UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
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Age 37
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 40
Height 5' 6"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jennifer Maia
4.35 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.52 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.42 TD Avg
27.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joanne Wood
7.1 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.89 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.52 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Jennifer Maia - Fight History
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 41 of 101 40% 60 of 126 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:25
Jennifer Maia 0 24 of 46 52% 64 of 100 2 of 6 33% 1 0 7:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 24 of 58 41% 28 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Viviane Araújo 0 0 of 5 0% 8 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 2 of 2 100% 24 of 35 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:35
3 Viviane Araújo 0 17 of 38 44% 24 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:25
Jennifer Maia 0 8 of 14 57% 26 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 41 of 101 40% 29 of 87 2 of 4 10 of 10 31 of 88 10 of 13 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 24 of 46 52% 15 of 36 4 of 5 5 of 5 22 of 43 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 24 of 58 41% 15 of 48 2 of 3 7 of 7 21 of 54 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 14 of 30 46% 8 of 23 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Viviane Araújo 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Viviane Araújo 17 of 38 44% 14 of 34 0 of 1 3 of 3 10 of 29 7 of 9 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 8 of 14 57% 5 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Angelo is very confident in Jennifer Maia, calling her at -141 a great deal. He thinks she is better everywhere except raw takedowns, and expects her to weather Araújo's early storm, take over striking, and win a decision due to superior cardio. He already placed a unit on her and expects the line to widen.

Already placed 1 unit at -141
"Jennifer mayia at minus 141 is a great deal I think she dominates this fight great deal I already have a unit on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo with little confidence. He likes her striking and wrestling advantage early, but worries about her poor cardio and durability. He expects Araújo to win the first round, Maia the third, and the fight to go to a close decision that could be affected by judges.

"I'm going to take Vivan aruu here with little to no confidence it's hard to have confidence in somebody with no cardio"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Cody picks Araújo, citing her superior speed and technique. He notes that at her best, she is faster and cleaner than Maia, and can mix in takedowns to steal rounds. He acknowledges her past cardio issues but believes she has corrected them in recent fights, pointing to her performances against Andrea Lee and Alexa Grasso. He expects a 15-minute fight and thinks Araújo can win two of three rounds.

"I'll take Viviane Araújo"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The host picks Jennifer Maia, citing her superior experience, cardio, and ability to withstand Araújo's early striking. He expects Maia to take over in the second and third rounds, possibly using takedowns to wear on Araújo. He predicts a decision win for Maia.

"give me Maya here I think she uh again after I close first round she should should start to pull away in the second and third rounds where she should be able to get her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Paul leans towards Maia based on her high volume in recent fights (109 and 145 significant strikes). He acknowledges Araújo's takedown threat but notes that judges now require control time and damage from top position. He expects a close decision and thinks Maia's volume will edge it. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds at -450 as a potential play.

Over 2.5 rounds at -450
"I'll lean towards Jennifer Maia just based on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Viviane Araújo. He thinks Maia has better boxing and is scrappier. He notes Araújo is on a two-fight losing streak and didn't look good against Amanda Ribas, while Maia is on a two-fight winning streak, including a win over Casey O'Neill. He expects a decision win for Maia, calling it a coin flip but leaning her way due to momentum.

decision
"I'm going to go with Jennifer Meer over Vivian arajo I think she's got way better boxing"
WIN vs Casey O'Neill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 145 of 349 41% 151 of 355 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:23
Casey O'Neill 0 137 of 264 51% 137 of 264 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 47 of 113 41% 48 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Casey O'Neill 0 43 of 96 44% 43 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 51 of 119 42% 55 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Casey O'Neill 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 47 of 117 40% 48 of 118 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:56
Casey O'Neill 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 145 of 349 41% 123 of 321 11 of 16 11 of 12 124 of 321 21 of 28 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 137 of 264 51% 108 of 226 24 of 32 5 of 6 129 of 254 8 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 47 of 113 41% 37 of 101 4 of 6 6 of 6 43 of 108 4 of 5 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 43 of 96 44% 35 of 85 7 of 9 1 of 2 41 of 93 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 51 of 119 42% 44 of 109 3 of 5 4 of 5 46 of 112 5 of 7 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 47 of 84 55% 36 of 70 8 of 11 3 of 3 45 of 82 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 47 of 117 40% 42 of 111 4 of 5 1 of 1 35 of 101 12 of 16 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 47 of 84 55% 37 of 71 9 of 12 1 of 1 43 of 79 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Angelo picks Casey O'Neill but is not betting. He thinks O'Neill will come forward with volume and wrestling, but her takedown defense was exposed against Roxanne. He notes Jennifer Maia is well-rounded and tough, and could cause problems if she gets takedowns. He expects a close fight.

"I do think Casey O'Neal wins this could be a Casey O'Neill special where she'll come forward tons of volume and then wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Big Brady picks O'Neill, noting Maia refuses to wrestle despite being a black belt. He believes if Maia went for takedowns she would win, but she won't. On the feet, O'Neill has higher output and will win a decision. He is not a big fan of O'Neill but likes her stylistically here.

"I'm gonna take uh Casey O'Neill here to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Cody picks Maia as an underdog, citing the 'dog or pass' strategy in women's MMA. He notes O'Neill is young, green, and pushed too fast, while Maia is a veteran who fought for a title. He thinks Maia's experience and clinch strength could be factors, but acknowledges O'Neill's wrestling and top control are threats. He expects to lose but trusts the long-term underdog strategy.

"I think I'm gonna take Jennifer Maya will I lose this one because I'm taking the underdog now yeah probably but long term Pac-Man strategy has been the most effective strategy I've ever seen"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

Connor picks Maia because she is a tough, durable fighter who is difficult to take down off the cage. He notes that Maia has improved her boxing and aggression, landing left hooks and combinations. O'Neill relies on size and aggression but has poor defense and footwork. Connor thinks Maia's defensive wrestling and low center of gravity will neutralize O'Neill's takedowns. He also mentions that O'Neill's wild style leaves openings that Maia can exploit with straight punches.

Maia opened +135, currently +147; O'Neill opened -155, currently -178
"I just don't think Maya leaves enough open."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Jacob is a big fan of Casey O'Neill and picks her to win a close decision. He thinks her experience against Roxanne prepared her for a similar pressure fighter in Maia. He notes O'Neill has a bad [__] in the octagon and will find a way to win in a close fight. He expects a 29-28 decision.

"I like uh King Casey all day every day in a close fight she's a bad [__] man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

O'Neill is coming back from a devastating knee injury but is young and trains at a high level. Maia is a BJJ black belt who prefers striking, and her experience could be a factor. O'Neill's strength and aggression should allow her to grind out a decision, but there are many question marks. No betting interest at the current line.

"I have no interest in putting money on Casey O'Neal as a you know a moderate favorite in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Paul picks O'Neill but is hesitant. He notes O'Neill's grappling advantage and thinks she can win on volume and takedowns. However, he points out O'Neill didn't look great against Roxanne Modafferi and struggled early against Antonina Shevchenko. He thinks minus 180 is too high and prefers O'Neill over 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks. He says it will be dicey and your butt will be puckered until the final bell.

Casey O'Neill over 2.5 takedowns (PrizePicks)
"I'm gonna take Casey O'Neill but like I minus 180 I don't want to get involved because I think there will be some really really greasy spots"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Casey O'Neill, going against the majority. He notes O'Neill looked suspect against Roxanne Modafferi and gets caught on the feet, while Maia has crisp boxing and a good submission game. Maia has gone the distance with Valentina Shevchenko and given problems to top fighters. He believes Maia is underrated and O'Neill is overhyped as a prospect.

Maia is a big underdog (juicy underdog)
"I'm gonna go with Jennifer Meyer here I think this is pretty 50 50 but I'm leaning in the direction of Jennifer Meyer"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

Zane also picks Maia, noting that O'Neill is a prospect who has beaten lower-level competition. Maia is a gatekeeper who has only lost to title challengers. Zane highlights Maia's improved boxing and her ability to stuff takedowns, especially off the cage. He thinks O'Neill's takedowns are low-drive and will be neutralized. Zane also points out that O'Neill's defensive flaws will be exposed by Maia's steady output. He believes the odds should be reversed and that Maia is the better fighter.

Maia opened +135, currently +147; O'Neill opened -155, currently -178
"Maya is a... she's clearly the gatekeeper in this matchup and a more proven fighter than O'Neill."
WIN vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 109 of 253 43% 117 of 261 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maryna Moroz 0 80 of 272 29% 84 of 276 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 58 51% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 61 21% 13 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 110 37% 41 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 41 of 114 35% 41 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 38 of 85 44% 40 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 97 26% 30 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 109 of 253 43% 84 of 224 14 of 18 11 of 11 101 of 242 8 of 11 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 80 of 272 29% 55 of 237 14 of 23 11 of 12 78 of 269 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 30 of 58 51% 23 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 4 28 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 13 of 61 21% 9 of 52 4 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 41 of 110 37% 34 of 102 4 of 5 3 of 3 41 of 109 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 41 of 114 35% 26 of 96 7 of 10 8 of 8 41 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 38 of 85 44% 27 of 73 7 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 77 6 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 26 of 97 26% 20 of 89 3 of 4 3 of 4 25 of 95 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Manon Fiorot
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manon Fiorot 0 37 of 121 30% 56 of 141 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Jennifer Maia 0 83 of 138 60% 101 of 157 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 68 50% 34 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Manon Fiorot 0 5 of 20 25% 23 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
Jennifer Maia 0 19 of 24 79% 37 of 43 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:12
3 Manon Fiorot 0 16 of 44 36% 17 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 46 65% 30 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manon Fiorot 37 of 121 30% 23 of 103 9 of 13 5 of 5 30 of 111 6 of 9 1 of 1
Jennifer Maia 83 of 138 60% 40 of 91 24 of 28 19 of 19 76 of 131 2 of 2 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manon Fiorot 16 of 57 28% 9 of 48 5 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 53 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 34 of 68 50% 13 of 46 11 of 12 10 of 10 32 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Manon Fiorot 5 of 20 25% 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1
Jennifer Maia 19 of 24 79% 13 of 18 3 of 3 3 of 3 14 of 19 0 of 0 5 of 5
3 Manon Fiorot 16 of 44 36% 9 of 35 4 of 6 3 of 3 13 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 30 of 46 65% 14 of 27 10 of 13 6 of 6 30 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manon Fiorot vs. Jennifer Maia

Round 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.

"i like manafort to come in here throw hands get the job done so mayna ferreau is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.

Manon Fiorot wins by decision
"You gotta go fiora here... I will take man if you were to win I'll take her to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision
"i think that fioro fights the exact same game plan"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

Fiorot by decision, pass on betting due to price
"I think that this is one more on the win column for the hot prospect manon fiore"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.

Fiorot inside the distance
"i think fyro is worth the minus 400 shock in this spot because i think she'll do a good job in terms of keeping this fight standing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision
"i see fioro winning a a very convincing 30-27 decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.

"i'm gonna go with man on fiora over jessica i or jennifer meyer"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 72 of 177 40% 81 of 188 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:34
Jennifer Maia 0 52 of 171 30% 60 of 180 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 16 of 41 39% 24 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Jennifer Maia 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 20 of 51 39% 21 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Jennifer Maia 0 15 of 49 30% 17 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 36 of 85 42% 36 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jennifer Maia 0 23 of 90 25% 24 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 72 of 177 40% 44 of 136 21 of 32 7 of 9 68 of 171 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 52 of 171 30% 31 of 143 5 of 8 16 of 20 48 of 167 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 16 of 41 39% 8 of 32 6 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 14 of 32 43% 7 of 23 1 of 1 6 of 8 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Katlyn Cerminara 20 of 51 39% 10 of 35 8 of 13 2 of 3 17 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 15 of 49 30% 9 of 40 2 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 46 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Katlyn Cerminara 36 of 85 42% 26 of 69 7 of 12 3 of 4 36 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 23 of 90 25% 15 of 80 2 of 3 6 of 7 22 of 89 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Angelo picks Cerminara based on her volume and pace, referencing their first fight where she outstruck Maia even while on her back for half a round. He expects Maia to grapple more but believes Cerminara's takedown defense and striking output will win another decision.

"caitlyn chicago's the pick i think this fight looks very similar to the first fight with a little more emphasis on grappling from maya"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Big Brady expects the fight to play out similarly to their first meeting, with Cerminara using her reach and staying on the outside to outpoint Maia. He criticizes Maia's fight IQ, noting she rarely shoots takedowns despite having good grappling. He thinks Maia could win if she wrestles but does not trust her to do so. He picks Cerminara by decision but is not touching the moneyline due to the close nature of the fight.

"jimmy choo kagan by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Cody picks Chookagian, highlighting her volume, speed, and improved grappling since the first fight. He doubts Maia's ability to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan, noting Maia's takedown success is overblown. He expects Chookagian to win by decision, likely 30-27 or 29-28. He recommends the decision prop at -120.

Chookagian by decision at -120 on DraftKings
"the minus 180 price tag yeah it doesn't look great but by decision which is where this is very likely headed that doesn't look bad to me whatsoever"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Daniel Levi leans toward Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) but is not confident. He notes that Chookagian's volume and movement at distance will likely edge two rounds, but Maia has a path to victory if she implements her grappling earlier. He mentions Maia's top control and that she won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. Levi thinks the line should be closer and could see Maia winning, but ultimately leans Chookagian.

"i would lean chew kegen to edge two rounds but like it's not gonna surprise me one bit if maya comes out here with a better game plan"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Cerminara's stick-and-move style frustrated Maia. He believes Cerminara's range and movement will be too much for Maia, who hasn't shown significant improvement since their last bout. He notes Maia's takedown success in the third round of their first fight but thinks Cerminara can escape similar positions. The host is confident in Cerminara winning a decision, citing her consistent performance against similar opponents.

"i'm going to be going with catelyn chicagan here and i do believe she wins this fight once again via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Paul picks Chookagian, expecting a similar fight to their first where Chookagian's volume and reach advantage win rounds. He notes Maia's path is takedowns, but doubts she can secure them early and often. He mentions Chookagian's improved ground game and Maia's inconsistent wrestling. He sees a decision win for Chookagian.

Chookagian by decision at -120 on DraftKings
"i'll go to chicago and say the exact same thing plays out as we had seen before because i can't really trust maya to go in there and secure takedowns early and often"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) to win by decision, citing her superior stand-up and reach advantage (68-inch reach vs Maia's 64-inch). He notes that Maia had a close fight with Jessica Eye, who is on her way out, while Chookagian has beaten Cynthia Calvillo and Antonina Shevchenko. He trusts Chookagian to keep the fight standing and out-strike Maia at range, and he values her activity and recent grappling improvement. He predicts a unanimous decision (30-27).

"i'm gonna go with caitlyn chukagi in here she's got better stand up than jennifer meyer"
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 98 of 265 36% 102 of 269 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jessica Eye 0 100 of 276 36% 104 of 281 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 97 35% 35 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 34 of 103 33% 34 of 103 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:19
2 Jennifer Maia 0 34 of 85 40% 36 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jessica Eye 0 32 of 89 35% 36 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
3 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 83 36% 31 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Eye 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 98 of 265 36% 71 of 232 16 of 20 11 of 13 88 of 250 10 of 15 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 100 of 276 36% 56 of 224 24 of 29 20 of 23 98 of 273 0 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 34 of 97 35% 18 of 80 9 of 10 7 of 7 33 of 93 1 of 4 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 34 of 103 33% 21 of 86 13 of 16 0 of 1 32 of 100 0 of 1 2 of 2
2 Jennifer Maia 34 of 85 40% 26 of 74 5 of 7 3 of 4 28 of 78 6 of 7 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 32 of 89 35% 15 of 70 4 of 5 13 of 14 32 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 30 of 83 36% 27 of 78 2 of 3 1 of 2 27 of 79 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 34 of 84 40% 20 of 68 7 of 8 7 of 8 34 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Angelo picks Maia, stating she is better everywhere. He notes Maia has good jiu-jitsu and underrated striking, while Eye is a step behind and struggles when bullied. He expects Maia to close distance, grapple, and win a decision. He suggests a prop bet on unanimous decision for plus odds.

Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision
"jennifer maya is basically better everywhere if you're comparing her to jessica i"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Big Brady picks Jennifer Maia to win by decision, but with low confidence. He notes that Maia should take the fight to the ground, but she has only attempted four takedowns in her entire UFC career. He thinks if she gets one takedown, she can ride out the round. He acknowledges the striking is close and that Eye has more volume. He is concerned about the -200 line and says he would never bet that. He picks Maia based on the assumption she fights smart.

"i will take maya to win but not not too much confidence in that"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Cody picks Maia, noting her improvement and grappling advantage. He thinks Eye has declined and has weight issues. He expects Maia to use takedowns and control to win a decision.

"i would go with jennifer my jennifer maya by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Daniel Levi picks Jennifer Maia. He notes that Maia is in the best spot of her career, coming off a first-round finish of Joanne Calderwood and a win over Roxanne Modafferi, and even won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. He questions whether Maia will be motivated after the title loss. He also notes that Jessica Eye has looked unmotivated in recent losses and is a hot-and-cold fighter. He thinks Maia is stronger but acknowledges Eye is capable of surprising.

"i'ma go with jennifer maya"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Jacob also picks Maia, citing her shoot boxing background and precise hands. He notes Eye is experienced but inconsistent. He is hesitant to put Maia in his lineup due to Eye's potential to surprise, but he leans Maia. He mentions he would wait to see what Dan thinks.

"i like jennifer maya like like i mentioned before she is amaya she does she is very good on the ground"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

I'm taking Jessica Eye at plus money. The line on Maia is too high due to recency bias from her performance against Valentina. Maia is not a takedown artist; she's a striker. Eye has good volume and pressure, as seen in her wins over Viviane Araujo and Catlin Chookagian. I think this fight should be a pick'em, and Eye has value. I expect a close decision, possibly a split, and I'm on Eye.

Eye by decision
"i'm taking the value here i'm taking jessica i plus 165 is too nice of a line to pass up on a fight that should be closer to -115 minus 110 this should be a pick and fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jennifer Maia

Paul picks Maia, noting Eye's recent poor performances and weight miss. He thinks Maia's grappling and pressure will be key. He expects Maia to win by decision.

"i would think jennifer maya as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Jennifer Maia

The Guru picks Maia by 30-27 unanimous decision, but calls the fight excruciatingly boring. He expects Eye to try boxing combinations, while Maia will push her against the cage, similar to how Maia did against Valentina Shevchenko. Maia will stall against the cage with knees, body shots, foot stomps, and occasional takedowns, winning every round in a dull affair.

"jennifer meyer gets this one done by excruciatingly [__] boring and atrocious 30-27 unanimous decision"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 62 of 119 52% 249 of 317 5 of 6 83% 0 0 9:34
Jennifer Maia 0 36 of 88 40% 94 of 152 1 of 2 50% 0 0 7:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 4 of 9 44% 47 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
Jennifer Maia 0 1 of 6 16% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 3 of 5 60% 41 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 7 of 9 77% 29 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:33
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 8 of 22 36% 30 of 44 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:32
Jennifer Maia 0 5 of 19 26% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 12 of 22 54% 68 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:15
Jennifer Maia 0 5 of 23 21% 6 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 35 of 61 57% 63 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Jennifer Maia 0 18 of 31 58% 28 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 62 of 119 52% 46 of 100 13 of 16 3 of 3 50 of 103 10 of 14 2 of 2
Jennifer Maia 36 of 88 40% 22 of 72 10 of 12 4 of 4 23 of 73 11 of 12 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 4 of 9 44% 3 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jennifer Maia 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 7 of 9 77% 3 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 5 of 5 2 of 3
3 Valentina Shevchenko 8 of 22 36% 6 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 5 of 19 26% 2 of 16 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 12 of 22 54% 10 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 5 of 23 21% 4 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Valentina Shevchenko 35 of 61 57% 25 of 51 9 of 9 1 of 1 29 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jennifer Maia 18 of 31 58% 12 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by third-round knockout. He states she is clearly the better fighter and arguably the women's GOAT behind Nunes. He expects her to finish Maia within the first few rounds.

third round knockout
"i see valentina getting it done by knockout within the first couple rounds there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel picks Shevchenko to win by knockout, dismissing any chance of an upset. He notes Maia has been knocked out before and that Shevchenko is a dominant champion. He expects a finish, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.

knockout
"i'll say knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The host picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by second or third round KO. He believes she is superior everywhere and will finish Maia, who he views as a lamb brought to slaughter. He recommends betting Shevchenko inside the distance rather than the moneyline.

Shevchenko inside the distance (expected minus 150 to minus 160); fight doesn't go to decision (minus 210)
"I'm going to say second or third round finish for Chev chenko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by unanimous decision (50-45). He expects a boring fight where Shevchenko outstrikes Maia on the feet and stuffs her takedowns. He criticizes Maia's competition and believes Shevchenko is the queen of a graveyard division.

"i think shivshenko is going to take her five rounds and win it unanimously 50 45"
WIN vs Joanne Wood
Submission (armbar) R1 4:29 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.

"i do like calderwood in this fight quite a bit i think she's a better fighter overall"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Joanne Wood

Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.

decision
"i think joanne's probably gonna win as long as she shows up i feel like she's got so much more output than jennifer maya"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.

"i am gonna go with jojo to win here um -160 again not a bad price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.

"i'll go with uh joanne caldwood i guess there's really nothing to predict this on i just feel as though joanne calderwood's bigger stronger for the division rangier for the division"
Joanne Wood - Fight History
WIN vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 136 of 249 54% 173 of 290 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 102 of 195 52% 156 of 255 1 of 2 50% 0 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 4 of 9 44% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 5 of 7 71% 50 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
2 Joanne Wood 0 58 of 109 53% 75 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Maryna Moroz 0 45 of 81 55% 52 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
3 Joanne Wood 0 74 of 131 56% 77 of 134 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Maryna Moroz 0 52 of 107 48% 54 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 136 of 249 54% 74 of 175 39 of 45 23 of 29 112 of 216 23 of 31 1 of 2
Maryna Moroz 102 of 195 52% 79 of 160 23 of 33 0 of 2 79 of 169 19 of 22 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 4 of 9 44% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Joanne Wood 58 of 109 53% 30 of 76 21 of 24 7 of 9 45 of 90 13 of 19 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 45 of 81 55% 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 74 of 131 56% 42 of 95 17 of 19 15 of 17 64 of 118 10 of 12 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 52 of 107 48% 41 of 87 11 of 18 0 of 2 44 of 99 8 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.

If line moves further, might throw a couple dollars on Wood as a dog.
"I'm going to lean the vet here I'm going to lean Joanne wood I'm going to pick her as a dog obviously she's 38 she's slowing down she is past her prime past her Peak but I think she can …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.

win by second round submission
"give me a marina marose I'll take her to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.

Wood by decision (+325), fight goes to split decision
"I think she comes out and she wins"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I'll pick marose but you know pick and bet are two different things"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.

Moroz by decision
"minus 225 is a little bit wide for me as it's been difficult to completely trust marose to go out there and Implement her effective style uh but if she does she should look the minus 225 so give me …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.

Moroz by submission (+220)
"marose by sub is what has my eyeballs"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.

"I'm actually going to take Marina Rodriguez to implement takedowns here and I think that just being able to get takedowns in women's MMA is really going to drastically affect scoring"
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 131 of 228 57% 177 of 278 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:50
Luana Carolina 0 100 of 199 50% 123 of 222 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 38 of 62 61% 55 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 65 58% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Joanne Wood 0 33 of 60 55% 56 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 53 45% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Joanne Wood 0 60 of 106 56% 66 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 81 46% 48 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 131 of 228 57% 61 of 142 46 of 53 24 of 33 84 of 177 46 of 50 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 100 of 199 50% 55 of 144 34 of 40 11 of 15 75 of 165 25 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 38 of 62 61% 13 of 32 17 of 20 8 of 10 20 of 42 18 of 20 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 65 58% 15 of 38 16 of 19 7 of 8 25 of 50 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 33 of 60 55% 16 of 39 8 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 48 11 of 11 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 24 of 53 45% 14 of 40 9 of 11 1 of 2 18 of 44 6 of 9 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 60 of 106 56% 32 of 71 21 of 23 7 of 12 43 of 87 17 of 19 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 81 46% 26 of 66 9 of 10 3 of 5 32 of 71 6 of 10 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.

bet placed at -150, now -190
"I do think Joanne wood wins this fight three weeks ago I threw a half a unit on her at minus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.

will not bet this fight
"do I have confidence in Wood no ... but she better win this fight man"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.

"I will have to take Joanne wood reluctantly not reluctantly because I don't want to reluctantly because I know as soon as I bet an MMA women's MMA spot I'm likely screwed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.

"I'm gonna stick with a desperation pick for Wood of like you should not lose to a fighter this bad."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.

split decision prop considered
"I wouldn't pick either side on this I think it's sloppy I think it's back and forth I think it's close comes down to the judges."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.

"I think wood will shuck off the inevitable takedowns that are coming our way and she will get back to that game that just has made her so successful in the UFC which is cardio footwork output and throwing in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.

Joanne Wood over 63.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"on prize picks they've got a promo code dop they got 65 or 63.5 significant strikes love that prop that's like my my favorite prop this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.

"I'll go with Joanne Calderwood I guess because Luana Carolina lost a Molly McCann"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.

"I'm kind of making a gut pick."
LOSS vs Alexa Grasso
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:57 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexa Grasso 0 34 of 49 69% 61 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 16 of 28 57% 50 of 65 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexa Grasso 0 34 of 49 69% 61 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 16 of 28 57% 50 of 65 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexa Grasso 34 of 49 69% 22 of 33 4 of 6 8 of 10 32 of 44 0 of 3 2 of 2
Joanne Wood 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 24 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexa Grasso 34 of 49 69% 22 of 33 4 of 6 8 of 10 32 of 44 0 of 3 2 of 2
Joanne Wood 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 24 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo picks Joanne Wood as a pretty big underdog. He thinks the books are not giving her enough credit. He notes that while Alexa Grasso is undefeated at 125, Wood has only fought top competition and is incredibly well-rounded. He believes Grasso cannot bully or knock out Wood like her previous opponents did.

"i like joanne in this fight she is a pretty big underdog i'm probably gonna shoot my shot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Wood has excellent volume (6.71 significant strikes per minute) and can mix in takedowns, while Grasso has poor takedown defense (60%) and has been taken down by wrestlers like Suarez and Esparza. He notes that Wood's last loss was to Talia Santos, who is a beast, and that Wood looked good before that, including a win over Jessica Eye. He admits Wood might be washed but thinks the line is off.

"I'm actually going to take the dog here... I think this line's like wide wide wide so I'm going to take uh the dog here in joanne wood."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Cody leans Grasso but acknowledges Wood's volume striking and durability. He notes Wood's technical boxing is poor and she gets hit clean, while Grasso lands sharper shots. He mentions Wood's recent losses and age, but thinks the fight could be close. He expects Grasso to win but not confidently.

"i would think grosso probably a little stronger in the clinch up against the cage"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Daniel Levi picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her improvement since moving up to flyweight, faster hands, and growing confidence. He notes Joanne Wood is hot-and-cold and may have mentally checked out after losing her title shot. He expects Grasso to win but cautions that the line at -235 is steep, and the fight could be a close decision due to poor judging. He suggests betting Grasso only if under -200.

Grasso by decision, under -200 is a play
"I got to have not just the faster hands of grasshopper but the confidence... you got to favor grasso"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

The host picks Grasso but is not confident, citing her lack of finishing ability and the possibility of a close decision. He notes Wood's volume could sway judges if Grasso doesn't land significant strikes. He prefers the 'fight goes to decision' prop over the moneyline.

fight goes to decision at -250; Grasso by decision at -115
"i'm still picking rosso to win she should win this fight but i think the odds are just a little bit too wide on this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Paul picks Grasso but doesn't love the price. He thinks Wood's volume striking and front kicks could cause problems, but Grasso has improved her grappling and is younger. He sees the fight as close and competitive, possibly a split decision. He wouldn't fault someone for taking Wood as an underdog.

"i'm gonna pick grasso in this spot but i don't love it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso over Joanne Wood, calling Grasso a much better boxer with superior hands, defense, footwork, and chin at this stage. He notes Wood's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Grasso will get a submission win, possibly a d'arce choke, after hurting Wood on the feet. The Guru acknowledges Wood's volume could be a factor but trusts Grasso's technical edge.

submission win
"i'm gonna go with alexa grazo here"
LOSS vs Taila Santos
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.

DraftKings prices: Santos 9200, Wood 7000; monkey knife fight more/more
"tyler's definitely the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.

win by decision
"give me santos to win by a very dominated one-sided decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.

Cody mentions that if he were betting straight up, he might put a little on Wood, but for parlays he will use Santos. He says the line is out of proportion and he doesn't fully buy into it.
"i just don't agree with the price tag i mean if i was betting straight up fights i might be inclined to maybe put a you know what do they call it a little bit of chedda a little bit …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.

"i think we're seeing the best tyler santos... i'm not sure mentally that she's still in it like she once was"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Taila Santos

Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.

Taila Santos by decision -135, Joanne Wood by decision +400 (hedge)
"I think tyler santos is the [__] man a lot of people are just dragging her through the mud because of that loss in her ufc debut."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.

"if someone came up to me with just a bout sheet there's no odds right it's just about cheap 12 fights and said who do you think is going to win well i would circle taylor santos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).

"i'm going to go with joanne caudle as a cowderwood as an underdog here"
LOSS vs Lauren Murphy
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 148 54% 121 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:54
Joanne Wood 0 123 of 228 53% 153 of 259 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 29 of 57 50% 40 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Joanne Wood 0 55 of 97 56% 64 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 16 of 22 72% 43 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:15
Joanne Wood 0 9 of 17 52% 26 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 35 of 69 50% 38 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 59 of 114 51% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 148 54% 66 of 131 14 of 17 0 of 0 55 of 119 10 of 13 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 123 of 228 53% 62 of 137 30 of 41 31 of 50 99 of 201 23 of 25 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 29 of 57 50% 25 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 55 of 97 56% 22 of 50 16 of 22 17 of 25 43 of 85 12 of 12 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 16 of 22 72% 14 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 9 of 17 52% 4 of 9 1 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Lauren Murphy 35 of 69 50% 27 of 60 8 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 61 7 of 8 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 59 of 114 51% 36 of 78 13 of 16 10 of 20 48 of 101 11 of 13 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.

Wood by decision
"i will ultimately take jojo calderwood to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.

"lauren murphy plus 130 is where i would attack this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.

split decision
"i'll go with lauren murphy for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Joanne Wood

Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.

Wood by decision
"I do like Joanne Wood again I think she's a little bit better all around... I do have some solid confidence in Joanne Wood to go out there and outstrike Lauren Murphy for the majority of 15 minutes and take …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.

"the official pick is going to be joanne calderwood but from a betting perspective i think i'm just looking to pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.

"i'm going with joanne calderwood i've watched the pair of them fight"
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 77 of 173 44% 104 of 218 1 of 4 25% 0 0 5:03
Jessica Eye 0 148 of 240 61% 214 of 319 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 30 of 56 53% 41 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
Jessica Eye 0 48 of 81 59% 69 of 104 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Joanne Wood 0 37 of 87 42% 44 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Jessica Eye 0 65 of 113 57% 81 of 137 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
3 Joanne Wood 0 10 of 30 33% 19 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:28
Jessica Eye 0 35 of 46 76% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 77 of 173 44% 39 of 127 35 of 41 3 of 5 44 of 132 32 of 40 1 of 1
Jessica Eye 148 of 240 61% 52 of 122 53 of 62 43 of 56 113 of 198 35 of 42 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 30 of 56 53% 16 of 41 14 of 14 0 of 1 13 of 37 17 of 19 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 48 of 81 59% 18 of 43 16 of 20 14 of 18 37 of 65 11 of 16 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 37 of 87 42% 21 of 67 13 of 16 3 of 4 28 of 73 8 of 13 1 of 1
Jessica Eye 65 of 113 57% 22 of 59 24 of 28 19 of 26 53 of 99 12 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 10 of 30 33% 2 of 19 8 of 11 0 of 0 3 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 35 of 46 76% 12 of 20 13 of 14 10 of 12 23 of 34 12 of 12 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) by decision, citing her high output (6.17 significant strikes per minute) and takedown ability. He is hesitant because Wood lost her last fight via submission, and he is not betting on her. He expects a close decision and thinks the fight likely goes to decision.

goes to decision
"i'm going to say calderwood gets it done by decision um i mean i can almost guarantee this goes to decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

Daniel Levi picks Jessica Eye, citing her superior resume with wins over top competition like Katlyn Chookagian and Viviane Araujo. He criticizes Joanne Wood for folding in big fights and being mentally fragile. Levi believes Eye's athleticism and health improvements will lead to a win, possibly by decision.

"i'm going jessica i hear your decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

This is a close fight between two mid-tier flyweights. Eye has good boxing and combinations, and she is not afraid to trade. Wood has volume but lacks power. Eye's durability and willingness to exchange should give her an edge. I think Eye lands the more significant strikes and wins a close decision. At plus money, there is value.

"I'm going with Jessica Eye to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) to win a close decision, expecting a stand-up fight. He believes Wood's kicking game will be the difference against Jessica Eye's boxing-oriented style. He notes that both fighters are past their prime but gives Wood the edge due to her variety of kicks (leg kicks, knees, head kicks). He does not see either fighter going to the ground and predicts Wood edges every round.

"joanne caldwell is pretty good on the feet she mixes in a lot of kicks i think that's going to be the difference here against a more boxing orientated style"
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Submission (armbar) R1 4:29 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.

"i do like calderwood in this fight quite a bit i think she's a better fighter overall"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Joanne Wood

Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.

decision
"i think joanne's probably gonna win as long as she shows up i feel like she's got so much more output than jennifer maya"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.

"i am gonna go with jojo to win here um -160 again not a bad price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.

"i'll go with uh joanne caldwood i guess there's really nothing to predict this on i just feel as though joanne calderwood's bigger stronger for the division rangier for the division"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 101 of 230 43% 158 of 293 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:13
Andrea Lee 0 61 of 137 44% 104 of 185 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 41 of 92 44% 44 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Andrea Lee 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
2 Joanne Wood 0 24 of 58 41% 54 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 33 51% 36 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:03
3 Joanne Wood 0 36 of 80 45% 60 of 106 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:09
Andrea Lee 0 12 of 33 36% 30 of 52 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 101 of 230 43% 40 of 138 16 of 38 45 of 54 94 of 222 7 of 8 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 61 of 137 44% 13 of 73 26 of 39 22 of 25 57 of 132 2 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 41 of 92 44% 13 of 51 8 of 18 20 of 23 40 of 91 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 32 of 71 45% 6 of 36 15 of 22 11 of 13 29 of 68 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Joanne Wood 24 of 58 41% 13 of 40 1 of 7 10 of 11 20 of 53 4 of 5 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 33 51% 4 of 18 7 of 8 6 of 7 16 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 36 of 80 45% 14 of 47 7 of 13 15 of 20 34 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 12 of 33 36% 3 of 19 4 of 9 5 of 5 12 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.

"i do like calderwood in this fight quite a bit i think she's a better fighter overall"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Joanne Wood

Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.

decision
"i think joanne's probably gonna win as long as she shows up i feel like she's got so much more output than jennifer maya"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.

"i am gonna go with jojo to win here um -160 again not a bad price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.

"i'll go with uh joanne caldwood i guess there's really nothing to predict this on i just feel as though joanne calderwood's bigger stronger for the division rangier for the division"