UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
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Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Maryna Moroz
4.42 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
4.89 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.7 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mayra Bueno Silva
3.71 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
4.9 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Maryna Moroz - Fight History
LOSS vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 136 of 249 54% 173 of 290 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 102 of 195 52% 156 of 255 1 of 2 50% 0 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 4 of 9 44% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 5 of 7 71% 50 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
2 Joanne Wood 0 58 of 109 53% 75 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Maryna Moroz 0 45 of 81 55% 52 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
3 Joanne Wood 0 74 of 131 56% 77 of 134 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Maryna Moroz 0 52 of 107 48% 54 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 136 of 249 54% 74 of 175 39 of 45 23 of 29 112 of 216 23 of 31 1 of 2
Maryna Moroz 102 of 195 52% 79 of 160 23 of 33 0 of 2 79 of 169 19 of 22 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 4 of 9 44% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Joanne Wood 58 of 109 53% 30 of 76 21 of 24 7 of 9 45 of 90 13 of 19 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 45 of 81 55% 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 74 of 131 56% 42 of 95 17 of 19 15 of 17 64 of 118 10 of 12 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 52 of 107 48% 41 of 87 11 of 18 0 of 2 44 of 99 8 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.

If line moves further, might throw a couple dollars on Wood as a dog.
"I'm going to lean the vet here I'm going to lean Joanne wood I'm going to pick her as a dog obviously she's 38 she's slowing down she is past her prime past her Peak but I think she can …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.

win by second round submission
"give me a marina marose I'll take her to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.

Wood by decision (+325), fight goes to split decision
"I think she comes out and she wins"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I'll pick marose but you know pick and bet are two different things"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.

Moroz by decision
"minus 225 is a little bit wide for me as it's been difficult to completely trust marose to go out there and Implement her effective style uh but if she does she should look the minus 225 so give me …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.

Moroz by submission (+220)
"marose by sub is what has my eyeballs"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.

"I'm actually going to take Marina Rodriguez to implement takedowns here and I think that just being able to get takedowns in women's MMA is really going to drastically affect scoring"
LOSS vs Karine Silva
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 4:59 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karine Silva 1 30 of 53 56% 52 of 76 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:51
Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 55 29% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karine Silva 1 30 of 53 56% 52 of 76 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:51
Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 55 29% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karine Silva 30 of 53 56% 15 of 31 7 of 9 8 of 13 18 of 40 11 of 12 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 16 of 55 29% 8 of 41 7 of 12 1 of 2 10 of 47 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karine Silva 30 of 53 56% 15 of 31 7 of 9 8 of 13 18 of 40 11 of 12 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 16 of 55 29% 8 of 41 7 of 12 1 of 2 10 of 47 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maryna Moroz vs. Karine Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-155), Moroz (+130)

Round 1
I’m a sailor peg, and I lost my leg. Climbing up the topsails, I lost my leg! I’m shipping up to Boston, to find my wooden leg. As it turns out, the UFC is also shipping off to Boston, for the first time since UFC on ESPN 6 back in 2019. There may be wooden legs in the TD Garden, but there will absolutely be fights – a dozen, in fact. The first comes in the flyweight division between a pair of action fighters, as Silva (16-4, 2-0 UFC) brings her destructive ways to the table in a revenge match against extremely tough out Moroz (11-4, 6-4 UFC). Combined, the two have 23 stoppages in their 27 pro wins, although all four decisions are on the ledger of the Ukrainian. The action begins without a glove of touch under the watchful eye of referee John English, and instead Silva looks to find her immediate range with kicks high and low. Moroz stays on the outside with a jab stuck out every so often, and she gets in to back Silva off momentarily. Moroz strides forward to land a few strikes, and Silva gives three back in rapid succession. Moroz checks a kick as she resets, and she misses the mark with a head kick by a short distance. Moroz jabs the midsection, and Silva swings back with counters that are just out of reach. Silva peppers the lead leg and waist with kicks, and she loads up with a sharp left hand that intercepts Moroz and knocks her to her seat. Moroz springs back up and clinches up to get her wits back about her. The two jockey for position, and Moroz is the one to separate first as she lands three strikes in rapid succession. Silva lashes out with a head kick, and she catches Moroz with a subsequent combination. Silva surges forward to mix things up, shooting in for a double-leg takedown, and she manages to trip Moroz up and set her down on the mat. Silva passes guard easily to move all the way to north-south position, and she hangs onto Moroz’ neck with her right arm. As Moroz sits up,
Silva jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but “The Iron Lady” steels herself and passes through it to claim top position. Silva is still clinging to the neck, and she stretches Moroz out to reposition herself with the choke and crank it with all her might. There are just seconds left on the clock, and Moroz hangs on and tries to grit it out. The submission is frighteningly tight. On the verge of consciousness, Moroz taps out
, and the horn immediately blows after English intervenes. Silva releases the grip and lets out a shout of victory, and she leaps atop the cage wall to motion to the crowd to celebrate with her. Exacting revenge on a woman that beat her in 2014, Silva becomes the first fighter to ever finish Moroz as a professional.
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The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Maryna Moroz R1 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Angelo is very confident that Karine Silva will win, citing her powerful takedowns and insane grappling. However, he cautions that Silva's cardio is untested past the first round, as she has only been to a decision once and lost. He worries that if Maryna Moroz keeps the fight standing and tires Silva out, an upset could happen. Despite this, he picks Silva but leaves her out of parlays due to the cardio concern.

"Carini should absolutely win this fight right like very confident pick... but I would be a little worried to bet or parlay Carini because we have no clue what happens if this goes a few rounds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by late second-round submission, trusting her durability and cardio over Karine Silva's early danger. He notes Silva is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 19 finishes in 20 wins, but her cardio is suspect and she tires in later rounds. Moroz has never been finished in 15 fights, and Brady believes she can weather the early storm, extend the fight, and submit Silva as she tires.

win by submission, round 2
"I'm gonna take Marina Rose here to win this fight... I'll say she wins it by late second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Cody likes Moroz as a plus-money underdog due to her boxing and takedown defense. He notes Silva has had bad spots and may fatigue if she doesn't get a quick submission. Moroz has a high work rate and keeps fights competitive.

"I would take the flyer plus money on Marina morose super inactive but an excellent boxer"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing she is hungry to avenge her 2014 loss and has shown advanced submissions. He notes that Moroz has never been finished and has good submission defense, but Silva is stronger now and can take her down. Levi is not confident and predicts Silva by submission, but acknowledges it could be a decision. He also bet the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds; Silva by submission
"I'm gonna go Carini Silva here... I think she's gonna take her down and get her with something along the way"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Lucrative James likes the underdog Maryna Moroz here, citing her superior strength of schedule and experience against high-level competition like Buena Silva and Maria Agapova. He notes that Karine Silva has never won a decision and tends to finish or get finished, while Moroz has never been submitted. He believes the odds are off and that Moroz should not be an underdog.

"I do like the underdog in this fight and it is Marina morose"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is the better technical striker and should be able to land from distance. She has defensive grappling to avoid Silva's submission threats and will likely win rounds with striking. Silva's striking is limited to setting up takedowns, but Moroz can nullify control time. Expect a close fight early but Moroz pulls away on the scorecards.

"I expect this to be a little bit close early but as we start to get down the stretch I expect marozza's striking to Prevail here and I think she ends up winning this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karine Silva

The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva but calls it a tricky pick. He notes Silva's first-round finishes and believes she has improved since her earlier loss to Moroz by armbar. He thinks Silva is the more talented, younger, and improving fighter with momentum. However, he acknowledges Moroz's win over Mayra Bueno Silva and the unpredictability of women's MMA, making him hesitant.

submission early
"I'm gonna go with Karine Silva getting this one done by submission early on"
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 109 of 253 43% 117 of 261 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maryna Moroz 0 80 of 272 29% 84 of 276 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 30 of 58 51% 36 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 61 21% 13 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 110 37% 41 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 41 of 114 35% 41 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 38 of 85 44% 40 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 97 26% 30 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 109 of 253 43% 84 of 224 14 of 18 11 of 11 101 of 242 8 of 11 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 80 of 272 29% 55 of 237 14 of 23 11 of 12 78 of 269 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 30 of 58 51% 23 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 4 28 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 13 of 61 21% 9 of 52 4 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 41 of 110 37% 34 of 102 4 of 5 3 of 3 41 of 109 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 41 of 114 35% 26 of 96 7 of 10 8 of 8 41 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 38 of 85 44% 27 of 73 7 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 77 6 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 26 of 97 26% 20 of 89 3 of 4 3 of 4 25 of 95 1 of 2 0 of 0
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:27 · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Mar 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 28 of 42 66% 51 of 74 2 of 5 40% 3 0 6:43
Mariya Agapova 0 16 of 27 59% 72 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 2 of 6 33% 14 of 20 1 of 4 25% 2 0 3:28
Mariya Agapova 0 10 of 18 55% 40 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
2 Maryna Moroz 0 26 of 36 72% 37 of 54 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:15
Mariya Agapova 0 6 of 9 66% 32 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 28 of 42 66% 21 of 33 7 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 8 7 of 7 19 of 27
Mariya Agapova 16 of 27 59% 7 of 15 9 of 9 0 of 3 4 of 15 12 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mariya Agapova 10 of 18 55% 3 of 8 7 of 7 0 of 3 0 of 8 10 of 10 0 of 0
2 Maryna Moroz 26 of 36 72% 21 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 4 5 of 5 19 of 27
Mariya Agapova 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.

"i'm actually gonna go with the underdog here i like marina moroza's movement and the recent addition of offensive takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.

Moroz by decision
"i'm going to go with the dog here in moroz i think there is some recency bias on this line"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.

"i think maria wins not marina maria agapova wins able to fight off her back feet landing the much more damaging shots"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.

"i got agapova man i know she lost to shane adoption and it's tough to back someone that uh lost to shaina dobson at that number but the the latest performance um and maybe um i'm gonna go agape by …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.

"i do agree though that agapova should be the favorite i do think the line is a little bit off though uh i do think that it should be closer i think i kept over closer to minus 130 minus …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.

"i think officially i am going to take out a capo ride or die at this point but i got a bad gut feeling"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova over Maryna Moroz, citing Agapova's aggression, strength, and reach advantage. He notes Agapova showed patience in her last fight (submission win over Sabina Mazo) and believes she is a rising prospect. He predicts a first-round TKO, though he acknowledges Agapova has gassed in the past. He dismisses Moroz as inferior based on watching both fighters.

method: TKO, round: 1
"i'm gonna go with maria ragapova here first round tko something like that"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 88 of 146 60% 92 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 139 of 247 56% 176 of 298 2 of 8 25% 0 0 4:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 25 of 39 64% 28 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 45 of 84 53% 62 of 108 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
2 Maryna Moroz 0 20 of 34 58% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 38 of 62 61% 56 of 85 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:32
3 Maryna Moroz 0 43 of 73 58% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 56 of 101 55% 58 of 105 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 88 of 146 60% 45 of 92 20 of 22 23 of 32 73 of 130 15 of 16 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 139 of 247 56% 75 of 160 49 of 71 15 of 16 111 of 203 10 of 18 18 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 25 of 39 64% 11 of 20 4 of 5 10 of 14 21 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 45 of 84 53% 16 of 49 21 of 27 8 of 8 37 of 73 4 of 5 4 of 6
2 Maryna Moroz 20 of 34 58% 13 of 25 3 of 3 4 of 6 14 of 27 6 of 7 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 38 of 62 61% 27 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 21 of 36 3 of 6 14 of 20
3 Maryna Moroz 43 of 73 58% 21 of 47 13 of 14 9 of 12 38 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 56 of 101 55% 32 of 63 20 of 33 4 of 5 53 of 94 3 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maryna Moroz vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Round 1
Staying at flyweight but moving over to the women’s side of the equation, Moroz (9-3, 4-3 UFC) will try to hand Bueno Silva (5-0, 1-0 UFC) her first career defeat. The third woman in the Octagon for this scrap is referee Camila Albuquerque, and the two touch gloves to greet one another. Moroz looks for jabs and a body kick, but the Brazilian has low kicks in mind. Moroz lands a good jab but gets tagged to the body by a flush spinning back kick. Moroz falls backward, but comes right back in with several jabs. Bueno Silva scores a body kick, and the two clinch up allowing Bueno Silva to try to knee her on the jaw. Moroz is working the jab, and long punches while Bueno Silva taunts her and looks at her. The Ukrainian does not get bothered by her antics, working the body and head with a long stream of punches as she kiais with every blow. Moroz shoves her advancing opponent away with a push kick, and chains together several punches. Bueno Silva lands a few power shots, but Moroz is working her over with substantially higher volume. Bueno Silva clinches up and lands a knee, but spins around and cracks her with a spinning back elbow. Moroz is unfazed, and keeps working the low kicks and punches up top. As Bueno Silva crashes forward, she gets hit a few times, so the Brazilian throws a high kick that gets caught. Moroz catches it and shoves Bueno Silva down, where she lands in full guard while throwing punches. “The Iron Lady” scores a strong elbow to the body, and Bueno Silva keeps eating punches to the face while she tries to buck out of position. Moroz slashes down with an elbow, and Bueno Silva holds on tight to try to force a referee standup. One does not come, as Moroz breaks free and nails her with an elbow. The first frame concludes with Moroz staying busy on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva

Round 2
The two start up the round aggressively, with Moroz linking a few punches together before shooting in for a takedown. The Brazilian stuffs it and shoves Moroz against the cage, but Moroz lands a few strikes and ducks the spinning back elbow that comes on the break. Moroz works the lead leg with a few more kicks, and the damage on that calf is starting to mount. Bueno Silva scores a heavy head kick, and Moroz gathers her thoughts while peppering Bueno Silva on the outside. “Sheetara” is swinging wildly, and connects with a few punches but Moroz largely evades the more dangerous strikes. They clinch up, so Bueno Silva circles around to try to take Moroz’ back, but Moroz breaks free and again evades that spinning back elbow attempt. Bueno Silva eats several punches and fires back much more heavily with a two-punch combination that backs off Moroz. Bueno Silva muscles her opponent to the fence, and nearly lands a trip but falls for her back again. The Brazilian gives up half guard quickly, as Moroz now prefers to advance position instead of posturing up on full guard like the previous round. Moroz stays heavy on top as if to set up an arm-triangle choke, but instead pulls her arm free and slams down a vicious elbow. Bueno Silva ties her up for a moment, but the Ukrainian yanks her arms out and starts to mark up Bueno Silva with a slew of heavy elbows. Moroz continues the grind, and starts to put it on Bueno Silva with more elbows from on top. She continues to rain down elbows until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moroz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Moroz

Round 3
The last round commences with a body kick from “The Iron Lady,” and we can see Bueno Silva wearing it already. Moroz strings together a quick combination and backs off before a counter can follow from her opponent. Moroz lands two solid body punches, but Bueno Silva fires back with a body kick. Bueno Silva lands a leg kick, and then looks for another but Moroz lifts her leg out of danger. Moroz is able to touch her with the jab, working the body and head indiscriminately before going after a single leg takedown. Bueno Silva does not fall for it, and pushes Moroz against the fence where she lands a few stiff knees. Bueno Silva aims at that low kick, and makes Moroz’ knees wobble. Bueno Silva lands a heavy right hand, and the legs are definitely in danger for Moroz. The Ukrainian regathers herself and shoots in from a great distance for a takedown, and Bueno Silva stuffs it and pushes her away. Bueno Silva cracks her with a nasty one-two, and Moroz is hurt. Bueno Silva repeats the combination and Moroz shoots in low. She get stuffed, and Bueno Silva is marching her down with looping punches while Moroz still appears to be compromised. Bueno Silva targets the body with a few more kicks, and Moroz is reacting to every strike that lands. The jabs of Moroz are unable to keep her opponent at bay any longer, as the Brazilian is stalking her down while trying to land huge power hooks. Moroz spins with a back fist and catches her opponent at the end of it, and Bueno Silva rocks her with a knee on the forehead that splits her open. Moroz is rocked as she tries to circle away and survive the assault. Bueno Silva pours it on with a few more right hands, and eats one from Moroz and smiles. Bueno Silva lands one final kick to the body, and remarkably, this fight may be even closer than the first two today.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Moroz)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva (29-28 Bueno Silva)

The Official Result
Maryna Moroz def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel initially favored Bueno Silva but changes his pick to Moroz due to the lack of crowd. He thinks Bueno Silva feeds off crowd energy and without it, Moroz's experience and tennis sounds could sway judges. He predicts a controversial split decision for Moroz.

split decision
"without a crowd I think I might be leaning more towards the upset man it's gonna be completely silent in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The host picks Maryna Moroz over Mayra Bueno Silva. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's jiu-jitsu skills but highlights Moroz's impressive armbar finish over Joanne Calderwood, who is fighting for the flyweight title. He believes Moroz can defend positions and use her length and range to earn a unanimous decision victory.

"I'm gonna go with Mariana and moroz getting the job done if you're able to submit Joanne Kaldur wood in the first round"
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 64 of 144 44% 73 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 56 of 190 29% 74 of 208 1 of 9 11% 0 0 7:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 33 27% 14 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:50
2 Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 50 32% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 73 31% 33 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:19
3 Maryna Moroz 0 39 of 79 49% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 24 of 84 28% 27 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 64 of 144 44% 21 of 87 19 of 25 24 of 32 61 of 138 2 of 5 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 56 of 190 29% 27 of 150 18 of 28 11 of 12 47 of 174 4 of 9 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 9 of 15 60% 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 6 8 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 9 of 33 27% 4 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Maryna Moroz 16 of 50 32% 5 of 35 5 of 6 6 of 9 15 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 23 of 73 31% 13 of 57 5 of 11 5 of 5 21 of 67 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Maryna Moroz 39 of 79 49% 13 of 44 13 of 18 13 of 17 38 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 24 of 84 28% 10 of 66 8 of 11 6 of 7 24 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 84 of 321 26% 100 of 339 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
Maryna Moroz 0 114 of 209 54% 121 of 216 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 26 of 104 25% 33 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 38 of 73 52% 39 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Angela Hill 0 19 of 87 21% 26 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Maryna Moroz 0 29 of 54 53% 34 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:10
3 Angela Hill 0 39 of 130 30% 41 of 132 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 47 of 82 57% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 84 of 321 26% 39 of 241 32 of 62 13 of 18 78 of 304 6 of 16 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 114 of 209 54% 63 of 144 26 of 37 25 of 28 89 of 182 22 of 24 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 26 of 104 25% 12 of 77 10 of 22 4 of 5 23 of 96 3 of 8 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 38 of 73 52% 20 of 47 8 of 13 10 of 13 30 of 64 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Angela Hill 19 of 87 21% 9 of 68 9 of 17 1 of 2 17 of 80 2 of 6 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 29 of 54 53% 17 of 39 8 of 11 4 of 4 18 of 42 8 of 9 3 of 3
3 Angela Hill 39 of 130 30% 18 of 96 13 of 23 8 of 11 38 of 128 1 of 2 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 47 of 82 57% 26 of 58 10 of 13 11 of 11 41 of 76 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Angela Hill vs. Maryna Moroz

Round 1
Hill counters a kick with a pair of right hands. Hill continues to press forward and lands a combination. Another right hand over the top connects for “Overkill.” Hill is the clear aggressor, walking down her foe and landing overhand rights in the early going. Moroz lands an uppercut. Hill makes Moroz stumble with a lead leg kick. They tie up and Hill pushes Moroz into the cage. They separate quickly. Another counter right hand connects for Hill. Moroz is throwing a lot of kicks but isn’t landing much. Hill closes the distance with a combination and ties up Moroz. they break and Hill attacks with an inside low kick-overhand right combo. Hill drives her foe back with a push kick down the middle. Moroz lands a left hook as Hill moves forward. Hill ducks under a spinning back fist and Hill secures a body lock. Hill switches to a single leg but can’t get Moroz down. Hill tries a jumping knee as the horn sounds. 10-9 Hill.

Round 2
Hill lands an inside leg kick in an initial exchange. Moroz is throwing plenty of volume early. But it’s Hill who continues to land the more meaningful offense, including a pair of big right hands. Hill ties up with Moroz, gets an underhook and lands a couple knees inside. Hill lands an uppercut in the clinch just before they break. Hill misses a big right and Moroz secures a body lock. Moroz tries to get her opponent down but pulls Hill on top of her. An elbow lands for Hill from above. Hill tries to pass and Moroz stands. Hill lands a knee and a right hand on the break. Moroz’s output is good, but she’s still not landing as much as she needs to. She is keeping Hill at bay better than round one, however. Hill is slowing down, as Moroz secures a body lock behind a punch. Moroz presses Hill into the cage and lands a nice combination on the break. 10-9 Hill.

Round 3
Moroz goes right back to work, staying active with punches and kicks. Hill connects with an inside leg kick. Moroz answers with a front kick to the body. A right hand lands for Hill. Moroz continues to push the pace, landing a kick to the body. Hill catches a kick and shoves her foe to the mat. Moroz pops right back up. Hill appears to still be landing the more resounding blows, but Moroz is leading the way in terms of output. Moroz counters a leg kick with a left hand. Hill forces the clinch and lands some knees in close quarters. A jab connects for Hill. Hill dodges a Moroz combination and lands a combo of her own. Another jab finds a home for Hill. Moroz, meanwhile, hasn’t stopped throwing offense, although not a lot is landing. They clinch and Hill pushes her opponent into the fence. Hill lands a couple short elbows before they break. Hill goes body-head while evading Moroz’s offering. An overhand right lands for Hill at the final bell. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).

The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Maryna Moroz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
LOSS vs Carla Esparza
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Jun 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carla Esparza 0 40 of 95 42% 142 of 204 6 of 14 42% 0 0 6:22
Maryna Moroz 0 38 of 119 31% 48 of 134 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carla Esparza 0 11 of 31 35% 73 of 93 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:15
Maryna Moroz 0 13 of 36 36% 16 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Carla Esparza 0 18 of 32 56% 42 of 63 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:45
Maryna Moroz 0 15 of 44 34% 18 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carla Esparza 0 11 of 32 34% 27 of 48 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:22
Maryna Moroz 0 10 of 39 25% 14 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carla Esparza 40 of 95 42% 32 of 81 4 of 6 4 of 8 19 of 63 8 of 10 13 of 22
Maryna Moroz 38 of 119 31% 35 of 114 3 of 5 0 of 0 32 of 110 0 of 3 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carla Esparza 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 4
Maryna Moroz 13 of 36 36% 13 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Carla Esparza 18 of 32 56% 15 of 28 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 19 6 of 6 7 of 7
Maryna Moroz 15 of 44 34% 13 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 38 0 of 3 3 of 3
3 Carla Esparza 11 of 32 34% 6 of 22 1 of 2 4 of 8 5 of 17 2 of 4 4 of 11
Maryna Moroz 10 of 39 25% 9 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 26 of 45 57% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:39
Michelle Montague 0 42 of 83 50% 108 of 161 2 of 6 33% 0 2 10:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michelle Montague 0 16 of 20 80% 46 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:56
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 20 of 37 54% 24 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:29
Michelle Montague 0 18 of 43 41% 21 of 46 0 of 4 0% 0 1 2:01
3 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 6 of 8 75% 10 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:10
Michelle Montague 0 8 of 20 40% 41 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mayra Bueno Silva 26 of 45 57% 11 of 27 10 of 12 5 of 6 22 of 38 3 of 6 1 of 1
Michelle Montague 42 of 83 50% 41 of 80 1 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 58 0 of 1 21 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michelle Montague 16 of 20 80% 16 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 16
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 20 of 37 54% 8 of 23 8 of 9 4 of 5 16 of 30 3 of 6 1 of 1
Michelle Montague 18 of 43 41% 17 of 40 1 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mayra Bueno Silva 6 of 8 75% 3 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michelle Montague 8 of 20 40% 8 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 6 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Montague (-375); Bueno Silva (+300)

Round 1
It’s moving night in the rankings at 135 pounds for women, with three of the four repping that weight class currently sporting a number next to their name. Silva (10-6-1, 1 NC; 5-6-1, 1 NC UFC) is one of those three despite not recording a win since February 2023, and there is no truth to the rumor that her mother’s maiden name is Capulet. PFL expat Montague (7-0, 1-0 UFC) is looking to get there, and a victory tonight will almost certainly grant her a numerical designation. Before they throw hands, the ladies touch gloves, and referee Herb Dean will handle anything after that.
There is one strategy for Montague in this match, and she implements it immediately. Walking the former title challenger and putting three fists in her face, she closes the distance and hits a body lock takedown to put the Brazilian on her back. Silva defends off her back by isolating one wrist with both hands, and the Kiwi shakes out of it and smacks Silva with several powerful hammerfists. The punches are so mighty that Silva decides she should probably protect her mug and abandon the escape effort. When she does this, Montague elbows her a few times to force Silva turning. Montague hangs on with her right arm posted off Silva’s face, and she rolls Silva back over when Silva tries to buck out of the precarious position. Montague establishes herself in half guard, again fighting off the baseball grip on her left wrist so she can further beat down on “Sheetara.”
Montague floats when Silva tries to buck her off, staying heavy with the need arises and dropping down power strikes when they are open. The size difference is significant, as Silva keeps twisting and turning but is stuck on her knees until she voluntarily rolls to the side so she can sneakily search for a leglock off her back. Montague stacks her up and uses a can opener with her hands clutched behind Silva’s neck, and Silva responds with another leg submission attempt until Montague just steps over her. Montague hammers Silva with a free hand, dominating the former title challenger right to the end of the round. The only question is whether that performance merits a 10-8 in her favor, while Silva struggles to get back to her feet and manages to make her way back to her corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Montague
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Montague
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Montague

Round 2
Montague practically runs at Silva as the round kicks off, punching her way into range. Silva times a charge and throws Montague to the side, drilling her with a heavy right hand. Montague breaks off and circles away, shooting for a takedown when Silva lashes out with a low kick. Montague chambers and looses one to the ribs, and then kicks high while Montague walks her down without fear. Montague snaps the head back with a jab and shoots from a long way away, allowing Silva to wrap her arms around her neck. Silva latches onto a front choke, and this sudden ninja choke is tight as Montague lowers herself down to relieve the pressure. The Kiwi hits the deck in order to snap out of it, with Silva not quick enough to follow her while maintaining her grip strength. Montague sticks out a right hand and jabs with the ball of her foot, and Silva steels herself and nails Montague with a combination. Montague backs herself to the wall, and she gets stung a few more times and shoots for a desperate takedown.
Silva briefly stops it, but considers taking her back in the process and is tripped up to put herself on her back. Silva hangs on with a kimura sweep, until the bigger, stronger woman muscles her way out of it and shifts to climb into side control on the opposite side. Montague hunts for a crucifix setup, only for Silva to twist and turn to at least prevent the dominant position from locking down. Montague moves to Silva’s open guard, with Silva using butterfly hooks to sweep her. Silva kicks off, with Montague on one knee, and her heel bangs square into Montague’s jaw. Dean immediately calls time, while someone from the audience shouts that he should take a point. Dean asks her if Montague is ok after the blow, and they resume 45 seconds later with Montague smiling and ready to continue. Montague is quick to shoot for a takedown, and she pushes Silva to the wire. Silva frames off with short, effective punches, until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
Montague engages again early, but this time, Silva is ready for it. Silva punches back to keep Montague honest, but she is unable to stop the double-leg takedown that sweeps Silva clean off her feet. Montague lands in side control, fighting off any early effort for Silva to sweep or get out. When Silva turns to her knees, Montague punches her in the face repeatedly. Slick as a whistle, “Sheetara” slips around to the side to take Montague’s back.
Montague twists and keeps moving while Silva looks for any exposed limb. As Montague continues shifting and fighting, she flips Silva over to position herself in side control. When she gets it, “The Wild One” pounds on her with any free fist or elbow she can find. Silva contorts herself to get away, but the heavier Montague clubs and smothers her seemingly without end. The only thing that ends this is the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)

The Official Result
Michelle Montague def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Angelo is very confident in Michelle Montague, calling her a spectacular grappler with world-level wrestling and jiu-jitsu experience. He notes that Mayra Bueno Silva is on a four-fight losing streak and has poor wrestling, making it hard for her to get the fight to the ground. He expects Montague to control where the fight goes and win a decision without being in any trouble.

Angelo predicts a decision win for Montague.
"Michelle Monte's the pick. Like this took almost no consideration whatsoever."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady picks Mayra Bueno Silva (referred to as Michelle Waterson) over Marina Rodriguez Silva. He criticizes Marina's fight IQ and notes she is on a losing streak. He believes Waterson's wrestling and ground-and-pound will be too much, predicting a TKO in the second or third round.

Waterson wins by second round TKO
"Give me Michelle Waterson by second round TKO here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Michelle Montague

Connor picks Montague because Bueno Silva appears depressed and has been figured out by better fighters. He notes that Montague is aggressive, confident, and young in her career, and that Silva's recent losses have shown she doesn't know how to learn. However, Connor acknowledges that Silva has been beaten by a much higher class of fighter and that Montague is not at that level, making this a risky pick.

Montague opened at -400, still -400; Silva at +330, still +330. Connor thinks the line is too wide.
"i'm going to take a chance on her here damn this is like a fight though where we're kind of like i wonder what the outcome will mean yeah immediately sets it above the likes of right like the women …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The host sees this as a classic striker vs grappler matchup where Silva has a massive advantage on the feet and Montague on the ground. He doubts Montague's ability to get the fight down due to her poor offensive wrestling and Silva's good takedown defense in the clinch. He says it's an IQ test: Montague is unbetable, so Silva is the only value play, but she is weak off her back. He prefers live betting and notes the fight likely goes to decision.

Fight likely goes to distance; prefers live betting; fight spreads not good value
"It's clearly dog or pass, but just know you're betting on a fighter that's very weak off her back against a strong grappler."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

James picks Montague, believing she will dominate with takedowns and ground and pound, similar to Jasmine Jasudavicius' win over Silva. He predicts a TKO stoppage due to ground and pound, though Silva's toughness may extend the fight.

TKO from ground and pound
"I got Michelle Montigu to take her down. Ground and pound, submission attack... I think she gets a stoppage."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Montague is a strong grappler with good top control and submission threat, but her striking is robotic and she can be wobbled. Bueno Silva has submission skills off her back and could threaten with submissions, but she has been struggling and has a poor gas tank. Montague's size and strength should allow her to grind out a decision, but the chalk is hard to trust.

Bueno Silva by submission at +950 (hedge)
"I fully expect Montigue to keep Buenos Silva on her back and grind her out and bust her up with some ground and pound, maybe even threaten with a submission or two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Zane picks Bueno Silva despite her recent losing streak, because he believes Montague is not skilled enough to capitalize on Silva's weaknesses. He notes that Silva has power, aggression, and dynamic submissions, and that Montague's grappling is not at a level to control her. Zane also points out that Silva's losses came against a much better class of fighter than Montague.

Montague opened at -400, still -400; Silva at +330, still +330. Zane thinks the line is too wide in favor of Montague.
"i'm going to pick bueno sova here but i'll take montague yeah because i think on top of that bueno sova is she also looks like she's now has no choice but to reckon with the fact that she just …"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 39 of 97 40% 46 of 107 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:12
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 80 of 164 48% 87 of 172 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 9 of 24 37% 11 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:57
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 21 of 40 52% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 16 of 31 51% 21 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 23 of 57 40% 28 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
3 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 14 of 42 33% 14 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:15
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 36 of 67 53% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mayra Bueno Silva 39 of 97 40% 15 of 62 8 of 14 16 of 21 36 of 93 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 80 of 164 48% 45 of 118 20 of 26 15 of 20 73 of 156 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 9 of 24 37% 1 of 11 2 of 7 6 of 6 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 21 of 40 52% 6 of 21 5 of 7 10 of 12 20 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 16 of 31 51% 3 of 16 5 of 5 8 of 10 15 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 23 of 57 40% 15 of 45 8 of 10 0 of 2 20 of 54 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Mayra Bueno Silva 14 of 42 33% 11 of 35 1 of 2 2 of 5 13 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 36 of 67 53% 24 of 52 7 of 9 5 of 6 33 of 64 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cavalcanti (-250); Bueno Silva (+210)

Round 1
The promotion as of late has fallen in love with smashing two fighters together of drastically different trajectories hoping the one on the rise pulls it off. In this case, it is the women’s bantamweight division in dire need of contenders. It would be unfair to claim that the promotion
wants
one fighter to win, but the younger woman in Cavalcanti (9-1, 4-0 UFC) with a spotless UFC record intact is a far easier sell. In her fifth walk to the UFC cage, she collides with former flyweight title challenger Silva (10-5-1, 1 NC; 5-5-1, 1 NC UFC), who has tumbled down the rankings and may be fighting to keep her place on the roster. Referee Chris Tognoni draws the charge for this uneven momentum bout, one that should see some movement at 135 pounds no matter who prevails.
The ladies bump their fists together. Cavalcanti bounces back and forth to establish herself in the cage, pushing out a jab and trading low kicks. Cavalcanti connects with a kick to the thigh, and Silva’s response goes wide. Cavalcanti chips at the front leg, and she checks one coming back and doubles up on counters. She goes to the midsection, and Silva responds in kind. Silva ignores a one-two to sit down on a calf kick, and she stays out of range of Cavalcanti’s subsequent punches. The two are jittery and still not willing to commit to much, with Silva barely even in first gear. When she does throw something, it is in response and generally mirroring what already struck her. She chains a low kick into a wheel kick, and Cavalcanti leans back to dodge the latter and drills Silva with a right hand down the middle.
Silva stabs her toes out with a kick to the body, and Cavalcanti has not stopped with her low kick attack yet. She mixes in front kicks with calf kicks, and she swarms her way in. Silva ties her up, and Cavalcanti knees her in the gut and pushes off the face. Silva shoots down suddenly in pursuit of a double-leg entry, and Cavalcanti puts her back to the wall to defend it. Tognoni asks for them to do more, so Silva tries to lift her foe but cannot elevate her very high. Silva breaks off willingly, and she flicks out a few jabs. Cavalcanti looks to loop punches behind the jab, and she changes stances to keep Silva guessing at which side the kicks will be from. One final push kick from “Sheetara” concludes the tepid sparring match of a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti

Round 2
The bantamweights touch gloves to get going again, and Cavalcanti gets right in her rhythm of low kicks, jabs and forward movement. Silva tries to fire back, and Cavalcanti pushes off before getting caught with anything. Silva turns her hips into a harder-than-usual low kick, so Cavalcanti walks her down and strings five punches together to the body and head. Cavalcanti lifts a leg to check a kick and knees Silva in the belly to push her to the wire. They trade knees on the inside, with Cavalcanti spinning her foe around and landing more knees. Cavalcanti abandons the tie-up, and she puts three punches on the face.
Cavalcanti lifts her leg up to take some of the sting out of a kick, and both women let their lands go in a sudden exchange. Silva starts committing to more heavy leg kicks, and Cavalcanti’s volume remains steady with moves that touch rather than sting. Silva boots Cavalcanti upside the head, and it is narrowly blocked in time. Commentator Dominick Cruz chastises the women for not putting their full effort into this fight, and they apparently can hear him as they again whir into action and start drilling one another with strikes. Cavalcanti kicks, and Silva kicks her back in the ribs. Cavalcanti splits the guard with a jab and shakes her hand out, and she plants a one-two on the jaw as she drives the Brazilian back. Cavalcanti stomp kicks the lead knee of her adversary, and her jab has marked up the bridge of Silva’s nose. As Silva tries to circle to the side and avoid all contact to end the round, Cavalcanti walks her down and boots her in the guts as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti

Round 3
Of the two women in the cage, it is Cavalcanti who is fired up and ready to push the pace in the final frame. She does just that right out of the cage, walking behind a right hand that she bangs into Silva’s temple. As she chains punches together, Cavalcanti’s punches draw a failed takedown shot out of her opponent that pushes her to the wire but little else. Cavalcanti’s offense has drawn some swelling around Silva’s left eye and right temple, and she is quickly blowing up all over like golf balls slid under her skin. Cavalcanti pecks at the front leg with sticking her hands out, and she even tries a trip and throw but Silva bounces off. Cavalcanti’s one-two barely reaches as Silva’s right hand does not land cleanly, and Cavalcanti is walking forward without fear of reprisal.
Cavalcanti jabs the body with the ball of her foot, and she reams Silva with a one-two. Silva tries to grab hold of the woman from Portugal and get some dirty boxing going, but when that does not amount to much, it is a power jab that has the best effect of her strikes thus far. Cavalcanti recovers and snaps out her own jab in Silva’s face, using it to open up a few clubbing right hands. The once-beaten woman lets Silva buzz past her with a spinning strike, and she resets and works the body. Silva loads up on a right hand, and her subsequent low kick is checked. They flash jabs simultaneously, but Silva will likely need more if she wants to get her hand raised in the next 55 seconds. Cavalcanti stays in front of her foe, and she measures a right hand on the swollen eye socket. She follows it with a few more, and Silva walks forward as if she wants to brawl. When Cavalcanti lands on her, she changes her mind. Cavalcanti’s stance switches alone take most of Silva’s offense out of the equation, and she marches the former title challenger down and busts her in the chops with a left hand. The fight concludes, and the two ladies embrace as a camera quickly shows that Silva’s right foot has also ballooned as a result of this match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)

The Official Result
Jacqueline Cavalcanti def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards because she is the much better striker and can piece up Mayra Bueno Silva on the feet. He notes that Mayra is on a three-fight skid and may be desperate for takedowns, but Joselyne's takedown defense should hold up if she avoids naked kicks. He prefers Joselyne to box rather than kick to avoid getting taken down.

"Joselyne is the pick. I think she can keep this standing. Mayra Bueno Silva on a three-fight skid is not a great look."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Big Brady is not high on Cavalcanti, noting her underwhelming wins and split decisions against lower-level opponents. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's dangerous guard but criticizes her refusal to wrestle offensively. He thinks Cavalcanti will pick apart Bueno Silva at range for 15 minutes, winning a decision, but notes Bueno Silva has a path if she takes the fight to the ground.

decision
"I think Kvaki is going to pick apart Maruenos Silva at range for 15 minutes. Going to be a very underwhelming fight. But yeah, I'm going to go Kavoci. Kakoni by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Silva as a dog, citing her superior grappling and competition level. He thinks Cavalcanti's wins are over low-level opponents and that Silva can take her down and submit her.

"I'm going to take the underdog here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Lucrative James confidently picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti. He notes her cleaner striking, volume, and defensive skills, while Mayra Bueno Silva is on a downslide and has bounced between weight classes. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but believes Cavalcanti can avoid it and win a decision. He also mentions Silva's recent black belt but doubts it will change the outcome.

"I'm picking Cavalcante via decision in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The host believes Cavalcanti's striking edge will allow her to pick Silva apart from distance, though Silva's aggression could make it close. Ultimately, Cavalcanti should land better shots and win on the scorecards.

"I believe Kavakanti striking edge here should allow her to pick Silva apart from distance, but the aggression of Silva in the striking and grappling game could make this a lot closer than the odds suggest."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Paul is torn, leaning pass. He notes Silva's inconsistency and Cavalcanti's lack of impressive wins, but can't back Cavalcanti at minus 260.

"Dog or pass, CF dot model for me, but I'm leaning more towards a pass."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The Guru picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti over Mayra Bueno Silva. He cites Silva's recent losses and inability to bully opponents, while Cavalcanti has shown good striking and range management. He expects a competitive decision, with Cavalcanti outlanding Silva to a 29-28 win.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Jacqueline Cavalcante at range picking at Mayor Robeno Silva, outlanding her to a 29-28."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 56 of 105 53% 164 of 229 3 of 5 60% 0 0 7:11
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 37 of 72 51% 41 of 76 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 14 of 25 56% 35 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:48
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 30 of 54 55% 62 of 88 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:20
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 21 of 38 55% 24 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 12 of 26 46% 67 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:03
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 6 of 16 37% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 56 of 105 53% 23 of 66 20 of 26 13 of 13 48 of 94 8 of 10 0 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva 37 of 72 51% 23 of 53 8 of 12 6 of 7 30 of 64 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 14 of 25 56% 5 of 14 5 of 7 4 of 4 13 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 10 of 18 55% 4 of 10 2 of 3 4 of 5 10 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 30 of 54 55% 14 of 36 9 of 11 7 of 7 27 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva 21 of 38 55% 15 of 29 4 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 32 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 12 of 26 46% 4 of 16 6 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 21 4 of 5 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 6 of 16 37% 4 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

Round 1
Attention next shifts to the 125-pound weight class, where Bueno Silva (10-4-1, 5-4-1 UFC) awaits Jasudavicius (12-3, 6-2 UFC) in a compelling women’s flyweight affair. Mark Smith officiates. No glove touch. Bueno Silva rushes to the center and stars with a leg kick. Rear-leg front kick to the midsection from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius fires of a two-punch volley and circles off the fence. They trade and separate. Bueno Silva sneaks in a left hook and backs it up with two leg kicks, followed by a one-two. Jasudavicius circles, then secures a takedown. Bueno Silva catches a guillotine. Jasudavicius breaks the grip and sets up in full guard. Two minutes to go. Jasudavicius passes side control and lands in a topside crucifix. Short elbows fall. Bueno Silva frees herself briefly, but the Canadian cuts off her escape and powers into half guard. Bueno Silva mostly neutralizing her from the bottom, but Jasudavicius still manages to sneak in a few shots. Bueno Silva makes a pass at a leg lock as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus

Round 2
Bueno Silve emerges with a significant hematoma above her left eye. They circle one another in the center. One-twos from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva threatens with a standing guillotine but releases the choke. The Brazilian grabs the Thai clinch and throws a few knees. Nice counter right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva stalks forward and connects with two vicious left hooks to the body. Now, the Brazilian gets her jab in gear. Powerful one-two from Jasudavicius, followed by a front kick to the body. Midway through the round. Bueno Silva closes the distance and fires elbows from both sides. Right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. The Canadian clinches and lands an elbow on the break. Jasudavicius secures a takedown, scores with shoulder strikes, controls the scramble and scores with ground-and-pound. Bueno Silva hunts a leg lock. No luck. Jasudavicius closes with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Jasudavicius likely enters the final round with a lead. Bueno Silva’s movements labored now. Jasudavicius circles. Bueno Silva cuts loose with a combo and mixes in a nice elbow. The Brazilian stalks, lands another elbow and then eats a few knees. They trade, with neither woman gaining a discernible advantage. Jasudavicius feints a takedown, resets and swoops in four a successful double-leg. Bueno Silva looks discouraged, as the action stalls. Jasudavicius passes to half guard and steps over into full mount. She frames an arm-triangle choke but bails on it. Bueno Silva surrenders her back. Jasudavicius pounding away with punches to the body and head. Back to mount for the Canadian. Jasudavicius stays busy with ground-and-pound and draws a warning for a head butt. Bueno Silva flirts with an armbar, only to eat more punishment before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Mayra Bueno Silva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling pedigree and ability to control where the fight goes. He acknowledges Mayra Bueno Silva's toughness and dangerous ground game, but notes that Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler. He mentions that public comments overwhelmingly favor Jasudavicius, which has increased his confidence, though he admits he's unsure if that's influencing him.

"Jasmine Jaz divicious is the pick I think she wins I'm more confident now than I was a few weeks ago"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady believes Jasmine Jasudavicius needs to get the fight to the ground, where she can control Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Silva has poor takedown defense and doesn't mind being on her back, but is dangerous with submissions. Brady thinks Jasudavicius will be smart on top and win a decision, though Silva could be live for a submission. He predicts a 30-27 Jasudavicius decision.

decision
"Jasmine Jaz divicious by decision I think is the most likely outcome here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius's grappling will be the key to victory, allowing her to grind out a decision. She may also showcase improved striking from her Thailand camp, but her wrestling will bail her out of bad spots.

"I believe the grappling of Jasudavicius will prevail for her here... look for the grappling of Jasudavicius to bail her out of bad spots and that will allow her to grind this fight out and win it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog, noting she has competitive fights with top-level fighters and wins that Jasudavicius could only dream of. He believes Silva's physicality, clinch work, and grappling will be key, and that she will be bigger at flyweight. He also suggests she may miss weight but still win.

"I'm G to go with Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog... she's a very physical female fighter... I think she will beat jaser vicious"
LOSS vs Macy Chiasson
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 1:58 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Macy Chiasson 0 46 of 59 77% 53 of 66 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:19
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 50 of 85 58% 64 of 99 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Macy Chiasson 0 42 of 52 80% 47 of 57 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:58
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 37 of 62 59% 50 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
2 Macy Chiasson 0 4 of 7 57% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Macy Chiasson 46 of 59 77% 24 of 34 20 of 22 2 of 3 21 of 32 23 of 25 2 of 2
Mayra Bueno Silva 50 of 85 58% 27 of 59 13 of 16 10 of 10 22 of 52 18 of 23 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Macy Chiasson 42 of 52 80% 20 of 28 20 of 22 2 of 2 19 of 27 23 of 25 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 37 of 62 59% 21 of 44 13 of 15 3 of 3 19 of 41 18 of 21 0 of 0
2 Macy Chiasson 4 of 7 57% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
Mayra Bueno Silva 13 of 23 56% 6 of 15 0 of 1 7 of 7 3 of 11 0 of 2 10 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bueno Silva (-115), Chiasson (-105)

Round 1
With the 135-pound title picture in flux, the winner of Silva (10-3-1, 1 NC; 5-3-1, 1 NC UFC) and Chiasson (9-3, 7-3 UFC) could be next in line for a shot at gold—although Silva fell short her last time out vying for the title in an exceptionally dull affair. The 32-year-old bantamweights come together to touch gloves to start the fight all while referee Chris Tognoni prepares himself to officiate. Silva maintains the center of the cage while Chiasson strafes on the outside. Chiasson swings too hard with a right hand, resulting in Silva grabbing hold of her and clinching her to land a knee and an elbow. Chiasson separates and reaches out with a left hook, and on a second effort she misses with the same strike as a body kick belts her in the ribs. Silva kicks the front leg, sticks out a right hand and evades a counter. Silva plants the ball of her foot on Chiasson’s chest, fires a head kick off from the other leg and punches her way into the clinch. When up close and personal, the Brazilian strikes with an elbow, and Chiasson answers her with one of her own. Silva breaks out of the tie-up after absorbing this strike, and she misses a body kick and keeps turning to slap Chiasson in the face with a wheel kick. Chiasson scores a front kick and a low kick, and she keeps her guard up to defend a head kick. Silva works the body with several punches and knees, and she pulls Chiasson down to knee her in the face a few times. Chiasson defends from a takedown and walks to the fence, and she uses body shots in close range with several uppercuts. Silva tries to go after the trip, and Chiasson stifles it and takes a few knees to the midsection. Silva gets off an elbow, and Chiasson rips the body and goes up high in a flurry. Silva backs herself up against the cage wall, and the two end up back in the clinch trading body blows. Chiasson lines up several knees to the body, and Silva pushes away and tags Chiasson with a right hand. Silva uses the opportunity to shoot for a double, and Chiasson sprawls against the wall but is tripped to a knee for a second. Chiasson springboards back up and presses Silva against the wire until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The ladies clap hands, and Chiasson is ready to party and starts trading strikes. Head shots lead to other punches to the body and kicks, and she decides to take the fight down to the ground and succeeds. One single elbow from Chiasson slices a massive cut open above Silva’s right eyebrow. Chiasson stays tightly pressed to her opponent, and Silva throws her legs up in pursuit of an armbar. Chiasson remains stacked up on top until Silva abandons it, and Silva kicks her off of her. Chiasson stands and whips low kicks at the thigh from both sides, while Silva lays on her back with her hands behind her head bicycling upkicks. Chiasson decides to let Silva up, and Tognoni calls time to bring in the physician to observe the monstrous cut above her eyebrow. This appears to be a fight-ending cut, nearly two inches wide from one to the other. The doctor tells Tognoni the cut is extremely deep and that the blood will pour into her eye, and it already has as Silva’s face is covered with blood. Tognoni waves the fight off, and Silva is incensed, to the point that she climbs out of the cage and tries to plead her case to UFC head Dana White. He and others around him back away as she is leaking all over the place, and White tells her she needs to go see the doctor and get patched up. No matter her cries, this is a legitimate stoppage and way to win the fight—the head wound is no joke, much like the headliner of PFL last night.

The Official Result
Macy Chiasson def. Mayra Bueno Silva R2 1:58 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Cody picks Chiasson, citing her size, wrestling, and cardio advantages. He notes that Bueno Silva has poor takedown defense and cardio issues, and that Chiasson has consistently scored takedowns against tough opponents. Cody believes Chiasson will use her clinch work and wrestling to wear on Bueno Silva, and that she can win a decision or possibly get a submission. He also mentions that Bueno Silva's best wins are over lower-tier competition and that she failed a drug test.

"I'll take Macy Chiasson to again probably a close competitive first round... she may get taken down herself but it's all about using that strength and physicality."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Daniel Vreeland picks Macy Chiasson because she has looked better recently, rounding out her game and improving her takedown defense. He notes that Chiasson is a better striker than Bueno Silva and has a significant reach advantage (six inches). Vreeland believes Bueno Silva's only path to victory is grinding, but Chiasson has the skills to stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing. He also cites Bueno Silva's poor gas tank in her last fight against Raquel Pennington as a concern.

"I'm going to go with Macy Shon... she's looked a lot better as of late... she seems to be really working on her takedown defense... she's always been a better Striker than my rib bua silda."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel believes Bueno Silva has championship potential, citing her power, calf kicks, and opportunistic submissions. He notes that her loss to Pennington came when she was sick and had a busted eardrum. He views Chiasson as having physical attributes but being flaky and prone to mistakes under pressure. He thinks Bueno Silva is meaner, more athletic, and has a higher trajectory.

"I'm going Mya... I think she's meaner I think she's more athletic and I think she's got a higher trajectory I think she can be a champion."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Jeff Fox picks Macy Chiasson, echoing Vreeland's reasoning. He notes that Bueno Silva did not look good in her last fight and has gas tank concerns. Fox points out that Chiasson is way bigger, a better striker, and has improved her grappling. He also mentions that Chiasson's coach will keep her focused.

"I like the Macy chaon as well... buo Silva did not look good in her last fight... way bigger better Striker and as you said she's bringing better at her grappling."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The host leans Chiasson, citing her strength and ability to grind on Bueno Silva. He notes Bueno Silva is dangerous with submissions off her back early, but if Chiasson can control her against the cage for the first 6-7 minutes and then take her down, she will have success. He mentions the line has moved from +180 to nearly pick'em, indicating confidence in Chiasson.

Chiasson by decision
"I'm going to lean kiasan here and I think it's going to be her ability to just body and and and grind on Bueno Silva."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva by submission, noting that her submission grappling is her biggest weapon. He acknowledges that Chiasson is bigger and has better wrestling, but believes Bueno Silva can catch her in a submission if the fight goes to the ground. Paul points out that Bueno Silva has a history of pulling off submissions from seemingly losing positions, and that the plus-370 odds for her by submission offer value.

by submission +370
"I found a couple of my books they got plus 370 on Bueno Silva by sub... I feel like that is the play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The Guru picks Macy Chiasson as an underdog over Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Chiasson's size and reach advantage, and that Bueno Silva looked terrible in her last fight. He believes Chiasson can muscle her around and out-hustle her. He also mentions Chiasson's flexibility in submissions and her competitive fight against Norma Dumont.

"I'm going to go with Macy chasson... she's a lot than Mayra buo Silva"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raquel Pennington 0 134 of 201 66% 265 of 342 1 of 3 33% 2 2 11:28
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 69 of 88 78% 96 of 118 3 of 9 33% 3 0 8:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raquel Pennington 0 11 of 22 50% 26 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 18 of 22 81% 27 of 31 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:20
2 Raquel Pennington 0 33 of 52 63% 47 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:04
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 20 of 30 66% 29 of 41 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:46
3 Raquel Pennington 0 27 of 43 62% 52 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 17 of 20 85% 20 of 23 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:35
4 Raquel Pennington 0 29 of 38 76% 75 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:17
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 7 of 8 87% 8 of 10 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:11
5 Raquel Pennington 0 34 of 46 73% 65 of 83 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:19
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 7 of 8 87% 12 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raquel Pennington 134 of 201 66% 91 of 156 32 of 34 11 of 11 54 of 110 38 of 43 42 of 48
Mayra Bueno Silva 69 of 88 78% 32 of 44 26 of 30 11 of 14 28 of 45 38 of 40 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raquel Pennington 11 of 22 50% 7 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 18 of 22 81% 11 of 13 4 of 5 3 of 4 7 of 11 10 of 10 1 of 1
2 Raquel Pennington 33 of 52 63% 29 of 47 4 of 5 0 of 0 23 of 40 10 of 12 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 20 of 30 66% 7 of 14 10 of 11 3 of 5 7 of 16 12 of 13 1 of 1
3 Raquel Pennington 27 of 43 62% 13 of 28 12 of 13 2 of 2 9 of 23 14 of 16 4 of 4
Mayra Bueno Silva 17 of 20 85% 6 of 8 9 of 10 2 of 2 4 of 6 13 of 14 0 of 0
4 Raquel Pennington 29 of 38 76% 22 of 31 7 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 11 5 of 5 19 of 22
Mayra Bueno Silva 7 of 8 87% 3 of 3 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
5 Raquel Pennington 34 of 46 73% 20 of 32 5 of 5 9 of 9 8 of 17 7 of 7 19 of 22
Mayra Bueno Silva 7 of 8 87% 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 6 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Women’s Bantamweight Title Fight: Raquel Pennington vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bueno Silva (-170), Pennington (+142)

Round 1
The post-Amanda Nunes era at bantamweight truly begins, as eternal contender Pennington and the red-hot Bueno Silva meet to contest the belt vacated last year by the “Lioness,” who in a nice touch by the UFC is in attendance cageside with her family. Canada’s own Jerin Valel draws the referee assignment for this five-round title fight. Both fighters are in orthodox stance to open the fight. Bueno Silva throws a leg kick that glances, and Pennington rushes forward with a flurry of punches, backing the Brazilian up. Bueno Silva touches Pennington’s lead leg with a solid low kick. They engage again, and Pennington grabs hold of Bueno Silva and shoves her to the fence. Bueno Silva clasps her arms as Pennington throws a few short strikes. Bueno Silva breaks the clinch, and lands another hard calf kick. Pennington grabs a single-leg and tries to take Bueno Silva down, but Bueno Silva defends easily. Pennington goes for another quick single moments later, and they move to the fence. Bueno Silva takes Pennington’s back as she drags her to the canvas and quickly locks up a choke. Pennington fights the hands expertly, standing as she does so. Pennington breaks the grip to the point that she feels safe throwing elbow strikes to the thigh of Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva gives up on the choke and briefly loses back control as Pennington scrapes her against the chain-link, but hops back on her back and pulls her to a sitting position against the fence. She throws strikes from seated back control until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva

Round 2
Pennington comes forward with a triple jab, backing Bueno Silva up and dodging the first calf kick that comes her way. Bueno Silva throws another calf kick, backing Pennington to the fence as she does so, then uses underhooks to keep her there. Pennington throws knee up the middle, then another, and switches her hooks to reverse Bueno Silva against the fence. She lets Bueno Silva off the fence and tags her with three punches as she does so. Bueno Silva comes back with a single counter, but it’s a solid one. Bueno Silva clinches and puts Pennington back on the fence. They exchange knee strikes in close quarters. Bueno Silva tags Pennington with a pair of uppercuts to the body, and Pennington comes back across the top with a big punch to the head that rocks her. They get a little space and Pennington hits her with two more good shots to the head. Bueno Silva is hurt and goes staggering back to the fence. Pennington gives chase but ends up clinching, without enough space to follow up with more big shots. They disengage and fight a running battle all the way back across the cage, where Bueno Silva takes Pennington’s back once again and tries for the rear-naked choke. Pennington calmly defends, but again she is standing with Bueno Silva in back control. Bueno Silva loses the choke moments before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 3
Pennington scores first with a long overhand right. Bueno Silva lands two good right low kicks in succession. Pennington clinches and runs Bueno Silva to the fence, where the Brazilian promptly reverses her. Bueno Silva pushes her into the chain-link, looking to move to her back, but Pennington defends well and throws a knee to the body. Pennington takes the outside position. Bueno Silva uses a whizzer kick to toss Pennington to the ground, but Pennington kicks her off and sweeps to stand. Halfway through the round it’s Pennington driving Bueno Silva into the cage. Bueno Silva throws a knee to the body then reverses Pennington into the fence. The two would-be champs spend several long moments exchanging sporadic knees on the inside. Bueno Silva grabs a front headlock and briefly threatens, but Pennington escapes and tosses her to the canvas, ending up on top in half guard with an arm around the neck. Pennington gets up and Bueno Silva stays on the ground, suddenly looking very tired. She seems to want Pennington to go back into her guard, but Pennington is having none of it and Valel waves her up. The round expires a few moments later.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 4
Pennington steps right in a smashes Bueno Silva with a right overhand. She throws another pair of punches as Bueno Silva comes forward, looking for the clinch. Pennington quickly reverses her against the cage, but elects to stay there, throwing short punches—rather than disengage as her corner is loudly imploring her to do. Bueno Silva moves to try and take Pennington’s back against the cage. Pennington defends for a moment, but Bueno Silva persists and gets the position, then slaps on another rear-naked choke. It isn’t completely under the chin, and Pennington is turning red as she fights it off. She shrugs Bueno Silva partway off her back, but Bueno Silva continues to threaten with the choke even from the side. Finally, Pennington spins all the way into Bueno Silva’s guard at the base of the fence. She throws strikes as Bueno Silva throws her legs up for a possible triangle or armbar, but none of them are enough to really threaten, and Pennington keeps pouring on the punches and hammerfists. At the 30-second mark, Pennington postures up and comes down with a big hammerfist that draws a reaction from the Brazilian. The round ends a moment later, and Bueno Silva is slow to get up.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 5
Pennington is first off the blocks with a left and right hook. Bueno Silva swings back, advancing as she does so. Pennington seems motivated to deny her the clinch, especially against the cage, but Bueno Silva manages to get her there anyway. Bueno Silva tries for some kind of body lock, but bails on it and goes for a kneebar on her way down. There’s nothing doing there, and Pennington lands on top, sliding to mount as she locks up an arm-triangle choke. Bueno Silva is surviving just fine, as Pennington is in complete control of the position but apparently can’t get enough torque to finish the choke. Pennington moves out to one side without completely surrendering the mount, and Bueno Silva is slowly turning away from her. A minute and a half to go, and Pennington gives up the choke, settling in Bueno Silva’s half guard. Pennington pours on the punches as Bueno Silva clings to her, eyes closed, just hanging on. Valel looks on and Pennington stands out of guard, throwing kicks to the legs of her supine foe. Pennington dives in with a couple of big, but glancing punches right before the final horn. Barring a historically horrible judging gaffe, “Rocky” should be your new UFC women's bantamweight champion in about two minutes here.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Pennington (49-45 Pennington)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington (49-46 Pennington)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington (49-46 Pennington)

The Official Result
Raquel Pennington def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Angelo picks Pennington, citing her experience, pressure, and control style. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's power and submissions but believes Pennington's grit and high-level experience will prevail. He has a quarter unit on Pennington at plus 135 and will monitor for better value. He notes the potential distraction of Pennington's eight-month-old baby.

Quarter unit bet at +135; may add more if value improves
"I'm going to go rockel Pennington she is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady picks Silva, noting her submission skills are top-notch. He expects the fight to hit the mat at some point, where Silva will have the advantage. He thinks the striking will be close but Silva's forward pressure and durability will be key. He predicts a submission win for Silva.

submission
"give me Silva to win this fight and I guess she's going to become bantamweight champion"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Bueno Silva but is not confident, citing her submission threat and the fact that Pennington fights in the clinch where Silva caught Holly Holm. However, he worries about Silva's cardio and the lack of her ADHD medication (ritalinic acid) in a five-round fight. He sees Pennington as a live underdog but ultimately goes with Silva.

"I got Mayra Bueno Silva but there's a whole lot of red flags... the pick's going to be Bueno Silva."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Vreeland picks Bueno Silva, analyzing her striking success against Holly Holm. He notes that Silva found the range against Holm and landed impactful strikes. He contrasts Pennington's lack of range kicks and long fighting style, which should allow Silva to close distance. Vreeland also mentions Silva's submission threat if Pennington shoots takedowns. He sees Silva overwhelming Pennington on the feet.

"I'm gonna go marro Buena Silva I think if you watch her fight with Holly Holm she was actually having some success in the Striking in finding the range of Holly Holm who's you know notoriously kind of hard to …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel Vreeland picks Mayra Bueno Silva to become the new bantamweight champion. He highlights her heavy power, devastating leg kicks, and finishing instinct, including the ninja choke. He expects her calf kicks to be effective against Pennington's stationary boxing style, and believes she will land the harder shots throughout the fight, possibly finishing or winning a decision.

"I'm picking maira Shara Bueno Silva to become the new UFC bantamweight champion"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Fox picks Bueno Silva as the better fighter, but acknowledges Pennington's tendency to win. He notes Pennington's year-long layoff as a concern. Fox doesn't provide detailed technical analysis but defers to Silva's overall skill advantage.

"I'm taking Myra buo Silva as well just a better Fighter um it's hard though Pennington somehow she wins gumy she always wins so I can that could very easily happen here again but I think I'm going to take …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host only covers the main event, co-main event (Weili Zhang vs Tatiana Suarez), and other fights, but not Pennington vs Bueno Silva.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

I'm leaning on Bueno Silva to win inside the distance, likely by submission. Pennington could be the busier fighter and win rounds with volume, but Bueno Silva has a finish-heavy style that can break and frustrate Pennington. I think Bueno Silva lands a shot that opens up a clinch and sub opportunity. I'm not taking the moneyline at -155; I prefer the inside distance prop. I'd be very surprised if Pennington finishes Bueno Silva.

inside distance, submission victory
"I'm going to say Bueno Sila inside the distance that will likely end up being a bet too but I think she wins this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, emphasizing her experience in five-round fights, superior cardio, and wrestling. He notes Bueno Silva's submission threat but believes Pennington can avoid submissions and take over in later rounds. He also jokes about Silva missing her ADHD medication affecting her focus.

"I'm going to enact the CF dot model for this one... it's Pennington for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her higher finishing potential and submission ability. He notes her win over Holly Holm (though overturned) and her competitive fight with Manon Fiorot. He believes she will submit Pennington with a knee bar in round two.

submission via knee bar, round 2
"I'm going with Maya Bueno Silva over Raquel Pennington I think her finishing potential is just way higher than Raquel Pennington"
LOSS vs Holly Holm
No Contest (overturned) R2 0:38 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Holly Holm 0 27 of 39 69% 50 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:05
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Holly Holm 0 26 of 38 68% 49 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:42
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 19 of 33 57% 30 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Holly Holm 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Holly Holm 27 of 39 69% 15 of 24 10 of 12 2 of 3 21 of 31 6 of 8 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 20 of 37 54% 9 of 21 7 of 10 4 of 6 13 of 28 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Holly Holm 26 of 38 68% 15 of 24 9 of 11 2 of 3 20 of 30 6 of 8 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 19 of 33 57% 8 of 17 7 of 10 4 of 6 12 of 24 7 of 9 0 of 0
2 Holly Holm 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holm (-170), Bueno Silva (+145)

Round 1
Likely the lone fight on the card with immediate championship implications, former champ Holm (15-6, 8-6 UFC) will look to send a message to the matchmakers that she is still at the top of her game at 41 years of age. Silva (10-2-1, 5-2-1 UFC), 10 years younger, is gunning for an upset, with upwards of five rounds to do just that. Needing no further introduction, referee Keith Peterson prepares for the bantamweight main attraction, one that opens up with a quick tap of gloves and not a lick of nonsense. Silva advances slowly, and Holm races at her and throws punches to back her away. Silva kicks the lead calf twice, and Holm gives her a scare with a head kick. Holm is moving quickly on the outside, and she sticks Silva twice with right hands before changing levels for a single. Silva stands up and elbows her foe in the face, leading Holm to let it go and squeeze against her in the clinch. They trade short knees on the inside to little effect, and Holm settles down to impose her weight and will. Holm pushes off and gets away without a strike on the break, and she lifts her leg up to check a body kick. Holm moves quickly to get Silva’s attention with a few punches, and she is out of the way before a counter finds its mark. Holm uses her momentum to clinch Silva up again. When they stall out, Holm times an elbow to break away, and she separates to back off only to lunge forward with a few punches. Silva wings an elbow that slams into Holm’s temple, and Holm has to shake it off and retreat. Silva chases with a few punches, and Holm kicks her way out of a clinch and starts working the body with her feet. Silva comes up short on a front kick, and Holm bounces around before Silva comes towards her. Holm dodges a spinning strike, and she takes a left on the chin and a subsequent right hand to stun Holm. The former champ shoots in for a double after getting her bell rung, and the Brazilian keeps her back to the cage wall and even lifts up a knee to hit Holm during the takedown. Silva motions to Peterson to get between them, but the round ends with Holm hanging on tight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holm

Round 2
Holm paces back and forth in her corner before they start fighting again, and Silva takes the center of the cage and gets kicked in the midsection on the way in. Cutting Holm off, Silva pops Holm with a right hook. The former kickboxer moves forward to clinch, and Silva slides her arm under the chin with her back leaned against the wall.
As Holm leans over for a potential takedown, Silva connects her arm to set up a ninja choke that is a modified, dangerous guillotine choke. Holm wriggles but is shocked at this situation, as she is trapped and cannot come up with a way to get out of the bad spot. “Sheetara” leans forward to press her chest down and put more pressure on the neck and submission grip, and she knows she has set the hook. Before she goes out, Holm frantically taps out on the side of her opponent.
Peterson rushes to the other side to see if there had been a tap, and Silva releases the grip before Peterson is able to get between them and separate them. This is a massive feather in the cap for the Brazilian, who is only the second fighter to ever submit Holm – and the first, Miesha Tate, did so to win the bantamweight title. The victorious Silva is the only betting underdog to have pulled off a win tonight, and she made a real statement and stamped herself as an instant contender for the champ-less division. In her post-fight interview, Silva speaks about her mental health issues, thanking those that helped her through the worst days that are behind her. Calling for a title shot, it could be entirely possible that “Sheetara” punched her ticket for that opportunity, as the line of contenders is hardly a determined one. If she gets the next crack at the 135-pound title, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Holly Holm R2 0:38 via Submission (Ninja Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Angelo is confident in Holly Holm, calling her the more technical striker with better takedown defense and offense. He notes Silva's losses have come via wrestling, and Holly can do the same. He thinks Holly can hold Silva against the cage, get takedowns, and avoid submissions. He placed a one-unit moneyline bet at minus 160. He disagrees with a DM suggesting Silva should be the favorite, stating Holly has earned the right to be favored.

one unit moneyline bet at -160
"Holly Holm confident pick and I have that one unit moneyline bet on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Big Brady picks Holly Holm but with hesitation, as he sees two clear outcomes: Holm dominating on the feet or Bueno Silva catching an armbar. He notes Holm is 41 but still looks good, and if she fights smart and keeps it standing, she should cruise. However, he worries Holm might take Bueno Silva down and get submitted. He is not betting this fight due to the risk.

Not betting this fight
"I'm gonna take Holly home here but I could 100 see a scenario where Holly Holm takes down Bueno Silva and gets like armbarred and I'm extremely annoyed because I bet holy home but luckily I'm I'm not betting this …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Cody picks Holly Holm, comparing her to a Rolex watch that keeps going. He highlights her high ring IQ, ability to adapt, and wrestling improvements. He notes Silva's takedown defense issues and that Holm can mix in takedowns. He expects Holm to Matador from the outside, mix in takedowns, and win a decision, possibly winning championship rounds.

"I gotta go with Holly Holm as well minus 180 women's MMA again... she's like a Rolex watch man she just keeps going"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

James is leaning towards Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog. He notes that Holly Holm is 41 years old and may be declining, while Bueno Silva has strong submission skills and finishing ability. He mentions that many respected bettors are on Holm, but he is skeptical of her grappling and thinks Bueno Silva could submit her. He plans to watch more tape but is leaning towards the dog side.

submission finish
"I do think that Buena Silva has some submission upside that Holly Holm maybe hasn't seen before"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Holly Holm

The host believes Holm's veteran savvy and clinch-heavy approach will keep her safe from Bueno Silva's submissions. He expects Holm to mix striking, clinch, and grappling to cruise to a decision win. He notes Bueno Silva's lack of urgency and low volume as weaknesses.

"I think she wins by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Paul picks Holly Holm, citing her technical striking, experience, and ability to win at range. He expects a slow, tepid fight with Holm winning a decision, similar to the Vieira fight. He notes the line moved from -145 to -180, so he missed his betting window. He also mentions the PrizePicks over 90.5 significant strikes is tight and won't play it.

mentioned over 90.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks but won't play it
"I think experience wins out here she can win with volume on the feet... I expect a slow tepid Affair 25 minutes and home gets her hand raised"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Holly Holm

The MMA Guru picks Holly Holm over Mayra Bueno Silva, noting Holm's activity, athleticism, and ability to control fights against the cage. He questions Silva's cardio for a five-round fight and doubts her submission threat, believing Holm can dictate where the fight takes place. He predicts Holm wins by decision or late stoppage.

"I'm gonna go with Holly Holm confident in her I think mayor Bueno Silva's dangerous but I don't think she's dangerous enough on the feet"
Submission (kneebar) R2 4:45 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 25 of 50 50% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Lina Länsberg 0 39 of 69 56% 58 of 90 2 of 3 66% 1 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 17 of 36 47% 27 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Lina Länsberg 0 24 of 47 51% 31 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:16
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 8 of 14 57% 13 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Lina Länsberg 0 15 of 22 68% 27 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mayra Bueno Silva 25 of 50 50% 16 of 41 7 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 43 7 of 7 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 39 of 69 56% 13 of 38 17 of 20 9 of 11 21 of 47 11 of 13 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 17 of 36 47% 10 of 29 5 of 5 2 of 2 12 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 24 of 47 51% 3 of 21 14 of 17 7 of 9 16 of 36 8 of 9 0 of 2
2 Mayra Bueno Silva 8 of 14 57% 6 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 15 of 22 68% 10 of 17 3 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 11 3 of 4 7 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Lina Lansberg
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-435), Lansberg (+350)

Round 1
The only fighters tonight holding a ranked spot on the roster are the four women competing. Before the big-time main event, two bantamweights on the outer edge of the top 15 will look to maintain or improve that number. Lansberg (10-7, 4-6 UFC), at the age of 40 and on a three-fight skid dating back to 2020, has her back against the wall. Meanwhile, Silva (9-2-1, 4-2-1 UFC) has gotten her hand raised both times in 2022 with plenty of momentum on her side, and a potential passing of the torch moment might be coming soon. The ladies will be joined by referee Jacob Montalvo, who clocks them in right before they bump fists. Lansberg reaches her hands out to hand-fight, and Silva leads off with a low kick. Lansberg, with her fingers outstretched, jab straight into the Brazilian’s right eye, and we have a pause about 15 seconds into the match. Silva blinks it out and is good to go before long, and they resume. Lansberg scores a jab, and Silva flails back with punches and spins with a back kick to the liver. Lansberg wears it well but is backed against the cage, and Silva is on top of her landing strikes to the head and body before disengaging. They go back to hand-fighting before Silva plods forward with two body kicks. Lansberg looks to get off a standing elbow up close, but Silva stops it and kicks her in the calf and then ribs. A punch from Silva forces Lansberg to ricochet off the fencing, and they clinch up to allow Lansberg to rip an elbow over the top. Silva breaks off and lets fly with a barrage of leg kicks and follow-up shins to the liver area. Silva stabs her toes to the body with a subsequent kick, and Lansberg takes it flush and walks her down to clinch up and strike up close. Silva is the one that gets off elbows on the inside, and not “Elbow Queen,” as she mixes in knees before they separate. Lansberg looks to search for the clinch again, and she scores a few knees and uppercuts before Silva unloads with a knee to the body to get her to break up. Silva spins with another back kick to the body, and Lansberg ties her up and knees the ribs. Silva spins her around up against the wire, and they trade knees one after the other. Silva changes levels in search of a single-leg takedown, and the Swede sprawls and gets her legs tripped up briefly. Silva muscles Lansberg down to the mat, dropping the 40-year-old right on her face. Silva moves to half guard as Lansberg winds up on her back, and she slashes down with a quick elbow. Silva fights off a sweep attempt and hacks down with another elbow before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The second round begins with a sharp striking exchange, with Lansberg pushing the pace early and winging elbows when clinching up. Silva pushes her away and pounds the calf with kicks, marking up an already welted lead wheel for the Swede. As Lansberg recklessly pushes forward to initiate some sort of offense, Silva uses her foe’s momentum against her and trips her to the ground. The Brazilian hits the mat in half guard from above, and she uses her shoulder to press down on Lansberg’s chin. Silva slowly works her way to attempt a guard pass, preferring position over submission or damage. Lansberg protects her mug from any ground strikes, but she is being wholly controlled on bottom. Silva shifts to three-quarter mount and happily takes the back when Lansberg scrambles, sliding both hooks in instinctively. Lansberg hand-fights to protect her neck from a submission, and Silva drops down a pair of elbows to the side of the head. Silva softens Lansberg up with strikes, and she pulls back to resume the back control with her hooks in. The Brazilian cinches up a body triangle, and Lansberg keeps a tight grip on Silva’s left arm beneath her armpit. Silva elbows her foe repeatedly until she forces a scramble, and Lansberg scrambles to get out of an armbar setup that develops in a hurry. Lansberg keeps moving and stands up, but instead of forcing Silva to stand back up, she decides to dive back in the fire and claim top position.
“Sheetara” welcomes this, as she finds that Lansberg landed on the mat in such a position that she can grab hold of the foot and torque it to straight the leg out. Silva locks up a kneebar, and before it hyperextends and the tendons shred like a chuck roast in a crock pot, Lansberg taps out on her opponent’s hip.
In the blink of an eye, Silva now finds herself on a three-fight win streak with two submissions in that run, and she calls for a top contender like Raquel Pennington, Miesha Tate or Julianna Pena next to get a crack at gold.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Lina Lansberg R2 4:45 via Submission (Kneebar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Angelo is confident in Bueno Silva but acknowledges the matchup is tricky. He notes Bueno Silva has zero takedowns in the UFC despite four submission wins, relying on pulling guard or submissions from bottom. Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai striker who can't defend takedowns, but Bueno Silva may struggle to get the fight to the ground. Angelo still expects Bueno Silva to win, likely by submission, but admits Länsberg could win if she keeps it standing.

"Meyer Buena Silva is going to win this fight she's my pick I'm very I'm pretty confident in that."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady notes that Bueno Silva has incredible grappling but never initiates takedowns (0-for-1 in UFC). He thinks the fight will stay on the feet, where Länsberg has power and has been competitive as a dog. He still picks Bueno Silva to win by decision, but warns against the -425 line.

Bueno Silva by decision
"give me more Bueno Silva to win give me Mario Bueno Silva to Myra buenos Silva to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Bueno Silva but is not confident at -500. He notes she is very slow and plotted, with zero percent takedown accuracy in the UFC. Her best attribute is the armbar, but she has no wrestling to set it up. He says if she can't take Länsberg down, it becomes a striking battle where Länsberg is effective in the clinch. However, Länsberg is 40 and doesn't have the cardio to keep pace. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and warns that holding a -500 ticket in women's MMA is risky due to judging.

Cody mentions the over/under: fight goes to decision is minus 125. He says Bueno Silva's first-round submission win over Edgar is cooked into the line. He thinks the fight will be closer than -500 indicates.
"I think Mary Buena Silva wins but at minus 500 I don't feel great about it and there's certain issues that I do have pertaining to this matchup."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Connor agrees with Zane, calling it a physicality pick. He notes that Länsberg has been outmuscled by less athletic fighters like Pannie Kianzad, and that she lacks a functional game against stronger opponents. He also points out that Länsberg is trying to change her style at age 40, which is unlikely to succeed. Connor feels bad for Länsberg but sees Silva as the clear winner.

"Yeah, I'm with you. And I really don't have a lot to add. It's mostly a physicality pick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Jacob agrees with Bueno Silva but thinks the fight could be closer than expected. He notes Länsberg wants to clinch and hold against the cage, and Bueno Silva is also a Muay Thai striker who doesn't mind clinch positions. Jacob emphasizes Bueno Silva needs to use trips and judo to get the fight to the ground, where her Jiu-Jitsu dominates. He believes if she can do that, she finishes the fight.

"I love my buenosova... she needs to win those clinch exchanges happen she needs to have trips and Judo ready."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Bueno Silva has youth, speed, and power advantages, and her striking should overwhelm the aging Länsberg. Länsberg is on the decline and has been outworked in recent fights. Expect Bueno Silva to land a big shot and finish via submission (club and sub) in the second round.

under 2.5 rounds; Silva wins by submission in round 2
"I lean the under two and a half more than I do the chalky Silva price tag... Silva via club and sub probably second round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva but says minus 500 doesn't get him out of bed. He thinks the most interesting part is the over/under, noting Länsberg is durable and the fight likely goes to decision. He says the first-round finish against Edgar is cooked into the line. He plans to bet the fight goes to decision at minus 125. He calls Bueno Silva the pick but won't lay the heavy chalk.

Paul bets half a unit on fight goes to decision at -125. He says Länsberg is durable and slow-plodding, and Bueno Silva's takedown accuracy is zero percent.
"I'll be picking maribueno Silva Landsberg is kind of like a Sitting Duck... I think there is an opportunity to make some money on fico's the decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mayra Bueno Silva, calling Lina Länsberg a middle-aged mom who hasn't finished anyone in years. He praises Silva's forward pressure, good chin, and recent performance against Manon Fiorot. He predicts Silva will beat Länsberg on the feet, leading to a panic takedown attempt from Länsberg, and Silva will latch on a submission from the bottom, likely an armbar or triangle in the first two rounds.

submission in the first two rounds, armbar from on bottom
"I'm gonna trust in her this time definitely maraboyno Silva is going to push forward beat up Lena Landsberg on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Zane notes that Länsberg is 40 years old on a three-fight losing streak and has tried to change her style but hasn't succeeded. He describes Silva as a hard-hitting opportunist who knows how to implement her game, even if her technique is rough. He believes Länsberg lacks the physicality and technical skill to stop Silva from imposing her will, and that Silva's aggression and submission threats will be too much. Zane also mentions that Länsberg's attempts to become an out-fighter have not worked, and she is likely to be bullied.

"So I got to take part of this over here."
Submission (armbar) R1 1:17 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mayra Bueno Silva 4 of 4 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 4 of 4 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Stephanie Egger vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-110), Egger (-110)

Round 1
This ESPN card has taken some hits right before it was set to go down, but it will proceed with 10 fights at the UFC Apex. The first comes in the women’s bantamweight category, as two finish-minded ladies each sporting stoppage rates at 75% or above toe the line. Brazil’s Bueno Silva (8-2-1, 3-2-1 UFC) will battle it out with well-rounded Egger (7-2, 2-1 UFC), and the referee in charge of their meeting is Chris Tognoni. The gloves get to touched to start off this evening’s violence, and the women measure their range and clash shins together with the first strikes of the night. Bueno Silva swats at her foe with a few punches, and Egger responds by grabbing her and hip tossing Bueno Silva over. Bueno Silva takes her back for a moment, only to get rolled around. When Egger claims top position, she starts smashing down punches and elbows. Egger falls into an armbar as she is throwing strikes, and Bueno Silva locks it up fast.
The Swiss fighter stacks her up, but she falls forward and the submission is tighter. Bueno Silva shouts to Tognoni that Egger tapped, and she lets go of the move and holds her arms up. Everyone is confused, because Egger does not admit she tapped out, and just glances at Tognoni with a quizzical look. After a few seconds of awkwardness, Tognoni waves the fight off, apparently from Bueno Silva’s claim of the tap.
Tognoni goes to consult the replay official to review the stoppage, and when this does not prove conclusive, he does the rare but proper call of polling the judges – this means, asking the judges what they saw and if there is something only seen from one of their vantage points. Judge Ron McCarthy declares that he clearly saw a tapout, and that is all that is needed to put this result in the books. A unique instance, but proper in the confines of the rules. Egger protests that she did not tap out, but it’s all over. This speedy submission for Bueno Silva goes down as one of the quickest in UFC women’s divisional history.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Stephanie Egger R1 1:17 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Angelo picks Mayra Bueno Silva despite her takedown defense concerns. He notes she defended 19 takedowns combined in her three fights where she was taken down, and believes her physicality and striking should get her the win. He acknowledges the risk of being controlled on the ground but trusts her ability to keep it standing enough to win a decision.

"I do think I'm going to go with buena silva here because yes she was taken down in those losses but she defended the hell out of a lot of takedowns as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady favors Mayra Bueno Silva as a dog, citing her superior striking volume and power, as well as her dangerous grappling off her back. He notes that Stephanie Egger's grappling is solid but her striking is still developing, and he believes Bueno Silva can keep the fight on the feet and outpoint Egger. He also mentions that if taken down, Bueno Silva is extremely active and dangerous on the mat. He predicts a decision win for Bueno Silva.

dog pick, decision win prediction
"i do like mara bueno silva uh the line did flip she has a dog i will take the dog to start off the card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody also picks Bueno Silva, agreeing that she has the striking advantage. He notes that Egger's only path is to get the fight to the ground, but Bueno Silva has shown durability and ability to survive bad spots. Cody is concerned about Bueno Silva's habit of shaking off punches, which may not impress judges. He thinks she wins but won't lay money.

"I'll agree with you... I'm not gonna lay money on it... she definitely has the advantage on the feet."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bueno Silva at underdog odds, citing her power striking and ability to land damage on the feet. He worries about her takedown defense, as Egger has a strong grappling background, but believes Bueno Silva can win by knockout or submission if she avoids being controlled. He likes the value since the line flipped.

"Since the line flipped I'm gonna go with Bueno Silva at the underdog odds but not confident for the reasons I mentioned"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva as a dog, noting that she is strong, physical, and durable. He mentions that Egger is a judoka who needs the clinch, while Bueno Silva wants to strike. Paul thinks Bueno Silva's power and tenacity will be enough to rough up Egger. He is waiting for a better price, as the line has moved to +117.

"I believe that dog to be Mayra Bueno Silva... she's strong, she's physical... I think she ends up roughing up Egger."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her toughness, durability, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He believes she can tough out positions and push the pace in later rounds, winning 29-28. He notes that Stephanie Egger's recent wins over Jessica-Rose Clark and others are not impressive, and that Bueno Silva has submissions and a draw with Montana De La Rosa.

"i am actually going to be going with mayor bueno silva here... i feel as though she's very very tough very hard to put away very hard to submit as well because she does have very good jujitsu"
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel initially favored Bueno Silva but changes his pick to Moroz due to the lack of crowd. He thinks Bueno Silva feeds off crowd energy and without it, Moroz's experience and tennis sounds could sway judges. He predicts a controversial split decision for Moroz.

split decision
"without a crowd I think I might be leaning more towards the upset man it's gonna be completely silent in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The host picks Maryna Moroz over Mayra Bueno Silva. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's jiu-jitsu skills but highlights Moroz's impressive armbar finish over Joanne Calderwood, who is fighting for the flyweight title. He believes Moroz can defend positions and use her length and range to earn a unanimous decision victory.

"I'm gonna go with Mariana and moroz getting the job done if you're able to submit Joanne Kaldur wood in the first round"