UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 8"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Joanderson Brito
2.43 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
2.32 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
3.38 TD Avg
67.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Lucas Alexander
4.69 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
2.87 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Joanderson Brito
Moneyline
FanDuel -360
KO/TKO
BetRivers +140
Submission
FanDuel +300
Decision
BetRivers +430
Lucas Alexander
Moneyline
Caesars +310
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetRivers +1150
Joanderson Brito - Fight History
SCHED vs Jordan Leavitt
13
138 MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The host picks Jordan Leavitt, believing that Leavitt's grappling will be the key. He notes that on the feet, Brito wins 99 out of 100 times, but Leavitt can get takedowns and once on top, Brito will have a hard time getting back to his feet. He expects Leavitt to win, though he's not sure if it will be by finish or decision.

"I'm going to take Jordan Leavitt to get the takedowns."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

AJ picks Brito to win by submission, citing Brito's superior striking power, Muay Thai, and dangerous jiu-jitsu (ninja choke). He believes Leavitt's wrestling will be neutralized and that Brito will catch a neck as Leavitt leaves it exposed. AJ expects Brito to finish inside the distance, possibly in the later rounds.

Brito by submission; under 2.5 rounds plus 125; Brito inside distance
"I think Breto eventually gets him out of there. I'm going to say Breto sub eventually gets the neck of Jordan Levit."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling himself a Jordan Leavitt hater. He argues that Brito is dangerous both on the feet and on the ground, while Leavitt's striking is subpar and his wrestling isn't good enough to get the fight to the ground consistently. He dismisses Leavitt's recent win over Yadier Delval as beating a 'scam artist'.

"Joe Anderson Breitu is one of the most dangerous guys in this weight class both on the feet and on the ground."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito to win by submission in the second round. He acknowledges Leavitt's path with wrestling but notes Brito's dangerous front chokes and power on the feet. He thinks Brito's cardio is good and that Leavitt's cardio is suspect, leading to Brito catching Leavitt with a submission or big shot.

by submission, second round
"I'm leing Breuto. I'm going to take Breedto here by submission. And I'll say it comes in the second round."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt is the underdog but has a smart game plan: take Joanderson Brito down and do pitter-patter shots. Brito's grind game has been exposed, and Leavitt can win by decision if he avoids boxing in the pocket. Leavitt's recent win over Jair Delval was dominant.

decision win; underdog pick
"I'm gonna choose Levit probably as the underdog and I'm gonna choose him by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, citing his power and aggression. He notes Leavitt's wrestling is not as effective as it appears, and Brito's physicality and scrambling should prevail. He expects Brito to land bigger shots and win.

"I'm going with Joann Burrito. Just I came to fight and you came to gain the scorecards."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt is picked as an underdog because his pressure grappling and strength should overwhelm Joanderson Brito, who has struggled with wrestling in recent fights. Brito's gas tank is questionable, and Leavitt's relentless takedowns and top control are a recipe for success. The host already has action on Leavitt at better odds and expects a dominant decision or submission.

Jordan Leavitt wins by dominant decision or submission; already bet at better odds; recommends playing if over +150
"I am picking Jordan Levit to win this fight. ... I definitely would support, you know, if you could get Levit over plus 150 or around plus 150, I would definitely support uh playing him there."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Brito has power and should be able to defend takedowns from Leavitt. Leavitt struggles when taken down or controlled. Brito should eventually break Leavitt and get a late second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'm gonna go late second round TKO for Joe Anderson Brethrough."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito, believing Jordan Leavitt's win over Yaddel Val was more due to Val underperforming than Leavitt's elite skill. He notes Brito's athleticism, cardio, and danger on the feet, and expects Brito to avoid being dominated on the ground. He predicts a knockout win for Brito.

Joanderson Brito via knockout
"I have to pick Breurto in this one. ... My official prediction will be Joanna Srio via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Leavitt's persistent grappling and body-lock game should be difficult for Brito, who has poor takedown defense and tends to slow down. Leavitt's strength at featherweight and ability to hold on to takedowns should edge out a decision. This is an odds-based pick, as Brito's finishing ability diminishes in deeper water.

Leavitt by decision
"I'll lean with Levit's annoying but persistent grappling game to edge out a decision here against Joe Anderson Breitu."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Paul picks Leavitt by decision, noting Leavitt's grappling could neutralize Brito. He is not confident and does not plan to bet it, but sees Leavitt's path to a grinding decision win.

Leavitt by decision at +379
"Jordan Levit by decision... is like best price I see is plus 379."
WIN vs Isaac Thomson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 33 of 57 57% 66 of 93 8 of 12 66% 2 1 7:59
Isaac Thomson 0 21 of 47 44% 127 of 164 4 of 5 80% 0 1 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 7 57% 16 of 19 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:29
Isaac Thomson 0 6 of 10 60% 26 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:23
2 Joanderson Brito 0 13 of 21 61% 32 of 43 1 of 2 50% 2 1 2:59
Isaac Thomson 0 7 of 16 43% 27 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:34
3 Joanderson Brito 0 16 of 29 55% 18 of 31 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:31
Isaac Thomson 0 8 of 21 38% 74 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 33 of 57 57% 16 of 36 7 of 10 10 of 11 19 of 36 7 of 10 7 of 11
Isaac Thomson 21 of 47 44% 14 of 33 6 of 10 1 of 4 14 of 37 6 of 8 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4
Isaac Thomson 6 of 10 60% 6 of 7 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 3 5 of 5 1 of 2
2 Joanderson Brito 13 of 21 61% 9 of 16 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 3 of 5 5 of 7
Isaac Thomson 7 of 16 43% 3 of 11 3 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Joanderson Brito 16 of 29 55% 6 of 16 5 of 8 5 of 5 13 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Isaac Thomson 8 of 21 38% 5 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 2 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac Thomson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-230); Thomson (+205)

Round 1
Initially planning on battling Melsik Baghdasaryan tonight, Brito (17-5-1, 5-3 UFC) shifts his focus to Octagon newcomer Thomson (9-2, 0-0 UFC), who is coming in on short notice. With his last eight victories coming before the final bell, Brito will be aiming to hand the Team Alpha Male product his second career stoppage loss. Referee Eric McMahon will follow along for as long as this match lasts, and it starts with an awkward clap of hands.
Thomson backs off and jabs the body, aiming a kick to the same spot in rapid succession. Brito pitches out a body kick of his own, and Thomson grabs it and immediately counters over the top to knock the Brazilian to his back. Thomson climbs into top position, but Brito scoots to the fence in hopes of wall-walking. Brito turns his back while standing up, allowing Thomson to climb on his back so he can knee him in the face. Thomson loops one of his legs between Brito’s to trip him up, leaning on him against the wall in hopes of dragging the hard-swinging Brazilian down. Brito leans his shoulder on the wire, biding his time and ignoring short shots around the back of his head. Thomson jumps onto the back, and he drags Brito down while still maintaining partial back control.
Brito scrambles wildly to get out of the grip, and Thomson elbows him on both sides behind his back. Thomson grips a kimura in hopes of sweeping, so Brito lifts him up like a sack of potatoes and throws him down to the floor on his head. Thomson practically springboards off and back upright, and he charges at Brito and hits a clean double to put him on his back. Brito slowly works his way up without absorbing anything of note, and he grips hold of Thomson and hurls him to the floor. Brito looks to take his back, but Thomson slides out and puts Brito on his seat while attacking a one-armed guillotine choke. Brito breaks out of it without concern and pursues his own takedown, slowly dragging the Aussie to his knee and then seat. Thomson muscles his way upright, and Brito knees him in the thigh a few times until Thomson rolls. Brito follows him and knees him in the chest right before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Brito walks out of his corner ready to go, and Thomson is the first to land in the round when he rips a kick to the ribs. Brito blasts his inner thigh with a heavy kick that makes Thomson take a funny step, and he spins for a back fist that puts him in jeopardy. Thomson ducks it and shoots for a takedown, only for Brito to flip him over and establish top position. Thomson climbs back up with the wall at his back, and Brito disengages. Thomson sticks out a few jabs and nails Brito with a front kick, and he follows it with a body kick. Brito retaliates with a crisp right hand, and Thomson chomps his teeth at him like Iceman from “Top Gun.” Thomson fails on a shot, and Brito pushes him to his knees and sets up a brabo choke. Brito jumps guard to complete the submission, rolling him over and wrapping it up. Thomson turns his torso the proper direction to escape the sub, and he scrambles faster than his opponent and gets hold of Brito’s back.
Thomson jumps on the Brazilian’s back, who starts shimming and wriggling to get Thomson off of him. Brito finds himself taking Thomson’s back, and he knees him hard on the back of the thigh and stomps the calf viciously. Thomson’s no-look elbows keep landing too, and Brito tries for another high-amplitude slam but does not have the juice to do it. Brito settles for something smoother, tripping Thomson’s leg out from beneath him and dropping the Aussie on his face. From there, Brito clubs his foe with short, powerful left hands as he gets his hooks in to take Thomson’s back. Brito’s punches have an impact when they land, and Thomson rolls over only for Brito to cinch up the body triangle. Brito isolates Thomson’s shoulder, abandoning it to grip hold of a rear-naked choke that is over Thomson’s face. The face crank is broken up by the hand-fighting of the Team Alpha Male fighter, who rides out the round with “Tubarao” on his back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 3
Jogging out of his corner, Brito knows that Thomson is about to kick him when he gets in close proximity, so he dodges it before it gets to him. When Thomson loops a head kick at him, Brito clubs him with a pair of huge right hands that Thomson eats like lamingtons. Brito appears unafraid of what comes back his direction, walking the Aussie down with impunity while swinging for the fences. Thomson is reeling, and a left hand damages his eye as he paws at it. Thomson motions to McMahon that he may have been poked, but McMahon does not see it so he has to shield up to avoid a couple heavy blows. Brito shoots in for a double, transitioning to a single as he puts Thomson’s back to the wall. Thomson responds with elbows to the side of the head, and Brito trips him up and puts him on his knees. While Brito looks to complete his takedown, Thomson continues to spam the short, effective elbows to the dome.
Thomson uses a kimura setup to work back to his feet, and he starts elbowing Brito’s forearm in hopes of breaking the grip around his waist. Brito holds him from behind, tripping him up and otherwise flustering him with an aggressive controlling position that results him Brito briefly getting him down. Thomson climbs back up and elbows any target he can find, but Brito completely ignores them while in pursuit of a dominant position. This results in a stalemate until Brito uses his remaining energy reserves to dump Thomson to the ground. Thomson bounces back up to his feet, but it is a hollow victory as Brito promptly drags him back down. The horn sounds, and Thomson helps Brito back to his feet as they embrace.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Isaac Thomson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Brito. He emphasizes that Brito is impossibly durable, never submitted, and fights like a 'honey badger.' He notes that Thompson would need a perfect performance to win, and that Brito's chaotic style makes him difficult to beat without a lockdown game plan.

"It's a rough one. Brito is the favorite over to minus 700 is currently minus 300. Those odds adjusted tight or tighter really quick."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito confidently, citing his elite durability and relentless grappling. He notes that Melik Baghdasaryan (the opponent) is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and cardio issues, and believes Brito will dominate on the mat. He projects Brito as a -250 favorite.

"My prediction for this fight is going to be Yandis Brio to go out there and smash Melik Magdarion on the mat with his grappling."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito confidently, noting that Thompson is a young, reckless fighter who lacks control and leaves himself in awkward positions. He believes Brito's durability and relentless pressure will be too much for Thompson, who has not shown he can handle this level of athlete. He also notes that Brito is not the kind of fighter who benefits from a short-notice opponent change.

Odds: Brito opened -700, now -300; Thompson opened +525, now +250. Zane says the odds should stay wide.
"I gotta take Brito here. No favor a no favors short notice matchup for time, especially do because Brito's not the kind of fighter where it's like 'Oh, I had an opponent change.'"
LOSS vs Pat Sabatini
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 24 of 31 77% 135 of 158 4 of 5 80% 1 0 13:47
Joanderson Brito 0 3 of 9 33% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 14 85% 22 of 28 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:43
Joanderson Brito 0 1 of 1 100% 10 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 8 75% 52 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:34
Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 4 50% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 9 66% 61 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:30
Joanderson Brito 0 0 of 4 0% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 24 of 31 77% 22 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 23
Joanderson Brito 3 of 9 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 12 of 14 85% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 12
Joanderson Brito 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Joanderson Brito 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 6
Joanderson Brito 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-205), Sabatini (+170)

Round 1
It is a grappler against a wild man in the co-main event, one where the winner might potentially have a number next to their name on Monday. Philly-based grappler Sabatini (19-5, 6-2 UFC) will present danger for as long as the bout is on the mat, but every fight starts on the feet. Brito (17-4-1, 5-2 UFC) is no slouch when grappling, so fun exchanges could come early and often. Referee Keith Peterson will have his hands full with these featherweights, although he is able to take a breath as the fighters look to collide with no nonsense in the building. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brito gest right to walking the American down. Sabatini springs from side to side, tossing out one kick and having Brito respond with a kick. Sabatini follows the Brazilian’s kick with a single, which he uses to deposit Brito on the canvas easily. Brito defends with the guillotine off his back, opening himself up to Von Preux choke danger as Sabatini traps him with an arm-triangle at the same time. Brito scoots his way to the wall to take a bit of pressure off of him, and he follows the moving legs of his opponent to maintain half guard or guard. Sabatini tries again for the Von Flue, and he pulls his own head out of Brito’s sub. Sabatini stays flat on his man, squeezing down with an arm-triangle setup while Brito smacks him with short but frustrating strikes off his back. Sabatini gets off the heavier of the blows while above, but Brito still manages to put his back on the wire. Sabatini pulls him away from the fence, and Brito sits to stand while Sabatini threatening with a guillotine choke. Sabatini lands a single knee before letting go of the choke, and he lifts Brito in the air and slams him down to the floor. With Brito hanging on with the guillotine, the Von Preux counter is troubling him as Sabatini clings to his neck with his left arm. Sabatini uses his weight to push Brito against the wall and hope for the leverage to be right for a submission. Brito stays calm and wriggles his neck out of danger, and Sabatini climbs into half guard and assaults him with punches and elbows. Brito attacks off his back, and again Sabatini’s are far more effective. The one-sided round ends with both men flailing at one another.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Sabatini motions awkwardly to his opponent, offering the glove touch while also wanting to stay far away from the grappler. Brito kicks, and Sabatini sells out for a takedown. Brito hits his seat searching for a front choke, and Sabatini laughs it off and pushes Brito to his back. Sabatini establishes himself on top in half guard, smothering Brito and preventing the expected explosions thanks in part to heavy chest pressure. Sabatini looks to hook up a crucifix with his knee, and he opens things up to try to pass guard, only for Brito to drag him back. Sabatini strikes when he finds openings, irritating the dangerous “Tubarao” while energy is drained from his tank. Brito uses butterfly hooks to push off, and Sabatini is so singularly focused on the top control that he is not budging. Sabatini scores several left hands on the chin, and he times Brito sitting up to flatten him back out in an instant. The Brazilian is out of ideas, with Sabatini two steps ahead of him at every turn. Sabatini renders his foe fairly powerless until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 3
Brito jogs out of his corner to touch gloves, and he dodges a spin strike to come up top with a huge right hand. Sabatini rolls with the punch and switches stances to work his way forward. Brito absorbs a spinning back fist to swing back a right hand, and he jumps guard with a guillotine choke when Sabatini shoots in for a single. Sabatini issues the thumbs-up a few times as the submission is not under his chin, and he threatens with another Von Preux until Brito releases the grip. Sabatini resides in the half guard, where he has spent most of this fight, and he bludgeons Brito every so often. When Brito goes for broke swinging with his back stuck on the floor, Sabatini postures up to drill him with some ground-and-pound. The smothering continues for the Renzo Gracie Philly fighter, displaying that there are levels to this grappling thing. Brito, a savvy submission artist in his own right, has been blanked tonight, with a ceiling that is very clear above him. Sabatini circles around to take Brito’s back, getting his hooks in, and he starts hunting for a kneebar. When Brito turns over, he gives up mount, and Sabatini starts whaling on him. Brito gets to a knee despite taking strikes on the sides of the head, and Sabatini takes any remaining hope and deposits it in the local trash can with dominant control and grappling wizardry. It might not have been the most scintillating to watch, but Sabatini sends a message that the fearsome marauder Brito has met his match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-25 Sabatini)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. Joanderson Brito via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo acknowledges this fight has trap written all over it. He notes Joanderson Brito has power and Pat Sabatini is chinny, but also that Brito's BJJ off his back is poor while Sabatini is phenomenal on top. He predicts the fight won't go the distance, with Brito likely knocking out Sabatini or Sabatini submitting Brito. He picks Brito due to cardio improvements and power, but warns Sabatini could sneak a win as a dog.

does not go the distance
"I'm going to pick breu and maybe he's going to land clean and that'll be the end of it or maybe he plants his feet overcommits gets taken down and put in a lot of trouble early either way does …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito, citing Pat Sabatini's questionable chin and Brito's power. He believes Sabatini needs a perfect 15-minute grappling performance to win, but Brito will eventually land a big shot and knock him out, likely in the first round.

first round knockout
"give me Joe Anderson bre2 to win this fight I'll say it's first round knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Brito. He highlights Brito's dangerous athleticism and Sabatini's stiffness on the feet. Connor notes that Brito's chaotic style often leads to finishes, and while Sabatini could win by grinding him down, Brito's ability to create scrambles and his durability make him the pick. He also mentions Brito's tendency to put himself in bad positions but believes Sabatini is too breakable.

"Sounds right to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Sabatini could have success with his chain wrestling and BJJ, but Brito's striking and power are favored. Brito is expected to land big power shots that Sabatini cannot handle, leading to a knockout in the first or second round.

knockout in round 1 or 2
"I have to lean with the Striking and power of Bru sabatini could have some success with his chain wrestling and his BJJ but look for britu to land big Power shots that sabatini is unable to handle leading to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, calling him too powerful, fast, and dangerous on the feet. He notes Brito's win over Diego Lopez and believes he will stuff Sabatini's takedowns and land strikes for a TKO. He expects a first-round finish, possibly within two minutes, and considers the matchup a mismatch.

Joanderson Brito wins by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Joe Anderson Britto. Powerful start. probably draw out a bad panicked shot from Pat Sabatini pretty early on and then just start cruising and bruising for a TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito, emphasizing Sabatini's stiff striking and vulnerability to being overwhelmed. He notes Brito's athleticism and tendency to finish fights, but also his recklessness. Zane believes Sabatini's anxious, structured style will struggle with Brito's chaotic, high-pressure approach, and that Brito's athleticism will create a moment where Sabatini can't secure a takedown and gets caught.

Brito opened -206, now -236; Sabatini opened +169, now +213. Zane notes the line shouldn't get wider.
"I'm gonna take britu I'm gonna take britu as well. I think there's just gonna be a moment in this fight where Sabatini can't keep that takedown or can't force that takedown."
LOSS vs William Gomis
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 43 of 71 60% 69 of 101 0 of 3 0% 0 1 3:52
Joanderson Brito 0 29 of 67 43% 57 of 105 3 of 6 50% 2 0 6:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 9 of 17 52% 22 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 3:07
Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 19 47% 20 of 30 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:08
2 William Gomis 0 11 of 20 55% 22 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanderson Brito 0 8 of 21 38% 16 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:34
3 William Gomis 0 23 of 34 67% 25 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Joanderson Brito 0 12 of 27 44% 21 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 43 of 71 60% 16 of 35 18 of 27 9 of 9 30 of 57 13 of 14 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 29 of 67 43% 9 of 39 5 of 8 15 of 20 23 of 60 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 9 of 19 47% 3 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 5 7 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 11 of 20 55% 4 of 9 4 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 8 of 21 38% 4 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 William Gomis 23 of 34 67% 9 of 18 10 of 12 4 of 4 15 of 26 8 of 8 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 12 of 27 44% 2 of 13 2 of 3 8 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. William Gomis

Round 1
Paris native and MMA Factory staple Gomis (13-2, 3-0 UFC) is firmly in the hearts and minds of the majority of the fans in the building in this “featured fight of the night” slot. However, he stands across from Brito (17-3-1, 5-1 UFC), a veritable featherweight wrecking machine who has crushed his last five foes. Keeping his head on a swivel for this one will be referee Rich Mitchell, although the fighters touch gloves before the ferocity begins. Brito advances rapidly, parrying a few front kicks so he can crowd the local. Gomis sticks out a jab and slides away from a winging right hand, and he boots the Brazilian in the side. Brito swings his way into a clinch, with Gomis glad to turn him about so he can lean on him and take some of the sting out of his offense. Brito decides he does not want to deal with this and he scoops Gomis up and flips him over. Brito attempts to take back control while they are shifting, but he falls the wrong direction and lands on his back. Gomis resides in the guard of his foe, smothering and looking for positional improvements over inflicting damage thus far. Brito sits up, but he is unable to get upright. Gomis drags him back down flat, and Brito hooks his toes in the cage to turn himself over. Brito pursues an armbar off his back, and Gomis fights out of it and flattens his chest down on top of Brito’s. When Gomis advances, Brito scrambles at that exact moment to fight to his feet. Brito looks for a single of his own, and he bails on it to go for a sneaky right hand up top. Gomis ducks it, and Brito ties him up again. The two jockey for position, and Brito is smiling and laughing while watching video of himself on the big screen. Gomis tries and fails to toss Brito down, and Brito knees him flush in the belly before being warned for grabbing his opponent’s shorts. Gomis turns him around and knees him repeatedly, and Mitchell asks for more activity from the Frenchman. Gomis elevates Brito but cannot deposit him to the mat, with Brito’s balance keeping him upright. When they separate, Brito is frantic, lashing out with big punches and kicks. A massive right hand from “Tubarao” hurts Gomis, and he hunts him down and jumps guard for a guillotine choke. Before he can complete it, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Unsurprisingly, the two fighters go right after it as soon as Mitchell says “fight.” Brito swarms Gomis, throwing with everything and the kitchen sink until he gets so close to Gomis that he elects to pursue a takedown. The Brazilian wrestles the underdog to the mat, where he lands in side control raining down right hands. Brito keeps swinging until Gomis turns to the side, and Brito latches on with an arm-triangle choke from an odd angle. Brito lowers himself down to try to complete the submission, and Gomis signals a thumbs-up to indicate he is fine. Brito changes angles, and he moves himself to half guard while squeezing with all his might. Once more, Gomis shows Mitchell a thumbs-up, and Brito looks surprised that he cannot choke his foe out. Gomis is still fine, so Brito bails on it. Brito pounds on Gomis with free left hands, and Gomis sits up and gets to his knees. Brito belts him in the chops with a left hand, and Gomis explodes upright. Brito leans heavily until Gomis bursts out of the position, and Brito walks him down. Brito connects with a few hard calf kicks, and he winds up his right hand to get the French fighter’s attention. Gomis takes it on the chin and retains his composure, and Brito tightly presses himself against his opponent instead of getting completely reckless. Mitchell tells Brito he needs to do more than hold, and it is Gomis who completes the break with a knee on the chin. Gomis backs off and boots Brito in the face with his foot, and he targets the body with a kick and nearly takes Brito’s head off with his shin. Brito responds with his own kicks, and the two trade vicious leg strikes until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 3
The featherweights clap hands after 10 minutes of action, and then resume kicking one another mercilessly. Gomis catches Brito on the way in with a right hand, and he backs away and raises his guard when Brito whips a kick at him. Brito plods forward and hammers the front calf with a kick, and he sprints his way in to land another. Gomis counters him with a left hand, and Brito has to shake it off. The Frenchman lets go with is hands and a kick, and he sneaks in another power punch to intercept his marauding opponent. Brito walks through it and loads up with even bigger, more telegraphed power, and Gomis is sniping him and keeping him from hurting him. A Brito leg kick gets his adversary’s attention, and Gomis pushes him to the fence. Brito smiles to Mitchell as he takes a breath with his back on the cage, and he wriggles out of the grasp and into a front kick. Brito scores a low kick and eats a left, and he walks square into a thudding body kick. Brito keeps chasing and missing, with few strikes but his leg kicks landing cleanly. Brito stops an ankle pick from getting anywhere, jamming Gomis against the wire and going after a single. Brito wrangles Gomis down to his seat, and Gomis tugs on the fence to prevent himself from going to his back. With Brito at the right angle, he slugs Gomis in the side of the head and moves around to the back to load up with high-amplitude knees to the thigh. Brito has his hands clasped around the waist, not giving Gomis a modicum of space, all while working on him with any offense he can muster. Gomis gets in a knee before Brito dives after a single, and Gomis defends with a guillotine that he uses to drag Brito to the floor. Brito climbs up with 10 seconds to spare, and Gomis kicks him square in the head. One more high kick from the French fighter punctuates a tense and exciting battle.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Joanderson Brito via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling him the most dangerous guy at this weight class. He notes Brito's ability to finish by KO, submission, or leg kicks. He worries about Brito's cardio since he hasn't been to a decision in a long time, but believes his insane pressure will overwhelm Gomis, who is low volume and may not handle the pace.

"I am picking Joanderson Brito here... he's an absolute savage and I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito by first-round submission, calling him a killer with dangerous striking and a huge grappling advantage. He criticizes Gomis for doing nothing in fights and having poor submission defense. He expects Brito to take Gomis down and submit him quickly.

Brito by first round submission
"I'm going breu to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito due to his physicality, power, and grappling advantage. He notes that Brito is always aggressive and finishes fights early. However, he expresses concern about Brito's cardio and the possibility of Gomis evading him with footwork. Despite the trap potential, Cody believes Brito's strength and pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

"I think Breo smokes him too but feels like a trap to me... he is the play"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor picks Brito because he believes Brito's overwhelming physicality and pressure will be too much for Gomis, who relies on a range striking game without a jab. He notes that Gomis has struggled against fighters who simply storm forward, as seen in his close fights with Yannis Ghemmouri and Frank Marshall. Connor points out that Brito is a game-breaking athlete who has crushed technically superior fighters like Jack Shore. He sees no clear path to victory for Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Connor suggests Brito should be a much bigger favorite, possibly -500.
"He is going to crush William Gomi. He should. He absolutely should."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
William Gomis

Daniel Vreeland picks William Gomis for the upset. He believes Gomis is better than he has shown, with good footwork, speed, and takedown defense. He thinks the big cage and home crowd will help Gomis frustrate Brito at distance. He notes Brito's cardio issues and that Gomis has a path to victory if he avoids getting bullied.

"I'm gonna pick GES for the offset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

JP picks Joanderson Brito because he thinks Brito has more paths to victory, including power and submissions. He notes Gomis is a one-trick pony kickboxer and Brito has impressive wins over Diego Lopes and Chape. He thinks Brito's pressure and grappling will be too much.

"I'm going to go burrito Maybe by sub might bet by sub but I mean money line this is another one money Line's way too [ __ ] wide"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his physicality and power. He notes that Gomis is a low-volume point striker who may struggle with Brito's pressure. However, Paul acknowledges the risk of Gomis using movement to frustrate Brito, especially in a big cage in Paris. He still expects Brito to find a takedown or land a big shot.

"physicality man... burrito will be up in his face... I think Breo absolutely smokes this guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito over William Gomis, praising Brito's power and explosiveness. He notes Brito's wins over Diego Lopez and Shep Mariscal. He believes Gomis' rangey, low-threat style will not work against Brito's pressure. He predicts a TKO win for Brito.

TKO
"I'm going to go Jo Anderson Britto smoking him um I really believe in Jo Anderson Britto"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito because he sees Gomis as a limited range striker who lacks a jab and has poor defensive wrestling. He notes that Brito is a powerful, athletic fighter who has dominated better opponents. Zane points out that Gomis's wins have been close decisions against lower-level competition, while Brito has crushed fighters like Jack Shore. He believes Brito's crude but effective pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Zane agrees Brito should be a much bigger favorite.
"Brito is a sizable favorite, probably could be a bit bigger... I will put Brito in like minus 500 territory."
WIN vs Jack Shore
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 3:35 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 24 of 40 60% 31 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 30 of 56 53% 57 of 86 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 17 52% 13 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 15 of 31 48% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:31
2 Joanderson Brito 0 15 of 23 65% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Shore 0 15 of 25 60% 28 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 24 of 40 60% 16 of 32 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 25 14 of 15 0 of 0
Jack Shore 30 of 56 53% 4 of 29 4 of 4 22 of 23 20 of 46 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 31 48% 1 of 16 2 of 2 12 of 13 11 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Joanderson Brito 15 of 23 65% 11 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 10 of 11 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 25 60% 3 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 10 9 of 19 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Jack Shore
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-148), Shore (+124)

Round 1
A place in the top 15 at the talent-rich featherweight division may loom for the victor between Welshman Shore (17-1, 6-1 UFC) and the ultraviolent Chute Boxe fighter Brito (16-3-1, 4-1 UFC). Finish rates of 76% for the former and 87% for the latter mean that the judges might be able to take off this preliminary headliner, while referee Joao Claudio Soares should be ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Before they try to lop the other’s head off at the neck, the heavy hitters bump fists. Brito is the initial aggressor, landing long strikes and finding his range early. Shore throws back to back him away, and he checks a low kick. Brito jabs his way in, and he has another calf kick checked hard. Brito swings for the bleachers, and Shore barely dodges it. The low kick that follows separates Shore from his balance, and he drops to a knee and pops back up. Shore gathers himself and ties the Brazilian up to slow him down, and Brito is quick to turn him around and pepper him with knees. Brito breaks off to throw big hands, and Shore slides away but cannot get away from a heavy leg kick. Brito shreds the front leg again and loads up on power punches, and Shore clinches him up as Brito smiles and sticks his tongue out. Brito pursues a single when turning his man around, kneeing the inner thighs when the takedown is not there. Shore chucks him to the side and looks for a takedown, but Brito hip-checks him and pushes him back to the wire. Shore attempts another level change and hangs on tight to slow Brito down, and they both lower themselves to the ground in a minute when locked up. Brito gets up first and pursues a double, and Shore elbows him in the side of the head to have him knock it off. Brito shoulder strikes his foe while up close and personal in the clinch, and he takes a knee to the belly as the grinding round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Brito offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he gets right back to his forward momentum. Brito lands a couple leg kicks, completely no-sells getting kicked in the head by the Welshman, and clinches him up. Brito hammers knees on the legs of his opponent and slings him to the mat, and Shore climbs back up without issue. Brito remains stuck to him like he was made of Saran wrap, and Shore pushes him away with a knee up the middle. Brito scores a couple calf kicks, and he ducks when punches are aimed at his face. Shore tries to check a kick and the skin tears open from the impact, as the swelling and welting makes that left leg a horror show less than halfway through the match. Brito sells out for a takedown, and Shore defends it with elbows on the sides of the head. Brito lands a few more short knees as blood leaks out of Shore’s shin. Brito doggedly presses ahead, and he punches the shin several times to further rip open the cut. The apparent damage is so significant that Soares calls in the doctor, who examines the roughly inch-long wound that is at this point gaping. The physician wipes the blood away and feels the bone beneath it, and determines that the bout should not continue. Soares waves the fight off. It is unclear if there is a broken bone, or what the specific reason for the stoppage is, but it will go down as a technical knockout victory for the Brazilian—who hands Shore his first loss by knockout, however unusual.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jack Shore R2 3:35 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito due to his danger on the feet, but feels the fight is closer to 50/50 than the 2-1 odds suggest. He notes Brito's 50% takedown defense and that Shore could win if he avoids power and gets takedowns. He does not bet on this fight.

"I am going to pick Jo Anderson breu because of the danger because of how scary he is on his feet but I'm not going to bet on Joe Anderson bre2"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady calls Brito a 'moment winner' with power and finishing ability. He notes Shore's vulnerability to being hurt and questions his takedown success at featherweight. He predicts Brito will land a big shot and knock Shore out in the first round.

"I'm taking Joanderson Brito to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, citing his physical strength, power, and Brazilian crowd advantage. He notes Shore struggled with physical wrestlers at bantamweight and hasn't looked great at featherweight. Cody expects Brito to land bigger shots and potentially submit Shore.

Brito by submission
"I think burrito is the rightful favorite here... I wouldn't even be shocked by burrito sub..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Vreeland picks Brito, emphasizing his physicality, power, and multiple finishing threats. He notes that Shore's best wins are against lower-level competition and that Brito has fought tougher opponents. He believes Brito's grappling and striking are superior and that Shore may struggle at featherweight. He considers Brito underpriced and expects him to look like a -600 favorite after the fight.

"Britto is a guy I think is underpriced this week on a week when you got a lot of people that are overpriced"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is the underdog but will put the grind on Brito and win by decision. Brito is dangerous with knockout power and choking ability, but Shore won't make the same mistakes as Jonathan Pearce and will wear on Brito over 15 minutes.

"I ultimately think it's going to be the underdog Jack Shaw who's able to go out there and put the grind on Bru and come out Victorious by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, highlighting his power and physicality. He notes Shore's takedown defense and durability are questionable, and Brito's damaging blows will impress judges. Paul expects Brito to win the first two rounds and hold on.

"I got to agree as well with the favorite and go with Joanderson Brito."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito, citing his physicality, fast-twitch athleticism, and momentum. He doubts Jack Shore's strength at featherweight and believes Brito will revel in the pay-per-view moment. He also notes Brito's win over Lucas Alexander has aged well, and that Shore was finished by Ricky Simon.

"I'm gonna go with Jo Anderson bro man I'm gonna go Jo Anderson bro"
Submission (ninja choke) R2 3:54 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 14 of 16 87% 81 of 96 1 of 4 25% 0 1 6:15
Jonathan Pearce 0 8 of 20 40% 33 of 47 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 12 of 14 85% 43 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 1 2:28
Jonathan Pearce 0 8 of 19 42% 21 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:58
2 Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 2 100% 38 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:47
Jonathan Pearce 0 0 of 1 0% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 14 of 16 87% 6 of 6 2 of 4 6 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 8 4 of 4
Jonathan Pearce 8 of 20 40% 4 of 15 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 12 of 14 85% 4 of 4 2 of 4 6 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 8 2 of 2
Jonathan Pearce 8 of 19 42% 4 of 14 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 4
2 Joanderson Brito 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jonathan Pearce 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Jonathan Pearce
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pearce (-130), Brito (+110)

Round 1
A potentially violent featherweight encounter rounds out this long preliminary slate. Winner of five straight, “JSP” Pearce (14-4, 5-1 UFC) will be in for a fight against the hard-charging Brito (15-3-1, 3-1 UFC). Referee Herb Dean may have his hands full for this one, although there is a sporting glove touch before it begins. Pearce lets loose with a kick to start things off, and Brito slings a right hand in response. Pearce shoots for a takedown, and Brito defends the double with a guillotine choke. Brito turns his foe around and keeps tightly pressed against him, and he starts digging right hands to the body as Pearce shakes his head. Brito lifts Pearce clean off the ground and slams him down, and he instantly lands in side control and starts slugging Pearce in the face with left hands. A bit too excited, Brito jumps over and looks to take a scrambling Pearce’s back, but he falls off the back and lands on his own back. Pearce lines him up for a solid right hand, and he attempts to set up a guillotine choke when Brito fights his way up. Brito clubs Pearce in the temple on the break, and he chases after Pearce throwing haymakers. Pearce responds with a body kick and a double, and Brito stops it and backs himself against the wall. Pearce redoubles his effort to take the fight down, and he is stonewalled but pressing the Brazilian against the wall. Brito slugs Pearce in the belly a few times as they turn one another around while clinched. Pearce claims that Brito grabbed his cup, as Brito tried to defend from a takedown. Pearce falls to his back in search of an armbar, and Brito stacks Pearce up to break out of the submission setup. “JSP” hunts for a triangle, and Brito lifts him up and slams him down to stop that as well. Pearce jumps back to his feet and looks for a takedown, and he sneaks in two uppercuts and dodges a windmilling right hand before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pearce
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pearce
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pearce

Round 2
The fists are bumped, and Pearce dives forward to hit a single in the opening seconds. Pearce lands on half guard and starts slamming down elbows. Pearce steps over into mount for a moment, and Brito bucks and fights off an arm-triangle set up to drag Pearce back to guard. Brito twists and bucks, but Pearce gladly grinds on his opponent to wear him down. “JSP” continues holding Brito down, landing sporadic shots, and the two start talking to one another. Pearce tells him to get up and do something, and Brito tries to explode out but his power is not what it was in the previous round. Pearce rides and lands right hands, and Brito laughs at him for his feeble strikes while irritated he is being held down. Brito scoots his way to the wall on one knee, and he works his way up.
Out of nowhere, “Tubarao” snatches up a ninja choke with his back still against the wall, and it is shockingly tight. Pearce falls to his side to wriggle out, and Brito cranks down hard on it with his chest pressed tightly. Pearce starts tapping as Brito completes the submission
, and the stunning comeback has been completed by the powerhouse Brazilian.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jonathan Pearce R2 3:54 via Submission (Ninja Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Angelo picks Jonathan Pearce, citing his insane wrestling pressure and ability to take down Joanderson Brito. He notes Brito is a dangerous striker but expects Pearce to dive at legs immediately. He expresses some hesitation due to the Grant Dawson knockout, but still picks Pearce.

Odds comment: minus 150 favorite feels about right; mentions potential bet but may pass due to risk
"Jonathan's going to be the pick here because of that wrestling pressure but uh he might get Grant Dawson and just absolutely folded with a a lazy jab"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady calls this his favorite fight on the card. He thinks Brito is very live for a first-round knockout or submission because Pearce is very hitable and leaves himself in bad spots on the mat. He notes Pearce has great pressure and cardio but Brito has power and submission skills. He predicts Brito wins by first-round knockout, but acknowledges if it goes to the second round, Pearce takes over.

"I'll take Jo and toitu to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Joanderson Brito as a slight underdog, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes Brito's power and physicality, and believes he can catch Pearce with something. He acknowledges Pearce's wrestling and cardio but thinks Brito's power and submission threat early make him the value play.

"I will end up taking joanderson burrito but it's hard to say oh I got a dog pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Brito is a relentless pressure fighter who doesn't give opponents room to breathe. He has good takedown defense and gets back to his feet quickly. Pearce is a wrestler who may get takedowns early, but Brito's ability to scramble and return to striking will break Pearce. Brito will land big punches and eventually find a knockout in the third round.

win by knockout
"give me Jo Anderson Breo to find the Finish"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, citing his power and the danger he poses early. He notes that Pearce has been hurt before and Brito hits hard. Paul thinks Brito's submission threat, especially a guillotine, is real early. He sees this as a dog or pass and takes the plus money.

"burrito for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to finish Jonathan Pearce in round one. He criticizes Pearce's competition and notes that Pearce struggled against Darren Elkins, Makwan Amirkhani, and Christian Rodriguez. He highlights Brito's finishing potential with first-round wins over Lucas Alexander, Andre Fili, and Weston Wilson, and believes Brito's run will continue.

finish in round one
"I'm going to go Jo Anderson Brito over Jonathan Pierce... I reckon he's on a run right now and he's going to continue that run and actually finish Jonathan Pierce in round one."
WIN vs Westin Wilson
KO (punches) R1 2:54 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 30 73% 24 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:08
Westin Wilson 0 4 of 8 50% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 30 73% 24 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:08
Westin Wilson 0 4 of 8 50% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 22 of 30 73% 21 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 10 3 of 3 14 of 17
Westin Wilson 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 3 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 22 of 30 73% 21 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 10 3 of 3 14 of 17
Westin Wilson 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 3 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Westin Wilson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-1400), Wilson (+850)

Round 1
The biggest betting favorite on the card by a country mile, Brito (14-3-1, 2-1 UFC) at -1400 odds is widely expected to blaze through his short-notice replacement foe. Rather than fighting Khusein Askhabov, the well-traveled Wilson (16-7, 0-0 UFC) steps in for his UFC debut as around a +800 underdog. The sport is a wild one and even massive favorites can lose – just look at Kutateladze earlier tonight – and Wilson does celebrate a 100% finish rate across his 16 pro victories. Referee Chris Tognoni will need to be on his A-game for what should be a fast and furious affair for as long as it lasts. Before the two featherweights engage, they touch gloves to signal they are glad to be competing tonight. Brito is the one to push the pace early, and Wilson fades back and eats a right hand. Brito wings another overhand right, and Wilson is out of the way in time. The karate style and stance from Wilson works against him, as Brito busts him in the chops with a pair of furious hooks. Wilson wobbles back to the fence, and Brito is so aggressive that Wilson grabs him to slow him down. Brito wings a right hand over the top, and Wilson responds with a potential trip attempt. Brito presses Wilson tightly on the fence, and he takes a knee to the chest. Brito slings him to the mat, and Wilson pulls on the cage with his toes. Brito lands in side control, keeping his shoulder pressed tightly on the Utah native. Wilson is again warned for grabbing the fence, and Brito stands up and grabs it to fight off a sudden, unexpected leglock. Tognoni swats his fingers out of the fence, and Brito drops down and busts Wilson in the face with a right hand.
Wilson latches on to a sudden kneebar, and Brito pushes off and batters Wilson with thunderous right hands. As Wilson hangs on, rolled to his side with the submission no longer a serious option, Brito does not let him off the hook. “Tubarao” concludes his bombardment with fierce flurry of fists, and Tognoni jumps in to stop the fight as Wilson’s lights go out.
The enormous favorite made short work of the late replacement, having now performed three first-round finishes in a row. An energized Brito loudly and angrily calls out Dan Ige for a future fight, flipping off double birds and calling for a main event spot. If not Ige, he will also take Alex Caceres, as he is very interested in a ranked adversary.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Westin Wilson R1 2:54 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito to win inside the distance. He describes Brito as an absolute savage with fast, athletic striking and solid top pressure. He believes Westin Wilson, despite high fight IQ, is outmatched by Brito's size, strength, and aggression. He plans to parlay Brito if under -400 or bet the finish prop.

parlay if under -400, otherwise by finish prop
"I think Joanna some Frito wins this fight I think he wins inside the distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito to win by first-round knockout, calling it one of the most lopsided matchups he's ever seen. He notes Wilson has no takedown defense, poor striking defense, and has been knocked out several times. Brito is a black belt in BJJ with power and can finish anywhere. Brady expects a finish within the first 60 seconds.

first round knockout
"I think Rita wins this fight probably within the first 60 seconds one of the most lopsided matchups I've ever seen in my life"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody is very confident Brito wins, likely by submission. He notes Brito's significant advantages in striking, wrestling, and grappling. Wilson is a regional fighter making his UFC debut at 34, with losses to lower-level competition. Cody thinks Brito will take him down and submit him, possibly by rear-naked choke. He prefers the submission prop at +200.

Brito by submission at +200
"burrito by sub would be the play there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel confidently picks Brito to finish Wilson, predicting a first-round submission. He notes Brito's high ceiling, as praised by UFC matchmakers, and his dangerous grappling. He sees Wilson as a 'kill or be killed' fighter who will be outmatched physically and technically. He expects Brito to dominate wherever the fight goes, and calls it a mismatch.

first round submission
"Joe Anderson burrito is going to come out here and finish Weston Wilson"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul agrees Brito wins inside the distance, likely by KO. He notes the huge disparity in experience and skill, with Wilson being a career regional fighter. Paul thinks Brito will knock him out by backing him up and landing a big shot. He mentions Brito's cauliflower ears as a sign of his toughness.

Brito by KO at -125
"burrito by KO is minus 125"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, noting his momentum with two wins in a row over decent competition, including a KO and a submission. He believes Brito's grappling will be too much for Westin Wilson, who trains at Upstate Karate with Stephen Thompson but has a tendency to give up his back. He predicts a rear-naked choke submission in the first round.

submission in the first round, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna have to go with Johannes and Britto here... I reckon he'll get this one done by submission in the first round renaked choke"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:02 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lucas Alexander vs. Joanderson Brito
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-350), Alexander (+255)

Round 1
The action ticks up one notch as we move to the featherweight division. After a veritable revolving door of opponents, heavy-handed Brazilian finisher Brito (13-3-1, 1-1 UFC) now squares off against fellow countryman Alexander (7-2, 0-0 UFC) in the latter’s UFC debut. While both are the same age, Brito holds greater high-level experience, having fought up through the LFA to DWCS and then the UFC. Meanwhile, his opponent comes in on a five-fight win streak, with most of those victories coming in Florida-based leagues. The third man in the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is a touch of gloves to get things started. Brito immediately starts racing forward, and he wings a low kick that comes up short. Alexander responds with one that lands, but he already finds himself backed up to the cage and ducking a haymaker. Brito bears down on him and loads up on right hands, and he ducks a head kick by a matter of millimeters and allows Alexander to fall to the mat. Brito lifts his man up and slams him down, and then does this a second time when Alexander gets to his knees. Brito knees the thigh a few times before scooping “The Lion” up and dropping him down once more. When Alexander moves back to his feet, Brito jumps on his back to serve as a malicious backpack, while setting up some form of a rear-naked choke.
Brito tightens his legs around the waist and switches his arms to sink his right forearm under the chin. The choke is instantly tight and Brito has plenty of energy to crush it like a vice, and he drags the newcomer from behind down to the ground to make the submission purely academic. Barely one second after they hit the mat, and Alexander taps out frantically from the maneuver, as he would likely go out if the grip remained tight for too much longer.
Tubular work for "Tubarao" Brito, who now posts an even number of knockouts and submissions on his ledger while lifting his finish rate above 85%.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Lucas Alexander R1 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.

"burrito's got this one so sign me up for Joe Anderson."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.

"I'd be surprised if you're picking the other side... Brito is an absolute Powerhouse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.

prediction: first-round KO
"first round KO for Joe Anderson Brita I really do"
Lucas Alexander - Fight History
LOSS vs Bogdan Grad
KO R2 4:22 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bogdan Grad 0 46 of 66 69% 59 of 86 3 of 8 37% 0 0 4:18
Lucas Alexander 0 34 of 52 65% 47 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bogdan Grad 0 5 of 9 55% 13 of 20 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:17
Lucas Alexander 0 15 of 23 65% 28 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:13
2 Bogdan Grad 0 41 of 57 71% 46 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
Lucas Alexander 0 19 of 29 65% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bogdan Grad 46 of 66 69% 42 of 60 1 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 18 3 of 4 34 of 44
Lucas Alexander 34 of 52 65% 19 of 37 7 of 7 8 of 8 29 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bogdan Grad 5 of 9 55% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 15 of 23 65% 10 of 18 1 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3
2 Bogdan Grad 41 of 57 71% 37 of 52 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 10 2 of 3 34 of 44
Lucas Alexander 19 of 29 65% 9 of 19 6 of 6 4 of 4 18 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Bogdan Grad

Angelo picks Bogdan Grad because of his well-rounded skills, methodical approach, and high finishing rate (11 stoppages in 14 wins). He notes that Lucas Alexander is dangerous but coming off a KO loss to a low-level opponent. He believes Grad's control and pace will be mistaken for inability to finish, but Grad finds finishes without being reckless.

"I am picking Bogden grad here Lucas Alexander is somebody who can be finished I do think Lucas is good though and Lucas can be dangerous I'm going Bogden"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Big Brady likes Lucas Alexander's striking and thinks he trains with good guys. He notes Alexander has been submitted three times and has questionable takedown defense, but believes Alexander will piece up Bogdan Grad across three rounds. Grad is tough and has heart but is a walking punching bag. Brady would have liked Alexander more at +170 but thinks pick 'em is about accurate.

"I'm leaning Alexander here I don't think grad's gonna have a ton of success with the wrestling maybe he can mix in a takedown here or there but I do think it's going to be Alexander just pretty much piecing …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Alexander's Muay Thai striking and ability to fight from both stances will allow him to pick apart Grad's erratic style. Grad's explosivity and grappling may cause early trouble, but Alexander's technical striking and work off the back foot should secure a decision win.

"Alexander fighting from both stances and well off of his back foot will do a good enough job in terms of striking straight down the pipe against the more erratic style of Grad and that will lead to him picking …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Bogdan Grad

The MMA Guru picks Bogdan Grad, believing he is good enough on the feet to hang with Lucas Alexander and will have a takedown threat advantage. He notes Alexander is coming off a first-round TKO loss and has been out for over a year. He thinks Grad can get the job done early.

"I'm actually going to go with Bogdan grad... I think the takedown threat's going to be there and I think it's in advantage of him"
LOSS vs Jeka Saragih
KO (punches) R1 1:31 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeka Saragih 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Lucas Alexander 0 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeka Saragih 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Lucas Alexander 0 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeka Saragih 4 of 9 44% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3
Lucas Alexander 11 of 16 68% 6 of 10 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeka Saragih 4 of 9 44% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3
Lucas Alexander 11 of 16 68% 6 of 10 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Angelo picks Lucas Alexander, citing his superior technique, BJJ, and high-level experience. He notes that both fighters have one-punch power but believes Lucas is better everywhere. He mentions the odds at 3-to-1 seem a little wide because Jeka could end it at any moment, but still expects Lucas to win.

Odds comment: 3-to-1 on Lucas seems a little wide
"Lucas Alexander is going to be better here he's just going to be the better fighter he's going to have the same power as Jaa but better technique better BJJ more highlevel experience"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Big Brady notes that Saragih looked terrible against Anshul Jubilee and that Alexander has heavy kicks, including breaking someone's arm. He thinks Alexander is the much better striker and will break Saragih down with leg kicks, leading to an attritional TKO. He predicts a third-round knockout, noting Saragih is dangerous early but Alexander has never been knocked out.

"I'm going to take Lucas Alexander to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Cody picks Lucas Alexander confidently, citing his performance against Steve Peterson and Saragih's poor showing against Anheliger. He notes Saragih's one-dimensional striking and poor wrestling. Alexander is stronger, more dynamic, and can win by striking or grappling.

"Lucas Alexander absolutely rolles seems pretty clear to me"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Alexander is a technical striker with good anticipation and counter striking. He uses calf kicks and accurate punches to pick apart opponents. Saragih is reckless and lacks technical acumen, though he has durability. Alexander will chip away from distance and land big shots, likely winning by decision. Saragih's recklessness could lead to a knockout, but Alexander's power may not finish him.

"give me Lucas Alexander and I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Paul picks Alexander, noting Saragih's flat-footed style and poor takedown defense. He believes Alexander's power and grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Saragih's only chance is a puncher's chance, but Alexander is the better fighter.

"I'm gonna take Lucas Alexander"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

The MMA Guru picks Lucas Alexander over Jeka Saragih, despite admitting he doubted Alexander early in his career. He criticizes Saragih as a 'diversity hire' who lost in the Road to UFC tournament final but got into the UFC anyway. He notes Alexander's reach and height advantage and expects him to score a decision win by keeping the fight rangy.

"I'm going to go Lucas Alexander... reach advantage, height advantage, going to keep it rangy on the feet, I reckon he'll be able to score his way to a decision win 30-27."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lucas Alexander 0 26 of 101 25% 27 of 102 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:31
Steven Peterson 1 85 of 158 53% 86 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lucas Alexander 0 11 of 34 32% 11 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 24 of 41 58% 24 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Lucas Alexander 0 8 of 31 25% 8 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Steven Peterson 0 27 of 54 50% 27 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Lucas Alexander 0 7 of 36 19% 8 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
Steven Peterson 1 34 of 63 53% 35 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lucas Alexander 26 of 101 25% 8 of 67 9 of 18 9 of 16 25 of 99 1 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 85 of 158 53% 43 of 108 20 of 27 22 of 23 78 of 142 1 of 1 6 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lucas Alexander 11 of 34 32% 2 of 18 4 of 6 5 of 10 10 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 24 of 41 58% 12 of 26 5 of 7 7 of 8 24 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lucas Alexander 8 of 31 25% 4 of 23 1 of 4 3 of 4 8 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 27 of 54 50% 10 of 35 6 of 8 11 of 11 27 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lucas Alexander 7 of 36 19% 2 of 26 4 of 8 1 of 2 7 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 34 of 63 53% 21 of 47 9 of 12 4 of 4 27 of 47 1 of 1 6 of 15
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.

"Stephen Peterson's going to be the pick but at no offense to Steve Peterson because this guy's great I can't trust him with my money."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.

Peterson by submission in round 3
"I'm gonna say Peterson by submission I think that could be a sneaky way to look at it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.

Fight goes to decision
"If I needed to squeeze another Underdog I feel like I would take that shot on Lucas Alexander"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I'm going to take Peterson too."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.

"Stephen Peterson should be the play he should be able to out tough this guy do what he does throw volume in his face."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.

"I expect the speed slick striking in calf kicking game of Lucas Alexander to come through in this matchup and get his hand raised"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.

"I'm going with Stephen Peterson here... I actually like Stephen Peterson here to drag this into deep Waters have a scrap with Lucas Alexander and win this fight by like 30 27 30-26 decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.

Odds: Peterson opened at -170, currently -164; Alexander opened at +145, currently +133. Zane thinks the odds are about right.
"I'm kind of inclined to pick Peterson for like the veteran pace fighter pick."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:02 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lucas Alexander vs. Joanderson Brito
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-350), Alexander (+255)

Round 1
The action ticks up one notch as we move to the featherweight division. After a veritable revolving door of opponents, heavy-handed Brazilian finisher Brito (13-3-1, 1-1 UFC) now squares off against fellow countryman Alexander (7-2, 0-0 UFC) in the latter’s UFC debut. While both are the same age, Brito holds greater high-level experience, having fought up through the LFA to DWCS and then the UFC. Meanwhile, his opponent comes in on a five-fight win streak, with most of those victories coming in Florida-based leagues. The third man in the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is a touch of gloves to get things started. Brito immediately starts racing forward, and he wings a low kick that comes up short. Alexander responds with one that lands, but he already finds himself backed up to the cage and ducking a haymaker. Brito bears down on him and loads up on right hands, and he ducks a head kick by a matter of millimeters and allows Alexander to fall to the mat. Brito lifts his man up and slams him down, and then does this a second time when Alexander gets to his knees. Brito knees the thigh a few times before scooping “The Lion” up and dropping him down once more. When Alexander moves back to his feet, Brito jumps on his back to serve as a malicious backpack, while setting up some form of a rear-naked choke.
Brito tightens his legs around the waist and switches his arms to sink his right forearm under the chin. The choke is instantly tight and Brito has plenty of energy to crush it like a vice, and he drags the newcomer from behind down to the ground to make the submission purely academic. Barely one second after they hit the mat, and Alexander taps out frantically from the maneuver, as he would likely go out if the grip remained tight for too much longer.
Tubular work for "Tubarao" Brito, who now posts an even number of knockouts and submissions on his ledger while lifting his finish rate above 85%.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Lucas Alexander R1 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.

"burrito's got this one so sign me up for Joe Anderson."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.

"I'd be surprised if you're picking the other side... Brito is an absolute Powerhouse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.

prediction: first-round KO
"first round KO for Joe Anderson Brita I really do"
Expert Picks (3)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.

"burrito's got this one so sign me up for Joe Anderson."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.

"I'd be surprised if you're picking the other side... Brito is an absolute Powerhouse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.

prediction: first-round KO
"first round KO for Joe Anderson Brita I really do"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

having to fight a 145 brito is not easy lol