UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
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Age 36
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 43
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 230 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Volkan Oezdemir
4.99 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.19 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.5 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ilir Latifi
2.05 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
2.93 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
2.11 TD Avg
35.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Volkan Oezdemir - Fight History
KO R1 1:27 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 1 13 of 35 37% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alonzo Menifield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 1 13 of 35 37% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alonzo Menifield 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 35 37% 12 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 35 37% 12 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alonzo Menifield vs. Volkan Oezdemir
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oezdemir (-240); Menifield (+190)

Round 1
With dueling finish rates right at or around 75%, a pair of fist-first light heavyweights meet for the first time despite a litany of experience in the Octagon thus far. “No Time” Oezdemir (20-8, 8-7 UFC) knows there is no time for a loss, as that would drop his promotional record to .500. Menifield (17-5-1, 10-5-1 UFC) is a long way away from that line, and he has put a pair of knockout losses last year in the rear-view mirror with two victories thus far in 2025. Someone’s fortunes will drop at the end of what should be a concussive matchup, one that kicks off in front of referee Marc Goddard with a sporting touch of gloves.
Oezdemir wades towards Menifield, but he ends up getting smacked with a surprise left hook on the entry. Oezdemir backs off to find another way in, and he jabs to set up twos and a body kick. Menifield bounces off the fence to shake it off, and he avoids a swatting right hand while strafing to the side. Oezdemir stays after him with punches that bounce off the guard, and he squares up to drill Menifield in the chest with a knee. Menifield fires back with an overhand right that is out of range, and another vicious knee from “No Time” crashes into Menifield’s chin. The Swiss fighter stands Menifield up with a barrage of fiery fists, knocking Menifield’s head around and putting him in jeopardy. Menifield sways and moves, but Oezdemir’s boxing is relentless and destructive.
Oezdemir stuns Menifield with a left hand and finishes the job with a bevy of brutal blows. Like a puppet that’s had its strings cut, Menifield slumps to his side and is kept upright only because of the fence next to him.
The lights are on, but no one’s home. Goddard recognizes that Menifield is dreaming of his ancestors and halts the fight, and he immediately tends to the wrecked Texan. The “boop” is back.

The Official Result
Volkan Oezdemir def. Alonzo Menifield R1 1:27 via KO (Knee and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Angelo leans Volkan Oezdemir over Alonzo Menifield, despite rooting for Menifield. He notes Oezdemir's leg kicks were effective against Carlos Ulberg and could neutralize Menifield's power. Both are similar aging vets with above-average striking and below-average wrestling, but Oezdemir is cleaner and has better cardio. Angelo calls the odds an atrocity and suggests value on Menifield.

Plus three and a half on Alonzo is not a terrible bet; Alonzo inside the distance decision no action is not a terrible bet.
"I'm gonna pick Vulcan Odeir. These odds are an atrocity."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir by decision, noting his higher level of competition and defensive responsibility. He expects the fight to go the distance and favors Oezdemir's output and experience over Menifield.

decision
"Oezdemir by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Volkan Oezdemir confidently, despite feeling it might be a trap. He notes that Menifield has only beaten green or inexperienced fighters and has poor takedown defense. Volkan has fought higher-level competition and has power. Cody believes Volkan's experience and power will be too much for Menifield, who tends to freeze against power punchers.

"I think Vulcan just stiffs him to be honest with you."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Connor picks Oezdemir, noting that Menifield lacks the tools to exploit Oezdemir's weaknesses. He explains that Oezdemir struggles against a good jab or aggressive ground game, but Menifield relies on power and size, which Oezdemir can handle. Connor cites Oezdemir's wins over similar fighters like Johnny Walker and Paul Craig.

"I just got to pick Vulcan Uzdimir here out of hand."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Lucrative James picks Volkan Oezdemir but with low confidence, calling it a close fight. He notes Volkan's technical striking and leg kicks, but acknowledges Menifield's athleticism and power. He thinks Volkan will win a decision by doing slightly more on the feet, but admits he may bet on Menifield as an underdog. He also mentions the over/under prop.

over 1.5 rounds mentioned as potential plus money play
"I'm going to pick Vulcan just because I think he's going to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Oezdemir has power and can exploit Menifield's durability issues. Menifield is a live underdog with power of his own. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet than the moneyline, as both have knockout potential.

under 2.5 rounds at -135
"I'm going to go Uzamir by knockout as my official prediction, but I do like the under two and a half most in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Volkan Oezdemir, agreeing with Cody. He notes that all metrics point to Volkan, and Menifield's wins are against lower-level opponents. Paul mentions that Menifield has been knocked out quickly by power punchers, and Volkan has the power to do the same.

"I mean, all the metrics, all the stats, you look at the two of these match these guys, everything points towards Vulcan."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir over Alonzo Menifield, citing Oezdemir's experience and takedown defense. He notes Menifield's poor decision-making and believes Oezdemir will out-strike him. He predicts a second-round TKO win for Oezdemir.

second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Volkan Oezdemir. I think he'll sting Alonzo Menifield with hooks on the outside."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Oezdemir. He notes that Menifield's best chance is if Oezdemir has a bad night, but Oezdemir's pressure and aggression should overwhelm Menifield. Zane highlights Oezdemir's experience against higher-level competition and Menifield's tendency to lose to fighters who don't respect his power.

"I'm taking Uzdimir as well. Uzdimir is just not one of those guys. You can have a whole lot of faith."
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Ulberg 0 96 of 183 52% 96 of 183 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Volkan Oezdemir 0 98 of 204 48% 98 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Ulberg 0 29 of 51 56% 29 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 24 of 60 40% 24 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Ulberg 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlos Ulberg 0 39 of 73 53% 39 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Volkan Oezdemir 0 45 of 84 53% 45 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Ulberg 96 of 183 52% 51 of 131 17 of 24 28 of 28 95 of 182 1 of 1 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 98 of 204 48% 81 of 182 9 of 13 8 of 9 98 of 204 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Ulberg 29 of 51 56% 12 of 30 8 of 12 9 of 9 28 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 24 of 60 40% 18 of 51 3 of 5 3 of 4 24 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlos Ulberg 28 of 59 47% 11 of 40 4 of 6 13 of 13 28 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 29 of 60 48% 23 of 53 2 of 3 4 of 4 29 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlos Ulberg 39 of 73 53% 28 of 61 5 of 6 6 of 6 39 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 45 of 84 53% 40 of 78 4 of 5 1 of 1 45 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Angelo initially was very confident in Ulberg but became more hesitant after reviewing Oezdemir's resume and chin. He still picks Ulberg as the much better striker but acknowledges Oezdemir's takedown threat and experience. He notes Oezdemir hasn't been knocked out since 2020.

"I am still going to pick ulberg here I'm going to stick with my gut but the confidence took a little bit of a hit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Big Brady picks Carlos Ulberg to win by decision. He believes Ulberg is the better striker with more volume and power, and Oezdemir is unlikely to wrestle. Brady notes Oezdemir has looked like he's losing a step, citing the Paul Craig fight where he seemed slow. He expects Ulberg to outwork Oezdemir over 15 minutes in a competitive but clear decision.

"I like orberg to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision just doing more across 15 minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Cody picks Ulberg, citing his speed, power, and improved cardio and grappling. He notes that Oezdemir is a first-round knockout threat but fades in later rounds and has been taken down. Ulberg's diverse skill set and ability to mix takedowns give him multiple paths to victory. He expects Ulberg to win by decision or late knockout.

"I got alberg alberg a i Sav by decision I kind of think he could knock him out so I don't really like that I'll probably just play the money line"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Connor also picks Ulberg, but notes that Oezdemir could win if he pressures and lands big combinations. He compares Ulberg to Charbel Magomedov, saying he is fast but vulnerable when pressured. Connor expects a sticky split decision where Ulberg jabs from range and Oezdemir has moments of success, but Ulberg's speed and reach should edge it.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'll take Olberg as well, but it could easily be a sticky split decision where Olberg is getting backed up and touching Oezdemir up with jabs."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel Vreeland is confident Carlos Ulberg will win, citing his superior athleticism, speed, and slick striking. He praises Ulberg's left hook and step-back counter. He views Volkan Oezdemir as a solid but limited gatekeeper who is too meat-and-potatoes for the new breed. Vreeland predicts a left hook knockout by Ulberg.

by KO (left hook)
"I think it's gonna be a left hook Knockout by Carlos olberg over Vulcan usir"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)

James does not give a clear pick for this fight, citing inside information from Ulberg's camp that he keeps private. He notes the odds seem based on recency bias and that Ulberg is stepping up in competition. He suggests the line may be off but does not reveal his lean.

"I'm not going to go into the stylist Stylistics of this matchup right now on this video"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Paul agrees, highlighting Ulberg's speed and technical striking advantage. He thinks Oezdemir will struggle to land his power shots and may force a dogfight, but Ulberg's improved cardio and fight IQ will carry him. He notes that Ulberg's grappling is a question mark, but Oezdemir doesn't have the wrestling to exploit it.

"I think Goldberg wins um minus 250 seems a little bit risque but I he's got all the tools in the shed to to make this work"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg over Volkan Oezdemir, despite acknowledging Oezdemir's potential to fraud-check prospects. He notes Oezdemir's hype was built on not getting hit, but since then only has a KO over Johnny Walker and couldn't finish Paul Craig. He believes Ulberg is more talented, trains at a good gym (City Kickboxing), and is now or never at 34. He predicts a competitive decision win for Ulberg.

decision win, competitive 29-28
"I'm going to go with Carlos alberg getting this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Zane picks Ulberg, arguing that his jab and range control will frustrate Oezdemir, who struggles against kickboxers that sit on a jab. He notes that Oezdemir's poor defensive striking and fragile confidence will be exposed if Ulberg can stick him from distance. Zane compares it to the Rakic fight, expecting a split decision where Ulberg's jab wins rounds.

Oezdemir opened +217, now +202; Ulberg opened -245, now -235.
"I think that Olberg can offer the thing that will most likely prevent Oezdemir from doing what will win him the fight. He can stick a jab on him."
WIN vs Johnny Walker
KO (punch) R1 2:28 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 2 37 of 67 55% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 2 37 of 67 55% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 3 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 37 of 67 55% 22 of 49 9 of 12 6 of 6 33 of 59 2 of 4 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 3 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 37 of 67 55% 22 of 49 9 of 12 6 of 6 33 of 59 2 of 4 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Angelo picks Johnny Walker, citing his size, athleticism, speed, and power. He thinks Walker's unpredictability and creativity will be key. He acknowledges Walker's chin issues and unreliability but believes the height and athleticism advantage will be too much for Oezdemir. He does not have a bet on the fight but notes the odds are close, making it a good value play.

No bet placed; odds close so potential value
"Johnny Walker is gonna be the pick I'll tell you right now I don't have a bet on this fight because I don't trust Johnny in that chin but these odds make it like these are the fights where you …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir hesitantly, calling it a coin flip. He favors Oezdemir's durability and output over Johnny Walker's inconsistency. Brady notes Walker's tendency to be hesitant after knockouts and expects a close, possibly boring decision. He acknowledges that anything can happen in a Johnny Walker fight.

"give me uzir because he's going to be more durable which is not hard uh for Johnny Walker to for anybody to be more durable than him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Cody picks Walker, citing his improved fight IQ under SBG Ireland, using length and distance to outpoint opponents. He notes Oezdemir's reliance on power and low output, and believes Walker can avoid the big shot and win a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to take Johnny Walker"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Daniel Vreeland leans slightly towards Johnny Walker, citing his unorthodox attacks and athleticism. He notes Oezdemir's gas tank issues and believes Walker can cause problems with range and unpredictability. However, he acknowledges Walker's chin vulnerability and the possibility of getting knocked out.

"I'm gonna lean slightly ever so slightly with Johnny Walker"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Jacob picks Oezdemir, citing his durability and power. He does not trust Johnny Walker's chin and believes Oezdemir will eventually land. He notes that Johnny Walker as a dog (+150 or more) would be worth a bet, but as a favorite he cannot pick him. He thinks Oezdemir's durability will be the difference.

"Johnny Walker just to me is not a a durable guy at this point I like vulcan's dur durability"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

JP picks Walker, citing his size, power, and unorthodox style. He expects a KO but acknowledges it could go to decision. He doubts Oezdemir's grappling ability. Brevan agrees, noting Oezdemir's experience and calf kicks but believes Walker's size and explosiveness will be too much. He predicts Walker by KO/TKO or decision, and mentions Walker's need for a comeback win after losses to Ankalaev.

Walker by KO (prop bet)
"I'm going Walker by KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear winner pick but suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a play. He notes both fighters have become more methodical and that Walker's new style may lead to a boring decision. He doesn't commit to a side.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think the best play is probably the over one and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir over Johnny Walker, expressing frustration with Walker's lack of fundamentals. He notes that Walker has not learned to jab despite his reach advantage and often puts himself in bad positions. He believes Oezdemir is composed, has good recent form, and will likely catch Walker with a low kick heavy game plan and finish him by TKO. He admits Walker could win at any time but trusts Oezdemir's chin and discipline.

TKO
"I'm just going to go volcanos to here dude I'm just going to go vulcanos to me probably chins Walker [__] Johnny Walker dude I want him to win I root for Johnny Walker every time but every fight I'm …"
WIN vs Bogdan Guskov
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:46 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 1 26 of 46 56% 36 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:23
Bogdan Guskov 0 8 of 25 32% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 1 26 of 46 56% 36 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:23
Bogdan Guskov 0 8 of 25 32% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 46 56% 19 of 37 1 of 2 6 of 7 15 of 32 1 of 1 10 of 13
Bogdan Guskov 8 of 25 32% 7 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 46 56% 19 of 37 1 of 2 6 of 7 15 of 32 1 of 1 10 of 13
Bogdan Guskov 8 of 25 32% 7 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Bogdan Guskov

Angelo leans towards Bogdan Guskov, calling him the more dangerous guy with well-rounded skills. He notes Volkan Oezdemir has a weak chin and has fought top competition, but Guskov's power and patience on the ground could be key. He hopes for a 2.5 round line to bet the under.

waiting for round props to bet under 2.5 rounds
"I am going to lean danger I am going to pick the more dangerous guy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Oezdemir, despite acknowledging his recent decline and poor performance against Paul Craig. He views Guskov as a 'fraud' with poor cardio, striking defense, and competition level. He expects Oezdemir to finish Guskov early, likely by first-round KO, as this is the easiest fight of Oezdemir's UFC tenure.

Oezdemir wins by first-round KO
"give me Vulcan usdamir to finish Gus Gob and I think it probably happens early as well... give me Volcan ko1"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Oezdemir but is hesitant, acknowledging Guskov's first-round KO power and the trend of debuting underdogs winning. He notes Oezdemir has struggled lately, with low volume and no knockdowns in four years, but has elite training and experience. Guskov is a wild card who has only faced regional competition. Cody thinks Oezdemir can point-fight to a decision but Guskov is live for an early finish.

"I guess I will go Vulcan who's Demir but again if you were forced to pull some underdogs here and there you know Gustav's a guy that's at least considered live in my opinion"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Daniel Levi picks Volkan Oezdemir, acknowledging that Oezdemir has shown regression but believes the experience gap is massive. He notes that Oezdemir has fought the who's who of the division, while Guskov is an unproven newcomer with a questionable chin. Levi admits Oezdemir hasn't finished anyone since 2019 and his takedown defense has declined, but he still thinks Oezdemir has enough to win. He is not confident enough to offer a bet, calling it a 'see how it goes' fight.

"I still think he's got enough to win this fight so I'm gonna pick him for that reason"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)
Bogdan Guskov

Lucrative James is on Guskov moneyline, believing Oezdemir has been on a downtrend since the Jiri knockout, with worse reaction time and chin. He thinks Guskov has true power, shown by knockouts in multiple ways (elbows, jabs, straight hands). He notes Guskov's submissions are also good, and he has a prop on Guskov by submission at 20-1. He argues that heavyweights with knockout power can step up in competition more easily because they only need one shot.

Bogdan Guskov by submission (+2000)
"I actually bet bogged down goose golf so I'll say that straight off top... I think he has a lot of tools that can make Vulcan ozdamere pay."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

I'm picking Oezdemir here. He has a huge experience advantage and I expect a very pissed off version of him after his last fight. He should use his leg kicking game to slow down Guskov and then find his knockout power within the first 10 minutes. Guskov is a power puncher who finishes early, but when he faces resistance he struggles. Oezdemir's power and experience should be too much.

"I think we'll see Vulcan was the mayor use the combination of his Lane kicking game to slow down gooskov and then really start talking all with the strikes where he should be able to find that no time power …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Oezdemir but is scared, recalling Oezdemir's poor performance against Krylov where he was mauled. He compares Guskov to Nursulton Ruziboev, a debuting fighter who crushed a veteran. Paul notes Guskov has first-round KO potential and is a low-owned DFS play. He won't bet the -180 but will pick Oezdemir.

"I'm gonna pick who's Demir with you but like it kind of reminds me of the situation with that uh nurse Sultan Roosevelt Guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

The MMA Guru picks Volkan Oezdemir by late second-round TKO, noting that Oezdemir has improved technically and has gone to decisions with tough opponents. He acknowledges Guskov is dangerous but believes Oezdemir will weather early rough moments and find a finish as the fight progresses.

"I'm gonna go volcanoes damir late second round TKO"
LOSS vs Nikita Krylov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nikita Krylov 0 42 of 81 51% 108 of 157 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Volkan Oezdemir 0 57 of 121 47% 171 of 251 7 of 20 35% 1 0 9:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nikita Krylov 0 27 of 50 54% 46 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
Volkan Oezdemir 0 26 of 58 44% 31 of 64 2 of 7 28% 1 0 2:02
2 Nikita Krylov 0 11 of 18 61% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Volkan Oezdemir 0 11 of 27 40% 54 of 78 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:28
3 Nikita Krylov 0 4 of 13 30% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 0 20 of 36 55% 86 of 109 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nikita Krylov 42 of 81 51% 35 of 72 3 of 3 4 of 6 34 of 68 5 of 9 3 of 4
Volkan Oezdemir 57 of 121 47% 42 of 100 12 of 18 3 of 3 38 of 93 12 of 17 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nikita Krylov 27 of 50 54% 24 of 47 0 of 0 3 of 3 20 of 39 4 of 7 3 of 4
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 58 44% 17 of 46 7 of 10 2 of 2 17 of 45 8 of 10 1 of 3
2 Nikita Krylov 11 of 18 61% 8 of 14 2 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 11 of 27 40% 10 of 24 0 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 23 0 of 2 2 of 2
3 Nikita Krylov 4 of 13 30% 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 20 of 36 55% 15 of 30 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 5 4 of 6
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Big Brady picks Krylov to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oezdemir looked off in his last fight against Paul Craig and is getting older. Krylov has multiple paths to victory: knockout on the feet or submission on the ground, with 27 of 28 wins inside the distance. He believes Krylov's pressure and finishing ability will be too much for Oezdemir.

first round knockout
"I think krilloff to win by I'll say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Cody picks Krylov, noting his fast starts and power. He thinks Krylov can catch Oezdemir early and finish him. Cody acknowledges Krylov's poor decisions and gas tank but believes Oezdemir's best days are behind him. He sees Krylov as the better fighter at this point.

"I will go with Nikki to cry"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

Daniel Levi picks Nikita Krylov to win, believing Krylov is showing the best version of himself while Volkan Oezdemir is fizzling out. He notes Krylov's improved submission defense and well-rounded game, and that he performed well against top competition like Magomed Ankalaev. Levi thinks Oezdemir is a traditional kickboxer who has declined, while Krylov blends punches, kicks, and takedowns. He does not see much value in the line but picks Krylov.

"I just see uh Nikita Krill out coming out here winning this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul leans Oezdemir as an underdog, citing his takedown defense and experience. He notes that only Daniel Cormier has taken Oezdemir down more than once. Paul thinks Krylov's wrestling is overrated and that Oezdemir will make it a slow fight. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Oezdemir.

"I'm leaning towards Vulcan as an underdog in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nikita Krylov

The MMA Guru picks Nikita Krylov over Volkan Oezdemir, despite Oezdemir's win over Paul Craig. He notes Krylov was dominating Craig before getting caught, while Oezdemir looked slow and tired. He highlights Krylov's reach advantage, head kicks, and momentum from a KO win, predicting a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"I'm going with Nikki to kryl off over volcano's DeMent"
WIN vs Paul Craig
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 0 33 of 126 26% 41 of 136 0 of 15 0% 0 0 0:07
Paul Craig 0 72 of 129 55% 108 of 170 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:07
Paul Craig 0 16 of 29 55% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
2 Volkan Oezdemir 0 16 of 53 30% 23 of 62 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Craig 0 27 of 48 56% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:09
3 Volkan Oezdemir 0 12 of 62 19% 13 of 63 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Craig 0 29 of 52 55% 35 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 33 of 126 26% 18 of 102 10 of 19 5 of 5 32 of 120 1 of 3 0 of 3
Paul Craig 72 of 129 55% 45 of 101 10 of 11 17 of 17 50 of 97 6 of 6 16 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paul Craig 16 of 29 55% 8 of 21 3 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 19 4 of 4 3 of 6
2 Volkan Oezdemir 16 of 53 30% 10 of 44 5 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Craig 27 of 48 56% 21 of 42 1 of 1 5 of 5 17 of 35 1 of 1 9 of 12
3 Volkan Oezdemir 12 of 62 19% 5 of 50 4 of 9 3 of 3 12 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 3
Paul Craig 29 of 52 55% 16 of 38 6 of 7 7 of 7 24 of 43 1 of 1 4 of 8
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Angelo picks Volkan Oezdemir, noting his 80% takedown defense and that he has no desire to grapple, unlike Paul Craig's previous opponents. He says Craig's only path is a submission, but Oezdemir will defend takedowns and outstrike him. He also suggests a prop bet on Paul Craig to win inside the distance with 'decision no action' as a safety net.

Paul Craig inside distance decision no action
"the pick's gonna be vulcan betting wise though i think this is a solid paul craig to win inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir to win by first-round knockout. He calls it a 'horrible matchup' for Paul Craig, as Oezdemir has elite takedown defense and no reason to grapple. Oezdemir has a massive striking advantage and power. Craig's path to victory is a Hail Mary submission, but Oezdemir should knock him out early.

Oezdemir by KO in round 1
"give me uzdemir to win who's the mirror to win by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Cody picks Volkan Oezdemir, agreeing that minus 150 is an excellent price. He notes Craig's wins come from opponents making mistakes and that Oezdemir has power and good takedown defense. Cody thinks Craig will shoot early, get stuffed, and then get knocked out. He also likes Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes because Craig either gets finished quickly or submits quickly.

Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i just added minus 146. vulcan uzdemir moneyline"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Daniel Levi hesitantly picks Paul Craig, acknowledging that Oezdemir will likely dominate until he gets caught in a submission. He notes that Craig has a knack for pulling off triangle chokes, and his opponents often get carried away and fall into his guard. Levi points out that Oezdemir has looked lost in his last two fights and may not be fully invested. He admits it's a risky pick but believes Craig can find an opportunistic submission again.

"i would pick paul craig to lose the entire fight until he wins it so yeah"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Oezdemir has 80% takedown defense and Craig's takedown game is not solid. Oezdemir will keep it standing and find the knockout. Craig's Cinderella run ends here. Oezdemir finishes him in round one or two.

fight doesn't go to decision (decent spot)
"I think Vulcan will keep the standing I think Vulcan will find that knockout I think he'll put him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Paul picks Volkan Oezdemir at -150, calling it a good value play. He believes Oezdemir can keep the fight standing and destroy Craig on the feet. Paul notes Craig's wrestling is not special and Oezdemir has good takedown defense. He thinks Craig's magic run will end eventually. Paul also likes Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Oezdemir under 40.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i think minus 150 uzdemir is actually a pretty good value play on this card"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paul Craig

The MMA Guru leans towards Paul Craig, despite acknowledging he often picks against Craig and loses. He believes Craig's offensive grappling has improved significantly, as shown in his second fight with Shogun. Craig is training with Tom Aspinall and will mix in takedowns. Oezdemir has power but Craig can pull guard and has submission threats. The Guru expects Craig to get a takedown and dominate on the ground.

"i'm gonna slide with paul craig"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 66 of 108 61% 76 of 118 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 48 of 102 47% 56 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 1 27 of 41 65% 27 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 16 of 36 44% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 26 50% 23 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Volkan Oezdemir 0 19 of 34 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 26 of 41 63% 26 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Volkan Oezdemir 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 66 of 108 61% 43 of 82 20 of 23 3 of 3 59 of 100 6 of 7 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 48 of 102 47% 23 of 67 3 of 12 22 of 23 41 of 92 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 27 of 41 65% 18 of 32 8 of 8 1 of 1 23 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 16 of 36 44% 9 of 27 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 29 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 26 50% 8 of 18 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 19 of 34 55% 6 of 16 1 of 5 12 of 13 17 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 26 of 41 63% 17 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 32 40% 8 of 24 0 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win a close decision. He notes Ankalaev is a good striker with a well-rounded game, but this is a step up in competition. Oezdemir is more hittable and has been finished before. He thinks Ankalaev will slightly edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns. He hates the price tag but believes Ankalaev gets it done.

"I think it's be close guys uh but yeah i'm going to go with inca live to get it done."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody is fully sold on Ankalaev, calling him a well-rounded package with wrestling, pressure, cardio, and submission game. He thinks Ankalaev could be the best LHW after Jones. He notes Oezdemir has decent takedown defense (80%) but has been inactive (only 2 fights in 2 years) and coming off a knee injury. He expects Ankalaev to pressure, tire Oezdemir, and get takedowns in later rounds.

"i'm fully sold on him i think he does everything excellent"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting his improvement and discipline. He believes Oezdemir hasn't improved and is too basic, relying on hooks and overhands. Daniel thinks Ankalaev will pick him apart and possibly get a knockout. He acknowledges Oezdemir's toughness but sees Ankalaev as the more complete fighter with more ways to win.

predicts knockout
"i think he's gonna make a statement here i think he's gonna knock him out like finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is patient and disciplined, with excellent striking defense and takedowns. Oezdemir's volume could be a factor, but Ankalaev can win wherever the fight goes. He likely controls the fight and wins a decision, possibly with a submission if he grapples.

Ankalaev by decision +190, over 2.5 rounds +105, Ankalaev by submission +2500.
"My pick is going to be magamad on goliath uh and i'll take him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul agrees strongly, saying Ankalaev has all the skills and on any given night could become champion. He thinks Ankalaev can beat Jan on his best night. He is not jumping off the Ankalaev train.

"i think anglais may be the best in the biz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Volkan Oezdemir. He thinks Ankalaev is more technical on the feet and has great grappling to fall back on. He notes Oezdemir's recent KO loss to Prochazka and long layoff may affect his confidence and aggression. He expects Oezdemir to be hesitant, giving Ankalaev space to work. He predicts a close 29-28 decision for Ankalaev, possibly with Oezdemir winning the first round.

"i'm going to go with magamet ankle i have here over volcanoes to me i think he does get this one done"
KO (punch) R2 0:49 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 41 of 92 44% 44 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Volkan Oezdemir 1 33 of 73 45% 33 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 39 of 83 46% 42 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Volkan Oezdemir 0 26 of 60 43% 26 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Volkan Oezdemir 1 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 41 of 92 44% 30 of 76 3 of 6 8 of 10 41 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 33 of 73 45% 29 of 67 3 of 5 1 of 1 33 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 39 of 83 46% 28 of 67 3 of 6 8 of 10 39 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 26 of 60 43% 23 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 26 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Big Brady picks Volkan Oezdemir by first-round knockout, citing his veteran experience and higher level of competition. He thinks Procházka is talented but this step up is too much, and Oezdemir can use takedowns or striking to finish him.

first round knockout
"give me uzdemir first round knockout ... i think this fight's going to be probably close until somebody gets knocked out and i think uzdemir is going to use that veteran experience"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Volkan Oezdemir

Daniel Levi picks Volkan Oezdemir, citing his experience against top competition (Reyes, Smith) and power. He criticizes Prochazka's competition level (washed-up veterans) and notes Prochazka puts weight on his front leg, leaving him open to calf kicks. Levi believes Oezdemir will clip Prochazka and get a KO, as Prochazka is not ready for this level yet.

predicts KO in second round
"I got owes the mirror man I think he's gonna hurt this kid and knock him out to be honest"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka is a big light heavyweight with heavy hands and a path to victory via wrestling if needed. Oezdemir relies on leg kicks, but Procházka can counter them. Expects Procházka to put Oezdemir on his back and finish him, likely by first-round KO. The line at +140 is appealing, but staying away from UFC debutants.

first round KO, line +140
"I like Jimmy here I'll probably say first round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)

The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.

Ilir Latifi - Fight History
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodrigo Nascimento 0 49 of 77 63% 76 of 105 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:50
Ilir Latifi 0 68 of 152 44% 76 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodrigo Nascimento 0 28 of 44 63% 28 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ilir Latifi 0 34 of 73 46% 34 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rodrigo Nascimento 0 11 of 17 64% 38 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:12
Ilir Latifi 0 15 of 36 41% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rodrigo Nascimento 0 10 of 16 62% 10 of 16 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:38
Ilir Latifi 0 19 of 43 44% 25 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodrigo Nascimento 49 of 77 63% 20 of 42 18 of 22 11 of 13 46 of 72 1 of 3 2 of 2
Ilir Latifi 68 of 152 44% 51 of 122 10 of 21 7 of 9 61 of 145 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodrigo Nascimento 28 of 44 63% 8 of 20 13 of 16 7 of 8 27 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 34 of 73 46% 26 of 60 7 of 12 1 of 1 29 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Rodrigo Nascimento 11 of 17 64% 5 of 10 3 of 3 3 of 4 9 of 14 0 of 1 2 of 2
Ilir Latifi 15 of 36 41% 10 of 28 1 of 2 4 of 6 14 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Rodrigo Nascimento 10 of 16 62% 7 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 19 of 43 44% 15 of 34 2 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Angelo picks Rodrigo Nascimento because he believes Latifi is not fully committed, having retired in his last fight and now returning for a paycheck. He thinks Nascimento is younger, hungrier, bigger, and more athletic, and should be able to defend takedowns and get his own. He has a 1-unit moneyline bet on Nascimento at -155 but expresses some buyer's remorse, acknowledging Latifi could be boring and lay on top.

1 unit moneyline bet at -155
"I like the much larger NASA Mento to defend takedowns touch latifi get him flustered and then get his own takedowns I do have a one unit moneyline bet on NASA mental at minus 155"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Big Brady picks Rodrigo Nascimento to win by decision. He cites Nascimento's youth, size, reach advantage, and better striking volume. He expects Nascimento to stuff most of Latifi's takedowns and outwork him on the feet. He notes Latifi is undersized for heavyweight and does little offensively. However, he calls it a low-level heavyweight fight and doesn't want much action on it.

decision
"give me an awesome Mentor I'll take him to win by like a greasy greasy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Cody picks Nascimento but is wary of the price. He notes Latifi's takedown-and-hold style could be effective, but Nascimento's size and reach should allow him to win the striking exchanges. He calls it a greasy heavyweight fight and would take Latifi at +200 in a prop bet.

would take Latifi at +200 in a two-to-one prop
"I will take NASA menu but if someone was to offer me a two to one chewy bet."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Connor picks Latifi, agreeing that he won't get out-wrestled and that Nascimento is not very good. He notes that Latifi has beaten similar opponents and that Nascimento's boxing is okay but he is slow and hittable. Connor is confident in Latifi's wrestling and ability to make fights ugly.

"I'll pick with TV. Yeah, he just makes fights ugly and has the like a nascent skills and athleticism to eke those fights out."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Daniel Levi leans toward Rodrigo Nascimento due to youth, size, and volume advantage. He notes Nascimento has better volume and is 10 years younger, but questions his chin and takedown defense, which hasn't been tested. He recalls Nascimento struggling against Alan Baudot. He thinks Latifi is on his way out but acknowledges Latifi's better defense and takedown threat. He picks Nascimento but is not confident.

"I'm a lean nasimento just because of the youth and the upside"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

The host picks Rodrigo Nascimento, citing his greater motivation and intention to advance his career. He expects Nascimento to use leg kicks and striking to stay away from Latifi's power, then wear him down in the clinch and eventually control him on the ground. He predicts a decision win, noting the over might be a good play.

"I'm gonna go with the guy that has more intentions on trying to take his career to the next level and that's Rodrigo nacimento"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Paul picks Nascimento, expecting him to pick Latifi apart at range. He notes Latifi's low striking volume and age, and thinks Nascimento's reach and size will be decisive. He is not betting but picks Nascimento.

"NASA Mento is going to be the pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

The MMA Guru finds this fight difficult to predict but sides with Rodrigo Nascimento. He notes Ilir Latifi has teased retirement and is often injured, which makes him unreliable. He believes Nascimento is the better grappler and has decent stand-up, and expects Latifi to expend energy early trying to take him down. He predicts a third-round exhaustion-based TKO where Nascimento stuffs takedowns and batters Latifi against the cage.

third round TKO
"I'm gonna go Rodrigo nascarmento for here ... getting a third round exhaustion-based TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Zane picks Latifi, noting that he is hard to out-wrestle and has beaten technically superior boxers. He believes Latifi can out-wrestle Nascimento and that Nascimento's success comes from out-wrestling others, which won't work against Latifi. Zane acknowledges Latifi is 40 but says he is a great athlete for heavyweight and has a long tail.

"I'll pick with TV. Yeah, he just makes fights ugly and has the like a nascent skills and athleticism to eke those fights out."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 38 of 48 79% 74 of 88 3 of 6 50% 0 0 8:29
Aleksei Oleinik 0 28 of 70 40% 68 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 11 of 14 78% 45 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:16
Aleksei Oleinik 0 4 of 12 33% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilir Latifi 0 17 of 21 80% 19 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:45
Aleksei Oleinik 0 17 of 30 56% 30 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ilir Latifi 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:28
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 28 25% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 38 of 48 79% 32 of 40 6 of 8 0 of 0 18 of 27 5 of 6 15 of 15
Aleksei Oleinik 28 of 70 40% 9 of 46 7 of 9 12 of 15 27 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 11 of 14 78% 8 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 12 33% 1 of 8 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilir Latifi 17 of 21 80% 15 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 6
Aleksei Oleinik 17 of 30 56% 5 of 17 5 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ilir Latifi 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 8 4 of 5 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 28 25% 3 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 5 6 of 25 1 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Cody picks Ilir Latifi to win, highlighting his power and the favorable matchup. He notes that Oleinik has a compromised chin and that Latifi's big hooks could knock him out. He expects Latifi to either knock out Oleinik early or grind out a decision. He mentions that Latifi has been training at All-Stars in Sweden and looks motivated.

Latifi by KO +195/+200; Latifi by decision +250
"I just think stylistically he gets this job done even if it's a knockout or a boring decision regardless I still just think he gets the job done"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Paul picks Ilir Latifi to win, citing his takedown ability and top control. He notes that Oleinik is unlikely to submit Latifi due to his lack of a neck, and that Latifi's power could lead to a knockout. He expects a slow, grinding fight but believes Latifi's style is a bad matchup for Oleinik. He is not betting due to emotional attachment to both fighters.

"I'm picking the sledgehammer I'm not going to be betting this fight because you know my heart's too invested on both sides"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, despite acknowledging the difficulty of submitting Latifi due to his lack of a neck. He believes Oleinik has the cardio advantage and can outlast Latifi, who hasn't knocked anyone out since 2016. He thinks Oleinik will win a decision by outworking Latifi with volume and grappling. He calls the plus money on Oleinik 'crazy' and bets on him.

Oleinik by decision
"Oleinik by decision is my pick... I think Oleinik has the gas and always kind of surprises with those weird shovel shots."
WIN vs Tanner Boser
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 45 of 105 42% 84 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Tanner Boser 0 10 of 38 26% 51 of 98 2 of 3 66% 0 0 6:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 8 of 28 28% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Tanner Boser 0 1 of 12 8% 6 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:03
2 Ilir Latifi 0 34 of 71 47% 35 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Tanner Boser 0 6 of 21 28% 6 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
3 Ilir Latifi 0 3 of 6 50% 35 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tanner Boser 0 3 of 5 60% 39 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 45 of 105 42% 32 of 84 11 of 19 2 of 2 28 of 79 4 of 9 13 of 17
Tanner Boser 10 of 38 26% 8 of 33 2 of 4 0 of 1 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 8 of 28 28% 6 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tanner Boser 1 of 12 8% 1 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilir Latifi 34 of 71 47% 25 of 57 8 of 13 1 of 1 19 of 49 2 of 5 13 of 17
Tanner Boser 6 of 21 28% 5 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 1 6 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ilir Latifi 3 of 6 50% 1 of 2 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tanner Boser 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tanner Boser vs. Ilir Latifi

Round 1
In the first of a trio of heavyweight slobberknockers tonight, Boser (19-7-1, 3-2 UFC) will try to get back on the winning track at the expense of the skidding ex-light heavyweight Latifi (14-8, 1 NC; 7-6 UFC). Keeping tabs on this match between big men is referee Herb Dean, and there is a respectful glove touch to start things off. Boser keeps a healthy distance early, landing leg kicks from afar and avoiding the reaching strikes of “The Sledgehammer.” Latifi catches him on the way in, and Boser is able to get out of the way to avoid the brunt of the damage. The Canadian sticks out a jab and fires out a body kick, but the kick gets caught and Latifi throws him down to the ground. The Swede climbs into his foe’s guard, and he steps over to half guard with working on Boser with slow, methodical strikes. Boser recovers his guard without taking much damage, but Latifi slices over to the other side. Latifi latches on with an arm-triangle choke from above, using his full body weight as a smothering device more than actual technique from a choke. Boser explodes out of danger and back to his feet, where he grinds Latifi against the wire. Latifi pushes off thanks to an elbow, and Boser is right there to pop him in the face with a left hand. Boser sits down on a huge right hand, but Latifi crashes in to avoid it and try to throw his own bomb. As a result, neither man connect, and they back off to measure their range. Latifi eats a crisp jab, and slaps another away as he can do nothing but absorb a subsequent body kick. A quick Boser right hand concludes the opening frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Latifi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Latifi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Latifi

Round 2
Boser offers a glove touch to begin the second frame, and he snaps out a jab and ducks out of the way from an oncoming counter. Latifi presses forward to swing a looping left hand, and Boser takes it on the chin and responds with an uppercut. Boser stabs the body with a kick, and he stutter-steps his way in to connect with a right hand and not fall into a clinch. Boser chips away with a body kick, and he comes over the top with a big right hand that glances off the forward bow. Latifi prepares counter left hands, so Boser elects to jab from a distance and sling body kicks that Latifi cannot properly retaliate against. Boser pops out a crisp jab, breaking up a plodding Latifi’s forward movement. Both men trade leg kicks, and “The Bulldozer” tries to knock Latifi over with a head kick that careens off the high guard. Several sticking left hands from Boser find the mark, and Latifi comes back over the top with a single right hand that makes Boser’s mullet shake. The Canadian is no worse for wear from the blow, and Boser reaches out his fist and pokes Latifi in the eye with his thumb. Latifi falls over in pain, but Dean does not recognize the blow, so Boser tries to finish the job with an onslaught of strikes. Boser pounds away on his opponent as Latifi turtles up, and Dean tells him to fight back. This leads Latifi to bursting back to his feet, where he turns him around and even pursues a takedown that falls short. Latifi appears to have recovered, even if his sight may be compromised, and Boser walks him down with punches and a body kick. Boser stays loose and active from a distance, snapping out jabs and body kicks as Latifi is frustrated. Latifi walks away before the round ends, but Boser cannot capitalize on this and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Boser

Round 3
Between rounds, Dean calls in the doctor to examine Latifi’s eye. Latifi says he can see, so the fight continues, and the two touch gloves. Boser sticks out a jab, and Latifi is there to meet him with two looping hooks that bounce off his opponent’s shoulders. Boser backs him off with a few jabs, and he ducks down to tag Latifi with a left hand. “The Sledgehammer” gathers himself and ducks down with a double leg takedown, where he slams Boser to his back and may have hurt Boser by landing head-first. Boser punches with both hands as if he were Sakuraba from his back, and Latifi gloms on to him and keeps his full body weight pressed down. Latifi slowly works Boser’s body and head from above, which may not be individually effective, but are adding up. Boser keeps an open guard and tries to buck and kick off, and this does not succeed, allowing Latifi to keep pounding away on him. “The Sledgehammer” keeps landing his sledgehammers as he tries to break Canadian stone, all while the control time is rapidly accumulating for the Swede. Boser paws at Latifi with a line of short right hands, and he tries to sit up but gets easily pushed over. Latifi climbs into half guard as he squeezes down on his adversary, and a few more punches connect before the slow fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Latifi (29-28 Latifi)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Latifi (29-28 Latifi)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Latifi (29-28 Latifi)

The Official Result
Ilir Latifi def. Tanner Boser via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Big Brady thinks the line is off and Latifi has a clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes Boser's 100% takedown defense is untested against real wrestlers, and regional tape shows Boser being taken down and controlled. He points out Latifi took down Derrick Lewis three times and controlled him for nine minutes. He is not impressed with Boser's last performance against Arlovski and predicts Latifi wins by decision.

"i'm gonna i'm gonna take a shot on the dog here with otifi"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Cody leans toward Latifi, agreeing with Paul. He notes Boser has not faced a wrestler like Latifi and that Latifi's takedowns could be key. Cody is concerned about Latifi's age and recent losses but sees value. He calls it a dogger pass but is tempted.

"it's a dogger pass situation for me just because i think bozer has been lucky"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tanner Boser

Daniel picks Boser but is not confident due to unknown grappling defense. He notes that Boser is a natural heavyweight with twice the output and better point fighting, but if Latifi pins him against the fence or mixes in takedowns, Boser could be exploited. Daniel admits he hasn't seen Boser tested in grappling recently, so the pick is tentative. He expects Boser to outpoint Latifi if the fight stays at range, but acknowledges Latifi's power and clinch work could be problematic.

"i'll pick tanner but it's not a confident pick because of those reasons i mentioned"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tanner Boser

Boser has good striking and volume, but his takedown defense is a question mark. Latifi will try to grapple, but Boser's cardio and movement should allow him to win a decision if he can stay standing.

Boser by decision +190, fight goes distance -120
"I'm going to go with the canadian and that's not a canadian bias"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Paul picks Latifi as a dog, citing his takedown ability and Boser's lack of wrestling defense. He notes Latifi took down Derrick Lewis and thinks he can do the same to Boser. Paul is concerned about Latifi's age and recent form but sees value at +170. He already bet Latifi at +180.

"give me the sledgehammer elire latifi plus 170 is fine i had the plus 180"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

The Guru picks Ilir Latifi as an underdog, believing his grappling will be too much for Tanner Boser. He notes Latifi picked up Derrick Lewis and dunked him, so he expects similar success against Boser. He predicts Latifi will control the fight with takedowns and top control, winning a 30-27 unanimous decision.

unanimous decision, 30-27
"i'm going with ali latifi here i think he's going to out grapple tanebosa for three rounds"
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Feb 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 0 20 of 50 40% 27 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Ilir Latifi 0 5 of 12 41% 62 of 77 3 of 7 42% 0 0 8:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 7 of 13 53% 13 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Ilir Latifi 0 2 of 6 33% 6 of 10 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:25
2 Derrick Lewis 0 2 of 13 15% 2 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ilir Latifi 0 2 of 5 40% 32 of 40 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:17
3 Derrick Lewis 0 11 of 24 45% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Ilir Latifi 0 1 of 1 100% 24 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 20 of 50 40% 12 of 39 8 of 10 0 of 1 12 of 38 8 of 12 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 5 of 12 41% 2 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 3 3 of 8 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 7 of 13 53% 2 of 8 5 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 9 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Derrick Lewis 2 of 13 15% 0 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Derrick Lewis 11 of 24 45% 10 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 5 of 6 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Ilir Latifi

Round 1
Lewis takes the center of the Octagon as he welcomes Latifi to the heavyweight division. they tie up, and Lewis lands a knee to the body before shoving his foe into the fence. Latifi lands a couple short punches in close before breaking away. Latifi claims he was poked in the eye, but Dan Miragliotta isn’t having it. Lewis launches a jump knee that lands on the chest of Latifi, but the Swede doesn’t seem to be affected. Latifi secures the clinch and then transitions to a single leg. Lewis maintains his balance and Latifi relents. He continues to drive Lewis into the fence, however. Not much is happening in this position, and Miragliotta urges the heavyweights to work before ordering a separation with less than 2:00 remaining. Lewis fires off a surprisingly quick high kick. Moments later, “The Black Beast” lands a body kick, prompting Latifi to shoot. Latifi drives his opponent back into the fence, drawing boos from the crowd. Lewis shows off outstanding defense of the single-leg takedown as Latifi is content to grind away against the fence. They break with 20 seconds left, and Lewis misses a leaping knee in the waning seconds. 10-9 Lewis.

Round 2
Lewis opens with a high switch kick. Latifi blocks it but he felt the blow nonetheless. Latifi answers with a hard low kick. Another hard leg kick from Latifi briefly backs up Lewis, who answers with a kick to the body. Lewis tries the flying knee, but Latifi avoids it and shoves his adversary into the cage again. More boos as Latifi doesn’t offer much in the way of offense from this position. Lewis is able to reverse the position, and he lands a short elbow and a knee. However, that allows Latifi an opportunity to land a body lock takedown, and he lands in half guard. The Swede lands some short punches to the body, but nothing of consequence. Latifi is trying to stay busy enough to avoid a standup, but he doesn’t appear to be interested in passing beyond half guard. With 50 seconds left, Miragliotta orders a standup. Lewis jabs and misses a big right hand. Latifi blocks a high kick, secures the clinch and tosses Lewis to the mat. He dives into guard and ends the frame in top position, landing a couple solid right hands before the horn. 10-9 Latifi.

Round 3
Lewis launches a big overhand right, and Latifi counters, but neither man connects. A solid right lands for Lewis moments later. Lewis again goes back to the jumping knee, but it allows Latifi to secure double underhooks against the fence. Latifi drops low and lifts Lewis, dumping him on his back in the middle of the canvas. Latifi is back in half guard with about 3:30 left in the fight. Latifi stays just busy enough, alternating punches to the body and head. Lewis doesn’t look like he has much hope of returning to his feet from this position. The crowd doesn’t like it, but it’s effective. Lewis powers his way up with 2:00 left. Another flying knee comes up short for Lewis, who is on the attack. His aggression allows Latifi to secure the clinch with double underhooks. Lewis pummels free and lands a knee, but Latifi shoves him back into the fence. There’s only a minute left. Latif trips Lewis down but the Houston native hustles up immediately. A kick from Lewis appears to have hurt Latifi somewhat. Latifi quickly ties up, and Lewis lands some hard elbowsand shrugs his foe off. An uppercut lands for Lewis with Latifi on the retreat. They clinch once more as Latifi sneaks a look at the clock. The round ends as Lewis misses one more big right hand. 10-9 Lewis (29-28 Lewis).

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Ilir Latifi via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Derrick Lewis

Daniel Levi picks Derrick Lewis to knock out Ilir Latifi, likely in the first round. He notes that Latifi is too small for heavyweight and has been knocked out by lesser hitters. He praises Lewis's get-up game and finishing ability, and sees no way Lewis loses in Houston.

knockout in the first round
"I think black piece knocks him out in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Feb 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)

The host does not pick a side, citing the unpredictability of Derrick Lewis and the difficulty in trusting either fighter. He notes that Lewis has power but questionable cardio and technique, while Latifi has a wrestling advantage but may not keep Lewis down. He advises caution and suggests staying away.

"I'm not comfortable betting either side here hey you know Derrick Lewis can easily easily land a shot on your little TV him just put him out you know the TV has had some chin issues as of late and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Derrick Lewis

The MMA Guru picks Derrick Lewis to win by KO, citing Lewis's experience, power, and ability to find knockouts in later rounds. He notes Latifi is too muscle-bound, has injury issues, and will gas after the first round. Lewis has a massive reach advantage.

KO win
"Derrick Lewis gets too big ko win but again I'm telling you this card has great underdogs so we'll see just a little tea for you"
LOSS vs Volkan Oezdemir
KO (punches) R2 4:31 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Volkan Oezdemir 2 64 of 137 46% 92 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ilir Latifi 0 18 of 60 30% 20 of 62 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Volkan Oezdemir 0 22 of 45 48% 44 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Ilir Latifi 0 5 of 19 26% 7 of 21 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:07
2 Volkan Oezdemir 2 42 of 92 45% 48 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Ilir Latifi 0 13 of 41 31% 13 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Volkan Oezdemir 64 of 137 46% 44 of 114 11 of 14 9 of 9 47 of 110 12 of 20 5 of 7
Ilir Latifi 18 of 60 30% 16 of 54 2 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 56 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Volkan Oezdemir 22 of 45 48% 12 of 35 4 of 4 6 of 6 17 of 37 5 of 8 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 5 of 19 26% 5 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Volkan Oezdemir 42 of 92 45% 32 of 79 7 of 10 3 of 3 30 of 73 7 of 12 5 of 7
Ilir Latifi 13 of 41 31% 11 of 36 2 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Corey Anderson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Corey Anderson 0 33 of 78 42% 34 of 79 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:46
Ilir Latifi 0 40 of 121 33% 45 of 127 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Corey Anderson 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
Ilir Latifi 0 7 of 29 24% 7 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Corey Anderson 0 11 of 23 47% 12 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Ilir Latifi 0 16 of 43 37% 21 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Corey Anderson 0 10 of 25 40% 10 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ilir Latifi 0 17 of 49 34% 17 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Corey Anderson 33 of 78 42% 23 of 66 3 of 5 7 of 7 23 of 62 10 of 16 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 40 of 121 33% 24 of 93 11 of 22 5 of 6 38 of 114 2 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Corey Anderson 12 of 30 40% 7 of 24 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 21 4 of 9 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 7 of 29 24% 4 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Corey Anderson 11 of 23 47% 9 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 18 4 of 5 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 16 of 43 37% 6 of 30 8 of 11 2 of 2 15 of 39 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Corey Anderson 10 of 25 40% 7 of 21 1 of 2 2 of 2 8 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ilir Latifi 17 of 49 34% 14 of 39 2 of 8 1 of 2 16 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0
Technical Submission (standing guillotine choke) R1 3:48 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ovince Saint Preux 1 25 of 41 60% 27 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ovince Saint Preux 1 25 of 41 60% 27 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 7 of 24 29% 2 of 18 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ovince Saint Preux 25 of 41 60% 11 of 25 5 of 6 9 of 10 19 of 34 1 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 7 of 24 29% 2 of 18 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ovince Saint Preux 25 of 41 60% 11 of 25 5 of 6 9 of 10 19 of 34 1 of 1 5 of 6
WIN vs Tyson Pedro
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 44 of 79 55% 59 of 94 4 of 5 80% 0 0 7:23
Tyson Pedro 0 31 of 54 57% 44 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 3 of 7 42% 5 of 9 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:17
Tyson Pedro 0 8 of 17 47% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Ilir Latifi 0 12 of 24 50% 18 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:34
Tyson Pedro 0 11 of 19 57% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ilir Latifi 0 29 of 48 60% 36 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Tyson Pedro 0 12 of 18 66% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 44 of 79 55% 38 of 73 5 of 5 1 of 1 13 of 38 4 of 6 27 of 35
Tyson Pedro 31 of 54 57% 12 of 25 8 of 12 11 of 17 21 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Pedro 8 of 17 47% 2 of 7 2 of 3 4 of 7 6 of 14 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Ilir Latifi 12 of 24 50% 11 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 12 3 of 4 6 of 8
Tyson Pedro 11 of 19 57% 7 of 11 3 of 4 1 of 4 4 of 12 7 of 7 0 of 0
3 Ilir Latifi 29 of 48 60% 25 of 44 4 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 21 0 of 0 21 of 27
Tyson Pedro 12 of 18 66% 3 of 7 3 of 5 6 of 6 11 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1