Career Averages - Duško Todorović
Career Averages - Jordan Wright
Duško Todorović
Jordan Wright
Duško Todorović - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Daniel Medina | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 27 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Daniel Medina | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 27 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Daniel Medina | 9 of 25 | 36% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Daniel Medina | 9 of 25 | 36% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dusko because he is the more well-rounded guy and has fought better competition. He calls the odds 'stupid as hell' and says there's no way Dusko wins 74 out of 100 times. He notes Medina is a ground-and-pound fighter with decent striking but not particularly fast or powerful, while Dusko is a technical striker with power and takedowns, though his chin is questionable. He says neither guy is very good.
Big Brady picks Todorović despite his poor chin and striking defense, because Medina is even worse. He notes Todorović has good wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Medina has 31% takedown defense and no ground game. He predicts Todorović wins by second-round TKO via ground-and-pound.
Despite Todorovic's durability issues, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He expects Todorovic to utilize his grappling, control Medina from top position, and eventually secure a submission.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Duško Todorović, noting he is a -325 favorite in 2025, which he sees as a clear sign. He dismisses José Medina as lacking power, athleticism, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, calling him a 'flabby big Latin guy' who shouldn't be in the UFC. He believes Todorović is more well-rounded and a better fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 0 | 50 of 108 | 46% | 73 of 135 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 73 of 109 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 5:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 19 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 31 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 3:01 | |
| 2 | Zachary Reese | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 25 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 18 of 29 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 | |
| 3 | Zachary Reese | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 29 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Reese | 50 of 108 | 46% | 21 of 72 | 20 of 23 | 9 of 13 | 43 of 98 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 35 of 65 | 53% | 22 of 50 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 50 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zachary Reese | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 10 of 15 | 66% | 8 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | |
| 2 | Zachary Reese | 17 of 30 | 56% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 8 of 16 | 50% | 2 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Zachary Reese | 27 of 67 | 40% | 11 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 6 of 9 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 17 of 34 | 50% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.
Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.
Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.
The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.
Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 29 of 51 | 56% | 27 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 37 |
| Duško Todorović | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 29 of 51 | 56% | 27 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 37 |
| Duško Todorović | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.
Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.
Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.
Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.
Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.
Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.
Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 9 of 14 | 64% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 9 of 14 | 64% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.
Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.
Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.
Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.
Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.
Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.
Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.
The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 66 of 83 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 5:03 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 61 of 80 | 76% | 107 of 132 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 58 of 62 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 58 of 77 | 75% | 103 of 128 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 25 of 41 | 60% | 20 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 18 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 14 |
| Jordan Wright | 61 of 80 | 76% | 49 of 68 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 29 | 28 of 31 | 14 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 17 of 20 | 85% | 16 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 14 |
| Jordan Wright | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Duško Todorović | 8 of 21 | 38% | 4 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 58 of 77 | 75% | 48 of 67 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 28 | 26 of 29 | 14 of 20 |
Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.
Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.
Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.
Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.
Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.
Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.
The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.
Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chidi Njokuani | 1 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 19 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 9 of 11 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chidi Njokuani | 1 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 19 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 9 of 11 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chidi Njokuani | 14 of 17 | 82% | 3 of 4 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chidi Njokuani | 14 of 17 | 82% | 3 of 4 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani because of his power, speed, and distance control. He notes that Todorović has questions about his chin and that Njokuani has solid takedown defense. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside the distance, as he expects a finish.
Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout, citing Todorović's horrendous striking defense and tendency to keep his hands down. He notes Njokuani has power and improved takedown defense. He acknowledges Njokuani has been finished in the past but believes he has improved. He expects the fight to stay standing and Njokuani to land a knockout early.
Cody is impressed with Njokuani's improvements in grappling and cardio, noting his recent knockout of Marc-André Barriault. He highlights Todorović's poor head movement and susceptibility to getting hit, as seen in the Punahele Soriano fight. He believes Njokuani's striking acumen and upgraded ground game will lead to a finish, likely in the first two rounds.
The host predicts Duško Todorović via decision. He expects Todorović to control the fight by keeping Njokuani still and against the cage, leading to a potentially boring fight with a lot of control time. He is not fully confident, as he questions the pick slightly when discussing totals, but his official prediction is Todorović by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, saying Njokuani's striking and improved cardio should be enough. He notes Todorović's defensive liabilities and that Njokuani likely lands a big strike in the first two rounds. He hates the moneyline at -220 but still picks Chidi.
The MMA Guru is very confident in Chidi Njokuani, citing his reach advantage and experience. He notes Duško Todorović leaves his chin up when exiting exchanges, and Njokuani's reach will allow him to land cleanly. He predicts a first-round KO for Njokuani.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 67 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maki Pitolo | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 67 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 13 of 29 | 44% | 5 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 30 of 53 | 56% | 28 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 30 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 13 of 29 | 44% | 5 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maki Pitolo | 30 of 53 | 56% | 28 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 30 |
Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.
Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.
Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.
Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.
Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.
I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.
Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.
The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 37 of 120 | 30% | 46 of 133 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 71 of 150 | 47% | 73 of 153 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 10 of 36 | 27% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 20 of 46 | 43% | 22 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 23 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 3 | Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 14 of 47 | 29% | 18 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 28 of 60 | 46% | 28 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 37 of 120 | 30% | 23 of 103 | 10 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 106 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 71 of 150 | 47% | 49 of 120 | 19 of 24 | 3 of 6 | 63 of 136 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 10 of 36 | 27% | 8 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 20 of 46 | 43% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gregory Rodrigues | 13 of 37 | 35% | 6 of 29 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 31 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 23 of 44 | 52% | 16 of 35 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gregory Rodrigues | 14 of 47 | 29% | 9 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 40 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Duško Todorović | 28 of 60 | 46% | 19 of 46 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 25 of 52 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady sees many red flags in Todorović's striking defense (45%) and notes he fights with his hands down and chin up. He points out Todorović was knocked out by Punahele Soriano after getting clipped repeatedly. He believes Rodrigues hits very hard and will knock Todorović out, likely in the first round. He acknowledges both have poor defense but favors Rodrigues' power.
Cody picks Dusko but is hesitant, noting his poor defense and tendency to get hit. He thinks Dusko's output and cardio could win if he survives the first round. Cody also mentions Gregory Rodrigues' BJJ background but notes he prefers striking. He likes the under 1.5 rounds as a live bet opportunity.
Daniel leans Todorović due to his UFC experience and full camp, but acknowledges the fight could go either way. He praises Todorović's boxing in the pocket, ground and pound, and athleticism, but criticizes his habit of fighting with his hands down and relying on head movement. Daniel notes that Gregory Rodrigues hits hard and has good jiu-jitsu, but questions his cardio and competition level. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision, and is not confident enough to bet on Todorović at chalk.
Paul picks Dusko but is hesitant due to both fighters' suspect chins. He notes Dusko's output and cardio but worries about his durability after the Soriano knockout. Paul thinks Dusko can win if he survives the early exchanges. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Duško Todorović but expresses worry about his defensive flaws, particularly the way he rears his head back. He thinks Gregory Rodrigues hasn't fought good competition and lost to Jordan Williams on the contender series. He believes Todorović will wear Rodrigues down and finish by TKO in the second round, but acknowledges a chance Rodrigues catches him early due to Todorović's weird striking defense.
Jordan Wright - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Pauga | 0 | 29 of 78 | 37% | 199 of 261 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 59 of 85 | 69% | 85 of 114 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 8:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zac Pauga | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 55 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 22 of 26 | 84% | 43 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:32 | |
| 2 | Zac Pauga | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 105 of 122 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:27 | |
| 3 | Zac Pauga | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 39 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Pauga | 29 of 78 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 13 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 65 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 59 of 85 | 69% | 31 of 54 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 42 | 38 of 43 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zac Pauga | 5 of 7 | 71% | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 22 of 26 | 84% | 8 of 11 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zac Pauga | 7 of 19 | 36% | 5 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 15 of 22 | 68% | 10 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zac Pauga | 17 of 52 | 32% | 9 of 36 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 22 of 37 | 59% | 13 of 27 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Pauga, citing his strong wrestling and low stance. He notes Pauga went up to heavyweight for TUF but is a natural light heavyweight. Jordan Wright has a 100% finish rate but is on a three-fight losing streak by stoppage and has a weak chin. Angelo thinks Pauga will wrestle and win, but there's no value in the betting line so he won't bet.
Big Brady is picking Jordan Wright for the upset, despite never picking him before. He notes that Pauga was knocked out by Muhammad Usman, who is not a power puncher, and that Pauga has only a 20% finish rate. He believes Wright is dangerous in the first two minutes and should come out aggressively rather than wrestling, as his cardio is poor. He predicts a first-round knockout for Wright.
Cody picks Pauga but is terrified of the -270 line. He notes Jordan Wright has only 5-6 minutes of cardio and is an under machine, but Pauga isn't a big finisher. He says Wright can absolutely get finishes early, so he'll watch weigh-ins closely. He compares Wright to Terence McKinney as a 50/50 fighter who either finishes early or gets pieced up. He also mentions Pauga got knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before, so he's not confident.
Connor picks Wright because he thinks the move to light heavyweight could benefit Wright's speed and power, and Pauga is inexperienced and slow. However, he acknowledges Wright's mental fragility and tendency to panic. He picks Wright to win by first-round KO, but says he wouldn't bet on it.
Jacob picks Pauga but is a Jordan Wright fan. He thinks Wright's chin is gone and his blitzing style leaves him open. Pauga's wrestling and power at 205 should be too much. Jacob played the under 1.5 rounds and feels good about it, though he cautions both are coming off knockout losses. He expects Wright to get knocked out again.
Pauga has better cardio and a more complete MMA game, while Wright fades after the first round and has durability issues. Pauga can survive the early storm and then take over with grappling and pressure, finishing Wright via ground and pound in the second or third round.
Paul agrees with Cody, calling Jordan Wright a lost fighter with no cardio or durability. He details Wright's pattern of starting fast but fading and getting finished. He notes Pauga has excellent cardio, trains at altitude, and has enough striking to pressure Wright. However, he says the -270 line is too high for a guy with one UFC win who got knocked out. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at -350 as a parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Zac Pauga, citing his takedown defense from The Ultimate Fighter and his size advantage. He criticizes Jordan Wright's poor decision-making and quick turnaround after a KO loss. He believes Pauga is patient and can catch Wright with a counter shot after Wright gets reckless in round two, predicting a KO. He notes the possibility of an upset but trusts Pauga's chin more.
Zane picks Pauga because Jordan Wright has a history of panicking and losing focus when he doesn't finish early. Wright is dangerous early but fades and makes defensive mistakes. Pauga is raw but has a takedown game and can survive the initial storm. Zane notes that Wright's move to light heavyweight seems desperate and may not fix his mental issues.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 66 of 83 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 5:03 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 61 of 80 | 76% | 107 of 132 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 58 of 62 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Duško Todorović | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 58 of 77 | 75% | 103 of 128 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duško Todorović | 25 of 41 | 60% | 20 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 18 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 14 |
| Jordan Wright | 61 of 80 | 76% | 49 of 68 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 29 | 28 of 31 | 14 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duško Todorović | 17 of 20 | 85% | 16 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 14 |
| Jordan Wright | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Duško Todorović | 8 of 21 | 38% | 4 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 58 of 77 | 75% | 48 of 67 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 28 | 26 of 29 | 14 of 20 |
Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.
Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.
Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.
Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.
Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.
Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.
The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.
Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 16 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 16 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 12 of 13 | 92% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Jordan Wright | 13 of 17 | 76% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 12 of 13 | 92% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Jordan Wright | 13 of 17 | 76% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo leans Jordan Wright, calling it closer to a coin flip. He notes Wright is more dangerous but Barriault is the better fighter. He is concerned that Barriault may not have fully recovered from a KO loss less than 90 days ago, and that this is short notice. He mentions Wright's ridiculous striking differential (lands and gets hit over 8 strikes per minute).
Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by knockout, citing his durability and more paths to victory. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor defense and chin, while Barriault is typically durable and more defensively sound. He expects Barriault to weather the early storm and finish Wright late in the first round.
Cody picks Wright, citing Barriault's recent knockout loss and questionable chin. He notes Wright's early aggression and power, and that Barriault is taking the fight on short notice at a catchweight. He thinks Wright's best chance is a first-round KO and likes the knockout prop.
The host picks Marc-André Barriault to win, including him in a parlay with Guida and Andrade. He acknowledges that Jordan Wright could win but suggests playing Wright's KO line instead of a straight bet.
Paul leans Barriault but low priority. He acknowledges Wright's early KO threat but thinks if Barriault survives the first round, his grinding style will take over. He notes Barriault's durability before the last fight and expects him to wear on Wright.
The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright, criticizing Barriault for fighting just two months after a brutal KO. He believes Wright is a fast starter and will finish Barriault early, especially at catchweight where Wright doesn't have to cut much. He notes Wright's size and reach advantage. He adds that if Wright doesn't finish in the first, Barriault might take over, but he expects an early KO. He calls Barriault's decision to fight again 'stupid'.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 20 of 26 | 76% | 22 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Jordan Wright | 1 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 0 | 20 of 26 | 76% | 22 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Jordan Wright | 1 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 20 of 26 | 76% | 9 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 19 of 29 | 65% | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 20 of 26 | 76% | 9 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 19 of 29 | 65% | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 11 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Violence is the main ingredient for this next dish also at 185 pounds, when “Blindado” Silva (21-6, 2-0 UFC) aims to secure his seventh knockout in a row at the expense of “The Beverly Hills Ninja” Wright (12-1, 1 NC; 2-1 UFC). Fists and feet will surely fly until one falls, and it is not expected that this one will go the distance – it is +400 on that line now. Strapped in is 2021 World MMA Award winner for best referee, Herb Dean, who will undoubtedly have his hands full for as long as it lasts. Silva immediately begins to stalk Wright down, but the American is staying at safe range on the outside with high and low kicks. Silva thumps one to the knee, and Wright fires back with a pair to the body. A head kick from Wright may have rattled Silva, leading Silva to charge in recklessly. The two start slugging it out, cracking each other with little interest in defense, until Wright ties him up and starts kneeing him in the chest. One may have bounced off the cup, and Silva protests but he does not get the stoppage. Silva gets angry, and suddenly in a rage he nails Wright with a short flurry of punches.
A few right hands behind the ear, and a brutal left-right combo rattle Wright, who falls back across the cage. Silva darts after him, knowing the finish is close, and he clubs Wright with a few blows to knock “The Beverly Hills Ninja” down to the canvas. Dean gives Wright every bit of leeway to recover and get his wits about him, as Wright rolls around to try to grab hold of Silva’s leg or do something on the ground in desperation. All the while, “Blindado” lords over him and continues to clobber Wright with vicious strikes until Dean has no choice to finally step in
, thereby making official Silva’s seventh knockout in a row.
The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Jordan Wright R1 1:28 via TKO (Punches)
Big Brady is confident in Bruno Silva winning by first-round knockout. He highlights that both fighters have poor striking defense and high finish rates, but Silva has never been knocked out and hits extremely hard. Wright has a questionable chin and keeps his chin high, making him vulnerable. Brady expects Silva to pressure Wright against the cage and land heavy combinations. He also notes the fight doesn't go to decision line is minus 450, indicating high finish probability.
Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva to knock out Jordan Wright. He praises Silva's body work, knees, and finishing ability, noting his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov. Levi criticizes Wright's durability, saying he can give but not take shots. He expects Silva to land a body shot that puts Wright down. Levi is confident in Silva's power and pressure.
The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by third-round TKO. He believes Silva is more technically sound on the feet and has better cardio. He notes Wright's tendency to slow down after the first round and Silva's ability to pressure and land body shots. He predicts a war early, with Silva taking over in later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 1 | 26 of 32 | 81% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 1 | 26 of 32 | 81% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 26 of 32 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 9 of 14 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 26 of 32 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 9 of 14 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.
The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.
The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Buckley | 2 | 43 of 80 | 53% | 59 of 96 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 36 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquin Buckley | 1 | 36 of 69 | 52% | 52 of 85 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Joaquin Buckley | 1 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Buckley | 43 of 80 | 53% | 31 of 63 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 10 |
| Jordan Wright | 18 of 47 | 38% | 5 of 32 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquin Buckley | 36 of 69 | 52% | 25 of 53 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 10 |
| Jordan Wright | 17 of 42 | 40% | 5 of 28 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joaquin Buckley | 7 of 11 | 63% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Wright | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hold on to your hats, ladies and gentlemen, for this next one at middleweight. Two spectacular finishers are up next, as Buckley (11-3, 1-1 UFC) makes a quick turnaround after his sure-fire “Knockout of the Year”-winning knockout against Wright (11-0, 1 NC; 1-0 UFC), with the latter posting a 100 percent finish rate of his own. Looking to not get knocked out by errant blows is referee Herb Dean, and the brawlers do not touch gloves before throwing down. Wright comes at him and quickly clinches up, and when Buckley breaks away, Wright tries to knee him in the head. Buckley backs away and rushes in with a pair of looping punches, and his forward momentum puts the two back in the clinch. Buckley holds him tight before dropping for a double leg takedown, and Wright stands him up until they separate again. Wright lands a right hand, and Buckley counters with his own left hook. This same combination occurs again, and Buckley is putting everything he has into these punches. Buckley slings a head kick, and “The Beverly Hills Ninja” blocks it and gets pushed into the fence with another clinch. Buckley holds him there by grabbing the fence and putting his hands over the top, and Dean won’t let it happen as he chides “New Mansa.” The separation once more leads into Buckley swinging too hard with punches, and Wright lets loose a head kick. Buckley charges like a runaway truck and throws bombs, but Wright stays composed, rolls with the strikes, and keeps kicking. The unbeaten fighter scores a head kick that wobbles Buckley, and counters a rampaging Buckley with a check knee that delays the attack for long enough to allow Wright to back away. Wright scores an uppercut as Buckle charges in, and he just misses a head kick. The telegraphed strike from “New Mansa” allow Wright to get out of harm’s way, and he times another knee when Buckley comes at him. Wright keeps his distance with a body kick, and he partially absorbs a few punches. Buckley lets loose with everything he has, hurting Wright with punches and sending the undefeated fighter tumbling to the canvas. Buckley unleashes a furious storm of heavy punches, but he cannot finish the fight before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Round 2
Buckley steps forward from his corner to land a straight left hand, and Wright has not yet recovered from the punishment he absorbed at the end of Round 1. Buckley notices this, and he plows forward with a long left as Wright kicks him in the body backing up.
As part of a combination, Buckley fires off a deadly left hook that snaps Wright’s head back, and a right hand that follows is unnecessary as Wright’s knees abandon him completely. The undefeated fighter falls to the canvas, and Dean knows he is done as Buckley walks off; Wright is no longer unbeaten.
Although not quite as spectacular as his performance that the promotion interrupted Bruce Buffer’s introduction to play, Buckley has now recorded another highlight reel knockout over an undefeated fighter in devastating fashion.
The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Jordan Wright R2 0:18 via KO (Punch)
Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley to win by first-round knockout. He notes Buckley has better experience and competition, while Wright's early wins were against low-level opponents. He thinks Buckley's pressure and the small cage will be key, and Wright doesn't like being hit.
Daniel picks Buckley, citing his aggressive pressure and power. He notes the '50k curse' but believes Buckley's forward pressure will break Wright's karate style. He also mentions Buckley's wrestling and durability, though he expects a tougher fight than some anticipate.
The host picks Jordan Wright to win by first or second round KO, despite acknowledging it's a surprising pick. He thinks the line on Buckley is skewed by his viral knockout, and that Wright has a size advantage and better game plan. He recommends against parlaying Buckley.
The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley to win by TKO (haymaker) in the first round. He notes Wright is moving down from light heavyweight and will have an adjustment period, and that Wright's competition has been weak. He expects Buckley to catch Wright with a big hook early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 0 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 23 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Ike Villanueva | 1 | 15 of 15 | 100% | 21 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 0 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 23 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Ike Villanueva | 1 | 15 of 15 | 100% | 21 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 7 of 7 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 15 of 15 | 100% | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 12 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 7 of 7 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ike Villanueva | 15 of 15 | 100% | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 12 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Jordan Wright to win by knockout, expecting an early finish. He is not impressed with Ike Villanueva, who looked awful against Chase Sherman, landing only 20 strikes before getting knocked out. Wright is faster and has power, though he has fought mostly nobodies. Wright is coming up from 185 to 205, but Brady likes his style and expects him to land a shot and finish Villanueva.
Daniel Levi picks Ike Villanueva to win by knockout. He notes that Jordan Wright is too small for light heavyweight, weighing in at 200 pounds, and lacks the toughness to compete in the UFC. Levi believes Villanueva has better size and experience, and that this is likely the only fight Villanueva will win in his UFC career. He expects a sloppy fight but sees Villanueva's power and durability as decisive.
Wright is explosive, fast, and has knockout power, while Villanueva is 36 and was just finished by Chase Sherman. Wright's speed and footwork should be too much for Villanueva, who has durability issues. Expect a first-round KO from Wright. If Wright comes out as an underdog, he might be worth a small bet.
The MMA Guru picks Jorge Gonzalez (Jordan Wright) over Ike Villanueva, criticizing Villanueva's poor UFC debut against Chase Sherman and his 16-10 record. He praises Gonzalez's competition, including a win over undefeated Marcos Rodriguez via first-round rear-naked choke, and predicts a first-round submission or TKO.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.
Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.
Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.
Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.
Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.
Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.
The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.
Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.
Dusko got the sub at 6.0 easy
Does Tod get the sub or ko. Hardly goes to decision