vs
-275 +280
UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021 · Catchweight (126.5 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 5"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 5"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tracy Cortez
3.86 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.01 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
2.15 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Justine Kish
4.51 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.59 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.87 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Tracy Cortez
Moneyline
BetWay -275
KO/TKO
BetWay +600
Submission
BetWay +550
Decision
BetWay -125
Justine Kish
Moneyline
FanDuel +280
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +350
Tracy Cortez - Fight History
SCHED vs Wang Cong
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
Submission R2 4:44 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 52 of 116 44% 65 of 134 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:43
Tracy Cortez 0 46 of 104 44% 50 of 108 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 43 of 92 46% 43 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tracy Cortez 0 32 of 76 42% 33 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 9 of 24 37% 22 of 42 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:43
Tracy Cortez 0 14 of 28 50% 17 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 52 of 116 44% 38 of 100 6 of 8 8 of 8 51 of 115 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 46 of 104 44% 35 of 88 7 of 12 4 of 4 45 of 100 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 43 of 92 46% 32 of 80 5 of 6 6 of 6 42 of 91 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 32 of 76 42% 25 of 64 4 of 9 3 of 3 31 of 72 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 9 of 24 37% 6 of 20 1 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 14 of 28 50% 10 of 24 3 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield despite considering Tracy Cortez's wrestling. He values Blanchfield's relentless pressure and scrambling ability. He notes Cortez is often at events and may not be training enough. He suggests over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 bet on Cortez as possibilities.

over 2.5 rounds, plus 3.5 on Cortez
"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield. Tracy could absolutely get the takedowns here and work... Over two and a half is probably solid."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady leans Erin Blanchfield, believing her grappling advantage will be decisive. He notes Tracy Cortez has only 62% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas and others. Brady thinks Blanchfield's top control and submission skills are superior once the fight hits the ground, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges the line is wide and a case can be made for Cortez.

decision
"I'm going to lean Blanchfield to get the done get it done by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, noting that she has improved significantly since their first fight six years ago, especially her striking. He points out that Cortez has not evolved and has been inactive. Cody believes Blanchfield's wrestling and pressure will be too much, and she will win by decision. He also mentions that Blanchfield is younger and more motivated.

Blanchfield by decision
"Blanchfield's likely to take her down and give her all types of problems. And if she doesn't take her down, she's going to come forward, she's going to throw punches, she's going to try to outwork her."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Connor also leans toward Cortez, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Cortez is an inch taller than Blanchfield, which is surprising, and that Blanchfield's aggressive style may lead to her giving things away. He thinks Cortez can win out scrambles and that Blanchfield's one-size-fits-all approach may not work.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200.
"I'm going to go Cortez with you."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel sees Blanchfield as the more evolved fighter since their first fight, with relentless pressure and a never-quit attitude. He notes that Cortez struggles when she is the nail, while Blanchfield has shown she can overcome adversity. He expects Blanchfield to avenge her loss and continue her rise.

"I'm still going to come out here and pick Aaron Blanchfield to win the rematch and avenge the loss against Tracy Cortez."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win, citing her superior grappling and submission skills. He believes Cortez will engage in wrestling, which plays into Blanchfield's strengths, as she is a better MMA grappler and dangerous from top position. He notes Blanchfield's ability to submit opponents from any position, as seen in her previous win over Cortez. He expects Blanchfield to win via submission or dominant decision.

"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield to get the win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Blanchfield lands bigger shots on the feet and eventually lands takedowns for control and BJJ superiority. Cortez may be the better wrestler on paper, but Blanchfield gets her hand raised on the scorecards.

"I expect Blanchfield to get her hand raised as I think she'll be able to land bigger shots on the feet and eventually land those takedowns where she can get some good control and utilize her BJJ superiority."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing that Blanchfield's striking has improved the most. He notes that Cortez's takedown defense is not great and that Blanchfield will likely control the fight. Paul also mentions that Blanchfield has a home-field advantage and that the fight will likely go to decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"Blanchfield by decision minus 133 is not horrible."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Erin Blanchfield

The Guru picks Erin Blanchfield to win by 29-28 decision. He believes Blanchfield's grappling and physicality will be decisive, though she may lose the first round. He criticizes Cortez's focus on appearance (fake eyelashes) and notes Blanchfield's win over Rose Namajunas as a better benchmark. Blanchfield should mix in takedowns and control later rounds.

"I'm gonna go with Blanchfield getting this one done. I'm going to say that Blanchfield wins this by 2928 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Zane leans toward Cortez, noting that Cortez has a win over Blanchfield and is a very good scrambler and grappler. He thinks Blanchfield's aggressive style might play into Cortez's hands, as Cortez is comfortable in scrambles. However, he admits it's hard to get a grip on Cortez and that she is still developing.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200. Blanchfield opened -225, currently -235.
"I'm leaning Cortez."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 22 of 51 43% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:43
Tracy Cortez 0 65 of 103 63% 102 of 143 3 of 5 60% 1 1 8:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 5 of 13 38% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:43
Tracy Cortez 0 15 of 20 75% 23 of 28 1 of 2 50% 1 1 2:52
2 Viviane Araújo 0 12 of 29 41% 17 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 43 46% 25 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
3 Viviane Araújo 0 5 of 9 55% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tracy Cortez 0 30 of 40 75% 54 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 22 of 51 43% 16 of 45 3 of 3 3 of 3 19 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 65 of 103 63% 53 of 82 8 of 14 4 of 7 24 of 53 2 of 5 39 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 5 of 13 38% 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 15 of 20 75% 10 of 14 3 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 5 1 of 2 12 of 13
2 Viviane Araújo 12 of 29 41% 8 of 25 2 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 20 of 43 46% 15 of 33 4 of 7 1 of 3 15 of 36 1 of 3 4 of 4
3 Viviane Araújo 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 30 of 40 75% 28 of 35 1 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 12 0 of 0 23 of 28
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Angelo slightly picks Tracy Cortez because he expects her grappling to wear down Viviane Araújo as the fight goes on, given Araújo's cardio fades and she is 38 years old. He acknowledges that Araújo is the better striker and has good takedown defense, but thinks Cortez can grind out a win. He also suggests the over on the round line is a safe bet, noting that women's fights often go over.

Angelo says a round line over is probably the safest bet, and mentions that parlaying all women's fights for overs is a good strategy.
"I am going to slightly pick Tracy Cortez. A round line over is probably the safest bet here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady thinks Cortez is the better striker and younger, and expects the fight to take place at distance where Cortez will outland Araújo. He notes Araújo has been outlanded at distance in recent fights and is 38 years old. Brady believes Cortez can also mix in takedowns. However, he is surprised by the -230 line, thinking it's too wide, but still picks Cortez to win by decision.

Cortez wins by decision
"I got to go Cortez. Cortez to win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Connor also picks Cortez, agreeing with Zane. He notes Araujo's predictability and that she may be losing a step. Cortez's boxing and ability to stay on the front foot should be enough to win.

Odds: Araujo +207, Cortez -236.
"Yeah, I am too, but I like the fight like he got, you know, it has to be said..."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The host is leaning Cortez, believing her wrestling will break down Araújo and lead to dominant second and third rounds, winning on the scorecards.

win on scorecards
"I'm really leaning Cortez in this spot as I think her wrestling can really break out of Ujo down and this will look quite dominant for Cortez in these second and third rounds leading to her winning this fight on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The host picks Tracy Cortez but is hesitant, expecting a close competitive decision. He notes that Cortez has crisper boxing while Araújo is more well-rounded, and that the fight is likely to be a 29-28 decision. He is tempted by Araújo's underdog odds but ultimately goes with Cortez, believing the judges will favor her in a close fight.

decision
"I'm going to go with Tracy Cortez. I'm going to say if there's a close decision here, which a lot of women's MMA fights end up with, I don't see them not giving it to Tracy Cortez."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Zane picks Cortez, noting her determination and progression in striking, especially in the Namajunas fight. He sees Araujo as a one-idea fighter who relies on speed and can be outworked. Cortez's willingness to box and better top control give her the edge.

Odds: Araujo +207, Cortez -236.
"So yeah, I'm inclined to pick Cortez here."
LOSS vs Rose Namajunas
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rose Namajunas 1 96 of 180 53% 119 of 215 5 of 5 100% 0 0 6:36
Tracy Cortez 0 58 of 198 29% 85 of 233 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rose Namajunas 1 26 of 50 52% 30 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Tracy Cortez 0 12 of 43 27% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rose Namajunas 0 26 of 46 56% 27 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Tracy Cortez 0 11 of 41 26% 12 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:16
3 Rose Namajunas 0 5 of 12 41% 15 of 31 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:47
Tracy Cortez 0 2 of 9 22% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
4 Rose Namajunas 0 11 of 28 39% 17 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Tracy Cortez 0 12 of 44 27% 15 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
5 Rose Namajunas 0 28 of 44 63% 30 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Tracy Cortez 0 21 of 61 34% 36 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rose Namajunas 96 of 180 53% 66 of 146 17 of 20 13 of 14 93 of 175 3 of 5 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 58 of 198 29% 31 of 162 14 of 17 13 of 19 52 of 189 6 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rose Namajunas 26 of 50 52% 16 of 39 4 of 5 6 of 6 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 12 of 43 27% 4 of 32 1 of 1 7 of 10 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rose Namajunas 26 of 46 56% 16 of 33 5 of 7 5 of 6 25 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 11 of 41 26% 7 of 36 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Rose Namajunas 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 2 of 9 22% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Rose Namajunas 11 of 28 39% 8 of 25 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 12 of 44 27% 7 of 37 4 of 5 1 of 2 10 of 40 2 of 4 0 of 0
5 Rose Namajunas 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 6 of 6 1 of 1 28 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 21 of 61 34% 12 of 50 6 of 7 3 of 4 19 of 58 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas, citing her superior striking and overall skill. He believes Tracy Cortez's path to victory is through wrestling, but doubts she can take Rose down for 25 minutes, especially since Cortez was training for a three-round fight and now faces five rounds at elevation. He notes that Rose was taken down four times by Amanda Ribas, but Ribas used clinch tosses rather than traditional shots, which are easier to defend. Angelo plans to have multiple bets on Rose.

Plans to have a few bets on Rose.
"I got to go rose rose should win this fight she should probably dominate this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas, citing her experience at altitude, full camp, and superior striking. He notes Tracy Cortez's inactivity and short notice, and believes Rose's wrestling defense and offensive takedowns will be key. He expects a decision win for Rose.

"I think Thug Rose is a very rightful favorite here at minus 200."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Daniel Vreeland picks Tracy Cortez to upset Rose Namajunas. He argues that Cortez has a legitimate wrestling background, which historically gives Rose trouble, and that Rose is a 'hot and cold' fighter who struggles when faced with adversity. He notes Cortez's 11-fight win streak and that she was already preparing for a fight next week, so short notice isn't a major issue. He also mentions Rose's age and mileage, suggesting she may be slowing down. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and prefers the plus 185 underdog.

"I'm gonna go ahead and pick Tracy Cortez to upset Rose nunas and surprise a lot of people."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rose Namajunas

Rose Namajunas has the striking advantage and the cardio edge, especially at altitude. Cortez will land some takedowns, but over 25 minutes, Namajunas will land better strikes and even some takedowns of her own late, cruising to a decision. The line is a bit wide, but the former champion reigns supreme.

Namajunas by decision; odds comment: line a bit wide, wouldn't hate an underdog shot on Cortez
"I think from there she should be able to cruise to a decision the line for my liking a little bit too wide again I wouldn't hate anybody taking an underdog shot on Cortez but I do think the former …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rose Namajunas

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Rose's full camp, altitude advantage, and five-round experience. He points out that Cortez's wrestling has been neutralized by upper-echelon opponents and that Rose's scrambling ability will nullify takedowns. He sees Rose winning by decision.

"I agree she's a rightful favorite I'm picking her to win."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 103 of 212 48% 116 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 77 of 206 37% 95 of 225 2 of 10 20% 0 0 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 39 of 75 52% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 24 of 63 38% 25 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Tracy Cortez 0 28 of 61 45% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 18 of 56 32% 32 of 71 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:52
3 Tracy Cortez 0 36 of 76 47% 48 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 35 of 87 40% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 103 of 212 48% 63 of 164 16 of 23 24 of 25 91 of 198 12 of 14 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 77 of 206 37% 43 of 148 25 of 47 9 of 11 58 of 176 19 of 30 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 39 of 75 52% 20 of 55 6 of 6 13 of 14 34 of 70 5 of 5 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 24 of 63 38% 14 of 47 6 of 12 4 of 4 20 of 57 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 28 of 61 45% 16 of 46 7 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 18 of 56 32% 11 of 40 5 of 13 2 of 3 14 of 48 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 36 of 76 47% 27 of 63 3 of 7 6 of 6 35 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jasmine Jasudavicius 35 of 87 40% 18 of 61 14 of 22 3 of 4 24 of 71 11 of 16 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tracy Cortez vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortez (-120), Jasudavicius (+100)

Round 1
Women’s flyweights step into the spotlight, as Cortez (10-1, 4-0 UFC) looks to build on a 10-fight winning streak and continue her climb on the 125-pound ladder. Jasudavicius (9-2, 3-1 UFC) steps into the Octagon on the strength of back-to-back victories over Gabriella Fernandes and Miranda Maverick. Jason Herzog serves as the referee. Jasudavicius turns down the glove tap, preferring to get right down to business. They paw at one another with jabs, as Cortez unleashes an inside leg kick and eats a counter right hand from the Canadian. Cortez connects in combination, setting up her attacks with the jab. Jasudavicius lands with a heavy outside leg kick and nearly spins around the Arizonan. Cortez’s hands look considerably sharper. Jasudavicius lands on occasion but lacks the necessary oomph to give her opponent pause. Cortez sneaks in a right hand over the top, fires more punches and finishes a combination with a clean left hook. Cortez shuts down a takedown attempt, threatens the neck and delivers a knee on the exit. Jasudavicius clinches but gets nowhere, and the flyweight separate. Cortez continues to connect in combination until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez

Round 2
Cortez re-asserts herself with a sharp one-two to start the middle stanza. She keeps a safe distance with a push kick to the body, scores with a leg kick and exits into open space. Cortez delivers a knee up the middle at close range and snaps the Canadian’s head sideways with a searing left hook. Jasudavicius needs a change of pace. She backs up Cortez with a pair of head kicks, then throw punches down the middle. Cortez goes headhunting and leaves herself open for a takedown. Jasudavicius takes top position midway through the second round. Cortez, however, wall walks to an upright position but allows her opponent to sneak behind her. Jasudavicius powers her way to another takedown and moves to half guard before chipping away with punches. Cortez builds a base again and gets back to her feet, bracing herself against the fence. Jasudavicius lingers in the clinch for too long and ends up with her back to the cage. They move into open space with 20 seconds left and exchange.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
It looks to be anyone’s fight as Round 3 gets underway. Cortez connects with a right hand over the top and follows it with a leg kick. Jasudavicius presses forward, shoots on the hips and clinches. She works hard for a takedown, only to fail initially. The Canadian pesters Cortez with knees to the head in close quarters but allows her to move to the center of the cage. A clean one-two from Cortez backs up Jasudavicius, energizing the crowd with her efforts. They exchange in the center of the cage. Jasudavicius moves into clinch once more and connects with a knee on the break. Cortez spending too much time moving backward but continues to land, especially with her right hand. Fatigue becoming a factor for both women. Jasudavicius follows a knee with a partially blocked head kick and punches. Trash talk ensues after Jasudavicius gets away with pulling the hair in the center of the cage. Cortez keeps her hands busy in the waning seconds. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-29 Cortez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-28 Cortez)

The Official Result
Tracy Cortez def. Jasmine Jasudavicius—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling credentials and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Tracy Cortez has poor striking and relies on takedowns, but Jasmine's wrestling defense is strong. He acknowledges Cortez could win if she initiates takedowns, but favors Jasmine's toughness and recent form. He has a half-unit bet on her at +100.

half unit bet at +100
"I like Jasmine to win I have a half a unit on her at plus one plus 100 much better odds now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Cortez but acknowledges the fight could be close. He believes Cortez has better striking and grappling, especially top control, and that Jasudavicius has been outlanded at distance. He expects a decision and notes the crowd support for Cortez. However, he is hesitant due to the close line and the possibility of a wrestling stalemate.

goes to decision
"give me Cortez to win this fight I'll take Cortez to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasudavicius, noting her wrestling base, grit, and improvement. He points out Cortez's inactivity, weight issues, and vulnerability in recent fights. He believes Jasudavicius can stuff takedowns and outwork Cortez on the feet.

Cortez over 1.5 takedowns (Prize Picks)
"I got a women's MMA Underdog in the main event I'm gonna double up here and take a second one."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her relentless pace and 'dog' mentality. He worries about Tracy Cortez's long layoff and mental health issues, and believes Jasmine will push the pace and potentially break Cortez in the later rounds. Levi acknowledges Cortez's technical wrestling advantage but thinks Jasmine's pressure and volume can win two rounds if she avoids being neutralized.

"I think that Jasmine she's got that dog in her and I think she's gonna push that pace"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Cortez is one of the best wrestlers in the division, with excellent takedowns and top pressure. Jasudavicius is coming off an upset win over Miranda Maverick, but I think there's recency bias; Cortez is a step up in wrestling. Cortez should close the distance and impose her will, winning by decision. I've already bet her at minus 170 and think she's still a good spot up to that range.

"I've already pulled the trigger and I feel like she's still a good spot up to that minus uh minus 170 ish range I think she'll have a decided advantage in the grappling and we'll see it on full display …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Paul leans toward Jasudavicius as an underdog, citing her wrestling, durability, and recent wins as a dog. He notes Cortez's inactivity, weight cut issues, and close fights. He likes Jasudavicius's pace and thinks she can outwork Cortez.

Cortez over 1.5 takedowns (Prize Picks)
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Canadian here in Jasmine."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Tracy Cortez, despite most people favoring Cortez. He believes Jasudavicius is more game, stronger, and tougher. He notes Cortez's split decision win over Justine Kish as a poor performance and highlights Jasudavicius's recent grappling dominance over Miranda Maverick. He expects Jasudavicius to win in the second and third rounds via stand-up fight.

"I'm gonna go with Jasmine just sudavicious over Tracy Cortez I think she's more game than Tracy Cortez"
WIN vs Melissa Gatto
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 36 of 66 54% 70 of 102 2 of 3 66% 1 1 7:54
Melissa Gatto 0 30 of 73 41% 49 of 95 3 of 6 50% 1 1 3:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 11 of 16 68% 23 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:16
Melissa Gatto 0 7 of 20 35% 14 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
2 Tracy Cortez 0 9 of 23 39% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
Melissa Gatto 0 15 of 35 42% 25 of 47 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:04
3 Tracy Cortez 0 16 of 27 59% 27 of 39 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:03
Melissa Gatto 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 36 of 66 54% 25 of 51 6 of 9 5 of 6 14 of 37 2 of 2 20 of 27
Melissa Gatto 30 of 73 41% 25 of 61 3 of 7 2 of 5 27 of 69 0 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 11 of 16 68% 8 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 5 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 9
Melissa Gatto 7 of 20 35% 6 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 3 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 9 of 23 39% 4 of 16 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 18 1 of 1 3 of 4
Melissa Gatto 15 of 35 42% 13 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1
3 Tracy Cortez 16 of 27 59% 13 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 11 of 14
Melissa Gatto 8 of 18 44% 6 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Angelo picks Tracy Cortez based on her wrestling, expecting her to grind out a decision. However, he admits his bet will be on Melissa Gatto to win inside the distance (decision no action), indicating a lack of full confidence in Cortez. He notes Cortez's layoff and Gatto's submission threat.

Bet on Melissa Gatto to win inside the distance (decision no action) at BetOnline
"she's the pick because of the wrestling my my bet is actually going to be on gatto so my pick is tracy cortez"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He acknowledges that Gatto has shown impressive striking and grappling, but her takedown defense is poor. Cortez will look to take Gatto down and control her, and Brady believes she will succeed in getting takedowns. However, Gatto is dangerous off her back with submissions, so Cortez will have to fight off submissions for 15 minutes. Brady thinks Cortez will win by controlling the fight on the ground, but he would not count out Gatto completely.

decision
"I'm gonna take cortez to take godo down in each and every round controller for the majority of the fight but god is going to most definitely have her moments this is a very interesting fight I like both fighters …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Cody picks Tracy Cortez, but emphasizes monitoring the scales. He notes Cortez's wrestling advantage and that she trains at Fight Ready MMA. Cody believes Cortez can get takedowns and stay on top, avoiding Gatto's submissions. He thinks Gatto's guard is active but Cortez's wrestling and pace will prevail. Cody is confident if Cortez makes weight.

"i tend to go with the wrestler so i'm gonna go with tracy cortez at home"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi leans toward Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her cleaner striking, power, and opportunistic submissions. He expects Cortez to have early wrestling success but thinks Gatto can survive and turn the fight in later rounds. He is worried about Cortez's top control but sees value in Gatto at plus money. He has not bet yet, noting he missed better lines.

Daniel considers a Gatto submission prop but has not bet. He mentions the line moved from +170 to +130.
"I do like the potential in Gato. It's just this fight is one of those that I truly believe is gonna come down to the wire and oftentimes in fights like that I like to take the dog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

The host picks Melissa Gatto but is not betting the fight due to volatility. He notes Cortez's strong wrestling but concerns about her weight miss and cardio. He highlights Gatto's impressive UFC performances, her ability to work from bottom, and her vicious striking. He expects Gatto to pressure, attack the body, and possibly find a submission or win via striking. He acknowledges Cortez will land takedowns but thinks Gatto will do enough to win.

"i am picking her to win she will be my prediction to win this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

Paul picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog at +147. He believes the fight is more 50/50 and that Gatto's grappling is legit, with an active guard and submission threats. He fears Cortez's wrestling could control the fight, but thinks Gatto's strength and jiu-jitsu could lead to a submission. Paul acknowledges the Arizona home cooking factor but took the dog shot.

"i took the underdog shot on melissa gatto uh plus 147."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her underrated skills, youth, and physical advantages. He notes Gatto has a reach advantage, submission ability, and finishing power, as seen in her wins over Carol Rosa and Sijara Eubanks. He criticizes Cortez for pitter-patter striking and lack of finishing ability. He predicts Gatto will win on the feet and then secure a submission, possibly an armbar in the second round.

"i'm going with the underdog melissa garter moving on up the card"
WIN vs Justine Kish
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 66 of 112 58% 84 of 138 3 of 5 60% 1 0 6:26
Justine Kish 1 55 of 119 46% 72 of 140 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 30 66% 34 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
Justine Kish 0 5 of 8 62% 12 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Tracy Cortez 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Justine Kish 0 29 of 57 50% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Tracy Cortez 0 24 of 38 63% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:22
Justine Kish 1 21 of 54 38% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 66 of 112 58% 40 of 78 19 of 24 7 of 10 39 of 73 7 of 7 20 of 32
Justine Kish 55 of 119 46% 30 of 86 8 of 14 17 of 19 50 of 111 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 20 of 30 66% 18 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 25
Justine Kish 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Tracy Cortez 22 of 44 50% 9 of 26 8 of 10 5 of 8 19 of 41 3 of 3 0 of 0
Justine Kish 29 of 57 50% 15 of 38 4 of 8 10 of 11 27 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 24 of 38 63% 13 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 29 2 of 2 5 of 7
Justine Kish 21 of 54 38% 12 of 42 4 of 6 5 of 6 19 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.

Decision prop at -120 suggested as better value
"give me cortez to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.

Cortez by decision at -120
"i think cortez goes out there secures the takedowns holds quiche down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.

unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with tracy cortez here uh be a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.

Cortez by decision -150; over 2.5 rounds -345
"i like cortez here minus 150 on that decision prop i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.

Cortez by decision
"i think cortez by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.

"i think cortez is going to go out there and get a decision win"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 42 47% 66 of 109 3 of 5 60% 0 0 9:58
Stephanie Egger 0 10 of 32 31% 27 of 70 1 of 6 16% 0 1 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 6 of 14 42% 13 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:43
Stephanie Egger 0 6 of 16 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:34
2 Tracy Cortez 0 6 of 13 46% 31 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:16
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Tracy Cortez 0 8 of 15 53% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:59
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 7 28% 8 of 19 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 20 of 42 47% 11 of 28 3 of 6 6 of 8 9 of 24 0 of 2 11 of 16
Stephanie Egger 10 of 32 31% 6 of 24 0 of 2 4 of 6 8 of 29 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 6 of 14 42% 2 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 4 4 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2
Stephanie Egger 6 of 16 37% 2 of 10 0 of 1 4 of 5 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 6 of 13 46% 3 of 8 1 of 3 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 7
Stephanie Egger 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 8 of 15 53% 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 1 6 of 7
Stephanie Egger 2 of 7 28% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Stephanie Egger

Big Brady picks the underdog Egger, citing her size advantage (3-inch height), legitimate ground game, and takedown ability. He notes Cortez has been reversed and put in bad spots on the mat, and that Egger is the bigger woman. He believes the fight should be closer to a pick'em and expects Egger to win by decision or submission.

Egger by submission or decision
"i'm going to go with stephanie egger to get a decision win and honestly i don't think a submission is off the table"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Daniel leans with Tracy Cortez, believing her wrestling is better suited for MMA than Egger's judo. He notes that pulling guard in MMA is risky against a wrestler. He expects Cortez to get takedowns and win a decision. However, he cautions that Cortez is still green and wouldn't bet heavily on her.

Daniel says he would stay away from betting at this price. He also mentions that Egger's best win is over Vanessa Mello.
"I'll lean with tracy cortez i think that wrestling is better than than uh than judo at least at least as far as mma is concerned"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Stephanie Egger

Egger has size, strength, and judo advantages; she can reverse clinch positions and control on the ground. Cortez is undersized and may struggle to get takedowns. Egger's cardio is a concern, but she should win the first two rounds and survive the third for a decision.

"i do like edgar here i think she's gonna be much better on the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The Guru picks Cortez, citing her better competition, experience, and record. He notes Egger is taking the fight on short notice and expects Cortez to grind out a unanimous decision by winning the second and third rounds.

unanimous decision
"tracy cortez versus stephanie egger we're gonna go with tracy cortez getting the job done here"
Justine Kish - Fight History
LOSS vs Tracy Cortez
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 66 of 112 58% 84 of 138 3 of 5 60% 1 0 6:26
Justine Kish 1 55 of 119 46% 72 of 140 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 30 66% 34 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
Justine Kish 0 5 of 8 62% 12 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Tracy Cortez 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Justine Kish 0 29 of 57 50% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Tracy Cortez 0 24 of 38 63% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:22
Justine Kish 1 21 of 54 38% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 66 of 112 58% 40 of 78 19 of 24 7 of 10 39 of 73 7 of 7 20 of 32
Justine Kish 55 of 119 46% 30 of 86 8 of 14 17 of 19 50 of 111 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 20 of 30 66% 18 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 25
Justine Kish 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Tracy Cortez 22 of 44 50% 9 of 26 8 of 10 5 of 8 19 of 41 3 of 3 0 of 0
Justine Kish 29 of 57 50% 15 of 38 4 of 8 10 of 11 27 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 24 of 38 63% 13 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 29 2 of 2 5 of 7
Justine Kish 21 of 54 38% 12 of 42 4 of 6 5 of 6 19 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.

Decision prop at -120 suggested as better value
"give me cortez to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.

Cortez by decision at -120
"i think cortez goes out there secures the takedowns holds quiche down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.

unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with tracy cortez here uh be a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.

Cortez by decision -150; over 2.5 rounds -345
"i like cortez here minus 150 on that decision prop i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.

Cortez by decision
"i think cortez by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.

"i think cortez is going to go out there and get a decision win"
LOSS vs Sabina Mazo
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 1 131 of 275 47% 131 of 275 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 93 of 210 44% 94 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 34 of 72 47% 35 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Sabina Mazo 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 1 52 of 102 50% 52 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 131 of 275 47% 45 of 158 27 of 38 59 of 79 123 of 264 8 of 10 0 of 1
Justine Kish 93 of 210 44% 25 of 118 23 of 38 45 of 54 88 of 199 4 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 37 of 85 43% 8 of 46 12 of 16 17 of 23 37 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 34 of 72 47% 6 of 36 3 of 8 25 of 28 33 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 42 of 88 47% 13 of 48 9 of 13 20 of 27 38 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Justine Kish 28 of 67 41% 9 of 37 11 of 18 8 of 12 24 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 52 of 102 50% 24 of 64 6 of 9 22 of 29 48 of 95 4 of 6 0 of 1
Justine Kish 31 of 71 43% 10 of 45 9 of 12 12 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 62 of 129 48% 66 of 135 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Lucie Pudilová 0 29 of 143 20% 47 of 165 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 21 of 43 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucie Pudilová 0 11 of 46 23% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Justine Kish 0 23 of 41 56% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Lucie Pudilová 0 11 of 51 21% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Justine Kish 0 18 of 45 40% 20 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Lucie Pudilová 0 7 of 46 15% 14 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 62 of 129 48% 17 of 70 16 of 23 29 of 36 50 of 108 10 of 14 2 of 7
Lucie Pudilová 29 of 143 20% 22 of 131 6 of 11 1 of 1 25 of 137 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 21 of 43 48% 5 of 25 6 of 7 10 of 11 16 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 11 of 46 23% 7 of 41 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 23 of 41 56% 6 of 20 7 of 10 10 of 11 20 of 34 3 of 7 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 11 of 51 21% 9 of 47 1 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Justine Kish 18 of 45 40% 6 of 25 3 of 6 9 of 14 14 of 36 2 of 2 2 of 7
Lucie Pudilová 7 of 46 15% 6 of 43 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Justine Kish

Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.

by decision
"I think she's gonna come out here and beat lucia putlova via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown
Lucie Pudilová

The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.

"I'm gonna go Lucy put it over Justin Kish as are much better record bear record I guess but less as well lesser reach a smaller girl"
LOSS vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Jacaré vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ji Yeon Kim 0 96 of 203 47% 96 of 203 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 68 of 215 31% 68 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ji Yeon Kim 0 23 of 54 42% 23 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 14 of 50 28% 14 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ji Yeon Kim 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 18 of 69 26% 18 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ji Yeon Kim 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 36 of 96 37% 36 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ji Yeon Kim 96 of 203 47% 43 of 132 22 of 31 31 of 40 93 of 197 3 of 6 0 of 0
Justine Kish 68 of 215 31% 60 of 201 5 of 11 3 of 3 66 of 210 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ji Yeon Kim 23 of 54 42% 9 of 31 5 of 9 9 of 14 23 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 14 of 50 28% 10 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 2 14 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ji Yeon Kim 31 of 61 50% 13 of 40 7 of 8 11 of 13 30 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Justine Kish 18 of 69 26% 16 of 66 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 68 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ji Yeon Kim 42 of 88 47% 21 of 61 10 of 14 11 of 13 40 of 83 2 of 5 0 of 0
Justine Kish 36 of 96 37% 34 of 89 1 of 6 1 of 1 34 of 92 2 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Felice Herrig
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Jun 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felice Herrig 0 47 of 93 50% 131 of 182 2 of 5 40% 1 0 9:24
Justine Kish 0 40 of 72 55% 50 of 84 0 of 2 0% 0 1 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felice Herrig 0 10 of 17 58% 32 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:10
Justine Kish 0 8 of 13 61% 8 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:06
2 Felice Herrig 0 16 of 47 34% 23 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Justine Kish 0 26 of 48 54% 35 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:37
3 Felice Herrig 0 21 of 29 72% 76 of 87 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:39
Justine Kish 0 6 of 11 54% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felice Herrig 47 of 93 50% 40 of 86 7 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 63 1 of 2 22 of 28
Justine Kish 40 of 72 55% 28 of 57 8 of 10 4 of 5 28 of 58 5 of 6 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felice Herrig 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 8
Justine Kish 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 4
2 Felice Herrig 16 of 47 34% 11 of 42 5 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 26 of 48 54% 19 of 39 5 of 6 2 of 3 19 of 41 3 of 3 4 of 4
3 Felice Herrig 21 of 29 72% 20 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 1 18 of 20
Justine Kish 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Dec 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 51 of 107 47% 59 of 117 1 of 1 100% 1 2 5:27
Ashley Yoder 0 44 of 116 37% 77 of 156 1 of 2 50% 0 3 2:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 23 of 47 48% 23 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:09
Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 48 29% 21 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:26
2 Justine Kish 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:51
Ashley Yoder 0 12 of 28 42% 32 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:46
3 Justine Kish 0 21 of 43 48% 26 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Ashley Yoder 0 18 of 40 45% 24 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 51 of 107 47% 17 of 54 19 of 33 15 of 20 40 of 92 10 of 13 1 of 2
Ashley Yoder 44 of 116 37% 31 of 84 12 of 30 1 of 2 35 of 98 4 of 10 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 23 of 47 48% 5 of 19 12 of 19 6 of 9 14 of 36 9 of 10 0 of 1
Ashley Yoder 14 of 48 29% 8 of 34 6 of 13 0 of 1 12 of 41 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 7 of 17 41% 1 of 9 3 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 14 1 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 12 of 28 42% 11 of 23 1 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 18 1 of 2 5 of 8
3 Justine Kish 21 of 43 48% 11 of 26 4 of 10 6 of 7 20 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 18 of 40 45% 12 of 27 5 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Nina Nunes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit · Jan 02, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 72 of 135 53% 91 of 155 3 of 10 30% 0 0 2:51
Nina Nunes 0 92 of 174 52% 107 of 194 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 41 of 77 53% 41 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Nina Nunes 0 57 of 104 54% 61 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
2 Justine Kish 0 16 of 35 45% 20 of 39 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:23
Nina Nunes 0 29 of 53 54% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Justine Kish 0 15 of 23 65% 30 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:23
Nina Nunes 0 6 of 17 35% 13 of 28 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 72 of 135 53% 45 of 94 12 of 19 15 of 22 50 of 106 17 of 23 5 of 6
Nina Nunes 92 of 174 52% 50 of 117 20 of 34 22 of 23 76 of 150 15 of 22 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 41 of 77 53% 27 of 56 6 of 9 8 of 12 26 of 58 14 of 17 1 of 2
Nina Nunes 57 of 104 54% 33 of 69 16 of 26 8 of 9 44 of 89 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 16 of 35 45% 8 of 23 3 of 5 5 of 7 16 of 33 0 of 2 0 of 0
Nina Nunes 29 of 53 54% 13 of 36 3 of 4 13 of 13 28 of 49 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Justine Kish 15 of 23 65% 10 of 15 3 of 5 2 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 4 4 of 4
Nina Nunes 6 of 17 35% 4 of 12 1 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 1 of 3 1 of 2
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.

Decision prop at -120 suggested as better value
"give me cortez to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.

Cortez by decision at -120
"i think cortez goes out there secures the takedowns holds quiche down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.

unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with tracy cortez here uh be a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.

Cortez by decision -150; over 2.5 rounds -345
"i like cortez here minus 150 on that decision prop i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.

Cortez by decision
"i think cortez by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tracy Cortez

The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.

"i think cortez is going to go out there and get a decision win"