Career Averages - Jennifer Maia
Career Averages - Joanne Wood
Jennifer Maia - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 60 of 126 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 64 of 100 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 7:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 24 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 24 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 41 of 101 | 40% | 29 of 87 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 10 | 31 of 88 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 24 of 46 | 52% | 15 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 15 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 14 of 30 | 46% | 8 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 38 | 44% | 14 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 29 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 8 of 14 | 57% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is very confident in Jennifer Maia, calling her at -141 a great deal. He thinks she is better everywhere except raw takedowns, and expects her to weather Araújo's early storm, take over striking, and win a decision due to superior cardio. He already placed a unit on her and expects the line to widen.
Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo with little confidence. He likes her striking and wrestling advantage early, but worries about her poor cardio and durability. He expects Araújo to win the first round, Maia the third, and the fight to go to a close decision that could be affected by judges.
Cody picks Araújo, citing her superior speed and technique. He notes that at her best, she is faster and cleaner than Maia, and can mix in takedowns to steal rounds. He acknowledges her past cardio issues but believes she has corrected them in recent fights, pointing to her performances against Andrea Lee and Alexa Grasso. He expects a 15-minute fight and thinks Araújo can win two of three rounds.
The host picks Jennifer Maia, citing her superior experience, cardio, and ability to withstand Araújo's early striking. He expects Maia to take over in the second and third rounds, possibly using takedowns to wear on Araújo. He predicts a decision win for Maia.
Paul leans towards Maia based on her high volume in recent fights (109 and 145 significant strikes). He acknowledges Araújo's takedown threat but notes that judges now require control time and damage from top position. He expects a close decision and thinks Maia's volume will edge it. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds at -450 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Viviane Araújo. He thinks Maia has better boxing and is scrappier. He notes Araújo is on a two-fight losing streak and didn't look good against Amanda Ribas, while Maia is on a two-fight winning streak, including a win over Casey O'Neill. He expects a decision win for Maia, calling it a coin flip but leaning her way due to momentum.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 145 of 349 | 41% | 151 of 355 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 137 of 264 | 51% | 137 of 264 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 47 of 113 | 41% | 48 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 43 of 96 | 44% | 43 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 51 of 119 | 42% | 55 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 47 of 84 | 55% | 47 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 47 of 117 | 40% | 48 of 118 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 47 of 84 | 55% | 47 of 84 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 145 of 349 | 41% | 123 of 321 | 11 of 16 | 11 of 12 | 124 of 321 | 21 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 137 of 264 | 51% | 108 of 226 | 24 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 129 of 254 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 47 of 113 | 41% | 37 of 101 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 43 of 108 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 43 of 96 | 44% | 35 of 85 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 41 of 93 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 51 of 119 | 42% | 44 of 109 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 46 of 112 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 47 of 84 | 55% | 36 of 70 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 45 of 82 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 47 of 117 | 40% | 42 of 111 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 35 of 101 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 47 of 84 | 55% | 37 of 71 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 43 of 79 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Casey O'Neill but is not betting. He thinks O'Neill will come forward with volume and wrestling, but her takedown defense was exposed against Roxanne. He notes Jennifer Maia is well-rounded and tough, and could cause problems if she gets takedowns. He expects a close fight.
Big Brady picks O'Neill, noting Maia refuses to wrestle despite being a black belt. He believes if Maia went for takedowns she would win, but she won't. On the feet, O'Neill has higher output and will win a decision. He is not a big fan of O'Neill but likes her stylistically here.
Cody picks Maia as an underdog, citing the 'dog or pass' strategy in women's MMA. He notes O'Neill is young, green, and pushed too fast, while Maia is a veteran who fought for a title. He thinks Maia's experience and clinch strength could be factors, but acknowledges O'Neill's wrestling and top control are threats. He expects to lose but trusts the long-term underdog strategy.
Connor picks Maia because she is a tough, durable fighter who is difficult to take down off the cage. He notes that Maia has improved her boxing and aggression, landing left hooks and combinations. O'Neill relies on size and aggression but has poor defense and footwork. Connor thinks Maia's defensive wrestling and low center of gravity will neutralize O'Neill's takedowns. He also mentions that O'Neill's wild style leaves openings that Maia can exploit with straight punches.
Jacob is a big fan of Casey O'Neill and picks her to win a close decision. He thinks her experience against Roxanne prepared her for a similar pressure fighter in Maia. He notes O'Neill has a bad [__] in the octagon and will find a way to win in a close fight. He expects a 29-28 decision.
O'Neill is coming back from a devastating knee injury but is young and trains at a high level. Maia is a BJJ black belt who prefers striking, and her experience could be a factor. O'Neill's strength and aggression should allow her to grind out a decision, but there are many question marks. No betting interest at the current line.
Paul picks O'Neill but is hesitant. He notes O'Neill's grappling advantage and thinks she can win on volume and takedowns. However, he points out O'Neill didn't look great against Roxanne Modafferi and struggled early against Antonina Shevchenko. He thinks minus 180 is too high and prefers O'Neill over 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks. He says it will be dicey and your butt will be puckered until the final bell.
The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Casey O'Neill, going against the majority. He notes O'Neill looked suspect against Roxanne Modafferi and gets caught on the feet, while Maia has crisp boxing and a good submission game. Maia has gone the distance with Valentina Shevchenko and given problems to top fighters. He believes Maia is underrated and O'Neill is overhyped as a prospect.
Zane also picks Maia, noting that O'Neill is a prospect who has beaten lower-level competition. Maia is a gatekeeper who has only lost to title challengers. Zane highlights Maia's improved boxing and her ability to stuff takedowns, especially off the cage. He thinks O'Neill's takedowns are low-drive and will be neutralized. Zane also points out that O'Neill's defensive flaws will be exposed by Maia's steady output. He believes the odds should be reversed and that Maia is the better fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 109 of 253 | 43% | 117 of 261 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 80 of 272 | 29% | 84 of 276 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 36 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 13 of 61 | 21% | 13 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 41 of 110 | 37% | 41 of 110 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 41 of 114 | 35% | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 38 of 85 | 44% | 40 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 97 | 26% | 30 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 109 of 253 | 43% | 84 of 224 | 14 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 101 of 242 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 80 of 272 | 29% | 55 of 237 | 14 of 23 | 11 of 12 | 78 of 269 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 30 of 58 | 51% | 23 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 13 of 61 | 21% | 9 of 52 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 41 of 110 | 37% | 34 of 102 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 41 of 114 | 35% | 26 of 96 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 41 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 38 of 85 | 44% | 27 of 73 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 77 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 26 of 97 | 26% | 20 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 95 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 37 of 121 | 30% | 56 of 141 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 83 of 138 | 60% | 101 of 157 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 16 of 57 | 28% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 34 of 68 | 50% | 34 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 23 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 19 of 24 | 79% | 37 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 17 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 30 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 37 of 121 | 30% | 23 of 103 | 9 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 111 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 |
| Jennifer Maia | 83 of 138 | 60% | 40 of 91 | 24 of 28 | 19 of 19 | 76 of 131 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 16 of 57 | 28% | 9 of 48 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 53 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 34 of 68 | 50% | 13 of 46 | 11 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 32 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Jennifer Maia | 19 of 24 | 79% | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 16 of 44 | 36% | 9 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 40 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 30 of 46 | 65% | 14 of 27 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.
Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.
Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.
Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.
The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.
Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.
The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 72 of 177 | 40% | 81 of 188 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 52 of 171 | 30% | 60 of 180 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 24 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 15 of 49 | 30% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 23 of 90 | 25% | 24 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 72 of 177 | 40% | 44 of 136 | 21 of 32 | 7 of 9 | 68 of 171 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 52 of 171 | 30% | 31 of 143 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 20 | 48 of 167 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 16 of 41 | 39% | 8 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 14 of 32 | 43% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 51 | 39% | 10 of 35 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 15 of 49 | 30% | 9 of 40 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 36 of 85 | 42% | 26 of 69 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 23 of 90 | 25% | 15 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cerminara based on her volume and pace, referencing their first fight where she outstruck Maia even while on her back for half a round. He expects Maia to grapple more but believes Cerminara's takedown defense and striking output will win another decision.
Big Brady expects the fight to play out similarly to their first meeting, with Cerminara using her reach and staying on the outside to outpoint Maia. He criticizes Maia's fight IQ, noting she rarely shoots takedowns despite having good grappling. He thinks Maia could win if she wrestles but does not trust her to do so. He picks Cerminara by decision but is not touching the moneyline due to the close nature of the fight.
Cody picks Chookagian, highlighting her volume, speed, and improved grappling since the first fight. He doubts Maia's ability to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan, noting Maia's takedown success is overblown. He expects Chookagian to win by decision, likely 30-27 or 29-28. He recommends the decision prop at -120.
Daniel Levi leans toward Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) but is not confident. He notes that Chookagian's volume and movement at distance will likely edge two rounds, but Maia has a path to victory if she implements her grappling earlier. He mentions Maia's top control and that she won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. Levi thinks the line should be closer and could see Maia winning, but ultimately leans Chookagian.
The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Cerminara's stick-and-move style frustrated Maia. He believes Cerminara's range and movement will be too much for Maia, who hasn't shown significant improvement since their last bout. He notes Maia's takedown success in the third round of their first fight but thinks Cerminara can escape similar positions. The host is confident in Cerminara winning a decision, citing her consistent performance against similar opponents.
Paul picks Chookagian, expecting a similar fight to their first where Chookagian's volume and reach advantage win rounds. He notes Maia's path is takedowns, but doubts she can secure them early and often. He mentions Chookagian's improved ground game and Maia's inconsistent wrestling. He sees a decision win for Chookagian.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) to win by decision, citing her superior stand-up and reach advantage (68-inch reach vs Maia's 64-inch). He notes that Maia had a close fight with Jessica Eye, who is on her way out, while Chookagian has beaten Cynthia Calvillo and Antonina Shevchenko. He trusts Chookagian to keep the fight standing and out-strike Maia at range, and he values her activity and recent grappling improvement. He predicts a unanimous decision (30-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 98 of 265 | 36% | 102 of 269 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 100 of 276 | 36% | 104 of 281 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 34 of 97 | 35% | 35 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 34 of 103 | 33% | 34 of 103 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 34 of 85 | 40% | 36 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 32 of 89 | 35% | 36 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 30 of 83 | 36% | 31 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 34 of 84 | 40% | 34 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 98 of 265 | 36% | 71 of 232 | 16 of 20 | 11 of 13 | 88 of 250 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 100 of 276 | 36% | 56 of 224 | 24 of 29 | 20 of 23 | 98 of 273 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 34 of 97 | 35% | 18 of 80 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 33 of 93 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 34 of 103 | 33% | 21 of 86 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 32 of 100 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 34 of 85 | 40% | 26 of 74 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 78 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 32 of 89 | 35% | 15 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 14 | 32 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 30 of 83 | 36% | 27 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 79 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 34 of 84 | 40% | 20 of 68 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 34 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maia, stating she is better everywhere. He notes Maia has good jiu-jitsu and underrated striking, while Eye is a step behind and struggles when bullied. He expects Maia to close distance, grapple, and win a decision. He suggests a prop bet on unanimous decision for plus odds.
Big Brady picks Jennifer Maia to win by decision, but with low confidence. He notes that Maia should take the fight to the ground, but she has only attempted four takedowns in her entire UFC career. He thinks if she gets one takedown, she can ride out the round. He acknowledges the striking is close and that Eye has more volume. He is concerned about the -200 line and says he would never bet that. He picks Maia based on the assumption she fights smart.
Cody picks Maia, noting her improvement and grappling advantage. He thinks Eye has declined and has weight issues. He expects Maia to use takedowns and control to win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jennifer Maia. He notes that Maia is in the best spot of her career, coming off a first-round finish of Joanne Calderwood and a win over Roxanne Modafferi, and even won a round against Valentina Shevchenko. He questions whether Maia will be motivated after the title loss. He also notes that Jessica Eye has looked unmotivated in recent losses and is a hot-and-cold fighter. He thinks Maia is stronger but acknowledges Eye is capable of surprising.
Jacob also picks Maia, citing her shoot boxing background and precise hands. He notes Eye is experienced but inconsistent. He is hesitant to put Maia in his lineup due to Eye's potential to surprise, but he leans Maia. He mentions he would wait to see what Dan thinks.
I'm taking Jessica Eye at plus money. The line on Maia is too high due to recency bias from her performance against Valentina. Maia is not a takedown artist; she's a striker. Eye has good volume and pressure, as seen in her wins over Viviane Araujo and Catlin Chookagian. I think this fight should be a pick'em, and Eye has value. I expect a close decision, possibly a split, and I'm on Eye.
Paul picks Maia, noting Eye's recent poor performances and weight miss. He thinks Maia's grappling and pressure will be key. He expects Maia to win by decision.
The Guru picks Maia by 30-27 unanimous decision, but calls the fight excruciatingly boring. He expects Eye to try boxing combinations, while Maia will push her against the cage, similar to how Maia did against Valentina Shevchenko. Maia will stall against the cage with knees, body shots, foot stomps, and occasional takedowns, winning every round in a dull affair.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 62 of 119 | 52% | 249 of 317 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 9:34 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 36 of 88 | 40% | 94 of 152 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 47 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 41 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 29 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:33 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 30 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 68 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 5 of 23 | 21% | 6 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 35 of 61 | 57% | 63 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 28 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 62 of 119 | 52% | 46 of 100 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 50 of 103 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 |
| Jennifer Maia | 36 of 88 | 40% | 22 of 72 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 23 of 73 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jennifer Maia | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 7 of 9 | 77% | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 22 | 36% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 5 of 19 | 26% | 2 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 12 of 22 | 54% | 10 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 5 of 23 | 21% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 35 of 61 | 57% | 25 of 51 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 53 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 18 of 31 | 58% | 12 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by third-round knockout. He states she is clearly the better fighter and arguably the women's GOAT behind Nunes. He expects her to finish Maia within the first few rounds.
Daniel picks Shevchenko to win by knockout, dismissing any chance of an upset. He notes Maia has been knocked out before and that Shevchenko is a dominant champion. He expects a finish, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.
The host picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by second or third round KO. He believes she is superior everywhere and will finish Maia, who he views as a lamb brought to slaughter. He recommends betting Shevchenko inside the distance rather than the moneyline.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by unanimous decision (50-45). He expects a boring fight where Shevchenko outstrikes Maia on the feet and stuffs her takedowns. He criticizes Maia's competition and believes Shevchenko is the queen of a graveyard division.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.
Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.
The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.
The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.
Joanne Wood - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 136 of 249 | 54% | 173 of 290 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 102 of 195 | 52% | 156 of 255 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 50 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 58 of 109 | 53% | 75 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 52 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 74 of 131 | 56% | 77 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 52 of 107 | 48% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 136 of 249 | 54% | 74 of 175 | 39 of 45 | 23 of 29 | 112 of 216 | 23 of 31 | 1 of 2 |
| Maryna Moroz | 102 of 195 | 52% | 79 of 160 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 79 of 169 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 58 of 109 | 53% | 30 of 76 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 45 of 90 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 45 of 81 | 55% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 74 of 131 | 56% | 42 of 95 | 17 of 19 | 15 of 17 | 64 of 118 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 52 of 107 | 48% | 41 of 87 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 44 of 99 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Joanne Wood as a pretty big underdog. He thinks the books are not giving her enough credit. He notes that while Alexa Grasso is undefeated at 125, Wood has only fought top competition and is incredibly well-rounded. He believes Grasso cannot bully or knock out Wood like her previous opponents did.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Wood has excellent volume (6.71 significant strikes per minute) and can mix in takedowns, while Grasso has poor takedown defense (60%) and has been taken down by wrestlers like Suarez and Esparza. He notes that Wood's last loss was to Talia Santos, who is a beast, and that Wood looked good before that, including a win over Jessica Eye. He admits Wood might be washed but thinks the line is off.
Cody leans Grasso but acknowledges Wood's volume striking and durability. He notes Wood's technical boxing is poor and she gets hit clean, while Grasso lands sharper shots. He mentions Wood's recent losses and age, but thinks the fight could be close. He expects Grasso to win but not confidently.
Daniel Levi picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her improvement since moving up to flyweight, faster hands, and growing confidence. He notes Joanne Wood is hot-and-cold and may have mentally checked out after losing her title shot. He expects Grasso to win but cautions that the line at -235 is steep, and the fight could be a close decision due to poor judging. He suggests betting Grasso only if under -200.
The host picks Grasso but is not confident, citing her lack of finishing ability and the possibility of a close decision. He notes Wood's volume could sway judges if Grasso doesn't land significant strikes. He prefers the 'fight goes to decision' prop over the moneyline.
Paul picks Grasso but doesn't love the price. He thinks Wood's volume striking and front kicks could cause problems, but Grasso has improved her grappling and is younger. He sees the fight as close and competitive, possibly a split decision. He wouldn't fault someone for taking Wood as an underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso over Joanne Wood, calling Grasso a much better boxer with superior hands, defense, footwork, and chin at this stage. He notes Wood's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Grasso will get a submission win, possibly a d'arce choke, after hurting Wood on the feet. The Guru acknowledges Wood's volume could be a factor but trusts Grasso's technical edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.
Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.
Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.
Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.
Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.
Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 148 | 54% | 121 of 195 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 123 of 228 | 53% | 153 of 259 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 55 of 97 | 56% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 43 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 148 | 54% | 66 of 131 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 119 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 123 of 228 | 53% | 62 of 137 | 30 of 41 | 31 of 50 | 99 of 201 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 29 of 57 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 55 of 97 | 56% | 22 of 50 | 16 of 22 | 17 of 25 | 43 of 85 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 16 of 22 | 72% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 35 of 69 | 50% | 27 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 59 of 114 | 51% | 36 of 78 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 20 | 48 of 101 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.
Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.
Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.
Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 77 of 173 | 44% | 104 of 218 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:03 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 148 of 240 | 61% | 214 of 319 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 41 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 48 of 81 | 59% | 69 of 104 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 65 of 113 | 57% | 81 of 137 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 64 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 77 of 173 | 44% | 39 of 127 | 35 of 41 | 3 of 5 | 44 of 132 | 32 of 40 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 148 of 240 | 61% | 52 of 122 | 53 of 62 | 43 of 56 | 113 of 198 | 35 of 42 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 30 of 56 | 53% | 16 of 41 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 37 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 48 of 81 | 59% | 18 of 43 | 16 of 20 | 14 of 18 | 37 of 65 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 37 of 87 | 42% | 21 of 67 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 73 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 65 of 113 | 57% | 22 of 59 | 24 of 28 | 19 of 26 | 53 of 99 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 10 of 30 | 33% | 2 of 19 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 35 of 46 | 76% | 12 of 20 | 13 of 14 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) by decision, citing her high output (6.17 significant strikes per minute) and takedown ability. He is hesitant because Wood lost her last fight via submission, and he is not betting on her. He expects a close decision and thinks the fight likely goes to decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jessica Eye, citing her superior resume with wins over top competition like Katlyn Chookagian and Viviane Araujo. He criticizes Joanne Wood for folding in big fights and being mentally fragile. Levi believes Eye's athleticism and health improvements will lead to a win, possibly by decision.
This is a close fight between two mid-tier flyweights. Eye has good boxing and combinations, and she is not afraid to trade. Wood has volume but lacks power. Eye's durability and willingness to exchange should give her an edge. I think Eye lands the more significant strikes and wins a close decision. At plus money, there is value.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) to win a close decision, expecting a stand-up fight. He believes Wood's kicking game will be the difference against Jessica Eye's boxing-oriented style. He notes that both fighters are past their prime but gives Wood the edge due to her variety of kicks (leg kicks, knees, head kicks). He does not see either fighter going to the ground and predicts Wood edges every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.
Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.
The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.
The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 101 of 230 | 43% | 158 of 293 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 61 of 137 | 44% | 104 of 185 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 38 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 54 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 36 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 36 of 80 | 45% | 60 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 30 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 101 of 230 | 43% | 40 of 138 | 16 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 94 of 222 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 61 of 137 | 44% | 13 of 73 | 26 of 39 | 22 of 25 | 57 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 41 of 92 | 44% | 13 of 51 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 23 | 40 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 32 of 71 | 45% | 6 of 36 | 15 of 22 | 11 of 13 | 29 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 24 of 58 | 41% | 13 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 33 | 51% | 4 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 36 of 80 | 45% | 14 of 47 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 20 | 34 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 12 of 33 | 36% | 3 of 19 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.
Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.
The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.
The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.
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