UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Next Fight
Age 26
Height 5' 2"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 27
Height 5' 3"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Denise Gomes
4.43 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.16 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.45 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Yazmin Jauregui
6.64 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
5.25 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Denise Gomes
Moneyline
BetMGM +310
KO/TKO
FanDuel +900
Submission
BetMGM +2200
Decision
FanDuel +600
Yazmin Jauregui
Moneyline
FanDuel -375
KO/TKO
BetRivers +210
Submission
FanDuel +1500
Decision
FanDuel +120
Denise Gomes - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 58 of 125 46% 73 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Denise Gomes 0 53 of 138 38% 75 of 169 3 of 10 30% 0 1 3:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 22 of 51 43% 34 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Denise Gomes 0 25 of 61 40% 26 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:10
2 Tecia Pennington 0 27 of 56 48% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 0 19 of 54 35% 22 of 58 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Tecia Pennington 0 9 of 18 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Denise Gomes 0 9 of 23 39% 27 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 58 of 125 46% 15 of 56 9 of 19 34 of 50 58 of 118 0 of 7 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 53 of 138 38% 19 of 86 15 of 29 19 of 23 48 of 129 2 of 5 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 22 of 51 43% 7 of 21 4 of 12 11 of 18 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 25 of 61 40% 11 of 37 6 of 14 8 of 10 24 of 58 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 27 of 56 48% 6 of 27 4 of 5 17 of 24 27 of 52 0 of 4 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 19 of 54 35% 5 of 34 5 of 9 9 of 11 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 9 of 18 50% 2 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 8 9 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 9 of 23 39% 3 of 15 4 of 6 2 of 2 5 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo is confident in Tecia Pennington as an underdog, calling her the best underdog on the card. He highlights her speed, durability, well-roundedness, and high fight IQ. He disagrees with the nearly 2-to-1 odds favoring Denise Gomes, arguing that Tecia is the more technical and experienced fighter. He plans to hammer a plus 3.5 bet on Tecia.

Tecia Pennington plus 3.5 rounds (spread bet)
"Anytime I see Tecia as a dog, I drool a little bit. ... I'm going to hammer a plus three and a half bet on Tecia Torres."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady favors Gomes due to her youth, power, and grappling upside, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide. He acknowledges Pennington is still fighting at a high level, citing her close decision against champion Mackenzie Dern. He expects a competitive fight that goes to a close decision, with Gomes landing the bigger shots and getting her hand raised.

decision
"I think Gomes lands the bigger shots, has the bigger moments, and gets her hand raised on the scorecards."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington as a dog, citing her experience and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to keep Pennington down, and Pennington can win a close decision.

"I am going to take Tisha, man."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James leans towards Denise Gomes, citing her youth, power, and physicality. He acknowledges Tecia Pennington's experience and volume but believes Gomes' finishing upside and strength will be decisive. He is not confident due to Pennington's high level and the price, but picks Gomes for the win.

"I have to pick Gomez. I don't know. Like, I feel like she's going to be like minus 250, - 300, maybe - 220. And it just doesn't intrigue me at those prices."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is a bit unsure but leans toward Gomes due to her power, expecting her to land more significant strikes. Pennington may have volume and takedown attempts, but Gomes should nullify most of that and win on the scorecards.

"This one has me a little bit scratching my head, but I think that the power of Gomez should allow her to land more significant strikes against Pennington."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, expecting a razor-thin split decision. He notes Pennington's takedown defense and striking volume, and thinks Gomes' wrestling is overrated.

"Tisha Pennington by split decision razor thin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington. He believes Gomes will win via big moments and knockdowns, even if Pennington outlands her. He cites Pennington's tendency to lose close decisions due to lack of power, and Gomes's youth and size advantage. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gomes.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez getting this one done. Big moments."
WIN vs Elise Reed
KO R2 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 11 of 21 52% 35 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 1 28 of 42 66% 69 of 86 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 9 of 17 52% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 0 15 of 22 68% 55 of 63 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:05
2 Elise Reed 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 1 13 of 20 65% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 11 of 21 52% 5 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 28 of 42 66% 18 of 29 5 of 8 5 of 5 11 of 20 9 of 10 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 2 of 2 2 of 2 8 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 15 of 22 68% 8 of 13 5 of 7 2 of 2 7 of 14 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Elise Reed 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 13 of 20 65% 10 of 16 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 6 1 of 2 8 of 12
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Angelo picks Denise Gomes, acknowledging that the odds are wide but understanding why she is the favorite. He notes that Elise Reed is a gamer and can make it competitive, but Gomes is a very good fighter who can grapple and strike. He mentions that without Jacob in Reed's corner, there is concern about her getting held against the cage. He thinks Gomes will win if she moves forward and uses pressure.

"Denise is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady picks Denise Gomes, highlighting her power and ground-and-pound. He notes Elise Reed's huge hole in her ground game, with all four losses by finish. He predicts Gomes will hurt Reed on the feet or take her down and submit her in the second round.

Gomes by submission, round 2
"I like Denise Gomes here. I think she has a path to absolutely look every every bit of minus 550 and we'll see if she takes it, but I'll go with Denise Gomes to get a second round submission in …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is surprised by the wide line, noting Gomes is not a high-level grappler and doesn't often look to grapple, which has been Reed's issue. He thinks if it's a striking battle, Reed can be competitive with her taekwondo background. He leans with Gomes due to her physicality and clinch work, but says don't be surprised if Reed pulls off the upset. Official prediction is Gomes by decision.

Gomes by decision
"I'm going to lean with Gomez with her physicality and maybe some clinch work that she could grind this one out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes confidently, calling her a -575 favorite who 'hits like a man' and has decent grappling. He thinks Elise Reed is outmatched and will be finished, predicting a TKO in the first round. He criticizes the matchmaking as a sacrificial lamb for Reed.

Gomes by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez by KO."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 46 of 98 46% 61 of 115 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 73 of 144 50% 91 of 166 0 of 3 0% 1 0 5:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 22 of 36 61% 32 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:11
2 Denise Gomes 0 13 of 31 41% 21 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 23 of 45 51% 28 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:15
3 Denise Gomes 0 26 of 51 50% 29 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 28 of 63 44% 31 of 68 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 46 of 98 46% 16 of 57 19 of 24 11 of 17 39 of 89 7 of 9 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 73 of 144 50% 30 of 85 33 of 44 10 of 15 53 of 115 20 of 28 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 7 of 16 43% 0 of 5 5 of 5 2 of 6 4 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 22 of 36 61% 8 of 17 12 of 15 2 of 4 12 of 25 10 of 11 0 of 0
2 Denise Gomes 13 of 31 41% 5 of 19 4 of 6 4 of 6 12 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 23 of 45 51% 9 of 24 9 of 15 5 of 6 18 of 36 5 of 9 0 of 0
3 Denise Gomes 26 of 51 50% 11 of 33 10 of 13 5 of 5 23 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 28 of 63 44% 13 of 44 12 of 14 3 of 5 23 of 54 5 of 8 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady sees Gomes as much younger, more powerful, and with grappling upside. He believes she can win on the feet or via takedowns. Despite the -500 line, he thinks Gomes gets her hand raised, likely by decision.

Gomes by decision
"give me GES here minus 500 it's absolutely ridiculous but at the end of the day I think she gets her hand raised and I think it's by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Cody disagrees with Paul, arguing that Kowalkiewicz's wrestling is not good enough to exploit Gomes' weakness. He notes that even when opponents wrestle Gomes, she still lands significant strikes. Cody believes Gomes' youth, power, and speed will overwhelm the 39-year-old Kowalkiewicz, likely by decision or knockout.

"I actually think that Denise Gomez probably knocks her out might knock her out but more than likely just wins a 29-28 fairly comfortably."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Connor picks Kowalkiewicz, assuming Gomes doesn't knock her out immediately. He thinks Kowalkiewicz's experience and grappling advantage will take over as Gomes fades. He notes the odds are too wide in favor of Gomes, who he considers not good and prone to mistakes.

Odds too wide; Gomes should not be such a heavy favorite.
"I'll take Kovalkiewicz and the assumption that Gomes doesn't knock her out immediately."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel Vreeland picks Denise Gomes due to her youth, physicality, and momentum, contrasting with Karolina Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and decline. He notes Kowalkiewicz's past success but believes Gomes' power and aggressive style will be too much. However, he has zero interest in betting at -500 odds.

"I'm going with Denise, the age, the physicality, the momentum on her side, but I have zero interest in laying minus 500 on her."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James picks Denise Gomes to win by knockout, citing her heavy power and Karolina's declining career trajectory. He believes Gomes will be too physical and that Kowalkiewicz won't be able to implement her game plan of volume and grappling. He expects a brutal knockout.

by KO
"I'm picking Denise Gomez here and I think she gets a knockout potentially a brutal knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Gomes is expected to control the striking with her power and possibly get some grappling success to win on the scorecards, similar to how Yasmin Lucindo beat Kowalkiewicz.

"look for Gomez to control the Striking round with the power that she possesses but maybe even get some grappling success of her own to get some control time and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Paul is considering the underdog Kowalkiewicz at +390, noting that Gomes has shown takedown defense issues. He thinks if Kowalkiewicz can replicate her performance against Syana Gomez Warez, she could make it competitive. Paul admits it's a sucker bet but is tempted by the price.

"Karolina plus 390 is in consideration for me this week Cody and it's gross."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes, expecting a brutal assault. He notes Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and her scared reaction when hit. He believes Gomes is a big, physical fighter for the division and will get a TKO win.

TKO win
"I'm going with Denise Gomez getting this one done over kolina kovalovich by TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Zane picks Gomes but is hesitant. He notes that Gomes has power and can knock out Kowalkiewicz early, but if she doesn't, she runs out of ideas and makes mistakes. He acknowledges Kowalkiewicz's grappling and backtake game could be a threat, but thinks Gomes' youth and power give her the edge.

"I think I'm going to pick Gomes though, still."
WIN vs Eduarda Moura
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 18 of 47 38% 27 of 66 5 of 26 19% 0 0 6:36
Eduarda Moura 0 50 of 88 56% 137 of 184 0 of 1 0% 1 2 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 4 of 11 36% 9 of 25 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:11
Eduarda Moura 0 7 of 16 43% 32 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:48
2 Denise Gomes 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 12 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:58
Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 37 56% 69 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:20
3 Denise Gomes 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:27
Eduarda Moura 0 22 of 35 62% 36 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 18 of 47 38% 12 of 40 4 of 5 2 of 2 12 of 39 5 of 6 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 50 of 88 56% 19 of 46 22 of 30 9 of 12 31 of 60 17 of 22 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 7 of 16 43% 1 of 7 5 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 1
2 Denise Gomes 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 21 of 37 56% 11 of 24 10 of 12 0 of 1 6 of 17 13 of 15 2 of 5
3 Denise Gomes 9 of 29 31% 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 22 of 35 62% 7 of 15 7 of 11 8 of 9 22 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo picks Eduarda Moura, emphasizing her solid grappling and takedowns. He notes that she took down a national wrestling champion (Monsterrat Ruiz) three times, while Angela Hill took down Denise Gomes five times. He believes Eduarda's wrestling will be too much for Denise, who is primarily a striker. He thinks Eduarda will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly winning a decision or getting a finish.

"if Angela Hill can take down Denise Gomes five times and eduarda MOA can take down a national wrestling champion three times who wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by second-round TKO. He notes that Moura is physically strong and can get the fight to the mat, where she has vicious ground and pound. He is concerned about Moura's chin being up in the air, but believes she can implement her will and finish Denise Gomes, who has shown poor takedown defense against Angela Hill and Loma Lookboonmee.

TKO round 2
"I like MAA still not 100% bought in or nothing like that but I think stylistically this is a match up where she can Implement her will get the fight down to the mat and win this fight I'll say …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Cody picks Moura, noting that Gomes is undersized and has poor takedown defense. Moura is a weight bully with strong grappling and has dominated opponents on the ground. Cody believes Moura will take Gomes down and submit or ground-and-pound her. He sees this as a clear stylistic advantage.

"I honestly think that this is like one way TR it's like the Melissa G fight from a couple weeks ago like it could go another way it could possibly turn into this but it's like you got a girl …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel picks Gomes for the upset, citing a market overcorrection and her striking advantage. He notes Moura must take Gomes down to win, as Gomes has lost when taken down repeatedly. He hopes Gomes can keep the fight standing and light Moura up.

upset
"I'm going Denise here for the upset"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Jacob picks Denise Gomes, disagreeing with Angelo. He argues that Eduarda Moura is a weight bully who will gas after the first round, as seen in her previous fights. He notes that Denise is tough, has power in her hands, and will pressure Eduarda. He predicts that after Eduarda's takedowns slow down in the second round, Denise will land a right hand and finish her. He also points out that Eduarda's standup is poor with her chin up.

Denise Gomes wins by KO/TKO in round 2
"Denise is going to pressure and Denise going to pressure and eventually she GNA land that right hand because if I know anything about darar Mara and her standup game oh is that chin up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Moura is a weight bully with strong top pressure and grappling, while Gomes has been grinded out by strikers in the past. Moura's height and reach advantage will help her take the fight to the ground and eventually finish via submission or TKO. Gomes' striking advantage won't matter if she can't keep it standing.

inside the distance, submission or TKO
"give me MOA MOA inside the distance maybe submission maybe TKO but do think sh ends up getting the victory here by Finnish"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Paul agrees with Cody's reasoning but is hesitant to lay the minus 170 price in a women's strawweight fight. He acknowledges Moura's grappling advantage but notes that Gomes has knockout power. Paul thinks Moura is the play but might not bet it.

"MOA is the play but uh I don't know minus 170 uh women's straway fight I don't know if I'm going to be betting that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The Guru picks Moura because she is a touted undefeated prospect (10-0) with a strong grappling game, and Denise Gomes has shown weaknesses in grappling, recently losing a grappling match. He acknowledges Gomes has KO power but trusts Moura's grappling advantage to get a submission. He also notes Moura missed weight by 4 pounds, which he finds amusing.

Submission win prediction
"I'm going to side with eduarda MOA I think she'll have the grappling Advantage"
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 76 of 120 63% 96 of 153 5 of 9 55% 0 1 8:03
Denise Gomes 0 62 of 133 46% 111 of 203 1 of 3 33% 0 1 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 16 of 26 61% 23 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:42
Denise Gomes 0 23 of 32 71% 48 of 70 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
2 Angela Hill 0 37 of 53 69% 42 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:23
Denise Gomes 0 33 of 71 46% 46 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Angela Hill 0 23 of 41 56% 31 of 55 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:58
Denise Gomes 0 6 of 30 20% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 76 of 120 63% 37 of 76 37 of 42 2 of 2 40 of 68 33 of 44 3 of 8
Denise Gomes 62 of 133 46% 29 of 91 25 of 33 8 of 9 34 of 97 27 of 35 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 16 of 26 61% 7 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0 5 of 9 9 of 13 2 of 4
Denise Gomes 23 of 32 71% 12 of 19 9 of 11 2 of 2 9 of 13 13 of 18 1 of 1
2 Angela Hill 37 of 53 69% 17 of 32 18 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 36 12 of 17 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 33 of 71 46% 14 of 47 13 of 17 6 of 7 21 of 58 12 of 13 0 of 0
3 Angela Hill 23 of 41 56% 13 of 28 10 of 13 0 of 0 10 of 23 12 of 14 1 of 4
Denise Gomes 6 of 30 20% 3 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 26 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denise Gomes vs. Angela Hill
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomes (-125), Hill (+105)

Round 1
The final women’s bout, booked at strawweight like Moura-Ruiz, features two women who comfortably made weight. Storied veteran Hill (15-13, 10-13 UFC), who looks for UFC win no. 11, faces off against a woman in Gomes (8-2, 2-1 UFC) who is almost 15 years Hill’s junior. Youth versus experience will be on full display for the next 15 minutes or less, and referee Fernando Portella will be the arbiter of this encounter. There is no plan for a glove touch, and instead Gomes would rather throw hands and feet right out of the gate. Hill checks a calf kick and her forward momentum bowls the Brazilian over. Hill lands on top, but only for a few seconds until the Parana Vale Tudo fighter powers her way back to her feet. The two clinch up, and they pepper one another in the body with knees. Hill loads up on her knees to the breadbasket, and Gomes considers hitting a trip but ends up falling to her back. Hill muscles her down to her knees when Gomes looks for a way up, and Hill works to take the back and hangs on the younger woman. Gomes grabs the glove a few times to get out of the bad position, and Hill breaks away and tags her once on the way out. The two trade hands, and Gomes succeeds in tripping Hill and dumping her on her face. They both get back up, and Hill counters her with a throw of her own. They explode upright again, and Gomes loads up on power punches that ring Hill’s bell repeatedly. Hill leans on heavily to clinch and hold onto Gomes, thereby shutting down the swinging fists that smack her in the face. Hill drives her knees in the solar plexus again and again, until Gomes has had enough of this and pushes her off. Hill resets and pushes out a front kick, and Gomes swings at air when this meets her. Gomes scores a big right hand, and Hill backs off but is snagged and throws to the mat. Gomes latches onto Hill’s left arm for an armlock of some kind, and she considers a kimura or an armbar, as she sits on top in an awkward position. Gomes drives down several hammerfists, and before she can get the armbar, Hill slides out the side. Hill, now in the driver’s seat, gets blasted with a right hand from Gomes on her back. Hill toughs it out and elbows Gomes in the face, and Gomes forces her way back up at the bell to end the close, exciting round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 2
Hill keeps her guard up high when she comes out of her corner, as Gomes whips a head kick at her to lead off the round. Gomes is intercepted when looking for a big overhand right, and Hill ties her up for a second before pushing off. Hill snipes Gomes with a solid right hand, and Gomes grins at her. Hill works her with a second overhand right, and a third before Gomes lobs another kick at her. Hill takes the strikes of the Brazilian and fires back, and she leans away from a spinning kick from Gomes. The two trade hands, and then land low kicks at the same time. Hill ducks a strike and comes over the top with a left, and she connects with two punches to follow. Gomes loads up again with power, and it hits air as Hill is too quick to eat it flush. Gomes absorbs a right hand on the chin and tags Hill with an uppercut, leading Hill to tie her up in the clinch and shove her to the wall. Hill gets off an elbow, and Gomes lowers her hands and looks for hefty counters. Hill spins with an elbow that bangs into Gomes’ chin, and Gomes goes not bat an eye and continues advancing. Hill shoots for a takedown, and Gomes defends with a standing guillotine that makes Hill think twice about the attempt. Hill sneaks in a few clinch strikes before backing off, and she watches Gomes’ winging strikes blaze past her. Hill catches a kick and deposits Gomes to the floor, but Gomes get right back up and takes a deep breath. Hill scores a few punches, and Gomes crowds her and blasts her in the face with a fierce right hand. When Hill grabs hold of her, Gomes answers with a number of vertical, hacking elbows. Gomes overswings, and Hill snags her and looks to drag her down. When Gomes keeps her balance, Hill smacks her in the face with a knee. Hill turns the corner, and Gomes succeeds in fighting off the takedown but gets kneed in the dome twice more. The round ends as the two are stuck together.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 3
As if she thought she was down on the scorecards, Gomes charges out of her corner and busts the veteran in the chops with a number of wide punches. Hill fires back, and she blunts the momentum by clinching up the younger woman and tripping her with a body lock. Gomes drops to her knees, defending the strikes from the side, and Hill hangs on from behind. Before long, Gomes works her way back to her feet with the fence at her back, and Hill drags her down again. Hill stays on the Brazilian like a bad penny, never giving Gomes a moment to breathe and not allowing her to get anything off. Hill peppers Gomes with knees to the head, side and thigh, attacking any target she can find while Gomes is stuck without answers. This grinding approach is slowing Gomes down, and a knee to the belly takes a bit more of the wind out of her sails. Gomes manages to push off and keeps throwing hands, but one left hand allows Hill to duck it and secure a single-leg takedown. When Gomes attempts to scramble, Hill is one step ahead, whether trying to take the back or working Gomes with strikes to the side of the melon. Gomes defends but is totally out of her game, and a short elbow from “Overkill” opens a cut on the side of Gomes’ eye. Hill flattens Gomes out, but Gomes explodes with 15 seconds to go and gets back up through sheer aggression. Hill tags her with a jump knee, and the close contest concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)

The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Angelo picks Denise Gomes, citing the 15-year age gap and Hill's age. He notes Hill is durable and experienced, but Gomes is tough, comes forward, and has power. He placed a small half-unit bet on Gomes at -141. He cautions that if Gomes fights recklessly and gasses, Hill could win as an underdog.

half unit bet at -141
"I have a small half a unit on her at minus 141 I think the much older Angela Hill is probably going to lose this this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Big Brady picks Angela Hill to win by decision but is hesitant. He notes Hill's experience and better competition, but worries about her age (38) and Gomes' power. He says Gomes is hittable but has real power for the division. He mentions that Hill just fought a five-round fight with Mackenzie Dern, so this is a step down in competition. He says he won't bet this fight.

"I'm going to take Angela Hill to win this fight by decision but I don't think I'm putting my money on this one here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel Levi picks Denise Gomes, citing her rare one-punch knockout power in women's MMA and her aggressive style. He notes that Angela Hill, at 38, has slowed down and taken significant damage in recent fights, including a beating from Mackenzie Dern. Levi believes Gomes can hurt Hill on the feet and may even knock her out for the first time. He acknowledges Hill's experience and toughness, but sees Gomes' physicality and power as decisive factors. He is waiting for plus money on Gomes but leans toward her.

Gomes wins by KO/TKO
"I rarely ever pick Angela Hill... I'm not gonna bet on this fight unless I get plus money on Denise."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)

James sees this as a very close fight and is passing on betting. He believes Angela Hill is on a downward trajectory at 39 years old, gets hit often, and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Denise Gomes has power and could hurt Hill, but he is not sold on Gomes' overall game, describing her as uneducated on the feet. He notes that Hill has never been knocked out and could make it look easy if she can take Gomes' power, but he is not confident she can avoid getting clipped. He concludes it is a massive stay away.

"I think Angela Hill is clearly on a downward trajectory... but I can't do it man honestly I don't agree with it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Hill's volume striking style, speed, and footwork will allow her to stay out of danger and pick apart Gomes from distance. Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to hold Hill down for extended periods. Hill should be able to operate at distance and win a decision, making her a good underdog spot.

underdog spot
"Give me Hill and I think she's a pretty good underdog spot for this UFC São Paulo card."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill as an underdog over Denise Gomes. He praises Hill's composure and durability, noting she is very hard to finish. He references Hill's win over Loma Lookboonmee on short notice in Australia as evidence of her toughness. The Guru believes if Gomes doesn't get an early finish, Hill will pull ahead in later rounds, predicting a close 29-28 decision. He also mentions he likes the underdog odds.

underdog odds
"I'm going to go 2928 very close decision Angela Hill gets it done and she's an underdog and I think I'm going to take those odds"
TKO (punches) R1 0:20 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.

Avoiding the fight
"I'm avoiding this fight like the plague and I recommend you do as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.

second round knockout
"Yasmin jauregu wins this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.

Jauregui by decision, over rounds
"I think yasmine's gonna slowly pull away on the numbers the longer the fight goes and eventually that leads to a decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"She's a potential future title contender."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.

"I think Yasmine year agui has the higher upside I think the line reflects that and for that reason I'm gonna pick her to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Yazmin Jauregui

James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.

Yazmin Jauregui wins by decision (considered); over (considered, not played)
"I think yasmin's understanding of range and understanding of footwork and distance management are way better than Denise Gomez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.

over 2.5 rounds
"give me yadagui by decision but over two and a half probably being my favorite spot in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.

Gomes by KO/TKO (+175)
"I took Denise Gomez plus 350 on like Sunday it's a good price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.

wins by 29-28 decision
"I am gonna have to go with Eureka winning this one by 29-28 decision in classic women's MMA fashion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.

Jauregui opened at -455, currently -383; Gomes opened at +364, currently +316. Zane says odds reflect the matchup and he wouldn't expect them to get much tighter.
"Pretty easy pick for Jauregui."
WIN vs Bruna Brasil
TKO (punches) R2 2:42 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 15 of 22 68% 43 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Bruna Brasil 1 54 of 93 58% 94 of 133 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 10 of 15 66% 29 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Bruna Brasil 0 23 of 40 57% 58 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:00
2 Denise Gomes 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruna Brasil 1 31 of 53 58% 36 of 58 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 15 of 22 68% 7 of 11 6 of 8 2 of 3 9 of 15 6 of 7 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 54 of 93 58% 28 of 58 8 of 8 18 of 27 21 of 47 10 of 12 23 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 10 of 15 66% 3 of 5 5 of 7 2 of 3 5 of 9 5 of 6 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 23 of 40 57% 12 of 25 5 of 5 6 of 10 15 of 30 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Denise Gomes 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 31 of 53 58% 16 of 33 3 of 3 12 of 17 6 of 17 2 of 2 23 of 34
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.

"I'm going brother for the pick here but this would not be the first time we're gonna see a UFC debut freeze up in the moment"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.

"I like Brazil to win this fight is it going to be closed probably are the judge is going to get it wrong probably uh but I'm going to take Brazil to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.

"I'm gonna take we're going to Brazil in this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.

"So taking Brazil, but like I said, I like the basics that both these women are working on."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.

Brasil wins by decision
"I think she is far better than Gomez the far better Striker and again I see Gomez just walking into her punches."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.

Bet Gomes at +200 earlier
"I scooped some Denise Gomez at plus 200 back on back on Sunday which I like"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.

Potential KO/TKO but cautious due to division
"I am siding with Bruno Brazil to get the job done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.

"I got to pick Bruno Brazil in that fight. Just because Brazil has the volume and she has the clinch striking."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 19 of 34 55% 45 of 66 0 of 6 0% 3 2 5:31
Denise Gomes 0 48 of 67 71% 87 of 115 4 of 5 80% 0 1 7:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 5 of 9 55% 10 of 14 0 of 3 0% 1 1 1:32
Denise Gomes 0 22 of 30 73% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 7 of 16 43% 13 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Denise Gomes 0 16 of 20 80% 26 of 34 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 7 of 9 77% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:41
Denise Gomes 0 10 of 17 58% 39 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 19 of 34 55% 13 of 25 2 of 3 4 of 6 13 of 25 6 of 9 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 48 of 67 71% 31 of 49 11 of 12 6 of 6 14 of 23 8 of 9 26 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 22 of 30 73% 17 of 24 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 15 of 17
2 Loma Lookboonmee 7 of 16 43% 6 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 9 4 of 7 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 16 of 20 80% 7 of 11 7 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 8 6 of 7 4 of 5
3 Loma Lookboonmee 7 of 9 77% 6 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 10 of 17 58% 7 of 14 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denise Gomes vs. Konklak Suphisara
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Suphisara (-225), Gomes (+190)

Round 1
For the entirety of her young career, Thailand’s Suphisara (6-3, 4-2 UFC) has won two fights and then lost a third, but always bounced back from that defeat with two more victories. This pattern has continued into this strawweight scrap against UFC newcomer and Parana Vale Tudo – the training camp of women like Jessica Andrade and Karol Rosa – prospect Gomes (6-1, 0-0 UFC), and a win for the Thai would keep it intact. This likely fast-paced fight will receive oversight from referee Keith Peterson, and a touch of gloves comes before his nonsense-free eyes. Suphisara fires off a front kick, and the Brazilian answers immediately with a slapping leg kick. Suphisara responds in kind, and they mirror one another with their strikes. Suphisara counters with a clean elbow that opens a cut on the top of Gomes’ forehead, and her teep kick sends Gomes sprawling to the mat. Gomes climbs back up, and she spins with a wheel kick but is too close. With Suphisara closing in on her, she scores a right hand, and Gomes catches a subsequent kick. The Brazilian spins her opponent around and jams her into the fence. “Loma Lookboonmee” reverses position and takes her opponent down, where she climbs into mount in a hurry. The Thai slams down several vicious elbows until Gomes gives up her back, and Suphisara is hanging on in search of a choke of some sort. Suphisara flattens Gomes out, but Gomes is holding on tight with wrist control to stop anything from coming together. Gomes slithers out the back door, and Suphisara clings to a kimura until the Brazilian pops her head out. Gomes, in half guard, fishes for an arm-triangle choke in the blink of an eye. Gomes squeezes with her full body weight down, but she is not in the position that can get a tap. Suphisara answers the proverbial telephone to defend it, and as she does, Gomes jumps over to the side to lock it down. Gomes gives up on it to moves into mount, and she sets up an armbar and rolls to her back. Gomes throws her legs up with a triangle setup when the armbar is not there, and Suphisara slashes her with several elbows when the Thai gets space. Suphisara batters her opponent with elbows until the bell breaks them up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 2
The ladies calmly saunter towards one another to start off Round 2, and Gomes throws first with an inaccurate head kick. Suphisara answers with a chopping leg kick, and her leg flies up high to the shoulder in a subsequent blow. Suphisara aims for a takedown, and she settles to topple over and put Gomes on her back, where she is already nearly in mount. Gomes drags her back to half guard and grips onto a kimura, and she succeeds in nullifying any additional strikes from the Thai. The sweep attempt fails, as Suphisara steps over into mount and pounds her with several elbows. Suphisara looks to take the back, but abandons it, sits up and returns to her feet. Gomes follows, and Suphisara greets her with a pair of kicks. Both women lead with fierce elbows, and Gomes crashes in to clinch before dropping to her knees for a single. “Loma Lookboonmee” defends it and works her adversary over in the clinch with knees and elbows. Gomes responds with one, and she falls to her back courtesy of a head lock throw. Suphisara, landing in half guard, starts to deliver some elbows to the dome. Gomes manages to pull Suphisara back to her guard, and she tries for a triangle choke of sorts. Suphisara stands and walks away, but she does not pay attention and thinks that Peterson is standing Gomes up. Peterson does nothing of the sort, and Gomes dives in for an unexpected takedown. Protect yourself at all times. Suphisara turns herself around to stay on her feet, and she frames off to peg Gomes with punches and kicks until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 3
The final frame begins frantically, as Gomes goes on the offensive immediately. Pushing forward, she drives Suphisara to the wall and lands a few solid punches. As Suphisara defends, Gomes spins with an elbow and blasts the Thai in the face. Gomes changes levels in search of a takedown, and the two hit the mat. Gomes tries to isolate a leg in search of a leglock, and Suphisara awkwardly slides her leg out of it but does not get up. Gomes jumps on to take her back, and she hooks the body triangle on her toes. Gomes starts setting up a rear-naked choke, and it is more of a neck crank as she cannot get a grip under the chin. Gomes keeps searching for chokes, but none are to be found as Suphisara defends her neck well. Suphisara explodes out of the position and right into armbar danger, but she shucks the legs out of the way and gets on top. Gomes turns and nearly gives up her own back, but Suphisara does not take it and decides to stand up. The Brazilian follows her to the feet, but “Loma Lookboonmee” immediately trips her out and lands on top. Suphisara belts her opponent with elbows as the blood flows freely from the UFC newcomer’s face, and Gomes can do little else but defend her head as she is jammed between the corner of the cage and the mat. Suphisara rains down several punches, and the final bell puts an end to this strange 115-pound pairing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)

The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo picks Lookboonmee, citing her technical Muay Thai striking and improved grappling. He notes that her only losses came when she was outgrappled, but he doesn't see that happening here. He believes she will win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. Angelo mentions the line was wide but is tightening, and he considered a takedown prop bet.

Considered takedown prop bet.
"i'm gonna go with loma look boom me here she's proven to us that she can be a dangerous technical striker as well as an effective grappler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Big Brady picks Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He states that Loma is the better technical striker by a mile and has improved with each fight. He notes that Denise Gomes is tough and gritty but very chinny, having been dropped and wobbled often. Brady believes Loma can implement her striking and possibly even get takedowns. However, he warns that Gomes throws high volume and has good recovery, so he would not lay the moneyline. He predicts Loma wins a decision, possibly dropping Gomes along the way.

decision
"i think loma ultimately wins the decision here so give me loma look for me to win look with me to win this one by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Cody thinks Lookboonmee is a better striker with good clinch work and takedown defense. He notes Gomes is one-dimensional and coming off a short-notice fight where she took damage. He expects Lookboonmee to win a decision.

Lookboonmee by decision
"i just think that she is a better striker wrestling is good enough to keep this fight standing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Daniel Levi leans Loma Lookboonmee due to her UFC experience and better competition, but is not confident. He notes both fighters are small for the weight class and that Gomes is tough with high volume. He expects a close split decision that could go either way, and does not bet.

"I guess i'll lean loma with the ufc experience but don't be surprised man don't be surprised to see it be another split decision fight that could go either way"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Jacob is very high on Lookboonmee, praising her Muay Thai experience and her addition of wrestling and trips. He notes that she tossed Lupita Godinez, a great wrestler, to the ground. Jacob believes she is better everywhere and that the odds should be wider. He included her in a parlay at -270 and may add a moneyline bet if the odds drop further.

Included in a parlay at -270.
"i threw her in a parlay at -270 i might put a money line bet on her if they keep dropping"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Loma has a decorated Muay Thai background and has added takedowns to her game, making her a more complete MMA fighter. Gomes is one-dimensional, relying on striking, and has shown vulnerability to grappling. Loma's cardio is better than Gomes's previous opponents, so she can mix in leg kicks and takedowns to keep Gomes guessing. Loma should win a decision or possibly a late finish.

Loma by decision is a good alternative to the moneyline
"Loma loop with me much better cardio than what we have to worry about from Milana and that should be enough for her to go out there to outstrike Denise from the outside staying active with the leg kicks and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Paul leans Lookboonmee, noting the line has moved but he still thinks she gets it done. He mentions the Lookboonmee decision prop at -105 as a better value.

Lookboonmee by decision -105
"the boomi decision is pretty much uh can be had for like minus 105"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee by 29-28 decision. He believes Lookboonmee is a technical striker with Muay Thai foundation, ready on short notice. He notes she has good grappling and has fought tough opponents like Angela Hill and Michelle Waterson. He thinks Denise Gomes is nothing special and that Lookboonmee will win on the feet with superior striking.

"loma look boom's got great striking i'm picking her to win against denise gomez 29-28 decision"
Yazmin Jauregui - Fight History
LOSS vs Ketlen Souza
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:02 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Souza 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Souza 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Souza 35 of 73 47% 18 of 52 8 of 10 9 of 11 29 of 66 5 of 5 1 of 2
Yazmin Jauregui 21 of 35 60% 12 of 25 6 of 7 3 of 3 16 of 30 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Souza 35 of 73 47% 18 of 52 8 of 10 9 of 11 29 of 66 5 of 5 1 of 2
Yazmin Jauregui 21 of 35 60% 12 of 25 6 of 7 3 of 3 16 of 30 4 of 4 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Yazmin Jauregui vs. Ketlen Souza
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jauregui (-500), Souza (+380)

Round 1
One of three ladies repping Mexico tonight, Jauregui (11-1, 3-1 UFC) recently got past her first career hiccup by beating up on Sam Hughes in February. Her opponent Souza (14-4, 1-1 UFC) too rebounded from a defeat, taking a decision over Marnic Mann this past April. One of these one-fight win streaks will come to a screeching halt in 15 minutes or less, and referee Jason Herzog should be the first to know. The strawweights tap gloves together before engaging. Jauregui jabs first, and he follows one with a leg kick that she turns her hips into. Jauregui strings together a combination started by a jab, and when Souza responds, Jauregui dings her with a right hand over the top. Jauregui prods out a jab with her foot, and she sticks a few more jabs before another front kick to the body irritates the Brazilian. Jauregui puts a combination of strikes to the body and head, and one low kick bangs into Souza’s groin. Souza takes a little over 30 seconds to recover, and they start off with flurries on both sides. The two women stand and bang, and Jauregui pushes Souza to her back after landing flush. Souza jumps back upright, and Jauregui works her lead leg over with kicks before marking up the body. Jauregui splits the guard with a right hand, putting two kicks together and a few punches after it. Jauregui is constantly attacking, with a jump knee into a few punches. Souza jabs her back, and she plants a front kick directly on Jauregui’s groin to pay her back from the foul. They both let out wails of surprise and discomfort, and Herzog tells them they both had one so they can have no more. Souza walks her foe down, but she gets tagged with four strikes up close before she gets anything off. Jauregui paws out a front kick to the thigh, and “Esquentadinha”—which means “Little Hothead” releases a fiery right hand that sets up a flaming left. As soon as Souza connects, Jauregui hits the ground hard. Jauregui sits up, and Souza pounces, seeing that Jauregui still does not have her wits about her.
Souza takes the back while she is standing up and Jauregui is seated, and she grips a rear-naked choke that is instantly under the chin before she even gets her hooks in. The Brazilian deploys both hooks and Jauregui frantically hand-fights to save herself from the submission. Souza’s grip is ironclad, and Jauregui stops fighting the hands and starts lifelessly flailing.
With her eyes open, Jauregui goes out, and Herzog is quick to get between them and turns Jauregui to her side to get blood flowing back to her brain. Souza unleashes a bellow as she walks off, recording the first finish inside of the Sphere and notching a huge upset. The victorious Brazilian becomes the first fighter to submit Jauregui, doing so with style points with the technical submission.

The Official Result
Ketlen Souza def. Yazmin Jauregui R1 3:02 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo picks Yazmin Jauregui confidently, citing her superior technical striking and takedown defense. He notes she defended all six takedowns in her last fight and should be too good to be taken down by Souza. His only concern is Souza's power, as he saw Jauregui get knocked out live at UFC 290, but he believes she should be fine. He suggests the under 2.5 rounds could be a sneaky play as both have finishing ability.

Mentions round line could be interesting; suggests under 2.5 rounds might make sense.
"This should be Yasmin all day long she's the much more technical Striker she's much much too good to be taken down on the other side her takedown defense should hold up my one and only concern here is klin's …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady believes Jauregui is the much better fighter everywhere, especially on the feet where she is powerful and can break Souza. He notes Souza has been finished in all four losses (two by submission, two by KO) and expects Jauregui to get a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"I think her is the much better fighter here I think she's better wherever the fight goes... I think heri eventually gets s out of there in the second round I say second round knockout for Yasmin heri"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel picks Yazmin Jauregui, praising her volume, speed, composure, and improved grappling. He notes Souza's lower output and high-energy moves that may lead to gassing. He expects Jauregui to win by decision or finish.

"I think she's gonna gas out Katlin and tea off on her to either win a decision or a finish"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is an absolute menace and the second biggest favorite on the card. She is far superior to Souza in the striking realm. If Souza looks to take the fight to the ground, she will struggle, allowing Jauregui to touch her up from distance and win on the scorecards.

"yagui is an absolute Menace and she is I believe the second biggest favorite on the card I think she is far superior to Souza here specifically in the Striking real"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui. He notes she is a more technical fighter and a good prospect who bounced back after a KO loss with a win. He mentions she has good wins in the UFC and has fraud-checked some fighters. He dismisses the loss to Denise Gomez as a fluke due to Gomez's power.

"I'm going to go Yasmin yurui other than her loss where she got chinned not that long ago by um Denise Gomez who is just you know sometimes skill can only take you so far"
WIN vs Sam Hughes
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yazmin Jauregui 0 94 of 269 34% 97 of 272 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 83 of 197 42% 88 of 206 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yazmin Jauregui 0 28 of 88 31% 29 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 19 of 47 40% 21 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Yazmin Jauregui 0 32 of 91 35% 33 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 36 of 75 48% 39 of 78 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
3 Yazmin Jauregui 0 34 of 90 37% 35 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 28 of 75 37% 28 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yazmin Jauregui 94 of 269 34% 52 of 197 24 of 42 18 of 30 84 of 253 10 of 16 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 83 of 197 42% 40 of 143 17 of 24 26 of 30 80 of 190 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yazmin Jauregui 28 of 88 31% 16 of 65 8 of 14 4 of 9 22 of 78 6 of 10 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 19 of 47 40% 11 of 36 3 of 6 5 of 5 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yazmin Jauregui 32 of 91 35% 18 of 67 9 of 14 5 of 10 29 of 87 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 36 of 75 48% 15 of 53 11 of 11 10 of 11 34 of 70 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Yazmin Jauregui 34 of 90 37% 18 of 65 7 of 14 9 of 11 33 of 88 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 28 of 75 37% 14 of 54 3 of 7 11 of 14 27 of 73 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo is very confident in Jauregui, believing the UFC set this up for her to get back on track. He notes her striking and grappling are impressive, and while she was knocked out quickly in her last fight, Sam Hughes doesn't hit as hard. He trusts the process.

"Yasmin yui is going to be the pick very confident in that pick but Sam Hughes has played spoiler before"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the biggest favorite on the card at -500 and that the matchup is favorable. He praises Jauregui's takedown defense and striking, while criticizing Sam Hughes's hittability and toughness. He thinks Jauregui will dominate on the feet and potentially finish Hughes, though he questions Jauregui's chin after being dropped in her last two fights.

Jauregui wins by KO in round 2
"I'm going to take Yasmin hery here I think it's going to be an absolute beat down minus 500 it's scary but maybe she does look minus 500 when it's all said and done so give me asmin hery to …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui but is hesitant, calling it the coward's way out. He notes Jauregui's durability is a question mark after being knocked out by Denise Gomes, but her takedown defense held against Lendo. He thinks Jauregui has a massive advantage on the feet and is more interested in live betting.

"I will take the coward's way out I will take yadman oriki as a pick here I think this is a fight that I'm more interested in a live betting perspective"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The host believes Hughes will be the best wrestler Jauregui has faced, despite Jauregui's 100% takedown defense rate (only two attempts faced). He thinks Hughes's improvement at Fortis MMA and game planning will allow her to take the fight into deep waters and win on the scorecards, springing a massive upset.

"I think Hughes will be the best wrestler that y has faced and even though yui showcases at 100% takedown defense rate she's only faced two takedown attempts in her three UFC fights thus far I think Sam Hughes has …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Paul leans towards Hughes due to the massive plus price. He notes Hughes is 3-1 in her last four, gritty, and has been using more wrestling lately. He questions what makes Jauregui such a huge favorite, as she hasn't excelled in hard 15-minute fights. However, he admits Hughes isn't a power puncher and if it's a striking affair, Jauregui likely wins.

"I think I might take Sam Hughes if for no other reason then the price tag is just ridiculous"
LOSS vs Denise Gomes
TKO (punches) R1 0:20 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.

Avoiding the fight
"I'm avoiding this fight like the plague and I recommend you do as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.

second round knockout
"Yasmin jauregu wins this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.

Jauregui by decision, over rounds
"I think yasmine's gonna slowly pull away on the numbers the longer the fight goes and eventually that leads to a decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"She's a potential future title contender."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.

"I think Yasmine year agui has the higher upside I think the line reflects that and for that reason I'm gonna pick her to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Yazmin Jauregui

James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.

Yazmin Jauregui wins by decision (considered); over (considered, not played)
"I think yasmin's understanding of range and understanding of footwork and distance management are way better than Denise Gomez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.

over 2.5 rounds
"give me yadagui by decision but over two and a half probably being my favorite spot in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.

Gomes by KO/TKO (+175)
"I took Denise Gomez plus 350 on like Sunday it's a good price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.

wins by 29-28 decision
"I am gonna have to go with Eureka winning this one by 29-28 decision in classic women's MMA fashion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.

Jauregui opened at -455, currently -383; Gomes opened at +364, currently +316. Zane says odds reflect the matchup and he wouldn't expect them to get much tighter.
"Pretty easy pick for Jauregui."
WIN vs Istela Nunes
TKO (punches) R2 4:06 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yazmin Jauregui 2 67 of 154 43% 103 of 200 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:50
Istela Nunes 1 36 of 60 60% 39 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yazmin Jauregui 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Istela Nunes 1 24 of 40 60% 25 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Yazmin Jauregui 2 40 of 68 58% 76 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
Istela Nunes 0 12 of 20 60% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yazmin Jauregui 67 of 154 43% 54 of 135 6 of 11 7 of 8 38 of 109 7 of 12 22 of 33
Istela Nunes 36 of 60 60% 20 of 41 12 of 14 4 of 5 28 of 50 8 of 8 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yazmin Jauregui 27 of 86 31% 18 of 72 4 of 8 5 of 6 25 of 82 2 of 4 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 24 of 40 60% 13 of 29 7 of 7 4 of 4 20 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Yazmin Jauregui 40 of 68 58% 36 of 63 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 27 5 of 8 22 of 33
Istela Nunes 12 of 20 60% 7 of 12 5 of 7 0 of 1 8 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo picks Yazmin Jauregui but is hesitant, noting that Istela Nunes is a legitimate professional kickboxer with impressive speed and versatility. He believes if Nunes has full three-round cardio, she should be the better overall striker. However, he leans on Jauregui because Nunes gassed in her last fight against Sam Hughes. He calls the odds 'absolute insanity' and expects a mostly striking matchup.

Surprised by the odds (Jauregui almost 4-to-1 favorite)
"I'm gonna pick Yasmin but the only reason I'm picking Yasmin is because the seller gassed in that fight against Sam Hughes"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady leans towards Jauregui due to her youth (23 years old) and cardio advantage, expecting Nunes to slow down in the later rounds. He notes that Jauregui is a striker and unlikely to exploit Nunes' takedown defense weakness. He predicts a competitive fight early but Jauregui taking over in the second and third rounds to win a decision.

Jauregui wins by decision
"I think it's going to be competitive early on... but as the fight goes on I do think she's going to start to slow... I do see heregie taking over second third round and winning the decision there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui but is tempted by Nunes as a dog. He notes Nunes' power and counter-striking, but thinks her cardio will fade. He suggests live betting Nunes after round 1.

live bet on Nunes after round 1
"I will take Yasmine but what I can offer up is live bet this thing because the Stella Nunes is a problem in the first round"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui, agreeing that Nunes fades when pressured and that Jauregui's technical punching and pocket dedication will win out over multiple rounds. He notes that Nunes has a history of crumbling once her confidence is dented.

"How to gree is the favorite here as expected open to minus 240 dropped to minus 350 currently minus 330."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, citing her high output, takedown defense, and heart. He notes Nunes' pacing issues and believes Jauregui's youth and pressure will carry her. He is not betting at the price but is confident in the pick.

"I'm gonna go with the favorite Yasmine uh yaragui to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The host picks Jauregui to win by third-round TKO. He thinks Nunes will start strong but fade due to poor cardio, allowing Jauregui to take over and finish. He is wary of the minus 300 chalk but believes Jauregui is a decent enough prospect to survive early and finish late. He notes that Nunes is likely fighting for her UFC spot.

Jauregui round 3 TKO
"I'm gonna go yadagui round three TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Paul picks Jauregui but is puzzled by the price. He notes her potential and Nunes' cardio issues. He thinks Jauregui can win by decision or late finish if she mixes in takedowns.

Jauregui by decision
"I'm gonna be picking wariki I'm just uh kind of puzzled about how I how I approach this matchup"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui because she lived up to her hype in the UFC, showing rare talent in the women's division. He notes Istela Nunes has lost her last two fights and is under pressure at 30 years old. He predicts Jauregui will win by decision, citing her youth (23) and ability to overcome octagon jitters.

Jauregui by decision
"I'm gonna be going with Yasmine Jared because she had hype coming into the UFC but she actually lived up to that hype once she got into the UFC"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui, citing her consistent boxing, tight defense, and ability to exit exchanges with a left hook. He notes that Nunes is a sharp striker early but fades when pressured, and Jauregui's counter punching will be a problem for Nunes.

"I gotta take how to give her basically just for like the depth and consistency of her uh of her boxing."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yazmin Jauregui 0 86 of 218 39% 87 of 219 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Iasmin Lucindo 0 66 of 181 36% 66 of 181 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yazmin Jauregui 0 31 of 77 40% 31 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Iasmin Lucindo 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 Yazmin Jauregui 0 30 of 69 43% 31 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Iasmin Lucindo 0 23 of 59 38% 23 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
3 Yazmin Jauregui 0 25 of 72 34% 25 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Iasmin Lucindo 0 18 of 62 29% 18 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yazmin Jauregui 86 of 218 39% 52 of 159 9 of 25 25 of 34 81 of 210 5 of 8 0 of 0
Iasmin Lucindo 66 of 181 36% 42 of 148 15 of 22 9 of 11 64 of 179 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yazmin Jauregui 31 of 77 40% 16 of 55 2 of 4 13 of 18 29 of 72 2 of 5 0 of 0
Iasmin Lucindo 25 of 60 41% 15 of 49 7 of 8 3 of 3 23 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Yazmin Jauregui 30 of 69 43% 17 of 48 5 of 11 8 of 10 27 of 66 3 of 3 0 of 0
Iasmin Lucindo 23 of 59 38% 17 of 50 3 of 6 3 of 3 23 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yazmin Jauregui 25 of 72 34% 19 of 56 2 of 10 4 of 6 25 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Iasmin Lucindo 18 of 62 29% 10 of 49 5 of 8 3 of 5 18 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo loves Yazmin Jauregui, citing her powerful striking, combinations, and solid takedown defense. He thinks the -240 odds are correct but is hesitant to bet due to both making their UFC debut. He expects the line to move and recommends jumping on it early.

Odds comment: -240 is correct, line will move
"i absolutely love yasmin in this fight obviously there's some questions around her takedown defense and her bjj off her back but i think i've watched enough tape to see just how solid that defense is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by first-round knockout. He describes Jauregui as a savage who comes forward, eats punches to land her own, and has power. He thinks Lucindo is not quite ready for the UFC level and that Jauregui's takedown defense and grappling will hold up. He expects Jauregui to overwhelm Lucindo and finish her in the first round.

first round knockout
"i think she finishes lucinda here i think she does in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody also leans toward Jauregui, calling her the right favorite but not wanting heavy investment. He notes Lucindo is very green and relies on getting the fight to the ground, while Jauregui has better striking and takedown defense. He considers this a pass due to the uncertainty.

"i don't know that i would want a ton of investment here but i think she is the right favorite"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Daniel Levi is unsure about this fight. He notes that Jauregui has a clear edge on the feet with power and aggression, while Lucindo has a grappling advantage. He says if the fight stays standing, Jauregui wins; if it goes to the mat, Lucindo wins. He picks Lucindo as a dog but with low confidence.

"I guess I'll go Lucindo because since I'm not obvious about the favorite I'll go with the dog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Yazmin Jauregui

The host picks Jauregui, noting she has solid power and good volume. He thinks she will eventually get the finish, and suggests playing her KO straight up at +250 or first round KO at +700. He believes Lucindo is a short-notice replacement but has experience, though he doesn't think it's a good matchup for her.

Jauregui by KO at +250; Jauregui round 1 KO at +700 (considering).
"i think eventually she'll get the finish i think the safer way to play is just play ko straight up which is still getting about plus 250"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Paul leans toward Jauregui, noting she is more well-rounded with good striking and footwork. He acknowledges Lucindo's wrestling and top game but thinks Jauregui can keep the fight standing and piece her up. However, he is not confident due to the low level of competition and both fighters being young and making debuts.

"i think she'll probably keep the fight standing for the most part stop the takedowns when need be and kind of piece her up from range"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The host picks Yazmin Jauregui, citing her undefeated record and improvement against better competition. He notes she had more time to prepare for the fight and has momentum from a tournament win. However, he admits uncertainty about both fighters and wouldn't be surprised by an upset.

"i'm going to be going with yasmin jaurudjie"
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
No clear pick

Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.

Avoiding the fight
"I'm avoiding this fight like the plague and I recommend you do as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.

second round knockout
"Yasmin jauregu wins this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.

Jauregui by decision, over rounds
"I think yasmine's gonna slowly pull away on the numbers the longer the fight goes and eventually that leads to a decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"She's a potential future title contender."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.

"I think Yasmine year agui has the higher upside I think the line reflects that and for that reason I'm gonna pick her to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Yazmin Jauregui

James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.

Yazmin Jauregui wins by decision (considered); over (considered, not played)
"I think yasmin's understanding of range and understanding of footwork and distance management are way better than Denise Gomez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.

over 2.5 rounds
"give me yadagui by decision but over two and a half probably being my favorite spot in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.

Gomes by KO/TKO (+175)
"I took Denise Gomez plus 350 on like Sunday it's a good price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.

wins by 29-28 decision
"I am gonna have to go with Eureka winning this one by 29-28 decision in classic women's MMA fashion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.

Jauregui opened at -455, currently -383; Gomes opened at +364, currently +316. Zane says odds reflect the matchup and he wouldn't expect them to get much tighter.
"Pretty easy pick for Jauregui."