Career Averages - Tainara Lisboa
Career Averages - Jessica-Rose Clark
Tainara Lisboa
Jessica-Rose Clark
Tainara Lisboa - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Croden | 1 | 99 of 175 | 56% | 148 of 230 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:05 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 42 of 92 | 45% | 63 of 115 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Croden | 0 | 27 of 57 | 47% | 35 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 25 of 56 | 44% | 34 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Melissa Croden | 1 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 58 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 21 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 | |
| 3 | Melissa Croden | 0 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 55 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:07 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Croden | 99 of 175 | 56% | 74 of 141 | 12 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 57 of 108 | 13 of 20 | 29 of 47 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 42 of 92 | 45% | 23 of 70 | 18 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 70 | 19 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Croden | 27 of 57 | 47% | 16 of 41 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 9 | 26 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 25 of 56 | 44% | 13 of 43 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 48 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melissa Croden | 33 of 57 | 57% | 23 of 45 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 36 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 11 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 13 of 26 | 50% | 7 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Melissa Croden | 39 of 61 | 63% | 35 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 36 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Odds: Lisboa (-125); Croden (+105)
Round 1
For the past two years, the UFC has shipped up to Canada twice. This is the latter trip, a Fight Night in Vancouver, and it is a bit of a mixed bag. The final seven (with an asterisk) fights on the lineup will feature a Canadian against a foreign adversary, as is the custom for the promotion as of late to set up a plethora of local competitors against those from another country. Recently, the home country fighters have fared well, but the numbers may not be on their side tonight. Of the 26 athletes plying their trades tonight, 16 of them lost their last bout while four are on losing streaks. Twelve combatants hold UFC records of .500 or lower, although there are a pair of newcomers to the promotion on the billing including one in the curtain jerker here. At 135 pounds, “Scare” Croden (6-2, 0-0 UFC)—as far as name-based nicknames go, this is a good one—makes her first walk to the cage on home soil against Brazil’s Lisboa (7-3, 2-1 UFC). The two ladies will be joined in the cage by referee John Cooper, who steps back as the two clap hands together. It’s showtime.
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After a brief feeling-out process, the Canadian starts work on the leg of the “Thai Panther.” She lands kicks on the inside and out, and Lisboa fires back with a short, crisp combination of punches. Croden flicks out a jab and tosses a low kick behind it, and once more, Lisboa is ready for the counters. Croden chambers and releases a thudding body kick, and Lisboa catches it and smacks her in the face before releasing it. Croden rushes forward into a pair of knees, clinching up but ultimately getting bullied to the wall by the Brazilian. The two stall out, and the crowd already is showering the two with boos less than two minutes in. It could be because the Canadian’s back is to the wall, and not based on a relative lack of activity. Lisboa forces the break with an elbow, and she slips back and connects with a stern calf kick. Croden ducks down and lets go with a body kick, and the punches from the Brazilian whiz past her.
Croden slowly maneuvers her way forward, and Lisboa consistently connects with three or four punches every time she gets off. They clinch, and the fans start booing until the Canadian turns her foe around. They score short clinch strikes, and Lisboa lashes out with an elbow to break and slash open a cut under the local lady’s left eye. A Croden push kick intercepts a spinning Lisboa, and when Lisboa settles down, Croden jabs her in the face and rings her bell. Lisboa has to charge in to clinch and get her bearings, and Croden shoves her off and races in behind a pair of punches. Croden slips and moves a trio of punches to work her jab in, and her low kick does some work when Lisboa sits down on a hard right hand. When Croden tosses a naked body kick, Lisboa belts her in the nose with a right hand that opens up the Canadian’s nose. Lisboa stings her with a one-two, and Croden throws back recklessly. Lisboa stands her up, and although she eats a straight right on the way out, she lands the heavier of the two as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lisboa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lisboa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Lisboa
Round 2
The ladies touch ‘em up to start off the second stanza, and Lisboa takes to the center of the cage while Croden gets behind her jab. Lisboa throws caution to the wind and strings together a few punches that open up Croden’s nose again, and the leaking Canadian’s philtrum and mouth matches her red fight attire. Lisboa initiates the clinch and works the body with knees, and she trips her opponent and lands on top for a second. Croden quickly wall-walks her way upright and breaks free, and the blood is flowing out of her nostrils. Croden reaches forward and gets caught, and she calms herself and looses a head kick that smacks the Brazilian upside the head. Lisboa punches her way into a tie-up, and the crowd noise comes and goes in waves in support or disappointment depending on how the Canadian is faring—there are a lot of fans in the building for the first fight of the night.
Croden uses her opponent’s momentum against her, tripping Lisboa to her seat, although she cannot keep her there for long. Croden gets in close, and she manages to trip out Lisboa a second time. This time, she lands on top and starts bashing the Brazilian with a stream of right hands. Lisboa fights to her feet while under fire, and Croden is not about to let her off the hook and keeps working her over. When Lisboa splits, “Scare” puts a scare into her by charging with her arms extended. Croden strings punches into a low kick, and suddenly Lisboa does not seem to know what to do. The newcomer collides into her foe with her fists, knocking Lisboa to her seat. Lisboa lands on her back and sets up an armbar, so Croden calmly responds with knees to the shoulder until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Croden
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Croden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Croden
Round 3
Croden is fired up to start off the last round, and the fans feed her with energy as every time she lands, they cheer. Croden sticks and moves, potshotting Lisboa and getting out of harm’s way in time. Croden lunges in with three or four punches, and Lisboa’s counters hit nothing but air. Croden pounds her foe’s front leg, and Lisboa responds with a full-throated double-leg takedown attempt. The Brazilian completes it, but after about three seconds, Croden is back upright and turning Lisboa to her back on the chain links. A level change from Lisboa is answered by Croden lowering herself down and muscling “Thai Panther” to the floor through sheer force of will. Lisboa hunts for a sweep, so Croden replies with a cruel can opener on the back of the neck. Lisboa throws her legs up and rolls for an armbar, but she turns too far and gives Croden the opportunity to counter her with an irritating triangle choke position.
Croden decides to stand up, lording over Lisboa and pushing her legs out of the way to reclaim top position. When Lisboa turns to her knees in hopes of standing, Croden bashes her repeatedly in the side of the dome. Lisboa desperately looks for an armbar or something off her back, but the large Canadian pushes through it all without effort and climbs into half guard. The punches and elbows from Croden briefly open the guard up, but she decides not to take it and instead uses her weight and pressure to keep Lisboa on her back. Croden clubs Lisboa with ground strikes, and Lisboa somehow manages to stand up despite taking all that damage. Croden walks her down, busting her in the chops and not letting her have a moment to breathe. Lisboa wilts, falling to her back while under attack, and Cooper knows that she is about out of this fight. “Scare” Croden puts the hurt on Lisboa with high-amplitude hammerfists, and as she keeps pounding on the Brazilian like a drum, Cooper has no choice but to step in. Just like that, Canadians are ahead tonight, with Croden prevailing in her promotional debut by handing the 34-year-old her first knockout loss.
The Official Result
Melissa Croden def. Tainara Lisboa R3 4:32 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo discusses both fighters but does not make a clear pick. He notes that Iasmin Lucindo (the originally scheduled opponent) is a decent striker with takedown defense issues, and Melissa Croden is a tough striker making her UFC debut. He says he will fade both fighters for fantasy purposes, indicating no strong lean either way.
Big Brady likes Melissa Croden's toughness and forward pressure. He notes she is strong in the clinch, has sneaky grappling, and good ground and pound. He is not impressed by Tainara Lisboa's striking and thinks Croden can push her against the cage and potentially finish. He prefers Croden at the underdog price but still picks her to win by decision.
Cody picks Lisboa, citing her striking advantage and experience. He notes Croden has retired twice and is making her UFC debut at 34. Lisboa has fought better competition. Cody expects Lisboa to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor picks Croden, noting her good directional game and ability to clinch and be violent. He points out that Lisboa has poor footwork and distance management, making her vulnerable to Croden's clinch entries. Connor believes Croden will be able to crash in at will and dominate in the clinch.
James sees value on Croden as an underdog, noting her striking skills and potential grappling advantage if Lisboa shoots takedowns. He worries about Croden's boxing defense but believes the Canadian crowd could help in a close decision. James predicts a close decision win for Croden.
The host expects Croden to make an emphatic debut, utilizing her physicality, top control, and Muay Thai against the cage. He believes she will be far stronger than Lisboa and will grind out a finish in the second or third round.
Paul leans Croden, citing her size and clinch work. He notes she can control the fight against the cage. However, he has low conviction and says he'll wait for weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa (referred to as Taila Santos) over Melissa Croden. He notes that Lisboa is a kickboxer with decent submission wins, while Croden has fought lesser competition. He acknowledges Lisboa's losses but justifies them by pointing to her experience against top fighters like Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. He leans towards Lisboa but admits there's not much to go off.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Croden. He notes that Croden knows what she wants to do (clinch and punish) and that Lisboa cannot get out of the way. Zane expects Croden to achieve clinches easily and be violent from there.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 50 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 7:57 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 6 of 34 | 17% | 7 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 0 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 17 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Luana Santos | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 33 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:12 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 1 of 15 | 6% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 15 of 19 | 78% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 6 of 34 | 17% | 3 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 9 of 11 | 81% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 5 of 19 | 26% | 3 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Santos | 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Tainara Lisboa | 1 of 15 | 6% | 0 of 10 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-130), Lisboa (+110)
Round 1
The final match among women comes at the 135-pound division, as Santos (8-2, 3-1 UFC) moves up in weight to challenge “Thai Panther” Lisboa (7-2, 2-0 UFC). The former saw her solid win streak come to a halt last August because of Casey O’Neill, but she can play spoiler to Lisboa and her own five-fight victorious stretch. Referee Herb Dean will be on call for this bantamweight battle, and the countrywomen touch ‘em up before getting down to business. Lisboa measures with her jab right off the bat, pressuring her opponent and throwing a kick at the same time Santos does. They jab at one another; Lisboa catches a kick to counter over the top. Santos sneaks in a left hand, swaying and moving as Lisboa tries to counter. Santos sticks out a front kick too long, but this is intentional as it distracts Lisboa enough and makes her try to throw back. She uses this to set up a takedown, where she bowls Lisboa over and climbs into side control. Santos uses a scarf hold to look to pass to mount, and instead gladly assumes north-south position. Lisboa tries to crawl out the back by throwing her legs up and around the back, but Santos calmly works out of it and puts herself flat in half guard. Lisboa pushes off the cage to try to get to a better position, and Santos is simultaneously looking to step into mount. This results in a stalemate, with little offense coming as Santos would rather take a dominant position. She rolls Lisboa over to try to take her back, but Lisboa calmly works to her knees. When Lisboa reaches her feet, the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Round 2
While they do touch gloves, Lisboa is rushing forward to get going and try to make up lost ground. She backs Santos off with her jab, and she fakes a knee and scores a body kick with her other leg. Santos times a one-two down the pipe, and she scoots away. When Lisboa sets her feet down to engage, Santos counters her over the top. As Lisboa commits to strikes, a half-hearted front kick from her leaves her wide open to the takedown. Santos gladly accepts this and puts Lisboa on her back, where she is immediately in high side control as she wraps her arms around her foe’s head with a scarf hold. Lisboa tries again to wrap her legs up and around to get the back, but she does not have the same flexibility and energy as she did the last round to get anywhere. Santos holds her down in the scarf hold position, not using it for submission purposes but instead grinding it and just making Lisboa’s life generally miserable. All of Lisboa’s flailing leg movements do nothing to improve her position, as Santos is so high up on her body flattening her out. Every so often, Santos thumps her foe with short right hands, but no blow has any significant impact. Santos considers isolating Lisboa’s right arm, but this allows Lisboa to turn her body. As Lisboa keeps turning, she inadvertently gives up her back, and Santos wraps her legs around the waist and has both hooks in. Santos climbs to maintain partial back control that she uses to slip into full mount, and she drops down a punch or two before suffocating Lisboa further. Santos uses heavy chest pressure to keep Lisboa pinned, but she is not willing to take the risk of posturing up far.
With seconds left on the clock, Santos does not ride it out and instead latches on to a keylock and/or Americana. Lisboa clings to her left arm, which is starting to torque badly as one can imagine tendons and ligaments screaming out from the unusual tension. Santos cranks with all she has, and Lisboa taps out of the sight of Dean and then speaks out.
Dean confirms with her that it was a surrender and separates the two, with Santos notching the buzzer-beating submission that has become a rarity inside the Octagon and even more infrequent among women—remarkably, the first for a female UFC fighter.
The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Tainara Lisboa R2 4:59 via Submission (Keylock)
Angelo picks Tainara Lisboa, following the public trend as the line moved from Santos being favorite to underdog. He sees it as a 50/50 fight where Lisboa is the better striker and Santos the better grappler. He notes that Santos relies heavily on judo throws and if Lisboa can stay off the cage, she can land the more meaningful strikes. He also suggests parlaying the over 2.5 rounds in this fight with another women's fight.
Big Brady leans with Tainara Lisboa as a dog, noting she is the better striker with solid grappling. He is concerned about Lisboa's injury layoff but thinks if she is healthy, it's a close fight. He picks Lisboa by decision with little confidence.
The host agrees with the line moving towards Santos but with not a lot of confidence. He thinks her BJJ black belt and judo background will allow her to get positions on the ground to avoid Lisboa's Muay Thai striking advantage. However, he notes Santos has been flaky in the striking realm and may have trouble if she can't close the gap. He gives her the benefit of the doubt to grind out a decision win.
The Guru picks Luana Santos but admits he doesn't know why, calling it a guess. He notes Santos is young (25) and lost to Casey O'Neill, while Lisboa barely edged a decision. He predicts a 29-28 decision, possibly with a late submission. He rambles about a dog controversy and seems uncertain.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 77 of 106 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 6:55 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 61 of 87 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 28 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 19 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 34 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:47 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 15 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 34 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 18 of 35 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 20 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 3 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 15 of 31 | 48% | 10 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 8 of 13 | 61% | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 3 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 8 of 16 | 50% | 4 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ravena Oliveira | 11 of 18 | 61% | 9 of 13 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo slightly leans Lisboa, thinking she can win with clinch work, but he calls her a 'parlay buster' and expects a sloppy fight. He plans to stay away from betting on this one.
Big Brady picks Tainara Lisboa to win by second-round submission. He was impressed by her performance against Jessica Rose Clark, noting improved striking and grappling. He thinks Oliveira is a step down in competition and expects Lisboa to dominate on the ground.
Cody picks Lisboa, noting her superior striking and grappling. He highlights her win over Jessica-Rose Clark via rear-naked choke and her kickboxing background. Cody believes Oliveira has little to offer and that Lisboa can win anywhere the fight goes. He suggests Lisboa inside the distance as a prop.
The host picks Tainara Lisboa, citing her superior striking technique and grappling improvements. He questions Oliveira's level of competition and believes Lisboa is far more complete. He expects a submission win but notes the minus 315 price is a bit wide for a young UFC fighter.
Paul picks Lisboa, citing her well-rounded skills and the lack of quality opposition for Oliveira. He notes that Lisboa has a 100% finish rate at 135 lbs and that Oliveira's tape shows she is not on the same level. Paul expects Lisboa to dominate and finish the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa over Ravena Oliveira, though he admits there's not much to go on. He notes Lisboa has a UFC win over Jessica-Rose Clark and has had time off to improve. He criticizes Oliveira's competition, saying her opponents have poor records (0-2 after fighting her). He believes Lisboa's experience and preparation give her the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 26 of 60 | 43% | 28 of 66 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 42 of 83 | 50% | 97 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 27 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 13 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 26 of 60 | 43% | 20 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 23 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 42 of 83 | 50% | 30 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 29 of 64 | 11 of 16 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 8 of 20 | 40% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 13 of 31 | 41% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 25 of 51 | 49% | 19 of 41 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 20 of 41 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 6 of 12 | 50% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Tainara Lisboa, saying she is a solid underdog at +122. He notes Jessica-Rose Clark has takedowns and straight punches that could beat Lisboa's looping shots, but he questions Clark's arm recovery from injury. He bet 0.2 units on Lisboa.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark by default, calling it one of the sketchiest fights on the card. He notes Lisboa looks good on tape with a Muay Thai background and 100% finish rate, but all her wins are against low-level competition. Whenever she faced a relevant opponent (Norma Dumont, Larani Santos), she lost. Clark has fought actual UFC fighters and beaten some, though she's on a two-fight skid. Brady expects Clark to win by decision but has no confidence and won't bet on it.
Cody picks Clark, citing her physical strength, experience, and ability to grind against the cage. He notes that Clark's recent losses came against grapplers, while Lisboa is a striker with poor grappling. He expects Clark to implement her game plan of clinching and takedowns. He acknowledges Clark's broken arm and layoff but believes she has the edge.
Connor picks Clark, noting that Lisboa is very formless with bad technique and that Clark's wrestling, even if panicked, should be enough. He points out that Clark has beaten athletes before and that Lisboa lacks a single threatening skill. Connor expects Clark to win, but with low confidence due to Clark's mental fragility.
Daniel Levi leans with the newcomer Tainara Lisboa, believing her trajectory is higher than Jessica-Rose Clark's, who appears to be on a decline. He notes Clark's recent losses and that Lisboa, a Muay Thai champion, has crushed lower-level competition. While Clark has more experience, Levi thinks Lisboa's upside and youth give her the edge in a fight that could go either way.
Clark's physicality and grappling experience should be too much for Lisboa, who has faced low-level competition. Clark can shut down Lisboa's Muay Thai with clinch and ground work, outmuscle her, and win by decision. However, confidence is low due to Clark's recent losses and Lisboa's potential improvement.
Paul picks Lisboa as a value underdog, having bet her at +147. He notes that he doesn't know much about her except she's a Muay Thai specialist. He acknowledges Clark's recent armbar losses and broken arm, but is unsure about Lisboa's takedown defense. He expects Lisboa to win the stand-up war.
The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa, citing Jessica-Rose Clark's lack of care for her career and recent injuries. He believes Lisboa's Muay Thai and clinch knees will be effective, and that Clark's wrestling is not a major threat. He predicts a finish via knees to the body in the clinch.
Zane picks Jessica-Rose Clark, despite her mental struggles, because Tainara Lisboa is very raw and lacks a clear skill. He notes that Clark's panic-wrestling could work against Lisboa, who has poor technique and is easy to take down. Zane expects Clark to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges her inconsistency.
Jessica-Rose Clark - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 26 of 60 | 43% | 28 of 66 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 42 of 83 | 50% | 97 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 27 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 13 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainara Lisboa | 26 of 60 | 43% | 20 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 23 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 42 of 83 | 50% | 30 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 29 of 64 | 11 of 16 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainara Lisboa | 8 of 20 | 40% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Tainara Lisboa | 13 of 31 | 41% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 25 of 51 | 49% | 19 of 41 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 20 of 41 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tainara Lisboa | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 6 of 12 | 50% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Tainara Lisboa, saying she is a solid underdog at +122. He notes Jessica-Rose Clark has takedowns and straight punches that could beat Lisboa's looping shots, but he questions Clark's arm recovery from injury. He bet 0.2 units on Lisboa.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark by default, calling it one of the sketchiest fights on the card. He notes Lisboa looks good on tape with a Muay Thai background and 100% finish rate, but all her wins are against low-level competition. Whenever she faced a relevant opponent (Norma Dumont, Larani Santos), she lost. Clark has fought actual UFC fighters and beaten some, though she's on a two-fight skid. Brady expects Clark to win by decision but has no confidence and won't bet on it.
Cody picks Clark, citing her physical strength, experience, and ability to grind against the cage. He notes that Clark's recent losses came against grapplers, while Lisboa is a striker with poor grappling. He expects Clark to implement her game plan of clinching and takedowns. He acknowledges Clark's broken arm and layoff but believes she has the edge.
Connor picks Clark, noting that Lisboa is very formless with bad technique and that Clark's wrestling, even if panicked, should be enough. He points out that Clark has beaten athletes before and that Lisboa lacks a single threatening skill. Connor expects Clark to win, but with low confidence due to Clark's mental fragility.
Daniel Levi leans with the newcomer Tainara Lisboa, believing her trajectory is higher than Jessica-Rose Clark's, who appears to be on a decline. He notes Clark's recent losses and that Lisboa, a Muay Thai champion, has crushed lower-level competition. While Clark has more experience, Levi thinks Lisboa's upside and youth give her the edge in a fight that could go either way.
Clark's physicality and grappling experience should be too much for Lisboa, who has faced low-level competition. Clark can shut down Lisboa's Muay Thai with clinch and ground work, outmuscle her, and win by decision. However, confidence is low due to Clark's recent losses and Lisboa's potential improvement.
Paul picks Lisboa as a value underdog, having bet her at +147. He notes that he doesn't know much about her except she's a Muay Thai specialist. He acknowledges Clark's recent armbar losses and broken arm, but is unsure about Lisboa's takedown defense. He expects Lisboa to win the stand-up war.
The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa, citing Jessica-Rose Clark's lack of care for her career and recent injuries. He believes Lisboa's Muay Thai and clinch knees will be effective, and that Clark's wrestling is not a major threat. He predicts a finish via knees to the body in the clinch.
Zane picks Jessica-Rose Clark, despite her mental struggles, because Tainara Lisboa is very raw and lacks a clear skill. He notes that Clark's panic-wrestling could work against Lisboa, who has poor technique and is easy to take down. Zane expects Clark to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges her inconsistency.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 9 of 16 | 56% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 9 of 16 | 56% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.
Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.
Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.
Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.
Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 29 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 29 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant, noting the odds are wide and Egger is a live underdog. He likes Clark's striking and newfound wrestling confidence, but warns if Clark doesn't mix in wrestling, she could struggle. He thinks Egger is much better than 2-to-1 odds suggest.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark, impressed by her recent fight IQ and game planning. He believes she has a significant striking advantage and can mix in takedowns. He sees no clear path to victory for Egger and predicts Clark wins by decision.
Cody leans toward Clark but is not confident. He notes that Clark is physically strong and has good clinch work, but Egger is a judo black belt with submissions. Cody thinks Clark's striking is better and that she can control the clinch, but he is wary of Egger's grappling. He doesn't love the price and suggests this fight is dicey.
Levi picks Clark, noting her well-rounded game and recent improvements in strength and conditioning. He believes she can stuff Egger's judo throws and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage in boxing. Levi expects Clark to win a unanimous decision, possibly with takedowns of her own down the stretch.
Egger's judo could neutralize Clark's grappling; she can redirect momentum and get takedowns of her own. Clark's grappling is still developing, and she slowed down in her last fight. Egger by decision is the pick, with a submission prop at +800 as a possibility if Clark gets caught. The line movement toward Egger suggests value.
Paul struggles with this fight and does not make a clear pick. He notes that Clark's recent fights have been greasy and that Egger is strong in judo. He is not interested in betting Clark at -190 and seems to pass on the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark to win by decision. He believes Clark's athleticism and boxing will be the difference, as she has good grappling and trains at AKA. He thinks the grappling will cancel out and that Clark will out-strike Egger on the feet, winning 29-28 in a boring fashion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 54 of 74 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 11:40 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 30 of 48 | 62% | 72 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 19 of 25 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 24 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:50 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 14 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:43 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 29 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 18 of 27 | 66% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 30 of 48 | 62% | 19 of 33 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 9 of 19 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 9 of 13 | 69% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 11 of 16 | 68% | 4 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 6 of 8 | 75% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Joselyne Edwards | 10 of 13 | 76% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Bantamweight women draw the “featured fight of the night” slot when “Jessy Jess” Clark (10-6, 3-2 UFC) returns after a year away to take on “La Pantera” Edwards (10-3, 1-1 UFC). Wanting to get right after it, the ladies do not touch gloves as referee Keith Peterson watches on with no nonsense in sight. The women crash together immediately, and Clark pursues and hits an early takedown. When they hit the ground, Clark comfortably takes top position, where she slowly works her opponent over with strikes. The first half of the round proceeds the same way, with Clark doing little more than lay-and-pray until Peterson stands them up with two minutes left in the round. Clark thanks Peterson for this standup by clinching right up again, and when she goes after another takedown, Edwards reverses her and spins her around on the mat. Clark fights her way back to her feet as Edwards hold on to the grip from behind, and the woman from Panama tries to score a big head kick. Edwards lays into her opponent when on the feet, getting off several punches and a kick, but Clark quickly stops any more offense so she can ground “La Pantera” again. Although Edwards kicks her off for a moment, Clark climbs back on top to ride out the grind-filled round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Round 2
Clark comes out aggressively, but the fight stays on its feet longer than the previous round as Clark decides to let her hands go a little. As Edwards tries to sting her with punches, Clark darts in with an elbow that partially grazes the forehead. Unlike the last period, Edwards decides to go after her own takedown try. Clark watches video of herself fighting to see the position where she cannot otherwise observe, allowing her to break the posture and spin Edwards around briefly. The two jockey for position against the cage until Clark changes levels for a takedown. Although Edwards grabs the cage, Clark is able to wrestle her down to the mat and pass to half guard. Slowly and methodically, Clark works her way over to secure full mount, and Edwards nearly gives her back up in the process. Clark stays heavy, keeping Edwards flat on her back but doing little more. No strikes of note, no submission attempts come from the Aussie, who is more content to just rack up control time. A couple punches land courtesy of “Jessy Jess” when Edwards tries to regain position, and she manages to kick Clark off of her. Edwards spams inaccurate kicks until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Round 3
The women touch gloves to clock in the last round, and Edwards starts off firing with a body kick and a few punches up top. “La Pantera” catches Clark with a combination, and the Aussie immediately clinches up to tie her up and stop the strikes from coming. As she maintains this position, she transitions into a body lock throw, and she successfully puts Edwards on her back again. Edwards can do nothing but lay on her back, as she goes back and forth closing her guard and keeping it open. On the offensive side, Clark is also ineffective once she lands the singular takedown, grinding and burning daylight. Clark stands up and looks to rain down a punch or two, but she lowers herself back into Edwards’ guard where the fight stalls out. Although Clark moves to half guard, that is the extent of her activity, without landing a strike of note or even contemplating a submission maneuver. Edwards occasionally bucks, and scoots her way to lean her back on the wall, all while Peterson watches over them getting ready to stand them up. Edwards walk her way up the fencing, and Clark times a knee on the jaw right when Edwards pulls her hand off the mat. The Aussie goes right back to a takedown, easily planting Edwards on her back, where she has successfully tamed “La Pantera.” With one second to go, Clark takes mount; not able to do anything with it with that little time, the horrendous fight goes to decision and is now thankfully over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)
The Official Result
Jessica-Rose Clark def. Joselyne Edwards via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo likes Clark because she has more ways to win: power in the pocket, grappling if needed. Edwards needs to fight a specific calculated fight at range, while Clark can just come forward and make it dirty. He notes Clark has 55% takedown accuracy and averages one takedown per fight. He thinks -140 is a good price and plans to bet the moneyline. He will have her at 8500 in DraftKings.
Big Brady picks Clark to exploit Edwards's 37% takedown defense, expecting her to implement a grinding game plan of takedowns and cage control. He notes Clark's layoff and injury but believes the matchup favors her. He predicts a decision win, though he's not fully confident in her implementing the right strategy.
Cody leans towards Joselyne Edwards as a live underdog. He acknowledges that Jessica-Rose Clark's path to victory is through wrestling, but questions whether Clark will actually implement that game plan. Cody notes that Clark has never scored more than two takedowns in a UFC fight and that her wrestling success came against smaller opponents. He points out that Edwards is a natural bantamweight, younger, and training at Kings MMA with top competition. Cody believes Edwards can keep the fight standing and win a close decision.
Lock picks Clark based on her grappling advantage. He notes Clark's strength and wrestling should allow her to take Edwards down and grind out a decision. He mentions Edwards' poor grappling defense seen in the Hosa fight. He expects Clark to win by decision.
Paul initially leans towards Jessica-Rose Clark, seeing a clear path via wrestling. He notes Clark's improved defensive wrestling against Sarah Alpar and believes she can take Edwards down and control her. However, Paul is hesitant because of Clark's face tattoo, which he jokingly associates with a tendency to brawl rather than wrestle. He also worries that Clark might not shoot for takedowns and instead engage in a striking match, where she could be at a disadvantage.
The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, citing her size and reach advantage. He believes Jessica-Rose Clark will struggle to get the fight to the ground and that Edwards will win a stand-up battle. He also makes a remark about Clark's priorities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 76 of 106 | 71% | 124 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:18 |
| Sarah Alpar | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 26 of 44 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 27 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Sarah Alpar | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 15 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 32 of 45 | 71% | 53 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Sarah Alpar | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 28 of 39 | 71% | 44 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Sarah Alpar | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 76 of 106 | 71% | 66 of 95 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 30 | 25 of 29 | 36 of 47 |
| Sarah Alpar | 12 of 30 | 40% | 3 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 16 of 22 | 72% | 15 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
| Sarah Alpar | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 32 of 45 | 71% | 26 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 13 of 15 | 15 of 21 |
| Sarah Alpar | 4 of 10 | 40% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 28 of 39 | 71% | 25 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 21 |
| Sarah Alpar | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Sarah Alpar, believing she can get takedowns and control the fight on the ground. He notes Clark is the better striker but has been taken down before, and Alpar has decent wrestling and submissions. He expects a close decision win for Alpar.
The host thinks Jessica-Rose Clark has the striking advantage and improved physical strength, while Sarah Alpar is a wrestler who hasn't shown effective takedowns or comfort on the feet. However, he is not confident enough to bet at -230, citing Clark's recent losses and Alpar's potential if she can implement her wrestling. He predicts a decision win for Clark but advises staying away from betting.
The host picks Sarah Alpar over Jessica-Rose Clark, citing Alpar's better record, activity, and youth. He notes Clark has been out for a while and predicts Alpar wins by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 65 of 157 | 41% | 71 of 163 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 98 of 238 | 41% | 103 of 243 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 24 of 74 | 32% | 27 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 35 of 79 | 44% | 36 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 22 of 53 | 41% | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 39 of 85 | 45% | 40 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 65 of 157 | 41% | 37 of 117 | 6 of 16 | 22 of 24 | 65 of 157 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 98 of 238 | 41% | 71 of 194 | 14 of 30 | 13 of 14 | 93 of 229 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 19 of 50 | 38% | 13 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 24 of 74 | 32% | 17 of 61 | 1 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 24 of 54 | 44% | 12 of 38 | 4 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 35 of 79 | 44% | 29 of 66 | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 75 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 22 of 53 | 41% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 5 | 10 of 10 | 22 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 39 of 85 | 45% | 25 of 67 | 9 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 37 of 82 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 51 of 139 | 36% | 51 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 67 of 225 | 29% | 74 of 232 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Eye | 0 | 18 of 58 | 31% | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 17 of 88 | 19% | 17 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jessica Eye | 0 | 20 of 46 | 43% | 20 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 23 of 71 | 32% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Jessica Eye | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 13 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 33 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Eye | 51 of 139 | 36% | 30 of 111 | 13 of 18 | 8 of 10 | 46 of 132 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 67 of 225 | 29% | 38 of 182 | 23 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 60 of 217 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Eye | 18 of 58 | 31% | 15 of 52 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 17 of 88 | 19% | 13 of 79 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jessica Eye | 20 of 46 | 43% | 10 of 33 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 23 of 71 | 32% | 10 of 54 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Jessica Eye | 13 of 35 | 37% | 5 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 49 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 54 of 118 | 45% | 96 of 162 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 55 of 98 | 56% | 78 of 122 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 5:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 47 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:29 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 26 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 28 of 73 | 38% | 28 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 54 of 118 | 45% | 29 of 75 | 18 of 32 | 7 of 11 | 40 of 100 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 15 |
| Paige VanZant | 55 of 98 | 56% | 36 of 71 | 12 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 67 | 7 of 11 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 12 of 25 | 48% | 9 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 19 of 29 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 |
| Paige VanZant | 15 of 22 | 68% | 10 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 28 of 73 | 38% | 9 of 40 | 13 of 24 | 6 of 9 | 27 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 28 of 51 | 54% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Tainara Lisboa, saying she is a solid underdog at +122. He notes Jessica-Rose Clark has takedowns and straight punches that could beat Lisboa's looping shots, but he questions Clark's arm recovery from injury. He bet 0.2 units on Lisboa.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark by default, calling it one of the sketchiest fights on the card. He notes Lisboa looks good on tape with a Muay Thai background and 100% finish rate, but all her wins are against low-level competition. Whenever she faced a relevant opponent (Norma Dumont, Larani Santos), she lost. Clark has fought actual UFC fighters and beaten some, though she's on a two-fight skid. Brady expects Clark to win by decision but has no confidence and won't bet on it.
Cody picks Clark, citing her physical strength, experience, and ability to grind against the cage. He notes that Clark's recent losses came against grapplers, while Lisboa is a striker with poor grappling. He expects Clark to implement her game plan of clinching and takedowns. He acknowledges Clark's broken arm and layoff but believes she has the edge.
Connor picks Clark, noting that Lisboa is very formless with bad technique and that Clark's wrestling, even if panicked, should be enough. He points out that Clark has beaten athletes before and that Lisboa lacks a single threatening skill. Connor expects Clark to win, but with low confidence due to Clark's mental fragility.
Daniel Levi leans with the newcomer Tainara Lisboa, believing her trajectory is higher than Jessica-Rose Clark's, who appears to be on a decline. He notes Clark's recent losses and that Lisboa, a Muay Thai champion, has crushed lower-level competition. While Clark has more experience, Levi thinks Lisboa's upside and youth give her the edge in a fight that could go either way.
Clark's physicality and grappling experience should be too much for Lisboa, who has faced low-level competition. Clark can shut down Lisboa's Muay Thai with clinch and ground work, outmuscle her, and win by decision. However, confidence is low due to Clark's recent losses and Lisboa's potential improvement.
Paul picks Lisboa as a value underdog, having bet her at +147. He notes that he doesn't know much about her except she's a Muay Thai specialist. He acknowledges Clark's recent armbar losses and broken arm, but is unsure about Lisboa's takedown defense. He expects Lisboa to win the stand-up war.
The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa, citing Jessica-Rose Clark's lack of care for her career and recent injuries. He believes Lisboa's Muay Thai and clinch knees will be effective, and that Clark's wrestling is not a major threat. He predicts a finish via knees to the body in the clinch.
Zane picks Jessica-Rose Clark, despite her mental struggles, because Tainara Lisboa is very raw and lacks a clear skill. He notes that Clark's panic-wrestling could work against Lisboa, who has poor technique and is easy to take down. Zane expects Clark to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges her inconsistency.
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