Career Averages - Mick Parkin
Career Averages - Łukasz Brzeski
Mick Parkin - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 61 of 155 | 39% | 64 of 158 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 60 of 145 | 41% | 102 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 41 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 33 of 79 | 41% | 33 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 37 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 61 of 155 | 39% | 28 of 110 | 29 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 60 of 151 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 60 of 145 | 41% | 47 of 130 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 49 of 118 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 21 of 56 | 37% | 4 of 34 | 15 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 23 of 45 | 51% | 13 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 22 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 25 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 33 of 79 | 41% | 20 of 61 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 32 of 76 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 22 of 62 | 35% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin, going against his bias for wrestlers. He notes Tybura's chin is fading after being wobbled in recent fights, but questions whether Parkin has one-punch knockout power. He thinks if Tybura can't get takedowns, he's in trouble, and Parkin's pace and control could be the difference. He admits it's a gut pick.
Brady is taking the underdog Tybura, questioning what a Mick Parkin win looks like. He notes Parkin's wins are against low-level competition and that he was outlanded by Kyle Machado. Brady thinks Tybura can win a close fight on the feet or dominate on top, and predicts a decision win.
The host notes that the UFC has brought Parkin along slowly, and now he faces a tough veteran. Parkin's athletic advantages in striking and grappling will be too much for the aging Tybura, leading to a late finish or decision win.
The Guru is confident in Mick Parkin, praising his conditioning, patience, and well-rounded game. He notes that Tybura has beaten many heavyweights who rush for a finish, but Parkin is patient and won't make that mistake. He expects Parkin to chop at the legs, stay composed, and win a 29-28 decision, as he has seen Parkin answer grappling questions that other Tybura opponents could not.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin as one of the most confident picks on the card, noting that Parkin is better everywhere and will control the pace. He expects Parkin's odds to balloon to -400 by fight night. Angelo admits the fight will be boring but is confident in Parkin's win.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, citing his youth, cardio, and improving wrestling. He notes that Łukasz Brzeski has poor grappling and has been taken down repeatedly. Cody believes Parkin can use his wrestling to control the fight and win by decision, possibly with a late submission.
Daniel thinks Mick Parkin is technical and well-rounded, while Łukasz Brzeski has been fed to prospects and lost. He expects Parkin to outwork Brzeski.
Paul also picks Parkin, noting that Brzeski's takedown defense is nonexistent and that Parkin can use his size and wrestling to grind out a win. He mentions that Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall and has a significant weight advantage. Paul expects Parkin to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin, expecting him to chew up Łukasz Brzeski's legs and mix in grappling when needed. He praises Parkin's underrated grappling and notes that Brzeski has had poor performances. The Guru believes Parkin is better than fighters like Karl Williams, who easily beat Brzeski. Training with Tom Aspinall is seen as a plus for Parkin's improvement. He predicts Parkin will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 57 of 167 | 34% | 57 of 168 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 72 of 150 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 15 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 18 of 51 | 35% | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammed Usman | 0 | 36 of 69 | 52% | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 57 of 167 | 34% | 26 of 114 | 30 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 57 of 167 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 72 of 150 | 48% | 37 of 109 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 37 | 71 of 149 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 15 of 48 | 31% | 11 of 39 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 16 of 40 | 40% | 6 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 13 | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 18 of 51 | 35% | 5 of 32 | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 20 of 41 | 48% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 12 | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 24 of 68 | 35% | 10 of 43 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammed Usman | 36 of 69 | 52% | 22 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 12 | 35 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin because he is the more technical fighter with sharper striking and slightly better takedowns. He expects a boring, slow, sloppy heavyweight decision, possibly with a stoppage from Parkin via takedown and ground control. He will stay away from betting unless the over 1.5 rounds line is available, which he would hammer.
Big Brady picks Mick Parkin, believing the fight will primarily be standing. He notes Parkin's striking looked good in his debut but was inconsistent against Kyle Machado. He thinks Parkin will land more strikes at range, while Usman has low volume and relies on power. Brady doubts Usman can knock out Parkin and expects a decision win for Parkin.
Cody picks Parkin, citing his size, mobility, and superior boxing. He criticizes Usman's low output and lack of power. Cody believes Parkin will outwork Usman and win a decision.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Mohammed Usman, admiring his ability to find a way to win even in ugly fights. He notes Usman has power and wrestling, and can take Parkin down. He thinks Parkin is the cleaner striker but Usman's physicality and grit could carry him.
Parkin has a great gas tank for a heavyweight, good output, and excellent scrambling ability. He will pressure Usman, who has a low-volume kickboxing style and tends to slow down late. Parkin can win by decision or even snatch a late submission, as Usman has been submitted before. Usman's only path is a flash KO, but Parkin should control the fight.
Paul picks Parkin, noting his training with Tom Aspinall and his ability to go the distance. He acknowledges the line movement toward Usman but still favors Parkin's overall game.
The MMA Guru picks Mohammed Usman over Mick Parkin, citing Parkin's poor last performance where he arguably lost and looked bad. He believes Usman's athleticism and wrestling will wear on Parkin as the fight goes on, with Usman landing takedowns in rounds two and three. He notes Parkin's eye swelling in his last fight and thinks Usman's power and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win for Usman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 69 of 139 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 6:23 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 76 of 132 | 57% | 103 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 34 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 3:32 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 34 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 56 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Caio Machado | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 39 of 98 | 39% | 33 of 91 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 92 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 76 of 132 | 57% | 41 of 95 | 24 of 26 | 11 of 11 | 68 of 121 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 7 of 22 | 31% | 4 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 24 of 43 | 55% | 8 of 27 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 21 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Caio Machado | 17 of 21 | 80% | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 23 of 56 | 41% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Caio Machado | 35 of 68 | 51% | 19 of 51 | 13 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a slight lean towards Mick Parkin because he can wrestle if needed, but he is very hesitant due to the wide odds (-330) and Parkin's unproven status. He notes Machado has more power and volume, and that the odds scare him. He advises passing or taking the underdog.
Big Brady thinks Parkin will stick to the outside and be the better striker across 15 minutes, similar to his fight against Jamal Pogues. He finds the line a bit crazy but believes Parkin is the better fighter and should win a very uneventful heavyweight decision. He's not fully convinced in Parkin yet but expects him to get the job done.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, noting his better striking and wrestling. He acknowledges the heavy price but believes Parkin is more well-rounded. He mentions Machado's low level of competition and suspect cardio. Cody thinks Parkin can win by decision or TKO.
Parkin is a well-rounded heavyweight prospect with good striking output and grappling. He can win on the feet with volume or take the fight to the ground and grind out Machado. Machado has faced low-level competition and has been in trouble before. Parkin wins convincingly by decision, and over 1.5 rounds is a good prop.
Paul picks Parkin but is not enthusiastic due to the price. He notes Machado's weak competition and Parkin's improvement. Paul thinks Parkin is better everywhere but the line is too high for comfort.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin to win by TKO in round two. He praises Parkin's boxing and forward pressure, noting his easy win over Jamal Pogues. He criticizes Machado's Contender Series performance against a passive opponent and believes Parkin's crisp boxing and calf kicks will overwhelm Machado. He also mentions Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 95 of 156 | 60% | 98 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 36 of 135 | 26% | 37 of 136 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 32 of 50 | 64% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 21 of 79 | 26% | 22 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 0 | 44 of 72 | 61% | 44 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 95 of 156 | 60% | 37 of 94 | 16 of 20 | 42 of 42 | 92 of 151 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 36 of 135 | 26% | 22 of 119 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 10 | 34 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 32 of 50 | 64% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 18 | 32 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 21 of 79 | 26% | 13 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mick Parkin | 19 of 34 | 55% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 11 | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 7 of 30 | 23% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mick Parkin | 44 of 72 | 61% | 20 of 47 | 11 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 43 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamal Pogues | 8 of 26 | 30% | 4 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.
Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.
Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.
The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.
Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.
Łukasz Brzeski - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Spann | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Spann | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Spann | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Spann | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ryan Spann to win, noting his power, submissions, and wrestling. He compares Brzeski to Austin Lane as a finishable opponent. However, he expresses concern about Spann's heavyweight debut where he looked out of shape and not serious, making the -225 price a bit tricky.
Big Brady picks Ryan Spann but expresses concern about Spann's inconsistency and motivation. He notes Spann looked terrible at heavyweight and hasn't posted training content. However, he believes Brzeski is not UFC caliber and Spann should win by first-round knockout if he shows up.
The host thinks Spann will get his first heavyweight win but expects Brzeski to make it more difficult than the odds indicate. He predicts Spann finds the finish inside the distance, but the hesitation suggests some doubt about the ease of victory.
The MMA Guru picks Łukasz Brzeski over Ryan Spann, citing Spann's low fight IQ and poor performance against Anthony Smith. He notes that Brzeski has experience in the cage and went to a decision with Volkan Oezdemir, which is respectable. The Guru also mentions that Brzeski is likely taller than Spann despite the listed height difference. He cannot trust Spann after his last performance and believes Brzeski will win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 29 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 32 of 69 | 46% | 32 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 29 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 32 of 69 | 46% | 32 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 29 of 70 | 41% | 19 of 55 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 26 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 32 of 69 | 46% | 16 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 32 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 29 of 70 | 41% | 19 of 55 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 26 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 32 of 69 | 46% | 16 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 32 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, noting he is a massive heavyweight with an 83-inch reach, decent takedown defense, and power. He believes Nzechukwu's physicality and power will overwhelm Brzeski, who is chinny and coming off a knockout loss. Angelo mentions Nzechukwu is not a true heavyweight but looked fine in his last fight. He considers the odds of -500 fair and might include Nzechukwu in a parlay.
Cody picks Nzechukwu, citing his size, reach, and power advantage. He notes Brzeski's poor record and suspect chin. He expects Nzechukwu to win by knockout, though he acknowledges heavyweight volatility.
Connor picks Nzechukwu confidently, noting that Brzeski cannot take shots and has low output. He points out that Nzechukwu is huge and can build into a fight, and that Brzeski does not have the power or volume to hurt him early. Connor believes Nzechukwu's size and durability will be too much for Brzeski.
Daniel picks Nzechukwu, citing his size and skill advantage at heavyweight. He believes Nzechukwu's reach and southpaw stance will be key, and expects a knockout given Brzeski's recent losses. He notes Nzechukwu's improved durability without the weight cut.
Nzechukwu is never really super reliable as a -500 favorite, but I expect him to touch up Brzeski from distance and eventually open up a knockout opportunity for himself in the second or third round.
Paul picks Nzechukwu, citing his physical advantages and Brzeski's lack of skills. He notes Nzechukwu's move to heavyweight and improved comfort. He expects a dominant win, but warns against heavy betting due to heavyweight unpredictability.
The MMA Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his size, reach advantage, and skill difference on the feet. He thinks Nzechukwu will be bigger and more skilled than Brzeski, who is a smaller heavyweight. He believes Nzechukwu will win and could go far in the division.
Zane agrees, picking Nzechukwu. He notes that Brzeski is a low-output volume fighter who cannot take shots, and that Nzechukwu is a giant who can come back into fights. Zane believes Brzeski will not be able to do enough damage to stop Nzechukwu from finding his rhythm.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Parkin | 34 of 52 | 65% | 29 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 24 of 42 | 57% | 12 of 28 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 20 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin as one of the most confident picks on the card, noting that Parkin is better everywhere and will control the pace. He expects Parkin's odds to balloon to -400 by fight night. Angelo admits the fight will be boring but is confident in Parkin's win.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, citing his youth, cardio, and improving wrestling. He notes that Łukasz Brzeski has poor grappling and has been taken down repeatedly. Cody believes Parkin can use his wrestling to control the fight and win by decision, possibly with a late submission.
Daniel thinks Mick Parkin is technical and well-rounded, while Łukasz Brzeski has been fed to prospects and lost. He expects Parkin to outwork Brzeski.
Paul also picks Parkin, noting that Brzeski's takedown defense is nonexistent and that Parkin can use his size and wrestling to grind out a win. He mentions that Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall and has a significant weight advantage. Paul expects Parkin to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin, expecting him to chew up Łukasz Brzeski's legs and mix in grappling when needed. He praises Parkin's underrated grappling and notes that Brzeski has had poor performances. The Guru believes Parkin is better than fighters like Karl Williams, who easily beat Brzeski. Training with Tom Aspinall is seen as a plus for Parkin's improvement. He predicts Parkin will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 33 of 67 | 49% | 56 of 101 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 7:19 |
| Valter Walker | 0 | 58 of 102 | 56% | 135 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 21 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Valter Walker | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 52 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 17 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Valter Walker | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 39 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 18 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:05 |
| Valter Walker | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 44 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Brzeski | 33 of 67 | 49% | 19 of 50 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 9 | 23 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 9 |
| Valter Walker | 58 of 102 | 56% | 27 of 70 | 16 of 17 | 15 of 15 | 55 of 96 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Łukasz Brzeski | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 |
| Valter Walker | 16 of 27 | 59% | 4 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 16 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Łukasz Brzeski | 16 of 35 | 45% | 9 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 31 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Valter Walker | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 42 | 8 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Łukasz Brzeski | 5 of 14 | 35% | 1 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Valter Walker | 10 of 19 | 52% | 4 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Valter Walker with high confidence, noting that Walker is massive (6'6") and a wrestler who should dominate by coming forward and ragdolling Łukasz Brzeski. He acknowledges that Walker's striking is miserable and he eats shots, but believes heavyweights are not used to a 6'6" Brazilian charging at them with wrestling. He expects the UFC to fast-track Walker.
Big Brady picks Valter Walker by decision, despite being unimpressed with Walker. He notes that Walker is huge, a solid wrestler, and can get fights to the mat. He cannot pick Łukasz Brzeski to win any UFC fight due to poor takedown defense and cardio. He expects a grinding decision with no finish.
Cody also picks Walker, noting that Brzeski has been taken down 8 times by Karl Williams. He thinks Walker's wrestling and size advantage will be key, and that if Walker sticks to takedowns and top control, he should win. Cody is wary of Walker's UFC debut but believes the matchup favors him.
Walker is a more complete fighter than his brother Johnny, with solid striking and underrated wrestling. He can take opponents down and grind them out. Brzeski is on a losing streak and has struggled against grapplers. Walker's size and strength advantage will allow him to control the fight and win by decision.
Paul picks Walker but is hesitant due to question marks. He likes Walker's size, athleticism, and grappling, and notes Brzeski has been taken down repeatedly by wrestlers like Karl Williams. Paul thinks Walker can take Brzeski down, make him carry weight, and gas him out. He acknowledges Walker is unproven but sees a clear path to victory via wrestling and top control.
The host identifies Walker as Johnny Walker's brother, noting he is 6'6", 26 years old, with an 81.5-inch reach. He highlights Walker's dynamic striking (front kicks, head kicks, spinning backfists) and good double-leg takedowns. He recalls a clip of Walker grappling with Johnny Walker, showing good sweeps and butterfly guard. He acknowledges Walker has a chin but is confident in his skills.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 1 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 1 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 15 of 45 | 33% | 9 of 36 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 14 of 22 | 63% | 1 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | 15 of 45 | 33% | 9 of 36 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 14 of 22 | 63% | 1 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Waldo, citing his striking and athleticism being far ahead of Brzeski. He notes that Brzeski turns his head and reacts too much to strikes. The only concern is leg kicks, as Waldo has been hurt by them before, but he still believes Waldo wins. He includes Waldo in a two-fighter parlay with Bedoya.
Big Brady notes that Waldo Cortes Acosta has holes in his game, including susceptibility to leg kicks and takedowns, but he doesn't trust Łukasz Brzeski's cardio, as Brzeski looks tired after 60 seconds. He expects a sloppy fight with Brzeski gassing early, allowing Acosta to land bigger shots and win a decision. He cautions against betting Acosta at heavy odds.
Cody picks Brzeski as an underdog, noting his durability and volume striking. He thinks Cortes Acosta lacks power and Brzeski can outwork him. Cody also mentions the fight likely goes the distance and likes the over.
Daniel picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his athleticism and baseball background. He notes that Brzeski is tough but lacks finishing upside. He mentions that Acosta has a good jab and better hands, though he is vulnerable to calf kicks. He thinks Acosta wins by striking and has a cardio edge. He is confident but notes it's heavyweight and anything can happen.
James picks Waldo Cortes Acosta to win by decision, though he acknowledges Brzeski is the value side. He notes Acosta has decent offensive tools but poor defense and leg kick vulnerability. He sees Acosta's speed and athleticism as advantages, and expects him to outpoint Brzeski over three rounds.
The host defends Cortes Acosta, praising his conditioning, jab, and volume. He notes that Cortes Acosta lost his last fight due to leg kicks and takedowns from Marcos de Lima, but showed good cardio in the third round. The host criticizes Brzeski's takedown defense and regional competition, but acknowledges the line is wide and suggests waiting for a better price. He predicts a decision win for Cortes Acosta.
Paul picks Cortes Acosta to win by decision, noting his volume striking and boxing. He likes the over on significant strikes for Cortes Acosta. Paul is not confident in the price but thinks Cortes Acosta should win.
The MMA Guru picks Waldo Cortes Acosta over Łukasz Brzeski, citing Brzeski's lack of grappling and decline in physical shape after a failed drug test. He notes Acosta's size advantage (15-20 pounds) and better boxing with more sting on his shots. He acknowledges Acosta's vulnerability to leg kicks but doubts Brzeski will exploit it. He predicts Acosta's well-rounded boxing and size will be the difference.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Williams | 1 | 38 of 58 | 65% | 120 of 168 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 10:13 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 49 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Williams | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 19 of 27 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Karl Williams | 1 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 36 of 59 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Karl Williams | 0 | 10 of 11 | 90% | 65 of 82 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Williams | 38 of 58 | 65% | 31 of 50 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 34 | 2 of 5 | 14 of 19 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 26 of 46 | 56% | 19 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Williams | 16 of 24 | 66% | 11 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 13 of 23 | 56% | 10 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karl Williams | 12 of 23 | 52% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 10 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Karl Williams | 10 of 11 | 90% | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 6 of 9 | 66% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Łukasz Brzeski, believing he is the better overall fighter with more ways to win, including mixing in takedowns. He notes that Brzeski does not like getting hit, which could be a problem against Karl Williams' power, but he thinks Brzeski can dominate as he did against Martin Buday. He advises against betting due to the volatility of heavyweight and Williams' danger.
Big Brady likes Karl Williams, noting his wrestling is dominant and he can take opponents down and keep them there. He points out Brzeski's cardio is questionable and he is no longer on PEDs. Brady expects Williams to control the fight on the mat and win by decision, as Williams is not a finisher.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Brzeski. He highlights Brzeski's volume and cardio, and doubts Williams' ability to replicate his takedown success against a true heavyweight. He likes the plus money.
Connor picks Brzeski because he sees him as a more complete fighter with better experience and durability. He notes Brzeski's high output, good gas tank, and ability to handle wrestling, while Williams fades as the fight goes on and his wrestling isn't dominant enough to control Brzeski.
Williams' wrestling and grappling should be the deciding factor. He has a good gas tank and will look to grind Brzeski down with takedowns and control time. Brzeski showed improved striking in his last fight but struggled against a clinch-heavy approach. Williams will close the distance and drag the fight to the mat, winning by decision.
Paul picks Brzeski as an underdog, questioning Williams' heavyweight credentials and noting Brzeski's cardio and volume. He thinks Brzeski can outwork Williams and mentions his impressive performance against Martin Buday despite a split decision loss.
The MMA Guru picks Łukasz Brzeski, noting that Karl Williams lacks finishing potential and is not a big heavyweight. He believes Brzeski has good cardio and will out-hustle Williams to a decision win after a rough start in round one.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Brzeski due to his superior experience and durability. He notes that Brzeski has been fighting better competition and has a more proven track record, while Williams' wins are against inexperienced opponents and he tends to fade.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 0 | 66 of 188 | 35% | 66 of 188 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 118 of 273 | 43% | 124 of 280 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 0 | 25 of 63 | 39% | 25 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 41 of 104 | 39% | 47 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Martin Buday | 0 | 19 of 55 | 34% | 19 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 43 of 89 | 48% | 43 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Martin Buday | 0 | 22 of 70 | 31% | 22 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 0 | 34 of 80 | 42% | 34 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 66 of 188 | 35% | 50 of 169 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 187 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 118 of 273 | 43% | 49 of 182 | 51 of 69 | 18 of 22 | 116 of 268 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 25 of 63 | 39% | 20 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 41 of 104 | 39% | 19 of 74 | 16 of 21 | 6 of 9 | 39 of 99 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Martin Buday | 19 of 55 | 34% | 14 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 43 of 89 | 48% | 18 of 59 | 15 of 20 | 10 of 10 | 43 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Martin Buday | 22 of 70 | 31% | 16 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Łukasz Brzeski | 34 of 80 | 42% | 12 of 49 | 20 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 80 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Martin Buday due to his power, noting that Brzeski doesn't like getting hit and may cower. However, he doesn't like the odds at 2-to-1, so he won't bet the moneyline but will use Buday in knockout kings daily fantasy.
Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by second-round finish. He notes that Brzeski has terrible cardio, gassing within the first two minutes, and is undersized. Buday uses his size well, pushing opponents against the cage and wearing them down. Brady expects Buday to eventually finish Brzeski, possibly by knockout or ground and pound.
Cody picks Martin Buday, citing his size advantage (30+ lbs) and clinch-heavy style. He notes Brzeski is smaller, may not be on PEDs anymore, and has a limited gas tank. Cody expects Buday to wear him down and finish late in the second or third round.
Daniel Levi picks Martin Buday, describing him as a real heavyweight who imposes his size and will. He notes that Buday weighs 265 pounds and uses brutal knees and elbows against the fence. In contrast, Brzeski is lighter and has a failed drug test, so Levi expects Buday to dominate.
The host likes Buday, mentioning he has power and volume. He also notes that Brzeski doesn't look good on the skills. He mentions a bet on Buday inside the distance at -110 and round two at +550.
Paul picks Martin Buday, agreeing with Cody's analysis. He notes the over 1.5 rounds line has moved to -175, but he prefers to look for an over 2.5 or fight goes to decision prop, as Buday tends to grind out wins late.
The host picks Martin Buday, citing a 35-pound weight advantage and expecting him to wear out Łukasz Brzeski against the cage for a third-round TKO. He notes Brzeski's positive steroid test and questions his technique, suggesting he looked better on regional shows than on the Contender Series.
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo picks Mick Parkin as one of the most confident picks on the card, noting that Parkin is better everywhere and will control the pace. He expects Parkin's odds to balloon to -400 by fight night. Angelo admits the fight will be boring but is confident in Parkin's win.
Cody picks Mick Parkin, citing his youth, cardio, and improving wrestling. He notes that Łukasz Brzeski has poor grappling and has been taken down repeatedly. Cody believes Parkin can use his wrestling to control the fight and win by decision, possibly with a late submission.
Daniel thinks Mick Parkin is technical and well-rounded, while Łukasz Brzeski has been fed to prospects and lost. He expects Parkin to outwork Brzeski.
Paul also picks Parkin, noting that Brzeski's takedown defense is nonexistent and that Parkin can use his size and wrestling to grind out a win. He mentions that Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall and has a significant weight advantage. Paul expects Parkin to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin, expecting him to chew up Łukasz Brzeski's legs and mix in grappling when needed. He praises Parkin's underrated grappling and notes that Brzeski has had poor performances. The Guru believes Parkin is better than fighters like Karl Williams, who easily beat Brzeski. Training with Tom Aspinall is seen as a plus for Parkin's improvement. He predicts Parkin will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
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