Career Averages - Jeka Saragih
Career Averages - Lucas Alexander
Jeka Saragih
Lucas Alexander
Jeka Saragih - Fight History
Angelo picks Yoo Joo-sang very confidently, calling Jeka Saragih a bar brawler who sucks. He praises Yoo's fluid striking, confidence, and grappling. He thinks Jeka's only chance is a lucky punch, which he doesn't see happening. He parlayed Yoo with Azamat Murzakanov as his two most confident picks.
Big Brady picks Yoo Joo-sang, noting his solid striking and grappling. He thinks Jeka Saragih is dangerous early but will fade, and that Yoo will mix in takedowns and break Saragih in the second or third round. He calls Saragih's win over Lucas Alexander a fluke and doubts he will win another UFC fight. He predicts Yoo by second-round submission.
This is considered a squash match for Yoo Joo-sang. As long as he avoids Saragih's early power, he will take the fight to the ground quickly and find a finish within one round. The pick is for Yoo Joo-sang via TKO or submission in round one.
The MMA Guru picks Yoo Joo-sang but is hesitant, noting his padded record against weak opponents. He acknowledges Jeka Saragih has power and a chance to KO, but Saragih is easy to take down and has bad losses. He bets on Yoo's recent improvement and finishes, predicting a first or second round finish. He sees value on Saragih as an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JooSang Yoo | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jeka Saragih | 1 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JooSang Yoo | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jeka Saragih | 1 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JooSang Yoo | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jeka Saragih | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JooSang Yoo | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jeka Saragih | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
This appears to be a duplicate listing of the same matchup as fight_id 8369. Angelo's pick is the same: Yoo Joo-sang. He is very confident, calling Jeka a bar brawler and praising Yoo's skills. He parlayed Yoo with Azamat Murzakanov.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jeka, citing his one-punch power and the fact that Westin Wilson gets hit and has been knocked out. He notes Jeka also has grappling as a backup. He acknowledges Westin's length and karate style could cause trouble if Jeka headhunts and gasses, but ultimately believes Jeka's power is the difference. He suggests betting Jeka inside the distance or by KO.
Cody picks Westin Wilson as a live underdog, noting his size and reach advantage, and that Saragih is a low-volume striker with poor grappling. He acknowledges Wilson's poor chin but thinks he can use distance management and possibly submit Saragih. Cody calls it a 'sprinkle' and expects Wilson to either win by decision or get knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland is critical of Westin Wilson's athleticism, head movement, durability, and confidence at the UFC level. He believes Jeka Saragih, despite being green, has knockout power and will knock out Wilson. He sarcastically notes that Wilson is a favorable matchup for Saragih.
Jacob picks Jeka but does not trust him, recalling Jeka's previous loss as a lock of the week where he looked lost on the ground. He notes that Westin Wilson has been competitive against better fighters and can land shots that could clip Jeka. He thinks Jeka should win but is not confident and is not betting him.
Saragih has knockout power and should eventually find Wilson's chin and put him out. However, the odds are not worth it. Wilson is a poor man's Wonderboy and could be dangerous with a submission, but Saragih's power is the deciding factor.
Paul picks Jeka Saragih but is hesitant, noting that Saragih has power but is low-volume and has shown poor grappling. He thinks Saragih will likely land a big shot and knock out Wilson, but the price is too high for comfort. Paul prefers to look for a prop like Wilson by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Jeka Saragih, calling him a knockout artist with explosive power. He believes Saragih will land brutal KO shots early, referencing his spinning backfist and straight right hand. He dismisses Westin Wilson's flashy techniques and thinks Wilson has a good chin for KO shots, meaning Saragih will find the finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lucas Alexander, citing his superior technique, BJJ, and high-level experience. He notes that both fighters have one-punch power but believes Lucas is better everywhere. He mentions the odds at 3-to-1 seem a little wide because Jeka could end it at any moment, but still expects Lucas to win.
Big Brady notes that Saragih looked terrible against Anshul Jubilee and that Alexander has heavy kicks, including breaking someone's arm. He thinks Alexander is the much better striker and will break Saragih down with leg kicks, leading to an attritional TKO. He predicts a third-round knockout, noting Saragih is dangerous early but Alexander has never been knocked out.
Cody picks Lucas Alexander confidently, citing his performance against Steve Peterson and Saragih's poor showing against Anheliger. He notes Saragih's one-dimensional striking and poor wrestling. Alexander is stronger, more dynamic, and can win by striking or grappling.
Alexander is a technical striker with good anticipation and counter striking. He uses calf kicks and accurate punches to pick apart opponents. Saragih is reckless and lacks technical acumen, though he has durability. Alexander will chip away from distance and land big shots, likely winning by decision. Saragih's recklessness could lead to a knockout, but Alexander's power may not finish him.
Paul picks Alexander, noting Saragih's flat-footed style and poor takedown defense. He believes Alexander's power and grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Saragih's only chance is a puncher's chance, but Alexander is the better fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Lucas Alexander over Jeka Saragih, despite admitting he doubted Alexander early in his career. He criticizes Saragih as a 'diversity hire' who lost in the Road to UFC tournament final but got into the UFC anyway. He notes Alexander's reach and height advantage and expects him to score a decision win by keeping the fight rangy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anshul Jubli | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 20 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 38 of 51 | 74% | 74 of 99 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 7:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anshul Jubli | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:34 | |
| 2 | Anshul Jubli | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 29 of 31 | 93% | 54 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anshul Jubli | 14 of 25 | 56% | 2 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 11 | 10 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Jeka Saragih | 38 of 51 | 74% | 36 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 37 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anshul Jubli | 13 of 21 | 61% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 9 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Jeka Saragih | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | |
| 2 | Anshul Jubli | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jeka Saragih | 29 of 31 | 93% | 27 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 30 |
Big Brady favors Saragih's power and finishing ability, noting his 92% finish rate. He worries about Saragih's cardio but thinks he can get an early knockout. He picks Saragih by first-round knockout but suggests Jubli could be a live bet if the fight extends.
Cody picks Saragih, surprised he is the underdog. He notes Saragih has more tools and is a potent finisher with spinning attacks and power. He thinks Jubli is a straightforward striker who gasses, while Saragih has shown finishing ability. He took Saragih at -110.
Connor agrees with Zane, pointing out that Jubli is not a knockout artist and may lack power despite his height. He notes that Saragih has natural power and sets up entries well, and that Jubli's tendency to step into the pocket could lead to a rude awakening. He also mentions that Jubli was shaken by a left hook in a previous fight, and Saragih could land a similar shot that knocks him out cold.
Paul picks Saragih, calling him a showman with legitimate power. He notes Saragih's highlight-reel knockouts and willingness to take a punch to land one. He thinks Jubli has better movement but gasses, and Saragih will eventually land a knockout. He expects a sloppy, entertaining fight ending in a KO for Saragih.
Zane favors Saragih due to the latent stiffness in Jubli's game, comparing him to an early-stage Henry Hooft fighter who overthinks and has a half-second delay. He notes that Saragih is a stocky, muscle-bound power hitter with quick triggers and a willingness to brawl, and that Jubli's fundamental approach may lead to a prospect loss where shortcuts are rewarded.
Lucas Alexander - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Grad | 0 | 46 of 66 | 69% | 59 of 86 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 47 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Grad | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 13 of 20 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 28 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Grad | 0 | 41 of 57 | 71% | 46 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Grad | 46 of 66 | 69% | 42 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 34 of 44 |
| Lucas Alexander | 34 of 52 | 65% | 19 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Grad | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 15 of 23 | 65% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Grad | 41 of 57 | 71% | 37 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 44 |
| Lucas Alexander | 19 of 29 | 65% | 9 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bogdan Grad because of his well-rounded skills, methodical approach, and high finishing rate (11 stoppages in 14 wins). He notes that Lucas Alexander is dangerous but coming off a KO loss to a low-level opponent. He believes Grad's control and pace will be mistaken for inability to finish, but Grad finds finishes without being reckless.
Big Brady likes Lucas Alexander's striking and thinks he trains with good guys. He notes Alexander has been submitted three times and has questionable takedown defense, but believes Alexander will piece up Bogdan Grad across three rounds. Grad is tough and has heart but is a walking punching bag. Brady would have liked Alexander more at +170 but thinks pick 'em is about accurate.
Alexander's Muay Thai striking and ability to fight from both stances will allow him to pick apart Grad's erratic style. Grad's explosivity and grappling may cause early trouble, but Alexander's technical striking and work off the back foot should secure a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Bogdan Grad, believing he is good enough on the feet to hang with Lucas Alexander and will have a takedown threat advantage. He notes Alexander is coming off a first-round TKO loss and has been out for over a year. He thinks Grad can get the job done early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeka Saragih | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lucas Alexander | 11 of 16 | 68% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lucas Alexander, citing his superior technique, BJJ, and high-level experience. He notes that both fighters have one-punch power but believes Lucas is better everywhere. He mentions the odds at 3-to-1 seem a little wide because Jeka could end it at any moment, but still expects Lucas to win.
Big Brady notes that Saragih looked terrible against Anshul Jubilee and that Alexander has heavy kicks, including breaking someone's arm. He thinks Alexander is the much better striker and will break Saragih down with leg kicks, leading to an attritional TKO. He predicts a third-round knockout, noting Saragih is dangerous early but Alexander has never been knocked out.
Cody picks Lucas Alexander confidently, citing his performance against Steve Peterson and Saragih's poor showing against Anheliger. He notes Saragih's one-dimensional striking and poor wrestling. Alexander is stronger, more dynamic, and can win by striking or grappling.
Alexander is a technical striker with good anticipation and counter striking. He uses calf kicks and accurate punches to pick apart opponents. Saragih is reckless and lacks technical acumen, though he has durability. Alexander will chip away from distance and land big shots, likely winning by decision. Saragih's recklessness could lead to a knockout, but Alexander's power may not finish him.
Paul picks Alexander, noting Saragih's flat-footed style and poor takedown defense. He believes Alexander's power and grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Saragih's only chance is a puncher's chance, but Alexander is the better fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Lucas Alexander over Jeka Saragih, despite admitting he doubted Alexander early in his career. He criticizes Saragih as a 'diversity hire' who lost in the Road to UFC tournament final but got into the UFC anyway. He notes Alexander's reach and height advantage and expects him to score a decision win by keeping the fight rangy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 26 of 101 | 25% | 27 of 102 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 85 of 158 | 53% | 86 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Peterson | 0 | 27 of 54 | 50% | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 0 | 7 of 36 | 19% | 8 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Steven Peterson | 1 | 34 of 63 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Alexander | 26 of 101 | 25% | 8 of 67 | 9 of 18 | 9 of 16 | 25 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 85 of 158 | 53% | 43 of 108 | 20 of 27 | 22 of 23 | 78 of 142 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Alexander | 11 of 34 | 32% | 2 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 24 of 41 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lucas Alexander | 8 of 31 | 25% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 27 of 54 | 50% | 10 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 27 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lucas Alexander | 7 of 36 | 19% | 2 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Peterson | 34 of 63 | 53% | 21 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 |
Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.
Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.
Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.
Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.
Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.
The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.
The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.
Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Lucas Alexander | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucas Alexander | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-350), Alexander (+255)
Round 1
The action ticks up one notch as we move to the featherweight division. After a veritable revolving door of opponents, heavy-handed Brazilian finisher Brito (13-3-1, 1-1 UFC) now squares off against fellow countryman Alexander (7-2, 0-0 UFC) in the latter’s UFC debut. While both are the same age, Brito holds greater high-level experience, having fought up through the LFA to DWCS and then the UFC. Meanwhile, his opponent comes in on a five-fight win streak, with most of those victories coming in Florida-based leagues. The third man in the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is a touch of gloves to get things started. Brito immediately starts racing forward, and he wings a low kick that comes up short. Alexander responds with one that lands, but he already finds himself backed up to the cage and ducking a haymaker. Brito bears down on him and loads up on right hands, and he ducks a head kick by a matter of millimeters and allows Alexander to fall to the mat. Brito lifts his man up and slams him down, and then does this a second time when Alexander gets to his knees. Brito knees the thigh a few times before scooping “The Lion” up and dropping him down once more. When Alexander moves back to his feet, Brito jumps on his back to serve as a malicious backpack, while setting up some form of a rear-naked choke.
Brito tightens his legs around the waist and switches his arms to sink his right forearm under the chin. The choke is instantly tight and Brito has plenty of energy to crush it like a vice, and he drags the newcomer from behind down to the ground to make the submission purely academic. Barely one second after they hit the mat, and Alexander taps out frantically from the maneuver, as he would likely go out if the grip remained tight for too much longer.
Tubular work for "Tubarao" Brito, who now posts an even number of knockouts and submissions on his ledger while lifting his finish rate above 85%.
The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Lucas Alexander R1 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.
Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.
The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Lucas Alexander, citing his superior technique, BJJ, and high-level experience. He notes that both fighters have one-punch power but believes Lucas is better everywhere. He mentions the odds at 3-to-1 seem a little wide because Jeka could end it at any moment, but still expects Lucas to win.
Big Brady notes that Saragih looked terrible against Anshul Jubilee and that Alexander has heavy kicks, including breaking someone's arm. He thinks Alexander is the much better striker and will break Saragih down with leg kicks, leading to an attritional TKO. He predicts a third-round knockout, noting Saragih is dangerous early but Alexander has never been knocked out.
Cody picks Lucas Alexander confidently, citing his performance against Steve Peterson and Saragih's poor showing against Anheliger. He notes Saragih's one-dimensional striking and poor wrestling. Alexander is stronger, more dynamic, and can win by striking or grappling.
Alexander is a technical striker with good anticipation and counter striking. He uses calf kicks and accurate punches to pick apart opponents. Saragih is reckless and lacks technical acumen, though he has durability. Alexander will chip away from distance and land big shots, likely winning by decision. Saragih's recklessness could lead to a knockout, but Alexander's power may not finish him.
Paul picks Alexander, noting Saragih's flat-footed style and poor takedown defense. He believes Alexander's power and grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Saragih's only chance is a puncher's chance, but Alexander is the better fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Lucas Alexander over Jeka Saragih, despite admitting he doubted Alexander early in his career. He criticizes Saragih as a 'diversity hire' who lost in the Road to UFC tournament final but got into the UFC anyway. He notes Alexander's reach and height advantage and expects him to score a decision win by keeping the fight rangy.
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