UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez Next Fight
Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 32
Height 6' 4"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Andre Petroski
2.81 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.79 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
3.15 TD Avg
51.0% TD Acc.
86.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Josh Fremd
2.52 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.23 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
0.66 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
30.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Andre Petroski - Fight History
LOSS vs Cody Brundage
KO/TKO R2 0:44 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Brundage 1 43 of 60 71% 44 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 21 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Brundage 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Andre Petroski 0 8 of 16 50% 21 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
2 Cody Brundage 1 37 of 50 74% 38 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Andre Petroski 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Brundage 43 of 60 71% 40 of 55 2 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 12 0 of 0 35 of 48
Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 2 of 7 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Brundage 6 of 10 60% 3 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 3 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 8 of 16 50% 2 of 6 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Cody Brundage 37 of 50 74% 37 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 35 of 48
Andre Petroski 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski

Round 1
Chris Tognoni is the referee. It’s a deliberate beginning for the middleweights. Petroski land a low kick. Petroski fires a combination and Brundage circles out. Petroski backs his man up and lands a calf kick. Brundage partially lands a straight right. Both men remain very patient as we reach the halfway point of the round. Burndage lands a front kick to the gut and eats a series of calf kicks. Petroski catches Brundage with a knee as he moves forward. Petroski shoots and lands in side control to negate a guillotine attempt from Brundage. Brundage keeps his grip for a while before relen. Brundage seems content to hold his opponent close to limit offense. Petroski creates some space and lands a few right hands from top position. Petroski goes knee on belly and then achieves mount as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Brundage throws a looping right and then seconds later, drops his foe with a massive left hook after feinting another right.
Brundage pounces and unleashes a hailstorm of ground-and-pound in pursuit of the finish. Petroski is defending well at first, but Brundage is relentless. The shots are beginning to get through and Tognoni is taking a close look. The veteran official gives Petroski plenty of leeway, but the Pennsylvania-based fighter isn’t improving his situation — so the fight is waved off.
That ends a four-bout winless streak for Burndage.

The Official Result
Cody Brundage def. Andre Petroski via TKO (Punches) R2 0:44
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Angelo picks Cody Brundage despite acknowledging his inconsistency and cardio issues. He believes Brundage is the better wrestler and striker with more power, and has faced tougher competition. However, he is hesitant due to Brundage's tendency to fade. He loves the +170 odds but is unsure about betting.

"I'm picking Cody because I think he's the better fighter. The skills are there. I think he's the better wrestler. I think he's the better striker. I think he's got more power."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Big Brady picks Cody Brundage for the upset, citing Petroski's glass chin and Brundage's early power. He notes that Brundage has wrestling to stuff takedowns early and only needs one shot to knock out Petroski. He admits this is a greasy pick and rarely picks Brundage.

first round KO
"I'm going to take Cody Brundage for the upset."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Cody picks Cody Brundage as a dog, despite his poor record, because he believes this is a winnable matchup. He notes that Brundage has struggled against long, rangy fighters, but Andre Petroski is his size and has a similar wrestling style. Cody thinks Brundage's speed and overhand right can catch Petroski, who has poor durability and gasses. He predicts a Brundage knockout in round one.

Brundage by KO in round one; under 1.5 rounds.
"I have a feeling that Cody Brundage is going to finish this fight, catch him with an overhand and knock him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

Connor picks Petroski, agreeing with Zane. He describes Petroski as a busted experiment who is tense and fragile, but Brundage is even worse—a panicking fighter with no technique who corners himself. He notes Brundage could knock himself out by level-changing into a knee.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Brundage a 'meatheaded middleweight' and says his fight schedule is 'that of a whore'.
"So, um, yeah, I'll take Petrosky. I think he's, you know, he'll probably get Cody Brundage down. Yeah. I should do it. Should be enough."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Lucrative James confidently picks Andre Petroski to win by submission, citing Petroski's superior grappling and top control. He notes Brundage's tendency to quit when pressured and Petroski's ability to take him down. He predicts an inside-the-distance finish.

win by submission
"I have to take Andre Petroski to get the grappling going. And once he gets the grappling going, we've seen time and time again Cody Brundage basically just quits."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host believes Petroski is the better fighter but is hesitant to trust him at -200, as Brundage has power and could land an early knockout. He expects Petroski's wrestling and top pressure to wear down Brundage, leading to a decision win. He is interested in the Petroski decision prop if at +200 or better.

Petroski by decision (if +200 or better)
"I think Petroski will start to wear down Brundage, and I think that's where we'll see Petroski get to his wrestling, and that should be enough to for him to really start grinding this fight out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host picks Andre Petroski over Cody Brundage, expecting Petroski's wrestling to take over in deep water. He notes that Petroski's durability must hold up early, but if it does, Petroski will grind out a decision win.

"I fully expect Petroski's wrestling to really start to come through, especially in deep water, as long as his durability can hold up early here. He should be able to survive the early onslaught from Brundage, then really grind this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Paul also leans toward Cody Brundage, joining Cody in the Brundage by KO prop. He notes that Petroski knocked himself out on Malcoun's hip and has suspect durability. He believes Brundage has a chance to land a big shot and finish the fight early.

Brundage by KO.
"I'm going to join you in that uh in the round one and bumage by KO prop because Petroski what knocked out knocked himself out on Malcoun's hip that one time."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

Zane picks Petroski because he thinks Petroski will get Brundage down and should be enough. He notes Brundage's only idea is to shell up and throw a desperate overhand, and he often panics. However, he acknowledges Brundage could land a big punch.

Odds: Petroski opened -200, now -185; Brundage opened +160, now +170. Zane calls it a 'shit ass fight' and 'bottom barrel'.
"So, um, yeah, I'll take Petrosky. I think he's, you know, he'll probably get Cody Brundage down. Yeah. I should do it. Should be enough."
LOSS vs Cam Rowston
KO R1 2:41 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cam Rowston 1 12 of 36 33% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Andre Petroski 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cam Rowston 1 12 of 36 33% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Andre Petroski 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cam Rowston 12 of 36 33% 8 of 31 1 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 17
Andre Petroski 7 of 13 53% 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 8 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cam Rowston 12 of 36 33% 8 of 31 1 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 17
Andre Petroski 7 of 13 53% 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 8 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his unreliability (knocked himself out shooting a takedown). He believes Petroski is the better wrestler with more power, and that Cam Rowston's quick turnaround and lack of elite skills make this too much too soon. Angelo notes Petroski's fight IQ and ability to adapt game plans, while Rowston is a good striker but has poor wrestling.

"Andre Petroski is too well-rounded, has too many skills, was already in fight camp. Is he unreliable? Yeah, sure. Is he the better wrestler? Yes. Does he have more power in his hands? Yes."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Big Brady picks Cam Rowston to win by third-round submission. He acknowledges Petroski has a clear path via takedowns but questions his chin, cardio, and short-notice travel. He believes Rowston can capitalize on Petroski's fatigue and mistakes, potentially snatching a submission late.

third round submission
"I'm actually going to take the dog here. Very unpopular pick, but I'm going to say Ralston wins this fight by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Cody picks Rowston as a dog, citing his size, cardio, and get-up game. He believes Petroski's low volume and cardio issues will be exposed as Rowston comes forward and lands strikes. He notes Rowston trains with elite strikers and has the hometown advantage, but admits it's a risky pick.

"I'm going to take the dog shot on Cam Roen. He's like plus 120 right now. Andre Petroski is - 145. This is in fact the PRP pick."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Rowston's only notable loss to Torres Finney showed he can be neutralized by a grappler. He notes that Petroski has the power and wrestling to handle Rowston, and that Rowston's aggression will likely lead him into Petroski's game. He also points out that Rowston's competition has been terrible.

"Yeah, I'll take him over Rowston because a big dumb galoot who will grapple with him... Rowston is not ready for a step up."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

James picks Cam Rowston despite acknowledging his bias as a City Kickboxing affiliate. He believes Rowston's takedown defense is technically sound and that Petroski's cardio fades in round two, while Rowston can capitalize on the feet. He admits the pick is influenced by bias and that Petroski's jiu-jitsu is a threat if he gets top position.

"I'm going to take Cam Roen in this fight. I'm going to take Cam Ro."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host expects Petroski to use his wrestling and power striking to muzzle Rowston. He predicts Petroski will accumulate control time, good top position, and land shots on the feet to win on the scorecards.

"I expect Petroski to utilize his wrestling effectively and power striking approach to really muzzle Roston. And I think that will lead to uh Petrosi acrewing a bunch of control time, some good top position, and getting off some good …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The Guru picks Andre Petroski, believing his chain wrestling will overwhelm Cam Rowston, who has been taken down repeatedly by lesser grapplers like Torres Finney. He expects Petroski to secure takedowns and finish via ground-and-pound or submission, possibly an arm triangle in the third round.

third round TKO or submission (arm triangle)
"I'm going to go with Andre Petrosky getting this one done um by decision or by late rounds finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Zane sees Petroski as a much more experienced and proven UFC fighter, while Rowston is a limited prospect who was blanketed by Torres Finney. He notes that Rowston's wins are against terrible competition and that he stands tall and tries to grapple, which plays into Petroski's strengths. He is surprised Petroski is only a slight favorite.

Odds comment: surprised Petroski is only a slight favorite; opened -220 now -175, Rowston opened +185 now +150
"I'll take him over Rowston because a big dumb galoot who will grapple with him... Rowston is not ready for a step up."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edmen Shahbazyan 1 53 of 136 38% 58 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Andre Petroski 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 84 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Edmen Shahbazyan 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
3 Edmen Shahbazyan 1 20 of 45 44% 25 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Andre Petroski 0 9 of 23 39% 9 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edmen Shahbazyan 53 of 136 38% 37 of 103 11 of 23 5 of 10 50 of 129 0 of 0 3 of 7
Andre Petroski 34 of 84 40% 15 of 52 13 of 17 6 of 15 33 of 82 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 15 of 41 36% 12 of 30 2 of 8 1 of 3 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 13 of 27 48% 5 of 13 4 of 6 4 of 8 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Edmen Shahbazyan 18 of 50 36% 10 of 37 7 of 9 1 of 4 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 12 of 34 35% 7 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 3 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Edmen Shahbazyan 20 of 45 44% 15 of 36 2 of 6 3 of 3 17 of 38 0 of 0 3 of 7
Andre Petroski 9 of 23 39% 3 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 4 9 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Shahbazyan (-185), Petroski (+154)

Round 1
As aggressive as ever, middleweight wunderkind Shahbazyan (14-5, 7-5 UFC) knows it only takes one for him to put an opponent away. He draws bearded grappler Petroski (13-3, 8-2 UFC), who has had his chin checked in the past but can also grind his way to victory if need be. This two-outcome match draws officiating from referee Kevin MacDonald, who bears witness to the fitness of the modern warrior. Before BOOM, another hit is landed, they bump fists. You’re gonna feel it. This is the ultimate. Both men start fast, trading hands in the center of the cage. Petroski lets go with a low kick and a level change, the latter likely to make Shahbazyan think about the possibility. When Shahbazyan advances, Petroski clips him with a short right hand that makes Shahbazyan check his nose. The two get stuck in neutral for a time when presenting in boxing range, and Shahbazyan breaks up the lull in action with a body kick. As Petroski bounces in, Shahbazyan measures him with a sharp right hand. Shahbazyan pecks out with a jab, but Petroski lands heavy on the calf with a kick. The boos begin to grow louder as the two do not engage with much, and Petroski tries to engage his grappling and is turned away for his efforts. Shahbazyan gets behind his jab, pecking it out to fluster Petroski. A jab and a left hook stings the Renzo Gracie Philly product, and Petroski tries and fails to take the fight down again. A quick left from Shahbazyan hurts Petroski, who bounces off the fence to gather himself. Shahbazyan wraps a right hand around the guard, and he deposits his shin on the midsection as the sound of it echoes through the building. Shahbazyan chases around his opponent with a few punches until the tepid round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 2
As the second round begins, Petroski still cannot find his way in to attack. This allows Shahbazyan to peck and poke at him with jabs, front kicks and anything else to maintain his distance. Shahbazyan pushes off and a finger slides into his eye socket, and MacDonald calls time and tells Petroski to take all the time he needs. With fighters too often hurrying back before they are fully recovered, MacDonald’s request is a solid one. Nevertheless, Petroski waves things back in after 45 seconds, in which he immediately reintroduces himself with a blistering right hand over the top. Shahbazyan does not let him land a second time, instead disrupting his attacks with his flustering jab. Petroski manages to get his hands on the younger fighter, but cannot ground him and settles for a body kick on the way out. Petroski strings together three punches, the third that really gets Shahbazyan’s attention. Shahbazyan loads up with an overhand right, and Petroski’s response of a one-two is effective. Shahbazyan eventually boots his foe in the belly after some time of inaction, and he doubles up on it as Petroski frowns. Shahbazyan skims the top of the head with his foot, and he digs a right to the midsection while Petroski backpedals. They meet in the middle and trade power punches, with Shahbazyan goes to the body and shaking up Petroski to the head. Petroski circles to either direction to try to get his wits about him, remaining safe until the round ends. Once again, the crowd expresses itself about the lackluster match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 3
The middleweights reach Round 3 and tap hands together, and both punch one another square in the face. As they come together, they clack heads, and Shahbazyan shrugs and signals to MacDonald, who is already calling time. They resume after a few seconds, where Petroski thumps the front leg with a kick and has his beard tested with a right hand. Petroski dives after a single, putting “The Golden Boy” on his seat. Shahbazyan climbs right back to his feet and wipes his feet on the mat, before tossing his cleaned ball of his foot towards his adversary. Shahbazyan rattles off two punches down the middle, swaying and dodging the inevitable counter. Petroski moves from side to side as the audience turns on them once again, even as Shahbazyan slaps the raised guard with a head kick. Petroski pounds the chest of his opponent with his shin, and he gets driven back by a right hand. Shahbazyan unloads with a mighty body kick, slamming it on Petroski’s left arm, and Petroski clutches it. Shahbazyan aims another one to the same spot, his arm possibly damaged, and he goes down from the kick. After dropping down a few punches, Shahbazyan elects to let Petroski back up. “The Golden Boy” goes high with a kick to the same potentially hurt limb, and he moves away from a head kick aimed at him. Petroski chains a single into a step-in knee, and Shahbazyan pushes him back with a right hand. Shahbazyan flicks out his jab to solid effect, skirting away from a low kick and aiming two kicks back. Shahbazyan works over the front leg with another kick, and he connects with a one-two. Petroski marches his man down despite a head kick aimed at him, swinging once and missing wide. Once more, the fighters go the distance tonight, and fans do not love what they witnessed for the last 15 minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)

The Official Result
Edmen Shahbazyan def. Andre Petroski via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Angelo leans Edmen because he is the better athlete and hits hard, and Andre's chin is suspect. He notes that even if Andre gets takedowns, Edmen can survive and have an edge on the feet. However, he feels the odds are a trap and expects a close fight.

"I am though going to slightly lean Edmond here because Andre just isn't that dangerous on the ground."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Big Brady picks Edmen Shahbazyan by first-round knockout. He notes that Shahbazyan has a 7.5-minute window to finish before his cardio fades, and that Petroski has been knocked out in all his losses. He believes Shahbazyan will land a knockout early, but suggests a live bet on Petroski if the fight goes past the first round.

first round knockout; live bet on Petroski if fight hits second round
"I'm going to say Shibbazian. Shamazi wins this fight by by first round knockout, but it could get interesting uh as always if the fight gets extended."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Connor picks Shahbazyan but is very hesitant, calling the fight a coin flip. He notes that Shahbazyan's problems are fundamental and unlikely to go away, but that Petroski's tendency to gas and his clumsy striking make him vulnerable to an early finish. Connor points out that Shahbazyan's best chance is to knock Petroski out in the first round, as Petroski has been finished early before. If Petroski survives, his durability and grinding style could break Shahbazyan.

Shahbazyan opened at -213, now -169; Petroski opened at +162, now +155.
"I'll take shabazian as well but you know yeah but it's i'm interested in the fight honestly"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Petroski's grappling and power punching will thwart Shahbazyan's striking. He will pin him against the cage, drag him to the ground, and possibly find a submission in the second or third round, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

submission in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to have to lean with the grappling of Petroski... maybe finding a submission in the second or third round, but I'll ultimately lean on Petroski to win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

The Guru initially wavers but ultimately picks Andre Petroski by submission in the third round. He acknowledges Shahbazyan is the better martial artist with superior standup, but fears Shahbazyan will 'fumble' again. He expects Petroski to implement his wrestling and get a late arm-triangle choke, calling it a coin flip.

Andre Petroski by submission, round 3
"I'm gonna go with Andre Petroski out wrestling Edmond Shbazian. That's what I'm going to go with. I'm going to go with a late rounds arm triangle submission win for Andre Petroski in the third round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Zane picks Shahbazyan but is hesitant, acknowledging that Shahbazyan's mental fragility is a major concern. He thinks Petroski is prone to getting overloaded early and that Shahbazyan's power and sharpness in round one could finish him. However, Zane notes that if Petroski survives the first round, he likely wins by grinding Shahbazyan down with wrestling and pressure, as Shahbazyan tends to collapse when his initial blitz fails.

Shahbazyan opened at -213, now -169; Petroski opened at +162, now +155. Zane expects the odds to get closer.
"I think i'll go with shabazian as well patrosky seems ripe to get overloaded and uh just chin checked very early"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodolfo Vieira 0 58 of 99 58% 60 of 101 1 of 11 9% 0 0 1:50
Andre Petroski 0 55 of 111 49% 58 of 114 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodolfo Vieira 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:24
Andre Petroski 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Rodolfo Vieira 0 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:27
Andre Petroski 0 22 of 37 59% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rodolfo Vieira 0 20 of 33 60% 22 of 35 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:59
Andre Petroski 0 20 of 40 50% 22 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodolfo Vieira 58 of 99 58% 31 of 66 6 of 8 21 of 25 53 of 93 5 of 6 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 55 of 111 49% 26 of 72 7 of 13 22 of 26 54 of 109 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodolfo Vieira 14 of 26 53% 5 of 14 1 of 2 8 of 10 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 13 of 34 38% 4 of 18 3 of 8 6 of 8 13 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rodolfo Vieira 24 of 40 60% 14 of 29 5 of 6 5 of 5 22 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 22 of 37 59% 11 of 25 3 of 3 8 of 9 22 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rodolfo Vieira 20 of 33 60% 12 of 23 0 of 0 8 of 10 17 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 20 of 40 50% 11 of 29 1 of 2 8 of 9 19 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Rodolfo Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-245), Petroski (+200

Round 1
It’s an all-grappling extravaganza in the middleweight division, with Vieira (10-2, 5-2 UFC) one of the best submission artists in BJJ possibly putting things together finally and making a run. Standing in his way will be Petroski (12-3, 7-2 UFC) out of Renzo Gracie Philly, who knows his way in and out of a sub—both of the Philly variety and the necktie. The clock begins when referee Herb Dean says go, and the fighters acknowledge him and one another by tapping their hands together. Petroski lands a heavy low kick, and he keeps his guard up to defend from a surprisingly fast one-two. Vieira fakes for a takedown shot that draws a serious reaction out of Petroski, but he calms himself down and tosses out a head kick. Petroski chips at the front leg, and Vieira kicks him back far heavier. Vieira jabs the body with a front kick and takes a right hand on the chin to force a reset. Leg kicks come from both sides, and Vieira’s bobbing is keeping Petroski cautious. When Vieira crushes him, Petroski brains him with a powerful left hook that sends him hurtling face-first to the mat. The Brazilian bounces off the ground and back to his feet seemingly no worse for wear from the flash knockdown. More low kicks fly from both ends, and Petroski kicks Vieira coming in and shakes up his entry. Petroski wraps three punches on the side to further get Vieira’s attention, prompting the Brazilian to shoot in on his hips. Petroski stuffs the shot and gets back to kickboxing range, keeping his uppercut on the read to time as an intercepting strike. When Vieira does not shoot, Petroski lashes out with a left hook. The fighter both go after additional leg kicks, tossing them in when there is an opening. Vieira dives after a single, and the American turns when stopping it and breaks away. Petroski jabs the body and checks a kick, and a right hand from over the top nicks his cheek and causes a thin trickle of blood to flow. Vieira targets the blood spot with a few punches, and Petroski answers him with a successful takedown. Rather than play in the guard, Petroski bails on the position and stands, and he takes a front kick on the way up. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
There is a clap of hands from the middleweights to get going, and Vieira jabs out and follows one with a stern right hand. Petroski circles away, not letting Vieira cut him off or corner him. When Petroski commits to an overhand right, Vieira shoots and fails. Petroski backs him off and dings him with a right hand, and he shuts down a secondary shot and works his way out. Vieira reaches his man with a right hand, and both fighters try to sweep the leg. There are single jabs from both sides to multiple targets, and Vieira uses a jab to set up a takedown. Petroski hits his seat for less than a second before springing off the floor, where he leans on the cage and tries to spin out. Vieira loads up on three power punches with Petroski’s back to the wall, and Petroski gets out before taking more and clubs Vieira on the nose with a right hook. Vieira strings together straight punches, landing cleanly on the American without too much concern about anything coming back. Vieira keeps giving chase throwing big punches, and Petroski’s head movement and footwork is on point enough to not take too much damage. The jiu-jitsu player cracks Petroski with a straight right, keeping to simple combinations of maybe three or so. Petroski walks into a jab that is so clean, he high-fives his opponent for hitting him with it. Petroski jams the front leg with a kick that makes Vieira stagger for a second, and he tags Vieira coming in with a right hand. The Brazilian is stood up with a jab when advancing, and he takes a pounding body kick right at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The fighters touch ‘em up leading into the last round, and Vieira gets right in Petroski’s grill throwing punches and kicks. Petroski potshots him from afar, circling away not far from the cage while launching a front kick that brushes past the chin. Vieira grips a single and fails to ground his opponent, and Petroski makes him pay for the naked shot with a solid overhand right. Petroski doubles up on low kicks and checks one after, with the Brazilian’s limb welted, swollen and bright red. Vieira sprints in for a takedown, and when Petroski’s backside hits the canvas, he turns and climbs back upright using the fence as his ally. Vieira clings on from the back, hands clasped around the waist, and Petroski shakes it off and batters the lead wheel with a ferocious kick. Vieira’s jab has drawn some swelling of Petroski’s right eye, and he reacts every time there is a pump-faked takedown. Petroski beats down the front leg a few more times to visible success, and a shot from the jiu-jitsu ace is labored and does not reach the finish line. Petroski marks up Vieira’s face with his right hand, bloodying the cheek and going after it a few times. The American thumps up the body with a kick, and Vieira is right there in front of him with a one-two down the pipe. Petroski fires off an even heavier two-punch salvo, and his work on the front leg has slowed Vieira just enough to get in and out. Vieira shoots for a double that is stopped in its tracks, and Petroski walks him down and punches him square in the face. As if to send a final message, Petroski partially hits a single, and Vieira scampers away at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski, emphasizing that Petroski has good old-fashioned American wrestling and solid BJJ, so he should not be afraid of Vieira's Jiu-Jitsu. He worries that Petroski might abandon wrestling and strike, but if he sticks to wrestling, he wins. He notes that Vieira hits hard and has a better chin, but Petroski's wrestling is the key.

"I'm picking Andre patoski I'm doing it and I feel free to spam me with the gift of him knocking himself out shooting a takedown on Jacob malcun feel free because I deserve it picks and Bets not the same …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Big Brady picks Vieira by second-round submission, citing his superior grappling and durability advantage. Petroski has a weak chin and has been knocked out. Vieira has improved cardio and should get on top and finish with a head-and-arm choke. Petroski's grappling is a level below.

submission in round 2
"give me Vieira I'll take him to win by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Connor picks Rodolfo Vieira, agreeing with Zane that Vieira is the more decorated grappler and more comfortable striker. He notes that Petroski's game is shallow and that he struggled against wrestlers like Jacob Malkoun. Connor believes Vieira's power wrestling and BJJ will be too much for Petroski, and that Vieira has clearly improved since his UFC debut. He also mentions that Vieira gets tired after kickboxing but fights well tired, and that Petroski is unlikely to push that pace.

Connor notes the odds: Vieira opened at -233 and is now -249, Petroski opened at +175 and is now +219. He says the odds make sense and that this is a pretty easy pick.
"I think this is a pretty easy pick, honestly. I mean, should given that in the discussion we had earlier, they, Petroski has some profile, I think, in the UFC, but they should probably get Vietta into actual contention sooner …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Lucrative James picks Rodolfo Vieira to win by submission in round 2 or 3, but is hesitant to lay the -250 price. He believes Vieira has the better submission grappling and intangibles like durability and mental toughness, while Petroski has better wrestling and possibly harder striking. He expects the fight to be messy on the feet, but if it goes to the ground, Vieira's jiu-jitsu will be a threat. He notes Petroski's chin is worse and Vieira is more technical on the feet, but Petroski could land a knockout. He sees value in Vieira's finishing ability but warns against the high price.

Rodolfo Vieira by submission in round 2 or 3
"I am picking Rulo Vieira in this one but I do not know how you can be confident laying a gigantic price tag like minus 250"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Andre Petroski

Petroski has the power and wrestling advantage to shut down Vieira's grappling. He can either control from top position or use his striking to pressure and find a finish. Official prediction is Petroski by decision, but the host can't stomach parlaying Vieira.

Petroski by decision; cannot parlay Vieira
"I have to lean on the power that Petroski brings to the table... my official prediction is going to be Petroski by decision but I can't stomach thinking about parlaying Vieira in this spot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

The MMA Guru picks Rodolfo Vieira over Andre Petroski, citing Vieira's superior jiu-jitsu and better standup. He criticizes Petroski's poor striking and believes Vieira can stuff takedowns, win on the feet, and potentially submit Petroski if he shoots on bad terms.

submission
"I am GNA go Rulo Vieira just based on the Jiu-Jitsu degree"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Zane picks Rodolfo Vieira confidently, citing Vieira's superior grappling credentials and improved MMA game. He notes that Vieira is a world champion BJJ practitioner who excels at top control and submissions, and has developed adequate boxing and wrestling. Zane contrasts this with Petroski, who relies on top control but will face a grappler of Vieira's skill and physical ability. He also mentions that Vieira has built up his cardio and is used to the pace of MMA fights, unlike in his loss to Hernandez.

Zane notes the odds: Vieira opened at -233 and is now -249, Petroski opened at +175 and is now +219. He says the odds make sense and that this is a pretty easy pick.
"So I got to pick him here. I think this is a pretty easy pick, honestly."
WIN vs Dylan Budka
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 23 of 46 50% 78 of 109 3 of 5 60% 0 0 9:20
Dylan Budka 0 17 of 53 32% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Dylan Budka 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andre Petroski 0 7 of 12 58% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Dylan Budka 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 27 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:47
Dylan Budka 0 5 of 19 26% 7 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 23 of 46 50% 16 of 36 5 of 8 2 of 2 17 of 38 1 of 1 5 of 7
Dylan Budka 17 of 53 32% 14 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 2 13 of 49 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 5
Dylan Budka 4 of 16 25% 3 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andre Petroski 7 of 12 58% 5 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dylan Budka 8 of 18 44% 6 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 1 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 6 of 14 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Dylan Budka 5 of 19 26% 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dylan Budka (188.5: Missed Weight) vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-278), Budka (+225)

Round 1
Despite holding a UFC record with six wins opposite two defeats, Pennsylvania-based grappler Petroski (11-3, 6-2 UFC) finds himself deposited haphazardly on the early prelims. Instead of reaching towards opposition in the top 20, he collides with a man in Budka (7-3, 0-1 UFC) who calls himself “The Mindless Hulk” that cannot find the middleweight limit. The favored Petroski will receive 20% of his foe’s purse, and he will be thanking his lucky stars the fight is still on considering the poor condition of Budka on the scales on Friday. The two receive oversight from referee Mark Smith in the cage, and while Budka offers an apologetic glove touch, Petroski wants nothing to do with it. Instead, he proceeds to walk Budka down, parrying a high kick and a few big punches, and he sees Budka active but inaccurate when approaching him. Petroski digs a kick to the ribs, and it is one-and-done as the two feint and fake at one another. Budka circles on the outer edge of the cage, lifting up an intercepting knee and doing so a second time but bumping into Petroski’s cup. Petroski walks him down, swinging his right hand out, but he pulls back when seeing “The Mindless Hulk” mindlessly leaps at him and missing by a wide margin. Petroski punches his way into a body kick, and he scoops Budka up and dumps him to the floor. Petroski lands in half guard, where he grinds his elbow into the jaw and is otherwise focused on control over damage. Petroski lowers himself flat on top, and when he wraps a few punches around the head, he is warned for punching the back of Budka’s melon. Budka bucks but is completely nullified on his back, although he hands on to prevent Petroski from getting off much. Petroski frees his right arm and rattles off five or six punches to the head and side, and Budka wraps him up once more. Petroski keeps smothering as he looks to step over to mount, and he succeeds in moving to the dominant position with 10 seconds to spare. Budka hangs on tight, and the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Petroski begins the round aggressively as before, ducking a punch to counter with a left. Budka bites down on his mouthpiece and slings leather, and Petroski largely ducks and rolls with the worst of the blows. Budka tosses out a high kick that bounces off the shoulder, and he slides to the side to avoid a two-hook swarm. Petroski slips on his way in, and when he regains his footing, he walks face-first into an uppercut. Petroski shoots for a takedown, bailing on it to knee his man in the sternum, and then softening up the inner thigh with additional knees. Budka breaks free and looks for an uppercut, but Petroski catches him with a clean left hand to stagger him for a moment. Budka lashes out with a head kick that gets Petroski’s attention, leading Petroski to pursue a takedown that he lands successfully. Budka remains defensively minded, protecting his mug from much of Petroski’s attacks. Petroski elbows the body of his opponent as he stays busy to keep Smith from asking for more action, and Budka clings to him like Saran wrap to force a standup. Petroski relocates himself to half guard while Budka scoots his side to the cage wall, and “The Mindless Hulk” tugs his toes on the chain links to try to improve his position. Smith sees the foul and tells Budka to knock it off, and then calls for Petroski to do more from on top. Petroski is warned for gouging Budka’s eyes as he holds his hand on Budka’s mouth and nose. Petroski grabs the fence hard to turn himself to a better posture, and Smith loudly warns him for the clear and obvious foul. Petroski postures up but still hangs on in a controlling position instead of inflicting a great deal of damage. Budka is stuck on his back, but at least he is not getting beaten down. Petroski tries to drop down a pair of elbows, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Before the last round kicks off, Smith issues a stern warning to Petroski for fence grabs and additional fouls. Petroski nods and the round begins. Budka looses an early head kick, and he finds that even bouncing off the guard it has a noticeable effect, so he chucks another. Petroski walks Budka down, sticking his left hand in Budka’s jaw when Budka advances. Petroski sits down on a low kick, and Budka considers a counter but pulls back on it at the last second. Petroski pushes out a one-two, and he sneaks a jab under the raised guard. Budka whiffs on his own one-two, and Petroski slips and counters with a short right. Petroski turns a single-leg takedown entry into a double-leg takedown, and he lifts the Ohio native off his feet to deposit him gingerly to the mat. Petroski positions himself in half guard, and he hammers Budka with a clean right hand. Petroski drops down a few more, and he thwarts Budka’s desperate escape attempt with heavy shoulder pressure and an elbow on Budka’s nose. Budka pushes off the wall to get to a better position and potentially wall-walk, but this only allows Petroski to step over to full mount. Petroski has firmly embraced the grind, with so little activity offensively that Smith is calling for more action while Petroski has Budka mounted. Budka pushes off the fence, but he does not escape before the grinder of a matchup concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Dylan Budka via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski because he is the better wrestler with good takedowns and power, and if he sticks to his wrestling he should win. He notes that Dylan Budka is also a grappler but not as good a striker, and Andre's path to victory is straightforward. However, he is hesitant to bet at the current odds of nearly 3-to-1, preferring closer to 1.5-to-1.

Angelo mentions he is watching the line movement and hopes the odds tighten, but does not place a bet.
"Andre Petroski should win he is the pick I'm just going to keep staring at the line movement tracker"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Big Brady picks Andre Petroski to win by second-round submission. He believes Petroski has a striking advantage and is the much better grappler, with slick BJJ and multiple submissions. He notes that Budka has been submitted before and that Petroski's cardio looked improved in his last fight. Brady sees many avenues for Petroski to win, including knockout or decision, but leans submission.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Cody picks Petroski, citing his superior wrestling and BJJ, and Budka's lack of improvement. He notes Budka's gym is low-level and he has not faced good competition. He expects Petroski to win by submission or decision.

"I got to go p as well"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel is not confident in this pick. He calls both fighters boring wrestlers but notes that when two wrestlers fight, it often becomes a striking match. He picks Petroski by default due to UFC experience, but admits he doesn't trust Petroski and hasn't seen enough from Budka.

"I'll pick Petroski by default just because of the experience but Petroski is not a guy I trust."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Petroski is a superior wrestler and BJJ specialist who should dominate Budka on the ground. Budka is more of a bully with size than a technical fighter, and his cardio is suspect. Petroski can dictate the pace and likely wins easily, possibly by submission. Budka's only path is a Hail Mary KO.

Petroski by submission
"I like Petroski a lot in this spot I think he could even pull off a submission in here I think he's a far superior BJJ specialist and a far superior wrestler."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Paul picks Petroski, noting his wrestling and BJJ advantage over Budka, who has poor striking and cardio. He believes Petroski can take Budka down and control him, and has shown ability to finish. He is not confident in the price but sees it as a good matchup.

"patoski is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski but expresses concern about his chin. He heavily criticizes Dylan Budka, calling him awful at fighting and accusing him of faking wrestling credentials. He believes Petroski has better MMA grappling and stand-up, but worries about his 'diabolical chin' after being KO'd by a hip in his last fight.

"I'm going to go with Andre Petroski although he did get koed in his last fight by someone's hip... I do worry about his awful awful despicable diabolical chin"
WIN vs Josh Fremd
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 16 of 24 66% 60 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 51 3 of 4 75% 1 0 12:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 4 of 7 57% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 6 of 7 85% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
2 Andre Petroski 0 2 of 3 66% 26 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 9 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:21
3 Andre Petroski 0 10 of 14 71% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 4 of 5 80% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 16 of 24 66% 10 of 15 6 of 8 0 of 1 14 of 20 1 of 3 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 12 of 18 66% 5 of 11 5 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 6 of 7 85% 4 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Andre Petroski 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 10 of 14 71% 7 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 11 1 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 4 of 5 80% 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fremd (-110), Petroski (-110)

Round 1
A pair of middleweights happy to get the job done any way they can will meet as the prelims roll on. Both Fremd (11-5, 2-3 UFC) and Petroski (10-3, 5-2 UFC) celebrate exactly four wins by knockout and four by submission, and both are coming in off rough knockout losses. Taking charge of the cage will be referee Nick Berens, who is ready for what is about to come next. The Pennsylvanians touch gloves, and Petroski drifts back to move to the middle of the Octagon. Both men measure one another in opposing stances, and Berens warns them for outstretched fingers. When Petroski engages, he fires off a mean right hand that knocks Fremd to his seat. As Fremd climbs up to his feet, Petroski rushes at him and hits a clean double-leg takedown to land in a guillotine setup from his opponent. Petroski breaks out of the choke and quickly shifts over to side control, and Fremd frames off with an elbow and pounds it into Petroski’s nose to draw a trickle of blood out of the bridge of it. Petroski pays it no mind as he uses heavy chest pressure and hunts for a potential arm-triangle choke, only to bail on it when Fremd defends by turning to his side. Petroski resides on top, and the crowd starts booing his control while Berens mentions that Petroski should do more. Petroski answers by stepping over, in hopes of isolating Fremd’s left arm. Fremd twists and turns to not let Petroski set anything up, but the result is more ground control and little more. Petroski steps over to full mount as 80 seconds remain on the clock, and Fremd bucks like a bronco but cannot get the cowboy that trains out of Renzo Philly off of him. Petroski moves himself back to half guard to keep Fremd on his back, and he jams down a few elbows while otherwise grinding Fremd out. Petroski gets back to mount, and he smacks Fremd with a single elbow before Fremd turns around. Fremd gives his back up, and as the horn sounds, Petroski drills him behind the ear with a strike or two. Berens calls him on it, and the two go back to their corners.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Petroski is warned between rounds to avoid any late strikes, and when they begin, Petroski says hello to his opponent with a clubbing right that shakes Fremd up. Fremd responds with a body kick, and he dips back as Petroski clips him with a head kick. Fremd tries to reply with one of his own, and Petroski grabs hold of the leg and use it to dump Fremd to the mat. Petroski jumps on top, and the two continue moving until Petroski latches onto a guillotine choke. Fremd shifts to his knees to prevent the choke from succeeding, but this lets Petroski take his back. Petroski quickly relocates to full mount, and he starts hunting for an arm-triangle choke. Petroski clasps his hands together, and he uses his full body weight to press down while turning Fremd’s head a brilliant shade of red. Fremd gets a modicum of space as he punches Petroski in the side, and Petroski comfortably rests on top and lets the choke go. Fremd kicks him off, and Petroski is forced back to full guard. It does not take long for Petroski to jump into the half guard and employ another arm-triangle choke, and Fremd grits it out once more. Fremd scoots his way to the cage wall, and he throws his legs up in search of a desperate inverted triangle that transitions into an armbar. Petroski stays heavy on top until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Petroski offers a glove touch to begin the final frame, and Fremd wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Fremd attacks, practically sprinting at his opponent with punches and leaping at him with a flying knee. Petroski backs himself to the wall, taking strikes from the pumped-up Fremd, but that offense quickly tapers off as Petroski shifts to the side and gets away. When Fremd gives chase, Petroski pursues a single-leg takedown and hits it to put Fremd down once more. The crowd, knowing what is about to come for the next three-plus minutes, starts booing. Petroski tries to shut some of those naysayers up by moving straight into full mount, and Fremd answers after eating one strike by turning around to give up his back. When Petroski starts fishing for a choke, Fremd turns over again, only for Petroski to be ready with an arm-triangle choke setup. Petroski lets it go when Fremd climbs his feet off the wall, and Fremd’s mad scramble after it gets hold of a quick inverted triangle choke again. Petroski breaks out of it and gets himself to side control in a hurry, and his attempt to isolate Fremd’s left arm begins. Petroski grinds his elbow on Fremd’s face while considering some armlock, but there is nothing to it as Berens calls for more action. Fremd explodes to turn to his side, and Petroski follows him as he twists to partially take Fremd’s back. Petroski smacks his foe on the sides of the head, and Fremd crawls to the fence and lean against it. Petroski pounds on him, and Fremd tugs on the fence in hopes of standing. Petroski hands on from behind with one hook in, and Fremd shakes his head in disappointment. The round ends as the audience rains down boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Josh Fremd via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his two-fight losing streak and bizarre self-knockout in his last fight. He believes Petroski is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling, power, and speed. However, he acknowledges Josh Fremd's cardio advantage and the elevation factor, which could favor Fremd if he pressures early. Angelo warns against betting on this fight due to its unpredictability.

"I am still going to pick Andre patosi here because I think if he gets the wrestling going he's going to look spectacular"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing Petroski's poor cardio and tendency to fade. He notes Fremd's altitude training and generalist skills, and believes Fremd can survive the first round and take over. He expects a late finish or decision for Fremd.

"Fremd even though he's not as good of a wrestler on paper who cares just make it a wrestling match."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Fremd but is hesitant. He notes that Fremd has been waiting for a big knockout and that Petroski is a front-runner who gasses when he can't dominate early. He thinks Fremd can weather the storm and take over. He mentions that Petroski wants a first-round KO to avoid going deep, which plays into Fremd's hands. He has bet on Fremd before and trusts him.

"I'm gonna go with friend here um but it it'll be interesting for sure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Fremd

Josh Fremd is a pick 'em and worth a shot. He utilizes pressure and pace, which will come through against Petroski, who tends to slow down. If Fremd can survive the early onslaught from Petroski, he should start to grind and eventually find a finish in the third round.

"this line is currently at a pick them and friend I believe is worth the shot as long as he can survive the early on here from patosi F should start to get his grind going and then eventually find …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, citing Petroski's cardio issues and Fremd's altitude advantage. He notes Petroski's tendency to gas and believes Fremd's volume and durability will win the fight. He expects Fremd to win by decision or late stoppage.

"It's Fred for me."
LOSS vs Jacob Malkoun
TKO (soccer kick to the body) R2 0:39 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacob Malkoun 0 13 of 42 30% 13 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Andre Petroski 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacob Malkoun 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Andre Petroski 0 15 of 32 46% 16 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Jacob Malkoun 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacob Malkoun 13 of 42 30% 6 of 34 2 of 2 5 of 6 12 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 20 of 40 50% 16 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 35 0 of 1 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacob Malkoun 10 of 33 30% 4 of 26 2 of 2 4 of 5 9 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 15 of 32 46% 12 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jacob Malkoun 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacob Malkoun vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malkoun (-205), Petroski (+170)

Round 1
Middleweights Malkoun and Petroski go to work under the watchful eye of referee Gary Copeland. Both men are in orthodox stance and the crowd lets fly with its first “USA” chant of the evening for Philly native Petroski. Petroski switches stances frequently in the early going, frequently ending southpaw, but Malkoun catches him with a big jab mid-switch that has him stumbling away, hurt. Malkoun walks him down but does not overcommit to the chase. Petroski fires a righty jab from southpaw, which Malkoun counters with a hard left. Malkoun appears sharper on the feet in the first half of the first round, but Petroski catches him with a clean left that buckles his legs. Petroski changes levels and tries to take the Australian down, but can’t finish. Malkoun turns the tables and tries for a takedown of his own near the fence, but can’t get Petroski off his feet. Malkoun walks Petroski down, but walks right into a level change. Petroski hoists a single-leg and sweeps the other leg to complete the takedown. Malkoun hops right back up and the horn sounds a few seconds later.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun

Round 2
Malkoun comes forward and tries an immediate takedown, which Petroski snuffs out easily.
Petroski goes for a takedown of his own, then crumples to the ground on his hands and knees, obviously hurt. Malkoun gives him a single massive soccer kick to the ribs and with Petroski offering no resistance, Copeland steps in for the stoppage.
It takes a couple of runs through the replay footage to figure it out, but it appears Petroski’s head might have collided with the point of Malkoun’s hip during the takedown attempt. Whatever the case, it goes down as a win for the “Mamba.”

The Official Result
Jacob Malkoun def. Andre Petroski R2 0:39 via TKO (Soccer Kick to the Body)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo slightly leans Andre Petroski, believing he is the better wrestler and more dangerous striker. He notes Petroski has looked poor in his last two fights but thinks he can win here. He warns that if Petroski loses, he should be cut and find a new gym.

"I'm going to slight lean Andre Petroski here if he loses this fight then two things need to happen he needs to be cut and he needs to find a new gym"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Cody is high on Malkoun's relentless wrestling and cardio, believing he will drown Petroski with takedowns and ground pressure. He expects a finish via TKO or submission as Petroski gasses, and even makes a shoey bet on Malkoun winning inside the distance.

Malkoun by TKO +425 (shoey bet)
"Malon I'm gonna ride or die with him this weekend I love him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Daniel Vreeland picks Jacob Malkoun, citing his pace, durability, and ability to push the fight. He notes Petroski has a history of fading and being broken by pressure (e.g., Brian Battle). He thinks Malkoun's wrestling and cardio will overwhelm Petroski as the fight goes on, leading to a decision or late finish.

"I'll pick malcun"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Malkoun's relentless pace and pressure will wear down Petroski, who has cardio issues and needs an early finish. Malkoun chains takedowns and stays busy, while Petroski slows in later rounds. Malkoun should dominate the second and third rounds, winning a decision. Petroski's submission threat is real early, but Malkoun's movement and never-settle style should avoid bad positions.

Malkoun by decision
"give me malun and malun by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Paul expects Malkoun to win by decision, citing his wrestling volume and Petroski's tendency to gas. He plans to bet Malkoun by decision at plus money, seeing it as a reliable play.

Malkoun by decision
"death taxes malun by decision my friend"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

The host picks Jacob Malkoun to win, citing that both fighters have similar styles but Petroski is more explosive and slows down more. He believes Malkoun's volume and output, both in strikes and takedowns, will make the difference. He predicts a third-round finish or a decision win for Malkoun.

third round finish or decision
"I'm going to go Jacob Malkoun winning this fight by I have third round finish or second and third round wins uh to a decision"
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
TKO (punches) R1 1:06 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-180), Petroski (+150)

Round 1
Action shifts to the middleweight division, where Pereira (28-11, 6-2 UFC) takes on Andrei Petroski (10-1, 5-0 UFC) in one of the more anticipated bouts on the card. Petroski fills in for Marc-Andre Barriault on short notice. Tognoni steps up to preside over the match. Petroski takes the center of the cage, with his Brazilian counterpart bouncing on the balls of his feet. Pereira using stance switches and feints to keep him guessing.
Pereira floors him with a thudding right hand and buries him with standing-to-ground punches. Petroski never intelligently defended himself once the barrage started
.

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Andre Petroski—TKO (Punches) 1:06 R1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is confident in Michel Pereira due to Petroski stepping up on short notice with questionable cardio. He notes Pereira is taller, has decent cardio, and is the busier fighter. He thinks Petroski's cardio issues will be exacerbated by the short notice, and Pereira should win.

"I'm going to go Michelle P here and I'm pretty confident in that and it's really because of the short notice"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Big Brady picks Andre Petroski to win by third-round TKO. He notes Pereira has only fought strikers and lost to grappler Tristan Connelly, while Petroski is a big middleweight with strong grappling. He expects both to tire, but Petroski's cardio holds up and he gets a late finish.

Petroski by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to take patoski here I'm sure I'm going to be absolutely on Island here but I think this fight's going to be very close and competitive and I'm going to say pataski goes out there and finishes Pereira …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, emphasizing his excellent takedown defense and the fact that Petroski relies heavily on takedowns. He notes that Petroski gasses out and that judges are now scoring damage and volume over control time. Cody believes Pereira's striking and cardio advantage will carry him, and that Petroski's path to victory is narrow.

"Michelle Pereira I certainly don't mind"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host picks Michel Pereira but is queasy about the minus 220 price due to Petroski's early grappling danger. He expects violence and a late stoppage, specifically a third-round knockout by Pereira. He suggests the under as a better bet if the price is right.

Pereira by third round knockout; under 1.5 rounds if plus money
"I'm going to go with Pereira here not so hot on the money line but I feel like vience is going to be the spot it's going to be Pereira by third round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, citing his takedown defense (92% in UFC) and improved fight IQ. He notes that Pereira has stopped doing reckless moves and is fighting more fundamentally. Paul believes Pereira's cardio will be better at 185 lbs and that he can stuff Petroski's takedowns and out-strike him. He acknowledges the price (-200) is steep but thinks Pereira wins.

Over 2.5 rounds at -105
"I'll pick Pereira"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira to win by TKO over Andre Petroski. He argues that welterweights moving up to middleweight are technically better, citing examples. He criticizes Petroski's last performance against Gerald Meerschaert, saying he looked terrible and took heavy damage. He notes Petroski is fighting on short notice (8 weeks after a war) and doesn't trust his cardio. He believes Pereira has a massive striking advantage and explosive hips to get back up if taken down.

TKO
"I'm going to go Mel paa I think he's got much better striking much better technique"
Josh Fremd - Fight History
LOSS vs Andre Petroski
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 16 of 24 66% 60 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 51 3 of 4 75% 1 0 12:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 4 of 7 57% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 6 of 7 85% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
2 Andre Petroski 0 2 of 3 66% 26 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 9 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:21
3 Andre Petroski 0 10 of 14 71% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 4 of 5 80% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 16 of 24 66% 10 of 15 6 of 8 0 of 1 14 of 20 1 of 3 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 12 of 18 66% 5 of 11 5 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 6 of 7 85% 4 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Andre Petroski 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 10 of 14 71% 7 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 11 1 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 4 of 5 80% 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fremd (-110), Petroski (-110)

Round 1
A pair of middleweights happy to get the job done any way they can will meet as the prelims roll on. Both Fremd (11-5, 2-3 UFC) and Petroski (10-3, 5-2 UFC) celebrate exactly four wins by knockout and four by submission, and both are coming in off rough knockout losses. Taking charge of the cage will be referee Nick Berens, who is ready for what is about to come next. The Pennsylvanians touch gloves, and Petroski drifts back to move to the middle of the Octagon. Both men measure one another in opposing stances, and Berens warns them for outstretched fingers. When Petroski engages, he fires off a mean right hand that knocks Fremd to his seat. As Fremd climbs up to his feet, Petroski rushes at him and hits a clean double-leg takedown to land in a guillotine setup from his opponent. Petroski breaks out of the choke and quickly shifts over to side control, and Fremd frames off with an elbow and pounds it into Petroski’s nose to draw a trickle of blood out of the bridge of it. Petroski pays it no mind as he uses heavy chest pressure and hunts for a potential arm-triangle choke, only to bail on it when Fremd defends by turning to his side. Petroski resides on top, and the crowd starts booing his control while Berens mentions that Petroski should do more. Petroski answers by stepping over, in hopes of isolating Fremd’s left arm. Fremd twists and turns to not let Petroski set anything up, but the result is more ground control and little more. Petroski steps over to full mount as 80 seconds remain on the clock, and Fremd bucks like a bronco but cannot get the cowboy that trains out of Renzo Philly off of him. Petroski moves himself back to half guard to keep Fremd on his back, and he jams down a few elbows while otherwise grinding Fremd out. Petroski gets back to mount, and he smacks Fremd with a single elbow before Fremd turns around. Fremd gives his back up, and as the horn sounds, Petroski drills him behind the ear with a strike or two. Berens calls him on it, and the two go back to their corners.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Petroski is warned between rounds to avoid any late strikes, and when they begin, Petroski says hello to his opponent with a clubbing right that shakes Fremd up. Fremd responds with a body kick, and he dips back as Petroski clips him with a head kick. Fremd tries to reply with one of his own, and Petroski grabs hold of the leg and use it to dump Fremd to the mat. Petroski jumps on top, and the two continue moving until Petroski latches onto a guillotine choke. Fremd shifts to his knees to prevent the choke from succeeding, but this lets Petroski take his back. Petroski quickly relocates to full mount, and he starts hunting for an arm-triangle choke. Petroski clasps his hands together, and he uses his full body weight to press down while turning Fremd’s head a brilliant shade of red. Fremd gets a modicum of space as he punches Petroski in the side, and Petroski comfortably rests on top and lets the choke go. Fremd kicks him off, and Petroski is forced back to full guard. It does not take long for Petroski to jump into the half guard and employ another arm-triangle choke, and Fremd grits it out once more. Fremd scoots his way to the cage wall, and he throws his legs up in search of a desperate inverted triangle that transitions into an armbar. Petroski stays heavy on top until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Petroski offers a glove touch to begin the final frame, and Fremd wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Fremd attacks, practically sprinting at his opponent with punches and leaping at him with a flying knee. Petroski backs himself to the wall, taking strikes from the pumped-up Fremd, but that offense quickly tapers off as Petroski shifts to the side and gets away. When Fremd gives chase, Petroski pursues a single-leg takedown and hits it to put Fremd down once more. The crowd, knowing what is about to come for the next three-plus minutes, starts booing. Petroski tries to shut some of those naysayers up by moving straight into full mount, and Fremd answers after eating one strike by turning around to give up his back. When Petroski starts fishing for a choke, Fremd turns over again, only for Petroski to be ready with an arm-triangle choke setup. Petroski lets it go when Fremd climbs his feet off the wall, and Fremd’s mad scramble after it gets hold of a quick inverted triangle choke again. Petroski breaks out of it and gets himself to side control in a hurry, and his attempt to isolate Fremd’s left arm begins. Petroski grinds his elbow on Fremd’s face while considering some armlock, but there is nothing to it as Berens calls for more action. Fremd explodes to turn to his side, and Petroski follows him as he twists to partially take Fremd’s back. Petroski smacks his foe on the sides of the head, and Fremd crawls to the fence and lean against it. Petroski pounds on him, and Fremd tugs on the fence in hopes of standing. Petroski hands on from behind with one hook in, and Fremd shakes his head in disappointment. The round ends as the audience rains down boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Josh Fremd via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his two-fight losing streak and bizarre self-knockout in his last fight. He believes Petroski is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling, power, and speed. However, he acknowledges Josh Fremd's cardio advantage and the elevation factor, which could favor Fremd if he pressures early. Angelo warns against betting on this fight due to its unpredictability.

"I am still going to pick Andre patosi here because I think if he gets the wrestling going he's going to look spectacular"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing Petroski's poor cardio and tendency to fade. He notes Fremd's altitude training and generalist skills, and believes Fremd can survive the first round and take over. He expects a late finish or decision for Fremd.

"Fremd even though he's not as good of a wrestler on paper who cares just make it a wrestling match."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Fremd but is hesitant. He notes that Fremd has been waiting for a big knockout and that Petroski is a front-runner who gasses when he can't dominate early. He thinks Fremd can weather the storm and take over. He mentions that Petroski wants a first-round KO to avoid going deep, which plays into Fremd's hands. He has bet on Fremd before and trusts him.

"I'm gonna go with friend here um but it it'll be interesting for sure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Fremd

Josh Fremd is a pick 'em and worth a shot. He utilizes pressure and pace, which will come through against Petroski, who tends to slow down. If Fremd can survive the early onslaught from Petroski, he should start to grind and eventually find a finish in the third round.

"this line is currently at a pick them and friend I believe is worth the shot as long as he can survive the early on here from patosi F should start to get his grind going and then eventually find …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, citing Petroski's cardio issues and Fremd's altitude advantage. He notes Petroski's tendency to gas and believes Fremd's volume and durability will win the fight. He expects Fremd to win by decision or late stoppage.

"It's Fred for me."
LOSS vs Roman Kopylov
KO (punch to the body) R2 4:44 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Kopylov 1 49 of 84 58% 54 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Josh Fremd 0 38 of 116 32% 38 of 116 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Kopylov 0 27 of 41 65% 28 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Josh Fremd 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
2 Roman Kopylov 1 22 of 43 51% 26 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Josh Fremd 0 16 of 58 27% 16 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Kopylov 49 of 84 58% 23 of 56 9 of 10 17 of 18 47 of 80 2 of 4 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 38 of 116 32% 18 of 81 8 of 13 12 of 22 37 of 115 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Kopylov 27 of 41 65% 8 of 22 5 of 5 14 of 14 25 of 37 2 of 4 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 22 of 58 37% 5 of 37 6 of 7 11 of 14 21 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Roman Kopylov 22 of 43 51% 15 of 34 4 of 5 3 of 4 22 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 16 of 58 27% 13 of 44 2 of 6 1 of 8 16 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Fremd vs. Roman Kopylov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kopylov (-355), Fremd (+280)

Round 1
Middleweights are next on the docket, as Kopylov (11-2, 3-2 UFC) tries to make it four wins in a row at 185 pounds. A Factory X representative, Fremd (11-4, 2-2 UFC) headlined multiple Legacy Fighting Alliance events prior to his signing with the UFC in 2022. Mark Smith answers the call as the third man in the cage. Fremd pumps out his jab from the start, eats a few leg kicks and scores with some shin to skin contact to the body. Kopylov continues to target the lead leg with kicks and seems content to allow the fight to come to him. A low blow from Fremd results in a brief pause before they resume their dance in the center of the cage. Fremd sneaks in front kick to the body and backs up the Russian with a multi-strike burst of hands and feet. Kopylov connects with a surgical two-punch combination. He seems to be getting more and more comfortable in the pocket. Fremd shoots on a single-leg but gets nowhere. Kopylov breaks away with punches, takes the center of the cage and uncorks his educated hands. He follows them with a kick to the body. Momentum is starting to turn here. Fremd shoots on another takedown attempt with 20 seconds left, only to get denied. Kopylov lands with a spinning backfist and an uppercut to close the round.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov

Round 2
Kopylov drives a left hand into the body, follows with an uppercut and goes back upstairs with his hands, knocking Fremd off-balance. Fremd paws with his jab and whiffs on a takedown, then eats a head kick. Damage has started to build on his face and his body. Kopylov denies a single-leg takedown, pushes away the American. Fremd’s mouth is wide open, likely due to difficulty breathing through a bloody nose. Kopylov picks his shots but catches another kick low. Smith pauses the action and issues another warning. Kopylov goes to the body and head with a beautiful combination. He backs away and narrowly misses a lunging right uppercut. A savage kick to the body forces Fremd to drop his hands. Kopylov wisely follows with a head kick.
A left hook to the liver drops Fremd to all fours and results in an immediate stoppage
.

The Official Result
Roman Kopylov def. Josh Fremd—KO (Punch to the Body) 4:44 R2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Angelo is very confident in Roman Kopylov, calling him the best value on the card at -275. He highlights Kopylov's high-level kickboxing and improved takedown defense. He dismisses Josh Fremd's grappling threat, noting Fremd struggled to take down Jamie Pickett. He believes Kopylov's striking is next level and Fremd cannot hang on the feet.

"Roman copy love is the best value on this card what's Josh gonna do take him down he struggled to take down Jamie Pickett"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Big Brady likes Kopylov to win, citing his improved striking, durability, and body work. He notes Kopylov has been training in Dagestan to improve his wrestling and has looked better each fight. He expects Kopylov to stuff takedowns, break Fremd down with body shots, and finish him in the second or third round. He is less confident at the current minus 400 odds but still picks the win.

second round knockout
"I like copy love here I like copy love to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Cody picks Kopylov confidently, detailing his improved takedown defense after training in Dagestan. He notes Kopylov's durability, power, and recent finishes. He is concerned about Fremd's cardio and wrestling but believes Kopylov will win, possibly by knockout.

"kopov is definitely the pick I will be betting it but just how much exposure do you really want on it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Daniel Levi picks Roman Kopylov but is not interested at the current odds of minus-410, as the line opened at minus-140. He praises Kopylov's clean hands, precise striking, and improved takedown defense, but notes that Josh Fremd has not yet shown his regional form in the UFC. Levi believes Kopylov will win but considers it a dog-or-pass situation at these prices.

opened minus-140, now minus-410; says 'dog or pass' at current price
"my pick is going to be Roman but I'm not interested at these odds"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Fremd is a Factory X product with improving grappling, cage pushing, and submission threats. Kopylov has cardio issues and has been slowing down in fights. Fremd should close the distance, wear on Kopylov with takedowns and clinch work, and potentially get a second or third round finish. I like the decision prop or a late finish for Fremd at plus 240.

decision prop
"I think that friend does a better job in terms of closing the distance and not making his uh wrestling attempts or shot attempts as obvious... look for from to utilize his range striking try to close a distance where …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

Paul picks Kopylov but notes the minus 405 line is too high to bet. He acknowledges Kopylov's recent improvements in takedown defense and striking, and sees him as the clear winner. He mentions Fremd's recent weight miss and poor performance against Jamie Pickett.

"copala will be the pick but I won't be betting it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Roman Kopylov

The MMA Guru picks Roman Kopylov over Josh Fremd, stating Kopylov is at a different class. He praises Kopylov's recent performances, including a head kick KO of Claudio Ribeiro, and believes he has improved his wrestling. He criticizes Fremd's lack of power and ability to win a gritty fight. He predicts a late second or third round TKO for Kopylov.

TKO win
"I'm gonna go with Roman copy love here I think he's just at a different class to Josh friend"
WIN vs Jamie Pickett
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Fremd 0 31 of 80 38% 59 of 109 0 of 3 0% 2 1 7:15
Jamie Pickett 0 14 of 52 26% 26 of 67 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Fremd 0 11 of 29 37% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:31
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 18 22% 8 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
2 Josh Fremd 0 13 of 31 41% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 2 0 1:51
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 15 33% 7 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:39
3 Josh Fremd 0 7 of 20 35% 19 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:53
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 19 26% 11 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Fremd 31 of 80 38% 11 of 49 10 of 18 10 of 13 22 of 64 6 of 11 3 of 5
Jamie Pickett 14 of 52 26% 4 of 31 6 of 16 4 of 5 11 of 45 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Fremd 11 of 29 37% 2 of 17 3 of 5 6 of 7 9 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 4 of 18 22% 0 of 9 2 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 15 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Josh Fremd 13 of 31 41% 7 of 20 4 of 7 2 of 4 7 of 22 3 of 4 3 of 5
Jamie Pickett 5 of 15 33% 1 of 8 2 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Josh Fremd 7 of 20 35% 2 of 12 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 5 of 19 26% 3 of 14 2 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 15 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Angelo picks Fremd, citing his improving grappling and athleticism. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy and has poor takedown defense. He expects Fremd to wrestle and grind out a win.

"I think Joss stream WINS"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by submission in the second round. He believes Fremd has Pickett covered in every aspect, noting Pickett's three-fight skid and poor durability. He mentions Fremd's power and submission game, and says Fremd can win by decision, knockout, or submission. He is not laying -325 but is confident Fremd gets it done.

submission, second round
"I'll say submission for friend but it could be a knockout like Fram you take a look at some of his fights outside the UFC this guy has incredible power"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing his wrestling background, cardio, and improvement. He notes Fremd's competitive fight against Fluffy Hernandez and his submission win over Cedric Dumas. He criticizes Pickett's three-fight losing streak and lack of UFC-level skills. He thinks Fremd's wrestling and grappling advantage will be too much, and that Pickett's job is on the line but he doesn't see a path to victory.

"the pick is Josh Brown"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

James picks Fremd but is not confident, calling it a 'bad fight' and not his type. He thinks Fremd should win but notes Pickett is tough, long, and strong in the clinch. He believes the line at -350 is too wide and should be around -250. He likely won't bet it.

"I am picking Fremd here... it's just not my type of fight where I'm gonna be making a big case."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Fremd showed a relentless wrestling style in his last fight, but he is a heavy favorite at -350 against a guy on a three-fight losing streak. Pickett relies on physical traits but is not great technically. Fremd's wrestling and pace should be too much, but trusting him at such a short price is risky given his limited sample size. Fremd should grind out a decision.

Fremd by decision
"my prediction is still going to be Josh friend as I think he grinds this fight out and wins it by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, agreeing that Pickett doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Fremd's submission skills and ability to get dominant positions. He thinks Fremd will likely win by submission. He considered Pickett at plus money but after digging, concluded Pickett is just not good enough.

Fremd by submission
"friend probably by sub is is how I would see this one shaking out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Jamie Pickett, noting Fremd's losses to Anthony Hernandez (who is doing that to everyone) and Tresean Gore (a nasty guillotine). He believes Fremd is more well-rounded with grappling and striking, and that Pickett tends to fade in fights. He thinks Fremd's potential and size advantage will lead to a win, possibly ending Pickett's UFC career.

"I'm going with Josh friend I'm going with Josh friend"
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 3:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Fremd 0 20 of 44 45% 23 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:07
Sedriques Dumas 0 33 of 61 54% 48 of 78 2 of 2 100% 2 1 4:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Fremd 0 14 of 30 46% 17 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sedriques Dumas 0 27 of 50 54% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:41
2 Josh Fremd 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Sedriques Dumas 0 6 of 11 54% 15 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 1 1:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Fremd 20 of 44 45% 8 of 26 2 of 5 10 of 13 19 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 33 of 61 54% 21 of 48 6 of 7 6 of 6 27 of 55 4 of 4 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Fremd 14 of 30 46% 7 of 20 1 of 2 6 of 8 13 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 27 of 50 54% 16 of 38 5 of 6 6 of 6 21 of 44 4 of 4 2 of 2
2 Josh Fremd 6 of 14 42% 1 of 6 1 of 3 4 of 5 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 6 of 11 54% 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Josh Fremd
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-180), Fremd (+155)

Round 1
A finish is not guaranteed but highly likely in this middleweight clash. The debuting and much-maligned Dumas (7-0, 0-0 UFC) will try to hand Fremd (9-4, 0-2 UFC) his third loss in three UFC tries, as these towering 185ers duke it out. Referee Chris Tognoni may have his hands full when these two get after it, and there is no glove touch to clock them in. Fremd walks straight into a leg kick, and he picks his leg up as if to throw one back, but there is none to come. Dumas chops at the lead leg again, and Fremd responds in kind. Dumas swings a right hand over the top to sting Fremd, and he follows a low kick with it. Fremd shakes it out, and he blocks a head kick just in the nick of time. They score with alternating low kicks, and then trade jabs. Fremd sits down on a low kick, and Dumas charges with an overhand right that zips past his foe’s face. Fremd ducks a punch and blocks a head kick, and he loads up on counters that do not successfully land. Fremd gets off another few low kicks, and Dumas cracks him with a right. Fremd replies with his own left hook, rocking the undefeated fighter, and allow him to change levels for a double. Fremd scoops “The Reaper” off his feet and drops him flat on his back, taking side control instead of trying to force a finish. Fremd hangs on from on top, and as Dumas signals to Tognoni for a standup, Fremd slashes down with an elbow. Fremd gets dragged back to the closed guard, and he slides his legs higher for a potential triangle choke setup. Fremd comfortable holds on until Dumas sits up, and Dumas’ neck is in a precarious position as Fremd laches on to a guillotine choke. The newcomer slides his head out, and he wings a high kick that glances off the shoulder. Fremd takes a few punches on the chin and turns the tables to sting Dumas again, and Dumas finds himself pursuing a takedown after getting hurt. Fremd stops this in its tracks and shoves him to the wire, and he lifts up a knee to the side. Dumas tries to throw knees up the middle, and Fremd replies with a jump knee and lands a blow after the bell. Fremd immediately apologizes, and there is no bad blood from it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fremd
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fremd
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fremd

Round 2
The second round begins with a deceptively cautious Dumas, as he tosses out a body kick, avoids a counter, and suddenly springs into action with a chain of reaching punches. Fremd side-steps them and blocks the head for a follow-up kick, and he sticks out a few jabs. Fremd measures a right hand around the guard to rock “The Reaper,” and he secures a high hip toss to slam Dumas to his back. Fremd jumps straight into half guard, and he starts to drop down some ground strikes. Dumas recovers to the full guard and gets struck in the back of the head, to which Tognoni notices and warns Fremd. Fremd sneaks back to half guard and controls his man from above, and Dumas scrambles wildly to get up. Dumas searches for a back take and tries to go after a rear-naked choke, but he falls over the top and lands on his seat.
Fremd jumps on top to replicate Jon Jones’ seated guillotine choke that landed last week on Ciryl Gane, but he releases the grip to punch Dumas upside the head a few times. Seeing that the choke is still there, Fremd locks down the guillotine and squeezes with all his might. Shocked like Gane was, Dumas instantly taps, as the pressure is too much to bear.
Fremd has now won his first fight in the UFC, doing so by knocking off an unbeaten fighter with plenty of momentum behind him.

The Official Result
Josh Fremd def. Sedriques Dumas R2 3:00 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Angelo sees Sedriques Dumas as a well-rounded fighter with solid hands, kickboxing, and takedowns, mixing his attacks effectively. He notes Dumas is composed for a 27-year-old with only seven fights and believes the UFC is giving him Josh Fremd to push him. He acknowledges the risk of betting on a UFC debut with a street-fighting past but is confident in Dumas's potential.

money line bet at -130
"I like said Drake's I think he could be something special... I got a money line bet on Cedric's Dumas at minus 130."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas, liking his build, power, and grappling. He notes Dumas has dangerous transitions on the ground and can lock up submissions. However, he questions Dumas's level of competition and says he doesn't want to bet on the fight. Brady predicts Dumas will get the fight to the mat and find a first-round submission.

win by submission in round 1
"I'm gonna say he does get the fight down to the mat eventually and when he does I think he's super dangerous there I'm gonna say he finds a submission in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd but is not confident, noting Fremd's short notice and recent submission loss. He thinks Fremd has a cardio and striking advantage but may not trust him with money.

"I'm gonna pick friend as well but I don't know if I can trust him with my money at plus 180"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Connor leans toward Dumas due to his physicality and athleticism, but acknowledges he is a very raw and messy fighter. He notes that Dumas has natural power and can finish fights, but his technique is poor and he could be exposed by a grinder like Fremd. He is not confident in the pick.

Dumas opened -150, now -204; Fremd opened +130, now +166. Connor says he wouldn't bet on this fight.
"I guess Dumas for physicality, but I think Dumas is such a messy fighter. ... So yeah, I'll take him to beat friend, but yeah, if friend can come out there and take the shots and be the grinder, he's …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

I think Dumas has the grappling advantage and should be able to submit Fremd, who has shown vulnerability to submissions. However, Dumas is untested at this level, and Fremd is a decent all-around fighter. I'm not confident enough to bet Dumas as a favorite, but I expect him to get his hand raised, likely by submission.

Dumas by submission
"I do think at a certain point he's going to end up getting his neck snatched up again here and I think Dumas will be able to take home that's Mission Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd as an underdog, noting Dumas' lack of high-level competition and Fremd's durability and cardio. He thinks Fremd can outwork Dumas and calls Dumas a potential parlay killer.

"I think every so slowly I'm gonna go Josh from again and just keep it on the low side of the parlays"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas, calling him dangerous. He notes Dumas has a wicked guillotine and good striking, while Josh Fremd took the fight on short notice and has been finished before. He predicts Dumas will hurt Fremd on the feet and latch up a guillotine for a first-round finish.

by submission (guillotine), first round
"I think he'll keep his momentum and I think he'll find another finish in the first round here over Josh friend I say he hurts friend on the feet latches up a guillotine as he shoots for a takedown afterwards"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Zane also leans toward Dumas but is very uncertain. He notes that Dumas is athletic and powerful but unschooled, while Fremd is a limited but tough grinder. He thinks Dumas's physicality might be enough, but Fremd could outwrestle him. He calls the fight a mess and advises against betting.

"I don't know. I guess Dumas for physicality, but I think Dumas is such a messy fighter. ... I would not bet on this."
LOSS vs Tresean Gore
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R2 0:49 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tresean Gore 0 24 of 54 44% 27 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Josh Fremd 0 10 of 20 50% 14 of 25 3 of 4 75% 1 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tresean Gore 0 18 of 40 45% 21 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Josh Fremd 0 8 of 14 57% 12 of 19 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:36
2 Tresean Gore 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Josh Fremd 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tresean Gore 24 of 54 44% 8 of 35 11 of 14 5 of 5 20 of 47 4 of 7 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 10 of 20 50% 7 of 14 1 of 2 2 of 4 9 of 15 1 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tresean Gore 18 of 40 45% 4 of 24 10 of 12 4 of 4 14 of 33 4 of 7 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 8 of 14 57% 6 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 9 1 of 5 0 of 0
2 Tresean Gore 6 of 14 42% 4 of 11 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Fremd is a dangerous finisher with power and size, while Gore has looked hesitant and been knocked out by Cody Brundage. He acknowledges that Fremd is hittable and Gore has power, but trusts Fremd's aggression and finishing ability more.

Fremd wins by first-round knockout
"give me Josh from to knock out Trey Sean Gore in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Josh Fremd, citing his wrestling base, size (6'4"), and solid regional wins. He notes Fremd's competitive performance against Anthony Hernandez on short notice and believes a full camp will benefit him. Cody criticizes Tresean Gore's inexperience, poor performance against Bryan Battle, and lack of volume. He also likes Fremd by submission at +900 as a sprinkle.

Fremd by submission at +900 (sprinkle)
"I'm gonna go with friend to get the nod here Friend by submission I see a plus 900 we'll see where other places open over the course of the week that may be one of my uh my dirty little …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Daniel Levi is confident in Josh Fremd, citing his experience, size (6'4"), and paid dues on the regional scene. He views Gore as too green and immature, lacking seasoning despite athleticism. He bet Fremd at -170 for 2 units and plans to add more as the line improved. He expects Fremd to win via experience and possibly a finish.

Bet 2 units on Fremd at -170, plans to add more. Expects a finish.
"I took Josh friend that minus 170 to win one unit but I'm actually gonna add more on it because the line got better."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Jacob picks Josh Fremd, citing his wrestling and ability to withstand Gore's striking. He notes Gore is 0-2 and may fight for his life, but until Gore proves himself, Jacob defaults to Fremd. He is cautious and not confident in betting.

"my pick is Josh frem"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Gore has speed and power advantages, and his move to Fortis MMA should improve his game. However, he was flatlined in his last fight, which raises durability concerns. Fremd is more complete but Gore's takedown defense and power could lead to a knockout. The under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision are safer plays. Gore by knockout at +330 is a tempting prop.

Gore by knockout +330; fight doesn't go to decision or under 2.5 rounds
"I think that a strong Gore's takedown defense included with uh you know his speed Advantage his power Advantage should be enough to eventually find that chin of Josh friend and put him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul also picks Josh Fremd, highlighting his experience, pace, and pressure. He notes that Fremd has never fought someone with a losing record and has shown improvements. Paul is critical of Gore's learning on the job and lack of recent power, and expects Fremd to tire Gore out and get the victory.

"yeah I got Josh friend as well I actually I like what I see out of him could he get caught sure it's MMA but uh yeah I actually don't mind him at all"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Tresean Gore, citing Fremd's underrated grappling and experience. He notes Gore's lack of readiness, having been finished by Cody Brundage and outhustled by Bryan Battle. Fremd held his own against Anthony Hernandez on short notice, and the Guru believes Fremd's size and reach advantage will help him deal with Gore's power, predicting a second-round submission via guillotine choke.

"I'm gonna be going with Josh friend here... I trust him to win this one against Trey Sean Gore"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Hernandez 0 48 of 71 67% 91 of 124 8 of 11 72% 3 0 10:45
Josh Fremd 0 31 of 54 57% 43 of 67 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Hernandez 0 17 of 31 54% 26 of 44 4 of 5 80% 1 0 4:12
Josh Fremd 0 16 of 30 53% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Anthony Hernandez 0 13 of 17 76% 25 of 31 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:42
Josh Fremd 0 13 of 20 65% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:37
3 Anthony Hernandez 0 18 of 23 78% 40 of 49 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:51
Josh Fremd 0 2 of 4 50% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Hernandez 48 of 71 67% 39 of 62 8 of 8 1 of 1 9 of 25 5 of 9 34 of 37
Josh Fremd 31 of 54 57% 16 of 37 13 of 15 2 of 2 15 of 35 12 of 14 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Hernandez 17 of 31 54% 13 of 27 3 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 17 4 of 8 6 of 6
Josh Fremd 16 of 30 53% 7 of 20 7 of 8 2 of 2 9 of 21 6 of 8 1 of 1
2 Anthony Hernandez 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 11
Josh Fremd 13 of 20 65% 8 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 12 5 of 5 2 of 3
3 Anthony Hernandez 18 of 23 78% 15 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 20
Josh Fremd 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Angelo gives a slight edge to Anthony Hernandez due to his UFC experience and better pure BJJ. He acknowledges Josh Fremd's athleticism and potential, but notes the short notice and nerves for Fremd. He calls Fremd one of the most live underdogs on the card.

"i do think that the fact that this is short notice there's probably going to be some nerves here for josh ... i think anthony's ufc experience i think those factors do give anthony hernandez the slight edge here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Big Brady picks Anthony Hernandez to win by second-round submission. He expects Fremd to land big shots early but Hernandez to take over with pace and cardio, eventually finishing Fremd. He notes Hernandez's submission game is very good, having submitted Rodolfo Vieira, and that Fremd is coming in on short notice.

second round submission
"give me anthony hernandez second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody leans towards Fremd as an underdog, thinking the price is wrong. He notes Fremd's wrestling, cardio, and cleaner striking, and that Hernandez has been inactive and has a questionable chin. Cody acknowledges Fremd got knocked out by Rodrigues but thinks he can outwork Hernandez. He signs up for Fremd as a low-confidence dog.

"sign me up for for frab and this is going to be really low on the prp list"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Levi praises Josh Fremd's offensive skills (calf kicks, jab, knees) and size, but criticizes his tall man's defense and tendency to get dropped. He likes Anthony Hernandez's experience, toughness, and submission game (guillotine, d'arce). He thinks Hernandez can capitalize on Fremd's defensive openings but is not crazy about laying -200, so he passes on betting.

fight doesn't go the distance (minus 500, too expensive)
"i do lean anthony hernandez i'm just not crazy about laying -200 in a spot against a very game guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

I love Hernandez as a prospect; he reminds me of a prime Cain Velasquez with pressure and grappling. I think he will push the pace from the start, land takedowns, and get a finish via ground and pound or submission. The fight not going to decision is one of my favorite lines. I see him getting his hand raised inside the distance.

fight doesn't go to decision -350
"I love Hernandez... I think we're going to see him start to recapture that as he starts stringing a couple wins together... I think he gets that finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight, saying it terrifies him too much. He notes Hernandez's submission win over Vieira was due to fatigue, and that Fremd got knocked out by Gregory Rodrigues. Paul doesn't like Hernandez at -200 and doesn't see enough in Fremd to bet. He considers the under but doesn't commit.

"i'm never gonna end up betting anthony hernandez at minus 200 against anybody in the ufc"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

The MMA Guru picks Anthony Hernandez, noting that Josh Fremd is on short notice. He expects Fremd to start well but fade, with Hernandez getting a third-round submission or TKO. He highlights Hernandez's toughness and ability to survive dangerous positions.

third round finish prediction
"i'm gonna go with anthony hernandez in the late rounds by like third round submission or tko"
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his two-fight losing streak and bizarre self-knockout in his last fight. He believes Petroski is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling, power, and speed. However, he acknowledges Josh Fremd's cardio advantage and the elevation factor, which could favor Fremd if he pressures early. Angelo warns against betting on this fight due to its unpredictability.

"I am still going to pick Andre patosi here because I think if he gets the wrestling going he's going to look spectacular"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing Petroski's poor cardio and tendency to fade. He notes Fremd's altitude training and generalist skills, and believes Fremd can survive the first round and take over. He expects a late finish or decision for Fremd.

"Fremd even though he's not as good of a wrestler on paper who cares just make it a wrestling match."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Fremd but is hesitant. He notes that Fremd has been waiting for a big knockout and that Petroski is a front-runner who gasses when he can't dominate early. He thinks Fremd can weather the storm and take over. He mentions that Petroski wants a first-round KO to avoid going deep, which plays into Fremd's hands. He has bet on Fremd before and trusts him.

"I'm gonna go with friend here um but it it'll be interesting for sure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Fremd

Josh Fremd is a pick 'em and worth a shot. He utilizes pressure and pace, which will come through against Petroski, who tends to slow down. If Fremd can survive the early onslaught from Petroski, he should start to grind and eventually find a finish in the third round.

"this line is currently at a pick them and friend I believe is worth the shot as long as he can survive the early on here from patosi F should start to get his grind going and then eventually find that finish in the third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, citing Petroski's cardio issues and Fremd's altitude advantage. He notes Petroski's tendency to gas and believes Fremd's volume and durability will win the fight. He expects Fremd to win by decision or late stoppage.

"It's Fred for me."