UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 28
Height 6' 0"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Nick Maximov
1.93 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
2.64 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
4.16 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Punahele Soriano
4.42 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.31 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.97 TD Avg
51.0% TD Acc.
48.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Nick Maximov
Moneyline
FanDuel +166
KO/TKO
DraftKings +1400
Submission
BetRivers +550
Decision
FanDuel +380
Punahele Soriano
Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
FanDuel +125
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
FanDuel +380
Nick Maximov - Fight History
LOSS vs Jacob Malkoun
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacob Malkoun 0 34 of 102 33% 56 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Nick Maximov 0 83 of 164 50% 129 of 214 9 of 13 69% 0 0 7:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacob Malkoun 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Nick Maximov 0 36 of 75 48% 38 of 77 5 of 7 71% 0 0 1:10
2 Jacob Malkoun 0 7 of 24 29% 12 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nick Maximov 0 36 of 66 54% 61 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:42
3 Jacob Malkoun 0 8 of 17 47% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nick Maximov 0 11 of 23 47% 30 of 45 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacob Malkoun 34 of 102 33% 29 of 96 4 of 5 1 of 1 34 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 1
Nick Maximov 83 of 164 50% 78 of 158 4 of 5 1 of 1 66 of 141 4 of 8 13 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacob Malkoun 19 of 61 31% 17 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0 19 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 1
Nick Maximov 36 of 75 48% 35 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0 34 of 72 0 of 1 2 of 2
2 Jacob Malkoun 7 of 24 29% 5 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Maximov 36 of 66 54% 33 of 62 2 of 3 1 of 1 29 of 58 1 of 1 6 of 7
3 Jacob Malkoun 8 of 17 47% 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Maximov 11 of 23 47% 10 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 3 of 6 5 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacob Malkoun vs. Nick Maximov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maximov (-135), Malkoun (+115)

Round 1
Two training partners-turned-UFC middleweights will grace the cage next, as Nick Diaz Academy product Maximov (8-1, 2-1 UFC) will aim to bounce back from his first career defeat at the expense of Robert Whittaker teammate Malkoun (6-2, 2-2 UFC). Ready for whatever happens next is referee Mark Smith, and the fighters do not touch ‘em up. They both measure their range with high kicks, but neither man lands with them. Instead, they switch things up to jabs, and they peck at one another from a distance. Maximov walks his opponent down and straight into repeated jabs, and he loads up on a huge left hand. When it misses, he doubles down with another, and it stuns the Aussie and drops him to his knees. Malkoun attempts to take the fight down when hurt, and after a brief grappling stalemate, they return to their feet. Maximov looks to get his feet beneath him again and work his jab once more, but Maximov has found his range with hooks. The Nick Diaz-trained fighter just misses with a spinning wheel kick, but he clips Malkoun coming in with a sharp left. Malkoun ducks down with a single, and he wrenches Maximov down to the mat. The American works his way to his knees and back to his feet, but Malkoun immediately secures a mat return. The grind continues for Malkoun, who yanks Maximov down any time he stands back up. Maximov wriggles out of the grip, and he backs off to the fence and gets popped with a left hook. Malkoun connects with a few punches that draw a grin out of his opponent, and he might have compromised Maximov when attacking. Maximov winces as he backs off, and Malkoun gives chase and connects with a few punches before setting him down with a snatch single. Maximov works his way back up, and Malkoun follows him every step of the way and sneaks a right hand around the guard. Maximov shells up and is defending, and he cannot back Malkoun off even when getting a left hand in. As soon as the horn sounds, Maximov reaches to his right leg in pain, and he lets out a yelp. It is unclear if he will be able to continue, and his corner calms him down and has him sit on his stool to recover. Smith calls in the doctor between rounds, but Maximov is cleared to keep fighting.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun

Round 2
Knowing his opponent is in trouble, Malkoun pushes his foot on the gas and rushes out of his corner to engage when Round 2 begins. He backs Maximov off and hits a single with ease, and this time, Maximov is not as eager or able to work right back up. Instead, Maximov closes his guard around the waist, and he is wincing greatly when trying to maneuver his right leg for the guard. Malkoun postures up and lines up with a right hand, but his foe keeps his gloves high to defend it. Maximov leans to his side but cannot get up, and Malkoun drops down left hands in the form of hammers. The pain is clear on Maximov’s face, and he is completely devoid of offense as he lays on his back. Malkoun comfortably moves to half guard, and he aims to drop down ground-and-pound while Maximov is doing anything in his power to show signs of life. With every bit of his energy, Maximov grits his teeth and explodes back to his feet. He immediately backs off, and Malkoun walks him down and lumps him up with heavy punches. Malkoun slips a few punches and plods forward, all while Maximov limps back. Malkoun has a right hand get through, and Smith tells Maximov to fight back. Maximov shells up and backpedals, and when he has a guard high, Malkoun rips the body. Practically every step from Maximov draws a physical reaction out of him, and Malkoun decides to kick the legs for good measure. The one-sided but hardly dominant round ends as Malkoun lands a few more punches.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun

Round 3
The doctors come to check on Maximov again between rounds, and despite the limp and obvious pain, Maximov is once more good to go. A few punches from Malkoun lead to a takedown, and he grabs a single and lowers Maximov to the mat gently. Malkoun searches for a rubber guard with his non-damaged leg, but Malkoun shrugs it off and continues holding on from above. A little light ground-and-pound is absorbed by the Californian before he jumps back up to his feet, and Malkoun is on him with his fists. Smith is paying close attention to the injured fighter, and Malkoun grips his man from behind and then slings leather at him. Maximov strings two punches together, but neither find their target as the Aussie is able to evade them. Maximov tumbles to the ground from a single-leg takedown, and Malkoun clings to his damaged opponent without landing much in the way of offense on his own right. Malkoun grinds from top position, preferring to rack up control time rather than deal damage. The heavy top pressure is not enough to keep even the injured Maximov down, and Maximov works his way back up and connects with a few punches to get the audience back in the fight. Malkoun takes any momentum away with a labored but simple single, and Maximov has no hope of defending it in his condition. Maximov turns to his knees, despite this, and wants to fight his way back up. Malkoun holds him down with a front choke that is more to hang on than to actually submit anyone, and the horn mercifully sounds to conclude this miserable fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-27 Malkoun)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-27 Malkoun)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-27 Malkoun)

The Official Result
Jacob Malkoun def. Nick Maximov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Nick Maximov

Angelo leans Nick Maximov in a razor-thin matchup between two grapplers. He notes that Maximov has better wrestling and BJJ, and that the fight will likely be decided by grappling. He acknowledges Malkoun has raw power but is not the better wrestler. This is a close fight and Angelo is not highly confident.

"I am going to leave Max lean maximoff here because I think he's just got the better wrestling and the better BJJ"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Nick Maximov

Big Brady leans slightly toward Nick Maximov to win a close decision. He notes both fighters are similar wrestlers, but gives Maximov advantages in size (height, reach), cardio, and quality of wins (over Soriano and Brundage). He thinks Maximov is the better wrestler and will grind out a decision, but calls it a tricky fight to call.

"I do lean the maximum off side but this fight's tough to call"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Cody leans towards Malkoun as a slight underdog, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes both are wrestlers, but Malkoun may have a slight edge in striking and willingness to engage. He thinks Malkoun's takedown ability against strong opponents like Alhassan and Dobson is impressive.

"I'm leaning towards maybe malcoon... it's just another dog or pass type fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Both fighters are similar grapplers, but Malkoun's pressure and ability to scramble from bottom positions give him an edge. He never settles and uses butterfly hooks to get back to his feet or reverse. Maximov is a higher belt but Malkoun's relentless style should make it competitive. At plus money, the host sees value on Malkoun, expecting a close decision.

Jacob Malkoun by decision +200
"give me malcoon plus 125 via decision as well you can get that around plus 200. I love that as an underdog spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Paul also leans Malkoun, noting the fight is a toss-up. He thinks Malkoun's wrestling and strength could be the difference, and he is more willing to strike than Maximov. He calls it a dog or pass fight.

"I'm gonna classify this one as another dog or pass... give me uh Jacob Malcolm."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Nick Maximov

The MMA Guru picks Nick Maximov, believing he will out-hustle Jacob Malkoun in grappling. He notes that Maximov's loss to Andre Petroski was a choke, not damage, and that he has less pressure now. He trusts Maximov's jiu-jitsu to secure positional advantage and potentially find the back, while Malkoun lacks submission or KO power.

"I'm going to be going with Nick maximov here"
LOSS vs Andre Petroski
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R1 1:16 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nick Maximov 0 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nick Maximov 0 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 4 of 11 36% 2 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Maximov 1 of 10 10% 0 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 4 of 11 36% 2 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Maximov 1 of 10 10% 0 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nick Maximov vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maximov (-380), Petroski (+290)

Round 1
With a trim event that allows the organization to catch its breath after the wild and crazy UFC 274 show, this ESPN offering will bring the lighter side of the promotion with it – over half the bouts of the evening will take place at 135 pounds or fewer. We do start off in a sizeable weight category of middleweight between two men in Maximov (8-0, 2-0 UFC) and Petroski (7-1, 2-0 UFC) that are as of yet unbeaten inside the Octagon. While Maximov began his career with five straight finishes in under two rounds, Petroski has yet to go the distance as a pro. Referee Chris Tognoni may have his hands full in this prelim opener, although the fighters touch gloves before coming out swinging. Maximov leads off with a kick to the body, and Petroski backs off after sprinting forward. Petroski throws out a kick, and Maximov topples over to the mat off-balance, only to climb back up. They throw hands recklessly, missing with their most powerful blows, as Petroski throws so hard he almost falls over. Maximov dives into a low single, and Petroski sprawls it well and threatens with an anaconda choke with Maximov leaned over. Petroski simultaneously locks the choke in and cinches the grip, and it is tight in a hurry.
Petroski attempts to gator roll, and he does successfully to move to his side as he uses Maximov’s own arm to lock it down. Maximov does not think about tapping, and he might be surprised by the submission or trying to tough it out, but as he does, he loses consciousness. The lights are on and no one’s home, as Tognoni recognizes that Maximov is out cold and breaks them apart.
Petroski still retains a 100% finish rate with a dynamite submission, and Maximov has suffered the first defeat in his career dramatically while Petroski strides around the cage shouting “who’s the best wrestler!” That’s one heck of a way to start the day.

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Nick Maximov R1 1:16 via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nick Maximov

Cody is confident in Maximov, comparing him to Jake Shields. He notes Maximov has collegiate wrestling, a BJJ black belt, and a relentless grinding style. He thinks Petroski gasses out due to his muscular build, as seen in losses to Aaron Jeffery and Brian Battle. He believes Maximov will push a pace and grind Petroski down.

"i like nick maxima if i do mine is 450. whoa whoa whoa whoa we got it at minus 380. okay okay it is a draftking sportsbooks 380 or 350. but like it's one hell that's one hell of a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Paul takes a shot on Petroski at +380, calling it a price play. He notes Maximov's game is not well-rounded and he struggles to finish. He thinks Petroski has decent wrestling and could be competitive early, but acknowledges he gasses out. He says it's a dangerous bet but the odds are too high to ignore.

"i bet andre petrovsky i took him a plus 380 um the line that i caught the other day um because i don't really i mean you're just gonna it's this is gonna happen until i win if they're gonna …"
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nick Maximov 0 45 of 63 71% 74 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Punahele Soriano 0 29 of 45 64% 60 of 82 11 of 16 68% 1 1 8:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nick Maximov 0 15 of 21 71% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Punahele Soriano 0 5 of 14 35% 10 of 20 3 of 7 42% 1 0 2:16
2 Nick Maximov 0 21 of 32 65% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Punahele Soriano 0 13 of 19 68% 19 of 27 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:20
3 Nick Maximov 0 9 of 10 90% 20 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Punahele Soriano 0 11 of 12 91% 31 of 35 5 of 5 100% 0 1 4:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nick Maximov 45 of 63 71% 28 of 46 17 of 17 0 of 0 20 of 38 2 of 2 23 of 23
Punahele Soriano 29 of 45 64% 19 of 33 6 of 8 4 of 4 15 of 31 10 of 10 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nick Maximov 15 of 21 71% 11 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 12 1 of 1 8 of 8
Punahele Soriano 5 of 14 35% 2 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nick Maximov 21 of 32 65% 16 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 25 1 of 1 6 of 6
Punahele Soriano 13 of 19 68% 11 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Nick Maximov 9 of 10 90% 1 of 2 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 9
Punahele Soriano 11 of 12 91% 6 of 7 1 of 1 4 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 5 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano as a striker with power. He notes Soriano's takedown defense is untested but his striking is far superior to Maximov's. Maximov is a BJJ specialist with raw striking and okay takedowns. Angelo expects Soriano to win on the feet, but warns he gassed against Allen. If Soriano gasses, Maximov could take over, making it a live bet situation.

Live bet suggestion: if Soriano gasses after round 1, bet Maximov.
"punahil is the pick but if he gasses after the first round and can't get nick out of there this may be a phenomenal live bet situation for nick maksimov"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Cody agrees with Soriano but is hesitant due to Soriano's suspect cardio. He notes that Maximov has a wrestling background and could take the fight to the ground, where he has slick transitions. However, Soriano has the striking advantage and power. Cody worries that if Maximov gets an early takedown, Soriano may gas, but he still leans Soriano.

"the pig's gonna be soriano just don't know how much i love it is the main thing because his cardio is suspect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Punahele Soriano, emphasizing his All-American wrestling background which should allow him to stuff Maximov's takedowns. He notes Soriano has faced tougher competition like Dusko Todorovic and Brendan Allen, while Maximov is less tested. Levi expects Soriano to land big shots after stuffing takedowns, potentially getting a finish. He respects Maximov's toughness but sees Soriano as the more proven fighter.

"I gotta go with puna haley soriano here everyone only talks about how this guy's this one hitter quitter knockout artist which is a great quality to have and he is a knockout artist but let's not forget he's an …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Lock of the Night picks Soriano, expecting him to defend takedowns and land enough on the feet to win a decision. He notes Soriano's wrestling background and power, but questions his durability if extended. He thinks Maximov will close distance irresponsibly and leave himself open to shots, but Soriano may not knock him out. He likes Soriano by decision at +350 and the over 1.5 rounds.

Soriano by decision +350, over 1.5 rounds -160
"i think puna will do a good enough job in terms of defending them and then on the feet i think puna can touch him up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano has the striking and power advantage, and if he keeps the fight upright, he will likely finish Maximov. He notes that Maximov's stand-up is a work in progress and that his grappling transitions looked solid but he struggled with cardio. Paul is concerned about Soriano's cardio but still picks him because Maximov's takedown entries may not be good enough.

"soriano for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, criticizing Nick Maximov's lack of athleticism and power. He expects Soriano to stuff takedowns and land a big overhand right, knocking Maximov out in the first round. He references Maximov's fight with Cody Brundage where he did no damage, and calls the matchup a 'mismatch'.

TKO, round 1, overhand right
"i'm gonna go with pinelli soriano here... i think pinelli's gonna stuff a couple of those takedowns knee max him off to the body a couple of times and then lay him out cold in the first round"
WIN vs Cody Brundage
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nick Maximov 0 28 of 53 52% 59 of 90 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:55
Cody Brundage 0 14 of 40 35% 84 of 142 4 of 15 26% 0 2 9:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nick Maximov 0 10 of 24 41% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:21
Cody Brundage 0 11 of 28 39% 43 of 65 2 of 8 25% 0 0 2:01
2 Nick Maximov 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 10 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Cody Brundage 0 1 of 3 33% 34 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:40
3 Nick Maximov 0 17 of 25 68% 38 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Cody Brundage 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 17 1 of 6 16% 0 2 2:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nick Maximov 28 of 53 52% 22 of 45 3 of 5 3 of 3 13 of 37 4 of 5 11 of 11
Cody Brundage 14 of 40 35% 12 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 2 8 of 26 3 of 5 3 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nick Maximov 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 11 of 28 39% 10 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 2 7 of 21 2 of 3 2 of 4
2 Nick Maximov 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nick Maximov 17 of 25 68% 16 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 10 3 of 4 11 of 11
Cody Brundage 2 of 9 22% 1 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Brundage vs. Nick Maximov

Round 1
In a battle of organizational newcomers, unbeaten Nick Diaz Academy rep Maximov (6-0, 0-0 UFC) moves down from heavyweight to middleweight to take on short-notice replacement Brundage (6-1, 0-0 UFC). Taking charge of the cage for this 185-pound affair between finishers with matching 83% stoppage rates is referee Chris Tognoni, and they touch gloves as they are happy to be in the cage tonight. Brundage starts the fight by leaping in the air with a flying knee, and it is nowhere to be found. Both men clash together in a striking flurry, and when Maximov considers a takedown, Brundage sees it coming and fires off a high knee that makes Maximov back away out of concern. Maximov fires off a head kick that comes up short, and the two again come together throwing hammers. Maximov stings Brundage with a right hand as Brundage looks to get out of the way in time, but Brundage pays it no mind. Maximov catches Brundage with a left hand and misses with a head kick, and Brundage retaliates with a chopping calf kick that nearly knocks Maximov off his feet. Maximov winds up with a heavy punch, and Brundage counters with a well-timed kick that makes Maximov switch stances. Maximov crashes in to take the fight down, and he cannot get Brundage down but he does knee Brundage in the face a few times. Brundage smiles as he absorbs the knees to the thigh and chin, and he ignores a foot stomp but sprawls when Maximov drops down for a low double. Brundage defends with a standing kimura, and he uses it effectively to break the grip and get back to his feet and gain some space. Maximov gets kneed in the chin when Brundage comes in to attack, and he tags Maximov with a right hand. Maximov returns fire with a looping hook that is more of a distance-closer, and he grabs hold of Brundage and drags him down to the mat. Brundage against defends with a kimura, but this time Maximov blocks it with his own legs and steps over to take mount while Brundage sits with his back against the cage. Maximov tries to get off some punches, but Brundage holds on to his waist and attempts to fight his way back up. Maximov leans forward a little too far, and Brundage snags a guillotine choke that allows him to stand back up. The round ends with Brundage standing over his opponent, smacking him upside the head with his fists.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brundage

Round 2
The gloves are touched to begin the round, and Brundage opens up with a head kick that is barely blocked in time. Brundage charges across the cage for a takedown, and Maximov is able to reverse him and sit Brundage on his backside. Maximov takes his back while Brundage is on his knees, and he gets both hooks in and sets up a body triangle. Maximov uses the position to start raining down punches on his opponent, and Brundage twists and turns so he can break the leg grip but he still takes shots. Brundage defends with two-on-one wrist control to yank Maximov off of him, but the Nick Diaz Academy fighter hangs on tight and keeps a hook in to maintain control. Brundage fights his way to his feet by working to his knees and standing using the cage, but all the while, Maximov is landing punches. When Brundage gets up, Maximov starts pounding on his foe’s thigh with knees, and he turns around to knee Brundage in the face. Maximov goes for a takedown, and Brundage sees it coming and snares a guillotine choke while pulling guard. Maximov frees himself briefly, and Brundage adjusts, but Maximov escapes the danger a second time and winds up on top. Maximov starts opening up with ground-and-pound all while Brundage scrambles, and he takes Brundage’s back as they fight for position. Maximov links up a rear-naked choke and sets up a body triangle at the same time, but Brundage is savvy to defend the choke with two-on-one wrist control. Maximov keeps his back and punches him in the side of the head every so often, and he holds this position until the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maximov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Maximov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maximov

Round 3
To clock in the final round, the gloves are touched, and Brundage is amped up and thinks he needs a finish to win the fight. He swings a pair of huge right hands, and Maximov easily defends himself from the strike and tries to go up top with a head kick. Brunson continues to spam overhand rights, but it is left hand that disrupts Maximov and drops him. Maximov might have been changing levels, but he hits his knees as a result. Maximov recovers and practically crawls at Brundage to pursue a takedown, and he presses Brundage into the fence and wrestles him down to the ground. Maximov gets a hook in as Brundage is face-down while on his knees, but Brundage stands back up and tries to defend himself with hammerfists to the side of the head. Maximov wrenches him back down to the canvas momentarily, and Brundage appears flustered and he starts smashing Maximov in the side of the head with fierce elbows. Maximov does not like these strikes, so he commits to a takedown try to protect himself from these shots. Brundage uses the chaos to stand back up, but Maximov leans heavily on his opponent as he embraces the grind. Maximov eats several more elbows by the ear, and he might be hurt as Brundage bullies him over to the ground and starts pounding on him. A few strikes from Brundage open a cut on Maximov’s head, and Brundage continues to hack at him with elbows. Maximov pursues desperation takedowns and scoots his way around to take Brundage’s back. Brundage pulls himself up to his feet, and he swings his fists around and flails as Maximov dives after him for a takedown try. As the two scramble, Maximov ends up on top, and he fires off some ground strikes that are largely blocked. The round ends in this exciting flurry, and both men celebrate their hard-fought battle after the final bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brundage (29-28 Brundage)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brundage (29-28 Brundage)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maximov (29-28 Maximov)

The Official Result
Nick Maximov def. Cody Brundage via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Angelo picks Brundage (referred to as Carl Robertson in transcript), citing his UFC experience and solid skills. He notes that Maximov's undefeated record is hollow, with five wins against losing records. Angelo believes Brundage's takedown defense and well-rounded game will be enough, but he's not confident due to Maximov's BJJ threat.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting either a quick submission by Maximov or Brundage overwhelming him. He says he's staying away from betting.
"I picked Carl Robertson"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Big Brady picks Cody Brundage (referred to as Carl Roberson) to win by decision. He notes that Brundage has fought much better competition and has a massive striking advantage, while Maximov is one-dimensional and has faced low-level opponents. However, he is hesitant because Brundage has been submitted in all his losses, and Maximov is a grappler who could exploit that.

"i'm going to actually take roberson here i don't feel completely great about it but i think it's uh the right spot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Nick Maximov

Daniel Levi picks Nick Maximov, citing his toughness shown in the Contender Series fight where he grappled a much larger opponent. He contrasts Maximov's grit with Cody Brundage's tendency to quit when takedowns aren't working, as seen in his Contender Series fight. Levi believes Maximov's jiu-jitsu will be the difference, though he acknowledges Brundage's wrestling could pose a challenge.

"for that reason at the ufc level i do think nick maximov is the tougher guy here so give me him for the win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Jacob has no clear pick, calling it a coin toss. He notes that if Brundage can keep his back off the mat, he'll win, but if Maximov gets him down, he's in trouble. Jacob is staying away from betting due to too many unknowns.

Jacob mentions the 84.5 strike line for Maximov, leaning less. He also discusses the less less option on Monkey Knife Fight.
"I'm staying away from this completely I have no idea what's going to happen"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Nick Maximov

The host picks Nick Maximov by submission in the third round. He expects Brundage to implement his wrestling early but eventually gas out, allowing Maximov to hit reversals or a submission off his back. He notes that Maximov has been squashing regional competition but this is his toughest test. He is hesitant due to the short notice nature and limited props available.

Maximov by submission; round 3 submission; fight doesn't go to decision at -170
"my fictional prediction is actually going to be nick maximum of by submission i'll be looking at what these props look like once they start to drop but for the sake of the podcast my prediction is going to be …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Nick Maximov

The MMA Guru picks Nick Maximov over Cody Brundage, citing Maximov's grappling pedigree and Brundage's repeated submission losses. He notes that Brundage has been submitted in most of his losses, including by Brendan Allen, Marvin Vettori, and Glover Teixeira. He highlights Maximov's win on the Contender Series against a much larger opponent, showing his grappling ability. He predicts a first-round submission, specifically an arm triangle, as Brundage's takedown defense is poor.

first round submission, arm triangle
"i'm going to go of nick maxim of arm triangle in the first round"
Punahele Soriano - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 38 of 67 56% 43 of 73 3 of 11 27% 0 0 3:48
Punahele Soriano 0 40 of 92 43% 66 of 123 3 of 4 75% 0 0 5:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Punahele Soriano 0 17 of 52 32% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 5 of 7 71% 10 of 12 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:47
Punahele Soriano 0 7 of 12 58% 26 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:35
3 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 5 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:59
Punahele Soriano 0 16 of 28 57% 19 of 32 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 38 of 67 56% 16 of 42 21 of 24 1 of 1 35 of 63 3 of 4 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 40 of 92 43% 29 of 79 11 of 13 0 of 0 25 of 74 14 of 15 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 31 of 56 55% 13 of 37 17 of 18 1 of 1 30 of 54 1 of 2 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 17 of 52 32% 14 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 5 of 7 71% 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 5 6 of 6 1 of 1
3 Ramiz Brahimaj 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 19 7 of 8 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano, citing his power, wrestling credentials, and ability to stay safe on top. He acknowledges Ramiz Brahimaj's submission threat but believes Soriano's wrestling and striking will prevail. He notes the line has flipped but remains confident in Soriano.

Mentions if the line continues to widen, he will place a bet on Soriano.
"Punahele is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Ramiz Brahimaj to defeat Punahele Soriano, citing Brahimaj's recent underdog wins and Soriano's poor takedown defense and cardio. He notes Soriano has success early but fades, and Brahimaj is tough and has good submissions. He predicts Brahimaj will survive the early storm, mix in takedowns, and submit Soriano in the second round. He references Soriano's losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and Nick Maximov as evidence of his vulnerability.

Ramiz Brahimaj by second-round submission; underdog win
"I'm going to go Ramiz Brahimaj to win this fight and I think he might cash as an underdog for the fourth time in a row. Give me Ramiz Brahimaj by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody thinks Brahimaj's jiu-jitsu and hometown crowd give him an edge. He notes Soriano's inconsistency and cardio issues. He expects Brahimaj to win by submission or decision.

"Brahimai in Texas seems like it's interesting enough for me to maybe go out there and pull something off."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Soriano. He notes that Soriano's recent wins are more trustworthy and indicative of a step forward, while Brahimaj's wins are against fighters with no defense. Connor also mentions that if Court McGee could grind Brahimaj, Soriano can too.

"I think soryano's recent wins are much more trustworthy of an indicative of a step forward than brahimi"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The host leans towards Soriano, noting his advantage on the feet with power and aggression, and his improved cardio since dropping to welterweight. He believes Soriano can outstrike and outgrapple Brahimaj if his gas tank holds up. However, he is not betting because Brahimaj has proven cardio and could make Soriano work hard, and both fighters are evolving, making it difficult to predict which version shows up.

Soriano's cardio improvement at welterweight; Brahimaj's cardio and takedown defense issues
"Heavily leaned towards Soraniano here. He's a very very tempting bet for me. But Brahim can make Sorano work hard in ways neither Veriteneov nor Miguel Baser could."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

James picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing his superior jiu-jitsu and front choke series. He notes that Soriano's wrestling could put him in danger of submissions, and that Brahimaj is the better striker over 15 minutes. James believes Brahimaj will catch Soriano in a front headlock and submit him.

"I'm going to have to pick Ramse Brahim here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Brahimaj has improved his cardio and takedown defense since moving to Chicago, and he is more calculated now. Soriano is a power puncher but relies on wrestling to grind out wins, and he doesn't threaten submissions. Brahimaj's grappling defense should be good enough to keep it standing or scramble, and he can catch Soriano in a submission. The under 2.5 rounds also makes sense.

under 2.5 rounds
"So the official prediction will be Broy Mai by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano at 170 is a different beast with better cardio and power. He acknowledges Brahimaj's grappling but thinks Soriano's wrestling and strength will be enough. He calls it a pick'em and leans Soriano.

"I'm going to pick Puna. But that's just because, you know, I got to support the Hawaiian wave."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, citing his nasty knockout power, solid chin, and physicality. He believes Soriano won't be lost on the feet and can avoid Brahimaj's guillotine. He notes Brahimaj's wins are over lesser competition and that Soriano has dominated grapplers before. He predicts a TKO finish in round one or two.

TKO finish in round one or two, underdog
"I'm going to take him by TKO finish in round one or two over Ramiz Brahimaj as an underdog."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Zane picks Soriano, believing he will bully Brahimaj with his athleticism and power. He notes that Soriano has options and is too dangerous. If Soriano chooses to wrestle, he might get caught in a submission, but that's a thin chance. Zane trusts Soriano's recent wins more than Brahimaj's.

"i'll take soriano. I think he just so clearly feels super confident at this division... that he is going to go in there and bully brahima"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 0 39 of 54 72% 163 of 200 4 of 11 36% 1 1 12:35
Nikolay Veretennikov 0 9 of 12 75% 34 of 37 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 0 21 of 30 70% 82 of 105 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:05
Nikolay Veretennikov 0 6 of 7 85% 21 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Punahele Soriano 0 11 of 13 84% 34 of 44 1 of 3 33% 1 1 4:13
Nikolay Veretennikov 0 1 of 3 33% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
3 Punahele Soriano 0 7 of 11 63% 47 of 51 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:17
Nikolay Veretennikov 0 2 of 2 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 39 of 54 72% 38 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 1 of 1 37 of 49
Nikolay Veretennikov 9 of 12 75% 2 of 2 6 of 9 1 of 1 4 of 6 4 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 21 of 30 70% 21 of 28 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 27
Nikolay Veretennikov 6 of 7 85% 1 of 1 4 of 5 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 1 of 1
2 Punahele Soriano 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 12
Nikolay Veretennikov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Punahele Soriano 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 10
Nikolay Veretennikov 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Punahele Soriano vs. Nikolay Veretennikov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Soriano (-245), Veretennikov (+200)

Round 1
Two knockout-inclined welterweights will ply their trades against one another with continued preliminary action. A win for Soriano (11-4, 5-4 UFC) would keep him above the dreaded .500 line in the promotion, while Kazakhstan’s Veretennikov (13-6, 1-2 UFC) needs to get past “Story Time” to reach that level. If a brawl ensues, referee Marc Goddard will keep a lid on it as best he can. Before that prospective slugfest, they tap gloves.
Soriano takes right to the center of the cage, hopping back to avoid a stomp kick to the knee and springing ahead to fire off a body kick. He aims a second to the same spot, and when Veretennikov counters, Soriano charges with a double and takes Veretennikov off his feet. Veretennikov bounces off and up in the air, and with Soriano on his knees, he measures and blasts the Hawaiian with a mighty knee to the ribs. Veretennikov settles down and wraps up a guillotine choke with his left arm, and when Soriano lifts him up and slams him down, the choke briefly tightens. Soriano sits up and breaks out of the choke, and he starts raining down left hands. Veretennikov attacks back with his own offense from below, but the power differential is drastic from that position. Soriano keeps pounding on his opponent, briefly trapping his foe’s right arm beneath his knee to open up more shots.
Soriano switches to hammering Veretennikov with elbow after unanswered elbow, and his position tying Veretennikov up while not keeping him flat is pinning Veretennikov to the floor. Soriano’s left hands continue to bludgeon the Kazakhstan native, and even though Goddard is not anywhere close to considering stepping in, these consistent blows are draining him. Soriano holds Veretennikov down with his left arm and beats on his ribs with his right, and the ground-and-pound may not be devastating but it is effective as can be. He continues to drive punches down, developing a pattern similar to iambic pentameter in that he lands a soft blow and then a powerful one, and alternates them like ba-dum ba-dum as the sound of the impact echoes around the ring. The one-sided round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Soriano
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Soriano
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Soriano

Round 2
It takes Soriano 15 seconds to commit to a takedown, and he lifts Veretennikov up in the air and deposits him gingerly to the mat. Veretennikov defends instinctively with a guillotine choke, and Soriano uses this opportunity to trap him with a Von Preux shoulder choke. Veretennikov offers a thumbs-up to show he is fine, and he slowly manages to wriggle his neck out of danger. Soriano reintroduces himself with a blistering elbow from above, and even though he has his own leg stuck between Veretennikov’s, he seems to prefer this position lording over his adversary with ground strikes galore. Veretennikov does what he can to tie up Soriano and slow the beating, and Soriano lowers himself down to pursue an arm-triangle choke.
Veretennikov does not fall victim to the submission, so Soriano hacks at him with a pair of mean-spirited elbows. Soriano’s left hand keeps landing until Veretennikov wills himself to his feet, through sheer horsepower. Soriano trips and Veretennikov pounces, wrapping up a rear-naked choke and tightening it quickly. Soriano explodes out of the bad position and turns the Kazakh over, where he gets back into his groove of methodical ground attacks. Veretennikov flirts with an armbar to keep Soriano honest, but this only allows Soriano to hammer him with four or five long punches. Veretennikov sits up and gets in a position to aim a knee to the sternum, and he drives one or two in before the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Soriano
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Soriano
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Soriano

Round 3
Hands are clapped to open Round 3, and Veretennikov strikes first with a punch to the body. That one strike is all he gets off before Soriano darts in to pursue a takedown. The two twirl around while Soriano hangs onto the single, and Veretennikov grips a guillotine around the side of the head to further threaten. Soriano lifts and slams Veretennikov with an exclamation point, freeing himself from the choke and pushing his hand off Veretennikov’s face. One of Veretennikov’s coaches claims that Soriano is out from the guillotine that Veretennikov is still holding, and Goddard tells that coach to knock it off as Soriano is fine. In fact, the Hawaiian postures up a moment or two later to get out of the sub, and he works the body and head when establishing himself. Goddard asks for more, so Soriano punches Veretennikov in the face.
Soriano stacks Veretennikov up, who is searching for an armbar or otherwise using a high guard to control or attack something. Soriano steps over easily to the side to break up the setup, and he pounds an elbow down on the jaw. As Soriano slows down, Goddard asks for more activity from the fighters. Not wanting to let them just sit around and smooch—figuratively speaking, of course—he stands the fighters up. Soriano takes a deep breath and shoots for a single from afar, and Veretennikov jumps for a guillotine choke and wraps it up while standing. Soriano’s eyes go wide as he is pulled down on top of the Kazakh, and Veretennikov squeezes the choke with all his might. Soriano signals thumbs-up as he slithers his neck out of danger, and he concludes the match with emphatic elbows.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Soriano (30-26 Soriano)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Soriano (30-27 Soriano)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Soriano (30-27 Soriano)

The Official Result
Punahele Soriano def. Nikolay Veretennikov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo trusts that Punahele Soriano will use his wrestling, as a Division III All-American, to win, despite his tendency to sometimes just strike. He notes Soriano has heavy hands but poor takedown defense, while Veretennikov is a powerful striker who can be taken down. His concern is that Soriano might abandon wrestling after a recent knockout win. He is not betting on this fight.

Not betting on this fight.
"I'm going to trust the division three all-American wrestler to wrestle his way to a win... I'm going to pick Punel."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady likes Soriano, especially at welterweight, where he seems like a different animal with improved cardio and strength. He notes that Veretennikov has awful cardio and a poor ground game, and that Soriano can wrestle him, get him tired, and finish him on the mat. He predicts a second-round TKO for Soriano.

Soriano by second round TKO.
"I'm going to take Sorano here. I think he makes this look really easy with the correct game plan ... Give me Soraniano by second round TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Soriano but noting that it depends on whether Soriano fights well. He hopes to see a more aggressive, active, and wrestling-minded Soriano, as seen in his welterweight debut, but acknowledges that his previous opponents (Miguel Baeza and Eros Medich) were not reliable tests.

Soriano opened at -300, currently -332; Veretennikov opened at +250, currently +272. Connor comments: 'Possibly a bit wide. It's too wide. Soriano lost to Dustin Stoltzfus and Nick Maximov. He should not be a serious favorite over anybody.'
"I'll take Soriano too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Punahele Soriano

Soriano is expected to put his power on Veretennikov early, and if he doesn't finish within the first minute and a half, he will resort to wrestling and grind out a decision win.

"I believe Soriano will do a great job in terms of putting his power early on Veretennikov, but if he can't get him out of there within the first minute and a half, he'll start resorting to his wrestling and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru confidently picks Punahele Soriano, comparing him to Francisco Prado who gave Veretennikov trouble. He notes Soriano's power, pressure, and ability to close distance, while Veretennikov stands too upright and struggles with aggressive fighters. He predicts a first-round KO.

first-round KO
"I'm going to go with Punelle Soriano first-round KO over Nikolai Veretennikov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Zane picks Soriano because the welterweight move has made him feel bigger, stronger, and more confident, allowing him to wrestle more effectively. He notes that Veretennikov is a bad wrestler who gave up takedowns to Francisco Prado, and Soriano should be able to exploit that. However, he cautions that Soriano is prone to inactivity and single-idea offense.

Soriano opened at -300, currently -332; Veretennikov opened at +250, currently +272. Zane comments: 'Possibly a bit wide. It's too wide. Soriano lost to Dustin Stoltzfus and Nick Maximov. He should not be a serious favorite over anybody.'
"I got to go with Soriano here."
WIN vs Uroš Medić
KO (punches) R1 0:31 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić, citing his superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Punahele Soriano's only path to victory is wrestling, but Medić's takedown defense is a concern. However, he believes Medić is the better striker and will land clean shots. He has Medić in a parlay with César Almeida, though he expresses some nervousness about the bet.

Parlay with César Almeida
"I'm going to go ahead and pick uros medik and I actually have him parlay I'll give you the other half of that parlay in a little bit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady sees a clear path for Soriano: take Medić down. He notes Medić's takedown defense and ground game are questionable, and Soriano looked dominant at welterweight against Baeza, landing 331 strikes. He worries Soriano might strike instead of wrestle, but believes if he uses his wrestling, he can win by TKO or decision. He picks Soriano to win, possibly by TKO via ground and pound.

"I got to go pun haly Serano here I think the path is clear as day"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Cody picks Medić, questioning Soriano's one good performance at 170 against a shot Miguel Baeza. He believes Medić's power and pace will cause Soriano to fatigue. He notes Medić's finishing ability and Soriano's history of gassing.

"I'm going to take medic as the official pick but he's not going to be U like someone I want to have a ton of investment on"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor picks Soriano because he believes Soriano's wrestling and physicality will be effective at welterweight. He notes that Soriano showed a grinding game against Miguel Baeza, and Medić is bad at dealing with sustained pressure and takedowns. While Soriano is uncreative and has shown little improvement, Connor thinks his size and strength advantage will allow him to control the fight. He acknowledges it's not a smart pick but sees a path.

"So I'm going to pick Soriano."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel notes Medić is more technically sound on the feet with better volume and diversity, while Soriano has big power in his left hand but shaky in-between and cardio concerns at welterweight. He thinks Medić will win the minutes, but Soriano could land a big shot or use wrestling. He picks Medić but is not interested in betting.

not interested in betting
"I'm going go with medic here um cuz I do think that if this fight's staying standing yes Puna has a chance to land one big shot but just in terms of the volume the output and the action it's …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić to win, citing Medić's superior striking and cleaner kickboxing. He acknowledges Soriano's wrestling advantage and power, but believes Medić's skill on the feet will prevail over three rounds. He notes Soriano's cardio issues and that Medić has decent takedown defense. He also mentions that Soriano moved down from 185 and Medić moved up from 155, but still favors Medić's higher ceiling.

"I think uros medes is the better fighter and I think he's going to win the fight I think he has too many skills in the strik in and he has decent take down defense at least initially"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Soriano is a solid wrestler as shown in his welterweight debut against Miguel Baeza. He will get to his grappling, keep Medić on his back, and grind out a decision win as long as he doesn't get finished early.

"I think we'll see him get to that grappling once again here keeping uros medic on his back and as long as he doesn't get finished early he should be able to Gra this match up out and win it …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul picks Soriano as a plus-money underdog, citing his impressive wrestling at 170 in his last fight. He expects fireworks and has bet under 1.5 rounds. He acknowledges Medić's danger but likes Soriano's path via takedowns.

under 1.5 rounds
"all side with with Puna because of me uh plus money Underdog plus the fact that like he showed us some of that wrestling there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The Guru picks Medić, noting his size as a big lightweight at welterweight, his KO of Tim Means, and his better technique and speed. He criticizes Soriano's recent performances, including losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and a poor showing against Miguel Baeza. He predicts an early TKO for Medić.

early TKO
"I'm going to go uros medic here over penelli Sano it might be a dangerous fight but I think he'll have way better technique and he'll be a lot faster so I could actually see anos medic early TKO over …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Zane picks Medić because he is a more dangerous finisher and expects Soriano to struggle to impose his game plan. Medić's movement and kicks could frustrate Soriano, who is hittable and plotting. Zane notes that Soriano's win over Baeza was more about Baeza's poor performance than Soriano's skill. Medić's ability to keep the fight in open space and avoid being clinched gives him the edge.

"I'm going to go with meditch."
WIN vs Miguel Baeza
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 0 7 of 12 58% 22 of 33 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:47
Miguel Baeza 0 144 of 175 82% 331 of 394 5 of 6 83% 0 0 10:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 17 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:47
Miguel Baeza 0 42 of 59 71% 54 of 80 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:27
2 Punahele Soriano 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 49 of 59 83% 93 of 111 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:46
3 Punahele Soriano 0 1 of 1 100% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 53 of 57 92% 184 of 203 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 7 of 12 58% 0 of 1 6 of 8 1 of 3 5 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 144 of 175 82% 129 of 158 13 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 7 5 of 5 136 of 163
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 5 of 9 55% 0 of 1 5 of 6 0 of 2 3 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 42 of 59 71% 40 of 56 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 5 5 of 5 36 of 49
2 Punahele Soriano 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 49 of 59 83% 43 of 52 5 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 48 of 58
3 Punahele Soriano 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 53 of 57 92% 46 of 50 7 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 52 of 56
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano, citing Miguel Baeza's three-fight losing streak and two-year layoff, with his last two losses being knockouts. He notes that Soriano has power and wrestling, and while he has been losing, he has been active. He thinks Baeza's chin issues and ring rust are too much to overlook, and Soriano's power could be the difference.

"I got to go Puna here maybe skill for skill Miguel bayaza is better but punah hel has been active he's a fluid Striker he has one punch knockout power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza to win by second-round submission. He notes that Baeza is more well-rounded and skilled, but his chin is worrisome after knockout losses. He expects Baeza to survive the first round and then take over as Soriano gasses. He calls it a 'club and sub' finish.

submission round 2
"give me Miguel bazza I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round finish I I think it could be a knockout I think it could be a sub um but I think it is going to …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Cody picks Baeza, noting that Soriano has poor cardio and takedown defense, and is moving down to welterweight after struggling at middleweight. Baeza is a BJJ black belt who has been focusing on grappling during his layoff. Cody believes if Baeza can survive the first round, he can take Soriano down and dominate. He expects Baeza to win by decision or submission.

"I'm not betting on that I'm betting on that if that first round knockout doesn't materialize what does this guy go to his plan B C or D and these guys that I'm fading here they don't have cardio cardio …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Daniel leans Baeza as the better talent with a nasty jab and calf kicks, but questions his chin and confidence after recent knockout losses. He notes Soriano has power and could knock Baeza out if Baeza's defense is poor. He calls it a pass due to too many question marks.

pass
"I'm gonna lean with Miguel because I do think he's the better talent and the better fighter but let me remind you all the better fighter does not always win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Jacob picks Miguel Baeza, disagreeing with Angelo. He argues that even at 60-70% of his former self, Baeza has the tools to box up Soriano, who is coming down in weight. He notes that Baeza is fast and has good grappling, and Soriano lacks the speed to counter him. Jacob has placed a big bet on Baeza, believing he will style on Soriano.

Miguel Baeza wins by finish
"I put a big old bet I'm talking a big old bet on Miguel Bea"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Baeza is more complete with his calf kicking and striking, and Soriano's weight cut to welterweight may slow him down. Baeza should chip away and win a decision, but his durability and long layoff are concerns. Soriano has early KO power, so a hedge on Soriano by KO is possible. Leaning Baeza but likely passing.

"I'm ultimately going to lean on the bayaza side I think he's the more complete Fighter"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul picks Soriano by knockout in round one, noting that Baeza has been knocked out before and Soriano has power. He acknowledges Soriano's cardio issues but thinks the move to welterweight could help. Paul bet Soriano by knockout at plus 300 and round one knockout at plus 675, expecting an early finish.

Punahele Soriano by knockout (+300), Punahele Soriano by knockout in round 1 (+675)
"I actually took a little bit of Puna knockout and Puna knock at round one plus 300 and plus 675 cuz I feel like new weight class he was always undiz for the division and he's taking on a guy …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

The Guru picks Baeza because he thinks Soriano is a middleweight moving down to welterweight, which won't work. He notes Baeza is a big welterweight with reach advantage and won't be bullied. He mentions Baeza took Colby Covington to the third round and didn't get smoked early, so Soriano's power shouldn't be a problem. He predicts a second or third-round finish for Baeza.

Second or third-round finish prediction
"I'm going to go with Miguel baser here... penelli Sano to get this one done I reckon maybe a second or third round finish"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:10 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 31 of 73 42% 33 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Punahele Soriano 1 64 of 123 52% 78 of 140 4 of 7 57% 1 0 2:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Punahele Soriano 1 41 of 79 51% 43 of 82 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:29
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 9 of 26 34% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Punahele Soriano 0 23 of 44 52% 35 of 58 3 of 3 100% 1 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Stoltzfus 31 of 73 42% 18 of 56 9 of 11 4 of 6 30 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 64 of 123 52% 24 of 79 23 of 27 17 of 17 60 of 116 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 22 of 47 46% 13 of 35 7 of 9 2 of 3 21 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 41 of 79 51% 15 of 51 17 of 19 9 of 9 37 of 72 4 of 7 0 of 0
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 9 of 26 34% 5 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 3 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 23 of 44 52% 9 of 28 6 of 8 8 of 8 23 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady picks Punahele Soriano to win by first-round knockout, citing Soriano's power and wrestling advantage. He notes Soriano has eight knockouts, seven in the first round, and that Stoltzfus is hittable. However, he expresses concern about Soriano's cardio if the fight gets extended, but believes Soriano will finish early.

first round knockout
"I'm going to say San catches them early if it does get extended it might get sketchy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Cody picks Soriano, noting his power and wrestling base. He thinks Soriano's size advantage is not as big as usual and that Stoltzfus's chin is questionable. He mentions Soriano's cardio issues but believes he can finish early. He likes the Soriano round one KO prop at +335.

Punahele Soriano round one KO at +335
"what's Puna round one is that a number that I might be interested in it's plus 200 standby for further confirmation that that could get that could get a little bit of money for me I mean what's him by …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Lucrative James picks Punahele Soriano, stating that Dustin Stoltzfus is too hitable and has poor striking defense. He believes Soriano will knock him out, likely in round one. He notes that Soriano is a deserved favorite and could be even higher than the current line.

inside the distance, likely knockout in round one
"I think he's going to get cracked by punah heli Sano Sano is a decent fighter man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Soriano has explosive power and typically finishes opponents early. Stoltzfus has a chin issue and was knocked out quickly in his last fight. Soriano is expected to crash the pocket and land big shots for a knockout. However, his gas tank is a concern if the fight goes past the first round. The minus 300 price is steep, so a round 1 prop or under 1.5 rounds is recommended.

round 1 prop, under 1.5 rounds recommended
"give me Sano minus 300 a little bit too much I'd probably hone in on that round one prop maybe the under one and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul picks Soriano but is not super confident. He thinks Soriano's wrestling and power should be enough against Stoltzfus, who has no real X-factor. He notes Soriano's cardio issues but believes the lower level of competition will allow Soriano to look better. He also mentions Stoltzfus's COVID issues and questionable chin.

Punahele Soriano round one KO at +335 considered
"I think he wins the fight am I super confident no because I don't really like s all that much but I think he wins this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, citing his finishing ability and athleticism. He believes Dustin Stoltzfus lacks knockout power and is coming off a long layoff and a KO loss. He predicts Soriano will get a KO in the second round or late in the first.

KO in second round or late first
"I'm going to go with Punahele Soriano... I reckon he'll get a KO in the second round or late in the first."
LOSS vs Roman Kopylov
TKO (body kick and punches) R2 3:19 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Kopylov 0 39 of 107 36% 39 of 107 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Punahele Soriano 0 82 of 128 64% 82 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Kopylov 0 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Punahele Soriano 0 35 of 62 56% 35 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
2 Roman Kopylov 0 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Punahele Soriano 0 47 of 66 71% 47 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Kopylov 39 of 107 36% 35 of 101 4 of 6 0 of 0 33 of 98 6 of 9 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 82 of 128 64% 56 of 101 14 of 15 12 of 12 76 of 120 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Kopylov 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0 17 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 35 of 62 56% 22 of 49 4 of 4 9 of 9 34 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Roman Kopylov 21 of 61 34% 17 of 55 4 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 53 5 of 8 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 47 of 66 71% 34 of 52 10 of 11 3 of 3 42 of 59 5 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Roman Kopylov vs. Punahele Soriano
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Soriano (-165), Kopylov (+140)

Round 1
This middleweight scrap may not last long, and referee Kerry Hatley will need to keep his head on a swivel. Dueling 89% finish rates for Soriano (9-2, 3-2 UFC) and Kopylov (9-2, 1-2 UFC) crash into each other like ships in a storm, although neither man has ever been stopped by strikes. Before the fists meet faces, the fists bump into one another respectfully. Kopylov is quick to back off as Soriano comes out guns blazing, with a pair of overhand rights getting his attention in a hurry. “Story Time” suddenly goes for a double, and when that fails, he wings a huge left hand. Kopylov blocks the worst of the haymakers flying towards him, but Soriano is still gunning for him with that big left. Kopylov sticks out a jab to disrupt the swinging hammers, sticking and moving to make Soriano hit air. Kopylov chops at the lead calf and blocks high as he expects a big left aimed at him. He is correct, as it collides off the guard and he resets. Kopylov sticks out several jabs, chaining them into a right hand, and Soriano grits his teeth and slugs right back. Kopylov is more content to touch while Soriano is swinging for the bleachers, and this allows Kopylov to see the strikes coming and block the dangerous ones. The Russian pierces out a jab, splitting the guard repeatedly and stifling the worst of the worst that is fired his direction. The jab continues to find its home, a piston connecting with the nose again and again. Soriano whiffs on a bomb and bounces off the cage wall, and he takes a deep breath just three minutes into the match. Soriano winds up and misses on another overhand left, with Kopylov composed and moving comfortably. Kopylov chips at the leg and paws out jabs, and he shuts down a tackling double-leg entry from the Hawaiian. Kopylov leaves a jab out too long, and Soriano reaches him with a huge left. When Soriano advances, Kopylov turns the tables on him with his own tackle of a takedown that sets his man down briefly. When Soriano scrambles, Kopylov just lets him back up, and the two get back after it on the feet. Kopylov sticks “Story Time” with a pair of punches, and he backs off until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov

Round 2
The middleweights touch ‘em up to start, and Kopylov decides to lead the dance initially. With a fast chain of punches, he knocks Soriano back, and forces Soriano to attack from a different angle. Soriano slows himself down and starts loading up on single shots, but this lets Kopylov pop him again and again with a stinging jab. Soriano swats the jab out of the way to close in and fire, and he unloads a fastball of a left hand that just misses the mark by a matter of millimeters. Kopylov spins to crack the body like a whip with a spinning back kick, and Soriano takes it flush and groans. Soriano lets them close in so that he can pound a few uppercuts on the nose, and this marks up Kopylov’s nose. Kopylov keeps his right hand out, further disrupting the Hawaiian and frustrating him. Kopylov dogs body shots, and he rips a kick to the ribs as Soriano winces in pain. The Russian knows the body is the weakness, and he targets the majority of his blows at the midsection. Soriano, with every bit of his remaining energy, swings recklessly and keeps Kopylov honest enough to not put him away.
Kopylov takes a breath, and he smashes his shin in the Hawaiian's liver. Soriano is barely on his feet, frozen in time momentarily as he cannot even take a breath. Kopylov chains together a long salvo of punches, and Soriano shells up and bends over but does not go down. Knowing that there is nothing more Soriano has to offer, Hatley mercifully halts the fight.
With that sterling performance in the books, Kopylov has now become the first fighter to ever finish the durable Hawaiian.

The Official Result
Roman Kopylov def. Punahele Soriano R2 3:19 via TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Soriano because he has more ways to win, including wrestling and power. He notes Kopylov is the better striker but Soriano's wrestling could be the difference. However, he doesn't trust Soriano to execute and advises not betting. He mentions Soriano's takedown defense issues and Kopylov's vulnerability to takedowns.

"I'm gonna pick punahil here because he has more ways to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Big Brady picks Roman Kopylov as an upset, citing Kopylov's technical striking advantage and better cardio. He notes that Soriano has a wrestling background but rarely uses it, and if the fight stays on the feet, Kopylov has more tools and body kicks. He worries about Soriano's power but trusts Kopylov to outwork him as the fight goes on, predicting a decision win. He acknowledges Soriano could knock out Kopylov but leans toward Kopylov's consistency.

Kopylov by decision
"I kind of trust copulov as the fight goes on here so I'm gonna take another upset here with uh Roman cobillov"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Cody leans towards Kopylov, agreeing that Soriano's cardio is a major issue. He notes Soriano fades after 7.5 minutes and doesn't wrestle due to gas concerns. He sees Kopylov as live if the fight goes the distance, and mentions a possible Kopylov by decision bet.

Kopylov by decision considered
"I think the reason he doesn't wrestle is because he knows that he doesn't have 15 minutes of gas to implement that type of game plan"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor picks Soriano because he is insanely tough and has many ways to win, including powerful striking and a solid wrestling background. He notes that Soriano can soak up damage and has a good left hand and low kicks. However, Connor expresses concern that Soriano doesn't always use his wrestling and can be inconsistent, but believes his toughness and power will carry him against Kopylov's predictable boxing.

Odds: Soriano opened -180, currently -158. Kopylov opened +155, currently +131. Connor notes the odds are getting closer but still favors Soriano.
"I'm still going to pick him though. Cause he's insanely tough. Uh, he can soak up a lot of damage without, I mean, the number of body kicks he took from Brandon Allen without it really affecting that much about …"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Jacob picks Kopylov as a live underdog, believing he is the better striker and may even wrestle. He notes Soriano's poor defensive wrestling and Kopylov's toughness. He thinks Soriano can't be trusted and Kopylov has good value. He mentions Kopylov's camp and takedown defense.

"I'm on the copy live side here I think he's a better Striker"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Paul picks Kopylov as an underdog, citing Soriano's poor cardio and reluctance to wrestle. He notes Kopylov's improved performance against Dichirico and believes he can outwork Soriano with leg kicks and combinations. He mentions a possible Kopylov by decision prop at +430.

Kopylov by decision at +430 considered
"I think I'm gonna take a little action here on Roman capital of plus 135"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Zane picks Soriano because he is too tough and has too many other options, including wrestling and low kicks. He notes that Kopylov is a predictable boxer who struggles with opponents who can mix in kicks and takedowns. Zane also points out that Soriano's wrestling background gives him an edge if he chooses to use it, and that Kopylov's lack of defensive wrestling is a liability.

Odds: Soriano opened -180, currently -158. Kopylov opened +155, currently +131. Zane thinks Soriano should win but notes it could be close.
"Soriano too tough and too many other options. If he, you know, this would be absolutely the point to actually, he took Jamie pick it down three times. This is the point of that wrestling back, you know?"
KO (punches) R2 0:28 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 1 17 of 35 48% 19 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 11 of 22 50% 17 of 28 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 0 11 of 28 39% 13 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 10 of 21 47% 16 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:39
2 Punahele Soriano 1 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 17 of 35 48% 8 of 25 9 of 10 0 of 0 9 of 26 4 of 5 4 of 4
Dalcha Lungiambula 11 of 22 50% 6 of 16 2 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 18 0 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 11 of 28 39% 3 of 19 8 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dalcha Lungiambula 10 of 21 47% 6 of 16 1 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 2 2 of 2
2 Punahele Soriano 6 of 7 85% 5 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
Dalcha Lungiambula 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dalcha Lungiambula

Angelo picks Dalcha Lungiambula, citing his power, takedown defense, and durability. He notes Soriano's poor takedown defense and that Lungiambula looked great in his last fight before a bad decision. He placed a half-unit moneyline bet and plans an inside the distance decision no action bet.

half unit moneyline bet; plans inside the distance decision no action bet
"i like dolce to win this fight i think he has more power better takedown defense and i think he can keep his power longer into the second and third rounds i did a tiny half a unit money line …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady picks Punahele Soriano to win by decision. He notes that both fighters have poor cardio, but Soriano's is slightly better. He thinks Soriano wins the first round and may take over later. He mentions that Soriano has better finishing ability but expects the fight to go to decision due to both fighters' durability. He does not recommend betting Soriano at -275.

decision win; odds comment: minus 275 too high
"i'm gonna take soriano to win i'm gonna take him to win by a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Cody picks Soriano but with low confidence, noting that both fighters are untrustworthy. He acknowledges Soriano's durability and power, but also his poor wrestling and cardio. He believes Soriano's chin and training at a world-class gym give him an edge, but he won't bet this fight.

Soriano under 1.5 takedowns
"i will pick puna soriano but i won't touch this fight with my money with a 10-foot pole"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Daniel Levi leans Punahele Soriano but is not confident at the -225 price. He notes both fighters have knockout power and that Soriano is cleaner and more well-rounded, but Lungiambula is dangerous. He considers it closer than the odds suggest and wants more info on sparring sessions before committing.

dog-or-pass; wants inside info
"i lean puna ish let me see where these odds open first of all"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul also picks Soriano but with hesitation, citing Lungiambula's tendency to gas out and make mistakes. He notes that Soriano has a good chin and has shown improvement. However, he agrees the -240 price is too steep and will not bet it.

Soriano under 1.5 takedowns
"the pick will be soriano as well but dolce lung and lula uh just so physically strong"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano over Dalcha Lungiambula, citing Soriano's toughness and power. He notes Lungiambula's poor cardio and that Soriano is difficult to finish. He predicts Soriano will catch Lungiambula with body shots and knees in the clinch, leading to a second-round TKO.

predicts second-round TKO
"i can see pinelli soriano winning this one by that second round tko brutal fashion finishes off uh dalchill and gambler on the ground with ground and pound"
LOSS vs Nick Maximov
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nick Maximov 0 45 of 63 71% 74 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Punahele Soriano 0 29 of 45 64% 60 of 82 11 of 16 68% 1 1 8:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nick Maximov 0 15 of 21 71% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Punahele Soriano 0 5 of 14 35% 10 of 20 3 of 7 42% 1 0 2:16
2 Nick Maximov 0 21 of 32 65% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Punahele Soriano 0 13 of 19 68% 19 of 27 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:20
3 Nick Maximov 0 9 of 10 90% 20 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Punahele Soriano 0 11 of 12 91% 31 of 35 5 of 5 100% 0 1 4:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nick Maximov 45 of 63 71% 28 of 46 17 of 17 0 of 0 20 of 38 2 of 2 23 of 23
Punahele Soriano 29 of 45 64% 19 of 33 6 of 8 4 of 4 15 of 31 10 of 10 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nick Maximov 15 of 21 71% 11 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 12 1 of 1 8 of 8
Punahele Soriano 5 of 14 35% 2 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nick Maximov 21 of 32 65% 16 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 25 1 of 1 6 of 6
Punahele Soriano 13 of 19 68% 11 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Nick Maximov 9 of 10 90% 1 of 2 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 9
Punahele Soriano 11 of 12 91% 6 of 7 1 of 1 4 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 5 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano as a striker with power. He notes Soriano's takedown defense is untested but his striking is far superior to Maximov's. Maximov is a BJJ specialist with raw striking and okay takedowns. Angelo expects Soriano to win on the feet, but warns he gassed against Allen. If Soriano gasses, Maximov could take over, making it a live bet situation.

Live bet suggestion: if Soriano gasses after round 1, bet Maximov.
"punahil is the pick but if he gasses after the first round and can't get nick out of there this may be a phenomenal live bet situation for nick maksimov"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Cody agrees with Soriano but is hesitant due to Soriano's suspect cardio. He notes that Maximov has a wrestling background and could take the fight to the ground, where he has slick transitions. However, Soriano has the striking advantage and power. Cody worries that if Maximov gets an early takedown, Soriano may gas, but he still leans Soriano.

"the pig's gonna be soriano just don't know how much i love it is the main thing because his cardio is suspect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Punahele Soriano, emphasizing his All-American wrestling background which should allow him to stuff Maximov's takedowns. He notes Soriano has faced tougher competition like Dusko Todorovic and Brendan Allen, while Maximov is less tested. Levi expects Soriano to land big shots after stuffing takedowns, potentially getting a finish. He respects Maximov's toughness but sees Soriano as the more proven fighter.

"I gotta go with puna haley soriano here everyone only talks about how this guy's this one hitter quitter knockout artist which is a great quality to have and he is a knockout artist but let's not forget he's an …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Lock of the Night picks Soriano, expecting him to defend takedowns and land enough on the feet to win a decision. He notes Soriano's wrestling background and power, but questions his durability if extended. He thinks Maximov will close distance irresponsibly and leave himself open to shots, but Soriano may not knock him out. He likes Soriano by decision at +350 and the over 1.5 rounds.

Soriano by decision +350, over 1.5 rounds -160
"i think puna will do a good enough job in terms of defending them and then on the feet i think puna can touch him up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano has the striking and power advantage, and if he keeps the fight upright, he will likely finish Maximov. He notes that Maximov's stand-up is a work in progress and that his grappling transitions looked solid but he struggled with cardio. Paul is concerned about Soriano's cardio but still picks him because Maximov's takedown entries may not be good enough.

"soriano for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, criticizing Nick Maximov's lack of athleticism and power. He expects Soriano to stuff takedowns and land a big overhand right, knocking Maximov out in the first round. He references Maximov's fight with Cody Brundage where he did no damage, and calls the matchup a 'mismatch'.

TKO, round 1, overhand right
"i'm gonna go with pinelli soriano here... i think pinelli's gonna stuff a couple of those takedowns knee max him off to the body a couple of times and then lay him out cold in the first round"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano as a striker with power. He notes Soriano's takedown defense is untested but his striking is far superior to Maximov's. Maximov is a BJJ specialist with raw striking and okay takedowns. Angelo expects Soriano to win on the feet, but warns he gassed against Allen. If Soriano gasses, Maximov could take over, making it a live bet situation.

Live bet suggestion: if Soriano gasses after round 1, bet Maximov.
"punahil is the pick but if he gasses after the first round and can't get nick out of there this may be a phenomenal live bet situation for nick maksimov"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Cody agrees with Soriano but is hesitant due to Soriano's suspect cardio. He notes that Maximov has a wrestling background and could take the fight to the ground, where he has slick transitions. However, Soriano has the striking advantage and power. Cody worries that if Maximov gets an early takedown, Soriano may gas, but he still leans Soriano.

"the pig's gonna be soriano just don't know how much i love it is the main thing because his cardio is suspect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Punahele Soriano, emphasizing his All-American wrestling background which should allow him to stuff Maximov's takedowns. He notes Soriano has faced tougher competition like Dusko Todorovic and Brendan Allen, while Maximov is less tested. Levi expects Soriano to land big shots after stuffing takedowns, potentially getting a finish. He respects Maximov's toughness but sees Soriano as the more proven fighter.

"I gotta go with puna haley soriano here everyone only talks about how this guy's this one hitter quitter knockout artist which is a great quality to have and he is a knockout artist but let's not forget he's an all-american wrestler too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Lock of the Night picks Soriano, expecting him to defend takedowns and land enough on the feet to win a decision. He notes Soriano's wrestling background and power, but questions his durability if extended. He thinks Maximov will close distance irresponsibly and leave himself open to shots, but Soriano may not knock him out. He likes Soriano by decision at +350 and the over 1.5 rounds.

Soriano by decision +350, over 1.5 rounds -160
"i think puna will do a good enough job in terms of defending them and then on the feet i think puna can touch him up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano has the striking and power advantage, and if he keeps the fight upright, he will likely finish Maximov. He notes that Maximov's stand-up is a work in progress and that his grappling transitions looked solid but he struggled with cardio. Paul is concerned about Soriano's cardio but still picks him because Maximov's takedown entries may not be good enough.

"soriano for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, criticizing Nick Maximov's lack of athleticism and power. He expects Soriano to stuff takedowns and land a big overhand right, knocking Maximov out in the first round. He references Maximov's fight with Cody Brundage where he did no damage, and calls the matchup a 'mismatch'.

TKO, round 1, overhand right
"i'm gonna go with pinelli soriano here... i think pinelli's gonna stuff a couple of those takedowns knee max him off to the body a couple of times and then lay him out cold in the first round"