vs
-1000 +900
UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
Age 21
Height 5' 9"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 32
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Raul Rosas Jr.
1.34 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
1.24 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
6.1 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Aoriqileng
4.69 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
5.47 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.2 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Raul Rosas Jr.
Moneyline
FanDuel -1000
KO/TKO
BetRivers +500
Submission
BetRivers -143
Decision
FanDuel +490
Aoriqileng
Moneyline
BetRivers +900
KO/TKO
BetMGM +1600
Submission
FanDuel +5000
Decision
BetWay +1600
Raul Rosas Jr. - Fight History
WIN vs Rob Font
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rob Font 0 10 of 31 32% 29 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:13
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 8 of 33 24% 47 of 75 16 of 18 88% 0 1 10:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rob Font 0 7 of 20 35% 8 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 5 of 22 22% 12 of 29 5 of 6 83% 0 0 2:11
2 Rob Font 0 0 of 2 0% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 1 of 5 20% 17 of 23 3 of 3 100% 0 1 4:07
3 Rob Font 0 3 of 9 33% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 2 of 6 33% 18 of 23 8 of 9 88% 0 0 3:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rob Font 10 of 31 32% 6 of 25 2 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 8 of 33 24% 5 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 4 8 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rob Font 7 of 20 35% 4 of 15 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rob Font 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Rob Font 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (27 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo highlights that Rob Font is a technical striker with no takedown defense, while Raul Rosas is a relentless grappler with fantastic control. He expects Rosas to wrestle and get as many takedowns as he wants, as long as he doesn't try to box with Font. He calls it a Raul showcase.

"This should be a Raul showcase."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady picks Raul Rosas Jr. over Rob Font. He highlights Font's poor takedown defense (43%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground, as seen in the Cory Sandhagen fight. Rosas Jr. has improved cardio and should be able to take Font down and hold him there. Brady expects a decision win for Rosas Jr., as Font has good defensive grappling but won't take risks to get up.

Rosas Jr. by decision
"It's Ral Roses Jr. by decision. I think it's a good match up for him."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody leans toward Rosas Jr., citing Font's poor takedown defense and Rosas's youth and improvement. He notes Font's age and slowing down, and expects Rosas to rack up control time and win a decision. He mentions the Chiawei effect as a factor.

"I'm kind of leaning towards Rosas, but a lot of it is like you're just trying to believe."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Connor picks Rosas, citing Font's poor takedown defense (43% career) and Rosas's relentless wrestling. He notes that Font got taken down seven times by John Matsumoto and still won, but Sandhagen's disciplined wrestling led to a loss. Connor believes Rosas's commitment to wrestling will be enough, despite Rosas's underdeveloped striking and youth. He acknowledges Font's toughness but sees a clear path for Rosas.

Odds: Font opened at +375, now +210; Rosas opened at -500, now -245.
"I am going to take Rosas. I think any fight for Rob font with an opponent who is completely committed to wrestling him, he's going to have a really hard time stopping the takedowns."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Raul Rosas Jr., citing Rob Font's poor takedown defense and getup game, especially as he fatigues. He believes Rosas has matured since his loss to Cristian Rodriguez and will submit Font. Vreeland acknowledges Font's experience but thinks Rosas's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm going to go Rahul Rosas to get the biggest win of his career and pass this gatekeeper test against Rob Font in Vegas."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The host argues that Raul Rosas Jr. is a good bet despite being a favorite because of the extreme age gap (18 years younger), Font's poor takedown defense (42% takedown offense, gave up takedowns to Matsumoto, Figueiredo, Sandhagen), and Font's reliance on volume striking rather than power. He believes Rosas Jr. will stick to Font like glue, outgrapple him, and win two out of three rounds. He notes that Font's windows to strike will be slim due to constant takedown threats.

Implied probability 69%, but host notes he is selective with bets in this odds range; he has a 72% win rate and 5% ROI on 308 bets in this range over 13 years.
"I think it's just going to be very difficult for Rob Font to win this fight because I don't see him being able to keep the fight standing for long enough to make his edge on the feet count."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Rob Font

James picks Rob Font as an underdog, believing Font is the much better striker who will win the minutes on the feet. He acknowledges Rosas Jr.'s grappling threat but questions whether Rosas can hold Font down for extended periods, citing Font's ability to get back up in recent fights. James also notes that Rosas has never fought at this level and has been reversed in previous fights, making Font the value side. However, he admits Font's chin is a concern and that Rosas could hurt him.

"I'm going to pick Rob Font as the underdog here. I feel like the line should be closer."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is persistent with his grappling and will eventually take Font down and control him. Font has been susceptible to wrestlers. Rosas should win a decision, but the line is too high; only play if it drops to -150.

Rosas Jr. by decision
"I expect Rosas Jr. to get that control in the first, second, maybe even third rounds and that should be enough for him to win a decision here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Paul picks Rosas Jr. but with hesitation, noting his takedown ability but concerns about gassing. He thinks Rosas will get early takedowns and control, but Font's get-up game is good. He suggests betting live after seeing if Font can get back up.

"I think Ral Rosa is going to win if I was like forced to play it right now."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr., citing his relentless grappling and Font's struggles against grapplers (e.g., Sandhagen). He believes Rosas will take Font down and control him, winning by decision. He mentions the New England Cartel curse.

decision win
"I'm gonna go with Raul Rosas Jr. decision win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Rob Font

Zane picks Font, noting that Font has been taken down many times but still wins fights. He points out that Rosas's game is limited and that Font's experience and ability to do damage on the feet will be key. Zane acknowledges the risk from Rosas's speed and confidence, but believes Font's toughness and veteran savvy will carry him. He compares it to Font's win over Matsumoto.

Odds: Font +210, Rosas -245.
"I think for me, I have to pick font here. This is, he's 38. Rosas is, and he is a good, fast athlete and he's hyper confident, which counts."
WIN vs Vince Morales
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 20 of 39 51% 26 of 46 4 of 8 50% 0 0 9:38
Vince Morales 0 17 of 31 54% 39 of 53 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 11 of 18 61% 15 of 22 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:33
Vince Morales 0 0 of 4 0% 8 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:36
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 5 of 14 35% 6 of 15 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:28
Vince Morales 0 11 of 17 64% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 9 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:37
Vince Morales 0 6 of 10 60% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 20 of 39 51% 12 of 30 5 of 5 3 of 4 16 of 34 0 of 0 4 of 5
Vince Morales 17 of 31 54% 15 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 30 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 11 of 18 61% 6 of 12 4 of 4 1 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4
Vince Morales 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 5 of 14 35% 3 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Vince Morales 11 of 17 64% 10 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vince Morales 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Vince Morales vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosas Jr. (-375), Morales (+295)

Round 1
As he will likely encounter while literally growing up with the UFC, Rosas Jr. (10-1, 4-1 UFC) faces a foe tonight 14 years his senior. The promotion teed up Morales (16-9, 3-7 UFC), a fighter who has only won three times in 10 UFC appearances thus far, to serve as fodder for the youngster. The best-laid plans of mice and matchmakers often go awry, and there is no such thing as a “sure thing” in this chaotic sport of ours. The bantamweight come together under the watchful eye of referee Mike Beltran and do not touch gloves. Morales takes to the enter of the cage and paws out a jab, and he is met with a front kick to the body and a shin aimed at his chin. Rosas kicks his front leg a couple times, and he shoots for a takedown that Morales easily shucks out of the way. Rosas sprints forward to put two punches on “Vandetta,” and he chains a few more punches together before lifting Morales up in the air and slamming him down in the middle of the Octagon. Rosas lands in side control, not concerned about a feeble guillotine set up by Morales and suddenly searching for a submission. Morales reacts well enough to drag Rosas back to his guard for a second, and Rosas leaps over to the side again. Morales fights with his legs to stifle a mount attempt, and he wraps up Rosas neck with his arms and finds himself in Von Preux choke danger. Morales sees this setting up and releases his own grip to not fall in the trap. Rosas keeps moving, and he allows Morales to get to his knees so he can take the back. Rosas sneaks in a hook and pulls Morales to his side, with Morales intent on turning him about. Rosas forces Morales to turn, not getting his other hook in, and he keeps on the back while continuously threatening. Morales sits up and looks to twist again, and Rosas hooks one leg around him to keep maintaining his position. Morales breaks out of it and pursues a single, and Rosas keeps his body weight down and slams his fist on Morales’ ribs. Morales turns Rosas over and holds his shoulder down on Rosas’ neck, looking for open strikes until Rosas turns to his knees. Morales pursues a necktie submission, gripping it and leaning back to complete it, but time expires before he gets it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 2
Morales comes out of his corner jabbing, and Rosas has his distance-keeping front kick outstretched. Rosas jabs him back, and he walks into a right hand and pays it no mind. Morales loops a right hand around the guard, and he is answered by a low kick. Rosas comes up short with a step-in knee and a punch, while Morales prods him with his jab. Rosas wraps his foot around the shin of his foe, and he gets his head snapped back with a fierce right hand. Rosas backs off, and Morales slings a head kick at him and starts to defend against a takedown he is knows is coming. Still, the youngster presses Morales from one side of the cage to the other, resting his weight on the veteran and looking for a body lock and a trip when the single or double does not materialize. A subsequent effort, a single-leg takedown, allows Rosas to take his man down. Rosas hunts for a back take, sliding a hook in from behind but the second is fought by Morales. Rosas re-settles himself to hang on from a shoulder, and the two keep scrambling until Rosas laces his legs around Morales’ left thigh. Morales rolls his eyes as he is getting controlled without being able to fight back, as Rosas follows his moves and threatens to loop his arm around the chin. Morales defends with two hands on one wrist, and he posts off to get to his feet all while Rosas is still imposing his weight on his back. Morales shimmies and shakes to wrench the youngster off of him, only to get dragged down and put on his back. Morales wags his finger at the conclusion of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 3
Morales is even more fired up to get to the last round, and he runs at the 20-year-old flailing his fists. Rosas keeps his back to the cage, strafing to the side and into a head kick. Rosas shoots, and Morales sets up a Peruvian necktie and tries to hit it. When that first one does not come together, Morales locks up an anaconda choke and transitions it to a brabo choke while on his back. Without any legs in play, hooked around Rosas’ back or otherwise presenting additional pressure, Rosas is able to stay composed and slowly work his way out of it. Rosas unleashes a powerful elbow when reclaiming top position, and Morales tries to roll out of the predicament and gives his back up. Rosas does not hang onto the back this time and instead lets Morales roll through. Morales hooks the leg to set up some leglock, and Rosas steps over it and puts Morales back on his side. When Morales gets up, Rosas bullies him right back to his seat. Morales is irritated that he cannot get Rosas off of him, and he stands up and uses the fence to his side to scrape Rosas off. Rosas shoots for a single, and Morales attempts a desperation necktie. Rosas turns through it, and Morales fastens a brabo choke again but does not have a lot of time left. Rosas signals a thumbs-up as the choke is pressed on his windpipe, and the match comes to an end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Morales (29-28 Rosas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Morales (29-28 Rosas)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Morales (29-28 Rosas)

The Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr. def. Vince Morales via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

James picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win but is hesitant due to the minus 400 price tag and elevation concerns. He notes Rosas has cardio issues that could be exacerbated at elevation, while Morales has good cardio and is tough to finish. James thinks Rosas will likely win via submission or decision but cannot recommend betting him at such short odds. He suggests that if Rosas doesn't finish early, he could fade in later rounds.

Prediction: Rosas via submission or decision. Advises against betting Rosas at minus 400 due to cardio and elevation risks.
"I'm going to pick Ral roses Jr to win the fight via submission or decision but there's no way I'm laying minus 400 chalk on this guy."
WIN vs Aoriqileng
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 41 of 94 43% 98 of 158 3 of 7 42% 0 0 7:32
Aoriqileng 0 22 of 54 40% 80 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 11 of 22 50% 41 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:13
Aoriqileng 0 4 of 10 40% 18 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 17 of 49 34% 17 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 13 of 23 56% 40 of 54 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:19
Aoriqileng 0 1 of 2 50% 45 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 41 of 94 43% 21 of 59 7 of 20 13 of 15 27 of 70 0 of 0 14 of 24
Aoriqileng 22 of 54 40% 12 of 43 10 of 11 0 of 0 22 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 11 of 22 50% 5 of 10 1 of 7 5 of 5 6 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 6
Aoriqileng 4 of 10 40% 1 of 6 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 17 of 49 34% 9 of 35 2 of 6 6 of 8 17 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 17 of 42 40% 11 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 13 of 23 56% 7 of 14 4 of 7 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 18
Aoriqileng 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosas Jr. (-850), Aori (+575)

Round 1
It’s time for something new. It’s time for something different. Out of the UFC Apex, and not even posted up in its standard haunt of the T-Mobile Arena, instead the UFC is putting on a night of combat inside of the vaulted Sphere in Las Vegas. While some have seen snippets of previews, the occasional Twitter leak and some other sneak peeks, this will be fresh to fans and media alike. We don’t quite know what to expect, and that makes it exciting. This 10-fight showcase that celebrates Mexican fighters on Mexican Independence Day—along with a spangly-haired kid from Montana against a robot from Georgia, not to mention Saudi Arabia thrown in for good measure—and as a result, Mexican combatants will be the focus and betting favorites almost every step of the way. The matchup of the evening will also serve as the one with the widest betting lines, as grappling wunderkind Rosas Jr. (9-1, 3-1 UFC) comes in with odds in his favor around -1000 against well-traveled China export Aori (25-11, 1 NC; 3-3, 1 NC UFC). Although referee Chris Tognoni signed up to officiate this event like any other, even he is surprised at the spectacle unfolding around them. The bantamweights touch gloves, and it’s time for something new. Rosas lashes out first with a low kick, and he is warned for outstretched fingers. He switches stances and kick Aori two more times on the lead leg. Rosas goes to the body with a kick, and chants for “chiwiwis” rain down in support of Rosas. Aori springs into action with a lunging combination, and the Mexican youngster bats them out of the way and circles off. Rosas whiffs on a pair of looping shots, and he gets caught with a right hand and just misses on the counter. Rosas attacks the front leg a few more times, and when he stands still, Aori potshots him with a solid right hand. Rosas jumps back and forth between stances, and he is once more warned for his fingers pointing out. Rosas charges in from a distance to go after a takedown, and after they bounce off the wall, he succeeds in dragging the Chinese competitor down. Rosas opens up with several loud body shots while Aori looks for sweeps and butterfly hooks, but he elects instead to pass to half guard. Rosas climbs over to side control, and he moves to mount in a hurry. Aori times the guard pass to buck and sit up, but this only allows Rosas to circle around him and take his back. Aori is warned for pulling his toes in the cage as additional chants for “chiwiwis” loudly call for Rosas. Rosas grips a brief face crank, but he bails on it when the grip is not tight. As Aori turns to his side, Rosas punches him in the side of the head a few times. With seconds to spare, Rosas slides over to the mount position to rain down elbows, and the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 2
The bantamweights touch ‘em up to get going, and Rosas opens up with a kick or two before Aori surges at him with punches outstretched. Aori reaches his foe with a right hand amidst an exchange, and he hops away when Aori jumps at him with a knee. Rosas paws with a few more low kicks, and one slides up and bumps into the cup apparently. Aori waves it off, and he winds up with a massive right hand that brushes past the hair of the youngster. Rosas shoots for a takedown, and Aori tosses it aside. Aori jabs his way in but misses on the overhand right, and he stops another takedown effort coming his way. Rosas peppers the lead leg with kicks, keeping to the outer edge to not allow Aori to reach him with anything of significance. When Aori does connect, Rosas fires back angrily. The warning comes for Rosas again for pointing his fingers out, and Aori loads up on an overhand right to smash the kid in the chops. Aori chambers and fires another big overhand right, and Rosas wears it well and keeps moving and switching stances. Aori goes for a right hand to the body, and he tries for two more wide hooks. Rosas walks towards him and wants to brawl, and Aori happily obliges him. Aori tags him during an exchange, and he fights off a takedown up close. Aori stalks after the younger fighter and flicks out a jab or two, and he goes to the body with a right hand. Aori parries a kick and gives a loud one back to the body, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The fighters come together to hug it out before the last round commences, with Rosas showing a little trickle of blood on his lip. When they disengage, Aori is quick to pick up where he left off, walking the 19-year-old down and kicking him in the ribs. To fire up Rosas, the crowd chants “chiwiwis” again, and this results in him charging in for a tackling takedown that puts Aori to his seat. Aori wall-walks, and Rosas quickly mat returns him with a body lock, landing in side control. Aori scrambles, and in the process, he gives up his back when turning to his knees. Rosas reaches way back to slam down knees to the shoulder, landing several until Aori sells out by somersaulting. This forces “Mongolian Murderer” to his back once more, with Rosas comfortably on top of him in the guard. Rosas stays busy on top with ground-and-pound, more of the frustrating variety than with anything individually damaging. Tognoni asks for more activity from on top, and Rosas sits up to fling one right hand down. It’s “chiwiwis” again for the audience, but Rosas does not take any additional chances or let anything special fly. At 19 years of age, the young Rosas has not let the surroundings or his hype get the better of him, as he smothers the power puncher and keeps him flat on his back. Rosas drops down an elbow and a left hand, and Aori responds with an elbow from his back. As seconds tick off the clock, both fighters swing at one another, and the less-than-thrilling match comes to an end. Barring something unusual, Mexico is on the board, and the audience may hope that things spice up a bit.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (30-27 Rosas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)

The Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr. def. Qileng Aori via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr. but with caution. He notes Rosas is young (19), a relentless grappler with 12 takedowns in 5 fights, but his striking is still raw and he can be reckless. Angelo points out that Rosas lost the first round in his last fight and gassed out badly two fights ago against CR Rod. He warns against overexposure on the -700 line, suggesting Rosas could still make mistakes. The pick is Rosas, but Angelo advises betting conservatively.

Caution against heavy betting on Rosas due to youth and past cardio issues.
"Rosas is going to be the pick but like I always say I'm conservative an bet with caution... I would not be overly Expos I wouldn't say he he's minus 700 let me throw R Rosas in 15 parlay he's …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady sees this as a clear mismatch, with Raul Rosas Jr. being a massive favorite. He notes Aoriqileng's poor takedown defense and history of submissions, predicting Rosas will get a takedown and finish quickly. He expects a first-round submission win.

first round submission
"I think it's a really bad match for RI long... Ral roses Jr gets a takedown and probably finishes it shortly after."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his size, grappling, and relentless pressure. He expects Rosas to take down Qileng and submit him, possibly in the second round. He mentions Qileng's counter right hand but believes Rosas' grappling will be too much.

Rosas by submission in round 2
"roses to win by Sub in round one is plus 190 and Roses to win by Sub in round two is plus 290"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a phenom who will get the fight to the ground as he always does. Aoriqileng has shown decent grappling defense but will struggle with Rosas Jr.'s aggression. Expects Rosas Jr. to get him out in the first round, likely by submission.

submission TKO prop, probably by submission
"I expect Rosas Jr to get him out of there in the first round submission TKO prop not a bad sprinkle but probably by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes that Aoriqileng has lost to fighters he wouldn't describe as extremely talented, and that Rosas Jr. is a rising prospect with good grappling and pace. He trusts Rosas Jr. to get the grappling going early and secure a submission.

submission win first or second round
"I'm going to go with aori Chang losing this one by being out grappled... first or second round for R roses Jr I'm going with him to get the job done"
WIN vs Ricky Turcios
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:22 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 3 of 9 33% 25 of 34 4 of 7 57% 1 1 5:49
Ricky Turcios 0 7 of 15 46% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 1 of 3 33% 21 of 25 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:40
Ricky Turcios 0 5 of 11 45% 50 of 61 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 2 of 6 33% 4 of 9 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:09
Ricky Turcios 0 2 of 4 50% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ricky Turcios 7 of 15 46% 3 of 10 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ricky Turcios 5 of 11 45% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his relentless wrestling and takedowns. He acknowledges that Ricky Turcios has a wild style and good scrambles, but his takedown defense is poor. He thinks Rosas will get takedowns early and often, and while Turcios might survive, Rosas should win a decision or get a submission. He is confident in Rosas.

"rul Rosas should win this fight he should win this fight he's going to be my pick to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by decision. He notes that the fight is now in Louisville instead of Mexico City, removing elevation concerns. He highlights Turcios's zero takedown defense, having been taken down 13 times in his last two fights. He expects Rosas to chain wrestle and win a dominant decision, possibly dropping the third round if he slows down.

"I'm going I'm going Ral roses here by by by decision in this one I think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody picks Rosas Jr. based on the stylistic matchup, noting Turcios' poor takedown defense and Rosas' strength and wrestling. He acknowledges Rosas' cardio issues but believes Turcios is not durable enough to survive the early rounds. Cody also likes that the fight was postponed, giving Rosas more time to prepare and make weight. He expects Rosas to get takedowns and potentially submit Turcios.

"the style Clash I'm taking R roses the second thing is I really like that the last fight got can I love it I love it assuming he makes weight assuming he looks good on the scales the last time …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel leans towards Rosas due to his physicality and early dominance, but acknowledges Turcios' experience and the possibility of Rosas gassing late. He notes Rosas' style requires high energy, similar to Aljamain Sterling, and that Turcios could take over if he makes Rosas work. He picks Rosas but wouldn't be surprised by a late fade.

"I'm gonna lean towards Raul because I do think he's gonna have early dominance but is it gonna surprise you if he pulls like a young stunt late into the fight after dominating early not going to surprise me"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Jacob picks Raul Rosas Jr., calling it a simple matchup: a relentless wrestler against a guy who can't defend takedowns. He notes that Turcios has empty pressure and isn't dangerous. He thinks Rosas will get takedowns and control the fight, and even if he gasses, he can still win. He is confident Rosas gets it done easily.

"1 plus one equals two I'm taking R roses get this done and get it done easy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a young grappler with strong scrambling and control, while Turcios is unorthodox and hard to submit. The fight will likely be a grappling-heavy scramble, with Rosas Jr. getting more control time and winning a decision. However, Turcios' experience and weird style make it tough to trust Rosas at -220. Over 2.5 rounds is a better play.

over 2.5 rounds at -150 to -155
"I do like you over 2 and A2 which is currently around - 150 - 1555 I think it's going to be very difficult for either guy to lock up a submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Paul picks Rosas Jr., noting that Turcios is a terrible stylistic matchup for Rosas due to his poor takedown defense and lack of finishing ability. He believes Rosas will take him down early and often, and while Rosas has cardio issues, Turcios is not good enough to capitalize. Paul expects Rosas to win by submission or decision.

"R Rosas is probably by sub but uh R Ros is on the money line for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The Guru picks Rosas Jr. because Turcios has looked embarrassing in recent fights, especially against Kevin Natividad and Aiemann Zahabi, where he didn't want to engage. He says Rosas will put him away just by wanting to win. He notes Turcios has good takedown defense but Rosas is relentless and will find a way to jump to the back. He predicts a first-round rear-naked choke.

First-round submission (rear-naked choke) prediction
"I'm going to go over Al roses Jr rened choke round one"
TKO (punches) R1 0:54 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 1 18 of 30 60% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Terrence Mitchell 0 6 of 19 31% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1 18 of 30 60% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Terrence Mitchell 0 6 of 19 31% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 18 of 30 60% 17 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 17
Terrence Mitchell 6 of 19 31% 5 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 18 of 30 60% 17 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 17
Terrence Mitchell 6 of 19 31% 5 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr., expecting him to be more composed after his first loss. He believes Rosas's relentless grappling will overwhelm Terrence Mitchell, who can be taken down and controlled. He considers Rosas safe for parlays, possibly with Roman Kopylov.

suggested parlay with Roman Kopylov
"Raul should be good he should be good to Parlay I haven't done a parlay yet but I mean Raul and Roman copylov I mean that should that should hit 99 out of 100 times"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady is very confident in Rosas, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Mitchell's low level of competition and that he gets finished early by anyone relevant. He expects Rosas to take Mitchell down quickly and submit him, predicting a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I gotta go with Rob rosace Jr. Emma taken to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody is very confident in Rosas Jr., calling him 'top ticket material'. He details Mitchell's poor resume, including a 30-second KO loss to Kai Kara-France on TUF. Cody believes Rosas will get takedowns easily and finish, likely by submission. He recommends betting Rosas inside the distance and notes the round 1 prop at minus 155 is a good price.

Rosas Jr. inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds; Rosas Jr. round 1 minus 155
"I think he just absolutely plows him so yeah sign me up."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel Levi picks Raul Rosas Jr. confidently, noting that Rosas learned a valuable lesson in his loss to Christian Rodriguez. He believes Rosas's grappling will be decisive, as once he takes Mitchell's back, the fight will end quickly. Levi points out that Mitchell is ranked 183rd in the world and that Rosas is being developed properly with a soft matchup. He expects Rosas to get back on track with a dominant performance.

"I do think that it's probably a one back take or one takedown and the fight is over"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a smothering grappler with nasty chokes and great ground control. Mitchell is an Alaska regional fighter who was finished quickly by Cameron Simon and Kai Kara-France. Rosas should have no problem taking Mitchell down and finishing him in the first round. This is a perfect matchup for Rosas to get back on track after his loss to Christian Rodriguez.

under 1.5 rounds
"I fully expect him to have a very easy fight here against the LA against the Alaska FC product Terence Mitchell... first round finish for Raul Rosas Jr"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Paul picks Rosas Jr. but notes the minus 800 line offers no value. He expects Rosas to get takedowns and finish early, possibly by submission. He mentions Mitchell's lack of success at higher levels and that he is being brought in as a rebound opponent. Paul suggests betting Rosas inside the distance or under 1.5 rounds.

Rosas Jr. inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds; Rosas Jr. round 1 minus 155 (best price)
"I'll pick R roses but I don't know how to approach this from a betting perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. over Terrence Mitchell, predicting a first-round rear-naked choke. He notes Mitchell's lack of strength and that Rosas's strength-based grappling will be effective. He mentions Rosas's training with Sarah Longo and believes the humbling loss to Christian Rodriguez will help him. He sees Mitchell as weak and easily manipulated on the ground.

first round rear naked choke
"I'm gonna go over Al Rosas Jr getting a first round rear naked choke over Terence Mitchell"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Rodriguez 0 2 of 19 10% 2 of 19 3 of 16 18% 1 0 4:50
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 29 of 52 55% 83 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 7:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Rodriguez 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 3 of 8 37% 1 0 4:02
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 2 of 6 33% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
2 Christian Rodriguez 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:48
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 4 of 6 66% 24 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:37
3 Christian Rodriguez 0 2 of 15 13% 2 of 15 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 23 of 40 57% 50 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Rodriguez 2 of 19 10% 2 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 3 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 29 of 52 55% 26 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 18 4 of 7 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Rodriguez 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 2 of 6 33% 1 of 3 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 1
2 Christian Rodriguez 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 4 of 6 66% 2 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Christian Rodriguez 2 of 15 13% 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 3 2 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raul Rosas Jr. 23 of 40 57% 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 15 0 of 0 20 of 25
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Rodriguez * vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosas (-225), Rodriguez (+190)

Round 1
Of the 26 competitors on the lineup, just one missed weight: Rodriguez (8-1, 1-1 UFC), who clocked in a pound heavy for his bantamweight meeting with surging youngster Rosas (7-0, 1-0 UFC). Rosas will be looking for his second UFC win before his 19th birthday, while the relatively elderly Rodriguez at 25 is also hunting for win no. 2 in the promotion. Grappling should be on display for this catchweight affair, one that will be joined in the cage by referee Keith Peterson. Nonsense has left the building, while former President Donald Trump is sitting next to Dana White. The fighters have no interest in touching gloves, and instead want to get right down to business. Rosas sprints at his opponent for a takedown, and Rodriguez easily stops it and gets pushed to the wall. A second try from Rosas trips Rodriguez to the floor for a moment, and he even lifts Rodriguez up in the air, but “CeeRod” keeps himself upright and knees the body. Rosas drops down for a single, and Rodriguez defends it by punching and elbowing Rosas in the face. “El Nino Problema” whips Rodriguez down to the mat, and he moves straight into half guard and shifts to side control. Rosas snatches up a guillotine choke, and Rodriguez times this perfectly to flip over him and gain dominant position. Rosas explodes back to his feet before falling victim to a potential submission, and he pushes Rodriguez up to the wire. Rosas clasps his hands around the waist, and Rodriguez remains upright and has his mouthpiece knocked out by a jump knee from his opponent. Rosas yanks Rodriguez down to the floor, and Rodriguez stands up. Rosas jumps on his back and hooks his legs around the waist for a body triangle, and he hunts for a rear-naked choke. The forearm is not under the neck and is more of a face crank, but Rodriguez grits it out and fights the hands to stop the choke from succeeding. Rosas resets it and secures the arm on the jaw, and he squeezes with all his might. Rodriguez lowers himself to the floor, and he protects himself by hand-fighting again. Rosas secures the body triangle again, crushing down below the ribs, and Rodriguez attempts to turn over. Rosas looks to switch for an armbar setup, but he bails on it to hang on until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 2
The two fighters meet in the middle, and Rosas instantly starts the round by shooting for a single. Rodriguez bowls him over and pushes the youngster to the mat. Briefly taking side control, Rodriguez cannot keep him down and stands up. He greets Rosas with a knee and an elbow, and Rosas holds on and drops down for a failed single. Rodriguez pushes him off and steps back from a spinning back kick, and he attacks another takedown and manages to take Rodriguez’ back standing. The 18-year-old, who appears to be fading slightly, pulls Rodriguez down to the floor momentarily. Rodriguez climbs back up with the wall behind him, and he looks to grab Rosas’ leg from behind his own. Rosas falls to his back, and he throws his legs up for a potential inverted triangle setup. Rodriguez shrugs it off and moves to north-south position, and he shifts over to half guard and drops down an elbow. Rosas rolls and scrambles wildly, but Rodriguez follows him every step of the way and winds up in side control, elbowing the body. Rosas attempts to push off the wall with his feet, and he rolls to his knees and gives up his back. Rodriguez bullies Rosas down to the floor, and he locks up the body triangle and gains possession of the back. Rosas turns over, and Rodriguez slugs him in the side of the head a few times while maintaining the body lock. Rodriguez sets up a rear-naked choke, and he softens “El Nino Problema” up with his right hand. Rodriguez maintains his leg grip tight as a drum, and he rides out the round on the back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez

Round 3
The final round kicks off, and this time, Rosas does not frantically shoot for takedown. Rodriguez catches him with a right hand, and he times a leaping Rosas with another overhand right. The punches of Rodriguez slightly dislodge the youngster’s mouthpiece, and he bears down on him and slugs him a few more times. Rosas charges for a takedown, and he releases the grip when it fails. Rodriguez stops it and stands up, and he meanders towards his opponent and staves off another entry. Rosas leaps forward with a left hand, and Rodriguez whiffs on a counter. The 18-year-old ends up giving up his back when shooting in for a takedown, and Rodriguez pummels him until throwing Rosas down to the ground and claiming the mount position. The calm Rodriguez flattens his prey out briefly, and he pounds on him with unblocked punches. Rodriguez postures up and slowly, methodically beats on Rosas, who latches onto his left arm with all his might. Rodriguez elbows behind the ear, and he wraps up the body lock and takes the back. Rodriguez plants his elbow on Rosas’ dome, and he considers a choke but elects to keep punching Rosas. Rodriguez threatens with rear-naked choke setups from both arms, and he looks to shift over to mount but instead fastens his grip for a face crank. Rosas twists and turns, but Rodriguez is wise to every move and smacks him around. With 20 seconds to spare, Rodriguez releases his leg grip and stands back up. Rodriguez eats a left hand and nails Rosas with a few left hands of his own. The fight comes to a close, and the undefeated record of the 18-year-old is about to go up in smoke.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Rodriguez (29-27 Rodriguez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Rodriguez (29-27 Rodriguez)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez (29-28 Rodriguez)

The Official Result
Christian Rodriguez def. Raul Rosas Jr. via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo is confident in Raul Rosas Jr., noting that Christian Rodriguez has been taken down 10 times in the UFC, and Raul is a relentless grappler who doesn't let people up. He thinks it's that simple: Raul will take him down and control him. He has a moneyline bet at -185 and expects the line to move further in Raul's favor.

moneyline bet at -185
"I got Raul Rosas at minus 185. but this line is sort of all over the place"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by first-round submission, impressed by his grappling and maturity. He notes that Rodriguez has been taken down by previous opponents and that Rosas has elite BJJ. He warns about Rodriguez's guillotine but believes Rosas will be wise to it. He predicts an early finish.

first round submission
"I'm gonna go rob Rose's Junior first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody picks Rosas, arguing that despite his age, he is rapidly improving and his wrestling should be effective against Rodriguez, who has poor takedown defense. Cody notes that Rodriguez is still developing himself and the gap between an 18-year-old and a 25-year-old isn't huge. He believes Rosas' physical maturity and grappling will carry him, and that the price is fair. He acknowledges Rosas may eventually be humbled but not here.

"I think he is the pick"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Connor picks Rosas because Rodriguez takes himself out of position and fights into the clinch, where Rosas excels. Rosas is a great back-taker and crushing positional grappler. Rodriguez showed vulnerability to takedowns against Joshua Weems, and Rosas is a much better grappler. Connor doesn't see anything in Rodriguez's game that suggests he can stay off the ground or win if taken down.

Rosas opened at -175, now -233; Rodriguez opened at +156, now +203. Connor thinks the odds could get wider.
"You got to take Raul."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Jacob is also confident in Raul, sharing a story about how Raul started grappling after being out-grappled once, showing his natural talent. He notes that Christian Rodriguez likes to scramble, which will lead to Raul taking his back. He predicts a finish after the first takedown.

"I like Raul with the finish I think it happens after the first takedown"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a well-rounded prospect with pinpoint striking and good scrambles. Rosas is a young grappling phenom but his striking is raw and he makes positional mistakes. Rodriguez has the composure to reverse positions and keep the fight standing, where he has a clear advantage. I think Rosas's overzealous grappling will be exploited, and Rodriguez wins by knockout or decision.

"I think the guy with the brighter future out of both of these guys is Christian Rodriguez in my opinion he's the more complete fighter here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Rodriguez

Paul picks Rodriguez as a dog but is hesitant. He questions Rosas' striking and notes that if Rodriguez can survive the early rounds and get back to his feet, he has a striking advantage. Paul points out Rodriguez's good scrambling and ability to land shots. He also mentions the Florida crowd might favor exciting striking over grinding wrestling. However, he acknowledges Rosas' wrestling is a threat and that Rodriguez has poor takedown defense.

"for the purposes of the show I'll pick the dog in Christian Rodriguez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by second-round submission via face crank. He initially thought decision but changed due to Rodriguez's bad weight cut. He expects Rodriguez to do well early but fade, with Rosas taking over in scrambles and eventually sinking in a choke over the jaw. He describes a detailed grappling sequence leading to the tap.

second round submission, face crank
"I'm gonna go with Raul roses Jr by second late second round submission"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Zane picks Rosas because Rodriguez's takedown defense is poor, as seen against Weems. Rosas is an aggressive grappler with excellent back-taking and ground control. Zane notes that Rodriguez's record shows submissions, but he doesn't see anything that suggests he can avoid being taken down and controlled by Rosas.

Rosas opened at -175, now -233; Rodriguez opened at +156, now +203. Zane thinks the odds could get wider.
"Same."
WIN vs Jay Perrin
Submission (face crank) R1 2:44 · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 14 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:12
Jay Perrin 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 14 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:12
Jay Perrin 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo is confident Rosas will dominate via wrestling and control, predicting a wet blanket decision. He has a 2-unit moneyline bet on Rosas at -255. However, he expresses concern that Rosas is too young (18) for the UFC, comparing him to Aaron Pico who was pushed too fast. He believes Rosas will outpace Perrin and wrestle him relentlessly.

2-unit moneyline bet at -255.
"I do have a two unit moneyline bet on him at minus 255. I'm very confident in this pick I think he's going to wet blanket his way to a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Big Brady picks the underdog Jay Perrin, citing Perrin's excellent takedown defense, cardio, and toughness. He notes Rosas Jr. has faced no adversity and has poor striking, while Perrin trains with Merab Dvalishvili and has good grappling. He expects Perrin to survive early takedowns and take over in later rounds, winning by decision or late finish.

Perrin wins by decision; Perrin is a dog at +195
"I'm actually gonna take the dog here and Jay Perrin to get the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody picks Rosas Jr., citing his submission grappling and cardio. He thinks the UFC is building him up and that Perrin is a favorable matchup. He notes Rosas' relentless pressure and chain wrestling. He expects a submission or inside the distance win, and suggests taking Rosas inside the distance at plus 140.

Rosas Jr. inside the distance (+140)
"I think the kid rolls I think the kid wins likely by submission... I'd probably just take the plus 140 inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel Levi picks Raul Rosas Jr., believing the UFC matched him against a weak opponent in Jay Perrin. He describes Perrin as average everywhere with a poor attitude, and notes that the UFC offered the fight to other fighters first. Levi likes Rosas's length, awkwardness, grappling ability (back takes, scrambles), and confidence. He expects Rosas to win, possibly by submission, but is not crazy about the -240 price. He suggests waiting for a better line around -200.

Suggests Rosas may choke Perrin out (submission).
"I think Raul Rosa is super long for a bantamweight really awkward especially with his grappling ability"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Lock is confident in Rosas Jr. from a PredictionStrike perspective, noting that if he fulfills his potential, the current price of $1.26 will look like a steal. He acknowledges the possibility of struggles like other young fighters, but believes Rosas has the best base for MMA with his grappling and jiu-jitsu, and a safe style that minimizes damage. He thinks this is likely the best price you'll ever get on him, and recommends buying in for the long term.

"I don't mind getting in on him here because if he is any good this will probably be the best price you're going to get on him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick, noting Rosas is very young (17) and that Perrin has wrestling credentials. He thinks Perrin could give Rosas trouble and that the fight is not a high priority for betting. He acknowledges Rosas' potential but is not confident either way.

"I honestly could see parent giving him troubles just on the basis of we can't ignore the fact that the kid's 17 years old... this is not a fight that I would put high up on the lust of priorities …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. over Jay Perrin by close decision. He acknowledges Perrin is a formidable fighter who gave tough fights to Aoriqileng and Mario Bautista, but believes Rosas Jr.'s willingness to grapple will be the difference. He expects Rosas Jr. to secure takedowns and control positions, possibly losing a round but winning 29-28.

"I'm going with Rosas Jr here over Jay perim J perrin's good so I'm not going to say that Raul destroys him I think this is going to be another decision for Raul"
Aoriqileng - Fight History
SCHED vs Cody Haddon
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Haddon vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Haddon (-350); Aori (+280)

Round 1
Aussie bantamweight prospect Haddon (8-1; 1-0 UFC) looks to follow up on his debut win against Aoriqileng (26-12, 1 NC; 4-4, 1 NC UFC), who will attempt to turn things around for the host country, as Chinese fighters are 0-2 on the evening thus far. Jason Herzog is the referee on duty. Both fighters are orthodox and Aoriqileng looks a full weight class larger than Haddon. It’s Haddon pushing the action, however, sliding forward into the pocket and exchanging glancing punch combinations with the “Mongolian Murderer.” Neithen man lands anything clean, but Haddon steps into the pocket again, tries a knee pick, and then uses a body lock to hoist and slam Aori. He slides to the back and pounds his foe’s head with both fists as they sink to the canvas. Haddon is in complete control, mindful of his postur and position as he continues to hammer the near-helpless Aori. Making things worse, Aori’s right arm becomes pinned under his body for a moment, and the Australian takes full advantage, pounding away with elbows and punches. Herzog is hovering nearby, but letting Aori work his way out of danger, and his patience is vindicated as Aori rolls and frees his arm. It’s still 100% Haddon, however, and with under a minute to go he pauses the unending storm of punches to try for a rear-naked choke. Aori spins out of back mount, forcing Haddon to give up the choke, but he continues to pour on the punishment until the horn sounds. Complete thrashing in Round 1 by the younger man.
10-8 Haddon.

Round 2
Aori looks much recovered to start Round 2, and he comes forward right away, swinging hooks with both hands. Haddon drops for a takedown and gets absolutely pancaked, recovers and enters again, only for Aori to catch him in a front headlock and snap him down. Aori looks for the guillotine and is legitimately threatening Haddon’s neck, but Haddon eventually extricates himelf from the choke and they return to their feet. From there, he is quick to enter once again, dropping for a smooth-looking double leg.
Aori stands him up with underhooks, at which point Haddon hits him with two knees to the liver, the second of which absolutely melts him. Haddon follows Aori back to the mat and pours on the punches at the base of the fence, and it’s clear that Aori is cooked.
Herzog steps in for the save and the domination is complete. Brutal, brutal work by the man from Western Australia.

The Official Result
Cody Haddon def. Qileng Aori R2 2:21 via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

AJ confidently picks Haddon, praising his clean boxing, combinations, and forward pressure. He thinks Haddon's striking is faster and more powerful than Aoriqileng's, and expects a finish, possibly by KO. AJ notes Haddon is a blue-chip prospect and Aoriqileng is a tough but less technical veteran.

Cody Haddon wins by KO/TKO
"I'm picking Cody Hadden, but like Aricie Long is not an easy UFC challenge for Cody Hadden, dude. Aricie Long's gangster with the striking. He's a vet, too. ... I think Cody Hadden could end up rocking Aricie Long bad …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

AJ is a fan of Cody Haddon as a prospect, praising his hands, boxing pressure, high output, and slickness. He thinks Haddon's volume and speed will overwhelm Aoriqileng, who has dangerous offense but is hittable. AJ believes Haddon will outwork him, possibly with a finish, and that Haddon's talent is superior. He notes Haddon is coming off a layoff but expects the best version.

Haddon KO at +210; Haddon at -350
"I'm a Cody Hadden fan for sure as a prospect. I think he's nice with it, man. Good hands on him, good boxing pressure, high output, slickness in his shots. ... Hadden for the dub is my call."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff and major surgery. He acknowledges Cody is the better fighter and if he is even 80% of what he was, he should win. However, he cannot touch the odds due to the uncertainty.

"I'm still going to pick Cody win because Cody is the better fighter. He's just the better fighter. But I just can't I can't touch these odds. Not in this situation."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon, praising his pressure, pace, and well-rounded skills. He is concerned about Haddon's long layoff due to injury but still believes he is the better overall fighter. However, he plans to fade Haddon in DraftKings due to high price and potential scoring issues.

fade in DraftKings lineup due to price and layoff
"I still think Cody Haden gets the win. I think he's the better overall fighter. I love the pressure. I love everything about Cody Haden in this matchup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon based on his skills and performance against Dan Argueta, but he is hesitant due to Haddon's two-year layoff from a torn ligament. He questions what version of Haddon will show up and notes the risk of fighting in enemy territory. He cannot bet on Haddon at -350 given the uncertainty, but he is rooting for him.

"I have to pick Cody here. I cannot bet on him at minus 350. Not after a long two-year injury layoff in quote unquote enemy territory."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Big Brady picks Cody Haddon by decision, praising his clean boxing, fast hands, volume, and wrestling. He notes Haddon is good everywhere and has been out with injuries but is only 27. He acknowledges Aoriqileng is tough and durable but believes Haddon will outland him and mix in takedowns if needed.

"Give me Cody Haden to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Cody is high on Haddon, calling him a legitimate prospect with crisp boxing, good volume, durability, and improving wrestling. He notes Haddon's takedown defense and scrambling looked good against Dan Argueta. Richie Lang is an older, slower fighter who struggles with volume and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. Cody expects Haddon to outwork and potentially finish Lang.

Haddon by decision or late finish; Haddon to land 150+ significant strikes
"I don't see him losing. So, he is a guy that I may be overvaluing, sure, but you see money's coming in. People are seeing probably the exact same thing."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Haddon

Connor picks Cody Haddon, praising his lazy but effective style: a calm, flat-footed fighter with a long jab, good head movement, and combinations to the body. He notes Haddon's poise is a strength, though it could later lead to a fight being ripped away.

"Cody Haddon looks lazy in a James Toney kind of way... that poise is a strength."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Jacob picks Cody Haddon and is confident despite the layoff. He notes that Cody has a boxing background and wrestling as a backup plan. He thinks Cody should use wrestling early to take the pop out of Aoriqileng's shots. He acknowledges the risk but believes Cody is the better fighter.

"I'm touching them, man. I'm touching them. I'm feeling them. I'm squeezing them. I'm going to enjoy them. Because this is where the line should be priced."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Lucrative James is high on Cody Haddon, calling him 'championship material' with superior boxing, volume, and body work. He notes Aoriqileng's only path is power punches, but Haddon's chin and defensive skills should prevail. He expects Haddon to win a beatdown decision, possibly with late finish attempts, but Aori is tough. He mentions Haddon's injury history but believes in his skill level.

Cody Haddon via decision
"I got Cody Haden to win this fight. I'll say that he wins it via decision, but like a beatdown decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The host picks Haddon to win inside the distance, citing his technical superiority in all aspects and speed advantage. He believes Haddon's slick striking and grappling will cause Aoriqileng problems, and that Aoriqileng's overaggression will open up finishing opportunities. He cannot decide between knockout or submission but is confident in a finish.

"I'm going to go Haden here. I'm going to go Haden inside the distance. I don't I can't pick between knockout or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The host is a big Cody Haddon fan and believes this is a perfect matchup for him. He expects Haddon to showcase sharper striking and good grappling, eventually finding a big shot to finish Aoriqileng inside the distance.

inside the distance
"Give me Cody Haden inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Haddon's well-rounded skills and volume. He mentions that Lang's wins are over low-level opponents and that Haddon's pace will be too much. Paul sees Haddon as a strong play.

"Volume is going to be tough. I think even wrestling, Cody Haden can can put it on him there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The Guru picks Haddon due to superior well-roundedness. He notes Haddon has good striking with body work, combinations, and leg kicks, plus solid grappling and scrambling. Aoriqileng has forward pressure and power but poor defense and takedown defense. Experience favors Aoriqileng but skill favors Haddon.

"I think that the skill is on the side of Haden and I got to side with the skill."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The Guru picks Cody Hadden over Iori (Aoriqileng), citing Hadden's well-rounded skills, high volume, and durability. He believes Hadden's technical striking and cardio will outwork Iori, who is an explosive pocket brawler. He notes Iori's limited ceiling and Hadden's potential.

"I'm going to pick Cody Hadden."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The MMA Guru picks Cody Haddon to win by finish. He notes that Haddon is younger, faster, and has good hand speed, while Aoriqileng is slower and can be pressured. He believes Haddon can keep the fight on the feet or take it down if he wants, and that Haddon's speed and pressure will lead to a finish.

"I think he's actually going to find a finish in this matchup."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Haddon

Zane picks Cody Haddon as a young prospect coming off a strong debut against a seasoned veteran. Aoriqileng is a midcard action fighter who can be outwrestled and outgrappled. Zane calls it a squash match but a useful one against a tough veteran.

Odds mentioned: Haddon -365, Aoriqileng +290
"Haddon is the pick, and the fight should be fun."
WIN vs Cody Gibson
KO R1 0:21 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Gibson 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 1 5 of 8 62% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Gibson 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 1 5 of 8 62% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Gibson 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Gibson 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Gibson vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gibson (-160); Aori (+130)

Round 1
Previously on the main card, this bantamweight battle between two men below .500 in the promotion has slid down into the prelims. A win will be crucial for either man here, with backs likely against the wall. Gibson (21-11, 3-6 UFC) is a ways away from evening things out, while Aori (25-12, 1 NC; 3-4, 1 NC UFC) could hit that precious midpoint win rate by prevailing. The third man in the Octagon for the two athletes will be referee Mitch Cadlick. A fist bump is shared.
Gibson opens up with a massive right hand to say hello, skimming the side of the Chinese fighter’s cheek. When he offers a leg kick behind it, Aori says “two can play that game” and launches back a missile of a right that jacks Gibson cleanly on the jaw.
Gibson takes a step back to gather his thoughts, his cheek already swelling up from the one blow absorbed, and he walks face-first into another when pitching a naked leg kick. This one nearly shuts the lights out and puts Gibson down for the count.
“The Mongolian Murderer” leaps on top to batter Gibson with ground strikes, and Cadlick watches on to see how Gibson is defending himself. Gibson’s hands are not where Cadlick thinks they should be to intelligently defend himself, and the Donkey Kong-esque hammerfists do the job and force Cadlick to wave the fight off. The defeated “Renegade” sits up and issues a protest, his cheek growing in size by the second, and his cries fall on deaf ears as the fight is over and he has lost. Aori runs over to his team to embrace them, and he dons a glorious hat that is a brilliant shade of blue. When it comes time for the post-fight interview, the promotion drops the ball completely by bringing in his coach, Eddie Cha, as the translator. Cha is, unfortunately, a Korean man who promptly explains that he cannot speak Chinese.

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Cody Gibson R1 0:21 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Angelo picks Cody Gibson, citing his length, striking, and takedown ability. He expects Gibson to use a similar game plan as against Anne Hallegren, with multiple takedowns and control time. He notes Aori Qileng's vulnerability to takedowns, as seen against Raul Rosas.

"I'm going to pick Cody Gibson here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Big Brady sees a clear grappling edge for Gibson, noting Qileng's poor takedown defense. He compares it to Gibson's win over Chad Anheliger where he controlled the fight with takedowns. He questions Gibson's fight IQ and cardio but picks him by decision.

"Give me Cody Gibson to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Cody picks Gibson, citing his size, wrestling background, and durability. He notes Gibson has never been knocked out and has high volume. Qileng lacks power and has poor takedown defense. Cody expects Gibson to outwork Qileng and win by decision or late stoppage.

"Cody on Cody, let's uh let's let's pull one out for the Coody's and get the victory over in BC. So I I will take Gibson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Connor picks Gibson, noting his improved boxing and technical proficiency. He points out that Gibson works hard on the technical side and showed sharp combinations against Blackshear. However, Connor notes Gibson's tendency to overpush and tire, which could be a problem against Aoriqileng's durability. He still favors Gibson's more purposeful game.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"I kind of feel like Gibson is going to bank a lot of early momentum."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

James sees Gibson's wrestling as a clear path to victory, but worries about his age (38) and Qileng's improvements in takedown defense. He expects Gibson to grind out a decision with takedowns and top control, though Qileng's striking could be dangerous if the fight stays on the feet.

"I'm going to end up siding with Cody Gibson in this fight. And the reason is because I do think that even though Archici Lang has got better at his grappling defense, Cody Gibson will be able to string together …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

The host believes Gibson is a better striker and wrestler than Qileng. As long as Gibson can muzzle Qileng's aggressive style, he should mix the martial arts well and win on the scorecards.

"I still believe Gibson is a better striker and better wrestler than Ari Lang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Paul picks Gibson, agreeing with Cody. He notes Qileng's low volume and questionable takedown defense. Gibson's wrestling and pressure will be key. Paul sees Gibson winning about 70% of the time and thinks the line is fair.

"I don't see myself whatsoever getting to Ori Lang. Too low volume. Takedown defense is questionable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

The MMA Guru picks Cody Gibson over Aori Qileng. He likes Gibson's pressure and volume, noting Qileng has been walked down before. He believes Gibson will throw twice as many shots and win a decision if neither finishes. He admits neither has great wins but trusts Gibson's output.

decision win 29-28
"Cody Gibson's going to get this one done. ... 29-28 decision, by the way."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Zane picks Gibson, citing his more functional game and ability to bank early momentum. He notes that Gibson's boxing has improved and he fights with purpose, while Aoriqileng is a scrappy but less purposeful fighter. Zane worries about Gibson's tendency to fade in round three, but believes he will build a two-round lead before tiring.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"So yeah, I'm going to take Gibson too, but it'll be fun scrap."
LOSS vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 41 of 94 43% 98 of 158 3 of 7 42% 0 0 7:32
Aoriqileng 0 22 of 54 40% 80 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 11 of 22 50% 41 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:13
Aoriqileng 0 4 of 10 40% 18 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 17 of 49 34% 17 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 13 of 23 56% 40 of 54 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:19
Aoriqileng 0 1 of 2 50% 45 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 41 of 94 43% 21 of 59 7 of 20 13 of 15 27 of 70 0 of 0 14 of 24
Aoriqileng 22 of 54 40% 12 of 43 10 of 11 0 of 0 22 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 11 of 22 50% 5 of 10 1 of 7 5 of 5 6 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 6
Aoriqileng 4 of 10 40% 1 of 6 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 17 of 49 34% 9 of 35 2 of 6 6 of 8 17 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 17 of 42 40% 11 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 13 of 23 56% 7 of 14 4 of 7 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 18
Aoriqileng 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosas Jr. (-850), Aori (+575)

Round 1
It’s time for something new. It’s time for something different. Out of the UFC Apex, and not even posted up in its standard haunt of the T-Mobile Arena, instead the UFC is putting on a night of combat inside of the vaulted Sphere in Las Vegas. While some have seen snippets of previews, the occasional Twitter leak and some other sneak peeks, this will be fresh to fans and media alike. We don’t quite know what to expect, and that makes it exciting. This 10-fight showcase that celebrates Mexican fighters on Mexican Independence Day—along with a spangly-haired kid from Montana against a robot from Georgia, not to mention Saudi Arabia thrown in for good measure—and as a result, Mexican combatants will be the focus and betting favorites almost every step of the way. The matchup of the evening will also serve as the one with the widest betting lines, as grappling wunderkind Rosas Jr. (9-1, 3-1 UFC) comes in with odds in his favor around -1000 against well-traveled China export Aori (25-11, 1 NC; 3-3, 1 NC UFC). Although referee Chris Tognoni signed up to officiate this event like any other, even he is surprised at the spectacle unfolding around them. The bantamweights touch gloves, and it’s time for something new. Rosas lashes out first with a low kick, and he is warned for outstretched fingers. He switches stances and kick Aori two more times on the lead leg. Rosas goes to the body with a kick, and chants for “chiwiwis” rain down in support of Rosas. Aori springs into action with a lunging combination, and the Mexican youngster bats them out of the way and circles off. Rosas whiffs on a pair of looping shots, and he gets caught with a right hand and just misses on the counter. Rosas attacks the front leg a few more times, and when he stands still, Aori potshots him with a solid right hand. Rosas jumps back and forth between stances, and he is once more warned for his fingers pointing out. Rosas charges in from a distance to go after a takedown, and after they bounce off the wall, he succeeds in dragging the Chinese competitor down. Rosas opens up with several loud body shots while Aori looks for sweeps and butterfly hooks, but he elects instead to pass to half guard. Rosas climbs over to side control, and he moves to mount in a hurry. Aori times the guard pass to buck and sit up, but this only allows Rosas to circle around him and take his back. Aori is warned for pulling his toes in the cage as additional chants for “chiwiwis” loudly call for Rosas. Rosas grips a brief face crank, but he bails on it when the grip is not tight. As Aori turns to his side, Rosas punches him in the side of the head a few times. With seconds to spare, Rosas slides over to the mount position to rain down elbows, and the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 2
The bantamweights touch ‘em up to get going, and Rosas opens up with a kick or two before Aori surges at him with punches outstretched. Aori reaches his foe with a right hand amidst an exchange, and he hops away when Aori jumps at him with a knee. Rosas paws with a few more low kicks, and one slides up and bumps into the cup apparently. Aori waves it off, and he winds up with a massive right hand that brushes past the hair of the youngster. Rosas shoots for a takedown, and Aori tosses it aside. Aori jabs his way in but misses on the overhand right, and he stops another takedown effort coming his way. Rosas peppers the lead leg with kicks, keeping to the outer edge to not allow Aori to reach him with anything of significance. When Aori does connect, Rosas fires back angrily. The warning comes for Rosas again for pointing his fingers out, and Aori loads up on an overhand right to smash the kid in the chops. Aori chambers and fires another big overhand right, and Rosas wears it well and keeps moving and switching stances. Aori goes for a right hand to the body, and he tries for two more wide hooks. Rosas walks towards him and wants to brawl, and Aori happily obliges him. Aori tags him during an exchange, and he fights off a takedown up close. Aori stalks after the younger fighter and flicks out a jab or two, and he goes to the body with a right hand. Aori parries a kick and gives a loud one back to the body, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The fighters come together to hug it out before the last round commences, with Rosas showing a little trickle of blood on his lip. When they disengage, Aori is quick to pick up where he left off, walking the 19-year-old down and kicking him in the ribs. To fire up Rosas, the crowd chants “chiwiwis” again, and this results in him charging in for a tackling takedown that puts Aori to his seat. Aori wall-walks, and Rosas quickly mat returns him with a body lock, landing in side control. Aori scrambles, and in the process, he gives up his back when turning to his knees. Rosas reaches way back to slam down knees to the shoulder, landing several until Aori sells out by somersaulting. This forces “Mongolian Murderer” to his back once more, with Rosas comfortably on top of him in the guard. Rosas stays busy on top with ground-and-pound, more of the frustrating variety than with anything individually damaging. Tognoni asks for more activity from on top, and Rosas sits up to fling one right hand down. It’s “chiwiwis” again for the audience, but Rosas does not take any additional chances or let anything special fly. At 19 years of age, the young Rosas has not let the surroundings or his hype get the better of him, as he smothers the power puncher and keeps him flat on his back. Rosas drops down an elbow and a left hand, and Aori responds with an elbow from his back. As seconds tick off the clock, both fighters swing at one another, and the less-than-thrilling match comes to an end. Barring something unusual, Mexico is on the board, and the audience may hope that things spice up a bit.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (30-27 Rosas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)

The Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr. def. Qileng Aori via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr. but with caution. He notes Rosas is young (19), a relentless grappler with 12 takedowns in 5 fights, but his striking is still raw and he can be reckless. Angelo points out that Rosas lost the first round in his last fight and gassed out badly two fights ago against CR Rod. He warns against overexposure on the -700 line, suggesting Rosas could still make mistakes. The pick is Rosas, but Angelo advises betting conservatively.

Caution against heavy betting on Rosas due to youth and past cardio issues.
"Rosas is going to be the pick but like I always say I'm conservative an bet with caution... I would not be overly Expos I wouldn't say he he's minus 700 let me throw R Rosas in 15 parlay he's …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady sees this as a clear mismatch, with Raul Rosas Jr. being a massive favorite. He notes Aoriqileng's poor takedown defense and history of submissions, predicting Rosas will get a takedown and finish quickly. He expects a first-round submission win.

first round submission
"I think it's a really bad match for RI long... Ral roses Jr gets a takedown and probably finishes it shortly after."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his size, grappling, and relentless pressure. He expects Rosas to take down Qileng and submit him, possibly in the second round. He mentions Qileng's counter right hand but believes Rosas' grappling will be too much.

Rosas by submission in round 2
"roses to win by Sub in round one is plus 190 and Roses to win by Sub in round two is plus 290"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a phenom who will get the fight to the ground as he always does. Aoriqileng has shown decent grappling defense but will struggle with Rosas Jr.'s aggression. Expects Rosas Jr. to get him out in the first round, likely by submission.

submission TKO prop, probably by submission
"I expect Rosas Jr to get him out of there in the first round submission TKO prop not a bad sprinkle but probably by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes that Aoriqileng has lost to fighters he wouldn't describe as extremely talented, and that Rosas Jr. is a rising prospect with good grappling and pace. He trusts Rosas Jr. to get the grappling going early and secure a submission.

submission win first or second round
"I'm going to go with aori Chang losing this one by being out grappled... first or second round for R roses Jr I'm going with him to get the job done"
LOSS vs Daniel Marcos
No Contest (accidental groin kick) R2 3:28 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Marcos 0 81 of 126 64% 84 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Aoriqileng 0 45 of 95 47% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Marcos 0 36 of 63 57% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 0 22 of 54 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Daniel Marcos 0 45 of 63 71% 46 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Aoriqileng 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Marcos 81 of 126 64% 50 of 84 12 of 19 19 of 23 69 of 113 5 of 6 7 of 7
Aoriqileng 45 of 95 47% 26 of 71 10 of 12 9 of 12 43 of 93 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Marcos 36 of 63 57% 20 of 41 6 of 9 10 of 13 33 of 60 3 of 3 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 22 of 54 40% 13 of 41 5 of 6 4 of 7 22 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Marcos 45 of 63 71% 30 of 43 6 of 10 9 of 10 36 of 53 2 of 3 7 of 7
Aoriqileng 23 of 41 56% 13 of 30 5 of 6 5 of 5 21 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Marcos vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marcos (-250), Aori (+205)

Round 1
If the reports and claims are accurate, a billionaire will be in the stands at the UFC Apex this afternoon. Within a matter of minutes, it will be apparent if the tech mogul and personality of the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, Elon Musk, has received the Mark Zuckerberg treatment of renting the entire place out for himself. If not, a few hundred fans plus the controversial figure will be in the building for this jam-packed 14-fight showcase. The first match of the day comes in the bantamweight division, as flashy undefeated Peruvian Marcos (15-0, 2-0 UFC) aims to keep his spotless record intact at the expense of Inner Mongolia’s Aori (25-11, 3-3 UFC). Referee Jason Herzog will need to be on high alert right out of the gate to keep track of these two quick competitors. The gloves are touched, and it’s on with the show. Aori flicks out an early front kick to measure his range, and he sits back and waits to see if a counter comes his way. It does not. Marcos watches from afar, and he surges into action with a single overhand right that gets Aori’s attention. The two trade low kicks, and they both let their hands go with big, winging punches. In the midst of an exchange, Marcos changes things up with a stern knee on the jaw, and Aori shakes it off. Both men land flush and back off to not get sucked into a brawl. Aori paws out a front kick, and blood trickles down the temple from the power lefts from the Peruvian. Aori leaps forward with a knee, and uses his momentum to press into a clinch. Marcos meets him with a strike that busts Aori’s mouth open, and Aori cannot keep the tie-up and is forced to back off and reset. Marcos comes up short with a front kick, but his looping punches continues to bust up the Chinese competitor, smashing Aori’s nose in the process. Blood leaks from several places on Aori’s face like the Doomguy low on health, but he is very much still in the fight as he lets Marcos have it with a quick combination. Marcos keeps his guard high, so Aori kicks low repeatedly. Marcos retaliates after absorbing one particularly stern low kick, and he whips his right hand into action. Marcos prods out a jab and draws out some oncoming fire from Aori, taking advantage of this by blasting Aori with an uppercut. Aori tanks it and moves forward, and the horn signals the end of the first round.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marcos
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Marcos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Marcos

Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up before getting back to it, and Marcos is ready to engage first as he clubs Aori with a short right hand. The unbeaten Peruvian presses forward into a clinch, and he presses Aori against the fence. When circling away, Marcos lines up a low kick that disrupts the balance of his opponent. Aori hits the deck, and Marcos pounces in an effort to finish the fight with a flurry of heavy firsts. Aori survives the worst of it and gets back to his feet, and crimson fluid trickles from additional places on his face after taking serious damage. Marcos spins with a back elbow that misses the mark, and he continues assaulting Aori’s lead calf with gnarly kicks. Aori tries valiantly to throw back and even catches Marcos with a two-punch salvo, but Marcos’ volume and power is breaking Aori. “Soncora” sits down on a left to the liver that lands with an audible thud, and he appears to find his mark almost every time he throws a strike. Aori swings backs, and his fingers stretch out as one drifts into Marcos’ eye. Marcos needs just a few seconds to recover, and when they get back to business, Marcos aims a front kick to the body but ends up glancing it off the cup. Aori takes 30 seconds to catch his wind before resuming, and he gets right in Marcos’ face and throws a few punches. Aori concludes his combination with a kick square on Marcos’ cup that looks to be a bit of payback, and Marcos groans as Herzog pauses the action for the third time in a few seconds after a trio of unfortunate fouls. Herzog warns Aori for his strike, and Marcos is ready to go after about 45 seconds of recovery. Marcos lets loose with a kick, and Aori responds with one that slaps into his inner thigh and draws a reaction from Marcos. Aori jumps in the air with an attempted strike, and Marcos meets him in the air with a front kick to the groin. Herzog rolls his eyes and calls time, and informs both fighters through their translators that there are to be no more accidents, and that points will be deducted for any additional fouls. Aori drops to his knees and dry heaves from the groin strike, and Herzog allows Aori to recover for a minute before calling in the doctor. Aori pulls himself back to his feet after two minutes elapse, but he is clearly compromised and not having a good time right now. Not wanting to cool down, Marcos shadowboxes and jogs in his corner, but Aori crouches down and drops back to a knee. Time continues to tick off the clock, and Aori reaches the five-minute mark. Herzog asks him if he is able to continue, and Aori does not say anything and bends over. Herzog recognizes that Aori is in no shape to fight another professional combatant aiming to take his head off, and he waves the fight off. Due to the inadvertent groin strike—Aori was in the air when Marcos caught him with a front kick, a total accident—and the fact that it did not reach Round 3, this fight should be declared a no contest. When the result is read, Marcos breaks into tears, with his stellar performance invalidated due to a fluke kick. On the other side of the equation, Aori is assisted out of the cage, with the damage of two direct groin shots too much to bear on his own.

The Official Result
Daniel Marcos vs. Qileng Aori is Ruled a No Contest (Accidental Groin Kick) R2 3:28
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Angelo acknowledges that Daniel Marcos looked poor in his last fight against Davey Grant, with low volume and a lack of pressure. However, he emphasizes looking at the broader body of work, where Marcos has shown effective striking, power, and takedown defense. He believes Marcos should be more technical and busy, and should win, but the recent performance makes him hesitant. He notes the odds are -200, which he finds a bit rich given the last fight.

"Daniel Marcos is the pick... Daniel Marcos that fought David Grant has a tough night, Daniel Marcos before the David Grant fight should walk through a Corey Lang."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Big Brady picks Daniel Marcos to win by decision. He notes that Marcos is a much more skilled striker with a lot of tools on the feet, while Aoriqileng is a brawler who is very hittable. He expects the fight to go 15 minutes and Marcos to outpoint Aoriqileng, though he mentions a slight concern about corrupt judges.

"this should be Daniel Marcus just outpointing Ari long across 15 minutes here so give me Daniel Marcos by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Cody picks Marcos, noting he is a superior fighter with good volume. Aoriqileng is fun but often falls behind on the scorecards and has takedown defense issues. Marcos should outpoint him. Cody suggests a prop on Marcos by decision or by KO at +300.

Marcos by KO (+300)
"Marcos by decision would be my best get my my best guess"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Marcos has a solid all-around game with good calf kicks and the ability to mix in grappling. He should be able to batter Aoriqileng's lead leg and eventually look for takedowns. Aoriqileng has struggled against better competition and his wins are against subpar opponents. Marcos is undefeated and should continue his run with a decision victory.

"I look for maros to batter the lead leg of ARA Lang and then eventually look for those takedowns if those open themselves for him and I look forward to maros continuing his undefeated run going to 16-0 and picking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Paul also picks Marcos, calling it a massive mismatch. He notes Aoriqileng's low output and poor takedown defense. Marcos is a volume striker who should pick him apart. Paul likes Marcos by KO at +300 as a prop.

Marcos by KO (+300)
"Marcos is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Marcos because he believes Aoriqileng is a worse version of Davey Grant, who Marcos already faced. He notes that Marcos showed good striking defense against Grant's unorthodox style and expects Aoriqileng to slow down after the first round, allowing Marcos to win a decision.

"I'm going to go with Daniel Marcos to start off the card because he's fighting aori Chang... I think if he stays alive past the first round we're going to see aori Chang start to slow down against him."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 1 44 of 66 66% 120 of 159 2 of 4 50% 0 0 5:39
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 7 of 36 19% 31 of 73 4 of 11 36% 3 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 0 7 of 11 63% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 1 of 10 10% 10 of 28 3 of 5 60% 1 0 2:56
2 Aoriqileng 0 13 of 19 68% 51 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:33
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 1 of 5 20% 5 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:27
3 Aoriqileng 1 24 of 36 66% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:03
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 5 of 21 23% 16 of 35 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 44 of 66 66% 24 of 41 8 of 11 12 of 14 28 of 45 1 of 3 15 of 18
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 7 of 36 19% 5 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 3 7 of 33 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 7 of 11 63% 5 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 4 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 1 of 10 10% 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Aoriqileng 13 of 19 68% 5 of 10 3 of 4 5 of 5 8 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aoriqileng 24 of 36 66% 14 of 25 5 of 6 5 of 5 14 of 23 0 of 1 10 of 12
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 5 of 21 23% 3 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Johnny Munoz Jr. vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-112), Munoz (-108)

Round 1
When the dust settles after this bantamweight battle, one of the two competitors will likely be back in the win column – barring something strange or a draw. Additionally, the victor will move back to a .500 record with the promotion, while the defeated may find themselves on the chopping block. Whether that is China’s Aori (24-11, 2-3 UFC) or “Kid Kvenbo” Munoz Jr. (12-3, 2-3 UFC), they will have 15 minutes or less to decide that. Referee Keith Peterson draws the charge for this nonsense-free matchup, and the fighters do not have time for a touch of gloves first. Instead, Aori wants to stalk straight forward and fire off a leg kick. The pace wanes as they try to find their distances, with Aori’s occasional low kick the only strikes after about 90 seconds. Aori suddenly sprints into action with a left to the body and a hard right to the head, and Munoz has to shake it off and shoots for a takedown in response. Aori easily stops it and delivers a stern leg kick. Munoz whips a right hand over the top, stinging his opponent and backing him to the fence. Instead of taking advantage of the situation with more strikes, “Kid Kvenbo” settles to shoot in for a double-leg takedown. Munoz gets his man down momentarily, and Aori powers back up. Although Munoz gets a mat return, Aori again has little issue standing, but he does give up his back. Munoz uses this to trip up Aori from behind, and he gets his hooks in and secures back control when Aori hits the ground. The Chinese fighter is quick to hand-fight to not allow any submission attempt get anywhere close to completion, and Munoz tries to soften him up with a few body shots and slide his right arm around the chin. Aori looks to push his feet off the fence to get a bit of leverage, and he spins around quickly. This allows Munoz to snatch up an armbar, and Aori struggles momentarily but breaks the grip and stands up. One big kick from Aori to Munoz’ thigh concludes the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Munoz
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Munoz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Munoz

Round 2
Aori immediately starts the round aggressively, putting hands on Munoz and hurting him early. Munoz responds with a few strikes but is bowled over, and Aori moves himself into the guard of his opponent. Munoz protests that Aori is clawing his eyes or sticking fingers up his nose, and Peterson tells Aori to keep it clean. Munoz considers a submission attempt from his back, and he slides his leg up and around to set up an armbar. Aori wrenches his limb free from the sub, and he lowers himself back down to the guard. Munoz uses his active guard to force Aori to think twice and stand back up, and when Aori gets up, he starts slapping his feet into Munoz’ legs. Aori times a diving right hand to smash Munoz in the face, and Munoz smiles at him. Aori gets back to his feet, and Peterson has Munoz stand after a few awkward moments. Aori nails his man with a calf kick, and he clips Munoz with a few punches. Munoz shakes it off and backpedals, loosing a head kick that sails past his opponent. Munoz shoots for a takedown, and although Aori stops it, Munoz succeeds in jamming Aori up to the fencing. Munoz quickly goes for a body lock takedown, looking for some way to leverage Aori down, but Aori is strong and not only stops it but turns Munoz around. Aori sneaks in an elbow, and Munoz does not like this, so the American decides to jump for a guillotine choke while he wraps his legs around Aori’s waist. With Munoz’ back to the wall, there is nothing to the submission, so he releases it right before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The bantamweights race to meet one another, throwing big right hands one after the other. Aori walks into a jab, and he digs a right hand to the belly. Aori looks for a jump knee when Munoz ducks down, and Munoz eats part of it and laughs, offering a glove touch for the solid blow. Munoz circles to the side, and when he aims a left hand over the top, Aori counters him with two punches as he slides away. Munoz shoots in low for a takedown, and “The Mongolian Murderer” kills the setup and pins Munoz against the wall. Peterson tells the fighters not to grab the fence, and the fighters break away and return to striking distance. A Munoz kick grazes the cup, and Aori adjusts his groin when there is no stoppage. Munoz shoots for a takedown, and Aori perfectly times a body shot that ultimately nails Munoz in the chin and sets him down. Munoz stands back up, and fails on another takedown. When the attempt fails, he gets cracked with another right and flops to his back. Aori jumps down into the open guard of his foe, looking for ground-and-pound. Aori gets some strikes off, racking up the points while not allowing Munoz to get in on a submission. Munoz sells out for a leglock when Aori tries to pass guard, and Munoz finds himself in a strange position that is a partial calf slicer. Aori lays to his back and is not overly concerned about the maneuver, and he drives several hammerfists on the side and back of the head. Peterson is watching closely, warning Aori for a few illegal blows, but Munoz toughs them out and explodes for one last takedown try. Aori staves it off, is pressed to the cage, and the fight comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Johnny Munoz Jr. via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Johnny Muñoz Jr.

Angelo picks Johnny Muñoz Jr. with low confidence, calling him a 'squirt' but acknowledging his BJJ and power. He notes that Aoriqileng is tough but can be out-grappled. He is waiting for prop bets like a +3.5 spread on Aoriqileng, as Muñoz could be dangerous early but fade. He emphasizes this is a low-confidence pick.

Waiting for +3.5 spread prop on Aoriqileng
"I'm going to pick Johnny Munos he is the underdog ... very low confidence"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Big Brady is not high on either fighter and calls this his least favorite fight on the card. He criticizes Johnny Muñoz Jr. for quitting in his last fight and notes that Aoriqileng has shown decent takedown defense and the ability to get back to his feet. He believes Aoriqileng can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, leading to a decision win. He is not betting this fight.

"I'm going to take AI long to win by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his physicality, pressure, and power. He notes that Muñoz lacks power and has unimpressive wrestling. Aoriqileng should land the bigger shots and win a decision or late stoppage.

Aoriqileng by decision
"sign me up for originally by uh unanimous... sign me up for"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Daniel Levi picks Aoriqileng, citing his heavy hitting and durability. He notes that Johnny Muñoz has suspect striking and doesn't like to get hit, and that Aoriqileng can crack him. He acknowledges Muñoz's jiu-jitsu threat but thinks Aoriqileng's power and grit will be the difference.

"I'm still gonna go I already to win this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

Lucrative James believes Aoriqileng has a massive advantage on the feet and will hurt Muñoz to the body. He thinks Muñoz is flaky and will get finished on the feet, predicting a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money, noting that Muñoz's wrestling is not good enough to get the fight to the ground consistently.

under 2.5 rounds at even money
"I'm going to pick iichi Lang knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has improved his takedown defense and trains with strong wrestlers. He should be able to keep the fight standing and use his volume striking to overwhelm Muñoz. Muñoz has struggled to get fights to the ground and relies on BJJ, but his striking and wrestling have been poor. Aoriqileng should win by decision, possibly with some ground and pound.

"that should allow Richi Lang to end up in top position maybe rain down some big shots... and getting his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul leans toward Aoriqileng, expecting him to land the more punishing strikes over 15 minutes. He is unsure about the wrestling matchup but believes Aoriqileng's pressure will be effective. He would not bet this fight with his own money.

"if I was forced to make a play on this fight it would be uh orichi Lang as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Johnny Muñoz Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Johnny Muñoz Jr. over Aoriqileng. He notes Muñoz didn't look bad against Daniel Santos, who is a good finisher, and that Muñoz showed enough striking defense to avoid being finished. He believes Aoriqileng is dangerous only in round one and then fades, while Muñoz is consistently okay throughout the fight. He suggests a betting strategy: if Aoriqileng wins the first round, bet on Muñoz Jr. as Aoriqileng tends to gas.

if you see Aoriqileng winning the first round and he's up on the odds, put some money on Muñoz Jr.
"I'm gonna have to go with Johnny Munoz Jr I think he's consistently okay enough throughout the distance of the fight"
LOSS vs Aiemann Zahabi
KO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-125), Zahabi (+105)

Round 1
In his sixth year with the company, Tristar Gym’s own Zahabi (9-2, 3-2 UFC) will remarkably be entering into only bout no. six in the Octagon. This is a far cry from Chinese combatant Aori (24-9, 2-2 UFC), who is about to have five outings under his belt in a little over two years when referee John Cooper clocks them in. The bantamweight combatants do not touch ‘em up to start, and Aori instead walks forward and fires off several kicks to the body. Zahabi blitzes with a few punches, and Aori parries them effectively. From afar, Aori chips with a few kicks, including a thudding leg kick. The Chinese fighter does not recoil his leg fast enough to get his guard up, and Zahabi reaches out with a takedown to threaten.
As Aori leans back, Zahabi swarms him with a right hand that hits air, and a left hand that smashes Aori square on the chin. Aori drops to the mat like a sack of potatoes, and Zahabi raises his arms in the air to celebrate what he thinks is a walk-off knockout. Cooper does not actually call the fight off, as Aori lands and turns to his side in a daze. The Canadian, learning he has to keep hitting the defeated fighter, reluctantly goes over to Aori and lowers himself to slug Aori with two more left hands to conclude the match once and for all.
This is a huge win for Zahabi, and the crowd goes wild. When Aori comes to, he squares up like he wants to keep fighting, seemingly not knowing that he was knocked out cleanly. So far, the home fans have had plenty to cheer about tonight.

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Qileng Aori R1 1:04 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Angelo picks Aiemann Zahabi as an underdog. He notes that Zahabi is well-rounded with big power, and that his performance against Ricky Turcios was impressive. He believes Zahabi will be more technical and a step ahead of Aoriqileng. He plans to monitor line movement and may bet if Zahabi becomes a larger underdog.

"I do think he gets the win here he's the underdog I think he's going to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Big Brady picks Aiemann Zahabi because he is the more active striker, landing 6.07 significant strikes per minute compared to Aoriqileng's 3.01. He notes that Aoriqileng has low volume, doesn't use his BJJ, and has poor takedown attempts. Zahabi is younger, more experienced, and has never been knocked out. He expects Zahabi to outwork Aoriqileng over three rounds and win a decision.

"I actually like arichi long a decent amount in this matchup... he's going to be outlanding as a hobby probably two to one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his volume and pressure style. He notes that Zahabi is a low-volume counter puncher who doesn't wrestle much, and Aoriqileng will come forward with blitzes and constant pressure. He believes Zahabi's wrestling is not good enough to neutralize Aoriqileng, and the volume difference should win rounds. He acknowledges the risk of a bad Canadian decision but still picks Aoriqileng.

"I think a Richie Lang's style should uh should win this fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Connor also picks Aoriqileng, noting that Zahabi's wins came against fighters who wouldn't engage or lacked physicality, while his losses to Vince Morales and Ricardo Ramos were not close. He points out that Aoriqileng is a little slow-paced but has more promise in his fights with Jeff Molina and Cody Durden, where a method was visible. Connor suggests it would be a good time for Zahabi to show wrestling, but Aoriqileng is not easy to keep down.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"Yeah, so yeah, I'll take our qlang as well."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi does not make a pick for this fight, stating he has no interest in betting it. He notes that Aoriqileng has power but questionable takedown defense, while Zahabi has low activity and is older. He defers to the co-host who has a teammate in the fight.

"I don't really have much interest in betting this fight personally at the moment"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

James picks Aoriqileng, noting his momentum with two straight wins and improved takedown defense and striking. He contrasts Aoriqileng's aggressive pressure and volume with Zahabi's technical but low-volume outside fighting style. James believes Aoriqileng can land heavier shots and push the pace to win on the scorecards. He warns that if Aoriqileng reverts to a brawler style, Zahabi could catch him with straight shots, but overall he likes Aoriqileng's spot and the even-money price.

"I think irichi Lang's a good spot in this in this spot I think he's gonna land the heavier shots I think he'll probably land more damage and I think he's going to be the one pushing out the pace …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has shown improved defensive grappling since moving to bantamweight and has a volume and output advantage. Zahabi is a technical striker but often too timid, and his low activity is a concern. Aoriqileng's pressure and accuracy should earn him a decision, though Zahabi could win if he uses his jiu-jitsu. Low confidence due to Zahabi's potential grappling edge.

"give me a Richie laying here and I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul picks Aoriqileng, emphasizing the volume disparity: Aoriqileng averages 6.07 strikes per minute vs Zahabi's 3.01. He notes that Zahabi's fights are low-output, and Aoriqileng's constant pressure should win rounds. He expects a close fight but believes Aoriqileng's output will be enough, though a bad Canadian decision is possible.

"it's not tercios is a one fight pint-sized sample oh he beat one kid right uh this is the hobby six fights you kind of know what you're gonna get out of them which is sub 50 and a Richie …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The MMA Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Aoriqileng, praising Zahabi's fight IQ and game planning. He notes Aoriqileng is predictable with big power shots and telegraphs his moves, while Zahabi can figure out opponents and mix things up. He believes Zahabi's size and heat behind his shots will keep Aoriqileng honest, predicting a 30-27 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Amy and zahabi I like Amy and zahabi because much like um the other zahabi for our sahabi he has a good mind for the game"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Zane picks Aoriqileng, criticizing Zahabi's last fight as extremely technical but aimless, with fighters standing too far apart. He notes that Zahabi is a brawler who doesn't understand fighting without chaos, while Aoriqileng has a clear method: he works his way forward, applies pressure, and punishes mistakes with quick counters. Zane thinks Aoriqileng is better in a brawl and also better when it's not a brawl, making him the pick.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"I'm gonna take him. Yeah, I'm gonna take our killing uh as well."
WIN vs Jay Perrin
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 0 72 of 132 54% 102 of 163 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Jay Perrin 0 88 of 167 52% 106 of 188 3 of 7 42% 0 0 5:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 0 18 of 31 58% 24 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Jay Perrin 0 20 of 49 40% 25 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:04
2 Aoriqileng 0 29 of 43 67% 47 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Jay Perrin 0 20 of 49 40% 24 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:04
3 Aoriqileng 0 25 of 58 43% 31 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jay Perrin 0 48 of 69 69% 57 of 79 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 72 of 132 54% 51 of 107 14 of 17 7 of 8 61 of 119 11 of 13 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 88 of 167 52% 63 of 135 20 of 25 5 of 7 73 of 148 13 of 16 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 18 of 31 58% 15 of 26 2 of 3 1 of 2 16 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 20 of 49 40% 10 of 35 8 of 10 2 of 4 17 of 44 1 of 2 2 of 3
2 Aoriqileng 29 of 43 67% 19 of 33 5 of 5 5 of 5 26 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 20 of 49 40% 15 of 41 3 of 6 2 of 2 20 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aoriqileng 25 of 58 43% 17 of 48 7 of 9 1 of 1 19 of 51 6 of 7 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 48 of 69 69% 38 of 59 9 of 9 1 of 1 36 of 56 12 of 13 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Jay Perrin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-175), Perrin (+130)

Round 1
Former W.A.R.S champion Aori locks horns with ex-Cage Titans ruler Perrin in a bantamweight clash that will be overseen by Tyler Tomlinson. Gloves are touched and we’re underway. Perrin misses the mark on a combination early and a “USA” chant breaks out. Perrin with a quick leg kick. A left hook to the body lands for Perrin and Aori catches the ensuing kick. He releases the grip and sticks a straight right hand. Perrin pressures with a combination, but Aori moves out of danger. It’s a very measured beginning for Aori, who tags Perrin with another straight right. Perrin rushes forward and gets staggered with a short, counter left hook. Aori looks for an opening, backs his man up and launches a flying knee. That allows Perrin to force the clinch and turn Aori into the cage. Aori breaks free and swings heavy punches, including an uppercut he sneaks under Perrin’s left. Aori stalks his foe and lands a couple heavy punches. Perrin looks to clinch, but Aori quickly breaks free. A nice two-punch combination finds the mark for “The Mongolian Murderer.” A leg kick connects for Perrin. Aori lands a hard leg kick and avoids Perrin’s rush. Perrin lands a leaping knee but eats a left hook on the exit. Perrin changes levels, connects the hands and plants Aori on the mat with 20 seconds left. Perrin passes to half guard and then stands to land a few punches before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 2
Perrin just misses a snap kick up the middle. Aori steps in with a body-head combo. Perrin shakes off a jumping knee from Aori and waggles his finger. Perrin catches a low kick fro Aori and capitalizes with a takedown. He dives into top position about a minute in, working from half guard. Aori recovers full guard and slides to the cage, where he wall walks to his knees. Perrin still has his hands locked, but he moves Aori to his feet. Aori reverses position and separates, which prompts a glove touch from Perrin halfway through the round. A short counter right clips Perrin, who seems to recover quickly. Another counter right lands following a Perrin combination. A glancing right lands for Aori and Perrin shakes his head before blitzing forward. Aori is economical with his offense, but is doing the most damage. A hard calf kick lands for Aori, but Perrin keeps the pressure on and gets in on a single leg. Aori defends nicely with his back to the cage. Aori breaks and dodges an elbow. A straight to the body lands for Aori and then a counter right moments later. Perrin keeps wading forward and throwing punches unitl the horn, and a few find the mark.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The combatants touch gloves again before the final stanza. Perrin pressures with a kick to the body, but then gets tagged with a short counter right. They’re trading early, and then it’s Aori who shoots. Perrin stuffs it and shoves his foe into the fence. Perrin with a short elbow in close as he grinds away. Aori separates and returns to the center of the Octagon. Perrin lands a glancing jab. Perrin switches stances and steps in with a left hook. Perrin keeps the pressure on and lands a knee in close. He doesn’t give Aori any space and he gets a takedown. Aori hustles to his feet in a hurry and Perrin presses him into the fence, landing a knee to the body. Perrin drops for a double leg and briefly gets Aori to a knee. He keeps the pressure on and lands a couple short punches and a knee in close quarters. Perrin drops low for another takedown, but Aori stuffs it. Perrin creates an opening to land a short elbow. Aori is staying stuck on the fence this round, allowing Perrin to impose his will a little more than in previous frames. Perrin again thinks about a takedown, but Aori isn’t having it. Finally Aori breaks free with about a minute to go. Perrin pressures with punches and eats a counter right. Perrin lands a leg kick and then tries his luck with a spinning back fist. A straight right lands for Aori, but Perrin answers with a front kick down the middle. Aori stuffs an ensuing takedown shot, but he’s pressed into the fence, and Perrin separates and is teeing off with punches in the waning moments of the round. It’s spirited action in the final seconds, and Perrin appears to have Aori reeling as several solid punches land. The Chinese fighter survives the assault, but it’s a strong finish for Perrin.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Jay Perrin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Angelo picks Aoriqileng (Corey Lang) over Jay Perrin. He describes Lang as a well-rounded fighter with incredible pressure and pace, solid footwork, and a sturdy chin. He notes that Perrin is primarily a wrestler who almost never gets his first takedown and spends time against the cage. Angelo believes Lang's superior striking and ability to work off the cage will earn him his second UFC win. He thinks the -190 line is about right and might try to beat the curve if it moves further.

"i do think corey lang works off the cage lets his hands go and gets his second ufc win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Big Brady is siding with the underdog Jay Perrin. He notes that Aoriqileng (Richie Long) is a powerful striker but is hittable and has cardio concerns. Perrin fights with a process, relentlessly pursuing takedowns and has excellent cardio. Brady believes Perrin will take Aoriqileng down, wear on him, and win minutes on the mat across three rounds, likely by decision. He trusts Perrin's game plan and sees a clear path to victory.

Perrin by decision
"i'm actually going to side with the dog here and jay parent i do trust him to come out here and fight with a smart game plan"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Cody picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and physicality. He notes Aoriqileng has been taken down before and thinks Perrin can replicate that. He hopes the training with top wrestlers pays off.

"i was just spamming the i think he has a wrestling advantage and i'm hoping he's going to take him down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Daniel Levi leans toward Aoriqileng (the Mongolian Murderer) but is not confident. He notes that Aoriqileng has one-hitter-quitter power and has faced better competition, but the blueprint to beat him is established (out-volume or out-grapple). Levi is concerned about Aoriqileng's cardio and the effects of travel and elevation if he trained overseas. He thinks if Aoriqileng lands big shots, he wins, but if not, Jay Perrin's solid all-around game could make it competitive.

Mentions that the line opened at -300 and has moved to -145, indicating action on Perrin. Says he sees a case for the underdog but leans with Aoriqileng.
"I'm gonna lean with our Richie land to have the bigger moments land the bigger shots and and Edge this one out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Jay Perrin is the dog of the night play with 2 units at +132. He expects Perrin to use a grapple-heavy approach similar to Cody Durden's blueprint against Aoriqileng, landing takedowns and controlling the fight on the ground. Perrin has solid durability and has been training at Syndicate MMA, which should help his development. Aoriqileng is the better striker but can be beaten by wrestlers, as seen in the Durden fight.

Dog of the night: 2 units on Perrin moneyline at +132.
"I'm going two units here on j piranha plus 130."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Paul picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and training with Merab and Aljamain Sterling. He thinks Perrin can take down Aoriqileng and grind out a win. He notes the line has moved and he may have missed the best value.

"i'll pick perrin at minus at plus 125 i think i missed most of the best part of the line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2022 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

The Guru predicts Aoriqileng wins by first-round KO. He describes both fighters exchanging shots, with Perrin taking a big shot and shooting a takedown that Aoriqileng stuffs. He sees Aoriqileng landing elbows, body shots, and a big overhand that rocks Perrin, finishing him against the cage via TKO.

KO in round 1
"aori length by a first round ko"
WIN vs Cameron Else
TKO (punches) R1 2:48 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 1 37 of 64 57% 49 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Cameron Else 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 1 37 of 64 57% 49 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Cameron Else 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 37 of 64 57% 28 of 55 7 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 43
Cameron Else 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 37 of 64 57% 28 of 55 7 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 43
Cameron Else 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cameron Else vs. Qileng Aori

Round 1
There is no need to adjust your set: the last time you saw Aori (22-11, 0-2 UFC) in the cage, his record listed at 18-9 after his defeat to Cody Durden. Since then, the diligent Sherdog Fight Finder team has unearthed a number of unlisted performances earlier in his career, so his tally may not match what the UFC displays. No matter the discrepancy, what will not change is that British finisher Else (10-5, 0-1 UFC) will be standing across from him with a 100% stoppage rate. The bantamweights will be accompanied in the Octagon by referee Keith Peterson, and aware that they will not get away with any nonsense tonight, the fighters touch gloves to seal the cage around them. Else slowly makes his way forward, backing Aori against the wall, and then trading leg kicks but little else. A solid calf kick from Aori gets his foe’s attention, and Aori charges forward with a pair of looping hooks. They trade heavy shots, and a left from Else clubs Aori on the side of the head. From there, Else pursues a takedown, and Aori spins him around to trip him to the mat. Else scurries back up to his feet, and Aori pressures him tightly on the wall before breaking and loosing an uppercut. Else gets rocked with a few punches, and Aori leaps in the air with a knee. Aori drills his fist into Else’s liver, and Else is reeling from the blow but he gathers himself to throw back hard.
As he does, Aori targets the same spot with a vicious left hand, bending Else over in pain and sending him crashing into the wall behind him. Aori lords over him and punches the body a few more times for good measure after Else crumples to the mat, and Else rolls to give up his back when shelling up to protect himself. “The Mongolian Murderer” continues his bombardment of right hands as he flattens Else out, and Peterson tells the Brit to defend himself. Else holds on to the sides of his heads to block the blows, and Aori will not stop smashing him.
The punches continue until Peterson calls an end to the fight, and Aori has now earned the first win of his UFC career after his third try.

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Cameron Else R1 2:48 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Else

Angelo is leaning Cameron Else here, calling it a razor thin fight. He notes Else has real power and is a submission threat, while Aoriqileng is more technical. He factors in Else's short notice loss to Kyler Phillips and quarantine issues. He says he will be watching the scales closely because Else is coming off a long layoff.

"i'm leaning else here but he is coming off a long layoff that does have me worried"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Big Brady picks Aoriqileng to finish Cameron Else in the second round by knockout. He notes that Else is a kill-or-be-killed fighter who fades badly after the first round, while Aoriqileng has better durability and cardio. He thinks Aoriqileng can survive the early storm and break Else in the second round.

Win by knockout, second round
"Give me a reach along to finish cameron else in that second round uh with a knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his physical strength and durability. He notes Else's poor UFC debut and lack of wrestling. He thinks Aoriqileng will clip Else and finish him. He sees Aoriqileng as a good parlay piece.

"i would go with richie lang again owen two in the ufc but i think the results uh are a little bit misleading"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

The host picks Aoriqileng to win, but his bet is on the fight not going to decision. He believes Cameron Else is dangerous early, but if he doesn't get it done, Aoriqileng takes over and finishes later. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop over the moneyline.

Bet 1.5 units on fight doesn't go to decision at +114. Also included in totals parlay under 1.5 rounds.
"the spot that i took instead was the fight doesn't go to decision cameron house is dangerous early but if you can't get it done early i think arichie lang takes over later and then finishes him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul agrees, noting Aoriqileng's never been KO'd and Else's lack of grappling. He expects Aoriqileng to press forward and land a knockout. He thinks Else is knockout or bust.

"i think orich lang should roll here 100"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

The MMA Guru picks Aoriqileng over Cameron Else, citing Else's padded record and poor competition. He notes Else's submissions come from bad shots, not enforced grappling, and that Aoriqileng has good takedown defense and a great chin. He predicts Else will fall in love with striking and get knocked out late in the first round. He believes Aoriqileng is better in all areas except jiu-jitsu, but Else won't be able to get it to the ground.

late first round TKO
"ayori quileng i think wins this one cameron else uh took a fight on short notice to get into the ufc against kyla phillips got embarrassed"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr. but with caution. He notes Rosas is young (19), a relentless grappler with 12 takedowns in 5 fights, but his striking is still raw and he can be reckless. Angelo points out that Rosas lost the first round in his last fight and gassed out badly two fights ago against CR Rod. He warns against overexposure on the -700 line, suggesting Rosas could still make mistakes. The pick is Rosas, but Angelo advises betting conservatively.

Caution against heavy betting on Rosas due to youth and past cardio issues.
"Rosas is going to be the pick but like I always say I'm conservative an bet with caution... I would not be overly Expos I wouldn't say he he's minus 700 let me throw R Rosas in 15 parlay he's still young and it doesn't mean he can't do dumb …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady sees this as a clear mismatch, with Raul Rosas Jr. being a massive favorite. He notes Aoriqileng's poor takedown defense and history of submissions, predicting Rosas will get a takedown and finish quickly. He expects a first-round submission win.

first round submission
"I think it's a really bad match for RI long... Ral roses Jr gets a takedown and probably finishes it shortly after."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his size, grappling, and relentless pressure. He expects Rosas to take down Qileng and submit him, possibly in the second round. He mentions Qileng's counter right hand but believes Rosas' grappling will be too much.

Rosas by submission in round 2
"roses to win by Sub in round one is plus 190 and Roses to win by Sub in round two is plus 290"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)
No clear pick

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a phenom who will get the fight to the ground as he always does. Aoriqileng has shown decent grappling defense but will struggle with Rosas Jr.'s aggression. Expects Rosas Jr. to get him out in the first round, likely by submission.

submission TKO prop, probably by submission
"I expect Rosas Jr to get him out of there in the first round submission TKO prop not a bad sprinkle but probably by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes that Aoriqileng has lost to fighters he wouldn't describe as extremely talented, and that Rosas Jr. is a rising prospect with good grappling and pace. He trusts Rosas Jr. to get the grappling going early and secure a submission.

submission win first or second round
"I'm going to go with aori Chang losing this one by being out grappled... first or second round for R roses Jr I'm going with him to get the job done"