UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez Next Fight
Age 44
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 32
Height 6' 0"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alan Jouban
5.67 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.77 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jared Gooden
4.4 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
6.74 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.91 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Alan Jouban - Fight History
WIN vs Jared Gooden
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 0 168 of 331 50% 169 of 332 0 of 1 0% 2 1 0:10
Jared Gooden 0 100 of 210 47% 101 of 211 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 0 41 of 96 42% 41 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gooden 0 33 of 71 46% 33 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alan Jouban 0 71 of 126 56% 72 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gooden 0 35 of 72 48% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Alan Jouban 0 56 of 109 51% 56 of 109 0 of 1 0% 2 1 0:04
Jared Gooden 0 32 of 67 47% 33 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 168 of 331 50% 116 of 262 39 of 55 13 of 14 150 of 305 18 of 26 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 100 of 210 47% 79 of 182 21 of 27 0 of 1 90 of 195 10 of 14 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 41 of 96 42% 29 of 80 11 of 15 1 of 1 35 of 87 6 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 33 of 71 46% 24 of 60 9 of 11 0 of 0 28 of 65 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alan Jouban 71 of 126 56% 46 of 94 17 of 24 8 of 8 65 of 117 6 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 35 of 72 48% 27 of 61 8 of 11 0 of 0 32 of 68 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Alan Jouban 56 of 109 51% 41 of 88 11 of 16 4 of 5 50 of 101 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 32 of 67 47% 28 of 61 4 of 5 0 of 1 30 of 62 2 of 4 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden to win by first-round knockout. He notes Jouban is 38 and has chin issues, while Gooden is younger and packs power. He thinks the small cage helps Gooden close distance, but if Gooden doesn't finish early, he may slow down.

first round knockout
"i'm going to take good in my first round knock i'm going to take the dog here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel picks his friend Jared Gooden, citing his forward pressure, volume striking, and youth advantage. He believes Jouban is aging and his chin is diminishing, and that Gooden's improved mindset and training will lead to a first-round knockout. He dismisses criticism of Gooden's past losses as due to weight class issues.

first round knockout, 50k bonus
"i think jared comes out here i think he knocks out alan juban in the first round i think he gets a 50k bonus"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Alan Jouban

The host picks Alan Jouban but is not confident due to his age (38) and layoff. He thinks Jouban's durability is underrated and he has more ways to win, but is scared of the layoff and the hungry newcomer. He recommends staying away from betting this fight.

"my official pick is going to be Alan Joan but by no means am I confident in it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gooden to win by KO in the first round. He cites Jouban's long layoff (since April 2019), age (38), and history of being KO'd. Gooden is younger, more active, and has power. He expects Gooden to crack Jouban early.

ko in the first round
"i think he's going to get ko stiff in the first round by jared gooden"
LOSS vs Dwight Grant
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 0 24 of 100 24% 25 of 101 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Alan Jouban 0 38 of 122 31% 39 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 0 5 of 31 16% 5 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dwight Grant 0 9 of 27 33% 9 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dwight Grant 0 10 of 42 23% 11 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Alan Jouban 0 15 of 50 30% 15 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 24 of 100 24% 9 of 77 3 of 6 12 of 17 19 of 89 1 of 4 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 38 of 122 31% 13 of 88 4 of 8 21 of 26 37 of 121 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 5 of 31 16% 1 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 29 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 10 of 35 28% 5 of 28 1 of 2 4 of 5 9 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dwight Grant 9 of 27 33% 3 of 20 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 13 of 37 35% 4 of 23 1 of 4 8 of 10 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dwight Grant 10 of 42 23% 5 of 31 1 of 2 4 of 9 6 of 35 0 of 0 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 15 of 50 30% 4 of 37 2 of 2 9 of 11 15 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Ben Saunders
KO (punch) R2 2:38 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 0 33 of 79 41% 34 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ben Saunders 2 78 of 141 55% 78 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Ben Saunders 1 44 of 83 53% 44 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
2 Alan Jouban 0 13 of 33 39% 14 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Saunders 1 34 of 58 58% 34 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 33 of 79 41% 21 of 60 8 of 14 4 of 5 25 of 65 8 of 13 0 of 1
Ben Saunders 78 of 141 55% 53 of 109 10 of 13 15 of 19 60 of 110 16 of 28 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 20 of 46 43% 11 of 34 5 of 7 4 of 5 17 of 40 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ben Saunders 44 of 83 53% 28 of 60 4 of 7 12 of 16 37 of 71 5 of 9 2 of 3
2 Alan Jouban 13 of 33 39% 10 of 26 3 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 25 5 of 8 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 34 of 58 58% 25 of 49 6 of 6 3 of 3 23 of 39 11 of 19 0 of 0
LOSS vs Niko Price
TKO (punches) R1 1:44 · UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Aug 05, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alan Jouban 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alan Jouban 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 10 of 19 52% 6 of 15 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 10 of 19 52% 6 of 15 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
LOSS vs Gunnar Nelson
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 0:46 · UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · Mar 18, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gunnar Nelson 0 8 of 18 44% 17 of 28 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:03
Alan Jouban 0 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gunnar Nelson 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:56
Alan Jouban 0 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gunnar Nelson 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Alan Jouban 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gunnar Nelson 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 4
Alan Jouban 17 of 33 51% 6 of 17 2 of 7 9 of 9 17 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gunnar Nelson 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 4
Alan Jouban 10 of 19 52% 4 of 9 0 of 4 6 of 6 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gunnar Nelson 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 7 of 14 50% 2 of 8 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Mike Perry
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: VanZant vs. Waterson · Dec 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 1 69 of 133 51% 69 of 133 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:07
Mike Perry 0 37 of 90 41% 37 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:43
Mike Perry 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alan Jouban 1 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Mike Perry 0 11 of 32 34% 11 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alan Jouban 0 24 of 48 50% 24 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Mike Perry 0 12 of 28 42% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 69 of 133 51% 24 of 69 16 of 34 29 of 30 66 of 129 1 of 1 2 of 3
Mike Perry 37 of 90 41% 22 of 70 5 of 10 10 of 10 35 of 85 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 19 of 39 48% 4 of 15 5 of 13 10 of 11 18 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 14 of 30 46% 8 of 24 2 of 2 4 of 4 14 of 28 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alan Jouban 26 of 46 56% 10 of 22 7 of 15 9 of 9 24 of 43 0 of 0 2 of 3
Mike Perry 11 of 32 34% 7 of 24 2 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 29 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Alan Jouban 24 of 48 50% 10 of 32 4 of 6 10 of 10 24 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Perry 12 of 28 42% 7 of 22 1 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (28–27, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · Jul 07, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 3 86 of 169 50% 105 of 191 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Belal Muhammad 0 77 of 199 38% 108 of 239 2 of 8 25% 0 0 3:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 2 24 of 43 55% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
Belal Muhammad 0 7 of 23 30% 9 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:07
2 Alan Jouban 1 19 of 40 47% 28 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Belal Muhammad 0 13 of 46 28% 35 of 76 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:33
3 Alan Jouban 0 43 of 86 50% 43 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Belal Muhammad 0 57 of 130 43% 64 of 138 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 86 of 169 50% 46 of 120 20 of 26 20 of 23 65 of 136 5 of 6 16 of 27
Belal Muhammad 77 of 199 38% 71 of 190 3 of 3 3 of 6 69 of 185 5 of 9 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 24 of 43 55% 16 of 33 5 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 16 2 of 2 15 of 25
Belal Muhammad 7 of 23 30% 6 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 3 4 of 17 1 of 3 2 of 3
2 Alan Jouban 19 of 40 47% 8 of 26 5 of 7 6 of 7 16 of 36 2 of 2 1 of 2
Belal Muhammad 13 of 46 28% 11 of 43 0 of 0 2 of 3 9 of 39 3 of 5 1 of 2
3 Alan Jouban 43 of 86 50% 22 of 61 10 of 13 11 of 12 42 of 84 1 of 2 0 of 0
Belal Muhammad 57 of 130 43% 54 of 127 3 of 3 0 of 0 56 of 129 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alan Jouban vs. Belal Muhammad

Round 1
Muhammad presses the action early, marching toward Jouban with a few low kicks. One clips Jouban on the cup, but “Brahma” says he’s OK to continue. Shortly after the restart, a sweeping left hand from Jouban knocks Muhammad to the canvas. Jouban comes down to kneel in his opponent’s guard, but Muhammad rolls free and the welterweights scramble back to their feet. Muhammad pushes Jouban against the wall and double-legs him to the floor, and suddenly it’s Muhammad coming on strong, looping left hands underneath Jouban’s armpit. Two minutes in, the fighters scramble up and return to the center of the cage. Muhammad closes in on Jouban again and gets lit up with a left high kick to the face. Jouban follows his wounded opponent to the floor and tries to pound out Muhammad with left hands and elbows. Referee Herb Dean is watching from nearby but giving Muhammad every chance to recover from the bad spot. Jouban’s storm subsides, allowing Muhammad to work back to his feet with about 40 seconds on the clock. The 170-pounders paw with strikes in the final minute, but neither man lands anything of significance.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-8 Jouban
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-8 Jouban
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Jouban

Round 2
Muhammad once again pushes forward on Jouban at the start of the round. Jouban looks a bit tired in his movement after expending loads of energy trying to finish Muhammad in the first frame. Jouban appears to catch Muhammad in the eye with an open hand twice in the first 90 seconds, but Muhammad doesn’t ask for a stoppage and Jouban apologizes immediately. Muhammad walks right into a big left hand from Jouban, momentarily knocking the UFC newcomer to the floor. Muhammad springs back to his feet and shoves Jouban against the fence with double underhooks. He switches to a single-leg but can’t wrestle Jouban to the floor, so the welterweights remain in the clinch, trading short punches inside. They split with 90 seconds on the clock and Muhammad comes forward again, his nose busted up from Jouban’s earlier shots. Jouban backpedals and keeps sticking his jab in Muhammad’s face as the final minute ticks down. Muhammad scores a late takedown and tries to attack but can’t do much before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Jouban
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Jouban
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Jouban

Round 3
Muhammad tries to close the gap by walking toward Jouban, but he winds up shooting for a takedown from way out. Jouban stuffs the shot and clinches with Muhammad, who turns him against the fence for a few seconds until they separate. Muhammad is showing some fatigue now, his hands dropping to his waist as he tries to get into striking range. Meanwhile, an equally tired Jouban stays on his back foot, fending off Muhammad with jabs, his back always near the fence. Muhammad is throwing with high volume and starting to connect with greater frequency, but Jouban is just eating every punch. Inside the final minute now, Muhammad is charging hard for the finish but still hasn’t managed to send Jouban to the mat. Jouban is still getting in a few licks, but he’s being badly outlanded down the stretch as he wobbles around the outside. Muhammad is still attacking with punches when the fight draws to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Muhammad (29-27 Jouban)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Muhammad (29-27 Jouban)
Mike Sloan scores the round 10-9 Muhammad (29-28 Jouban)

The Official Result
Alan Jouban def. Belal Muhammad via Unanimous Decision (29-27, 29-28, 28-27) R3 5:00
TKO (elbows and punches) R1 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir · Mar 20, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 0 8 of 17 47% 12 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Brendan O'Reilly 1 32 of 40 80% 37 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 0 8 of 17 47% 12 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Brendan O'Reilly 1 32 of 40 80% 37 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 8 of 17 47% 3 of 12 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 5 of 7 0 of 1
Brendan O'Reilly 32 of 40 80% 22 of 30 9 of 9 1 of 1 11 of 15 16 of 19 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 8 of 17 47% 3 of 12 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 5 of 7 0 of 1
Brendan O'Reilly 32 of 40 80% 22 of 30 9 of 9 1 of 1 11 of 15 16 of 19 5 of 6
Jared Gooden - Fight History
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 0 105 of 148 70% 162 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 0 9:16
Jared Gooden 0 20 of 50 40% 81 of 121 2 of 8 25% 1 0 2:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 21 of 28 75% 46 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Jared Gooden 0 3 of 5 60% 23 of 28 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:06
2 Chidi Njokuani 0 52 of 65 80% 67 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:15
Jared Gooden 0 11 of 27 40% 38 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Chidi Njokuani 0 32 of 55 58% 49 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
Jared Gooden 0 6 of 18 33% 20 of 36 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 105 of 148 70% 49 of 81 47 of 57 9 of 10 28 of 48 56 of 65 21 of 35
Jared Gooden 20 of 50 40% 13 of 37 5 of 10 2 of 3 14 of 42 5 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 21 of 28 75% 5 of 7 16 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 6 18 of 22 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 52 of 65 80% 20 of 29 24 of 27 8 of 9 16 of 25 36 of 40 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 11 of 27 40% 7 of 20 2 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Chidi Njokuani 32 of 55 58% 24 of 45 7 of 9 1 of 1 9 of 17 2 of 3 21 of 35
Jared Gooden 6 of 18 33% 5 of 14 1 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani, but with hesitation due to Njokuani's slow starts. He notes that Njokuani should dominate if he throws with more volume, but a slow start could be dangerous against Jared Gooden's early power. Angelo expects to be biting his nails in the first round but ultimately believes Njokuani is safe.

"I'm still going cheaty... I think he is safe but I'm gonna be biting my nails for the first five minutes."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden to win by second-round knockout. He criticizes Chidi Njokuani's brutal weight cut to welterweight, his poor performance against Rhys McKee, and his history of quitting when hurt. He notes Gooden is more durable and has more heart. Although Njokuani is the better striker with more power, Brady expects Gooden to weather the early storm and finish him in the second round. He thinks Njokuani's weight cut and tendency to look for a way out will be his downfall.

Gooden by second-round knockout
"give me good in to weather the early storm and get a finish in the second round by Knockouts"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Connor also picks Njokuani but is hesitant, noting that Gooden is tough and has a good chin, but his defensive flaws make him vulnerable. He compares the matchup to Njokuani's fight with Dusko Todorovic, where Njokuani landed a fight-ending elbow. Connor thinks Njokuani's opportunistic striking will find the mark, but he's not fully confident due to Njokuani's inconsistency.

Same odds commentary.
"I think probably a decent parallel for this matchup is maybe cheetie's fight with dusko todorovich. Here's a super hittable but very aggressive opponent."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani is slicker and has a height and reach advantage. At welterweight, this is a great spot for him as long as the weight cut doesn't drain his durability. He should keep Gooden's power punching at bay with kicks up the middle and straight shots, picking him apart and winning on the scorecards.

"look for kicks up the middle and straight shots down the pipe for Njokuani to keep Gooden at distance and from there he should be able to pick him apart and win this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his size, range, and athleticism. He notes that Njokuani has a better chance of a sudden finish than Jared Gooden, who he questions why is still in the UFC. He acknowledges Njokuani's inconsistent record but favors his ability to land a knockout out of nowhere.

"I'm going to go with chiding n jwani getting this one done long rangy sniper athletic more athletic than Jared Gooden"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Zane picks Njokuani but is hesitant because Njokuani is inconsistent and a pure opportunist. He notes that Gooden is hittable and aggressive, which should provide opportunities for Njokuani to land a knockout. However, Zane acknowledges that Njokuani can lose if he doesn't seize the moment or if Gooden's toughness carries him.

Njokuani opened at -196, now -196; Gooden opened at +138, now +138. Zane says the line shouldn't get wider.
"Cheaty in that fight. Yeah, I think he might just get a knockout bowl of opportunities. He will provide."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:11 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gooden 0 37 of 57 64% 46 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 53 of 83 63% 62 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gooden 0 27 of 44 61% 36 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 28 of 52 53% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jared Gooden 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 31 80% 29 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gooden 37 of 57 64% 27 of 47 2 of 2 8 of 8 32 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 53 of 83 63% 33 of 59 14 of 18 6 of 6 43 of 72 1 of 1 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gooden 27 of 44 61% 18 of 35 2 of 2 7 of 7 23 of 37 1 of 1 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 28 of 52 53% 9 of 30 13 of 16 6 of 6 28 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jared Gooden 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 31 80% 24 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 20 1 of 1 9 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady leans toward Jared Gooden as a dog, noting he doesn't think Wellington Turman should be such a big favorite. He favors Gooden's striking and power, and thinks Gooden's takedown defense is solid enough to stuff Turman's wrestling. He expects a close fight but picks Gooden by decision, though he's not confident enough to bet on it.

"I kind of lean the dog side there just because I don't feel like Wellington Turman should really be this big of a favorite against anybody"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman, agreeing that he mixes in takedowns and makes it ugly. He thinks Turman's size at welterweight helps his grappling. He notes Turman trains with top guys and this is a good matchup. He doesn't love the price but picks him.

"terman is the pick for me I think he mixes in the takedowns I think he makes it a little bit uglier"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Lucrative James picks Wellington Turman, stating that despite Turman's inconsistent fight IQ and chin issues, he has too many advantages to lose. He notes Turman's decent striking and grappling skills, and believes he can win by decision or submission. He acknowledges Jared Gooden's power but thinks Turman's overall game will prevail.

potential submission if fight goes to the mat
"overall I think Wellington terman has too many advantages to lose the fight consistently so I'm going with Wellington terman to get the win probably by decision potentially could get a submission if the fight gets to the mat"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Turman is a BJJ black belt with improving striking, and he should be able to take Gooden down and dominate on the ground. Gooden is a power striker with a developing ground game, but he has shown weakness when taken down and has weight-cutting issues. Turman is expected to be competitive on the feet before changing levels and securing a submission victory.

submission victory predicted
"I'm going to go Wellington tman here and I think he wins this fight like I said by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul picks Turman, citing his youth, move to welterweight, and training with Glover Teixeira. He thinks Turman's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Gooden's takedown defense is poor and Turman can mix in wrestling. He doesn't love the price but thinks Turman wins more often than not.

"I think Wellington terman just mixes in Blends it in up together a little bit better and gets the win it's the minus 185 I don't like this price tag Paul I don't"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The MMA Guru picks Wellington Turman, impressed by his striking improvements under Alex Pereira's tutelage. He notes Turman arguably beat Randy Brown in his last fight and believes he can replicate that performance against Jared Gooden. He sees Turman as the more improving fighter at 27 years old and expects him to win.

"I'm going with Wellington Turman... in his last fight with Randy Brown he looked like Alex Pereira out there... I really like the improvements in his striking."
LOSS vs Carlston Harris
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlston Harris 0 63 of 110 57% 140 of 194 5 of 12 41% 0 0 9:38
Jared Gooden 0 51 of 84 60% 93 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlston Harris 0 43 of 84 51% 44 of 85 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
Jared Gooden 0 44 of 71 61% 53 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Carlston Harris 0 7 of 10 70% 47 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:44
Jared Gooden 0 4 of 6 66% 28 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlston Harris 0 13 of 16 81% 49 of 55 4 of 8 50% 0 0 4:41
Jared Gooden 0 3 of 7 42% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlston Harris 63 of 110 57% 52 of 99 10 of 10 1 of 1 35 of 74 11 of 15 17 of 21
Jared Gooden 51 of 84 60% 22 of 49 21 of 27 8 of 8 41 of 74 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlston Harris 43 of 84 51% 34 of 75 8 of 8 1 of 1 33 of 70 10 of 14 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 44 of 71 61% 20 of 42 17 of 22 7 of 7 39 of 66 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Carlston Harris 7 of 10 70% 5 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 9
Jared Gooden 4 of 6 66% 0 of 1 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 3 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Carlston Harris 13 of 16 81% 13 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 12
Jared Gooden 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gooden (177: Missed Weight) vs. Carlston Harris
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Harris (-300), Gooden (+250)

Round 1
The UFC is holed up in Las Vegas this weekend for another Fight Night card, but not where you’d expect. Instead of the Apex or the T-Mobile Arena, the promotion will make its debut inside of the Theater at Virgin Hotels, which seats over 4,000 – some may remember it as called “The Joint” in years past. Fans will be cheering throughout this 13-fight event, and it begins with an unplanned catchweight contest now set at 177 pounds. Harris (17-5, 2-1 UFC) expected to face a member of the Nurmagomedov clan, but on short notice, he now welcomes Gooden (22-8, 1-3 UFC) back to the promotion. The latter was unable to make the 171-pound limit, and even though he checked in a whopping six pounds heavy, the fight is still on. Referee Keith Peterson will boot out nonsense from this new venue in the first fight of the night, and there is no touch of gloves to get things started from the fighters. The two test one another’s range early with long, lunging single strikes. Gooden sits down on a hard leg kick, and Harris catches his foe with his hands low with a two-hook combo. Harris swings so hard he almost hits the deck, and Gooden does not take advantage of this and lets him clinch up instead. They separate, and Harris lets fly a head kick that careens off the shoulder. “Mocambique” dings his opponent with a few sharp strikes, as Gooden’s hands are by his waist, but Gooden seems no worse for wear and steps in with a left hand. Harris pushes out a jab and a follow-up leg kick, and Gooden replies with a heavier low kick. They jab at the same time, and Harris follows one with a left hand that backs Gooden off. Harris wings a right hand that cracks “Nite Train” behind the ear, and Gooden wobbles but does not pick his guard up. Harris’ right hook collides with a few more oddly arcing overhand rights, and Gooden walks through them and tries to counter with a huge left hook. Harris nails Gooden with a few punches, and Gooden takes them on the chin and side of the dome without budging. Harris shoots in for a takedown in the center of the cage, and when that is stuffed, he blasts Gooden in the nose with a knee. Harris stands in the pocket and unloads with a haymaker of a right, and Gooden blinks it out but does not seem overly concerned. Harris swings for the bleachers with most of his blows, and they are already beginning to slow with a minute remaining in the opening frame. Harris sticks a jab, and Gooden answers him with two back. Gooden comes over the top with a right, and it has a near tomahawk motion than a typical right hook angle. Harris nails Gooden with a standing elbow, and he unloads with a combination of heavy blows to the head that rock Gooden and drive him back to the wall. The horn sounds as the two are clinched.
Advertisement

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Harris
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Harris
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harris

Round 2
The second round opens up with a low kick from Gooden, and Harris shoots in for a double-leg takedown. “Nite Train” stands him up although he gets pushed back to the wall, and Harris tries for trips on the inside as Gooden talks to him. Harris redoubles his effort, and he manages to scoop Gooden’s legs out and dump him on the mat. Harris moves to half guard as soon as he hits the ground, and he actively works with ground-and-pound from on top. The punches and elbows are not individually damaging, but they stay busy and stave off the watchful Peterson from a possible standup. Harris lays down flat on top of his man, and he softens up the ribs with a series of unanswered, thudding right hands. Gooden prevents any guard passing even when absorbing elbows on the face, and he start throwing punches off his back. Gooden sits up, and Harris welcomes this and snatches up a guillotine choke in a hurry. Gooden moves to his knees while in submission danger, doing enough to fight the hands and preventing the choke from cinching up. As Harris holds on, he pushes Gooden down to his back again, and he squeezes his forearm on the throat and elbows Gooden until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Harris
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Harris
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harris

Round 3
The final round kicks off with an aggressive Gooden, who marches out of his corner and swings heavily. Harris takes a few punches before jumping on a leaning Gooden to push him down to the ground on his face. Gooden looks to defend himself from a potential choke setup, but in the process, Harris circles around to take his back and drag him to the canvas. Harris jumps over to the mount position in pursuit of an arm-triangle choke, only for a Gooden buck to break up the choke. Harris postures up while still mounting his man, and he rains down punches and elbows that bounce Gooden’s head off the mat. Gooden scoots his way to the wall, and Harris lets him off the hook and tries to take his back on the way up. Gooden shucks him off, but Harris turns around to drop down for a single-leg takedown. Gooden stands him up and knees him in the upper chest, and Harris powerfully replies by wrenching Gooden’s feet off the floor and chucking him to the mat. Gooden lands on his backside with a disappointed look on his face, but he still powers his way back up to his feet before Harris can drill him with any strikes. Gooden breaks free from a tie-up, and he throws hands recklessly in hopes of catching Harris on the way in. Harris rings his bell with a fierce jab and shoots for a double, and he succeeds in grounding “Nite Train.” Gooden looks to keep his back against the cage to possibly wall-walk, and Harris slides around the side and back to try to take it. Gooden explodes out of the inopportune position, and Harris doggedly pursues doubles or any kind of takedown he can find. On his second try, while Gooden is halfway to escaping, Harris trips his legs up and throws him to the canvas. Harris climbs into half guard and lets loose with a stream of elbows, and he lumps Gooden’s head up with strikes right to the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Harris (30-27 Harris)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Harris (30-27 Harris)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harris (30-27 Harris)

The Official Result
Carlston Harris def. Jared Gooden via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Angelo picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov (Jared Gooden) as the aggressive wrestler who will lay on top of the older, slower Carlston Harris. He expects a boring but effective performance, with Nurmagomedov controlling the fight with takedowns and top pressure. He is surprised Nurmagomedov is the underdog and considers a moneyline bet at plus money.

money line bet at plus money
"I like the Margaret Madoff here I'm surprised that he's the underdog... he should be a wet blanket here just boring as [ __ ] and he's just gonna lay on top of the older slower Carlson hair so the …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos (note: transcript says Ramos vs Lingo, but fight_id 1327 is Harris vs Gooden; however the transcript discusses Ramos vs Lingo, which is not on the card. This appears to be a mismatch. Based on the transcript, the fight discussed is Ramos vs Lingo, but that fight is not in the fight list. I will skip this as it doesn't match any fight_id. Actually, the transcript mentions 'Ricardo Ramos going against Austin lingo' but that fight is not in the provided card. So I will not include it.)

CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Connor picks Harris confidently, noting that Gooden is a stiff, upright striker who gets hurt early in fights and has poor head movement. Harris is a powerful, dynamic wrestler-striker who will pressure Gooden and take him down. He expects Harris to overwhelm Gooden with pace and power, likely leading to a finish.

Harris -260, Gooden +220. Connor notes the fight was made on short notice.
"I would pick Carlson Harris pretty much forever here. Gooden is the definition of a stock stiff upright striker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

I think Gooden's discipline and jab from distance, combined with timely takedowns, will allow him to grind out a decision. Harris is dangerous early with submissions and power, but if Gooden can survive the initial onslaught and avoid the front choke, he should take over. Gooden's performance against Harris showed he can implement a smart game plan. I expect a decision win for Gooden.

Gooden by decision
"if normaga Madoff can stay safe not have a slip up like he had in the David zavada fight he should be able to grind out this fight and I think he should be able to win this one by …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

The MMA Guru picks Carlston Harris, citing his finishing ability as a key advantage. He notes that Harris has a massive finishing edge over Abubakar Nurmagomedov, who tends to win by decision. Harris has shown KO and submission finishes, while Nurmagomedov lacks finishing ability and has been submitted before. The Guru trusts Harris to get the job done, likely by finish.

"I'm trusting in carlston Harris with the finishing ability Advantage"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Zane picks Harris, agreeing that Gooden's stiff striking and tendency to get hit will be exploited by Harris's power and wrestling. He notes that Harris is an awkward but powerful fighter who can maintain a high pace, and Gooden has historically struggled against aggressive opponents. He expects Harris to win by decision or late TKO.

"Carlson Harris is a weird fighter to prepare for, the kind of guy who seems like a mess and then in the cage his speed and power suddenly jump out at you."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 09, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 115 of 235 48% 117 of 237 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Jared Gooden 0 81 of 156 51% 87 of 162 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 28 of 60 46% 28 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Jared Gooden 0 25 of 51 49% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
2 Randy Brown 0 37 of 88 42% 37 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Randy Brown 0 50 of 87 57% 52 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Jared Gooden 0 26 of 58 44% 31 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 115 of 235 48% 81 of 196 25 of 29 9 of 10 109 of 227 5 of 7 1 of 1
Jared Gooden 81 of 156 51% 19 of 76 27 of 36 35 of 44 78 of 151 3 of 3 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 28 of 60 46% 17 of 47 6 of 7 5 of 6 27 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 25 of 51 49% 4 of 20 7 of 12 14 of 19 25 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 37 of 88 42% 25 of 73 9 of 12 3 of 3 37 of 87 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 30 of 47 63% 7 of 21 9 of 11 14 of 15 30 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 50 of 87 57% 39 of 76 10 of 10 1 of 1 45 of 82 4 of 4 1 of 1
Jared Gooden 26 of 58 44% 8 of 35 11 of 13 7 of 10 23 of 53 3 of 3 0 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his superior skill set in all MMA aspects. He notes Brown's range, long jabs, and kicks, and his ability to avoid Gooden's power. He expects Brown to control distance and pick up the pace after a cautious first round. He has no bet on this fight.

"Randy's should be the more skilled fighter in literally every MMA aspect."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Randy Brown based on volume and technical striking. He highlights Brown's improvements, his jab, reach, and ability to stay on the outside. He notes Gooden doesn't pull the trigger enough and Brown's experience against tougher competition gives him the edge. He expects Brown to use his range and eventually overwhelm Gooden with volume.

"i think i'm gonna go with randy brown on the basis of the volume"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel Levi is openly biased because Jared Gooden is a close friend. He acknowledges Randy Brown's length and skills but believes Gooden has a path to victory by attacking Brown's legs early, as shown by Vicente Luque and Belal Muhammad. He notes Gooden's improved boxing and discipline, and his experience against taller opponents. Levi admits the pick is biased but still sees a realistic path for Gooden to win.

low kicks early
"i'm picking jared gooden because i would never pick against them it's a biased pick it is what it is i'm honest about it"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Jacob picks Randy Brown but is heavily rooting for Jared Gooden because he accidentally placed a 4-unit bet on Gooden instead of Jared Gordon last week. He thinks Brown is the more diverse fighter and should win, but he needs Gooden to win for his bet. He has a personal stake in Gooden winning.

Jared Gooden money line (4 units, accidentally placed)
"Jared Gooden, please, for the love of God, you got to win, man. You got to win. I got four units on you."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

The host picks Jared Gooden as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He highlights Gooden's leg kicks as a key weapon against Randy Brown, who has historically struggled with leg kicks (e.g., against Vicente Luque and Alex Oliveira). He notes Gooden's heavy-handed style and ability to find a knockout, predicting a first-round KO. He also suggests live betting Brown if one prefers him.

Gooden by KO +400; first round knockout
"I am going to go with goodin for the upset here at plus 400 via ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Brown's technical striking and reach advantage. He mentions Brown's submission skills and experience against top names. He notes the price is steep but believes Brown's game plan and experience in the co-main event spot make him the clear pick.

"i'm with you as well um much more a better technical striker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown to win by unanimous decision (29-28). He believes Brown is taller, rangier, and better than Gooden, who he criticizes for losing to part-time fighters. He notes Brown's submission win over Wale Alves and decision over Brian Barbarena as evidence.

Brown by unanimous decision
"i'm going to go over andy brown here he's taller he's rangier he's much better than jared gooden... i reckon randy brown is going to win this one by unanimous decision"
WIN vs Niklas Stolze
KO (punch) R1 1:08 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gooden 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Niklas Stolze 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gooden 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Niklas Stolze 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gooden 7 of 13 53% 4 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Niklas Stolze 14 of 23 60% 11 of 17 0 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gooden 7 of 13 53% 4 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Niklas Stolze 14 of 23 60% 11 of 17 0 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden, despite being burned by him before. He thinks Gooden is the better striker with higher volume and can mix in takedowns. He notes Stolze has poor takedown defense but is dangerous off his back. Brady predicts a decision win for Gooden, but is not confident.

"i'll go manila says here am i going to bed i'm absolutely not but i do think he can win the striking exchanges higher volume i think he's a better striker as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Niklas Stolze

Cody leans towards Niklas Stolze, citing his durability (never finished) and likely better cardio since he had a full camp. He notes that Gooden is on short notice and has a history of missing weight and gassing. Cody expects Stolze to out-grapple Gooden and win a close decision, but he does not like the -200 price and thinks the fight likely goes the distance. He mentions the over on fight goes to decision as a potential play.

Cody mentions the fight goes to decision prop at -170, and suggests the over is likely.
"i can see him getting out grappled by a lot of the guys in the division i just don't necessarily know that jared gooden's one of them and if jericho doesn't have 15 minutes of cardio to push a pace …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Jared Gooden

Levi is biased as Gooden is a friend, but he provides reasoning. He praises Gooden's lifestyle change and ability to make weight on short notice. He believes this is a stand-up fight where Gooden can succeed, unlike his previous fight against Nurmagomedov. Levi disagrees with the line (Stolze -200), thinking the fight is closer to even with a slight lean to Gooden. He expects Gooden to go for the knockout and get his first UFC win.

Disagrees with the line; thinks it should be closer to even.
"I just disagree with the line uh oddsmakers open at minus 130 good and they slightly edge in look I think it's an even fight with a slight lean on good"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Niklas Stolze

Stolze is the better all-around fighter with superior grappling and striking. Gooden has power but comes in on short notice and has cardio issues. Stolze had a full camp and should take over as the fight goes on. The line at -195 offers little value, but Stolze by decision is likely. Gooden's only path is an early KO.

Stolze by decision
"I like Stolze I like Stolze by decision no big lean or read in this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Paul considers Jared Gooden as a live underdog, noting his power and durability. He points out that Gooden has heart and has gone the distance before, but his cardio is a major concern, especially on short notice. Paul is not confident enough to bet Gooden but acknowledges he could spring the upset if he lands a big shot. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i can see spamming an underdog pick just me personally i don't like spamming underdog picks i like having confidence and i truly believe deep down just run this 100 times that my guy wins 51 like i gotta have …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

The MMA Guru initially picks Niklas Stolze but then switches to Jared Gooden, expressing hesitation. He notes that Gooden's win over Abdurazak Hassan is his only good win, and that Stolze has been more tested. However, he ultimately goes with Gooden, citing a striking advantage and that Stolze's recent opponents were on losing streaks. He is tainted by Gooden's loss to Wale Alves via body kicks.

"i'll go with muni lazers... he has beaten some good opponents"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 43 of 136 31% 111 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 60 of 120 50% 100 of 164 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 14 of 49 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 17 of 62 27% 17 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 30 of 63 47% 30 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 12 of 25 48% 80 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 7 of 15 46% 47 of 59 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 43 of 136 31% 30 of 110 12 of 25 1 of 1 35 of 127 3 of 3 5 of 6
Jared Gooden 60 of 120 50% 45 of 105 9 of 9 6 of 6 56 of 115 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 14 of 49 28% 12 of 42 2 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 23 of 42 54% 12 of 31 7 of 7 4 of 4 22 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 17 of 62 27% 9 of 47 7 of 14 1 of 1 17 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 30 of 63 47% 28 of 61 1 of 1 1 of 1 27 of 60 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 12 of 25 48% 9 of 21 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 17 2 of 2 5 of 6
Jared Gooden 7 of 15 46% 5 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by dominant decision (30-27). He believes Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be the key, as Gooden can be taken down and controlled easily. He notes that Gooden has submissions on his record but thinks Nurmagomedov will avoid playing on the feet. However, he says he probably wouldn't bet the -235 line due to Nurmagomedov's mistakes in his last fight.

Nurmagomedov by decision 30-27
"i'm gonna take nirmangamedev to be good in here ... i'm gonna say your magametto beats goodin 30 27"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Cody leans towards Gooden as a live underdog, noting that Abubakar's price is inflated by his last name. He thinks Gooden has better striking and a reach advantage, and that Abubakar's chin is questionable. He is considering a play on Gooden but wants to see weigh-ins first.

Gooden by submission +1200 (considered)
"jared gooden at that price plus 205. and it keeps growing that's that's probably what we're doing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel Levi picks Jared Gooden to get his first UFC win. He acknowledges Gooden's struggles with wrestlers but believes he has worked tirelessly to patch that hole in his game at ATT. Levi criticizes Abubakar as a lesser version of the Dagestani style with no stand-up and a questionable chin. He thinks Gooden will get back to his feet and knock Abubakar out.

knockout
"i think that saturday night he's finally going to get over that wrestler hump finally you know get back up to his feet and knock this guy out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The host hesitantly picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He notes that Abubakar has a 'Nurmagomedov tax' on his line and is not impressed with his grappling or cardio. He thinks Abubakar will struggle to get Gooden down and keep him there, but Gooden's cardio and durability are also question marks. He mentions Gooden's KO power at +650 as a potential sprinkle, but ultimately expects Abubakar to grind out a decision if he can get takedowns.

Jared Gooden KO +650 (sprinkle); under 2.5 (+155) is a possibility
"I'll go with abubakar to win by decision... not the most confident"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Paul leans towards Abubakar but thinks the price is way off. He notes that Abubakar has good wrestling and cardio, and that Gooden is hittable. However, he is not confident because Abubakar's chin is suspect and he has been knocked out before. He calls it a dogger pass situation.

"i think i'm gonna end up taking nurmagomedov but the price is way off at 240"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision, citing his takedown advantage and better competition. He criticizes Jared Gooden's takedown defense and lack of impressive wins. He expects a sloppy fight with Nurmagomedov dictating the pace with wrestling, taking Gooden down whenever it gets risky on the feet. He notes Nurmagomedov is the worst of the Nurmagomedovs but still good enough to win.

"i'm going to go with abba kabanermedov i think he's going to have a real advantage here in the takedowns"
LOSS vs Alan Jouban
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Jouban 0 168 of 331 50% 169 of 332 0 of 1 0% 2 1 0:10
Jared Gooden 0 100 of 210 47% 101 of 211 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Jouban 0 41 of 96 42% 41 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gooden 0 33 of 71 46% 33 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alan Jouban 0 71 of 126 56% 72 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jared Gooden 0 35 of 72 48% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Alan Jouban 0 56 of 109 51% 56 of 109 0 of 1 0% 2 1 0:04
Jared Gooden 0 32 of 67 47% 33 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Jouban 168 of 331 50% 116 of 262 39 of 55 13 of 14 150 of 305 18 of 26 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 100 of 210 47% 79 of 182 21 of 27 0 of 1 90 of 195 10 of 14 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Jouban 41 of 96 42% 29 of 80 11 of 15 1 of 1 35 of 87 6 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 33 of 71 46% 24 of 60 9 of 11 0 of 0 28 of 65 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alan Jouban 71 of 126 56% 46 of 94 17 of 24 8 of 8 65 of 117 6 of 9 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 35 of 72 48% 27 of 61 8 of 11 0 of 0 32 of 68 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Alan Jouban 56 of 109 51% 41 of 88 11 of 16 4 of 5 50 of 101 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 32 of 67 47% 28 of 61 4 of 5 0 of 1 30 of 62 2 of 4 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden to win by first-round knockout. He notes Jouban is 38 and has chin issues, while Gooden is younger and packs power. He thinks the small cage helps Gooden close distance, but if Gooden doesn't finish early, he may slow down.

first round knockout
"i'm going to take good in my first round knock i'm going to take the dog here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel picks his friend Jared Gooden, citing his forward pressure, volume striking, and youth advantage. He believes Jouban is aging and his chin is diminishing, and that Gooden's improved mindset and training will lead to a first-round knockout. He dismisses criticism of Gooden's past losses as due to weight class issues.

first round knockout, 50k bonus
"i think jared comes out here i think he knocks out alan juban in the first round i think he gets a 50k bonus"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Alan Jouban

The host picks Alan Jouban but is not confident due to his age (38) and layoff. He thinks Jouban's durability is underrated and he has more ways to win, but is scared of the layoff and the hungry newcomer. He recommends staying away from betting this fight.

"my official pick is going to be Alan Joan but by no means am I confident in it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gooden to win by KO in the first round. He cites Jouban's long layoff (since April 2019), age (38), and history of being KO'd. Gooden is younger, more active, and has power. He expects Gooden to crack Jouban early.

ko in the first round
"i think he's going to get ko stiff in the first round by jared gooden"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady picks Jared Gooden to win by first-round knockout. He notes Jouban is 38 and has chin issues, while Gooden is younger and packs power. He thinks the small cage helps Gooden close distance, but if Gooden doesn't finish early, he may slow down.

first round knockout
"i'm going to take good in my first round knock i'm going to take the dog here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel picks his friend Jared Gooden, citing his forward pressure, volume striking, and youth advantage. He believes Jouban is aging and his chin is diminishing, and that Gooden's improved mindset and training will lead to a first-round knockout. He dismisses criticism of Gooden's past losses as due to weight class issues.

first round knockout, 50k bonus
"i think jared comes out here i think he knocks out alan juban in the first round i think he gets a 50k bonus"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Alan Jouban

The host picks Alan Jouban but is not confident due to his age (38) and layoff. He thinks Jouban's durability is underrated and he has more ways to win, but is scared of the layoff and the hungry newcomer. He recommends staying away from betting this fight.

"my official pick is going to be Alan Joan but by no means am I confident in it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

The MMA Guru picks Jared Gooden to win by KO in the first round. He cites Jouban's long layoff (since April 2019), age (38), and history of being KO'd. Gooden is younger, more active, and has power. He expects Gooden to crack Jouban early.

ko in the first round
"i think he's going to get ko stiff in the first round by jared gooden"