Career Averages - Maxim Grishin
Career Averages - William Knight
Maxim Grishin
William Knight
Maxim Grishin - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipe Lins | 0 | 45 of 106 | 42% | 50 of 113 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:24 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 103 of 145 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 27 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 36 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 40 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipe Lins | 45 of 106 | 42% | 22 of 74 | 17 of 21 | 6 of 11 | 36 of 92 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 41 of 80 | 51% | 20 of 53 | 6 of 11 | 15 of 16 | 29 of 65 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philipe Lins | 17 of 42 | 40% | 7 of 27 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 5 | 14 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 16 of 29 | 55% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Philipe Lins | 12 of 33 | 36% | 5 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 14 of 30 | 46% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Philipe Lins | 16 of 31 | 51% | 10 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 11 of 21 | 52% | 8 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maxim Grishin to win, citing Grishin's calculated striking and ability to rush in when he sees an opening. He notes that Lins is hittable and looked slow in his last knockout win, despite having power and a BJJ black belt. Angelo is concerned about Grishin's takedown defense (taken down 7 times in 4 fights) but still favors Grishin's striking. He is not betting this fight.
Cody picks Grishin, agreeing with Paul. He notes Grishin's volume and cardio should win a boring decision. Cody mentions Grishin's chin has held up and that Lins hasn't shown anything to worry him. He also notes Grishin's withdrawals against Jailton Almeida were good management. Cody expects a low-output fight where Grishin outpoints Lins.
Connor picks Lins, favoring his dynamic power and ability to end fights suddenly. He notes that Grishin, while difficult to finish, is low-output and often gets outworked. Connor believes Lins' swarming style and improved confidence at light heavyweight could overwhelm Grishin, especially if he lands early. He acknowledges the risk but prefers the chaotic power puncher over the safe neutralizer.
Daniel leans Grishin, citing his experience and ability to stifle opponents. He notes that Lins has chin issues and has gassed in fights, while Grishin is a solid, tough guy to look good against. He doesn't rule out a finish from Grishin but sees a decision as likely. He calls it a pass from a betting perspective.
Jacob picks Philipe Lins, believing Lins' volume and activity will win a decision. He thinks Lins has looked good at 205 and trusts his pressure, while Grishin fights like a slow, methodical heavyweight. Jacob acknowledges Lins is hittable and could get knocked out, but in a decision he favors Lins. He notes Lins' takedowns aren't great and Grishin can wrestle, but still picks Lins as a slight dog.
Grishin is the better overall fighter and better suited for 205 pounds. He can survive Lins' early attacks, then use clinch, grappling, and volume to win by decision. The line dropped from -180 to -130, which is an overcorrection that provides value.
Paul picks Grishin, citing his better volume and cardio. He notes Lins is untrustworthy and has low output. Paul expects a 15-minute sparring match where Grishin lands the better shots. He acknowledges Grishin's 16-month layoff and age (39) but thinks his chin and submission defense hold up. Paul is not heavily invested but picks Grishin.
The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin over Philipe Lins, citing Grishin's higher level of experience and tougher opponents. He notes that Grishin has fought the best in the division, including Dustin Jacoby (which he arguably should have won), and has a reach advantage. He also mentions Lins' history of failed weight cuts and canceled fights, and questions the quality of Lins' wins over OSP and Prachnio. The Guru believes Grishin's experience at a high level will be the deciding factor.
Zane picks Grishin reluctantly, citing his neutralizing style and ability to avoid being overwhelmed. He notes that Lins is a wild brawler with no structure, and Grishin's low-output, subtractive approach should allow him to tie Lins up and control the fight. Zane acknowledges Grishin is boring and unimpressive, but believes his technical skills and experience will stifle Lins' chaos.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 32 of 79 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
| William Knight | 0 | 69 of 89 | 77% | 88 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 7 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| William Knight | 0 | 25 of 32 | 78% | 31 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 21 of 68 | 30% | 9 of 39 | 5 of 13 | 7 of 16 | 16 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 69 of 89 | 77% | 16 of 32 | 21 of 24 | 32 of 33 | 62 of 81 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 19 | 42% | 0 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 27 of 33 | 81% | 1 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 21 | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 5 of 26 | 19% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 25 of 32 | 78% | 7 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 17 of 24 | 70% | 8 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.
Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.
Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.
Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.
Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.
Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 57 of 137 | 41% | 60 of 141 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Maxim Grishin | 2 | 66 of 156 | 42% | 80 of 172 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Maxim Grishin | 2 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 29 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 30 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 57 of 137 | 41% | 25 of 88 | 7 of 15 | 25 of 34 | 55 of 133 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 66 of 156 | 42% | 31 of 110 | 8 of 16 | 27 of 30 | 59 of 144 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 13 of 32 | 40% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 8 | 6 of 9 | 11 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 21 of 39 | 53% | 12 of 26 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 18 of 48 | 37% | 6 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 18 of 42 | 42% | 7 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 26 of 57 | 45% | 15 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 14 | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 27 of 75 | 36% | 12 of 56 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 15 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Jacoby is the much faster and crisper striker with higher volume, and that leg kicks will be a big factor in the small cage. He notes Grishin is older, has low volume, and lacks wrestling despite having a potential advantage there. He says the line at -175 is not awful but he is personally passing on betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, noting the difference in striking level. He believes Jacoby's kickboxing background and leg kicks will be decisive, as Grishin prefers stand-up but has been knocked out before. Levi acknowledges Grishin's experience but thinks Jacoby's power and technique will secure the win.
Jacoby's striking, especially his calf kicks, will be a major problem for Grishin, who tends to back up and accept pressure. Jacoby has shown improved confidence and efficiency. Grishin is slow and doesn't excel in any one area. Jacoby should win via TKO in the second round, as Grishin's durability is questionable.
The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin as an upset winner, citing Grishin's grappling advantage and ability to mix in takedowns against the kickboxer Jacoby. He notes Jacoby's time away for kickboxing may have hindered his wrestling development, and expects Grishin to wear him down with clinch work and grappling in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges Jacoby could win the first round but believes Grishin's cardio and pressure will take over. He also mentions Grishin's only recent loss was on short notice at heavyweight to Marcin Tybura, and that he has been successful in PFL.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 31 of 44 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 0 | 34 of 76 | 44% | 66 of 126 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 13 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 0 | 23 of 58 | 39% | 49 of 102 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 12 of 23 | 52% | 5 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 34 of 76 | 44% | 20 of 61 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 8 | 22 of 45 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 11 of 18 | 61% | 1 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 23 of 58 | 39% | 19 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 25 |
Big Brady picks Grishin due to his size advantage (height and reach), experience, solid takedown defense, and get-up game. He notes Antigulov is dangerous early but has a very small window to win, and if he doesn't finish in the first couple minutes, he gasses out and likely gets knocked out. He predicts a late first-round knockout for Grishin.
The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin because he sees Antigulov as a disappointing fighter who fails often, while Grishin is blooming later in his career with good PFL competition. He notes Grishin's size, reach, and athletic advantages, and expects a grinding unanimous decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 70 of 119 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 9:25 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 54 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 27 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 24 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:58 |
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 24 of 52 | 46% | 15 of 36 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 7 | 14 of 37 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 |
| Maxim Grishin | 18 of 32 | 56% | 9 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 9 of 13 | 69% | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 7 of 15 | 46% | 3 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Maxim Grishin | 5 of 9 | 55% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
| Maxim Grishin | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura by decision, citing Grishin's size disadvantage moving up from light heavyweight. He thinks Tybura's wrestling and BJJ will be key, and he can get takedowns and control Grishin. He notes the line flipped from Grishin being favorite, which he agrees with.
Daniel Levi leans toward Maxim Grishin, calling this one of the toughest fights to call on the card. He notes Grishin's experience (39 pro fights) and win over Alexander Volkov, while questioning Tybura's suspect chin and gas tank. He sees Grishin as well-rounded enough to potentially upset Tybura, but is not highly confident.
Grishin has more experience, better technique, and is an overall better fighter. He has punching power and should be able to hurt Tybura on the feet. Both are similar in size, so Tybura won't have a size advantage. Picks Grishin to win by decision, but wouldn't be surprised by a finish.
The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.
William Knight - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 79 of 144 | 54% | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 1 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 8 of 33 | 24% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 8 | 6 of 12 | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 79 of 144 | 54% | 9 of 36 | 7 of 25 | 63 of 83 | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 26 of 48 | 54% | 1 of 10 | 3 of 11 | 22 of 27 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 29 of 49 | 59% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 24 of 47 | 51% | 3 of 14 | 2 of 6 | 19 of 27 | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a one-unit bet on Prachnio but expresses buyer's remorse. He thinks Prachnio is the better technical fighter with a karate background, but his chin is a concern. Angelo notes William Knight is a powerful, fast bodybuilder-type who can wrestle, but is inconsistent and missed weight by 12 pounds. He believes Prachnio should win if he doesn't get caught, but admits the bet is risky.
Big Brady favors Knight because of his wrestling path, as Prachnio has poor takedown defense (around 50%) and terrible cardio, gassing out by six minutes in his last fight. He thinks Knight can take him down, wear on him, and get a second-round knockout. He notes that both have durability issues, but Knight's power and cardio give him the edge.
Cody picks Prachnio, noting William Knight has struggled with weight cuts and is now moving back to 205 after a failed heavyweight stint. He details Knight's history of botched weight cuts and poor performances when depleted. He says Prachnio has volume and cardio advantages, and even if Knight gets takedowns, he won't do enough with them. He calls it an even money fight but likes Prachnio as the betting underdog.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Knight's counter punching is technically poor and he cannot put together combinations. Prachnio will get hurt but is unlikely to be finished. Knight's lack of follow-up means Prachnio can recover and win rounds.
Jacob picks William Knight, citing his explosiveness and power as a perfect matchup against Prachnio's karate style. He thinks once Knight starts landing, Prachnio will shell up against the fence and get finished. Jacob notes Knight's aggression and ability to pounce, and believes Prachnio's chin is weak. He also mentions the under 1.5 rounds feels like a trap but thinks Knight will get the KO.
Prachnio's kick-heavy, movement-based style should keep him safe from Knight's early power. Knight fades after round one and has poor cardio. Prachnio can use his range and footwork to win a decision, though his chin is a concern. Live betting after round one is suggested.
Paul picks Prachnio, saying he struggles to get to William Knight. He notes Knight's volume isn't there and he's not sure about his grappling. He says Prachnio should box him up at range with volume as long as he stays upright. He acknowledges Knight can land a bomb, but thinks more often than not Prachnio wins. He says he's not sure if he'll bet it but is picking Prachnio.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight, but is undecided. He acknowledges Marcin Prachnio is not bad and beat Khalil Rountree, but notes Prachnio's chin is suspect, having been finished three times in his last six fights by KO. He believes Knight will find that chin and get a KO, either by dominant position or big shot on the feet, but emphasizes Knight must be aggressive.
Zane picks Prachnio because he is a better striker and more determined than Knight. Knight has power but lacks form and follow-up, and he turns into a counter puncher when pressured. Prachnio takes available targets and will win rounds. Knight may hurt him but likely won't finish, and Prachnio's improved durability should see him through.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 1 | 34 of 47 | 72% | 125 of 140 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 5:46 |
| William Knight | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 39 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 33 of 39 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| William Knight | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 63 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| William Knight | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 1 | 19 of 23 | 82% | 29 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| William Knight | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 34 of 47 | 72% | 19 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 11 | 25 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
| William Knight | 21 of 41 | 51% | 11 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 10 of 18 | 55% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 12 of 15 | 80% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| William Knight | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 19 of 23 | 82% | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| William Knight | 5 of 14 | 35% | 0 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks William Knight, believing he hits too hard and has his own wrestling. He notes that both are moving up to heavyweight, but Knight will be the bigger, faster, and harder-hitting fighter. He expresses concern about Knight's cardio with added muscle and his wrestling defense, but still thinks Knight gets the win and redeems himself from the weight miss.
Big Brady picks Devin Clark to win by decision. He notes Clark has fought much better competition, has cardio, and can take the fight to the ground. He criticizes William Knight's 33% striking defense, low volume, poor takedown defense, and cardio issues. However, he is cautious because the fight is at heavyweight, which could favor Knight. He expects Clark to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Clark, emphasizing his wrestling and clinch work. He thinks Clark can grind Knight against the cage and win a decision. He notes Knight's lack of output and Clark's edge in wrestling.
Daniel Levi has no clear pick for this fight. He acknowledges Devin Clark is much more skilled with good wrestling and experience, but notes he has been finished multiple times and can break mentally. William Knight is unskilled with poor defense but has tremendous toughness, power, and explosiveness, similar to Derrick Lewis. Levi says the fight could go either way depending on which version shows up, and he has no conviction on a pick.
Paul picks Clark but is hesitant, noting the weigh-ins will be important. He thinks Clark's wrestling and pace will be key, but worries about Clark's chin and Knight's power. He expects a decision win for Clark.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO. He notes the fight is at heavyweight, benefiting Knight who doesn't have to cut weight, and that Devin Clark is coming off a horrific jaw injury from Krzysztof Jotko. He believes Clark will be hesitant and Knight's power will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 32 of 79 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
| William Knight | 0 | 69 of 89 | 77% | 88 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 7 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| William Knight | 0 | 25 of 32 | 78% | 31 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 21 of 68 | 30% | 9 of 39 | 5 of 13 | 7 of 16 | 16 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 69 of 89 | 77% | 16 of 32 | 21 of 24 | 32 of 33 | 62 of 81 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 19 | 42% | 0 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 27 of 33 | 81% | 1 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 21 | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 5 of 26 | 19% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 25 of 32 | 78% | 7 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 17 of 24 | 70% | 8 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.
Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.
Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.
Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.
Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.
Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 0 | 44 of 77 | 57% | 66 of 99 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 6:25 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 55 of 111 | 49% | 82 of 139 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:07 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 31 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0:43 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 0 | 30 of 50 | 60% | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 17 of 56 | 30% | 17 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 23 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 34 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 44 of 77 | 57% | 34 of 67 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 44 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 55 of 111 | 49% | 32 of 82 | 14 of 19 | 9 of 10 | 38 of 93 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 19 of 25 | 76% | 10 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 8 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 30 of 50 | 60% | 22 of 42 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 17 of 56 | 30% | 12 of 47 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 19 of 30 | 63% | 10 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hold on tight, because two light heavyweight bangers are about to toe the line in what might not last very long. Rescheduled several times this year, Menifield (11-2, 4-2 UFC) and Knight (10-2, 2-1 UFC) will finally get to slug it out all while referee Herb Dean watches on. Finish rates for each above 90% likely mean that chins will be tested soon, but they do extend their gloves to touch before swinging for the bleachers. Buckle up. Two big punches immediately come for Menifield, with a one-two that Knight rolls with. Knight suddenly changes things up for a single, and he hits it but does not secure it as Menifield rolls through to reverse him and land in side control on top. The action stalls out from this position as Menifield does not want to commit to any strikes, and would rather use his body weight to crush Knight down and keep him flat on his back. Menifield sits up to set up a crucifix, and when he does, Knight bursts out of the position to force a scramble. They go back and forth, and Knight takes his foe’s back. Menifield explodes right back to turn and stand up, and when he pushes Knight into the wall, he thinks about going for a single of his own. Instead of this, “Atomic Alonzo” just uses his weight to press. Knight defends with a knee that glances off the cup, and Menifield waves it off to let them continue. Menifield pursues a single, and Knight grabs hold of a guillotine choke with his massive biceps to squeeze as tight as he can. Menifield cannot ground his opponent but does not appear to be in submission danger, and Knight knees him again and gets warned for close proximity to the cup since he cannot see where he is aiming. After a grueling clinch exchange, Menifield scores a big right hand that staggers Knight for a moment. The imbalance for Knight may also be from fatigue, as his footing is not quite right. They both throw bombs, and Knight cracks Menifield in a flurry to hurt Menifield badly. Menifield tumbles to the ground, and Knight follows him to throw his bowling ball fists into the head. Knight continues to pour it on to end the round, and when the horn sounds, both men appear spent. Menifield needs to be helped to his corner, as he is hurt and tired. He makes his way back to his stool.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Round 2
The big men come out to begin the second round with a frenzy, and Menifield stings his opponent with a few punches that make Knight sprint around the cage to gather himself. Menifield sits down on a huge right hand, measuring it and nearly knocking Knight off of his feet. He does not follow it up, instead measuring with a low kick and staying away of the potential counter from “Knightmare.” Menifield catches Knight coming in with a takedown try, and Knight lets it go to sling a head kick. Menifield eats it like Texas barbeque so that he can wing power punches, and Knight wears them well. Knight spins with a wheel kick that glances off the shoulder, and Menifield bears down on him to land a clean left hand. Both light heavyweights measure one another and catch their breath, largely throwing single swiping strikes. Menifield snaps his foe’s head back with a punch, and Knight flails back and manages to connect. Knight spins with a kick, dives in for a takedown, and backs off when Menifield slings heavy leather at him. Menifield paws out a jab, drawing a grin from Knight, and he reaches out another when it connects. Knight wings a left hand that just misses the mark, and he plods forward to set up a right. Menifield interrupts him with a few more jabs, breaking up the power punches that try to come at him. “Atomic” just misses with an explosive one-two, and he continues to work his jab to stop the looping shots ahead of time. Knight gets the memo and sneaks out his own jab, but Menifield’s is more effective and more active. Knight walks through them without concern, and he slings a right hand that collides off the head. “Knightmare” lets loose with a head kick that shakes Menifield up, and he tries to finish the job in the waning seconds with booming seconds but cannot get the job done before the round ends. Knight does land a punch after the bell, and promptly apologizes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Round 3
The fighters hug it out to start off the third round, and get right back to throwing hammers at one another. Knight has a bomb of a right hand glance off Menifield’s mohawk, but it does not get the job done as Menifield counters him effectively to knock him back. Knight leaps ahead with a superman punch, and he pulls back with an elbow when Menifield bears down on him to tie him up. Using his full body weight to his advantage, Menifield pushes Knight heavily into the wall before transitioning into a double-leg takedown attempt. Menifield tries to pick Knight up, but he might not have enough gas in the tank to lift up the mammoth man that is “Knightmare.” Knight tries to fight his way out of the clinch, but Menifield pins him back even though Knight knees him in the body a few times. Menifield continues to grind Knight out on the wall, as if he were trying to mash him straight through the links themselves. Dean implores them to do more than lean on one another, and this prompts Menifield into action to attempt a takedown on the other side, but there is nothing there either. Dean once more tells them to work, and Menifield squeezes his opponent tightly but does little else besides pop him in the thigh with a few short shots. Right before Dean is going to intervene, Knight explodes to get out of the position, and a jump knee glances off Menifield’s head. Knight kicks high and low as he charges like a bull, and Menifield backs up and evades the brunt of the damage. Menifield jabs out a few times, and he rolls when a few huge right hands come at him. Try as he might, Knight cannot land the knockout blow he seeks, and we unexpectedly see the scorecards for the first time tonight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
The Official Result
William Knight def. Alonzo Menifield via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Menifield, citing his improved cardio from the Ed Herman fight. He notes Menifield has great takedown defense and power, while Knight has power but less technical striking. Angelo thinks the odds are wide and Menifield's cardio makes the difference.
Big Brady picks Alonzo Menifield to win by first-round knockout, but he is hesitant and says he might stay away from betting this fight. He notes Menifield's power and Knight's poor striking defense (34%), but questions Menifield's cardio and trustworthiness after poor performances. He thinks if Knight can make it a grinding fight, Menifield might fade. However, he expects a finish either way and leans Menifield early.
Cody picks Menifield confidently, citing his size, power, and recent improvements. He thinks Knight is too small for the division and has poor striking and wrestling. Cody believes Menifield will knock Knight out or win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Alonzo Menifield to win by decision. He notes that Menifield has been pacing himself better and has a higher ceiling. He acknowledges William Knight's power and explosiveness but points out that Knight leaves his chin up and has technical flaws. He thinks Menifield can mix in takedowns and edge out a decision, though he warns that Knight can end anyone's night.
Jacob picks Menifield, emphasizing he must stay technical and not get into firefights. He notes Knight's head movement is poor and he lunges in, which could lead to a knockout. Jacob thinks Menifield should keep distance and piece Knight apart.
I lean Menifield. He is the better striker with cleaner technique and better defense. He should be able to keep the fight at distance and outpoint Knight. However, Menifield has a tendency to clinch unnecessarily and can be unreliable. I think the fight goes to decision, and Menifield by decision at plus 250 is a decent play.
Paul picks Knight as an underdog, citing his grappling and the possibility of slowing down Menifield. He notes that Menifield has cardio issues and that Knight could win by grinding him out. Paul is not confident but sees value at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Alonzo Menifield to win by TKO in the first round via crucifix. He expects Menifield to chop at Knight's legs from range, frustrating him, then secure a takedown and pass to side control. He compares the finish to Dan Hooker's crucifix TKO, with Menifield landing ground-and-pound from the crucifix position.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 1 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Fabio Cherant | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 1 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Fabio Cherant | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 14 of 24 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fabio Cherant | 15 of 23 | 65% | 3 of 11 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 14 of 24 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fabio Cherant | 15 of 23 | 65% | 3 of 11 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks William Knight but with very low confidence. He thinks Knight is the better striker and the fight will likely play out on the feet, but he is not high on either fighter. He notes Cherant has poor takedown defense but doesn't shoot for takedowns often. He predicts a decision win for Knight.
Cody leans toward Knight, citing his wrestling advantage and ability to grind out wins. He notes Knight's poor striking but believes he can take Cherant down. He acknowledges Cherant's potential but thinks Knight's experience gives him the edge.
Both fighters have limited skill sets, but Cherant has a decent submission game and I lean towards him on the feet. Knight's gas tank looked poor last time, and this fight likely goes to a decision. I prefer the over 1.5 rounds and Cherant's plus money, but I'm not confident enough to make him my dog play.
Paul leans toward Cherant as a dog, noting Knight's poor striking and limited offense. He believes Cherant's footwork and striking could outpoint Knight if he avoids takedowns. He sees value in Cherant at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight to win by TKO in the second round. He thinks Knight is faster, stronger, and more experienced against better competition. He expects both to be explosive early, but Knight will maintain pace longer and finish Cherant in the late second round as Cherant tires.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 73 of 99 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 38 of 50 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 16 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| William Knight | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 39 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:56 |
| William Knight | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| William Knight | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 28 of 46 | 60% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 23 |
| William Knight | 17 of 29 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| William Knight | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 24 of 37 | 64% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 22 |
| William Knight | 9 of 12 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.
Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.
Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.
The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.
Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 0 | 38 of 54 | 70% | 58 of 77 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 1 | 6:39 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 59 of 72 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 23 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 21 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:37 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 25 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 38 of 54 | 70% | 29 of 40 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 10 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 19 of 21 |
| Aleksa Camur | 17 of 30 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 9 of 15 | 60% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksa Camur | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 16 of 21 | 76% | 13 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 14 |
| Aleksa Camur | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 |
| Aleksa Camur | 7 of 9 | 77% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Camur, stating he is the better fighter despite Knight's power. He notes Camur has good durability and has finished 80% of his wins. He attributes Camur's unimpressive UFC debut to octagon jitters and expects a second-round knockout.
Daniel Levi picks William Knight for the upset, comparing him to a green Derrick Lewis with heart and finishing ability. He believes Knight will capitalize on Camur's inexperience and tense striking, eventually finding a finish. He notes Camur looked tense in his debut and has fought weak competition.
The host leans toward Aleksa Camur but is not confident, calling the fight a pass. He notes that Camur has a better training camp and may be more active, but both fighters are green with many unknowns. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds is the best bet, as both may feel each other out.
The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur, citing his training at Staphae Meochit, youth (24), and good striking defense. He believes Camur will survive the first round and then KO William Knight in the first round with a counterpunch. He notes Knight is past his prime and has not faced high-level competition.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.
Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.
Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.
Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.
Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.
Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!