Career Averages - Marcin Prachnio
Career Averages - William Knight
Marcin Prachnio
William Knight
Marcin Prachnio - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Crute | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 11 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Crute | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 11 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Crute | 5 of 18 | 27% | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 21 of 36 | 58% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 28 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Crute | 5 of 18 | 27% | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 21 of 36 | 58% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 28 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Jimmy Crute despite his long winless streak, because Marcin Prachnio has poor ground game and Crute is a good wrestler. He notes Crute's recent retirement and poor mindset, but believes the gap on the ground is enough for Crute to win. He is hesitant due to Crute's mental state.
Big Brady believes Jimmy Crute should dominate Marcin Prachnio, citing Crute's easier UFC fight to date. He notes Prachnio's poor cardio, no ground game, and chin issues. He predicts Crute wins by first-round submission, though he acknowledges Crute's past bad fight IQ.
The host acknowledges Crute is flaky and inconsistent, and Prachnio is capable of pulling off the upset. However, he thinks Crute will utilize his aggressiveness, land a big shot, and follow up with a submission. The pick is hesitant due to Crute's inconsistency.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Prachnio over Jimmy Crute, despite some hesitation. He criticizes Crute's footwork, saying he fights like he's stepping on Legos, and notes that Crute has problems with low kicks, as seen against Anthony Smith. Prachnio is described as a slick striker with good low kicks, and the Guru believes he will not get outmuscled on the ground. However, he acknowledges the possibility of Crute submitting him, but ultimately goes with Prachnio based on striking superiority.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 56 of 101 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 5:31 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 70 of 139 | 50% | 120 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 35 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 21 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 67 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Modestas Bukauskas | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modestas Bukauskas | 38 of 76 | 50% | 28 of 64 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 62 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 70 of 139 | 50% | 19 of 74 | 31 of 44 | 20 of 21 | 58 of 123 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modestas Bukauskas | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 26 of 61 | 42% | 2 of 29 | 10 of 17 | 14 of 15 | 25 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Modestas Bukauskas | 17 of 31 | 54% | 14 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 34 of 58 | 58% | 8 of 26 | 20 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 44 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Modestas Bukauskas | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 10 of 20 | 50% | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bukauskas (-155), Prachnio (+130)
Round 1
When the dust settles between these light heavyweights, one of them will reach the .500 mark on their UFC ledger while the other will fall two wins beneath it. Bukauskas (15-6, 3-4 UFC) is trying to build up his resume on his second stint with the promotion, while Prachnio (17-7, 4-5 UFC) wants to disappoint home fans by beating the fighter training in England. With similar finish rates of 73% and 71%, respectively, they might need to involve referee Marc Goddard before the final horn. The 205ers touch ‘em up, and Prachnio introduces himself with a trio of leg kicks. Bukauskas swings back with a looping right hand, but his foe is out of range. Prachnio sweeps the leg, or at least tries to, but his second kick nearly buckles Bukauskas’ knee on the inside. Bukauskas times a hard left hand when Prachnio sells out on a low kick, and he leans back to watch a side kick to the face come up short. Prachnio continues working the front leg no matter the stance, and he pushes off to disallow Bukauskas from reaching him with two hooks. Bukauskas sits down on a left hand, getting Prachnio’s attention, and Prachnio gathers himself and keeps on chopping down the tree. Bukauskas loops a left around the guard, and he kicks a ducking Prachnio in the face. They clash together, and Prachnio stumbles before recovering. Prachnio tries to land a spinning wheel kick that ends up bouncing off the guard, and he peppers the front leg and thigh with kicks. Prachnio winds up and drills Bukauskas with a massive right hand, and Bukauskas eats it like a bowl of kugelis. Prachnio races forward throwing a kick, and Bukauskas grabs hold of him and turns him to the fencing. On the break, the Lithuanian dings Prachnio with a spinning elbow, but Prachnio appears unconcerned. Bukauskas races forward throwing hands, and a right hand careens off the temple and wobbles Prachnio. Bukauskas unleashes a salvo of vicious punches, but Prachnio is able to rebound off the fenced and get his footing. Prachnio chips at the front leg, and he lumbers forward throwing inaccurate punches. Bukauskas switches stances frequently, and he beans Prachnio with a huge right hand. Prachnio goes after another spinning wheel kick that is a long way away, and Bukauskas stays composed until he throws a bit too hard, and gets caught with a counter on the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Round 2
The two touch gloves and go right into a brawl, winging power hooks with no concern of defense. They backpedal momentarily, and Prachnio scores a leg kick and connects with an overhand right. Prachnio kicks low a few times before going high, and Bukauskas blocks the head kick but eats a body kick that follows. Prachnio gets into range and is met with a pair of hooks, and he takes a few steps back to kick the front leg. Prachnio lunges and gets countered, but he ends with a body kick. The low kicks of the Polish fighter are starting to compromise Bukauskas, but Prachnio decides to throw caution to the wind and whiff with a comical windmilling right hand that is feet off the mark. Prachnio takes a moment to stop fighting so recklessly, and Bukauskas uses the moment to belt Prachnio with a handful of punches that rock Prachnio. In the ensuing melee, Bukauskas absorbs a flush head kick in close range and gets his bell rung, and he has no choice but to back off as he was in trouble too. Both fighters wobbled and hurt, they end up clinching, with Bukauskas pressing Prachnio against the wire. Bukauskas drops to his knees for a takedown, and Prachnio stands him up and knees him in the gut to break. Prachnio doubles up on the knee when he gets in close, and Bukauskas backs off and smacks him with a left hand. A body lock takedown from Bukauskas succeeds in planting Prachnio on his back, and Prachnio grabs hold of the fence for several seconds and does not let it go as Goddard watches on without saying anything. Bukauskas moves to half guard, and Prachnio lets go so he can block his face but ultimately takes several elbows off the dome. Bukauskas walks right into side control and threatens briefly with a kimura, but lets it go so he can knee Prachnio in the side and elbow him as well. Prachnio briefly drags Bukauskas back to his guard, but Bukauskas easily gest back to half guard. Prachnio wall-walks to get back up, and they dirty box in the clinch until the violent round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Prachnio
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Round 3
Gloves are touched, and fists immediately fly. Prachnio elects to go out swinging, and he pummels the Lithuanian with a flurry of fierce punches that knock him back to the fencing. Bukauskas takes advantage of Prachnio’s momentum and hits a body lock trip to redeposit Prachnio flat on his back. Bukauskas moves to half guard to control his opponent, and he lands short shots to stay busy. Goddard warns Prachnio for punches that wrap around to the back of the head, and Bukauskas ignores them while maintaining controlling posture. Goddard asks for more work, and Bukauskas keeps on slowly working from above while not attempting many fight-ending strikes.
Bukauskas sits up to drive two elbows home before leaning down with an arm-triangle choke position. Bukauskas lowers himself flat to smother his opponent while clutching the submission grip tight, and he is on the wrong side but does not seem to care. Bukauskas remains flat and crushes down on his adversary, and even out of position he squeezes with all his might. Prachnio cannot hang on any longer, and he taps out.
Prachnio thinks about standing up after the fight's conclusion, but he does not have the energy to do it. Meanwhile, the victorious Lithuanian hits a back flip to show he still has something left in the tank.
The Official Result
Modestas Bukauskas def. Marcin Prachnio R3 3:12 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo picks Modestas Bukauskas, citing his youth and well-roundedness. He notes that Prachnio has power but is chinny and can be knockout or bust. Angelo expects Bukauskas to win and hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet on.
Cody picks Marcin Prachnio, citing his volume striking and improved cardio. He notes that Modestas Bukauskas has low output and has looked unimpressive in his UFC return, with close fights against lower-level competition. Cody believes Prachnio's pressure and output will overwhelm Bukauskas, and that he can win by decision or even knockout.
Daniel thinks Marcin Prachnio has a higher work rate and will outwork Modestas Bukauskas. He notes both have poor chins but Prachnio pushes a higher pace. He picks the underdog Prachnio.
Paul leans towards Prachnio, noting that Bukauskas has low volume and no real power. He believes Prachnio's volume advantage (5.61 significant strikes per minute vs 3.28) will be key, and that the fight likely goes to a decision where Prachnio edges it. However, he is not fully confident and may pass on betting.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Prachnio as an underdog, citing Prachnio's better technical striking and leg-kicking ability. He notes that Modestas Bukauskas lacks finishing potential and a strong grappling game, often letting fights go to split decisions. Prachnio is known for chewing up opponents' legs, and Bukauskas has a history of leg injuries. The Guru also questions Bukauskas's training camp with heavyweights, suggesting it may not be ideal for this matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 53 of 127 | 41% | 53 of 127 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Devin Clark | 0 | 101 of 189 | 53% | 112 of 204 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Devin Clark | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 27 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devin Clark | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 23 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Devin Clark | 0 | 48 of 82 | 58% | 53 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 53 of 127 | 41% | 36 of 106 | 13 of 16 | 4 of 5 | 49 of 120 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Devin Clark | 101 of 189 | 53% | 42 of 113 | 37 of 51 | 22 of 25 | 78 of 156 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Devin Clark | 23 of 47 | 48% | 8 of 28 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 10 | 21 of 42 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 19 of 36 | 52% | 13 of 29 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Devin Clark | 30 of 60 | 50% | 9 of 33 | 9 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 26 of 52 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 23 of 62 | 37% | 16 of 53 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Devin Clark | 48 of 82 | 58% | 25 of 52 | 21 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 31 of 62 | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Devin Clark can pressure forward, avoid Prachnio's power, get takedowns, and grind out a win. He notes Clark's solid grappling and footwork, and that Prachnio has a questionable chin. He thinks Clark should win, but the -190 odds are a bit rich; he would prefer Clark at -150. He will monitor the line movement.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Devin Clark to win by decision. He notes that Clark has a clear path to victory through wrestling, as Prachnio has terrible takedown defense and ground game. However, he is not confident because Clark has poor cardio and has been finished often, and Prachnio's fights have had weird results.
Cody picks Prachnio as a dog, noting Clark's cardio issues and tendency to fade. Prachnio has power and has shown he can survive early takedowns and come back. Cody thinks if Clark doesn't finish early, Prachnio can knock him out in the later rounds. He suggests a prop on Prachnio by KO in round 3 at long odds.
Clark should be able to use his clinch and grappling to push Prachnio against the cage and drag him to the mat. Prachnio has questionable takedown defense and durability. However, Clark is inconsistent and has a history of fumbling fights he's winning. The line at -210 is too wide for someone as flimsy as Clark, but he should still win by decision.
Paul also picks Prachnio, agreeing with Cody's assessment. He notes Clark's wrestling advantage but thinks Prachnio can survive and find a knockout. Paul mentions that Clark has been knocked out before and that Prachnio has power. He is tempted by the dog price and the prop.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Prachnio as an underdog after initially leaning toward Devin Clark. He notes that Clark has taken a lot of damage and lacks one-punch KO power or submission threat. He believes Prachnio can out-damage Clark on the feet with better striking skill. He acknowledges the pick is risky but thinks Prachnio is a lot better than Clark in terms of before a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 44 of 81 | 54% | 72 of 111 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 8:39 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 55 of 88 | 62% | 147 of 185 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 20 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 32 of 44 | 72% | 66 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 30 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 56 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 22 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Petrino | 44 of 81 | 54% | 32 of 68 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 22 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 55 of 88 | 62% | 25 of 54 | 21 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 73 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitor Petrino | 16 of 33 | 48% | 9 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 32 of 44 | 72% | 12 of 23 | 14 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 32 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vitor Petrino | 11 of 15 | 73% | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 11 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vitor Petrino | 17 of 33 | 51% | 13 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 21 of 39 | 53% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Petrino but warns against including him in parlays, citing the recent trend of undefeated prospects losing. He notes Petrino's power and offensive wrestling but poor takedown defense. Prachnio has veteran savvy and power, but his chin is questionable. He sees Petrino having multiple ways to win but lacks confidence.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by first-round knockout. He was impressed by Petrino's wrestling in his last fight, taking down Anton Turkalj seven times. He notes that Prachnio has been knocked out by lesser strikers and has poor durability. He believes Petrino can knock him out on the feet or take him down and finish him. He mentions that Prachnio's path to victory is leg kicks and running away, but he doesn't think the fight goes to decision.
Cody picks Petrino, citing his power and youth. He notes Prachnio has a questionable chin and has been knocked out early in the UFC. He thinks Petrino will crack him early. He says there's no value at -300 but Petrino should win.
Connor picks Petrino because he is too violent for Prachnio, who has become a safe fighter after being knocked out. Petrino's reckless pressure and durability will force Prachnio out of his comfort zone. However, Prachnio could win if he takes Petrino down or lands a switch kick, but Petrino's ability to keep coming makes him the pick.
Daniel Levi picks Petrino, citing his knockout power and aggressive style. He notes that Prachnio has a questionable chin, having been knocked out three times in the UFC. Levi acknowledges Petrino's cardio concerns due to his high-energy approach but believes he will expose Prachnio's chin early. He is not interested in betting at minus-300 but picks Petrino to win.
James believes Petrino has all the advantages: youth, power, physicality, durability, and strength. He thinks Prachnio may be the better technical mixed martial artist, but Petrino's raw attributes will overwhelm him. He predicts a first-round knockout, as he expects Petrino to land on Prachnio's chin and finish the fight.
Petrino has big knockout power and durability, and he can cut off the cage to prevent Prachnio from using his karate style. Prachnio is not a good enough grappler to hold Petrino down, and Petrino will eventually land a knockout, likely early in the fight.
Paul picks Petrino, noting his power and wrestling. He thinks Prachnio has only beaten low-level competition and will be overwhelmed. He mentions Petrino's cardio looked good in his last fight. He expects a finish or a clear decision.
The MMA Guru picks Vitor Petrino to win by KO, citing Prachnio's poor chin and lack of finishing potential. He notes Prachnio was KO'd by Sam Alvey and others, while Petrino is a physical freak with dangerous striking. He acknowledges Petrino's grappling issues but believes his finishing power is decisive.
Zane picks Petrino because he is a bully and brawler who doesn't gas easily and has a great chin. Prachnio is a technical karate fighter who has become safe after being knocked out, and Petrino's relentless pressure and power should overwhelm him. However, Petrino is a mess and could be taken down or knocked out, but his violence is likely too much for Prachnio.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 79 of 144 | 54% | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 1 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 8 of 33 | 24% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 8 | 6 of 12 | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 79 of 144 | 54% | 9 of 36 | 7 of 25 | 63 of 83 | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 26 of 48 | 54% | 1 of 10 | 3 of 11 | 22 of 27 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 29 of 49 | 59% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 24 of 47 | 51% | 3 of 14 | 2 of 6 | 19 of 27 | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a one-unit bet on Prachnio but expresses buyer's remorse. He thinks Prachnio is the better technical fighter with a karate background, but his chin is a concern. Angelo notes William Knight is a powerful, fast bodybuilder-type who can wrestle, but is inconsistent and missed weight by 12 pounds. He believes Prachnio should win if he doesn't get caught, but admits the bet is risky.
Big Brady favors Knight because of his wrestling path, as Prachnio has poor takedown defense (around 50%) and terrible cardio, gassing out by six minutes in his last fight. He thinks Knight can take him down, wear on him, and get a second-round knockout. He notes that both have durability issues, but Knight's power and cardio give him the edge.
Cody picks Prachnio, noting William Knight has struggled with weight cuts and is now moving back to 205 after a failed heavyweight stint. He details Knight's history of botched weight cuts and poor performances when depleted. He says Prachnio has volume and cardio advantages, and even if Knight gets takedowns, he won't do enough with them. He calls it an even money fight but likes Prachnio as the betting underdog.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Knight's counter punching is technically poor and he cannot put together combinations. Prachnio will get hurt but is unlikely to be finished. Knight's lack of follow-up means Prachnio can recover and win rounds.
Jacob picks William Knight, citing his explosiveness and power as a perfect matchup against Prachnio's karate style. He thinks once Knight starts landing, Prachnio will shell up against the fence and get finished. Jacob notes Knight's aggression and ability to pounce, and believes Prachnio's chin is weak. He also mentions the under 1.5 rounds feels like a trap but thinks Knight will get the KO.
Prachnio's kick-heavy, movement-based style should keep him safe from Knight's early power. Knight fades after round one and has poor cardio. Prachnio can use his range and footwork to win a decision, though his chin is a concern. Live betting after round one is suggested.
Paul picks Prachnio, saying he struggles to get to William Knight. He notes Knight's volume isn't there and he's not sure about his grappling. He says Prachnio should box him up at range with volume as long as he stays upright. He acknowledges Knight can land a bomb, but thinks more often than not Prachnio wins. He says he's not sure if he'll bet it but is picking Prachnio.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight, but is undecided. He acknowledges Marcin Prachnio is not bad and beat Khalil Rountree, but notes Prachnio's chin is suspect, having been finished three times in his last six fights by KO. He believes Knight will find that chin and get a KO, either by dominant position or big shot on the feet, but emphasizes Knight must be aggressive.
Zane picks Prachnio because he is a better striker and more determined than Knight. Knight has power but lacks form and follow-up, and he turns into a counter puncher when pressured. Prachnio takes available targets and will win rounds. Knight may hurt him but likely won't finish, and Prachnio's improved durability should see him through.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipe Lins | 0 | 74 of 117 | 63% | 116 of 159 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 64 of 110 | 58% | 96 of 142 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 5:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 30 of 42 | 71% | 43 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 2 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 28 of 50 | 56% | 46 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 54 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 3 | Philipe Lins | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 27 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 27 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipe Lins | 74 of 117 | 63% | 13 of 49 | 44 of 48 | 17 of 20 | 47 of 81 | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 64 of 110 | 58% | 36 of 79 | 20 of 22 | 8 of 9 | 52 of 96 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philipe Lins | 30 of 42 | 71% | 4 of 11 | 14 of 16 | 12 of 15 | 23 of 33 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 14 of 27 | 51% | 2 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Philipe Lins | 28 of 50 | 56% | 5 of 26 | 20 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 31 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 33 of 49 | 67% | 25 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 42 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Philipe Lins | 16 of 25 | 64% | 4 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 17 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Prachnio | 17 of 34 | 50% | 9 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo likes Philipe Lins to win but is watching the scales closely because Lins is moving down from heavyweight. He notes Lins has legit power and a BJJ black belt, but prefers to trade. He mentions Prachnio has chin issues but an entire set of skills we haven't seen. He says if Lins looks good at 205 he will pick him and probably bet, but if he looks sucked out he will fade him.
Big Brady picks Marcin Prachnio to win by knockout, citing his volume and recent improved performances. He notes that Philipe Lins has looked poor in the UFC and has been knocked out multiple times. However, he is concerned about Prachnio's chin and says it's hard to be confident. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Prachnio, citing Lins' poor UFC performances and long layoff. He notes Prachnio's improved fight IQ and chin. He thinks Prachnio can win at range and avoid Lins' power. He mentions the 'don't let friends bet on guys that lost to Kelly Nunes' rule.
The host picks Philipe Lins as his dog of the night at +110 (1 unit). He believes Lins is the much better striker with enough power to find Prachnio's chin and finish him. He notes concerns about Lins' recent inactivity, weight cut, and KO loss to Tanner Boser, which is why he only bets 1 unit despite a 70% win probability.
Paul agrees, noting Lins' inactivity and poor showings at 205. He thinks Prachnio's striking and improved defense will be enough. He mentions the Kelly Nunes rule and expects Prachnio to win.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Prachnio over Philipe Lins, expressing concerns about Lins making weight and his inactivity. He notes Prachnio's technical striking and ability to make fights awkward, but acknowledges his suspect chin. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Prachnio, believing Lins will gas and that Prachnio's confidence from a two-fight win streak will carry him. He mentions Prachnio's win over Khalil Rountree as a quality victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 1 | 59 of 92 | 64% | 60 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 34 of 79 | 43% | 34 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 48 of 79 | 60% | 49 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 32 of 72 | 44% | 32 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 1 | 11 of 13 | 84% | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ike Villanueva | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 59 of 92 | 64% | 23 of 52 | 15 of 19 | 21 of 21 | 55 of 86 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 34 of 79 | 43% | 29 of 73 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 63 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 48 of 79 | 60% | 18 of 45 | 12 of 16 | 18 of 18 | 44 of 73 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 32 of 72 | 44% | 29 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 25 of 56 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 7 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 11 of 13 | 84% | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ike Villanueva, citing his toughness, forward pressure, speed, and power. He notes that Prachnio's three first-round knockout losses raise chin questions. Angelo believes Villanueva is a solid underdog and likes the under on rounds as a prop.
Big Brady picks Ike Villanueva to win by first round KO, calling it a clear dog pass. He notes Prachnio's weak chin (four KO losses) and poor striking defense, while Villanueva is a powerful brawler with 83% finish rate. He believes the smaller Apex cage favors Villanueva's pressure style, and that Prachnio's path to victory (staying on the outside) is unlikely. He thinks the line is off and Villanueva should be closer to even.
Cody picks Villanueva as a dog, noting his power and that Prachnio's chin has been checked. He thinks Villanueva has a puncher's chance and that Prachnio's defensive liabilities make him vulnerable. However, he is not confident and says he won't bet it, but for PRP purposes he takes Villanueva. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds.
Jacob picks Marcin Prachnio, calling the fight a coin flip and going with Prachnio because he thinks he has a little more power than Ike. He notes a weird stat that Prachnio has never had a fight end in the second round. Jacob is not very confident and suggests staying away from this fight.
Villanueva is durable and has heavy hands. Prachnio has a vulnerable chin and relies on a kicking game to stay away from power. Villanueva will march forward, absorb kicks, and land a knockout punch. Prachnio's chin issues will be exposed. Villanueva is one of my favorite dogs on the card.
Paul leans toward Prachnio based on his technical improvements in the last fight, but he is not betting him at -190. He notes both fighters have questionable chins and thinks the under 1.5 rounds is a better play. He acknowledges Villanueva's power but thinks Prachnio's volume could be key.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Prachnio by decision, expecting a boring fight where Prachnio keeps range and outpoints Villanueva. He acknowledges Prachnio's chin issues but believes Villanueva's chin is equally suspect. He criticizes Villanueva's UFC caliber and notes his win over Vinicius Moreira was unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 49 of 148 | 33% | 50 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 102 of 216 | 47% | 105 of 220 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 32 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 20 of 48 | 41% | 21 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 32 of 70 | 45% | 33 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 13 of 62 | 20% | 13 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 40 of 92 | 43% | 40 of 92 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 49 of 148 | 33% | 29 of 120 | 13 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 49 of 146 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 102 of 216 | 47% | 33 of 131 | 29 of 39 | 40 of 46 | 100 of 211 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 16 of 38 | 42% | 5 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 30 of 54 | 55% | 8 of 26 | 7 of 12 | 15 of 16 | 29 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 20 of 48 | 41% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 32 of 70 | 45% | 10 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 16 of 20 | 31 of 67 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 13 of 62 | 20% | 10 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 60 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 40 of 92 | 43% | 15 of 65 | 16 of 17 | 9 of 10 | 40 of 92 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree Jr. confidently, citing Prachnio's poor striking defense and tendency to get knocked out in the first round (three times in UFC). He notes Rountree has finished five of eight wins in the first round. He predicts a first-round knockout and likes the Rountree round one prop at +175.
Daniel Levi picks Khalil Rountree Jr. by first-round knockout, noting Prachnio has been knocked out in the first round in all three UFC fights. He believes Rountree's speed and striking improvements in Thailand will be too much for Prachnio, who is too slow and doesn't belong in the UFC.
Both fighters have sketchy chins and a high percentage of their fights ending under 1.5 rounds. Prachnio has diminishing durability and has been knocked out in his last three fights. Rountree has power and should be able to land a counter or follow-up shots. I expect a knockout from Rountree, likely in the first round. The under 1.5 rounds is a solid bet given the statistics and the matchup.
The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr. to win by first-round TKO, calling Marcin Prachnio overmatched and past his prime. He notes Prachnio was brutally KO'd by Mike Rodriguez in his last fight and is taking a quick turnaround. He believes Rountree's striking will be too much, and he predicts a brutal finish via overhand right or similar shot. He expresses hope Rountree doesn't retire.
William Knight - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 79 of 144 | 54% | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 1 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Prachnio | 8 of 33 | 24% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 8 | 6 of 12 | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 79 of 144 | 54% | 9 of 36 | 7 of 25 | 63 of 83 | 79 of 144 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Prachnio | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 26 of 48 | 54% | 1 of 10 | 3 of 11 | 22 of 27 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Prachnio | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 29 of 49 | 59% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Prachnio | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 24 of 47 | 51% | 3 of 14 | 2 of 6 | 19 of 27 | 24 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a one-unit bet on Prachnio but expresses buyer's remorse. He thinks Prachnio is the better technical fighter with a karate background, but his chin is a concern. Angelo notes William Knight is a powerful, fast bodybuilder-type who can wrestle, but is inconsistent and missed weight by 12 pounds. He believes Prachnio should win if he doesn't get caught, but admits the bet is risky.
Big Brady favors Knight because of his wrestling path, as Prachnio has poor takedown defense (around 50%) and terrible cardio, gassing out by six minutes in his last fight. He thinks Knight can take him down, wear on him, and get a second-round knockout. He notes that both have durability issues, but Knight's power and cardio give him the edge.
Cody picks Prachnio, noting William Knight has struggled with weight cuts and is now moving back to 205 after a failed heavyweight stint. He details Knight's history of botched weight cuts and poor performances when depleted. He says Prachnio has volume and cardio advantages, and even if Knight gets takedowns, he won't do enough with them. He calls it an even money fight but likes Prachnio as the betting underdog.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Knight's counter punching is technically poor and he cannot put together combinations. Prachnio will get hurt but is unlikely to be finished. Knight's lack of follow-up means Prachnio can recover and win rounds.
Jacob picks William Knight, citing his explosiveness and power as a perfect matchup against Prachnio's karate style. He thinks once Knight starts landing, Prachnio will shell up against the fence and get finished. Jacob notes Knight's aggression and ability to pounce, and believes Prachnio's chin is weak. He also mentions the under 1.5 rounds feels like a trap but thinks Knight will get the KO.
Prachnio's kick-heavy, movement-based style should keep him safe from Knight's early power. Knight fades after round one and has poor cardio. Prachnio can use his range and footwork to win a decision, though his chin is a concern. Live betting after round one is suggested.
Paul picks Prachnio, saying he struggles to get to William Knight. He notes Knight's volume isn't there and he's not sure about his grappling. He says Prachnio should box him up at range with volume as long as he stays upright. He acknowledges Knight can land a bomb, but thinks more often than not Prachnio wins. He says he's not sure if he'll bet it but is picking Prachnio.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight, but is undecided. He acknowledges Marcin Prachnio is not bad and beat Khalil Rountree, but notes Prachnio's chin is suspect, having been finished three times in his last six fights by KO. He believes Knight will find that chin and get a KO, either by dominant position or big shot on the feet, but emphasizes Knight must be aggressive.
Zane picks Prachnio because he is a better striker and more determined than Knight. Knight has power but lacks form and follow-up, and he turns into a counter puncher when pressured. Prachnio takes available targets and will win rounds. Knight may hurt him but likely won't finish, and Prachnio's improved durability should see him through.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 1 | 34 of 47 | 72% | 125 of 140 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 5:46 |
| William Knight | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 39 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 33 of 39 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| William Knight | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 63 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| William Knight | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 1 | 19 of 23 | 82% | 29 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| William Knight | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 34 of 47 | 72% | 19 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 11 | 25 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
| William Knight | 21 of 41 | 51% | 11 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 10 of 18 | 55% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 12 of 15 | 80% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| William Knight | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 19 of 23 | 82% | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| William Knight | 5 of 14 | 35% | 0 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks William Knight, believing he hits too hard and has his own wrestling. He notes that both are moving up to heavyweight, but Knight will be the bigger, faster, and harder-hitting fighter. He expresses concern about Knight's cardio with added muscle and his wrestling defense, but still thinks Knight gets the win and redeems himself from the weight miss.
Big Brady picks Devin Clark to win by decision. He notes Clark has fought much better competition, has cardio, and can take the fight to the ground. He criticizes William Knight's 33% striking defense, low volume, poor takedown defense, and cardio issues. However, he is cautious because the fight is at heavyweight, which could favor Knight. He expects Clark to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Clark, emphasizing his wrestling and clinch work. He thinks Clark can grind Knight against the cage and win a decision. He notes Knight's lack of output and Clark's edge in wrestling.
Daniel Levi has no clear pick for this fight. He acknowledges Devin Clark is much more skilled with good wrestling and experience, but notes he has been finished multiple times and can break mentally. William Knight is unskilled with poor defense but has tremendous toughness, power, and explosiveness, similar to Derrick Lewis. Levi says the fight could go either way depending on which version shows up, and he has no conviction on a pick.
Paul picks Clark but is hesitant, noting the weigh-ins will be important. He thinks Clark's wrestling and pace will be key, but worries about Clark's chin and Knight's power. He expects a decision win for Clark.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO. He notes the fight is at heavyweight, benefiting Knight who doesn't have to cut weight, and that Devin Clark is coming off a horrific jaw injury from Krzysztof Jotko. He believes Clark will be hesitant and Knight's power will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 32 of 79 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
| William Knight | 0 | 69 of 89 | 77% | 88 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| William Knight | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 7 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| William Knight | 0 | 25 of 32 | 78% | 31 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Grishin | 21 of 68 | 30% | 9 of 39 | 5 of 13 | 7 of 16 | 16 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 69 of 89 | 77% | 16 of 32 | 21 of 24 | 32 of 33 | 62 of 81 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 19 | 42% | 0 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 27 of 33 | 81% | 1 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 21 | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maxim Grishin | 5 of 26 | 19% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 25 of 32 | 78% | 7 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 22 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Maxim Grishin | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 17 of 24 | 70% | 8 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.
Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.
Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.
Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.
Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.
Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 0 | 44 of 77 | 57% | 66 of 99 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 6:25 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 55 of 111 | 49% | 82 of 139 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:07 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 31 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0:43 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 0 | 30 of 50 | 60% | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 17 of 56 | 30% | 17 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 23 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 34 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 44 of 77 | 57% | 34 of 67 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 44 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 55 of 111 | 49% | 32 of 82 | 14 of 19 | 9 of 10 | 38 of 93 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 19 of 25 | 76% | 10 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 8 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 30 of 50 | 60% | 22 of 42 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 17 of 56 | 30% | 12 of 47 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alonzo Menifield | 19 of 30 | 63% | 10 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hold on tight, because two light heavyweight bangers are about to toe the line in what might not last very long. Rescheduled several times this year, Menifield (11-2, 4-2 UFC) and Knight (10-2, 2-1 UFC) will finally get to slug it out all while referee Herb Dean watches on. Finish rates for each above 90% likely mean that chins will be tested soon, but they do extend their gloves to touch before swinging for the bleachers. Buckle up. Two big punches immediately come for Menifield, with a one-two that Knight rolls with. Knight suddenly changes things up for a single, and he hits it but does not secure it as Menifield rolls through to reverse him and land in side control on top. The action stalls out from this position as Menifield does not want to commit to any strikes, and would rather use his body weight to crush Knight down and keep him flat on his back. Menifield sits up to set up a crucifix, and when he does, Knight bursts out of the position to force a scramble. They go back and forth, and Knight takes his foe’s back. Menifield explodes right back to turn and stand up, and when he pushes Knight into the wall, he thinks about going for a single of his own. Instead of this, “Atomic Alonzo” just uses his weight to press. Knight defends with a knee that glances off the cup, and Menifield waves it off to let them continue. Menifield pursues a single, and Knight grabs hold of a guillotine choke with his massive biceps to squeeze as tight as he can. Menifield cannot ground his opponent but does not appear to be in submission danger, and Knight knees him again and gets warned for close proximity to the cup since he cannot see where he is aiming. After a grueling clinch exchange, Menifield scores a big right hand that staggers Knight for a moment. The imbalance for Knight may also be from fatigue, as his footing is not quite right. They both throw bombs, and Knight cracks Menifield in a flurry to hurt Menifield badly. Menifield tumbles to the ground, and Knight follows him to throw his bowling ball fists into the head. Knight continues to pour it on to end the round, and when the horn sounds, both men appear spent. Menifield needs to be helped to his corner, as he is hurt and tired. He makes his way back to his stool.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Round 2
The big men come out to begin the second round with a frenzy, and Menifield stings his opponent with a few punches that make Knight sprint around the cage to gather himself. Menifield sits down on a huge right hand, measuring it and nearly knocking Knight off of his feet. He does not follow it up, instead measuring with a low kick and staying away of the potential counter from “Knightmare.” Menifield catches Knight coming in with a takedown try, and Knight lets it go to sling a head kick. Menifield eats it like Texas barbeque so that he can wing power punches, and Knight wears them well. Knight spins with a wheel kick that glances off the shoulder, and Menifield bears down on him to land a clean left hand. Both light heavyweights measure one another and catch their breath, largely throwing single swiping strikes. Menifield snaps his foe’s head back with a punch, and Knight flails back and manages to connect. Knight spins with a kick, dives in for a takedown, and backs off when Menifield slings heavy leather at him. Menifield paws out a jab, drawing a grin from Knight, and he reaches out another when it connects. Knight wings a left hand that just misses the mark, and he plods forward to set up a right. Menifield interrupts him with a few more jabs, breaking up the power punches that try to come at him. “Atomic” just misses with an explosive one-two, and he continues to work his jab to stop the looping shots ahead of time. Knight gets the memo and sneaks out his own jab, but Menifield’s is more effective and more active. Knight walks through them without concern, and he slings a right hand that collides off the head. “Knightmare” lets loose with a head kick that shakes Menifield up, and he tries to finish the job in the waning seconds with booming seconds but cannot get the job done before the round ends. Knight does land a punch after the bell, and promptly apologizes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Round 3
The fighters hug it out to start off the third round, and get right back to throwing hammers at one another. Knight has a bomb of a right hand glance off Menifield’s mohawk, but it does not get the job done as Menifield counters him effectively to knock him back. Knight leaps ahead with a superman punch, and he pulls back with an elbow when Menifield bears down on him to tie him up. Using his full body weight to his advantage, Menifield pushes Knight heavily into the wall before transitioning into a double-leg takedown attempt. Menifield tries to pick Knight up, but he might not have enough gas in the tank to lift up the mammoth man that is “Knightmare.” Knight tries to fight his way out of the clinch, but Menifield pins him back even though Knight knees him in the body a few times. Menifield continues to grind Knight out on the wall, as if he were trying to mash him straight through the links themselves. Dean implores them to do more than lean on one another, and this prompts Menifield into action to attempt a takedown on the other side, but there is nothing there either. Dean once more tells them to work, and Menifield squeezes his opponent tightly but does little else besides pop him in the thigh with a few short shots. Right before Dean is going to intervene, Knight explodes to get out of the position, and a jump knee glances off Menifield’s head. Knight kicks high and low as he charges like a bull, and Menifield backs up and evades the brunt of the damage. Menifield jabs out a few times, and he rolls when a few huge right hands come at him. Try as he might, Knight cannot land the knockout blow he seeks, and we unexpectedly see the scorecards for the first time tonight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
The Official Result
William Knight def. Alonzo Menifield via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Menifield, citing his improved cardio from the Ed Herman fight. He notes Menifield has great takedown defense and power, while Knight has power but less technical striking. Angelo thinks the odds are wide and Menifield's cardio makes the difference.
Big Brady picks Alonzo Menifield to win by first-round knockout, but he is hesitant and says he might stay away from betting this fight. He notes Menifield's power and Knight's poor striking defense (34%), but questions Menifield's cardio and trustworthiness after poor performances. He thinks if Knight can make it a grinding fight, Menifield might fade. However, he expects a finish either way and leans Menifield early.
Cody picks Menifield confidently, citing his size, power, and recent improvements. He thinks Knight is too small for the division and has poor striking and wrestling. Cody believes Menifield will knock Knight out or win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Alonzo Menifield to win by decision. He notes that Menifield has been pacing himself better and has a higher ceiling. He acknowledges William Knight's power and explosiveness but points out that Knight leaves his chin up and has technical flaws. He thinks Menifield can mix in takedowns and edge out a decision, though he warns that Knight can end anyone's night.
Jacob picks Menifield, emphasizing he must stay technical and not get into firefights. He notes Knight's head movement is poor and he lunges in, which could lead to a knockout. Jacob thinks Menifield should keep distance and piece Knight apart.
I lean Menifield. He is the better striker with cleaner technique and better defense. He should be able to keep the fight at distance and outpoint Knight. However, Menifield has a tendency to clinch unnecessarily and can be unreliable. I think the fight goes to decision, and Menifield by decision at plus 250 is a decent play.
Paul picks Knight as an underdog, citing his grappling and the possibility of slowing down Menifield. He notes that Menifield has cardio issues and that Knight could win by grinding him out. Paul is not confident but sees value at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Alonzo Menifield to win by TKO in the first round via crucifix. He expects Menifield to chop at Knight's legs from range, frustrating him, then secure a takedown and pass to side control. He compares the finish to Dan Hooker's crucifix TKO, with Menifield landing ground-and-pound from the crucifix position.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 1 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Fabio Cherant | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 1 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Fabio Cherant | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 14 of 24 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fabio Cherant | 15 of 23 | 65% | 3 of 11 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 14 of 24 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fabio Cherant | 15 of 23 | 65% | 3 of 11 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks William Knight but with very low confidence. He thinks Knight is the better striker and the fight will likely play out on the feet, but he is not high on either fighter. He notes Cherant has poor takedown defense but doesn't shoot for takedowns often. He predicts a decision win for Knight.
Cody leans toward Knight, citing his wrestling advantage and ability to grind out wins. He notes Knight's poor striking but believes he can take Cherant down. He acknowledges Cherant's potential but thinks Knight's experience gives him the edge.
Both fighters have limited skill sets, but Cherant has a decent submission game and I lean towards him on the feet. Knight's gas tank looked poor last time, and this fight likely goes to a decision. I prefer the over 1.5 rounds and Cherant's plus money, but I'm not confident enough to make him my dog play.
Paul leans toward Cherant as a dog, noting Knight's poor striking and limited offense. He believes Cherant's footwork and striking could outpoint Knight if he avoids takedowns. He sees value in Cherant at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight to win by TKO in the second round. He thinks Knight is faster, stronger, and more experienced against better competition. He expects both to be explosive early, but Knight will maintain pace longer and finish Cherant in the late second round as Cherant tires.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 73 of 99 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 38 of 50 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 16 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| William Knight | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 39 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:56 |
| William Knight | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| William Knight | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 28 of 46 | 60% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 23 |
| William Knight | 17 of 29 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| William Knight | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 24 of 37 | 64% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 22 |
| William Knight | 9 of 12 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.
Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.
Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.
The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.
Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 0 | 38 of 54 | 70% | 58 of 77 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 1 | 6:39 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 59 of 72 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 23 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 21 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:37 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 25 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 |
| Aleksa Camur | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Knight | 38 of 54 | 70% | 29 of 40 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 10 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 19 of 21 |
| Aleksa Camur | 17 of 30 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Knight | 9 of 15 | 60% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Aleksa Camur | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | William Knight | 16 of 21 | 76% | 13 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 14 |
| Aleksa Camur | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | William Knight | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 |
| Aleksa Camur | 7 of 9 | 77% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Camur, stating he is the better fighter despite Knight's power. He notes Camur has good durability and has finished 80% of his wins. He attributes Camur's unimpressive UFC debut to octagon jitters and expects a second-round knockout.
Daniel Levi picks William Knight for the upset, comparing him to a green Derrick Lewis with heart and finishing ability. He believes Knight will capitalize on Camur's inexperience and tense striking, eventually finding a finish. He notes Camur looked tense in his debut and has fought weak competition.
The host leans toward Aleksa Camur but is not confident, calling the fight a pass. He notes that Camur has a better training camp and may be more active, but both fighters are green with many unknowns. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds is the best bet, as both may feel each other out.
The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur, citing his training at Staphae Meochit, youth (24), and good striking defense. He believes Camur will survive the first round and then KO William Knight in the first round with a counterpunch. He notes Knight is past his prime and has not faced high-level competition.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo has a one-unit bet on Prachnio but expresses buyer's remorse. He thinks Prachnio is the better technical fighter with a karate background, but his chin is a concern. Angelo notes William Knight is a powerful, fast bodybuilder-type who can wrestle, but is inconsistent and missed weight by 12 pounds. He believes Prachnio should win if he doesn't get caught, but admits the bet is risky.
Big Brady favors Knight because of his wrestling path, as Prachnio has poor takedown defense (around 50%) and terrible cardio, gassing out by six minutes in his last fight. He thinks Knight can take him down, wear on him, and get a second-round knockout. He notes that both have durability issues, but Knight's power and cardio give him the edge.
Cody picks Prachnio, noting William Knight has struggled with weight cuts and is now moving back to 205 after a failed heavyweight stint. He details Knight's history of botched weight cuts and poor performances when depleted. He says Prachnio has volume and cardio advantages, and even if Knight gets takedowns, he won't do enough with them. He calls it an even money fight but likes Prachnio as the betting underdog.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Knight's counter punching is technically poor and he cannot put together combinations. Prachnio will get hurt but is unlikely to be finished. Knight's lack of follow-up means Prachnio can recover and win rounds.
Jacob picks William Knight, citing his explosiveness and power as a perfect matchup against Prachnio's karate style. He thinks once Knight starts landing, Prachnio will shell up against the fence and get finished. Jacob notes Knight's aggression and ability to pounce, and believes Prachnio's chin is weak. He also mentions the under 1.5 rounds feels like a trap but thinks Knight will get the KO.
Prachnio's kick-heavy, movement-based style should keep him safe from Knight's early power. Knight fades after round one and has poor cardio. Prachnio can use his range and footwork to win a decision, though his chin is a concern. Live betting after round one is suggested.
Paul picks Prachnio, saying he struggles to get to William Knight. He notes Knight's volume isn't there and he's not sure about his grappling. He says Prachnio should box him up at range with volume as long as he stays upright. He acknowledges Knight can land a bomb, but thinks more often than not Prachnio wins. He says he's not sure if he'll bet it but is picking Prachnio.
The MMA Guru picks William Knight, but is undecided. He acknowledges Marcin Prachnio is not bad and beat Khalil Rountree, but notes Prachnio's chin is suspect, having been finished three times in his last six fights by KO. He believes Knight will find that chin and get a KO, either by dominant position or big shot on the feet, but emphasizes Knight must be aggressive.
Zane picks Prachnio because he is a better striker and more determined than Knight. Knight has power but lacks form and follow-up, and he turns into a counter puncher when pressured. Prachnio takes available targets and will win rounds. Knight may hurt him but likely won't finish, and Prachnio's improved durability should see him through.
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