UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026 · Lightweight · Scheduled
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Age 31
Height 6' 3"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 73"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jalin Turner
5.79 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.54 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kauê Fernandes
4.28 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
1.42 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.18 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Jalin Turner - Fight History
SCHED vs Kauê Fernandes
WIN vs Edson Barboza
KO R1 2:24 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Jalin Turner 2 39 of 66 59% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Jalin Turner 2 39 of 66 59% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 10 of 20 50% 4 of 14 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 39 of 66 59% 29 of 55 8 of 9 2 of 2 33 of 53 5 of 10 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 10 of 20 50% 4 of 14 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 39 of 66 59% 29 of 55 8 of 9 2 of 2 33 of 53 5 of 10 1 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner despite concerns about his mental state after retiring following a couple of losses. He acknowledges Turner's advantages in height, range, and striking, and believes he is the better fighter at this stage. However, he questions whether Turner returned for the right reasons or just for a paycheck. Angelo ultimately trusts that Turner is focused and will win, but expresses hesitation.

"I'm gonna pick Jaylen Turner here because at this point in their careers, I think he's the better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner, citing his dangerous striking and 100% finish rate. He believes Barboza is washed and lacks durability, and that Turner will keep the fight standing. He expects Turner to win by first-round knockout, though he questions Turner's mentality.

Turner by first round knockout
"I'm going to take Jaylen Turner to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody picks Turner, citing his size, power, and youth. He notes that Turner has knocked down top lightweights and has a significant reach advantage. He believes Barboza is past his prime and that Turner will finish him early. He is confident despite Turner's recent loss and retirement talk.

"The reason I end up locking in Turner is more so you're you're right. His last fight against Jakar, he goes through the motions."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, citing Turner's fight-ending power and Barboza's age and recent decline. He notes that Barboza has looked hesitant and unable to pull the trigger, while Turner has more instantaneous power. However, Connor is concerned about Turner's mental state after his last performance and retirement talk.

Turner by KO
"I think I have to take Turner honestly, which I can't pick Jaylen Turner after that last performance and not, especially not with all the additional context."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)

Daniel is undecided, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He sees Turner's physical advantages and power but questions his heart and recent losses. Barboza's toughness and experience are assets, but his age (39) is a concern. He plans to make a pick on fight week.

"I'm not really sure. Next week, I'll have a pick for y'all on this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Lucrative James thinks Jalin Turner will finish Edson Barboza early. He notes Barboza has looked washed and vulnerable in recent fights, often getting wobbled. He believes Turner's length, power, and viciousness will overwhelm Barboza. He acknowledges concerns about Turner's mental state after retirement but sees this as a favorable stylistic matchup.

Jalin Turner inside the distance
"Jaylen Turner inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

The host believes Turner, returning from a short retirement, will be dialed in and take advantage of Barboza's deteriorating durability. He expects Turner to finish the fight within a round and a half.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"I think he's going to be more than dialed in to go out there and take advantage of the deteriorating durability of Edson Barbosa. Look for Turner to get this fight done within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul picks Turner, noting his size and power advantage. He believes Barboza is done and that Turner will overwhelm him. He mentions that Turner's only losses are to top competition and that he has the ability to finish early. He thinks Turner wins by TKO.

"I don't think Jaylen Turner makes it to the third round, but he's big, he's strong, he's got more than enough power."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The Guru picks Jalin Turner to beat Edson Barboza, noting Barboza's decline and damage accumulation. He believes Turner's range and grappling will be key, and that Barboza cannot pull the trigger like before. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO finish.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Jaylen Turner getting this one done by TKO finish brutally in the first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, noting that Turner has more instantaneous fight-ending power than Barboza. He acknowledges Barboza's age and recent performances where he couldn't pull the trigger. Zane is concerned about Turner's mental state but believes his power gives him the edge.

"I have to pick him because of that, but man, if this is a Anthony Smith situation, yeah, like it's miss fight against, uh, Dom Reyes, then like he won of Anthony Smith's like last four fights."
Submission R1 2:29 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 7 of 20 35% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 16 62% 17 of 23 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 7 of 20 35% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 16 62% 17 of 23 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ignacio Bahamondes 7 of 20 35% 4 of 16 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 7
Jalin Turner 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 7 of 20 35% 4 of 16 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 7
Jalin Turner 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner because he sees a clear level gap: Bahamondes has never beaten a good UFC fighter and is a classic tall man who doesn't like fighting at distance, while Turner is a long-range striker with fast, straight shots. Connor notes that Bahamondes has poor defense and will struggle against Turner's reach and power. He also points out that Turner has fought much better competition and performed well in close fights.

Odds: Turner opened at -115, now +112; Bahamondes opened at +100, now -129. Connor is surprised by the line movement favoring Bahamondes.
"I do not think Bahamanda's has done anything to prove that he he would serve he would lose to all the guys who beat in Turner. Yeah. You know, absolutely. He'd lose more convincingly to most of them."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Lucrative James picks Turner as an underdog, citing Turner's early power and finishing ability. He thinks Turner will land big shots early and potentially finish, as Bahamondes is hittable. He notes Turner's cardio issues but believes he can win by stoppage or even decision if he hurts Bahamondes early. He admits he needs more tape study but leans Turner.

"I'm going to predict Jaylen Turner the reason is because of what I said I think he's definitely going to win round one I think he's going to hurt ignasio early"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner, agreeing with Connor that Bahamondes is not a good range fighter and has poor defense. He notes that Turner is a nuclear puncher who is much faster and has a flexible striking game. Zane acknowledges Turner's occasional mental lapses but believes Bahamondes lacks the talent to exploit them. He is surprised by the betting line favoring Bahamondes.

Odds: Turner opened at -115, now +112; Bahamondes opened at +100, now -129. Zane is surprised by the line movement.
"I think much faster than Bahamanda's. Yeah. So I get the matchup as a as a sort of a visual gag. But I do not think Bahamanda's has done anything to prove that he he would serve he would lose …"
LOSS vs Renato Moicano
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 4:11 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Renato Moicano 1 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jalin Turner 0 36 of 67 53% 87 of 128 2 of 6 33% 0 0 5:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Renato Moicano 1 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jalin Turner 0 8 of 16 50% 32 of 45 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:52
2 Renato Moicano 0 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 28 of 51 54% 55 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Renato Moicano 16 of 40 40% 10 of 32 3 of 5 3 of 3 15 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 36 of 67 53% 32 of 60 3 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 23 1 of 1 24 of 43
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Renato Moicano 9 of 25 36% 4 of 18 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 8 of 16 50% 6 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
2 Renato Moicano 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 28 of 51 54% 26 of 47 1 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 12 1 of 1 20 of 38
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his phenomenal striking, length, and takedown defense. He notes Moicano's BJJ is dangerous but Turner should piece him up and potentially finish. He mentions Turner has never won a decision, so a finish is likely.

"Jaylen Turner is going to be the pick I am pretty confident in him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is high on Turner's potential. He notes Turner's length (6'3", 77-inch reach), solid takedown defense (75%), and nasty power. Moicano lacks volume and offensive wrestling; his wins often come by quick submission or low-volume decisions. Cody points out that Moicano was a 145er and Turner is a big lightweight who could even be a middleweight. He believes Turner's power and reach will be too much, and he expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. Cody mentions Turner's cardio issues in past fights but thinks Moicano doesn't have the pressure to exploit them.

"Sign me up for Turner to get the Finish."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Moicano's counter-punching and wrestling will not be enough. He notes that Turner is difficult to take down and works well from his back, while Moicano's confidence often breaks when pressured. Connor believes Turner's reach and power will be too much for Moicano to handle over three rounds.

Odds: Turner opened -244, now -230; Moicano opened +185, now +201. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I just think, yeah, I think so. Moikana is not going to have the ability to, he might win a round just on back control or something like that. Yeah, but it's hard to see him really shifting the whole …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Vreeland picks Jalin Turner, citing his improved striking, range management, and takedown defense. He believes Turner's power and length will be too much for Moicano, and that Turner will knock him out. Vreeland notes Moicano's submission threat but doubts his chin can hold up.

wins by KO/TKO
"I think Turner is gonna find a way to land that straight on the button so I'm going Jalin Turner here probably by knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Renato Moicano

Turner has a striking advantage and power, but Moicano will grab a body lock and drag the fight to the ground. Moicano's BJJ will reign supreme, opening a back take opportunity for a rear-naked choke submission. Moicano pulls off the upset as a +195 underdog.

submission, underdog +195
"I think that will see moano grab that body lock and eventually drag this fight to the ground whereas BJJ should be able to remain reign supreme and I think that will open up a back take opportunity where he …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul agrees, noting Moicano's last performance against Drew Dober was a problem—he got a takedown in round three but did little with it. Paul points out that Moicano's wrestling should have dominated Dober but didn't. He also mentions Turner is a big lightweight, while Moicano moved up from 145. Paul thinks Turner's power will be decisive and expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. He notes that Moicano's cardio wasn't great in the Dober fight either.

"I'm with you 100%... Turner is a guy that we like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Renato Moicano

The MMA Guru picks Renato Moicano to submit Jalin Turner via rear-naked choke in round one. He notes that Moicano has submission ability and that Turner has been taken down and controlled by grapplers like Mateusz Gamrot. He believes Moicano will find Turner's hips, take his back, and sink in the choke.

rear-naked choke round one
"re could choke round one put your money down this re naked choke round one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner confidently, despite disliking his style. He notes that Turner's reach and power make him dangerous early, and Moicano is hittable and prone to losing confidence. Zane argues that Moicano's clinch wrestling will not work against Turner's size and defensive grappling. He expects Turner to knock Moicano out early or win a decision.

Odds: Turner opened -244, now -230; Moicano opened +185, now +201. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I honestly think Moikana might get knocked out pretty early in this fight. Two hittable turners, too, too powerful, too aggressive early."
WIN vs King Green
KO (punches) R1 2:49 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Jalin Turner
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Turner (-245), Green (+200)

Round 1
The show has arrived at its penultimate pairing, as Turner (13-7, 6-4 UFC) squares off with the resurgent Green (31-14-1, 12-9-1 UFC) in the lightweight co-main event. The 6-foot-3 Turner steps in as a short-notice replacement for the injured Dan Hooker.
For more on “The Tarantula,” see “5 Things You Might Not Know About Jalin Turner” in Features
. Hatley assumes his position as the third man in the cage. They approach one another with caution, then start swinging, drawing oohs and aahs from the crowd. Nothing significant lands. Green attacks the legs with kicks. The former King of the Cage champion steps into the pocket with punches. Turner connects upstairs, then finds a home for his straight left. He goes high with a kick, punches into a clinch and maneuvers back into open space.
Turner staggers and drops Green with a right hand to the temple. Green faceplants, and Hatley allows Turner to keep wailing away with unabated punches until his opponent is completely unconscious. Oof. Not the best job of officiating there
.

The Official Result
Jalin Turner def. Bobby Green—KO (Punches) 2:49 R1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner despite short notice, citing his size advantage and danger everywhere. He thinks Turner's reach and height will be a problem for Green, and that Green's hands-down style could get him caught. He expects an early finish but notes cardio concerns if the fight extends. He calls it a step down in competition for Turner.

"give me Jaylen Turner here on short notice to get an early finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is torn but tentatively picks Turner. He acknowledges Turner's weight cut issues and short notice, but thinks Turner is faster, longer, and the better striker. He worries about Turner's cardio in later rounds but believes if Turner minds his distance, he can win. He considers waiting for weigh-ins and possibly betting Green live after the first round.

considering Bobby Green live after first round
"tentatively I'm going to take Jaylen Turner but I am not disagreeing with any of your points I see them all"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James leans towards Bobby Green as a dog, noting that Jalin Turner has never won a decision and has a questionable chin. He believes if Green survives round one, the fight becomes 50-50, with Green having an edge in later rounds. He is not confident but sees value in Green at plus money.

"I don't mind a dog shot on Bobby green"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Green is on a two-fight winning streak and has a volume-heavy style that could overwhelm Turner. Turner has lost two in a row and has had weight issues, plus he took this fight on short notice. Green's durability and pressure should allow him to outwork Turner, especially if the fight goes into deep waters. A decision win is predicted.

decision win predicted
"give me Bobby green here and I think he ends up pulling off a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul already bet Bobby Green at plus money. He cites Green's durability, cardio, and the fact that Turner missed weight last time and is on short notice. He thinks Green can go hard three rounds and that Turner's cardio falls off. He also likes Green round three prop at +2000. He notes Green is historically a slow starter but believes he can take over late.

Bobby Green round three at +2000 considered; already bet Green moneyline at +188
"I already bet Bobby green why well Bobby green was already getting ready for this card he's supposed to take on Dan hooker Dan hooker pulls out Jaylen Turner I mean missed weight last time out at 155 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner, citing his reach advantage, versatility, and ability to chop the legs and body. He believes Bobby Green struggles without a reach advantage and that Turner's dynamic striking will be too much. He expects a decision win for Turner, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm gonna go Jalin Turner... he's more versatile... he'll chop low, he'll front kick the body, he'll kick the head... I'll say it will be a decision win 30-27."
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 0 100 of 177 56% 113 of 191 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Jalin Turner 1 125 of 197 63% 172 of 247 0 of 2 0% 1 0 3:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 34 of 69 49% 34 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 38 of 54 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Hooker 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 44 of 81 54% 48 of 85 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
3 Dan Hooker 0 32 of 48 66% 45 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Jalin Turner 1 43 of 62 69% 85 of 107 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 100 of 177 56% 63 of 128 30 of 37 7 of 12 78 of 152 18 of 21 4 of 4
Jalin Turner 125 of 197 63% 77 of 139 25 of 32 23 of 26 100 of 157 19 of 31 6 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 34 of 69 49% 16 of 47 13 of 14 5 of 8 30 of 64 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 38 of 54 70% 16 of 29 8 of 9 14 of 16 35 of 51 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 34 of 60 56% 23 of 44 9 of 12 2 of 4 25 of 51 9 of 9 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 44 of 81 54% 27 of 59 9 of 13 8 of 9 38 of 70 6 of 11 0 of 0
3 Dan Hooker 32 of 48 66% 24 of 37 8 of 11 0 of 0 23 of 37 5 of 7 4 of 4
Jalin Turner 43 of 62 69% 34 of 51 8 of 10 1 of 1 27 of 36 10 of 17 6 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo is confident in Turner, calling him a 'pretty easy pick'. He notes Turner's excellent boxing, range management, and well-roundedness (3 of last 4 wins by submission). Hooker is durable but Angelo thinks he'll be a step behind. He is only slightly concerned about Hooker turning it into a wrestling match, but believes Turner can handle it. He recommends Turner for parlays.

Could be parlayed
"Jalen's a pretty easy pick for me and he could be parlayed I like Jalen Turner I'm pretty confident in him in this fight for sure"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Turner is very dangerous with scary power, and Hooker has been knocked out recently by Michael Chandler and Arnold Allen. He believes Hooker will try to wrestle but doesn't have the takedown game to exploit Turner's takedown defense. He expects a striking match where Turner finishes Hooker early. He mentions that Turner is five years younger and more in his prime.

first round knockout
"I'm taking Jaylen Turner to win this fight I'll say first round knockout win for Jalen Turner"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody picks Turner but is hesitant at -260. He thinks Turner's length and power will be too much for Hooker, who has taken a lot of damage. He notes Hooker's durability may be fading. He considers the under 1.5 rounds but doesn't feel great about it. He mentions Turner's cardio issues in the past but expects an early knockout.

Under 1.5 rounds (+100), Turner by KO/TKO
"I think Jalen Turner Sparks him but minus 260 I'll admit you got way more experience down for Dan hooker"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Hooker's game relies on being the taller fighter with reach, which he won't have here. He notes that Turner's pressure and collar-tie game will be effective, and that Hooker's slow starts and reactive style play into Turner's hands. Connor sees Turner as younger, faster, and more powerful, making this a bad matchup for Hooker.

"I just don't really know how Dan Hooker's game operates as the shorter man. I just think it's gonna be not good."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi picks Turner, noting that he has improved his range management and defense, and that Hooker has taken too much damage throughout his career. Levi points out that Hooker will be the shorter man for the first time, facing a three-inch reach disadvantage. He acknowledges that the minus-260 price is high but believes Turner is catching Hooker at the right time. Levi also mentions that Turner has been training outside his comfort zone, including in Abu Dhabi with Khamzat Chimaev, which shows his dedication to improvement.

"I'll probably take Jill attorney also I would definitely like to wait and let the odds drop a little more though."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Jalin Turner

James picks Jalin Turner to win by knockout. He notes Turner is on an upward trajectory while Hooker is on a downward one. He praises Turner's improved speed, accuracy, and range management. He acknowledges Turner's chin is questionable and Hooker could land, but thinks Hooker will have to endure too much punishment. He also mentions Turner missed weight but doesn't think it was intentional.

Jalin Turner wins by KO
"my prediction is Jalen by knockout in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has dangerous striking and a strong submission game, while Hooker is hittable and has durability concerns. Hooker may have a technical striking advantage and output, but Turner's power and ability to club and sub will eventually catch Hooker. Fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go Jalen Turner Jalen Turner probably by club and sub but I think fight doesn't go to decision is my favorite spot in this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul picks Turner but struggles with the price. He notes Hooker's durability has declined after many wars. He thinks Turner likely finishes him early but doesn't see value at -260. He would consider the under 1.5 rounds but isn't confident. He mentions Hooker's size and experience as potential factors.

Under 1.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm gonna pick Jalen Turner but I don't really think there's much meat on the bone to uh to be batting him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by second-round TKO. He criticizes Hooker's lack of head movement and declining chin, noting that Turner has a similar reach and will land clean shots. He believes Turner's patience and power will overwhelm Hooker, who has shown slower reaction times recently.

wins by TKO in the second round
"I reckon he is going to win this one by TKO in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner, citing his size, speed, and pressure. He notes that Hooker struggles when faced with bigger, more determined fighters who march him down, as seen against Arnold Allen and Michael Chandler. Zane believes Turner's pressure and power will make Hooker uncomfortable, and that Hooker's game as the shorter man is untested and likely to fail.

"I started watching tape and I'm like, you know what, Jalen Turner is just gonna walk away with this, I think."
LOSS vs Mateusz Gamrot
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Gamrot 0 29 of 42 69% 89 of 109 4 of 12 33% 0 0 6:52
Jalin Turner 1 40 of 97 41% 62 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Gamrot 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:26
Jalin Turner 1 12 of 31 38% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
2 Mateusz Gamrot 0 13 of 17 76% 60 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:35
Jalin Turner 0 18 of 48 37% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Mateusz Gamrot 0 7 of 11 63% 15 of 21 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:51
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 18 55% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Gamrot 29 of 42 69% 18 of 30 2 of 3 9 of 9 21 of 32 2 of 2 6 of 8
Jalin Turner 40 of 97 41% 23 of 72 14 of 22 3 of 3 33 of 90 4 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Gamrot 9 of 14 64% 4 of 8 0 of 1 5 of 5 6 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1
Jalin Turner 12 of 31 38% 8 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1
2 Mateusz Gamrot 13 of 17 76% 7 of 11 2 of 2 4 of 4 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jalin Turner 18 of 48 37% 11 of 37 4 of 8 3 of 3 16 of 46 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Mateusz Gamrot 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 5
Jalin Turner 10 of 18 55% 4 of 11 6 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Angelo is confident in Mateusz Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Jalin Turner has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and that Gamrot's speed and ankle picks will be too much. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Gamrot at -190.

"I still think gamron's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing his wrestling machine style with high takedown volume. He notes Turner's takedown defense is not elite and Gamrot has the cardio to attempt many takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Gamrot, though he acknowledges Turner's power and submission threat.

"I'm gonna take matteus gamer out to win this fight I'm gonna take him to win this fight I'll say bye decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is tempted by Turner as an underdog. He sees a path for Turner if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach. He notes Gamrot's wrestling is elite but that he has been in close fights and can fatigue. He says if he takes Turner, he'll be the PRP pick.

Would be the PRP pick if he goes with Turner
"I'm super tempted to pull the underdog trigger man"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Connor leans Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and scrambling ability. He notes Turner's dangerous striking and guillotine threats, but believes Gamrot's takedowns and top control will neutralize Turner's offense. He mentions Turner's tendency to play guard rather than explode up, which may allow Gamrot to hold him down. However, he acknowledges Turner's one-shot knockout power makes this risky.

Mentions Gamrot opened -240, now -217; Turner +205 to +176.
"I do think Gamrot is actually going to finally get some top time in this fight."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Jacob picks Mateusz Gamrot, praising his relentless pressure and unique ankle pick takedowns. He believes Turner will not be able to defend the takedowns and that Gamrot will drown him. Jacob has hedges with Turner by knockout but is confident in Gamrot.

Jalin Turner by knockout (hedge)
"gameron is just so so relentless he gets better as the fights go on as well he is just going to drown this kid Jalen"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Gamrot is a high-level scrambler and wrestler who wants to drag fights to the ground. Turner is dangerous with submissions but has questionable takedown defense and struggles off his back. Gamrot will secure takedowns and grind out a decision victory.

"I think the expertise the the experience and the scrambling ability of gamra will keep him safe again against a dangerous finishing prowess of Jalen Turner and I think that we'll see gamrod start to take over the longer that …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Paul picks Gamrot but is cautious. He thinks Gamrot's wrestling will be enough to secure takedowns and win rounds, but he has questions about Turner's cardio and reach. He expects a close fight and is not confident in the pick.

"I'm gonna pick gamrat but uh another fight that I'm you know very cautious about"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing Turner's loss to Matt Frevola via grappling. He believes Gamrot can implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and win a 30-27 decision, noting Turner's preparation for a striker.

"I've got to go with Matthias gamrot here over Jalen Turner... I think gamrock's gonna get this one done using his grappling to a 30-27 unanimous decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Zane also leans Gamrot, emphasizing his toughness and wrestling. He notes Turner's danger in transitions and his ability to land fight-ending strikes, but believes Gamrot's pressure and scrambling will wear Turner down. He points out that Turner's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Gamrot's low single may bypass Turner's guillotine attempts.

"This is a better fight for Gamrot than it is for Turner."
WIN vs Brad Riddell
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:45 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.

Moneyline bet at -119
"I got a moneyline bet on jalen turner at minus 119"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.

Turner by first round finish
"i think jalen turner wins this fight and does it inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.

Riddell by decision
"I'm gonna go with Rodell Riddell by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.

Value on Riddell at +125; no bet placed.
"my heart is telling me jalen because of the improvements... i don't know, lean turner"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.

Turner by submission at +700
"i think that turner clips riddell early club and subs him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.

"I'll probably end up with some money on Brad Riddell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.

TKO in round 2
"i'm going to go if jalen turner getting this one done"
Kauê Fernandes - Fight History
SCHED vs Jalin Turner
CANCEL vs Farès Ziam
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes confidently, criticizing the hype around Ziam. He believes Fernandes' aggression, grappling, and well-rounded skills will be too much for Ziam's point-fighting style. He notes that Ziam's wins are not as impressive as they seem. He plans to bet on Fernandes via a +3.5 round handicap when available, as he only needs Fernandes to win one round for that bet to cash.

plus 3.5 round handicap at plus 110
"I'm going to bet the [ __ ] out of Caillou Fernandez."
KO R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Harry Hardwick 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Harry Hardwick 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Harry Hardwick 8 of 23 34% 6 of 18 0 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 24 of 40 60% 11 of 24 3 of 4 10 of 12 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Harry Hardwick 8 of 23 34% 6 of 18 0 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 24 of 40 60% 11 of 24 3 of 4 10 of 12 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.

Fernandes by decision
"I'm leaning Fernandez here. I think the line's about accurate. Minus 175 makes sense to me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Connor picks Fernandes, noting that Hardwick's game of hanging in the pocket as an under-athletic fighter is a fine line. He believes Fernandes's athleticism and direct style will ask questions Hardwick may not have answers for, especially on short notice. Connor also mentions that Hardwick's style could work if he forces a war, but Fernandes's preparation for the original opponent (Ziam) might not help against a different style.

Fernandes opened at -190, now -160; Hardwick opened at +165, now +140
"I think I have to take Fernandez. Yeah. I mean, like kind of like we were saying with with Mason Jones on the main part, Vivi, like he's not a an elite athlete either. But his game is like very …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Zane picks Fernandes on short notice, citing that Hardwick's pocket-craftsman style may not work against a more athletic, intercepting striker like Fernandes. He notes that Hardwick is an under-athletic fighter who relies on being a scrapper, and that Fernandes's direct game and takedown defense could be problematic. However, Zane acknowledges that Hardwick's style is consistent and could cause problems if he imposes his will.

Fernandes opened at -190, now -160; Hardwick opened at +165, now +140
"I will also pick Fernandez on short notice, on extremely short notice. Yeah. But on the other hand, there's really only one way that Hardwick fights."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 71 40% 36 of 81 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 2 79 of 149 53% 79 of 149 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 7 of 21 33% 7 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 0 26 of 50 52% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:05
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 23 of 46 50% 23 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 71 40% 16 of 51 10 of 15 3 of 5 23 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 79 of 149 53% 40 of 103 16 of 19 23 of 27 62 of 127 5 of 5 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 7 of 21 33% 3 of 14 3 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 26 of 50 52% 14 of 34 5 of 6 7 of 10 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Guram Kutateladze 9 of 21 42% 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 30 of 53 56% 15 of 37 7 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 35 4 of 4 9 of 14
3 Guram Kutateladze 13 of 29 44% 7 of 19 4 of 7 2 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 23 of 46 50% 11 of 32 4 of 6 8 of 8 19 of 42 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.

Considering win inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds props when they drop
"I'm going to go against the grain... I think Caillou Hernandez wins this fight flat out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.

Guram by decision
"I'm kind of leaning at guram Cuda to L by decision so give me guram here and Guam to win this fight by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Connor agrees with Zane, noting Kutateladze is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, though he doesn't love fighting. He thinks Fernandes' kicking game will be a problem for Kutateladze, but Kutateladze can outwrestle him or land a single shot. Connor notes Fernandes has defensive flaws.

"I think kutatiladzi could out wrestle him if he wants to."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.

"I believe the overall game here from the Muay Thai to the wrestling of Couta Tadz should nullify most of Fernandez's offense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.

"I am going to have to lean towards gram cedi he's just a better fighter overall"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Zane picks Kutateladze, noting he is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, though he doesn't love fighting and can drift. He thinks Kutateladze can outwrestle Fernandes or land a single shot. Zane notes Fernandes has defensive flaws and his unathleticism is protected by distance, but Kutateladze can wheel kick him.

"Same kutatiladzi is as I said not great but actually very good."
CANCEL vs Jared Gordon
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Kauê Fernandes as an underdog, arguing that the odds are too wide. He notes that Jared Gordon's only real path to victory is wrestling, and Fernandes has solid takedown defense (62%) and dangerous striking. He worries about Fernandes' takedown defense but thinks Fernandes can win if he uses leg kicks to take away Gordon's wrestling.

"I'm going to lean the dog we're going two fights in a row dog Caillou Fernandez my one and only concern here is the takedown defense of Caillou"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon to win by finish in the second or third round. He heavily criticizes Kauê Fernandes' competition level, noting his opponents have poor records and he has not fought anyone decent. He believes Gordon's well-rounded skills and consistency will overwhelm Fernandes, who likely needs an early finish to win.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go Jared Gordon getting this one done by finish in the second or third round"
TKO (punches) R1 4:45 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.

"caio Fernandez is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.

"I think Fernandez is really solid striking I think he has a lot of power I think he has a very sneaky submission game as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.

"The reason I'm going to end up going with Fernandez not just because he's some big favorite."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.

"I'm a lean CWI because I see them as similar Fighters and CWI just being more physical"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mohammad Yahya

Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.

sprinkle at +340
"I feel Yaya at plus 340 is worth a bit of a sprinkle here to go out there and grind Fernandez out and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.

"Yeah probably um yeah Fernandez makes this fight easier for himself by by Leon the wrestling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.

"I'm gonna go Fernandez over Yaya I think yeah I don't like Yaya feel like he got bruised around a bit too much"
LOSS vs Marc Diakiese
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 23 of 42 54% 67 of 92 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Kauê Fernandes 0 13 of 32 40% 65 of 92 3 of 8 37% 0 1 8:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 6 of 13 46% 17 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 10 40% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:33
2 Marc Diakiese 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 12 33% 16 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:50
3 Marc Diakiese 0 7 of 10 70% 30 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Kauê Fernandes 0 5 of 10 50% 35 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 23 of 42 54% 6 of 20 8 of 13 9 of 9 21 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 13 of 32 40% 11 of 26 2 of 5 0 of 1 7 of 18 2 of 4 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 6 of 13 46% 2 of 6 2 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Marc Diakiese 10 of 19 52% 2 of 9 5 of 7 3 of 3 9 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 12 33% 4 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 9 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 7 of 10 70% 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 5 of 10 50% 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Fernandes despite Diakiese's experience and competition edge. He believes Fernandes can defend takedowns and will stay in Diakiese's face with striking, causing trouble. He notes Diakiese has become more of a wrestler lately, but his wrestling is decent at best, while Fernandes has solid takedown defense. Angelo placed a small underdog bet on Fernandes at +145, noting the line is tightening.

small underdog bet at +145, line tightening to +116
"I am going to lean Fernandez here obviously Marc Dy has the uh experience level the competition Edge heavily favors him but I like Fernandez I think he can defend the takedowns I think he's going to come forward I …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes that Diakiese has evolved into a wrestler, with 11 takedowns against Slava Borshchev and 8 against Damir Hadzovic. He trusts Diakiese's cardio and fight IQ, and believes Fernandes is dangerous early but fades. He also mentions that Diakiese's submission loss to Joel Alvarez was due to a head clash.

"I like di Casey here um and D Casey's fought the much better competition... give me Mark D Casey to win this fight and win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his UFC experience, improved cardio, and well-rounded game. He notes that Diakiese has evolved from a dynamic striker to a more complete fighter who uses offensive wrestling. Levi acknowledges Diakiese's inconsistency and tendency to flake, but believes this is a step down in competition. He sees Fernandes as dangerous early with his BJJ and head kicks, but expects Diakiese's cardio and wrestling to take over in later rounds. Levi is leaning Diakiese but not with high confidence.

Diakiese wins by decision, Diakiese wins inside distance
"I'll pick Diakiese with the experience... but it's not gonna surprise me one bit if this guy flakes out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Marc Diakiese

James acknowledges that Diakiese deserves to be a favorite but sees too much danger on the Fernandes side due to his unproven UFC debut and potential cardio issues. He notes that Diakiese has been submitted multiple times and that Fernandes has speed and power, but he also points out that Fernandes gassed in his last extended fight. Ultimately, James is not betting this fight because he cannot trust either fighter, but he leans Diakiese as the rightful favorite.

"I guess I'm picking mark in this fight because I think he should be a favorite but there's too much danger Factor on the Fernandez side."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Diakiese has a solid submission defense to thwart Fernandes' offensive attacks on the mat. As the fight goes into deeper waters, Diakiese will find it easier to control Fernandes on the mat and do good work from top position. Diakiese is good enough in the striking realm to deal with Fernandes' early threat, and will likely drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision win.

surprised line is dropping; thinks -130 is a gift
"I'm kind of surprised that the line is dropping as much as it has... I think that that's a solid spot, I think that's a gift of a spot to take the Casey here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese over Kauê Fernandes. He notes that Fernandes is a good regional fighter with finishing potential, but he gassed after the first round when facing adversity. Diakiese is tough to finish early, having only lost to Joel Alvarez due to a head clash. The Guru expects Diakiese to weather an early storm and then take over in the later rounds via grappling, predicting a third-round TKO or submission.

"I'm going to go with Mark Jai mainly because although KY Fernandez... he absolutely gassed after the first round... I'm going to go with Mark Jai via a third round TKO or finish by submission"