UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
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Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Maryna Moroz
4.42 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
4.89 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.7 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
6.1 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.35 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.65 TD Avg
80.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Maryna Moroz - Fight History
LOSS vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 136 of 249 54% 173 of 290 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 102 of 195 52% 156 of 255 1 of 2 50% 0 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 4 of 9 44% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 5 of 7 71% 50 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
2 Joanne Wood 0 58 of 109 53% 75 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Maryna Moroz 0 45 of 81 55% 52 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
3 Joanne Wood 0 74 of 131 56% 77 of 134 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Maryna Moroz 0 52 of 107 48% 54 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 136 of 249 54% 74 of 175 39 of 45 23 of 29 112 of 216 23 of 31 1 of 2
Maryna Moroz 102 of 195 52% 79 of 160 23 of 33 0 of 2 79 of 169 19 of 22 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 4 of 9 44% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Joanne Wood 58 of 109 53% 30 of 76 21 of 24 7 of 9 45 of 90 13 of 19 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 45 of 81 55% 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 74 of 131 56% 42 of 95 17 of 19 15 of 17 64 of 118 10 of 12 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 52 of 107 48% 41 of 87 11 of 18 0 of 2 44 of 99 8 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.

If line moves further, might throw a couple dollars on Wood as a dog.
"I'm going to lean the vet here I'm going to lean Joanne wood I'm going to pick her as a dog obviously she's 38 she's slowing down she is past her prime past her Peak but I think she can …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.

win by second round submission
"give me a marina marose I'll take her to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.

Wood by decision (+325), fight goes to split decision
"I think she comes out and she wins"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I'll pick marose but you know pick and bet are two different things"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.

Moroz by decision
"minus 225 is a little bit wide for me as it's been difficult to completely trust marose to go out there and Implement her effective style uh but if she does she should look the minus 225 so give me …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.

Moroz by submission (+220)
"marose by sub is what has my eyeballs"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.

"I'm actually going to take Marina Rodriguez to implement takedowns here and I think that just being able to get takedowns in women's MMA is really going to drastically affect scoring"
LOSS vs Karine Silva
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 4:59 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karine Silva 1 30 of 53 56% 52 of 76 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:51
Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 55 29% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karine Silva 1 30 of 53 56% 52 of 76 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:51
Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 55 29% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karine Silva 30 of 53 56% 15 of 31 7 of 9 8 of 13 18 of 40 11 of 12 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 16 of 55 29% 8 of 41 7 of 12 1 of 2 10 of 47 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karine Silva 30 of 53 56% 15 of 31 7 of 9 8 of 13 18 of 40 11 of 12 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 16 of 55 29% 8 of 41 7 of 12 1 of 2 10 of 47 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maryna Moroz vs. Karine Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-155), Moroz (+130)

Round 1
I’m a sailor peg, and I lost my leg. Climbing up the topsails, I lost my leg! I’m shipping up to Boston, to find my wooden leg. As it turns out, the UFC is also shipping off to Boston, for the first time since UFC on ESPN 6 back in 2019. There may be wooden legs in the TD Garden, but there will absolutely be fights – a dozen, in fact. The first comes in the flyweight division between a pair of action fighters, as Silva (16-4, 2-0 UFC) brings her destructive ways to the table in a revenge match against extremely tough out Moroz (11-4, 6-4 UFC). Combined, the two have 23 stoppages in their 27 pro wins, although all four decisions are on the ledger of the Ukrainian. The action begins without a glove of touch under the watchful eye of referee John English, and instead Silva looks to find her immediate range with kicks high and low. Moroz stays on the outside with a jab stuck out every so often, and she gets in to back Silva off momentarily. Moroz strides forward to land a few strikes, and Silva gives three back in rapid succession. Moroz checks a kick as she resets, and she misses the mark with a head kick by a short distance. Moroz jabs the midsection, and Silva swings back with counters that are just out of reach. Silva peppers the lead leg and waist with kicks, and she loads up with a sharp left hand that intercepts Moroz and knocks her to her seat. Moroz springs back up and clinches up to get her wits back about her. The two jockey for position, and Moroz is the one to separate first as she lands three strikes in rapid succession. Silva lashes out with a head kick, and she catches Moroz with a subsequent combination. Silva surges forward to mix things up, shooting in for a double-leg takedown, and she manages to trip Moroz up and set her down on the mat. Silva passes guard easily to move all the way to north-south position, and she hangs onto Moroz’ neck with her right arm. As Moroz sits up,
Silva jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but “The Iron Lady” steels herself and passes through it to claim top position. Silva is still clinging to the neck, and she stretches Moroz out to reposition herself with the choke and crank it with all her might. There are just seconds left on the clock, and Moroz hangs on and tries to grit it out. The submission is frighteningly tight. On the verge of consciousness, Moroz taps out
, and the horn immediately blows after English intervenes. Silva releases the grip and lets out a shout of victory, and she leaps atop the cage wall to motion to the crowd to celebrate with her. Exacting revenge on a woman that beat her in 2014, Silva becomes the first fighter to ever finish Moroz as a professional.
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The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Maryna Moroz R1 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Angelo is very confident that Karine Silva will win, citing her powerful takedowns and insane grappling. However, he cautions that Silva's cardio is untested past the first round, as she has only been to a decision once and lost. He worries that if Maryna Moroz keeps the fight standing and tires Silva out, an upset could happen. Despite this, he picks Silva but leaves her out of parlays due to the cardio concern.

"Carini should absolutely win this fight right like very confident pick... but I would be a little worried to bet or parlay Carini because we have no clue what happens if this goes a few rounds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by late second-round submission, trusting her durability and cardio over Karine Silva's early danger. He notes Silva is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 19 finishes in 20 wins, but her cardio is suspect and she tires in later rounds. Moroz has never been finished in 15 fights, and Brady believes she can weather the early storm, extend the fight, and submit Silva as she tires.

win by submission, round 2
"I'm gonna take Marina Rose here to win this fight... I'll say she wins it by late second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Cody likes Moroz as a plus-money underdog due to her boxing and takedown defense. He notes Silva has had bad spots and may fatigue if she doesn't get a quick submission. Moroz has a high work rate and keeps fights competitive.

"I would take the flyer plus money on Marina morose super inactive but an excellent boxer"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing she is hungry to avenge her 2014 loss and has shown advanced submissions. He notes that Moroz has never been finished and has good submission defense, but Silva is stronger now and can take her down. Levi is not confident and predicts Silva by submission, but acknowledges it could be a decision. He also bet the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds; Silva by submission
"I'm gonna go Carini Silva here... I think she's gonna take her down and get her with something along the way"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Lucrative James likes the underdog Maryna Moroz here, citing her superior strength of schedule and experience against high-level competition like Buena Silva and Maria Agapova. He notes that Karine Silva has never won a decision and tends to finish or get finished, while Moroz has never been submitted. He believes the odds are off and that Moroz should not be an underdog.

"I do like the underdog in this fight and it is Marina morose"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is the better technical striker and should be able to land from distance. She has defensive grappling to avoid Silva's submission threats and will likely win rounds with striking. Silva's striking is limited to setting up takedowns, but Moroz can nullify control time. Expect a close fight early but Moroz pulls away on the scorecards.

"I expect this to be a little bit close early but as we start to get down the stretch I expect marozza's striking to Prevail here and I think she ends up winning this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karine Silva

The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva but calls it a tricky pick. He notes Silva's first-round finishes and believes she has improved since her earlier loss to Moroz by armbar. He thinks Silva is the more talented, younger, and improving fighter with momentum. However, he acknowledges Moroz's win over Mayra Bueno Silva and the unpredictability of women's MMA, making him hesitant.

submission early
"I'm gonna go with Karine Silva getting this one done by submission early on"
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 109 of 253 43% 117 of 261 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maryna Moroz 0 80 of 272 29% 84 of 276 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 58 51% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 61 21% 13 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 110 37% 41 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 41 of 114 35% 41 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 38 of 85 44% 40 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 97 26% 30 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 109 of 253 43% 84 of 224 14 of 18 11 of 11 101 of 242 8 of 11 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 80 of 272 29% 55 of 237 14 of 23 11 of 12 78 of 269 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 30 of 58 51% 23 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 4 28 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 13 of 61 21% 9 of 52 4 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 41 of 110 37% 34 of 102 4 of 5 3 of 3 41 of 109 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 41 of 114 35% 26 of 96 7 of 10 8 of 8 41 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 38 of 85 44% 27 of 73 7 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 77 6 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 26 of 97 26% 20 of 89 3 of 4 3 of 4 25 of 95 1 of 2 0 of 0
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:27 · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Mar 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 28 of 42 66% 51 of 74 2 of 5 40% 3 0 6:43
Mariya Agapova 0 16 of 27 59% 72 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 2 of 6 33% 14 of 20 1 of 4 25% 2 0 3:28
Mariya Agapova 0 10 of 18 55% 40 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
2 Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 36 72% 37 of 54 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:15
Mariya Agapova 0 6 of 9 66% 32 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 28 of 42 66% 21 of 33 7 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 8 7 of 7 19 of 27
Mariya Agapova 16 of 27 59% 7 of 15 9 of 9 0 of 3 4 of 15 12 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mariya Agapova 10 of 18 55% 3 of 8 7 of 7 0 of 3 0 of 8 10 of 10 0 of 0
2 Maryna Moroz 26 of 36 72% 21 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 4 5 of 5 19 of 27
Mariya Agapova 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.

"i'm actually gonna go with the underdog here i like marina moroza's movement and the recent addition of offensive takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.

Moroz by decision
"i'm going to go with the dog here in moroz i think there is some recency bias on this line"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.

"i think maria wins not marina maria agapova wins able to fight off her back feet landing the much more damaging shots"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.

"i got agapova man i know she lost to shane adoption and it's tough to back someone that uh lost to shaina dobson at that number but the the latest performance um and maybe um i'm gonna go agape by …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.

"i do agree though that agapova should be the favorite i do think the line is a little bit off though uh i do think that it should be closer i think i kept over closer to minus 130 minus …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.

"i think officially i am going to take out a capo ride or die at this point but i got a bad gut feeling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova over Maryna Moroz, citing Agapova's aggression, strength, and reach advantage. He notes Agapova showed patience in her last fight (submission win over Sabina Mazo) and believes she is a rising prospect. He predicts a first-round TKO, though he acknowledges Agapova has gassed in the past. He dismisses Moroz as inferior based on watching both fighters.

method: TKO, round: 1
"i'm gonna go with maria ragapova here first round tko something like that"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 88 of 146 60% 92 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 139 of 247 56% 176 of 298 2 of 8 25% 0 0 4:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 25 of 39 64% 28 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 45 of 84 53% 62 of 108 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
2 Maryna Moroz 0 20 of 34 58% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 38 of 62 61% 56 of 85 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:32
3 Maryna Moroz 0 43 of 73 58% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 56 of 101 55% 58 of 105 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 88 of 146 60% 45 of 92 20 of 22 23 of 32 73 of 130 15 of 16 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 139 of 247 56% 75 of 160 49 of 71 15 of 16 111 of 203 10 of 18 18 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 25 of 39 64% 11 of 20 4 of 5 10 of 14 21 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 45 of 84 53% 16 of 49 21 of 27 8 of 8 37 of 73 4 of 5 4 of 6
2 Maryna Moroz 20 of 34 58% 13 of 25 3 of 3 4 of 6 14 of 27 6 of 7 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 38 of 62 61% 27 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 21 of 36 3 of 6 14 of 20
3 Maryna Moroz 43 of 73 58% 21 of 47 13 of 14 9 of 12 38 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 56 of 101 55% 32 of 63 20 of 33 4 of 5 53 of 94 3 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maryna Moroz vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Round 1
Staying at flyweight but moving over to the women’s side of the equation, Moroz (9-3, 4-3 UFC) will try to hand Bueno Silva (5-0, 1-0 UFC) her first career defeat. The third woman in the Octagon for this scrap is referee Camila Albuquerque, and the two touch gloves to greet one another. Moroz looks for jabs and a body kick, but the Brazilian has low kicks in mind. Moroz lands a good jab but gets tagged to the body by a flush spinning back kick. Moroz falls backward, but comes right back in with several jabs. Bueno Silva scores a body kick, and the two clinch up allowing Bueno Silva to try to knee her on the jaw. Moroz is working the jab, and long punches while Bueno Silva taunts her and looks at her. The Ukrainian does not get bothered by her antics, working the body and head with a long stream of punches as she kiais with every blow. Moroz shoves her advancing opponent away with a push kick, and chains together several punches. Bueno Silva lands a few power shots, but Moroz is working her over with substantially higher volume. Bueno Silva clinches up and lands a knee, but spins around and cracks her with a spinning back elbow. Moroz is unfazed, and keeps working the low kicks and punches up top. As Bueno Silva crashes forward, she gets hit a few times, so the Brazilian throws a high kick that gets caught. Moroz catches it and shoves Bueno Silva down, where she lands in full guard while throwing punches. “The Iron Lady” scores a strong elbow to the body, and Bueno Silva keeps eating punches to the face while she tries to buck out of position. Moroz slashes down with an elbow, and Bueno Silva holds on tight to try to force a referee standup. One does not come, as Moroz breaks free and nails her with an elbow. The first frame concludes with Moroz staying busy on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva

Round 2
The two start up the round aggressively, with Moroz linking a few punches together before shooting in for a takedown. The Brazilian stuffs it and shoves Moroz against the cage, but Moroz lands a few strikes and ducks the spinning back elbow that comes on the break. Moroz works the lead leg with a few more kicks, and the damage on that calf is starting to mount. Bueno Silva scores a heavy head kick, and Moroz gathers her thoughts while peppering Bueno Silva on the outside. “Sheetara” is swinging wildly, and connects with a few punches but Moroz largely evades the more dangerous strikes. They clinch up, so Bueno Silva circles around to try to take Moroz’ back, but Moroz breaks free and again evades that spinning back elbow attempt. Bueno Silva eats several punches and fires back much more heavily with a two-punch combination that backs off Moroz. Bueno Silva muscles her opponent to the fence, and nearly lands a trip but falls for her back again. The Brazilian gives up half guard quickly, as Moroz now prefers to advance position instead of posturing up on full guard like the previous round. Moroz stays heavy on top as if to set up an arm-triangle choke, but instead pulls her arm free and slams down a vicious elbow. Bueno Silva ties her up for a moment, but the Ukrainian yanks her arms out and starts to mark up Bueno Silva with a slew of heavy elbows. Moroz continues the grind, and starts to put it on Bueno Silva with more elbows from on top. She continues to rain down elbows until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Moroz

Round 3
The last round commences with a body kick from “The Iron Lady,” and we can see Bueno Silva wearing it already. Moroz strings together a quick combination and backs off before a counter can follow from her opponent. Moroz lands two solid body punches, but Bueno Silva fires back with a body kick. Bueno Silva lands a leg kick, and then looks for another but Moroz lifts her leg out of danger. Moroz is able to touch her with the jab, working the body and head indiscriminately before going after a single leg takedown. Bueno Silva does not fall for it, and pushes Moroz against the fence where she lands a few stiff knees. Bueno Silva aims at that low kick, and makes Moroz’ knees wobble. Bueno Silva lands a heavy right hand, and the legs are definitely in danger for Moroz. The Ukrainian regathers herself and shoots in from a great distance for a takedown, and Bueno Silva stuffs it and pushes her away. Bueno Silva cracks her with a nasty one-two, and Moroz is hurt. Bueno Silva repeats the combination and Moroz shoots in low. She get stuffed, and Bueno Silva is marching her down with looping punches while Moroz still appears to be compromised. Bueno Silva targets the body with a few more kicks, and Moroz is reacting to every strike that lands. The jabs of Moroz are unable to keep her opponent at bay any longer, as the Brazilian is stalking her down while trying to land huge power hooks. Moroz spins with a back fist and catches her opponent at the end of it, and Bueno Silva rocks her with a knee on the forehead that splits her open. Moroz is rocked as she tries to circle away and survive the assault. Bueno Silva pours it on with a few more right hands, and eats one from Moroz and smiles. Bueno Silva lands one final kick to the body, and remarkably, this fight may be even closer than the first two today.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Bueno Silva)

The Official Result
Maryna Moroz def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel initially favored Bueno Silva but changes his pick to Moroz due to the lack of crowd. He thinks Bueno Silva feeds off crowd energy and without it, Moroz's experience and tennis sounds could sway judges. He predicts a controversial split decision for Moroz.

split decision
"without a crowd I think I might be leaning more towards the upset man it's gonna be completely silent in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The host picks Maryna Moroz over Mayra Bueno Silva. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's jiu-jitsu skills but highlights Moroz's impressive armbar finish over Joanne Calderwood, who is fighting for the flyweight title. He believes Moroz can defend positions and use her length and range to earn a unanimous decision victory.

"I'm gonna go with Mariana and moroz getting the job done if you're able to submit Joanne Kaldur wood in the first round"
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 64 of 144 44% 73 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 56 of 190 29% 74 of 208 1 of 9 11% 0 0 7:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 33 27% 14 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:50
2 Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 50 32% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 73 31% 33 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:19
3 Maryna Moroz 0 39 of 79 49% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 24 of 84 28% 27 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 64 of 144 44% 21 of 87 19 of 25 24 of 32 61 of 138 2 of 5 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 56 of 190 29% 27 of 150 18 of 28 11 of 12 47 of 174 4 of 9 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 9 of 15 60% 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 6 8 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 9 of 33 27% 4 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Maryna Moroz 16 of 50 32% 5 of 35 5 of 6 6 of 9 15 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 23 of 73 31% 13 of 57 5 of 11 5 of 5 21 of 67 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Maryna Moroz 39 of 79 49% 13 of 44 13 of 18 13 of 17 38 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 24 of 84 28% 10 of 66 8 of 11 6 of 7 24 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 84 of 321 26% 100 of 339 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
Maryna Moroz 0 114 of 209 54% 121 of 216 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 26 of 104 25% 33 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 38 of 73 52% 39 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Angela Hill 0 19 of 87 21% 26 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Maryna Moroz 0 29 of 54 53% 34 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:10
3 Angela Hill 0 39 of 130 30% 41 of 132 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 47 of 82 57% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 84 of 321 26% 39 of 241 32 of 62 13 of 18 78 of 304 6 of 16 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 114 of 209 54% 63 of 144 26 of 37 25 of 28 89 of 182 22 of 24 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 26 of 104 25% 12 of 77 10 of 22 4 of 5 23 of 96 3 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 38 of 73 52% 20 of 47 8 of 13 10 of 13 30 of 64 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Angela Hill 19 of 87 21% 9 of 68 9 of 17 1 of 2 17 of 80 2 of 6 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 29 of 54 53% 17 of 39 8 of 11 4 of 4 18 of 42 8 of 9 3 of 3
3 Angela Hill 39 of 130 30% 18 of 96 13 of 23 8 of 11 38 of 128 1 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 47 of 82 57% 26 of 58 10 of 13 11 of 11 41 of 76 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Angela Hill vs. Maryna Moroz

Round 1
Hill counters a kick with a pair of right hands. Hill continues to press forward and lands a combination. Another right hand over the top connects for “Overkill.” Hill is the clear aggressor, walking down her foe and landing overhand rights in the early going. Moroz lands an uppercut. Hill makes Moroz stumble with a lead leg kick. They tie up and Hill pushes Moroz into the cage. They separate quickly. Another counter right hand connects for Hill. Moroz is throwing a lot of kicks but isn’t landing much. Hill closes the distance with a combination and ties up Moroz. they break and Hill attacks with an inside low kick-overhand right combo. Hill drives her foe back with a push kick down the middle. Moroz lands a left hook as Hill moves forward. Hill ducks under a spinning back fist and Hill secures a body lock. Hill switches to a single leg but can’t get Moroz down. Hill tries a jumping knee as the horn sounds. 10-9 Hill.

Round 2
Hill lands an inside leg kick in an initial exchange. Moroz is throwing plenty of volume early. But it’s Hill who continues to land the more meaningful offense, including a pair of big right hands. Hill ties up with Moroz, gets an underhook and lands a couple knees inside. Hill lands an uppercut in the clinch just before they break. Hill misses a big right and Moroz secures a body lock. Moroz tries to get her opponent down but pulls Hill on top of her. An elbow lands for Hill from above. Hill tries to pass and Moroz stands. Hill lands a knee and a right hand on the break. Moroz’s output is good, but she’s still not landing as much as she needs to. She is keeping Hill at bay better than round one, however. Hill is slowing down, as Moroz secures a body lock behind a punch. Moroz presses Hill into the cage and lands a nice combination on the break. 10-9 Hill.

Round 3
Moroz goes right back to work, staying active with punches and kicks. Hill connects with an inside leg kick. Moroz answers with a front kick to the body. A right hand lands for Hill. Moroz continues to push the pace, landing a kick to the body. Hill catches a kick and shoves her foe to the mat. Moroz pops right back up. Hill appears to still be landing the more resounding blows, but Moroz is leading the way in terms of output. Moroz counters a leg kick with a left hand. Hill forces the clinch and lands some knees in close quarters. A jab connects for Hill. Hill dodges a Moroz combination and lands a combo of her own. Another jab finds a home for Hill. Moroz, meanwhile, hasn’t stopped throwing offense, although not a lot is landing. They clinch and Hill pushes her opponent into the fence. Hill lands a couple short elbows before they break. Hill goes body-head while evading Moroz’s offering. An overhand right lands for Hill at the final bell. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).

The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Maryna Moroz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
LOSS vs Carla Esparza
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Jun 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carla Esparza 0 40 of 95 42% 142 of 204 6 of 14 42% 0 0 6:22
Maryna Moroz 0 38 of 119 31% 48 of 134 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carla Esparza 0 11 of 31 35% 73 of 93 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:15
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 36 36% 16 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Carla Esparza 0 18 of 32 56% 42 of 63 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:45
Maryna Moroz 0 15 of 44 34% 18 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carla Esparza 0 11 of 32 34% 27 of 48 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:22
Maryna Moroz 0 10 of 39 25% 14 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carla Esparza 40 of 95 42% 32 of 81 4 of 6 4 of 8 19 of 63 8 of 10 13 of 22
Maryna Moroz 38 of 119 31% 35 of 114 3 of 5 0 of 0 32 of 110 0 of 3 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carla Esparza 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 4
Maryna Moroz 13 of 36 36% 13 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Carla Esparza 18 of 32 56% 15 of 28 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 19 6 of 6 7 of 7
Maryna Moroz 15 of 44 34% 13 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 38 0 of 3 3 of 3
3 Carla Esparza 11 of 32 34% 6 of 22 1 of 2 4 of 8 5 of 17 2 of 4 4 of 11
Maryna Moroz 10 of 39 25% 9 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 48 31% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 19 of 50 38% 45 of 85 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 17 29% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 21 42% 35 of 56 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
2 Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 1 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 19 of 50 38% 10 of 36 2 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 43 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 0 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 9 of 21 42% 5 of 14 0 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 6
2 Miranda Maverick 10 of 31 32% 6 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 10 of 29 34% 5 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.

"I think miranda maverick is too strong and has too much forward pressure for mazzo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).

"i'll say she uh she grinds out a decision here some decision random maverick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.

i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of price on miranda maverick
"i still think she gets it done i still think she's slightly uh more physical and has more paths to victory so i'm gonna pick her for that reason i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.

Inside the distance line is mentioned as a potential play; predicted third-round TKO via ground and pound.
"I like Maverick a lot in this spot. I think she cruises pretty easily. So, let's go ... I'm going to go Miranda Maverick second or third round let's call it third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.

30-27 decision or rear-naked choke
"i am going to go with miranda maverick here over sabine marzo i think miranda maverick's got a good grappling advantage here"
LOSS vs Mariya Agapova
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 0:53 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 09, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mariya Agapova 0 62 of 159 38% 63 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Sabina Mazo 1 93 of 164 56% 99 of 170 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 75 37% 28 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Sabina Mazo 0 53 of 86 61% 56 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 69 40% 28 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mariya Agapova 0 6 of 15 40% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sabina Mazo 1 11 of 21 52% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mariya Agapova 62 of 159 38% 35 of 113 13 of 22 14 of 24 61 of 158 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 93 of 164 56% 48 of 107 32 of 43 13 of 14 91 of 162 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mariya Agapova 28 of 75 37% 15 of 54 8 of 12 5 of 9 27 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 53 of 86 61% 28 of 58 18 of 21 7 of 7 51 of 84 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mariya Agapova 28 of 69 40% 17 of 49 4 of 7 7 of 13 28 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 29 of 57 50% 14 of 34 9 of 16 6 of 7 29 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mariya Agapova 6 of 15 40% 3 of 10 1 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 11 of 21 52% 6 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.

less more Monkey Knife Fight
"I've got Mazo winning a decision on the outside."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.

Mazo straight up at -165 is good enough
"i gotta go with sabine mazzo to get the decision well maybe not even a decision let's just say sabine amazon 165 is good enough just take it straight up"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.

"i'm gonna lean mazo but it's not the most confident pick in the world"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.

underdog parlay with Agapova and possibly Charles Rosa
"I like Agapova in this match-up just because of the ATT, honestly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.

"I like mazzo on this spot i i think her striking is gonna be the key in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.

"i'm actually kind of surprised that mazzo is uh only -165 here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.

Mazo by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with sabine marzo because she out grappled shayna dobson... i think she's going to have a big advantage in the grappling here over maria agapova"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 49 of 83 59% 128 of 196 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:50
Sabina Mazo 0 64 of 165 38% 71 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 16 37% 39 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Sabina Mazo 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Sabina Mazo 0 47 of 118 39% 48 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 3 of 7 42% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Sabina Mazo 0 4 of 9 44% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 49 of 83 59% 8 of 37 4 of 5 37 of 41 46 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 5
Sabina Mazo 64 of 165 38% 50 of 149 5 of 7 9 of 9 64 of 165 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 6 of 16 37% 1 of 9 0 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 13 of 38 34% 12 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexis Davis 40 of 60 66% 5 of 23 4 of 4 31 of 33 39 of 59 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 47 of 118 39% 36 of 106 3 of 4 8 of 8 47 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"
WIN vs Justine Kish
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 1 131 of 275 47% 131 of 275 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 93 of 210 44% 94 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 34 of 72 47% 35 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Sabina Mazo 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 1 52 of 102 50% 52 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 131 of 275 47% 45 of 158 27 of 38 59 of 79 123 of 264 8 of 10 0 of 1
Justine Kish 93 of 210 44% 25 of 118 23 of 38 45 of 54 88 of 199 4 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 37 of 85 43% 8 of 46 12 of 16 17 of 23 37 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 34 of 72 47% 6 of 36 3 of 8 25 of 28 33 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 42 of 88 47% 13 of 48 9 of 13 20 of 27 38 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Justine Kish 28 of 67 41% 9 of 37 11 of 18 8 of 12 24 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 52 of 102 50% 24 of 64 6 of 9 22 of 29 48 of 95 4 of 6 0 of 1
Justine Kish 31 of 71 43% 10 of 45 9 of 12 12 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 118 of 323 36% 121 of 327 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 58 of 144 40% 69 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 97 29% 29 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 47 31% 15 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sabina Mazo 0 46 of 133 34% 46 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 26 of 53 49% 31 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 0 43 of 93 46% 46 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 17 of 44 38% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 118 of 323 36% 66 of 258 29 of 34 23 of 31 92 of 292 26 of 31 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 58 of 144 40% 45 of 125 10 of 13 3 of 6 49 of 132 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 29 of 97 29% 16 of 78 4 of 6 9 of 13 29 of 96 0 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 47 31% 11 of 40 2 of 3 2 of 4 14 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sabina Mazo 46 of 133 34% 32 of 116 7 of 8 7 of 9 42 of 129 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 26 of 53 49% 20 of 47 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 49 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 43 of 93 46% 18 of 64 18 of 20 7 of 9 21 of 67 22 of 26 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 17 of 44 38% 14 of 38 3 of 5 0 of 1 11 of 37 6 of 7 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.

"My pick is gonna be JJ Audra CH I think she's the better fighter and I think she wins a unanimous decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.

"I got JJ Aldrich over Sabine Amazo"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.

"JJ Aldridge is probably going to win moving on"
WIN vs Shana Dobson
Decision (unanimous) (30–24, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 108 of 171 63% 170 of 250 4 of 4 100% 0 0 10:50
Shana Dobson 0 33 of 99 33% 102 of 176 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 30 of 46 65% 72 of 102 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:25
Shana Dobson 0 6 of 20 30% 14 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 36 63% 26 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:29
Shana Dobson 0 19 of 43 44% 47 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Sabina Mazo 0 55 of 89 61% 72 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Shana Dobson 0 8 of 36 22% 41 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 108 of 171 63% 49 of 98 50 of 60 9 of 13 44 of 85 38 of 55 26 of 31
Shana Dobson 33 of 99 33% 19 of 75 11 of 18 3 of 6 14 of 71 15 of 23 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 30 of 46 65% 12 of 24 16 of 20 2 of 2 4 of 13 9 of 13 17 of 20
Shana Dobson 6 of 20 30% 4 of 15 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 13 2 of 4 2 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 23 of 36 63% 0 of 7 20 of 23 3 of 6 11 of 20 12 of 16 0 of 0
Shana Dobson 19 of 43 44% 9 of 29 9 of 11 1 of 3 4 of 22 13 of 19 2 of 2
3 Sabina Mazo 55 of 89 61% 37 of 67 14 of 17 4 of 5 29 of 52 17 of 26 9 of 11
Shana Dobson 8 of 36 22% 6 of 31 1 of 3 1 of 2 8 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 64 of 144 44% 73 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 56 of 190 29% 74 of 208 1 of 9 11% 0 0 7:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 33 27% 14 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:50
2 Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 50 32% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 73 31% 33 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:19
3 Maryna Moroz 0 39 of 79 49% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 24 of 84 28% 27 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 64 of 144 44% 21 of 87 19 of 25 24 of 32 61 of 138 2 of 5 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 56 of 190 29% 27 of 150 18 of 28 11 of 12 47 of 174 4 of 9 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 9 of 15 60% 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 6 8 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 9 of 33 27% 4 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Maryna Moroz 16 of 50 32% 5 of 35 5 of 6 6 of 9 15 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 23 of 73 31% 13 of 57 5 of 11 5 of 5 21 of 67 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Maryna Moroz 39 of 79 49% 13 of 44 13 of 18 13 of 17 38 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 24 of 84 28% 10 of 66 8 of 11 6 of 7 24 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0