Career Averages - Jamal Pogues
Career Averages - Josh Parisian
Jamal Pogues
Josh Parisian
Jamal Pogues - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 44 of 87 | 50% | 52 of 103 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 69 of 123 | 56% | 69 of 123 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 19 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 22 of 44 | 50% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 21 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamdy Abdelwahab | 44 of 87 | 50% | 25 of 65 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 18 | 40 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jamal Pogues | 69 of 123 | 56% | 43 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 29 | 68 of 122 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 11 of 23 | 47% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jamal Pogues | 22 of 40 | 55% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 12 of 25 | 48% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 22 of 44 | 50% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 11 | 22 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Hamdy Abdelwahab | 21 of 39 | 53% | 11 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 25 of 39 | 64% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Hamdy Abdelwahab despite concerns about his two-year suspension and lack of recent fights. He believes Abdelwahab's Olympic-level wrestling will allow him to get takedowns, and notes that Jamal Pogues looked poor off his back in his last fight. He expects the line to flip and plans to monitor line movement before betting.
Big Brady is not sold on either fighter. He notes Hamdy Abdelwahab has a long layoff due to a suspension and wasn't impressed with his performance against Dantel Ma. Jamal Pogues is a light heavyweight moving up, but he showed up heavy and with a weird haircut. Brady thinks Pogues has better cardio and striking down the stretch, and predicts a split decision win for Pogues. He calls the fight 'sloppy greasy gassy' and expects it to be terrible.
Pogues is the better striker and will use his jab from distance to outpoint Abdelwahab, who is returning from a long layoff after a USADA suspension. The pick is based on Pogues' striking advantage and Abdelwahab's potential ring rust.
The MMA Guru picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, noting he is a physical specimen with good wrestling skills and more experience than his record suggests due to fights in Gamebred MMA. He acknowledges Abdelwahab's suspension for PEDs but believes he is more talented than Jamal Pogues and will likely win via takedowns. He mentions Abdelwahab's close fight with Don'Tale May but still favors him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 58 of 86 | 67% | 116 of 153 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 65 of 124 | 52% | 66 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 46 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 24 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 40 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 22 of 35 | 62% | 22 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thomas Petersen | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 58 of 86 | 67% | 26 of 50 | 30 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 54 of 81 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Thomas Petersen | 65 of 124 | 52% | 43 of 94 | 15 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 56 of 111 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Thomas Petersen | 24 of 43 | 55% | 16 of 30 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 22 of 32 | 68% | 15 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Thomas Petersen | 22 of 35 | 62% | 15 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 26 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 27 of 37 | 72% | 6 of 14 | 19 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Thomas Petersen | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Thomas Petersen, the prospect, over Jamal Pogues. He notes that the UFC often sets up fights to test prospects, and Petersen's wrestling should be good enough to get Pogues to the ground. He acknowledges Petersen's striking is poor but believes his wrestling will carry him. He also mentions that Pogues lacks one-punch knockout power to turn the fight around.
Big Brady picks Thomas Petersen to win by TKO ground and pound within the first two rounds. He notes Petersen is the bigger, stronger fighter with a wrestling background and vicious ground and pound, while Jamal Pogues has looked lackluster at heavyweight and has been taken down by smaller fighters. The main concern is Petersen's cardio, as he was knocked out in the third round in his only fight that went that far, but Brady expects an early finish.
Cody leans to Petersen, but is wary of Pogues' potential if he makes weight. He notes Pogues' weight issues and poor performance against Parkin. He thinks Petersen's wrestling and cardio could be decisive, but he's not confident.
Petersen has good forward pressure and wrestling, but his gas tank is a concern after gassing in his only loss. Pogues has been to four straight decisions and may struggle to implement his striking or grappling. The host leans slightly to Petersen, expecting him to grind out a decision win if he avoids big shots and manages his cardio.
Paul picks Petersen by submission, taking a small sprinkle at +750. He notes Petersen's wrestling and submission win last time, and Pogues' weight and cardio issues. He thinks the prop is overpriced.
The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues over Thomas Petersen, calling both fighters 'fat middleweights' and an 'embarrassment to the sport.' He believes Pogues has the takedown defense to avoid being taken down by Petersen, and if it stays standing, Pogues has better boxing. He dismisses Petersen's win on the Contender Series as beating a 'gelatinous blob.'
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 95 of 156 | 60% | 98 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 36 of 135 | 26% | 37 of 136 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 32 of 50 | 64% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 21 of 79 | 26% | 22 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 44 of 72 | 61% | 44 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 95 of 156 | 60% | 37 of 94 | 16 of 20 | 42 of 42 | 92 of 151 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 36 of 135 | 26% | 22 of 119 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 10 | 34 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 32 of 50 | 64% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 18 | 32 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 21 of 79 | 26% | 13 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 19 of 34 | 55% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 11 | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 7 of 30 | 23% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 44 of 72 | 61% | 20 of 47 | 11 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 43 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 8 of 26 | 30% | 4 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.
Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.
Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.
The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.
Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 37 of 113 | 32% | 51 of 137 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 49 of 79 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 5:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 19 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 37 of 113 | 32% | 19 of 85 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 110 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 33 of 60 | 55% | 29 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 47 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 13 of 39 | 33% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 46 | 26% | 6 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 18 of 28 | 64% | 15 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parisian, citing his volume striking and UFC experience. He notes Parisian set heavyweight significant strike records and has a grappling win over Alan Baudot. Angelo thinks Pogues is a decent but not powerful heavyweight who doesn't move his head. He believes Parisian's higher-level experience will be the difference, and the line movement favoring Pogues is surprising. He considers a Parisian by decision bet at plus odds.
Big Brady sees a clear path for Pogues via wrestling, as Parisian has terrible takedown defense and get-up game, as shown in the Dontale Mayes fight. He notes that Pogues didn't wrestle in his last fight, which is a concern, but if he does, he should dominate. He predicts a decision win, but warns against betting the -250 line.
Cody picks Pogues but doesn't like the -240 line for an unproven UFC debutant. He notes Pogues is young (27), has good cardio for a heavyweight, and has a wrestling advantage. However, he warns that Pogues' striking is mechanical and he's there to get countered. He also mentions Parisian's only good characteristic is being a bona fide heavyweight, and if Parisian gets top position, it's a big body to move off. He says it's a greasy heavyweight spot and he's not confident.
Connor picks Parisian because he is bigger and can make the fight brutal. He thinks Pogues' gas tank may not hold up against Parisian's pressure, and Parisian's toughness and aggression could wear Pogues down. Connor notes that Pogues has not faced a fighter like Parisian who will crash into him repeatedly.
Jacob picks Pogues but is not confident enough to bet. He thinks Pogues has a wrestling advantage and will be more active with his jab, outworking Parisian. However, he notes Pogues isn't a finisher and Parisian has a dog in him. Jacob expects a sloppy, close fight and might consider a live bet on Parisian if the fight is close in the third round.
Pogues has a strong grappling base and good cardio, which should overwhelm Parisian, who fades in deep waters. Parisian's striking is flashy but his gas tank is poor. Pogues can take him down and grind out a decision, or even finish late.
Paul also picks Pogues but is hesitant. He notes Parisian's wrestling narrative is overblown, as he was taken down by Parker Porter and Dantale Maze. He says Pogues should have speed, technical striking, and cardio advantages. However, he acknowledges Parisian has a size advantage (20-25 pounds) and could use it against the cage. He says he loves betting underdogs but cannot get on board with Parisian.
The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues, though he wasn't impressed by his Contender Series performance. He notes Pogues has a long reach and somewhat crisp boxing, and is young enough to take his career seriously now. He criticizes Josh Parisian as a bottom-feeder heavyweight, but acknowledges Parisian is not complete garbage. He predicts a decision win in a great scrap.
Zane picks Pogues because he has faster, sharper hands and a good jab, and he showed the ability to increase his intensity late in fights. Parisian is a brawler who relies on toughness and chaos, but Pogues has a reach advantage and better technique. Zane notes that Parisian's only wins come when opponents fade, and Pogues has shown he can go the distance.
Josh Parisian - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robelis Despaigne | 1 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robelis Despaigne | 1 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robelis Despaigne | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robelis Despaigne | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Robelis Despaigne despite it being his UFC debut, citing his Olympic taekwondo background, insane power, and 19-second cumulative knockout time in his last three fights. He acknowledges Parisian is durable and has experience, but believes Parisian lacks one-punch power to hurt Despaigne. He considers a high-risk parlay with Despaigne.
Big Brady picks Robelis Despaigne to win by first-round knockout in under 60 seconds. He notes Despaigne's incredible reach and power, and that all his fights have ended quickly. He believes Josh Parisian will try to strike with Despaigne and get knocked out. He also mentions a PrizePicks play on Despaigne's fight time under 4.75 minutes.
Cody is intrigued by Despaigne's physical attributes and knockout power but notes his lack of experience and questionable grappling. He thinks Despaigne will likely knock out Parisian early, but at -330, he's not confident enough to bet heavily.
Daniel picks Despaigne via knockout, citing his athleticism, reach, and power. He notes Parisian is a bottom-of-the-barrel heavyweight and Despaigne is too athletic for him. However, he warns that if Parisian gets double underhooks and takes it past round one, Despaigne could gas out. He expects a quick knockout.
Despaigne has insane power and speed, but there is not enough film on him against legitimate competition. He was held up against the cage in his debut, and his takedown defense is untested. Parisian has good durability, forward pressure, and a grinding style that could wear on Despaigne. If Parisian can survive the first couple minutes of each round and get his cage grind going, he is live to win. I have no confidence in the chalky spot on Despaigne, so I lean Parisian by decision.
Paul thinks Despaigne is a fraud waiting to be exposed. He notes that Parisian is a big heavyweight who can take Despaigne down and grind on him. He believes if Parisian can survive the first round, he has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru is extremely confident in Robelis Despaigne, mocking Josh Parisian's physique and conditioning. He notes Despaigne is an Olympic medalist in Taekwondo with a massive reach and athleticism, while Parisian is out of shape and has been finished by lower-level heavyweights. He predicts a TKO victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 62 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 62 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 26 of 61 | 42% | 15 of 49 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 47 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 67 | 62% | 35 of 60 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 26 of 61 | 42% | 15 of 49 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 47 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 67 | 62% | 35 of 60 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Buday fairly confidently, noting Buday has power, solid footwork, and better cardio. He thinks Buday should be the better striker and have takedown defense to keep it standing. He expects a decision win and suggests looking at round lines, possibly over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by decision, but is very hesitant. He notes Buday's skills (brown belt in BJJ, good top game) but criticizes his game plan of holding opponents against the cage and not using takedowns. He points out that Buday has attempted zero takedowns in his three UFC fights. He believes Buday could easily win if he wrestles, but doubts he will. He calls the fight 'disgusting' and says he wants nothing to do with it.
Cody picks Buday, expecting a boring decision. He notes Buday's style of clinching and controlling against the cage, and that Parisian has poor cardio and has been taken down easily. He thinks Buday will win by volume and control, and recommends the over 2.5 rounds and Buday by decision. He also mentions Buday over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
James sees value on Parisian at +180, calling Buday a 'cage push or bust' fighter who gassed against Jake Collier. He thinks Parisian might not gas as badly and the fight is closer than the odds suggest. However, he is not confident due to the volatility and may not bet it.
Buday is on an 11-fight winning streak and wears on opponents in the clinch, taking them down and doing damage from top. Parisian is an average heavyweight with one speed and alternating wins and losses. Buday's hard-nosed approach and tight striking defense should allow him to pull away late and win by decision. However, the line at -200 is a bit wide as Parisian could have grappling success.
Paul picks Buday, agreeing it will be a slow heavyweight fight. He notes Parisian's poor performances and that Buday is younger and more effective in the clinch. He thinks Buday by decision is likely and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He also mentions Buday over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
The MMA Guru picks Martin Buday over Josh Parisian, stating that Parisian is dangerous but Buday has better conditioning, clinch work, and cardio for a heavyweight. He notes Buday's controversial win over Lukasz Brzeski and his performance against Jake Collier. He expects Buday to outwork Parisian against the cage and in the clinch, leading to a decision or late finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 37 of 113 | 32% | 51 of 137 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 49 of 79 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 5:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 19 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 37 of 113 | 32% | 19 of 85 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 110 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 33 of 60 | 55% | 29 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 47 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 13 of 39 | 33% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 46 | 26% | 6 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 18 of 28 | 64% | 15 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parisian, citing his volume striking and UFC experience. He notes Parisian set heavyweight significant strike records and has a grappling win over Alan Baudot. Angelo thinks Pogues is a decent but not powerful heavyweight who doesn't move his head. He believes Parisian's higher-level experience will be the difference, and the line movement favoring Pogues is surprising. He considers a Parisian by decision bet at plus odds.
Big Brady sees a clear path for Pogues via wrestling, as Parisian has terrible takedown defense and get-up game, as shown in the Dontale Mayes fight. He notes that Pogues didn't wrestle in his last fight, which is a concern, but if he does, he should dominate. He predicts a decision win, but warns against betting the -250 line.
Cody picks Pogues but doesn't like the -240 line for an unproven UFC debutant. He notes Pogues is young (27), has good cardio for a heavyweight, and has a wrestling advantage. However, he warns that Pogues' striking is mechanical and he's there to get countered. He also mentions Parisian's only good characteristic is being a bona fide heavyweight, and if Parisian gets top position, it's a big body to move off. He says it's a greasy heavyweight spot and he's not confident.
Connor picks Parisian because he is bigger and can make the fight brutal. He thinks Pogues' gas tank may not hold up against Parisian's pressure, and Parisian's toughness and aggression could wear Pogues down. Connor notes that Pogues has not faced a fighter like Parisian who will crash into him repeatedly.
Jacob picks Pogues but is not confident enough to bet. He thinks Pogues has a wrestling advantage and will be more active with his jab, outworking Parisian. However, he notes Pogues isn't a finisher and Parisian has a dog in him. Jacob expects a sloppy, close fight and might consider a live bet on Parisian if the fight is close in the third round.
Pogues has a strong grappling base and good cardio, which should overwhelm Parisian, who fades in deep waters. Parisian's striking is flashy but his gas tank is poor. Pogues can take him down and grind out a decision, or even finish late.
Paul also picks Pogues but is hesitant. He notes Parisian's wrestling narrative is overblown, as he was taken down by Parker Porter and Dantale Maze. He says Pogues should have speed, technical striking, and cardio advantages. However, he acknowledges Parisian has a size advantage (20-25 pounds) and could use it against the cage. He says he loves betting underdogs but cannot get on board with Parisian.
The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues, though he wasn't impressed by his Contender Series performance. He notes Pogues has a long reach and somewhat crisp boxing, and is young enough to take his career seriously now. He criticizes Josh Parisian as a bottom-feeder heavyweight, but acknowledges Parisian is not complete garbage. He predicts a decision win in a great scrap.
Zane picks Pogues because he has faster, sharper hands and a good jab, and he showed the ability to increase his intensity late in fights. Parisian is a brawler who relies on toughness and chaos, but Pogues has a reach advantage and better technique. Zane notes that Parisian's only wins come when opponents fade, and Pogues has shown he can go the distance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 68 | 61% | 102 of 156 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Alan Baudot | 1 | 49 of 75 | 65% | 56 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 38 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Alan Baudot | 1 | 38 of 60 | 63% | 45 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 64 of 94 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 68 | 61% | 27 of 53 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 25 |
| Alan Baudot | 49 of 75 | 65% | 34 of 59 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 47 | 11 of 11 | 15 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 25 of 41 | 60% | 13 of 29 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Alan Baudot | 38 of 60 | 63% | 27 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 37 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 17 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 17 of 27 | 62% | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 12 of 18 |
| Alan Baudot | 11 of 15 | 73% | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian, citing his volume and forward pressure. He notes Parisian has shown takedowns in the past and could use them against Baudot, who has solid takedown defense but is at a disadvantage on the ground. He acknowledges Baudot is more dangerous but believes Parisian's output and potential wrestling will get the win.
Big Brady picks Alan Baudot to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He calls it the '1-800 gambler fight of the week' and says nobody should bet on it. He was more impressed with Baudot's performance against Parker Porter (competitive) than Parisian's poor showings (sloppy, gasses early, 42% striking defense). He expects a sloppy, greasy heavyweight decision. He admits both fighters are not great.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting Baudot's lack of finishing power and Parisian's high output and durability. He thinks Parisian's pace will wear down Baudot as the fight goes on.
Paul picks the underdog Parisian, citing Baudot's lack of impressive wins and Parisian's durability and volume. He thinks Parisian can win by decision and notes Parisian by decision at +300 as a possible play.
The host picks Alan Baudot, calling Josh Parisian a 'disgraceful human' and noting Baudot is in shape and takes his career seriously. He expects Baudot to be patient on the feet, find takedowns, and pick Parisian apart for a decision win (30-27 or 29-28). He mentions Baudot trains at a good gym with Cyril Gane.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 117 of 147 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 24 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 40 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 31 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:27 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 46 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 25 of 41 | 60% | 15 of 31 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 13 |
| Josh Parisian | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Josh Parisian | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 13 of 15 | 86% | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Josh Parisian | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian because he believes Parisian's chin will hold up against Mayes' power, and that Parisian has a slightly better gas tank and higher output. He notes that Parisian set the UFC significant strike record at heavyweight in his fight with Parker Porter, showing constant forward pressure. However, Angelo's biggest fear is a Mayes KO early, as Mayes has heavy hands. He thinks the odds are too wide in favor of Mayes and that this should be closer to a pick'em.
Big Brady picks the underdog Josh Parisian, liking his volume and toughness despite poor striking defense. He notes Parisian's gas tank is not great but he fights through it. He expects a sloppy fight and predicts Parisian wins a volume-based decision. He admits no one can be confident in this low-level fight.
Cody slightly favors Mayes due to superior cardio and reach. He notes Mayes uses a good jab and stays on the outside, while Parisian gasses quickly. However, Cody doesn't like the -200 price and calls it a pass, suggesting live betting might be better.
Daniel Levi picks Don'Tale Mayes to win, though he is not sure how. He acknowledges Mayes's physical gifts (6'6", 81-inch reach) and decent striking, but notes he underperforms and slows down. Levi is unimpressed with Josh Parisian, who absorbs too many strikes and has poor defense. He believes Mayes's youth and athleticism should prevail, and expects Mayes to land the harder shots and possibly get a finish. Levi warns that Parisian could win a decision if Mayes fades, but still picks Mayes.
Jacob picks Josh Parisian but calls it a coin flip, expecting a sloppy fight. He notes that both fighters like to throw spinning attacks and that Parisian is slightly less sloppy with his hands higher. Jacob mentions that Mayes' hands are often low and he does wild spinning stuff. He doesn't feel great about the pick but leans Parisian.
The host leans towards Mayes by decision, noting that Mayes is more mobile and can stick and move, while Parisian is slow and plods forward. He thinks the fight goes to decision and likes the 'fight goes to decision' prop at +105. He is not confident enough to lay -200 on Mayes moneyline.
Paul leans Parisian as a dog, citing his higher volume and pressure. He notes that both fighters gas, but Parisian throws more. Paul thinks it's a 'dogger pass' and would take the plus money if forced to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Don'Tale Mayes over Josh Parisian, though he admits both fighters are not very good. He cites Mayes' youth, power, reach advantage, and better athleticism. He notes Parisian has been disappointing recently and lost to Rook Martinez (though he got the win). He thinks Mayes is more technical and powerful on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 79 of 160 | 49% | 100 of 186 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 64 of 114 | 56% | 245 of 309 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 84 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:40 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 82 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 22 of 57 | 38% | 28 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 29 of 50 | 58% | 79 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 79 of 160 | 49% | 43 of 118 | 29 of 34 | 7 of 8 | 49 of 120 | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 64 of 114 | 56% | 48 of 98 | 15 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 39 of 84 | 25 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 29 of 59 | 49% | 12 of 42 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 49 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 26 of 46 | 56% | 21 of 41 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 28 of 44 | 63% | 17 of 29 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 18 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 9 of 18 | 50% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Josh Parisian | 22 of 57 | 38% | 14 of 47 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 29 of 50 | 58% | 22 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian, citing his height and reach advantage, high volume, and improved conditioning. He thinks Parisian will pick Martinez apart at range and that Martinez's durability will prevent a finish, leading to a decision. He bet on the fight going to a decision at +145 and likes the over on strikes for both.
Big Brady likes Parisian's volume and significant reach/height advantages, but is concerned about his cardio after gassing against Parker Porter. He thinks Parisian will land more shots and win a decision because Martinez is very durable and hard to finish.
Cody picks Parisian by decision, noting Parisian's reach and volume advantage. He believes Martinez is durable but will be outpointed. Cody suggests the over 2.5 rounds or fight goes the distance as better plays, as both fighters lack finishing ability.
Daniel Levi picks Josh Parisian, noting that he is the bigger, more physical fighter with more skills. He thinks Parisian will take Martinez down and work on top. He acknowledges that Parisian lost to Parker Porter, but considers Porter a tough opponent. He believes Martinez is tough but lacks the skills to win at this level, and that Parisian will get his first UFC win.
Jacob also picks Josh Parisian, comparing his wild kicking style to a karate kid. He acknowledges the height advantage and thinks Parisian's volume will win the fight. He is slightly worried about Martinez's grappling but overall expects a sloppy fight that Parisian wins.
The host picks Roque Martinez as an underdog, believing his durability, cardio, and pressure will overcome Josh Parisian, who tends to gas. He notes Martinez's leg kicks and boxing, and expects Parisian to fade after the first round. He predicts Martinez by decision, similar to the Parker Porter fight, and likes the over 1.5 rounds due to both fighters' durability. He is not putting hard-earned money on Martinez but sees value in the decision prop.
Paul leans toward Martinez, citing his durability and toughness. He expects a sloppy heavyweight fight and is not confident. Paul bets over 1.5 rounds at -155, expecting the fight to last.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Parisian to win by first-round TKO via spinning back fist and ground and pound. He believes Parisian will soften up Martinez's body with spinning back kicks, then land a spinning back fist to knock him down and finish with ground and pound against the cage. He expresses high confidence that Parisian will go for the spinning back fist.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 114 of 226 | 50% | 123 of 237 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 126 of 228 | 55% | 164 of 275 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 56 of 115 | 48% | 61 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 46 of 92 | 50% | 57 of 104 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 54 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:12 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 34 of 68 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 50 of 90 | 55% | 53 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 114 of 226 | 50% | 71 of 173 | 35 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 89 of 190 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 126 of 228 | 55% | 90 of 190 | 16 of 18 | 20 of 20 | 105 of 198 | 20 of 27 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 56 of 115 | 48% | 38 of 92 | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 38 of 89 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 46 of 92 | 50% | 33 of 77 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 77 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 24 of 43 | 55% | 11 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 30 of 46 | 65% | 18 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 35 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 34 of 68 | 50% | 22 of 51 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 50 of 90 | 55% | 39 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 47 of 86 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Parisian, citing his volume striking and UFC experience. He notes Parisian set heavyweight significant strike records and has a grappling win over Alan Baudot. Angelo thinks Pogues is a decent but not powerful heavyweight who doesn't move his head. He believes Parisian's higher-level experience will be the difference, and the line movement favoring Pogues is surprising. He considers a Parisian by decision bet at plus odds.
Big Brady sees a clear path for Pogues via wrestling, as Parisian has terrible takedown defense and get-up game, as shown in the Dontale Mayes fight. He notes that Pogues didn't wrestle in his last fight, which is a concern, but if he does, he should dominate. He predicts a decision win, but warns against betting the -250 line.
Cody picks Pogues but doesn't like the -240 line for an unproven UFC debutant. He notes Pogues is young (27), has good cardio for a heavyweight, and has a wrestling advantage. However, he warns that Pogues' striking is mechanical and he's there to get countered. He also mentions Parisian's only good characteristic is being a bona fide heavyweight, and if Parisian gets top position, it's a big body to move off. He says it's a greasy heavyweight spot and he's not confident.
Connor picks Parisian because he is bigger and can make the fight brutal. He thinks Pogues' gas tank may not hold up against Parisian's pressure, and Parisian's toughness and aggression could wear Pogues down. Connor notes that Pogues has not faced a fighter like Parisian who will crash into him repeatedly.
Jacob picks Pogues but is not confident enough to bet. He thinks Pogues has a wrestling advantage and will be more active with his jab, outworking Parisian. However, he notes Pogues isn't a finisher and Parisian has a dog in him. Jacob expects a sloppy, close fight and might consider a live bet on Parisian if the fight is close in the third round.
Pogues has a strong grappling base and good cardio, which should overwhelm Parisian, who fades in deep waters. Parisian's striking is flashy but his gas tank is poor. Pogues can take him down and grind out a decision, or even finish late.
Paul also picks Pogues but is hesitant. He notes Parisian's wrestling narrative is overblown, as he was taken down by Parker Porter and Dantale Maze. He says Pogues should have speed, technical striking, and cardio advantages. However, he acknowledges Parisian has a size advantage (20-25 pounds) and could use it against the cage. He says he loves betting underdogs but cannot get on board with Parisian.
The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues, though he wasn't impressed by his Contender Series performance. He notes Pogues has a long reach and somewhat crisp boxing, and is young enough to take his career seriously now. He criticizes Josh Parisian as a bottom-feeder heavyweight, but acknowledges Parisian is not complete garbage. He predicts a decision win in a great scrap.
Zane picks Pogues because he has faster, sharper hands and a good jab, and he showed the ability to increase his intensity late in fights. Parisian is a brawler who relies on toughness and chaos, but Pogues has a reach advantage and better technique. Zane notes that Parisian's only wins come when opponents fade, and Pogues has shown he can go the distance.
Comments (2)
Jamal likes the headkick when opponents are standing backup. Josh broke his toes in this fight and kept trucking.Speed advantage mentioned by Laura to Jamal. Smart fight by Jamal exploiting Josh's weakness off his back or just the fact he is a good wrestler. Jamal went for a sitting guilliotine against the fence. Jamal had a contender series fight at age 23 at 205, won but not signed. Fought again in the DWC at 265 and signed. Ate leg kicks in previous fight.
Jamal not rocking the best physique but perhaps in the future he will work on that
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