vs
-375 +330
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Age 32
Height 5' 2"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Emily Ducote
7.45 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
7.84 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.2 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
94.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ashley Yoder
3.42 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
4.13 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.09 TD Avg
27.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Emily Ducote
Moneyline
BetWay -375
KO/TKO
FanDuel +470
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
BetRivers -152
Ashley Yoder
Moneyline
FanDuel +330
KO/TKO
FanDuel +2800
Submission
FanDuel +1700
Decision
FanDuel +440
Emily Ducote - Fight History
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 109 of 293 37% 126 of 311 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 143 of 214 66% 147 of 218 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 43 of 99 43% 43 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 30 of 54 55% 30 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 36 of 112 32% 37 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 60 of 83 72% 60 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 30 of 82 36% 46 of 99 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 53 of 77 68% 57 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 109 of 293 37% 76 of 250 18 of 25 15 of 18 106 of 289 3 of 4 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 143 of 214 66% 86 of 150 22 of 26 35 of 38 140 of 211 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 43 of 99 43% 25 of 75 7 of 11 11 of 13 43 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 30 of 54 55% 15 of 37 5 of 5 10 of 12 30 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 36 of 112 32% 24 of 98 10 of 11 2 of 3 34 of 110 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 60 of 83 72% 37 of 58 10 of 12 13 of 13 60 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 30 of 82 36% 27 of 77 1 of 3 2 of 2 29 of 80 1 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 53 of 77 68% 34 of 55 7 of 9 12 of 13 50 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo sees Emily Ducote as the better striker with legitimate power and good wrestling defense, while Vanessa Demopoulos relies on volume and footwork but lacks real power. He expects Ducote to win a close decision, likely 29-28, due to her superior striking accuracy and durability. He notes the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet and suggests Vanessa plus 3.5 on the scorecard as a solid bet.

over 2.5 rounds, Vanessa +3.5 on scorecard
"I think Vanessa has the cardio and the volume Edge but Emily should be the better Striker and likely wins a 2928"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody points out Demopoulos has been gifted decisions but is often outlanded and outgrappled. He notes Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with college wrestling, a BJJ black belt, and good striking. Demopoulos's takedown attempts are often unsuccessful, and she struggles with volume. Cody expects Ducote to outland her significantly and win a clear decision.

Ducote by decision
"Emily doody's the pick by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Demopoulos got a gift decision in her last fight and is not technical with her punches. Ducote has solid all-around skills, throws great leg kicks and clean combinations, and will use her wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing. Expects Ducote to outbox and outstrike Demopoulos on the feet and win on the scorecards.

"I expect Emily ducatti to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul believes Ducote's wrestling background and superior striking will be too much for Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos has been on the wrong end of controversial decisions but is often outworked. Ducote should be able to keep the fight standing and outpoint Demopoulos, likely winning a decision.

"Seems pretty clear to me outside of like slipping on a banana peel that dakot probably wins this and likely by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Vanessa Demopoulos, citing Ducote's superior activity and output. He argues that Demopoulos arguably lost several of her UFC fights, including against Kanako Murata, and that her volume is much lower than Ducote's. He expects Ducote to win a unanimous decision, 30-27, due to her three times higher output.

"I'm going to go with Emily deot here she's actually a betting favorite here but the majority there's a lot of people on tapology that are actually picking uh Vanessa demopulos with which is just insane to me"
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Emily Ducote 0 102 of 269 37% 105 of 276 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 117 of 210 55% 119 of 213 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Emily Ducote 0 32 of 68 47% 35 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 66 39% 26 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
2 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 89 39% 35 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 34 of 61 55% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 112 31% 35 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 57 of 83 68% 58 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Emily Ducote 102 of 269 37% 59 of 216 32 of 40 11 of 13 93 of 259 9 of 10 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 117 of 210 55% 69 of 145 29 of 40 19 of 25 117 of 209 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Emily Ducote 32 of 68 47% 21 of 55 7 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 26 of 66 39% 11 of 41 9 of 14 6 of 11 26 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Emily Ducote 35 of 89 39% 21 of 68 11 of 17 3 of 4 32 of 86 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 34 of 61 55% 19 of 42 8 of 12 7 of 7 34 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Emily Ducote 35 of 112 31% 17 of 93 14 of 14 4 of 5 29 of 105 6 of 7 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 57 of 83 68% 39 of 62 12 of 14 6 of 7 57 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.

"Emily ducat is the pretty confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.

"give me Emily D Cody win this fight stuff the takedowns and get the better the Striking across 15 minutes Emily D Cody by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.

"Emily Ducote has got her number by a fair bit"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.

by decision; possible KO
"I'm going to go ducatti and ducatti by decision look for her to utilize her calf kicking approach to slow down uh Yoda and then open up with their hands after that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.

"Emily Ducote cruises to a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.

"obviously gonna have to go with Emily dakot here over Ashley Yoda Ashley Yoda is 8 and eight in the UFC on a two- fight losing streak"
LOSS vs Loopy Godinez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 112 of 270 41% 117 of 275 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 132 of 246 53% 133 of 248 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 34 of 81 41% 34 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 49 of 81 60% 49 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 43 of 102 42% 43 of 102 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 43 of 77 55% 43 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 35 of 87 40% 40 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 40 of 88 45% 41 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 112 of 270 41% 71 of 214 21 of 33 20 of 23 106 of 262 6 of 8 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 132 of 246 53% 106 of 214 12 of 18 14 of 14 121 of 232 11 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 34 of 81 41% 19 of 61 7 of 11 8 of 9 32 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 49 of 81 60% 39 of 71 4 of 4 6 of 6 46 of 78 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 43 of 102 42% 28 of 81 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 98 3 of 4 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 43 of 77 55% 36 of 68 4 of 6 3 of 3 36 of 67 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Loopy Godinez 35 of 87 40% 24 of 72 6 of 9 5 of 6 34 of 85 1 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 40 of 88 45% 31 of 75 4 of 8 5 of 5 39 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.

0.25 unit bet at +119
"I like Emily Ducati to get this done she's big she's powerful she should be able to defend the takedown attempts I do have a quarter of a unit uniformis 100 bucks I got 25 bucks on her at plus …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.

decision
"give me loopy to go out there mixing takedowns and and make this look easy but it all comes down to whether she she goes for takedowns or not so give me loopy give me loopy by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.

"I am going to take Emily to Cody ever so slightly."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'll ride with you on the fly on Ducote. I think that Godinez won't push a pace that makes her uncomfortable and then that leaves Ducote as the sharper striker."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.

Ducote by decision
"I'm gonna go with Emily ducote to win this decision over Lupi godinous"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.

"give me a lupito godinez and I'm going to take her to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.

"I think at plus 130 not the worst look at all."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.

decision 29-28
"I'm gonna side with Lupita godinez here ... win a close decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'm gonna take one more flyer on Ducote. I think Godinez's pace is not going to function that well against somebody who can just instantly start landing counters on her."
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 182 of 345 52% 190 of 353 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 71 of 173 41% 76 of 178 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 50 of 104 48% 50 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 21 of 53 39% 21 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Angela Hill 0 67 of 120 55% 68 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 16 of 50 32% 18 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Angela Hill 0 65 of 121 53% 72 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 34 of 70 48% 37 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 182 of 345 52% 95 of 240 73 of 88 14 of 17 130 of 292 52 of 53 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 71 of 173 41% 49 of 147 18 of 22 4 of 4 62 of 161 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 50 of 104 48% 30 of 81 14 of 16 6 of 7 48 of 102 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 21 of 53 39% 17 of 48 3 of 4 1 of 1 20 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Angela Hill 67 of 120 55% 35 of 81 29 of 36 3 of 3 44 of 96 23 of 24 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 16 of 50 32% 10 of 43 5 of 6 1 of 1 14 of 46 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Angela Hill 65 of 121 53% 30 of 78 30 of 36 5 of 7 38 of 94 27 of 27 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 34 of 70 48% 22 of 56 10 of 12 2 of 2 28 of 63 6 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Emily Ducote vs. Angela Hill
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ducote (-120), Hill (+100)

Round 1
In what has become a theme of sorts, a well-experienced competitor will once again take on someone far younger, far less-traveled, or both. This comes in the form of Hill (14-12, 9-12 UFC), who has faced a who’s who in the division, against Ducote (12-6, 1-0 UFC), who has found new life at 115 pounds. The strawweights meet in the middle without touching gloves while referee Andrew Glenn sits back, and Hill initiates the offense with several jabs that all miss the mark. Ducote reaches her with a single jab, and she scores a right hand over the top when Hill tries to score on her. Hill switches stances as the woo birds cry out in the cage when the strawweights are inactive. Ducote stays composed and lines up a few punches down the middle, intercepting Hill coming towards her. Hill whips a high kick up that glances off the shoulder guard, and she sneaks a right hand around the guard. Hill kicks low, and Ducote punches high. Hill manages to split the guard with a jab, and Ducote pays her back with a clean right hand. Ducote aims another right hand down the pipe, and Hill keeps busy with punches and low kicks. Hill marks up her foe’s nose with jabs, and she crowds “Gordinha” and tags her with a few short punches. Hill swings a right to the body, and a left to the head, and only the former lands. Hill connects with a solid combination to knock Ducote back, and her punches are finding their home while Ducote is struggling to reach the target. “Overkill” crowds her foe with a few sharp blows, and Ducote reels and backs off. The mixing of offense high and low keeps Ducote guessing and looking for options, and Ducote largely answers with single strikes. Hill darts forward with a jab, and a head kick that follows slaps into the guard. A quick superwoman punch from Hill gets through, and she gets off a jab and several chasing punches until the bell rings, and blood trickles down the mouth of Ducote.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 2
The ladies engage to start off the second round, and Ducote trades punches instead of allowing Hill to tag her. Hill catches her with a left hand, but not before Ducote gets off a clean body shot. Hill steps forward, clinches up, knees the body, and splits before her foe can response. Hill walks through a right hand and scores few, and she goes low with a pair of calf kicks. Ducote sits down on three punches that whiz past the face of “Overkill,” who darts in and out to land flush. A left hand from Hill pounds into the cheek, and she ducks down for one to the body while Ducote thinks it is coming up high and keeps her guard up there. Hill kicks the body, punches the head, rips the body and kicks low in rapid succession. When they tie up again, Hill lays into her with several knees and an elbow, and Ducote can do little in response but push off. Hill jumps forward with a head kick, and Ducote gets her guard up in time but cannot block the subsequent punches aimed at her chin. Ducote connects with one right hand, and Hill pushes through it to get off four in response. This same situation happens again, so Hill answers with a standing tomahawk elbow. Ducote shoots for a takedown, and Hill stops this in her tracks and knees Ducote in the breadbasket several times before the separation. The two score left hooks at the same time, and they both exchange high kicks. Hill splits the guard with a one-two, and Ducote gets her respect for a moment with a right hand. As Ducote ties her up again, Hill replies with multiple knees up the middle. Hill strings together punches to the head and body, and Hill leaps forward to knee three times and slash an elbow up high. Hill slips a punch to land one, and she kicks the body twice before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 3
When they meet in the middle to open up the last round, Hill strikes first with kicks to all targets, calf, body and head. Ducote swipes back at her with a few punches, but Hill does not bat an eye and continues to come forward. Ducote breaks off from a quick clinch after taking a couple knees, and she swings wildly with a left hand. Hill strides forward with a left and a right, and Ducote stands firm and throws back at her. The ladies trade punches, and Hill leads the dance at practically every occasion both with aggression and sheer volume. Ducote aims strikes to the body in hopes of slowing down “Overkill,” and when she does, Hill pelts her with a pair of overhand rights. Hill fakes a level change and goes up high with a kick, and Ducote can barely block it in time. Hill is feeling herself as she presses the pace without worry of what comes back at her, and she works her way into a clinch to score knees and elbows. While Ducote replies with a few of her own, Hill doubles or triples up on her with these exchanges. Ducote sits down on a slapping calf kick, and she just misses with a haymaker of a right hand. Hill walks her down and grabs a Thai clinch, and she lays into Ducote with vicious knees that draw cheers when each one lands as if the crowd was watching a muay thai fight. Ducote tries to give her a few back, but Hill cannot be slowed and is not remotely fading. Hill jumps with a flying knee before grabbing another Thai clinch, and she again slams her knees into the body. Hill continues to beat Ducote around the Octagon like she caught her breaking into her apartment, and Ducote escapes on the outside while occasionally throwing back but is woefully outmatched. In the final seconds, Ducote decides to grab hold of Hill’s left leg to pursue a single, but there is nothing to it as the fight ends. This was one-way traffic for “Overkill,” who blunts the momentum of the formerly surging Ducote in a pillar-to-post performance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)

The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Emily Ducote via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote, praising her straight punches, accuracy, and wrestling. He thinks Angela Hill's length won't help because Ducote will get past it with straight shots. He expects Ducote to cruise to a decision win. He mentions he may bet Ducote by decision, though he normally avoids specific props.

Considers betting Ducote by decision
"Emily's going to win this fight I think she's gonna cruise to a decision win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady leans towards Ducote, citing her power advantage and wrestling background. He notes Hill has struggled with wrestlers and expects Ducote to mix in takedowns to seal rounds. He predicts a competitive fight but Ducote winning a decision.

Ducote wins by decision
"I'm going to take Dakota to win Dakota to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Cody leans Hill, citing her ability to win close decisions. He notes Ducote may not wrestle, leading to a striking battle that favors Hill. He likes the plus money and expects a split decision.

Hill by decision; split decision prop at +350
"I'm almost feeling that ever so slight plus money towards Angela Hill but I would juice it with that hill by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Connor picks Emily Ducote, citing her natural feel for counter punching, good footwork, and tight guard. He notes that Hill's aggressive approach will likely lull Ducote into doing what she does best, and that Hill struggles against opponents who are solid within themselves.

"I think Dakota is the kind of fighter who like given Angela Hills general approach is going to be sort of shaken out of even if she does come in a little starstruck because Angela Hill is going to try …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote to win a split decision, expecting Hill to cry robbery. He notes Hill's inconsistency and that Ducote has a good approach. He is not betting on this fight.

"go with uh Emily decody to win a split decision and Angela Hill to cry robbery period"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The host picks Ducote, believing her mix of striking and grappling will give her the edge. He thinks she can shut down Hill's volume by landing takedowns and scoring with the judges. He is cautious because Ducote is still relatively new to the UFC but likes her overall game. He would consider a bet on Ducote by decision if plus money is available.

Ducote by decision (if plus money)
"give me Ducati I think that her uh mix of striking and grappling will give her the edge in this fight uh I think she wins it via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Paul picks Hill, seeing it as a coin flip. He notes Hill's experience and close decision history. He thinks if Ducote doesn't wrestle, Hill can edge a decision. He likes the plus money.

Hill by decision; split decision prop at +350
"I got Hill it sounds like you have you're going you're leaning ever so slightly to Hill too"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill as an underdog, noting she gave Amanda Lemos a tough fight and can handle Ducote's power. He believes Hill's pressure and volume will win her the last two rounds, predicting a split decision victory.

Hill by split decision (29-28)
"I'm going with Angela Hill as an underdog"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Zane picks Emily Ducote, believing she is talented and athletic enough to overcome Hill. He expects Ducote to win two close rounds by landing bigger shots, while Hill might win one round through clinch work or takedowns. He notes Ducote's smooth striking and ability to set up her opponent.

"I think Dakota is talented enough and athletic enough to overcome Hill as that test and be a 15 fighter."
WIN vs Jessica Penne
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Emily Ducote 0 63 of 244 25% 68 of 249 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 116 of 205 56% 117 of 206 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Emily Ducote 0 17 of 67 25% 20 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 35 of 58 60% 35 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Emily Ducote 0 26 of 88 29% 28 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 37 of 73 50% 38 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Emily Ducote 0 20 of 89 22% 20 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 44 of 74 59% 44 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Emily Ducote 63 of 244 25% 37 of 208 26 of 36 0 of 0 55 of 234 8 of 10 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 116 of 205 56% 41 of 113 24 of 34 51 of 58 115 of 203 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Emily Ducote 17 of 67 25% 13 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 65 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 35 of 58 60% 13 of 33 10 of 12 12 of 13 35 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Emily Ducote 26 of 88 29% 14 of 72 12 of 16 0 of 0 20 of 80 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 37 of 73 50% 17 of 49 6 of 10 14 of 14 36 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Emily Ducote 20 of 89 22% 10 of 75 10 of 14 0 of 0 20 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 44 of 74 59% 11 of 31 8 of 12 25 of 31 44 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote but is hesitant due to a five-week trend of underdogs winning the first fight of the night. He notes Ducote's patient, accurate striking and wrestling, but acknowledges Penne's experience and the risk of a bad decision. He advises against betting on this fight.

advises not to bet on this fight
"emily's the pick but jessica has proven she can beat some really tough women she's going to be live in this fight and that stupid underdog winning the opening fight nonsense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes that Ducote is 11 years younger, has good takedown defense, and should be the better striker on the feet. He thinks she can stuff Penne's takedowns and outpoint her for three rounds. He warns that if Penne gets the fight to the mat, she could submit Ducote, but he expects Ducote to keep it standing.

"give me to cody to win give me dakota to stop the takedowns and ultimately pick apart jessica penney for a three-round decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody is confident in Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and well-rounded game. He notes that Penne is 39 and relies on takedowns, but Ducote has the grappling to defend and the striking to win on the feet. He believes Ducote has multiple paths to victory and is a good price at -150.

Jessica Penne under 1.5 takedowns
"emily decodey could be a too good to be true price tag in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi leans Emily Ducote, noting she is experienced and has paid her dues. He expects a close fight where Ducote lands better strikes and gets top control, but must be careful of Penne's submissions. He sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and predicts a close decision.

close decision; dog-or-pass
"i'll lean do cody you know edge it out split unanimous whatever close fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul also picks Ducote, agreeing that she is the better fighter in all aspects. He notes her youth, experience, and recent improvements. He believes Penne's magic is running out and that Ducote will win, possibly by decision or TKO.

Jessica Penne under 1.5 takedowns
"i think emily decodey could be a too good to be true price tag in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Jessica Penne, citing Ducote's power as a key advantage in the women's division. He notes that Ducote finished Danielle Taylor, who beat Penne by decision, and that Penne doesn't know how to fight. He acknowledges the unpredictability of women's MMA but sides with Ducote's power, believing it will impact judges' scorecards even if she is outlanded.

"i'm going to be going with emily de cote here in the early prelim opener i reckon she'll get this one done by 2928 decision over jessica penney"
Ashley Yoder - Fight History
LOSS vs Emily Ducote
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Emily Ducote 0 102 of 269 37% 105 of 276 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 117 of 210 55% 119 of 213 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Emily Ducote 0 32 of 68 47% 35 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 66 39% 26 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
2 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 89 39% 35 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 34 of 61 55% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 112 31% 35 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 57 of 83 68% 58 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Emily Ducote 102 of 269 37% 59 of 216 32 of 40 11 of 13 93 of 259 9 of 10 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 117 of 210 55% 69 of 145 29 of 40 19 of 25 117 of 209 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Emily Ducote 32 of 68 47% 21 of 55 7 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 26 of 66 39% 11 of 41 9 of 14 6 of 11 26 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Emily Ducote 35 of 89 39% 21 of 68 11 of 17 3 of 4 32 of 86 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 34 of 61 55% 19 of 42 8 of 12 7 of 7 34 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Emily Ducote 35 of 112 31% 17 of 93 14 of 14 4 of 5 29 of 105 6 of 7 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 57 of 83 68% 39 of 62 12 of 14 6 of 7 57 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.

"Emily ducat is the pretty confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.

"give me Emily D Cody win this fight stuff the takedowns and get the better the Striking across 15 minutes Emily D Cody by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.

"Emily Ducote has got her number by a fair bit"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.

by decision; possible KO
"I'm going to go ducatti and ducatti by decision look for her to utilize her calf kicking approach to slow down uh Yoda and then open up with their hands after that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.

"Emily Ducote cruises to a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.

"obviously gonna have to go with Emily dakot here over Ashley Yoda Ashley Yoda is 8 and eight in the UFC on a two- fight losing streak"
LOSS vs Jinh Yu Frey
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 88 of 185 47% 89 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 91 of 236 38% 96 of 241 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 56 50% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 88 of 185 47% 46 of 129 15 of 25 27 of 31 77 of 173 10 of 11 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 91 of 236 38% 59 of 188 15 of 25 17 of 23 90 of 233 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 56 50% 9 of 33 8 of 11 11 of 12 24 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 28 of 69 40% 14 of 49 5 of 9 9 of 11 27 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jinh Yu Frey 35 of 67 52% 21 of 49 6 of 10 8 of 8 33 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 28 of 73 5 of 9 5 of 8 38 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 25 of 62 40% 16 of 47 1 of 4 8 of 11 20 of 57 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 25 of 77 32% 17 of 66 5 of 7 3 of 4 25 of 75 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.

"i'll take yoder this is as low level as it gets but yeah i'll take uh ashley yoder to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think that yoder does get the takedowns i think you you watch that k hanson fight and and those takedowns should be there for a wrestler of yoder's ability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Ashley Yoder

Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.

"I think that she can get the takedowns a little bit more comfortably here you know spend a little bit more time on top"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.

Frey by decision +200
"I'd rather have the plus money side... genu fry to win by decision at plus 200"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.

"i got to go with yauter as well and the main thing here is that y'all has had nine fights in the ufc all nine of them have gone to decisions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.

Frey by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with jinyu fray here over ashley yoda... i think she's just solidly a bit more fundamentally better"
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 77 of 135 57% 97 of 165 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:52
Ashley Yoder 0 34 of 116 29% 53 of 143 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 22 of 43 51% 24 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Ashley Yoder 0 12 of 39 30% 12 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Angela Hill 0 32 of 56 57% 42 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Ashley Yoder 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
3 Angela Hill 0 23 of 36 63% 31 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:04
Ashley Yoder 0 6 of 18 33% 20 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 77 of 135 57% 26 of 63 35 of 54 16 of 18 47 of 98 29 of 33 1 of 4
Ashley Yoder 34 of 116 29% 17 of 85 11 of 21 6 of 10 34 of 115 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 22 of 43 51% 11 of 27 4 of 8 7 of 8 16 of 34 5 of 5 1 of 4
Ashley Yoder 12 of 39 30% 6 of 29 4 of 6 2 of 4 12 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Angela Hill 32 of 56 57% 9 of 25 15 of 22 8 of 9 24 of 48 8 of 8 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 16 of 59 27% 10 of 45 4 of 10 2 of 4 16 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Angela Hill 23 of 36 63% 6 of 11 16 of 24 1 of 1 7 of 16 16 of 20 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 6 of 18 33% 1 of 11 3 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Big Brady picks Angela Hill, citing her significant striking advantage (nearly 6 significant strikes per minute vs Yoder's 2.8). He notes Hill has improved her takedown defense, stuffing takedowns from Michelle Waterson and Claudia Gadelha. He expects Hill to dominate on the feet and win a decision, though he is not betting at the current price (-380).

"Give me Angela Hill, give me her by decision."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Angela Hill

Daniel Levi picks Angela Hill but warns against laying -400 on her, as all her fights are close. He expects a split decision and notes that Ashley Yoder could potentially submit Hill if she gets on top. He recalls their first fight where Hill won, but advises caution due to Hill's tendency to make fights close and her questionable claims of beating top fighters.

"You cannot lay minus 400 on angela hill she cannot be trusted all her fights are too close"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Lock will bet Yoder if she's above +300, as a half-unit stab. He thinks the odds are too twisted in Hill's favor. He notes Yoder was at +310/+320 before the fight was previously scheduled. He doesn't elaborate much on reasoning, indicating it's a value play based on line movement.

half unit stab, only if above +300
"i will bet the ashley yoder side of things uh if she's again above plus 300 again it was only a half unit stab"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The Guru is extremely confident in Angela Hill, calling it 'guaranteed money.' He notes Hill's improved takedown defense and technical striking, while criticizing Yoder's lack of technical ability. He expects Hill to outstrike Yoder by double in significant strikes each round and win by unanimous decision, 30-27. He mentions Hill already beat Yoder before and will do so more impressively this time.

"this is guaranteed money on the card in my opinion i don't see any way that angela hill loses this one to ashley yoda"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 42 61% 151 of 184 2 of 4 50% 3 0 8:19
Miranda Granger 0 33 of 51 64% 87 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 6 of 11 54% 25 of 30 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:04
Miranda Granger 0 13 of 19 68% 32 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:13
2 Ashley Yoder 0 5 of 9 55% 54 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:51
Miranda Granger 0 13 of 16 81% 36 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
3 Ashley Yoder 0 15 of 22 68% 72 of 92 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:24
Miranda Granger 0 7 of 16 43% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 12 of 25 3 of 3 11 of 14
Miranda Granger 33 of 51 64% 19 of 36 9 of 10 5 of 5 15 of 32 14 of 15 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Granger 13 of 19 68% 9 of 14 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3
2 Ashley Yoder 5 of 9 55% 0 of 3 3 of 3 2 of 3 2 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0
Miranda Granger 13 of 16 81% 7 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 4 11 of 12 0 of 0
3 Ashley Yoder 15 of 22 68% 11 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 14
Miranda Granger 7 of 16 43% 3 of 12 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Granger

Big Brady bet on Granger at -107 and likes her striking advantage, noting she has a full camp for the first time in the UFC. He criticizes Yoder's low output and poor takedown effectiveness. He worries about Yoder taking Granger down but thinks Granger is active off her back and should win a decision.

bet at -107; decision win expected; at -150 would pass
"i do have a bet on miranda granger but the problem is i better at minus 107."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Daniel picks Yoder, citing her significant experience advantage against higher-level competition like Angela Hill, Mackenzie Dern, and Olivia Souza. He notes that Granger has not shown enough in her UFC fights, struggling against Hannah Goldie and being blown out by Amanda Lemos. He believes Yoder has a grappling edge and can win a close decision, especially if the fight goes to the third round where Granger's cardio is questionable.

"i see you're coming out here winning this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, but with low enthusiasm, calling women's MMA annoying. He thinks Yoder's reach and kicks will allow her to out-strike Granger on the feet for three rounds, possibly earning a split decision. He notes that Granger hasn't beaten anyone good and lost to Amanda Lemos by submission, while Yoder fought close with Livia Renata Souza.

Split decision; mentions Yoder's kicks and reach advantage
"I'm gonna go with Ashley Yoda barely out striking her on the feet for three rounds, it'll probably be a split [expletive] decision for no [expletive] reason."
LOSS vs Livinha Souza
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Livinha Souza 0 32 of 114 28% 89 of 176 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:50
Ashley Yoder 0 46 of 70 65% 70 of 95 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Livinha Souza 0 6 of 22 27% 34 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Ashley Yoder 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
2 Livinha Souza 0 6 of 20 30% 28 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:26
Ashley Yoder 0 13 of 18 72% 21 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Livinha Souza 0 20 of 72 27% 27 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Ashley Yoder 0 23 of 33 69% 29 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Livinha Souza 32 of 114 28% 23 of 92 6 of 14 3 of 8 32 of 112 0 of 2 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 46 of 70 65% 15 of 33 8 of 11 23 of 26 36 of 55 5 of 7 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Livinha Souza 6 of 22 27% 3 of 15 2 of 5 1 of 2 6 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 10 of 19 52% 7 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 3 5 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
2 Livinha Souza 6 of 20 30% 5 of 16 0 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 13 of 18 72% 3 of 8 4 of 4 6 of 6 10 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 3
3 Livinha Souza 20 of 72 27% 15 of 61 4 of 7 1 of 4 20 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 23 of 33 69% 5 of 12 2 of 4 16 of 17 21 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Livinha Souza

Big Brady thinks Souza is faster and more active, with better takedowns. He expects her to win a decision but acknowledges Yoder could make it close. He is not very confident and notes the line should be closer.

"give me uh le'veon susa to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Livinha Souza

Daniel Levi picks Livinha Souza to win. He believes Souza is the tougher fighter and will win the extra scrambles when both are fatigued. He notes that Yoder has a history of folding in gritty fights and doesn't utilize her length well. He also mentions that Souza has better boxing and jiu-jitsu, and that Yoder's path to victory requires a perfect performance.

Souza by decision or submission; Yoder's toughness is questionable; Souza's intensity is key
"i'm gonna take the more intense person and i'm gonna take the uh you know the person where i do feel like uh lavinia is slightly the better black belt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Yoder has the reach and height advantage, decent takedown defense, and is crafty on the ground. Souza has been reversed and put in compromising positions in past fights. Yoder can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the mat. The fight will be close and likely go to a decision; Yoder is the value side at plus money.

Yoder wins by decision
"I do believe Yoder is the value side here... I'll go with Yoder to win this fight by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, emphasizing her significant reach advantage (6.5 inches) and size. He dismisses Souza's record as built on weak competition and notes Yoder's experience against better opponents.

boring decision
"i am gonna be going with ashley yoda here a much bigger woman at the straw weight division ... i think ashley yoda gets it down against olivia hernandez"
LOSS vs Randa Markos
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Oct 26, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randa Markos 0 78 of 140 55% 94 of 158 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:05
Ashley Yoder 0 44 of 107 41% 82 of 148 2 of 6 33% 0 1 5:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randa Markos 0 8 of 10 80% 9 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 16 68% 22 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:41
2 Randa Markos 0 39 of 54 72% 54 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:31
Ashley Yoder 0 19 of 36 52% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
3 Randa Markos 0 31 of 76 40% 31 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 55 25% 19 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randa Markos 78 of 140 55% 58 of 116 10 of 13 10 of 11 42 of 93 26 of 33 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 44 of 107 41% 30 of 84 11 of 16 3 of 7 24 of 80 5 of 10 15 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randa Markos 8 of 10 80% 4 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 11 of 16 68% 7 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 1 4 of 7 1 of 3 6 of 6
2 Randa Markos 39 of 54 72% 31 of 45 5 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 22 15 of 18 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 19 of 36 52% 15 of 30 2 of 4 2 of 2 8 of 20 2 of 5 9 of 11
3 Randa Markos 31 of 76 40% 23 of 65 3 of 5 5 of 6 23 of 64 8 of 12 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 14 of 55 25% 8 of 44 5 of 7 1 of 4 12 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Syuri Kondo
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–25, 30–24) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Korean Zombie · Jun 22, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 75 of 100 75% 147 of 194 1 of 5 20% 0 0 12:53
Syuri Kondo 0 23 of 40 57% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 50 76% 57 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:37
Syuri Kondo 0 5 of 7 71% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 16 68% 35 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:59
Syuri Kondo 0 16 of 25 64% 18 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 34 76% 55 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:17
Syuri Kondo 0 2 of 8 25% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 75 of 100 75% 61 of 83 12 of 15 2 of 2 13 of 23 5 of 5 57 of 72
Syuri Kondo 23 of 40 57% 17 of 33 6 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 21 13 of 16 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 38 of 50 76% 34 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 33 of 43
Syuri Kondo 5 of 7 71% 2 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ashley Yoder 11 of 16 68% 4 of 7 6 of 8 1 of 1 6 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2
Syuri Kondo 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 11 of 14 3 of 3
3 Ashley Yoder 26 of 34 76% 23 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 2 of 2 22 of 27
Syuri Kondo 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Amanda Cooper
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 59 of 113 1 of 2 50% 3 1 3:22
Amanda Cooper 0 51 of 105 48% 67 of 121 2 of 6 33% 2 0 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 13 of 32 40% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:32
Amanda Cooper 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:39
2 Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 22 63% 25 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:40
Amanda Cooper 0 14 of 25 56% 23 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:12
3 Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 36 30% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 2 0 2:10
Amanda Cooper 0 17 of 39 43% 22 of 44 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 32 of 84 6 of 6 0 of 0 28 of 77 5 of 5 5 of 8
Amanda Cooper 51 of 105 48% 28 of 75 9 of 14 14 of 16 38 of 88 2 of 4 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 26 0 of 0 3 of 6
Amanda Cooper 20 of 41 48% 10 of 27 3 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 37 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Ashley Yoder 14 of 22 63% 9 of 17 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 16 4 of 4 2 of 2
Amanda Cooper 14 of 25 56% 9 of 18 3 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 19 1 of 3 3 of 3
3 Ashley Yoder 11 of 36 30% 10 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Amanda Cooper 17 of 39 43% 9 of 30 3 of 3 5 of 6 12 of 32 1 of 1 4 of 6
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.

"Emily ducat is the pretty confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.

"give me Emily D Cody win this fight stuff the takedowns and get the better the Striking across 15 minutes Emily D Cody by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.

"Emily Ducote has got her number by a fair bit"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.

by decision; possible KO
"I'm going to go ducatti and ducatti by decision look for her to utilize her calf kicking approach to slow down uh Yoda and then open up with their hands after that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.

"Emily Ducote cruises to a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.

"obviously gonna have to go with Emily dakot here over Ashley Yoda Ashley Yoda is 8 and eight in the UFC on a two- fight losing streak"