UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Age 33
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 6' 1"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Ramiz Brahimaj
2.29 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.27 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.99 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
44.0% TD Def.
1.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sasha Palatnikov
6.69 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
5.44 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.72 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ramiz Brahimaj
Moneyline
BetRivers -159
KO/TKO
BetMGM +1350
Submission
BetMGM +195
Decision
FanDuel +340
Sasha Palatnikov
Moneyline
FanDuel +158
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +1800
Decision
FanDuel +380
Ramiz Brahimaj - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 38 of 67 56% 43 of 73 3 of 11 27% 0 0 3:48
Punahele Soriano 0 40 of 92 43% 66 of 123 3 of 4 75% 0 0 5:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Punahele Soriano 0 17 of 52 32% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 5 of 7 71% 10 of 12 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:47
Punahele Soriano 0 7 of 12 58% 26 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:35
3 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 5 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:59
Punahele Soriano 0 16 of 28 57% 19 of 32 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 38 of 67 56% 16 of 42 21 of 24 1 of 1 35 of 63 3 of 4 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 40 of 92 43% 29 of 79 11 of 13 0 of 0 25 of 74 14 of 15 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 31 of 56 55% 13 of 37 17 of 18 1 of 1 30 of 54 1 of 2 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 17 of 52 32% 14 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 5 of 7 71% 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 5 6 of 6 1 of 1
3 Ramiz Brahimaj 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Punahele Soriano 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 19 7 of 8 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano, citing his power, wrestling credentials, and ability to stay safe on top. He acknowledges Ramiz Brahimaj's submission threat but believes Soriano's wrestling and striking will prevail. He notes the line has flipped but remains confident in Soriano.

Mentions if the line continues to widen, he will place a bet on Soriano.
"Punahele is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Ramiz Brahimaj to defeat Punahele Soriano, citing Brahimaj's recent underdog wins and Soriano's poor takedown defense and cardio. He notes Soriano has success early but fades, and Brahimaj is tough and has good submissions. He predicts Brahimaj will survive the early storm, mix in takedowns, and submit Soriano in the second round. He references Soriano's losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and Nick Maximov as evidence of his vulnerability.

Ramiz Brahimaj by second-round submission; underdog win
"I'm going to go Ramiz Brahimaj to win this fight and I think he might cash as an underdog for the fourth time in a row. Give me Ramiz Brahimaj by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody thinks Brahimaj's jiu-jitsu and hometown crowd give him an edge. He notes Soriano's inconsistency and cardio issues. He expects Brahimaj to win by submission or decision.

"Brahimai in Texas seems like it's interesting enough for me to maybe go out there and pull something off."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Soriano. He notes that Soriano's recent wins are more trustworthy and indicative of a step forward, while Brahimaj's wins are against fighters with no defense. Connor also mentions that if Court McGee could grind Brahimaj, Soriano can too.

"I think soryano's recent wins are much more trustworthy of an indicative of a step forward than brahimi"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The host leans towards Soriano, noting his advantage on the feet with power and aggression, and his improved cardio since dropping to welterweight. He believes Soriano can outstrike and outgrapple Brahimaj if his gas tank holds up. However, he is not betting because Brahimaj has proven cardio and could make Soriano work hard, and both fighters are evolving, making it difficult to predict which version shows up.

Soriano's cardio improvement at welterweight; Brahimaj's cardio and takedown defense issues
"Heavily leaned towards Soraniano here. He's a very very tempting bet for me. But Brahim can make Sorano work hard in ways neither Veriteneov nor Miguel Baser could."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

James picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing his superior jiu-jitsu and front choke series. He notes that Soriano's wrestling could put him in danger of submissions, and that Brahimaj is the better striker over 15 minutes. James believes Brahimaj will catch Soriano in a front headlock and submit him.

"I'm going to have to pick Ramse Brahim here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Brahimaj has improved his cardio and takedown defense since moving to Chicago, and he is more calculated now. Soriano is a power puncher but relies on wrestling to grind out wins, and he doesn't threaten submissions. Brahimaj's grappling defense should be good enough to keep it standing or scramble, and he can catch Soriano in a submission. The under 2.5 rounds also makes sense.

under 2.5 rounds
"So the official prediction will be Broy Mai by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano at 170 is a different beast with better cardio and power. He acknowledges Brahimaj's grappling but thinks Soriano's wrestling and strength will be enough. He calls it a pick'em and leans Soriano.

"I'm going to pick Puna. But that's just because, you know, I got to support the Hawaiian wave."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, citing his nasty knockout power, solid chin, and physicality. He believes Soriano won't be lost on the feet and can avoid Brahimaj's guillotine. He notes Brahimaj's wins are over lesser competition and that Soriano has dominated grapplers before. He predicts a TKO finish in round one or two.

TKO finish in round one or two, underdog
"I'm going to take him by TKO finish in round one or two over Ramiz Brahimaj as an underdog."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Zane picks Soriano, believing he will bully Brahimaj with his athleticism and power. He notes that Soriano has options and is too dangerous. If Soriano chooses to wrestle, he might get caught in a submission, but that's a thin chance. Zane trusts Soriano's recent wins more than Brahimaj's.

"i'll take soriano. I think he just so clearly feels super confident at this division... that he is going to go in there and bully brahima"
Submission R2 2:24 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 21 of 35 60% 46 of 61 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:37
Austin Vanderford 0 5 of 16 31% 13 of 24 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 4 of 13 30% 16 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Vanderford 0 4 of 12 33% 12 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:30
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 17 of 22 77% 30 of 36 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:37
Austin Vanderford 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 21 of 35 60% 18 of 29 0 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 23 8 of 8 4 of 4
Austin Vanderford 5 of 16 31% 4 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 4 of 13 30% 2 of 8 0 of 2 2 of 3 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Vanderford 4 of 12 33% 3 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Ramiz Brahimaj 17 of 22 77% 16 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 10 8 of 8 4 of 4
Austin Vanderford 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Austin Vanderford

Angelo sees this as a grappler vs grappler matchup. He believes Austin Vanderford is the better wrestler, which is the key factor since both have similar jiu-jitsu and striking. He notes that Ramiz Brahimaj can get stuck on his back and that his jiu-jitsu off his back is not as good as on top. He expects Vanderford to get takedowns and control the fight, but is not very confident in a finish.

"Austin Vanderford's going to be the pick. Not the most confident pick I have on this card though."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Austin Vanderford

Big Brady acknowledges that Ramiz Brahimaj is live in the first round, as he typically wins early. However, he believes Vanderford can survive the early storm, extend the fight, and mix in takedowns as the fight goes on. He notes that Brahimaj has slowed down in longer fights and that Vanderford is a good grappler. He predicts Vanderford by decision.

If you like Brahimaj, take him to win in round one.
"I think the more likely scenario is Vanderford survives an early storm ... starts mixing the takedowns as the fight goes on ... give me Vanderford here. I'm going to take Vanderford to win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Connor picks Brahimaj hesitantly, noting that while both fighters are similar, Brahimaj will bring an aggressive fight and is more likely to push the pace. He acknowledges that Vanderford is vulnerable and that Brahimaj has power, but admits there is not much to separate them.

Brahimaj opened at +210, currently +250; Vanderford opened at -250, currently -300
"I'll take my, I think I'm still not sold on Vanderford, but yeah, I kind of agree. I'm in Vanderford."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Austin Vanderford

The host believes Vanderford will utilize his grappling excellence to stay out of Brahimaj's submission danger and eventually secure a second or third round TKO finish.

second or third round TKO finish
"I think this is a great fight for Vanderford to utilize his grappling excellence to stay out of the submission danger of Brahimaj and eventually lead to a second or third round TKO finish."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Austin Vanderford

The MMA Guru picks Austin Vanderford, believing his size, wrestling, and durability will be too much for Ramiz Brahimaj. He notes Brahimaj's inconsistency and poor performances against solid competition, while Vanderford has shown grit and improving grappling. He predicts a decision win for Vanderford.

"I'm going to go with Austin Vanderford getting this one done and I'm actually going to say that he gets this done by decision over Ramiz Brahimaj."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Austin Vanderford

Zane picks Vanderford hesitantly, noting that both fighters are similar: good grapplers but not slick strikers. He gives Vanderford the edge because he can lay on opponents better and is more likely to control the fight, though he is also more likely to get knocked out when he screws up. Zane admits it's a coin flip.

Brahimaj opened at +210, currently +250; Vanderford opened at -250, currently -300
"I'll take my, I think I'm still not sold on Vanderford, but yeah, I kind of agree. I'm in Vanderford."
CANCEL vs Oban Elliott
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Angelo picks Oban Elliott confidently, noting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and ability to get back to his feet after takedowns. He contrasts this with Ramiz Brahimaj's tendency to grapple off his back and lack of striking. He expects the odds to widen further and advises betting early.

Suggests the line will move from -400 to -800 or -900, implying value on Elliott at current odds.
"Oban is 100 times a striker that Ramese is and should absolutely run away here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Big Brady picks Billy Goff despite the wide line, noting that Ramiz Brahimaj is essentially first-round sub or bust and fades after the first five minutes. Goff is tough, has great cardio, and applies constant pressure. Brady expects Goff to break Brahimaj and finish him in the second round, possibly by knockout.

second round knockout
"I like Billy Rigoff here. It is a wide line, but I think he does break Ramsey's Brahimage."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Matt picks Billy Goff to win by decision. He notes that Goff is an all-gas fighter who wears opponents down, while Brahimaj is an early-finish threat who fades. Goff has never been finished and should survive the early onslaught, then take over in the second and third rounds. Matt likes Goff by decision at +220.

Goff by decision +220, Brahimaj round one KO +2400, Brahimaj round one submission +1200
"Goff will likely start pulling away in the second and third rounds here. Goff to win by decision is the prop that I'd go with here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)

The MMA Guru picks Billy Goff over Ramiz Brahimaj, citing Goff's pressure, body work, and grit. He criticizes Brahimaj's level, noting losses to Court McGee and others. He predicts Goff will win by second or third round TKO, mixing body shots and low kicks.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm going with Billy Ray Gooff... I think Billy Gooff is going to win this fight... Billy Gooff wins by second or third round TKO over Ramis Brahimage."
WIN vs Billy Goff
Submission R1 3:16 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
Billy Goff 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
Billy Goff 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Billy Goff 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Billy Goff 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Mickey Gall
KO (punches) R1 2:55 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 28 of 41 68% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 1 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 28 of 41 68% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mickey Gall 1 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 28 of 41 68% 25 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 31 of 56 55% 27 of 50 1 of 3 3 of 3 22 of 43 6 of 9 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 28 of 41 68% 25 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 31 of 56 55% 27 of 50 1 of 3 3 of 3 22 of 43 6 of 9 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Angelo picks Mickey Gall, reasoning that Gall is a good grappler in his own right and a better wrestler than Brahimaj, so Brahimaj won't submit him. He notes that Brahimaj is submission-or-bust and that Gall has raw talent and athleticism. However, he advises against betting on this low-level fight due to Gall's poor recent record.

Angelo explicitly says he will not bet on this fight due to self-control, calling it a 'dog [__] fight'.
"I'm going to pick Mickey G to win I think Mickey should win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Big Brady picks Mickey Gall despite calling it a low-level fight. He notes that Ramiz Brahimaj has 10 wins, all by first-round submission, and is 0-5 when he doesn't submit his opponent in the first round. Brady believes Gall has improved striking and better cardio, and that the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Gall. He also mentions Brahimaj's long layoff and poor performance in his last fight, predicting a decision win for Gall.

"I like Mickey G to win this fight probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody picks Mickey Gall, arguing Brahimaj is a fraud with poor striking and wrestling. He notes Brahimaj's only wins are against low-level opponents, and Gall has improved and has better striking and comparable grappling. Cody expects Gall to win by decision or TKO.

"I got Mickey G the numberers close enough that I'm probably going to put way more than I should on it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Connor picks Gall because he thinks Gall is more dynamic and might be able to hurt Brahimaj. He notes that Gall's striking has improved significantly, though he still has many holes. Connor acknowledges that Brahimaj could out-wrestle Gall, but he leans toward Gall's power.

"I'm gonna pick gall just because I think he's that much more dynamic that he might be able to hurt brahi mai. It's totally possible."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Vreeland picks Brahimaj, noting he has never won a fight without a submission. He believes Brahimaj will submit Mickey Gall, who has good Jiu-Jitsu but Brahimaj's submission game is strong.

Ramiz Brahimaj wins by submission (+450)
"I think brahimi is gonna sub uh Mickey g i it Mickey G is yeah Mickey G first of all really good Jiu-Jitsu R brahimi has never won a fight he hasn't won by submission"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Mickey Gall, citing Brahimaj's poor performances when he doesn't get early submissions. He notes Gall's durability and activity, despite his technical flaws. He acknowledges Brahimaj's submission threat but doubts his ability to execute. He calls it a 'reluctant' pick.

"I'm going to reluctantly pick Mickey G to win this fight"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Fox does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions Vreeland's pick but does not state his own opinion.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Mickey Gall

The host acknowledges both fighters are flaky but leans with Gall's overall advantages. He notes Brahimaj is dangerous in grappling but so is Gall, and expects Gall's Viking pressure to eventually break Brahimaj and win on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with the advantages that g should hold from an overall standpoint Bri ma is very dangerous in the grappling round but so is Mickey Gul but I do think it's going to be G Viking and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Paul picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing his BJJ and the plus money. He notes Gall has lost to everyone decent he's faced, and Brahimaj has a chance if he can get the fight to the ground early. Paul is not confident but likes the underdog value.

"briay for me what about you I think I think Mickey G absolutely rolls him up Bri M's a fraud dude"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Mickey Gall, despite acknowledging Gall's poor UFC record. He criticizes Ramiz Brahimaj's performances, calling him 'terrible' and noting his ear injury loss to Max Griffin. He expects a close decision win for Gall.

"I'm going to go with Mickey G... no rames is terrible which is worrying for me"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Zane picks Brahimaj because he thinks Brahimaj will try to impose his wrestling game and it will probably work. He notes that Gall's grappling has disappeared and that Brahimaj has a set process. However, he acknowledges that Gall is a decent puncher and could hurt Brahimaj.

Odds: Gall opened -110, now -130; Brahimaj opened -101, now +119. Zane says Brahimaj should be a slight favorite.
"Um, you know what i'm gonna take brahi mai because I think he will try to impose his wrestling game. I think he will too and it probably will work."
LOSS vs Themba Gorimbo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Themba Gorimbo 0 43 of 52 82% 110 of 134 5 of 6 83% 0 1 10:13
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 3 of 6 50% 15 of 20 1 of 8 12% 0 0 3:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Themba Gorimbo 0 5 of 5 100% 34 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:20
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 2 of 2 100% 9 of 10 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:06
2 Themba Gorimbo 0 15 of 20 75% 28 of 35 3 of 3 100% 0 1 3:42
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 0 of 3 0% 4 of 8 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:01
3 Themba Gorimbo 0 23 of 27 85% 48 of 62 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:11
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 1 of 1 100% 2 of 2 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Themba Gorimbo 43 of 52 82% 9 of 13 31 of 35 3 of 4 6 of 10 35 of 38 2 of 4
Ramiz Brahimaj 3 of 6 50% 0 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Themba Gorimbo 5 of 5 100% 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ramiz Brahimaj 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Themba Gorimbo 15 of 20 75% 1 of 2 12 of 15 2 of 3 2 of 4 13 of 15 0 of 1
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Themba Gorimbo 23 of 27 85% 7 of 10 15 of 16 1 of 1 3 of 5 18 of 19 2 of 3
Ramiz Brahimaj 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Ramiz Brahimaj
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gorimbo (-135), Brahimaj (+114)

Round 1
Full of emotion, Gorimbo (12-4, 2-1 UFC) takes to the cage today and fights with a heavy weight on his shoulders. Earlier in the week, his coach’s mother passed away, and the Zimbabwe native vowed that he would win for her. He faces submission specialist Brahimaj (10-4, 2-2 UFC), who holds a 100% sub rate as a pro but is coming off a nearly career-ending injury. This emotional welterweight clash will be officiated by referee Mark Smith, and the fighters do not bump fists. Gorimbo is the initial aggressor, walking Brahimaj around the cage while measuring his jab. Gorimbo gets off a front kick, and Brahimaj immediately closes in on him to change levels. Gorimbo turns him around and pushes him to the fence, and Brahimaj settles for this position by landing several knees to the belly. Brahimaj turns him about and drags Gorimbo down, bringing Gorimbo on top of him in a sacrifice throw. Brahimaj scoots his way to the wall and stands up without taking any damage, and he knees Gorimbo in the hand to break up his grip momentarily. Gorimbo lifts Brahimaj up in the air but sets him down when he cannot find the right angle to put him on the mat. The two fighters push one another in the clinch, and Brahimaj once more tries to take the fight down only to land on his back. Brahimaj turns to his side and tries to sneak around the back, but Gorimbo stops him from getting anywhere. Brahimaj climbs up with the fence behind him, and Gorimbo knees him a few times. Brahimaj spins him around and delivers a solid knee to the sternum, and Gorimbo answers with his own knee and an elbow for good measure. The grinding round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 2
Gorimbo reintroduces himself to his foe with a front kick and a low kick, and he tries another leg kick but is out of range. Brahimaj closes in, and Gorimbo nails him in the calf with a kick. Brahimaj regains his balance and practically runs forward to engage in a clinch. Gorimbo meets him and instantly turns him around, and it does not take long for Smith to ask for more action as they stall out. Brahimaj turns things around with one arm between Gorimbo’s legs, but Gorimbo manages to muscle his opponent down to the floor. Brahimaj considers a guillotine choke, but the leverage is wrong given that his right side is against the cage. Brahimaj sits up and puts his back to the wall, and he stands up. Gorimbo uses a body lock to hurl Brahimaj to the mat, and Brahimaj scrambles to fight his way back upright. Gorimbo leans heavily on his opponent, making life miserable for Brahimaj and the audience watching as he clings with zero offense offered. Brahimaj turns him about and takes a knee to the belly as Smith clasp for them to do something, anything. The wall-and-stall continues as Gorimbo pushes him back to the fence. Brahimaj slides around and attempts to take the back and get hold of a choke, but he falls off the back and goes down to his seat. Brahimaj scoots his way to the wire and stands, and Gorimbo knees him in the groin. Smith tells him to watch out, and they continue embracing the grind. Gorimbo gets off a few more knees and gains enough space to land and elbow, before tripping Brahimaj up and setting him down to the floor. Gorimbo, with one hook around the side, fishes for a one-armed choke. Smith sees there is nothing from this position and asks for more work. There is no more work from either man until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 3
The two have five minutes left to handle their business, and they come out of their corners in a labored pace. Gorimbo strikes first, with a few punches and a leg kick before shooting for a takedown. “The Answer” successfully pushes the submission artist against the wall, but they wind up in the same position they have spent the majority of the lackluster encounter. Brahimaj goes after a single, and Gorimbo gets away with a fence grab to keep himself on his feet. Brahimaj fails to get him down, and Gorimbo turns him around as the grueling tie-up continues. Gorimbo plants a few knees to the belly before he is spun around, and Smith warns someone for grabbing the cage. Nothing happens absent a few minor knees from Gorimbo, and time slowly ticks off the clock as the remain stuck together in the clinch. Brahimaj flirts with a takedown effort but is nowhere close to getting anything, and Smith asks for more work. Gorimbo grinds, grinds and grinds away as he spams short knees. Brahimaj goes after another trip, and for the third time this fight, he falls on his own back feebly. While he manages to get back up without taking any damage, it is because Gorimbo is not striking. Gorimbo wrenches him back down, and he apologizes to UFC matchmaker Sean Shelby for the anti-“Fight of the Night” performance. The kind Shelby flashes him double thumbs-up signs, as he does not wish to kick anyone while they are down. The miserable matchup ends after 15 long minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)

The Official Result
Themba Gorimbo def. Ramiz Brahimaj via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Angelo sees Themba Gorimbo as a distance striker with good takedown defense and now proven power. Ramiz Brahimaj is a submission specialist who has been away for two years and tends to grapple off his back. Angelo thinks Brahimaj will struggle to get past Gorimbo's range and takedown defense, making Gorimbo the clear pick. He may parlay Gorimbo with Piera Rodríguez.

potential parlay with Piera Rodríguez
"tber gbo is going to be the pick and I I honestly May parlay him with Pera Rodriguez"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Cody provides a detailed breakdown: Gorimbo has a great story and work ethic, but his grappling defense is a concern. However, Brahimaj is a one-trick pony who relies on first-round submissions and has terrible cardio if he doesn't get them. Cody notes Brahimaj's losses come when he can't secure a takedown, and Gorimbo's cardio and power should take over if he survives the first round. He also mentions live betting Gorimbo if he loses the first round.

Live bet on Gorimbo if he loses the first round
"I'm gonna take themba and I'm also going to take that live betting Market that if themba can if he loses the first round oh well you you missed it right if he loses the first round but survives you …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Gorimbo is reckless on the feet and has holes in his game. Brahimaj is a slick BJJ specialist who sets up takedowns well and has finishing ability. Both guys have cardio issues, but Brahimaj should find a submission opportunity early. The fight not going to decision is a strong play.

Fight doesn't go to decision; Brahimaj by submission in round one.
"I'm thinking round one submission for the returning Riz brahimi"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Paul agrees with Cody that the line has moved to a pick 'em for good reason. He notes Gorimbo's cardio and work ethic are his biggest weapons, while Brahimaj has a history of gassing if he doesn't get a first-round submission. Paul believes Gorimbo's improvements at MMA Masters and his raw power make him the play at this price.

"At close to a pick them yeah it's themba for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The MMA Guru picks Themba Gorimbo over Ramiz Brahimaj, citing Gorimbo's better finishing potential and training at MMA Masters. He notes that Brahimaj lost to Court McGee, which he considers a bad sign for a prospect. He expects Gorimbo to stuff takedowns and eventually finish Brahimaj in round two or three, possibly due to cardio advantage.

"I'm going to go them gimbo on finishing potential I think he's got more finishing potential here"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:02 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 0 of 1 0% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 3 0 1:33
Micheal Gillmore 0 0 of 2 0% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 0 of 1 0% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 3 0 1:33
Micheal Gillmore 0 0 of 2 0% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Micheal Gillmore 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Micheal Gillmore 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win by first-round submission. He notes Brahimaj has only won by first-round submission and has never won by knockout or decision. He criticizes Gillmore's takedown defense and grappling, saying Gillmore has been finished in all four losses, three by submission. However, he is cautious because Brahimaj is on short notice and has poor cardio if the fight goes past the first round. He calls the -350 line 'terrifying' but believes Brahimaj is the much better fighter.

Brahimaj by first-round submission; pass on betting at -350
"I think briahmaj takes down michael gilmore within the first 30 seconds and then submits him shortly after"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody picks Brahimaj by submission, noting his 9 career wins all by submission and Gillmore's 4 losses all by submission. He believes Brahimaj will take Gillmore down and submit him early, but acknowledges Brahimaj's cardio issues if it goes past the first round. Cody bets Brahimaj by submission at +100.

Brahimaj by submission +100
"i think i may bet the uh brian i buy or by submission plus 100"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Daniel Levi picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win via first-round submission. He notes Brahimaj's wins are mostly first-round submissions and that Gillmore has a history of getting tapped. Levi acknowledges Brahimaj's confidence may be shaken after two losses, but believes Gillmore is a step down in competition. He expects Brahimaj to get back on track.

"i still think he has enough to overcome the challenge ahead of him go out there find that submission and uh you know get another first round finish in the ufc"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

The host is very confident in Brahimaj, expecting him to take the fight to the ground with ease and find a submission. He notes that Gillmore has been submitted before and that Brahimaj's jiu-jitsu is more finesse and should lead to a finish. He prefers betting Brahimaj inside the distance at -125 rather than the moneyline.

Brahimaj inside the distance (-125)
"i think brahimi is you know i've seen some slander of him on the timelines i'll say that um and i think it's a lot to do with the fact that he wasn't able to get his hand raised over …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Paul agrees with Brahimaj by submission, citing the stylistic matchup. He notes Gillmore's poor takedown defense and Brahimaj's wrestling background. Paul is concerned about Brahimaj's cardio but expects a first-round submission.

Brahimaj by submission +100
"it's by submission when you look at rahi's brahiman she's got nine career victories right all nine of them are by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

The MMA Guru picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He dismisses Micheal Gillmore as not UFC-caliber, citing his losses to Gilbert Urbina and Andre Petroski by submission. The Guru believes Brahimaj's grappling is a perfect stylistic matchup, predicting he will land a double leg early, take the back, and choke Gillmore out in the first round. He notes that all of Gillmore's losses have been by early submission.

first round rear-naked choke submission
"i'm going to go with ram is brahimaj by first round we're naked choke"
LOSS vs Court McGee
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 1 54 of 91 59% 76 of 113 5 of 11 45% 1 0 10:57
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 32 of 62 51% 35 of 65 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 1 30 of 51 58% 42 of 63 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:58
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 15 of 33 45% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Court McGee 0 21 of 37 56% 24 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:11
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
3 Court McGee 0 3 of 3 100% 10 of 10 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:48
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 54 of 91 59% 30 of 63 17 of 21 7 of 7 46 of 81 4 of 6 4 of 4
Ramiz Brahimaj 32 of 62 51% 21 of 51 10 of 10 1 of 1 25 of 53 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 30 of 51 58% 13 of 31 13 of 16 4 of 4 28 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
Ramiz Brahimaj 15 of 33 45% 11 of 29 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Court McGee 21 of 37 56% 16 of 31 3 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 30 3 of 4 3 of 3
Ramiz Brahimaj 14 of 25 56% 9 of 20 5 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Court McGee 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ramiz Brahimaj 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Angelo picks Brahimaj, citing his world-class jiu-jitsu and the blueprint from Sean Brady's win over McGee. He notes Brahimaj's tendency to strike instead of grapple but expects him to stick to grappling here. He believes Brahimaj will get takedowns and control McGee to a decision win, as McGee is incredibly tough to finish.

"i expect the exact same thing for rami's brahimage i think he will grapple in this fight i think he'll get some takedowns and i think he'll have solid top pressure"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Court McGee

Big Brady highlights that Brahimaj has a 100% submission rate but has never been past the first round, while McGee has never been submitted in 30 fights. He expects Brahimaj to slow down after the first round, allowing McGee's cardio and striking to take over. He picks McGee by decision, noting McGee's takedown defense and ability to get back up.

"i'm going to take court megiddo in i'm going to take court mcgee to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody picks Brahimaj, emphasizing his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He notes McGee's skills are outdated and his takedown defense is poor. He expects Brahimaj to win via decision, possibly with a submission attempt. He mentions McGee's cardio but doubts it will be enough.

Brahimaj by decision
"decision victory for ramis brahimaj and honestly the straight-up money line is uh not too bad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Daniel Levi picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing youth and momentum. He notes that Brahimaj is a beast on the mat when fresh, but has cardio and plan B concerns. Levi believes Brahimaj can finish Court McGee, who is 37 and has shown signs of slowing. He argues that McGee's recent wins are over older opponents and that Brahimaj's talent will shine. Levi expects a statement finish from Brahimaj.

finish
"i'm going to go with ron means to to get a finisher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Court McGee

The host favors Court McGee due to his veteran savvy, cardio, and takedown defense. He notes Brahimaj's all-offense style and suspect cardio, expecting McGee to weather an early storm and take over in later rounds. The host highlights McGee's never-submitted record and ability to get back to his feet. He predicts a decision win for McGee, possibly with a late finish if Brahimaj gasses.

Live betting opportunity on McGee after round 1 mentioned.
"official prediction here is going to be court mcgee via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Paul leans toward Brahimaj, noting his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He expects Brahimaj to take McGee down and control him. He questions if Brahimaj can maintain pace for three rounds but thinks his submission threat will be enough. He mentions McGee's durability and cardio as potential factors.

"i'm kind of with you i'll lean towards rami's probably maj to get the job done"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

The MMA Guru picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win, noting that he is younger, trains at a good gym, and has more finishing ability. He was initially tempted by Court McGee as an underdog but realized Brahimaj is actually the underdog. He trusts Brahimaj's grappling and striking in the early rounds, and believes his desire to return after the ear injury shows dedication. He acknowledges McGee's pressure and toughness could be a factor in later rounds, but thinks Brahimaj will win the early rounds enough to take a decision or finish.

Brahimaj is an underdog.
"i think ram is brahimage is going to win this one very good in the early rounds"
Sasha Palatnikov - Fight History
LOSS vs Ramiz Brahimaj
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:33 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sasha Palatnikov 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sasha Palatnikov 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ramiz Brahimaj 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ramiz Brahimaj 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Brahimaj but with hesitation due to his UFC debut where he attempted zero takedowns despite being a great grappler. He notes Brahimaj has finished all his wins by submission and believes if he implements his wrestling, he can submit Palatnikov. However, he is not confident enough to bet because of the debut performance. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"i'll take brahimage but man um if i knew for sure that he'd be going for takedowns i'd be betting him here but the ufc debut does give me some pause"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody picks Brahimaj, having already bet him. He notes Brahimaj's grappling credentials and believes he can get the fight to the ground. He acknowledges Brahimaj's poor striking but thinks his cardio and submission threat will be enough.

Brahimaj by sub +180
"i'm already in on brahmaj i bet him minus 135"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Brahimaj is a wizard on the ground with a strong submission game, and Palatnikov's takedown defense is questionable. However, Brahimaj's cardio is a concern; if he doesn't get a submission in the first two rounds, Palatnikov could take over in the third. I'm picking Brahimaj by submission in the first or second round, and I like the under 2.5 rounds as a bet.

under 2.5 rounds; Brahimaj by submission; live bet on Palatnikov if fight goes to third round
"I'm still going to go up brahimi here I'm going to take him by submission probably first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

Paul picks Palatnikov as a dog, citing his striking, body work, and cardio. He questions Brahimaj's ability to get takedowns and believes Palatnikov can keep the fight standing and outpoint him. He notes Palatnikov's training at Extreme Couture.

"i'll end up taking that slight dog shawn sasha polonikov here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

The MMA Guru picks Sasha Palatnikov over Ramiz Brahimaj. He notes that Brahimaj suffered a bad ear injury loss to Max Griffin and hasn't shown enough ground game. Palatnikov is bigger, better on the feet, has better cardio, and decent ground game despite a submission loss. He predicts Palatnikov wins by 30-27 unanimous decision.

"I'm gonna go with sasha politnikov here much bigger than ram is brahimaj i think he's much better as well on the feet and i think he's got better cardio"
LOSS vs Impa Kasanganay
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 0:26 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Impa Kasanganay 0 13 of 29 44% 21 of 41 2 of 6 33% 1 0 2:54
Sasha Palatnikov 0 13 of 24 54% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Impa Kasanganay 0 12 of 27 44% 19 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:36
Sasha Palatnikov 0 12 of 22 54% 30 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
2 Impa Kasanganay 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:18
Sasha Palatnikov 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Impa Kasanganay 13 of 29 44% 11 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 3 10 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 13 of 24 54% 6 of 16 4 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 16 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Impa Kasanganay 12 of 27 44% 10 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 3 9 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 12 of 22 54% 5 of 14 4 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Impa Kasanganay 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sasha Palatnikov 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay to win by second-round knockout. He notes Kasanganay is moving down to welterweight and has good wrestling and striking, while Palatnikov has poor takedown defense and a questionable chin. Brady believes Kasanganay will take Palatnikov down or land a knockout on the feet, as Palatnikov is very hittable. He is excited to see Kasanganay's return after a devastating knockout loss.

"give me um impugna to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

Cody leans Palatnikov as a dog, citing his chin, cardio, and kicking game. He notes Kasanganay's greenness and rigid striking. He thinks Palatnikov can outvolume him and that the price is worth a shot.

"for plus 240 i'm willing to back guys with good chins and gas tanks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, praising his work ethic and ability to grind opponents down. He notes that Kasanganay recovered quickly from the devastating knockout by Joaquin Buckley, which speaks to his conditioning. Levi thinks Kasanganay will out-strength and out-muscle Sasha Palatnikov, possibly winning 30-26 or by finish. He also mentions that Kasanganay is dropping to welterweight and has a good mentality.

30-26 decision or finish
"I'm going impa probably a 30 26 here maybe even a finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The host believes Kasanganay is the sharper fighter with better technique, and that he will put it on Palatnikov. He notes that Kasanganay is moving down to 170, which should make him one of the bigger guys in the division. The only concern is the devastating knockout loss to Joaquin Buckley, but the host thinks that was a once-in-a-lifetime shot and shouldn't be held against him. He picks Kasanganay to win by decision, though he thinks the -290 line is a bit too high.

Kasanganay by decision
"i think that kasangana is just a little bit more sharper i think he's the better fighter i think he has the sharper technique"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Paul picks Kasanganay, citing his athleticism and move to Sanford MMA. He notes Palatnikov's lack of notable wins and thinks Kasanganay's physicality and improvements will be key. He acknowledges the price is high but believes in the narrative.

"impact is an absolute monster physically"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

The MMA Guru picks Impa Kasanganay, despite his recent KO loss to Joaquin Buckley. He notes Kasanganay is a good fighter who was starting to turn the tables before the finish. He thinks Palatnikov slows down after the first round, while Kasanganay maintains a steady pace. He predicts Palatnikov wins the first round but Kasanganay takes over for a 29-28 decision.

"i think impercosan gone is going to wear on sasha plinkov as this fight goes on"
WIN vs Louis Cosce
TKO (punches) R3 2:47 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sasha Palatnikov 1 99 of 206 48% 115 of 224 1 of 9 11% 0 0 0:53
Louis Cosce 0 125 of 237 52% 160 of 275 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sasha Palatnikov 1 57 of 111 51% 67 of 123 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:34
Louis Cosce 0 56 of 103 54% 65 of 113 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:17
2 Sasha Palatnikov 0 29 of 68 42% 34 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Louis Cosce 0 44 of 83 53% 62 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
3 Sasha Palatnikov 0 13 of 27 48% 14 of 28 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:15
Louis Cosce 0 25 of 51 49% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sasha Palatnikov 99 of 206 48% 76 of 172 12 of 21 11 of 13 58 of 150 16 of 22 25 of 34
Louis Cosce 125 of 237 52% 100 of 202 24 of 34 1 of 1 82 of 180 25 of 33 18 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sasha Palatnikov 57 of 111 51% 50 of 99 3 of 8 4 of 4 25 of 66 7 of 11 25 of 34
Louis Cosce 56 of 103 54% 42 of 85 13 of 17 1 of 1 42 of 86 12 of 13 2 of 4
2 Sasha Palatnikov 29 of 68 42% 20 of 56 3 of 5 6 of 7 26 of 63 3 of 5 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 44 of 83 53% 40 of 77 4 of 6 0 of 0 32 of 67 8 of 11 4 of 5
3 Sasha Palatnikov 13 of 27 48% 6 of 17 6 of 8 1 of 2 7 of 21 6 of 6 0 of 0
Louis Cosce 25 of 51 49% 18 of 40 7 of 11 0 of 0 8 of 27 5 of 9 12 of 15
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

Big Brady picks Louis Cosce to win by first-round knockout. He notes Cosce has finished all his fights in the first round and is an absolute killer, while Palatnikov's competition level is suspect. He believes Cosce will stuff takedowns and dominate on the feet.

first round knockout, parlay piece
"i'm going to take kosuke to win by first round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

Daniel picks Louis Cosce, citing his explosive power and first-round knockout streak. He notes that Palatnikov has been past the first round but Cosce is the harder hitter. He hesitates on the heavy chalk because Cosce hasn't proven he can go past the first round.

first round knockout
"i think louis kosay might be the more explosive guy it might be the harder hitter so i'm gonna roll with him to get this another first round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

The host believes Louis Cosce will continue his trend of first-round finishes, as he has finished all his fights in the first round. He notes that Sasha Palatnikov is hittable and crumbles under pressure, and that Cosce is stronger and quicker. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds as a better bet than the moneyline at -370.

under 1.5 rounds (minus 125 to minus 130)
"I'm going with Luis coosy here without a doubt about it I think he gets it done in the first round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Louis Cosce

The MMA Guru picks Louis Cosce to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Cosce is being spoon-fed an easier opponent than his Contender Series fight, and that Palatnikov has been KO'd twice by lesser fighters. He trusts Cosce to jump to the next level and finish early.

first round tko
"i will not only be picking louis coskey to win i'll be picking him to win by first round tko"
Expert Picks (5)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Brahimaj but with hesitation due to his UFC debut where he attempted zero takedowns despite being a great grappler. He notes Brahimaj has finished all his wins by submission and believes if he implements his wrestling, he can submit Palatnikov. However, he is not confident enough to bet because of the debut performance. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"i'll take brahimage but man um if i knew for sure that he'd be going for takedowns i'd be betting him here but the ufc debut does give me some pause"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody picks Brahimaj, having already bet him. He notes Brahimaj's grappling credentials and believes he can get the fight to the ground. He acknowledges Brahimaj's poor striking but thinks his cardio and submission threat will be enough.

Brahimaj by sub +180
"i'm already in on brahmaj i bet him minus 135"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Brahimaj is a wizard on the ground with a strong submission game, and Palatnikov's takedown defense is questionable. However, Brahimaj's cardio is a concern; if he doesn't get a submission in the first two rounds, Palatnikov could take over in the third. I'm picking Brahimaj by submission in the first or second round, and I like the under 2.5 rounds as a bet.

under 2.5 rounds; Brahimaj by submission; live bet on Palatnikov if fight goes to third round
"I'm still going to go up brahimi here I'm going to take him by submission probably first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

Paul picks Palatnikov as a dog, citing his striking, body work, and cardio. He questions Brahimaj's ability to get takedowns and believes Palatnikov can keep the fight standing and outpoint him. He notes Palatnikov's training at Extreme Couture.

"i'll end up taking that slight dog shawn sasha polonikov here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sasha Palatnikov

The MMA Guru picks Sasha Palatnikov over Ramiz Brahimaj. He notes that Brahimaj suffered a bad ear injury loss to Max Griffin and hasn't shown enough ground game. Palatnikov is bigger, better on the feet, has better cardio, and decent ground game despite a submission loss. He predicts Palatnikov wins by 30-27 unanimous decision.

"I'm gonna go with sasha politnikov here much bigger than ram is brahimaj i think he's much better as well on the feet and i think he's got better cardio"