vs
-198 +188
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig Next Fight
Age 31
Height 6' 0"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 6"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jose Johnson
2.27 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
1.61 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.69 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
41.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chad Anheliger
3.11 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
2.76 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.68 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
38.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Jose Johnson
Moneyline
DraftKings -198
KO/TKO
BetRivers +265
Submission
BetRivers +700
Decision
FanDuel +200
Chad Anheliger
Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
BetRivers +575
Submission
BetRivers +1150
Decision
BetWay +450
Jose Johnson - Fight History
LOSS vs Felipe Bunes
Submission (armbar) R1 2:04 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felipe Bunes 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Jose Johnson 0 2 of 7 28% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felipe Bunes 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Jose Johnson 0 2 of 7 28% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felipe Bunes 8 of 14 57% 3 of 8 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 2 1 of 1
Jose Johnson 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felipe Bunes 8 of 14 57% 3 of 8 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 2 1 of 1
Jose Johnson 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Felipe Bunes

Angelo picks Felipe Bunes, emphasizing Jose Johnson's inability to defend takedowns. He notes that Bunes is a BJJ black belt with slick submissions and will likely get takedowns and control the fight. He mentions he bet on Bunes at +175 and the odds have since tightened. He expects Bunes to win via takedowns and submission threat.

Bet on Felipe Bunes at +175
"Felipe is the pick I have a bet on him I bet on him at plus 175 that is obviously tighten down to plus 155"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Big Brady highlights Johnson's unreal power for a flyweight and his size (6'0"). He notes that opponents have success taking Johnson down, but Bunes may not have the cardio to wrestle for 15 minutes. If Bunes doesn't submit Johnson early, he will slow down, and Johnson's power and submission game carry late. Brady predicts Johnson wins by second-round knockout, though he mentions submission is also possible.

second round knockout
"give me Jose Johnson to win this fight I think it could be knockout I think it could be submission I think it could be club and sub but I'll say Jose Johnson wins this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Cody picks Johnson but recommends live betting after the first round, expecting Bunes to gas. He notes Johnson's comfort off his back and Bunes's age and cardio issues. He believes Johnson will land meaningful shots in later rounds.

live bet on Johnson after round 1
"live BET live bet Johnson but because on our show we have to make a pre-fight pick it's going to be Johnson"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Felipe Bunes

Daniel thinks Johnson's takedown defense and getup game are weak, and Bunes can have takedown success and possibly get a submission. He notes Johnson is tall for flyweight and has a range kickboxing game, but Bunes can surprise. He picks Bunes for the upset.

"I'm going to go funas for the upset here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Johnson's length and reach (6' tall, 71-inch reach) will allow him to keep Bunes at distance, get into his striking groove, and pick him apart to win on the scorecards.

"Johnson is a very long and lanky flyweight standing at 6' tall and is 71 in reach I believe that he'll utilize that length and reach to keep Felipe bues at distance really get into his Groove with his striking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Johnson's takedown defense issues but Bunes's tendency to fade. He prefers to watch the live market rather than bet pre-fight. He sees Johnson's guard as crafty but not enough to scare Bunes.

"I don't have much to add to that as well it's like that's you Echo a lot of the same sentiments"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

The Guru picks Johnson, citing his height (6 feet) and reach (71.2 inches) at flyweight as a difficult puzzle. He notes Johnson's good scrambles and win over Jack Cartwright on the contender series. He dismisses Bunes as a poor prospect with losses and age (35). He acknowledges Johnson's losses to top competition but thinks he's talented enough to win.

"I'm going to go Jose Johnson I just think he's a difficult tricky task at flyweight"
LOSS vs Asu Almabayev
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Asu Almabayev 0 20 of 29 68% 77 of 109 6 of 11 54% 4 1 11:24
Jose Johnson 0 5 of 21 23% 58 of 79 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Asu Almabayev 0 4 of 7 57% 12 of 19 5 of 7 71% 1 0 3:24
Jose Johnson 0 3 of 11 27% 29 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Asu Almabayev 0 8 of 12 66% 34 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 0 4:08
Jose Johnson 0 2 of 6 33% 9 of 14 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:07
3 Asu Almabayev 0 8 of 10 80% 31 of 43 1 of 3 33% 2 1 3:52
Jose Johnson 0 0 of 4 0% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Asu Almabayev 20 of 29 68% 12 of 19 3 of 3 5 of 7 4 of 10 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jose Johnson 5 of 21 23% 3 of 16 1 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Asu Almabayev 4 of 7 57% 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jose Johnson 3 of 11 27% 1 of 6 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Asu Almabayev 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 7
Jose Johnson 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Asu Almabayev 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 7
Jose Johnson 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Johnson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almabaev (-470), Johnson (+360)

Round 1
There will be a fairly radical size discrepancy in this next flyweight tilt. At 5-foot-4, the not-undersized Almabaev (19-2, 2-0 UFC) aims to keep his mighty 15-fight win streak intact. As for his opponent, “No Way Jose” Johnson (16-8, 1-1 UFC) heard the critics saying “No Way” to his cut down to 125 pounds. At an even six feet, Johnson will become the tallest fighter in UFC flyweight history when he steps in the cage. Referee Herb Dean checks the two in as they bump fists, and they both try to find their range early. After about 20 seconds, Almabaev aims a leg kick, and when he is a few inches short, Johnson stands back and watches it zoom by as he showboats. Johnson uses his distance to jab with the ball of his foot and his fists, and he plants a heavy low kick on the lead wheel. When Johnson strikes with another kick, Almabaev decides he is sick of playing on the outside and grabs the kick out of mid-air and slings Johnson down to the mat with gravitas. Almabaev moves into the guard of his opponent, and Johnson is busy off his back slugging away with anything he can find. Johnson tries to kick off the hips in search of a sweep or escape, and when that fails, he lifts his legs up high for a possible triangle choke. Almabaev shrugs it off and stays as tight as he can on the six-footer, landing short shots to the body and the occasional right hand to the head. Johnson hacks with elbows off his back before hitting a sweep that allows him to stand back up. Almabaev clings to him from behind before dragging the taller man down, and when Johnson stands once more, Almabaev leaps to take his back. Almabaev gets one hook in and isolates the neck, and he slithers his right arm under the chin. Johnson hand-fights to break up the submission, and he claws Almabaev off of him. Almabaev drags him down to the floor for a second, and he hits a quick mat return and then one more. Johnson pops up every time he is grounded from this position, and Almabaev looks for a trip or some knees to the thigh to stay busy. Almabaev pulls Johnson down from behind, and Johnson spins around and works his way up. The positional exchange in the clinch is where the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev

Round 2
There is no glove touch to start the round, as Almabaev instead wants to measure a perfect wheel kick that smashes into the side of the American’s head. Johnson takes it like a champ and does not so much as wobble, although he takes time to reset. This allows Almabaev to spin for a kick to the ribs, and he plants his feet and shoots for a double. Johnson bowls him over and lands in full mount, but Almabaev keeps moving and turns the taller man over. Johnson locks his legs around the head of his opponent with a triangle choke, but his left leg is beneath the armpit so Almabaev is not overly concerned. Johnson tries to move the submission around and regather his leg grip, and the Kazakh fighter stacks Johnson up until he breaks out of it. Johnson is a little lax when they split, allowing Almabaev to circle around, get both hooks in and start hunting for a rear-naked choke. Almabaev moves over to full mount rather than going for the choke, and this lets Johnson recover his butterfly hooks to push Almabaev back a smidge. Almabaev sits up and elbows him in the chops a few times, and Johnson closes his guard but is still getting worked. Almabaev keeps control from above, stifling the lanky striker and getting off ground-and-pound. Almabaev steps over to half guard while raining down right hands, and he disallows Johnson from any escape attempt. Johnson turns over to give his back up, and Almabaev welcomes this and takes it while getting a hook in from behind. Almabaev softens his man up with strikes until he latches on with a rear-naked choke, and the grip is not right so he lets it go. A few more punches get around the guard before the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev

Round 3
Gloves get touched to begin the last round, and Almabaev introduces himself with a thudding leg kick and a spinning kick to the ribs. As he plants his feet after the second, Almabaev races forward and tackles Johnson to the floor. Johnson wall-walks to get upright, but Almabaev has his grip around the waist and ragdolls the taller man around the cage wall. Johnson remains on his feet, and he rides out the takedown try of the man from Kazakhstan to wind up in the top position. Almabaev scrambles and inadvertently gives his back up, and Johnson sneaks one hook in. Almabaev is warned for grabbing the inside of the gloves to turn himself about, and Johnson clings to him with a body triangle and keep the back. Almabaev keeps turning until he manages to get enough space in the body lock to spin and move into the guard. Johnson spams short, meaningless punches to the ear, and he slides his leg up for a high guard setup. Almabaev tosses the limb to the side and smacks him in the face with his right hand twice before jamming an elbow into Johnson’s mug. Almabaev steps over to half guard and thinks about setting up an arm-triangle choke, and he sits up to whack Johnson with wide-arcing hammerfists. Johnson appears irritated but in no danger, and Almabaev traps his right arm beneath his body. Almabaev releases it so he can line up a heavy right hand, and he shifts over to half guard on the other side. Johnson turns to get away, and Almabaev secures his back and locks down a body triangle. Almabaev sneaks in a few right hands around the guard to give Johnson something to think about, and he slides one arm around the chin and does not secure it on the other side. Johnson turns to try to break up the choke again, and Almabaev squeezes with every bit of his remaining energy on what looks to be a face crank. The forearm again slips beneath the jaw, and it is tight. Almabaev eats a surprisingly fierce elbow from Johnson, and he continues to crush with his submission arm. The choke does not succeed, and Johnson reaches the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)

The Official Result
Asu Almabaev def. Jose Johnson via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Angelo picks Asu confidently, citing his dominant wrestling, cardio, and ability to close distance. He notes Jose Johnson is a long Muay Thai striker with poor takedown defense, and Asu will take him down and control him. He expects Asu to be worth his DraftKings salary due to takedowns and potential finish.

"Asu Almabayev is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Cody picks Almabayev but is hesitant due to the minus 600 line in a flyweight fight. He notes that Almabayev has good takedowns but poor top control, as he couldn't keep CJ Vergara down. He also highlights Jose Johnson's size (6 feet tall) and activity off his back, which could cause problems. Cody thinks Almabayev will likely win but the price is too high for comfort.

"the final verdict Almabayev but at six to one you'd expect him on the top ticket correct but he can't I can't do it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Daniel Vreeland picks Asu Almabayev as the favorite but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He acknowledges Jose Johnson's striking and scrambling ability but believes Almabayev's takedowns and ground game will be the difference. He notes Johnson gives up takedowns and is not a novice on the mat, but Almabayev should dominate if he gets top position.

"I'll take the minus 600 favorite but this is a doger pass situation"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Jacob picks Asu, questioning the love for Jose Johnson. He notes Jose was getting rolled by Chad Anheliger and needed a finish to avoid being 0-2. He thinks Asu's wrestling and scrambling are superior, and Jose's length won't help on the ground. He expects Asu to win easily.

"Asu is going to be the pick here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Almabayev will drag the fight to the ground, but must be wary of Johnson's knees up the middle and long limbs. He will grind from top position and win on the scorecards. This is a bad stylistic matchup for Johnson making his flyweight debut.

"I think we see alab successful in terms of dragging this fight to the ground although he needs to be wary of the knees up the middle from Johnson as well as the long limbs once they do end up …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Paul picks Almabayev, noting his well-rounded skills and takedown ability. He points out that Jose Johnson has been taken down frequently in the past and that Almabayev should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. Paul expects Almabayev to win by decision or submission.

"Almabayev rinse and repeat takedowns should get the victory here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

The MMA Guru picks Asu Almabayev, citing his good grappling that hasn't let him down, including dominant wins over Ode' Osbourne and CJ Vergara. He notes Jose Johnson has been taken down by worse grapplers and that Almabayev should be able to keep him down. He also comments on Johnson's extreme weight cut to flyweight, suggesting he will be frail and easy to toss around.

"I'm going to go with him to himn his grappling has been good so far hasn't really let him down yet"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jose Johnson 0 26 of 71 36% 47 of 103 4 of 8 50% 0 1 6:18
Chad Anheliger 0 63 of 108 58% 141 of 198 1 of 2 50% 1 2 4:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jose Johnson 0 10 of 23 43% 20 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:13
Chad Anheliger 0 23 of 41 56% 42 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:03
2 Jose Johnson 0 7 of 21 33% 8 of 23 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:13
Chad Anheliger 0 13 of 34 38% 32 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:05
3 Jose Johnson 0 9 of 27 33% 19 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:52
Chad Anheliger 0 27 of 33 81% 67 of 82 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jose Johnson 26 of 71 36% 14 of 49 6 of 13 6 of 9 19 of 54 4 of 6 3 of 11
Chad Anheliger 63 of 108 58% 42 of 78 15 of 18 6 of 12 25 of 53 10 of 17 28 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jose Johnson 10 of 23 43% 5 of 13 4 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 19 2 of 3 1 of 1
Chad Anheliger 23 of 41 56% 9 of 23 12 of 14 2 of 4 11 of 22 7 of 11 5 of 8
2 Jose Johnson 7 of 21 33% 1 of 10 1 of 3 5 of 8 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 13 of 34 38% 8 of 26 2 of 2 3 of 6 4 of 18 3 of 5 6 of 11
3 Jose Johnson 9 of 27 33% 8 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 10
Chad Anheliger 27 of 33 81% 25 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 13 0 of 1 17 of 19
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Angelo leans towards Chad Anheliger as a slight underdog, expecting him to power his way inside and land meaningful shots. He notes Jose Johnson has a reach and clinch advantage, but thinks Chad's pressure will be too much. He mentions the line may move and that Chad is a slight underdog.

Odds comment: slight underdog, plus money
"I'm going to lead towards the uh slight Underdog in Chad letter a period he's the pick and he is a slight Underdog so if you agree with that pick then you can go ahead and get him at some …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Big Brady is a big fan of Jose Johnson, noting his size and reach advantages (8 years younger, 6-inch height, 7.5-inch reach). He thinks Johnson has ridiculous power for bantamweight but Anheliger has never been knocked out, so he predicts a decision. He notes Johnson's takedown defense is bad but Anheliger doesn't wrestle, so it should be a striking match where Johnson cruises.

"I'll go with Johnson by decision here I think Johnson's going to use that height that reach to his Advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Cody picks Jose Johnson, citing his reach and volume advantages. He notes that Anheliger is 37, injury-prone, and has poor takedown defense. Johnson's length and cardio should allow him to stay on the outside and out-point Anheliger. Cody sees this as better value than the big favorites.

"Jose Johnson's the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Johnson has a significant height and reach advantage, using distance striking and good footwork. He can avoid Anheliger's power and stuff takedowns. Anheliger is 37 and has been inactive, relying on power but lacking volume. Johnson will batter Anheliger from range and win by decision.

"gim me Johnson here I think he avoids the big Power of andher I think he can Shu off any type of takedowns of wrestling that anro will be looking to implement in this spot and that will allow Johnson …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Paul agrees, highlighting Johnson's reach and speed. He notes that Anheliger has been taken down by lower-level opponents and lacks the wrestling to exploit Johnson's weakness. Paul thinks Johnson's volume and range control will secure the win.

"I'm with you Jose Johnson's the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Jose Johnson over Chad Anheliger, citing Johnson's massive reach advantage (7 inches) and height. He notes Johnson beat Jack Cartwright, who had wrestling credentials, and escaped submission attempts to work back to his feet. He believes Johnson's youth, talent, and range will be too much for Anheliger, and doesn't see Anheliger taking him down.

"I'm going to go with Jose Johnson... he's younger, talented, massive reach advantage, massive range advantage, and I don't see him getting taken down by Chad Anheliger."
Submission (twister) R1 3:47 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 18 of 30 60% 30 of 46 2 of 4 50% 1 0 2:57
Jose Johnson 0 8 of 12 66% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 18 of 30 60% 30 of 46 2 of 4 50% 1 0 2:57
Jose Johnson 0 8 of 12 66% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 18 of 30 60% 7 of 16 2 of 5 9 of 9 5 of 13 6 of 8 7 of 9
Jose Johnson 8 of 12 66% 4 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 9 0 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 18 of 30 60% 7 of 16 2 of 5 9 of 9 5 of 13 6 of 8 7 of 9
Jose Johnson 8 of 12 66% 4 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 9 0 of 2 1 of 1
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Da'Mon Blackshear

Cody picks Blackshear, citing his solid striking and top game. He notes Johnson's poor takedown defense and that Blackshear can mix in takedowns and control on the ground. He thinks Blackshear's experience against better competition (Yusuf Zalal, Basharat) will pay off. He expects Blackshear to get his first UFC win.

"Damon Blackshear will be the pick"
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

James has not taped this fight, which was made 12 hours ago, and offers no pick.

"This fight was made a few hours ago... haven't done tape."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Da'Mon Blackshear

Blackshear is an explosive and athletic striker with a BJJ black belt, and he does great work in scrambles. Johnson is a striker coming in on short notice, and I have questions about his takedown defense. Blackshear should be able to take advantage of Johnson's layoff and short notice to grind out a decision.

Blackshear by decision
"give me blackstrike here to grind this fight out and Win It by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Da'Mon Blackshear

Paul picks Blackshear, noting his improvements and solid grappling shown in his last fight against Luan Lacerda. He is surprised early action is on Johnson and thinks Blackshear's cardio and grappling will be too much. He expects Blackshear to win by decision or submission.

"for the purposes of this show will be Damon Blackshear with ya"
Chad Anheliger - Fight History
LOSS vs Cody Gibson
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Gibson 0 11 of 19 57% 59 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 16 of 34 47% 59 of 93 5 of 6 83% 2 0 12:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Gibson 0 5 of 9 55% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 4 of 16 25% 23 of 35 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:37
2 Cody Gibson 0 0 of 1 0% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 9 of 11 81% 27 of 40 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:39
3 Cody Gibson 0 6 of 9 66% 37 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 18 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Gibson 11 of 19 57% 8 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 3 11 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 16 of 34 47% 15 of 28 0 of 2 1 of 4 6 of 22 0 of 0 10 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Gibson 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 4 of 16 25% 3 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 3 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Cody Gibson 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 9 of 11 81% 9 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 10
3 Cody Gibson 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 3 of 7 42% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chad Anheliger vs. Cody Gibson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gibson (-198), Anheliger (+164)

Round 1
Sticking with the theme of Canada vs. the World, Anheliger (13-7, 2-2 UFC) reps his home nation against Tachi Palace Fights vet Gibson (20-10, 2-5 UFC). A whole eight (or nine, depending on Caio Machado) of the 13 matchups remaining on the lineup will feature a Canuck against a foreign adversary, and so far, Canada is 1-0 tonight. Looking to keep things rolling with a win from “The Monster,” the fans are fired up on the early prelims. Referee Jerin Valel draws the charge for this bantamweight clash, and the combatants touch ‘em up to get started. Anheliger takes to the center of the cage and parries a front kick, and he eventually gives back an inaccurate calf kick. Gibson sticks and moves, walking into a right hand and responding with a low kick. Anheliger wings a right hand over the top, stunning “The Renegade” for a moment. Anheliger slips a counter and tries to get past his opponent’s longer jab, and he fires off a low kick that lands with a thud and not a slap. Gibson jabs his way into a clinch, where he lifts Anheliger in the air and slams him down to his knees. Anheliger scoots towards the fence, and Gibson slides a hook in and stretches Anheliger out. Anheliger tries to kick off the fencing, and Gibson responds by setting up an arm-triangle choke. Anheliger uses several heel kicks to the kidney to irritate his opponent and prevent him from passing guard, although Gibson is in half guard looking for that arm-triangle, and he uses it to move to mount. Anheliger turns over to give up his back, scrambling madly, but Gibson is a dog with a bone and he does not let go. Anheliger manages to work to his feet again, and Gibson quickly mat returns him down to his knees. Anheliger tries to roll through, and Gibson follows him every step of the way. Even when Anheliger walks of the fence, he puts himself into submission danger as Gibson sells out for a guillotine choke. Gibson rolls the Canadian over with a one-arm guillotine, and he leans on the side in hopes of completing the sub without fastening it. Gibson is pushed off the chest of his adversary, threatening with a brabo choke as he transitions from one submission to the next. Anheliger survives the choke until the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gibson

Round 2
Anheliger practically races out of his corner to resume combat, but he pulls back and does not throw. Gibson swings first, and when Anheliger counters, Gibson ducks under and hits an easy takedown. Gibson lands in half guard, where he is quick to use shoulder pressure with an arm-triangle before sliding to full mount like a hot knife through poutine. Gibson allows Anheliger to turn and twist so he can beat on him and flatten him out, and Gibson punches his way into a rear-naked choke setup. The forearm is on the chin and not under it, and he adjusts his grip and slashes down with a ferocious elbow that slashes open the Canadian’s forehead. Gibson maintains a body lock while threatening with a sub or battering Anheliger with strikes, and Anheliger is completely nullified and having to hang on for dear life. Gibson drops down three particularly powerful elbows, and he takes advantage of the new 12-6 elbow rule removal by hammering Anheliger with one. Gibson grabs hold of an arm-triangle choke, and he only releases it to shift over to the side. Gibson slides back to mount just so he can lock on the arm-triangle choke, and he jumps back to the side. Anheliger defends by grabbing his own leg, using it to create just enough space to sit up and then work his way to the fence. Gibson hangs on from behind, looping a hook between his foe’s legs so he can try to drag Anheliger back down. Gibson succeeds in wrenching Anheliger to the mat, and he hovers over his opponent until he decides to move to the side and grab an arm-triangle. “The Renegade” lets it go when seeing openings for strikes, and he drops down nasty ground-and-pound to make Anheliger think twice about his life decisions leading up to today. Gibson holds with a body triangle and punches his man on the side of the head until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Gibson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gibson

Round 3
Anheliger does not appear deflated despite two tough rounds against him, instead surging out of his corner and tossing aside a front kick. Anheliger lances out a left hand that shakes Gibson up, and he gets the crowd excited by landing cleanly on the Californian. Gibson desperately shoots for a takedown, and even when he lands on his back, a scramble and sweep allows him to spin Anheliger to his back. Gibson lords over his opponent, not settling in any one position while starting to open up with body shots. Anheliger has nothing to offer off his back, and precious seconds peel off the clock while Gibson methodically beats on him like a drum. Anheliger turns to his side and leans against the wall to stand up, and he pulls himself upright and draws a warning from Valel for fence grabbing. It does not slow Anheliger, but Gibson remains tightly wrapped around his waist. Gibson settles for grinding on and controlling the Canadian, and he stifles a counter throw to wrestle Anheliger to his knees. Anheliger’s attempts to escape are thwarted one after the other, and Gibson gets a hook in on the outside. Anheliger counters by cranking on the leg, and the crowd likes it until Gibson establishes a body lock around the waist. Gibson briefly threatens with an arm-triangle choke again, but Anheliger is able to fight it off. Gibson postures up with seconds to spare, landing swinging punches until the final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gibson (30-26 Gibson)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gibson (30-27 Gibson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gibson (30-27 Gibson)

The Official Result
Cody Gibson def. Chad Anheliger via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Angelo picks Cody Gibson because he thinks Gibson can control the striking range and sneak in a few takedowns. He notes Chad Anheliger was taken down four times in his last fight but still won, and suggests a plus 3.5 round spread bet on Chad as a dog. He sees this as a close fight that could be 29-28 type, so the spread is appealing.

plus 3.5 round spread bet on Chad Anheliger
"I'm going to pick Cody here because I think he can control the Striking range and sneak in a few takedowns but it might be a plus three and a half bet on Chad he's a dog and I think …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Big Brady picks Cody Gibson to win by second-round submission. He notes Gibson's size and reach advantages, and that Anheliger has poor takedown defense (42%) and has been submitted six times. Brady expects Gibson to mix in takedowns and eventually work to a submission, citing that Jose Johnson outgrappled Anheliger in his last fight.

submission in round 2
"I like Gibson here I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Cody picks Cody Gibson, citing his size, reach, wrestling, and experience. He notes that Anheliger is smaller and older, and relies on grit but lacks the physical tools to compete with Gibson. He believes Gibson's striking and wrestling will be too much, and that Anheliger's path to victory is limited.

"I got to go with the bigger guy Cody Gibs."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Daniel Vreeland picks Cody Gibson, citing his physicality and size advantage over Chad Anheliger, who is notably smaller (5'4" reach). He respects Anheliger's skills and toughness but believes Gibson's physicality will bully him. Vreeland notes that Anheliger has not been finished in the UFC but expects Gibson to out-hustle him and win a decision.

"I'm gonna go Cody Gibson to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Gibson is a much better and more experienced version of Anheliger, utilizing solid boxing and slick combination striking, and his wrestling should be the X-factor, keeping Anheliger on the defensive and allowing Gibson to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Gibson is just a much better and more experienced version of him utilizing a very solid boxing and Slick combination striking approach but also his wrestling which should be the X Factor in this fight will keep Anheliger …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

Paul agrees, noting Gibson's size advantage and higher level of competition. He believes Anheliger's grit won't be enough against a bigger, more skilled opponent. He expects Gibson to win a competitive decision or late stoppage.

"I got to go with the bigger guy Cody Gibs."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cody Gibson

The Guru picks Cody Gibson over Chad Anheliger, expecting a high-paced fight. He believes Gibson's size and reach advantage (seven inches) will be decisive, and he sees Gibson as more physically imposing. He predicts a decision win, not a finish.

decision
"I'm going to go with Cody Gibson because I think this will be a very high pace fight... Cody Gibson's a lot bigger than him and Cody Gibson's got seven inches of reach on him"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chad Anheliger 0 21 of 65 32% 26 of 70 4 of 5 80% 0 0 5:24
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 85 of 155 54% 144 of 220 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chad Anheliger 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:38
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 8 of 15 53% 25 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:34
2 Chad Anheliger 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 26 of 33 78% 68 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chad Anheliger 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 51 of 107 47% 51 of 107 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chad Anheliger 21 of 65 32% 16 of 53 2 of 7 3 of 5 21 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 1
Charalampos Grigoriou 85 of 155 54% 57 of 122 10 of 13 18 of 20 68 of 137 12 of 12 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chad Anheliger 9 of 21 42% 4 of 13 2 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 1
Charalampos Grigoriou 8 of 15 53% 2 of 9 0 of 0 6 of 6 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chad Anheliger 4 of 11 36% 4 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 26 of 33 78% 21 of 27 1 of 1 4 of 5 9 of 15 12 of 12 5 of 6
3 Chad Anheliger 8 of 33 24% 8 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 51 of 107 47% 34 of 86 9 of 12 8 of 9 51 of 107 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charalampos Grigoriou

Angelo notes that Anheliger has solid BJJ and power but his takedown defense has failed him repeatedly in the UFC, giving up 10 takedowns in four fights. Grigoriou is a powerful striker with heavy leg kicks and can also grapple with big takedowns and heavy top pressure. He believes Grigoriou's wrestling can bail him out if he gets into trouble on the feet. Despite being a heavy favorite, Angelo thinks Grigoriou will earn the price tag.

"I need to go Gregorio not only is he a powerful Striker but he can hang on the feet as well his wrestling can bail him out of trouble if he ends up in trouble"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger to win by knockout in the third round. He notes that Anheliger is a dog with three-round cardio and hits hard, while Grigoriou can be low volume and has suspect cardio. However, he is not confident enough to bet on it.

by knockout in the third round
"I'm going to pick Chad and helinger here... I'm going to take him to win this fight actually by knockout I think it comes in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charalampos Grigoriou

Cody picks Charalampos Grigoriou, citing his youth (six years younger) and full camp. He notes Anheliger is 37, undersized at 135, and on a short-notice replacement with injuries. He thinks Grigoriou's striking and durability will edge out Anheliger, though Anheliger could catch him.

"I would take Gregorio... he's six years younger and at 135 pounds that's going to make a difference."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charalampos Grigoriou

The host notes that both fighters have similar skill sets but gives the edge to Grigoriou due to his speed, explosiveness, and power advantage. He expects Grigoriou to land the more damaging blows from distance and win on the scorecards, though he acknowledges Anheliger's durability and good chin could make it difficult to finish.

"I do think that we'll see gregorio's speed explosivity and power Advantage come into play here allowing him to touch up on HRA from distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charalampos Grigoriou

Paul also picks Grigoriou, though he admits he doesn't know much about him. He notes Anheliger hasn't impressed and is likely on his way out. He passes on betting but leans Grigoriou.

"I'll with you I really don't know anything about this Grigoriou guy... I'm not no real intentions to bet this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

The Guru picks Chad Anheliger as an upset, citing Grigoriou's red flags such as struggling with a 6-5 short-notice opponent and losing to an 8-6 fighter. He believes Anheliger is tough, won't get finished, and can outwork Grigoriou over the distance. He notes Grigoriou is slow and open on the feet, while Anheliger has shown durability and a grinding style.

"I'm going to go with Chad Anheliger to win this fight in an upset... I think if he doesn't get finished he can out consistent Sher lampos Gregorio over the distance of this fight."
LOSS vs Jose Johnson
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jose Johnson 0 26 of 71 36% 47 of 103 4 of 8 50% 0 1 6:18
Chad Anheliger 0 63 of 108 58% 141 of 198 1 of 2 50% 1 2 4:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jose Johnson 0 10 of 23 43% 20 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:13
Chad Anheliger 0 23 of 41 56% 42 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:03
2 Jose Johnson 0 7 of 21 33% 8 of 23 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:13
Chad Anheliger 0 13 of 34 38% 32 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:05
3 Jose Johnson 0 9 of 27 33% 19 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:52
Chad Anheliger 0 27 of 33 81% 67 of 82 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jose Johnson 26 of 71 36% 14 of 49 6 of 13 6 of 9 19 of 54 4 of 6 3 of 11
Chad Anheliger 63 of 108 58% 42 of 78 15 of 18 6 of 12 25 of 53 10 of 17 28 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jose Johnson 10 of 23 43% 5 of 13 4 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 19 2 of 3 1 of 1
Chad Anheliger 23 of 41 56% 9 of 23 12 of 14 2 of 4 11 of 22 7 of 11 5 of 8
2 Jose Johnson 7 of 21 33% 1 of 10 1 of 3 5 of 8 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 13 of 34 38% 8 of 26 2 of 2 3 of 6 4 of 18 3 of 5 6 of 11
3 Jose Johnson 9 of 27 33% 8 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 10
Chad Anheliger 27 of 33 81% 25 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 13 0 of 1 17 of 19
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Angelo leans towards Chad Anheliger as a slight underdog, expecting him to power his way inside and land meaningful shots. He notes Jose Johnson has a reach and clinch advantage, but thinks Chad's pressure will be too much. He mentions the line may move and that Chad is a slight underdog.

Odds comment: slight underdog, plus money
"I'm going to lead towards the uh slight Underdog in Chad letter a period he's the pick and he is a slight Underdog so if you agree with that pick then you can go ahead and get him at some …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Big Brady is a big fan of Jose Johnson, noting his size and reach advantages (8 years younger, 6-inch height, 7.5-inch reach). He thinks Johnson has ridiculous power for bantamweight but Anheliger has never been knocked out, so he predicts a decision. He notes Johnson's takedown defense is bad but Anheliger doesn't wrestle, so it should be a striking match where Johnson cruises.

"I'll go with Johnson by decision here I think Johnson's going to use that height that reach to his Advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Cody picks Jose Johnson, citing his reach and volume advantages. He notes that Anheliger is 37, injury-prone, and has poor takedown defense. Johnson's length and cardio should allow him to stay on the outside and out-point Anheliger. Cody sees this as better value than the big favorites.

"Jose Johnson's the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Johnson has a significant height and reach advantage, using distance striking and good footwork. He can avoid Anheliger's power and stuff takedowns. Anheliger is 37 and has been inactive, relying on power but lacking volume. Johnson will batter Anheliger from range and win by decision.

"gim me Johnson here I think he avoids the big Power of andher I think he can Shu off any type of takedowns of wrestling that anro will be looking to implement in this spot and that will allow Johnson …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Paul agrees, highlighting Johnson's reach and speed. He notes that Anheliger has been taken down by lower-level opponents and lacks the wrestling to exploit Johnson's weakness. Paul thinks Johnson's volume and range control will secure the win.

"I'm with you Jose Johnson's the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Jose Johnson over Chad Anheliger, citing Johnson's massive reach advantage (7 inches) and height. He notes Johnson beat Jack Cartwright, who had wrestling credentials, and escaped submission attempts to work back to his feet. He believes Johnson's youth, talent, and range will be too much for Anheliger, and doesn't see Anheliger taking him down.

"I'm going to go with Jose Johnson... he's younger, talented, massive reach advantage, massive range advantage, and I don't see him getting taken down by Chad Anheliger."
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 0 39 of 143 27% 56 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 49 of 131 37% 60 of 148 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 0 12 of 43 27% 13 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 16 of 44 36% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alateng Heili 0 14 of 53 26% 14 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 16 of 45 35% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alateng Heili 0 13 of 47 27% 29 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Anheliger 0 17 of 42 40% 28 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 39 of 143 27% 25 of 118 8 of 14 6 of 11 35 of 139 0 of 0 4 of 4
Chad Anheliger 49 of 131 37% 30 of 102 6 of 7 13 of 22 43 of 123 0 of 0 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 12 of 43 27% 11 of 35 1 of 4 0 of 4 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 16 of 44 36% 9 of 33 2 of 2 5 of 9 16 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alateng Heili 14 of 53 26% 8 of 45 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Anheliger 16 of 45 35% 9 of 36 4 of 4 3 of 5 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alateng Heili 13 of 47 27% 6 of 38 3 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 43 0 of 0 4 of 4
Chad Anheliger 17 of 42 40% 12 of 33 0 of 1 5 of 8 11 of 34 0 of 0 6 of 8
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Angelo picks Chad Anheliger, liking his power and ability to not be fazed by takedowns. He notes Anheliger has been taken down nine times in two UFC fights but still won, showing he scrambles back up and keeps firing. He expects Heili to work in grappling but believes Anheliger's resilience and power will get the job done.

"I like Chad's power I like his ability to just completely not give a crap if he's taken down he doesn't let it frustrate him at all he just works right back up and he just starts firing away."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger as a live dog, citing Alateng Heili's reluctance to wrestle despite having a wrestling background. He notes Heili has zero takedowns in his last three fights and poor striking volume, while Anheliger has power and has shown durability. He predicts Anheliger wins by decision, though he is not sure if he will bet it.

"I'm going to take another dog here I'm going to take the dog shot on Chad Anheliger in terms of a pick."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alateng Heili

Cody picks Alateng Heili, noting his wrestling advantage and durability. He believes Heili will take Anheliger down and control the fight. He points out that Anheliger looked bad against Jesse Strader, getting taken down multiple times, and that his cardio is questionable. He thinks Heili is the better fighter.

"i think he's got a big wrestling advantage against chad he loses the fight if he gets if he falls behind the punch numbers"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Alateng Heili

Daniel Levi picks Alateng Heili, citing his physicality and improved wrestling. He respects Anheliger's toughness and comeback ability, but thinks Heili's size and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that if Heili gasses, Anheliger could take over, but expects Heili's conditioning at Fight Ready to hold up.

"I'm gonna go with highly alatang just think he's a little bit more physical and i think that his wrestling in this fight is probably going to make the difference."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Alateng Heili

Jacob picks Alateng Heili but is hesitant, calling it the toughest fight to pick. He notes Heili is technical with power and has backdoor wrestling if he uses it. He worries about Anheliger's hands-down head movement and thinks Heili's technical striking and power could catch him. However, he admits if Anheliger wins, he wouldn't be surprised.

"I'm gonna side with Aletang just because he's got a little bit of the power advantage and I don't love the head the hands down head movement of Chad."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alateng Heili

The host picks Alateng Heili, believing he has too many tools for Anheliger. He expects Heili to mix in wrestling to set up his striking, avoid trading in the pocket, and win a decision. He notes Anheliger's power but thinks Heili is the more complete fighter and that the line is accurate.

decision
"I think Hailey is the better overall fighter and I don't mind that -170 line personally."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alateng Heili

Paul picks Alateng Heili, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Anheliger has cardio issues and was taken down multiple times by Jesse Strader. He believes Heili's wrestling and durability will be the difference, and that he is the more reliable fighter.

"i'm with you as well um give me ella tang hilly don't really have i don't really have anything to add to what you said there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by decision, 30-27. He expects a scrappy fight where both rock each other and get takedowns, but Anheliger recovers quicker, scrambles harder, and ends up in dominant positions with better ground and pound. He out-hustles Alateng in every occasion.

decision 30-27
"I'm gonna be going with Chad and halika by decision 30 27"
WIN vs Jesse Strader
TKO (punches) R3 3:33 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chad Anheliger 2 67 of 130 51% 92 of 156 0 of 1 0% 2 0 1:20
Jesse Strader 0 64 of 126 50% 73 of 135 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chad Anheliger 0 14 of 34 41% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:04
Jesse Strader 0 26 of 50 52% 32 of 56 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:15
2 Chad Anheliger 1 26 of 53 49% 46 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Jesse Strader 0 31 of 51 60% 34 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Chad Anheliger 1 27 of 43 62% 31 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Jesse Strader 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chad Anheliger 67 of 130 51% 53 of 110 7 of 13 7 of 7 40 of 90 13 of 22 14 of 18
Jesse Strader 64 of 126 50% 17 of 64 26 of 39 21 of 23 51 of 112 13 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chad Anheliger 14 of 34 41% 11 of 30 2 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 26 3 of 8 0 of 0
Jesse Strader 26 of 50 52% 7 of 26 13 of 17 6 of 7 20 of 44 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Chad Anheliger 26 of 53 49% 19 of 43 4 of 7 3 of 3 18 of 42 8 of 11 0 of 0
Jesse Strader 31 of 51 60% 7 of 20 10 of 17 14 of 14 25 of 44 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Chad Anheliger 27 of 43 62% 23 of 37 1 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 22 2 of 3 14 of 18
Jesse Strader 7 of 25 28% 3 of 18 3 of 5 1 of 2 6 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Angelo picks Chad Anheliger despite thinking the odds are wide. He notes Anheliger is a power striker with solid BJJ and impressive sweeps and get-up game. He likes Strader's body-head combination but thinks it becomes predictable. He plans to bet on Strader plus 3.5 rounds as a prop.

Strader plus 3.5 rounds (buy a round on scorecard)
"i am picking chad to win here even though jesse does have takedowns but chad's ability to sweep and get up is very impressive"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger to win, citing better durability and cardio. He notes Anheliger has never been knocked out and has improved his submission defense, while Strader has been hurt in many fights and slows down. He expects Anheliger to break Strader as the fight goes on and predicts a second or third round knockout.

win by second or third round knockout
"I will take in hellinger to win and I'll take him to win by a second or third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Cody picks Anheliger, noting that despite the wide odds, Anheliger is a rightful favorite. He highlights Anheliger's cardio advantage, durability, and experience against tougher competition. Cody points out that Strader has only six fights, poor cardio, and was easily knocked out by Montel Jackson. He believes Anheliger can win by submission or decision, and that Strader's only path is an early knockout, which is unlikely.

"yeah yeah other than debut and all that that's what's nerve-wracking about it but i would rather bet a 35-year-old making his debut than a 22 year old or a 25 year old making his debut"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Levi picks Anheliger, noting that Strader came to the UFC too soon with only 7 fights and has faced a step up in competition. He respects Anheliger's journey from 2-5 to the UFC and his solid, well-rounded game. Levi expects Anheliger to break Strader down in the later rounds with his experience and craftiness.

Anheliger wins last two rounds
"give me anne helger to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Both fighters are aggressive strikers with high finish rates. Anheliger has 14 of 16 fights ending inside the distance, while Strader has 6 of 7. The under 2.5 rounds is the primary play, though there is a concern it could become a 15-minute barn burner. Anheliger's durability is suspect but he should find the knockout as Strader gets overaggressive.

under 2.5 rounds (-125)
"i like the under two and a half like i said as well i have the inner two and a half minus 125 small play for me as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Paul picks Anheliger, despite hating the price. He looked for reasons to fade Anheliger but found none in Strader's game. Paul notes that Strader is a knockout-or-bust fighter with poor fundamentals, and that Anheliger showed good composure and cardio in his Contender Series win. He thinks Anheliger should win comfortably.

"as much as i hate it anna ligger is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by third-round TKO. He notes Anheliger was once 2-5 but has gone 9-0 in his last nine fights against good opponents like Brady Hiestand and Muin Gafurov. He believes Anheliger's toughness and volume will wear down Jesse Strader, who hasn't impressed and has been KO'd before.

third round tko (body shots against cage)
"i'm going to go chad and haliga ... i think he's going to get this one into the later rounds and get this one done by third round tko or something like that with body shots against a cage"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Chad Anheliger

Angelo leans towards Chad Anheliger as a slight underdog, expecting him to power his way inside and land meaningful shots. He notes Jose Johnson has a reach and clinch advantage, but thinks Chad's pressure will be too much. He mentions the line may move and that Chad is a slight underdog.

Odds comment: slight underdog, plus money
"I'm going to lead towards the uh slight Underdog in Chad letter a period he's the pick and he is a slight Underdog so if you agree with that pick then you can go ahead and get him at some plus money right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Big Brady is a big fan of Jose Johnson, noting his size and reach advantages (8 years younger, 6-inch height, 7.5-inch reach). He thinks Johnson has ridiculous power for bantamweight but Anheliger has never been knocked out, so he predicts a decision. He notes Johnson's takedown defense is bad but Anheliger doesn't wrestle, so it should be a striking match where Johnson cruises.

"I'll go with Johnson by decision here I think Johnson's going to use that height that reach to his Advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Cody picks Jose Johnson, citing his reach and volume advantages. He notes that Anheliger is 37, injury-prone, and has poor takedown defense. Johnson's length and cardio should allow him to stay on the outside and out-point Anheliger. Cody sees this as better value than the big favorites.

"Jose Johnson's the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Johnson has a significant height and reach advantage, using distance striking and good footwork. He can avoid Anheliger's power and stuff takedowns. Anheliger is 37 and has been inactive, relying on power but lacking volume. Johnson will batter Anheliger from range and win by decision.

"gim me Johnson here I think he avoids the big Power of andher I think he can Shu off any type of takedowns of wrestling that anro will be looking to implement in this spot and that will allow Johnson to go out there and I believe I took him …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

Paul agrees, highlighting Johnson's reach and speed. He notes that Anheliger has been taken down by lower-level opponents and lacks the wrestling to exploit Johnson's weakness. Paul thinks Johnson's volume and range control will secure the win.

"I'm with you Jose Johnson's the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jose Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Jose Johnson over Chad Anheliger, citing Johnson's massive reach advantage (7 inches) and height. He notes Johnson beat Jack Cartwright, who had wrestling credentials, and escaped submission attempts to work back to his feet. He believes Johnson's youth, talent, and range will be too much for Anheliger, and doesn't see Anheliger taking him down.

"I'm going to go with Jose Johnson... he's younger, talented, massive reach advantage, massive range advantage, and I don't see him getting taken down by Chad Anheliger."