Career Averages - Valentina Shevchenko
Career Averages - Priscila Cachoeira
Valentina Shevchenko - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 41 of 68 | 60% | 137 of 186 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 13:24 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 32 of 98 | 32% | 80 of 161 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 21 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 34 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 31 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 32 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 41 of 68 | 60% | 21 of 44 | 14 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 27 of 47 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 7 |
| Zhang Weili | 32 of 98 | 32% | 9 of 59 | 13 of 26 | 10 of 13 | 25 of 90 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 7 of 17 | 41% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 9 of 10 | 90% | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Zhang Weili | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 7 of 18 | 38% | 5 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Zhang Weili | 9 of 26 | 34% | 1 of 15 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 13 of 21 | 61% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 10 of 30 | 33% | 3 of 17 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Zhang Weili | 5 of 17 | 29% | 1 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans towards Zhang Weili, citing her superior wrestling and athleticism. He believes Weili's clean double-leg takedowns will be effective against Valentina Shevchenko, who relies on striking to set up takedowns. He acknowledges Shevchenko's experience and durability but thinks Weili's speed and wrestling will be the difference.
Big Brady leans Valentina Shevchenko, citing her size advantage and natural weight class. He notes Shevchenko's wrestling ability, having taken down Manon Fiorot, and believes she can get takedowns on Zhang Weili, who was taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas. However, he acknowledges Zhang's physical strength and says it wouldn't shock him if Zhang gets top position. Brady is not betting on this fight and predicts a decision win for Shevchenko.
Cody picks Valentina due to her size, experience, and well-rounded skills. He notes that she is an elite kickboxer and wrestler, and that her trilogy with Grasso was a blip. He highlights that Zhang has had takedown defense issues in the past, and that Valentina consistently scores takedowns. He believes Valentina's size and strength will be key, and that she will win by decision.
Connor picks Shevchenko but is hesitant, calling it a coin flip. He argues that Shevchenko's simple, patient style and mental stamina will frustrate Zhang, who struggles with distance and initiating exchanges. He notes that Zhang's wrestling might be neutralized by Shevchenko's clinch and top control, and that Zhang has been vulnerable when taken down.
Daniel respects Shevchenko's technical striking and well-rounded game, but sees Zhang as the fighter making rapid improvements, especially in wrestling. He notes that Zhang has outgrappled elite wrestlers like Carla Esparza and Tatiana Suarez, while Shevchenko hasn't shown the same evolution. He also likes the dog odds on Zhang and believes she can become a double champ.
Lucrative James picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, stating she is the greatest women's fighter of all time. He believes her wrestling and grappling are superior to Zhang's, and she can outskill her on the feet. He notes both fighters have losses due to grappling, but trusts Shevchenko's takedown accuracy and experience against tougher opponents. He expects Shevchenko to control the fight and win a decision or possibly a late submission.
Shevchenko's size and overall MMA advantages muzzle Zhang's style. She mixes martial arts well, sets up takedowns behind strikes, and wins on the scorecards.
Paul agrees with Cody, citing Valentina's size advantage and superior wrestling. He notes that both fighters are similar in age but that Valentina is the bigger fighter and has a better takedown ratio. He thinks the fight will come down to grappling and top position, and that Valentina will win those exchanges. He also mentions that Valentina is more technical on the feet.
The Guru picks Zhang Weili to win by split decision. He believes Zhang is a better fighter than Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot, who gave Shevchenko close fights. He notes Shevchenko's recent performances have been less dominant, and Zhang's grappling and striking should be competitive. The Guru also suggests promotional favoritism towards the Chinese market could influence a close decision.
Zane also picks Shevchenko hesitantly, emphasizing that Zhang's game plan may not work against Shevchenko's patience. He notes that Zhang has become a punch-and-clutch fighter but still struggles with range, and Shevchenko will force her to initiate. He sees Shevchenko's ability to maintain a low-risk fight as key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 1 | 72 of 149 | 48% | 173 of 251 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 71 of 160 | 44% | 150 of 239 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 7:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 57 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 21 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 31 of 47 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 29 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 32 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 30 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 38 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 72 of 149 | 48% | 48 of 118 | 7 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 62 of 126 | 7 of 18 | 3 of 5 |
| Manon Fiorot | 71 of 160 | 44% | 29 of 113 | 35 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 40 of 124 | 29 of 33 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 19 of 36 | 52% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Manon Fiorot | 13 of 32 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 20 | 40% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Manon Fiorot | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 14 of 28 | 50% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Manon Fiorot | 14 of 28 | 50% | 5 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 16 of 32 | 50% | 10 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 6 | 2 of 4 |
| Manon Fiorot | 14 of 33 | 42% | 5 of 23 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 15 of 33 | 45% | 12 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Manon Fiorot | 18 of 39 | 46% | 6 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-148), Shevchenko (+124)
Round 1
For the first time since 2022, champion Shevchenko (24-4-1, 13-3-1 UFC) will be facing a woman not named Grasso. She draws surging Frenchwoman Fiorot (12-1, 7-0 UFC), who could become the first French-born undisputed champion in UFC history—Ciryl Gane won the interim heavyweight strap. To the surprise of some, Fiorot will close as the betting favorite, but when the cage door closes, it’s all between the two flyweights and referee Marc Goddard. They cordially tap their gloves together to make it official. Shevchenko slaps out a leg kick and leans to avoid a head kick, with Fiorot advancing early. Shevchenko pushes her away to score a body kick, and she zips away before another high kick can reach her. Shevchenko clips the challenger with a one-two, who seems surprised by the blows and has to blink them out. Shevchenko blocks a kick to get off a right hand, and she ducks a right hook when Fiorot strikes. Fiorot plants a kick on the lead leg, and she is countered when trying a second. Shevchenko lets Fiorot come in so she can catch her with a check right hook, and Fiorot looks for a kick on the other side. Shevchenko considers changing levels, but ends up blocking a kick and skirting to the side. Shevchenko stands the Frenchwoman up with a right hand, and her low kick continues to find its mark. Shevchenko flicks up a kick to the nose that reddens it up fast, and Fiorot adjusts it. Shevchenko spins with a wheel kick, and Fiorot dodges but cannot get her hands on the champ. Fiorot walks face-first into a right hand, and she bangs her lead leg into her foe’s guard. The right hand from Shevchenko bloodies up Fiorot’s nose, and she stings her again and shakes her up. The nose for the challenger is busted and bleeding badly just three minutes in, and Fiorot ignores it and surges forward. Shevchenko dances easily out of the way to reset, and she is met with a kick that she catches and tackles Fiorot to the ground. Shevchenko lands in half guard, where she lords over her foe and completely controls her. Goddard asks for more action, with Shevchenko content to impose heavy shoulder pressure. Fiorot elbows her opponent in the posterior while Shevchenko lands a few punches, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Round 2
Fiorot starts the round with her foot flying, and she shoots in for a double. Shevchenko leans against the wall to defend it, and she ducks away to escape. Shevchenko whips a kick up high that starts the bleeding again, and Fiorot promptly wipes her nose. Shevchenko spins with a back kick that slams into her ribs, and she skips away to evade a counter. Fiorot level changes and hits a 5-foot-5 wall that punches her in the face. Fiorot comes up short with a head kick, and she goes after a single that is equally futile. Shevchenko stands and waits for her opponent to come to her, countering her and hitting a trip to put the Frenchwoman on the mat. Fiorot scrambles madly to flip Shevchenko over, and they both get to their feet. Shevchenko beats Fiorot to the punch with her jab repeatedly, and she shoots for a double and cannot quite get it as Fiorot hops around skillfully. Fiorot pushes her foe back to get back to kickboxing range, and she raises up a high kick that gets blocked. Fiorot shoots for a takedown, and Shevchenko sprawls against the wall. Fiorot peels her leg away and grabs her from behind, leaning on the champ and kneeing her to the back of the thigh. Shevchenko spins away, but not before eating an elbow. Fiorot’s head kick cannot find its target, and she times a right hand with a takedown shot. Fiorot uses pure brute force to lift Shevchenko up in the air and dump her down, where she laces her legs around “Bullet” to pin her to her seat. Shevchenko posts off her right arm and barely blocks an illegal knee while she was grounded that Goddard did not see. Shevchenko does not protest, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 3
Goddard issues a hard warning between rounds, having acknowledged the near-foul, and the ladies get back to combat. They trade leg kicks to start, and Shevchenko goes high while Fiorot goes low a second time. Fiorot ignores a head kick that soars past her, and she stands there waiting for more offense to come at her. It is another blockable head kick, and she stuffs a takedown and reaches out with a right hand as Fiorot abandons it. The champ kicks the inside of the lead leg and flicks out a few jabs to get some space, and she nearly gets caught with a high kick. Shevchenko kicks the outer side of the leg, and they crash together when both going for level changes. Fiorot brings up a knee and an elbow, and Shevchenko scores a few jabs. When Fiorot charges, Shevchenko turns to the side and sprints around the cage to reset. Shevchenko shoots for a takedown that is unsuccessful, and she comes up top with a right hand. Fiorot fails on her own takedown effort, and she clinches up to drive four knees to the midsection. Shevchenko misses on a front kick to break, and she proceeds to work the front leg further. Fiorot flails her way in, inaccurate with her approach, and Shevchenko knees her in the face when Fiorot ducks down. This does not deter the Frenchwoman, who looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot scores a knee or two to the inner thigh, and she plants one on the groin that Shevchenko once again does not protest. On the break, Shevchenko busts her foe’s nose open again with a right hand. The jab is soon to follow from the champ, who spins with a powerful back fist that forces Fiorot to shoot. Fiorot uses pure power to elevate her foe, and Shevchenko is able to hop around and keep her balance with the wall at her side. Fiorot knees the back of the leg, and Shevchenko pushes off the cage as Fiorot’s team claim falsely that she grabbed the fence—Goddard replies, “not even close.” Shevchenko pushes off with a punch and a kick, and the close round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 4
The women meet the championship rounds, and Fiorot is amped up and ready to continue as she pitches kicks and jabs out. Fiorot lands a side kick, and Shevchenko surges forward with two hooks. Shevchenko times a head kick to spin with a wheel kick that nails the challenger on the chin. Fiorot shakes her head, and she has her nose bleeding early with peppery jabs. Fiorot ducks under one in pursuit of a double, and she succeeds in pushing Shevchenko against the cage but no further. Fiorot settles for a few knees up close and personal, and she transitions to a single that Shevchenko thwarts with a few punches up top. Fiorot zips past her foe with offense, and Shevchenko is calm and a cucumber and counters her. Shevchenko tries a quick takedown, and Fiorot backs her off with a knee to the midsection. Shevchenko knees Fiorot and skirts to the side to let the Frenchwoman go past her again, playing the matador. She drills Fiorot with a stern spinning kick to the ribcage, and all Fiorot can do is reset and try to move forward and clinch. Fiorot scores a knee in the tie-up before pushing her to the wall, where she leans heavily on her adversary and scoring a few more knees. Shevchenko breaks free while dodging a knee up the middle, and she kicks the lead leg of her advancing foe. Fiorot leaps forward and is out of range, and Shevchenko times a sneaky takedown to drag Fiorot to her seat. Fiorot rushes back to her feet and starts kneeing the champ in the side. Fiorot manages to get off an elbow in the clinch, and she pushes out a side kick. Fiorot spins with nothing, and Shevchenko counters her with a right hand that sends her flying to the ground. Shevchenko pounces, ending the round in style with ground-and-pound.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Round 5
The fifth round has arrived, and it could be split leading into it. Fiorot acknowledges this and fights behind her jab, while Shevchenko shifts to the side and keeps moving. Fiorot chases her down and knees her once in the belly before tying her up, and she looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot whiffs with an elbow on the break, and a high kick grazes her chin on the way out. Shevchenko counters her over the top with a left hand, and Fiorot bites down on her mouthpiece and slings leather back her direction. Shevchenko ducks a few punches to change levels, and Fiorot stonewalls her and shoves her back. Shevchenko smacks the front leg with a kick, continuously moving and blasting Fiorot with a spinning back fist. Fiorot is tough as a stale baguette, and she pushes forward into the clinch. Shevchenko breaks away and kicks her in the side. Shevchenko pecks out a jab, and she leaps forward with a Superwoman punch and a level change. Fiorot turns her about and pushes her to the wall, but she cannot keep the champ there. Fiorot fakes a spin, and she is at least a foot away from a head kick. Shevchenko connects with a punch, and Fiorot darts towards her with a short punch salvo before clinching up again. Fiorot knees her in the belly and leans on her, winding up with distance to plant the knees on the thigh. Fiorot sneaks around to grab the back of the champion, who spins around with a right hand as Fiorot tosses a head kick at her. Shevchenko counters a kick with a right hand, and her one-two comes up short. Her second lands, but not before Fiorot scores too. Shevchenko dings the challenger with a spinning back fist, and Fiorot pays her back with a knee and an elbow. Shevchenko knees back, and she aims a head kick at the bell. They go the distance, and the scores could go either way. Both women put their hands in the air after 25 minutes of fairly evenly-matched combat.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko (48-47 Shevchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
The Official Result
Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
Angelo picks Manon Fiorot to become the new champion, citing her size, power, takedown defense, and striking. He acknowledges Valentina Shevchenko's evolution into wrestling but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and power will be too much. He thinks Fiorot controls the striking and keeps the fight on her feet.
Big Brady is hesitant but leans Fiorot. He notes Fiorot's high-volume striking, elite takedown defense (93%), and physical strength. He acknowledges Shevchenko looked great against Grasso but questions if that was due to Grasso's poor performance. He thinks Fiorot's movement and the big cage help her, and she can defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision win for Fiorot.
Connor picks Valentina Shevchenko, agreeing with Zane that she is a master of distance management. He notes that Fiorot's wrestling has not been tested against someone like Shevchenko, who has developed new takedown entries. Connor believes that Fiorot's game is not dynamic enough to exploit any potential age-related decline in Shevchenko.
The host notes Shevchenko has been an underdog three times in the UFC and is 3-0 in those fights, expecting her to go 4-0. He believes she will compete in striking but ultimately use her clinch and grappling to dictate the pace and win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Shevchenko, believing she is being disrespected as an underdog. He notes her championship experience, reach advantage, and recent dominant win over Grasso. He questions Fiorot's performance against Rose Namajunas, who fought with a broken hand, and thinks Shevchenko's technical striking and adjustments will win her a decision.
Zane picks Valentina Shevchenko, arguing that she is a master of distance management and preventative footwork, making it incredibly difficult for opponents to get into range. He notes that Fiorot's striking has structural flaws, with her chin rising and feet squaring when she commits. Zane believes that if Fiorot wins, it will be more a sign of Shevchenko's age than Fiorot's skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 18 of 100 | 18% | 153 of 245 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 0:49 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 193 of 233 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 16:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 2 of 19 | 10% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 36 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 2 of 13 | 15% | 41 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 29 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 5 of 35 | 14% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 35 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 65 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:56 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 54 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 28 of 37 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 18 of 100 | 18% | 8 of 74 | 3 of 10 | 7 of 16 | 16 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexa Grasso | 45 of 80 | 56% | 38 of 71 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 39 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 2 of 19 | 10% | 1 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexa Grasso | 10 of 18 | 55% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 2 of 13 | 15% | 1 of 8 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexa Grasso | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 5 of 35 | 14% | 2 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 5 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexa Grasso | 16 of 26 | 61% | 13 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1 of 12 | 8% | 1 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexa Grasso | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 21 | 38% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexa Grasso | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alexa Grasso despite acknowledging that Valentina Shevchenko likely won the last fight. He sees improvements in Grasso's game between the two fights, noting she won exchanges, rounds, and even dropped Valentina in the second fight. He believes the wrestling gap is tightening and the speed gap is widening, and that Grasso is younger, faster, and more creative. He placed half a unit on Grasso at -115, recognizing it's hard for a champion to win back the belt but thinks Grasso gets it done.
Big Brady acknowledges Shevchenko arguably won the second fight but notes her regression and Grasso's improvement. He also factors in the Mexican crowd and potential judging bias. He predicts Grasso wins a close decision.
Daniel picks Alexa Grasso to win the trilogy, arguing that Valentina hasn't evolved enough and that long-reigning champions rarely reclaim their belts. He notes Grasso's faster hands, higher volume, and finishing upside, while worrying about Grasso being taken down and controlled. He believes history favors Grasso and that she will make bigger improvements.
Daniel Vreeland picks Alexa Grasso because her trajectory is still upward while Valentina Shevchenko's is declining. He notes Shevchenko has lost a step in defensive grappling since the Taila Santos fight, and Grasso's striking and grappling have improved significantly. He believes Grasso's speed, cardio, and youth will be the deciding factors.
Jeff Fox agrees with Daniel Vreeland, noting Shevchenko's decline had started even before facing Grasso. He mentions Shevchenko's mindset of thinking she won the last fight is not good. He goes with the ascending fighter who is much younger and already beat her.
The transcript does not discuss this fight. The host only mentions Kayla Harrison vs Juliana Peña as the other title fight, not Shevchenko vs Grasso.
Shevchenko was a minus 800 favorite in the first fight and minus 160 in the second, now a plus 120 underdog. She was up 2-1 in the first before being submitted, and should have won the last fight if not for a bad scorecard. Expects Shevchenko to come even safer and cleaner, leaning on her wrestling to win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso. He notes Shevchenko is aging at 36 and may carry negative energy from the controversial loss. Grasso is younger and improving, and he sees her capitalizing on Shevchenko's potential emotional state. He also mentions Grasso dropped Shevchenko in the second fight and could finish with a choke or win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 1 | 84 of 203 | 41% | 262 of 408 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 2:39 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 80 of 179 | 44% | 199 of 301 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 8:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 60 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 14 of 40 | 35% | 25 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 1 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 86 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 62 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 35 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 40 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:16 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 38 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 5 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 20 of 56 | 35% | 43 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 23 of 49 | 46% | 41 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 84 of 203 | 41% | 54 of 151 | 12 of 22 | 18 of 30 | 51 of 160 | 31 of 35 | 2 of 8 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 80 of 179 | 44% | 61 of 158 | 6 of 8 | 13 of 13 | 67 of 158 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 12 of 41 | 29% | 7 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 9 | 9 of 35 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 14 of 40 | 35% | 9 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 28 of 42 | 66% | 20 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 24 | 17 of 17 | 1 of 1 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 15 of 29 | 51% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 13 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 9 of 18 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 20 of 49 | 40% | 13 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 39 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 19 of 43 | 44% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Alexa Grasso | 20 of 56 | 35% | 11 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 17 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 7 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 23 of 49 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Valentina Shevchenko despite her recent loss, believing she will wrestle heavy like she did against Maia. He notes her odds are the best since 2017 and compares it to Amanda Nunes getting her belt back. He acknowledges Grasso's skills but thinks Shevchenko's adjustments will lead to victory. He has no bet yet due to PTSD from UFC 293.
Big Brady picks Shevchenko, arguing that she was winning the first fight until a mistake. He notes Shevchenko outlanded Grasso in most rounds and has more tools on the feet. He believes Grasso's takedown defense is still poor and that Shevchenko's experience and skill will prevail. He predicts a dominant decision, 49-46 or 50-45.
Cody picks Grasso at plus 140, emphasizing the five-year age difference and Shevchenko's decline. He points out that Grasso won the first round in their first fight, was out-striking Shevchenko, and submitted her after a spinning back kick. He believes the momentum was with Grasso and that Shevchenko's cardio may not hold up. He also notes the 90% rematch stat and says Grasso has a lot of merit.
Daniel Levi picks Valentina Shevchenko despite acknowledging the historical trend of long-reigning champions losing immediate rematches. He notes that submission losses are easier to recover from than knockouts, and he believes Valentina's decline may be overstated. However, he admits his bitterness over missing the plus-200 line on Grasso influences his pick, and he hopes he is wrong because he would like to see the division move forward with fresh matchups.
Shevchenko had a clear grappling advantage in the first fight, controlling rounds 2 and 3 before getting caught in the fourth. She should make adjustments, trust her striking more to set up takedowns, and bank rounds early. Grasso may have improved takedown defense, but Shevchenko's strength and experience should prevail. I'm hesitant because of the similarity to Usman vs Edwards 2, but I still favor Shevchenko by decision.
Paul sides with Grasso as a slight underdog, citing Shevchenko's age (35) and recent vulnerability in fights against Taylor Santos and Jennifer Maia. He notes Grasso's youth (30) and improvement, and mentions a 90% stat where younger challengers who beat an older champion win the rematch. However, he is hesitant because the fight is in Vegas, not Mexico, and he may not bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Alexa Grasso, having switched from Grasso. He rewatched the first fight and notes Shevchenko was winning on all scorecards before the submission. He believes Shevchenko will focus on grappling and avoid spinning back kicks. He compares it to the Nunes-Pena rematch, suggesting Shevchenko will be more focused. He predicts a 48-47 unanimous decision for Shevchenko.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 87 of 145 | 60% | 167 of 228 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 59 of 181 | 32% | 182 of 308 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 26 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 24 of 65 | 36% | 32 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 56 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 7 of 36 | 19% | 60 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 27 of 32 | 84% | 53 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 70 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 13 of 43 | 30% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 87 of 145 | 60% | 68 of 121 | 8 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 80 of 133 | 2 of 7 | 5 of 5 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 59 of 181 | 32% | 31 of 137 | 12 of 18 | 16 of 26 | 50 of 172 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 26 of 51 | 50% | 14 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 48 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 24 of 65 | 36% | 9 of 45 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 13 | 18 of 59 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 12 of 22 | 54% | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 7 of 36 | 19% | 6 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 27 of 32 | 84% | 26 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 15 of 37 | 40% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 22 of 40 | 55% | 19 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 38 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 13 of 43 | 30% | 8 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Valentina Shevchenko, stating she is better everywhere and will push Grasso around. He notes that Grasso is not a dangerous fighter and that Shevchenko should have no issues. Angelo sees this as a relief fight for Shevchenko after the Talia Santos fight.
Big Brady is confident in Valentina Shevchenko, citing her superior striking and grappling. He notes Grasso has struggled with grappling in the past, and Shevchenko can take her down at will and dominate on the mat. He predicts a third-round TKO for Shevchenko, dismissing the idea that Grasso can pull off an upset.
Cody believes Shevchenko is nearly unbeatable at 125 and that Grasso lacks the grappling to exploit her. He notes Shevchenko's takedown ability and well-rounded game will be too much. He expects a decision win for Shevchenko but won't bet the -700 moneyline; he would parlay it.
Connor is confident Shevchenko wins, citing her ability to control distance and bully opponents in the clinch. He notes Grasso's poor range fighting and lack of feints or timing variation, which will make it easy for Shevchenko to counter or clinch. He believes Grasso's only path is a knockout in the pocket or a submission from her back, both unlikely. He mentions Shevchenko's declining athleticism but says Grasso's stylistic shortcomings are a death sentence.
Jacob picks Valentina Shevchenko, but notes that Grasso's volume striking could cause problems early. He believes Shevchenko may need to use her wrestling to dominate. Jacob acknowledges a path for Grasso but ultimately sees Shevchenko as the more complete fighter.
Shevchenko is a fast, explosive striker with a good ground game. Grasso is a good striker but has struggled with takedowns. Shevchenko will likely take the fight to the ground and control Grasso, winning a decision or possibly a TKO finish.
Paul picks Shevchenko but prefers the over 4.5 rounds at plus money. He notes Grasso has improved grappling and has never been finished outside of a submission loss to Suarez. He sees the fight going the distance and thinks the over is a solid bet.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko, believing her kicks will be the difference. He notes Grasso's boxing is good but she doesn't throw many kicks, and Shevchenko's top game could also be a factor. He predicts a decision win.
Zane agrees Shevchenko wins, emphasizing that Grasso's lack of distance management and predictable entries will lead to Shevchenko's clinch bullying. He notes Grasso is a good pocket boxer but cannot get there safely, and Shevchenko's takedown defense is weak but Grasso lacks the strength to exploit it. He sees Shevchenko's consistent game plan overwhelming Grasso.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 77 of 139 | 55% | 234 of 309 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 55 of 102 | 53% | 128 of 180 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 | 2 | 8:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 35 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 64 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 31 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:40 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 17 of 22 | 77% | 46 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:21 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 33 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 52 of 63 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Taila Santos | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 42 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 77 of 139 | 55% | 46 of 100 | 12 of 18 | 19 of 21 | 65 of 123 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 6 |
| Taila Santos | 55 of 102 | 53% | 18 of 58 | 11 of 15 | 26 of 29 | 45 of 89 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 10 of 16 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Taila Santos | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 7 of 19 | 36% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 |
| Taila Santos | 4 of 7 | 57% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 17 of 22 | 77% | 6 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 16 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Taila Santos | 7 of 15 | 46% | 0 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 29 of 59 | 49% | 20 of 48 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Taila Santos | 28 of 56 | 50% | 11 of 35 | 6 of 9 | 11 of 12 | 23 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 14 of 23 | 60% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Taila Santos | 11 of 14 | 78% | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shevchenko confidently, acknowledging she is the best in the division. He notes Santos is dangerous and the toughest opponent Shevchenko has faced recently, but still believes Shevchenko wins. He mentions the odds are wide but doesn't recommend a bet due to the high price.
Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by TKO, expressing high confidence. He notes that Santos' best wins are against lower-level competition and that she lost to Mara Romero Barela. He believes Shevchenko is superior everywhere and will break Santos down, finishing her mid-to-late in the fight.
Cody is confident in Shevchenko, citing her elite skills, wrestling advantage, and championship experience. He questions Santos' level of competition and output, noting she hasn't faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to win by decision.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, dismissing Taila Santos's chances due to her poor performance against Mara Romero Barella. He believes Shevchenko is in her prime and has never been dominated in any facet. He notes that Santos's best win is against Joanne Calderwood, who gets finished repeatedly, and that Santos's nerves against Barella indicate she cannot handle the pressure of fighting Shevchenko. He expects Shevchenko to impose her will and win decisively.
Shevchenko is the better fighter everywhere. Santos has not shown enough to suggest she can compete with Shevchenko's level. Santos struggled to finish lesser opponents and lost to Mara Romero Borella. Shevchenko has fought Amanda Nunes closely and is on another level. The line is too high to bet, but Shevchenko wins easily.
Paul is confident in Shevchenko, calling her the most skilled female fighter. He dismisses Santos' resume and believes Shevchenko's wrestling, striking, and cardio are superior. He expects a decision win for the champion.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, citing her elite level and experience. He expects Shevchenko to outstrike Santos at range, chopping legs and jabbing. He acknowledges Santos has power and could land some shots, but believes Shevchenko's defense and composure will prevail. He thinks the fight will be competitive but Shevchenko will win clearly. He criticizes the title shot timing for Santos, suggesting she needed another fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 98 of 170 | 57% | 132 of 204 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:04 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 11 of 91 | 12% | 19 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 3 of 24 | 12% | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 1 of 18 | 5% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 5 of 30 | 16% | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 47 of 66 | 71% | 53 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 2 of 19 | 10% | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 98 of 170 | 57% | 62 of 126 | 19 of 24 | 17 of 20 | 72 of 137 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 25 |
| Lauren Murphy | 11 of 91 | 12% | 4 of 73 | 3 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 91 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 20 of 39 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 3 of 24 | 12% | 2 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 10 of 17 | 58% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lauren Murphy | 1 of 18 | 5% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 21 of 48 | 43% | 9 of 33 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 5 of 30 | 16% | 0 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 47 of 66 | 71% | 38 of 56 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 18 of 22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 2 of 19 | 10% | 1 of 14 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.
Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.
Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.
Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.
The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.
Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 32 of 39 | 82% | 90 of 97 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 5:11 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 47 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 26 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 31 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 22 of 23 | 95% | 64 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 16 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 32 of 39 | 82% | 27 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 18 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 10 of 15 | 66% | 2 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 10 of 16 | 62% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 8 of 11 | 72% | 0 of 2 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 22 of 23 | 95% | 21 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 18 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Shevchenko to win by fifth-round TKO. He notes Shevchenko's technical striking, cardio, and takedown defense will be key. Andrade is hittable and smaller, and Shevchenko can pick her apart from the outside. He thinks the bigger cage favors Shevchenko and expects a late finish or dominant decision.
Cody picks Shevchenko but expresses concern about her recent reliance on grappling and low output. He notes Andrade's takedown defense and power but thinks Shevchenko's kickboxing and reach advantage will allow her to pick Andrade apart. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Shevchenko winning, possibly by decision. He also likes the over 4.5 rounds.
Daniel picks Valentina Shevchenko to win inside the distance, believing her technique will override Andrade's power. He notes Andrade is too open to getting hit and that Shevchenko can get the fight to the mat. He expects the fight to end under three rounds.
I think Shevchenko is technically superior and will outclass Andrade. She has a diverse striking game and can also take the fight to the ground. Andrade is a brawler with power, but Shevchenko's speed and technique should allow her to pick her apart. I like Shevchenko by decision at +140, and the over 2.5 at -185 is also a solid play as Shevchenko tends to grind out wins.
Paul picks Shevchenko to retain, citing her technical striking and reach advantage. He acknowledges Andrade's power and takedown ability but believes Shevchenko's footwork and distance control will be key. He notes the -425 price is steep but expects Shevchenko to win, possibly by decision. He also mentions the over 4.5 rounds as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko by unanimous decision. He acknowledges Andrade's power and momentum but believes Shevchenko is a bigger, stronger, more technical striker with better cardio. He thinks Andrade will win the first round but Shevchenko will take over in the later rounds, using grappling to neutralize Andrade's offense. He notes Andrade is moving up in weight and may swing too hard early.
Priscila Cachoeira - Fight History
The host picks Cachoeira but is hesitant, noting that both fighters are on the chopping block and neither has looked good lately. He acknowledges that if Chandler wrestles hard she could win, but on the feet Cachoeira is tough and comes forward with heavy hands. He says he doesn't feel convicted on either side.
AJ picks Priscila Cachoeira as an underdog, believing she will knock out Chelsea Chandler. He notes Chandler looked skinny and chinny in her last loss, while Cachoeira is always aggressive and has knockout power. AJ predicts a KO victory for Cachoeira.
AJ picks Cachoeira by knockout, citing her heavy hands and Chandler's apparent durability issues after weight cut. He notes Chandler looked skinny at weigh-ins and was knocked out by Joselyn Edwards. AJ expects Cachoeira to land a big shot early, possibly a shovel uppercut, and finish in round one.
Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler, reasoning that she will use her size and strength to push Priscila Cachoeira against the cage and take her down. He notes that Cachoeira has no ground skills and actively works against herself on the ground. He expects Chandler to win by being the 'Jolly Green Giant' and landing on top, possibly finding a finish.
Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira to win by second round knockout. He admits bias but argues that Chelsea Chandler doesn't like getting hit and has poor striking defense, while Cachoeira hits hard and is tough. He worries about Cachoeira's ground game but thinks she can avoid being on her back long enough to land a knockout.
Both fighters are chinny and not the best, but Priscila Cachoeira is more aggressive and goes all out for a knockout. Chelsea Chandler has declined since her win over Julia Stoliarenko four years ago, losing to Norma Dumont and Joselyne Edwards. Cachoeira is expected to chin Chandler early.
Cody picks Cachoeira as a dog, noting Chandler's poor weight cuts and suspect chin. He believes Cachoeira's pressure and durability could overwhelm Chandler. He calls it a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money.
Priscila Cachoeira is picked but with low confidence. She has power in her hands, but her wrestling is a weakness. Chelsea Chandler should wrestle but may not. The host is unsure if Chandler will implement her game plan or get knocked out. Cachoeira is predictable but could land a knockout.
Cachoeira has better striking power and should be able to stuff Chandler's takedowns. Chandler's wrestling isn't at a level to control Cachoeira. Cachoeira wins a decision, as her power has diminished but she can outpoint Chandler.
Lucrative James picks Chelsea Chandler reluctantly, citing her grappling upside as the deciding factor. He acknowledges both fighters are aging and the fight is low-level, but believes Chandler can win via KO ground and pound in round 2. He notes Priscila Cachoeira's power and experience but thinks Chandler's ability to win on the feet or ground gives her an edge.
Chandler's grappling is the key; she should be able to take Cachoeira down and dominate from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but poor takedown defense and is 37 years old. Chandler likely finishes by submission, and the under 2.5 rounds at +100 is a good bet.
Paul picks Chandler but is hesitant, noting she should use wrestling to control Cachoeira. He acknowledges Cachoeira's toughness and Chandler's weight issues. He is not betting the fight but leans Chandler on fight IQ.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 151 of 335 | 45% | 159 of 349 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 99 of 219 | 45% | 102 of 222 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 61 of 136 | 44% | 62 of 137 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 34 of 71 | 47% | 34 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 40 of 94 | 42% | 40 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 33 of 71 | 46% | 34 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 50 of 105 | 47% | 57 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 32 of 77 | 41% | 34 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klaudia Syguła | 151 of 335 | 45% | 121 of 288 | 24 of 40 | 6 of 7 | 150 of 332 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 99 of 219 | 45% | 72 of 188 | 8 of 11 | 19 of 20 | 99 of 216 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klaudia Syguła | 61 of 136 | 44% | 48 of 123 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 60 of 134 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 34 of 71 | 47% | 21 of 57 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 10 | 34 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Klaudia Syguła | 40 of 94 | 42% | 30 of 73 | 7 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 33 of 71 | 46% | 26 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 33 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Klaudia Syguła | 50 of 105 | 47% | 43 of 92 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 50 of 104 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 32 of 77 | 41% | 25 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 32 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sygula (-140); Cachoeira (+115)
Round 1
Fights? Fights. Let’s skip the usual pleasantries where we would normally yammer on about the UFC-slash-Meta Apex cards, the overall perceived decline in quality of events and get right to it. We have 13 fights to cover, with six on the main card even though five seems like a more reasonable number. Two bantamweights who cannot afford another defeat toe the line in the card opener, where Sygula (7-2, 1-1 UFC) will try to go “Walking Dead” on “Zombie Girl” Cachoeira (13-7, 5-7 UFC). Referee Keith Peterson takes charge of the cage to start what hopefully is a nonsense-free evening, and the ladies clap hands together.
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They get right after it, with Cachoeira marching forward and busting Sygula in the face. The Polish woman fires right back, but her right eye turns a shade red after a few impacts. Cachoeira sits down on her right hand, headhunting and even managing to open a cut on the right cheek of her foe’s face about 45 seconds in. They take turns lashing out at one another, letting go with short bursts of combinations largely all upstairs. Cachoeira gets the better of them, but she too is showing some redness on her face from taking fire. Cachoeira leaps forward with a right hand, and Sygula dances out of the way and jabs her in the body with a kick. She follows that with an overhand right, and Cachoeira frowns and resets. The Brazilian counters with a right hand when absorbing a blow or two, as Sygula regularly throws punches in bunches. Cachoeira kicks the lead leg and then releases a hard right to the body, and Sygula slips to the side and scores her own calf kick.
Cachoeira puts some mustard into a big right hand, briefly shaking her foe up but not slowing her one iota. Sygula is quick to get right back being speedy combinations, and she busts open Cachoeira’s nose with a volley. Cachoeira thumps the lead leg of her adversary with a kick, and Sygula’s constant head shots are marking up the Brazilian consistently. Cachoeira’s own offense starts to diminish to single efforts, while Sygula strings them together to decent effect. It results in a brief bull-matador situation when Cachoeira swings for the fences while Sygula is more content to touch and build on her successes. One instance of significant success for the Polish fighter comes when she jabs and opens up an overhand right that smears blood all over the face of “Zombie Girl,” assisting her in embodying her nickname. Sygula touches her with the jab and nearly fills the room with uppercuts, landing a heavy one that jacks Cachoeira’s jaw and chaining a few swings after it until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Round 2
When Sygula is about to offer a glove touch to start the round, she pulls it back when seeing that Cachoeira is recoiling her right hand about to fire it. Sygula pecks and pokes with her jab early, forcing some swelling on Cachoeira’s left cheek and being the much quicker of the two. Cachoeira sells out with a charging right, and Sygula is two feet away before the Brazilian can swing her fist. It does not take long for the peppering jab of the Polish woman to bloody up Cachoeira’s nose, but as she stands and trades, she gains confidence and starts to stand in the pocket further. Cachoeira welcomes this and busts her in the chops with a huge right hand, and Sygula has to take a quick count of her teeth and gets back to her preferred distance strategy of staying out of range. She looses a front kick to the sternum, and gets countered as her mouthpiece flops out of her mouth. Peterson allows her to replace it without issue, and they two get back to it within seconds. Seeing her kick game is working, Sygula pushes out further front kicks to the midsection, and this long distance runaround works until Cachoeira pins her down and beans her with two clubbing fists.
Cachoeira’s blows have marked up Sygula’s face fairly quickly, as both ladies are leaking from their noses and more than willing to trade. Sygula connects with a few punches and grazes with a knee, and Cachoeira stumbles off-balance and falls to the floor. Sygula lets her back up so she can stick that jab in her face, and she allows Cachoeira to load up so she can prod away with speedy, straight counters. Cachoeira puts big arc into her swings, while Sygula’s numbers like dwarf hers and the damage shows. Cachoeira’s nose is dripping crimson fluid on the mat as she tries to chase down the woman who once trained out of FitFabric Shark Top Team, and she pays it no mind and continues to swing for the bleachers. She gets Sygula’s attention with her reckless charges and hurled strikes, but she is paying for it much of the time. As Cachoeira coils back a big right, the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula
Round 3
After 10 minutes of slugging and getting drilled in the face, Cachoeira is all smiles for the last period. Her smile walks directly into a right hand from her opponent, and although she counters, it is her nose that immediately starts to bleed from the connect. Sygula’s jab stifles Cachoeira, forcing the Brazilian to whiff while she is having target practice out there. Cachoeira looks for scooping uppercuts and one-hitter quitters, but Sygula is able to see them coming and stay beyond the end of them. Cachoeira calms herself down to stick out a few straight punches that actually score, but it does not take long for her to have the right hand lobbed and whizzing past her foe’s face. Cachoeira sinks in a low kick, strafing to the left to avoid the expected counter, and she clips Sygula with a hooking left hand on the way out. Sygula ducks a whopper of a right hand and pins her jab in the Brazilian’s face, with swelling and blood making her look every bit of her “Zombie Girl” signature.
When Cachoeira lands another low kick, Sygula reaches down for it, signaling she is not liking taking that kick as she goes for a feeble takedown shot. Cachoeira pushes her away and keeps slugging, and she dings Sygula a few times but takes her fair share of offense as well. Sygula brings up body kicks and jabs the horror show of the Brazilian’s nose, and Cachoeira continues to move ever forward. Sygula uses this against her by intercepting her with jabs and front kicks, and Cachoeira starts to get desperate and run through the offense. She expects that she will get hit, but hopes that her power will be the difference maker. Sygula backpedals in a hurry, with Cachoeira emptying her energy tank with a constant stream of telegraphed overhand rights that would make Roy Nelson blush. Sygula trips when looking to escape, and she uses her upkicks to defend her from the worst of what Cachoeira lobs at her towards the end. Cachoeira drops down a big punch or two while leaking blood all over Sygula, and the match comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira (29-28 Sygula)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sygula (30-27 Sygula)
The Official Result
Klaudia Sygula def. Priscila Cachoeira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Klaudia Syguła, calling her the better fighter skill-wise. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is powerful but has a negative striking differential and fades. He thinks Syguła can avoid early chaos and take over as Cachoeira fades. He disagrees with the odds, saying this is a 50/50 fight and should be -110. He warns that if Syguła tries to trade overhands early, it could be bad.
Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira because he believes the fight will be a striking match, where Cachoeira's brawling style and power give her an edge. He notes Syguła's ground game is bad and Cachoeira won't have to worry about takedowns. He expects Cachoeira to win by knockout, as she is a dog who comes forward and hits harder.
Cody agrees, highlighting Cachoeira's lack of defense and durability. He notes Syguła's ability to land volume and avoid damage. Cody expects Syguła to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor picks Syguła, but with low confidence. He notes that Syguła can throw long straight strikes but gets messy under pressure, and that Cachoeira might be at the end of the line. He says 'who cares' and picks Syguła because 'whatever'.
Lucrative James picks Klaudia Syguła to win. He believes Syguła is younger and improving, while Cachoeira is aging and has poor jiu-jitsu. James expects Syguła to take Cachoeira down and expose her grappling weaknesses, possibly securing a submission or dominant decision.
The host picks Syguła but with very low confidence, noting she is not trustworthy at minus 150. He expects Syguła to use footwork and pivoting to avoid Cachoeira's power, then look for takedowns in later rounds. He believes Syguła's active submission game could lead to a finish, but he is more confident in the fight ending inside the distance rather than a specific winner.
Paul picks Klaudia Syguła, citing Cachoeira's declining durability and poor defense. He notes Syguła's youth and volume, and expects her to outwork Cachoeira. Paul admits he hopes Cachoeira wins but bets against her.
The host picks Priscila Cachoeira over Klaudia Syguła (referred to as Claudia Gadelha, likely a mistake). He notes Cachoeira is more masculine with more knockout power, while Syguła is technical but has losses. He acknowledges Cachoeira has lost many fights but believes she will easily win.
Zane picks Cachoeira, reasoning that Syguła gets messy under pressure and will likely brawl, which favors Cachoeira. He notes that Cachoeira is 37 and has been finished in three of her last four, but still thinks she can win a brawl. Zane is not confident.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 1 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 18 of 50 | 36% | 18 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 1 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 18 of 50 | 36% | 18 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 26 of 44 | 59% | 16 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 18 of 50 | 36% | 15 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 26 of 44 | 59% | 16 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 18 of 50 | 36% | 15 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Edwards (-300); Cachoeira (+250)
Round 1
With the division wide open, it is not unconscionable to suggest that the victor here tonight could be a few wins away from a crack at gold. Edwards (15-6, 6-4 UFC) is currently the one of the two who is riding a win streak, although the bantamweight still struggles to make weight and initially missed before coming back an hour later to hit 136. She battles controversial ex-flyweight Cachoeira (13-6, 5-6 UFC), a woman who many believe should have been released from her contract after gouging Gillian Robertson’s eyes on the way to getting submitted. Nevertheless, they do battle with referee Herb Dean standing by. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Cachoeira takes to the center of the cage, where she swats her hands out to try to find her target. The taller, longer Edwards is able to land jabs on her and the occasional low kick. Cachoeira drives home an uppercut that knocks Edwards back, and she follows with a left hook. Cachoeira hammers the front leg with a kick that stumbles Edwards, who shoots for a takedown. Cachoeira pushes off and pokes her opponent in the eye. Dean calls time, and Edwards takes 30 seconds to clear her vision. When they resume, both ladies lob hammers at one another, and it is Cachoeira who lands cleaner as she clips the Panamanian in a salvo of fists. Cachoeira stands in the pocket and bangs, taking away the reach advantage of her and marking her up with uppercuts. Edwards wings a left hand over the top, and they nail one another with hard left hooks.
Edwards, the larger and stronger of the two, rips a right hand and then a ferocious left that shakes Cachoeira to her core. Cachoeira stands still, frozen in time, until she slumps back to the mat with her hands at her side. While her eyes may be open, they are closed the moment Edwards dives at her and detonates a few right hands on the Brazilian’s chin.
Dean sprints in to call a halt to the bludgeoning, and the frazzled Cachoeira switches back on and grips hold of the closest thing she can find. That happens to be Dean’s leg, who has to pull the dazed former flyweight off of him. That makes three in a row for the UFC’s ranked bantamweight, who says she has finally figured things out and is ready to make some moves.
The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Priscila Cachoeira R1 2:24 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards as a technical striker with good kickboxing and range management. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is a powerful brawler with heavy pressure but gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks Joselyne's ability to shoot takedowns and manage range with kicks will get her the win, but he doesn't love the 2-to-1 odds and may only bet if odds tighten.
Big Brady is confident in Joselyne Edwards, noting her recent improvements training with Valentina Shevchenko. He highlights Edwards' takedown ability and ground game, which he believes will exploit Cachoeira's lack of takedown defense and submission defense. Brady expects Edwards to fight smart, take the fight to the ground, and find a submission. He predicts a third-round submission for Edwards.
The host notes Edwards' growing confidence and back-to-back finishes, expecting her to take a grapple-heavy approach to avoid Cachoeira's berserker striking. He predicts a submission victory under two and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, mainly because Priscila Cachoeira took the fight on short notice. He notes Edwards is underrated with improving striking and grappling, while Cachoeira has taken a lot of damage and has scar tissue. He predicts a close 29-28 decision win for Edwards.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiane Nunes | 0 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 31 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 37 of 76 | 48% | 39 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josiane Nunes | 0 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 31 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 37 of 76 | 48% | 39 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiane Nunes | 31 of 67 | 46% | 17 of 49 | 7 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 31 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 37 of 76 | 48% | 31 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josiane Nunes | 31 of 67 | 46% | 17 of 49 | 7 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 31 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 37 of 76 | 48% | 31 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nunes (-185), Cachoeira (+154)
Round 1
Keeping to the women’s weight categories, bantamweights take center stage next in a must-win for either lady. Stout, power-punching Nunes (10-3, 3-2 UFC) has dropped two straight, while Cachoeira (12-6, 4-6 UFC) should have been released with prejudice after repeatedly gouging
Gillian Robertson
’s eyes in 2021. One of these two struggling fighters has to win, and referee Chris Tognoni will know first who that is. They touch gloves before getting down to business, and Cachoeira keeps a wide stance as she walks to the middle of the Octagon and punches Nunes square in the face. Nunes loves this idea, and she does the same. The fight immediately devolves into an all-offense fist frenzy, where the two countrywoman blast one another with unguarded power punches. They trade blows without concern for health or well-being, but as the strikes continue to mount, it is the fiery Nunes who is getting the worst of it. Nunes shoots for a desperate double after getting stung, and Cachoeira shuts it down and backs her off with a one-two. Nunes changes things up with a couple heavy low kicks, and she uses the leg kicks to try to open up one to the head. The more compact Nunes cannot quite get her foot up high enough, so she settles for brawling. Cachoeira tags Nunes, Nunes swings back, and the pendulum keeps swinging. With more range on her side, Cachoeira is able to occasionally land and circle away. Nunes keeps her guard up after taking a few especially damaging blows, and she rushes in with a swarm of fists.
Cachoeira dances out of the way, bounces off the fence and plants a one-two on the mug. Seeing that Nunes is stunned, “Zombie Girl” opens up with a monstrous uppercut that completely separates Nunes from her senses. “Josi” hits the ground on her face like a sack of bricks, and Cachoeira knows her work her is done and strides away
, pounding her chest and raising her arms in the air. It takes a couple seconds for Nunes to come to, and Tognoni has to let her know that she got knocked the heck out. The night is two for two in sweet knockouts from the ladies, and post-fight bonus checks could already be in the mail.
The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira
def.
Josiane Nunes
R1 2:46 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Josiane Nunes over Priscila Cachoeira. He notes both are similar power-punchers, but Nunes hits harder, is tougher, and doesn't absorb as many strikes. He suggests the under 2.5 rounds as a potential bet since Cachoeira could get finished.
Big Brady picks Josiane Nunes but with very low confidence, stating he would never bet on this fight. He acknowledges Priscila Cachoeira's toughness and durability but notes she absorbs a lot of strikes (43% striking defense) and is very hittable. Brady thinks Nunes is the better fighter, younger, and will land more significant shots, possibly hurting Cachoeira. However, he does not trust either fighter and expects a competitive brawl. He predicts Nunes wins by decision, calling it a potential Fight of the Night.
Cody picks Eric McConico as a dog, citing Cody Brundage's tendency to quit and his uncoachable nature. He notes that Brundage has low volume and poor cardio, while McConico has a deep gas tank and can take over late. He believes McConico can survive early rounds and win by decision or late finish.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host leans with Cachoeira, citing she has more tools in the shed, especially in striking, and her durability is good. He expects her to land nasty strikes and win on the scorecards.
Paul also picks McConico, noting that Brundage has a history of quitting and is moving up to 205, which may affect his cardio. He believes McConico's body work and volume will wear on Brundage. He sees value in the dog price and expects McConico to win if he can avoid an early knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Josiane Nunes, describing her as a 'menacing little Goblin' with dangerous punching power. He expects her to either knock out Priscila Cachoeira or beat her down over three rounds. He criticizes Cachoeira's chin and recent losses, including to Molly McCann, and notes she missed weight against Robertson. He doesn't see Cachoeira effectively outgrappling Nunes, so he's confident in Nunes getting the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 | 93 of 120 | 77% | 326 of 398 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 0 | 11:25 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 26 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 32 of 43 | 74% | 138 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 | 34 of 40 | 85% | 110 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 78 of 96 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 93 of 120 | 77% | 84 of 109 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 68 of 83 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 24 of 50 | 48% | 19 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 32 of 43 | 74% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 40 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 34 of 40 | 85% | 33 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 38 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 27 of 37 | 72% | 19 of 27 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 18 of 34 | 52% | 16 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-395), Cachoeira (+310)
Round 1
Jasudavicius will look to get the host country in the win column against Brazil’s Cachoeira, in a fight that was moved from 125 to 135 pounds apparently at Cachoeira's request. Referee Matt Rocca is the third person in the cage. The ersatz bantamweights set up in matching orthodox stances, and after a moment of cautious feeling-out, Cachoeira lands a sweeping hook. Jasudavicius steps in and takes Cachoeira down easily, dumping her onto her back near the fence. Jasudavicius sets up in the Brazilian’s half guard and rains down hammerfists from above. Cachoeira turns to the side and Jasudavicius takes the back with a single hook, then flattens her out with both hooks. Jasudavicius throws big punches to the head from back mount as the referee looks on closely. Cachoeira turns to her back, giving up full mount. Jasudavicius keeps throwing punches. Cachoeira manages to block a few with her arms, but most are getting through with varying degrees of impact. Ninety seconds left and Jasudavicius is in total control, thrashing the Brazilian with both hands. Cachoeira doesn’t even seem to be doing anything to escape the position, though she traps the left hand of Jasudavicius with her right arm, briefly slowing the assault. In the final 30 seconds, the pace slows, but Cachoeira remains flat on her back with Jasudavicius in full mount, throwing punches. The horn sounds on as one-sided a full round as you’ll see all year.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Round 2
Cachoeira, apparently not having learned her lesson, charges straight at Jasudavicius to open Round 2. Cachoeira lands a low kick and gets countered over the top with a right hand that drops her in the middle of the Octagon. Jasudavicius dives into half guard and resumes raining down punches and elbows. Jasudavicius moves to side control, then to mount, while keeping Cachoeira on the defensive with a steady stream of ground-and-pound. Cachoeira locks her arms behind Jasudavicius’ back, trying to control her posture, and Jasudavicius slides to side control, then places a knee on the belly of Cachoeira. Halfway into the round, Jasudavicius locks up a brabo choke from top position. Cachoeira’s hand hovers, appearing on the point of tapping, but she survives. Jasudavicius adjusts her position and attacks with the choke again. It looks very tight, but there is no tap forthcoming. Sixty seconds to go and Jasudavicius releases the choke, takes mount and goes right back to dropping elbows. Cachoeira is in survival mode, weakly trying to block the offense coming from the pissed-off Canadian. The horn sounds and we have a “Beatdown of the Year” candidate in the works here, folks.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Round 3
Cachoeira flicks out the jab once, twice. She changes stance and lands a left hand. Jasudavicius tries a double-leg takedown but Cachoeira manages to stay upright. Jasudavicius comes forward for another takedown and is met with a right hand that knocks her down off-balance. Cachoeira’s hands are at her waist, but she is landing punches and has thus far fought off both of Jasudavicius’ takedown attempts. Third time is the charm, however, as Jasudavicius hauls her down on her third try and moves instantly to side control, then to a mounted crucifix, there she begins dropping leather. Jasudavicius pivots to almost a north-south position, near to an inverted choke setup, but gives it up and goes back to dropping punches and elbows from top position. A minute left and Jasudavicius is basically sitting on Cachoeira’s head, knocking the cashews out of her with body punches.
Out of nowhere, Jasudavicius slaps on a modified, mounted guillotine choke and cranks. The tap comes in seconds, capping off 14 minutes of one-way traffic.
Wow.
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 4:21 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
Angelo is extremely confident in Jasudavicius, calling her his most confident pick on the card. He highlights her wrestling background, pressure, and ability to take down opponents, noting that Cachoeira is vulnerable to wrestlers. He believes Jasudavicius will dominate via takedowns and control, and considers her at minus 400 to be great value.
Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius due to her wrestling base and physical strength. He notes that Cachoeira struggles against wrestlers and is helpless on her back. He expects Jasudavicius to take her down repeatedly and win a decision. He also mentions Cachoeira's history of cheating but doesn't think it will matter.
Cody picks Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and pace. He thinks she will mix in takedowns and control the fight, avoiding a brawl. He notes Cachoeira's vulnerability to wrestling and expects a clear decision or late stoppage for Jasudavicius.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Jasudavicius is relentless with takedowns and physical, while Cachoeira has power and will cheat. He expects Jasudavicius to dominate on top and win a decision or get a finish, but acknowledges Cachoeira's threat on the feet.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Jasudavicius vs Cachoeira.
I fully expect Jasudavicius to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then dominate with her wrestling. She has great scrambles and control from top position. However, I'm not 100% sold on her getting a finish, as Cachoeira might show enough resistance to grind out a decision. The moneyline at -370 is chalky but I feel the advantage is so far in Jasudavicius's favor that I might as well throw it into a parlay. I see this as a shoo-in spot for her to be dominant with her wrestling.
Paul picks Cachoeira as a sentimental underdog, having bet her at +330. He hopes for a brawl and a KO, but acknowledges Jasudavicius is the more likely winner. He admits it's a heart pick.
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her higher level of competition and technical skill compared to Priscila Cachoeira. He notes Jasudavicius's win over Miranda Maverick and her durability, while acknowledging Cachoeira's power advantage. He also mentions Jasudavicius's reach advantage and the home crowd factor in Canada.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 36 of 51 | 70% | 105 of 132 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 8:54 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 46 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 43 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 16 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 36 of 51 | 70% | 23 of 37 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 20 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 16 of 25 | 64% | 9 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 9 of 10 | 90% | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)
Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.
Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.
James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.
Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.
Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 20 of 35 | 57% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 20 of 35 | 57% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 20 of 35 | 57% | 15 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 20 of 35 | 57% | 15 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lipski (-195), Cachoeira (+165)
Round 1
This is another rescheduled fight from last week’s event, with both women moving up a division to keep the bout intact. After a rough start to her UFC tenure, Brazil’s Cachoeira is building momentum with three wins in her last four outings. A former KSW champ, Lipski has been up and down since signing with the Las Vegas-based promotion. Herb Dean is in charge of the contest. Lipski catches Cachoeira with a counter right. Cachoeira lands a right of her own. “Zombie Girl” moves forward to force the brawl she desires and Lipski obliges. That turns out to be the wrong decision, as a left hook from Cachoeira backs up “The Violence Queen.” Cachoeira forces the issue, landing more shots.
Lipski is firing back but leaving herself exposed, and eventually the onslaught from Cachoeira drops her opponent — puncutated by a right to the chin. Cachoeira smells blood, and a barrage of punches and hammerfists on the canvas on a defenseless Lipski brings the show to a close.
The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ariane Lipski via TKO (Punches) R1 1:05
Angelo switched his pick from Lipski to Cachoeira due to Lipski's weight cut issues and medical problems. He notes Cachoeira is the more dangerous fighter with heavy pressure and power, and Lipski may not be at 100% after cutting weight twice in a short period.
Big Brady picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) to win by first-round submission. He notes that Cachoeira absorbs an absurd 7.91 significant strikes per minute with 45% striking defense, calling her the definition of blocking punches with her face. Lipski hits hard and has a good submission game, and Cachoeira has been submitted twice in the UFC. Brady believes Lipski will take the fight down and submit her easily in the first round.
Cody picks Lipski, criticizing Cachoeira's technique and durability. He notes Cachoeira missed weight and had lingering COVID symptoms, which are bad signs. Cody thinks Lipski is better standing and in the clinch, and he cannot bet Cachoeira.
Paul picks Cachoeira, having already bet her at +150 and a round three prop at 20-1. He acknowledges she missed weight and had COVID issues but still believes she can win. Paul is sticking with his bet despite the line moving against him.
The host picks Ariane Lipski (Ariane da Silva) over Priscila Cachoeira, citing Cachoeira's weak UFC wins and losses to fighters like Molly McCann and Luana Carolina. He expects Lipski to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission in the first or second round, referencing Lipski's previous dominant submission win over Luana Carolina who also beat Cachoeira.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 170 of 375 | 45% | 171 of 376 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 102 of 218 | 46% | 102 of 218 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 31 of 83 | 37% | 31 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 18 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 54 of 128 | 42% | 54 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 32 of 77 | 41% | 32 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 85 of 164 | 51% | 86 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 52 of 99 | 52% | 52 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 170 of 375 | 45% | 151 of 351 | 9 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 167 of 367 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 102 of 218 | 46% | 78 of 185 | 20 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 91 of 205 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 31 of 83 | 37% | 22 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 31 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 18 of 42 | 42% | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Priscila Cachoeira | 54 of 128 | 42% | 48 of 120 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 54 of 127 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 32 of 77 | 41% | 20 of 59 | 11 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Priscila Cachoeira | 85 of 164 | 51% | 81 of 159 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 82 of 157 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 52 of 99 | 52% | 45 of 90 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 43 of 88 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Keith Peterson will oversee this clash of women’s flyweights. Kim dodges a massive overhand and lands a counter. Cachoeira is already swinging for the fences. A Kim jab counters a low kick. Cachoeira with a kick to her foe’s lead leg. Kim follows a leg kick with a combination, but it’s just out of range. Another inside leg kick lands for Kim. They trade briefly in the pocket and both fighters land significant shots. A left hook lnads for Cachoeira, but Kim fires back with a combination. Cahoeira is swinging wildly, pursuing her opponent. Kim angles out and lands a right hand. A jab lands for Kim, who avoids her foe’s follow-up. Km with a couple inside leg kicks and Cachoeira shots for a takedown before the horn. Kim is down to a knee but stands before the end of the frame.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cachoeira
Round 2
Kim opens with a one-two. Kim counters an overhand right by Cachoeira, who steps in with a left hook that connects. A straight right snaps Cachoeira’s head back. A right cross finds the mark for Cachoeira. Kim sticks her jab but misses a right hand. A right hand backs up Cachoeira briefly. Kim with a counter left hook. Cachoeira tries to force a brawl but Kim wisely angles out of danger without taking too much damage. Kim goes back to pumping her jab, moving in and out. The flyweights trade low kicks. Another jab connects for Kim. Kim counters after a wild right from Cachoeira. The Brazilian lands a crisp jab. Cachoeira moves forward, swinging away, but she’s missing the mark. Cachoeira pressues and lands a right, but Kim tags her with a combination. They trade in close quarters, but Kim is still using her jab effectively at range.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim
Round 3
Kim with a nice three-punch combo to start. Cachoeira forces a brawl and they’re swinging wildly in the pocket. Kim connects during the exchange and Cachoeira is stunned. Kim inexplicably forces a tie-up with her dazed opponent. They separate in relatively short order and are back in the center of the cage. Kim seems to be landing more and more during the wild exchanges, while Cachoeira’s big movements are coming up empty. Kim tags Cachoeira with a few jabs, then eats a right hand. More jabs from Kim, and Cachoeira’s face is marked up. Cachoeira walks right into another jab, but she does step in and land a right. A solid right sends Cachoeira backward momentarily. Kim with another jab and then a right hand. A one-two and then a clean right tags Cachoeira. Cachoeira is unfazed, and she’s lunging forward with elbows. One of those lands and cuts Kim on her cheek, but Cachoeira is eating punches in bunches for her efforts. Cachoeira has decides to throw only elbows, and quite a few are landing. The Brazilian measures a right haymaker and connects near the fence. They are just brawling in a phone both, both trading heavy punches. Cachoeira marches forward, landing a pair of jumping knees. A standing elbow on the break lands for Cachoeira, and that one also cuts Kim. A spirited ending for Cachoeira, who appeared dead in the water earlier in the round.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kim (29-28 Kim)
The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ji Yeon Kim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Big Brady picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a seven-inch reach advantage and throws high volume, while Cachoeira absorbs 6.97 significant strikes per minute with terrible defense. He calls Cachoeira 'ketchup cheating' and says she is very hittable. Brady thinks Kim is more defensively sound and will outwork Cachoeira, though he acknowledges both fighters are low level and the fight is on the main card surprisingly.
Cody leans toward Cachoeira as a dog, noting her pressure and power could overwhelm Kim, who lacks takedown ability. He mentions Kim's reach advantage but doubts her power to keep Cachoeira off. Cody calls it a 'dog or pass' fight and suggests Cachoeira inside the distance at +400 as a possible bet.
Daniel Levi picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by decision. He notes Kim has a reach and volume advantage, and that she has been training in Vegas to avoid jet lag. Levi is concerned that Kim's fights sometimes play out too close, but believes her durability and technical boxing will overcome Cachoeira's power. He mentions Cachoeira is predictable and lacks ground game.
The host leans with Kim due to her more refined striking and better technique, expecting her to stay on the back foot and land jabs and one-twos while avoiding Cachoeira's power shots. He notes Cachoeira is flat-footed and lacks speed, which could be her downfall. However, he is not confident enough to bet at -165, saying the margin for error is thin for Kim. He predicts a decision win for Kim.
Paul leans toward Kim, citing her improved volume and defense in recent fights, especially against Molly McCann. He notes Cachoeira's poor technique and tendency to gas, and believes Kim's volume will take over as the fight progresses. However, he acknowledges women's MMA volatility and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
The MMA Guru picks Ji Yeon Kim to win by 30-27 unanimous decision. He cites Kim's significant reach advantage (72 inches vs 66-67) and believes the fight will stay on the feet, where Kim's range and cardio will allow her to outpoint Cachoeira. He references their common opponent Molly McCann, noting that Kim had a closer fight with McCann than Cachoeira did. The Guru expects competitive rounds but sees Kim pulling ahead as the fight progresses.
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