Career Averages - Mick Parkin
Career Averages - Caio Machado
Mick Parkin
Caio Machado
Mick Parkin - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 61 of 155 | 39% | 64 of 158 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 60 of 145 | 41% | 102 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 41 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 33 of 79 | 41% | 33 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 37 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 61 of 155 | 39% | 28 of 110 | 29 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 60 of 151 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 60 of 145 | 41% | 47 of 130 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 49 of 118 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 21 of 56 | 37% | 4 of 34 | 15 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 23 of 45 | 51% | 13 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 22 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 25 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 33 of 79 | 41% | 20 of 61 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 32 of 76 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 22 of 62 | 35% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin, going against his bias for wrestlers. He notes Tybura's chin is fading after being wobbled in recent fights, but questions whether Parkin has one-punch knockout power. He thinks if Tybura can't get takedowns, he's in trouble, and Parkin's pace and control could be the difference. He admits it's a gut pick.
Brady is taking the underdog Tybura, questioning what a Mick Parkin win looks like. He notes Parkin's wins are against low-level competition and that he was outlanded by Kyle Machado. Brady thinks Tybura can win a close fight on the feet or dominate on top, and predicts a decision win.
The host notes that the UFC has brought Parkin along slowly, and now he faces a tough veteran. Parkin's athletic advantages in striking and grappling will be too much for the aging Tybura, leading to a late finish or decision win.
The Guru is confident in Mick Parkin, praising his conditioning, patience, and well-rounded game. He notes that Tybura has beaten many heavyweights who rush for a finish, but Parkin is patient and won't make that mistake. He expects Parkin to chop at the legs, stay composed, and win a 29-28 decision, as he has seen Parkin answer grappling questions that other Tybura opponents could not.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin as one of the most confident picks on the card, noting that Parkin is better everywhere and will control the pace. He expects Parkin's odds to balloon to -400 by fight night. Angelo admits the fight will be boring but is confident in Parkin's win.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, citing his youth, cardio, and improving wrestling. He notes that Łukasz Brzeski has poor grappling and has been taken down repeatedly. Cody believes Parkin can use his wrestling to control the fight and win by decision, possibly with a late submission.
Daniel thinks Mick Parkin is technical and well-rounded, while Łukasz Brzeski has been fed to prospects and lost. He expects Parkin to outwork Brzeski.
Paul also picks Parkin, noting that Brzeski's takedown defense is nonexistent and that Parkin can use his size and wrestling to grind out a win. He mentions that Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall and has a significant weight advantage. Paul expects Parkin to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin, expecting him to chew up Łukasz Brzeski's legs and mix in grappling when needed. He praises Parkin's underrated grappling and notes that Brzeski has had poor performances. The Guru believes Parkin is better than fighters like Karl Williams, who easily beat Brzeski. Training with Tom Aspinall is seen as a plus for Parkin's improvement. He predicts Parkin will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 57 of 167 | 34% | 57 of 168 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 72 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 15 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 18 of 51 | 35% | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 36 of 69 | 52% | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 57 of 167 | 34% | 26 of 114 | 30 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 57 of 167 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 72 of 150 | 48% | 37 of 109 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 37 | 71 of 149 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 15 of 48 | 31% | 11 of 39 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 16 of 40 | 40% | 6 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 13 | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 18 of 51 | 35% | 5 of 32 | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 20 of 41 | 48% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 12 | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 24 of 68 | 35% | 10 of 43 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 36 of 69 | 52% | 22 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 12 | 35 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin because he is the more technical fighter with sharper striking and slightly better takedowns. He expects a boring, slow, sloppy heavyweight decision, possibly with a stoppage from Parkin via takedown and ground control. He will stay away from betting unless the over 1.5 rounds line is available, which he would hammer.
Big Brady picks Mick Parkin, believing the fight will primarily be standing. He notes Parkin's striking looked good in his debut but was inconsistent against Kyle Machado. He thinks Parkin will land more strikes at range, while Usman has low volume and relies on power. Brady doubts Usman can knock out Parkin and expects a decision win for Parkin.
Cody picks Parkin, citing his size, mobility, and superior boxing. He criticizes Usman's low output and lack of power. Cody believes Parkin will outwork Usman and win a decision.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Mohammed Usman, admiring his ability to find a way to win even in ugly fights. He notes Usman has power and wrestling, and can take Parkin down. He thinks Parkin is the cleaner striker but Usman's physicality and grit could carry him.
Parkin has a great gas tank for a heavyweight, good output, and excellent scrambling ability. He will pressure Usman, who has a low-volume kickboxing style and tends to slow down late. Parkin can win by decision or even snatch a late submission, as Usman has been submitted before. Usman's only path is a flash KO, but Parkin should control the fight.
Paul picks Parkin, noting his training with Tom Aspinall and his ability to go the distance. He acknowledges the line movement toward Usman but still favors Parkin's overall game.
The MMA Guru picks Mohammed Usman over Mick Parkin, citing Parkin's poor last performance where he arguably lost and looked bad. He believes Usman's athleticism and wrestling will wear on Parkin as the fight goes on, with Usman landing takedowns in rounds two and three. He notes Parkin's eye swelling in his last fight and thinks Usman's power and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win for Usman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 69 of 139 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 6:23 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 76 of 132 | 57% | 103 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 34 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 3:32 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 34 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 56 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 39 of 98 | 39% | 33 of 91 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 92 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 76 of 132 | 57% | 41 of 95 | 24 of 26 | 11 of 11 | 68 of 121 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 7 of 22 | 31% | 4 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 24 of 43 | 55% | 8 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 17 of 21 | 80% | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 23 of 56 | 41% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 35 of 68 | 51% | 19 of 51 | 13 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a slight lean towards Mick Parkin because he can wrestle if needed, but he is very hesitant due to the wide odds (-330) and Parkin's unproven status. He notes Machado has more power and volume, and that the odds scare him. He advises passing or taking the underdog.
Big Brady thinks Parkin will stick to the outside and be the better striker across 15 minutes, similar to his fight against Jamal Pogues. He finds the line a bit crazy but believes Parkin is the better fighter and should win a very uneventful heavyweight decision. He's not fully convinced in Parkin yet but expects him to get the job done.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, noting his better striking and wrestling. He acknowledges the heavy price but believes Parkin is more well-rounded. He mentions Machado's low level of competition and suspect cardio. Cody thinks Parkin can win by decision or TKO.
Parkin is a well-rounded heavyweight prospect with good striking output and grappling. He can win on the feet with volume or take the fight to the ground and grind out Machado. Machado has faced low-level competition and has been in trouble before. Parkin wins convincingly by decision, and over 1.5 rounds is a good prop.
Paul picks Parkin but is not enthusiastic due to the price. He notes Machado's weak competition and Parkin's improvement. Paul thinks Parkin is better everywhere but the line is too high for comfort.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin to win by TKO in round two. He praises Parkin's boxing and forward pressure, noting his easy win over Jamal Pogues. He criticizes Machado's Contender Series performance against a passive opponent and believes Parkin's crisp boxing and calf kicks will overwhelm Machado. He also mentions Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 95 of 156 | 60% | 98 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 36 of 135 | 26% | 37 of 136 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 32 of 50 | 64% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 21 of 79 | 26% | 22 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 44 of 72 | 61% | 44 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 95 of 156 | 60% | 37 of 94 | 16 of 20 | 42 of 42 | 92 of 151 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 36 of 135 | 26% | 22 of 119 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 10 | 34 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 32 of 50 | 64% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 18 | 32 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 21 of 79 | 26% | 13 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 19 of 34 | 55% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 11 | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 7 of 30 | 23% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 44 of 72 | 61% | 20 of 47 | 11 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 43 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 8 of 26 | 30% | 4 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.
Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.
Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.
The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.
Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.
Caio Machado - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendson Ribeiro | 0 | 76 of 184 | 41% | 79 of 187 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 49 of 131 | 37% | 49 of 131 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendson Ribeiro | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brendson Ribeiro | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brendson Ribeiro | 0 | 32 of 83 | 38% | 35 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendson Ribeiro | 76 of 184 | 41% | 24 of 114 | 33 of 47 | 19 of 23 | 76 of 184 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 49 of 131 | 37% | 25 of 93 | 16 of 25 | 8 of 13 | 49 of 130 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendson Ribeiro | 22 of 43 | 51% | 3 of 21 | 7 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 16 of 34 | 47% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendson Ribeiro | 22 of 58 | 37% | 6 of 31 | 11 of 18 | 5 of 9 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 12 of 36 | 33% | 5 of 22 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brendson Ribeiro | 32 of 83 | 38% | 15 of 62 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 21 of 61 | 34% | 14 of 50 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Caio Machado as the cleaner fighter with more ways to win. He notes Machado is well-rounded, has volume and footwork, good clinch work, and underrated BJJ. He acknowledges Brendson Ribeiro could come in wild and connect, but outside of that, Machado is the better fighter. He shares a funny anecdote about accidentally messaging Machado instead of another fighter.
Big Brady picks Caio Machado to win by decision. He notes that Ribeiro has poor cardio (about 7.5 minutes of gas) and that Machado, moving down from heavyweight, should have better cardio and volume. Brady thinks Machado can take over as the fight progresses, either by outworking Ribeiro on the feet or by taking him down. He mentions Ribeiro's takedown defense looked awful in his last fight.
Cody picks Caio Machado, noting his improved physique at light heavyweight and his volume striking. He criticizes Ribeiro as a glass cannon with poor cardio and durability, and believes Machado's cardio, volume, and grappling advantage will allow him to outwork Ribeiro. He also mentions Machado's experience and the favorable judging in Canada.
Daniel Vreeland picks Caio Machado to win his light heavyweight debut, despite acknowledging his poor technique. He notes that Brendson Ribeiro has a questionable chin and heart, getting hurt in every fight and covering up when in trouble. Vreeland believes Machado's toughness and willingness to push through adversity will overcome Ribeiro's technical edge, especially since Ribeiro has shown a tendency to quit.
Lucrative James picks Brendson Ribeiro, citing his early finishing upside and Machado's questionable durability. He notes Machado is moving down from heavyweight, which may zap his speed advantage, and that Ribeiro has power to finish early. He also mentions Ribeiro's poor fight IQ and cardio but believes he can get the win.
Machado is going down to light heavyweight for the first time after starting 0-2 in the UFC, but this is a winnable fight where he should have the overall advantage and grind Ribeiro out, winning on the scorecards.
Paul also picks Machado, citing his volume and cardio advantage over Ribeiro, who he sees as a power puncher with questionable durability. He notes that Machado has looked better at light heavyweight and should be able to outwork Ribeiro. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds prop as a possibility.
The Guru picks Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado, though he expresses disdain for heavyweights. He notes Ribeiro's close loss to Gadzhi Omargadzhiev and believes regional heavyweights are better athletes. He predicts a TKO win for Ribeiro.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 1 | 67 of 183 | 36% | 73 of 190 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 76 of 159 | 47% | 77 of 160 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 1 | 20 of 55 | 36% | 26 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 19 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 26 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 21 of 67 | 31% | 21 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 32 of 66 | 48% | 33 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 67 of 183 | 36% | 42 of 140 | 18 of 29 | 7 of 14 | 67 of 181 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Caio Machado | 76 of 159 | 47% | 33 of 103 | 25 of 33 | 18 of 23 | 75 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 20 of 55 | 36% | 12 of 39 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Caio Machado | 19 of 40 | 47% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 26 of 61 | 42% | 18 of 50 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 26 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 25 of 53 | 47% | 13 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 21 of 67 | 31% | 12 of 51 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 5 | 21 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 32 of 66 | 48% | 14 of 42 | 12 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 31 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks the underdog Caio Machado, believing he is the more technical striker with better footwork. He thinks Don'Tale Mayes has one-punch power but will struggle to land big shots, and Mayes' wrestling is not great. He expects Machado to defend takedowns and win a boring, sloppy heavyweight decision. He notes Mayes is a 2-to-1 favorite but favors the dog.
Cody picks Mayes, citing his experience against better competition and his reach advantage. He thinks Mayes' jab and switch-hitting style will be effective, and that Machado's padded record and poor takedown defense will be exposed.
Daniel argues Machado is underrated, citing his striking ratio (7 strikes landed per minute, 2 absorbed) and 82% takedown defense. He calls Mayes one of the worst heavyweights, with poor fight IQ and a history of losing. He thinks Machado will win by wanting it more and having higher output.
Machado will dictate the pace and be on the front foot, pressuring Mayes. Mayes has a history of quitting when faced with resistance. Machado's BJJ and pressure style should cause Mayes issues, and I expect Machado to finish him in the second or third round.
Paul picks Machado, believing his volume striking will edge out Mayes. He notes Machado's youth and potential, but admits Mayes' takedown game could be a problem. He calls it a 50/50 fight and slightly favors Machado.
The MMA Guru picks Don'Tale Mayes as an underdog. He notes that Caio Machado is used to being the taller fighter and keeps his hands down, which could be exploited by Mayes' height and reach. He criticizes Machado's headbutts and believes Mayes' athleticism and one-shot finishing power give him an edge. He also mentions that Machado's win over Mick Parkin was aided by head clashes and that Mayes' KO of Andre Arlovski shows his potential.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 69 of 139 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 6:23 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 76 of 132 | 57% | 103 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 34 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 3:32 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 34 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 56 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 39 of 98 | 39% | 33 of 91 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 92 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 76 of 132 | 57% | 41 of 95 | 24 of 26 | 11 of 11 | 68 of 121 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 7 of 22 | 31% | 4 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 24 of 43 | 55% | 8 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 17 of 21 | 80% | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 23 of 56 | 41% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 35 of 68 | 51% | 19 of 51 | 13 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a slight lean towards Mick Parkin because he can wrestle if needed, but he is very hesitant due to the wide odds (-330) and Parkin's unproven status. He notes Machado has more power and volume, and that the odds scare him. He advises passing or taking the underdog.
Big Brady thinks Parkin will stick to the outside and be the better striker across 15 minutes, similar to his fight against Jamal Pogues. He finds the line a bit crazy but believes Parkin is the better fighter and should win a very uneventful heavyweight decision. He's not fully convinced in Parkin yet but expects him to get the job done.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, noting his better striking and wrestling. He acknowledges the heavy price but believes Parkin is more well-rounded. He mentions Machado's low level of competition and suspect cardio. Cody thinks Parkin can win by decision or TKO.
Parkin is a well-rounded heavyweight prospect with good striking output and grappling. He can win on the feet with volume or take the fight to the ground and grind out Machado. Machado has faced low-level competition and has been in trouble before. Parkin wins convincingly by decision, and over 1.5 rounds is a good prop.
Paul picks Parkin but is not enthusiastic due to the price. He notes Machado's weak competition and Parkin's improvement. Paul thinks Parkin is better everywhere but the line is too high for comfort.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin to win by TKO in round two. He praises Parkin's boxing and forward pressure, noting his easy win over Jamal Pogues. He criticizes Machado's Contender Series performance against a passive opponent and believes Parkin's crisp boxing and calf kicks will overwhelm Machado. He also mentions Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo has a slight lean towards Mick Parkin because he can wrestle if needed, but he is very hesitant due to the wide odds (-330) and Parkin's unproven status. He notes Machado has more power and volume, and that the odds scare him. He advises passing or taking the underdog.
Big Brady thinks Parkin will stick to the outside and be the better striker across 15 minutes, similar to his fight against Jamal Pogues. He finds the line a bit crazy but believes Parkin is the better fighter and should win a very uneventful heavyweight decision. He's not fully convinced in Parkin yet but expects him to get the job done.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, noting his better striking and wrestling. He acknowledges the heavy price but believes Parkin is more well-rounded. He mentions Machado's low level of competition and suspect cardio. Cody thinks Parkin can win by decision or TKO.
Parkin is a well-rounded heavyweight prospect with good striking output and grappling. He can win on the feet with volume or take the fight to the ground and grind out Machado. Machado has faced low-level competition and has been in trouble before. Parkin wins convincingly by decision, and over 1.5 rounds is a good prop.
Paul picks Parkin but is not enthusiastic due to the price. He notes Machado's weak competition and Parkin's improvement. Paul thinks Parkin is better everywhere but the line is too high for comfort.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin to win by TKO in round two. He praises Parkin's boxing and forward pressure, noting his easy win over Jamal Pogues. He criticizes Machado's Contender Series performance against a passive opponent and believes Parkin's crisp boxing and calf kicks will overwhelm Machado. He also mentions Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall.
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