vs
-124 +107
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021 · Bantamweight · Completed
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 8"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Rob Font
5.11 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.53 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.7 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
37.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Cody Garbrandt
2.79 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.66 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.85 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Rob Font
Moneyline
FanDuel -124
KO/TKO
BetWay +163
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +500
Cody Garbrandt
Moneyline
DraftKings +107
KO/TKO
BetWay +200
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +400
Rob Font - Fight History
LOSS vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 10 of 31 32% 29 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:13
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 8 of 33 24% 47 of 75 16 of 18 88% 0 1 10:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 7 of 20 35% 8 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 5 of 22 22% 12 of 29 5 of 6 83% 0 0 2:11
2 Rob Font 0 0 of 2 0% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 1 of 5 20% 17 of 23 3 of 3 100% 0 1 4:07
3 Rob Font 0 3 of 9 33% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 2 of 6 33% 18 of 23 8 of 9 88% 0 0 3:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 10 of 31 32% 6 of 25 2 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 8 of 33 24% 5 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 4 8 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 7 of 20 35% 4 of 15 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rob Font 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Rob Font 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (27 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo highlights that Rob Font is a technical striker with no takedown defense, while Raul Rosas is a relentless grappler with fantastic control. He expects Rosas to wrestle and get as many takedowns as he wants, as long as he doesn't try to box with Font. He calls it a Raul showcase.

"This should be a Raul showcase."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady picks Raul Rosas Jr. over Rob Font. He highlights Font's poor takedown defense (43%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground, as seen in the Cory Sandhagen fight. Rosas Jr. has improved cardio and should be able to take Font down and hold him there. Brady expects a decision win for Rosas Jr., as Font has good defensive grappling but won't take risks to get up.

Rosas Jr. by decision
"It's Ral Roses Jr. by decision. I think it's a good match up for him."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody leans toward Rosas Jr., citing Font's poor takedown defense and Rosas's youth and improvement. He notes Font's age and slowing down, and expects Rosas to rack up control time and win a decision. He mentions the Chiawei effect as a factor.

"I'm kind of leaning towards Rosas, but a lot of it is like you're just trying to believe."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Connor picks Rosas, citing Font's poor takedown defense (43% career) and Rosas's relentless wrestling. He notes that Font got taken down seven times by John Matsumoto and still won, but Sandhagen's disciplined wrestling led to a loss. Connor believes Rosas's commitment to wrestling will be enough, despite Rosas's underdeveloped striking and youth. He acknowledges Font's toughness but sees a clear path for Rosas.

Odds: Font opened at +375, now +210; Rosas opened at -500, now -245.
"I am going to take Rosas. I think any fight for Rob font with an opponent who is completely committed to wrestling him, he's going to have a really hard time stopping the takedowns."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Raul Rosas Jr., citing Rob Font's poor takedown defense and getup game, especially as he fatigues. He believes Rosas has matured since his loss to Cristian Rodriguez and will submit Font. Vreeland acknowledges Font's experience but thinks Rosas's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm going to go Rahul Rosas to get the biggest win of his career and pass this gatekeeper test against Rob Font in Vegas."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The host argues that Raul Rosas Jr. is a good bet despite being a favorite because of the extreme age gap (18 years younger), Font's poor takedown defense (42% takedown offense, gave up takedowns to Matsumoto, Figueiredo, Sandhagen), and Font's reliance on volume striking rather than power. He believes Rosas Jr. will stick to Font like glue, outgrapple him, and win two out of three rounds. He notes that Font's windows to strike will be slim due to constant takedown threats.

Implied probability 69%, but host notes he is selective with bets in this odds range; he has a 72% win rate and 5% ROI on 308 bets in this range over 13 years.
"I think it's just going to be very difficult for Rob Font to win this fight because I don't see him being able to keep the fight standing for long enough to make his edge on the feet count."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Rob Font

James picks Rob Font as an underdog, believing Font is the much better striker who will win the minutes on the feet. He acknowledges Rosas Jr.'s grappling threat but questions whether Rosas can hold Font down for extended periods, citing Font's ability to get back up in recent fights. James also notes that Rosas has never fought at this level and has been reversed in previous fights, making Font the value side. However, he admits Font's chin is a concern and that Rosas could hurt him.

"I'm going to pick Rob Font as the underdog here. I feel like the line should be closer."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is persistent with his grappling and will eventually take Font down and control him. Font has been susceptible to wrestlers. Rosas should win a decision, but the line is too high; only play if it drops to -150.

Rosas Jr. by decision
"I expect Rosas Jr. to get that control in the first, second, maybe even third rounds and that should be enough for him to win a decision here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Paul picks Rosas Jr. but with hesitation, noting his takedown ability but concerns about gassing. He thinks Rosas will get early takedowns and control, but Font's get-up game is good. He suggests betting live after seeing if Font can get back up.

"I think Ral Rosa is going to win if I was like forced to play it right now."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr., citing his relentless grappling and Font's struggles against grapplers (e.g., Sandhagen). He believes Rosas will take Font down and control him, winning by decision. He mentions the New England Cartel curse.

decision win
"I'm gonna go with Raul Rosas Jr. decision win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Rob Font

Zane picks Font, noting that Font has been taken down many times but still wins fights. He points out that Rosas's game is limited and that Font's experience and ability to do damage on the feet will be key. Zane acknowledges the risk from Rosas's speed and confidence, but believes Font's toughness and veteran savvy will carry him. He compares it to Font's win over Matsumoto.

Odds: Font +210, Rosas -245.
"I think for me, I have to pick font here. This is, he's 38. Rosas is, and he is a good, fast athlete and he's hyper confident, which counts."
LOSS vs David Martínez
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 49 of 158 31% 49 of 158 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:59
David Martínez 0 62 of 155 40% 115 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 11 of 51 21% 11 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
David Martínez 0 22 of 45 48% 35 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Rob Font 0 15 of 49 30% 15 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:39
David Martínez 0 10 of 27 37% 30 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
3 Rob Font 0 23 of 58 39% 23 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Martínez 0 30 of 83 36% 50 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 49 of 158 31% 40 of 138 7 of 17 2 of 3 49 of 158 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Martínez 62 of 155 40% 33 of 115 10 of 16 19 of 24 62 of 155 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 11 of 51 21% 11 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 1 11 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Martínez 22 of 45 48% 7 of 25 5 of 8 10 of 12 22 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rob Font 15 of 49 30% 9 of 37 5 of 11 1 of 1 15 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Martínez 10 of 27 37% 6 of 20 3 of 5 1 of 2 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rob Font 23 of 58 39% 20 of 53 2 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Martínez 30 of 83 36% 20 of 70 2 of 3 8 of 10 30 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rob Font

Angelo picks Rob Font, despite his age (38) and lack of takedown defense. He says Font is a technical striker with clean hands, good chin, and veteran composure. He thinks David Martinez, stepping up on short notice, probably won't look to wrestle unless losing the striking exchanges, and by then it's too late. He says the over 2.5 is probably rock solid. He also mentions a David Martinez inside the distance decision no action prop.

The over two and a half is probably rock solid here. I might like a David Martinez inside the distance decision, no action might be the play.
"Font is the pick. The over two and a half is probably rock solid here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Big Brady picks Font because Martinez is a big step down in competition. He notes Font has fought and lost to elite fighters, but has beaten lower-level opponents. He likes Font's volume, cardio, and experience. He predicts a decision win, though he acknowledges Martinez has power and Font can be hurt.

Decision win
"I'm going to take Font to win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Connor picks Rob Font, emphasizing Font's reach advantage and high-output one-two, which will trouble Martínez's in-and-out striking style. He notes that Martínez struggled with the jab against Xavier Franklin and Font is a better version of that. Connor acknowledges Font's age (38) but says his chin hasn't gone yet, and Martínez lacks the power or wrestling to exploit it.

Font opened at -170, dropped to -200, currently -130; Martínez opened at +145, currently +110. Connor says 'it really feels like Font could be a bigger favorite' and attributes the line movement to age bias.
"Martínez is just going to be stuck having Rob Font's fight as far as I can tell."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
David Martínez

Martinez has received a lot of love, moving from +180 to +115, and the host agrees. He believes Martinez is closer to his prime, dangerous in striking, treads distance well, and will counter Font's output. He expects Martinez to stuff takedowns and win on the scorecards.

odds movement from +180 to +115
"I think he is way closer to his prime. He's very dangerous in the striking realm. Treads distance very well. Utilizes a good mobile striking game and I think he'll be able to counter the output heavy game of Font."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

The MMA Guru picks Rob Font, dismissing David Martinez as unproven with wins over low-level opponents. He believes Font's jab and reach will be key, and that Martinez's single-shot explosivity won't trouble Font. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26, as Martinez loses composure when peppered with jabs.

Decision win 30-27 or 30-26
"Rob Font is gonna beat David Martinez, I reckon. ... I'm going to go Rob Font decision win 2928 based on the second and third or maybe 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Zane picks Rob Font, highlighting Font's consistent output, power, and experience against top competition. He notes that Font's losses have come only against elite fighters with superior wrestling or power, and Martínez lacks both. Zane believes Martínez's step up in competition is too large, and Font's one-two and takedown to seal rounds will be decisive.

Font opened at -170, dropped to -200, currently -130; Martínez opened at +145, currently +110. Zane says 'it really feels like Font could be a bigger favorite' and attributes the line movement to age bias.
"This is just a monstrous step up. And as we have seen many times now, Rob Font is not a guy you step up against."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Feb 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 95 of 171 55% 113 of 191 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:18
Jean Matsumoto 0 77 of 181 42% 113 of 225 7 of 10 70% 0 0 6:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 21 of 34 61% 27 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Jean Matsumoto 0 7 of 19 36% 32 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:40
2 Rob Font 0 34 of 56 60% 36 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Jean Matsumoto 0 29 of 61 47% 35 of 69 5 of 5 100% 0 0 2:05
3 Rob Font 0 40 of 81 49% 50 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
Jean Matsumoto 0 41 of 101 40% 46 of 107 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 95 of 171 55% 82 of 157 13 of 14 0 of 0 85 of 157 10 of 14 0 of 0
Jean Matsumoto 77 of 181 42% 43 of 135 9 of 13 25 of 33 69 of 169 8 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 21 of 34 61% 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jean Matsumoto 7 of 19 36% 1 of 12 3 of 3 3 of 4 3 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rob Font 34 of 56 60% 28 of 50 6 of 6 0 of 0 34 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jean Matsumoto 29 of 61 47% 16 of 43 3 of 4 10 of 14 29 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rob Font 40 of 81 49% 34 of 74 6 of 7 0 of 0 32 of 69 8 of 12 0 of 0
Jean Matsumoto 41 of 101 40% 26 of 80 3 of 6 12 of 15 37 of 93 4 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto, citing his youth, aggression, power, and multiple ways to win. He notes Rob Font is 37 and aging, and while Font's boxing is clean, he can't defend takedowns. He draws a parallel to Calvin Kattar being out-struck by a younger fighter. He is surprised the line moved toward Font.

"Jean Matsumoto is going to be too much, too aggressive, too good of a chin, too much power, too many ways to win."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto, noting that Rob Font's takedown defense and ground game have looked awful recently, citing the Cory Sandhagen and Kyler Phillips fights. He believes Matsumoto, though not the best wrestler, is a good grappler who can take Font down and keep him there. He expects Matsumoto to win by decision, as Font has good submission defense but is content to stay on his back and lose minutes.

by decision
"I got to go Matsumoto here on the feet you know Rob fond is is is absolutely game on the feet this should be a very fun and competitive to fight I'd like the durability a little bit more at …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Connor picks Font, agreeing that Matsumoto is uncreative and predictable, while Font is a skilled boxer with good durability. He notes that Matsumoto fights in bursts and leaves gaps, which Font can exploit. Connor also points out that Font has a reach advantage and is a good puncher himself, as seen in the Yadong fight.

"Font should win this as long as he crosses his eyes and dots his teas"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

The host notes Matsumoto is a short-notice replacement but expects his damaging style and effective striking in the pocket to be too much for Font. He thinks Matsumoto's damage-based approach will win on the scorecards as long as Font doesn't get too far ahead in volume.

"look for matsumoto's damaging style Landing more effective strikes inside the pocket and clearly showcasing that he's being more damaging that should be enough for him to go out there and win this final on the scor cards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rob Font

The Guru strongly picks Font as an underdog, calling it a no-brainer. He criticizes Matsumoto's undefeated record, noting close fights with Brad Katona and Dan Arreta where he was outgrappled. He highlights Font's experience against top competition, durability (never finished by strikes), and striking menace. He believes Matsumoto lacks KO power and won't submit or outgrapple Font.

great value on Rob font as an underdog
"I think this is a no-brainer Underdog and people are just looking at 16 and0 and thinking he's a monster"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Zane picks Font because Matsumoto is a limited fighter who fights in bursts and is predictable, while Font has a clear winning formula of jabbing and boxing. He notes that Font is durable, mentally tough, and has a reach advantage. Zane believes Matsumoto would need to hurt Font badly every round to win, which is unlikely given Font's durability.

"Rob font should be able to do to matsamoto what kevin holland did to walking buckly"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 61 of 137 44% 65 of 144 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Kyler Phillips 0 38 of 125 30% 50 of 143 4 of 5 80% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 7 of 19 36% 7 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Kyler Phillips 0 10 of 26 38% 21 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:34
2 Rob Font 0 31 of 58 53% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Kyler Phillips 0 14 of 48 29% 15 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:24
3 Rob Font 0 23 of 60 38% 24 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Kyler Phillips 0 14 of 51 27% 14 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 61 of 137 44% 50 of 122 11 of 15 0 of 0 56 of 131 5 of 6 0 of 0
Kyler Phillips 38 of 125 30% 19 of 98 9 of 14 10 of 13 32 of 112 1 of 6 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 7 of 19 36% 6 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kyler Phillips 10 of 26 38% 8 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 1 5 of 19 0 of 0 5 of 7
2 Rob Font 31 of 58 53% 23 of 48 8 of 10 0 of 0 28 of 55 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kyler Phillips 14 of 48 29% 6 of 38 5 of 6 3 of 4 13 of 44 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Rob Font 23 of 60 38% 21 of 57 2 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kyler Phillips 14 of 51 27% 5 of 37 2 of 6 7 of 8 14 of 49 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rob Font vs. Kyler Phillips
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Phillips (-425), Font (+330)

Round 1
Sitting in the co-main event slot is a bantamweight contest that will reestablish or coin a new contender in the talent-rich division. Having lost four of his last five, Font’s (20-8, 10-7 UFC) back is about as against the wall as it gets. As much as Font has largely struggled, Phillips (12-2, 6-1 UFC) has flourished, winner of his last three—albeit with one win in 2022, one in 2023 and the latest in March. This potential passing of the torch encounter will be officiated by referee Keith Peterson, and the 135ers touch ‘em up without a shred of nonsense between them. Font jabs his way directly into action, landing a few punches and setting up more. As Font presses forward, Phillips shoots in and easily hits a takedown, landing in side control and laughing off a guillotine choke defense from the New Englander. Phillips steps over from one side to the other, shifting to half guard as he sets up an arm-triangle choke. When Phillips abandons the choke, he secures side control almost effortlessly. Font turns to the other direction, but he stops doing so when realizing this will give his back up. Phillips controls from on top without unleashing much offense, posturing to the other side to drop down a single elbow. Any time Font tries to scramble, Phillips easily sees it coming and lays into Font with powerful elbows. Font turns over after fighting off a submission setup to explode back to his feet, and Phillips greets him with a spinning wheel kick. Font keeps his guard up and plods forward, scoring an uppercut and swinging a second before shooting in for a double. Font takes Phillips’ back standing, and Phillips breaks out of the position without much concern. Phillips scores a one-two, Font throws back, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Phillips

Round 2
Font stalks out of his corner to engage in the second round, no-selling a leg kick so he can chamber and loose a few hard right hands. Font busts Phillips in the chops with a particularly strong right, and “The Matrix” responds with a shot that plants Font on his back. Font fights much more aggressively to get to his feet, walking up the wall and pressuring Phillips as much as he can. Font trails after Phillips, keeping his guard high and using tight boxing combinations to keep Phillips honest. Font winds up with a right hand that misses the mark, and he lets Phillips throw first so he can counter and tie him up. Font decides to disengage, taking a body kick to the side and chasing after Phillips to make Phillips turn tail and run. Phillips resets and kicks Font in the ribs, and he leans back after a leg kick to get popped with an overhand right. Font digs a body shot, and Phillips escapes and is eating powerful blows while his hands are low and his chin is high in the air. Font stabs his foe in the sternum with his foot, and he ignores a lazy high kick aimed his direction so he can blast Phillips in the face with a right hand. Fond chomps down on his mouthpiece and nails Phillips again, and swelling quickly develops around the Arizonan’s left eye. Phillips keeps on his bike, and Font is a Terminator walking through anything aimed at him so he can tag Phillips with power. A Phillips spin strike fails, as Font keeps his hands high and works the body to open up the head. Phillips tries to tie him up, and he pushes off to fire off a one-two and a spinning back fist. Phillips clinches, and Font wrenches himself away so he can keep the suffocating pace. Phillips gets backed off courtesy of several jabs, and Font utilizes the clinch to wear further on Phillips. Right before the bell, Phillips hits a foot sweep and puts Font on his seat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Font
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Font

Round 3
Phillips starts off the round backing away from his opponent, and he lands a leg kick and shoots for a successful takedown. Font hits the ground and starts hand-fighting, eventually settling for muscling back to his feet. Phillips hacks at him with a tomahawking elbow when upright, and Font laughs it off and slugs him in the face with a right hand. Font loads up two more times on heavy rights, and both whoosh past “The Matrix.” Font surges into action behind his punches, landing and turning Phillips around. Phillips steels himself and swing back for vengeance, cracking Font with a right hand and rushing to the side to get a modicum of space. Font will not let him breathe for long, bearing down on him and crushing him against the cage wall. Phillips escapes and ducks an overhand right, kicking the side as he further escapes. Font sticks out a jab, and he sets up an uppercut when Phillips splits the distance to take him down. Font keeps pursuing Phillips fearlessly, getting his calf kicked hard but keeping his balance to stride ever forward. Font’s punches are telegraphed, as are Phillips’ takedowns. The latter is what comes next, but Font stops it in its tracks. Phillips breaks away before eating a strike, and he backpedals and has his left hand up to block Font’s wide right hooks. Phillips clips Font with his own short flurry, and Font tags him with one overhand right to slow him again. Font’s momentum leads to another clinch, and Phillips frames off with his knee. Font loads up time and again on his booming right, and Phillips gives him a little extra something to think about with a wheel kick. Font catches Phillips with a right hand on the way out, and Phillips’ legs are loose but he is still with it. Font keeps after him, watching for a spin kick that comes and advancing to sling final leather. Font stuffs one final takedown, and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Font)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Font)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Font (29-28 Font)

The Official Result
Rob Font def. Kyler Phillips via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

Angelo picks Kyler Phillips, citing the decline of the New England Cartel's takedown defense. He notes Rob Font's vulnerability to wrestling and believes Phillips' diverse striking and wrestling will make Font look old and slow. He expects Phillips to mix in takedowns and win comfortably. He criticizes the New England Cartel's inability to evolve.

"kylo phil pH is going to be fast on the feet he'll mix in some wrestling and he's the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

Big Brady picks Kyler Phillips by any method. He notes Font's durability is diminishing, he gets wobbled often, and has poor takedown defense. Phillips can win on the feet or by takedown. He expects Phillips to get it done, possibly by knockout, submission, or decision, given Font's toughness.

"this should be Phillips all day um you I think rob font's you know trending towards being on his way out and I think Phillips can just win this fight wherever it goes"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

Connor also picks Phillips but with hesitation, noting that Phillips' early speed and variety are key, but he fades late. He thinks Font could come on strong in the third round if Phillips hasn't put him away. Connor is not fully convinced about Phillips yet, but sees the takedowns and speed as enough to win over three rounds.

"I will take Phillips as well, but I don't know about him yet"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

Font has been on a bad slump. His volume style can be effective, but Phillips will land more significant strikes and mix in takedowns. Phillips will grind out a win on the scorecards.

"I think that will see Carla land the more significant or more significant strikes not just volume wise but at least in ter ter of making it look better for the judges and mix that in with a few takedowns …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

The Guru picks Phillips over Font, citing Font's susceptibility to being grappled and his age (37). He notes Phillips has explosive takedowns and offensive grappling, as shown against Pedro Munhoz, and trains with Sean O'Malley. He expects Phillips to mix things up and win a decision, though he acknowledges Font is a good boxer.

decision
"I'm going to go with Kyler Phillips over Rob font little bit more Dynamic on the f"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kyler Phillips

Zane picks Phillips, citing his speed and variety early in the fight to stump Font for two rounds. He acknowledges that Phillips tends to fade in the third round, but believes Font's linear style and lack of adaptability will allow Phillips to build an insurmountable lead. He notes that Phillips may also use takedowns, though that could gas him.

Font opened +232, now +333; Phillips opened -275, now -417; Zane says the odds are too wide on Font
"I think I'm gonna take Kyler Phillips"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Deiveson Figueiredo 0 46 of 94 48% 48 of 96 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Rob Font 0 45 of 74 60% 53 of 84 4 of 7 57% 0 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Deiveson Figueiredo 0 22 of 37 59% 22 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Rob Font 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:34
2 Deiveson Figueiredo 0 15 of 33 45% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rob Font 0 15 of 22 68% 15 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:09
3 Deiveson Figueiredo 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Rob Font 0 20 of 32 62% 28 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Deiveson Figueiredo 46 of 94 48% 39 of 85 5 of 6 2 of 3 44 of 92 2 of 2 0 of 0
Rob Font 45 of 74 60% 35 of 64 7 of 7 3 of 3 33 of 60 6 of 7 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Deiveson Figueiredo 22 of 37 59% 20 of 34 2 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rob Font 10 of 20 50% 7 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Deiveson Figueiredo 15 of 33 45% 12 of 29 1 of 1 2 of 3 13 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Rob Font 15 of 22 68% 12 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Deiveson Figueiredo 9 of 24 37% 7 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rob Font 20 of 32 62% 16 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 22 3 of 3 6 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Rob Font
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Font (-135), Figueiredo (+114)

Round 1
Business picks up with a bantamweight showcase pitting Font (20-7, 10-6 UFC) against Figueiredo (21-3-1, 10-3-1 UFC)—a two-time flyweight champion making the jump to 135 pounds. Figueiredo has not fought anyone other than archrival Brandon Moreno since November 2020.
For more on the Brazilian’s move to the bantamweight division, read “New Digs for Deiveson Figueiredo” from the aforementioned Stein
. Rexroad serves as the referee. Font moves to the center of the cage and stalks the Brazilian from range. He backs up Figueiredo with a clean one-two, shrugs off an attempted clinch and flicks out a few jabs. Figueiredo completes a takedown but cannot keep the New England Cartel rep down. Back on the feet, Font gets to work with his jab. Figueiredo lands an overhand right, ducks into takedown and again allows his opponent to get back to his feet. Font fires a long one-two and moves behind Figueiredo. He lifts the Brazilian off his feet but cannot finish the takedown. Round is still up in the air with a minute to go. Font counters with a right uppercut, and they trade jabs. Figueiredo staggers him with an overhand right but elects not to accelerate. He lures Font into a tie-up along the fence, stalls and then breaks into open space. Figueiredo looking more and more comfortable on the feet. They trad jabs at the close of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo

Round 2
Font gets busy with his jab but allows the Brazilian to close the distance and clinch along the fence. The action stalls briefly. Figueiredo lands a knee south of the equator, resulting in a brief pause. Font readjusts the jewels, and they resume their battle. Figueiredo connects with an uppercut and stays light on his feet. Font shuts off a takedown attempt, then walks into a clean right hand from the Brazilian. He pops Figueiredo with a leg kick and presses forward behind punches. Figueiredo ducks a punch and secures a takedown with two minutes left in the round. Font scrambles free, and they get back to business in the center of the cage. Figueiredo’s output has dwindled here. Font pounds home a jab, then follows with a leg kick. He circled out of a clinch from the Brazilian, marches forward and pumps out his jab. Figueiredo lands a clean two-punch volley and follows with a front kick up the middle.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo

Round 3
Figueiredo moves forward behind a front kick, initiates a tie-up and works for a takedown. Font’s defense holds up. Figueiredo steps into a right hand, then another and engages the Massachusetts native in the clinch. Nothing materializes. Font connects with a right hook to the body. Both men landing in single shots. Figueiredo dazes his counterpart with a wicked left hook, pushes him backward, fires a knee to the body and delivers another left hook upstairs. Font answers with a multi-punch volley, mixes in a jab and whiffs on an elbow over the top. They trade jabs midway through Round 3. Figueiredo ducks into a single-leg and completes a key takedown. He climbs to full mount, drops elbows and hammerfists, maintains his position and gets warned for grabbing the fence. Font reclaims half guard but struggles to control the Brazilian’s posture. With 30 seconds to go, this is slipping away from Font. Figueiredo slides to side control, applies heavy pressure and bleeds the remaining time off the clock.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo (30-27 Figueiredo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo (30-27 Figueiredo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo (30-27 Figueiredo)

The Official Result
Deiveson Figueiredo def. Rob Font—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Big Brady picks Figueiredo as a dog, citing paths to victory via wrestling or landing big shots. He notes Font's poor takedown defense and get-up game, and thinks Figueiredo can mix in takedowns. He also thinks Figueiredo's power could be a factor, as Font gets rocked often. He predicts a decision win for Figueiredo.

"I'm gonna take figgy here as a dog it's hard to have a ton of confidence in it but I feel like he has some paths here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Cody takes Figueiredo as an underdog. He cites Figueiredo's power, multiple paths to victory (knockdowns, takedowns), and Font's poor takedown defense as shown against Cory Sandhagen. He thinks Figueiredo can land bigger shots and mix in wrestling. He also notes Figueiredo moving up to 135 may help his cardio and power translation.

"I'll take the underdog actually in figuro got to take some dogs some places I get didn't have the coonies in the co-main event but I'll take the flyer here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

Lucrative James leans towards Rob Font, citing his size, reach, and experience against top bantamweights. He acknowledges Figueiredo's power and guillotine threat, and Font's questionable chin. However, he believes Font should be favored and may look to attack a prop rather than the moneyline due to volatility.

considering attacking a prop
"I think font should be favored he's the much better fighter overall he's more well-rounded"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Figueiredo moves up to bantamweight and should carry power and strength. Font has been outgrappled and outdamaged in recent fights, with poor takedown defense and a tendency to lose rounds due to damage. Figueiredo's power and ability to land big shots could lead to a knockout, similar to Font's losses to Aldo and Vera. Font may win minutes, but Figueiredo will win moments and likely finish.

knockout victory predicted
"give me Figaro here fig land the big shots I think I have him down as a finish as well yeah I'm going to save Figaro by knock out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Paul sides slightly with Font based on volume. He thinks Font should box Figueiredo up and put up crazy volume over three rounds. He notes Figueiredo's power and Font's chinny history, but believes Font's volume will be enough. He says the line is accurate and he's not too confident.

"I'm going to side ever so slightly with font with that volume say that Davidson you know moving up away class maybe the power isn't going to be as damaging up here but um yeah I'm not too too confident"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rob Font

The MMA Guru picks Rob Font by first-round KO, believing Figueiredo's power won't translate up a division and that Font's reach and jab will be decisive. He notes Figueiredo's defensive flaws and recent injuries. He predicts Font will catch Figueiredo early and put him away.

first round KO, first two minutes
"I'm going Rob Font first round KO in the first two minutes... I think Font's going to jab him up and Figueiredo got stung a lot on the chin."
LOSS vs Cory Sandhagen
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory Sandhagen 0 34 of 84 40% 132 of 211 7 of 7 100% 1 0 19:38
Rob Font 0 9 of 49 18% 25 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory Sandhagen 0 8 of 26 30% 27 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:43
Rob Font 0 5 of 22 22% 6 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
2 Cory Sandhagen 0 7 of 15 46% 38 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:41
Rob Font 0 0 of 7 0% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cory Sandhagen 0 10 of 24 41% 27 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:43
Rob Font 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Cory Sandhagen 0 6 of 11 54% 29 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:41
Rob Font 0 0 of 4 0% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Cory Sandhagen 0 3 of 8 37% 11 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:50
Rob Font 0 0 of 6 0% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory Sandhagen 34 of 84 40% 30 of 79 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 47 0 of 1 24 of 36
Rob Font 9 of 49 18% 5 of 43 2 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 44 0 of 3 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory Sandhagen 8 of 26 30% 6 of 23 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 6
Rob Font 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 17 0 of 3 1 of 2
2 Cory Sandhagen 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 8
Rob Font 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cory Sandhagen 10 of 24 41% 9 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 8 of 10
Rob Font 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Cory Sandhagen 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 8
Rob Font 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Cory Sandhagen 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 4
Rob Font 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Angelo picks Cory Sandhagen, citing his active striking, fluid combinations, and solid BJJ. He notes that Rob Font is a gritty boxer with a solid chin but lacks power and is on the back nine of his career. Angelo believes Sandhagen will make it a true MMA fight by mixing in wrestling, and that the catchweight benefits Sandhagen as the larger fighter. He also points out that Font is stepping up on short notice and that Sandhagen dominated Chito Vera, who is more dangerous than Font.

"Corey's the pick and he's a very very confident pick for me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Big Brady is very confident in Sandhagen, citing Rob Font's age (36), short notice, and accumulated damage from recent fights like the Marlon Vera beating where Font was dropped multiple times. He believes Sandhagen's diverse striking and submission threat will overwhelm Font, and that Font's durability has declined. He predicts Sandhagen will either dominate to a 50-43 decision or become the first to knock Font out, possibly with a head kick or knee.

Sandhagen by KO/TKO or decision; first to knock out Rob Font
"I like San Hagen to finish Rob Fawn and be the first one to knock him out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Cody picks Sandhagen due to his blend of striking and takedowns, plus a full camp preparing for Umar Nurmagomedov. He notes Font's short notice and history of being dropped (five times in two fights) as vulnerabilities. Cody believes Sandhagen can mix in takedowns and strike effectively, though he acknowledges Font's elite striking and volume. He also mentions betting Sandhagen by knockout at +225.

Sandhagen by KO +225; under 120.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I took sandhagen by knockout plus 225... it's the only bet I've made so far"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Daniel Levi is confident in Cory Sandhagen, citing his evolution into a well-rounded fighter with improved wrestling and durability. He notes Sandhagen's killer resume and recent performances against Song Yadong and Chito Vera as evidence of his growth. Levi believes Sandhagen's fight IQ and length will be key, and that he will avoid trading in the pocket with Font's dangerous jab. He sees Sandhagen as a future title contender and expects him to shine in the main event.

Mentions the line opened at -200 and is now -340, but does not recommend betting at that price. No prop bets or finishing predictions explicitly stated.
"I think Corey sandag is going to shine in the main event."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

James is very confident Sandhagen dominates. He thinks Sandhagen can do whatever he wants—strike, takedown, submit, or knock out Font. He believes Font's chin is done and predicts a knockout in the second or third round. He notes Sandhagen's dynamism and one-shot power.

Sandhagen by knockout
"Corey Sandhagen via knockout is my prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Sandhagen has an unorthodox style that blends wrestling and striking, and he's made for five rounds. Font has a great comeback win over Yanez, but Sandhagen's style will be too unorthodox for Font to get going. Sandhagen eats damage well and counters effectively. The fight likely goes the distance, so over 4.5 rounds is my favorite prop, but Sandhagen gets his hand raised. The line is too wide to bet heavily, and there is value on Font at these odds.

over 4.5 rounds, value on Font at current line
"over four and a half will probably be my favorite uh prediction for this fight but I still think that sandhagen gets his hand raise line is just too wide for me to get you know ahead of myself"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Sandhagen's full camp and wrestling advantage. He notes Font's short notice and chin issues, but expects a competitive fight if it goes the distance. Paul leans towards Sandhagen by knockout, though he respects both fighters.

"I mean if this goes 25 minutes I can definitely see it being pretty competitive... but I see San Hagen knocking him out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cory Sandhagen

The host picks Cory Sandhagen confidently, calling him a cerebral, diverse striker in his prime. He believes Sandhagen will pick Font apart with superior technique and defense. He notes Font is 36 and while dangerous, Sandhagen is a better mixed martial artist. He predicts a unanimous decision but does not rule out a head kick knockout. He recommends Sandhagen as a parlay piece and expects the line to rise.

unanimous decision; possible head kick knockout; line opened -256, now -312; parlay piece
"give me Corey sandhagen to take over this fight as it goes on I'll I'll say unanimous decision for Corey sandhagen"
WIN vs Adrian Yañez
TKO (punches) R1 2:57 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 1 33 of 75 44% 33 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Adrian Yañez 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 1 33 of 75 44% 33 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Adrian Yañez 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 33 of 75 44% 30 of 69 2 of 5 1 of 1 27 of 66 1 of 2 5 of 7
Adrian Yañez 25 of 54 46% 21 of 49 1 of 2 3 of 3 25 of 51 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 33 of 75 44% 30 of 69 2 of 5 1 of 1 27 of 66 1 of 2 5 of 7
Adrian Yañez 25 of 54 46% 21 of 49 1 of 2 3 of 3 25 of 51 0 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Angelo picks Adrian Yañez but is not highly confident, noting that Rob Font is a clean technical striker who is very live. He thinks Yañez is a younger version of Font, faster and with more power, but Font has a good chin and could win. He warns that this could be a changing of the guard, but Font could also remind everyone he's still elite.

"Jana's the pick but Rob font super live here clean technical Striker"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez despite wanting to pick Rob Font, due to Font's recent durability issues. He notes Font has taken massive damage in his last two fights and has been dropped repeatedly. He believes Yañez has power and volume, and can win by decision or knockout. He predicts a decision win for Yañez.

"give me honest here I'm gonna say Yana's by ... decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Cody agrees with Paul on Font. He points out that Yañez struggled early against Randy Costa, getting dominated in round one before Costa gassed. Cody believes Font's constant jab and long-range strikes will disrupt Yañez's timing and prevent him from landing his power shots. He sees Font's volume as overwhelming and thinks Yañez may struggle to find his rhythm. Cody also notes Font by decision at +200 is worth a look.

Font by decision at +200
"I'm with you I'm with you the knockdowns are a bit of a concern Yanez does hit very very hard but the volume is just overbearing"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Connor picks Yañez because Font's defensive flaws are well-documented: he has poor footwork after committing to his right hand and relies on a static high guard. Yañez is a fantastic counter puncher who will find openings as Font falls into predictable rhythms. However, Connor notes that Yañez can be a slow starter and may lose the first round if Font's jab takes over. He also mentions that Yañez's high-output style can lead to fatigue, as seen against Davey Grant. Despite these concerns, Connor believes Yañez's sharp countering will eventually catch Font.

Font opened at +126, now +155; Yañez opened at -140, now -175. Connor thinks the odds are getting too wide given Yañez's unproven resume at this level.
"I'll take Yanez as well, but this is a great fight for that. It's a genuine divisional sorting matchup."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Jacob is extremely high on Adrian Yañez, calling him his guy and predicting he will be champion by 2025. He praises Yañez's beautiful boxing, combinations, and power. He believes Yañez will find the timing and land the more impactful shots, possibly finishing inside the distance. He acknowledges that Yañez can be a slow starter but trusts his dog mentality.

inside the distance
"Adrian Yanez wins this fight I think he sends out inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rob Font

Font has high output, a great jab, and good footwork, but his durability is questionable after losses to Aldo and Vera. Yañez is a crisp boxer with power, but this is his toughest test. Font's volume and jab could frustrate Yañez, and Font's cardio should hold up. However, if Font's chin is shot, Yañez could land a big shot. I lean Font by decision but with hesitation.

"I'm gonna lean with the veteran here I'm gonna lean with the guy that showcases that he has the style to give a guy like Giannis fits"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Paul likes Rob Font as a plus-money underdog. He questions Yañez's level of competition, noting his wins are over lower-tier fighters and his only step-up against Davey Grant was a close split decision. Paul highlights Font's elite striking volume, footwork, and jab, and notes that Font has gone five rounds with top bantamweights. He acknowledges Font's tendency to get knocked down but believes his volume and experience will overwhelm Yañez.

Font by decision at +200 considered
"this kind of plus money we're going to need dogs and we're in Florida it does feel like Rob Funk and outwork almost anybody in the division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Adrian Yañez

The MMA Guru picks Adrian Yañez to win by decision. He expects Font to have success early with his jab and takedowns, but Yañez will weather the storm and start finding his range. He predicts Yañez will hurt Font badly in rounds two and three, with moments of near-finishes, but Font will survive to the final bell. He compares it to a Marlon Vera-esque performance.

"I'm gonna go with Adrian Yanez by decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Zane picks Yañez because Font's defensive issues are severe: he gets hit cleanly in every fight and has been knocked down repeatedly. Yañez is a sharp counter puncher who will exploit Font's tendency to leave himself open after throwing the right hand. Zane acknowledges that Yañez may start slow and lose the first round, but he expects Yañez to figure out Font's rhythm and land big shots. He also notes that Font's chin is a major concern, as even if Yañez fades, he only needs one clean shot to change the fight.

Font opened at +126, now +155; Yañez opened at -140, now -175. Zane thinks the odds are getting too wide.
"If you can see one fighter clearly winning a round of a fight and the other rounds being close, pick the clear round winner."
LOSS vs Marlon Vera
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera · Apr 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marlon Vera 0 271 of 516 52% 273 of 520 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Rob Font 3 159 of 283 56% 167 of 291 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marlon Vera 0 57 of 100 57% 57 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rob Font 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marlon Vera 0 51 of 97 52% 51 of 97 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rob Font 1 27 of 52 51% 30 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Marlon Vera 0 71 of 123 57% 71 of 123 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
Rob Font 1 37 of 71 52% 39 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
4 Marlon Vera 0 42 of 89 47% 44 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rob Font 1 36 of 56 64% 39 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
5 Marlon Vera 0 50 of 107 46% 50 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rob Font 0 33 of 58 56% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marlon Vera 271 of 516 52% 199 of 436 48 of 56 24 of 24 256 of 496 15 of 20 0 of 0
Rob Font 159 of 283 56% 95 of 205 22 of 31 42 of 47 133 of 246 4 of 4 22 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marlon Vera 57 of 100 57% 38 of 81 14 of 14 5 of 5 52 of 92 5 of 8 0 of 0
Rob Font 26 of 46 56% 5 of 21 7 of 10 14 of 15 26 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marlon Vera 51 of 97 52% 36 of 81 9 of 10 6 of 6 48 of 93 3 of 4 0 of 0
Rob Font 27 of 52 51% 17 of 40 4 of 5 6 of 7 22 of 43 0 of 0 5 of 9
3 Marlon Vera 71 of 123 57% 53 of 102 12 of 15 6 of 6 70 of 121 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rob Font 37 of 71 52% 29 of 59 4 of 7 4 of 5 25 of 55 2 of 2 10 of 14
4 Marlon Vera 42 of 89 47% 33 of 78 5 of 7 4 of 4 39 of 86 3 of 3 0 of 0
Rob Font 36 of 56 64% 20 of 36 3 of 5 13 of 15 27 of 44 2 of 2 7 of 10
5 Marlon Vera 50 of 107 46% 39 of 94 8 of 10 3 of 3 47 of 104 3 of 3 0 of 0
Rob Font 33 of 58 56% 24 of 49 4 of 4 5 of 5 33 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
SHERDOG BETTING PREVIEW ODDS : Font (-140), Vera (+110) Rob Font (138.5: Missed Weight) vs. Marlon Vera

Round 1
We have now reached the main event, which takes place in a catchweight instead of a standard weight category as Font (19-5, 9-4 UFC) missed weight by 2.5 pounds ahead of his marque pairing against “Chito” Vera (18-7-1, 12-6 UFC). These two are the only ranked competitors that set foot in the cage this evening, but a win for Font would arguably mean less as he could not reach the bantamweight limit. Apologetic for this error, Font offers a glove touch as the two stand before gold-standard referee Jason Herzog, and Vera accepts it with a smile as he is amped up for his first UFC main event. Vera is crouched over in his corner when the fight begins, and Font does a tour of the cage while waiting for him to stand up. Vera does do so, and he throws a front kick to start things off. Font starts up with his staple jabs, and Vera replies with a calf kick. Font subsequently counters it with an overhand right, and they back off to kick one another in the legs. Font strings together a pair of one-twos, and Vera responds with a thudding body kick to the guard. Font continues to work the jab, and he chains a solid boxing combination together that knock Vera back. A big uppercut from Font reddens the nose, and he knees Vera in the chin when Vera bends over. Vera gets a little space and lets loose with low kicks, and Font continues peppering him with jabs. Font steps in with an elbow, and Vera responds with a powerful leg kick. Vera closes in and pins several uppercuts on the chin before Vera pushes off and reaches out with a front kick that is just shy of the face. Font rips the body, and when Vera advances, he goes after another crisp uppercut. Font tattoos Vera’s heavily tattooed head and body with jabs, and Vera slips a couple of punches and counters with a front kick. Font nails his man with an uppercut again, and Vera staggers back and gathers himself to absorb a few punches high and low. Font put three punches together as Vera guards up and circles on the outside, and he commits to his calf kick when Font gives him a moment to breathe. Font absorbs another leg kick, and he loads up on punches when Vera tries to kick his lead calf once more. Font walks into a punch, and he blocks a loud body kick that impacts off his arms. Font winds up with an uppercut after a jab, intercepting Vera coming in. The uppercut continues to find its home as Font targets it repeatedly, and Vera is not able to read it and tries to block them, but they still get through. Vera kicks the midsection, and when he comes in, Font meets him with a knee and his own low kick, The first round ends, and the bantamweights tensely stare down one another after the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Font
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Font

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle to start off the second round, and they bounce closer together only to back off before engaging. Font jabs, follows it with a right and connects with a clean left to back Vera up. Font puts the ball of his foot on Vera’s chest, and he steps in with a hacking elbow that glances off Vera’s head. Vera fires off a front kick, and Font catches it and pushes Vera back. Vera, with his leg in the air, jumps with his other to kick Font a few times. Font delivers a big elbow that make Vera mockingly show that he is hurt, and he subsequently spins with a back kick to the body. Font reels from the kick and has to rebound off the fence, and Vera kicks the body again. Vera is able to counter a few punches, and Font begins to chain jabs into punches effectively as Vera’s face starts to turn red. “Chito” rips the body to make Font’s guard drop, and Font kicks his leg as a result. Vera loads up on a heavier one of his own, and Vera blocks an oncoming salvo of punches. Font has a few punches blocked, and Vera sticks his tongue out at him. As he does, a piston-like jab connects and knocks a surprised Vera back. Vera walks into another jab as Vera walks him down, but Vera does get off a leg kick. Font throws five punches in a row, and a huge body kick from Vera bends Font over. Font recovers and leans on his boxing to back Vera up, but “Chito” rallies and kicks him in the gut with a front kick. Vera works the leg with a kick, and Font strides through it to land a few punches and ends a combination with a solid left hand. Font steps through a series of punches with a knee up the middle, and Vera ricochets off the fence and marches his man down. Font kicks high, and the kick glances off the shoulder. Font carries on jabbing, and he works a right hand to the body in the midst of a punching chain. Vera walks him down and cracks him with a left hand, and Font is rocked badly and drops to his knees. Font instinctively goes after a single, and Vera bowls him over and unloads several brutal elbows. Font hangs on to the bell, and he springs right back up and goes to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 3
“Chito” is so fired up to start off the round, he is physically pulled back a few times by Herzog. Despite this aggressive intention, Font is the one who strikes first, jabbing his way in before shooting for a takedown. Vera scrambles and gets to his knees when dragged down, and he turns his opponent around to the fence and starts working the sides with punches and knees. Font pushes off with an elbow to break, and Vera puts everything into a head kick. Even with the kick blocked, it still has enough impact to shake Font. Font is quick to gather his thoughts and start working his uppercut, and Vera takes a front kick that goes low on the cup. Vera shrugs at Herzog when Herzog asks if he is alright, and the fight continues as they trade powerful blows. A thumping leg kick from the Ecuadorian gives Font some pause, and Font responds with a body kick. Vera steps through with a left hand, and he just misses a straight left hand across the bow. Font plants several punches on the guard, doing enough to take Vera’s focus away so he can drill a kick to the gut. Vera absorbs a leg kick, and Vera allows this so he can counter with a left hand that knocks Font back a few steps. The Bostonian marches forward, jabbing effectively and just getting up a block when a high kick aims at it. Vera unloads with a right hand, and Font greets him with several punches in a line of blows. Vera takes a clean elbow on the side of the head and barely flinches, and he kicks Font in the side. Font responds with a few punches to the body, leading Vera to tie him up. “Chito” separates and starts working kicks to the leg and side, and he slips a punch to throw one back. Font absorbs four flush punches without batting an eye, and he counters Font with a left to the midsection and a kick to the same spot. Font puts several punches together as Vera bounces off, and he splits the guard with a left. Font connects with a big left to the body, and Vera lifts up a knee that knocks Font off of his feet. Font climbs back up and wobbles back, only for Vera to chase him down and elbow him several more times. Herzog asks Font to keep fighting and moving, and Vera unleashes a fury of elbows right to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 4
Font has gathered his thoughts between rounds, and even with swelling and damage on his face from the concussive blows, he is ready to continue and starts off with jabs. Vera kicks the body, and he gets knocked back with a series of punches. Vera fights through the oncoming blows to give back his own, and he jumps in the air with a knee that is barely blocked in time. They trade one after the other, with Font preferring to touch while Vera is loading up on strikes. Font pins three uppercuts right on the chin, and he follows it with a one-two as chants for “’Chito’” rain down in the building. Font chases him down and uploads, and Vera ties him up and gets kneed. Vera elbows on the break to cut Font, but the Boston native does not even register this as he stalks Vera down. Font considers a takedown before bailing on it to let his boxing speak for himself. Vera rolls with the strikes that come at him, dancing back and sliding out of the way. Vera gets in a left, and Font is a bloody mess but no less active. Font opens up with jabs and one-twos, and Vera is circling away as his volume has diminished. Vera winds up with a side kick that connects as flush as it could, knocking Font back and down to the mat. Vera goes after him to try to finish him, and he gets kicked off as Font lays on his back aiming upkicks. Vera kicks the leg from above, while Font is still getting his wits about him. Vera is letting his foe of the hook, and eventually Herzog intervenes to stand Font up. Font walks through a spinning heel kick that soars at him to throw hands, and Vera spams another that similarly is inaccurate. Font bounces around, and he absorbs a pushing kick to his knee. Vera winds up on a body kick, and the fourth round ends. Vera walks back to his corner, laughing all the way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 5
Battered and bruised, swollen and sore, Font is hanging in there and cleared to continue. Vera is excited to reach the fifth round in this contest, and he walks straight into a left to the body when they begin to fight. Font has his jab reach out, and he misses an overhand right as Vera slides out of harm’s way. Font comes after him and elbows him on top of the head, and Vera looks at him quizzically and slaps Font in the face with his open hand like a Diaz brother. Font is riled up, and he lands six heavy punches that knock Vera back up to the wall. Vera scores a single leg kick, and he backs away as Font walks him down. Font keeps his hands busy, and he takes a solid jab on the face. Vera tries to back him off with a side kick, and Font is not slowing as he again backs Vera to the wire with his punches. They trade low kicks, and start to put power into their punches. Vera loads up as Font stalks after him, and he has a body kick that stuns Font for a second. Like a Terminator, Font keeps going, and a front kick blasts him in the face. Font strings several punches together despite the serious level of damage on his face, and he makes Vera take a step back when he lands a front kick. Vera counters Font coming in with a left, and he smacks Font with a left as Font leads into a combination. “Chito” snaps out a jab that makes Font shake his hands out, and he kicks the lead leg a pair of times. Font gets hurt from a punch, causing him to turn around for a second, and Vera begins to showboat and point. Font steels himself and powers ahead, chasing Vera around and absorbing punches while attacking. Font nails Vera with an uppercut, leading Vera into a dance as Vera signals that he is fine. Font does not fall for anything, and instead splits the guard with a right hand. Font bites down on his mouthpiece and throws hands to the head and body, and Vera aims another standing hook kick slash side kick that cracks into Font’s dome. Font is rattled once more from the powerful strike, and he wobbles back to the wall to try to recover for the waning seconds. Instead of going for a finish, Vera walks away to celebrate, pointing in the air and even turning his back on Font at one point. Font cannot reach him as time elapses, and this thriller comes to an end. Both bantamweights raise their stock after 25 minutes of bloody, chaotic battle. An emotional Vera thanks his team and invites his family into the cage after the fight, and declares that he will be a world champion and will bring the belt back to his home country of Ecuador. With that, the uneven ESPN card wraps up, with the night ending in style after that five-rounder in the books. Next week, the UFC will travel to Arizona, with a fantastic pay-per-view offering bringing a pair of highly anticipated title fights and some other great scraps like Michael Chandler vs. Tony Ferguson. We will be there for it, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Font (48-47 Vera)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Font (48-47 Vera)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vera (49-46 Vera)

The Official Result
Marlon Vera def. Rob Font via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rob Font

Angelo picks Rob Font, citing his cleaner boxing and composed style. He believes Font's accuracy and volume will mirror his success against Jose Aldo, but this time Font will get the win. He notes Vera's ability to make fights ugly and his iron chin, but thinks Font is too well-rounded to get caught in a brawl. He loves the -150 odds and plans a moneyline bet on Font.

moneyline bet at -150 odds
"I like rob font to mirror some of the success he had against jose aldo with his accuracy and his volume but this time i think he's going to get the win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady picks Marlon Vera as a dog, citing Vera's cardio advantage in a five-round fight and his ability to grow into the fight. He notes that Vera lands bigger shots and has a ground game advantage, while Font may win the first round but will fade. Brady predicts a late finish, possibly by submission, as the damage accumulates.

late finish, submission
"i like vera here i really do like vera as a dog... i'm gonna take marlon vera to win i'm gonna take him to win by a submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Cody picks Marlon Vera as a live underdog, citing Vera's slow-starting but strong-finishing style. He believes Vera can lose the first couple rounds but come on strong late, similar to his fight against Frankie Edgar. Cody notes Vera's grappling advantage and ability to take Font down, as Font gave up takedowns to Cody Garbrandt. He suggests live betting Vera after the first round for better odds.

Live betting after first round recommended
"i think i'm going to lean underdog in the main event so give me with marlon vero"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera, citing his durability and ability to take over in later rounds. He notes that Vera's fights often start in round three, where he looks world-class, and that his cardio from running 13 miles a day will be a factor in a five-round fight. Levi acknowledges Rob Font's superior boxing but believes Vera can create chaos and make it a dirty fight, similar to the Pedro Munoz blueprint. He is concerned about Vera eating shots early but trusts his recovery. He took two units at +130.

Bet 2 units at +130 moneyline
"as a betting man as someone who took the plus 130 on chito here i can just start this fight at round three"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rob Font

The host picks Rob Font, citing his superior output and jab. He believes Font's volume and technical striking will outwork Vera over five rounds, especially since Vera is a slow starter. He notes Font's reach advantage and ability to stay on the outside, and doubts Vera has one-punch knockout power to change the fight. He expects a decision win for Font.

Font by decision +170, fight goes to decision -150
"i lean the rob font side i do think his output numbers are going to be way higher than vera"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Paul leans towards Rob Font based on volume and activity, noting Font's jab and boxing should outwork Vera over five rounds. He acknowledges Vera's power in kicks and potential grappling edge but doesn't trust Vera's wrestling to secure takedowns. Paul is concerned about Font's history of getting knocked down, as seen against Jose Aldo, which could cost him rounds. He hasn't bet the fight yet but sides with the numbers.

"i'm gonna lean towards font but it's a dicey fight and i'm won't be shocked if it goes either way"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

The Guru picks Marlon Vera as an underdog, citing Vera's size and physicality as key advantages. He believes Rob Font struggles against pressure and big opponents who can muscle him around. The Guru predicts Font will win the first two rounds, but Vera will take over in the later rounds, eventually securing a submission via d'arce choke in round four or five. He notes Vera's youth (29) and ability to absorb damage, while questioning Font's power after making Cody Garbrandt's chin look okay.

Vera by submission (d'arce choke) in round 4 or 5; Vera is an underdog
"i'm gonna have to go with marlon vera here over rob font i think rob fonte's gonna have some success early on... i think i'm gonna have to go with marlon vera getting like a darsh choke submission in round …"
Cody Garbrandt - Fight History
SCHED vs Adrian Yañez
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
WIN vs Xiao Long
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Garbrandt 0 28 of 54 51% 28 of 54 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:53
Xiao Long 0 59 of 108 54% 70 of 119 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Garbrandt 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:27
Xiao Long 0 20 of 31 64% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Garbrandt 0 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Xiao Long 0 21 of 41 51% 22 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Cody Garbrandt 0 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:15
Xiao Long 0 18 of 36 50% 28 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Garbrandt 28 of 54 51% 13 of 39 11 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 42 11 of 12 0 of 0
Xiao Long 59 of 108 54% 11 of 41 19 of 28 29 of 39 51 of 99 3 of 4 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Garbrandt 10 of 20 50% 6 of 16 2 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 16 3 of 4 0 of 0
Xiao Long 20 of 31 64% 3 of 10 2 of 4 15 of 17 20 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cody Garbrandt 7 of 15 46% 4 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Xiao Long 21 of 41 51% 3 of 16 6 of 7 12 of 18 21 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Cody Garbrandt 11 of 19 57% 3 of 11 7 of 7 1 of 1 5 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0
Xiao Long 18 of 36 50% 5 of 15 11 of 17 2 of 4 10 of 28 3 of 3 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2026 (27 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt to win based on his striking and footwork, but strongly advises against betting on him, calling it a ridiculous thing to do in 2026. He notes Cody's age and recent loss to an older fighter, and says he would never put money on Cody. He separates pick from bet.

no money on Cody Garbrandt
"I am going to pick Cody Garbrandt... but I would never bet Cody Garbrandt in 2026."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog over Xiao Long, but with low confidence. He believes Garbrandt is washed and can't take a shot, but Long Xiao lacks KO power and has poor takedown ability. Garbrandt still has elite takedown defense and anti-grappling. Brady expects a boring fight where Garbrandt uses movement and clinching to win a decision, similar to his fight against Trevin Jones. He warns fans will boo.

Garbrandt by decision
"Give me Cody Garbrandt. Cody Garbrand by decision as the dog. Gross."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Cody picks Garbrandt as a dog, citing his superior competition and wrestling ability. He notes that Xiao Long has been taken down frequently and that Garbrandt can use wrestling to win. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.

"I'm going to take Garbrand to uh sneak this one through, man."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Connor believes Garbrandt should win easily based on speed and the level of competition. He notes that Long Zhao has struggled against low-level bantamweights and that Garbrandt, despite his psychological and technical flaws, has a massive advantage in athleticism. He is shocked that Garbrandt is an underdog and thinks the line is inaccurate.

Surprised by the odds; Garbrandt at +135 is a value pick.
"Garbrandt really should win this just on speed alone. The openings are going to be coming right to him on a platter."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and former champion status. He notes that Garbrandt's chin and cardio are concerns, but he believes Garbrandt has enough to beat a relatively unproven opponent. Vreeland warns that picking Garbrandt is scary but sees value.

"I'll reluctantly pick Cody Garbrandt for the upset."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Xiao Long

The host acknowledges Garbrandt is technically superior on the feet but is on a steep decline, with poor durability and gun-shy tendencies. He compares Garbrandt to other declining fighters like Moreno and Cyborg. Xiao Long is a high-volume, tough striker who throws double the strikes per minute. The host would back Long if forced to bet, but personally passes due to Long being average and the possibility of Garbrandt outclassing him.

"I would rather back Long in a fight like that. I'm not going to be betting Long personally."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

James picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, believing this is a massive step down in competition for Garbrandt. He notes Garbrandt's speed advantage and better boxing, and expects him to win round one. However, he acknowledges Garbrandt's poor chin and cardio, but thinks he can survive if he builds an early lead. James sees the fight as close to 50/50, making Garbrandt the value side at plus odds.

"I'm going to actually pick Cody again. It's like if he doesn't get hurt, he's probably going to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Xiao Long

Garbrandt is washed with a compromised chin and cardio. Long is durable, aggressive, and has good takedown defense. After a competitive first round, Long will walk Garbrandt down and likely knock him out in the second or third round.

Long by knockout
"I think this is a bad matchup for Cordy Garbrandt... I think we'll see that come to fruition here as Long knocks him out probably in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Paul also picks Garbrandt, noting his speed and technique. He thinks the fight will be close and dicey, but at plus money, he takes the former champion. He acknowledges the possibility of a knockout loss.

"Give me the plus 125 as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

The MMA Guru picks Cody Garbrandt, believing he will outclass Xiao Long at range. He notes Garbrandt's speed and footwork, and predicts a decision or late KO. He acknowledges Garbrandt's inconsistency but thinks Xiao Long is not top-level.

"Cody Garbrandt should [ __ ] really easily outclass this guy at range in a very boring three round decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Zane agrees that Garbrandt should win, emphasizing that Long Zhao is a significant step down from Garbrandt's recent opponents. He notes that Garbrandt has shown some improvement in recent losses, but still has major flaws. He is also surprised by the betting line and thinks Garbrandt should be a healthy favorite.

Surprised by the odds; Garbrandt at +135 is a value pick.
"If Long Zhao beats him, Cody Garbrandt should end his career at once. Cause it's a fight he should not lose."
LOSS vs Raoni Barcelos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Garbrandt 0 28 of 94 29% 45 of 111 0 of 7 0% 0 1 0:46
Raoni Barcelos 0 37 of 85 43% 43 of 93 1 of 11 9% 0 0 2:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Garbrandt 0 10 of 44 22% 10 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Raoni Barcelos 0 6 of 19 31% 8 of 21 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Cody Garbrandt 0 6 of 27 22% 14 of 35 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Raoni Barcelos 0 15 of 35 42% 17 of 38 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:31
3 Cody Garbrandt 0 12 of 23 52% 21 of 32 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:33
Raoni Barcelos 0 16 of 31 51% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Garbrandt 28 of 94 29% 23 of 85 3 of 7 2 of 2 22 of 86 6 of 7 0 of 1
Raoni Barcelos 37 of 85 43% 31 of 75 0 of 3 6 of 7 33 of 76 4 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Garbrandt 10 of 44 22% 10 of 42 0 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Raoni Barcelos 6 of 19 31% 5 of 15 0 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Cody Garbrandt 6 of 27 22% 4 of 24 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0
Raoni Barcelos 15 of 35 42% 14 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 28 2 of 7 0 of 0
3 Cody Garbrandt 12 of 23 52% 9 of 19 2 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 1
Raoni Barcelos 16 of 31 51% 12 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 4 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Raoni Barcelos vs. Cody Garbrandt
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barcelos (-180), Garbrandt (+150)

Round 1
Of the three Codys competing tonight, Garbrandt (14-6, 9-6 UFC) is the last one to try to get on the board for his namesake. The former champ, who celebrates about 80% of his wins by knockout, takes on a man five years his elder but no less dangerous than ever in Barcelos (19-5, 8-4 UFC). Most notably, the Brazilian derailed the hype train of Payton Talbott in January, firmly ruling out that he was washed up and ready to get tucked into bed. Referee Mike Beltran draws the assignment to watch over the bantamweights, watching them bump fists together to start the match. Garbrandt starts fast, rushing forward with four punches and a head kick. Barcelos bounces off the fence, and Garbrandt surges towards him with a trio of flying fists. Another combo comes from the former champ, and Barcelos ducks it and tries to take him down. Garbrandt hops away and resets, already wary of the possible takedown in play. Garbrandt measures with a single body kick, and he rails Barcelos with three speedy punches. Barcelos drops to a knee, and Garbrandt points at him. As Barcelos stands, he goes after a takedown. Garbrandt ducks away from it, dodges an overhand right and falls to 50/50 when Barcelos looks for a takedown. When the takedown does not materialize, Barcelos leaps at him and splits open Garbrandt’s eyebrow with his knee. Garbrandt backs away, avoiding a flying switch kick as chants for “Let’s go, Cody” echo in the building. Barcelos lands first after they stop calling for the former champ, working the body with a left. Barcelos has a head kick slap off the raised guard, and he rolls with a right hand over the top. Garbrandt swings and misses with a pair of punches, and his second effort to the body gets in. “No Love” shows Barcelos no love by tossing him out of the way, although the Brazilian recovers and fires off an uppercut that gets through. Garbrandt knees up the middle and tags Barcelos with two fast punches, and Barcelos gets his attention with a strong overhand right. Garbrandt thinks about showboating or dancing but evaluates that the strike did some damage and plays it cool. Barcelos attacks a single, and Garbrandt pops out of it and partially checks a calf kick flying at him. Garbrandt has three or four punches land, and he does a little dance. Barcelos takes him down, and Garbrandt gets away with an illegal upkick while scrambling. Barcelos climbs into top position, lands a few hammerfists, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt

Round 2
The fighters high-five before getting after it, and Barcelos is quick to engage his wrestling. Garbrandt’s overhand right goes wide, and he plants his feet to defend the takedown effort. Another try also comes up short, and Garbrandt pushes off and loads up on quick punches. Barcelos chases Garbrandt around the outer edge of the cage, chambering and firing a right hand but missing with the follow-up. Barcelos chops down the front leg, and he ducks down and eats a right hand while looking for a single. When the takedown is not successful, Barcelos clips him with two right hands. Garbrandt defends a double, but a knee up the middle from the Brazilian tags him cleanly. Garbrandt puts out two punches that further develop some swelling on Barcelos’ right cheek, but Barcelos ignores it and shoots for a single. Garbrandt stuffs it, turns his man to the side and elbows him cleanly for it. Barcelos keeps the pressure up, walking through a low kick and a body shot to catch “No Love” with his overhand right. Barcelos times a crisp uppercut and drops down for a single, lifting Garbrandt’s leg way up in the air. Garbrandt still stays upright, takes a right hand and puts his leg down. Barcelos connects with another big right, and he reaches out with one to the midsection. Barcelos jabs his way forward, scooting back to avoid all but a left hand in a combination. Garbrandt rolls with a right hand on the way out, but the jab from the Brazilian is finding its home repeatedly. Barcelos loads up on a right hand and ducks down, before unleashing another right hand that nearly puts the champ down. The round ends with Garbrandt shooting for a desperation takedown.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos

Round 3
There is a final glove touch, and Barcelos gets right back to pressuring. Garbrandt keeps him at bay for less than a second with a body kick, as Barcelos walks him down behind his overhand right. Garbrandt shoots for a single, and Barcelos laughs it off. A second takedown from Garbrandt is nowhere near being successful, and Barcelos pays him back with a calf kick that turns Garbrandt’s knee. Garbrandt gives him back two low kicks to think about, and he absorbs a flush right hand when circling away. Barcelos kicks at his front leg again, setting up his jab and right hand. Garbrandt rushes forward but is out of range for his combo, and he gets sat down with a leg kick. The former champ shoots for a takedown and finds his way into a guillotine choke setup, but he breaks out of is as he leans against Barcelos. The Brazilian breaks free, and Garbrandt connects at the end of a right and a left. Barcelos clubs him with a one-two that forces the striker to shoot in on his hips, and he holds Garbrandt down and circles around to the side in hopes of taking the back. Barcelos manages to take the back after softening Garbrandt up, and he sneaks a hook in. “No Love” lands some no-look punches, but Barcelos is singularly focused on shutting down any hopes of escape. Garbrandt pushes his feet on the wall to turn himself around, where he drops down two punches before Barcelos explodes. The two fighters burst back to their feet and start slugging it out, with Garbrandt landing flush and Barcelos doing the same. Garbrandt waves him on, and Barcelos instead backs off. Garbrandt scores a right hand and is chucked out of the way like a child’s plaything when attempting a single. Garbrandt points to the ground to initiate a brawl, but Barcelos goes the opposite direction and evades him until the fight wraps. Barring something unexpected, all three Codys struck out tonight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (29-28 Barcelos)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (30-27 Barcelos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (29-28 Barcelos)

The Official Result
Raoni Barcelos def. Cody Garbrandt via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Angelo leans Cody because he is faster and has power, while Raoni lacks power in his hands. He warns that Cody must avoid getting taken down. He is not confident enough to bet on Cody given his recent struggles.

I don't think I'm going to bet
"I think I'm going to slightly lean Cody here. I think he'll be a little faster."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt by second-round knockout. He believes Garbrandt's takedown defense is elite (80%) and that he can keep the fight standing. He notes Barcelos is 38 with a questionable chin, and Garbrandt has the power to knock him out. He acknowledges multiple outcomes but leans toward a knockout.

second round knockout
"Cody Garbrandt stuffs the takedowns, keeps it on the feet, lands a big shot, and knocks out the 38-year-old Hani Barcelos in the second round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

Connor picks Barcelos, emphasizing that Garbrandt's wrestling has declined and that Barcelos's chain wrestling and takedown variety will be a major threat. He notes that Garbrandt's tunnel vision when he feels confident often leads to him getting taken down, as seen against Figueiredo. Connor also points out that Barcelos is 38 and chinny, so Garbrandt could still knock him out, but Barcelos's wrestling should be the deciding factor.

Garbrandt opened at +117, now +159; Barcelos opened at -153, now -183. Connor agrees the line should not be too wide.
"I'm picking barcellos but i like the fight this is a good this is a good use of both men"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Despite public love for Barcelos after his upset win, Garbrandt has good takedown defense and superior striking. He will chip away at Barcelos and win a decision.

"I think Garbrandt has good enough takedown defense and the ability to put together a better striking game... pulling off the upset and winning this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

The Guru picks Raoni Barcelos, stating he is 'done with Cody Garbrandt.' He criticizes Garbrandt's fundamental flaws in striking and grappling, such as giving up his back and poor low kicks. He notes Barcelos has faced tough competition and fraud-checked Payton Talbott. He expects Barcelos to win by decision or TKO in the second round.

"I'm just going to go with Hani Barcelos. I think I think I'm done with Cody to be honest. ... I can't pick Garbrandt to win a fight in 2025."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

Zane picks Barcelos, citing his deep wrestling game and ability to chain takedowns, which should be effective against Garbrandt's shaky takedown defense. He notes that Garbrandt has been taken down easily by lesser wrestlers and that Barcelos's wrestling has improved with age. However, Zane acknowledges that Barcelos's striking has become a liability and that Garbrandt still has one-punch power, making this a dangerous fight for both.

Garbrandt opened at +117, now +159; Barcelos opened at -153, now -183. Zane says if Garbrandt becomes a much bigger underdog, he might become a bet.
"I have to pick barcellos but like these guys are at a point in their career where they are asking each other the right questions"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:02 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Deiveson Figueiredo 0 13 of 19 68% 21 of 27 1 of 5 20% 2 0 3:43
Cody Garbrandt 0 16 of 31 51% 18 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Deiveson Figueiredo 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
Cody Garbrandt 0 14 of 26 53% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Deiveson Figueiredo 0 4 of 4 100% 12 of 12 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:39
Cody Garbrandt 0 2 of 5 40% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Deiveson Figueiredo 13 of 19 68% 9 of 14 2 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3
Cody Garbrandt 16 of 31 51% 6 of 19 0 of 1 10 of 11 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Deiveson Figueiredo 9 of 15 60% 5 of 10 2 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Cody Garbrandt 14 of 26 53% 4 of 15 0 of 0 10 of 11 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Deiveson Figueiredo 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3
Cody Garbrandt 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Cody Garbrandt
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Figueiredo (-310), Garbrandt (+250)

Round 1
Tonight’s the night. And it’s going to happen again and again. Has to happen. Nice night. Las Vegas is a great town. I love the international food, bahn mi sandwiches, my favorite. But we’re hungry for something different now. Violence. It’s coming by the bucketful, and it starts with bantamweights that will almost certainly stand and bang. Former flyweight kingpin Figueiredo (22-3-1, 11-3-1 UFC) is putting some momentum together to make a run at his new weight class, while Garbrandt (14-5, 9-5 UFC) wishes to hold the line and prove he is not washed up at the tender age of 32. Fists are sure to fly, but before they do, referee Mark Smith checks them in. There is no touch of gloves, and it go time. Garbrandt introduces himself with a chopping calf kick, and he fires off another without concern. Garbrandt aims another on the inside, and then drops down on his knee to throw a sweeping kick out of the Mortal Kombat playbook. Figueiredo reaches out with a right hand that comes up short, and Garbrandt continues to work the lead leg. Figueiredo responds with one that he turns his hips into, and both men clash together and swing hard, while banging heads. Figueiredo backs off and gathers his thoughts, and he checks a kick coming at him. Figueiredo ducks an oncoming salvo and brings up a knee to the body, and he intercepts Garbrandt tossing a cartwheel kick by kicking Garbrandt in the face. The former bantamweight champ gets back up without issue, and he marches down “Daico.” Figueiredo lunges forward with an inaccurate swarm of punches, and Garbrandt hops in and out deliver a low kick. Garbrandt prods out with another calf kick, and he keeps his guard up to swat away a front kick aimed at his chin. Garbrandt leaps forward and catches the Brazilian with a left hand, and Figueiredo pulls guard and looks for a leglock. Garbrandt backs off before he is vulnerable, and he resets and dings a standing Figueiredo with a sharp one-two. Figueiredo meanders forward and lets go with a right hand, but it is one-and-done. Figueiredo does not quite reach with a front kick, but he elects to take the fight down and lifts Garbrandt’s leg up to drive him to the mat. Garbrandt jumps back up without taking any additional fire, and he lands a low kick before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Figueiredo

Round 2
The fighters get back to business, and Garbrandt reaches out first with a high body kick. Figueiredo rushes forward swinging leather, and Garbrandt answers him with a clubbing left hand. Figueiredo pursues a takedown from behind, where he strips the former bantamweight champ from his balance and lowers him down to the mat. Figueiredo shifts over to move into half guard, where he presses down for a potential arm-triangle choke. Garbrandt turns, and Figueiredo takes his back and flattens him out. Figueiredo wriggles his arm out and hammers Garbrandt in the side of the head with a right hand. When Garbrandt turns back over, Figueiredo assumes full mount and sets up an arm-triangle choke. “Deus da Guerra” jumps over to the side and locks down the arm-triangle choke, and he squeezes with all his might. Garbrandt struggles and keeps his wits about him, while Figueiredo lowers his chest down to complete the maneuver. Figueiredo sits up just slightly and punches him in the side of the head, and he gets back to mount. Garbrandt tries to kick off and explode back to his feet, but the Brazilian mightily shoves him flat on his back. Figueiredo drops down shoulder strikes to the jaw, and he smacks Garbrandt in the side of the head with his fists when he finds openings. Garbrandt bursts back to his feet, and Figueiredo follows him every step of the way to lock down back control, set up a body triangle and start fishing for a choke.
Figueiredo cinches up a rear-naked choke, and at this point it is just academic. “No Love” considers going out on his shield, but at the last minute, he taps out, and we have our first finish of the evening.
This marks the first time that Garbrandt has ever been submitted.

The Official Result
Deiveson Figueiredo def. Cody Garbrandt R2 4:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt as the underdog, citing his superior wrestling, clean boxing, and size advantage. He notes Figueiredo's power may not carry up to bantamweight and that Garbrandt's chin is a concern but his wrestling history and boxing should prevail. He acknowledges Garbrandt's tendency to chase knockouts and get caught, but believes his wrestling and boxing will be enough.

"I am going to go Cody garbrandt I think his wrestling history will help him that clean boxing will help him and just being bigger in general will help"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Cody is very confident in Figueiredo. He notes that Garbrandt's resurgence came against low-level opponents (Brian Kelleher, Trevin Jones) and that he still has a weak chin. Figueiredo is a big bantamweight with power in both hands and solid takedown defense. Cody points out that Garbrandt fights emotionally and tends to run into fire when hit. He expects Figueiredo to knock Garbrandt out, possibly in the first round. Cody calls this his favorite bet on the card.

Figueiredo by knockout (+140), Figueiredo round 1 knockout (+400)
"I think my favorite B on the entire card frankly figgy figgy Binoo plus 140 figgy uh by knockout round one plus 400."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Connor picks Figueiredo, agreeing that Garbrandt's chin and tendency to make mistakes will be exploited. He notes that Figueiredo's new patient style will allow him to get reads without putting himself in danger. Connor points out that Garbrandt only gets reads when pursued, and Figueiredo will not oblige. He expects Figueiredo to land a big shot eventually.

Odds: Figueiredo opened -345, now -289; Garbrandt opened +253, now +246. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I will also take Davison. I mean, that they think your simple equation was correct. Like why would you pick Cody Garbrandt against the biggest puncher, one who, by the way, is not going to make while being very hittable …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Deiveson Figueiredo, citing his power and guillotine choke. He acknowledges Garbrandt's chin issues and believes Figueiredo will land a knockout. However, he is hesitant due to Figueiredo's inconsistent performances and the high price (-300). Vreeland notes that Figueiredo can be gun-shy and Garbrandt has power, making this a risky bet.

"I think Figueiredo probably gets it done because he probably ends up knocking Garbrandt out"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He calls it a banger and says it's impossible for the fight to be boring. He notes that the UFC has been trying to put it together for a while. No prediction is given.

"Cody Garbrandt versus Deiveson Figueiredo that's a fight that they've been trying to put together for a while and again it's another Banger of a fight like there's no way that fight is boring"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Figueiredo is the bigger power puncher and will force Garbrandt to exchange. Garbrandt has been hesitant recently but will be forced to bite down on his mouthpiece and pay dearly. Figueiredo knocks him out within two rounds.

knockout within two rounds
"I think Figaro knocks out Cody garbrandt within two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Paul agrees, noting that Garbrandt has all the skills but lacks durability. Figueiredo is a big flyweight who carries power up to bantamweight. Paul mentions that Garbrandt throws naked leg kicks in the pocket, leaving himself open to counters. Figueiredo has power in both hands and is relentless when he hurts opponents. Paul believes Garbrandt will get into a firefight and eventually get knocked out. He also notes that Figueiredo has good takedown defense and get-up game.

"I think Davison figure eight will knock out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

The MMA Guru envisions Cody Garbrandt knocking out Deiveson Figueiredo in the first round. He notes that Figueiredo is a straight-line puncher, while Garbrandt excels with hooks and keeping his head off the center line. He believes Garbrandt will make Figueiredo go first and time him with a devastating shot, citing Garbrandt's speed and momentum after recent wins.

"Cody garbrandt is going to lay davidon figuro out cold in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Deiveson Figueiredo

Zane picks Figueiredo, reasoning that he is the biggest puncher Garbrandt has ever faced. He notes that Garbrandt is chinny and Figueiredo has 11 knockdowns at flyweight. Zane expects Figueiredo to be patient and not make reckless mistakes, while Garbrandt will likely back up to the cage and get hit. He predicts a stinky fight but a Figueiredo win.

Odds: Figueiredo opened -345, now -289; Garbrandt opened +253, now +246. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I'll be God damned if I'm going to pick Cody Garbrandt against the biggest puncher he's ever faced."
KO (punch) R1 3:42 · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Dec 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Garbrandt 1 20 of 41 48% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Brian Kelleher 0 17 of 25 68% 21 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Garbrandt 1 20 of 41 48% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Brian Kelleher 0 17 of 25 68% 21 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Garbrandt 20 of 41 48% 16 of 37 2 of 2 2 of 2 16 of 35 4 of 6 0 of 0
Brian Kelleher 17 of 25 68% 9 of 13 1 of 3 7 of 9 17 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Garbrandt 20 of 41 48% 16 of 37 2 of 2 2 of 2 16 of 35 4 of 6 0 of 0
Brian Kelleher 17 of 25 68% 9 of 13 1 of 3 7 of 9 17 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt, stating he should dominate everywhere, but worries about his chin and tendency to brawl. He notes that if Cody shows patience, he is a confident pick. He is unsure about betting due to chin concerns.

No bet; chin concern; odds are 2-to-1
"Cody garbrandt should absolutely win this fight and if you trust his chin then it might be worth spending a dollar or two on him I don't know yet if I trust that chin"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Brian Kelleher

Big Brady picks Brian Kelleher to win by knockout, despite acknowledging Garbrandt is more skilled. He notes Garbrandt's chin issues (4 KO losses) and washed performances, while Kelleher has power and a guillotine threat. Brady believes Kelleher will force exchanges and land a big shot, putting Garbrandt out. He also notes Garbrandt has zero submissions, so a sub win is unlikely.

"I'm GNA say Brian Keller here does knock out Cody garbrandt"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Cody picks Garbrandt, arguing that he is better in every aspect of martial arts except durability. He notes that Kelleher's only path is a knockout, but Kelleher has only two KO wins in six years. Cody believes Garbrandt will fight smart behind his jab and potentially win by decision or finish. He acknowledges the chin concern but thinks Kelleher is not the guy to exploit it.

Cody Garbrandt by decision
"the pick just like you is gonna be no love Cody garbrandt"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brian Kelleher

Lucrative James picks Brian Kelleher as the underdog. After rewatching Cody Garbrandt's last fight against Trevin Jones, he saw Cody was hesitant, got wobbled, and taken down multiple times. He believes Cody's chin issues could resurface if Kelleher catches him. He acknowledges Kelleher's age (37) and two-fight losing streak but thinks Cody is not a minus 250 fighter.

"I definitely think Brian Kelleher is the side... another dog or pass spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brian Kelleher

The host is high on Kelleher as a plus 185 underdog, questioning how Garbrandt can be such a heavy favorite given his recent tentative style and chin issues. He believes Kelleher's aggression, durability, and grappling edge will be key. He expects Kelleher to crash the pocket, land big shots, and possibly finish Garbrandt. The only concern is Kelleher returning from neck surgery, but he thinks even 70% of Kelleher is enough to pull the upset.

Kelleher by knockout
"plus 185 is a tremendous number for a guy like teller the only thing keeping me from this making it an even bigger play would be the fact that he's coming back from such a severe injury surgery rehab all …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Paul picks Garbrandt, stating that skill for skill, this fight is not competitive. He notes that Garbrandt is much faster on the feet and that Kelleher is not a murderous power puncher. Paul points to Garbrandt's last fight against Trevin Jones where he fought smart and stayed out of trouble. He believes Garbrandt will box Kelleher up and potentially win by decision or TKO.

"Cody garbrandt's way faster on the feet... I don't think this is even remotely competitive"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

The Guru picks Cody Garbrandt over Brian Kelleher, noting Kelleher's recent losses and decline. He believes the matchup is designed for Garbrandt to get a KO win on a big card. He predicts Garbrandt will win by TKO in the second round.

Garbrandt by TKO in round 2
"I'm going Cody garbrandt and I'm going to pick him back KO Brian kellerer... I'm going to go cody garbrandt getting this one done by TKO in the second round"
WIN vs Trevin Jones
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Garbrandt 0 26 of 33 78% 33 of 40 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:32
Trevin Jones 0 20 of 69 28% 30 of 79 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Garbrandt 0 17 of 19 89% 17 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Jones 0 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Garbrandt 0 5 of 6 83% 11 of 12 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:20
Trevin Jones 0 2 of 9 22% 6 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:35
3 Cody Garbrandt 0 4 of 8 50% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Trevin Jones 0 11 of 36 30% 17 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Garbrandt 26 of 33 78% 8 of 14 14 of 15 4 of 4 21 of 28 2 of 2 3 of 3
Trevin Jones 20 of 69 28% 9 of 50 8 of 14 3 of 5 15 of 64 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Garbrandt 17 of 19 89% 2 of 4 11 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Jones 7 of 24 29% 1 of 13 5 of 9 1 of 2 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cody Garbrandt 5 of 6 83% 3 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 2
Trevin Jones 2 of 9 22% 0 of 5 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cody Garbrandt 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Trevin Jones 11 of 36 30% 8 of 32 2 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 31 1 of 1 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt because he is the better fighter everywhere, but he is not betting on him due to his questionable chin. He notes that Garbrandt dominates until he gets hit, and Trevin Jones has real power. Angelo hopes Garbrandt can have a resurgence like Glover Teixeira.

"I gotta pick Cody because he's just better everywhere I have to pick him because he's better but I'm not gonna bet on it because I just you know his chin is worrisome"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt but is hesitant due to his chin issues. He notes Garbrandt is the much better fighter with speed, volume, and wrestling, but his durability is a major concern. He acknowledges Trevin Jones has power and has never been knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Garbrandt, but admits a knockout loss wouldn't be surprising.

"give me Cody here I'm gonna say Cody to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Cody picks Garbrandt but is very hesitant due to his compromised chin. He thinks Garbrandt's wrestling and technical boxing give him the edge, and that Jones's low volume and lack of setup make him less dangerous. He expects Garbrandt to win by decision if he fights smart.

Cody Garbrandt by decision
"I think he wins this fight he's got to minus p's and q's I will take Cody garbrandt"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Jones

Connor picks Trevin Jones because he doubts Cody Garbrandt's ability to stick to a disciplined, low-risk gameplan. He notes that Garbrandt has never shown he can fight a patient, three-round kickboxing match without getting frustrated and aggressive, which plays into Jones's counter-punching strengths. Connor also points out that Garbrandt's durability has declined, making him vulnerable to getting caught and finished.

"I am gonna pick Trevyn Jones. I am too. I don't really even think it's really the smart pick like no, our brands the car brand is still so fast."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Jacob picks Cody Garbrandt as the better fighter but is wary of his chin and tendency to load up. He believes Garbrandt should use a point-fighting strategy and mix in takedowns. Jacob will not bet on Garbrandt and needs to see him prove his chin again.

"I have to pick Cody because he is the better fighter there's no way in hell I am going to put money on Cody Garvin at minus whatever"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Garbrandt has a huge technical striking advantage and should be able to beat Jones to the punch. However, his durability is a major concern and Jones has power. Garbrandt likely wins by second round KO or decision, but it's stressful to bet on him as a favorite.

"I never want to put my heart through that stress of having any type of investment on the Cody garbrand sad as a favorite but technically speaking he is so much better than Trevin Jones"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Paul has a small sprinkle on Garbrandt by decision at +500. He thinks Garbrandt's wrestling and smart game plan could lead to a decision win, but acknowledges the chin risk. He says it's a dicey bet and he's prepared to lose.

Cody Garbrandt by decision (+500)
"I took Cody garbrandt by decision Plus 500"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevin Jones

The MMA Guru picks Trevin Jones as an underdog, citing Garbrandt's inactivity, multiple KO losses, and tendency to get caught. He believes Jones can catch Garbrandt on the chin and win by KO.

KO win predicted
"I'm going with Trevin Jones over Cody garbrand... I'm taking the underdog of Trevin Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Jones

Zane also picks Trevin Jones, agreeing with Connor that Garbrandt's mental fragility and tendency to make mistakes under pressure make him unreliable. He emphasizes that Jones is tough, has good timing, and can capitalize on Garbrandt's lapses. Zane notes that while Garbrandt has the tools to win if he fights smart, history suggests he will revert to aggression and get caught.

"I am gonna pick Trevyn Jones. I am too."
LOSS vs Kai Kara-France
TKO (punches) R1 3:21 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kai Kara-France 2 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Cody Garbrandt 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kai Kara-France 2 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Cody Garbrandt 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kai Kara-France 23 of 41 56% 18 of 32 1 of 4 4 of 5 19 of 37 0 of 0 4 of 4
Cody Garbrandt 9 of 17 52% 4 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 6 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kai Kara-France 23 of 41 56% 18 of 32 1 of 4 4 of 5 19 of 37 0 of 0 4 of 4
Cody Garbrandt 9 of 17 52% 4 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 6 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt by knockout, but with very low confidence. He notes that Garbrandt has fought better competition and is the harder hitter, but there are many red flags: Garbrandt is moving down in weight, has durability concerns, and has been knocked out before. Kara-France has good takedown defense and volume, but his chin is questionable. Brady cannot bet this fight due to the uncertainty.

"give me cody garba i'm taking him to win by knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kai Kara-France

Daniel Levi picks Kai Kara-France for the upset, expressing concerns about Cody Garbrandt's drop to flyweight. He references historical examples like TJ Dillashaw and Figueiredo struggling with the weight cut, and worries about Garbrandt's durability losing 10 pounds. Levi acknowledges Garbrandt's superior competition but believes the speed and output at flyweight will favor Kara-France. He notes Kara-France's one-punch knockout power and training at a great camp. Levi is skeptical about Garbrandt's desperation move to flyweight.

"give me kai khara france for the upset here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Garbrandt is the much better technical striker and should be able to counter Kara-France's blitzes. However, his durability is a concern, especially at a new weight class. If he stays disciplined and uses footwork, he can win a decision. The weight cut and chin are question marks, so this is a watch-and-see fight.

"i'm going cody garbrandt and i'm gonna take him to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Kai Kara-France

The MMA Guru picks Kai Kara-France to win by first-round KO, calling it an upset. He believes Garbrandt's weight cut to flyweight will be detrimental, and his defensive flaws will be exposed. He notes Kara-France's reach advantage and power, predicting he will catch Garbrandt early.

first-round KO upset
"i'm going with kai kara france over cody garbrandt garbrandt's going to be big for the division he's going to drain himself down he's already a chinny person"
LOSS vs Rob Font
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 176 of 365 48% 183 of 374 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:13
Cody Garbrandt 0 63 of 142 44% 78 of 159 3 of 10 30% 0 0 3:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 21 of 44 47% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Garbrandt 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 28 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:53
2 Rob Font 0 27 of 55 49% 29 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Garbrandt 0 8 of 21 38% 12 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
3 Rob Font 0 32 of 68 47% 35 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:12
Cody Garbrandt 0 15 of 29 51% 18 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
4 Rob Font 0 51 of 101 50% 51 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Garbrandt 0 12 of 25 48% 12 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Rob Font 0 45 of 97 46% 45 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:01
Cody Garbrandt 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 176 of 365 48% 145 of 326 23 of 29 8 of 10 168 of 356 6 of 6 2 of 3
Cody Garbrandt 63 of 142 44% 45 of 120 8 of 11 10 of 11 51 of 126 8 of 11 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 21 of 44 47% 14 of 36 5 of 5 2 of 3 19 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 1
Cody Garbrandt 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5
2 Rob Font 27 of 55 49% 21 of 48 4 of 5 2 of 2 24 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
Cody Garbrandt 8 of 21 38% 5 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Rob Font 32 of 68 47% 26 of 60 4 of 6 2 of 2 30 of 65 1 of 1 1 of 2
Cody Garbrandt 15 of 29 51% 13 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 2 15 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
4 Rob Font 51 of 101 50% 42 of 90 7 of 8 2 of 3 51 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Garbrandt 12 of 25 48% 8 of 20 1 of 1 3 of 4 10 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
5 Rob Font 45 of 97 46% 42 of 92 3 of 5 0 of 0 44 of 96 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Garbrandt 15 of 40 37% 10 of 34 4 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rob Font

Big Brady picks Rob Font based on Font's higher output (5.21 significant strikes per minute vs 3.33), a six-inch reach advantage, and durability (never knocked out) compared to Cody Garbrandt's three knockout losses. He notes the smaller cage favors Font and that Garbrandt's low-volume style against Assuncao won't work here. He expects a knockout but acknowledges Garbrandt's power could end it.

Font by knockout
"I think the six inch reach advantage for rob fonts huge as well a big factor in this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Cody Saftic picks Rob Font, citing Font's durability, reach advantage (5-6 inches), and ability to mix in leg kicks. He believes Garbrandt's chin is compromised from hard training and past knockouts, and that Font will break him down over time, likely getting a knockout in the second or third round. Saftic notes that Garbrandt fades in later rounds and that Font's takedown defense and comfort on the ground will neutralize any wrestling threat.

under 2.5 rounds, Font by knockout
"i think font gets this thing done by knockout i see the under two and a half is pretty much like you know around that even money"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Daniel Levi picks Cody Garbrandt, arguing that Garbrandt has more ways to win with his footwork, kicks, and D1 wrestling. He notes that Rob Font has been hurt in fights before (e.g., against Munoz and Assuncao) and that Garbrandt's last win got his confidence back. He believes Garbrandt can beat Font at his own game in boxing and that Font's recent wins over declining opponents don't prove he's ready for the top three.

"I'm actually gonna go with cody garbrandt here man i feel like that last fight got his confidence back um people talk about his fast hands but what about his footwork what about her his kicks are on point so …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Matt leans toward Rob Font, citing Font's more versatile eight-limb striking compared to Cody's boxing-heavy approach. He notes Font's six-inch reach advantage and his ability to attack with leg kicks to slow Cody down. However, he acknowledges Cody's speed, power, and crisp boxing, and admits low confidence due to the fight being a pick'em. He predicts Font may finish late, possibly in the third round, but is not confident enough to place a significant bet.

"i lean the rob font side ever so slightly... i do think that font has a little bit more tools"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Font. He emphasizes Garbrandt's low output (66 significant strikes in the Cruz fight, 19 against Assuncao) and Font's volume advantage. He notes that Font's reach and jab will cause problems, and that if the fight goes the distance, Font will land significantly more strikes. He also mentions the possibility of betting Font live if he survives the early rounds.

under 2.5 rounds, live bet Font
"if this fight is scheduled or if the odds for the over under are to two and a half rounds and it's uh minus 125 so it's you know 50 50 that it's going to go that distance if we …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Rob Font

The MMA Guru predicts Rob Font will win by second-round TKO via uppercut. He expects Font to win the first round with his jab at range. In the second round, Garbrandt will become more aggressive and try to slip the jab, but Font will time an uppercut as Garbrandt dips down, putting him down for the finish.

"rob font by second round tko against cody garbrandt"
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rob Font

Big Brady picks Rob Font based on Font's higher output (5.21 significant strikes per minute vs 3.33), a six-inch reach advantage, and durability (never knocked out) compared to Cody Garbrandt's three knockout losses. He notes the smaller cage favors Font and that Garbrandt's low-volume style against Assuncao won't work here. He expects a knockout but acknowledges Garbrandt's power could end it.

Font by knockout
"I think the six inch reach advantage for rob fonts huge as well a big factor in this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Cody Saftic picks Rob Font, citing Font's durability, reach advantage (5-6 inches), and ability to mix in leg kicks. He believes Garbrandt's chin is compromised from hard training and past knockouts, and that Font will break him down over time, likely getting a knockout in the second or third round. Saftic notes that Garbrandt fades in later rounds and that Font's takedown defense and comfort on the ground will neutralize any wrestling threat.

under 2.5 rounds, Font by knockout
"i think font gets this thing done by knockout i see the under two and a half is pretty much like you know around that even money"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cody Garbrandt

Daniel Levi picks Cody Garbrandt, arguing that Garbrandt has more ways to win with his footwork, kicks, and D1 wrestling. He notes that Rob Font has been hurt in fights before (e.g., against Munoz and Assuncao) and that Garbrandt's last win got his confidence back. He believes Garbrandt can beat Font at his own game in boxing and that Font's recent wins over declining opponents don't prove he's ready for the top three.

"I'm actually gonna go with cody garbrandt here man i feel like that last fight got his confidence back um people talk about his fast hands but what about his footwork what about her his kicks are on point so what about his d1 wrestling man i think that he's …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Matt leans toward Rob Font, citing Font's more versatile eight-limb striking compared to Cody's boxing-heavy approach. He notes Font's six-inch reach advantage and his ability to attack with leg kicks to slow Cody down. However, he acknowledges Cody's speed, power, and crisp boxing, and admits low confidence due to the fight being a pick'em. He predicts Font may finish late, possibly in the third round, but is not confident enough to place a significant bet.

"i lean the rob font side ever so slightly... i do think that font has a little bit more tools"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rob Font

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Font. He emphasizes Garbrandt's low output (66 significant strikes in the Cruz fight, 19 against Assuncao) and Font's volume advantage. He notes that Font's reach and jab will cause problems, and that if the fight goes the distance, Font will land significantly more strikes. He also mentions the possibility of betting Font live if he survives the early rounds.

under 2.5 rounds, live bet Font
"if this fight is scheduled or if the odds for the over under are to two and a half rounds and it's uh minus 125 so it's you know 50 50 that it's going to go that distance if we go that distance font's going to be landing like 70 …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Rob Font

The MMA Guru predicts Rob Font will win by second-round TKO via uppercut. He expects Font to win the first round with his jab at range. In the second round, Garbrandt will become more aggressive and try to slip the jab, but Font will time an uppercut as Garbrandt dips down, putting him down for the finish.

"rob font by second round tko against cody garbrandt"