UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 32
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 2"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Duško Todorović
4.73 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
4.4 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.77 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jordan Wright
4.1 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
6.03 SApM
31.0% Str. Def.
2.09 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Duško Todorović
Moneyline
Caesars -210
Jordan Wright
Moneyline
DraftKings +190
KO/TKO
BetRivers +310
Submission
BetRivers +1200
Decision
DraftKings +1600
Duško Todorović - Fight History
SCHED vs Robert Valentin
Submission R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jose Medina vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Todorovic (-300); Medina (+250)

Round 1
Dan Miragliotta is the referee. Both fighters working behind their jabs. Todorovic pressures and clinches behind a left hand. Todorovic grinds away here, but Medina is able to free himself. Both men land jabs. A straight right from Todorovic counters a Medina low kick. Todorovic shoves Medina back into the fence, where he lands a shoulder strike. Medina is already cut as they’re back at range. Medina lands a combination. Todorovic clinches behind a right, then shoves his foe away. A right connects for Medina, but Todorovic answers with a combination to the body. Todorovic follows another hard right into the clinch. He presses Medina into the wire, landing some short shots. A knee to the midsection lands for Todorovic, who takes Medina down. The Bolivian stands and Todorovic wants to take the back.
They go back to the floor and Todorovic gets both hooks in and slides his arm under the chin. The choke is tight and Medina has no choice but to tap out.
That snaps a three-fight skid for the Serbian.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Jose Media via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R1 4:21
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Dusko because he is the more well-rounded guy and has fought better competition. He calls the odds 'stupid as hell' and says there's no way Dusko wins 74 out of 100 times. He notes Medina is a ground-and-pound fighter with decent striking but not particularly fast or powerful, while Dusko is a technical striker with power and takedowns, though his chin is questionable. He says neither guy is very good.

Odds are stupid as hell
"I'm going to pick Dusco because he is the more well-rounded guy. He's fought the better slate of competition."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Todorović despite his poor chin and striking defense, because Medina is even worse. He notes Todorović has good wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Medina has 31% takedown defense and no ground game. He predicts Todorović wins by second-round TKO via ground-and-pound.

Second round TKO
"I'm going to say Dusk wins this fight and wins it by second round TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor also picks Todorović but is hesitant because Todorović's technique doesn't survive resistance. He notes that Medina is tough but has no power, and Todorović has been one-shot KO'd before. He says it's a testament to how low-level the matchup is that he isn't 100% certain.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I'm gonna do the same but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Despite Todorovic's durability issues, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He expects Todorovic to utilize his grappling, control Medina from top position, and eventually secure a submission.

win by submission
"I think we'll see him get to his grappling, look to control Medina from that top position, and I think it's just a matter of time before he ends up pulling off a submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The MMA Guru confidently picks Duško Todorović, noting he is a -325 favorite in 2025, which he sees as a clear sign. He dismisses José Medina as lacking power, athleticism, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, calling him a 'flabby big Latin guy' who shouldn't be in the UFC. He believes Todorović is more well-rounded and a better fighter.

"Dasco Toddovich has been given an opponent in the UFC and he is a minus 325 favorite. ... If that don't tell you Dusco is going to win, I don't know what does."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Zane picks Todorović but acknowledges that Medina's toughness could be a factor. He notes that Todorović has poor technique and can't sustain control, but Medina is so slow and uncoordinated that Todorović should win. He mentions that Medina's only chance is landing a big shot, but Medina lacks power.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I have to pick Todorovich... but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
LOSS vs Zachary Reese
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 50 of 108 46% 73 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Duško Todorović 0 35 of 65 53% 73 of 109 4 of 13 30% 1 1 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 6 of 11 54% 19 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:06
Duško Todorović 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 38 3 of 4 75% 1 1 3:01
2 Zachary Reese 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 8 of 16 50% 18 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:10
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 67 40% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Duško Todorović 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 42 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 50 of 108 46% 21 of 72 20 of 23 9 of 13 43 of 98 7 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 35 of 65 53% 22 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 50 6 of 6 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 10 of 15 66% 8 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Zachary Reese 17 of 30 56% 7 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 8 of 16 50% 2 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 67 40% 11 of 46 10 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 17 of 34 50% 12 of 28 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-238), Todorovic (+195)

Round 1
The prelims were short at just four bouts, and the main card kicks off with a middleweight action fight that practically promises that referee Herb Dean will get involved before too long. Reese (8-2, 2-2 UFC) and Todorovic (12-5, 3-5 UFC) combine for 18 stoppages in their 20 pro wins, with knockouts their preferred method of victory. Before they try to lop one another’s head off, the two 185ers bump fists. Reese introduces himself with a body kick, and Todorovic does the same. Todorovic doubles up on a kick with another and shoots for a takedown. Reese scrambles and finds his way on top, with Todorovic sitting up for a guillotine choke. Reese lifts Todorovic up and tosses him down, and Todorovic mounts him with the guillotine intact. Reese fights his way through it, his neck still in jeopardy, and he works his way to his feet. Todorovic uses the choke to maintain control and impose his weight, and lowers Reese down to the ground to knee him in the side. When Reese gets up, Todorovic muscles him back to his knees. The Texan explodes back to his feet, kneeing his man in the gut and fighting off a trip to thump “Thunder” with a hard shoulder strike. Reese backs off and avoids a pair of hooks, fires off a head kick that misses the mark and resets. Todorovic charges at him with a swarm of fists, and Reese blocks most of them and gives one back until he gets clinched. Todorovic trips Reese out, and when Todorovic stands above him, Reese searches for a leglock. Todorovic fights it off, and he ignores an upkick on the side of the dome so he can lower himself down to top position. Reese closes his guard, and he hacks with elbows off his back. Todorovic responds with a few right hands from above, and he elbows down to club “Savage” a few times. Todorovic stacks his man up and unleashes nasty hammerfists that drill into his foe’s jaw again and again. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic

Round 2
A glove touch begins the second round, where Reese wants to start off hot and cracks Todorovic with a three-punch combo. Reese reaches his man with a fierce right hand, forcing Todorovic to engage a clinch. Reese breaks away and slaps his foe in the ribs with a kick. When Todorovic shoots for a takedown, Reese counters him with an uppercut but does not break his stride. They share short strikes on one another, and Reese leans back and drives a knee to the stomach that allows him to break off. Todorovic fakes a right hand to shoots for an awkward takedown, and Reese ignores it and counters with an overhand right. Reese stands firm with a one-two on the chin, walking through a body kick to jump at him with a knee. When he misses, Todorovic offers him a high-five. Reese leans back to avoid an overhand right, and Todorovic grabs hold of him and bullies him to the wall. Reese breaks free and catches Todorovic coming in with a short left, but it is one-and-done as he chambers and fires a body kick. What follow is a front kick, and an evasive maneuver when Todorovic rushes him. Todorovic fakes high for a level change, and Reese tosses him aside and wings a right hand and puts a front kick on the chest. Todorovic shoots for and lands a takedown, and Reese defends with a guillotine choke, only to find himself in Von Preux choke danger. Todorovic stacks him up rather than looking for the counter sub, and this lets Reese burst upright to get up. Todorovic stays pressed to him, ripping the body with a few punches and getting uppercutted for his handiwork. The two clinch up and end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 3
The fighters walk towards one another cautiously to start off the final frame, offering a glove touch and getting back to swinging. Reese loops wider shots, but when they land, they do with audible thuds. Todorovic gets him back with a couple of calf kicks, and Reese splits his guard with a long left hand. Reese twirls Todorovic around when the Serbian fighter shoots in on the hips, and he chains a few punches behind it. When Todorovic scores, Reese clubs him with a right on the ear. Reese spins with a kick to the body, and Todorovic smiles and high-fives him. Reese gathers himself and boots his man in the body and tries one up high, while Todorovic’s volume has plummeted. Reese stays on the outside potshotting his foe with body kicks, and when Todorovic charges him, Reese is light on his feet popping him here and there. Todorovic lashes out with a right hand that busts open Reese’s nose, and Reese responds with a leaping takedown shot that is stonewalled. Todorovic sweeps the leg and connects with another power right hand, using the strikes to set up a takedown. Reese gets pushed to the wall and spins out, sneaking a knee to the body on his way out. Todorovic looks for one final takedown, and Reese stops it and uppercuts him a few times before the grueling match concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Dusko Todorovic via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick. He should be able to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'll take Dusco to to get the fight down to the ground, get on top of Zack Reese and and pound pound him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.

"I agree. Yeah. Reese is a sizable favorite open to minus two 89 is currently minus two 27. Todorovich opened it plus two 14th kind of a plus one 96 people betting on these fights. Do you think really like, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.

under 1.5 rounds -170, Reese round one +155, Reese round one KO +230, Reese round one submission +900, Todorović round one KO +900
"I fully expect this fight to finish in the first round. The under one and a half at minus 170 is a spot I very much like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.

First round TKO; PrizePicks: fight less than 5.25 minutes
"I've never smelt a more obvious first round KO for Zachary Ree... I really see a first round finish for Zachary Ree here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.

"I guess I'll take Reese. Cause I think that he's still, I think that his, his aggression is still unchecked. I think he still has a lot of faith in his game. Even after probably that fact, we'll find out …"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Abdul-Malik (-375), Todorovic (+295)

Round 1
A dentist should be on standby, because one of these middleweights might lose some teeth after the expected slugfest ensues. With six wins, all finishes, on his ledger, Abdul-Malik (6-0, 0-0 UFC) knows one speed coming into his organizational debut. He will engage a man whose stoppage rate is only slightly lower than his, 92% for Todorovic (12-4, 3-4 UFC) compared to the neophyte’s 100%. Referee Mike Beltran dons his proverbial hard hat ahead of what could be a violent one, one that opens with a fist bump. Abdul-Malik assumes control of the center of the cage immediately, switching stances and looking for a jab on either side. Todorovic tosses out a single leg kick, and he works his way forward with a one-two. Abdul-Malik responds by bouncing off the cage and blasting “Thunder” in the face with a combination that sends Todorovic crashing to the mat. The lights are still in for Todorovic as he lands on his back and hunts for a leglock, but Abdul-Malik drills him with a number of heavy hammerfists to make him think twice. Abdul-Malik smashes his man in the face with a fierce right hand, and the two scramble while Todorovic still hangs onto the unbeaten fighter’s right leg. Abdul-Malik yanks his leg out of danger while beating on the man from Serbia, but Todorovic works his way back to his feet and walks through a knee while escaping. Swelling develops on his forehead like he is sprouting a third eye, and Abdul-Malik is aiming at it with lunging, looping strikes.
Todorovic defends against the punches, but Abdul-Malik blows him out of the water with a flush knee. Todorovic crumbles to the mat, and he still has the wherewithal to hunt for a leglock. Abdul-Malik wants nothing to do with that grappling, unleashing a flurry of standing-to-ground punches to knock Todorovic in and out of consciousness. A particularly potent right hand from the newcomer changes Todorovic’s expression and makes him turn to his side and shell up, and it only takes a few more hammerfists before Beltran has to step in.
Statement made for the now 7-0 Abdul-Malik, who celebrates all seven of his victories by stoppage.

The Official Result
Mansur Abdul-Malik def. Dusko Todorovic R1 2:44 via TKO (Knee and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
TKO (knee injury) R1 1:52 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Duncan (-215), Todorovic (+185)

Round 1
A whole 17 finishes in the 19 total wins for the debuting Duncan (7-0, 0-0 UFC) and heavy-handed Serbian Todorovic (12-3, 3-3 UFC) lead many to believe this one will not last long. There is little time to waste, as referee Lukasz Bosacki has already started the middleweight match. A quick fist bump leads to a series of stance switches for the newcomer, who looks to fluster Todorovic early. Todorovic sits down on a leg kick that almost buckles Duncan’s leg, so Duncan responds with one of his own. Duncan gives chase and hammers the lead of his opponent once more, and Todorovic is already wearing it. Duncan spears out with a side kick to the chest, and he easily blocks a counter high kick under his armpit. Duncan attempts to check a low kick, and he shrugs off a front kick to tie up “Thunder” against the wall. Duncan thumps some knees to the midsection, and Todorovic muscles out of the clinch.
As the Serbian fighter turns the corner, his knee visibly pops and he falls down on his back in agony. Duncan does not follow him to the ground to strike, and instead recognizes the injury and backs off as Bosacki waves the fight off.
While Todorovic does manage to get back to his feet, it might be due to adrenaline and he should probably not be standing on it. It is an unfortunate situation for both fighters, but Duncan is now a perfect 8-0 as a pro with the technical knockout on his ledger, and hopefully Todorovic is not on the mend for too long from that knee injury.

The Official Result
Christian Leroy Duncan def. Dusko Todorovic R1 1:52 via TKO (Knee Injury)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."
WIN vs Jordan Wright
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dusko Todorovic vs. Jordan Wright
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Todorovic (-205), Wright (+175)

Round 1
One of these two middleweights now in the “featured fight of the night” slot should record their first win since 2021 – barring something strange – and it’s anyone’s guess if Wright (12-3, 1 NC; 2-3 UFC) or Todorovic (11-3, 2-3 UFC) will get it done when the dust settles. Combined, they have exactly one decision win among their 23 victories, so scorekeepers may be able to take a break for this one. Referee Chris Tognoni will not, however, be so lucky, as a fast finish could crop up out of nowhere with these two. They touch gloves before trying to lop the other’s head off, and Todorovic leads the dance and corners Wright. The American immediately has to fight off a takedown entry, and Wright shucks off the first attempt and turns Todorovic around. “The Beverly Hills Ninja” lands his own takedown, and he moves to half guard and starts punching Todorovic upside the head. Todorovic clings to him to stifle most of the offense, only to absorb an elbow on the forehead. Wright stays heavy even while Todorovic scrambles and gets butterfly hooks in to buck Wright off of him, and he transitions to a heel hook to give Wright a scare. The American rolls all the way through it, and Todorovic moves to set up a possible kneebar. As Todorovic’s attention is paid to the leglock, Wright smashes him in the face several times to make Todorovic’s face turn quite red. Wright knees Todorovic in the chest when pinning him to the wall, and he snags a single and deposits the Serbian fighter down to the canvas. Wright, in half guard, fastens an arm-triangle choke, and he hops over to side control to lock it down. Instead of securing the submission, however, Wright jumps to mount and slugs Todorovic in the face repeatedly. Todorovic bucks him at the right moment to get back to his feet, and Wright follows him in pursuit of a double-leg takedown. With 10 seconds to spare, Wright lands a takedown, and the round ends with “Thunder” on the mat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wright

Round 2
To the surprise of some, the two middleweights have reached the second round. They high-five to start off the round, and Todorovic is the aggressor as he backs Wright back. Todorovic tags Wright with a right hand over the top, and he lets loose a fury of punches to knock Wright’s head around. Wright defends himself well enough from a brawl, but Todorovic is teeing off on him and hurting Wright badly. Wright responds with a few punches, and he tries to kick Todorovic in the dome, but he gets elbowed right in the face. Todorovic tosses Wright to the mat, and Wright appears totally spent already. Just six minutes into the fight, and Wright is in full defensive mode. A labored takedown effort from Wright slows the offense from Todorovic, but not for long, as Todorovic shakes it off. Todorovic batters the body as Wright takes gasping breaths, and he blasts Wright with a long string of unanswered fists. Wright attempts to respond every so often, but he is more intent on clinching up to save himself from a further drubbing. A spent Wright gets pushed down to the floor, and Todorovic steps right into mount and rains down punches.
Wright gets elbowed repeatedly and turns to his side, and Todorovic is not letting up. Todorovic continues to bombard Wright, knowing the finish is around the corner, and the elbows start to pile up from the Serbian striker. As the elbows do not appear to be ceasing any time soon, Tognoni has seen enough, and he saves a defeated Wright from any further harm.
This roller coaster battle somehow made it past the midpoint of Round 2, but Todorovic dug deep, came back from adversity and recorded the finish to earn his 11th stoppage across 12 career wins.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Jordan Wright R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO (elbow) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chidi Njokuani vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Njokuani (-190), Todorovic (+160)

Round 1
Mark Smith will be the third man in the cage for this middleweight scrap. Njokuani enters the matchup on the heels of a 16-second knockout of Marc-Andre Barriault in his UFC debut. Todorovic ducks under a punch for a takedown, but Njokuani sprawls nicely. He has a front headlock secured and he rolls over, briefly securing a nifty brabo choke. Njokuani has to bail on the choke as Todorovic gets top position. Njokuani tries to use the cage to his advantage and work his way up, but Todorovic is relentless as he moves to his foe’s back. Njokuani is standing with Todorovic hanging onto a waist lock. Njokuani works to break his opponent’s grip. Todorovic shoves his man into the fence and lands some short right hands to the head. It’s a grueling style of fight, with Todorovic giving Njokuani no room with which to work. Todorovic drops for a single leg. Njokuani sprawls and hits Todorovic with a knee on the exit. Njokuani lands a series of knees to the body in close, and now it’s Njokuani with a waist lock. They tie up and Njokuani lands another knee to the body. With time running out in the round,
Njokuani creates just enough space to unleash a vicious right elbow to the temple of his adversary. Todorovic drops like a sack of potatoes and this one is over in sudden fashion.

The Official Result
Chidi Njokuani def. Dusko Todorovic via KO (Elbow) R1 4:48
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani because of his power, speed, and distance control. He notes that Todorović has questions about his chin and that Njokuani has solid takedown defense. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside the distance, as he expects a finish.

Chidi Njokuani wins inside the distance
"chidi ninja kawani to win inside the distance is probably a pretty safe prop bet in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout, citing Todorović's horrendous striking defense and tendency to keep his hands down. He notes Njokuani has power and improved takedown defense. He acknowledges Njokuani has been finished in the past but believes he has improved. He expects the fight to stay standing and Njokuani to land a knockout early.

first round knockout
"chidi first round knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody is impressed with Njokuani's improvements in grappling and cardio, noting his recent knockout of Marc-André Barriault. He highlights Todorović's poor head movement and susceptibility to getting hit, as seen in the Punahele Soriano fight. He believes Njokuani's striking acumen and upgraded ground game will lead to a finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i got chidi has just even with that price tag he's not a a first ticket top guy right yeah he hasn't proved that he's not still that apple pie [ __ ] from the past it's that he's on …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Duško Todorović

The host predicts Duško Todorović via decision. He expects Todorović to control the fight by keeping Njokuani still and against the cage, leading to a potentially boring fight with a lot of control time. He is not fully confident, as he questions the pick slightly when discussing totals, but his official prediction is Todorović by decision.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"my official prediction for that fight was duesco via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Njokuani's striking and improved cardio should be enough. He notes Todorović's defensive liabilities and that Njokuani likely lands a big strike in the first two rounds. He hates the moneyline at -220 but still picks Chidi.

Under 1.5 rounds
"chidi probably touches them up lands a big strike at some point in the first two rounds and there and there she blows but uh yeah chidi will be the pick for me hate the money line at minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru is very confident in Chidi Njokuani, citing his reach advantage and experience. He notes Duško Todorović leaves his chin up when exiting exchanges, and Njokuani's reach will allow him to land cleanly. He predicts a first-round KO for Njokuani.

first round KO
"i think chidina jaquani is gonna win this one yeah"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maki Pitolo vs. Dusko Todorovic

Round 1
Finish rates above 75% for each fighter in this preliminary headliner make it one to watch at 185 pounds, even if the stakes are not as high as some other matchups on the card. Pitolo (13-8, 1-4 UFC) will try to throw his patented “Coconut Bombz” at Serbian striker Todorovic (10-2, 1-2 UFC), and referee Mark Smith will need to keep his head on a swivel for as long as these two trade leather. The gloves do get touched before the bombs drop, and Pitolo is the immediate aggressor coming forward but not the first to throw a strike. That comes as a front kick for Todorovic, and Pitolo sticks his hand out in response only to get warned for extended fingers. When Pitolo closes his fists and winds them up, Todorovic shoots in low for a takedown. The attempt is stuffed, and Todorovic backs off to let fly a pair of head kicks that get blocked. The Serbian fighter leaps forward with a punch, and Pitolo lands at the same time. Pitolo bears down on him and connects with a few punches and a knee. Pitolo nails his man with a right hand and a few leg kicks that make Todorovic spin around, and he has already marked Todorovic up in just 90 seconds. As Pitolo continues to attack the lead leg, Todorovic pursues a takedown. Todorovic gets it on the second attempt, only for him to fall into guillotine choke danger. Pitolo grabs hold of the choke and keeps it tight, keeping Todorovic stuck in this position without being able to pass guard. Todorovic escapes the submission danger but elects to go into Pitolo’s guard, which closes around him. Todorovic clubs Pitolo with a left hand, and he grinds down with an elbow to try to get some ground-and-pound going. When Todorovic elbows his foe a few times, the guard opens up, until Pitolo can close it back again to stifle the offense coming. “Thunder” strikes as he steps over to half guard, and he isolates an arm for a moment so he can distract Pitolo and continue to pass. Todorovic manages to turn the half guard position into a partial crucifix, which allows him to belt Pitolo a few more times before slicing over to full mount.
Todorovic sits up and nails Pitolo with ferocious ground-and-pound, and Smith asks Pitolo to keep moving only for the Hawaiian to get flattened out on his stomach. “Thunder” unleashes the thunder and lightning as he persistently pounds on Pitolo with powerful punches, until Smith has no choice but to stop the fight, thus saving “Coconut Bombz” from any further harm.
Todorovic successfully snaps a two-fight skid with a dominant win over a dangerous opponent.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Maki Pitolo R1 4:34 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
Jordan Wright - Fight History
LOSS vs Zac Pauga
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zac Pauga 0 29 of 78 37% 199 of 261 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Jordan Wright 0 59 of 85 69% 85 of 114 0 of 6 0% 0 0 8:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zac Pauga 0 5 of 7 71% 55 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Wright 0 22 of 26 84% 43 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:32
2 Zac Pauga 0 7 of 19 36% 105 of 122 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Jordan Wright 0 15 of 22 68% 20 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:27
3 Zac Pauga 0 17 of 52 32% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jordan Wright 0 22 of 37 59% 22 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zac Pauga 29 of 78 37% 15 of 55 13 of 21 1 of 2 18 of 65 11 of 13 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 59 of 85 69% 31 of 54 21 of 24 7 of 7 21 of 42 38 of 43 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zac Pauga 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 22 of 26 84% 8 of 11 11 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 2 21 of 24 0 of 0
2 Zac Pauga 7 of 19 36% 5 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 13 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 15 of 22 68% 10 of 16 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 8 12 of 14 0 of 0
3 Zac Pauga 17 of 52 32% 9 of 36 7 of 14 1 of 2 14 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 22 of 37 59% 13 of 27 7 of 8 2 of 2 17 of 32 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Angelo is confident in Pauga, citing his strong wrestling and low stance. He notes Pauga went up to heavyweight for TUF but is a natural light heavyweight. Jordan Wright has a 100% finish rate but is on a three-fight losing streak by stoppage and has a weak chin. Angelo thinks Pauga will wrestle and win, but there's no value in the betting line so he won't bet.

"Zach should absolutely get this done I'm not gonna spend three units on a dude with six professional fights."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Big Brady is picking Jordan Wright for the upset, despite never picking him before. He notes that Pauga was knocked out by Muhammad Usman, who is not a power puncher, and that Pauga has only a 20% finish rate. He believes Wright is dangerous in the first two minutes and should come out aggressively rather than wrestling, as his cardio is poor. He predicts a first-round knockout for Wright.

Wright by KO, round 1
"I'm gonna take Jordan right for the big upset... I think he's going to have a ton of opportunities here to get that first round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Cody picks Pauga but is terrified of the -270 line. He notes Jordan Wright has only 5-6 minutes of cardio and is an under machine, but Pauga isn't a big finisher. He says Wright can absolutely get finishes early, so he'll watch weigh-ins closely. He compares Wright to Terence McKinney as a 50/50 fighter who either finishes early or gets pieced up. He also mentions Pauga got knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before, so he's not confident.

Cody mentions he bet Pauga last time at -275 and lost. He considers under 2.5 rounds and thinks Pauga knocks Wright out. He says Pauga will be on parlays.
"I'll pick powga but that minus 270 I am I am terrified."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Connor picks Wright because he thinks the move to light heavyweight could benefit Wright's speed and power, and Pauga is inexperienced and slow. However, he acknowledges Wright's mental fragility and tendency to panic. He picks Wright to win by first-round KO, but says he wouldn't bet on it.

Wright by KO is +350, inside distance +275, win in round 1 +450 to +575. Connor says 'I wouldn't bet on this. Please don't.'
"I guess I'll pick Jordan, right? I mean first round KO is the only way to pick him. So I'll pick him to finish quick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Jacob picks Pauga but is a Jordan Wright fan. He thinks Wright's chin is gone and his blitzing style leaves him open. Pauga's wrestling and power at 205 should be too much. Jacob played the under 1.5 rounds and feels good about it, though he cautions both are coming off knockout losses. He expects Wright to get knocked out again.

Jacob played under 1.5 rounds.
"I played the under one and a half I feel pretty good about might load up even more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Pauga has better cardio and a more complete MMA game, while Wright fades after the first round and has durability issues. Pauga can survive the early storm and then take over with grappling and pressure, finishing Wright via ground and pound in the second or third round.

fight doesn't go to decision; Pauga wins by TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think if you're willing to eat any Chalk in this matchup it should be the violence... Pauga with a late TKO finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Jordan Wright a lost fighter with no cardio or durability. He details Wright's pattern of starting fast but fading and getting finished. He notes Pauga has excellent cardio, trains at altitude, and has enough striking to pressure Wright. However, he says the -270 line is too high for a guy with one UFC win who got knocked out. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at -350 as a parlay piece.

Paul highlights under 2.5 rounds at -350 and under 1.5 rounds at -175. He says Wright doesn't have 15 minutes in him against anybody.
"I probably hit the under I don't know if I like under one and a half like under two and a half and then I'm thinking probably Clips on Pogo puts him away."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

The MMA Guru picks Zac Pauga, citing his takedown defense from The Ultimate Fighter and his size advantage. He criticizes Jordan Wright's poor decision-making and quick turnaround after a KO loss. He believes Pauga is patient and can catch Wright with a counter shot after Wright gets reckless in round two, predicting a KO. He notes the possibility of an upset but trusts Pauga's chin more.

KO in round two
"I'm gonna go with Zach paulaga by KO wouldn't be surprised if I got an upset though but I'm just not willing to trust his chin in a scrappy fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Zane picks Pauga because Jordan Wright has a history of panicking and losing focus when he doesn't finish early. Wright is dangerous early but fades and makes defensive mistakes. Pauga is raw but has a takedown game and can survive the initial storm. Zane notes that Wright's move to light heavyweight seems desperate and may not fix his mental issues.

Wright by KO is +350, inside distance +275, win in round 1 +450 to +575. Wright opened +170, now +226; Pauga opened -195, now -281. Zane says he wouldn't bet on this.
"I'll take pauga. I mean it's just kind of... I'm interested to see what he can do. He could very easily be more like Villanueva than Mark Andre Barrio."
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dusko Todorovic vs. Jordan Wright
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Todorovic (-205), Wright (+175)

Round 1
One of these two middleweights now in the “featured fight of the night” slot should record their first win since 2021 – barring something strange – and it’s anyone’s guess if Wright (12-3, 1 NC; 2-3 UFC) or Todorovic (11-3, 2-3 UFC) will get it done when the dust settles. Combined, they have exactly one decision win among their 23 victories, so scorekeepers may be able to take a break for this one. Referee Chris Tognoni will not, however, be so lucky, as a fast finish could crop up out of nowhere with these two. They touch gloves before trying to lop the other’s head off, and Todorovic leads the dance and corners Wright. The American immediately has to fight off a takedown entry, and Wright shucks off the first attempt and turns Todorovic around. “The Beverly Hills Ninja” lands his own takedown, and he moves to half guard and starts punching Todorovic upside the head. Todorovic clings to him to stifle most of the offense, only to absorb an elbow on the forehead. Wright stays heavy even while Todorovic scrambles and gets butterfly hooks in to buck Wright off of him, and he transitions to a heel hook to give Wright a scare. The American rolls all the way through it, and Todorovic moves to set up a possible kneebar. As Todorovic’s attention is paid to the leglock, Wright smashes him in the face several times to make Todorovic’s face turn quite red. Wright knees Todorovic in the chest when pinning him to the wall, and he snags a single and deposits the Serbian fighter down to the canvas. Wright, in half guard, fastens an arm-triangle choke, and he hops over to side control to lock it down. Instead of securing the submission, however, Wright jumps to mount and slugs Todorovic in the face repeatedly. Todorovic bucks him at the right moment to get back to his feet, and Wright follows him in pursuit of a double-leg takedown. With 10 seconds to spare, Wright lands a takedown, and the round ends with “Thunder” on the mat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wright

Round 2
To the surprise of some, the two middleweights have reached the second round. They high-five to start off the round, and Todorovic is the aggressor as he backs Wright back. Todorovic tags Wright with a right hand over the top, and he lets loose a fury of punches to knock Wright’s head around. Wright defends himself well enough from a brawl, but Todorovic is teeing off on him and hurting Wright badly. Wright responds with a few punches, and he tries to kick Todorovic in the dome, but he gets elbowed right in the face. Todorovic tosses Wright to the mat, and Wright appears totally spent already. Just six minutes into the fight, and Wright is in full defensive mode. A labored takedown effort from Wright slows the offense from Todorovic, but not for long, as Todorovic shakes it off. Todorovic batters the body as Wright takes gasping breaths, and he blasts Wright with a long string of unanswered fists. Wright attempts to respond every so often, but he is more intent on clinching up to save himself from a further drubbing. A spent Wright gets pushed down to the floor, and Todorovic steps right into mount and rains down punches.
Wright gets elbowed repeatedly and turns to his side, and Todorovic is not letting up. Todorovic continues to bombard Wright, knowing the finish is around the corner, and the elbows start to pile up from the Serbian striker. As the elbows do not appear to be ceasing any time soon, Tognoni has seen enough, and he saves a defeated Wright from any further harm.
This roller coaster battle somehow made it past the midpoint of Round 2, but Todorovic dug deep, came back from adversity and recorded the finish to earn his 11th stoppage across 12 career wins.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Jordan Wright R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:36 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc-André Barriault 0 12 of 13 92% 16 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:32
Jordan Wright 0 13 of 17 76% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc-André Barriault 0 12 of 13 92% 16 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:32
Jordan Wright 0 13 of 17 76% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc-André Barriault 12 of 13 92% 2 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 6 6 of 7 4 of 4 2 of 2
Jordan Wright 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 9 of 10 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc-André Barriault 12 of 13 92% 2 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 6 6 of 7 4 of 4 2 of 2
Jordan Wright 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 9 of 10 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Angelo leans Jordan Wright, calling it closer to a coin flip. He notes Wright is more dangerous but Barriault is the better fighter. He is concerned that Barriault may not have fully recovered from a KO loss less than 90 days ago, and that this is short notice. He mentions Wright's ridiculous striking differential (lands and gets hit over 8 strikes per minute).

"i'm leaning right here but if this fight is definitely closer to a coin flip and this is not my most confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by knockout, citing his durability and more paths to victory. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor defense and chin, while Barriault is typically durable and more defensively sound. He expects Barriault to weather the early storm and finish Wright late in the first round.

Win by knockout, first round knockout
"I'll take barrio to win... I'm gonna say he does weather the early storm... late first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Cody picks Wright, citing Barriault's recent knockout loss and questionable chin. He notes Wright's early aggression and power, and that Barriault is taking the fight on short notice at a catchweight. He thinks Wright's best chance is a first-round KO and likes the knockout prop.

Wright by knockout (+400); Wright round 1 KO (+700); under 1.5 rounds (+115)
"I'm gonna pick jordan right as well I feel like barrio's chin is questionable at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Marc-André Barriault

The host picks Marc-André Barriault to win, including him in a parlay with Guida and Andrade. He acknowledges that Jordan Wright could win but suggests playing Wright's KO line instead of a straight bet.

Included in a parlay with Guida and Andrade.
"i'm picking barrio guida and andraj"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul leans Barriault but low priority. He acknowledges Wright's early KO threat but thinks if Barriault survives the first round, his grinding style will take over. He notes Barriault's durability before the last fight and expects him to wear on Wright.

Under 1.5 rounds; live betting Barriault after first round
"i think i'm gonna have barrio it'll be very low on the priority list"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright, criticizing Barriault for fighting just two months after a brutal KO. He believes Wright is a fast starter and will finish Barriault early, especially at catchweight where Wright doesn't have to cut much. He notes Wright's size and reach advantage. He adds that if Wright doesn't finish in the first, Barriault might take over, but he expects an early KO. He calls Barriault's decision to fight again 'stupid'.

first round KO
"i am going to go with jordan wright punishment for stupidity uh marc andre barry fought two months ago got ko'd badly in the first round why are you back in the ring"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
TKO (punches) R1 1:28 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 20 of 26 76% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jordan Wright 1 19 of 29 65% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 20 of 26 76% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jordan Wright 1 19 of 29 65% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 20 of 26 76% 9 of 15 10 of 10 1 of 1 11 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 19 of 29 65% 18 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 13 3 of 5 8 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 20 of 26 76% 9 of 15 10 of 10 1 of 1 11 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 19 of 29 65% 18 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 13 3 of 5 8 of 11
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Jordan Wright

Round 1
Violence is the main ingredient for this next dish also at 185 pounds, when “Blindado” Silva (21-6, 2-0 UFC) aims to secure his seventh knockout in a row at the expense of “The Beverly Hills Ninja” Wright (12-1, 1 NC; 2-1 UFC). Fists and feet will surely fly until one falls, and it is not expected that this one will go the distance – it is +400 on that line now. Strapped in is 2021 World MMA Award winner for best referee, Herb Dean, who will undoubtedly have his hands full for as long as it lasts. Silva immediately begins to stalk Wright down, but the American is staying at safe range on the outside with high and low kicks. Silva thumps one to the knee, and Wright fires back with a pair to the body. A head kick from Wright may have rattled Silva, leading Silva to charge in recklessly. The two start slugging it out, cracking each other with little interest in defense, until Wright ties him up and starts kneeing him in the chest. One may have bounced off the cup, and Silva protests but he does not get the stoppage. Silva gets angry, and suddenly in a rage he nails Wright with a short flurry of punches.
A few right hands behind the ear, and a brutal left-right combo rattle Wright, who falls back across the cage. Silva darts after him, knowing the finish is close, and he clubs Wright with a few blows to knock “The Beverly Hills Ninja” down to the canvas. Dean gives Wright every bit of leeway to recover and get his wits about him, as Wright rolls around to try to grab hold of Silva’s leg or do something on the ground in desperation. All the while, “Blindado” lords over him and continues to clobber Wright with vicious strikes until Dean has no choice to finally step in
, thereby making official Silva’s seventh knockout in a row.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Jordan Wright R1 1:28 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady is confident in Bruno Silva winning by first-round knockout. He highlights that both fighters have poor striking defense and high finish rates, but Silva has never been knocked out and hits extremely hard. Wright has a questionable chin and keeps his chin high, making him vulnerable. Brady expects Silva to pressure Wright against the cage and land heavy combinations. He also notes the fight doesn't go to decision line is minus 450, indicating high finish probability.

Fight doesn't go to decision (minus 450), Silva round 1 KO
"give me bruno silva round one knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva to knock out Jordan Wright. He praises Silva's body work, knees, and finishing ability, noting his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov. Levi criticizes Wright's durability, saying he can give but not take shots. He expects Silva to land a body shot that puts Wright down. Levi is confident in Silva's power and pressure.

knockout
"give me bruno blendatto silva to knock out jordan right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by third-round TKO. He believes Silva is more technically sound on the feet and has better cardio. He notes Wright's tendency to slow down after the first round and Silva's ability to pressure and land body shots. He predicts a war early, with Silva taking over in later rounds.

third-round TKO
"bruno silva's gonna get this one done i reckon he gets it done by third round tko"
WIN vs Jamie Pickett
TKO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.

by KO round 2
"I'm going to take pika here for the win i'm going to take in a win by a second round knockout for pickett"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.

mentions Wright's chin and Pickett's durability
"i'm going with jamie pickett to knock out the beverly hills ninja"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.

Pickett by KO in round 2
"i'll ultimately go with the guy who's been showing uh solid durability as of late and jamie pickett and i'll take him to this fight by second round ko but i want no part of this fight in terms of …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.

Pickett wins by TKO in round 2
"i'm picking jamie pickett to get the tko in round two"
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
KO (punches) R2 0:18 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 2 43 of 80 53% 59 of 96 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
Jordan Wright 0 18 of 47 38% 36 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 1 36 of 69 52% 52 of 85 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
Jordan Wright 0 17 of 42 40% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Joaquin Buckley 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Wright 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 43 of 80 53% 31 of 63 12 of 17 0 of 0 33 of 67 3 of 3 7 of 10
Jordan Wright 18 of 47 38% 5 of 32 12 of 14 1 of 1 16 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 36 of 69 52% 25 of 53 11 of 16 0 of 0 26 of 56 3 of 3 7 of 10
Jordan Wright 17 of 42 40% 5 of 28 11 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Jordan Wright

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, ladies and gentlemen, for this next one at middleweight. Two spectacular finishers are up next, as Buckley (11-3, 1-1 UFC) makes a quick turnaround after his sure-fire “Knockout of the Year”-winning knockout against Wright (11-0, 1 NC; 1-0 UFC), with the latter posting a 100 percent finish rate of his own. Looking to not get knocked out by errant blows is referee Herb Dean, and the brawlers do not touch gloves before throwing down. Wright comes at him and quickly clinches up, and when Buckley breaks away, Wright tries to knee him in the head. Buckley backs away and rushes in with a pair of looping punches, and his forward momentum puts the two back in the clinch. Buckley holds him tight before dropping for a double leg takedown, and Wright stands him up until they separate again. Wright lands a right hand, and Buckley counters with his own left hook. This same combination occurs again, and Buckley is putting everything he has into these punches. Buckley slings a head kick, and “The Beverly Hills Ninja” blocks it and gets pushed into the fence with another clinch. Buckley holds him there by grabbing the fence and putting his hands over the top, and Dean won’t let it happen as he chides “New Mansa.” The separation once more leads into Buckley swinging too hard with punches, and Wright lets loose a head kick. Buckley charges like a runaway truck and throws bombs, but Wright stays composed, rolls with the strikes, and keeps kicking. The unbeaten fighter scores a head kick that wobbles Buckley, and counters a rampaging Buckley with a check knee that delays the attack for long enough to allow Wright to back away. Wright scores an uppercut as Buckle charges in, and he just misses a head kick. The telegraphed strike from “New Mansa” allow Wright to get out of harm’s way, and he times another knee when Buckley comes at him. Wright keeps his distance with a body kick, and he partially absorbs a few punches. Buckley lets loose with everything he has, hurting Wright with punches and sending the undefeated fighter tumbling to the canvas. Buckley unleashes a furious storm of heavy punches, but he cannot finish the fight before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
Buckley steps forward from his corner to land a straight left hand, and Wright has not yet recovered from the punishment he absorbed at the end of Round 1. Buckley notices this, and he plows forward with a long left as Wright kicks him in the body backing up.
As part of a combination, Buckley fires off a deadly left hook that snaps Wright’s head back, and a right hand that follows is unnecessary as Wright’s knees abandon him completely. The undefeated fighter falls to the canvas, and Dean knows he is done as Buckley walks off; Wright is no longer unbeaten.
Although not quite as spectacular as his performance that the promotion interrupted Bruce Buffer’s introduction to play, Buckley has now recorded another highlight reel knockout over an undefeated fighter in devastating fashion.

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Jordan Wright R2 0:18 via KO (Punch)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley to win by first-round knockout. He notes Buckley has better experience and competition, while Wright's early wins were against low-level opponents. He thinks Buckley's pressure and the small cage will be key, and Wright doesn't like being hit.

under 1.5 rounds, parlay piece
"i'm going to take joaquin buckley to win in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Daniel picks Buckley, citing his aggressive pressure and power. He notes the '50k curse' but believes Buckley's forward pressure will break Wright's karate style. He also mentions Buckley's wrestling and durability, though he expects a tougher fight than some anticipate.

knockout
"i'mma go with buckley via knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The host picks Jordan Wright to win by first or second round KO, despite acknowledging it's a surprising pick. He thinks the line on Buckley is skewed by his viral knockout, and that Wright has a size advantage and better game plan. He recommends against parlaying Buckley.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with Jordan Wright I think Jordan Wright gets it done probably first or second round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley to win by TKO (haymaker) in the first round. He notes Wright is moving down from light heavyweight and will have an adjustment period, and that Wright's competition has been weak. He expects Buckley to catch Wright with a big hook early.

first round tko
"i am gonna go with buckley catching him in the first round"
TKO (doctor stoppage) R1 1:31 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Wright 0 7 of 7 100% 23 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Ike Villanueva 1 15 of 15 100% 21 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Wright 0 7 of 7 100% 23 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Ike Villanueva 1 15 of 15 100% 21 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Wright 7 of 7 100% 5 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
Ike Villanueva 15 of 15 100% 10 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Wright 7 of 7 100% 5 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
Ike Villanueva 15 of 15 100% 10 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 12 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Big Brady picks Jordan Wright to win by knockout, expecting an early finish. He is not impressed with Ike Villanueva, who looked awful against Chase Sherman, landing only 20 strikes before getting knocked out. Wright is faster and has power, though he has fought mostly nobodies. Wright is coming up from 185 to 205, but Brady likes his style and expects him to land a shot and finish Villanueva.

"i'm going to pick jordan right to win this fight i'm going to pick him to win my knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Ike Villanueva

Daniel Levi picks Ike Villanueva to win by knockout. He notes that Jordan Wright is too small for light heavyweight, weighing in at 200 pounds, and lacks the toughness to compete in the UFC. Levi believes Villanueva has better size and experience, and that this is likely the only fight Villanueva will win in his UFC career. He expects a sloppy fight but sees Villanueva's power and durability as decisive.

knockout
"i'm gonna pick ike via knockout and then we can uh have the discussion of fading ike is a very next fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Wright is explosive, fast, and has knockout power, while Villanueva is 36 and was just finished by Chase Sherman. Wright's speed and footwork should be too much for Villanueva, who has durability issues. Expect a first-round KO from Wright. If Wright comes out as an underdog, he might be worth a small bet.

"i am going to take jordan right to win this by first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jorge Gonzalez (Jordan Wright) over Ike Villanueva, criticizing Villanueva's poor UFC debut against Chase Sherman and his 16-10 record. He praises Gonzalez's competition, including a win over undefeated Marcos Rodriguez via first-round rear-naked choke, and predicts a first-round submission or TKO.

first round submission or tko by ground and pound
"i am going to be picking jorge gonzalez here ek valenweiver was not impressive to me"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."