Career Averages - Maryna Moroz
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
Maryna Moroz - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 136 of 249 | 54% | 173 of 290 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 102 of 195 | 52% | 156 of 255 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 50 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 58 of 109 | 53% | 75 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 52 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 74 of 131 | 56% | 77 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 52 of 107 | 48% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 136 of 249 | 54% | 74 of 175 | 39 of 45 | 23 of 29 | 112 of 216 | 23 of 31 | 1 of 2 |
| Maryna Moroz | 102 of 195 | 52% | 79 of 160 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 79 of 169 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 58 of 109 | 53% | 30 of 76 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 45 of 90 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 45 of 81 | 55% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 74 of 131 | 56% | 42 of 95 | 17 of 19 | 15 of 17 | 64 of 118 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 52 of 107 | 48% | 41 of 87 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 44 of 99 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-155), Moroz (+130)
Round 1
I’m a sailor peg, and I lost my leg. Climbing up the topsails, I lost my leg! I’m shipping up to Boston, to find my wooden leg. As it turns out, the UFC is also shipping off to Boston, for the first time since UFC on ESPN 6 back in 2019. There may be wooden legs in the TD Garden, but there will absolutely be fights – a dozen, in fact. The first comes in the flyweight division between a pair of action fighters, as Silva (16-4, 2-0 UFC) brings her destructive ways to the table in a revenge match against extremely tough out Moroz (11-4, 6-4 UFC). Combined, the two have 23 stoppages in their 27 pro wins, although all four decisions are on the ledger of the Ukrainian. The action begins without a glove of touch under the watchful eye of referee John English, and instead Silva looks to find her immediate range with kicks high and low. Moroz stays on the outside with a jab stuck out every so often, and she gets in to back Silva off momentarily. Moroz strides forward to land a few strikes, and Silva gives three back in rapid succession. Moroz checks a kick as she resets, and she misses the mark with a head kick by a short distance. Moroz jabs the midsection, and Silva swings back with counters that are just out of reach. Silva peppers the lead leg and waist with kicks, and she loads up with a sharp left hand that intercepts Moroz and knocks her to her seat. Moroz springs back up and clinches up to get her wits back about her. The two jockey for position, and Moroz is the one to separate first as she lands three strikes in rapid succession. Silva lashes out with a head kick, and she catches Moroz with a subsequent combination. Silva surges forward to mix things up, shooting in for a double-leg takedown, and she manages to trip Moroz up and set her down on the mat. Silva passes guard easily to move all the way to north-south position, and she hangs onto Moroz’ neck with her right arm. As Moroz sits up,
Silva jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but “The Iron Lady” steels herself and passes through it to claim top position. Silva is still clinging to the neck, and she stretches Moroz out to reposition herself with the choke and crank it with all her might. There are just seconds left on the clock, and Moroz hangs on and tries to grit it out. The submission is frighteningly tight. On the verge of consciousness, Moroz taps out
, and the horn immediately blows after English intervenes. Silva releases the grip and lets out a shout of victory, and she leaps atop the cage wall to motion to the crowd to celebrate with her. Exacting revenge on a woman that beat her in 2014, Silva becomes the first fighter to ever finish Moroz as a professional.
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The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Maryna Moroz R1 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo is very confident that Karine Silva will win, citing her powerful takedowns and insane grappling. However, he cautions that Silva's cardio is untested past the first round, as she has only been to a decision once and lost. He worries that if Maryna Moroz keeps the fight standing and tires Silva out, an upset could happen. Despite this, he picks Silva but leaves her out of parlays due to the cardio concern.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by late second-round submission, trusting her durability and cardio over Karine Silva's early danger. He notes Silva is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 19 finishes in 20 wins, but her cardio is suspect and she tires in later rounds. Moroz has never been finished in 15 fights, and Brady believes she can weather the early storm, extend the fight, and submit Silva as she tires.
Cody likes Moroz as a plus-money underdog due to her boxing and takedown defense. He notes Silva has had bad spots and may fatigue if she doesn't get a quick submission. Moroz has a high work rate and keeps fights competitive.
Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing she is hungry to avenge her 2014 loss and has shown advanced submissions. He notes that Moroz has never been finished and has good submission defense, but Silva is stronger now and can take her down. Levi is not confident and predicts Silva by submission, but acknowledges it could be a decision. He also bet the over 2.5 rounds.
Lucrative James likes the underdog Maryna Moroz here, citing her superior strength of schedule and experience against high-level competition like Buena Silva and Maria Agapova. He notes that Karine Silva has never won a decision and tends to finish or get finished, while Moroz has never been submitted. He believes the odds are off and that Moroz should not be an underdog.
Moroz is the better technical striker and should be able to land from distance. She has defensive grappling to avoid Silva's submission threats and will likely win rounds with striking. Silva's striking is limited to setting up takedowns, but Moroz can nullify control time. Expect a close fight early but Moroz pulls away on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva but calls it a tricky pick. He notes Silva's first-round finishes and believes she has improved since her earlier loss to Moroz by armbar. He thinks Silva is the more talented, younger, and improving fighter with momentum. However, he acknowledges Moroz's win over Mayra Bueno Silva and the unpredictability of women's MMA, making him hesitant.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 109 of 253 | 43% | 117 of 261 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 80 of 272 | 29% | 84 of 276 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 13 of 61 | 21% | 13 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 41 of 110 | 37% | 41 of 110 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 41 of 114 | 35% | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 40 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 97 | 26% | 30 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 109 of 253 | 43% | 84 of 224 | 14 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 101 of 242 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 80 of 272 | 29% | 55 of 237 | 14 of 23 | 11 of 12 | 78 of 269 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 30 of 58 | 51% | 23 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 13 of 61 | 21% | 9 of 52 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 41 of 110 | 37% | 34 of 102 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 41 of 114 | 35% | 26 of 96 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 38 of 85 | 44% | 27 of 73 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 77 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 26 of 97 | 26% | 20 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 95 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 51 of 74 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 0 | 6:43 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 72 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 14 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 40 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 32 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 28 of 42 | 66% | 21 of 33 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 16 of 27 | 59% | 7 of 15 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 10 of 18 | 55% | 3 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 26 of 36 | 72% | 21 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.
Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.
Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.
Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.
The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova over Maryna Moroz, citing Agapova's aggression, strength, and reach advantage. He notes Agapova showed patience in her last fight (submission win over Sabina Mazo) and believes she is a rising prospect. He predicts a first-round TKO, though he acknowledges Agapova has gassed in the past. He dismisses Moroz as inferior based on watching both fighters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 88 of 146 | 60% | 92 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 139 of 247 | 56% | 176 of 298 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 28 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 62 of 108 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 56 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 43 of 73 | 58% | 43 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 56 of 101 | 55% | 58 of 105 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 88 of 146 | 60% | 45 of 92 | 20 of 22 | 23 of 32 | 73 of 130 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 139 of 247 | 56% | 75 of 160 | 49 of 71 | 15 of 16 | 111 of 203 | 10 of 18 | 18 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 25 of 39 | 64% | 11 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 14 | 21 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 45 of 84 | 53% | 16 of 49 | 21 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 37 of 73 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 20 of 34 | 58% | 13 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 38 of 62 | 61% | 27 of 48 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 20 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 43 of 73 | 58% | 21 of 47 | 13 of 14 | 9 of 12 | 38 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 56 of 101 | 55% | 32 of 63 | 20 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 53 of 94 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Staying at flyweight but moving over to the women’s side of the equation, Moroz (9-3, 4-3 UFC) will try to hand Bueno Silva (5-0, 1-0 UFC) her first career defeat. The third woman in the Octagon for this scrap is referee Camila Albuquerque, and the two touch gloves to greet one another. Moroz looks for jabs and a body kick, but the Brazilian has low kicks in mind. Moroz lands a good jab but gets tagged to the body by a flush spinning back kick. Moroz falls backward, but comes right back in with several jabs. Bueno Silva scores a body kick, and the two clinch up allowing Bueno Silva to try to knee her on the jaw. Moroz is working the jab, and long punches while Bueno Silva taunts her and looks at her. The Ukrainian does not get bothered by her antics, working the body and head with a long stream of punches as she kiais with every blow. Moroz shoves her advancing opponent away with a push kick, and chains together several punches. Bueno Silva lands a few power shots, but Moroz is working her over with substantially higher volume. Bueno Silva clinches up and lands a knee, but spins around and cracks her with a spinning back elbow. Moroz is unfazed, and keeps working the low kicks and punches up top. As Bueno Silva crashes forward, she gets hit a few times, so the Brazilian throws a high kick that gets caught. Moroz catches it and shoves Bueno Silva down, where she lands in full guard while throwing punches. “The Iron Lady” scores a strong elbow to the body, and Bueno Silva keeps eating punches to the face while she tries to buck out of position. Moroz slashes down with an elbow, and Bueno Silva holds on tight to try to force a referee standup. One does not come, as Moroz breaks free and nails her with an elbow. The first frame concludes with Moroz staying busy on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Round 2
The two start up the round aggressively, with Moroz linking a few punches together before shooting in for a takedown. The Brazilian stuffs it and shoves Moroz against the cage, but Moroz lands a few strikes and ducks the spinning back elbow that comes on the break. Moroz works the lead leg with a few more kicks, and the damage on that calf is starting to mount. Bueno Silva scores a heavy head kick, and Moroz gathers her thoughts while peppering Bueno Silva on the outside. “Sheetara” is swinging wildly, and connects with a few punches but Moroz largely evades the more dangerous strikes. They clinch up, so Bueno Silva circles around to try to take Moroz’ back, but Moroz breaks free and again evades that spinning back elbow attempt. Bueno Silva eats several punches and fires back much more heavily with a two-punch combination that backs off Moroz. Bueno Silva muscles her opponent to the fence, and nearly lands a trip but falls for her back again. The Brazilian gives up half guard quickly, as Moroz now prefers to advance position instead of posturing up on full guard like the previous round. Moroz stays heavy on top as if to set up an arm-triangle choke, but instead pulls her arm free and slams down a vicious elbow. Bueno Silva ties her up for a moment, but the Ukrainian yanks her arms out and starts to mark up Bueno Silva with a slew of heavy elbows. Moroz continues the grind, and starts to put it on Bueno Silva with more elbows from on top. She continues to rain down elbows until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Round 3
The last round commences with a body kick from “The Iron Lady,” and we can see Bueno Silva wearing it already. Moroz strings together a quick combination and backs off before a counter can follow from her opponent. Moroz lands two solid body punches, but Bueno Silva fires back with a body kick. Bueno Silva lands a leg kick, and then looks for another but Moroz lifts her leg out of danger. Moroz is able to touch her with the jab, working the body and head indiscriminately before going after a single leg takedown. Bueno Silva does not fall for it, and pushes Moroz against the fence where she lands a few stiff knees. Bueno Silva aims at that low kick, and makes Moroz’ knees wobble. Bueno Silva lands a heavy right hand, and the legs are definitely in danger for Moroz. The Ukrainian regathers herself and shoots in from a great distance for a takedown, and Bueno Silva stuffs it and pushes her away. Bueno Silva cracks her with a nasty one-two, and Moroz is hurt. Bueno Silva repeats the combination and Moroz shoots in low. She get stuffed, and Bueno Silva is marching her down with looping punches while Moroz still appears to be compromised. Bueno Silva targets the body with a few more kicks, and Moroz is reacting to every strike that lands. The jabs of Moroz are unable to keep her opponent at bay any longer, as the Brazilian is stalking her down while trying to land huge power hooks. Moroz spins with a back fist and catches her opponent at the end of it, and Bueno Silva rocks her with a knee on the forehead that splits her open. Moroz is rocked as she tries to circle away and survive the assault. Bueno Silva pours it on with a few more right hands, and eats one from Moroz and smiles. Bueno Silva lands one final kick to the body, and remarkably, this fight may be even closer than the first two today.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Bueno Silva)
The Official Result
Maryna Moroz def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Daniel initially favored Bueno Silva but changes his pick to Moroz due to the lack of crowd. He thinks Bueno Silva feeds off crowd energy and without it, Moroz's experience and tennis sounds could sway judges. He predicts a controversial split decision for Moroz.
The host picks Maryna Moroz over Mayra Bueno Silva. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's jiu-jitsu skills but highlights Moroz's impressive armbar finish over Joanne Calderwood, who is fighting for the flyweight title. He believes Moroz can defend positions and use her length and range to earn a unanimous decision victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 73 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 56 of 190 | 29% | 74 of 208 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 7:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 14 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 33 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 27 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 64 of 144 | 44% | 21 of 87 | 19 of 25 | 24 of 32 | 61 of 138 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 56 of 190 | 29% | 27 of 150 | 18 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 47 of 174 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 33 | 27% | 4 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 16 of 50 | 32% | 5 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 23 of 73 | 31% | 13 of 57 | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 67 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 39 of 79 | 49% | 13 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 13 of 17 | 38 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 24 of 84 | 28% | 10 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 84 of 321 | 26% | 100 of 339 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 114 of 209 | 54% | 121 of 216 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 26 of 104 | 25% | 33 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 39 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 19 of 87 | 21% | 26 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 34 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 39 of 130 | 30% | 41 of 132 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 47 of 82 | 57% | 48 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 84 of 321 | 26% | 39 of 241 | 32 of 62 | 13 of 18 | 78 of 304 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 114 of 209 | 54% | 63 of 144 | 26 of 37 | 25 of 28 | 89 of 182 | 22 of 24 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 26 of 104 | 25% | 12 of 77 | 10 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 96 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 38 of 73 | 52% | 20 of 47 | 8 of 13 | 10 of 13 | 30 of 64 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 19 of 87 | 21% | 9 of 68 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 80 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 29 of 54 | 53% | 17 of 39 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 42 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 39 of 130 | 30% | 18 of 96 | 13 of 23 | 8 of 11 | 38 of 128 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 47 of 82 | 57% | 26 of 58 | 10 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 41 of 76 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Hill counters a kick with a pair of right hands. Hill continues to press forward and lands a combination. Another right hand over the top connects for “Overkill.” Hill is the clear aggressor, walking down her foe and landing overhand rights in the early going. Moroz lands an uppercut. Hill makes Moroz stumble with a lead leg kick. They tie up and Hill pushes Moroz into the cage. They separate quickly. Another counter right hand connects for Hill. Moroz is throwing a lot of kicks but isn’t landing much. Hill closes the distance with a combination and ties up Moroz. they break and Hill attacks with an inside low kick-overhand right combo. Hill drives her foe back with a push kick down the middle. Moroz lands a left hook as Hill moves forward. Hill ducks under a spinning back fist and Hill secures a body lock. Hill switches to a single leg but can’t get Moroz down. Hill tries a jumping knee as the horn sounds. 10-9 Hill.
Round 2
Hill lands an inside leg kick in an initial exchange. Moroz is throwing plenty of volume early. But it’s Hill who continues to land the more meaningful offense, including a pair of big right hands. Hill ties up with Moroz, gets an underhook and lands a couple knees inside. Hill lands an uppercut in the clinch just before they break. Hill misses a big right and Moroz secures a body lock. Moroz tries to get her opponent down but pulls Hill on top of her. An elbow lands for Hill from above. Hill tries to pass and Moroz stands. Hill lands a knee and a right hand on the break. Moroz’s output is good, but she’s still not landing as much as she needs to. She is keeping Hill at bay better than round one, however. Hill is slowing down, as Moroz secures a body lock behind a punch. Moroz presses Hill into the cage and lands a nice combination on the break. 10-9 Hill.
Round 3
Moroz goes right back to work, staying active with punches and kicks. Hill connects with an inside leg kick. Moroz answers with a front kick to the body. A right hand lands for Hill. Moroz continues to push the pace, landing a kick to the body. Hill catches a kick and shoves her foe to the mat. Moroz pops right back up. Hill appears to still be landing the more resounding blows, but Moroz is leading the way in terms of output. Moroz counters a leg kick with a left hand. Hill forces the clinch and lands some knees in close quarters. A jab connects for Hill. Hill dodges a Moroz combination and lands a combo of her own. Another jab finds a home for Hill. Moroz, meanwhile, hasn’t stopped throwing offense, although not a lot is landing. They clinch and Hill pushes her opponent into the fence. Hill lands a couple short elbows before they break. Hill goes body-head while evading Moroz’s offering. An overhand right lands for Hill at the final bell. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).
The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Maryna Moroz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 40 of 95 | 42% | 142 of 204 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 6:22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 38 of 119 | 31% | 48 of 134 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 73 of 93 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 42 of 63 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 27 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 14 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 40 of 95 | 42% | 32 of 81 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 8 | 19 of 63 | 8 of 10 | 13 of 22 |
| Maryna Moroz | 38 of 119 | 31% | 35 of 114 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 110 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Maryna Moroz | 13 of 36 | 36% | 13 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 18 of 32 | 56% | 15 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 7 |
| Maryna Moroz | 15 of 44 | 34% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 11 |
| Maryna Moroz | 10 of 39 | 25% | 9 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 45 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 35 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 15 of 48 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 19 of 50 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 21 | 42% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 10 of 31 | 32% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 10 of 29 | 34% | 5 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).
Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.
Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.
Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 62 of 159 | 38% | 63 of 161 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 93 of 164 | 56% | 99 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 53 of 86 | 61% | 56 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 62 of 159 | 38% | 35 of 113 | 13 of 22 | 14 of 24 | 61 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 93 of 164 | 56% | 48 of 107 | 32 of 43 | 13 of 14 | 91 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 75 | 37% | 15 of 54 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 9 | 27 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 53 of 86 | 61% | 28 of 58 | 18 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 84 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 69 | 40% | 17 of 49 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 29 of 57 | 50% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 11 of 21 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.
Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.
Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.
The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 128 of 196 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 64 of 165 | 38% | 71 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 39 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 50 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 47 of 118 | 39% | 48 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 49 of 83 | 59% | 8 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 41 | 46 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Sabina Mazo | 64 of 165 | 38% | 50 of 149 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 64 of 165 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 40 of 60 | 66% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 33 | 39 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 47 of 118 | 39% | 36 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 47 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 131 of 275 | 47% | 131 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 93 of 210 | 44% | 94 of 212 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 35 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 1 | 52 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 131 of 275 | 47% | 45 of 158 | 27 of 38 | 59 of 79 | 123 of 264 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 93 of 210 | 44% | 25 of 118 | 23 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 88 of 199 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 37 of 85 | 43% | 8 of 46 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 23 | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 34 of 72 | 47% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 25 of 28 | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 42 of 88 | 47% | 13 of 48 | 9 of 13 | 20 of 27 | 38 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 28 of 67 | 41% | 9 of 37 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 24 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 52 of 102 | 50% | 24 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 29 | 48 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 31 of 71 | 43% | 10 of 45 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.
The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.
The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 118 of 323 | 36% | 121 of 327 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 58 of 144 | 40% | 69 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 97 | 29% | 29 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 46 of 133 | 34% | 46 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 26 of 53 | 49% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 46 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 118 of 323 | 36% | 66 of 258 | 29 of 34 | 23 of 31 | 92 of 292 | 26 of 31 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 58 of 144 | 40% | 45 of 125 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 6 | 49 of 132 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 29 of 97 | 29% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 29 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 47 | 31% | 11 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 46 of 133 | 34% | 32 of 116 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 42 of 129 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 26 of 53 | 49% | 20 of 47 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 43 of 93 | 46% | 18 of 64 | 18 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 21 of 67 | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 17 of 44 | 38% | 14 of 38 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.
The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.
The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 108 of 171 | 63% | 170 of 250 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 10:50 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 33 of 99 | 33% | 102 of 176 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 72 of 102 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:25 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 26 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 47 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 55 of 89 | 61% | 72 of 109 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 8 of 36 | 22% | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 108 of 171 | 63% | 49 of 98 | 50 of 60 | 9 of 13 | 44 of 85 | 38 of 55 | 26 of 31 |
| Shana Dobson | 33 of 99 | 33% | 19 of 75 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 71 | 15 of 23 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 30 of 46 | 65% | 12 of 24 | 16 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 17 of 20 |
| Shana Dobson | 6 of 20 | 30% | 4 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 23 of 36 | 63% | 0 of 7 | 20 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 20 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Shana Dobson | 19 of 43 | 44% | 9 of 29 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 22 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 55 of 89 | 61% | 37 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 52 | 17 of 26 | 9 of 11 |
| Shana Dobson | 8 of 36 | 22% | 6 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 73 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 56 of 190 | 29% | 74 of 208 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 7:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 14 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 33 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 27 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 64 of 144 | 44% | 21 of 87 | 19 of 25 | 24 of 32 | 61 of 138 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 56 of 190 | 29% | 27 of 150 | 18 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 47 of 174 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 33 | 27% | 4 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 16 of 50 | 32% | 5 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 23 of 73 | 31% | 13 of 57 | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 67 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 39 of 79 | 49% | 13 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 13 of 17 | 38 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 24 of 84 | 28% | 10 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
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