vs
+235 -278
UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021 · Women’s Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum Next Fight
Age 43
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 2"
Reach 61.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jessica Penne
2.63 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
5.05 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
1.29 TD Avg
18.0% TD Acc.
36.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Loopy Godinez
4.51 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.03 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
2.96 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Jessica Penne
Moneyline
FanDuel +235
KO/TKO
BetWay +1600
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +300
Loopy Godinez
Moneyline
DraftKings -278
KO/TKO
BetWay +450
Submission
BetWay +650
Decision
BetWay -118
Jessica Penne - Fight History
LOSS vs Elise Reed
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 54 of 125 43% 98 of 174 1 of 13 7% 0 0 3:16
Jessica Penne 0 117 of 188 62% 229 of 306 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 19 of 33 57% 51 of 70 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:49
Jessica Penne 0 6 of 17 35% 105 of 122 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Elise Reed 0 18 of 42 42% 26 of 50 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:27
Jessica Penne 0 44 of 70 62% 56 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Elise Reed 0 17 of 50 34% 21 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 67 of 101 66% 68 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 54 of 125 43% 26 of 89 18 of 25 10 of 11 44 of 112 10 of 13 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 117 of 188 62% 84 of 145 18 of 19 15 of 24 110 of 181 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 19 of 33 57% 7 of 20 9 of 9 3 of 4 14 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 6 of 17 35% 0 of 10 2 of 2 4 of 5 5 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Elise Reed 18 of 42 42% 7 of 28 5 of 8 6 of 6 14 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 44 of 70 62% 31 of 50 8 of 8 5 of 12 39 of 65 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Elise Reed 17 of 50 34% 12 of 41 4 of 8 1 of 1 16 of 47 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 67 of 101 66% 53 of 85 8 of 9 6 of 7 66 of 100 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Angelo picks Elise Reed because he believes Jessica Penne, at 41 years old and coming off a disinterested performance, is not fully committed to fighting anymore. He notes Reed's busy striking, good cardio, and inconsistency but thinks she is the hungrier fighter. He sees value at -150 and also likes the over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet. He speculates Penne is more focused on her post-fighting career and won't have the same drive.

over 2.5 rounds
"Elise Reed wins this fight she's the pick minus 150 seems like decent value"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jessica Penne

Big Brady picks Jessica Penne by first-round submission. He highlights Reed's terrible ground game, with four submission losses, and Penne's BJJ black belt. He notes Penne is 41 and coming off a layoff, but if she gets the fight to the mat, she will submit Reed. He is surprised Reed is favored.

first round submission
"I'll take the dog here and Jessica pen to get the fight down to the ground and get a sub in the first round so Jessica pen a first round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elise Reed

Connor picks Reed, though he doesn't feel good about it. He notes that Reed has natural power and can crack, and that she has been able to win fights despite her flaws. He acknowledges that Reed often stops fighting after hurting opponents, but thinks she might be able to knock Penne out or do enough to win.

"I think I would pick Reed in this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Reed is a striker and can keep the fight upright enough to batter Penne and win on the scorecards. However, Penne winning by submission at +500 is a tempting sprinkle, as it could take just one back take or takedown for Penne to utilize her jiu-jitsu advantage. The official prediction is Reed by decision.

Penne by submission at +500 (sprinkle)
"I do lean with the striker as I do think Reed can keep this fight upright enough for her to batter a pen and win this fight on the scorecards although a pen to win by submission at plus 500 …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jessica Penne

The Guru initially does not want to pick Jessica Penne due to her age (41) and recent losses, but after considering that Elise Reed is 'garbage' and Penne is taller and rangier, he decides to take the underdog. He admits he doesn't normally check odds beforehand but notes Penne is an underdog and goes with her.

"I'm gonna go with Jessica pen we move on"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jessica Penne

Zane picks Penne because he believes Reed will not be consistent enough to keep Penne at range. He notes that Reed has a tendency to stop fighting after landing a big shot, and that Penne is hittable and predictable, but Reed doesn't have the footwork to stay away. He thinks Penne will eventually tangle up with Reed and get the grappling exchange she wants.

Penne opened at +137, now +152; Reed opened at -153, now -172. Zane says you should not be betting on Elise Reed.
"I think I will take Penne actually."
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Submission (armbar) R2 2:14 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 6 of 25 24% 19 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 36 of 54 66% 81 of 109 4 of 5 80% 1 0 5:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 3 of 13 23% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 26 of 39 66% 62 of 83 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:54
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 3 of 12 25% 5 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 10 of 15 66% 19 of 26 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 6 of 25 24% 4 of 20 2 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1
Jessica Penne 36 of 54 66% 19 of 35 2 of 2 15 of 17 15 of 32 2 of 2 19 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 3 of 13 23% 2 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jessica Penne 26 of 39 66% 13 of 26 1 of 1 12 of 12 9 of 22 1 of 1 16 of 16
2 Tabatha Ricci 3 of 12 25% 2 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 10 of 15 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 6 of 10 1 of 1 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo is confident in Tabatha Ricci, citing her strong grappling, top pressure, and submission skills. He notes that Jessica Penne has only 40% takedown defense and that Ricci should dominate with her wrestling. Angelo bet 1.5 units on Ricci at -240.

"Tabitha Ricci is a very good Grappler always looking for submissions she doesn't sacrifice position or chase either she's very heavy on top good pressure good control"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci, noting her ability to dictate where the fight takes place with her wrestling and judo. He mentions Penne's poor takedown defense (40%) and that Ricci can safely grapple without getting caught in submissions. He predicts a decision win for Ricci, with the fight primarily on the mat.

"I'm gonna take Richie to win this fight I'm gonna take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci, citing her youth, judo, and well-rounded game. He thinks Penne is too old and has been off for four years. He expects Ricci to win by decision or submission.

Tabatha Ricci by decision
"tab the reach you have to reach you by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Connor picks Tabatha Ricci, though he is not confident. He notes that Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt and will likely take the fight to the ground, where Penne is actually good. However, he thinks Ricci's aggression and functional grappling will allow her to win positions and avoid being submitted. Connor admits the fight is hard to analyze and could go either way.

"I guess I got to take Ricci because I just don't see the fact that she's gonna go into the only place where penne is actually good as like a death sentence for her."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Jacob agrees with Angelo, comparing this fight to Ricci's previous win over Polyana Viana. He believes Penne is a step down in competition and that Ricci will dominate with her pressure and top control. Jacob is fully confident in Ricci.

"I think that this is going to be honestly a carbon copy of that Pollyanna Vienna fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt with good wrestling and control time. Penne is 40, has poor striking, and relies on dragging fights to the ground, but Ricci will likely be on top and avoid submissions. Ricci grinds out a decision victory.

"I think this is a great stylistic matchup for Tabitha Richie... I think penny is more than likely going to be fighting off of her back for the majority of this matchup and I just don't think it's going to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Ricci. He notes the line has moved from -175 to -325, indicating sharp money. He thinks Ricci's grappling and youth will be too much for Penne.

"they've tightened up that number to stay away from maybe Richie's to pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, citing Jessica Penne's age (40) and Ricci's grappling advantage. He expects Ricci to control top position and win a split decision, noting that women's MMA judging often favors control time.

"I'm gonna trust in taba for Richie... I think she's going to be able to get down Jessica Penney and sort of like ride out top position."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Zane also picks Ricci, agreeing that her functional aggression and grappling will be enough to overcome Penne's awkward style. He notes that Penne's striking is robotic and she struggles with range, while Ricci will close the distance and make it a grappling match. Zane thinks Ricci's speed and confidence give her an edge, but he is not fully convinced.

"I think I'll pick Ricci too just because I think she's gonna fight with you know a functional aggression that will get her into good positions."
LOSS vs Emily Ducote
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Emily Ducote 0 63 of 244 25% 68 of 249 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 116 of 205 56% 117 of 206 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Emily Ducote 0 17 of 67 25% 20 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 35 of 58 60% 35 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Emily Ducote 0 26 of 88 29% 28 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 37 of 73 50% 38 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Emily Ducote 0 20 of 89 22% 20 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 44 of 74 59% 44 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Emily Ducote 63 of 244 25% 37 of 208 26 of 36 0 of 0 55 of 234 8 of 10 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 116 of 205 56% 41 of 113 24 of 34 51 of 58 115 of 203 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Emily Ducote 17 of 67 25% 13 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 65 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 35 of 58 60% 13 of 33 10 of 12 12 of 13 35 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Emily Ducote 26 of 88 29% 14 of 72 12 of 16 0 of 0 20 of 80 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 37 of 73 50% 17 of 49 6 of 10 14 of 14 36 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Emily Ducote 20 of 89 22% 10 of 75 10 of 14 0 of 0 20 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 44 of 74 59% 11 of 31 8 of 12 25 of 31 44 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote but is hesitant due to a five-week trend of underdogs winning the first fight of the night. He notes Ducote's patient, accurate striking and wrestling, but acknowledges Penne's experience and the risk of a bad decision. He advises against betting on this fight.

advises not to bet on this fight
"emily's the pick but jessica has proven she can beat some really tough women she's going to be live in this fight and that stupid underdog winning the opening fight nonsense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes that Ducote is 11 years younger, has good takedown defense, and should be the better striker on the feet. He thinks she can stuff Penne's takedowns and outpoint her for three rounds. He warns that if Penne gets the fight to the mat, she could submit Ducote, but he expects Ducote to keep it standing.

"give me to cody to win give me dakota to stop the takedowns and ultimately pick apart jessica penney for a three-round decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody is confident in Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and well-rounded game. He notes that Penne is 39 and relies on takedowns, but Ducote has the grappling to defend and the striking to win on the feet. He believes Ducote has multiple paths to victory and is a good price at -150.

Jessica Penne under 1.5 takedowns
"emily decodey could be a too good to be true price tag in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi leans Emily Ducote, noting she is experienced and has paid her dues. He expects a close fight where Ducote lands better strikes and gets top control, but must be careful of Penne's submissions. He sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and predicts a close decision.

close decision; dog-or-pass
"i'll lean do cody you know edge it out split unanimous whatever close fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul also picks Ducote, agreeing that she is the better fighter in all aspects. He notes her youth, experience, and recent improvements. He believes Penne's magic is running out and that Ducote will win, possibly by decision or TKO.

Jessica Penne under 1.5 takedowns
"i think emily decodey could be a too good to be true price tag in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Jessica Penne, citing Ducote's power as a key advantage in the women's division. He notes that Ducote finished Danielle Taylor, who beat Penne by decision, and that Penne doesn't know how to fight. He acknowledges the unpredictability of women's MMA but sides with Ducote's power, believing it will impact judges' scorecards even if she is outlanded.

"i'm going to be going with emily de cote here in the early prelim opener i reckon she'll get this one done by 2928 decision over jessica penney"
Submission (armbar) R1 4:32 · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Aug 07, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica Penne 0 8 of 12 66% 28 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 12 of 19 63% 21 of 30 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica Penne 0 8 of 12 66% 28 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 12 of 19 63% 21 of 30 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica Penne 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 5 4 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 5
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 12 of 19 63% 9 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica Penne 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 5 4 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 5
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 12 of 19 63% 9 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2021 (fight day)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Angelo picks Kowalkiewicz, stating she is on a different level than Penne. He notes she was almost a champion and should win, though Penne can make it ugly by leaning on her. He mentions she has trained with a new team and expects her to piece up Penne.

"Carolina is gonna put an absolute whooping on Penne... she's on a completely different level."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Big Brady thinks both fighters are past their prime but favors Kowalkiewicz due to her higher volume and better striking. He notes Penne will want takedowns but Kowalkiewicz has solid takedown defense (75%) and trains with JJ. He worries about Penne controlling rounds if she gets takedowns, but ultimately picks Kowalkiewicz by decision.

"I'm gonna take Carolina here I think it's a solid matchup for her."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Cody picks Kowalkiewicz but with hesitation. He notes her losing streak and potential motivation issues, but believes she is the more skilled fighter. He expects a close decision win.

fight goes to decision
"i will go with karolina kovakiewicz but whereas it should be just like let's hammer this baby home it's like there's buyer beware now"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 6, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jessica Penne

Daniel Levi slightly leans Jessica Penne as the underdog, citing that both fighters are past their primes but Penne has been more active and showed some offensive output in her last fight. He notes that Karolina Kowalkiewicz has not been the same since her diagnosis and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Penne can win a split decision by taking the back or having top control, though he acknowledges Kowalkiewicz is better on the feet.

"I'll actually slightly lean towards the dog Jessica Penne"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Kowalkiewicz should keep the fight on the feet and use her striking to outwork Penne. Penne needs to grapple to win, but Kowalkiewicz has good movement and should avoid the clinch. The striking difference is wide, and Kowalkiewicz may even get a TKO. She is coming back after a long layoff but has a favorable matchup. Decision is most likely, but a KO prop has value.

Kowalkiewicz by KO/TKO +900; Kowalkiewicz by decision +120
"I do like Carolina here I think she gets a victory out for you know after uh her extended layoff um decision is probably the most likely outcome."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He acknowledges the narrative around Kowalkiewicz's motivation and Penne's hunger, but does not commit.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

The MMA Guru picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz over Jessica Penne. He argues Kowalkiewicz has faced much better competition and is more technical, despite being older (35). He criticizes Penne's striking and notes she didn't deserve her last win. He predicts Kowalkiewicz will outstrike Penne to a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go with karolina kovalkovic way more experienced way better technically and i think she'll just outstrike jessica penney to a 30-27 unanimous decision win"
WIN vs Loopy Godinez
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica Penne 0 31 of 87 35% 98 of 158 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:30
Loopy Godinez 0 40 of 74 54% 68 of 106 3 of 9 33% 0 0 4:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica Penne 0 15 of 40 37% 27 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
Loopy Godinez 0 13 of 31 41% 22 of 41 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:38
2 Jessica Penne 0 13 of 30 43% 24 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:49
Loopy Godinez 0 17 of 24 70% 26 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:06
3 Jessica Penne 0 3 of 17 17% 47 of 61 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:58
Loopy Godinez 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica Penne 31 of 87 35% 19 of 63 12 of 24 0 of 0 29 of 82 2 of 5 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 40 of 74 54% 31 of 63 7 of 8 2 of 3 37 of 68 3 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica Penne 15 of 40 37% 10 of 30 5 of 10 0 of 0 13 of 36 2 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 13 of 31 41% 10 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 1 11 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 2
2 Jessica Penne 13 of 30 43% 7 of 20 6 of 10 0 of 0 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 17 of 24 70% 14 of 20 2 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jessica Penne 3 of 17 17% 2 of 13 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 10 of 19 52% 7 of 16 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by dominant decision. He notes that Penne is 38 years old, hasn't fought in nearly four years, and hasn't won in six years. He believes Godinez has a massive striking advantage and is strong enough to get back up if taken down. He expects Godinez to stuff takedowns and out-strike Penne. He does not see a finish likely as Godinez has no knockout wins and Penne is tough to submit. He considers Godinez a parlay piece but not in his own parlay.

Considered as parlay piece but not used
"i'm gonna take gadina's here to win a pretty dominant decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody is very high on Godinez, praising her boxing, takedown defense, and cardio. He thinks Penne is old (38), has been out for years due to USADA, and has a history of getting hit and bleeding. He expects Godinez to keep the fight standing and win by decision or late TKO. He likes the third round finish prop at 16-1.

Godinez by TKO in round 3 at 16-1, Godinez by knockout
"i think godinez and she's one of your biggest favorites on the card i actually do agree with it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Levi picks Loopy Godinez, noting her crisp hands and toughness. He questions what happens if the fight goes to the mat, as Godinez's competition has been subpar, but believes she will piece up Jessica Penne on the feet. Levi mentions that Penne is nearing 40 and has been through a lot, including a USADA case, and that she has shown hesitancy in recent fights. He expects Godinez to win, possibly by knockout.

possible knockout
"i got lupita for sure"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Manpreet picks Godinez by decision, but with hesitation due to Penne's long layoff and Godinez's unproven level. He believes Godinez's boxing and pressure will overwhelm Penne, who is 38 and has been away for four years. He expects Godinez to out-strike Penne over three rounds, though he notes Penne's submission threat if the fight goes to the ground.

Godinez by decision -115; Godinez by finish in round 3 +1500
"i let godena is here not with the utmost confidence though because i want to see her prove herself against girls that are you know not lindsey garbett and not vanessa demopolis"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Godinez has crisp boxing and power for 115 lbs. He thinks Penne's stand-up is marginal and she has been finished by elite fighters. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +255 and Godinez by knockout. He is confident in Godinez winning.

under 2.5 rounds at +255, Godinez by knockout
"i wouldn't be surprised to see lupita godness knock out uh penne"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez to win by close decision. He doubts Jessica Penne's dedication after a long layoff since 2017, suggesting she may not have been training. He notes Godinez has a decent amateur career and some good wins, though not amazing. He believes Penne's mind may not be in the fight at 38 years old.

"i'm going to go of the new wave of talent in lupita gordina's loopy herself i think she'll get the job done by close decision 29 28"
LOSS vs Danielle Taylor
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · Apr 22, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danielle Taylor 0 69 of 178 38% 71 of 181 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Jessica Penne 0 72 of 176 40% 76 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danielle Taylor 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 22 of 60 36% 23 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Danielle Taylor 0 31 of 72 43% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 29 of 72 40% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Danielle Taylor 0 19 of 52 36% 21 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Jessica Penne 0 21 of 44 47% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danielle Taylor 69 of 178 38% 37 of 136 31 of 40 1 of 2 55 of 159 14 of 19 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 72 of 176 40% 43 of 141 11 of 14 18 of 21 67 of 167 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danielle Taylor 19 of 54 35% 10 of 41 9 of 13 0 of 0 18 of 52 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 22 of 60 36% 14 of 50 2 of 2 6 of 8 21 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Danielle Taylor 31 of 72 43% 15 of 53 15 of 17 1 of 2 22 of 61 9 of 11 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 29 of 72 40% 18 of 57 5 of 8 6 of 7 26 of 66 3 of 6 0 of 0
3 Danielle Taylor 19 of 52 36% 12 of 42 7 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 21 of 44 47% 11 of 34 4 of 4 6 of 6 20 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R2 2:56 · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 04, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 27 of 91 29% 28 of 92 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 117 of 205 57% 118 of 206 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 18 of 57 31% 19 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 64 of 107 59% 65 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
2 Jéssica Andrade 0 9 of 34 26% 9 of 34 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 53 of 98 54% 53 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 27 of 91 29% 17 of 67 10 of 23 0 of 1 19 of 80 8 of 11 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 117 of 205 57% 90 of 171 26 of 33 1 of 1 78 of 145 39 of 60 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 18 of 57 31% 8 of 36 10 of 21 0 of 0 10 of 46 8 of 11 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 64 of 107 59% 50 of 90 13 of 16 1 of 1 49 of 87 15 of 20 0 of 0
2 Jéssica Andrade 9 of 34 26% 9 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 1 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 53 of 98 54% 40 of 81 13 of 17 0 of 0 29 of 58 24 of 40 0 of 0
TKO (punches and knee) R3 4:22 · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne · Jun 20, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 0 126 of 204 61% 162 of 247 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:46
Jessica Penne 0 25 of 88 28% 28 of 91 0 of 11 0% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 0 23 of 47 48% 38 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:00
Jessica Penne 0 8 of 26 30% 11 of 29 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:39
2 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 0 57 of 81 70% 75 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Jessica Penne 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:25
3 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 0 46 of 76 60% 49 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jessica Penne 0 8 of 29 27% 8 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 126 of 204 61% 81 of 155 18 of 22 27 of 27 96 of 160 24 of 35 6 of 9
Jessica Penne 25 of 88 28% 13 of 69 7 of 14 5 of 5 24 of 85 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 23 of 47 48% 12 of 35 4 of 5 7 of 7 12 of 32 5 of 8 6 of 7
Jessica Penne 8 of 26 30% 3 of 20 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 57 of 81 70% 40 of 62 8 of 10 9 of 9 40 of 58 17 of 23 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 2 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Joanna Jędrzejczyk 46 of 76 60% 29 of 58 6 of 7 11 of 11 44 of 70 2 of 4 0 of 2
Jessica Penne 8 of 29 27% 5 of 23 2 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez - Fight History
LOSS vs Tatiana Suarez
Submission R2 2:29 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 12 of 26 46% 56 of 77 3 of 3 100% 1 0 5:12
Loopy Godinez 0 18 of 25 72% 25 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 7 of 13 53% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:39
Loopy Godinez 0 17 of 22 77% 23 of 29 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:33
Loopy Godinez 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 12 of 26 46% 4 of 14 8 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 14 5 of 5 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 18 of 25 72% 16 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 6 of 6 10 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 7 of 13 53% 4 of 7 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 17 of 22 77% 15 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 13
2 Tatiana Suarez 5 of 13 38% 0 of 7 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.

"If I was picking off only actual skills, Loopy's the pick, but I got to factor in the brain. So, unless I see footage of Loopy at a Kumon tutoring center, the pick's going to have to be Tatiana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.

decision
"I'm going to lean with the dog here in Loopy Godinez to get it done. I'll take her to get it done by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.

"I'm going to go the other way here. Take Loopy... I think Lupy's going to be landing the shots... she's going to edge out this decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.

Odds too wide; Suarez opened -225 now -150, Godinez opened +190 now +130. Should be -300/-400.
"I got to pick Suarez over three rounds to beat Lupita Godinas. She's just going to start too strong and Godinas isn't to finish her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.

"I'm going to go Loopy sprawl and brawl keep this fight standing. She's got the wrestling to keep this standing. She's got better hands than Tatiana."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.

"I'm going to pick Lupy Godz to come out here and get this upset. Most likely unanimous decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.

"I am actually going to pick her to defeat Suarez as the underdog again."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.

Suarez wins by decision
"I like Suarez here. ... I think Suarez will grind her out. I think she'll make it look fairly dominant as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.

"I'm going with Tatiana. Am I am I I do see, you know, since she came back from injury, frankly, I do see... I'm not picking against my girl Tatiana Suarez for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.

"I'm going to go with Loopy Godinez. Um and I'm and I'm stupid for that."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.

Odds too slim; Suarez should be -300/-400.
"I'll take Suarez as well."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 90 of 287 31% 97 of 297 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Loopy Godinez 0 107 of 213 50% 119 of 226 1 of 14 7% 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 18 of 83 21% 18 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Loopy Godinez 0 40 of 71 56% 41 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jéssica Andrade 0 15 of 63 23% 22 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 50 62% 40 of 59 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:31
3 Jéssica Andrade 0 57 of 141 40% 57 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Loopy Godinez 0 36 of 92 39% 38 of 95 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 90 of 287 31% 58 of 242 21 of 31 11 of 14 87 of 279 3 of 8 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 107 of 213 50% 91 of 195 12 of 14 4 of 4 94 of 195 11 of 16 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 18 of 83 21% 13 of 75 2 of 3 3 of 5 17 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 40 of 71 56% 31 of 62 6 of 6 3 of 3 39 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jéssica Andrade 15 of 63 23% 11 of 55 0 of 3 4 of 5 14 of 60 1 of 3 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 31 of 50 62% 26 of 45 4 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 40 6 of 8 2 of 2
3 Jéssica Andrade 57 of 141 40% 34 of 112 19 of 25 4 of 4 56 of 137 1 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 36 of 92 39% 34 of 88 2 of 4 0 of 0 32 of 85 4 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo believes Godinez has a giant grappling advantage and is the better fighter technically, but her fight IQ is questionable. He assumes she will make the right decisions and take Pepto before the fight. He thinks Andrade is a brute force brawler with limited skills, so Godinez should win if she doesn't do dumb things.

"Lepita has a giant grappling advantage and as long as she's not going strike for strike, power for power with Jessage, she should absolutely win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by second-round submission. He notes Andrade has been inconsistent and looks awful on the ground recently, with poor takedown defense. He thinks Godinez's path to victory is to mix in takedowns and grapple, as Andrade has been submitted many times. He worries about Godinez's fight IQ but trusts her to wrestle here. He mentions Godinez has a couple of submissions in the UFC and is working on her grappling.

Godinez by submission, round 2
"I'm going to take Lupita and I'm going to actually take her to win this fight by submission. We'll say second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host expresses disappointment in Godinez's development but thinks she can handle Andrade's aggressive striking. He predicts Godinez will land enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind out a decision, surviving the third round.

"I think she'll be able to get off on enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind this fight out and survive that third round to beat Andraj on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

The Guru picks Jéssica Andrade to win by TKO in round two. He believes Andrade will be too overwhelming with her punches for Loopy Godinez. The Guru notes that Godinez is easily hittable and has had close fights with lower-level competition. He doesn't see Godinez finishing Andrade or taking her down and submitting her. Despite Andrade's recent losses, the Guru thinks she is a step above Godinez's level.

TKO round two; Andrade wins by TKO
"I'm going to go with Jessica Andraj getting this one done by TKO. I'm going to say Jessica Andraj TKO round two."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 84 of 150 56% 114 of 184 5 of 11 45% 0 0 7:30
Julia Polastri 0 87 of 151 57% 117 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 11 of 22 50% 26 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:26
Julia Polastri 0 14 of 25 56% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 27 55% 26 of 41 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:16
Julia Polastri 0 15 of 33 45% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 58 of 101 57% 62 of 105 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:48
Julia Polastri 0 58 of 93 62% 68 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 84 of 150 56% 71 of 135 9 of 11 4 of 4 75 of 141 7 of 7 2 of 2
Julia Polastri 87 of 151 57% 58 of 112 14 of 23 15 of 16 78 of 135 4 of 4 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 11 of 22 50% 8 of 19 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Polastri 14 of 25 56% 4 of 11 5 of 9 5 of 5 13 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 5
2 Loopy Godinez 15 of 27 55% 12 of 23 2 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2
Julia Polastri 15 of 33 45% 7 of 21 3 of 7 5 of 5 11 of 26 0 of 0 4 of 7
3 Loopy Godinez 58 of 101 57% 51 of 93 6 of 7 1 of 1 51 of 94 7 of 7 0 of 0
Julia Polastri 58 of 93 62% 47 of 80 6 of 7 5 of 6 54 of 89 4 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Connor picks Godinez but is hesitant, noting that Polastri is a powerful bully who could pressure Godinez into hesitation. He thinks Godinez needs to be the aggressor and use her wrestling to control the fight. He compares her to Sam Hughes in needing consistency and determination.

"I think I'm gonna pick Godinez. I think there's a strong chance Polastri puts a scare in her and wins because of it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Zane picks Godinez but shares Connor's worry about her confidence. He notes that Godinez has struggled against pressure and that Polastri is a dangerous, powerful striker. However, he thinks Godinez can be busier and more successful at range, and that Polastri's lack of range control will allow Godinez to wrestle effectively.

"I share your feelings exactly. I think I'm gonna pick Godinez. I think there's a strong chance Polastri puts a scare in her."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mackenzie Dern 0 72 of 203 35% 103 of 235 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:45
Loopy Godinez 0 67 of 146 45% 72 of 152 2 of 3 66% 1 1 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mackenzie Dern 0 25 of 67 37% 49 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:49
Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:20
2 Mackenzie Dern 0 24 of 68 35% 27 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Loopy Godinez 0 24 of 55 43% 24 of 55 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:45
3 Mackenzie Dern 0 23 of 68 33% 27 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:56
Loopy Godinez 0 28 of 53 52% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mackenzie Dern 72 of 203 35% 61 of 188 5 of 6 6 of 9 66 of 195 6 of 8 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 67 of 146 45% 45 of 116 16 of 23 6 of 7 58 of 136 9 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mackenzie Dern 25 of 67 37% 22 of 63 1 of 1 2 of 3 24 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 15 of 38 39% 13 of 33 1 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Mackenzie Dern 24 of 68 35% 20 of 62 2 of 3 2 of 3 23 of 66 1 of 2 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 24 of 55 43% 18 of 47 3 of 4 3 of 4 23 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mackenzie Dern 23 of 68 33% 19 of 63 2 of 2 2 of 3 19 of 63 4 of 5 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 28 of 53 52% 14 of 36 12 of 15 2 of 2 23 of 47 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Godinez but is hesitant due to her notoriously low fight IQ. He thinks she is the better fighter everywhere except BJJ, with better striking, wrestling, and athleticism. He notes Dern's poor takedown accuracy and reliance on toughness. He bet only a quarter unit because he doesn't trust Godinez.

Bet a quarter unit
"I gotta ride with loopy here though... I beted on her but only a quarter of a unit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is taking another underdog, citing Godinez's superior wrestling and boxing on the feet. He notes Dern has poor takedown accuracy (15%) and cannot take Godinez down, while Godinez should keep the fight standing and outpoint Dern. However, he admits he doesn't trust Godinez either, calling it a weird fight.

"give me loopy here in this one uh kind of how I see this fight playing out is you know lupy is going to be the much better wrestler by a mile"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior boxing and wrestling. He notes that Dern has poor takedown accuracy and has been roughed up on the feet recently. Cody thinks Godinez can stuff takedowns and win a volume decision. However, he acknowledges Dern's ability to create scrambles and capitalize on mistakes, so he's not fully confident. He mentions that Godinez is a slight underdog and that women's MMA is volatile.

"I'll stick with the favorite here ly godas but it's going to be lower on the list this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Daniel picks Dern, citing her toughness and ability to overcome adversity. He criticizes Godinez's fight IQ and tendency to abandon game plans. He believes Dern will gas pedal Godinez and be the tougher fighter, despite potential striking exchanges.

"give me a McKenzie dur to get this done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez should avoid the clinch and use footwork to out-strike Dern, stuffing takedowns. She should land better damage and win on the scorecards.

"I'm hoping that godz learned from her last match up against Jan Roba where she is not going to engage in the clinch whatsoever utilize her footwork to really touch up D and really stopped the takedowns the poor takedown …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul picks Loopy Godinez, noting that she is the better striker and can avoid Dern's grappling. He thinks Godinez's volume and takedown defense should be enough to win a decision. Paul acknowledges Dern's scrambling ability but believes Godinez can stay away and win on the feet. He also mentions that Godinez went the distance with Virna Jandiroba, which looks good in hindsight.

"I'll side with lupy on the on volume and just don't engage stay away at all costs and you should be able to you know win a volume based decision here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Mackenzie Dern, citing Dern's lack of seriousness and Godinez's activity and better striking. He thinks Godinez can scramble and keep the fight on the feet, where she has a technical advantage. He notes Godinez has good takedown defense and works her way back up. He mentions she might be an underdog and likes that.

"I'll go with Lupita godinez I just don't think D takes her career as serious"
LOSS vs Virna Jandiroba
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 30 of 108 27% 86 of 180 2 of 9 22% 3 1 6:35
Loopy Godinez 0 38 of 95 40% 50 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 12 of 45 26% 18 of 53 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:47
Loopy Godinez 0 13 of 34 38% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 5 of 21 23% 38 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:31
Loopy Godinez 0 9 of 26 34% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:57
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 13 of 42 30% 30 of 64 1 of 4 25% 3 0 2:17
Loopy Godinez 0 16 of 35 45% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 30 of 108 27% 27 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0 30 of 106 0 of 2 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 38 of 95 40% 25 of 79 11 of 14 2 of 2 30 of 82 7 of 11 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 12 of 45 26% 12 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 13 of 34 38% 9 of 28 4 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 9 of 26 34% 6 of 23 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 2
3 Virna Jandiroba 13 of 42 30% 10 of 35 3 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 16 of 35 45% 10 of 28 6 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 30 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.

"lupy is better than Verna janer Roba literally everywhere even wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.

minus 180
"give me loopy I'll take it to win by decision um minus 180 uh I don't know I don't know if I can trust her but I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.

"would have to go lupy ginz"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.

"official pick loopy decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.

Godinez by knockout (+750)
"I believe the last I saw was plus 750 H her to win by knockout worth a little bit of a Sprinkle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.

"loopy by decision is how I kind of see this one shaking out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.

decision win
"I am gonna go lupy godinez because I'm never picking Vera jander Roba to win a fight there's a rule I have not picking her"
WIN vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 84 of 224 37% 91 of 232 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:22
Tabatha Ricci 0 98 of 221 44% 101 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 22 of 61 36% 24 of 64 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:51
Tabatha Ricci 0 23 of 73 31% 23 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 90 34% 32 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Tabatha Ricci 0 36 of 72 50% 38 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 73 42% 35 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Tabatha Ricci 0 39 of 76 51% 40 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 84 of 224 37% 68 of 197 8 of 11 8 of 16 78 of 218 4 of 4 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 98 of 221 44% 81 of 200 15 of 19 2 of 2 85 of 207 11 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 22 of 61 36% 17 of 50 3 of 3 2 of 8 20 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 23 of 73 31% 18 of 67 5 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 31 of 90 34% 24 of 80 3 of 5 4 of 5 29 of 88 0 of 0 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 36 of 72 50% 29 of 63 6 of 8 1 of 1 32 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 2
3 Loopy Godinez 31 of 73 42% 27 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 3 29 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 39 of 76 51% 34 of 70 4 of 5 1 of 1 34 of 71 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.

"I think lupy ginz wins this fight... she's going to be the pick here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.

Godinez by decision
"I like Loopy here... give me Loopy Godinez and Loopy Godinez by decision for the simp pick of the week."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.

"godz wins so the only thing that's crazy about this card this week is like I like onz I also like Mackenzie D so it's like how could this possibly go wrong"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.

"my prediction is going to be Lupita ginz and I think she wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.

"I kind of think that this fight the wrestling's going to basically be negated and ly's going to win on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.

by decision
"I'm going to go with Lupita ginz here... I think Lupa godinez is aggressiveness and willingness to lead the dance is what's going to get her the advantage here"
WIN vs Elise Reed
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 1 21 of 31 67% 37 of 51 5 of 5 100% 6 0 6:29
Elise Reed 0 3 of 13 23% 34 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 1 6 of 11 54% 14 of 20 2 of 2 100% 5 0 3:39
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 20 75% 23 of 31 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:50
Elise Reed 0 2 of 9 22% 29 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 21 of 31 67% 15 of 25 4 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 24 3 of 3 3 of 4
Elise Reed 3 of 13 23% 0 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 4 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 15 of 20 75% 12 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 4
Elise Reed 2 of 9 22% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Lupita Godinez as the better fighter, citing her size, strength, and wrestling. He acknowledges her inconsistency and notes that the version that fought Cynthia Calvillo would lose to Elise Reed. He believes Godinez should win but considers the odds too wide to bet due to her unreliability.

"loopy is going to be bigger stronger the better fighter more talented she's training at a better team loopy should win this fight but these odds are far too wide for me to spend some money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Godinez but expresses concern about her fight IQ and recent reluctance to wrestle. He notes that if Godinez wrestles, she should dominate easily, as Reed has poor ground game and takedown defense. However, if Godinez strikes, the fight could be closer. He predicts Godinez will eventually take the fight to the mat and submit Reed in the second round.

second round submission
"I will take Lupi godinez to go out there hopefully fight smart get the fight down to the mat and I think she finishes Elise read in the second round via submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, emphasizing her size, strength, and wrestling advantage. He notes Reed's poor takedown defense and Godinez's ability to win even if she strikes. He expects Godinez to control the fight and possibly get a submission, but thinks a decision is also likely.

Godinez by submission plus 375 (one book); Godinez over 1.5 takedowns
"I think she could win the fight even if she makes all of the bad calls."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Levi is confident in Lupita Godinez, citing her wrestling advantage as Elise Reed has been taken down in every UFC fight. He notes Godinez's high output in her last fight and believes she can win on the feet as well, but the path of least resistance is through takedowns. Levi expects Godinez to dominate and sees this as a showcase for her improved skills.

"I think that loopy has all the tools to win this fight not just in the wrestling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has a tremendous wrestling advantage over Reed, who has been submitted in losses to grapplers. Godinez's striking is underrated, but she should focus on takedowns and top control. Reed alternates wins and losses and is coming off a win, so she's due for a loss. I expect Godinez to drag the fight to the ground and finish inside the distance.

"I really like godinez to go out there drag this fight to the ground and do that damage from on top and win this fight inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul picks Godinez confidently, noting she can win anywhere but should wrestle. He mentions her inconsistency in game plans but believes she is a massive step up in competition for Reed. He sees a first-round submission as very possible if she wrestles.

Godinez by submission plus 375 (one book); Godinez over 1.5 takedowns
"lupy is clearly the pick it's just how do I approach it from a props perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez over Elise Reed, calling it a mismatch. He notes Godinez's wins over better competition like Emily Ducote and Cynthia Calvillo, while Reed's recent win was over Jin Yu Frey. He believes Godinez's boxing is crisper and she mixes in takedowns better, making her more versatile.

"I'm going with Lupita godinez this seems like a bit of a mismatch to me"
WIN vs Emily Ducote
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 112 of 270 41% 117 of 275 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 132 of 246 53% 133 of 248 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 34 of 81 41% 34 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 49 of 81 60% 49 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 43 of 102 42% 43 of 102 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 43 of 77 55% 43 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 35 of 87 40% 40 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 40 of 88 45% 41 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 112 of 270 41% 71 of 214 21 of 33 20 of 23 106 of 262 6 of 8 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 132 of 246 53% 106 of 214 12 of 18 14 of 14 121 of 232 11 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 34 of 81 41% 19 of 61 7 of 11 8 of 9 32 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 49 of 81 60% 39 of 71 4 of 4 6 of 6 46 of 78 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 43 of 102 42% 28 of 81 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 98 3 of 4 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 43 of 77 55% 36 of 68 4 of 6 3 of 3 36 of 67 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Loopy Godinez 35 of 87 40% 24 of 72 6 of 9 5 of 6 34 of 85 1 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 40 of 88 45% 31 of 75 4 of 8 5 of 5 39 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.

0.25 unit bet at +119
"I like Emily Ducati to get this done she's big she's powerful she should be able to defend the takedown attempts I do have a quarter of a unit uniformis 100 bucks I got 25 bucks on her at plus …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.

decision
"give me loopy to go out there mixing takedowns and and make this look easy but it all comes down to whether she she goes for takedowns or not so give me loopy give me loopy by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.

"I am going to take Emily to Cody ever so slightly."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'll ride with you on the fly on Ducote. I think that Godinez won't push a pace that makes her uncomfortable and then that leaves Ducote as the sharper striker."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.

Ducote by decision
"I'm gonna go with Emily ducote to win this decision over Lupi godinous"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.

"give me a lupito godinez and I'm going to take her to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.

"I think at plus 130 not the worst look at all."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.

decision 29-28
"I'm gonna side with Lupita godinez here ... win a close decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'm gonna take one more flyer on Ducote. I think Godinez's pace is not going to function that well against somebody who can just instantly start landing counters on her."
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by dominant decision. He notes that Penne is 38 years old, hasn't fought in nearly four years, and hasn't won in six years. He believes Godinez has a massive striking advantage and is strong enough to get back up if taken down. He expects Godinez to stuff takedowns and out-strike Penne. He does not see a finish likely as Godinez has no knockout wins and Penne is tough to submit. He considers Godinez a parlay piece but not in his own parlay.

Considered as parlay piece but not used
"i'm gonna take gadina's here to win a pretty dominant decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody is very high on Godinez, praising her boxing, takedown defense, and cardio. He thinks Penne is old (38), has been out for years due to USADA, and has a history of getting hit and bleeding. He expects Godinez to keep the fight standing and win by decision or late TKO. He likes the third round finish prop at 16-1.

Godinez by TKO in round 3 at 16-1, Godinez by knockout
"i think godinez and she's one of your biggest favorites on the card i actually do agree with it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Levi picks Loopy Godinez, noting her crisp hands and toughness. He questions what happens if the fight goes to the mat, as Godinez's competition has been subpar, but believes she will piece up Jessica Penne on the feet. Levi mentions that Penne is nearing 40 and has been through a lot, including a USADA case, and that she has shown hesitancy in recent fights. He expects Godinez to win, possibly by knockout.

possible knockout
"i got lupita for sure"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Manpreet picks Godinez by decision, but with hesitation due to Penne's long layoff and Godinez's unproven level. He believes Godinez's boxing and pressure will overwhelm Penne, who is 38 and has been away for four years. He expects Godinez to out-strike Penne over three rounds, though he notes Penne's submission threat if the fight goes to the ground.

Godinez by decision -115; Godinez by finish in round 3 +1500
"i let godena is here not with the utmost confidence though because i want to see her prove herself against girls that are you know not lindsey garbett and not vanessa demopolis"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Godinez has crisp boxing and power for 115 lbs. He thinks Penne's stand-up is marginal and she has been finished by elite fighters. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +255 and Godinez by knockout. He is confident in Godinez winning.

under 2.5 rounds at +255, Godinez by knockout
"i wouldn't be surprised to see lupita godness knock out uh penne"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez to win by close decision. He doubts Jessica Penne's dedication after a long layoff since 2017, suggesting she may not have been training. He notes Godinez has a decent amateur career and some good wins, though not amazing. He believes Penne's mind may not be in the fight at 38 years old.

"i'm going to go of the new wave of talent in lupita gordina's loopy herself i think she'll get the job done by close decision 29 28"