UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Age 30
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Veronica Hardy
3.06 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.24 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.82 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Polyana Viana
2.74 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
2.5 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
1.7 Sub. Avg
Veronica Hardy - Fight History
WIN vs Brogan Walker
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 1 39 of 75 52% 53 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 22 of 60 36% 30 of 70 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 20 45% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 15 46% 15 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
2 Veronica Hardy 1 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
3 Veronica Hardy 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 39 of 75 52% 31 of 65 2 of 4 6 of 6 32 of 65 4 of 4 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 22 of 60 36% 12 of 49 3 of 3 7 of 8 16 of 49 2 of 2 4 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 20 45% 8 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 7 of 15 46% 1 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 4 2 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 5
2 Veronica Hardy 16 of 29 55% 12 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 8 of 25 32% 5 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 4
3 Veronica Hardy 14 of 26 53% 11 of 22 0 of 1 3 of 3 13 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 7 of 20 35% 6 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy at more than a 5 to1 favorite taking on Broen Walker. Frankly, she should be a 10 to1 favorite."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy should win this fight. I think she's better everywhere. She's the better striker. She's the better wrestler. ... Give me Veronica Hardy. Veronica Hardy by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Connor comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.

not bet worthy at -800
"Hardy, even at minus 800, is just not betting bet worthy in this spot. I still expect her to go out there, chip away at Walker, and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy to start this off."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Zane comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
LOSS vs Eduarda Moura
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eduarda Moura 0 46 of 103 44% 61 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 26 of 76 34% 41 of 96 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eduarda Moura 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Eduarda Moura 0 12 of 18 66% 27 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
3 Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eduarda Moura 46 of 103 44% 16 of 61 16 of 26 14 of 16 39 of 94 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 26 of 76 34% 22 of 71 4 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 68 2 of 2 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eduarda Moura 13 of 39 33% 5 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 10 of 35 28% 8 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eduarda Moura 12 of 18 66% 5 of 10 4 of 5 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 6
3 Eduarda Moura 21 of 46 45% 6 of 23 6 of 13 9 of 10 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 9 of 28 32% 8 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.

"I think Veronica Hardy gets it done she will probably be taken down one or two times on the way but the Striking is so good it's so fast it's so powerful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.

"right off the bat here I'm going to be taking the the underdog in edwarda Mara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"I took some Hardy a little bit early in the week when it was minus 125 I still think she wins"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.

"Yeah, also is probably just another instance of getting to a point where you have a real camp because I think despite being a good athlete. She was also out of shape early in her career."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.

decision
"I'm gonna lean towards Hardy with with the speed with the footwork"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.

"I'm expecting Hardy's matured game plan to come through here as she has showcased over her last three fights her Speed and Agility on the feet should allow her to touch up Mora and her active guard off her back …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.

"I would think Veronica Hardy goes out there and continues the win streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy here... she's actually pretty decent eduard Mora is big I will say that she's a big woman um skill uh doesn't seem to be much of that going"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.

Odds: Hardy opened -153, now -142; Moura opened +137, now +127.
"I think I'm gonna pick Hardy here. Yeah, I think I've been pretty impressed with Veronica Hardy."
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 43 of 101 42% 61 of 122 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 43 of 87 49% 74 of 125 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 16 of 34 47% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 33 39% 19 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 7 of 21 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 31 41% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 20 of 32 62% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 43 of 101 42% 29 of 86 11 of 11 3 of 4 30 of 81 13 of 20 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 43 of 87 49% 16 of 49 20 of 26 7 of 12 23 of 59 20 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 17 of 37 45% 12 of 31 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 31 5 of 6 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 16 of 34 47% 5 of 17 6 of 8 5 of 9 12 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 13 of 33 39% 10 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 26 5 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 7 of 21 33% 0 of 12 6 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 13 of 31 41% 7 of 25 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 24 3 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 20 of 32 62% 11 of 20 8 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 13 13 of 19 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Hardy vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)

Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)

The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.

"I like jam Lin horth here to win this fight win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.

"Hardy will be the pick for me horth is the pick for you the markets are insane on that one"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.

"overall I think hard's gonna win the fight I feel like she's going to have enough gas to last and she's probably going to win the early round so I'm going to give her the edge for that reason"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.

plus 155 underdog, decision win predicted
"I see Hardy around plus 155 right now I think that's a damn good Underdog spot here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.

"I'm a coward so I'm go with the Canadian girl hor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.

decision likely, 29-28
"I am going to be going against Veronica Hardy here and I'm going to be going with Jamey-Lyn Horth... she's a lot larger than Veronica Hardy as well... I think she's going to have a big physicality advantage."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 30 of 79 37% 49 of 98 0 of 3 0% 3 0 1:19
Juliana Miller 0 62 of 77 80% 78 of 95 4 of 4 100% 0 0 7:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 19 of 45 42% 25 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Juliana Miller 0 26 of 35 74% 32 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 20 40% 12 of 24 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:19
Juliana Miller 0 16 of 19 84% 20 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:45
3 Veronica Hardy 0 3 of 14 21% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Juliana Miller 0 20 of 23 86% 26 of 30 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 30 of 79 37% 20 of 63 9 of 14 1 of 2 22 of 65 7 of 9 1 of 5
Juliana Miller 62 of 77 80% 39 of 52 12 of 14 11 of 11 32 of 43 5 of 6 25 of 28
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 19 of 45 42% 12 of 35 7 of 9 0 of 1 14 of 39 5 of 6 0 of 0
Juliana Miller 26 of 35 74% 19 of 27 1 of 2 6 of 6 18 of 27 5 of 5 3 of 3
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 20 40% 7 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 4
Juliana Miller 16 of 19 84% 14 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
3 Veronica Hardy 3 of 14 21% 1 of 10 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 1
Juliana Miller 20 of 23 86% 6 of 8 9 of 10 5 of 5 7 of 9 0 of 1 13 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.

"Juliana Miller is not very good she's not polished she's a little wild she is tenacious she will go out there she will fight for your money but she's not very good and there is not a world where I'm …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.

"I like Juliana Miller here I like her to finish this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.

Juliana Miller by submission
"I gotta go with Juliana Miller but again like minus 450 screams big favorite and we're confident and love it and it's going to be up there and she may go in there and look like a minus 10 000 …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.

"Miller is a huge favorite... she's going to get to strong positions and just slowly break Veronica Hardy."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds at +100
"I think that under two and a half is pretty good value at even money because Julian Miller should hypothetically come in and just kind of steamroll Veronica."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"what I'll be looking at Target is actually the fight doesn't go to decision with Miller likely getting her hand raised with that top control"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.

"I'm picking Miller as well... Hardy is surprisingly still only 27... I see more upside from a uh Prospect uh standpoint from Julianna Miller"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.

Miller wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Juliana Miller to hustle when she needs to and win herself this fight by decision over Veronica macedo"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.

"She just has some fundamental issues that she cannot iron out."
LOSS vs Bea Malecki
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bea Malecki 0 93 of 258 36% 106 of 271 0 of 9 0% 0 0 0:12
Veronica Hardy 0 130 of 247 52% 190 of 326 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bea Malecki 0 37 of 112 33% 37 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 36 of 81 44% 36 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bea Malecki 0 24 of 70 34% 28 of 74 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Veronica Hardy 0 48 of 87 55% 84 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
3 Bea Malecki 0 32 of 76 42% 41 of 85 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:10
Veronica Hardy 0 46 of 79 58% 70 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bea Malecki 93 of 258 36% 67 of 213 14 of 30 12 of 15 90 of 246 3 of 12 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 130 of 247 52% 92 of 191 34 of 50 4 of 6 107 of 214 11 of 13 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bea Malecki 37 of 112 33% 19 of 83 10 of 21 8 of 8 36 of 106 1 of 6 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 36 of 81 44% 25 of 59 9 of 20 2 of 2 35 of 78 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Bea Malecki 24 of 70 34% 18 of 61 3 of 3 3 of 6 24 of 67 0 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 48 of 87 55% 35 of 70 13 of 16 0 of 1 32 of 64 6 of 6 10 of 17
3 Bea Malecki 32 of 76 42% 30 of 69 1 of 6 1 of 1 30 of 73 2 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 46 of 79 58% 32 of 62 12 of 14 2 of 3 40 of 72 4 of 4 2 of 3
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Bea Malecki

Daniel sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the dog. He notes Malecki's size advantage and Muay Thai skills, and thinks she can keep the fight at range. He's not confident in Macedo's ability to take over in the third round, so he sides with the underdog.

"I actually think my Leki's gonna come out here with their one a no record and pull off the upset"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host picks Veronica Hardy (referred to as Veronica Macedo) over Bea Malecki. He notes that Malecki was destroyed by Duda Santana but managed a Hail Mary submission, while Hardy has fought better opponents and is 6-3. He expects Hardy to win by unanimous decision.

"Veronica Macedo is gonna win this fight she's six and free but she has some decent wins she's fought better opponents"
WIN vs Polyana Viana
Submission (armbar) R1 1:09 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Macedo vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Kicking off the
Ultimate Fighting Championship's
debut in Uruguay is a flyweight fight between two women desperately seeking a win in Macedo (5-3-1, 0-3 UFC) and Viana (10-3, 1-2 UFC). Our referee for this first contest is Keith Peterson. Viana comes out with a body kick to start off the night, and then scores one more. Macedo tries for a spinning back kick but misses and ends up on her back, where Viana takes half guard. Viana advances position by trapping Macedo's arm under her knee for a moment, but Macedo slips out.
Out of nowhere, Macedo throws her legs up to snatch an armbar, and Viana rolls to try to defend it but ends up on her back, and Viana has no choice but to tap out!
Macedo earns the first win of her UFC career, and in the process becomes the first fighter to ever finish Viana.

The Official Result
Veronica Macedo def. Polyana Viana R1 1:09 via Submission (Armbar)
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:27 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 23 of 41 56% 35 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:50
Veronica Hardy 0 5 of 8 62% 10 of 14 2 of 4 50% 1 3 4:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 19 of 33 57% 27 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 2 0:46
Veronica Hardy 0 5 of 6 83% 7 of 9 1 of 2 50% 0 2 2:55
2 Gillian Robertson 0 4 of 8 50% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Veronica Hardy 0 0 of 2 0% 3 of 5 1 of 2 50% 1 1 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 23 of 41 56% 21 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 25 2 of 2 13 of 14
Veronica Hardy 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 19 of 33 57% 18 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 13 of 14
Veronica Hardy 5 of 6 83% 5 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Gillian Robertson 4 of 8 50% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana - Fight History
LOSS vs Alice Ardelean
SUB R2 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alice Ardelean 0 46 of 94 48% 80 of 139 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:05
Polyana Viana 0 34 of 75 45% 80 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alice Ardelean 0 41 of 85 48% 44 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
2 Alice Ardelean 0 5 of 9 55% 36 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:05
Polyana Viana 0 3 of 4 75% 49 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alice Ardelean 46 of 94 48% 22 of 61 10 of 17 14 of 16 45 of 93 1 of 1 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 34 of 75 45% 9 of 44 13 of 19 12 of 12 29 of 66 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alice Ardelean 41 of 85 48% 21 of 57 9 of 15 11 of 13 40 of 84 1 of 1 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 31 of 71 43% 9 of 43 12 of 18 10 of 10 26 of 62 5 of 9 0 of 0
2 Alice Ardelean 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. They trade leg kicks early. Viana with a front kick and then a long right hand. Ardelean answers with a solid right. The fight is halted briefly due to what was thought to be an eye poke, but it’s determined that Viana was punched in the eye. The fight resumes in short order and the strawweights trade punches furiously. Ardelean is putting on the pressure and she tags Viana in close. Viana answers with a knee. They clinch and Viana lands a slashing elbow. Moments later, Ardelean stuns and briefly drops Viana. The Brazilian hustles to her feet and tries to regain her bearings. They clinch and trade knees. Viana turns her foe into the wire. Ardelean frees herself and returns to the center. Viana lands a hard body kick. Ardelean lines up a big right hand that finds the mark. Viana continues to have success with body kicks, using her superior range. Ardelean keeps the pressure on and she snaps the Brazilian’s head back with a three-punch combination. Another body kick for Viana. Ardelean ends a combination with a body kick, and Viana responds with a body kick of her own before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean

Round 2
Ardelean backs Viana up and lands a combination. Ardelean forces her way into the clinch and plants the Brazilian on the mat. Ardelean is in half guard. The Romanian utilizes heavy top pressure but isn’t doing much in the way of ground-and-pound. McMahon asks for some better work. Ardelean with some short punches to the ribs and Viana recovers full gaurd. Viana gets active from her back with elbows and punches as she controls Ardelean with a body triangle. They remain in this position, and Ardelean is doing her best to find openings from ground-and-pound from above as . McMahon calls for action from Ardelean again, and just when it seems like a standup might be ordered,
Viana suddenly taps out with the body triangle still in place. As it turns out, Ardelean had stepped over the foot while moving her foe’s leg to the inside to apply significant pressure to Viana’s knee.
A clever way to end the fight for Ardelean after what had largely been a pedestrian round. It's believed to be the first submission of its kind in UFC history.

The Official Result
Alice Ardelean def. Polyana Viana via Verbal Submission (Capsule Lock) R2 4:36
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Angelo picks Alice Ardelean, citing her durability, cardio, and well-roundedness. He notes Polyana Viana has declined and has quit in her. He believes Ardelean can find a finish or win a decision. He acknowledges the -200 line seems high but thinks the matchup is favorable.

"I got to go with Alice Hardling here. Minus 200 on a lady that's had seven losses in her career. Seems crazy, but matchups are the difference here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Big Brady picks Alice Ardelean, noting her superior volume and improvement compared to Polyana Viana, whom he views as more of a part-time fighter. He expects Ardelean to win by third-round TKO, as Viana tends to fade after the first round. However, he is hesitant due to the steep price.

third round TKO
"I'm going to take her to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Cody is confident in Alice Ardelean, noting her high work rate (7.3 significant strikes per minute) and physical strength. He believes Polyana Viana is not committed to fighting and relies on early submissions, but Ardelean is tough, comes forward, and can outwork her. He expects Ardelean to bully Viana and win by decision or late stoppage.

"I think styles make fights and she's got a really good style to just out muscle and bully Pauliana Vienna."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Connor picks Ardelean, agreeing with Zane. He notes Viana looks like she is hardly paying attention anymore and has unlearned her wild swinging, making her even worse. Ardelean has improved from an OnlyFans content creator to a professional fighter.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Viana 'literally worse than when she debuted'.
"Yep. I agree. You know, I agree with that logic. Viana looks like she is hardly paying attention anymore."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 16, 2026 (fight day)
Alice Ardelean

Ardelean is the better striker with better cardio, fight IQ, and pace. Viana gives up cheap takedowns and is weak off her back, while Ardelean understands position over submission. Ardelean will outwork Viana in the second half of the fight.

"This is a really good stylistic match-up for Aldeline because she's the better striker in my opinion."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Lucrative James picks Alice Ardelean, citing her physicality, durability, and focus on MMA compared to Viana's social media distractions. He believes Ardelean's strength and cardio will wear down Viana, leading to a decision win.

"I'll pick Alice to win the fight via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

The host thinks Ardelean is well-rounded enough to take advantage of Viana's recklessness, but he is hesitant to bet her at -200 due to Viana's volatility and finishing ability. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at +200, predicting Ardelean wins inside the distance, possibly by TKO or submission.

under 2.5 rounds (+200), Ardelean inside the distance
"I think Ardellion will be able to take advantage of the recklessness of Vienna. Whether that's in the striking realm or in the grappling realm, I think Ardellion is well-rounded enough to be able to take advantage of Vienna there."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

The host picks Reedelion (Ardelean) over Polyana Viana, citing Ardelean's grit, determination, and forward movement. He expects Ardelean to catch Viana's reckless nature and finish the fight, either by submission or TKO, within two and a half rounds.

finish under 2.5 rounds
"I believe she'll be able to catch the reckless nature of Viana here, and I believe that will lead to an Reedelion finish. Not sure if it's going to be club and sub or just straight-up club and drum, but …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Paul also picks Alice Ardelean, noting that Polyana Viana's wins are all first-round submissions against low-level competition, and she has been finished in her recent losses. He believes Ardelean's toughness and wrestling will be too much for Viana, who is more focused on her OnlyFans career.

"If you're going to bet Paula Vienna, the submission round one prop would be like that's how I would get involved."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alice Ardelean

Zane picks Ardelean because Viana has regressed, now only going backward and pulling guard, and has been crushed on the ground in her last three fights. Ardelean is not a technical marvel but is willing to fight and should be able to handle Viana.

Odds: Ardelean opened -250, now -200; Viana opened +210, now +170. Zane calls it a 'stupid fight' and 'completely unnecessary'.
"And Ardalene might not do that. She's not a technical Marvel anywhere, but Ardalene is very much all the way down to fight. So I'll take her."
Submission R2 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 6 of 8 75% 29 of 43 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:34
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 6 0% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 5 of 6 83% 25 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 1 0% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 1 of 2 50% 4 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:40
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 5 0% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 6 of 8 75% 5 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 5 of 6 83% 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jaqueline Amorim 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-550), Viana (+410)

Round 1
A pair of Brazilian strawweights with 100% finish rates collide with hopes of involving referee Dan Miragliotta before too long. The judges might be able to take this one off, as these two women combine for 15 submissions in their 22 pro victories. The submission rate for Amorim (9-1, 3-1 UFC) may be a bit higher, and of the two, she has not been finished. Viana (13-7, 4-6 UFC) cannot say the same, with a trio of stoppage losses in the past for her including two in a row. Amorim offers a glove touch, and when Viana accepts it, Amorim shoots in for a takedown. Viana falls to her back, and she searches for a submission off her back including an inverted triangle choke that excites the crowd because of the position. Amorim pulls her head out between Viana’s legs and shifts to the side, and positions herself in north-south where she can sit on Viana’s face. Viana looks for another inverted triangle, but Amorim sees it coming and steps out of it. Amorim exerts heavy shoulder pressure as she attempts to step into mount, and she wraps up a kimura on Viana’s left side. Amorim cranks on the limb, even considering a straight armbar with the two-on-one wrist lock, and she maintains her grip so she can successfully pass into mount. Viana puts her hand on Amorim’s mouth to disrupt her breathing and frustrate her, and Amorim postures up and looks for offense. Amorim drops down ground-and-pound, punching and elbowing her fellow countrywoman. Viana bucks and kicks her hips back and forth, but she cannot get Amorim off of her. Amorim delivers a handful of 12-to-6 elbows as she maintains her dominant position, and she fights off a half guard recovery from Viana to get back to side control in a hurry. Amorim allows Viana to turn to her knees so she can take her back, and she fastens a body triangle around the waist. Miragliotta appears to mistakenly consider the 10-second clapper as the bell, and the women look awkwardly at one another until the bell actually rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim

Round 2
Viana tries to start the round off with striking, but it takes less than 10 seconds for Amorim to engage and take her down with ease. Viana offers little defense to stop the takedown, perhaps hoping she can keep playing jiu-jitsu to catch something. Amorim gets to side control in the blink of an eye, and Viana sets up a partial crucifix position off her back by wrapping her legs around Amorim’s right arm. This allows Viana to shift to her knees, but Amorim laughs off the escape and takes her back in an instant.
Displaying that there are levels to this game, Amorim locks down the body triangle and a rear-naked choke almost simultaneously. Amorim can only cling one arm beneath the chin, and Viana is struggling but still with it. Amorim adjusts her grip, snaking her other arm under the chin and putting her palm-to-palm grip out of reach so that Viana can no longer hand-fight
. Viana knows her goose is cooked, and she taps out before long, expressing frustration that she was outdueled but otherwise accepting her defeat gracefully as she embraces her corner.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Polyana Viana R2 1:49 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, calling her a high-level grappler with power in her hands. He contrasts her serious approach with Polyana Viana's lack of career dedication, comparing it to Danni Barbosa vs. Belb. He notes the odds are moving quickly and expects Amorim to be a huge favorite by fight night.

Parlay with Ikram Aliskerov and Zhang Mingyang
"Jacqueline is going to run through Polyiana Viana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her high-level BJJ and Polyana Viana's poor takedown defense (38%). He expects Amorim to take Viana down and submit her quickly, noting Viana's vulnerability on the ground as seen in past fights. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"Give me Amarim to win this fight by first round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The host believes Amorim is significantly better than Viana, expecting her to get the fight to the ground easily and eventually sink in a submission.

submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before she eventually sinks in a submission and forces the tap."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim, believing she takes her career more seriously than Viana. He notes Amorim's submission skills and cheating incident against Demopoulos, but still favors her. He expects a finish, as Viana is not fully committed to fighting. He criticizes Viana's dedication and says Amorim trains harder.

finish
"I reckon she'll win by finish at some point as well. I don't rate Polyana Vanna. I don't think she's taken it as a fighter."
TKO (punches) R2 3:12 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gillian Robertson 0 23 of 39 58% 49 of 91 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:06
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 41 29% 33 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gillian Robertson 0 8 of 13 61% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:52
Polyana Viana 0 8 of 18 44% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Gillian Robertson 0 15 of 26 57% 33 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 23 17% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gillian Robertson 23 of 39 58% 20 of 35 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 13 0 of 0 18 of 26
Polyana Viana 12 of 41 29% 10 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 1 9 of 37 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gillian Robertson 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
Polyana Viana 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Gillian Robertson 15 of 26 57% 13 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 12 of 18
Polyana Viana 4 of 23 17% 3 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Robertson (-230), Viana (+190)

Round 1
Strawweight grapplers are up next, with Robertson trying to even things up at 2-2 for Team Canada against her Brazilian counterpart. The referee is Kevin Macdonald. Both women are in orthodox stance, and Viana is the first to land, sticking Robertson with a long jab. They exchange jabs and Viana punctuates with a body kick. Robertson times a nice single-leg and hauls Viana down with ease. Robertson is on top in Viana’s half guard, leaning across her body and elbowing the ribs. Viana locks down the left leg and Robertson works for a straight armlock on the far arm. Robertson gives up on the arm attack and goes heavy on top, working to pass her guard as she does. Robertson throws two elbow strikes and slides right into mount. A couple more elbow strikes and Viana turns to the side. Robertson applies an arm-triangle choke and tries to move out to the side to finish. Viana manages to regain guard, but gives up her back a moment later. A minute to go in the round and Robertson is in back mount. She goes supine, rolls Viana on top of her, and Viana gives up mount. Robertson peels off for an armbar. It’s locked in and close to danger territory, but Viana extricates her arm and escapes. They return to their feet at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Robertson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Robertson

Round 2
Viana lands a low kick and slips the counter coming back her way. Viana tags Robertson with a straight right, then another, both of which glance off the guard. Robertson steps in, grabs a single-leg and gets another effortless takedown. She moves quickly to mount and Viana turns her back. Robertson is on top, drops an elbow and is in position to look for a choke if the opportunity presents itself. Robertson throws several hard punches that bounce off the forearm but still rattle the Brazilian’s head.
Robertson is all over Viana at the halfway point of the round, landing ground-and-pound. She keeps pouring it on and after 10 or more solid blows with no reaction from the turtled Viana, Macdonald steps in for the stoppage.

The Official Result
Gillian Robertson def. Polyana Viana R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Angelo picks Robertson but with medium confidence, noting her grappling credentials and record submission wins. He criticizes her inability to get fights to the ground despite being a great grappler, and acknowledges Viana's own dangerous ground game. He expects Robertson to win via grappling but is wary of Viana's toughness and cardio.

"she should be good enough to beat paana Viana here I say medium confidence for her to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady is confident in Robertson because Viana has poor takedown defense and is content to play off her back, which plays into Robertson's strength. He notes Robertson has good ground and pound and submissions, while Viana's only path is a knockout. He predicts Robertson will get the fight down and submit Viana in the second round.

second round submission
"I'll take her to win this fight fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He questions Viana's jiu-jitsu and cardio, noting she gets tired and gives up submissions. He believes Robertson will take her down and control the fight.

"Robertson... she's got the superior grappling and the superior pace."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Daniel Vreeland picks Gillian Robertson by submission. He notes Robertson is one-dimensional but dangerous on the mat, while Viana can crack on the feet but is susceptible to submissions. He expects Robertson to chain takedowns and have her way on top, leading to a submission win.

by submission
"I'm gonna go Julian Robertson here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Robertson vs Viana.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

I expect Robertson to drag this fight to the ground and utilize her superior Jiu-Jitsu to control top position and eventually open up a submission opportunity. Viana relies too much on her guard off her back, and Robertson has good enough Jiu-Jitsu to stay out of submission threats. I think it's just a matter of time once the fight hits the mat that Robertson can work to a dominant position and sink in a submission. I like the under 2.5 rounds prop as well.

under 2.5 rounds, submission victory
"gim me Robertson again chalky under 2 and 1 half is another spot that I really like"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Paul picks Viana as a chaos pick, noting her volatility and submission threat. He acknowledges Robertson is more likely to win but has a gut feeling Viana could pull off an armbar. He suggests Viana inside the distance as a better bet.

Viana inside the distance at +600
"I'll pick Polyana Viana to pull off the upset in something super stupid."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

The MMA Guru picks Gillian Robertson, calling her a slight step above 'bottom feeder trash.' He criticizes Polyana Viana's lack of commitment and poor competition, noting she hasn't beaten anyone good. He believes Robertson can get top position safely and avoid Viana's submission threat.

"I'm going to go Julian Robertson now are both of them not good yes neither of them are really that good"
LOSS vs Iasmin Lucindo
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:42 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Iasmin Lucindo 0 10 of 25 40% 41 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Polyana Viana 0 10 of 24 41% 31 of 48 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Iasmin Lucindo 0 6 of 12 50% 26 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Polyana Viana 0 6 of 12 50% 17 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
2 Iasmin Lucindo 0 4 of 13 30% 15 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 12 33% 14 of 24 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Iasmin Lucindo 10 of 25 40% 2 of 15 4 of 6 4 of 4 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 10 of 24 41% 5 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Iasmin Lucindo 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Iasmin Lucindo 4 of 13 30% 0 of 7 2 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 4 of 12 33% 2 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Polyana Viana vs. Iasmin Lucindo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lucindo (-198), Viana (+164)

Round 1
Multiple fighters on this billing celebrate 100% finish rates, and Brazilian Viana (13-5, 4-4 UFC) is one of them. In fact, she has landed 12 of her 13 victories in the first round, with her latest a minute and change into Round 2. This likely means that youthful countrywoman Lucindo (14-5, 1-1 UFC) will need to be on her guard and not fall into any early traps if she hopes to put herself on a win streak. Standing by will be referee Chris Tognoni, and the bout opens up as the strawweight clap hands. Viana leads off with a kick that whizzes past the target, and Lucindo counters with a clubbing left hand that staggers Viana briefly. Viana gathers her thoughts and whips down a leg kick, and she partially checks one that eventually comes back her way. Viana scores a low kick and a punch, and she decks Lucindo in the face with her shin. Lucindo tries to punch back, and Viana closes in and grabs hold of her. Viana looks for a takedown, and she slugs Lucindo in the face a few times before dragging her down to the mat violently. Lucindo closes up her guard to try to stall things out, and Viana stays heavily pressed to her to keep her otherwise grounded. Tognoni asks for Viana to do more than sit there, and Viana does not improve her position or attack with anything else. Tognoni once again tells Viana to do something, and Lucindo is clinging tightly to shut down anything. Tognoni stands them up, and Viana helps her opponent to her feet and then offers a glove touch. Lucindo spins with a back kick that grazes off the side, and she misses with a back fist and ends up getting her leg grabbed in the air. Viana looks for a level change, but it is Lucindo who ends up tripping her up and throwing “Dama de Ferro” down to the mat. Viana hits her back and ignores light, frustrating punches bopping her on the side of the head. Viana turns to her side to potentially escape, and Tognoni now asks Lucindo to work. Lucindo postures up with a few hammerfists, and Viana kicks her off right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lucindo

Round 2
The strawweight bump fists together to start off the second stanza, and after a lull, Lucindo springs into action with a head kick and spinning back kick. Lucindo strings together a right and a left, and she hurts Viana. “Dama de Ferro” bounces off the cage wall and shakes out any cobwebs, and Lucindo does not give her chase or pressure her one iota. Instead, Lucindo lets Viana back in the fight, as she slowly works her way forward and tosses out a blocked overhand right. Lucindo spins with a kick that ricochets off the guard, and she tries to boot the ribs only to have that blocked as well. Lucindo drills Viana with a fierce overhand right, and Viana wobbles but does not fall down. Lucindo does not follow it with anything, allowing Viana to shake it off and spin at her with a back fist and keep turning into a body kick. Lucindo meets her in the middle and tackles her to the ground, where she plops on top in half guard. Lucindo smothers and grinds without the occasional short punch. Viana has no offense of her own, prompting Tognoni to tell Lucindo to do something.
Lucindo looks to pass over to three-quarter mount, and she suddenly attacks with an arm-triangle choke. Jumping straight over to the side, the submission is complete and Viana has nothing left to offer. One single tap comes from Viana, and Tognoni recognizes it and pulls the two apart.
For the first time since 2019, Lucindo forced an opponent to tap out, doing so over a woman in Viana that typically is the one submitting others.

The Official Result
Iasmin Lucindo def. Polyana Viana R2 3:42 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Angelo picks Lucindo, trusting her takedown ability and top pressure. He notes Viana is a BJJ threat but Lucindo's defense should hold up. He expects a decision win.

"I think this is an Eisman lucindo fight all day"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Big Brady picks Iasmin Lucindo to win by decision, but hates the pick. He notes Lucindo's striking advantage and ability to win minutes, but fears Viana's submission threat, especially the armbar from guard. He says there are two outcomes: Lucindo by decision or Viana by submission. He chooses Lucindo because she has more paths to victory, but will not bet the fight.

"give me a Lucinda by decision I I hate it um but it's got to be the pick right"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Cody picks Lucindo, praising her scrappy style, speed, cardio, and volume. He criticizes Viana's inconsistency and inability to get takedowns against good competition. He thinks Lucindo's strength will prevent takedowns and that she will outwork Viana on the feet. He acknowledges the risk in women's MMA but is confident Lucindo gets the job done.

Lucindo under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Yasmine lucindo to get the job done"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

James picks Lucindo, believing she is a good fighter with strong ground skills. He thinks Lucindo's jiu-jitsu is better than Viana's and that she can even submit Viana. He notes Viana's only path to victory is on the ground, but Lucindo is likely better there. James sees value on Lucindo at the current odds, thinking she should be a bigger favorite.

"I think Lucindo's value here... I don't think she should be worse than minus 250 in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

Lucindo is young but has good training partners and experience. Viana is an aggressive BJJ black belt who finishes early or fades. Lucindo should be able to use Viana's recklessness against her with takedowns and forward pressure to win a decision. It's a close fight, and a value shot on Viana is not bad, but Lucindo is cleaner.

Lucindo by decision
"I still think that lucindo is clean enough to win this fight over 50 minutes and get her hand raised"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Paul picks Viana by submission or inside the distance, citing the armbar from guard as a real threat. He thinks Lucindo might be hesitant to take Viana down due to her submission skills, and if the fight goes to the ground, Viana has a clear advantage. However, he admits he's not confident and may not bet it, as he understands Cody's points about Lucindo's volume and strength.

Viana by submission or inside the distance; mentions armbar from guard
"Viana by sub or Fiona inside the distance would be my official pick but I don't know if I'm gonna actually bet it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Iasmin Lucindo

The MMA Guru initially considered Polyana Viana but switched to Iasmin Lucindo, noting Lucindo's better competition and ability to go three rounds. He mentions Lucindo's wins over Brogan Walker and Yasmine Uruguay, and her experience against Sarah Frota. He believes most people are picking Viana incorrectly and that Lucindo will win.

"I'm going with Yasmine Lucindo over polyana Viana here"
WIN vs Jinh Yu Frey
KO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)

Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.

I'll probably wait till Tuesday when all the prop bets drop
"I think Fry's physicality and the veteran savvy are going to be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.

Viana wins by submission in round 1
"I kind of see her catching gignify at some point in this fight I think the fight does hit the mat and I think pauliana Viana fry and I'll probably say it's in the first round so give me Pauline …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.

Polyana Viana by submission +350
"Vienna by sub and be done with it move on it's like plus 350s are out there right now it's like that's what she attacks when she you know gets these victories so"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.

"I'm going to side with you. That Vanessa Demopolis loss was really sad."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.

"I'm gonna go with Pollyanna Vienna"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.

Under 2.5 rounds; Viana inside the distance by submission
"I do lean the Vienna side I do think she pulls off an arm bar or a submission of some sort"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.

"I gotta go the other way actually ... if I'm gonna get slight Underdog money I'm gonna take a dog or pass on this one go with Jimmy Fray"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.

submission (armbar or triangle)
"I'm gonna go if Pollyanna Viano over ginufree... I can see this being an arm bar as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.

"I'm going to pick Viana. This is right in line with the level of fight that Trey does win."
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 36 of 97 37% 126 of 212 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Polyana Viana 0 33 of 73 45% 72 of 126 5 of 10 50% 0 0 9:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 7 of 20 35% 53 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 9 of 18 50% 28 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 20 of 58 34% 40 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 34 35% 24 of 47 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:57
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 9 of 19 47% 33 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Polyana Viana 0 12 of 21 57% 20 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 36 of 97 37% 18 of 74 11 of 14 7 of 9 29 of 86 3 of 7 4 of 4
Polyana Viana 33 of 73 45% 11 of 43 3 of 8 19 of 22 21 of 57 0 of 1 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 7 of 20 35% 3 of 16 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 9 of 18 50% 2 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 9 5 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
2 Tabatha Ricci 20 of 58 34% 8 of 43 6 of 7 6 of 8 16 of 52 1 of 3 3 of 3
Polyana Viana 12 of 34 35% 5 of 22 2 of 6 5 of 6 10 of 30 0 of 1 2 of 3
3 Tabatha Ricci 9 of 19 47% 7 of 15 1 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 17 0 of 1 1 of 1
Polyana Viana 12 of 21 57% 4 of 12 1 of 2 7 of 7 6 of 15 0 of 0 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tabatha Ricci vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ricci (-120), Viana (+100)

Round 1
Chris Tognoni will officiate this clash of Brazilian strawweights. Viana connects with a hard body kick at the outset. Ricci goes for a single leg takedown and Viana jumps on a guillotine. Ricci escapes without issue, but Viana transitions to an armbar. Ricci stands and kicks at her grounded foe’s legs. Viana is content to remain on her back, kicking at the knees of her opponent, one of which makes Ricci stumble. Tognoni orders a standup as Ricci backs away. Ricci moves in behind a solid jab. Ricci closes the distance and Viana jumps on a guillotine again. Ricci dumps her foe down and frees her head. Viana is active off her back with strikes as she attempts to frame a triangle. Not much action from Ricci from above. Viana remains busy with short shots to the head. With 1:00 to go, Ricci is still in top position, but it’s Viana who is more active offensively from her back. Ricci stands and backs away just before the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci

Round 2
Viana moves forward behind a kick, and the strawweights clinch briefly before separating. A lot of swings and misses from both sides early in the ruond. Ricci with an outside leg kick. Another leg kick lands with authority for Ricci. They tie up and separating in short order once again. A spinning back fist lands for Viana, at least partially. Viana steps in and lands an elbow. Ricci executes a beautifully timed level change and ground Viana near the fence. Ricci stands, and another kick to the knee by Viana makes Ricci stumble. Ricci looks to work her way in and winds up in the full guard of her opponent. Viana holds her close, landing short punches. Ricci stands and Viana is perfectly content to stay on her back, kicking at the knees of her opponent. Tognoni orders them up with 20 seconds left. Ricci powers Viana back down in the waning seconds and ends the round on top.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci

Round 3
Ricci wastes little time forcing the clinch and pressing Viana into the cage. They separate and return to the center of the Octagon. Ricci rushes forward and lands a right hand. Ricci shoots for a takedown against the fence, then trips Viana to the mat. Ricci stands, then briefly dives to side control before standing again. We’re back in a familiar position, with Viana on her back and Ricci standing and looking for openings to dive into top position. Tognoni doesn’t like the lack of action and orders them up. Ricci ducks under a punch for a single leg takedown but Viana briefly ends up on top. They scramble back up and Ricci plants Viana on her back. Ricci stands and backs away, kicking at the legs of Viana. Not much is happening here, but Viana is content to let things play out this way. Ricci can’t quite get past the legs of Viana to get on top and land ground-and-pound. The fight ends with Viana on her back and Ricci kicking away at her legs.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Ricci (30-27 Ricci)

The Official Result
Tabatha Ricci def. Polyana Viana via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci because she is a very good grappler with solid forward pressure and frequent takedowns. He notes that Viana is submission-or-bust and struggles with takedown accuracy. Ricci's last win at 115 pounds showed her takedown ability. Angelo expects Ricci to wrestle heavily and win a decision, and he plans to include her in his DraftKings lineup.

Tabatha Ricci in DraftKings lineup
"i trust her to wrestle like crazy and cruz do a decision win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci to win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ black belt. He notes Viana relies on pulling guard and submissions off her back, but Ricci is a legitimate black belt who should be able to avoid submissions and control the fight on the mat. He expects Ricci to take Viana down with little resistance and win a decision.

"i got to go reach you here um and i gotta go reach you by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci, citing her wrestling, BJJ black belt, and better striking. He notes Viana's reliance on armbars from guard but believes Ricci's jiu-jitsu pedigree will prevent her from getting caught. He thinks Ricci can out-strike Viana, take her down, and win a decision, even if she fades in the third.

"i think the pick for me is tabitha richie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Tabatha Ricci

The host picks Tabatha Ricci to win, expecting her to grind out a victory. He notes that Viana is always live for a submission but does not think she gets it tonight. He believes Ricci's grappling and control time will be the difference, and he does not see the Viana side himself. He does not have a bet on Ricci but is confident in her winning.

"i don't see the vienna side myself i don't have a bet on richie but yeah i think richie can grind this one out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul picks Ricci, saying she should have the wrestling to keep the fight upright and the grappling to avoid Viana's submissions. He notes Viana's craftiness off her back but believes Ricci is the side.

"i think richie should have the wrestling to keep this fight upright she should have the grappling training with you know mackenzie dern and all of those that if she goes into vianna's guard that she won't get um that …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, citing her experience, size, and reach advantage. He thinks Tabatha Ricci is a small strawweight and may get overexcited on the ground, leading to a submission. He predicts an armbar win for Viana.

submission by armbar
"i'm gonna go for another arm bar in a row for pollyanna viana here"
Submission (armbar) R1 3:18 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 0 4 of 16 25% 71 of 89 0 of 0 --- 5 0 0:18
Mallory Martin 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 0 4 of 16 25% 71 of 89 0 of 0 --- 5 0 0:18
Mallory Martin 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 4 of 16 25% 0 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 4 of 16 25% 0 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Polyana Viana vs. Mallory Martin

Round 1
Up next is a women’s strawweight bout as finish-minded Brazilian Viana (11-4, 2-3 UFC) looks to even her UFC record to .500 at the expense of Invicta FC vet Martin (7-3, 1-1 UFC). Drawing the assignment for this interesting style matchup is referee Mark Smith, and the two ladies touch ‘em up before getting down to business. Martin immediately throws a pair of punches to the body, and she gets countered but walks forward to plant her fists on Viana’s midsection again. Martin walks forward with a similar salvo, but this time, Viana is ready for her. Viana has a one-two blocked, but she lands a body kick and falls to her back pulling guard. Martin obliges by wading into the Brazilian’s guard, where she stays tight and does not expose her limbs or put herself in unnecessary danger. Viana starts throwing strikes off her back, with punches landing on the ear and elbows hacking on the scalp. Martin postures up, and she falls into a triangle choke that is instantly locked up. Martin rolls with the position but does not break it, and Viana pursues an armbar before bailing it to slash at Martin’s forehead with elbows. Martin loosens the grip to breathe a little as she gets to a crouching position, but she slams Viana down and puts herself in even worse position. “Dama de Ferro” tightens her legs and Martin is still fighting through the very bad spot, taking elbows all the while.
Viana wrenches on to a keylock while Martin is trapped tightly, and Martin rolls to her back but falls victim to an armbar attempt. Viana wrenches on the arm with everything she has, and Martin can gut through it no more, tapping out lest her arm get snapped.
With her submission victory, Viana maintains her perfect finish rate through 12 career wins.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Mallory Martin R1 3:18 via Submission (Armbar)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

Big Brady picks Mallory Martin to win by decision. He initially leaned towards Viana but after digging in, he thinks Martin will get top control and stay safe. He notes that Viana was submitted by Veronica Macedo and that Hannah Cifers stayed safe on top against Viana. He believes Martin's wrestling and top control will be the difference, though he is not high on Martin after her fight with Cifers.

Martin by decision; stay away from betting perspective; possible armbar from guard
"I'm going to take malory martin like i said at first i was on the viana side but after digging into it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana to win by first-round finish. He notes that Viana is a first-round finish or bust, with most wins coming in the first round. He acknowledges Martin's toughness and heart but points out her slow starts. He believes Viana can catch Martin early, but if it goes to the scorecards, he would edge Martin. He predicts a first-round finish for Viana.

Viana by first-round finish; mentions Martin's slow starts and Viana's first-round finishes
"i'm gonna say vienna comes out here and gets a first round finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host picks Viana as a dog, believing her jiu-jitsu will be the difference if the fight goes to the ground. He notes that Martin's wrestling could play into Viana's submission game, and that Viana's reckless style makes a finish likely. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop at +190.

under 2.5 rounds at +190
"i'm actually siding with poliana vienna side i think that if martin decides to go out there and try to wrestle she's just jumping into the jaws of the shark"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

The Guru picks Mallory Martin, largely because Polyana Viana lost to Hannah Cifers, which he considers disqualifying. He believes Martin will win the ground exchanges and positional control, earning a unanimous decision. He does not see a submission for Martin but expects her to edge out a grappling-heavy decision.

"i'm going to be going with mallory martin here to get the job done over pollyanna viana... pollyanna viana lost to hannah ciphers that should be all i have to say"
Submission (armbar) R1 1:53 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Emily Whitmire 0 2 of 11 18% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Emily Whitmire 0 2 of 11 18% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3
Emily Whitmire 2 of 11 18% 1 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3
Emily Whitmire 2 of 11 18% 1 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Emily Whitmire vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Remaining at what should be the strawweight division for another tilt is TUF 26 vet Whitmire (4-3, 2-2 UFC) against “Dama de Ferro” – or Iron Lady -- Viana (10-4, 1-3 UFC). Drawing the assignment for this match between a woman whose losses are all by finish (Whitmire) and a woman whose wins are all by stoppage (Viana) is referee Jason Herzog. The glove touch precedes what comes shortly after in the form of a leg kick from Viana, and Whitmire fires back. Viana slings another kick, and Whitmire throws several punches that land flush. Both women trade leg kicks, and Viana has already switched stances. They come together and land right hands at the same time, but a right hand from Viana forces Whitmire to shoot in and take the Brazilian down. Viana tries to trip her, but Whitmire counters to take top position. “Spitfire” lands in side control and hangs on to two-on-one wrist control until Viana shucks her off and gets her back to full guard. Viana slams several elbows in the side of her opponent’s head, and looks to set up an armbar off her back but Whitmire sees it coming and adjusts.
Viana repositions and snags the arm, and Whitmire falls to her back but is still trapped. She screeches as she taps out in obvious pain, and “Dama de Ferro” racks up another finish.
All 11 of Viana’s career wins have come inside the distance, with 10 now in the first round.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Emily Whitmire R1 1:53 via Submission (Armbar)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Emily Whitmire

Big Brady favors Whitmire slightly in striking and wrestling, expecting her to get takedowns and control the fight. However, he is hesitant because Whitmire has been submitted in all three losses, and Viana has good BJJ. He notes that Viana was unable to submit Hannah Cifers, which gives him some confidence, but he cannot bet this fight at the current line.

"give me emily lee whitmire i'm gonna pick her to win by i'm gonna say decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, arguing that her ceiling is higher than Whitmire's. He points out that Viana has beaten Amanda Ribas (who Whitmire lost to) and that Whitmire's ground game is questionable. He believes Viana can finish with an armbar or triangle, but acknowledges she is inconsistent.

"i'mma go with vienna just because i think her ceiling is higher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Polyana Viana

Viana has better overall jiu-jitsu and both women are finishers, so the fight likely ends via submission. Whitmire is overrated due to recency bias; Viana's submission skills should be the difference. I see a first-round rear-naked choke.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"i do like vienna to win this fight again i do expect it to play out in the grappling realm"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host favors Polyana Viana due to her jiu-jitsu world champion background and better stand-up. He notes that Viana's back is against the wall and she knows a loss could mean being cut. He believes Whitmire's only path is grappling, but Viana has the jiu-jitsu to avoid submissions. He also mentions Viana's reach advantage and better striking.

"i think she's going to go out there and get the job done over emily whitmire"