Kleydson Rodrigues 7 of 8 87% 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-325), Rodrigues (+260)

Round 1
The action continues in the bantamweight division, when undefeated London Shootfighters product Basharat (10-0, 1-0 UFC) tries to keep his pro record unblemished against former flyweight Rodrigues (8-2, 1-1 UFC). A rarity for this fight card, neither competitor is fighting for French honor and glory in this matchup. With referee Loic Pora keeping a watchful eye on the action, the two men touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. Basharat moves right to the center of the cage and pushes Rodrigues back, and he ignores a low kick and absorbs one to the body in rapid succession. “K.R.” wraps his foot around the head of his opponent, and Basharat responds with a speedy takedown effort. Rodrigues stifles it and attempts to take the back standing, only to jump around and try to set up an unorthodox submission maneuver. Basharat stays composed and dumps Rodrigues to his back, and he does not waste much time before passing to half guard. Rodrigues responds with a few elbows to the thigh, and Basharat pays them no mind as he steps over to full mount with little effort. Basharat stays tightly pressed to his opponent instead of setting up some offense, and he takes some of the wind out of the explosive Brazilian’s sails with this pressure. Basharat gets off some short ground-and-pound, until Rodrigues bursts out of the bad position, reverses the position and is about to put Basharat on his back. Before he can, Basharat jumps back to his feet, and the two end up in the clinch. Rodrigues sneaks in several effective strikes on the inside, but he cannot stop Basharat from tripping up one leg and placing “K.R.” on his back. Basharat again methodically looks to pass the guard, and he frustrates Rodrigues with effective blows from above. Rodrigues fights back, only to take several elbows right on the jaw.
Basharat uses shoulder pressure and smoothly sets up a kata gatame, and he steps over to the side while Rodrigues is attempting to break the grip. Basharat presses his full body weight down as he completely secures the arm-triangle choke, and there is nothing more that Rodrigues can do at this point. After a few seconds of this dire position, Rodrigues surrenders
, and Basharat keeps his unbeaten record intact with a slick performance over a dangerous opponent.

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Kleydson Rodrigues R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat but with low confidence, noting the betting lines should be closer. He says Farid is the more technically sound fighter but didn't like pressure from Damon Blackshear, and Kleydson is all pressure. If Kleydson brawls, he can win. Angelo is staying away from the -300 line.

"low confidence pick for freed... he's gonna be the pick but three to one I'm staying away from that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady picks Basharat, emphasizing his size, striking volume, and wrestling advantage. He notes Rodrigues' past weight issues and tough debut at bantamweight. He expects Basharat to use takedowns and control to win a decision, calling it a tough matchup for Rodrigues.

"I think fari basharat is just going to probably be better you know everywhere this fight goes... I like him to take down clutson Rodriguez control him and ultimately win a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody is high on Basharat, calling him a real prospect at 26-0. He likes his movement, striking, and improving wrestling under Jake Shields. Basharat's win over Da'Mon Blackshear is a quality victory. Rodrigues has weight issues (missed weight twice) and is moving up to 135, which will affect his takedown defense. Cody expects Basharat to pick him apart on the feet and mix in takedowns.

Basharat by decision (pick'em); Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I really like this kid... sky's the limit for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Daniel Levi picks Farid Basharat with high confidence, having bet him at -245 earlier. He praises Basharat's footwork, jab, fight IQ, and heart, noting that he passed a tough test against Damon Blackshear. Levi believes Basharat's pace and pressure will be too much for Rodrigues, who is explosive but tends to fade and has been taken down by lesser fighters. He expects a second or third round finish, citing Basharat's ground and pound and submission defense.

Basharat wins in round 2 or 3; already bet at -245
"I like everything about Fareed and again when you beat a line by over a dollar like I already have"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

I like the chalk on Basharat. He has a slick boxing/kickboxing game and blends in takedowns well. Rodrigues is moving up in weight and has cardio issues. Basharat should establish range, get the fight to the clinch, and take advantage of Rodrigues' gas tank. I also like Basharat round three as a sprinkle. If the fight escapes the first round, Basharat should dominate later rounds.

Basharat round three
"I like the chalk on bash right if I'm being honest if you want to hedge anything here maybe Clayton round one but if this fight escapes that first round I won't have any worries on the free Bachelorette side …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Basharat by decision is basically a pick'em. He notes Rodrigues has never been finished, so a decision is likely. Paul likes Basharat over 2.5 takedowns on prize picks, expecting a takedown per round.

Basharat over 2.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I'm with you with you through thick and thin there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, citing his win over Damon Blackshear as having aged well, and noting that Kleydson Rodrigues has losses to CJ Vergara and a win over Shannon Ross. He believes Basharat is more well-rounded and will drown Rodrigues in the second and third rounds, though he acknowledges Rodrigues could land a spinning kick early. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Basharat.

"I'm going with farrid Basher out here this is one of the easier ones on the card to call"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farid Basharat 0 46 of 117 39% 91 of 164 1 of 6 16% 1 1 2:38
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 58 of 96 60% 76 of 115 3 of 6 50% 0 0 5:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farid Basharat 0 9 of 36 25% 17 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 17 of 31 54% 20 of 34 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
2 Farid Basharat 0 15 of 36 41% 30 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 21 of 30 70% 24 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
3 Farid Basharat 0 22 of 45 48% 44 of 69 0 of 2 0% 1 1 0:57
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 20 of 35 57% 32 of 48 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farid Basharat 46 of 117 39% 23 of 79 12 of 16 11 of 22 36 of 106 7 of 8 3 of 3
Da'Mon Blackshear 58 of 96 60% 36 of 70 14 of 17 8 of 9 42 of 79 4 of 5 12 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farid Basharat 9 of 36 25% 1 of 19 2 of 4 6 of 13 9 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da'Mon Blackshear 17 of 31 54% 8 of 19 4 of 6 5 of 6 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Farid Basharat 15 of 36 41% 7 of 23 4 of 5 4 of 8 11 of 31 1 of 2 3 of 3
Da'Mon Blackshear 21 of 30 70% 13 of 21 6 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 23 0 of 0 7 of 7
3 Farid Basharat 22 of 45 48% 15 of 37 6 of 7 1 of 1 16 of 39 6 of 6 0 of 0
Da'Mon Blackshear 20 of 35 57% 15 of 30 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 26 3 of 4 5 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Farid Basharat vs. Da'Mon Blackshear
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-410), Blackshear (+330)

Round 1
Keeping things trucking, bantamweights take center stage as Jackson-Wink product Blackshear (12-4-1, 0-0-1 UFC) looks for his first UFC win against the debuting London Shootfighters rep Basharat (9-0, 0-0 UFC). Both men sport a single knockout on their respective ledgers, as well as exactly three decision victories apiece, with the rest by submission. This potentially fun grappling contest will tolerate no nonsense because of the officiating from free referee Keith Peterson, and it begins not with a glove touch but a flying kick from Blackshear. Basharat slides to the side without concern, and he keeps his range from the reaching strikes that follow. Blackshear attempts a jumping switch kick, and Basharat parries it and chops the lead leg. “Da Monster” crashes forward with a jump knee, and he collides into Basharat without landing it. Basharat scores a right hand through the guard, and he kicks the side. Blackshear catches his leg and pushes him back to the wall, smacking him upside the head with a left hand as he did. Blackshear sets it down and gets pushed around when his takedown does not succeed, and Basharat rips the body a few times and lands a left up high. The two fighters trade jabs, and Basharat shoots in for a single-leg takedown and lifts Blackshear’s leg up. When Blackshear balances against the fence, Basharat drags him out and sets him on his seat in the open cage. Blackshear maintains a butterfly guard and looks to sweep, but Basharat remains on top and passes to half guard. Basharat springs over the body to take side control, and he presses his shoulder on Blackshear’s face and drops it on him a few times for good measure. Blackshear explodes in the bad position, and he bucks his hips and escapes to get back to his feet. When on two legs again, Blackshear jumps with a kick, and Basharat fires off a left hand that just misses the mark. Basharat slings a quick head kick that is blocked, and Blackshear paws out push kicks to the knee. The English fighter spins with a back fist, and he parries a jump kick right at the bell to conclude the razor-close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
The bantamweights meet in the middle without a flying strike this time around, and Blackshear uses his lead leg to keep Basharat at bay until Basharat steps in with a solid right hand. Blackshear darts forward throwing punches from unorthodox angles, ignoring jabs that come his way until he pushes ahead to snag a body lock. “Da Monster” uses the momentum to drive Basharat down to the floor, and he keeps him there for barely a second before Basharat climbs back up. Basharat eats a few strikes and grins at his opponent, and Blackshear loads up with a few head kicks that all collide off the guard. Basharat answers with one of his own that is up close and personal, and this gets blocked as well. Blackshear jumps forward with a knee to the body, and he tries to chain it with a tackling takedown. Blackshear bails on the attempt as they move up against the fence, and he circles around to drag Basharat down from behind. Blackshear stifles a Basharat spin and pushes his foe down to his stomach, and he threatens with a choke at an odd angle. Basharat does not appear concerned, turning about and kicking off the fight to his feet. Before Blackshear can get going with his rangy kicks, Basharat closes the distance to hit a double and land straight in side control. Blackshear recovers to a closed guard despite getting punched in the face, and when he does, “Ferocious Farid” lands some ferocious elbows and punches. The unbeaten fighter rides out the round in this position, landing strikes from close proximity.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear

Round 3
Blackshear leads off the last round kicking, targeting the legs, body and head indiscriminately. As he moves forward, Basharat greets him with sharp boxing, and the Brit gets stung with a quick counter combination. Blackshear pressures his man with punches in bunches, forcing Basharat to fight off his back foot while throwing knees or heavy strikes. A failed Blackshear takedown try allows Basharat to latch on and push him back to the wall, slowing the wild Blackshear momentarily. Basharat succeeds with an inside trip to drag his foe to the canvas, and in half guard, he comfortably lets go with right hands. Blackshear grips that one wrist with both hands to sit up against the wire, but Basharat does not let him any higher before squeezing him back down flat on his back. Blackshear looks for his butterfly guard to sweep, and he succeeds in doing so by flipping Basharat over. Basharat does not settle here, exploding back to his feet instead, and Blackshear is quick to follow. Blackshear gives chase with a solid left hand, and he wings punches while Basharat sticks him with jabs. Blackshear releases a heavy low kick that buckles Basharat’s knee for a moment, and he considers a takedown that gets stuffed. Basharat gets caught with a knee and pushes forward to bowl Blackshear over, where he lands in the guard and looks to rack up more control time. “Ferocious Farid” lets go with powerful elbows until he extends too far, and Blackshear throws his legs up and locks a triangle choke up with an extended arm in a hurry. Basharat is in the danger zone immediately, but time is Blackshear’s enemy, as the brit is able to survive the awful position and hear the final bell ring before anything comes of it. Like the last fight, this one is ultra-close, and both men have an argument to get their respective hands raised.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (29-28 Basharat)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear (29-28 Basharat)
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (29-28 Basharat)

The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Da'Mon Blackshear via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo is confident in Farid Basharat, praising his impressive striking, foot movement, and wrestling. He notes that Basharat times his takedowns perfectly and can keep the fight standing if needed. The only concern is that Basharat was dropped in a previous fight, but he recovered quickly. Angelo believes Basharat can win on the feet or with wrestling.

"I think Fareed's striking is stupid impressive and I think he's gonna win this fight I think it's pretty much that simple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady is confident in Farid Basharat, citing his well-rounded skills, good striking with head kicks and body kicks, and strong takedown defense. He believes Blackshear's path to victory is through grappling, but Basharat can dictate where the fight takes place and is the better striker. He predicts a decision win for Basharat.

"it's gonna be boss rap for me it's gonna be bossed her out to win this fight I'll say by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody is high on Basharat, praising his well-rounded game and training with top guys. He thinks Blackshear's only path is takedowns, but Basharat's grappling defense and cardio will neutralize him. He expects a decision win or late TKO.

Farid Basharat by decision
"bashra I get it 450 no more meat on the bone but because we're parlaying stuff together it's like you know you'll get some value"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Connor picks Da'Mon Blackshear, believing his superior wrestling and scrambling will be the difference. He notes that Basharat is a willowy striker who often ends up on the ground, and Blackshear is a tough grappler who can outwork him there. Connor points out that Basharat's takedown defense and physicality are questionable, while Blackshear has proven durable against good grapplers.

"I'm gonna pick black sure."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Jacob is very high on Farid Basharat, believing he should keep the fight standing because Blackshear is most dangerous on the ground. He notes that Basharat has good top control and can avoid submissions. Jacob thinks this is a bad matchup for Blackshear and that Basharat will win.

"I'm very high and free this week no no no no disrespect to Blackshear I think he's very talented it's just this is a bad matchup for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Basharat is the better technical striker with good distance management and a jab. However, Blackshear is a seasoned veteran with experience against tough competition, and the line is too wide. Basharat should win by decision but it will be closer than the odds suggest.

"I think the line is a little bit wide here... I still think basharat wins I think he Jabs his way to a decision Victory here but I would not right off Damon Blackshear as quickly as the odds are …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul picks Basharat, noting his volume and skill advantage. He thinks Blackshear has never been finished but Basharat's output should win a clear decision. He won't bet the -450 but likes Basharat by decision prop.

Farid Basharat by decision (around -115)
"Fareed basharat by decision in the prop market right now is minus 115 plus 100 plus 110 is like the best on market"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat, trusting his talent and crisp technique. He notes Blackshear is dangerous but has losses to lesser competition, and believes Basharat's skills will lead to a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 29-28.

"I'm gonna go with Fareed basharat here... I think he's gonna win this fight by 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Zane also picks Blackshear, though he is less confident. He agrees that Basharat's striking is not enough to keep the fight standing and that Blackshear's wrestling will be a problem. Zane notes that Basharat has shown some clever striking but tends to get taken down, and Blackshear is a strong scrambler. He thinks the odds are too wide and Blackshear has a good chance.

"I'll side with you. I I do think I mean Bachelorette... I'm willing to be tricked."
Ethyn Ewing - Fight History
SCHED vs Farid Basharat
KO R3 1:44 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ethyn Ewing 1 114 of 197 57% 116 of 200 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Rafael Estevam 0 44 of 185 23% 45 of 186 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ethyn Ewing 0 20 of 47 42% 21 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Rafael Estevam 0 17 of 63 26% 17 of 63 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Ethyn Ewing 0 67 of 109 61% 68 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Rafael Estevam 0 14 of 79 17% 15 of 80 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ethyn Ewing 1 27 of 41 65% 27 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Rafael Estevam 0 13 of 43 30% 13 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ethyn Ewing 114 of 197 57% 88 of 168 20 of 21 6 of 8 107 of 187 5 of 8 2 of 2
Rafael Estevam 44 of 185 23% 35 of 165 3 of 5 6 of 15 44 of 184 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ethyn Ewing 20 of 47 42% 16 of 42 1 of 1 3 of 4 17 of 42 2 of 4 1 of 1
Rafael Estevam 17 of 63 26% 13 of 54 1 of 2 3 of 7 17 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ethyn Ewing 67 of 109 61% 49 of 89 16 of 17 2 of 3 64 of 105 3 of 4 0 of 0
Rafael Estevam 14 of 79 17% 13 of 74 1 of 2 0 of 3 14 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ethyn Ewing 27 of 41 65% 23 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1 26 of 40 0 of 0 1 of 1
Rafael Estevam 13 of 43 30% 9 of 37 1 of 1 3 of 5 13 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (136.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ewing (-160); Estevam (+135)

Round 1
Even though the fight happened in November 2025, Ewing (9-2, 1-0 UFC) still has some hype about him for shutting down then-unbeaten Malcolm Wellmaker in a surprise thriller. “The Professor Finesser” stares down another undefeated opponent, this time former flyweight Estevam (14-0, 3-0 UFC). The Brazilian could not be bothered to make weight at this new, higher category, suffering a 20% fine as a not-so-bantamweight. Guarding over the catchweight contest will be referee Chris Tognoni. The fighters elect not to bump fists.
The two are cautious to engage, with only one strike in the first 20 seconds landing—a low kick from the Brazilian. Ewing paws out his jab and is kicked again in the front leg. Estevam kicks from his read leg, and he allows Ewing to swing so he can dodge and counter with a left hand. Estevam keeps working on the front leg, and Ewing kicks him back far heavier. Ewing doubles up on his jab out of range, hopping back from a low kick but not away from a left hook. Estevam spins with a back fist and nearly topples over, and he gathers himself and braces for impact from the American. When Ewing engages, Estevam shoots in for a single. Ewing sprawls, and Estevam redoubles his effort but is unable to secure the takedown. Estevam lets it go and parries a jab, and a shovel uppercut and low kick get through. Estevam ducks and dips to offer out an uppercut, narrowly missing the target. Estevam tries this combination again, and he gets closer but still only manages to strike with an overhand right.
Ewing deftly shuts down the takedown shot that comes, and he takes two punches off the guard and a third on the chin. Estevam leaps out for a flying knee, and Ewing intercepts him on the way up with a knee that bangs into the cup. Estevam lands and protests, and Tognoni calls time. Estevam takes 40 seconds to get his bearings, and he reintroduces himself with a calf kick and a sharp jab. Ewing slides out of the way and pulls back before throwing his punches, with Estevam beating him to the punch with everything but a hard right hand. Estevam staggers back, possibly stunned or at least off-balance, and he shoots in for a takedown and gets sprawled like a pancake. Ewing gets right in his face and lets his head movement keep him safe, busting Estevam in the chops with a few punches. Ewing fearlessly walks his opponent down, staying just out of range from the worst flying at his head. Ewing laughs off a takedown and knocks Estevam to his seat with a flurry of fists, and time expires to save Estevam. Happy as a clam, Ewing shimmies after the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ewing

Round 2
Estevam starts out aggressively, throwing punches and low kicks before shooting for a takedown. Ewing stands him up and knees him flush in the face. Estevam shakes it off and surges forward, unable to pin Ewing down but throwing nonetheless. Ewing dances back from big swings and throws back with accurate blows, bloodying up the Brazilian’s nose and forcing him to shoot awkwardly. Estevam hurls a big punch, and Ewing slips it and jams him in the ribs with a left. Estevam has his back to the wall and takes a clean right hand that shakes him up, and two more big hooks from Ewing pound off his melon. Estevam is throwing back with a vengeance, but Ewing cannot miss. Estevam tries to catch Ewing coming in with an elbow, and Ewing gives him a taste of his own medicine and proceeds to knee him as well. Estevam comes into clinch in hopes of setting up some grappling, and Ewing tosses him aside and boxes him up with a number of jabs. Ewing slips with a crisp uppercut, and Estevam turns away, not a fan of that blow. He goes to the lead leg with kicks, and he is in his flow state at this point.
Estevam peppers Ewing’s guard with punches and takes a hard one on the chin that makes him step back, with the American staying out of the way when Estevam leaps towards him. Ewing’s combinations are quick and pinpoint accurate, as he loops his right hand over the arm of his foe to bang it into Estevam’s temple time and again. Estevam is tough but is taking serious damage, the power on the side of Ewing. Ewing rocks the Brazilian with a bomb of a right hand, and Estevam desperately shoots for a takedown only to get completely shut down. Ewing stalks Estevam down, stumbles him and raises his arms defiantly. Estevam gathers himself and slugs his way forward, but this only opens him up to Ewing’s fluid combos and surprising power. Estevam’s takedown shot is met with a submission trap, and he stands up to take four punches right in the face. Estevam is hanging in there as Ewing rolls downhill on him, with the American swaying and dodging practically everything while putting a beating on the undefeated athlete. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ewing

Round 3
The two meet in the pocket in the center of the cage and proceed to trade hands. Ewing dances on the outer edge of Estevam’s strikes, slipping them and countering while the crowd chants for either “Ethyn” or “Defense.” Ewing walks through anything hurled at him, including a kick to his groin, so that he can further pressure the unbeaten fighter. Ewing checks a kick and goes upstairs with a right hand, and he stumbles his man with a clubbing right hook. Estevam gathers his thoughts, albeit fleeting at this point, and backs himself to the fence in hopes of countering off of it.
Ewing does not let him do it, instead boxing Estevam up with a magnificent combination of punches. In his element, Ewing concludes his combo with a devastating left to the liver, and Estevam folds like a flan in a cupboard, falling to his back totally defeated. As Tognoni sprints in to stop the fight, Ewing rains down a single standing-to-ground crushing-yet-unnecessary hammerfist
, and that’s all the work he needs to put in tonight. That marks two undefeated opponents, two victories for the rising star Ewing, who appears to be one to watch going forward in the talent-stacked bantamweight division.

The Official Result
Ethyn Ewing def. Rafael Estevam R3 1:44 via KO (Punch to the Body)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Rafael Estevam

Angelo picks Rafael Estevam, citing recency bias in the line. He notes Estevam is a high-pressure grappler with relentless takedowns, while Ethyn Ewing's takedown defense is unproven. He believes Estevam will overwhelm Ewing with wrestling and control. Angelo mentions he bet on Estevam and would be shocked if he doesn't flip to favorite.

Angelo says 'I bet on Estam here.'
"Estav is the pick. I bet on Estam here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Rafael Estevam

Big Brady picks Rafael Estevam as an underdog. He notes Estevam is a dominant grappler who takes opponents down and controls them for entire fights, averaging over six takedowns per 15 minutes. He thinks Ewing can be taken down and that Estevam's cardio may improve at bantamweight. He acknowledges Ewing's hype but believes Estevam's style is a tough matchup.

Estevam by decision
"I'm leaning Estevam here. A lot of money is coming in on Ethan Ewing. And I could see a path like stuff the takedowns, but that's going to be hard."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ethyn Ewing

Cody picks Ewing because Estevam's grappling-heavy style is boring and may not score well with judges trending towards damage. He notes Estevam's weight misses and move up in weight, and believes Ewing's scrambling and striking will earn a decision.

"I got Ethan E-wing. The money line's close enough. I I would think that Rafael Aston being that he's undefeated in the UFC and a little more experience and Brazilian guy that that he should have maybe been the favorite, …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Ethyn Ewing

The host likes Ewing because he is more well-rounded and has multiple paths to victory, while Estevam only has one path (grappling). Ewing showed great cardio and takedown defense in his debut, and Estevam's inefficient wrestling style leads to fatigue. The host caps Ewing at 65% chance to win, seeing value at -148.

Ewing is the only pre-fight bet on the card.
"So yeah, I like Euan in this matchup and hopefully he will come through for us."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ethyn Ewing

James picks Ethyn Ewing as his 'Hammer of the Week' moneyline bet. He believes Ewing's striking, cardio, and ability to extend combinations will overcome Estevam's wrestling. He expects Ewing to win, possibly by finish in later rounds as Estevam tires.

Ethan Ewin round 2 (+650 projected), Ethan Ewin round 3 (+1200 projected)
"I still like Ethan Ewing at this price... I think Ethan Ewing gets it done for us this weekend with a bang, emphatically, maybe even via finish."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Ethyn Ewing

James picks Ethyn Ewing as the underdog, praising his boxing combinations, cardio, and ability to extend strikes in the pocket. He believes Ewing will weather Estevam's early wrestling, win rounds two and three, and potentially secure a late TKO. He notes Estevam's cardio issues and weight cut struggles, and thinks Ewing's calf kicks and defensive improvements will be key. He predicts a round three TKO.

Round 3 TKO prediction
"I have Ethan Ewing to win this fight via round three TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Rafael Estevam

The host believes the hype on Ewing is driving the line, but Estevam's grappling will be the difference. He notes Estevam's 14-0 record, ability to take down dangerous strikers, and submission threat. He expects Estevam to get the fight to the ground and submit Ewing, referencing Ewing's previous submission loss. He took a shot on Estevam at plus money.

Estevam by submission
"I expect Astan to get to his grappling positions. I expect him to probably even pull off a submission here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ethyn Ewing

Paul sides with Ewing, noting Estevam's style is ill-suited for a move up in weight. He expects Ewing to stuff takedowns and win on the feet, possibly via live betting.

"Yeah, and I I I've been waiting for the Estav train to kind of fall off the tracks. So, I will side with uh with Yuing here as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Ethyn Ewing

The MMA Guru picks Ethyn Ewing, noting his impressive performance on short notice against Malcolm Wellmaker and his full camp advantage. He believes Ewing's grappling, cardio, and volume will overwhelm Rafael Estevam, who missed weight and faces pressure. He predicts a third-round finish.

Third-round finish predicted
"I'm going to go with Ethan Ewing. Full camp, got to do better than two days' notice."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Malcolm Wellmaker 0 77 of 146 52% 82 of 151 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:11
Ethyn Ewing 0 85 of 163 52% 99 of 179 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Malcolm Wellmaker 0 21 of 27 77% 24 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Ethyn Ewing 0 12 of 29 41% 18 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
2 Malcolm Wellmaker 0 34 of 68 50% 34 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Ethyn Ewing 0 41 of 72 56% 42 of 73 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:07
3 Malcolm Wellmaker 0 22 of 51 43% 24 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Ethyn Ewing 0 32 of 62 51% 39 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Malcolm Wellmaker 77 of 146 52% 35 of 87 35 of 45 7 of 14 53 of 116 24 of 30 0 of 0
Ethyn Ewing 85 of 163 52% 70 of 147 10 of 11 5 of 5 67 of 138 18 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Malcolm Wellmaker 21 of 27 77% 7 of 11 12 of 13 2 of 3 11 of 15 10 of 12 0 of 0
Ethyn Ewing 12 of 29 41% 8 of 25 1 of 1 3 of 3 7 of 20 5 of 9 0 of 0
2 Malcolm Wellmaker 34 of 68 50% 21 of 45 10 of 15 3 of 8 27 of 59 7 of 9 0 of 0
Ethyn Ewing 41 of 72 56% 36 of 66 3 of 4 2 of 2 32 of 62 9 of 10 0 of 0
3 Malcolm Wellmaker 22 of 51 43% 7 of 31 13 of 17 2 of 3 15 of 42 7 of 9 0 of 0
Ethyn Ewing 32 of 62 51% 26 of 56 6 of 6 0 of 0 28 of 56 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ethyn Ewing vs. Malcolm Wellmaker
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Wellmaker (-500), Ewing (+360)

Round 1
Keith Peterson is the referee. Ewing pressures and throws a kick to the chest that Wellmaker blocks. Ewing counters a knee with a right hand. Wellmaker throws a striaght left to the body. Inside leg kick for Ewing. The crowd at MSG is firmly behind Wellmaker with a “Let’s go Malcolm” chant. Wellkmaker lands a body kick and then a counter check right hook makes Ewing stumble for a moment. Wellmaker lands a knee to the gut as Ewing closes distance. Ewing with a slick right over the top in the clinch. Back at range, Ewing steps in with a right. Wellmaker with a front kick down the middle. Ewing with a left hook in an exchange. Wellmaker stalks Ewing, who circles on the outside. They trade and then clinch. Wellmake alnds an elbow in the clinch. A powerful throw from Ewing elicits a gasp from the crowd, and the newcomer has a body lock as his foe stands. Wellmaker turns and lands a knee in side. Wellmaker with another knee. Ewing is making Wellmaker work in the clinch late iin the round. A nice knee lands for Wellmaker, who follows with an elbow over the top. Ewing lands offense on the break. Wellmaker kicks the body, and Ewing punches his way into the clinch. Ewing grabs a front headlock and lands some knees before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ewing
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ewing

Round 2
Wellmaker opens with a solid counter left hand. A high kick from Ewing connects shortly thereafter. Ewing tags Wellmaker with a combination. Ewing is putting on the pressure early, landing punches in more volume. Wellmaker backs his man up with a lead hook, and then he tags his foe with a right. Wellmaker goes body-head with punches before wading into the clinch. Both men land on the break. Ewing utilizies good movement and lands another combination. Wellmaker fires back with a lead hook. Ewing moves forward and punctuates a combination with a high kick. A couple rights land for Wellmaker, but Ewing doesn’t hesitate to fire back with a counter. They clinch and Wellmaker lands a knee to the body. Wellmaker backs his foe up with a punch and a spinning heel kick lands to the shoulder. Wellmaker has Ewing on the retreat as he attacks the body and lands a slashing elbow near the fence. Ewing lands a rapid fire combination, but Wellmaker tags him with a hard counter. Ewing is doing well with volume and accuracy, and Wellmaker is lunging and swinging wildly at times. Wellmaker is landing and pressuring, however, and he rips to the body. Ewing lands a takedown, locks up a front headlock and knees the head. Just before the end of the round, Wellmaker lands a resounding spinning elbow, and a hard right lands for Ewing in response.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wellmaker
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Wellmaker
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wellmaker

Round 3
Ewing working well behind his jab, and Wellmaker responds with a front kick. Wellmaker attacks the body. Ewing answers with a combination. Wellmaker lands a body kick. Ewing applies presure, and throws another effective combination. Wellmaker fires off a stiff jab. Ewing moves in close and tees off with a combination before looking for a takedown. Ewing shoves his opponent into the fence, but Wellmaker reverses. Wellmaker stays busy with knees in close quarters. They separate after Wellmaker lands an elbow. At range, Ewing connects on a right. They trade in the pocket, but Ewing backs up Wellmaker. Wellmaker has an ensuing takedown denied, and Ewing lands a solid elbow upstairs. Ewing keeps the pace up, and he lands a clean right hand. Ewing follows a knee with another slick combination. They clinch, and Ewing is able to land a takedown and maintain a rear body lock as Wellmaker stands. Ewing lands a few short right hands, and the featherweights trade one more time before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ewing (29-28 Ewing)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ewing (29-28 Ewing)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ewing (29-28 Ewing)

The Official Result
Ethyn Ewing def. Malcolm Wellmaker via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00