UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 6"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Sodiq Yusuff
5.27 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.29 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.36 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Don Shainis
3.42 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
5.87 SApM
31.0% Str. Def.
0.97 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
20.0% TD Def.
1.9 Sub. Avg
Sodiq Yusuff - Fight History
LOSS vs Mairon Santos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 36 of 86 41% 60 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:02
Mairon Santos 0 40 of 83 48% 71 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 19 of 30 63% 19 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
Mairon Santos 0 9 of 27 33% 9 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Sodiq Yusuff 0 10 of 26 38% 29 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Mairon Santos 0 16 of 27 59% 26 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
3 Sodiq Yusuff 0 7 of 30 23% 12 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
Mairon Santos 0 15 of 29 51% 36 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 36 of 86 41% 9 of 44 9 of 19 18 of 23 35 of 84 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mairon Santos 40 of 83 48% 22 of 56 10 of 18 8 of 9 35 of 77 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 19 of 30 63% 4 of 11 7 of 10 8 of 9 18 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mairon Santos 9 of 27 33% 4 of 18 2 of 5 3 of 4 8 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sodiq Yusuff 10 of 26 38% 3 of 15 2 of 6 5 of 5 10 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mairon Santos 16 of 27 59% 11 of 21 4 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 23 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Sodiq Yusuff 7 of 30 23% 2 of 18 0 of 3 5 of 9 7 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mairon Santos 15 of 29 51% 7 of 17 4 of 8 4 of 4 15 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Angelo picks Sodiq Yusuff as the underdog, but with hesitation. He notes that Yusuff is a fantastic striker with incredible speed and a wide variety of attacks, but is on a two-fight skid. He contrasts Santos's methodical approach with Diego Lopez's aggressive style that troubled Yusuff, suggesting that if Santos lets Yusuff settle in, Yusuff could win. However, he also acknowledges that Santos is good and could control the pace. Angelo's pick seems influenced by personal affinity for Yusuff's social media presence.

"I am actually going to pick Sadiq here. Going with the dog."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mairon Santos

Big Brady picks Mairon Santos, citing his power and durability. He notes Sodiq Yusuff's inactivity, injuries, and questionable chin. He expects a standing banger and predicts Santos wins by first-round knockout, though he is not fully confident.

Santos by KO, round 1; under on total rounds
"I am going to go with Santos. ... I'll take him to win this fight by first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mairon Santos

The host thinks the public is low on Santos due to a controversial decision win, but sees this as a winnable fight for him. He expects Santos to dictate the pace with high output and volume, which should muzzle Yusuff, who needs a knockout to win. He leans with Santos to win on the scorecards.

Santos by decision
"Expect Santos to dictate the pace here, throw a lot of output and volume and that should ultimately muzzle Yousef who I think needs a knockout to win this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mairon Santos

The Guru picks Mairon Santos, calling him underrated and believing he should have won his last fight against Francis Marshall. He thinks Santos is talented and hungry, while Sodiq Yusuff is chinny and not a full-time fighter anymore. He predicts Santos will finish Yusuff by TKO, noting Yusuff gets wobbled easily.

Santos by TKO
"I'm going with Mron Santos over Sadiq Yousef."
LOSS vs Diego Lopes
TKO (punches) R1 1:29 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Lopes 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sodiq Yusuff 2 26 of 32 81% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Lopes 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sodiq Yusuff 2 26 of 32 81% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Lopes 2 of 5 40% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 2 of 2 3 of 3 3 of 4 5 of 7 18 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Lopes 2 of 5 40% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 2 of 2 3 of 3 3 of 4 5 of 7 18 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sodiq Yusuff vs. Diego Lopes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lopes (-135), Yusuff (+114)

Round 1
The hits keep right on coming, as well-schooled fist-fighter Yusuff (13-3, 6-2 UFC) would like to professionally break down the surging Lopes (23-6, 2-1 UFC) in front of a wild crowd at the T-Mobile Arena. The lion’s share of Yusuff’s wins have come via strikes, while Lopes is an equal opportunity destroyer. Referee Mark Smith will need to keep his head on a swivel when overseeing these featherweights, and it does not feature a glove touch. Yusuff reaches out with a long low kick, and when that misses, he tries again. Lopes meets him with one that is checked. The two fighters trade calf kicks and little else, until Lopes springs into action with a one-two and a checked low kick. Lopes unloads with an uppercut that knocks “Super Sodiq” off his feet, and Yusuff collapses down to the mat. Lopes gives chase, pounding on his man, and Yusuff fights back to his feet valiantly.
Lopes rushes after him and smashes him in the face with another uppercut, and Yusuff crashes to the ground, totally defeated. Lopes, his mullet waving majestically behind him, drums out a flattened Yusuff with punches to the side of the head, with a seemingly unending barrage of strikes that only concludes when Smith gets between them to call a halt to the one-sided bludgeoning.
This is a huge moment for the meteorically rising Lopes, who will likely be ranked come Monday.

The Official Result
Diego Lopes def. Sodiq Yusuff R1 1:29 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Angelo picks Sodiq Yusuff as the underdog, believing he is the much better striker with good fight IQ to avoid grappling. He notes Lopes has dangerous BJJ but will struggle to get the fight to the ground. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds prop.

Over 2.5 rounds
"I am going to pick the underdog here in sadik YF but he is going to need to fight a perfect 15 minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody fades Diego Lopes again, noting Lopes' wrestling isn't great and he stands tall, leaving himself open to be hit. He points out that Lopes has been taken down by Movsar Evloev and Gavin Tucker. Yusuff is a sharpshooter with good Jiu-Jitsu from Team Lloyd Irvin, and he has cardio and decent power. Cody believes Yusuff can use a point-fight style, staying at range and picking Lopes apart. He also mentions that Yusuff has takedown defense to keep the fight standing. Cody picks Yusuff as an underdog.

Fight goes the distance (+135) or over 1.5 rounds (-180) mentioned as alternatives
"I will go with Underdog number three technically two however we want to look at it that plus money on soq St I'm willing to try to fade Diego Lopez one time."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Diego Lopes

Connor picks Lopes, arguing that his relentless chaos and willingness to keep trying different attacks will overwhelm Yusuff. He notes that Yusuff often starts strong but fades as opponents adjust, while Lopes just increases the intensity. Connor admits that Yusuff could win by controlling Lopes on the ground, but he believes Lopes' unpredictability and durability will carry him.

Odds: Lopes opened -169, now -138; Yusuff opened +132, now +124. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I think I am going to pick Diego Lopez. I think the best way to beat him is either to knock him out or finish him very quickly, which most fighters are incapable of doing."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Daniel Vreeland picks Sodiq Yusuff, citing his superior boxing, output, and defensive skills. He believes Yusuff can outpoint Lopes and avoid submissions, noting that Lopes is opportunistic but limited. Vreeland acknowledges Lopes' finishing ability but trusts Yusuff's experience and durability.

"I truly believe that Sodiq can outpoint this guy"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He calls it a banger and says he is very interested in it, but does not give a prediction. He notes that most people won't know about it unless they are hardcore fans, and that it will be on the prelims.

"I'm very very interested in that fight and that fight is going to be on the prelims so to have a fight like that on the prelims it just shows you what Dana has in store for this card"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Yusuff has better experience and a higher level striking game. His takedown defense and ability to keep the fight upright will force Lopes to make mistakes on the feet, allowing Yusuff to counter and find a knockout in round two.

knockout in round two
"give me Yousef by knockout in round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul sides with Cody, noting that Yusuff should have advantages at range. He acknowledges a red flag: Edson Barboza, not known for wrestling, took Yusuff down three times, so Lopes could get the fight to the ground. However, Paul believes Yusuff has enough takedown defense and ground skills to survive. He thinks the fight could go to decision and mentions the decision prop at +250. Paul expects Yusuff to keep the fight upright and win a decision.

Decision prop (+250) mentioned
"I'm going to side with you I think that you know sodi will have just enough takedown defense to keep this one upright and at range."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

The MMA Guru picks Diego Lopes to win by rear-naked choke, despite initially considering Sodiq Yusuff. He notes Yusuff struggled against Alex Caceres and that Lopes thrives under pressure. He believes Lopes's finishing ability and scrambling will be too much for Yusuff, who may be hesitant after a five-round war.

rear-naked choke
"I'm going with Diego Lopez rear naked choke."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Zane picks Yusuff, believing his wrestling and clinch control will neutralize Lopes' chaotic style. He notes that Yusuff is a strong wrestler and physically powerful, and Lopes' car-crash approach often leads to him being controlled. Zane acknowledges that Lopes could catch Yusuff with a submission or knockout, but he trusts Yusuff's consistency and defensive grappling.

Odds: Lopes opened -169, now -138; Yusuff opened +132, now +124. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I think I'm going to take use of here. It's only been like stylistically. It doesn't feel like it should be that difficult for him to just sort of neuter Lopez."
LOSS vs Edson Barboza
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 48–46, 48–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 1 178 of 351 50% 206 of 397 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:56
Sodiq Yusuff 1 164 of 324 50% 178 of 347 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 1 42 of 80 52% 55 of 103 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:15
Sodiq Yusuff 0 13 of 25 52% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Edson Barboza 0 42 of 79 53% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Sodiq Yusuff 0 31 of 65 47% 33 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Edson Barboza 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sodiq Yusuff 1 32 of 68 47% 42 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
4 Edson Barboza 0 35 of 79 44% 39 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Sodiq Yusuff 0 47 of 90 52% 48 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
5 Edson Barboza 0 30 of 55 54% 40 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sodiq Yusuff 0 41 of 76 53% 41 of 77 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 178 of 351 50% 126 of 284 14 of 20 38 of 47 148 of 311 15 of 18 15 of 22
Sodiq Yusuff 164 of 324 50% 71 of 204 89 of 112 4 of 8 134 of 290 25 of 27 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 42 of 80 52% 39 of 77 3 of 3 0 of 0 23 of 54 4 of 4 15 of 22
Sodiq Yusuff 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Edson Barboza 42 of 79 53% 24 of 56 3 of 6 15 of 17 34 of 69 8 of 10 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 31 of 65 47% 7 of 31 23 of 31 1 of 3 25 of 57 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 29 of 58 50% 17 of 42 5 of 7 7 of 9 29 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 32 of 68 47% 14 of 44 16 of 20 2 of 4 27 of 61 0 of 0 5 of 7
4 Edson Barboza 35 of 79 44% 24 of 64 1 of 2 10 of 13 35 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 47 of 90 52% 24 of 63 22 of 26 1 of 1 42 of 85 5 of 5 0 of 0
5 Edson Barboza 30 of 55 54% 22 of 45 2 of 2 6 of 8 27 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 41 of 76 53% 18 of 47 23 of 29 0 of 0 28 of 63 13 of 13 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Angelo sees this as a razor-thin striking match where youth vs experience is the key factor. He believes Sodiq's speed and youth will give him a slight edge over the 37-year-old Barboza, who is still technical but may have slowed. He notes that if it were a well-rounded MMA fight he'd lean experience, but as a striking match he favors the younger fighter. He plans to just watch rather than bet, calling it even money.

"I'm going to go with sadique YF to be just a little faster just a hair ahead and I think that's going to matter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Big Brady picks Sodiq Yusuff to win by KO in the third round. He notes that Edson Barboza is 37 years old and cutting to featherweight, which is taxing. He worries about Barboza's durability and cardio in a five-round fight, while Yusuff is younger and has power. He expects Yusuff to finish late as Barboza fades.

Yusuff by KO in round 3
"I think it's a late finish here for Yousef third fourth or fifth I'm going to say Yousef does officially knock him out I'll say third round there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Cody picks Barboza, emphasizing his consistent high-level competition and ability to still perform at an elite level. He highlights Barboza's leg kicks, left hook, and durability, noting that he has never slowed down despite many wars. Cody questions Yusuff's durability and wrestling ability to get Barboza down, and believes Barboza's experience and power will prevail.

"I gotta go dogger pass in this Main Event"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The host picks Sodiq Yusuff but is hesitant due to the long layoff and herniated disc issues. He notes Yusuff's power and patience, expecting him to land a big shot as Barboza slows down with age. However, he dislikes the minus 170-180 price and prefers to pass on betting. He predicts Yusuff by knockout.

"give me Yousef and Yousef by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Paul picks Barboza as the underdog, citing his elite striking, durability, and experience against top competition. He notes Barboza's ability to land big shots and his consistent performance despite age. Paul is concerned about Yusuff's durability and lack of high-level wins, and believes Barboza's volume and power will be too much.

Bet Edson Barboza at +142
"I just bet Edson Barboza while you were talking cuz I was just like I had a one uh one plus 142"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

The MMA Guru leans towards Edson Barboza over Sodiq Yusuff, calling it a close 50/50 fight. He cites Barboza's momentum, size advantage (4-inch reach, taller), and experience in main events. He questions Yusuff's chin, noting he got wobbled by Arnold Allen, and his long layoff due to spinal surgery. He also thinks Yusuff's win over Alex Caceres was mostly low kicks, which won't work against Barboza. However, he expresses frustration that underdogs often win in nonsensical ways, showing low confidence.

"I'll go Ed some baroza over sadique yusf just think Edson babos has got a bit of momentum right now"
WIN vs Don Shainis
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 9 of 9 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Don Shainis 0 3 of 3 100% 9 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 9 of 9 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Don Shainis 0 3 of 3 100% 9 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 9 of 9 100% 1 of 1 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0
Don Shainis 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 9 of 9 100% 1 of 1 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0
Don Shainis 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody picks Sodiq Yusuff to win, but is not fully sold on him due to his tendency to fight to his opponent's level and get hit. He acknowledges Shainis has a puncher's chance but believes Yusuff's talent and experience will prevail. He prefers the under (fight doesn't go to decision) as a bet, noting that Shainis usually finishes or gets finished.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm not fully sold on him like he he he gets hit in some spots he gets walled in some spots he fights to his opponent's level sometimes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul picks the under (fight doesn't go to decision) rather than a side, believing that either Yusuff finishes Shainis or Shainis catches Yusuff early. He notes that Shainis has power and Yusuff has been wobbled before, but Yusuff is the more talented fighter. He sees value in the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -200 and expects it to move to -300. He also mentions parlaying this prop with other picks.

Fight doesn't go to decision -200; parlay with Tabitha Richie and Mike Davis
"I'm gonna go with the under I think that one of these guys are getting clipped and getting put down"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The MMA Guru is very confident in Sodiq Yusuff, calling the fight a mismatch. He notes that Yusuff has fought and beaten high-level competition, while Don Shainis's opponents have been low-level. He believes Yusuff can win however he wants, whether by striking or wrestling. He acknowledges the short-notice factor but thinks Yusuff's skills are far superior. He does not bet due to the heavy favorite price.

"I think Sodiq Yusuff is gonna murder him, like whatever way he wants."
WIN vs Alex Caceres
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 64 of 123 52% 74 of 133 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:42
Alex Caceres 0 66 of 138 47% 71 of 143 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 8 of 25 32% 17 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:24
Alex Caceres 0 13 of 23 56% 18 of 28 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
2 Sodiq Yusuff 0 29 of 48 60% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sodiq Yusuff 0 27 of 50 54% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Alex Caceres 0 28 of 62 45% 28 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 64 of 123 52% 18 of 70 12 of 16 34 of 37 59 of 117 5 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 66 of 138 47% 43 of 107 14 of 20 9 of 11 64 of 133 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 8 of 25 32% 1 of 17 4 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 13 of 23 56% 8 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sodiq Yusuff 29 of 48 60% 5 of 22 5 of 6 19 of 20 27 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 25 of 53 47% 18 of 42 4 of 6 3 of 5 25 of 51 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sodiq Yusuff 27 of 50 54% 12 of 31 3 of 5 12 of 14 25 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 28 of 62 45% 17 of 47 8 of 12 3 of 3 26 of 59 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Angelo picks Sodiq Yusuff because he is too powerful and fast on the feet for Alex Caceres. He notes that Caceres averages less than one takedown per fight and likely won't use his wrestling, so he will lose the striking exchanges. However, he suggests Caceres might be worth a plus 3.5 bet (buying a round on scorecards) as he could have moments of success.

Suggests Alex Caceres +3.5 points bet (available at BetOnline)
"i do think yusuf is just too powerful too fast on the feet and i think alex you know he averages less than one takedown per fight and i just don't see him using his wrestling to get this to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Big Brady picks Sodiq Yusuff to win by decision. He notes Yusuff has more power and will land the harder shots, while Caceres is a volume striker with a black belt in BJJ but rarely goes for takedowns. He thinks the smaller cage favors Yusuff's pressure. He expects a competitive fight but Yusuff's power will be the difference, possibly hurting or dropping Caceres, but ultimately winning a decision.

"i'm gonna say yusuf does win this fight i'm gonna say yusuf does win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody leans Yusuff but is not confident. He notes Caceres' submission threat but believes Yusuff's power and pressure will be too much. He worries about Caceres' grappling but thinks Yusuff's takedown defense and ability to get up will suffice.

"i kind of end up in the use of corner but this one just feels like it's going to potentially be the apple pie shooter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Daniel Levi picks Sodiq Yusuff, noting that he has been on Yusuff every fight except the Arnold Allen one. He believes Yusuff will walk Caceres down and use his Nigerian power and underrated ground game. Levi mentions that he has a bet on Yusuff at minus 220. He acknowledges Caceres's veteran tricks but thinks Yusuff's physicality and pressure will be too much.

i do have a bet on so deek at minus 220
"i do have a bet on so deek at minus 220"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Yusuff is a powerful striker returning from a loss to Arnold Allen. He has knockout power and good boxing, but cardio can be a concern if he grapples heavily. Caceres is on a five-fight win streak but against lesser competition, and was nearly finished by Seungwoo Choi. Yusuff is expected to land a big shot and knock out Caceres, likely in the first round.

KO line at plus money is mentioned as a potential play; predicted first-round KO.
"I think Yusuff is going to march him down, stalk him and land those big shots and I think eventually he's going to land a beautiful counter to put Alex Caceres' lights out."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul leans Yusuff but is not confident. He notes Caceres' submission threat but believes Yusuff's power and pressure will be too much. He worries about Caceres' grappling but thinks Yusuff's takedown defense and ability to get up will suffice.

"i kind of end up in the use of corner but this one just feels like it's going to potentially be the apple pie shooter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The MMA Guru picks Sodiq Yusuff over Alex Caceres, citing Yusuff's maturity in grappling situations and his composure on the feet. He notes that Yusuff stayed calm against Andre Fili and Arnold Allen, showing good sprawls and top control. He believes Yusuff's power will be a difference-maker and predicts a second-round KO. However, he admits Caceres is a good underdog and that the odds are too wide, suggesting a small bet on Caceres might be worth it. He still thinks Yusuff prevails.

second round KO; Caceres is a good underdog bet
"i'm going to go with sadiq yousef over alex caceres the reason being is sadiq yusuf shows a level of maturity beyond his years in grappling situations"
LOSS vs Arnold Allen
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arnold Allen 1 21 of 61 34% 26 of 68 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:09
Sodiq Yusuff 0 47 of 113 41% 79 of 164 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arnold Allen 1 10 of 28 35% 11 of 30 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:37
Sodiq Yusuff 0 13 of 30 43% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:09
2 Arnold Allen 0 9 of 27 33% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
Sodiq Yusuff 0 18 of 53 33% 29 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Arnold Allen 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 7 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:31
Sodiq Yusuff 0 16 of 30 53% 31 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arnold Allen 21 of 61 34% 15 of 53 6 of 7 0 of 1 16 of 52 4 of 6 1 of 3
Sodiq Yusuff 47 of 113 41% 24 of 85 12 of 17 11 of 11 29 of 86 18 of 27 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arnold Allen 10 of 28 35% 8 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 1 8 of 24 1 of 3 1 of 1
Sodiq Yusuff 13 of 30 43% 3 of 16 5 of 9 5 of 5 10 of 24 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Arnold Allen 9 of 27 33% 6 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 2
Sodiq Yusuff 18 of 53 33% 10 of 45 4 of 4 4 of 4 16 of 49 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Arnold Allen 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sodiq Yusuff 16 of 30 53% 11 of 24 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 13 13 of 17 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sodiq Yusuff vs. Arnold Allen

Round 1
In what many deemed the likely “Fight of the Night” candidate, the co-main event pits surging featherweights Yusuff (11-1, 4-0 UFC) and Allen (16-1, 7-0 UFC) against one another. Lengthy win streaks for both men are at stake, and even referee Jason Herzog realizes what may be at stake here. There is no touch of gloves, as both throw long strikes at one another instead. Yusuff steps in with a jab, and Allen circles around the outside to take a slapping leg kick. Allen is on his bike early, as Yusuff chases after him and scores a big right hand. When Yusuff aims a body kick, “Almighty” scoops him up and puts him down on his back. Yusuff scoots to the fence to walk up, but Allen keeps his leg trapped to ground the American. Yusuff keeps a guillotine grip tight to defend the position, and the choke is tight as he uses it to sweep Allen and put the Brit on his back. Allen escapes from the position and scampers back to his feet, and Yusuff follows him. The American puts on the pace by landing heavy shots, but Allen fires back with a few heavy punches. When Allen reaches out with a jab, Yusuff blasts him in the lead leg. Both featherweights trade front kicks, and Yusuff comes at him ready to take Allen’s head off. Allen counters with a left hand, and Yusuff bears down on him throwing heavy shots. Allen nails Yusuff with a laser-like left hand and send the American tumbling to the canvas, but Yusuff is able to gather himself and get back up as Allen kicks so hard he falls over. As Yusuff retreat to the cage instead of pursuing his opponent, Allen is able to get back up and rush forward to land a takedown. Yusuff wall-walks to his feet, and Allen grinds him against the fencing. Allen keeps heavy pressure and controls Yusuff against the wire, until Yusuff gains separation and backs off. Allen lands to the body and head, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 2
Allen leads the dance in the early going until Yusuff turns up the pace and charges forward with punches and kicks. Allen goes back to his circling around the outside as Yusuff marches him down to throw big shots. Allen is able to escape any meaningful strikes, and he blocks a thudding left hand but eats a right on the chin. Allen absorbs a jab and scores an uppercut, and Yusuff is back to stalking him down. The Brit just comes up short with a left hand, and Yusuff takes some power off his shots so that he can land more effectively. Both men connect with shots, and Allen starts to swing wildly and whiff repeatedly. Allen digs a left hand to the body, and Yusuff pays it no mind as he pops Allen with a leg kick. Allen tries to catch it, but he sets it down when Yusuff loops a right hand at him. Allen blasts Yusuff with a clean head kick, and Yusuff takes a moment before reacting, as he wobbles back on baby deer legs. “Almighty” tries to impose his might, but he cannot get the finish as Yusuff regains his bearings and fights off a potential takedown attempt. The pace wanes as Yusuff kicks Allen in the chest, and Allen retreats on the outskirts of the cage as Yusuff kicks him in the ear leg. Allen comes up short with a counter, and he ties up Yusuff to bully him into the chain links. Yusuff kicks off the cage but cannot break this grip or get any distance, and Allen grinds him for the good part of a minute until Yusuff finally gets free. Allen has a head kick blocked, and Yusuff races forward for a final barrage but does not throw anything before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 3
Yusuff starts the round aggressively, only for Allen to turn him around and pursue a single leg takedown almost immediately. The American stuffs it and is pinned against the fence, with Allen trying to lift up his opponent’s leg. When Yusuff pushes off, he just misses with a head kick. Yusuff stuffs a takedown attempt in the center of the cage, and he circles around to lock on with a guillotine choke. Allen frees his neck and spins him around to attack a double, and Yusuff sprawls against the fence before turning around. Yusuff looks to knee his man in the head, but Allen keeps his hands on the canvas to make him a downed fighter. Yusuff does not make the mistake many have been making lately, and instead pulls Allen’s hands off the mat to knee him a few times. The two rising featherweights jockey for position until they break, and they come out swinging. Yusuff starts loading up on shots, and Allen is able to sneak in an uppercut but gets cracked. Yusuff bites down on his mouthpiece and throws heavy shots until Allen ties him up, and the time just ticks by in this position. Yusuff occasionally brings up knees to the thigh to little effect, and Allen smartly keeps hold of underhooks to trap Yusuff in this placement. The clinch walks into the center of the cage, and Yusuff gets of a few solid knees to the body until Allen turns the tables and pushes the American back into the fencing. A single leg takedown attempt allows Allen to stall out much of the rest of the round, with Yusuff elbowing him in the side of the head until Allen abandons it. With a second or two to spare, Allen separates to wing a spinning back elbow, and the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yusuff (29-28 Allen)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Yusuff (29-28 Allen)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Yusuff (29-28 Allen)

The Official Result
Arnold Allen def. Sodiq Yusuff via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Big Brady slightly leans toward Yusuff, citing his power, volume, and pressure. He notes that Yusuff lands 6.10 significant strikes per minute with 49% accuracy, while Allen is defensively sound but lower volume. Brady thinks the smaller cage favors Yusuff's pressure. However, he is not overly confident and acknowledges Allen's defensive skills and the money coming in on Allen. He has no bet on this fight.

"i'm going to slightly lean with yusuf i do think he's the more dangerous fighter"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody picks Yusuff, praising his refined Muay Thai and well-rounded game. He notes Yusuff's losses are old and he's improved, while Allen relies on grappling but may not get takedowns. He thinks Yusuff wins striking exchanges and has better cardio.

"i bet uh use of yesterday minus 124"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Daniel Levi picks Sodiq Yusuff, giving him a slight edge due to his 'Nigerian horsepower' and superior grappling, particularly his top control and get-up game reminiscent of Jose Aldo. He notes that Yusuff has been wobbled in fights but recovers quickly due to his conditioning. Levi respects Arnold Allen's clean boxing and fight IQ but thinks Yusuff's power and wrestling might be the difference. He calls it a high-level fight that could go either way.

"I'm gonna go with so deep to just slightly overpower him and edge this one out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arnold Allen

The host likes Allen's technical striking, balance, and defensive soundness. He thinks Allen will be faster to the punch and that Yusuff's chin is suspect. He picks Allen to win by decision, noting that the line is close and that Allen offers good value as a slight underdog.

Allen by decision
"i'm taking allen to win this fight via decision i think he's a solid spot at dog odds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul picks Yusuff, highlighting his striking advantage and Allen's reliance on grappling. He notes Allen's close fights and favorable matchmaking, while Yusuff is sharper and has better cardio. He suggests the fight goes the distance.

"i think that sodium stuff is just sharper he'll win those striking exchanges"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Arnold Allen

The MMA Guru picks Arnold Allen as an underdog, noting he would have picked him even as a slight favorite. He believes Allen has better technique, more experience, and a proven chin, while Yusuff has been rocked in past fights. He thinks Allen will use straight shots, calf kicks, and front kicks to outpoint Yusuff, who relies on looping hooks. He mentions Allen's broken hand in the Nick Lentz fight but still won every round. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Allen.

"i'm picking arnold allen he's an underdog you can't give me arnold allen as an underdog here"
WIN vs Andre Fili
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 49 of 145 33% 56 of 152 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:05
Andre Fili 0 73 of 155 47% 90 of 177 0 of 0 --- 1 1 4:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 23 of 63 36% 25 of 65 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:20
Andre Fili 0 35 of 69 50% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:42
2 Sodiq Yusuff 0 6 of 13 46% 11 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Andre Fili 0 22 of 37 59% 35 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:32
3 Sodiq Yusuff 0 20 of 69 28% 20 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Andre Fili 0 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 49 of 145 33% 36 of 129 10 of 12 3 of 4 46 of 140 3 of 4 0 of 1
Andre Fili 73 of 155 47% 54 of 131 10 of 15 9 of 9 50 of 120 3 of 5 20 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 23 of 63 36% 16 of 55 4 of 5 3 of 3 22 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andre Fili 35 of 69 50% 30 of 62 2 of 4 3 of 3 28 of 59 1 of 2 6 of 8
2 Sodiq Yusuff 6 of 13 46% 3 of 9 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 1
Andre Fili 22 of 37 59% 11 of 25 8 of 9 3 of 3 6 of 12 2 of 3 14 of 22
3 Sodiq Yusuff 20 of 69 28% 17 of 65 3 of 3 0 of 1 20 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Fili 16 of 49 32% 13 of 44 0 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Daniel picks Sodiq Yusuff to win, likely by knockout. He highlights Yusuff's pure Nigerian power, calf kicks, and conditioning. He notes that Fili has been wobbled before and doesn't check leg kicks, and that Yusuff's fight IQ and calmness in the pocket will be key.

knockout
"I believe so did yusuf presents a lot of stylistic issues in the pocket and will eventually find the chin of the veteran and put him away."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The host briefly mentions picking Sodiq Yusuff over Andre Fili in quick picks, but provides no detailed analysis. He later comments that the fight could be a letdown despite hype, and considers the under 2.5 rounds but is not sure if he'll bet it.

Under 2.5 rounds considered but not committed.
"I got Sodiq Yusuff over Andre Fili"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Andre Fili

The host initially leans toward Sodiq Yusuff but changes his mind, picking Andre Fili as an underdog. He believes Fili will use his wrestling, training at Team Alpha Male, to take Yusuff down and win. He notes that Yusuff's hype is unproven and that Fili's wrestling advantage is too juicy to pass up.

underdog pick
"Andre Philly's gonna take him down and wrestle [ __ ] him and win that way because he trains a team alpha male and they know how to wrestle over there so I think that Andre feelings gonna get the …"
TKO (punches) R1 4:14 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 24 of 72 33% 24 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 1 34 of 79 43% 34 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 24 of 72 33% 24 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 1 34 of 79 43% 34 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 24 of 72 33% 11 of 55 4 of 8 9 of 9 24 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 34 of 79 43% 25 of 70 4 of 4 5 of 5 30 of 71 0 of 1 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 24 of 72 33% 11 of 55 4 of 8 9 of 9 24 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 34 of 79 43% 25 of 70 4 of 4 5 of 5 30 of 71 0 of 1 4 of 7
Don Shainis - Fight History
LOSS vs Jack Jenkins
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 82 of 123 66% 100 of 150 4 of 5 80% 0 0 6:00
Don Shainis 0 50 of 102 49% 128 of 187 1 of 3 33% 2 2 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Don Shainis 0 25 of 55 45% 28 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
2 Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 33 69% 25 of 35 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Don Shainis 0 15 of 28 53% 58 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:30
3 Jack Jenkins 0 25 of 31 80% 40 of 55 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:01
Don Shainis 0 10 of 19 52% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 82 of 123 66% 45 of 81 23 of 26 14 of 16 53 of 90 21 of 24 8 of 9
Don Shainis 50 of 102 49% 26 of 68 17 of 23 7 of 11 29 of 73 14 of 21 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 34 of 59 57% 13 of 35 12 of 13 9 of 11 24 of 49 10 of 10 0 of 0
Don Shainis 25 of 55 45% 9 of 34 11 of 13 5 of 8 16 of 43 9 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 23 of 33 69% 11 of 19 8 of 10 4 of 4 14 of 21 9 of 12 0 of 0
Don Shainis 15 of 28 53% 10 of 19 3 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 14 4 of 8 5 of 6
3 Jack Jenkins 25 of 31 80% 21 of 27 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 20 2 of 2 8 of 9
Don Shainis 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 1 7 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, describing him as a powerful striker with multiple tools, though he notes Jenkins can be stiff and doesn't flow smoothly between striking and grappling. He believes Jenkins' power and leg kicks will be too much for Don Shainis, who is tough but limited. He considers it a safe bet but wants to see Jenkins mix his skills more.

"Jack's gonna be the pick it's probably a pretty safe bet as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady thinks Jenkins is a solid fighter with good striking and wrestling. He expects Shainis to come out aggressively but fade, and Jenkins to take over. He predicts a decision win for Jenkins, noting Shainis's low level of competition.

"I'll say Jenkins by by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody is confident Jenkins wins, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Shainis was submitted quickly by Sadiq Yusuff and doesn't have the skills to hang. He thinks Jenkins will wear him down with leg kicks and takedowns, likely winning inside the distance or by decision. He took Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.

Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I think Jack Jenkins wins likely inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor picks Jenkins, agreeing that Shainis is easily swept and has no control in grappling. He notes that Shainis is gritty but everything is on the razor's edge, and that Jenkins' wrestling, though flawed, will be enough to take Shainis down and control him.

"Yeah, I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is the more complete fighter with superior striking and grappling. Shainis was finished quickly by Sadiq Yusuf in his UFC debut. Jenkins' top pressure and ground-and-pound will be dominant. Shainis may have some success with calf kicks, but Jenkins will take him down and control the fight. Jenkins' cardio allows him to maintain pressure for 15 minutes. He should win a dominant decision, though a finish is possible.

"I feel very damn good about Jack in the spot you know I think he's more than deserving of the chalky price that he's at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins, noting Shainis's poor UFC debut and lack of a well-rounded game. He thinks Jenkins' leg kicks and wrestling will be too much. He mentions Jenkins is not a finisher but should control the fight.

"Jack Jenkins seems like again I think he's like 29 maybe 30 years old... he's talented he's got skills"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Don Shainis, criticizing Shainis's record and noting his loss to Jay Ellis as a sign of low level. He believes Jenkins is fundamentally sound and patient, and will finish Shainis in the third round by TKO, matching his contender series performance.

third round TKO
"I'm going with Jack Jenkins we move on up the card"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane picks Jenkins, describing him as a ground-and-pound specialist with a sticky scrambling style. He notes that Jenkins has a limited game but that Shainis loves getting out-grappled and has poor control. Zane expects Jenkins to get to his spots and flatten Shainis on the ground, despite Jenkins' terrible shot and lack of striking.

"I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins. Yeah. It's going to be weird and ugly and dysfunctional. But once he gets to his spots, he is going to flatten Don Janis on the ground."
LOSS vs Sodiq Yusuff
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 9 of 9 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Don Shainis 0 3 of 3 100% 9 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 9 of 9 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
Don Shainis 0 3 of 3 100% 9 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 9 of 9 100% 1 of 1 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0
Don Shainis 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 9 of 9 100% 1 of 1 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0
Don Shainis 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody picks Sodiq Yusuff to win, but is not fully sold on him due to his tendency to fight to his opponent's level and get hit. He acknowledges Shainis has a puncher's chance but believes Yusuff's talent and experience will prevail. He prefers the under (fight doesn't go to decision) as a bet, noting that Shainis usually finishes or gets finished.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm not fully sold on him like he he he gets hit in some spots he gets walled in some spots he fights to his opponent's level sometimes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul picks the under (fight doesn't go to decision) rather than a side, believing that either Yusuff finishes Shainis or Shainis catches Yusuff early. He notes that Shainis has power and Yusuff has been wobbled before, but Yusuff is the more talented fighter. He sees value in the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -200 and expects it to move to -300. He also mentions parlaying this prop with other picks.

Fight doesn't go to decision -200; parlay with Tabitha Richie and Mike Davis
"I'm gonna go with the under I think that one of these guys are getting clipped and getting put down"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The MMA Guru is very confident in Sodiq Yusuff, calling the fight a mismatch. He notes that Yusuff has fought and beaten high-level competition, while Don Shainis's opponents have been low-level. He believes Yusuff can win however he wants, whether by striking or wrestling. He acknowledges the short-notice factor but thinks Yusuff's skills are far superior. He does not bet due to the heavy favorite price.

"I think Sodiq Yusuff is gonna murder him, like whatever way he wants."
Expert Picks (3)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody picks Sodiq Yusuff to win, but is not fully sold on him due to his tendency to fight to his opponent's level and get hit. He acknowledges Shainis has a puncher's chance but believes Yusuff's talent and experience will prevail. He prefers the under (fight doesn't go to decision) as a bet, noting that Shainis usually finishes or gets finished.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm not fully sold on him like he he he gets hit in some spots he gets walled in some spots he fights to his opponent's level sometimes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul picks the under (fight doesn't go to decision) rather than a side, believing that either Yusuff finishes Shainis or Shainis catches Yusuff early. He notes that Shainis has power and Yusuff has been wobbled before, but Yusuff is the more talented fighter. He sees value in the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -200 and expects it to move to -300. He also mentions parlaying this prop with other picks.

Fight doesn't go to decision -200; parlay with Tabitha Richie and Mike Davis
"I'm gonna go with the under I think that one of these guys are getting clipped and getting put down"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The MMA Guru is very confident in Sodiq Yusuff, calling the fight a mismatch. He notes that Yusuff has fought and beaten high-level competition, while Don Shainis's opponents have been low-level. He believes Yusuff can win however he wants, whether by striking or wrestling. He acknowledges the short-notice factor but thinks Yusuff's skills are far superior. He does not bet due to the heavy favorite price.

"I think Sodiq Yusuff is gonna murder him, like whatever way he wants."