Career Averages - Alexandr Romanov
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Career Averages - Juan Espino
Alexandr Romanov
Juan Espino
Alexandr Romanov - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 45 of 92 | 48% | 87 of 135 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 7:33 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 0 | 31 of 91 | 34% | 48 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 32 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:47 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 26 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 24 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 0 | 20 of 56 | 35% | 20 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 45 of 92 | 48% | 37 of 82 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 79 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 5 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 31 of 91 | 34% | 19 of 77 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 17 of 28 | 60% | 14 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 10 of 34 | 29% | 7 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 26 of 59 | 44% | 21 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 55 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Rodrigo Nascimento | 20 of 56 | 35% | 12 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Romanov despite acknowledging he has a quit button and has looked soft recently. He believes Romanov is the better wrestler and only needs one takedown per round to win. He notes Romanov has been competing in grappling competitions outside the UFC. He admits he is a 'simp for wrestlers' and bet on Romanov at +115. He worries about Romanov's weight cut and says you never know until you see him on the scale.
Big Brady picks Rodrigo Nascimento to win by second-round submission, but with low confidence. He heavily criticizes Romanov's cardio and submission defense, calling them the worst he's ever seen. Brady notes that if Romanov doesn't finish early, he gasses out. He trusts Nascimento's BJJ black belt and cardio, expecting him to survive takedowns and eventually submit a gassed Romanov. He says he wants to see weigh-ins before finalizing.
Cody picks Alexander Romanov, citing his wrestling advantage and higher level of competition. He notes that Nascimento has poor durability and cardio, and has lost to lower-level opponents. He believes Romanov can win a striking fight or mix in takedowns to secure a victory. He acknowledges Romanov's inconsistency but sees Nascimento as a favorable matchup.
Daniel Vreeland picks Rodrigo Nascimento, citing Alexander Romanov's decline after being figured out and his lack of depth beyond suplexes. He believes Nascimento is more well-rounded and consistent, though he has a questionable chin. Vreeland notes that Romanov hasn't looked the same since his stunts and that Nascimento's improvement fight-to-fight gives him the edge, but he's not highly confident.
Romanov is dangerous early with his wrestling, but Nascimento will stay out of danger, pull away in the second and third rounds, and likely get a finish late.
Paul picks Romanov but is hesitant, noting his inconsistency and cardio issues. He believes Romanov's wrestling and physicality should be enough to beat Nascimento, who he sees as a lower-level heavyweight. He mentions that Romanov's best skill is his takedown ability, but he struggles to maintain control. He expects a close fight but favors Romanov.
The Guru picks Alexander Romanov over Rodrigo Nascimento, believing Romanov's grappling will be the difference. He criticizes Nascimento's talent level and notes Romanov's decent offensive grappling. He suggests a possible early TKO finish in the first round and mentions that betting on Romanov for an early finish might offer good odds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailton Almeida | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jailton Almeida | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailton Almeida | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jailton Almeida | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jailton Almeida confidently, citing his relentless wrestling and power. He notes that Romanov has quit in fights before and has looked out of shape, while Almeida is always in shape and can take down anyone. He believes Almeida will ragdoll Romanov and eventually get a finish or a quit.
Big Brady leans toward Jailton Almeida but is not fully bought in, calling it a great bounce-back spot. He thinks Almeida gets takedowns and eventually a finish, with much better cardio. However, he is iffy on Almeida and notes that if Romanov gets on top, he could win. He expects someone gets finished and will play both sides, with Romanov as a punt play down low.
Cody picks Almeida, arguing Romanov has not improved, has poor cardio, and has shown a quitting mentality (e.g., vs Volkov). He notes Almeida took down Curtis Blaydes nine times and has better cardio. Cody believes Almeida will take Romanov down, wear him out, and either submit him or win by TKO. He dismisses Romanov's wins as over low-level opposition.
Daniel Vreeland also picks Almeida, noting he has the advantage wherever the fight goes. Romanov will want to wrestle but Almeida is the better grappler. Vreeland is disappointed in Romanov's quitting tendencies and sees Almeida as a good bounce-back fight after the Blades loss.
Daniel notes both are grapplers with red flags. He points out Romanov's size advantage and that he's a dog for the first time, suggesting a market overcorrection. He is unsure but goes with the underdog Romanov.
Jeff Fox is very confident in Almeida, calling the -250 line a steal. He argues that Almeida took Curtis Blades down 10 times in five minutes, and Blades is one of the best heavyweight wrestlers ever. Romanov, by contrast, quits when he doesn't have the grappling advantage, as seen in past fights. Fox expects Almeida to dominate and Romanov to quit early.
The host believes Almeida's superior gas tank and grappling will overcome Romanov's early wrestling. Romanov's cardio issues will resurface as Almeida pressures him, leading to a finish in the second round via TKO or submission. Almeida's ability to take down and smash opponents is the key, and Romanov's recent decision win is not enough to change the host's mind.
Paul leans toward Romanov as a dog, calling it a 'classic dogger pass heavyweight situation.' He notes Romanov's solid wrestling and Almeida's lack of a plan B if takedowns fail. He points out Almeida gassed against Curtis Blaydes after nine takedowns. Paul thinks Romanov can win by decision if he avoids getting submitted, and mentions the tempting plus money price.
The MMA Guru picks Jailton Almeida, criticizing Romanov's poor shape and calling him a 'fat [__]'. He believes Almeida will ragdoll Romanov with grappling and that Romanov will gas out. He expresses frustration that the UFC keeps Almeida active despite his boring style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 85 of 154 | 55% | 104 of 180 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 44 of 108 | 40% | 44 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 22 of 41 | 53% | 38 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 49 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 85 of 154 | 55% | 52 of 121 | 11 of 11 | 22 of 22 | 74 of 137 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 13 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 44 of 108 | 40% | 38 of 102 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 44 of 108 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 17 of 31 | 54% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 22 of 41 | 53% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 9 of 28 | 32% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 46 of 82 | 56% | 35 of 71 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 40 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 10 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 22 of 51 | 43% | 20 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Blagoy Ivanov but with hesitation, contingent on Romanov's weight cut. He notes Romanov's recent poor performances and lack of cardio, while Ivanov has an iron chin and solid takedown defense. He plans to wait for weigh-ins: if Romanov looks in shape, he'll switch to Romanov; if not, he'll bet Ivanov. He mentions Ivanov at +125.
Big Brady picks Blagoy Ivanov to win by third-round finish, but is very hesitant. He notes Romanov has cardio issues and looked terrible at weigh-ins for his last fight, gassing after one minute. Ivanov is extremely durable, has never been knocked out, and has gone to decision in all seven UFC fights. Brady says he needs to see Romanov's weigh-ins to have a stronger opinion, but if Ivanov survives the first round, he should take over and possibly finish late.
Cody is torn on Romanov. He notes Romanov's potential and wrestling, but his poor cardio and questionable heart after the Volkov loss. He thinks if Romanov comes in shape, he can take Ivanov down and win early rounds. However, Ivanov is extremely durable and has never been finished. Cody suggests waiting for weigh-ins and considering live betting.
Daniel picks Ivanov pre-weigh-ins due to Romanov's inconsistency and weight issues. He notes Romanov's drastic weight fluctuation (239 to 264 lbs) and his tendency to quit after failed takedowns. Ivanov is durable, has a 70% takedown defense, and has been competitive in all his losses. However, Daniel reserves the right to change his pick if Romanov weighs in lean (239 lbs). He calls it a 'wait for weigh-ins' situation.
Paul picks Ivanov, citing his durability and proven ability to go 15 minutes. He notes Romanov has never shown he can fight past the second round without gassing. Ivanov has gone the distance with top heavyweights and has good grappling. Paul thinks Romanov's cardio and mental toughness are major question marks, and Ivanov will outlast him.
The Guru picks Alexander Romanov but expresses hesitation due to Romanov's terrible performance against Alexander Volkov, where he gave up after a stuffed takedown. However, he believes Romanov can out-grapple Blagoy Ivanov, who is fat and unathletic, using his signature forearm choke. He uses MMA algebra: Romanov outgrappled Tybura, who outgrappled Ivanov. He notes Ivanov is not adding new wrinkles and is aging.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 27 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 27 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 12 of 15 | 80% | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 12 of 15 | 80% | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Romanov (-150), Volkov (+130)
Round 1
There is no truth to the rumor that only one man will keep the name Alexander after this heavyweight co-main event comes to a close. In this classic style matchup, striker Volkov (35-10, 9-4 UFC) will collide with grappler Romanov (16-1, 5-1 UFC), and the two are so young in the division that they have at least five more years left in them, if not 10. The battle between “Drago” and “King Kong” will be joined in the cage by referee Mark Smith, who will keep things above board for as long as they need. The two are happy to tangle tonight, and they bump fists together. Volkov pushes the pace immediately, and Romanov greets him with a charging takedown. Volkov defends as he gets pushed from one side of the cage to the other, as Romanov changes up for a single. Volkov clearly and obviously grabs the fence to stay upright, and Romanov stays clung to the left leg until bailing on it to back off. Volkov cracks him with a few punches, and he works the body and scores a right hand that hurts “King Kong.” Romanov tries to take the fight down again, and Volkov moves around deftly to get a hook in and take Romanov’s back. Volkov drills the downed fighter with several vicious undercuts -- uppercuts sneaking beneath his opponent's armpit -- busting up Romanov’s nose and causing blood to spray all over the floor.
Volkov pours it on with punches, and Smith takes a hard look at the action and tells Romanov he needs to fight back. Volkov lets Romanov sit up, and he frees his left hand to belt the Moldovan upside the head. The Russian continues his bombardment of punches, and Smith has no choice but to step in.
Volkov has prevailed in the all-Alexander battle, making short work of the heavier Romanov to earn his second first-round knockout in a row – a first for "Drago" since 2014.
The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Alexander Romanov R1 2:16 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Alexander Romanov, believing his wrestling will be the key against Volkov. He notes that Volkov has only lost to top contenders and that Tom Aspinall had success taking him down. He is hopeful for improved cardio from Romanov after his loss at elevation. He considers betting on Romanov since the line is even.
Big Brady picks Alexander Romanov, noting he will have many opportunities to take down Volkov, who has poor get-up game. He acknowledges Romanov's cardio is a major concern but thinks Romanov will finish early via submission or TKO. Brady says if Romanov had cardio for three rounds he'd max bet him, but still expects a first-round sub.
Cody picks Romanov but with low confidence, acknowledging Romanov's cardio issues and Volkov's size. He thinks Romanov can use takedowns and cage pressure to neutralize Volkov's striking, but is not sure Romanov has improved his cardio. He suggests live betting Volkov if Romanov tires after the first round.
Connor picks Volkov despite acknowledging he will likely get taken down early. He notes Volkov's durability, ability to get back up, and tendency to outlast opponents who gas. Connor points out that Romanov was exposed against Tabora, showing poor cardio, and that Volkov has a history of finishing tired opponents. However, he admits it's a risky pick given Volkov's poor takedown defense and Romanov's power.
I lean towards Romanov's early takedown and ground control. His strength and wrestling should get Volkov down early, and from there he can work to a dominant position and find a submission. Volkov's takedown defense has been exploited by strong grapplers before. However, if Volkov survives the early onslaught, his striking could take over later. I see Romanov winning by submission in the first round.
Paul picks Volkov as an underdog, citing Romanov's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Romanov's impressive first-round wrestling but doubts he can maintain it for three rounds. Paul suggests live betting Volkov after the first round if Romanov tires.
The MMA Guru picks Alexander Romanov, despite Volkov being the underdog. He believes Romanov's grappling style can be effective against Volkov, who struggles when flat on his back. He notes Romanov's top heaviness and ability to pass guard, and predicts a forearm choke finish. He acknowledges Volkov's striking advantage but thinks Romanov can get the fight to the ground and control it.
Zane picks Romanov, citing the three-round format and Romanov's powerful takedowns. He notes that Volkov has poor takedown defense and will likely be taken down early. Zane acknowledges Romanov's cardio issues after the Tabora fight but believes he can overwhelm Volkov in the first two rounds. He admits it's a risky pick and that Volkov could outlast him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 47 of 98 | 47% | 82 of 135 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 40 of 88 | 45% | 95 of 160 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 5:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 14 of 18 | 77% | 64 of 81 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:27 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 50 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 16 of 34 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 31 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 47 of 98 | 47% | 30 of 74 | 10 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 43 of 92 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 40 of 88 | 45% | 24 of 65 | 7 of 12 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 65 | 9 of 12 | 10 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 14 of 18 | 77% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 9 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 11 of 25 | 44% | 9 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 30 of 59 | 50% | 20 of 43 | 6 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexandr Romanov | 15 of 45 | 33% | 7 of 33 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alexandr Romanov over Marcin Tybura. He describes Romanov as a massive, athletic wrestler with a Brock Lesnar style, while Tybura is a durable grinder with okay striking and trips. Angelo acknowledges concerns: Romanov hasn't fought top-20 opponents and was taken down four times by Juan Espino. However, he believes Romanov is too big, fast, and athletic for Tybura, and that Tybura won't get close enough to land his trips. He has moneyline bets on Romanov.
Big Brady picks Alexandr Romanov but is hesitant. He notes that Romanov struggled with cardio against Juan Espino, but looked in incredible shape against Chase Sherman. Tybura is a tough grappler with good takedown defense and cardio. Brady expects Romanov to get takedowns and win the first two rounds, but concerns about the third round remain. He predicts Romanov wins by decision, though Tybura could have success late if Romanov slows down.
Cody picks Romanov, noting his wrestling and athleticism. He mentions Romanov's training at Tiger Muay Thai and his improved cardio. He thinks Tybura is trending downward and Romanov should win, but he won't put him at the top of his parlay due to heavyweight volatility.
Daniel Levi picks Alexandr Romanov to win, though he acknowledges there is no value on the line at -360. He believes Romanov is a much better athlete and more explosive than Tybura, and that Romanov will get takedowns and grind out a win. He notes that Romanov looked significantly leaner after the Juan Espino fight and seems to be taking his career more seriously. Levi respects Tybura's experience and methodical striking but thinks Romanov's wrestling will be the difference.
Romanov should win via grappling and top pressure, likely finishing within two rounds. However, Tybura is live as a dog with good BJJ and takedown defense. The host compares this to the David Onama fight last week, warning against laying heavy chalk on finish-reliant fighters. He is not betting this fight due to the risk.
Paul picks Romanov, citing his wrestling advantage and improved striking. He notes Romanov's cardio concerns but thinks he can get the job done. He likes Romanov over 2.5 takedowns on Prize Picks.
The Guru predicts Alexandr Romanov wins by first-round TKO. He describes Romanov slamming lead leg kicks and inside leg kicks, then backing Tybura against the cage and landing a clean right overhand that rocks him. He sees Romanov finishing with ground and pound after a takedown.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Romanov as a lock, expecting him to steamroll Sherman. He highlights Romanov's incredible wrestling, speed, and power, and notes Sherman lacks one-punch KO power to stop Romanov's takedowns. He mentions Romanov was a -2500 favorite initially and recommends using him in parlays if the odds are reasonable.
Big Brady is extremely confident in Romanov, calling it a huge mismatch. He notes Romanov's undefeated record and finishing ability, while Sherman is a low-level opponent. He predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission, as Romanov will take the fight down and end it quickly.
Cody agrees Romanov is a lock, noting Sherman's poor grappling and recent losses. He thinks Romanov will take him down and finish, likely by submission or ground and pound. Cody mentions the only potential issues are a DQ or Sherman landing a lucky shot, but considers those unlikely. He plans to use Romanov in DFS lineups.
Daniel Levi is confident Alexandr Romanov will dominate Chase Sherman. He expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish quickly, noting Sherman's poor head movement and susceptibility to being hit. Levi calls the line unplayable due to the heavy favorite price and advises against betting on Sherman.
The host picks Romanov with high confidence, citing his dominant wrestling and ground-and-pound. He notes Sherman was submitted by Jake Collier, and Romanov is a much better grappler. Romanov's cardio has improved, and he will take Sherman down and finish him. The only path for Sherman is a lucky knockout, but Romanov's chin is durable.
Paul is extremely confident Romanov wins, calling it a smash. He notes Romanov's improved physique and cardio, and that Sherman has poor grappling and was submitted by Jake Collier. Paul expects Romanov to take Sherman down and finish him, likely by TKO or submission. He mentions the only risks are a DQ or injury, but otherwise Romanov should dominate.
The Guru picks Romanov to win by first-round TKO (ground and pound). He believes Romanov will easily take Sherman down and dominate on the ground, as Sherman lacks the grappling to deal with him. The Guru thinks Romanov may want to punish Sherman for pulling out of their previous fight, so he will opt for a TKO rather than a submission. He predicts a first-round finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 56 of 78 | 71% | 78 of 103 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 6:31 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 10 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 47 of 58 | 81% | 68 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 56 of 78 | 71% | 48 of 66 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 45 of 56 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 13 of 23 | 56% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 13 of 21 | 61% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 47 of 58 | 81% | 42 of 53 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 45 of 56 |
| Jared Vanderaa | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alexandr Romanov but feels it's a trap at minus 400. He notes Romanov's wrestling and power but recalls his less dominant performance against Juan Espino. He bet the over 1.5 rounds at plus money and the more more on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting the fight to last past the first round and a half.
Big Brady is very confident in Romanov, highlighting his incredible wrestling strength and ability to take down and finish opponents. He notes Vanderaa has 0% takedown defense and was easily taken down by Sergey Spivak. Brady believes Romanov is stronger and more dangerous on top, and predicts a second-round finish, either by submission or knockout. He sees no path to victory for Vanderaa except Romanov gassing out.
Cody picks Romanov but expresses concerns about his cardio and ring IQ. He notes Romanov's athleticism and sumo background, but worries about his training situation in Moldova. He expects Romanov to take Vanderaa down and finish early, but if it goes past the first round, Vanderaa's improved striking and cardio could be a problem.
Daniel Levi is confident Alexandr Romanov will dominate with takedowns and finish Vanderaa on the mat, likely by submission or ground and pound. He notes Vanderaa's toughness and volume but believes he lacks the grappling to compete. His only concern is Romanov's cardio if he expends too much energy early, but he still expects a finish.
Jacob picks Romanov but agrees it feels like a trap. He thinks Romanov should dominate but wouldn't touch the minus 400. He likes the over 1.5 rounds bet and will play it with Angelo. He notes Romanov's terrifying ground and pound but thinks Jared Vanderaa is tough enough to withstand early attacks.
The host picks Romanov but with hesitation due to his questionable gas tank. He notes that if Romanov doesn't get an early finish, he could fade, and Vanderaa has a grappling background and good cardio. He compares Romanov to Spivak, who beat Vanderaa, but acknowledges Romanov's cardio issues. He predicts a second-round TKO for Romanov but plans to hedge with Vanderaa props.
Paul picks Romanov, noting Vanderaa's lack of elite skills. He acknowledges Romanov's cardio issues and questionable performance against Espino, but believes Vanderaa is a step down in competition. He expects Romanov to get takedowns and grind out a win, though the price is steep.
The MMA Guru picks Alexandr Romanov to win by first-round submission via forearm choke. He believes Romanov's grappling is superior to Vanderaa's, citing Vanderaa's loss to Sergey Spivak. He notes Romanov's takedown ability and finishing threat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 32 of 53 | 60% | 53 of 77 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:41 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 44 of 56 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 20 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 38 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 32 of 53 | 60% | 23 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 20 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 |
| Juan Espino | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Juan Espino | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 27 of 44 | 61% | 23 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 27 |
| Juan Espino | 6 of 13 | 46% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Juan Espino | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Juan Espino to win by submission, but with very low confidence. He sees the fight as a 50/50 matchup and sides with the dog due to hype driving Romanov's line. He notes that both fighters are grapplers and that Romanov is unlikely to submit Espino, a legit black belt. He questions Romanov's cardio and believes Espino may have the edge if the fight goes past the first round. He is passing on betting due to the uncertainty but picks Espino to weather the storm and possibly get a late submission.
Cody is a Romanov fan and thinks he has better cardio, boxing, and youth (10 years younger). He notes Romanov's cardio looks good in deeper fights, while Espino has only fought 3 minutes in the last 3 years. He believes Romanov can stuff takedowns and win by pressure. He acknowledges Espino's BJJ but thinks Romanov's wrestling and gas tank will be the difference.
Daniel Levi picks Alexandr Romanov, stating that he is a future top-15 heavyweight and is being undervalued. He criticizes Juan Espino's competition on The Ultimate Fighter, calling it weak. Levi believes Romanov is more well-rounded and will win the wrestling and clinch battles, possibly finishing Espino. He also notes that Espino is 40 years old and Romanov has a higher ceiling.
Manpreet favors Romanov, citing his youth, cardio, and wrestling pressure. He notes that Espino is 40 years old and has fought weak competition, while Romanov has shown he can grind opponents down over three rounds. He believes Romanov's explosiveness and strength will overwhelm Espino, likely leading to a TKO in the second round.
Paul thinks Espino is a legitimate BJJ black belt with good wrestling and a complete game. He notes that Romanov has a hole in his leg kick defense but Espino doesn't throw leg kicks. He is leaning towards Espino but not confident, calling it a dog or pass fight. He mentions that Espino's age (40) and lack of recent octagon time are concerns.
The MMA Guru picks Alexandr Romanov to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound, but calls it risky. He notes Romanov is younger, undefeated, and has more localized weight for grappling. He expects Romanov to stuff takedowns and use kicks to the body and legs, then take over in the second round after Espino has an adrenaline dump. He does not see Romanov submitting Espino.
Juan Espino - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 32 of 53 | 60% | 53 of 77 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:41 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 44 of 56 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 20 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 38 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Juan Espino | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Romanov | 32 of 53 | 60% | 23 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 20 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 |
| Juan Espino | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandr Romanov | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Juan Espino | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Alexandr Romanov | 27 of 44 | 61% | 23 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 27 |
| Juan Espino | 6 of 13 | 46% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexandr Romanov | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Juan Espino | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Juan Espino to win by submission, but with very low confidence. He sees the fight as a 50/50 matchup and sides with the dog due to hype driving Romanov's line. He notes that both fighters are grapplers and that Romanov is unlikely to submit Espino, a legit black belt. He questions Romanov's cardio and believes Espino may have the edge if the fight goes past the first round. He is passing on betting due to the uncertainty but picks Espino to weather the storm and possibly get a late submission.
Cody is a Romanov fan and thinks he has better cardio, boxing, and youth (10 years younger). He notes Romanov's cardio looks good in deeper fights, while Espino has only fought 3 minutes in the last 3 years. He believes Romanov can stuff takedowns and win by pressure. He acknowledges Espino's BJJ but thinks Romanov's wrestling and gas tank will be the difference.
Daniel Levi picks Alexandr Romanov, stating that he is a future top-15 heavyweight and is being undervalued. He criticizes Juan Espino's competition on The Ultimate Fighter, calling it weak. Levi believes Romanov is more well-rounded and will win the wrestling and clinch battles, possibly finishing Espino. He also notes that Espino is 40 years old and Romanov has a higher ceiling.
Manpreet favors Romanov, citing his youth, cardio, and wrestling pressure. He notes that Espino is 40 years old and has fought weak competition, while Romanov has shown he can grind opponents down over three rounds. He believes Romanov's explosiveness and strength will overwhelm Espino, likely leading to a TKO in the second round.
Paul thinks Espino is a legitimate BJJ black belt with good wrestling and a complete game. He notes that Romanov has a hole in his leg kick defense but Espino doesn't throw leg kicks. He is leaning towards Espino but not confident, calling it a dog or pass fight. He mentions that Espino's age (40) and lack of recent octagon time are concerns.
The MMA Guru picks Alexandr Romanov to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound, but calls it risky. He notes Romanov is younger, undefeated, and has more localized weight for grappling. He expects Romanov to stuff takedowns and use kicks to the body and legs, then take over in the second round after Espino has an adrenaline dump. He does not see Romanov submitting Espino.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Espino | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 21 of 29 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Jeff Hughes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Espino | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 21 of 29 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Jeff Hughes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Espino | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 |
| Jeff Hughes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Espino | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 |
| Jeff Hughes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is confident in Espino, citing his strong wrestling and submission game. He thinks Espino will get the fight to the mat and finish quickly, as Hughes is low-volume and lacks power. He notes the submission prop is already priced in at +150 but considers Espino a fine parlay piece.
Daniel Levi slightly leans Juan Espino because his biggest skill (grappling) is better than any of Hughes' skills, but he is worried about Espino's cardio if the fight goes past the first round and the layoff. He notes Hughes has good wrestling and durability but struggles to pull the trigger. He would not lay the chalk in this spot.
The host picks Juan Espino but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff and unknowns about Jeff Hughes' submission defense. He expects Espino to win by second-round submission, but prefers the over 1.5 rounds because Hughes is durable and tough. He notes that Espino's -300 price is too high for a fighter with ring rust.
The MMA Guru picks Juan Espino, noting he won The Ultimate Fighter and beat Maurice Green. He thinks Espino will ragdoll Jeff Hughes due to being naturally bigger and more athletic, and predicts a submission win by arm triangle choke in the first round. He mentions Espino has been inactive due to injuries but is now returning.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Espino | 0 | 22 of 23 | 95% | 44 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Justin Frazier | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Espino | 0 | 22 of 23 | 95% | 44 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Justin Frazier | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Espino | 22 of 23 | 95% | 19 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 18 |
| Justin Frazier | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Espino | 22 of 23 | 95% | 19 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 18 |
| Justin Frazier | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Juan Espino to win by submission, but with very low confidence. He sees the fight as a 50/50 matchup and sides with the dog due to hype driving Romanov's line. He notes that both fighters are grapplers and that Romanov is unlikely to submit Espino, a legit black belt. He questions Romanov's cardio and believes Espino may have the edge if the fight goes past the first round. He is passing on betting due to the uncertainty but picks Espino to weather the storm and possibly get a late submission.
Cody is a Romanov fan and thinks he has better cardio, boxing, and youth (10 years younger). He notes Romanov's cardio looks good in deeper fights, while Espino has only fought 3 minutes in the last 3 years. He believes Romanov can stuff takedowns and win by pressure. He acknowledges Espino's BJJ but thinks Romanov's wrestling and gas tank will be the difference.
Daniel Levi picks Alexandr Romanov, stating that he is a future top-15 heavyweight and is being undervalued. He criticizes Juan Espino's competition on The Ultimate Fighter, calling it weak. Levi believes Romanov is more well-rounded and will win the wrestling and clinch battles, possibly finishing Espino. He also notes that Espino is 40 years old and Romanov has a higher ceiling.
Manpreet favors Romanov, citing his youth, cardio, and wrestling pressure. He notes that Espino is 40 years old and has fought weak competition, while Romanov has shown he can grind opponents down over three rounds. He believes Romanov's explosiveness and strength will overwhelm Espino, likely leading to a TKO in the second round.
Paul thinks Espino is a legitimate BJJ black belt with good wrestling and a complete game. He notes that Romanov has a hole in his leg kick defense but Espino doesn't throw leg kicks. He is leaning towards Espino but not confident, calling it a dog or pass fight. He mentions that Espino's age (40) and lack of recent octagon time are concerns.
The MMA Guru picks Alexandr Romanov to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound, but calls it risky. He notes Romanov is younger, undefeated, and has more localized weight for grappling. He expects Romanov to stuff takedowns and use kicks to the body and legs, then take over in the second round after Espino has an adrenaline dump. He does not see Romanov submitting Espino.
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