vs
+108 -124
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021 · Catchweight (150 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 9"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 8"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jared Gordon
5.64 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.14 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.78 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Danny Chavez
2.86 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
3.83 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.95 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Jared Gordon
Moneyline
FanDuel +108
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetWay +700
Decision
BetWay +175
Danny Chavez
Moneyline
DraftKings -124
KO/TKO
BetWay +225
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +240
Jared Gordon - Fight History
LOSS vs Jim Miller
Submission R1 3:29 · UFC 328 ·
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 0 9 of 17 52% 10 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 7 of 16 43% 8 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 9 of 17 52% 10 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 7 of 16 43% 8 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 7 of 16 43% 4 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 7 of 16 43% 4 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gordon (-325), Miller (+260)

Round 1
It’s Jim Miller (38-19, 1 NC; 27-18, 1 NC UFC) fight day, the first one of these this year. Coming up on 43 years of age, the New Jersey native still has a ways to go to reach 50 UFC bouts. He can get to 47 tonight once the cage doors close and referee Keith Peterson says go, when he battles Gordon (21-8, 1 NC; 9-7, 1 NC UFC). This lightweight clash kicks off with no nonsense and no fist bump either.
Miller stalks Gordon down slowly and cautiously, keeping his gloves up to defend a high kick. Miller leaps forward and catches Gordon with a shovel uppercut. Gordon has to take a quick count of his teeth and absorbs a knee from up close. Miller breaks off and takes a body kick. Miller throws a low kick that bangs into Gordon’s cup, and Gordon tries to take him down and abandons it to adjust his groin. Peterson calls time and gives Gordon as much time as he needs to recover. After 80 seconds, Gordon is good to go, and Miller apologizes for the accidental foul. Gordon strikes first with a high kick that harmlessly bangs into the guard, and Miller crowds him behind a pair of hooks. Miller kicks the side again and is driven back with a right hand.
Gordon jabs the body with the ball of his foot, and he catches a Miller body kick to shoot for a takedown.
This reckless shot is just traveling down the road to perdition for Gordon, as Miller snatches up a guillotine choke and cinches both legs around the waist, gripping the submission with everything he has. Miller rolls Gordon to the side, squeezing with his self-describes "old man strength." Miller arches his back and has Gordon dead to rights. Gordon surrenders so he does not go out on his shield, and the victorious Miller leaps atop the cage to let loose a roar of victory.
In less than four minutes, the OG Miller has notched his 28th victory in the Octagon, extending his own record. He has now finished 20 opponents as a UFC fighter, one shy of organizational leader Charles Oliveira. In victory, Miller gives it up to his son for beating cancer, declaring that anything he does in combat pales in comparison to what his offspring went through.

The Official Result
Jim Miller def. Jared Gordon R1 3:29 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Angelo picks Jared Gordon, stating his hands are better and his takedown defense should be good enough. He dismisses Gordon's last loss due to being hit by a car. He notes Gordon is a touch younger and faster. However, he thinks the 3-to-1 odds are crazy and will not bet on it. He acknowledges Jim Miller's home advantage and toughness.

Angelo says he is not spending on the 3-to-1 odds.
"I'm gonna pick Jared Gordon here because I do think his hands are better and I think the takedown defense should be good enough to defend some of these Jim Miller takedowns. But 3 to 1 money is crazy. I'm …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Angelo picks Jared Gordon but is not fully confident. He notes that Jim Miller is tough and experienced, and that the age difference might only be half a second faster. He thinks the fight is competitive and that Jim Miller plus 3.5 is not the worst bet. He mentions that Jim Miller has been finished in all his losses in New Jersey.

over round line lean
"I am picking Jared Gordon here. But the idea that Jim Miller can't hang on the feet seems something that you can dismiss."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Big Brady picks Jared Gordon, assuming he wasn't hit by a car before this fight. He notes Gordon fights at a high level and should be the minute winner everywhere. Brady expects Gordon to win by decision, though he acknowledges Jim Miller has power and a guillotine. He is rooting for Miller but thinks Gordon gets it done on the scorecards.

"I'm going to take Jared Gordon to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Cody picks Gordon, citing his youth and well-rounded skills. He thinks Gordon's striking and grappling are a step ahead of Miller, who is older and less active. Cody expects Gordon to win by decision.

"I'm picking Jared Gordon. Despite the fact that I want Jim Miller to win."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Connor also picks Gordon, focusing on directionality: Gordon has a clear process of pressuring and putting out volume, while Miller never has. Connor notes that Miller has no ability to be the one pressuring and will just accept the fight Gordon wants. He adds that Gordon is a little too fast and put together with his hands for Miller to take him out of his game.

Miller opened at +210, now +250; Gordon opened at -250, now -300.
"I think I will because he is going to understand how to kind of tell the story of the fight to dictate in a way that Jim Miller never has been able to."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Daniel picks Gordon, predicting a 29-28 decision where Miller wins the first round but Gordon edges out the last two with top control. He respects Miller's legacy but sees Gordon's youth and grappling as decisive.

"I'm also going Gordon. I'm gonna go 2928 decision. I think Miller wins the first round. Gordon kind of edges out the last two with top control."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Jared Gordon

Predicted method: KO/TKO Round 3. Gordon is the younger, more active fighter with superior striking volume (5.64 SLpM) and accuracy (53%) compared to the 41-year-old Miller. Miller's takedown defense (48%) is a liability, and Gordon has solid takedown defense (60%) to keep the fight standing. Gordon's recent KO win over Thiago Moises shows his power, while Miller has been knocked out multiple times. Gordon's pace and pressure should overwhelm Miller, leading to a late stoppage or clear decision.

Gordon by KO/TKO +400
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Jacob picks Jared Gordon but is not betting on him out of respect for Jim Miller, who has been dealing with his son's cancer. He thinks Gordon should win but sees weird paths to victory for Miller. He might play Jim Miller in some capacity on Saturday.

"I got to pick Jared Gordon as a pick because I mean he should just be the better fighter."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The host picks Gordon, citing his pressure, pace, and power striking. He believes Gordon's grappling is good enough to keep Miller from grinding, and that Gordon's durability and cardio will allow him to dictate the fight. He expects a decision win, though he notes Miller's hometown crowd and power could pose a threat.

"I like Gordon here. I think he wins by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Paul picks Gordon, citing his technical striking and Miller's decline. He notes Miller's age and distractions, and thinks Gordon is simply better everywhere. Paul expects Gordon to win.

"Jared Gordon is just a kind of like one step advance."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon but calls him a 'risky pick'. He notes Gordon's inconsistency but believes Jim Miller has lost his pop and recent performances have declined. He thinks Gordon should figure out the 55-year-old Miller and get a finish, though he initially says decision then corrects to finish.

by finish
"I'm going to go with Jared Gordon winning this one by decision. Um, by finish. Sorry."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Zane picks Gordon, citing his improved boxing and ability to dictate the fight with pressure and volume. He notes that Jim Miller lacks a clear process and is not a strategic thinker, while Gordon has a clear game plan. However, Zane acknowledges Miller's power and finishing ability, making Gordon vulnerable despite being the favorite.

Miller opened at +210, now +250; Gordon opened at -250, now -300. Should probably be closer than that.
"I am going to take Jared Gordon."
LOSS vs Rafa García
KO R3 2:27 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafa García 1 91 of 162 56% 107 of 179 2 of 3 66% 2 1 2:01
Jared Gordon 0 65 of 186 34% 80 of 201 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafa García 0 22 of 41 53% 23 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Jared Gordon 0 23 of 64 35% 24 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Rafa García 0 33 of 61 54% 48 of 77 1 of 2 50% 1 1 1:12
Jared Gordon 0 31 of 86 36% 45 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:09
3 Rafa García 1 36 of 60 60% 36 of 60 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:25
Jared Gordon 0 11 of 36 30% 11 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafa García 91 of 162 56% 74 of 144 7 of 7 10 of 11 70 of 137 10 of 11 11 of 14
Jared Gordon 65 of 186 34% 55 of 171 8 of 13 2 of 2 65 of 186 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafa García 22 of 41 53% 15 of 33 2 of 2 5 of 6 20 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 23 of 64 35% 16 of 55 5 of 7 2 of 2 23 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rafa García 33 of 61 54% 26 of 54 3 of 3 4 of 4 27 of 55 6 of 6 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 31 of 86 36% 29 of 82 2 of 4 0 of 0 31 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rafa García 36 of 60 60% 33 of 57 2 of 2 1 of 1 23 of 43 2 of 3 11 of 14
Jared Gordon 11 of 36 30% 10 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rafa Garcia vs. Jared Gordon
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gordon (-240); Garcia (+200)

Round 1
Kerry Hatley is the referee. Garcia opens with a low kick. Gordon steps in and lands a left. Gordon crashes forward and they exchange. Garcia fires right back. They trade leg kicks but Garcia is more impactful. Gordon probes with a lead hook and a jab. He follows up with a 1-2. A straight right connects for Garcia. A hard leg kick lands for Garcia. A short right by Garcia buckles Gordon’s knees momentarily, but he’s still in the fight. Gordon lands a body kick and then a striaght right. Garcia catches a kick and tags his foe with a right. Gordon stumbles to the floor but pops right back up. Garcia is hunting for that right and finds the range on another one. A stiff jab backs Gordon up. Gordon sticks a jab of his own. A counter right by Gordon makes an impact. He strings some punches together to back Garcia up. As Gordon gains momentum, Garcia changes levels and gets a takedown. Gordon gets to the fence and stands. They stay in the clinch, and Garcia lands a left on the break. Gordon lands a left hook before the end of the period.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 2
Garcia makes Gordon stumble backward with a left at the outset. They’re trading and Gordon gets the better of it. Garcia jumps a guillotine and then rolls into mount. Gordon gets out of it and now must defend Garcia from his back. Gordon moves to the fence and works his way up. Garcia tries to drag Gordon down but it’s unsuccessful. They get back to boxing in the center of the cage. Plent of shots are landing. Gordon has Garcia covering up after landing a couple big rights. Garcia clinches and lands some uppercuts in close. Gordon jabs and then touches his foe with a right. Garcia with a stiff jab, but a counter left hook by Gordon has Garcia backing up. They’re trading in the pocket, but Gordon is landing combinations with more volume. However, Garcia cuts his opponent with an elbow. Gordon with a front kick down the middle. Garcia stumbles after eating a left hook. Garcia with a hard elbow in close quarters late and concludes the round with a takedown as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-9 Garcia

Round 3
Garcia opens with a 1-2. He follows with an inside leg kick. Gordon responds with a combination in the pocket. They clinch and Garcia lands a couple of slashing elbows. Gordon pumps his jab. A left hook from Garcia stops Gordon. A heavy 1-2 finds the mark for Garcia, who then rips the body. GArcia is upping the volume as Gordon seems to be slowing. A right by Gordon lands on the side of the head, but Garcia is still attacking. Garcia rips the body with a left. A clean short right to the chin sends Gordon tumbling to the floor. Garcia tees off with punches on his reeling opponent before locking in a modified rear-naked choke. It’s pretty tight, but
he gives up on the submission to pummel Gordon with elbows from top position. He batters a bloodied Gordon with several more elbows before Hatley intervenes.
It’s a violent finish and just Garcia’s second career win via KO or TKO.

The Official Result
Rafa Gacia def. Jared Gordon via TKO (Elbows) R3 2:27
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Angelo picks Jared Gordon, calling him the better overall fighter and more well-rounded. He notes Gordon is a good wrestler with high volume striking, tough and busy. He says he has seen Rafa Garcia get decisions that weren't his, and Jared Gordon not get decisions that should have been his. He is surprised to see Gordon as a 3-to-1 favorite. He suggests Rafa Garcia plus 3.5 as a possible bet.

Rafa Garcia plus three and a half might be the best bet here.
"I am going to pick Jared Gordon here. I have seen with my own eyes Rafa Garcia get decisions that weren't his."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Big Brady picks Gordon due to his pace, volume, and recent power. He worries about corrupt judges but expects Gordon to win a decision. He notes Garcia is tough and has only been knocked out by Grant Dawson, so a finish is unlikely.

Decision win; not in love with the price
"Give me Gordon here. Not in love with the price tag to be honest, but I think he wins the fight and wins it by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Connor picks Jared Gordon, emphasizing Gordon's technical boxing and ability to impose his game plan. He notes that García's loss to Chris Gruetzemacher shows he can be outworked, and Gordon is a more dangerous fighter than Gruetzemacher. Connor believes Gordon's pressure and sharper striking will overcome García's durability and lack of strategy.

"I think that Gordon can repeat that kind of success because he's a much more dangerous fighter than Chris Gruetzemacher was."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Gordon is a big fan favorite and the host believes Garcia's lack of knockout threat allows Gordon to dictate the pace. He expects Gordon to stay on the gas, put Garcia against the cage, land takedowns, and win on the scorecards.

"I think this is a matchup where the lack of knockout threat from Rafa Garcia will allow Gordon to dictate the pace of this fight. Look for him to stay on the gas, put Garcia up against the cage, maybe …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon, calling him the most underrated lightweight on the roster. He argues Gordon's boxing is superior to Garcia's and that Garcia lacks power. He criticizes Garcia's wins as unimpressive and believes Gordon should be a bigger favorite. He predicts a dominant performance with a TKO in the late second round, possibly including a 10-8 round.

TKO late second round
"I'm going with Jared Gordon, the most underrated lightweight on the roster. ... I'm going to say Jared Gordon gets this one done by a TKO in the first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Zane picks Jared Gordon, citing Gordon's improved boxing form and power, which should allow him to land the bigger shots. He notes that García is durable but lacks power and a strategic approach, often floating through fights. Zane believes Gordon's consistent pressure and sharper striking will win a three-round war, as García's lack of imposition makes him vulnerable.

"I think I have to pick Jared Gordon in that kind of fight. He is likely to land the bigger shots."
WIN vs Thiago Moises
KO R1 3:37 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gordon 1 7 of 13 53% 21 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Thiago Moises 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gordon 1 7 of 13 53% 21 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Thiago Moises 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gordon 7 of 13 53% 5 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Moises 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gordon 7 of 13 53% 5 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Moises 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gordon (-110), Moises (-110)

Round 1
Lightweight veterans with technically equal records in the UFC—although one has a no contest—come to blows, with plans of remaining highly regarded in the talent-rich division. Gordon (20-7, 1 NC; 8-6, 1 NC UFC) is the one who also has the grey mark on his pace thanks to a clash of heads with Bobby Green, and has otherwise alternated wins and losses for a few years. The same can be said for Brazil’s Moises (19-8, 8-6 UFC), who is ready to continue the rivalry of his team of American Top Team against regional adversarial team Kill Cliff FC and its rep of Gordon. Referee Kerry Hatley will keep things on the up-and-up, but they are fine with one another and clap hands. The first strike thrown is a Moises body kick, which Gordon uses to easily sling his opponent to his back. Gordon practically walks into top control, and Moises wraps up his arms in an unorthodox armlock attack. Moises lets go of the lockup and lashes out with a short elbow off his back that opens a tiny cut on the top of Gordon’s forehead. Gordon responds with ample ground-and-pound of his own, smearing his blood all over the Brazilian’s head and chest. Moises works his way back up to his feet, ignoring the strikes lobbed at him so he can fight his way back up and away. They proceed to smack one another with low kicks, and Gordon darts in with a pair of punches that bounce off the guard. Leg kicks continue to fly, and they tag one another with single strikes. When Gordon ducks in to throw, Moises counters with a clean right hand over the top. “Flash” does not bat an eye, and instead lets Moises pitch a left hand at him.
This is exactly what he wants, as Gordon times a picture-perfect right hand that smashes into the American Top Team fighter’s chin and puts him down for the count. Moises’ head clatters off the mat when he collapses to the ground like a bird that’s had its wings clipped, and Gordon hammers the nail with a leaping right hand that gives commentator Michael Bisping flashbacks of when he took on Dan Henderson, cleanly separating Moises from his consciousness.
Before Hatley can get to them, Gordon gets one or two off that wake Moises back up, but they are merely academic as Gordon has dropped the hammer. Blood streaming down his face, Gordon stands up and shrugs, as if he knew he was going to do this all along. When Moises comes to, the two hug it out, but it is unclear if Moises knows the license plate number of the bus that just ran him over.

The Official Result
Jared Gordon def. Thiago Moises R1 3:37 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Angelo picks Thiago Moises after going back and forth. He acknowledges that Jared Gordon has been screwed on scorecards and could be on a win streak, but trusts Moises's training and activity. He notes that Moises is a slick grappler with technical striking and that Gordon is inactive and not on as good a team. Angelo says likely no bets for this fight.

Likely no bets for this fight.
"I'm going to stick with Thiago Moises. I trust the training. I trust the activity."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Big Brady picks Jared Gordon, citing his volume and cardio. He notes Gordon's losses are to tough competition in close decisions, and he thinks Gordon's takedown defense and chin hold up. He expects a close competitive decision win for Gordon.

Gordon by decision
"I like Gordon here. ... I think he wins this fight and wins it by a pretty pretty close competitive decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

The host finds this a tough puzzle but leans with Gordon's pace and pressure. He notes Moises has looked good against certain opponents but doesn't do well against guys who set the pace, and Gordon is exactly that. He expects Gordon to grind out a high pace, possibly get a late finish, but mostly win on the scorecards, provided his durability holds up.

Gordon by decision (possible late finish)
"I have to lean with Gordon's pace and pressure. Moises has looked very good against certain opponents, but he doesn't do well against guys that can set the pace."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

The Guru picks Jared Gordon, citing a rule of thumb that beating Thiago Moises means you're good. He thinks Gordon has been robbed in recent decisions (Bobby Green, Nazareno Malegarie) and is better than his record. He acknowledges grappling concerns from the Grant Dawson loss but believes Gordon's fundamental grappling defense is strong. He predicts Gordon wins by decision.

"I'm going to go with Jared Gordon over Thiago Moises."
CANCEL vs Kauê Fernandes
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Kauê Fernandes as an underdog, arguing that the odds are too wide. He notes that Jared Gordon's only real path to victory is wrestling, and Fernandes has solid takedown defense (62%) and dangerous striking. He worries about Fernandes' takedown defense but thinks Fernandes can win if he uses leg kicks to take away Gordon's wrestling.

"I'm going to lean the dog we're going two fights in a row dog Caillou Fernandez my one and only concern here is the takedown defense of Caillou"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon to win by finish in the second or third round. He heavily criticizes Kauê Fernandes' competition level, noting his opponents have poor records and he has not fought anyone decent. He believes Gordon's well-rounded skills and consistency will overwhelm Fernandes, who likely needs an early finish to win.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go Jared Gordon getting this one done by finish in the second or third round"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nasrat Haqparast 0 146 of 316 46% 156 of 330 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gordon 0 141 of 299 47% 170 of 338 0 of 13 0% 0 0 2:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nasrat Haqparast 0 35 of 64 54% 35 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gordon 0 16 of 56 28% 21 of 63 0 of 7 0% 0 0 1:13
2 Nasrat Haqparast 0 37 of 80 46% 47 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 55 of 88 62% 79 of 120 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:34
3 Nasrat Haqparast 0 74 of 172 43% 74 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 70 of 155 45% 70 of 155 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nasrat Haqparast 146 of 316 46% 122 of 288 23 of 27 1 of 1 133 of 298 8 of 10 5 of 8
Jared Gordon 141 of 299 47% 125 of 275 12 of 19 4 of 5 128 of 274 13 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nasrat Haqparast 35 of 64 54% 27 of 55 8 of 9 0 of 0 30 of 56 0 of 0 5 of 8
Jared Gordon 16 of 56 28% 11 of 48 2 of 4 3 of 4 14 of 50 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Nasrat Haqparast 37 of 80 46% 27 of 68 10 of 12 0 of 0 30 of 71 7 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 55 of 88 62% 49 of 81 6 of 7 0 of 0 44 of 70 11 of 18 0 of 0
3 Nasrat Haqparast 74 of 172 43% 68 of 165 5 of 6 1 of 1 73 of 171 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 70 of 155 45% 65 of 146 4 of 8 1 of 1 70 of 154 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gordon vs. Nasrat Haqparast
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Haqparast (-238), Gordon (+195)

Round 1
Haqparast and Gordon do not touch gloves before going at it. Rich Mitchell is your referee. Haqparast is southpaw, Gordon orthodox, and Gordon shoves Haqparast to the fence, picking up a single-leg. He elevates the leg, but instead of finishing the takedown, uses his free hand to punch Haqparast’s face. Gordon lets the leg go, but scoops up another single-leg seconds later, and again uses the chance to land strikes rather than bring the fight to the floor. He loses the leg and Haqparast sticks him with a hard left. Haqparast lands another hard left, and Gordon drops levels for a takedown. This time it looks like a serious attempt, as he runs Haqparast to the fence, but Haqparast keeps his feet under him. They disengage and return to the center of the Octagon. Gordon shoots for another takedown, and again they end up against the fence. Haqparast again defends ably, and after they break, he nails Gordon with a solid right jab. Gordon shoves Haqparast to the fence and they trade shots up the middle. Haqparast gets the better of it, smacking Gordon with a three-piece that hurts him. Gordon seems to recover, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Haqparast
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Haqparast
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Haqparast

Round 2
Haqparast scores first, with a hard overhand left that glances off the shoulder but still gets some of Gordon’s head. Gordon marches forward, but his face is showing the wear of trying to get past Haqparast’s righty jab. Gordon drops for a takedown, but Haqparast defends capably. Gordon marches forward, backing Haqparast to the cage, and nails him with two good punches before Haqparast can slide out the side. Gordon walks Haqparast down against the fence and mugs him with punches again. Haqparast is bleeding from under the left eye. There is a brief break in the action as Gordon’s left glove is losing tape. They go back to work, and Gordon feints a level change to open him up for a pair of punches upstairs. Haqparast returns fire, and both men are getting their shots in. Gordon backs Haqparast up to the fence and blasts him with punches to the body. Haqparast tries to get back to space, but Gordon’s pressure is stifling him. With 30 seconds to go, they clinch against the fence. They separate and Haqparast lands a good right to the chin before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 3
Haqparast and Gordon do not touch gloves before going at it. Rich Mitchell is your referee. Haqparast is southpaw, Gordon orthodox, and Gordon shoves Haqparast to the fence, picking up a single-leg. He elevates the leg, but instead of finishing the takedown, uses his free hand to punch Haqparast’s face. Gordon lets the leg go, but scoops up another single-leg seconds later, and again uses the chance to land strikes rather than bring the fight to the floor. He loses the leg and Haqparast sticks him with a hard left. Haqparast lands another hard left, and Gordon drops levels for a takedown. This time it looks like a serious attempt, as he runs Haqparast to the fence, but Haqparast keeps his feet under him. They disengage and return to the center of the Octagon. Gordon shoots for another takedown, and again they end up against the fence. Haqparast again defends ably, and after they break, he nails Gordon with a solid right jab. Gordon shoves Haqparast to the fence and they trade shots up the middle. Haqparast gets the better of it, smacking Gordon with a three-piece that hurts him. Gordon seems to recover, and the horn sounds. Haqparast scores first, with a hard overhand left that glances off the shoulder but still gets some of Gordon’s head. Gordon marches forward, but his face is showing the wear of trying to get past Haqparast’s righty jab. Gordon drops for a takedown, but Haqparast defends capably. Gordon marches forward, backing Haqparast to the cage, and nails him with two good punches before Haqparast can slide out the side. Gordon walks Haqparast down against the fence and mugs him with punches again. Haqparast is bleeding from under the left eye. There is a brief break in the action as Gordon’s left glove is losing tape. They go back to work, and Gordon feints a level change to open him up for a pair of punches upstairs. Haqparast returns fire, and both men are getting their shots in. Gordon backs Haqparast up to the fence and blasts him with punches to the body. Haqparast tries to get back to space, but Gordon’s pressure is stifling him. With 30 seconds to go, they clinch against the fence. They separate and Haqparast lands a good right to the chin before the round ends. Neither man gives any quarter in the opening moments, standing toe-to-toe and swinging away. Haqparast’s fast hands show out, as he tags Gordon with a clean southpaw one-two. Gordon changes levels and drags Haqparast to the floor, but Haqparast refuses to concede the takedown, popping right back to his feet. Gordon marches forward, landing his jab on Haqparast and backing him up. Gordon is relentless, walking down the younger man, and mixing in level changes to keep him guessing. Haqparast lands a clean jab and Gordon returns fire with a hook to the head. Haqparast hits Gordon with a short punch to the body. Gordon comes back with a left hand upstairs. Under a minute to go and it still feels like anyone’s fight. Both men are battered and exhausted. They clinch and Haqparast scores with a short elbow inside. They separate and exchange a flurry of punches. The final horn sounds on what is, so far, easily the best fight of the night.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (29-28 Gordon)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Haqparast (29-28 Haqparast)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (29-28 Gordon)

The Official Result
Nasrat Haqparast def. Jared Gordon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Angelo picks Nasrat, highlighting his high volume striking (6 significant strikes per minute) and solid takedown defense (78%). He notes Nasrat has power, durability, and can push a pace. He thinks Jared Gordon is sneaky good but Nasrat is the better overall fighter. He is confident in Nasrat winning straightforwardly.

"nazat lands six significant strikes per minute and that seems like a giant number... nazat though I think is just the better overall Fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Big Brady picks Nasrat Haqparast to win by second-round knockout, citing his volume and sneaky power. He questions Jared Gordon's chin, noting he has been knocked out multiple times. Brady believes Haqparast's striking will overwhelm Gordon, and if Gordon's durability holds, it could be close, but he expects a finish before that.

win by second round knockout
"I'm going to take hack brast here I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Cody picks Haqparast, citing his size, boxing, and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Gordon's wrestling is less effective at 155 and that Haqparast should outpoint him. However, he warns that the line is steep and the fight could be close.

"I gota go with Nasrat Haqparast"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Daniel Vreeland picks Nasrat Haqparast confidently, highlighting his improved output and power in his left hand. He notes Gordon's durability and top control but believes Haqparast's speed, power, and athleticism will be the difference. He sees Haqparast as hitting his peak and winning a decision or knockout.

"I'm gonna pick nazat hakaras to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Jacob picks Nasrat, calling him better everywhere with superb striking and defensive wrestling. He believes Nasrat can weather Gordon's storm and that the -240 moneyline is good value. He respects Gordon's journey but thinks Nasrat is the better fighter.

"I believe that nazat hack barass should be just about better everywhere... I believe that minus 240 money line is one of the better values on this card"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

JP picks Nasrat, noting his 3-fight win streak and better competition, though he worries about Nasrat's decision-making on the feet. He expects a close fight but favors Nasrat's clinch game and pressure. Brevan is more confident, predicting a KO/TKO via Nasrat's powerful overhand left. He criticizes Gordon's recent performances and believes Nasrat will out-strike him and get a finish. Both see Nasrat winning, with Brevan specifically calling for a stoppage.

Nasrat by KO/TKO
"I'm gonna go nazrat KO TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

Paul picks Haqparast but is hesitant due to the price. He notes Haqparast's takedown defense is okay and his striking is solid, but Gordon could make it competitive with wrestling. Paul expects a close decision.

"I don't love laying minus 240 with hack press I do see a world in which this is really close"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nasrat Haqparast

The MMA Guru picks Nasrat Haqparast over Jared Gordon, believing Haqparast is the better boxer and will stuff takedowns. He notes that Gordon is not a dominant grappler and that Haqparast's recent first-round TKO shows his power. He expects Haqparast to box Gordon up as the fight goes on, possibly losing the first round but winning the next two.

"I'm going to go Nazar ha prast here over Jared Gordon um I do I think and this is really annoying to me because it the problem with Jared Gordon is and nazra haar is their existence changes my opinion …"
WIN vs Mark Madsen
TKO (elbow and punches) R1 4:42 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gordon 1 36 of 66 54% 54 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Mark Madsen 0 35 of 57 61% 46 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gordon 1 36 of 66 54% 54 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Mark Madsen 0 35 of 57 61% 46 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gordon 36 of 66 54% 27 of 57 5 of 5 4 of 4 22 of 51 10 of 11 4 of 4
Mark Madsen 35 of 57 61% 23 of 44 12 of 13 0 of 0 16 of 37 19 of 20 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gordon 36 of 66 54% 27 of 57 5 of 5 4 of 4 22 of 51 10 of 11 4 of 4
Mark Madsen 35 of 57 61% 23 of 44 12 of 13 0 of 0 16 of 37 19 of 20 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Angelo leans Gordon, reasoning that Gordon's striking is better and he can outwrestle Madsen by implementing his own game plan. He notes Madsen is one-dimensional and older, and Gordon trains with good wrestlers. He is not fully confident due to Gordon's age.

"I am going to lean Jared Gordon here and I think he could sneak something out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Big Brady picks Jared Gordon by decision. He thinks Gordon has a significant striking advantage, with fast hands and high volume, and better cardio. He notes Madsen is 39 and may need to resort to wrestling, but Gordon has solid takedown defense and get-up game. Brady worries about Gordon's chin but doesn't think Madsen can knock him out.

Gordon by decision
"I'm gonna take Jared Gordon here to win this fight and this probably goes to decision so Jared Gordon by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Cody picks Gordon but is hesitant, suggesting a live bet might be better. He thinks Madsen will win the first round with wrestling but gas out, allowing Gordon to take over. He notes Gordon's durability and pace, but doesn't like the pre-fight line.

"I'm gonna take Gordon but I think you'll get the better number live"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Gordon's pace, pressure, and ability to dictate the fight will be the difference. Madsen may have early grappling success, but Gordon's BJJ background will allow him to get back to his feet and overwhelm Madsen with better striking. Expects a close fight early but Gordon to put together a better body of work in the last two rounds and win by decision.

"I believe that Gordon's Pace pressure and ability to dictate the pace will be the Difference Maker in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mark Madsen

Paul leans Madsen as a dog, having taken him at +167. He thinks Madsen's wrestling pedigree will allow him to get takedowns and control early rounds. He acknowledges Madsen's cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds. He notes Gordon isn't a potent finisher.

"I took plus 167 took a shot on Madson"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon, calling Mark Madsen awful. He thinks Gordon is underrated and showed improved striking against Bobby Green before the headbutt. He believes Gordon is more versatile and better on the feet, and that Madsen has no offensive grappling or striking threat.

"I think Mark madson's awful I think he's awful I really do... I think Jared Gordon's pretty underrated"
LOSS vs King Green
No Contest (accidental clash of heads) R1 4:35 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 23 of 69 33% 23 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Jared Gordon 0 17 of 53 32% 17 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 23 of 69 33% 23 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Jared Gordon 0 17 of 53 32% 17 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 23 of 69 33% 15 of 56 6 of 9 2 of 4 17 of 62 0 of 1 6 of 6
Jared Gordon 17 of 53 32% 9 of 34 5 of 11 3 of 8 17 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 23 of 69 33% 15 of 56 6 of 9 2 of 4 17 of 62 0 of 1 6 of 6
Jared Gordon 17 of 53 32% 9 of 34 5 of 11 3 of 8 17 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks Bobby Green confidently, citing his superior striking and 72% takedown defense. He notes that Green has been tested by top lightweights and even in his recent loss to Drew Dober, he won the first round. He thinks Jared Gordon is undersized for lightweight and lacks one-punch knockout power, making Green a safe parlay piece.

"Bobby all day he's gonna be the much better Striker... Bobby is the pick and I think he's a safe parlay piece."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Green is a much better striker than Gordon, who has only fought grapplers in his career. Green has incredible takedown defense and good wrestling, so Gordon's path to victory is limited. Brady expects Green to put a ton of volume on Gordon, hurt him, and knock him out early. He also mentions that Gordon has been knocked out five times before and that the judges could screw up a decision, so he prefers the finish.

first round knockout
"I'm actually going to take Bobby green to win this fight by knockout I think he's going to put it on Jared Gordon very early and I think Bobby green knocks him out within the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Bobby Green despite the high price, praising his elite boxing, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Green's ability to outwork opponents and his durability, having only been knocked out by top power punchers. Cody believes Green's volume and pressure will be too much for Jared Gordon, who has a questionable chin and has been knocked out by lesser power punchers. He even suggests a Green by KO prop, as Gordon tends to get hit a lot.

Bobby Green by KO
"I will be picking Bobby green but at mine is 255. you know if Jared Gordon lands a shot and Bobby green starts going like uh shaking his head no no no that didn't hurt me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, emphasizing that Green is a superior athlete and technician. He notes that Gordon's best win was against Danny Chavez, but Green is a much tougher puzzle. He points out that Green has been schooling tough opponents and that Gordon's lack of speed and power will be exposed. He also mentions that Gordon's mental game might be off after the Pimblett fight.

"I have to pick King green here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Bobby Green is the better striker with a significant speed advantage. His takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing, where he can pick apart Jared Gordon with combinations. Gordon may have success pushing Green against the cage, but Green's footwork and movement should allow him to escape and land shots at distance. Green is motivated after a knockout loss to Drew Dober and could finish Gordon, who has shown durability issues. Green by knockout in round 2 or 3.

Green by KO in round 2 or 3
"Bobby green normally just a decision machine has the potential to land a knockout in this fight considering the striking advantage and speed advantage... I'm going to say Bobby Green Round Two or round three by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul also picks Bobby Green, arguing he should be an even bigger favorite. He highlights Green's elite boxing, footwork, and ability to avoid takedowns, noting that no one has submitted him in the UFC. Paul believes Green's volume and pressure will overwhelm Gordon, who has a weak chin and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. He thinks Green could even get a knockout.

"I think you should be a bigger favorite as far as I'm concerned I think he wins this fight fairly handily Bobby green is an elite level fighter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green despite his recent KO loss. He argues Green's takedown defense is good and he is levels above Paddy Pimblett on the feet, whom Gordon struggled with. He thinks Green will stuff takedowns and land at will, dominating on the feet. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

decision
"I'm gonna go with Bobby green over Jared Gordon... I think if you even make it look close against pimlet you ain't really that good"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green confidently, noting that Green is a slick, creative striker with excellent defensive wrestling. He points out that Gordon's best chance is to pressure and grind, but Green has shown he can handle that and counter effectively. He also mentions that Gordon lacks knockout power and that Green's recent performances show he's assertive and accurate.

"I have to pick King green here."
LOSS vs Paddy Pimblett
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paddy Pimblett 0 63 of 155 40% 97 of 194 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:35
Jared Gordon 0 60 of 103 58% 100 of 143 3 of 6 50% 0 0 6:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paddy Pimblett 0 29 of 70 41% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 32 of 53 60% 40 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Paddy Pimblett 0 28 of 70 40% 47 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 24 of 46 52% 39 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:07
3 Paddy Pimblett 0 6 of 15 40% 21 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:35
Jared Gordon 0 4 of 4 100% 21 of 21 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paddy Pimblett 63 of 155 40% 33 of 122 13 of 16 17 of 17 54 of 139 8 of 15 1 of 1
Jared Gordon 60 of 103 58% 32 of 62 14 of 27 14 of 14 53 of 94 5 of 6 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paddy Pimblett 29 of 70 41% 16 of 55 2 of 4 11 of 11 28 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jared Gordon 32 of 53 60% 17 of 28 7 of 17 8 of 8 30 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Paddy Pimblett 28 of 70 40% 13 of 54 11 of 12 4 of 4 24 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 24 of 46 52% 13 of 32 5 of 8 6 of 6 20 of 41 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Paddy Pimblett 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 4 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 4 of 4 100% 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gordon vs. Paddy Pimblett
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pimblett (-250), Gordon (+210)

Round 1
The co-main event for this pay-per-view card is an unranked lightweight affair between boisterous Liverpudlian Pimblett (19-3, 3-0 UFC) and his relatively soft-spoken counterpart Gordon (19-5, 7-4 UFC). The UFC wants a star out of Pimblett, and they are building him up in a measured manner instead of throwing him to the top-ranked wolves. Many view Gordon as the next step up in competition. The third man in the Octagon for this pairing is referee Herb Dean, and they do decide to touch gloves even after some back-and-forth between the two. Pimblett crowds the American and kicks the side early, and he fires off a head kick and strings several punches together as Gordon shells up. Gordon, seemingly the smaller man by a wide margin, leaps forward to belt Pimblett in the face with a left hand. Pimblett wears it well and gets rocked with a left hand, and he is retreating as Gordon advances. Pimblett, with his head high and a tall stance, absorbs another left hand and a low kick to mix things up. The two trade leg kicks, with Gordon putting his hips into them as Pimblett resets and fires one off to respond. Gordon sticks “The Baddy” with two more left hooks, and Pimblett darts away and recovers to score two punches. In a flash, “Flash” rocks Pimblett with an overhand right, and he walks through a calf kick to get off another left. Pimblett lines several punches up one after the other, and Gordon blocks some while others split his guard. Pimblett ducks low to avoid a looping punch buzzing his way, and he swats away the arms before Gordon can slug him again. Pimblett jabs and flips out two high kicks in rapid succession, and Gordon keeps his guard high to defend the rest that follows. Gordon absorbs part of a jumping high kick, and he responds with a body kick and a left hook. Pimblett has two punches and a kick bounce off the guard, but his left hand gets through. Gordon does not slow, connecting with a big left and a calf kick. Pimblett pushes Gordon back with a head kick that is blocked, only for Gordon to respond with power. Gordon gets stung with a counter and ducks down for a single, but Pimblett slithers his leg away in time. Gordon marches his man down and lands a left hand, and he counters a takedown by push Pimblett flat on his back. Pimblett threatens with a high guard that does not turn into anything, while Gordon lands a few punches before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 2
Gordon claims the center of the cage and advances to throw hands, while Pimblett keeps his range and tosses out high kicks. Pimblett lobs a right hook that skims off the guard, and Gordon chips at the calf a few times. Pimblett gets a head kick through, and he is answered by two swarming punches from his foe. Gordon absorbs a body kick and then takes a front kick so he can close in and club Pimblett in the face with a left, but Pimblett sticks and moves. The Brit sneaks in an uppercut as Gordon gives chase, and Gordon checks a kick and tries to initiate a brawl. Pimblett gets the worst of the exchange and tries to escape out the back door, and he gets his chin checked with a powerful left hook. Gordon grabs hold of a single, and when he puts Pimblett down, Pimblett defends with an arm-triangle choke that is a sort of a side-naked choke, but Gordon is calm and does not fall into danger. Pimblett walks up the cage wall, and short offense on the inside opens a cut on the hairline of “Flash.” Gordon attempts another takedown, and Pimblett stuffs it and punches Gordon in the back of the head repeatedly. Gordon stays pressed tightly to his man before suddenly breaking free and blasting Pimblett in the face with two punches. Gordon gets cracked with a right, but he fires off a left to back Pimblett off. A few Pimblett punches collide with the guard, and they trade low kicks until Gordon pushes forward in pursuit of a takedown. Pimblett defends against the wall and elbows the side of the head until Gordon bails on it, and Gordon grinds his man until Pimblett shoves him away. Pimblett unloads with two punches and sneaks up a head kick, but Gordon is right there to brawl away with him. Pimblett pushes off with his fingers out, and one jams into Gordon’s eye to cause a pause with 15 seconds left in the round. Pimblett receives a hard warning for his fingers stretching out or poking out, and they resume with a slugfest. Pimblett catches Gordon at the end of a right hand, and he loads up on a few punches and a front kick until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 3
The lightweights touch gloves to initiate the final frame, and Gordon advances while Pimblett defends a potential takedown. Gordon clasps his hands and dumps the Brit on his face, and Pimblett defends with a kimura. Pimblett climbs back up and is lifted with a knee, and he puts his hands on the mat to take knees on the jaw out of the equation. Gordon aggressively pursues a double, and Pimblett considers a front choke but cannot find the neck when Gordon switches things up for a single. The grind is firmly embraced by “Flash,” who settles for heavy shoulder pressure and takedown tries, while Pimblett is stifled to little more than an elbow or a knee. Gordon suddenly changes levels for a double, and this fails as Pimblett elbows him in the back of the head. Dean calls for the fighters to work, and Pimblett explodes to break away. Gordon scores a left hook, and he powers forward with a second before jamming Pimblett up against the wire. Gordon squeezes and clings to the Brit, and he trips Pimblett out to his knees but cannot ground him. Gordon pursues a double, and he ends up settling to trip Pimblett out and dump him to the floor. Pimblett slides out the back door and looks to take dominant position, but Gordon bursts back upright as Pimblett holds onto him. Pimblett lands a short knee on the inside and gets wrenched to his knees, and Pimblett jumps on to take his back as the fight ends. We have reached the judges’ scorecards for the first time of the night, and scores could definitely go either way depending on how the second and third rounds were evaluated. Either way, the meteoric rise of Pimblett has definitely hit a speed bump in the form of “Flash” Gordon, win or lose.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (30-27 Gordon)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (30-27 Gordon)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (30-27 Gordon)

The Official Result
Paddy Pimblett def. Jared Gordon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Angelo picks Pimblett, believing he is the better striker and grappler. He notes that Pimblett outgrappled Jordan Leavitt, who was considered a better grappler. However, he warns that Gordon has legit wrestling and could take Pimblett down and hold him there, as Leavitt took him down three times. He suggests the best bet is Pimblett inside the distance (decision no action) if the odds are reasonable.

Best bet: Pimblett inside the distance (decision no action) if odds are favorable.
"Patty's gonna be the better Striker better Grappler and he just needs to make sure he isn't just held on his back the whole time"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett, citing his power and dangerous grappling, while noting Jared Gordon's poor durability and lack of finishing ability. He expects Pimblett to hurt Gordon on the feet or lock in a submission, likely in the second round. He does not agree with the -250 price but sees Pimblett as the more likely finisher.

Pimblett wins by second round submission (club and sub)
"I'm gonna take pimlic to win I'll say a second round like a club and sub and I think he gives Jared Gordon his sixth submission loss"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Cody picks Paddy despite acknowledging he has been fading him in previous fights. He thinks Paddy's wrestling, back-taking, and rear-naked choke are key, and that Paddy has a massive reach advantage. He notes Paddy's durability and wild style but believes Jared Gordon is not the guy to expose him. He expects Paddy to use grappling to grind out a decision or late submission.

"I still got a side with with Patty and I just think that is the gonna be the counter um grappling of Jared Gordon that I'll probably let them down"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Connor picks Pimblett, reasoning that Gordon is not a powerful striker and will fall into clinch scrambles where Pimblett is dangerous. He notes Gordon repeatedly gives up his back on the mat, and Pimblett is a skilled backtake artist. Connor is hesitant but believes Gordon's flaws will lead to a submission loss.

Odds: Pimblett opened +125, dropped to -170, now -259; Gordon opened -145, now +208.
"I'll pick Patty because the problem for Jared is he's not going to finish Patty on the feet and he is going to fall into him and something stupid is going to happen."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Daniel Levi picks Paddy Pimblett to win inside the distance, though he expects Jared Gordon to be competitive early. He notes Gordon's superior volume and top control, but believes Pimblett is a 'big moment fighter' who can turn the tide with a knockdown or submission. Levi thinks Gordon may win the first round or two, but Pimblett will eventually find a finish. He does not bet this fight, preferring to watch.

Picks Pimblett to win inside the distance. No bet placed.
"I got Patty to win this fight inside the distance after overcoming some very sketchy moments and possibly being down on cards"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Lock picks Jared Gordon as his dog of the night, believing his style will give Paddy fits. He thinks Gordon will keep his foot on the gas, push the pace, box, and grind out a decision, as long as he stays conscious. He notes that Paddy has faced adversity in every UFC fight but Gordon is the best fighter he's faced. Lock likes the betting line at +217 and sees a possible pump and dump on PredictionStrike at 80 cents, though he acknowledges Gordon has a ceiling.

dog of the night play
"I got shared Gordon as my dog of the Night play uh this weekend I I do think he has a style to give Patty the baddies some fits"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Paul leans towards Jared Gordon as a dog, having faded Paddy in all his UFC fights. He thinks Paddy's wrestling defense is suspect and he has been hurt in fights. He notes Gordon's skills and value at plus money, but is hesitant because Paddy has won close fights before. He is pot-committed to fading Paddy but acknowledges the risk.

"I'm such a sucker for it at some point I'm probably gonna end up with money on Jared Gordon I'm not gonna lie"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett over Jared Gordon by rear-naked choke. He expects Gordon to be winning early with cage pressure, but Pimblett's speed and power will catch Gordon, leading to a scramble where Pimblett takes the back and chokes him out. He notes the odds are too wide and considers it a close fight, but believes Pimblett's finishing ability prevails.

Pimblett should be around -180, not -250; fight is close
"I'm gonna go with Paddy pimlet here and I'm gonna go with Paddy pimlic by real naked joke"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Zane reluctantly picks Pimblett, agreeing with Connor that Gordon will give up his back in scrambles. He notes Gordon is a better wrestler but Pimblett will let himself be taken down to create grappling exchanges. Zane is not confident, saying if Gordon loses it's his own fault.

Odds: Pimblett opened +125, now -259; Gordon opened -145, now +208.
"All right, fine. I'll take Patty Pimblett. I don't like it."
Danny Chavez - Fight History
LOSS vs Ricardo Ramos
KO (spinning back elbow) R1 1:12 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 1 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Danny Chavez 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 1 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Danny Chavez 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 4 of 14 28% 3 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 4 of 14 28% 3 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos by decision, citing his ability to adjust his game plan based on opponent (striking vs grappler). He notes Ramos' dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he will win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Danny Chavez's toughness and durability.

by decision
"i like ramos here to make adjustments be well prepared his cardio worries me but i think he locks the first two rounds in and ends up surviving the third round so ricardo knows probably by decision is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos to win by decision. He notes Ramos is nine years younger, has a five-inch reach advantage, and is improving at a good gym. He believes Chavez is dangerous early with power but fades, and Ramos can mix in takedowns and win a decision if he survives the first round.

decision
"I like ricardo hammos to win i like him to win by decision i think danny chavez is kind of first round knockout or bust here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody picks Ramos, citing his BJJ, reach advantage, and improving striking. He notes Chavez's low volume and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Ramos can win by submission or decision and suggests Ramos by submission at +400.

Ricardo Ramos by submission +400
"ramos by submission is like plus 400"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel Levi picks Ricardo Ramos, believing the 26-year-old has high potential and will finally put together a complete performance. He notes Ramos has shown flashes of brilliance and has good wins, while Danny Chavez is a finished product at 35. Levi warns about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks Ramos can avoid them and win everywhere else. He is confident Ramos will get the job done.

Ramos -250; expects a coming-out party
"i got ricardo ramos here he's my pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul likes Ramos' skill set but is wary of the -300 price. He thinks Ramos should win but the line is too high. He agrees with Cody's assessment of Chavez's limitations.

"i like ramos i like the skill set that he brings to the cage the minus 300 price tag here is scaring me a little"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos, citing his youth (26 vs 35), reach advantage, and recent good performances. He believes Ramos has found himself at featherweight and has unorthodox techniques. He worries about Chavez's calf kicks but thinks the range difference will allow Ramos to control engagements. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with ricardo ramos over danny chavez much rangier i think he's got what now a five inch reach advantage over danny chavez"
LOSS vs Kai Kamaka III
Draw (majority) (29–27, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kai Kamaka III 0 41 of 110 37% 53 of 122 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:35
Danny Chavez 0 48 of 77 62% 80 of 114 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kai Kamaka III 0 9 of 31 29% 9 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Danny Chavez 0 14 of 19 73% 14 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Kai Kamaka III 0 15 of 47 31% 15 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Danny Chavez 0 22 of 39 56% 22 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Kai Kamaka III 0 17 of 32 53% 29 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Danny Chavez 0 12 of 19 63% 44 of 56 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kai Kamaka III 41 of 110 37% 25 of 81 7 of 14 9 of 15 28 of 91 10 of 16 3 of 3
Danny Chavez 48 of 77 62% 9 of 28 15 of 20 24 of 29 42 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kai Kamaka III 9 of 31 29% 2 of 18 3 of 6 4 of 7 9 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 14 of 19 73% 3 of 7 3 of 3 8 of 9 14 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kai Kamaka III 15 of 47 31% 9 of 35 2 of 5 4 of 7 14 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 22 of 39 56% 3 of 13 6 of 9 13 of 17 21 of 36 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Kai Kamaka III 17 of 32 53% 14 of 28 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 15 9 of 14 3 of 3
Danny Chavez 12 of 19 63% 3 of 8 6 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 13 5 of 6 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kai Kamaka III

Big Brady picks Kai Kamaka III in what he calls the toughest fight to call on the card. He favors Kamaka's youth and higher volume, noting that Chavez is low-volume and was exposed by Jared Gordon. However, he acknowledges both fighters have flaws and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Kamaka.

"i will take kai tomoka to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Danny Chavez

Cody leans towards Danny Chavez, citing Kamaka's poor cardio and Chavez's leg kicks and smart game plan. He notes that Kamaka starts strong but fades, and Chavez has shown he can exploit that. Cody believes Chavez can win a decision or even get a finish if Kamaka gasses. He sees value in Chavez at near pick'em odds.

"i'm kind of leaning towards uh the slight underdog upset on danny chavez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Kai Kamaka III

Levi thinks Kamaka has a couple of physical advantages and believes he will edge out a close fight. He references Kamaka's controversial loss to TJ Brown as a robbery, suggesting Kamaka deserved the win. Levi acknowledges Chavez's durability and calf kicks but leans with Kamaka to get it done, though he admits the fight could be close and competitive.

"I personally think that kai kamaka is going to edge out this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Danny Chavez

Chavez trains at MMA Masters and uses calf kicks effectively. Kamaka struggles when opponents push the pace and get their own game going. Chavez should target the calf kick early to slow Kamaka, then mix in striking and takedowns. Kamaka is on short notice, which favors Chavez. Even money is a slight advantage for Chavez.

"I do like Chavez on the spot... if you're getting even money here I give the slight advantage to Chavez"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Danny Chavez

Paul also picks Danny Chavez, agreeing with Cody's reasoning. He notes that Chavez has a clear path to victory with leg kicks and takedowns, and that Kamaka's cardio is a major liability. Paul is not extremely confident but sees Chavez as the slight favorite in a close fight.

"i definitely see a clear path to victory for danny chavez here so i'm with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Danny Chavez

The MMA Guru picks Danny Chavez over Kai Kamaka III, noting that Chavez's main weakness is grappling, but Kamaka is not a grappler. He expects Chavez to chop at Kamaka's lead leg with calf kicks, as Kamaka sits heavy on his lead leg. He predicts Chavez will win by unanimous decision 29-28, with Kamaka possibly winning the first round but fading as the fight goes on.

Chavez by unanimous decision 29-28
"i'm gonna go with danny chavez here... i think danny chavez is going to be able to chop at the calf of kakamaka"
LOSS vs Jared Gordon
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gordon 0 82 of 131 62% 138 of 191 2 of 7 28% 0 0 6:07
Danny Chavez 0 39 of 113 34% 42 of 116 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gordon 0 36 of 61 59% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Danny Chavez 0 20 of 49 40% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jared Gordon 0 19 of 32 59% 57 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:32
Danny Chavez 0 8 of 20 40% 9 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
3 Jared Gordon 0 27 of 38 71% 45 of 56 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:29
Danny Chavez 0 11 of 44 25% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gordon 82 of 131 62% 41 of 89 19 of 20 22 of 22 67 of 110 6 of 8 9 of 13
Danny Chavez 39 of 113 34% 23 of 91 5 of 8 11 of 14 38 of 112 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gordon 36 of 61 59% 15 of 39 6 of 7 15 of 15 34 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
Danny Chavez 20 of 49 40% 13 of 39 2 of 4 5 of 6 20 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jared Gordon 19 of 32 59% 13 of 26 4 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 21 0 of 0 8 of 11
Danny Chavez 8 of 20 40% 3 of 15 1 of 1 4 of 4 8 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jared Gordon 27 of 38 71% 13 of 24 9 of 9 5 of 5 22 of 30 4 of 6 1 of 2
Danny Chavez 11 of 44 25% 7 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 4 10 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gordon (150: Missed Weight) vs. Danny Chavez

Round 1
Capping off the shortened preliminary card due to multiple recent bout scratches is another catchweight contest, this time at 150 pounds. Ahead of his match, Gordon (16-4, 4-3 UFC) missed weight by four pounds before facing Chavez (11-3, 1-0 UFC), but he redeemed himself with a walkout from the band Genesis. The Octagon ranger for this catchweight bout is referee Herb Dean, who sees no touch of gloves take place. Chavez wings a few single shots early, but he is more finding his range than connecting with anything. Gordon blocks a high kick and takes a leg kick, but as soon as the leg kick comes at him, he charges forward to throw strikes. Chavez circles away and sticks Gordon with a right hand, but it does not back “Flash” off one bit. Gordon strings together a trip of punches, absorbs a leg kick and fires off a left hook that glances off the target. “Flash” scores a low kick on his way in, where the two start trading heavy leather. Chavez successfully backs Gordon off with his punches, but only for a moment before Gordon bears down on him again, pressing forward with a clinch that leads to a single knee. Gordon kicks low and gets countered with two punches, and the two are biting down on their gumshields and swinging. As Chavez looks to back his man away, he throws an inside leg kick that claps off the cup and forces a pause in the tense exchange. Gordon cracks a joke while recovering, and needs 45 seconds before he has Dean clap them back in. “Flash” fires off a series of leg kicks, prompting Chavez to give him one back and loop a right hand to the body. Gordon just barely ducks a spinning wheel kick in time, and he puts together several low kicks. As Gordon looks to attack, Chavez kicks his leg out from beneath him, but he cannot capitalize on the position. Instead, Gordon springs back up and goes on the offensive, landing a few punches that make Chavez bounce off the wall. Gordon sticks him with a knee and an overhand right, forcing “The Colombian Warrior” to reset and duck several strikes. Both get off leg kicks, and Gordon rings Chavez’ bell with a left hand before shooting in for a takedown. Chavez stuffs it but absorbs a heavy knee, and a kick to the calf followed by a head kick that strikes his back gives him pause. Gordon sticks and moves, cracking Chavez with a few punches but eating a few of his own as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Chavez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 2
Chavez begins the round with a leg kick that makes Gordon immediately lift his leg up, and he pushes through it to take the fight down. Gordon hits the ground and bounces back up, where he ties Chavez up against the fencing before they break. “Flash” scores a one-two, and he walks through a low kick and a few punches to target the body. Chavez lands kicks to the body and leg, before scoring a right hand across the bow. Gordon sees a spinning wheel kick coming and once more ducks it, and hurts Chavez with a few punches before shooting in for a takedown. When Chavez stands him up, Gordon ties him up and drags him down. In his foe’s guard, Gordon postures up and lands a few punches before getting pulled down and tied up. A few more punches from Gordon mount, and Chavez tries and fails to sit up and escape, but “Flash” keeps him grounded. When Chavez stuck against the fence, Gordon drills him on the chin with a couple fierce punches. There is nowhere for Chavez’ head to go, as it cannot bounce off the floor as it is trapped on the corner of the fence and the canvas. As Gordon keeps striking, Chavez thinks to tie up the guard but gets elbowed to open it up. Chavez kicks off, but Gordon is instantly on him to keep him planted on his back. Gordon works hammerfists while Chavez aims to earn a referee standup by simply tying Gordon up. Gordon sits up and lands a couple stern punches to make Chavez buck and twist. With seconds left in the round, Gordon passes guard and slashes down a few elbows, but the time elapses before he can get any major damage done.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Gordon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon

Round 3
Chavez’ first strike is a booming head kick, and Gordon ducks down to avoid it. “The Colombian Warrior” throws kick after kick, to the body and legs, and Gordon ignores them as he pushes the pace. Both men nail one another with leg kicks, and their legs may be compromised and swollen but they do not appear very hampered from them. Two punches from Chavez clip Gordon, and Gordon ducks down for a takedown attempt but gets rebuffed. Chavez goes on the aggression with a few big punches, and Gordon throws right back furiously. Gordon tries to push through into a takedown, and Chavez lets him fall on his face before allowing Gordon to stand up. Chavez lands a few punches, and Gordon interrupts a combination with a jab that snaps Chavez’ head back. There is a wild brawl that sees Gordon get tagged a few times, forcing “Flash” to lift his foe’s leg up and hits a takedown. Comfortable in his adversary’s full guard, Gordon lands occasional strikes while precious seconds tick off the clock for Chavez. “The Colombian Warrior” ties up Gordon with his full guard, only to open it up again when Gordon punches through it. Chavez remains flat on his back as he alternates between closed and open guard, which keeps him safe from most of the damage but also is a bad place for him. Chavez squirms and backs off, where he sits up and gets to a knee. Gordon throws a knee, but pulls it back right before it lands as Chavez is grounded. Gordon backs away, and charges forward to take the fight back down. As Gordon pushes Chavez into the clinch to halt furious offense from his foe, he holds on tight to ride out the fight and likely notch a win. Chavez kicks and flails to break the grip, but Gordon’s body lock control allows him to push Chavez to a knee. Chavez breaks free, springs in with a knee that bounces off Gordon’s face, and tries to throw a few punches only to get tied up to the final bell. We have now reached the scorecards for the first time of the night.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (30-27 Gordon)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (29-28 Gordon)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gordon (30-27 Gordon)

The Official Result
Jared Gordon def. Danny Chavez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Daniel Levi acknowledges Danny Chavez's impressive debut and explosive calf kicks, but worries about Chavez's pace and whether he can maintain it. He thinks if Jared Gordon can survive the first round without taking fight-changing damage, his pressure and takedowns can wear down Chavez in the later rounds. Levi notes Gordon's experience against top competition and believes he is being disrespected. He picks Gordon to win a gritty decision, but admits he might be wrong and Chavez could knock him out.

"i'mma go with jared gordon to win a very gritty decision here uh down the stretch"
WIN vs T.J. Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Chavez 0 43 of 139 30% 59 of 156 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:03
T.J. Brown 0 49 of 110 44% 52 of 113 4 of 4 100% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Chavez 0 12 of 42 28% 12 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
T.J. Brown 0 17 of 36 47% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Danny Chavez 0 12 of 45 26% 18 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
T.J. Brown 0 20 of 43 46% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
3 Danny Chavez 0 19 of 52 36% 29 of 62 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:51
T.J. Brown 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Chavez 43 of 139 30% 25 of 103 12 of 24 6 of 12 38 of 132 5 of 7 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 49 of 110 44% 23 of 81 8 of 9 18 of 20 40 of 97 0 of 0 9 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Chavez 12 of 42 28% 4 of 29 5 of 9 3 of 4 12 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 17 of 36 47% 4 of 21 1 of 2 12 of 13 17 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Danny Chavez 12 of 45 26% 7 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 7 12 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 20 of 43 46% 13 of 35 4 of 4 3 of 4 14 of 35 0 of 0 6 of 8
3 Danny Chavez 19 of 52 36% 14 of 41 4 of 10 1 of 1 14 of 45 5 of 7 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 12 of 31 38% 6 of 25 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 27 0 of 0 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
T.J. Brown

Big Brady likes T.J. Brown's wrestling and ground game, expecting him to dominate and possibly get a submission. He notes Brown's chin is a concern but thinks Chavez's ground game is inferior. He would bet if the line gets closer.

first round submission
"i'm going to pick tj brown to win by first round submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Danny Chavez

Daniel Levi picks Danny Chavez by finish. He notes that T.J. Brown has durability issues, often getting knocked out or submitted even when winning. He believes Chavez's black belt is legit and that he can catch Brown. However, he admits he knows little about Chavez beyond a head-kick knockout and a photo with a black belt. He feels Brown is mentally fragile and prone to getting finished.

Chavez by finish; Brown's durability is questionable; Chavez's black belt is legit
"i have a feeling that he is going to get a knockout i feel like tj brown just can't keep it together ... i'll take chavez by finish"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
T.J. Brown

The MMA Guru picks T.J. Brown, citing his dangerous grappling and training with Bryce Mitchell. He expects Chavez to come out overzealous looking for a quick finish, which will allow Brown to secure a takedown and control the fight on the ground.

"tj downtown brown dangerous grappler danny chavez explosive knockout striker ... tj downtown brown is gonna take danny chavez downtown"
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

Daniel Levi acknowledges Danny Chavez's impressive debut and explosive calf kicks, but worries about Chavez's pace and whether he can maintain it. He thinks if Jared Gordon can survive the first round without taking fight-changing damage, his pressure and takedowns can wear down Chavez in the later rounds. Levi notes Gordon's experience against top competition and believes he is being disrespected. He picks Gordon to win a gritty decision, but admits he might be wrong and Chavez could knock him out.

"i'mma go with jared gordon to win a very gritty decision here uh down the stretch"