UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023 · Catchweight (140 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Next Fight
Age 40
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Douglas Silva de Andrade
3.54 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.09 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.54 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Cody Stamann
4.32 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
2.17 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Moneyline
Caesars +140
KO/TKO
BetWay +400
Submission
BetMGM +1000
Decision
BetRivers +460
Cody Stamann
Moneyline
FanDuel -156
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
BetMGM +1800
Decision
BetRivers +108
Douglas Silva de Andrade - Fight History
LOSS vs Javier Reyes
KO R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 17 of 27 62% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Javier Reyes 1 46 of 75 61% 87 of 125 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 17 of 27 62% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Javier Reyes 1 46 of 75 61% 87 of 125 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 17 of 27 62% 8 of 15 2 of 4 7 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0
Javier Reyes 46 of 75 61% 42 of 69 4 of 5 0 of 1 9 of 32 0 of 0 37 of 43
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 17 of 27 62% 8 of 15 2 of 4 7 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0
Javier Reyes 46 of 75 61% 42 of 69 4 of 5 0 of 1 9 of 32 0 of 0 37 of 43
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Javier Reyes

Angelo picks Javier Reyes despite acknowledging that Douglas Silva de Andrade is the better individual fighter. He cites Silva de Andrade's age (40) and long layoff (almost two years) as major concerns. He believes Reyes's busy, active style and youth will overwhelm the older fighter, as long as Reyes avoids poor takedown attempts.

"Douglas is actually going to be the better fighter here if we're just assessing individual skills. But Douglas is 40, coming off an almost two-year layoff. I'll take the younger guy who's busy as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady picks the underdog Douglas Silva de Andrade, despite his age (40) and moving up to featherweight. He believes Andrade's elite takedown defense will neutralize Javier Reyes' grappling, and that Andrade is the better striker. He notes Reyes has been knocked out before and predicts a second-round knockout for Andrade.

second round knockout
"So I'm going to take Douglas Silva de Andraj. ... I'll take the 40-year-old bantamweight to get it done by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alex Reyes

Cody agrees, noting Silva de Andrade's age, muscle mass, and inactivity. He sees Reyes as a human tornado with high KO percentage and expects him to overwhelm Silva de Andrade.

"Reyes meanwhile, I like Reyes. He is a human tornado. This guy puts hands on you, you're going to get knocked out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Javier Reyes

Connor picks Reyes as a sadness hedge, noting that Silva is older, less active, and getting hurt more. Reyes has finished many opponents and tries to finish, while Silva's durability has declined. However, Connor acknowledges that Silva would win at any other point in their careers.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm going to pick Ray as, but this fight sucks. Go."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)

Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The host is betting on Andrade because he believes the odds are wildly inaccurate. He notes that Andrade is a nightmare matchup for Reyes: he has knockout power, a granite chin, is tough, well-rounded, and difficult to take down. Reyes is making his UFC debut, looks flat, has poor striking defense, and is not physically imposing. Despite Andrade being 40 and on a two-year layoff, the host thinks he should be the favorite and is great value at +187.

Cheeky little sprinkle on a good value underdog.
"I just can't explain why Andra is a big underdog here. ... I would personally have Andra as the favorite."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alex Reyes

James expects Reyes' relentless pace and cardio to overwhelm the 40-year-old Silva de Andrade, who may tire after a layoff. He predicts a late finish for Reyes, possibly in round three.

"My prediction will be Reyes to get the fight one inside the distance in round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Javier Reyes

The host picks Javier Reyes, noting that Silva de Andrade is 40, has been inactive, and moves up in weight. He believes Reyes's well-rounded game, size advantage, and grappling will be key. He expects Reyes to take the fight to the ground and grind out a decision, though he warns that Silva de Andrade has power early and could replicate a past knockout of Reyes.

"I'm expecting Reyes to get a hold of him, drag him to the ground, and eventually grind him out and win this on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alex Reyes

Paul likes Reyes's finishing ability and believes Silva de Andrade's age, layoff, and health issues will be factors. He expects Reyes to win by knockout, possibly in the second or third round, and recommends the KO prop at +350.

Reyes by KO +350
"I got Reyes inside the distance. Reyes by KO."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Javier Reyes

The MMA Guru picks Javier Reyes over the 40-year-old Douglas Silva de Andrade, who has looked poor in recent fights. He notes that Reyes has fought decent competition outside the UFC and is a young prospect, while Andrade has lost power and physicality moving up to featherweight. He predicts a 29-28 decision win for Reyes.

29-28 decision
"Javier Reyes should win this one 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Zane picks Silva de Andrade despite his age and inactivity, because Reyes is a mess with poor footwork and no structure. Silva has a janky but effective style and has fought elite competition. However, Silva is 40, coming off a layoff, and has lost a step, making this a 50/50 toss-up.

Reyes opened at -210, now -215; Silva opened at +180, now +185.
"I'm still going to pick him. I think Ray is a real mess who has had a quite a long career against a very subpar competition."
CANCEL vs John Castañeda
UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Angelo picks John Castañeda, citing his youth, speed, and cardio advantage over the aging Douglas Silva de Andrade. He acknowledges that Andrade is a tough matchup with a solid chin and bowling-ball build, making him hard to take down. He expects Castañeda to win by outworking Andrade as he slows down, but warns that the fight could be close and suggests monitoring the line for value.

Monitor line for potential value
"I am going to pick cin here I am going to monitor this line though maybe we get lucky maybe it Titans I don't know he should win like I said younger faster busy but it is like fighting a …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Big Brady picks John Castañeda, citing age advantage (seven years younger), better volume, cardio, wrestling, and durability. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade is declining, with poor recent performances. He expects Castañeda to outwork him over 15 minutes and win by decision.

Castañeda by decision
"I like John Castan here I think he just going to outwork Douglas Silva Deandra over the course of 15 minutes... give me John Castan to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

The host believes Castañeda is the better overall fighter, though de Andrade can make it close with his power. He expects Castañeda to use a combination of striking, footwork, and takedowns to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Castaneda is the better overall fighter here but Deandra can make things very close considering the power in which he throws with I think Cena will utilize a good combination of his striking footwork and takedowns to end …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
John Castañeda

The Guru picks John Castañeda over Douglas Silva de Andrade. He notes Silva de Andrade is aging and less active, while Castañeda is durable, hard to finish, and pushes a strong pace. He expects Castañeda to win the later rounds and get a decision, possibly 29-28.

"I'm going with John castanada here over Douglas Silva de andr... Caston more grit youth less miles on him more volume more pressure."
LOSS vs Miles Johns
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miles Johns 0 36 of 119 30% 36 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 50 of 96 52% 52 of 98 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miles Johns 0 12 of 27 44% 12 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miles Johns 0 10 of 41 24% 10 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 25 of 45 55% 25 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Miles Johns 0 14 of 51 27% 14 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miles Johns 36 of 119 30% 21 of 80 6 of 21 9 of 18 36 of 118 0 of 1 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 50 of 96 52% 37 of 82 6 of 7 7 of 7 50 of 96 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miles Johns 12 of 27 44% 7 of 16 1 of 4 4 of 7 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 7 of 15 46% 3 of 10 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miles Johns 10 of 41 24% 4 of 24 4 of 13 2 of 4 10 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 25 of 45 55% 19 of 39 3 of 3 3 of 3 25 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miles Johns 14 of 51 27% 10 of 40 1 of 4 3 of 7 14 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 18 of 36 50% 15 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 1 18 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miles Johns

Angelo picks Miles Johns, citing his youth, speed, and wrestling advantage. He notes Douglas is durable and a tough striker but is older and slowing down. He worries about Miles' cardio but believes his wrestling will be the difference. He mentions he has a moneyline bet on Miles.

Moneyline bet on Miles Johns
"I am still going Miles Johns here I do think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miles Johns

Cody picks Miles Johns, citing his improved cardio and wrestling under Trey Ogden at Marathon MMA. He notes that Johns used to gas out but has shown better pacing in recent fights. Cody believes Johns can outwork Silva de Andrade by pressing him against the cage and using takedowns, especially since Silva de Andrade is 39 and cuts to 135, which may affect his durability. He expects a low-volume decision win for Johns.

decision prop is decent on both sides
"I'm going to go John's to take the decision... the decision prop is actually decent on both sides."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miles Johns

Daniel Vreeland has a love-hate relationship with Miles Johns, noting his low output and tendency to back himself to the fence. He acknowledges Douglas Silva de Andrade's experience and durability but leans with Johns due to his physicality, youth, and confidence. He expects a low-output fight and sees Johns as the more physical younger guy.

"I'm gonna lean with Miles John's here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miles Johns

Jacob picks Miles Johns but expects to be nervous during the fight. He recalls Miles gassing in the Cody Gibson fight and needing motivation. He thinks Douglas is a tough bowling ball and Miles may struggle with cardio again. He notes Miles should win but it will be close.

"I'm going Miles Johns he should be able to get it done but I mean if you have a bet on Miles Johns I bet in the middle of the second round you're going to be a little bit [__] …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miles Johns

Johns has evolved and matured, allowing him to execute a game plan to wear on de Andrade's gas tank. By slowing him down early and evading his power, Johns will grind out a decision using clinching, takedowns, footwork, and output.

"I do think that we're seeing an evolution and maturity in Miles John's game which will allow him to execute a game plan here to wear on the gas tank of Deandra"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Paul picks Douglas Silva de Andrade as a dog, noting that he bets him almost every fight because he is always the underdog. He highlights Silva de Andrade's durability and power, and believes that judges are not rewarding wrestling control as much these days. Paul thinks Silva de Andrade can land the bigger shots and win, despite his low volume.

found plus 117
"I bet I bet Douglas Silva de Andrade I found a plus 117 and he's my boy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru picks Douglas Silva de Andrade, questioning whether Miles Johns can KO him. He notes Johns couldn't KO Cody Gibson and relies too much on overhands. He thinks Silva de Andrade has better wins (Cody Stamann, Sergey Morozov) and will make reads on Johns' power shots. He also mentions Silva de Andrade's competitive fights with Lerone Murphy and Nate Maness.

"I'm GNA go with Douglas Silva Deandra was not impressed by Jon's performance against Cody Gibson"
WIN vs Cody Stamann
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 54 of 139 38% 66 of 152 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 61 of 178 34% 72 of 189 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:06
Cody Stamann 0 23 of 72 31% 23 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 44 31% 14 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 52 40% 21 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 26 of 56 46% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 54 31% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 54 of 139 38% 40 of 116 9 of 17 5 of 6 49 of 133 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 61 of 178 34% 17 of 108 23 of 43 21 of 27 60 of 175 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 39 35% 8 of 31 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 23 of 72 31% 7 of 42 7 of 15 9 of 15 22 of 69 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 44 31% 10 of 37 1 of 3 3 of 4 14 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 52 40% 4 of 30 9 of 14 8 of 8 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 26 of 56 46% 22 of 48 3 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 50 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 17 of 54 31% 6 of 36 7 of 14 4 of 4 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.

Over 2.5 rounds if bet
"I'm gonna give a slight a very slightly in the Cody here because he does have the wrestling he can stick with that pace"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.

goes to decision
"I'm going to pick andras here to win I think it's a close one I like the power of andrage I like the finishing upside from ultraage I'll take him to win just by Landing the bigger shots across three …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.

"I think stamen wins I think statement wins but again I feel like I could get owned on this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.

"I think it's a very tough test basically of the new Cody stamen game."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

Stamann by decision; Silva de Andrade has finishing upside
"I'm gonna go statement via decision that's historically I always won these fights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.

"give me Cody stamen Cody statement by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.

over 1.5 takedowns for Stamann on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna side with stamen here I think stamen that one one and a half takedowns on prospects seems a little bit low I think he goes into this matchup and really utilizes his wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.

decision 29-28
"I'm leaning towards Douglas silver deandraj... I think I'm gonna go if Douglas over the androg getting this one done by decision 2928"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.

"I have to lean on Cody Stamen, not getting hurt. If he can fight fearlessly, I think he can outwork Douglas De Silva."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 28 of 74 37% 44 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:12
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 42 of 97 43% 77 of 150 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 8 of 22 36% 10 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 9 of 30 30% 24 of 46 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Said Nurmagomedov 0 13 of 32 40% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 21 of 41 51% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Said Nurmagomedov 0 7 of 20 35% 20 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 12 of 26 46% 29 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 28 of 74 37% 4 of 34 11 of 19 13 of 21 24 of 66 2 of 3 2 of 5
Douglas Silva de Andrade 42 of 97 43% 21 of 69 12 of 18 9 of 10 39 of 89 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 8 of 22 36% 0 of 9 2 of 3 6 of 10 7 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 9 of 30 30% 4 of 22 2 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 28 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Said Nurmagomedov 13 of 32 40% 3 of 16 4 of 8 6 of 8 12 of 30 0 of 0 1 of 2
Douglas Silva de Andrade 21 of 41 51% 11 of 30 7 of 8 3 of 3 19 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Said Nurmagomedov 7 of 20 35% 1 of 9 5 of 8 1 of 3 5 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 3
Douglas Silva de Andrade 12 of 26 46% 6 of 17 3 of 6 3 of 3 11 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Said Nurmagomedov, citing his cleaner and more versatile striking technique and solid defense. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade has more power but a negative striking differential. He believes Nurmagomedov's pace and striking defense will allow him to outpoint Silva de Andrade, though he must avoid the power. He sees this as a striker vs striker matchup.

"I like said to win here because he sets a nice pace and not only has the striking offense but the defense as well."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov, praising his flashy striking, defensive soundness, and youth. He notes that Nurmagomedov is hard to hit and has a well-rounded game with wrestling in his back pocket. He believes Silva de Andrade, despite his power and toughness, will struggle with Nurmagomedov's movement and volume. Brady predicts a decision win for Nurmagomedov, though he acknowledges a finish is possible.

"i really like nurmagomedov in this fight and i like him to win it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Cody thinks Said's superior speed, footwork, and lateral movement will be key against the shorter, stockier de Andrade. He believes Said can stay at distance and chip away, and has multiple paths to victory including a finish. He acknowledges de Andrade's durability and toughness but sees Said as the safer play.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at +100 as a possible play.
"i think he's got a safe route to uh to a decision might be able to finish someone inside the distance and for that reason yeah yeah i've got to have some confidence in them"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not make a pick on the winner of this fight. He only bets on the under 2.5 rounds prop, which is his lock of the night play. He expects a finish regardless of who wins, likely from Nurmagomedov within the first two rounds. He does not pick a side on the moneyline.

Lock of the night: 4 units on under 2.5 rounds at -125. Expects Nurmagomedov to win quickly.
"the normaga Madoff and Dion draws under two and a half I have four units on minus 125 which makes it my luck of the Night play I'm quite confident that no matter which side wins this will they will …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul is torn on this fight. He loves de Andrade as a dog but thinks the price is too wide. He calls it a dogger pass situation, noting that de Andrade has shown heart and durability but Said is very skilled. He doesn't commit to a pick.

"me i'm kind of staring as like a dogger pass but i wanted to hear what you had to say is there is there any merit to it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov, noting his range and body kicks will trouble the shorter de Andrade. He predicts a submission (guillotine) in the second round, possibly after hurting de Andrade to the body. He mentions de Andrade's age (37) as a factor.

submission (guillotine) in the second round
"I'm going to go with Said Nurmagomedov getting this one done."
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:24 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 3 37 of 64 57% 57 of 86 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:55
Sergey Morozov 1 32 of 65 49% 62 of 99 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 15 of 30 50% 28 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sergey Morozov 1 23 of 40 57% 53 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:09
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 3 22 of 34 64% 29 of 43 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:55
Sergey Morozov 0 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 37 of 64 57% 16 of 40 12 of 14 9 of 10 31 of 56 6 of 7 0 of 1
Sergey Morozov 32 of 65 49% 24 of 56 6 of 7 2 of 2 25 of 54 1 of 1 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 15 of 30 50% 6 of 19 3 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sergey Morozov 23 of 40 57% 19 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 29 1 of 1 6 of 10
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 22 of 34 64% 10 of 21 9 of 10 3 of 3 16 of 26 6 of 7 0 of 1
Sergey Morozov 9 of 25 36% 5 of 20 2 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

Angelo picks Morozov due to his wrestling advantage, noting that Andrade has been taken down in every loss. He believes Morozov can hang with Andrade's power, set a hard pace, and mix in takedowns to win a unanimous decision. He acknowledges Andrade's experience but thinks Morozov's pressure and top control will be decisive.

"i like morozov to win this fight and i like him to win because of the wrestling if you look at andraj's losses he was taken down in every single one of them"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

Big Brady is impressed with Morozov's well-rounded game, especially his fight IQ and takedown ability. He notes Morozov showed good striking against Khalid Taha and took him down six times. Brady believes Morozov will take down Silva de Andrade multiple times and control him on the mat, leading to a decision win. He also points out Silva de Andrade is 36 and has only one submission win, relying mostly on knockouts.

Morozov by decision
"I think this is a pretty good spot for a decision win for sergey morozov"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

Cody picks Morozov, citing his high-level regional experience and grinding style. He notes Silva de Andrade has poor takedown defense and that Morozov can exploit that. He expects Morozov to take him down and control the fight.

"i gotta go with morizov man i really do like this guy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

Daniel Levi picks Sergey Morozov by decision. He notes that Morozov showed big improvements in his last fight and that his clinch and pressure will be key. Silva de Andrade has holes in the clinch and tends to rest. Levi believes Morozov will work harder and win a decision.

"i think he will uh defeat douglas de silva by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

Morozov has a clear grappling advantage and should dominate de Andrade on the ground. De Andrade has shown vulnerability to wrestlers in the past, struggling to get up from under opponents like Henan Barou. Morozov trains at American Top Team and has sharp boxing to close distance. The only way de Andrade wins is by knockout, but Morozov's chin and unorthodox striking make that unlikely. Already placed 3 units and may add more.

decision win for Morozov; may become lock of the night
"i'm all over sergey morizov here i love him in this spot um as of this recording i already have three units on him i might add another two and make him my lock of the night play"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul admits he hasn't watched tape on this fight and defers to Cody's analysis. He doesn't make a clear pick.

"this is like the one fight that i haven't even been able to get around to watching any tape on"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sergey Morozov

The MMA Guru picks Sergey Morozov, citing his grappling pressure and ability to slow down Douglas Silva de Andrade, who tends to fade. He notes Morozov's strong M1 Challenge background and believes he can secure a third-round rear-naked choke finish.

third round rear-naked choke
"i'm going with sergey morrisov here"
KO (punch) R1 2:04 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 10 of 15 66% 12 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Gaetano Pirrello 0 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 10 of 15 66% 12 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Gaetano Pirrello 0 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 10 of 15 66% 6 of 9 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 3
Gaetano Pirrello 5 of 6 83% 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 3 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 10 of 15 66% 6 of 9 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 3
Gaetano Pirrello 5 of 6 83% 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 3 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gaetano Pirrello

Angelo picks Gaetano Pirrello as the underdog, believing his world-class Muay Thai striking will be too much for Douglas Silva de Andrade. He notes that Andrade is dropping down to 135, which may affect his chin, and that he rarely uses his wrestling despite having a clear path to victory via takedowns. Angelo thinks Pirrello will get to showcase his striking and that Andrade will be on the wrong end of it. He considers a moneyline bet at plus money and may include Pirrello in his knockout pool.

considering moneyline bet, knockout pool inclusion
"i honestly like guytano the underdog i like him here i think he'll get to showcase some of his striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady picks Douglas Silva de Andrade to win by knockout, but is not overly confident due to Andrade's age (36) and style. He notes Andrade is a striker who will brawl, which plays into Pirrello's hands as Pirrello is dangerous and has 14 of 17 wins inside the distance. However, Andrade has fought much better competition (Rob Font, Marlon Vera, etc.) while Pirrello looked poor in his UFC debut against Ricky Simone. Brady thinks the line is wide and prefers a violence play.

fight ends inside distance (violence play)
"i'll take androge to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Cody picks Andrade based on experience and durability. He notes that Andrade has fought tough competition and has a good chin. Pirrello is a striker who has not faced the same level of opposition. He expects Andrade to pressure and take over as Pirrello fades. However, he is not highly confident.

"i'm going to go with douglas andraj on the basis of the experience"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Daniel Levi picks Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his experience and ability to show up in fights. He notes Pirrello has issues with takedown defense and chin, but Silva is 36 at bantamweight and could be caught. Levi thinks at their best, Silva wins, but he does not recommend laying -240 due to the risk. He personally passes on betting but picks Silva to get it done.

"both guys at their best i i gotta go with douglas e silva it's just i personally don't feel comfortable laying a minus 250 price tag on a guy like that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

I think Pirrello's cardio fades as the fight goes on, and Andrade is the better fighter everywhere. Andrade has good power and grappling, and Pirrello's defensive grappling is terrible. I like Andrade by decision at +175, but the moneyline is fine too. I'm not worried about Pirrello's early danger because Andrade can weather it.

Andrade by decision +175
"I do lean douglas though man even though he looks like he's 72 years old the guy is an absolute beast"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Paul also picks Andrade but is not confident. He notes that Andrade has not fought frequently and has a limited grappling game. Pirrello is a dangerous striker early. He thinks Andrade's experience will be the difference but is wary of the price.

"it's too bad that douglas silva don john doesn't have much of a grappling game"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru picks Douglas Silva de Andrade, noting that Gaetano Pirrello looked fundamentally unprepared in his debut against Ricky Simone. He believes Silva de Andrade is a big bantamweight with good wins, including over Marlon Vera. He expects a scrappy fight but predicts Silva de Andrade will win by unanimous decision 29-28.

"i'm going with douglas silver to andraj here he's got everything over guillotino pirillo"
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 0 48 of 115 41% 60 of 131 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:51
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 39 of 108 36% 51 of 121 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 16 of 37 43% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 11 of 38 28% 12 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
2 Lerone Murphy 0 14 of 33 42% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 11 of 27 40% 15 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:05
3 Lerone Murphy 0 18 of 45 40% 25 of 56 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 17 of 43 39% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 48 of 115 41% 29 of 92 8 of 11 11 of 12 37 of 97 6 of 8 5 of 10
Douglas Silva de Andrade 39 of 108 36% 16 of 74 11 of 14 12 of 20 33 of 101 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 16 of 37 43% 8 of 27 3 of 5 5 of 5 15 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 11 of 38 28% 2 of 23 1 of 2 8 of 13 11 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Lerone Murphy 14 of 33 42% 8 of 25 2 of 3 4 of 5 11 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Douglas Silva de Andrade 11 of 27 40% 4 of 18 4 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Lerone Murphy 18 of 45 40% 13 of 40 3 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 31 2 of 4 5 of 10
Douglas Silva de Andrade 17 of 43 39% 10 of 33 6 of 7 1 of 3 12 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady thinks Lerone Murphy is the cleaner striker and has a reach advantage. He acknowledges Douglas Silva de Andrade is tough and throws volume, but believes Murphy's technique will prevail. He notes Murphy's wrestling is decent and he can work back to his feet. He predicts a decision win for Murphy, but says it could be close.

Murphy by decision
"i'm gonna slightly lean at laurel murphy to get a decision win here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The host likes Lerone Murphy's reach, power, and ground-and-pound, and believes he can either out-strike Douglas from distance or take him down for a finish. He notes Douglas's age and lack of takedown defense, and expects Murphy to win by second-round KO via ground and pound.

under 2.5 rounds at -115
"i'll go with lauren murphy via second round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy, citing his dangerous stand-up, great grappling, and strength. He notes Murphy's win over Ricardo Ramos and his draw with Zubaira Tukhugov on short notice. He believes Douglas Silva de Andrade is too small for featherweight and will get overwhelmed, predicting a second or third round TKO.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"i'm gonna go with lauren murphy here by a tko in the third or second round"
Cody Stamann - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 20 of 44 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 13 of 33 39% 5 of 21 5 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 20 of 44 45% 15 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo believes Da'Mon Blackshear is the better fighter with far better striking and good wrestling. He thinks Cody Stamann will get outstruck and then shoot sloppy takedowns. However, he notes Blackshear is 2-4 in the UFC and hasn't had a key win over a division staple like Stamann, so he is not confident enough to bet. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Stamann if the odds are good.

considering plus 3.5 round bet on Cody Stamann if odds are favorable
"Daman is just the better fighter here in my opinion he's got the far better striking even though Cody's been boxing for a very long time Daman is faster and he's more than just hands"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Big Brady favors Blackshear due to his size, reach, and youth advantage over the 35-year-old Stamann. He believes Blackshear's striking is underrated and his grappling is elite, with a black belt in BJJ. He expects Blackshear to have success wherever the fight goes and predicts a decision win, though he acknowledges the line may be too wide.

Blackshear by decision
"I'm going to take blackshire to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is high on Stamann as a dog, citing Blackshear's cardio issues and lack of power. He notes Stamann's wrestling credentials and ability to get back up from takedowns. Cody expects a close decision and thinks the +230 line is too wide for a veteran like Stamann.

"I think Cody ston as a doger pass type situation plus 230 on Cody staman like me likey me likey."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor picks Stamann, noting Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it has cost him. He thinks Stamann's neutralizer style will make Blackshear make mistakes. Connor expects a narrow split decision, possibly ugly. He mentions Stamann is the underdog at +217 to +232.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Connor says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Daniel Vreeland picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his physical advantages (reach, height) and higher aspirations compared to Cody Stamann, who may be nearing retirement. He acknowledges Stamann's takedown defense and ability to make fights close, but believes Blackshear's grappling and motivation give him the edge. Vreeland expects a close fight.

"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I would not at all be surprised if this was a very close fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann is being overlooked as a +230 underdog. His defensive wrestling should keep him away from Blackshear's BJJ, allowing him to dictate the striking pace and pull away in the second and third rounds as Blackshear slows down. Expect a decision win.

underdog +230, wins by decision
"I do believe staman is being overlooked as he is a plus 230 Underdog I believe his defensive wrestling will allow him to stay away from the BJJ heavy approach of black here allowing him to dictate the pace in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, questioning how Blackshear can be such a favorite given his recent KO loss and cardio problems. He thinks Stamann's experience and wrestling will keep the fight competitive, and the price is too good to pass up. Paul calls it a clear dogger pass.

"Clear clear dogger pass I will have money on staman as well this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his size, strength, and youth. He criticizes Cody Stamann's lack of finishing ability and short reach. He notes Blackshear gave Mario Bautista a tough fight and believes he is the better fighter. He mentions the odds might be worth betting on Blackshear as a favorite.

Might be worth some money as a favorite
"I'm very confident he's going to win this fight um I got them on Black Shear I think he's just way better as a fighter"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann, agreeing with Connor. He describes Stamann as a solid defensive striker who can bang in the pocket, but notes he never presses advantages. Zane thinks Blackshear's poor striking and tendency to start from negative positions will allow Stamann to neutralize him. He expects a narrow split decision.

Odds: Stamann +217 to +232, Blackshear -254 to -275. Zane says 'Surprising. I mean, I get that Stamann's coming, you know, he's lost a lot of fights lately, but you can't have to look at, have you seen the fight?'
"I think I have to, I have to pick Stamen. Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it's cost him regularly."
LOSS vs Taylor Lapilus
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taylor Lapilus 0 59 of 143 41% 64 of 150 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:24
Cody Stamann 0 100 of 180 55% 107 of 190 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Cody Stamann 0 30 of 58 51% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Taylor Lapilus 0 22 of 49 44% 24 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 66 53% 40 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
3 Taylor Lapilus 0 15 of 46 32% 18 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Cody Stamann 0 35 of 56 62% 37 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taylor Lapilus 59 of 143 41% 23 of 101 28 of 33 8 of 9 47 of 125 12 of 18 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 100 of 180 55% 60 of 132 25 of 31 15 of 17 84 of 162 16 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 48 45% 10 of 32 11 of 15 1 of 1 17 of 40 5 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 30 of 58 51% 12 of 37 14 of 16 4 of 5 22 of 50 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Taylor Lapilus 22 of 49 44% 8 of 33 10 of 11 4 of 5 16 of 41 6 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 66 53% 21 of 48 7 of 10 7 of 8 29 of 58 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Taylor Lapilus 15 of 46 32% 5 of 36 7 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 35 of 56 62% 27 of 47 4 of 5 4 of 4 33 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.

"I am going to leave Taylor lean Taylor I think he's the overall strugling man call hey it's okay man"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.

"give me lapis here to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.

"I'm going to go with Lis but again I think it's just going to be close contentious type spot with Lis he's a smooth Striker Smooth Operator he likes to play to the outside he's got good leg kicks good …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.

controversial split decision
"I'm gonna go Cody Stamann via controversial Split Decision here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.

Taylor Lapilus by decision, -3.5 rounds is risky
"I think Taylor is definitely probably the better overall fighter here I you know I do it's it's kind of a weird break down here because I do agree with the odds - 250- 275"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.

"I still do end up leaning on the tailor lap side just this line is a little bit too wide for me to get comfortable with so I will pick lapis to win this fight I'll pick him to Win …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.

"I side with you that like if I I really can't trust in stamman to lean on a wrestling heavy game plan um against lapis and I feel like he's going to need that type of style to win this …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Taylor Lapilus

The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.

"Taylor lapilus is tall rangy difficult to find the inside of um and I think that's going to be a problem for Cody ston here"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 54 of 139 38% 66 of 152 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 61 of 178 34% 72 of 189 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:06
Cody Stamann 0 23 of 72 31% 23 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 0 14 of 44 31% 14 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 52 40% 21 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1 26 of 56 46% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 54 31% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Douglas Silva de Andrade 54 of 139 38% 40 of 116 9 of 17 5 of 6 49 of 133 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 61 of 178 34% 17 of 108 23 of 43 21 of 27 60 of 175 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 39 35% 8 of 31 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 23 of 72 31% 7 of 42 7 of 15 9 of 15 22 of 69 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Douglas Silva de Andrade 14 of 44 31% 10 of 37 1 of 3 3 of 4 14 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 52 40% 4 of 30 9 of 14 8 of 8 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Douglas Silva de Andrade 26 of 56 46% 22 of 48 3 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 50 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cody Stamann 17 of 54 31% 6 of 36 7 of 14 4 of 4 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.

Over 2.5 rounds if bet
"I'm gonna give a slight a very slightly in the Cody here because he does have the wrestling he can stick with that pace"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.

goes to decision
"I'm going to pick andras here to win I think it's a close one I like the power of andrage I like the finishing upside from ultraage I'll take him to win just by Landing the bigger shots across three …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.

"I think stamen wins I think statement wins but again I feel like I could get owned on this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.

"I think it's a very tough test basically of the new Cody stamen game."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

Stamann by decision; Silva de Andrade has finishing upside
"I'm gonna go statement via decision that's historically I always won these fights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.

"give me Cody stamen Cody statement by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.

over 1.5 takedowns for Stamann on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna side with stamen here I think stamen that one one and a half takedowns on prospects seems a little bit low I think he goes into this matchup and really utilizes his wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.

decision 29-28
"I'm leaning towards Douglas silver deandraj... I think I'm gonna go if Douglas over the androg getting this one done by decision 2928"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.

"I have to lean on Cody Stamen, not getting hurt. If he can fight fearlessly, I think he can outwork Douglas De Silva."
WIN vs Luan Lacerda
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 80 of 181 44% 85 of 187 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 103 of 189 54% 108 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 33 of 78 42% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luan Lacerda 0 52 of 87 59% 52 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Cody Stamann 0 18 of 44 40% 23 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Luan Lacerda 0 20 of 36 55% 25 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 80 of 181 44% 31 of 113 44 of 61 5 of 7 80 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 103 of 189 54% 62 of 139 29 of 38 12 of 12 101 of 186 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 29 of 59 49% 9 of 33 17 of 22 3 of 4 29 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 31 of 66 46% 17 of 49 8 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cody Stamann 33 of 78 42% 17 of 53 15 of 23 1 of 2 33 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 52 of 87 59% 31 of 63 17 of 20 4 of 4 50 of 85 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 18 of 44 40% 5 of 27 12 of 16 1 of 1 18 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luan Lacerda 20 of 36 55% 14 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.

"I gotta go stand in here I think he's the rightful favorite fighting the better competition being the minute winner but lacerda is a dangerous guy for what it's worth but give me a statement for the I'll say decision …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann's wrestling is key
"I like Cody's stadium and I actually like him a decent amount uh he's extremely professional good shape shows up got skills everywhere"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.

"Cody Stamann is a tough dude to take apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.

mentions Lacerda's submission threat; says Stamann is one of the safer guys
"stamen seems like one of the safer guys going I would say"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.

"I'm going with Cody stamen this is a dangerous one to pick because you know we never really know when a guy like Cody stamen's really going to start showing that decline"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.

"I'm going to take Cody Stamann."
TKO (punches) R1 0:59 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 27 of 38 71% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 27 of 38 71% 23 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 16 12 of 16 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, citing his well-rounded skills, wrestling background, and pace. He notes Stamann averages almost 3 takedowns per fight and has no problem getting in his opponent's face. He acknowledges Eddie Wineland's experience and danger but believes Stamann's wrestling and pace will be the difference.

"cody stayman is the pick here but proper respect should be shown to somebody as experienced and as dangerous as eddie weinland"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Big Brady picks Cody Stamann to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Stamann is a wrestler but believes he can outstrike Wineland, who has poor striking defense and a weak chin. He notes Wineland's takedown defense is historically good, but Stamann's power and Wineland's decline make a knockout likely.

second round knockout
"I'm actually going to pick stamen to knock out weinland um kind of a hot take but kind of not really"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann, noting his tough competition and advanced skill set. He thinks Wineland's chin and reflexes are gone, and Stamann will win by decision or TKO. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins due to Stamann's weight cut issues.

"i think cody stamen is probably top ticket if not second ticket material"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi confidently picks Cody Stamann, noting Eddie Wineland is damaged goods at 38 and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Stamann is a competent, well-rounded fighter who wins rounds, though he rarely finishes. Levi expects a unanimous decision but acknowledges the -700 price is not worth betting. He simply states Stamann is the pick.

Stamann -700 is too high to bet; expects decision
"cody stamen's the pick you know it doesn't take much courage or smarts to pick a minor 700 favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees, noting Wineland's age and recent KO losses. He thinks the UFC is giving Stamann a favorable matchup and he should win easily. He also suggests waiting for weigh-ins.

"i think the ufc is totally doing the guy a favor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Cody Stamann, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Eddie Wineland is 37 and has taken a lot of damage, while Stamann is younger and has good grappling. He expects Stamann to use his wrestling to secure takedowns and ride out a 30-27 decision, as Wineland is a veteran unlikely to be submitted but unable to stop the grappling.

"cody stamen's going to get this one done against eddie wineland i just don't see first of all eddie weinland being able to stop the grappling of cody stamen at this point in his career"
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:47 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 7 of 13 53% 4 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo picks Cody Stamann, expecting his pace and takedowns to frustrate a ring-rusty Nurmagomedov. He compares it to Barcelos vs Nurmagomedov where Barcelos won a decision. He admits it's not a confident pick but likes Cody in that matchup.

"i like cody here cody's the pick it's not like a tent pole underdog pick where i'm a thousand percent sure but i do like cody in that match up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov to win by decision, citing his striking advantage, volume, defense, and significant reach and height advantages. He notes that Stamann's path to victory is takedowns, but Stamann struggles to control opponents and Nurmagomedov has good takedown defense and scrambling. He expects the fight to stay on the feet where Nurmagomedov will outpoint Stamann.

Nurmagomedov by decision; mentions the fight will be closer than the line indicates
"give me your margaret off i do think the fight is going to be closer than the line does indicate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, arguing that the line is off because people assume Nurmagomedov has grappling like other Nurmagomedovs, but Said is primarily a striker. He notes that Said has been taken down before (e.g., by Bibilatov) and that Stamann has good wrestling and game plans. Cody believes Stamann will use takedowns and top control to win a decision, and likes the plus money.

Cody Stamann by decision +260
"I think Cody Stamann's a live dog here... the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Daniel Levi leans toward Said Nurmagomedov but is not confident enough to lay the -200 price. He notes Nurmagomedov's explosive striking and six-inch reach advantage, but acknowledges Stamann's wrestling and ability to make fights close. Levi thinks Stamann can be competitive with anyone and that the fight could be a split decision. He ultimately gives a slight edge to Nurmagomedov due to his flashy striking and crowd-pleasing style.

Fight goes to decision; close fight expected
"i kind of think that syed's slightly better so i'm going to lean him but i'm not trying to lay that that big chalk price here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

The host believes the line is inflated due to the 'Russian tax' on Nurmagomedov. He argues that Stamann has the wrestling advantage and will be able to take Nurmagomedov down, especially in later rounds. He notes that Nurmagomedov prefers to strike from range, but Stamann can crash the pocket and use his wrestling. He expects Stamann to win a decision by out-grappling and out-working Nurmagomedov.

Stamann by decision
"i think cody stamen wins this fight on optics and takedowns and i think that the judges gave it to him so uh official prediction here is going to be cody steeman pulling off the upset via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Stamann as a live dog. He notes that Said's wrestling hasn't been tested at UFC level and that Stamann is a bigger bantamweight who has fought tough competition. Paul believes Stamann's wrestling and game planning will expose Said's defensive weaknesses. He also mentions that Stamann has scored takedowns in his last four fights.

"I think the line's way off and Cody Stamann definitely has the potential to win based on the grappling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov, citing his youth, improvements, and recent first-round KO of Mark Striegl. He believes Nurmagomedov can stuff takedowns and outwork Stamann, predicting a second-round spinning back kick to the body TKO. He notes Stamann's recent losses and crying incident as signs of decline.

second round spinning back kick to the body
"i'm actually going to call a second round spinning back kick to the body for saying now mkhmed off here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 71 of 192 36% 178 of 306 5 of 11 45% 1 0 1:42
Cody Stamann 0 48 of 134 35% 73 of 163 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 26 of 68 38% 34 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 21 of 51 41% 22 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:31
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 21 of 54 38% 74 of 109 4 of 4 100% 1 0 1:09
Cody Stamann 0 10 of 36 27% 19 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:07
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 24 of 70 34% 70 of 119 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Stamann 0 17 of 47 36% 32 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 71 of 192 36% 49 of 158 16 of 25 6 of 9 64 of 183 4 of 6 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 48 of 134 35% 27 of 102 20 of 30 1 of 2 41 of 126 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 26 of 68 38% 20 of 61 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 64 2 of 4 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 21 of 51 41% 13 of 38 7 of 11 1 of 2 19 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Merab Dvalishvili 21 of 54 38% 10 of 36 7 of 13 4 of 5 16 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 3
Cody Stamann 10 of 36 27% 3 of 25 7 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 32 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Merab Dvalishvili 24 of 70 34% 19 of 61 4 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 17 of 47 36% 11 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0 16 of 46 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Big Brady picks Merab Dvalishvili to win by decision. He highlights Merab's relentless pace, pressure, and takedown volume, even if he can't hold opponents down. He believes Merab will wear Stamann down with constant takedown attempts and cage pressure. Brady notes that both fighters are not finishers, so he expects the fight to go to decision. He also suggests Merab by decision as a parlay piece.

fight goes to decision, Merab by decision parlay piece
"i'm going to take rob to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody is intrigued by Cody Stamann as an underdog. He notes that Merab's takedowns are often stuffed by better competition, as seen in the John Dodson fight (2 for 20). He thinks Stamann has the better striking and can stuff takedowns, making it a close competitive fight. He also mentions that Merab's main training partner Aljamain Sterling is out with surgery, which could affect his preparation. He acknowledges the sweat because Merab's grinding style is tough to bet against, but at +215 he finds it generous enough.

Merab by decision (alternative play at -125)
"i'm looking at cody stamen as an underdog play but i understand the sweat it's going to be because davash really just fights the style that we love"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to win, emphasizing his relentless pressure, takedown volume, and improved striking. He notes that Stamann is solid but tends to be a point fighter who may be outworked. Levi believes Dvalishvili's aggression and cardio will lead to a decision win.

"i'm gonna go with morab de welsh wheelie to outwork cody stamen to be a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The host picks Merab Dvalishvili by decision, citing his relentless pace and takedown volume. He notes that Stamann is a good wrestler but expects Dvalishvili's motor to be too much. He believes the fight goes the distance and Dvalishvili wins on volume.

Merab Dvalishvili by decision at -135; Fight goes the distance at +300
"I'm expecting to murab to be a step ahead pretty much at all times and i think that he gets the decision victory here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Paul is leaning toward Merab, noting that he has made tons of improvements and is a grinding machine. He acknowledges that Stamann is a better striker and has decent wrestling, but Merab's relentless takedown pace could overwhelm him. He mentions that Merab's takedown numbers are impressive (11-13 per fight) and that even if Stamann gets up, Merab will drag him back down. However, he is not convinced Merab can dominate wrestling exchanges against Stamann, and he prefers the 'Merab by decision' prop at -125.

Merab by decision at -125
"if i was gonna play anything and i haven't played it but it would be marab by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili over Cody Stamann, citing Dvalishvili's superior grappling and pace. He notes that Dvalishvili controlled John Dodson, who has great takedown defense, and that Stamann has struggled in grappling exchanges. He predicts Dvalishvili will win a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Stamann possibly winning the first round on strikes but Dvalishvili taking over in the later rounds.

"i'm going with marab de velashvali i like cody stamen i think he's a good fighter i think marab has proven that he's above the rest"
LOSS vs Jimmie Rivera
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmie Rivera 0 48 of 89 53% 90 of 134 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:59
Cody Stamann 0 26 of 72 36% 62 of 108 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 25 60% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:33
Cody Stamann 0 7 of 16 43% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Jimmie Rivera 0 15 of 23 65% 21 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Cody Stamann 0 11 of 28 39% 28 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
3 Jimmie Rivera 0 18 of 41 43% 42 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:34
Cody Stamann 0 8 of 28 28% 20 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmie Rivera 48 of 89 53% 16 of 44 13 of 16 19 of 29 32 of 68 12 of 16 4 of 5
Cody Stamann 26 of 72 36% 13 of 55 8 of 11 5 of 6 18 of 61 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 25 60% 5 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 13 11 of 17 1 of 4 3 of 4
Cody Stamann 7 of 16 43% 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 3 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jimmie Rivera 15 of 23 65% 7 of 11 5 of 6 3 of 6 10 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1
Cody Stamann 11 of 28 39% 4 of 19 5 of 7 2 of 2 7 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jimmie Rivera 18 of 41 43% 4 of 22 7 of 9 7 of 10 11 of 33 7 of 8 0 of 0
Cody Stamann 8 of 28 28% 4 of 23 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

Big Brady picks Jimmie Rivera, believing he is the better striker and faster fighter. He thinks Rivera's 95% takedown defense will neutralize Stamann's wrestling, and that Rivera will land more and harder strikes. He predicts a decision win, noting neither fighter is a finisher, and suggests betting on Rivera by decision or the fight going to decision.

Might bet on Rivera at -135; suggests Rivera by decision or fight goes to decision as potential bets
"I like Jimmie Rivera here I really do I think this is a great stylistic matchup for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, citing his versatility, fight IQ, and ability to fight in multiple stances. He believes Rivera has an old-school style and hasn't evolved, while Stamann can outpoint and outwork him, possibly even knocking him down.

"I actually think Cody statements are live underdog here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jimmie Rivera

The Guru picks Jimmie Rivera, noting his losses are to elite fighters (Petr Yan, Aljamain Sterling, Marlon Moraes) while his wins include John Dodson, Thomas Almeida, and Urijah Faber. He believes Rivera's takedown defense and reach advantage will be key. Cody Stamann's best win is over Song Yadong, but that win has lost value. Rivera is a level above and should win by decision.

decision
"I think Jimmy rivera wins short a guy reach advantage hard to get on the inside of great takedown defense Cody stamen I mean other than somebody losses Jimmy Rivera's had which you can't really blame him for I mean …"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.

Over 2.5 rounds if bet
"I'm gonna give a slight a very slightly in the Cody here because he does have the wrestling he can stick with that pace"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.

goes to decision
"I'm going to pick andras here to win I think it's a close one I like the power of andrage I like the finishing upside from ultraage I'll take him to win just by Landing the bigger shots across three rounds having the bigger moments and winning probably a split …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.

"I think stamen wins I think statement wins but again I feel like I could get owned on this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.

"I think it's a very tough test basically of the new Cody stamen game."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

Stamann by decision; Silva de Andrade has finishing upside
"I'm gonna go statement via decision that's historically I always won these fights"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.

"give me Cody stamen Cody statement by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.

over 1.5 takedowns for Stamann on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna side with stamen here I think stamen that one one and a half takedowns on prospects seems a little bit low I think he goes into this matchup and really utilizes his wrestling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Douglas Silva de Andrade

The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.

decision 29-28
"I'm leaning towards Douglas silver deandraj... I think I'm gonna go if Douglas over the androg getting this one done by decision 2928"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Stamann

Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.

"I have to lean on Cody Stamen, not getting hurt. If he can fight fearlessly, I think he can outwork Douglas De Silva."