UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Feb 03, 2018 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
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Age 38
Height 5' 5"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 37
Height 5' 7"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Valentina Shevchenko
3.04 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
2.0 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
2.65 TD Avg
61.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Priscila Cachoeira
4.43 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
7.6 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.25 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Valentina Shevchenko - Fight History
WIN vs Zhang Weili
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 41 of 68 60% 137 of 186 5 of 6 83% 0 0 13:24
Zhang Weili 0 32 of 98 32% 80 of 161 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 8 of 13 61% 21 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:30
Zhang Weili 0 7 of 17 41% 15 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 9 of 10 90% 34 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:09
Zhang Weili 0 1 of 8 12% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 7 of 18 38% 19 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:43
Zhang Weili 0 9 of 26 34% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 13 of 21 61% 31 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Zhang Weili 0 10 of 30 33% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 4 of 6 66% 32 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:46
Zhang Weili 0 5 of 17 29% 22 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 41 of 68 60% 21 of 44 14 of 17 6 of 7 27 of 47 8 of 14 6 of 7
Zhang Weili 32 of 98 32% 9 of 59 13 of 26 10 of 13 25 of 90 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 8 of 13 61% 4 of 8 2 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 8 2 of 5 0 of 0
Zhang Weili 7 of 17 41% 4 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 2 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 9 of 10 90% 6 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4
Zhang Weili 1 of 8 12% 0 of 4 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Valentina Shevchenko 7 of 18 38% 5 of 15 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 13 1 of 3 1 of 2
Zhang Weili 9 of 26 34% 1 of 15 4 of 7 4 of 4 8 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 13 of 21 61% 5 of 11 6 of 7 2 of 3 11 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Zhang Weili 10 of 30 33% 3 of 17 4 of 9 3 of 4 9 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
5 Valentina Shevchenko 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1
Zhang Weili 5 of 17 29% 1 of 11 3 of 4 1 of 2 2 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Zhang Weili

Angelo leans towards Zhang Weili, citing her superior wrestling and athleticism. He believes Weili's clean double-leg takedowns will be effective against Valentina Shevchenko, who relies on striking to set up takedowns. He acknowledges Shevchenko's experience and durability but thinks Weili's speed and wrestling will be the difference.

"I am going to slightly lean way Lee here. I think the wrestling is going to be the difference."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady leans Valentina Shevchenko, citing her size advantage and natural weight class. He notes Shevchenko's wrestling ability, having taken down Manon Fiorot, and believes she can get takedowns on Zhang Weili, who was taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas. However, he acknowledges Zhang's physical strength and says it wouldn't shock him if Zhang gets top position. Brady is not betting on this fight and predicts a decision win for Shevchenko.

"I'm going to lean Valentina Shiftenko ever so slightly. I think it's a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody picks Valentina due to her size, experience, and well-rounded skills. He notes that she is an elite kickboxer and wrestler, and that her trilogy with Grasso was a blip. He highlights that Zhang has had takedown defense issues in the past, and that Valentina consistently scores takedowns. He believes Valentina's size and strength will be key, and that she will win by decision.

Valentina Shevchenko by decision
"Valentina Shevchenko by decision play for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Connor picks Shevchenko but is hesitant, calling it a coin flip. He argues that Shevchenko's simple, patient style and mental stamina will frustrate Zhang, who struggles with distance and initiating exchanges. He notes that Zhang's wrestling might be neutralized by Shevchenko's clinch and top control, and that Zhang has been vulnerable when taken down.

Odds: Shevchenko opened +120, now -135; Zhang opened -140, now +115.
"I'm going to take Shevchenko, but I'm fascinated by the fight too. It genuinely feels like a coin flip to me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zhang Weili

Daniel respects Shevchenko's technical striking and well-rounded game, but sees Zhang as the fighter making rapid improvements, especially in wrestling. He notes that Zhang has outgrappled elite wrestlers like Carla Esparza and Tatiana Suarez, while Shevchenko hasn't shown the same evolution. He also likes the dog odds on Zhang and believes she can become a double champ.

"I'm actually going to pick Jean Lee to come out here, make history, become another double champ, and bring another belt back to China."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Lucrative James picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, stating she is the greatest women's fighter of all time. He believes her wrestling and grappling are superior to Zhang's, and she can outskill her on the feet. He notes both fighters have losses due to grappling, but trusts Shevchenko's takedown accuracy and experience against tougher opponents. He expects Shevchenko to control the fight and win a decision or possibly a late submission.

"My prediction is going to be fairly short and sweet here, boys. It's going to be Valentina Chevchenko to get the win and go down as the greatest women's fighter that we have ever seen in MMA."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko's size and overall MMA advantages muzzle Zhang's style. She mixes martial arts well, sets up takedowns behind strikes, and wins on the scorecards.

"I think that Chevchenko is the side here. Look for her size and overall MMA advantages to help her really muzzle that uh style of Jeang. ... I expect her to do it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Valentina's size advantage and superior wrestling. He notes that both fighters are similar in age but that Valentina is the bigger fighter and has a better takedown ratio. He thinks the fight will come down to grappling and top position, and that Valentina will win those exchanges. He also mentions that Valentina is more technical on the feet.

"give me the bigger bigger fighter with frankly a better, you know, takedown to taken down uh ratio."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zhang Weili

The Guru picks Zhang Weili to win by split decision. He believes Zhang is a better fighter than Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot, who gave Shevchenko close fights. He notes Shevchenko's recent performances have been less dominant, and Zhang's grappling and striking should be competitive. The Guru also suggests promotional favoritism towards the Chinese market could influence a close decision.

"I'm gonna go Jang Lee. Lighter woman's skill. Um I think she's better than Alexa Carraso and I think that's what this is going to come down to."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Zane also picks Shevchenko hesitantly, emphasizing that Zhang's game plan may not work against Shevchenko's patience. He notes that Zhang has become a punch-and-clutch fighter but still struggles with range, and Shevchenko will force her to initiate. He sees Shevchenko's ability to maintain a low-risk fight as key.

Same odds commentary.
"I'm going to pick Shevchenko just because I think because Weilijang struggles so much with that distance, that if her opponent is well attuned to taking advantage of that fact, they can take her down."
WIN vs Manon Fiorot
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 1 72 of 149 48% 173 of 251 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:52
Manon Fiorot 0 71 of 160 44% 150 of 239 1 of 12 8% 0 0 7:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 19 of 36 52% 57 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Manon Fiorot 0 13 of 32 40% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 8 of 20 40% 21 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Manon Fiorot 0 12 of 28 42% 31 of 47 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:59
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 14 of 28 50% 36 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Manon Fiorot 0 14 of 28 50% 29 of 43 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:40
4 Valentina Shevchenko 1 16 of 32 50% 29 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Manon Fiorot 0 14 of 33 42% 32 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:31
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 15 of 33 45% 30 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Manon Fiorot 0 18 of 39 46% 38 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 72 of 149 48% 48 of 118 7 of 12 17 of 19 62 of 126 7 of 18 3 of 5
Manon Fiorot 71 of 160 44% 29 of 113 35 of 37 7 of 10 40 of 124 29 of 33 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 19 of 36 52% 15 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4 18 of 35 0 of 0 1 of 1
Manon Fiorot 13 of 32 40% 6 of 25 5 of 5 2 of 2 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 8 of 20 40% 5 of 16 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 16 3 of 4 0 of 0
Manon Fiorot 12 of 28 42% 7 of 22 4 of 4 1 of 2 5 of 19 5 of 6 2 of 3
3 Valentina Shevchenko 14 of 28 50% 6 of 18 1 of 2 7 of 8 11 of 22 3 of 6 0 of 0
Manon Fiorot 14 of 28 50% 5 of 16 8 of 10 1 of 2 4 of 18 10 of 10 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 16 of 32 50% 10 of 26 1 of 1 5 of 5 14 of 22 0 of 6 2 of 4
Manon Fiorot 14 of 33 42% 5 of 23 8 of 8 1 of 2 7 of 25 7 of 8 0 of 0
5 Valentina Shevchenko 15 of 33 45% 12 of 27 2 of 4 1 of 2 14 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Manon Fiorot 18 of 39 46% 6 of 27 10 of 10 2 of 2 11 of 30 7 of 9 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Women’s Flyweight Title Fight: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-148), Shevchenko (+124)

Round 1
For the first time since 2022, champion Shevchenko (24-4-1, 13-3-1 UFC) will be facing a woman not named Grasso. She draws surging Frenchwoman Fiorot (12-1, 7-0 UFC), who could become the first French-born undisputed champion in UFC history—Ciryl Gane won the interim heavyweight strap. To the surprise of some, Fiorot will close as the betting favorite, but when the cage door closes, it’s all between the two flyweights and referee Marc Goddard. They cordially tap their gloves together to make it official. Shevchenko slaps out a leg kick and leans to avoid a head kick, with Fiorot advancing early. Shevchenko pushes her away to score a body kick, and she zips away before another high kick can reach her. Shevchenko clips the challenger with a one-two, who seems surprised by the blows and has to blink them out. Shevchenko blocks a kick to get off a right hand, and she ducks a right hook when Fiorot strikes. Fiorot plants a kick on the lead leg, and she is countered when trying a second. Shevchenko lets Fiorot come in so she can catch her with a check right hook, and Fiorot looks for a kick on the other side. Shevchenko considers changing levels, but ends up blocking a kick and skirting to the side. Shevchenko stands the Frenchwoman up with a right hand, and her low kick continues to find its mark. Shevchenko flicks up a kick to the nose that reddens it up fast, and Fiorot adjusts it. Shevchenko spins with a wheel kick, and Fiorot dodges but cannot get her hands on the champ. Fiorot walks face-first into a right hand, and she bangs her lead leg into her foe’s guard. The right hand from Shevchenko bloodies up Fiorot’s nose, and she stings her again and shakes her up. The nose for the challenger is busted and bleeding badly just three minutes in, and Fiorot ignores it and surges forward. Shevchenko dances easily out of the way to reset, and she is met with a kick that she catches and tackles Fiorot to the ground. Shevchenko lands in half guard, where she lords over her foe and completely controls her. Goddard asks for more action, with Shevchenko content to impose heavy shoulder pressure. Fiorot elbows her opponent in the posterior while Shevchenko lands a few punches, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 2
Fiorot starts the round with her foot flying, and she shoots in for a double. Shevchenko leans against the wall to defend it, and she ducks away to escape. Shevchenko whips a kick up high that starts the bleeding again, and Fiorot promptly wipes her nose. Shevchenko spins with a back kick that slams into her ribs, and she skips away to evade a counter. Fiorot level changes and hits a 5-foot-5 wall that punches her in the face. Fiorot comes up short with a head kick, and she goes after a single that is equally futile. Shevchenko stands and waits for her opponent to come to her, countering her and hitting a trip to put the Frenchwoman on the mat. Fiorot scrambles madly to flip Shevchenko over, and they both get to their feet. Shevchenko beats Fiorot to the punch with her jab repeatedly, and she shoots for a double and cannot quite get it as Fiorot hops around skillfully. Fiorot pushes her foe back to get back to kickboxing range, and she raises up a high kick that gets blocked. Fiorot shoots for a takedown, and Shevchenko sprawls against the wall. Fiorot peels her leg away and grabs her from behind, leaning on the champ and kneeing her to the back of the thigh. Shevchenko spins away, but not before eating an elbow. Fiorot’s head kick cannot find its target, and she times a right hand with a takedown shot. Fiorot uses pure brute force to lift Shevchenko up in the air and dump her down, where she laces her legs around “Bullet” to pin her to her seat. Shevchenko posts off her right arm and barely blocks an illegal knee while she was grounded that Goddard did not see. Shevchenko does not protest, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Goddard issues a hard warning between rounds, having acknowledged the near-foul, and the ladies get back to combat. They trade leg kicks to start, and Shevchenko goes high while Fiorot goes low a second time. Fiorot ignores a head kick that soars past her, and she stands there waiting for more offense to come at her. It is another blockable head kick, and she stuffs a takedown and reaches out with a right hand as Fiorot abandons it. The champ kicks the inside of the lead leg and flicks out a few jabs to get some space, and she nearly gets caught with a high kick. Shevchenko kicks the outer side of the leg, and they crash together when both going for level changes. Fiorot brings up a knee and an elbow, and Shevchenko scores a few jabs. When Fiorot charges, Shevchenko turns to the side and sprints around the cage to reset. Shevchenko shoots for a takedown that is unsuccessful, and she comes up top with a right hand. Fiorot fails on her own takedown effort, and she clinches up to drive four knees to the midsection. Shevchenko misses on a front kick to break, and she proceeds to work the front leg further. Fiorot flails her way in, inaccurate with her approach, and Shevchenko knees her in the face when Fiorot ducks down. This does not deter the Frenchwoman, who looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot scores a knee or two to the inner thigh, and she plants one on the groin that Shevchenko once again does not protest. On the break, Shevchenko busts her foe’s nose open again with a right hand. The jab is soon to follow from the champ, who spins with a powerful back fist that forces Fiorot to shoot. Fiorot uses pure power to elevate her foe, and Shevchenko is able to hop around and keep her balance with the wall at her side. Fiorot knees the back of the leg, and Shevchenko pushes off the cage as Fiorot’s team claim falsely that she grabbed the fence—Goddard replies, “not even close.” Shevchenko pushes off with a punch and a kick, and the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The women meet the championship rounds, and Fiorot is amped up and ready to continue as she pitches kicks and jabs out. Fiorot lands a side kick, and Shevchenko surges forward with two hooks. Shevchenko times a head kick to spin with a wheel kick that nails the challenger on the chin. Fiorot shakes her head, and she has her nose bleeding early with peppery jabs. Fiorot ducks under one in pursuit of a double, and she succeeds in pushing Shevchenko against the cage but no further. Fiorot settles for a few knees up close and personal, and she transitions to a single that Shevchenko thwarts with a few punches up top. Fiorot zips past her foe with offense, and Shevchenko is calm and a cucumber and counters her. Shevchenko tries a quick takedown, and Fiorot backs her off with a knee to the midsection. Shevchenko knees Fiorot and skirts to the side to let the Frenchwoman go past her again, playing the matador. She drills Fiorot with a stern spinning kick to the ribcage, and all Fiorot can do is reset and try to move forward and clinch. Fiorot scores a knee in the tie-up before pushing her to the wall, where she leans heavily on her adversary and scoring a few more knees. Shevchenko breaks free while dodging a knee up the middle, and she kicks the lead leg of her advancing foe. Fiorot leaps forward and is out of range, and Shevchenko times a sneaky takedown to drag Fiorot to her seat. Fiorot rushes back to her feet and starts kneeing the champ in the side. Fiorot manages to get off an elbow in the clinch, and she pushes out a side kick. Fiorot spins with nothing, and Shevchenko counters her with a right hand that sends her flying to the ground. Shevchenko pounces, ending the round in style with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 5
The fifth round has arrived, and it could be split leading into it. Fiorot acknowledges this and fights behind her jab, while Shevchenko shifts to the side and keeps moving. Fiorot chases her down and knees her once in the belly before tying her up, and she looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot whiffs with an elbow on the break, and a high kick grazes her chin on the way out. Shevchenko counters her over the top with a left hand, and Fiorot bites down on her mouthpiece and slings leather back her direction. Shevchenko ducks a few punches to change levels, and Fiorot stonewalls her and shoves her back. Shevchenko smacks the front leg with a kick, continuously moving and blasting Fiorot with a spinning back fist. Fiorot is tough as a stale baguette, and she pushes forward into the clinch. Shevchenko breaks away and kicks her in the side. Shevchenko pecks out a jab, and she leaps forward with a Superwoman punch and a level change. Fiorot turns her about and pushes her to the wall, but she cannot keep the champ there. Fiorot fakes a spin, and she is at least a foot away from a head kick. Shevchenko connects with a punch, and Fiorot darts towards her with a short punch salvo before clinching up again. Fiorot knees her in the belly and leans on her, winding up with distance to plant the knees on the thigh. Fiorot sneaks around to grab the back of the champion, who spins around with a right hand as Fiorot tosses a head kick at her. Shevchenko counters a kick with a right hand, and her one-two comes up short. Her second lands, but not before Fiorot scores too. Shevchenko dings the challenger with a spinning back fist, and Fiorot pays her back with a knee and an elbow. Shevchenko knees back, and she aims a head kick at the bell. They go the distance, and the scores could go either way. Both women put their hands in the air after 25 minutes of fairly evenly-matched combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko (48-47 Shevchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot to become the new champion, citing her size, power, takedown defense, and striking. He acknowledges Valentina Shevchenko's evolution into wrestling but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and power will be too much. He thinks Fiorot controls the striking and keeps the fight on her feet.

"Mannon Fau is going to be the pick. I think she controls the striking. I think she keeps a fight on her feet and I think she becomes the new strawweight world champion."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Big Brady is hesitant but leans Fiorot. He notes Fiorot's high-volume striking, elite takedown defense (93%), and physical strength. He acknowledges Shevchenko looked great against Grasso but questions if that was due to Grasso's poor performance. He thinks Fiorot's movement and the big cage help her, and she can defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision win for Fiorot.

"I am going to go with Man on Fior to win a a close and competitive decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Connor picks Valentina Shevchenko, agreeing with Zane that she is a master of distance management. He notes that Fiorot's wrestling has not been tested against someone like Shevchenko, who has developed new takedown entries. Connor believes that Fiorot's game is not dynamic enough to exploit any potential age-related decline in Shevchenko.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The host notes Shevchenko has been an underdog three times in the UFC and is 3-0 in those fights, expecting her to go 4-0. He believes she will compete in striking but ultimately use her clinch and grappling to dictate the pace and win on the scorecards.

"Shvchenko has already come into the UFC as an underdog three times, and she's 3-0 in those matchups."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Shevchenko, believing she is being disrespected as an underdog. He notes her championship experience, reach advantage, and recent dominant win over Grasso. He questions Fiorot's performance against Rose Namajunas, who fought with a broken hand, and thinks Shevchenko's technical striking and adjustments will win her a decision.

decision
"I'm going to go with Valentina Chevhenko getting this one done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Zane picks Valentina Shevchenko, arguing that she is a master of distance management and preventative footwork, making it incredibly difficult for opponents to get into range. He notes that Fiorot's striking has structural flaws, with her chin rising and feet squaring when she commits. Zane believes that if Fiorot wins, it will be more a sign of Shevchenko's age than Fiorot's skill.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."
WIN vs Alexa Grasso
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 18 of 100 18% 153 of 245 1 of 4 25% 2 0 0:49
Alexa Grasso 0 45 of 80 56% 193 of 233 8 of 12 66% 0 0 16:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 2 of 19 10% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexa Grasso 0 10 of 18 55% 36 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:28
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 2 of 13 15% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Alexa Grasso 0 3 of 8 37% 29 of 36 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:57
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 5 of 35 14% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexa Grasso 0 16 of 26 61% 35 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:20
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 1 of 12 8% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:24
Alexa Grasso 0 2 of 5 40% 65 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:56
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 8 of 21 38% 54 of 71 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:25
Alexa Grasso 0 14 of 23 60% 28 of 37 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 18 of 100 18% 8 of 74 3 of 10 7 of 16 16 of 98 1 of 1 1 of 1
Alexa Grasso 45 of 80 56% 38 of 71 3 of 5 4 of 4 39 of 72 2 of 2 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 2 of 19 10% 1 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexa Grasso 10 of 18 55% 8 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Valentina Shevchenko 2 of 13 15% 1 of 8 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Alexa Grasso 3 of 8 37% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 2
3 Valentina Shevchenko 5 of 35 14% 2 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 8 5 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexa Grasso 16 of 26 61% 13 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 0 12 of 22 1 of 1 3 of 3
4 Valentina Shevchenko 1 of 12 8% 1 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexa Grasso 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Valentina Shevchenko 8 of 21 38% 3 of 16 1 of 1 4 of 4 7 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alexa Grasso 14 of 23 60% 12 of 20 0 of 1 2 of 2 13 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Angelo picks Alexa Grasso despite acknowledging that Valentina Shevchenko likely won the last fight. He sees improvements in Grasso's game between the two fights, noting she won exchanges, rounds, and even dropped Valentina in the second fight. He believes the wrestling gap is tightening and the speed gap is widening, and that Grasso is younger, faster, and more creative. He placed half a unit on Grasso at -115, recognizing it's hard for a champion to win back the belt but thinks Grasso gets it done.

Placed 0.5 units on Grasso at -115.
"I think Alexa gets it done here and I've got a half a unit on her at minus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Big Brady acknowledges Shevchenko arguably won the second fight but notes her regression and Grasso's improvement. He also factors in the Mexican crowd and potential judging bias. He predicts Grasso wins a close decision.

"I got to go with grao... give me grao to win this fight and grao to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Daniel picks Alexa Grasso to win the trilogy, arguing that Valentina hasn't evolved enough and that long-reigning champions rarely reclaim their belts. He notes Grasso's faster hands, higher volume, and finishing upside, while worrying about Grasso being taken down and controlled. He believes history favors Grasso and that she will make bigger improvements.

"I think that history favors Alexa Grasso here and uh for that reason I'm picking her"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Daniel Vreeland picks Alexa Grasso because her trajectory is still upward while Valentina Shevchenko's is declining. He notes Shevchenko has lost a step in defensive grappling since the Taila Santos fight, and Grasso's striking and grappling have improved significantly. He believes Grasso's speed, cardio, and youth will be the deciding factors.

Grasso by decision +175
"I'm going with grao here I I think cardio speed all of those things and the youth is really going to be the biggest answer"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Jeff Fox agrees with Daniel Vreeland, noting Shevchenko's decline had started even before facing Grasso. He mentions Shevchenko's mindset of thinking she won the last fight is not good. He goes with the ascending fighter who is much younger and already beat her.

"I know it's boring to say but I agree with everything Gumby says there yeah chevchenko every fight even before she started um even before she ran into Grasso you know the the decline had started"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight. The host only mentions Kayla Harrison vs Juliana Peña as the other title fight, not Shevchenko vs Grasso.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko was a minus 800 favorite in the first fight and minus 160 in the second, now a plus 120 underdog. She was up 2-1 in the first before being submitted, and should have won the last fight if not for a bad scorecard. Expects Shevchenko to come even safer and cleaner, leaning on her wrestling to win on the scorecards.

plus 120 underdog
"I do have to lean with chevchenko here once again who was a minus 800 favorite in their first fight minus 160 favorite in their second fight and now finds herself as a plus 120 Underdog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso. He notes Shevchenko is aging at 36 and may carry negative energy from the controversial loss. Grasso is younger and improving, and he sees her capitalizing on Shevchenko's potential emotional state. He also mentions Grasso dropped Shevchenko in the second fight and could finish with a choke or win by decision.

Grasso by decision or late rounds finish with a choke
"I'm going with Alexa Gro shev shenko is just an aging fighter had a moment in the sun... I think she can capitalize more I think she's the more improving she's the younger fighter"
LOSS vs Alexa Grasso
Draw (split) (48–47, 47–48, 47–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexa Grasso 1 84 of 203 41% 262 of 408 1 of 2 50% 1 1 2:39
Valentina Shevchenko 0 80 of 179 44% 199 of 301 4 of 7 57% 1 0 8:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexa Grasso 0 12 of 41 29% 60 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Valentina Shevchenko 0 14 of 40 35% 25 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:20
2 Alexa Grasso 1 28 of 42 66% 86 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Valentina Shevchenko 0 15 of 29 51% 62 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:03
3 Alexa Grasso 0 4 of 15 26% 35 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:12
Valentina Shevchenko 0 9 of 18 50% 40 of 51 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:16
4 Alexa Grasso 0 20 of 49 40% 38 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Valentina Shevchenko 0 19 of 43 44% 31 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:58
5 Alexa Grasso 0 20 of 56 35% 43 of 89 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:30
Valentina Shevchenko 0 23 of 49 46% 41 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexa Grasso 84 of 203 41% 54 of 151 12 of 22 18 of 30 51 of 160 31 of 35 2 of 8
Valentina Shevchenko 80 of 179 44% 61 of 158 6 of 8 13 of 13 67 of 158 6 of 8 7 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexa Grasso 12 of 41 29% 7 of 28 2 of 4 3 of 9 9 of 35 3 of 6 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 14 of 40 35% 9 of 35 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Alexa Grasso 28 of 42 66% 20 of 32 6 of 7 2 of 3 10 of 24 17 of 17 1 of 1
Valentina Shevchenko 15 of 29 51% 9 of 22 0 of 1 6 of 6 7 of 14 1 of 2 7 of 13
3 Alexa Grasso 4 of 15 26% 3 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 3 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 9 of 18 50% 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 3 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Alexa Grasso 20 of 49 40% 13 of 37 2 of 5 5 of 7 11 of 39 9 of 10 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 19 of 43 44% 17 of 41 0 of 0 2 of 2 18 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
5 Alexa Grasso 20 of 56 35% 11 of 43 2 of 5 7 of 8 17 of 47 2 of 2 1 of 7
Valentina Shevchenko 23 of 49 46% 20 of 46 2 of 2 1 of 1 21 of 47 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Valentina Shevchenko despite her recent loss, believing she will wrestle heavy like she did against Maia. He notes her odds are the best since 2017 and compares it to Amanda Nunes getting her belt back. He acknowledges Grasso's skills but thinks Shevchenko's adjustments will lead to victory. He has no bet yet due to PTSD from UFC 293.

"I'm still picking Valentina despite the poor performance against Tyler despite her losing this exact fight just six months ago"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Shevchenko, arguing that she was winning the first fight until a mistake. He notes Shevchenko outlanded Grasso in most rounds and has more tools on the feet. He believes Grasso's takedown defense is still poor and that Shevchenko's experience and skill will prevail. He predicts a dominant decision, 49-46 or 50-45.

dominant decision
"I gotta go shift Janko here I'm gonna take her to win by a pretty dominant decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Cody picks Grasso at plus 140, emphasizing the five-year age difference and Shevchenko's decline. He points out that Grasso won the first round in their first fight, was out-striking Shevchenko, and submitted her after a spinning back kick. He believes the momentum was with Grasso and that Shevchenko's cardio may not hold up. He also notes the 90% rematch stat and says Grasso has a lot of merit.

Grasso wins in round 4 or 5 (mentioned as hedge opportunity); fight goes distance minus 135
"I'm kind of Flippy floppy on this Main Event... I'll probably go with that plus 140 on Gro as well."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi picks Valentina Shevchenko despite acknowledging the historical trend of long-reigning champions losing immediate rematches. He notes that submission losses are easier to recover from than knockouts, and he believes Valentina's decline may be overstated. However, he admits his bitterness over missing the plus-200 line on Grasso influences his pick, and he hopes he is wrong because he would like to see the division move forward with fresh matchups.

missed plus-200 on Grasso, now plus-145; notes buy-low spot on Valentina at minus-170
"I'm gonna go with uh Valentina but I hope I'm wrong"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko had a clear grappling advantage in the first fight, controlling rounds 2 and 3 before getting caught in the fourth. She should make adjustments, trust her striking more to set up takedowns, and bank rounds early. Grasso may have improved takedown defense, but Shevchenko's strength and experience should prevail. I'm hesitant because of the similarity to Usman vs Edwards 2, but I still favor Shevchenko by decision.

"I still see the advantages in shevchenko's corner and I feel like she's going to be strong enough and maybe make the adjustments required... give me chefchenko and new to regain her title this weekend and I think she does …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Paul sides with Grasso as a slight underdog, citing Shevchenko's age (35) and recent vulnerability in fights against Taylor Santos and Jennifer Maia. He notes Grasso's youth (30) and improvement, and mentions a 90% stat where younger challengers who beat an older champion win the rematch. However, he is hesitant because the fight is in Vegas, not Mexico, and he may not bet it.

Fight goes distance minus 135; Shevchenko over 90.5 significant strikes; Shevchenko over 3 takedowns
"I'm going to slide side ever so slight with the underdog... I'll side with the champ ever ever so reluctantly."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Alexa Grasso, having switched from Grasso. He rewatched the first fight and notes Shevchenko was winning on all scorecards before the submission. He believes Shevchenko will focus on grappling and avoid spinning back kicks. He compares it to the Nunes-Pena rematch, suggesting Shevchenko will be more focused. He predicts a 48-47 unanimous decision for Shevchenko.

unanimous decision 48-47
"I'm going with Valentina Chef Shanker"
LOSS vs Alexa Grasso
Submission (face crank) R4 4:34 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexa Grasso 0 87 of 145 60% 167 of 228 4 of 6 66% 0 0 5:24
Valentina Shevchenko 0 59 of 181 32% 182 of 308 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexa Grasso 0 26 of 51 50% 26 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Valentina Shevchenko 0 24 of 65 36% 32 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
2 Alexa Grasso 0 12 of 22 54% 56 of 68 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:02
Valentina Shevchenko 0 7 of 36 19% 60 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Alexa Grasso 0 27 of 32 84% 53 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:22
Valentina Shevchenko 0 15 of 37 40% 70 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Alexa Grasso 0 22 of 40 55% 32 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Valentina Shevchenko 0 13 of 43 30% 20 of 51 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexa Grasso 87 of 145 60% 68 of 121 8 of 12 11 of 12 80 of 133 2 of 7 5 of 5
Valentina Shevchenko 59 of 181 32% 31 of 137 12 of 18 16 of 26 50 of 172 8 of 8 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexa Grasso 26 of 51 50% 14 of 37 5 of 6 7 of 8 25 of 48 1 of 3 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 24 of 65 36% 9 of 45 6 of 7 9 of 13 18 of 59 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alexa Grasso 12 of 22 54% 9 of 19 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 7 of 36 19% 6 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 3 7 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexa Grasso 27 of 32 84% 26 of 30 0 of 1 1 of 1 22 of 27 0 of 0 5 of 5
Valentina Shevchenko 15 of 37 40% 8 of 24 3 of 7 4 of 6 13 of 35 1 of 1 1 of 1
4 Alexa Grasso 22 of 40 55% 19 of 35 2 of 4 1 of 1 22 of 38 0 of 2 0 of 0
Valentina Shevchenko 13 of 43 30% 8 of 35 3 of 4 2 of 4 12 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo is confident in Valentina Shevchenko, stating she is better everywhere and will push Grasso around. He notes that Grasso is not a dangerous fighter and that Shevchenko should have no issues. Angelo sees this as a relief fight for Shevchenko after the Talia Santos fight.

"Valentina's gonna sort of push her around Steamroller she's gonna be bigger stronger have the better striking have the better grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady is confident in Valentina Shevchenko, citing her superior striking and grappling. He notes Grasso has struggled with grappling in the past, and Shevchenko can take her down at will and dominate on the mat. He predicts a third-round TKO for Shevchenko, dismissing the idea that Grasso can pull off an upset.

third round TKO
"give me a Valentina to win this fight give me Valentina to win this fight I'll say third round TKO for Valentina chefchenko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody believes Shevchenko is nearly unbeatable at 125 and that Grasso lacks the grappling to exploit her. He notes Shevchenko's takedown ability and well-rounded game will be too much. He expects a decision win for Shevchenko but won't bet the -700 moneyline; he would parlay it.

Valentina by decision; would parlay but not bet moneyline alone
"minus 700 like no way but I think he chased the Valentino by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Connor is confident Shevchenko wins, citing her ability to control distance and bully opponents in the clinch. He notes Grasso's poor range fighting and lack of feints or timing variation, which will make it easy for Shevchenko to counter or clinch. He believes Grasso's only path is a knockout in the pocket or a submission from her back, both unlikely. He mentions Shevchenko's declining athleticism but says Grasso's stylistic shortcomings are a death sentence.

Mentions Shevchenko opened at -550 and is now -737; Grasso +400 to +506. Implies Shevchenko is a parlay piece.
"It just seems like a death zone for Grasso. I think it looks like a pretty easily winnable fight for Valentina."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Jacob picks Valentina Shevchenko, but notes that Grasso's volume striking could cause problems early. He believes Shevchenko may need to use her wrestling to dominate. Jacob acknowledges a path for Grasso but ultimately sees Shevchenko as the more complete fighter.

"it is a chef shenko play pretty much all the way with all that said"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko is a fast, explosive striker with a good ground game. Grasso is a good striker but has struggled with takedowns. Shevchenko will likely take the fight to the ground and control Grasso, winning a decision or possibly a TKO finish.

"I think that chefchenko is a good enough Striker to remain competitive well to have her moments and the Striking wrong here but I'd be surprised if we don't see shevchenko look to get this fight to the ground"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul picks Shevchenko but prefers the over 4.5 rounds at plus money. He notes Grasso has improved grappling and has never been finished outside of a submission loss to Suarez. He sees the fight going the distance and thinks the over is a solid bet.

Over 4.5 rounds (+120); fight goes to decision
"I've been considering the over four and a half rounds it's like plus 120 plus 125 or even fight goes to decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko, believing her kicks will be the difference. He notes Grasso's boxing is good but she doesn't throw many kicks, and Shevchenko's top game could also be a factor. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm gonna go with Valentina Chef shenko here... I think the kicks are going to be the Difference Maker here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Zane agrees Shevchenko wins, emphasizing that Grasso's lack of distance management and predictable entries will lead to Shevchenko's clinch bullying. He notes Grasso is a good pocket boxer but cannot get there safely, and Shevchenko's takedown defense is weak but Grasso lacks the strength to exploit it. He sees Shevchenko's consistent game plan overwhelming Grasso.

"I think we are probably looking at the first stages of Shevchenko declining... but it still seems like a death zone for Grasso."
WIN vs Taila Santos
Decision (split) (48–47, 47–48, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 77 of 139 55% 234 of 309 3 of 5 60% 1 0 4:15
Taila Santos 0 55 of 102 53% 128 of 180 3 of 3 100% 3 2 8:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 16 62% 35 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
Taila Santos 0 5 of 10 50% 12 of 17 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:51
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 7 of 19 36% 64 of 81 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:09
Taila Santos 0 4 of 7 57% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:40
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 17 of 22 77% 46 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Taila Santos 0 7 of 15 46% 10 of 18 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:21
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 29 of 59 49% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Taila Santos 0 28 of 56 50% 33 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 14 of 23 60% 52 of 63 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:36
Taila Santos 0 11 of 14 78% 42 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 77 of 139 55% 46 of 100 12 of 18 19 of 21 65 of 123 7 of 10 5 of 6
Taila Santos 55 of 102 53% 18 of 58 11 of 15 26 of 29 45 of 89 4 of 5 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 16 62% 5 of 8 2 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 11 4 of 5 0 of 0
Taila Santos 5 of 10 50% 2 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 7 of 19 36% 5 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 1 4 of 5
Taila Santos 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 3
3 Valentina Shevchenko 17 of 22 77% 6 of 11 3 of 3 8 of 8 16 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
Taila Santos 7 of 15 46% 0 of 6 1 of 2 6 of 7 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 29 of 59 49% 20 of 48 6 of 8 3 of 3 27 of 56 2 of 3 0 of 0
Taila Santos 28 of 56 50% 11 of 35 6 of 9 11 of 12 23 of 49 1 of 2 4 of 5
5 Valentina Shevchenko 14 of 23 60% 10 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 4 13 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Taila Santos 11 of 14 78% 2 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 8 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Shevchenko confidently, acknowledging she is the best in the division. He notes Santos is dangerous and the toughest opponent Shevchenko has faced recently, but still believes Shevchenko wins. He mentions the odds are wide but doesn't recommend a bet due to the high price.

"i still think valentina shivchenko wins this fight but there is a world where she doesn't and tyla has some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by TKO, expressing high confidence. He notes that Santos' best wins are against lower-level competition and that she lost to Mara Romero Barela. He believes Shevchenko is superior everywhere and will break Santos down, finishing her mid-to-late in the fight.

win by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Shevchenko to win I'm gonna say Shevchenko actually finishes Santos I think it could be early but I'm kind of lean like mid to late."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody is confident in Shevchenko, citing her elite skills, wrestling advantage, and championship experience. He questions Santos' level of competition and output, noting she hasn't faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to win by decision.

Shevchenko by decision; over 3.5 rounds
"i likely end up going valentina on the top ticket but uh i i do have some hesitancy at this like exact moment"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, dismissing Taila Santos's chances due to her poor performance against Mara Romero Barella. He believes Shevchenko is in her prime and has never been dominated in any facet. He notes that Santos's best win is against Joanne Calderwood, who gets finished repeatedly, and that Santos's nerves against Barella indicate she cannot handle the pressure of fighting Shevchenko. He expects Shevchenko to impose her will and win decisively.

Shevchenko by decision at plus 600 (mentioned in context of Holm fight); not laying minus 600
"I got chefchenko to defend uh her belt but yeah I'm curious to see if uh Tyler Santos can bring the fight to her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko is the better fighter everywhere. Santos has not shown enough to suggest she can compete with Shevchenko's level. Santos struggled to finish lesser opponents and lost to Mara Romero Borella. Shevchenko has fought Amanda Nunes closely and is on another level. The line is too high to bet, but Shevchenko wins easily.

Over 3.5 rounds (-160)
"I just haven't seen anything yet that's going to make me say i don't know valentina isn't going to just do what she normally does."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul is confident in Shevchenko, calling her the most skilled female fighter. He dismisses Santos' resume and believes Shevchenko's wrestling, striking, and cardio are superior. He expects a decision win for the champion.

Shevchenko by decision; over 3.5 rounds
"valentina's focused enough... she's got the wrestling advantage... she's got the striking advantage... shevchenko decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, citing her elite level and experience. He expects Shevchenko to outstrike Santos at range, chopping legs and jabbing. He acknowledges Santos has power and could land some shots, but believes Shevchenko's defense and composure will prevail. He thinks the fight will be competitive but Shevchenko will win clearly. He criticizes the title shot timing for Santos, suggesting she needed another fight.

"i'm going to go valentina shevchenko um i don't mean to have a hot take you know i mean like a shocking news i'm going with valentina chefchenko here"
WIN vs Lauren Murphy
TKO (elbows and punches) R4 4:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 98 of 170 57% 132 of 204 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:04
Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 91 12% 19 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 20 of 39 51% 24 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Lauren Murphy 0 3 of 24 12% 3 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 17 58% 30 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Lauren Murphy 0 1 of 18 5% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 21 of 48 43% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Lauren Murphy 0 5 of 30 16% 6 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 47 of 66 71% 53 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:12
Lauren Murphy 0 2 of 19 10% 2 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 98 of 170 57% 62 of 126 19 of 24 17 of 20 72 of 137 6 of 8 20 of 25
Lauren Murphy 11 of 91 12% 4 of 73 3 of 13 4 of 5 11 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 20 of 39 51% 9 of 24 5 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 3 of 24 12% 2 of 21 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 17 58% 6 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 3
Lauren Murphy 1 of 18 5% 1 of 15 0 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Valentina Shevchenko 21 of 48 43% 9 of 33 6 of 8 6 of 7 20 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 5 of 30 16% 0 of 23 2 of 4 3 of 3 5 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 47 of 66 71% 38 of 56 5 of 6 4 of 4 25 of 38 4 of 6 18 of 22
Lauren Murphy 2 of 19 10% 1 of 14 1 of 4 0 of 1 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting a finish in round three. He also mentions betting on Shevchenko by stoppage in each round to guarantee profit.
"Valentina will go down as one of the best to ever do it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.

fourth round tko
"i'm going to take valenciano to finish lauren murphy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.

over 2.5 rounds (-120), Shevchenko inside the distance
"i think we're all on the same page that she's going to win the fight she can win this fight anywhere she chooses to"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.

"give me valentina i guess the big question is inside the distance or by decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.

Jacob agrees with less less on Monkey Knife Fight. He mentions knockout Kings and might include Shevchenko.
"Chevy's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Valentina Shevchenko

The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.

Over 2.5 rounds at +100; round 4 prop for Shevchenko
"i'm gonna go with chevchenko and i'm gonna call it fourth round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.

over 2.5 rounds (considering)
"breaking news shevchenko is my pick um i think she wins inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.

second round crucifix tko
"second round crucifix tko just like the andraj fight"
TKO (elbows) R2 3:19 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 32 of 39 82% 90 of 97 7 of 7 100% 1 0 5:11
Jéssica Andrade 0 10 of 15 66% 47 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 16 62% 26 of 32 5 of 5 100% 1 0 2:52
Jéssica Andrade 0 8 of 11 72% 31 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 22 of 23 95% 64 of 65 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:19
Jéssica Andrade 0 2 of 4 50% 16 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 32 of 39 82% 27 of 34 3 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 15 5 of 6 18 of 18
Jéssica Andrade 10 of 15 66% 2 of 6 8 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 16 62% 6 of 12 2 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 8 of 11 72% 0 of 2 8 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 5 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 22 of 23 95% 21 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 18
Jéssica Andrade 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Shevchenko to win by fifth-round TKO. He notes Shevchenko's technical striking, cardio, and takedown defense will be key. Andrade is hittable and smaller, and Shevchenko can pick her apart from the outside. He thinks the bigger cage favors Shevchenko and expects a late finish or dominant decision.

Shevchenko by TKO in round 5
"give me chef chanko i'm gonna say she wins by a fifth round tko victory"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody picks Shevchenko but expresses concern about her recent reliance on grappling and low output. He notes Andrade's takedown defense and power but thinks Shevchenko's kickboxing and reach advantage will allow her to pick Andrade apart. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Shevchenko winning, possibly by decision. He also likes the over 4.5 rounds.

Over 4.5 rounds (-110)
"i think chevchenko coming down they're both former 135rs she had the success against amanda nunez who's just one of the best of all time she's got that grappling she's got that ground game she's got that cardio she's got …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel picks Valentina Shevchenko to win inside the distance, believing her technique will override Andrade's power. He notes Andrade is too open to getting hit and that Shevchenko can get the fight to the mat. He expects the fight to end under three rounds.

inside the distance, under three rounds
"i'm gonna go with valentina inside the distance here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

I think Shevchenko is technically superior and will outclass Andrade. She has a diverse striking game and can also take the fight to the ground. Andrade is a brawler with power, but Shevchenko's speed and technique should allow her to pick her apart. I like Shevchenko by decision at +140, and the over 2.5 at -185 is also a solid play as Shevchenko tends to grind out wins.

Shevchenko by decision +140; over 2.5 -185
"i think that uh andraj will have an issue with the uh the speed um the the technical striking abilities of shochenko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul picks Shevchenko to retain, citing her technical striking and reach advantage. He acknowledges Andrade's power and takedown ability but believes Shevchenko's footwork and distance control will be key. He notes the -425 price is steep but expects Shevchenko to win, possibly by decision. He also mentions the over 4.5 rounds as a potential play.

Over 4.5 rounds (-110), Shevchenko by decision
"i think she should pick andrea to part in this spot i don't love the price at minus 425 i do think that this is the riskiest fight for shivchenko in a in a minute but uh shichenko retains her …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko by unanimous decision. He acknowledges Andrade's power and momentum but believes Shevchenko is a bigger, stronger, more technical striker with better cardio. He thinks Andrade will win the first round but Shevchenko will take over in the later rounds, using grappling to neutralize Andrade's offense. He notes Andrade is moving up in weight and may swing too hard early.

"i'm going with valentina shepchenko"
Priscila Cachoeira - Fight History
SCHED vs Chelsea Chandler
13
138 MMA Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Cachoeira but is hesitant, noting that both fighters are on the chopping block and neither has looked good lately. He acknowledges that if Chandler wrestles hard she could win, but on the feet Cachoeira is tough and comes forward with heavy hands. He says he doesn't feel convicted on either side.

"I'm going to take Cachoeira here, but I fully understand that if Chandler comes out there and just starts trying to take her down or push her against the cage for the whole fight, she can absolutely win that."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

AJ picks Priscila Cachoeira as an underdog, believing she will knock out Chelsea Chandler. He notes Chandler looked skinny and chinny in her last loss, while Cachoeira is always aggressive and has knockout power. AJ predicts a KO victory for Cachoeira.

Priscila Cachoeira by KO +260 (explicitly mentioned), Cachoeira KO round 1 +700 (mentioned)
"I think Kachera is knocking her out."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

AJ picks Cachoeira by knockout, citing her heavy hands and Chandler's apparent durability issues after weight cut. He notes Chandler looked skinny at weigh-ins and was knocked out by Joselyn Edwards. AJ expects Cachoeira to land a big shot early, possibly a shovel uppercut, and finish in round one.

Cachoeira by KO; under 2.5 rounds plus 100; Cachoeira first round KO
"I'm going Kachoera knockout. I think she's going to put Chelsea Chandler out. Plus 100 for Kachuera."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler, reasoning that she will use her size and strength to push Priscila Cachoeira against the cage and take her down. He notes that Cachoeira has no ground skills and actively works against herself on the ground. He expects Chandler to win by being the 'Jolly Green Giant' and landing on top, possibly finding a finish.

"Chelsea should win this fight just by being the Jolly Green Giant, landing on top and chilling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira to win by second round knockout. He admits bias but argues that Chelsea Chandler doesn't like getting hit and has poor striking defense, while Cachoeira hits hard and is tough. He worries about Cachoeira's ground game but thinks she can avoid being on her back long enough to land a knockout.

by second round knockout
"I'll take Priscilla by knockout. Why not? You know, I don't think Chelsea Chandler likes getting hit. Priscilla likes getting hit."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Both fighters are chinny and not the best, but Priscila Cachoeira is more aggressive and goes all out for a knockout. Chelsea Chandler has declined since her win over Julia Stoliarenko four years ago, losing to Norma Dumont and Joselyne Edwards. Cachoeira is expected to chin Chandler early.

KO in round 1
"Cashera round one KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira as a dog, noting Chandler's poor weight cuts and suspect chin. He believes Cachoeira's pressure and durability could overwhelm Chandler. He calls it a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money.

"Catcher, is this is this the PRP pick correct? because there's no confidence here. But um it's a 50-50 fight. Was a dog a pass fight? Not take the dog."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Lean picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Priscila Cachoeira is picked but with low confidence. She has power in her hands, but her wrestling is a weakness. Chelsea Chandler should wrestle but may not. The host is unsure if Chandler will implement her game plan or get knocked out. Cachoeira is predictable but could land a knockout.

"I'll go Pasha. We'll see how I feel, you know, later uh in the week. I'm not really confident on either side, though."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cachoeira has better striking power and should be able to stuff Chandler's takedowns. Chandler's wrestling isn't at a level to control Cachoeira. Cachoeira wins a decision, as her power has diminished but she can outpoint Chandler.

"I'm going to take her here. We're going to go Priscilla Caterera. For the first time on the channel, I'm taking Priscilla Catoera to win a mixed martial arts fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Lucrative James picks Chelsea Chandler reluctantly, citing her grappling upside as the deciding factor. He acknowledges both fighters are aging and the fight is low-level, but believes Chandler can win via KO ground and pound in round 2. He notes Priscila Cachoeira's power and experience but thinks Chandler's ability to win on the feet or ground gives her an edge.

Chelsea Chandler via KO (ground and pound) round 2; suggests 'doesn't go to decision' prop
"I got to pick Chelsea here. ... Chelsea Chandler via KO ground and pound round two is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Chandler's grappling is the key; she should be able to take Cachoeira down and dominate from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but poor takedown defense and is 37 years old. Chandler likely finishes by submission, and the under 2.5 rounds at +100 is a good bet.

Chandler by submission; under 2.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm going to lean submission for Chandler. I think she'll end up being too strong for Cash Aera, and then I think she'll end up being too slick on the mat."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul picks Chandler but is hesitant, noting she should use wrestling to control Cachoeira. He acknowledges Cachoeira's toughness and Chandler's weight issues. He is not betting the fight but leans Chandler on fight IQ.

"I'm picking Chelsea Chandler. I just I can't do this Cab game anymore."
LOSS vs Klaudia Syguła
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Klaudia Syguła 0 151 of 335 45% 159 of 349 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 99 of 219 45% 102 of 222 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Klaudia Syguła 0 61 of 136 44% 62 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 34 of 71 47% 34 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Klaudia Syguła 0 40 of 94 42% 40 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 33 of 71 46% 34 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Klaudia Syguła 0 50 of 105 47% 57 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 0 32 of 77 41% 34 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Klaudia Syguła 151 of 335 45% 121 of 288 24 of 40 6 of 7 150 of 332 1 of 3 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 99 of 219 45% 72 of 188 8 of 11 19 of 20 99 of 216 0 of 1 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Klaudia Syguła 61 of 136 44% 48 of 123 11 of 11 2 of 2 60 of 134 1 of 2 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 34 of 71 47% 21 of 57 4 of 4 9 of 10 34 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Klaudia Syguła 40 of 94 42% 30 of 73 7 of 17 3 of 4 40 of 94 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 33 of 71 46% 26 of 63 2 of 3 5 of 5 33 of 70 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Klaudia Syguła 50 of 105 47% 43 of 92 6 of 12 1 of 1 50 of 104 0 of 1 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 32 of 77 41% 25 of 68 2 of 4 5 of 5 32 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sygula (-140); Cachoeira (+115)

Round 1
Fights? Fights. Let’s skip the usual pleasantries where we would normally yammer on about the UFC-slash-Meta Apex cards, the overall perceived decline in quality of events and get right to it. We have 13 fights to cover, with six on the main card even though five seems like a more reasonable number. Two bantamweights who cannot afford another defeat toe the line in the card opener, where Sygula (7-2, 1-1 UFC) will try to go “Walking Dead” on “Zombie Girl” Cachoeira (13-7, 5-7 UFC). Referee Keith Peterson takes charge of the cage to start what hopefully is a nonsense-free evening, and the ladies clap hands together.
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They get right after it, with Cachoeira marching forward and busting Sygula in the face. The Polish woman fires right back, but her right eye turns a shade red after a few impacts. Cachoeira sits down on her right hand, headhunting and even managing to open a cut on the right cheek of her foe’s face about 45 seconds in. They take turns lashing out at one another, letting go with short bursts of combinations largely all upstairs. Cachoeira gets the better of them, but she too is showing some redness on her face from taking fire. Cachoeira leaps forward with a right hand, and Sygula dances out of the way and jabs her in the body with a kick. She follows that with an overhand right, and Cachoeira frowns and resets. The Brazilian counters with a right hand when absorbing a blow or two, as Sygula regularly throws punches in bunches. Cachoeira kicks the lead leg and then releases a hard right to the body, and Sygula slips to the side and scores her own calf kick.
Cachoeira puts some mustard into a big right hand, briefly shaking her foe up but not slowing her one iota. Sygula is quick to get right back being speedy combinations, and she busts open Cachoeira’s nose with a volley. Cachoeira thumps the lead leg of her adversary with a kick, and Sygula’s constant head shots are marking up the Brazilian consistently. Cachoeira’s own offense starts to diminish to single efforts, while Sygula strings them together to decent effect. It results in a brief bull-matador situation when Cachoeira swings for the fences while Sygula is more content to touch and build on her successes. One instance of significant success for the Polish fighter comes when she jabs and opens up an overhand right that smears blood all over the face of “Zombie Girl,” assisting her in embodying her nickname. Sygula touches her with the jab and nearly fills the room with uppercuts, landing a heavy one that jacks Cachoeira’s jaw and chaining a few swings after it until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula

Round 2
When Sygula is about to offer a glove touch to start the round, she pulls it back when seeing that Cachoeira is recoiling her right hand about to fire it. Sygula pecks and pokes with her jab early, forcing some swelling on Cachoeira’s left cheek and being the much quicker of the two. Cachoeira sells out with a charging right, and Sygula is two feet away before the Brazilian can swing her fist. It does not take long for the peppering jab of the Polish woman to bloody up Cachoeira’s nose, but as she stands and trades, she gains confidence and starts to stand in the pocket further. Cachoeira welcomes this and busts her in the chops with a huge right hand, and Sygula has to take a quick count of her teeth and gets back to her preferred distance strategy of staying out of range. She looses a front kick to the sternum, and gets countered as her mouthpiece flops out of her mouth. Peterson allows her to replace it without issue, and they two get back to it within seconds. Seeing her kick game is working, Sygula pushes out further front kicks to the midsection, and this long distance runaround works until Cachoeira pins her down and beans her with two clubbing fists.
Cachoeira’s blows have marked up Sygula’s face fairly quickly, as both ladies are leaking from their noses and more than willing to trade. Sygula connects with a few punches and grazes with a knee, and Cachoeira stumbles off-balance and falls to the floor. Sygula lets her back up so she can stick that jab in her face, and she allows Cachoeira to load up so she can prod away with speedy, straight counters. Cachoeira puts big arc into her swings, while Sygula’s numbers like dwarf hers and the damage shows. Cachoeira’s nose is dripping crimson fluid on the mat as she tries to chase down the woman who once trained out of FitFabric Shark Top Team, and she pays it no mind and continues to swing for the bleachers. She gets Sygula’s attention with her reckless charges and hurled strikes, but she is paying for it much of the time. As Cachoeira coils back a big right, the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula

Round 3
After 10 minutes of slugging and getting drilled in the face, Cachoeira is all smiles for the last period. Her smile walks directly into a right hand from her opponent, and although she counters, it is her nose that immediately starts to bleed from the connect. Sygula’s jab stifles Cachoeira, forcing the Brazilian to whiff while she is having target practice out there. Cachoeira looks for scooping uppercuts and one-hitter quitters, but Sygula is able to see them coming and stay beyond the end of them. Cachoeira calms herself down to stick out a few straight punches that actually score, but it does not take long for her to have the right hand lobbed and whizzing past her foe’s face. Cachoeira sinks in a low kick, strafing to the left to avoid the expected counter, and she clips Sygula with a hooking left hand on the way out. Sygula ducks a whopper of a right hand and pins her jab in the Brazilian’s face, with swelling and blood making her look every bit of her “Zombie Girl” signature.
When Cachoeira lands another low kick, Sygula reaches down for it, signaling she is not liking taking that kick as she goes for a feeble takedown shot. Cachoeira pushes her away and keeps slugging, and she dings Sygula a few times but takes her fair share of offense as well. Sygula brings up body kicks and jabs the horror show of the Brazilian’s nose, and Cachoeira continues to move ever forward. Sygula uses this against her by intercepting her with jabs and front kicks, and Cachoeira starts to get desperate and run through the offense. She expects that she will get hit, but hopes that her power will be the difference maker. Sygula backpedals in a hurry, with Cachoeira emptying her energy tank with a constant stream of telegraphed overhand rights that would make Roy Nelson blush. Sygula trips when looking to escape, and she uses her upkicks to defend her from the worst of what Cachoeira lobs at her towards the end. Cachoeira drops down a big punch or two while leaking blood all over Sygula, and the match comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira (29-28 Sygula)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)

The Official Result
Klaudia Sygula def. Priscila Cachoeira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Angelo picks Klaudia Syguła, calling her the better fighter skill-wise. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is powerful but has a negative striking differential and fades. He thinks Syguła can avoid early chaos and take over as Cachoeira fades. He disagrees with the odds, saying this is a 50/50 fight and should be -110. He warns that if Syguła tries to trade overhands early, it could be bad.

"I'm going to pick Sigula here. I don't agree with these odds. To me, this is minus 110 minus 110. Like, I get minus 135 isn't crazy, but this is as 50/50 as you're going to get on this card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira because he believes the fight will be a striking match, where Cachoeira's brawling style and power give her an edge. He notes Syguła's ground game is bad and Cachoeira won't have to worry about takedowns. He expects Cachoeira to win by knockout, as she is a dog who comes forward and hits harder.

by knockout
"I'm going to go Priscilla. I think she wins this fight probably by knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Cody agrees, highlighting Cachoeira's lack of defense and durability. He notes Syguła's ability to land volume and avoid damage. Cody expects Syguła to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I will take Sigula, but you know, it's women's MMA."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Connor picks Syguła, but with low confidence. He notes that Syguła can throw long straight strikes but gets messy under pressure, and that Cachoeira might be at the end of the line. He says 'who cares' and picks Syguła because 'whatever'.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I guess I'll take Segula. Yeah. We'll just say that maybe Cashaware has reached the end of the line. She's 37 years old."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Lucrative James picks Klaudia Syguła to win. He believes Syguła is younger and improving, while Cachoeira is aging and has poor jiu-jitsu. James expects Syguła to take Cachoeira down and expose her grappling weaknesses, possibly securing a submission or dominant decision.

"My pick will be Claudia Sigula here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

The host picks Syguła but with very low confidence, noting she is not trustworthy at minus 150. He expects Syguła to use footwork and pivoting to avoid Cachoeira's power, then look for takedowns in later rounds. He believes Syguła's active submission game could lead to a finish, but he is more confident in the fight ending inside the distance rather than a specific winner.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with the pole. I think Shigula gets the submission, but very low confidence. I would rather take the uh violent spot instead."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Paul picks Klaudia Syguła, citing Cachoeira's declining durability and poor defense. He notes Syguła's youth and volume, and expects her to outwork Cachoeira. Paul admits he hopes Cachoeira wins but bets against her.

"I think I think we're at the end of the line for catch a beating. And the pick for me is Claudia Sigula."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Priscila Cachoeira over Klaudia Syguła (referred to as Claudia Gadelha, likely a mistake). He notes Cachoeira is more masculine with more knockout power, while Syguła is technical but has losses. He acknowledges Cachoeira has lost many fights but believes she will easily win.

"I'm going to go with Priscilla Cachoeira getting this one done a lot more masculine a lot more experience against good opponents."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Zane picks Cachoeira, reasoning that Syguła gets messy under pressure and will likely brawl, which favors Cachoeira. He notes that Cachoeira is 37 and has been finished in three of her last four, but still thinks she can win a brawl. Zane is not confident.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I think I'm going to pick Cashaware though."
KO R1 2:24 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joselyne Edwards 1 26 of 44 59% 26 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joselyne Edwards 1 26 of 44 59% 26 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joselyne Edwards 26 of 44 59% 16 of 29 5 of 10 5 of 5 24 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 2
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 50 36% 15 of 47 1 of 1 2 of 2 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joselyne Edwards 26 of 44 59% 16 of 29 5 of 10 5 of 5 24 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 2
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 50 36% 15 of 47 1 of 1 2 of 2 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Joselyne Edwards
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Edwards (-300); Cachoeira (+250)

Round 1
With the division wide open, it is not unconscionable to suggest that the victor here tonight could be a few wins away from a crack at gold. Edwards (15-6, 6-4 UFC) is currently the one of the two who is riding a win streak, although the bantamweight still struggles to make weight and initially missed before coming back an hour later to hit 136. She battles controversial ex-flyweight Cachoeira (13-6, 5-6 UFC), a woman who many believe should have been released from her contract after gouging Gillian Robertson’s eyes on the way to getting submitted. Nevertheless, they do battle with referee Herb Dean standing by. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Cachoeira takes to the center of the cage, where she swats her hands out to try to find her target. The taller, longer Edwards is able to land jabs on her and the occasional low kick. Cachoeira drives home an uppercut that knocks Edwards back, and she follows with a left hook. Cachoeira hammers the front leg with a kick that stumbles Edwards, who shoots for a takedown. Cachoeira pushes off and pokes her opponent in the eye. Dean calls time, and Edwards takes 30 seconds to clear her vision. When they resume, both ladies lob hammers at one another, and it is Cachoeira who lands cleaner as she clips the Panamanian in a salvo of fists. Cachoeira stands in the pocket and bangs, taking away the reach advantage of her and marking her up with uppercuts. Edwards wings a left hand over the top, and they nail one another with hard left hooks.
Edwards, the larger and stronger of the two, rips a right hand and then a ferocious left that shakes Cachoeira to her core. Cachoeira stands still, frozen in time, until she slumps back to the mat with her hands at her side. While her eyes may be open, they are closed the moment Edwards dives at her and detonates a few right hands on the Brazilian’s chin.
Dean sprints in to call a halt to the bludgeoning, and the frazzled Cachoeira switches back on and grips hold of the closest thing she can find. That happens to be Dean’s leg, who has to pull the dazed former flyweight off of him. That makes three in a row for the UFC’s ranked bantamweight, who says she has finally figured things out and is ready to make some moves.

The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Priscila Cachoeira R1 2:24 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards as a technical striker with good kickboxing and range management. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is a powerful brawler with heavy pressure but gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks Joselyne's ability to shoot takedowns and manage range with kicks will get her the win, but he doesn't love the 2-to-1 odds and may only bet if odds tighten.

Odds comment: not loving the 2-to-1 odds, will keep an eye on tightening.
"I'm a big Joselyn supporter... I think Jeline is going to get the win here. I'm not loving the two to one odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Big Brady is confident in Joselyne Edwards, noting her recent improvements training with Valentina Shevchenko. He highlights Edwards' takedown ability and ground game, which he believes will exploit Cachoeira's lack of takedown defense and submission defense. Brady expects Edwards to fight smart, take the fight to the ground, and find a submission. He predicts a third-round submission for Edwards.

third round submission
"I'm going to take Jaws Edwards here. I think she's going to win this fight by third round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The host notes Edwards' growing confidence and back-to-back finishes, expecting her to take a grapple-heavy approach to avoid Cachoeira's berserker striking. He predicts a submission victory under two and a half rounds.

submission, under 2.5 rounds
"I think that trend continues this weekend as she takes a grapple heavy approach to stay away from the berserker striking style of Cashua. And I think that'll eventually lead to a Edwards submission victory under two and a half …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, mainly because Priscila Cachoeira took the fight on short notice. He notes Edwards is underrated with improving striking and grappling, while Cachoeira has taken a lot of damage and has scar tissue. He predicts a close 29-28 decision win for Edwards.

"I'm going with Joselyn Edwards. Uh mainly because Priscilla Kakawera took this fight on short notice."
WIN vs Josiane Nunes
KO R1 2:46 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josiane Nunes 0 31 of 67 46% 31 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 1 37 of 76 48% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josiane Nunes 0 31 of 67 46% 31 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Priscila Cachoeira 1 37 of 76 48% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josiane Nunes 31 of 67 46% 17 of 49 7 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 37 of 76 48% 31 of 70 4 of 4 2 of 2 37 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josiane Nunes 31 of 67 46% 17 of 49 7 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Priscila Cachoeira 37 of 76 48% 31 of 70 4 of 4 2 of 2 37 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Josiane Nunes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nunes (-185), Cachoeira (+154)

Round 1
Keeping to the women’s weight categories, bantamweights take center stage next in a must-win for either lady. Stout, power-punching Nunes (10-3, 3-2 UFC) has dropped two straight, while Cachoeira (12-6, 4-6 UFC) should have been released with prejudice after repeatedly gouging
Gillian Robertson
’s eyes in 2021. One of these two struggling fighters has to win, and referee Chris Tognoni will know first who that is. They touch gloves before getting down to business, and Cachoeira keeps a wide stance as she walks to the middle of the Octagon and punches Nunes square in the face. Nunes loves this idea, and she does the same. The fight immediately devolves into an all-offense fist frenzy, where the two countrywoman blast one another with unguarded power punches. They trade blows without concern for health or well-being, but as the strikes continue to mount, it is the fiery Nunes who is getting the worst of it. Nunes shoots for a desperate double after getting stung, and Cachoeira shuts it down and backs her off with a one-two. Nunes changes things up with a couple heavy low kicks, and she uses the leg kicks to try to open up one to the head. The more compact Nunes cannot quite get her foot up high enough, so she settles for brawling. Cachoeira tags Nunes, Nunes swings back, and the pendulum keeps swinging. With more range on her side, Cachoeira is able to occasionally land and circle away. Nunes keeps her guard up after taking a few especially damaging blows, and she rushes in with a swarm of fists.
Cachoeira dances out of the way, bounces off the fence and plants a one-two on the mug. Seeing that Nunes is stunned, “Zombie Girl” opens up with a monstrous uppercut that completely separates Nunes from her senses. “Josi” hits the ground on her face like a sack of bricks, and Cachoeira knows her work her is done and strides away
, pounding her chest and raising her arms in the air. It takes a couple seconds for Nunes to come to, and Tognoni has to let her know that she got knocked the heck out. The night is two for two in sweet knockouts from the ladies, and post-fight bonus checks could already be in the mail.

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira
def.
Josiane Nunes
R1 2:46 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Angelo picks Josiane Nunes over Priscila Cachoeira. He notes both are similar power-punchers, but Nunes hits harder, is tougher, and doesn't absorb as many strikes. He suggests the under 2.5 rounds as a potential bet since Cachoeira could get finished.

Under 2.5 rounds
"josean nunz should win this fight she hits a little harder she's a little tougher she's a little more solid she doesn't get hit with seven significant strikes per minute so josean Nunes is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Big Brady picks Josiane Nunes but with very low confidence, stating he would never bet on this fight. He acknowledges Priscila Cachoeira's toughness and durability but notes she absorbs a lot of strikes (43% striking defense) and is very hittable. Brady thinks Nunes is the better fighter, younger, and will land more significant shots, possibly hurting Cachoeira. However, he does not trust either fighter and expects a competitive brawl. He predicts Nunes wins by decision, calling it a potential Fight of the Night.

Nunes by decision
"I'm going Nunes here but I would never in a million years bet on this fight... give me Nunes by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Eric McConico as a dog, citing Cody Brundage's tendency to quit and his uncoachable nature. He notes that Brundage has low volume and poor cardio, while McConico has a deep gas tank and can take over late. He believes McConico can survive early rounds and win by decision or late finish.

"I'm going to take McConno. I'm just going to bite down."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host leans with Cachoeira, citing she has more tools in the shed, especially in striking, and her durability is good. He expects her to land nasty strikes and win on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with cashara as I believe she has a little bit more tools in the shed especially when it comes to the Striking R usually her durability is quite good too and I look for her to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks McConico, noting that Brundage has a history of quitting and is moving up to 205, which may affect his cardio. He believes McConico's body work and volume will wear on Brundage. He sees value in the dog price and expects McConico to win if he can avoid an early knockout.

"I can't bet Brundage either. So, this is what this is why I'm going to take McConno. I'm just going to bite down."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Josiane Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Josiane Nunes, describing her as a 'menacing little Goblin' with dangerous punching power. He expects her to either knock out Priscila Cachoeira or beat her down over three rounds. He criticizes Cachoeira's chin and recent losses, including to Molly McCann, and notes she missed weight against Robertson. He doesn't see Cachoeira effectively outgrappling Nunes, so he's confident in Nunes getting the win.

"I'm gonna go with josian Nunes she's just a menacing little Goblin really really dangerous stuff um I reckon she'll go out there and if not Chomp a finger off of Priscilla kakera probably take her out with some big …"
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 4:21 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 93 of 120 77% 326 of 398 2 of 5 40% 3 0 11:25
Priscila Cachoeira 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 32 of 43 74% 138 of 173 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 11 36% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1 34 of 40 85% 110 of 129 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:38
Priscila Cachoeira 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 27 of 37 72% 78 of 96 1 of 4 25% 1 0 2:11
Priscila Cachoeira 0 18 of 34 52% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 93 of 120 77% 84 of 109 6 of 8 3 of 3 23 of 34 2 of 3 68 of 83
Priscila Cachoeira 24 of 50 48% 19 of 44 3 of 4 2 of 2 20 of 45 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 32 of 43 74% 32 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 31 of 40
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 34 of 40 85% 33 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 32 of 38
Priscila Cachoeira 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 27 of 37 72% 19 of 27 5 of 7 3 of 3 20 of 29 2 of 3 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 18 of 34 52% 16 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 31 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-395), Cachoeira (+310)

Round 1
Jasudavicius will look to get the host country in the win column against Brazil’s Cachoeira, in a fight that was moved from 125 to 135 pounds apparently at Cachoeira's request. Referee Matt Rocca is the third person in the cage. The ersatz bantamweights set up in matching orthodox stances, and after a moment of cautious feeling-out, Cachoeira lands a sweeping hook. Jasudavicius steps in and takes Cachoeira down easily, dumping her onto her back near the fence. Jasudavicius sets up in the Brazilian’s half guard and rains down hammerfists from above. Cachoeira turns to the side and Jasudavicius takes the back with a single hook, then flattens her out with both hooks. Jasudavicius throws big punches to the head from back mount as the referee looks on closely. Cachoeira turns to her back, giving up full mount. Jasudavicius keeps throwing punches. Cachoeira manages to block a few with her arms, but most are getting through with varying degrees of impact. Ninety seconds left and Jasudavicius is in total control, thrashing the Brazilian with both hands. Cachoeira doesn’t even seem to be doing anything to escape the position, though she traps the left hand of Jasudavicius with her right arm, briefly slowing the assault. In the final 30 seconds, the pace slows, but Cachoeira remains flat on her back with Jasudavicius in full mount, throwing punches. The horn sounds on as one-sided a full round as you’ll see all year.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 2
Cachoeira, apparently not having learned her lesson, charges straight at Jasudavicius to open Round 2. Cachoeira lands a low kick and gets countered over the top with a right hand that drops her in the middle of the Octagon. Jasudavicius dives into half guard and resumes raining down punches and elbows. Jasudavicius moves to side control, then to mount, while keeping Cachoeira on the defensive with a steady stream of ground-and-pound. Cachoeira locks her arms behind Jasudavicius’ back, trying to control her posture, and Jasudavicius slides to side control, then places a knee on the belly of Cachoeira. Halfway into the round, Jasudavicius locks up a brabo choke from top position. Cachoeira’s hand hovers, appearing on the point of tapping, but she survives. Jasudavicius adjusts her position and attacks with the choke again. It looks very tight, but there is no tap forthcoming. Sixty seconds to go and Jasudavicius releases the choke, takes mount and goes right back to dropping elbows. Cachoeira is in survival mode, weakly trying to block the offense coming from the pissed-off Canadian. The horn sounds and we have a “Beatdown of the Year” candidate in the works here, folks.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Cachoeira flicks out the jab once, twice. She changes stance and lands a left hand. Jasudavicius tries a double-leg takedown but Cachoeira manages to stay upright. Jasudavicius comes forward for another takedown and is met with a right hand that knocks her down off-balance. Cachoeira’s hands are at her waist, but she is landing punches and has thus far fought off both of Jasudavicius’ takedown attempts. Third time is the charm, however, as Jasudavicius hauls her down on her third try and moves instantly to side control, then to a mounted crucifix, there she begins dropping leather. Jasudavicius pivots to almost a north-south position, near to an inverted choke setup, but gives it up and goes back to dropping punches and elbows from top position. A minute left and Jasudavicius is basically sitting on Cachoeira’s head, knocking the cashews out of her with body punches.
Out of nowhere, Jasudavicius slaps on a modified, mounted guillotine choke and cranks. The tap comes in seconds, capping off 14 minutes of one-way traffic.
Wow.

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 4:21 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is extremely confident in Jasudavicius, calling her his most confident pick on the card. He highlights her wrestling background, pressure, and ability to take down opponents, noting that Cachoeira is vulnerable to wrestlers. He believes Jasudavicius will dominate via takedowns and control, and considers her at minus 400 to be great value.

Parlay piece; great value at minus 400
"this is my most confident pick on the card just straight up and it's Jasmine"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius due to her wrestling base and physical strength. He notes that Cachoeira struggles against wrestlers and is helpless on her back. He expects Jasudavicius to take her down repeatedly and win a decision. He also mentions Cachoeira's history of cheating but doesn't think it will matter.

decision
"give me Jasmine Jazz The Vicious to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and pace. He thinks she will mix in takedowns and control the fight, avoiding a brawl. He notes Cachoeira's vulnerability to wrestling and expects a clear decision or late stoppage for Jasudavicius.

"I think she'll utilize both things to beat Jasmine... a clear-cut decision or a late stoppage."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Jasudavicius is relentless with takedowns and physical, while Cachoeira has power and will cheat. He expects Jasudavicius to dominate on top and win a decision or get a finish, but acknowledges Cachoeira's threat on the feet.

"I'm gonna go Jasmine Jaz deicious here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Jasudavicius vs Cachoeira.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

I fully expect Jasudavicius to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then dominate with her wrestling. She has great scrambles and control from top position. However, I'm not 100% sold on her getting a finish, as Cachoeira might show enough resistance to grind out a decision. The moneyline at -370 is chalky but I feel the advantage is so far in Jasudavicius's favor that I might as well throw it into a parlay. I see this as a shoo-in spot for her to be dominant with her wrestling.

parlay, decision victory
"I fully expect Jaz de visus to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then it all depends on will the fighter that normally does not get finishes be dominant enough on the mat that she can …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira as a sentimental underdog, having bet her at +330. He hopes for a brawl and a KO, but acknowledges Jasudavicius is the more likely winner. He admits it's a heart pick.

"I'm not going to let cab fight in my country and not have at least a little ticket for it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her higher level of competition and technical skill compared to Priscila Cachoeira. He notes Jasudavicius's win over Miranda Maverick and her durability, while acknowledging Cachoeira's power advantage. He also mentions Jasudavicius's reach advantage and the home crowd factor in Canada.

"I am going to go of Jasmine Juda vicious I think she's lost to better opponents than Priscilla kakua"
Submission (armbar) R3 2:11 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 51 70% 105 of 132 3 of 9 33% 1 0 8:54
Priscila Cachoeira 0 11 of 23 47% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 25 64% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:29
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 11 of 16 68% 43 of 56 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:48
Priscila Cachoeira 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 10 90% 16 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:37
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 51 70% 23 of 37 8 of 8 5 of 6 16 of 29 2 of 2 18 of 20
Priscila Cachoeira 11 of 23 47% 7 of 18 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 25 64% 9 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 9 of 11
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 11 of 16 68% 7 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4
Priscila Cachoeira 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 9 of 10 90% 7 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)

Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.

odds comment: -315 is crazy, she just took your money
"Miranda Maverick is the better fighter here Miranda should win super low confidence in that pick I'm spending absolutely no money on this and you shouldn't either minus 315 is crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.

second round submission
"I like Miranda Maverick to win this fight by sub I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.

"I grabbed it at plus 270"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.

under 2.5 rounds at -115
"I think Miranda Maverick gets her down and submits her just like Jillian Robertson did"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.

inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm taking Miranda Maverick to win inside the distance under two and a half not a bad spot either"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.

"why not take that plus money flyer"
TKO (punches) R1 1:05 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Ariane Lipski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lipski (-195), Cachoeira (+165)

Round 1
This is another rescheduled fight from last week’s event, with both women moving up a division to keep the bout intact. After a rough start to her UFC tenure, Brazil’s Cachoeira is building momentum with three wins in her last four outings. A former KSW champ, Lipski has been up and down since signing with the Las Vegas-based promotion. Herb Dean is in charge of the contest. Lipski catches Cachoeira with a counter right. Cachoeira lands a right of her own. “Zombie Girl” moves forward to force the brawl she desires and Lipski obliges. That turns out to be the wrong decision, as a left hook from Cachoeira backs up “The Violence Queen.” Cachoeira forces the issue, landing more shots.
Lipski is firing back but leaving herself exposed, and eventually the onslaught from Cachoeira drops her opponent — puncutated by a right to the chin. Cachoeira smells blood, and a barrage of punches and hammerfists on the canvas on a defenseless Lipski brings the show to a close.

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ariane Lipski via TKO (Punches) R1 1:05
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Angelo switched his pick from Lipski to Cachoeira due to Lipski's weight cut issues and medical problems. He notes Cachoeira is the more dangerous fighter with heavy pressure and power, and Lipski may not be at 100% after cutting weight twice in a short period.

"i'm full on switching my pick i'm going priscilla cachera here she was always the more dangerous fighter in this matchup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Big Brady picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) to win by first-round submission. He notes that Cachoeira absorbs an absurd 7.91 significant strikes per minute with 45% striking defense, calling her the definition of blocking punches with her face. Lipski hits hard and has a good submission game, and Cachoeira has been submitted twice in the UFC. Brady believes Lipski will take the fight down and submit her easily in the first round.

first round submission
"i think lipski takes the path of release resistance get this fight down to the mat and submits catch aware in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Cody picks Lipski, criticizing Cachoeira's technique and durability. He notes Cachoeira missed weight and had lingering COVID symptoms, which are bad signs. Cody thinks Lipski is better standing and in the clinch, and he cannot bet Cachoeira.

"there's just no world that exists that i want to bet priscilla cachuera it just does it's not happening"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira, having already bet her at +150 and a round three prop at 20-1. He acknowledges she missed weight and had COVID issues but still believes she can win. Paul is sticking with his bet despite the line moving against him.

Cachoeira round three +2000; Cachoeira moneyline +150
"i'm already on catch awara plus 150 the market is moving against me i'm already on catch aware uh 20 to one in round three"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

The host picks Ariane Lipski (Ariane da Silva) over Priscila Cachoeira, citing Cachoeira's weak UFC wins and losses to fighters like Molly McCann and Luana Carolina. He expects Lipski to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission in the first or second round, referencing Lipski's previous dominant submission win over Luana Carolina who also beat Cachoeira.

submission in first or second round
"i can see ariana lipski getting this one to the ground and finding herself a submission victory in the first or second round"
WIN vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Priscila Cachoeira 0 170 of 375 45% 171 of 376 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ji Yeon Kim 0 102 of 218 46% 102 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Priscila Cachoeira 0 31 of 83 37% 31 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
2 Priscila Cachoeira 0 54 of 128 42% 54 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Priscila Cachoeira 0 85 of 164 51% 86 of 165 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ji Yeon Kim 0 52 of 99 52% 52 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Priscila Cachoeira 170 of 375 45% 151 of 351 9 of 12 10 of 12 167 of 367 3 of 8 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 102 of 218 46% 78 of 185 20 of 28 4 of 5 91 of 205 11 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Priscila Cachoeira 31 of 83 37% 22 of 72 2 of 3 7 of 8 31 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 18 of 42 42% 13 of 36 2 of 3 3 of 3 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Priscila Cachoeira 54 of 128 42% 48 of 120 4 of 5 2 of 3 54 of 127 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 32 of 77 41% 20 of 59 11 of 17 1 of 1 30 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Priscila Cachoeira 85 of 164 51% 81 of 159 3 of 4 1 of 1 82 of 157 3 of 7 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 52 of 99 52% 45 of 90 7 of 8 0 of 1 43 of 88 9 of 11 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ji Yeon Kim vs. Priscila Cachoeira

Round 1
Keith Peterson will oversee this clash of women’s flyweights. Kim dodges a massive overhand and lands a counter. Cachoeira is already swinging for the fences. A Kim jab counters a low kick. Cachoeira with a kick to her foe’s lead leg. Kim follows a leg kick with a combination, but it’s just out of range. Another inside leg kick lands for Kim. They trade briefly in the pocket and both fighters land significant shots. A left hook lnads for Cachoeira, but Kim fires back with a combination. Cahoeira is swinging wildly, pursuing her opponent. Kim angles out and lands a right hand. A jab lands for Kim, who avoids her foe’s follow-up. Km with a couple inside leg kicks and Cachoeira shots for a takedown before the horn. Kim is down to a knee but stands before the end of the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira

Round 2
Kim opens with a one-two. Kim counters an overhand right by Cachoeira, who steps in with a left hook that connects. A straight right snaps Cachoeira’s head back. A right cross finds the mark for Cachoeira. Kim sticks her jab but misses a right hand. A right hand backs up Cachoeira briefly. Kim with a counter left hook. Cachoeira tries to force a brawl but Kim wisely angles out of danger without taking too much damage. Kim goes back to pumping her jab, moving in and out. The flyweights trade low kicks. Another jab connects for Kim. Kim counters after a wild right from Cachoeira. The Brazilian lands a crisp jab. Cachoeira moves forward, swinging away, but she’s missing the mark. Cachoeira pressues and lands a right, but Kim tags her with a combination. They trade in close quarters, but Kim is still using her jab effectively at range.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim

Round 3
Kim with a nice three-punch combo to start. Cachoeira forces a brawl and they’re swinging wildly in the pocket. Kim connects during the exchange and Cachoeira is stunned. Kim inexplicably forces a tie-up with her dazed opponent. They separate in relatively short order and are back in the center of the cage. Kim seems to be landing more and more during the wild exchanges, while Cachoeira’s big movements are coming up empty. Kim tags Cachoeira with a few jabs, then eats a right hand. More jabs from Kim, and Cachoeira’s face is marked up. Cachoeira walks right into another jab, but she does step in and land a right. A solid right sends Cachoeira backward momentarily. Kim with another jab and then a right hand. A one-two and then a clean right tags Cachoeira. Cachoeira is unfazed, and she’s lunging forward with elbows. One of those lands and cuts Kim on her cheek, but Cachoeira is eating punches in bunches for her efforts. Cachoeira has decides to throw only elbows, and quite a few are landing. The Brazilian measures a right haymaker and connects near the fence. They are just brawling in a phone both, both trading heavy punches. Cachoeira marches forward, landing a pair of jumping knees. A standing elbow on the break lands for Cachoeira, and that one also cuts Kim. A spirited ending for Cachoeira, who appeared dead in the water earlier in the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ji Yeon Kim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Big Brady picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a seven-inch reach advantage and throws high volume, while Cachoeira absorbs 6.97 significant strikes per minute with terrible defense. He calls Cachoeira 'ketchup cheating' and says she is very hittable. Brady thinks Kim is more defensively sound and will outwork Cachoeira, though he acknowledges both fighters are low level and the fight is on the main card surprisingly.

Kim by decision
"I gotta go with um jinyoung kim i guess i think the seven inches is huge she's the more defensively sound at least with kim she's not going to block punches with her face"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody leans toward Cachoeira as a dog, noting her pressure and power could overwhelm Kim, who lacks takedown ability. He mentions Kim's reach advantage but doubts her power to keep Cachoeira off. Cody calls it a 'dog or pass' fight and suggests Cachoeira inside the distance at +400 as a possible bet.

Cachoeira inside distance +400
"cab inside the distance like plus 400. that may be something"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Daniel Levi picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a reach and volume advantage, and that she has been training in Vegas to avoid jet lag. Levi is concerned that Kim's fights sometimes play out too close, but believes her durability and technical boxing will overcome Cachoeira's power. He mentions Cachoeira is predictable and lacks ground game.

"i think that jion kim lands the more volume on her picks her apart and wins this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

The host leans with Kim due to her more refined striking and better technique, expecting her to stay on the back foot and land jabs and one-twos while avoiding Cachoeira's power shots. He notes Cachoeira is flat-footed and lacks speed, which could be her downfall. However, he is not confident enough to bet at -165, saying the margin for error is thin for Kim. He predicts a decision win for Kim.

"i do still lean on the kim's side i do lean the girl with the technique and the more precise striking"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Paul leans toward Kim, citing her improved volume and defense in recent fights, especially against Molly McCann. He notes Cachoeira's poor technique and tendency to gas, and believes Kim's volume will take over as the fight progresses. However, he acknowledges women's MMA volatility and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"i would lean towards kim i'm not betting it i don't think though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

The MMA Guru picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by 30-27 unanimous decision. He cites Kim's significant reach advantage (72 inches vs 66-67) and believes the fight will stay on the feet, where Kim's range and cardio will allow her to outpoint Cachoeira. He references their common opponent Molly McCann, noting that Kim had a closer fight with McCann than Cachoeira did. The Guru expects competitive rounds but sees Kim pulling ahead as the fight progresses.

30-27 unanimous decision
"i'm going to go with you on kim 30 27 decision"