vs
+240 -245
UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 24
Height 5' 5"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Charles Johnson
4.77 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.02 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joshua Van
8.84 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
6.39 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.84 TD Avg
63.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Charles Johnson
Moneyline
Caesars +240
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1150
Submission
BetMGM +1600
Decision
BetRivers +410
Joshua Van
Moneyline
FanDuel -245
KO/TKO
BetRivers +575
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel -120
Charles Johnson - Fight History
SCHED vs Asu Almabayev
WIN vs Bruno Silva
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 0 85 of 162 52% 110 of 189 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:06
Bruno Silva 0 73 of 136 53% 101 of 171 0 of 8 0% 0 0 3:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 18 of 34 52% 18 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 19 63% 15 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
2 Charles Johnson 0 33 of 60 55% 38 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 27 of 53 50% 37 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:21
3 Charles Johnson 0 34 of 68 50% 54 of 88 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Bruno Silva 0 34 of 64 53% 49 of 83 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 85 of 162 52% 43 of 101 30 of 46 12 of 15 61 of 132 24 of 30 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 73 of 136 53% 52 of 106 14 of 21 7 of 9 71 of 131 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 18 of 34 52% 7 of 18 7 of 10 4 of 6 11 of 26 7 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 12 of 19 63% 6 of 11 2 of 4 4 of 4 12 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 33 of 60 55% 17 of 37 10 of 16 6 of 7 29 of 56 4 of 4 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 27 of 53 50% 18 of 39 6 of 9 3 of 5 27 of 52 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Charles Johnson 34 of 68 50% 19 of 46 13 of 20 2 of 2 21 of 50 13 of 18 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 34 of 64 53% 28 of 56 6 of 8 0 of 0 32 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Johnson (-200); Silva (+170)

Round 1
Keith Peterson is the referee. Silva with an inside low kick early. Johnson shoots behind a punch. Silva defends and they’re in the clinch. Johnson lands a hook on the break. Johnson fakes a shot behind a left. Johnson with a front kick. The American shoots from long distance and Silva defends easily. Silva shoves his foe into the fence. Silva backs off. A right lands for Johnson, who follows with a leg kick. A sharp right connects for the Brazilian. Silva kicks the body. Johnson appears to be bothered by the pressure. Silva clinches again and locks his hands. Johnson lands an elbow in close quaters and Silva backs off. Silva lands in an exchange. They trade low kicks. Silva with a right as Johnson moves forward. Johnson partially lands a high kick. Johnson mixes in a low kick and a front kick. Silva answers by kicking the body. Silva keeps the pressure on late in the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johnson

Round 2
Johnson kicks the body and they trade in the pocket. Silva blocks a head kick. Silva is pressuring and Johnson is forced to defend a takedown. Johnson lands a knee and shoves his foe away. A jab lands for Johnson before Silva shoots. Johnson denies the takedown and the flyweights clinch against the fence. Silva backs off and Johnson lands a combination. A kick by Silva lands below the belt and time is called. Johnson is ready to go right away. They trade low kicks. Silva again looks for the takedown, shoving Johnson into the fence. Johnson lands a knee before they separate. Johson lands a kick and Silva counters. A straight left gets through for Johnson. Silva clinches behind an uppercut and they break quickly. Johnson fires a high kcik, but it doesn’t land clean. Another uppercut for Silva, who clinches with his opponent again. Johnson lands a short elbow in close. Silva lands a combination against the fence. A body kick lands for Johnson. The flyweights clash heads in the clinch and Johnson seemed to get the worst of it. Time is called. Silva fires a front kick and it lands low. It’s the second low blow of the round, and Johnson is in more pain than he was from the first foul. No point is taken, however. Johnson grabs a leg but lets it go. Silva with a body kick before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johnson

Round 3
Johnson catches a kick and lets the leg go. Johnson lands a left and they clinch. Inside leg kick for Johnson, and they clinch in the center of the cage. Silva shoves Johnson into the fence. Silva drops low in pursuit of the takedown, but Johnson defends well. Jonson jabs and they trae in close quarters. Both men land before the flyweights clinch. They battle for position before separating. This time Johnson initiates the clinch. Silva lands a combination at range and he’s pressuring Johnson, who is in defense mode. Silva ties up with his opponent against the cage. Johnson denies a takedown attempt. Johnson with a high kick on the break. Silva tries a spinning back elbow. Johnson with kicks and a right hand in hopes of creating space. Silva closes the distance again, shoving Johnson into the fence. He briefly gets the American down, but he’s up in short order. Silva moves in and lands an uppercut before clinching. They battle it out in the clinch, and Johnson lands a nice knee. Silva moves forward and goes back to the uppercut. Jonson responds with a slashing elbow. Silva keeps moving forward. but Johnson is landing plenty of offense. Both men are slugging it out in the waning moments of the fight. Johnson is finding the mark quite often. Another elbow lands for Johnson. They trade right up until the final horn, with Silva getting in a few more shots.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (30-27 Johnson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (30-27 Johnson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (30-27 Johnson)

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Bruno Silva via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 30-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo picks Charles Johnson but admits nervousness due to Bruno Silva's one-punch knockout power. He notes Johnson's excellent footwork, hand speed, and cardio, and believes if Johnson gets going early, he can avoid the big shot and win a decision. He acknowledges Johnson has been knocked out before but thinks his high IQ will prevail.

"Charles Johnson is going to be the pick. I'm a little nervous."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson to win by third-round knockout, but expresses wariness due to Johnson's recent knockout loss and chin concerns. He likes the stylistic matchup, noting Silva's front-loaded power and tendency to fade, but worries Johnson might get knocked out early. He calls Johnson inconsistent.

"give me Charles Johnson to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva as a dog, citing his wrestling, power, and durability. He notes Johnson's takedown defense issues and recent knockout loss. He thinks Silva can win by decision or submission.

"Bruno Silva's could be primed to pull off an upset here for sure."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

Connor also picks Charles Johnson, emphasizing that Bruno Silva lacks the ability to adjust strategically, while Johnson can figure out his opponent as the fight progresses. He notes that Silva's wins come from opponents making the same mistakes, which Johnson does not do. Connor sees Johnson's adaptability as the key factor.

Silva opened at +145, currently +160; Johnson opened at -170, currently -185
"I think the, the, I'm going to go with Johnson as well. It's, it's really unclear to me, honestly. Like I, I, I think either guy could go out, but it's essentially like ever present danger from Bruno Silva versus …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

James picks Charles Johnson to win by decision, but expresses concern about Johnson's quick return after a knockout loss. He notes Johnson's superior cardio, volume, and tools, but worries about his durability and potential recklessness. He believes Johnson is the better fighter overall but is uncertain how he will approach the fight.

"I definitely going to pick Charles Johnson here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

The host picks Johnson to win by decision, expecting him to outclass Silva on the feet. He highlights Johnson's reach advantage, defensive grappling, and ability to get back to his feet quickly. He believes Johnson's striking will be too much for Silva, and that Silva's power and grappling won't be enough to overcome Johnson's technical edge.

"I think Johnson should be able to stay away from that power. I think he picks Bruno Silva apart."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Bruno Silva, noting he bets him every fight. He likes his wrestling and power, and thinks he can outgrapple Johnson. He expects a close fight but Silva has value at plus money.

"I pretty much bet Bruno Silva every single fight. I don't see any reason to stop now."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Charles Johnson

The Guru picks Charles Johnson, believing he will walk down Bruno Silva as the fight progresses. He notes Johnson's size advantage (5'9" vs 5'4") and reach, and that Silva fights in bursts and lacks consistent finishing ability. He predicts a TKO in the second round.

Prediction: second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Johnson by TKO in the second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

Zane picks Charles Johnson, citing Johnson's ability to adjust and evolve during fights, unlike Bruno Silva who tends to make the same mistakes repeatedly. He notes that Silva's wins come against fighters who repeat errors, while Johnson adapts and finds solutions. Zane acknowledges Silva's danger but believes Johnson's flexibility gives him the edge.

Silva opened at +145, currently +160; Johnson opened at -170, currently -185
"I'm still going to pick Johnson. I don't think that I'm, I think Perez is always capable of pulling out performances like that in Paris is an ancient either."
LOSS vs Alex Perez
KO R1 3:16 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Perez 2 39 of 75 52% 55 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Charles Johnson 0 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Perez 2 39 of 75 52% 55 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Charles Johnson 0 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Perez 39 of 75 52% 27 of 60 9 of 10 3 of 5 33 of 67 4 of 6 2 of 2
Charles Johnson 8 of 25 32% 4 of 14 3 of 9 1 of 2 8 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Perez 39 of 75 52% 27 of 60 9 of 10 3 of 5 33 of 67 4 of 6 2 of 2
Charles Johnson 8 of 25 32% 4 of 14 3 of 9 1 of 2 8 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Alex Perez (128.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Johnson (-205), Perez (+170)

Round 1
All UFC fights stateside will plug on under the Paramount+ streaming service, so the distinction between early prelims and the “ESPN” or “Fox Sports” prelims is less significant than before. Former UFC Fight Pass maven Ant Evans suggested the breakdown of cards shift to the main card—no change there—the undercard, where the four-fight prelim slot prior to the main card is placed; and any bout before those nine should be considered a prelim. Nevertheless, the action continues in a catchweight affair as the skidding Perez (25-10, 7-6 UFC) failed to make the flyweight limit by two and a half pounds. A quarter of his purse goes to “InnerG” Johnson (18-7, 7-5 UFC), whose unique hairstyle is starting to have a mind of its own. The athletes will be officiated by referee Jason Herzog, and Perez offers his foe an apologetic glove touch that is accepted.
Perez darts straight to the center of the cage, where he tracks Johnson down and parries a body kick to race towards him. Johnson dings him with a right hand and slides out of the way to reset. Perez goes wide on a right hand, and he nearly gets his chin checked with a head kick. Johnson checks a few leg kicks and stays right before Perez, circling on the outside while Perez walks straight towards him. A Perez barrage comes up short, although a second effort does clip Johnson on the chin. Johnson fires back with a high kick, and Perez unloads with a vicious left hand that stuns Johnson and sets him down. Johnson pulls the cage to stand back up, still badly rocked, and he stands in front of Perez as if he wants to bang it out. Perez has no fear, and he drives a few knees into his jaw that hurt him once more. Johnson takes a right hand on the chin that shakes him up and forces him to bounce off the fencing to keep his feet about him, and Perez is all over him.
Perez marches down “InnerG” with impunity, and Johnson is being held up by the cage when Perez blasts him. One more knockdown is registered by Perez, and Johnson drops to his knees to desperately shoot. Perez takes anything Johnson offers and walks through it to tear in to the damaged fighter who has fought back to his feet again.
When Johnson lifts up an anticipatory knee, Perez loads up on a left hand and sends Johnson careening to the canvas for the umpteenth time, and Herzog has seen more than enough and waves things off.
Johnson still gets up on autopilot and runs towards Perez as Perez has walked away to celebrate his handiwork, and he even gets hold of Perez’ leg when Perez is trying to climb the cage wall. Herzog manages to cool Johnson down, who was damaged and in a bad way for much more than a minute. This is a crucial victory for Perez, who had only gotten his hand raised once in his last six outings. It is a bit of a tough break for Perez, because while he won and likely staved off a pink slip, his missing weight makes him eligible for a finish bonus. It takes champion Joshua Van mere moments to post on social media taunting the defeated Johnson, who laughs off any chance at a rematch.

The Official Result
Alex Perez def. Charles Johnson R1 3:16 via TKO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alex Perez

Angelo picks Alex Perez despite his four-fight losing streak, arguing the losses are to elite fighters and he was winning against Asu Almabaev before a mistake. He praises Perez's striking, low kicks, and wrestling. He notes Charles Johnson is a friend of the show but believes Perez can pull off the upset. He is very low confidence, rating it 51 out of 100.

This might be a spectacular plus three and a half. If he stays as big of an underdog as he is now, a spectacular plus three and a half bet. ... Charles Johnson's notably a slow starter. So if he takes his time and he doesn't get after it and Alex kind of stays in his face, pushes the pace a little bit, he'll definitely win a round. I don't definitely don't see him getting finished. So plus three and a half bet is likely the way I'm going to go here.
"I think Alex Perez can pull this off. He is freaking good. He's good. ... On a scale of one to 100, I am picking Alex Perez at 51."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady notes Perez finds ways to lose, often getting finished when he's winning. He expects Perez to win round one but fade as Johnson works into the fight. He predicts Johnson will finish Perez, likely by submission, as Perez has been submitted many times.

Johnson by submission
"I'm gonna take Charles Johnson here. I think he actually finishes Alex Perez. When Perez is losing fights, he's getting finished more often than not."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Cody picks Charles Johnson, citing Perez's poor cardio and tendency to make mistakes. He notes Johnson's improved takedown defense and striking volume, and believes Johnson will win the later rounds. Cody sees Johnson as a live underdog and expects him to win by decision or late stoppage.

"Johnson's no spring chicken. Like he's also 34 years old at flyaway. It's a little bit older. But the mileage, the injuries, it's it's energy Johnson for me. So I I got Charlie to get it done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

Connor questions whether Alex Perez is actually a good flyweight, noting his record of 1 win in 6 fights over 5 years. He sees Perez as a bully on the front foot who lacks durability and defensive striking. Johnson, on the other hand, is clicking better, finding his timing earlier, and has a persistent, awkward style that can frustrate opponents. Connor believes Johnson can survive Perez's hot start and take over, possibly getting a finish.

"I think i'm gonna pick him here to be alex perez because what we are seeing is that charles johnson is clicking better and better."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Johnson to finish Alex Perez. He notes that Perez has lost five of his last six and has questionable heart and fight IQ. Vreeland believes Johnson's slow-starting style matches up well against Perez, who tends to fade. He predicts Johnson will find the chin or neck of Perez for a finish.

"I think Charles Johnson's going to come out here and finish Alex Perez."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

James picks Johnson, citing his superior striking, cardio, and durability. He notes Perez often gets finished and that Johnson is more locked into MMA. He predicts a finish, possibly by submission or knockout.

"I think he's a much better striker than Alex Perez. I really do."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alex Perez

The host picks Perez as an underdog, citing his forward pressure, leg kicks, and gas tank. He believes Perez can dictate the pace and outwork Johnson, who can be gunshy. He notes Perez's recent losses are to high-level competition and sees value at +175. He predicts Perez by decision or knockout.

Perez by decision or knockout
"I love him as an underdog at plus 175. This is a no-brainer shot to take on Perez."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Johnson's improvements and Perez's bad luck. He notes Johnson's knockout power and volume, and believes Perez's cardio will fail him. Paul likes Johnson on the money line and also considers the knockout prop.

Charles Johnson by knockout
"Charles Johnson by like by knockout isn't too bad of a look. I don't think he's like plus 500 or up I would take probably."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Charles Johnson, citing his win over Joshua Van and his range advantage. He notes that Johnson's uppercut game will be effective against Perez's head-tucking hooks. He predicts a close decision, possibly with Perez having a good third round.

decision
"I'm going to go with Charles Johnson getting this one done by close decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Perez's wrestling control time is often minimal and that he walks into danger. Johnson has a great flow and timing, and his ability to pressure and exhaust opponents is key. Zane also mentions that Johnson knocked out the flyweight champion and has a Bobby Green-like quality. He thinks Johnson can survive Perez's early pressure and win.

"I think johnson's going to be really annoying for him to fight. Johnson's like visibly not scared he's yeah, he likes for you to come forward and chase him."
KO R2 4:35 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 1 44 of 81 54% 52 of 89 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:32
Lone'er Kavanagh 0 59 of 120 49% 60 of 121 1 of 2 50% 1 1 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 14 of 25 56% 14 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Lone'er Kavanagh 0 36 of 65 55% 37 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Charles Johnson 1 30 of 56 53% 38 of 64 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:22
Lone'er Kavanagh 0 23 of 55 41% 23 of 55 1 of 2 50% 1 1 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 44 of 81 54% 18 of 49 6 of 10 20 of 22 37 of 71 4 of 6 3 of 4
Lone'er Kavanagh 59 of 120 49% 32 of 83 21 of 26 6 of 11 53 of 111 6 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 14 of 25 56% 3 of 11 2 of 4 9 of 10 14 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lone'er Kavanagh 36 of 65 55% 17 of 37 14 of 18 5 of 10 34 of 63 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 30 of 56 53% 15 of 38 4 of 6 11 of 12 23 of 47 4 of 5 3 of 4
Lone'er Kavanagh 23 of 55 41% 15 of 46 7 of 8 1 of 1 19 of 48 4 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Lone'er Kavanagh

Round 1
Blue-chip flyweight Kavanagh will look to keep his professional record spotless against Johnson, who saw a four-fight win streak snapped at UFC Vegas 103 in March. The third man in the Octagon will be Jim Perdios. Johnson is southpaw, Kavanagh orthodox to start things off, but Johnson is fluid, switching briefly to match his foe. Kavanagh catches him mid-switch with a leg kick that nearly takes him off his feet. Johnson throws up a half-speed body kick to the open side, and Kavanagh comes back with a much harder one that hurts the taller man. Kavanagh with a stiff leg kick. Johnson is reeling from the speed and power of Kavanagh’s kicks. Kavanagh lands two more hard body kicks, and Johnson clinches and drives him to the fence. They disengage a moment later and trade kicks in open space. Johnson takes the front foot, marching forward, and Kavanagh meets him with a pair of hooks to the head. Johnson shakes them off and keeps coming forward, but Kavanagh is picking him apart with kicks to the legs and body, interspersed with punches upstairs. The horn sounds.
10-9 Kavanagh.

Round 2
They touch gloves to open Round 2 and Johnson is immediately on the offensive, coming forward with long kicks up the middle. Kavanagh gives ground, circles out and then plants his feet, meeting Johnson with a one-two. Johnson changes levels and shoots into a front headlock. Johnson remains calm and passes to side control, where Kavanagh wisely bails on the choke and scrambles to his feet. Johnson shoots again, and once again Kavanagh snares his neck. This time the guillotine choke looks tight, and Kavanagh falls to guard. Johnson pulls his head out and goes to stand, only to have Kavanagh toss him back to the canvas. They scramble back up and return to striking near the center of the cage. Kavanagh slips after a kick but pops right back up. Two minutes left in the round, and Johnson absorbs a right cross. Johnson surges forward, but Kavanagh slips laterally and tags him with a punch. Johnson enters the pocket and lands a level elbow, probably his best single strike of the fight so far. Johnson drives Kavanagh to the fence and unloads with a flurry of hooks to the body. Johnson breaks away and when Kavanagh steps into range,
Johnson eats a short left hand, then retaliates with a massive right that completely wrecks the Englishman, who never brought his guard back up after landing his own punch.
Kavanagh goes down in a heap, the follow-up blows a mere formality as Perdios dives in for the stop. “InnerG” has derailed yet another red-hot flyweight prospect in the UFC. Fantastic comeback finish.

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Lone'er Kavanagh R2 4:35 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Lone'er Kavanagh

Angelo picks Lone'er Kavanagh but is hesitant, noting that Charles Johnson is a friend of the show and a good fighter. He praises Kavanagh's speed, power, and ability to transition to wrestling instantly. He thinks the odds are too wide and that Johnson is not a 2-to-1 underdog. He says he'll be rooting for Johnson but thinks Kavanagh probably gets it done due to speed and volume.

Odds are -200 for Kavanagh; Angelo thinks Johnson is not a 2-to-1 underdog.
"Loner Kavanaaugh is probably the pick just given all the other circumstances."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Lone'er Kavanagh

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh to win a close decision, noting that Kavanagh is a real prospect with power and takedown ability. He criticizes Charles Johnson for consistently losing first rounds and being takedown-prone. He believes Kavanagh will win rounds one and two, while Johnson may take round three, leading to a decision for Kavanagh.

Kavanagh by decision
"I'm going Kavanaaugh to win a close decision in this one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Lone'er Kavanagh

Connor picks Kavanagh largely on vibes, citing Kavanagh's ability to understand what wins rounds and his good footwork. He notes that Kavanagh is an impactful kicker and can neutralize opponents, and that Johnson may lose track of the fight in a slow-paced bout. However, he acknowledges the matchup is close and could go either way.

"I think I will stick with Cavanaugh kind of largely on vibes."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Lone'er Kavanagh

The host notes that Kavanagh is usually at super chalky odds but here at -180, it's a great entry point. He thinks Johnson may not have the power to get Kavanagh's respect, and while Johnson may have an advantage in output and volume, Kavanagh should mix martial arts well with power strikes, speed, and takedowns to win on the scorecards.

odds comment: -180 is a great entry point
"We're so used to seeing Kavanaaugh at super chalky odds, but here at minus 180. I think this is a great entry point against a guy in Charles Johnson who may not have the power to get the respect from …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Charles Johnson to win by decision as an underdog (+170). He believes Johnson's experience and ability to survive and push the pace will be key. He notes that Kavanagh struggled in close fights against Jose Ochoa and Felipe dos Santos, and that Johnson is hard to outgrapple effectively. He expects Johnson to have a strong third round and win a close decision, though he acknowledges Kavanagh could land a knockout.

Charles Johnson by decision; underdog +170
"Charles Johnson's going to get the upset win in my opinion. He's an underdog. He's plus 170."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

Zane picks Charles Johnson, reasoning that Kavanagh has fought raw prospects who make mistakes, while Johnson is a seasoned veteran who can capitalize on Kavanagh's tendency to give opponents chances. He notes that Johnson's craft and experience should be enough to edge out a close decision, though he admits it feels like a wrong pick.

"I think I'm going to pick Johnson. But feels like such a wrong pick, but I'm going to do it."
LOSS vs Ramazan Temirov
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 0 66 of 156 42% 87 of 183 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Ramazan Temirov 0 55 of 139 39% 59 of 146 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ramazan Temirov 0 21 of 44 47% 21 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Charles Johnson 0 14 of 37 37% 21 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Ramazan Temirov 0 19 of 46 41% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Charles Johnson 0 37 of 78 47% 51 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Ramazan Temirov 0 15 of 49 30% 18 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 66 of 156 42% 28 of 104 23 of 32 15 of 20 46 of 129 20 of 27 0 of 0
Ramazan Temirov 55 of 139 39% 42 of 117 13 of 22 0 of 0 46 of 118 9 of 19 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 15 of 41 36% 5 of 26 3 of 6 7 of 9 13 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ramazan Temirov 21 of 44 47% 14 of 33 7 of 11 0 of 0 19 of 39 2 of 4 0 of 1
2 Charles Johnson 14 of 37 37% 7 of 22 5 of 10 2 of 5 10 of 32 4 of 5 0 of 0
Ramazan Temirov 19 of 46 41% 14 of 41 5 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 39 3 of 6 0 of 1
3 Charles Johnson 37 of 78 47% 16 of 56 15 of 16 6 of 6 23 of 59 14 of 19 0 of 0
Ramazan Temirov 15 of 49 30% 14 of 43 1 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 40 4 of 9 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Ramazonbek Temirov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Temirov (-115), Johnson (-105)

Round 1
A bit leaner than originally intended, the UFC rolls into the Apex station with an even 10 fights on the billing. The event is light on ranked relevance and meaningful matchups from a championship perspective, but each bout means the world to the participants so they cannot be dismissed before they happen. The action starts off in the flyweight division, with a solid fight that has no place in the curtain jerker spot. With four straight wins in his pocket, rising talent Johnson (17-6, 6-4 UFC) wants to go five in a row and stamp himself as a contender at 125 pounds. Standing in his way will be streaking Uzbekistan native Temirov (18-3, 1-0 UFC), who may have only earned one win in the UFC thus far but enters the bout the victor in his last 10 outings. Someone’s win streak is about to come to a screeching halt, and referee Jason Herzog will be there every step of the way. The fighters touch gloves, and the combat begins. Johnson assumes the center of the cage and works his way forward, switching stances to angle his way in. When Temirov does not back off much, Johnson backpedals. This gives Temirov confidence to wing an overhand right and a spinning back kick, and the former catches “InnerG” on the jaw. Johnson shakes it off and bounces off the fencing, and Temirov bears down on him with a looping left. Johnson responds with a knee up the middle, and he follows with a front kick on the chin. Temirov clips him with a big right hand and hurts him. Johnson hits his back and rolls forward to pursue a desperate takedown, stripping up Temirov’s balance but not grounding him for long. Both men climb back up, and Temirov is firmly in the driver’s seat throwing bombs. Johnson takes them well enough but is taking damage, and he gets Temirov to back away momentarily thanks to a groin shot. Herzog checks on Temirov’s condition, who waves him away and wants to keep swinging. Johnson strafes left and right, but Temirov is on him with big punches and flashy strikes. Johnson remains composed as he keeps up his guard, only to walk directly into a check left hook. Johnson’s front kick forces Temirov to back off, and he throws a body kick that gets caught. With Johnson’s leg under his armpit, the Uzbekistani fighter slings a right hand that knocks Johnson off his feet. Johnson jumps back up and rushes forward, punching his way forward until Temirov fires off a spinning back fist. Johnson surges forward and eats another spinning back fist, but the more damaging blow is a left to the liver from “Temurlan.” The concussive blows from Temirov keep dropping Johnson down to a knee, which may or may not be registered as a knockdown but still matters from a damage standpoint. Johnson stands his ground and fires back, and the two trade blows until the bell sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Temirov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Temirov
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Temirov

Round 2
The fighters tap gloves to get going, and Johnson forces the issue with pressure and parries a right hook. Temirov darts in with a looping left and then a right, and Johnson’s head movement keeps him safe from harm until he presses in to tie Temirov up and grab hold of a single-leg takedown. Johnson lowers himself to the mat to try for greater leverage, but he cannot ground the man from Uzbekistan and backs off. Temirov goes wide with a haymaker of a right hand, and Johnson prods out with a jab and a low kick. Johnson presents a knee when Temirov loads up, but Temirov is still able to connect with at least one big strike. The huge punches from Temirov keep coming, and Johnson’s evasiveness saves him from the worst of it. Johnson slips in an uppercut when sliding away, and he has another kick caught that results in him getting knocked off his feet. Johnson zips back up to his feet unconcerned, and he takes a clean right hand to the ribcage. Temirov reaches out with a left and rips the body with a kick, and he intercepts the advancing “InnerG” with power punches. Johnson chases after his foe, who is on his bike dashing from left to right. Johnson lunges in with a huge swing, and the quicker Temirov sticks him and moves effectively. Johnson probes with a left hand, but he gets popped with a left on the way out. Temirov flashes a jab that wobbles Johnson’s knees momentarily, and he uses a few more to redden the nose of his opponent. Johnson gets in the pocket and starts to trade, but a left hand from Temirov slams into his face and forces him to stop and blink it out. Johnson pushes forward to get hold of his opponent and level change, but he settles for an elbow up top to break. Johnson uses awkward angles to get in and land a few shots, and Temirov loads up with a bomb of a right hand that smacks Johnson in the beak a slight bit after the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Temirov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Temirov

Round 3
There is a final glove touch, and Johnson springs behind it to fire off a pair of punches up top. Temirov catches the subsequent body kick, and this time Johnson does not get decked with the overhand right. Johnson takes his leg back, dodges a spinning wheel kick and crashes the pocket to trade. Johnson backs his man up against the fence and works the body with a right hand and a kick, and Temirov retreats along the outer edge of the cage. Both men land at the same time, and Johnson takes it a little harder and is therefore slower to give one back. Temirov punches his way into a tackling takedown, putting Johnson on his seat for a second. Johnson jumps back up and breaks out of the tie-up, and he starts starting punches together while Temirov might be slowing just a hair. Johnson gives chase, unafraid of what comes back his way, and he tees off on a stalling Temirov with a flurry of fists. Johnson is cognizant of the power swings that occasionally come back, and he pays attention and counters while splitting the guard with uppercuts when he can find them. Johnson takes a right hand and wipes his face, and he goes back to rushing after his foe. Johnson blasts the lead leg twice, and Temirov’s balance appears shaken. Just when Johnson is about to attack, Temirov wings a massive right hand that stuns his opponent. Johnson shakes out the cobwebs and continues pressing the action, landing a few long strikes to work his way in. Johnson pounds the body and ends the combo with an uppercut, and Temirov escapes. Johnson probes out with a jab, and Temirov does the same and loops two big hooks after it. Johnson swings with bad intentions, opening himself up to a takedown attempt from the fighter from Uzbekistan. Johnson shuts it down and pushes Temirov against the wall, and he complains to Herzog that Temirov is grabbing the inside of his gloves. Herzog slaps Temirov’s hand, and Johnson pursues a single and bails on it to score a right on the break. Temirov stands firm and plants a one-two on the jaw, and he follows with a spin kick that goes wide. Johnson slips and responds with a right hand, and Temirov grips him tightly and pushes him against the wall. When Johnson frees himself from the clinch, the horn sounds. It might all come down to how the second round is scored.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Temirov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Johnson)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Temirov)

The Official Result
Ramazonbek Temirov def. Charles Johnson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ramazan Temirov

Angelo slightly leans towards Ramazan Temirov, citing his power and the judges' tendency to favor damage over clean technique. He acknowledges that Charles Johnson is more technical and could win a decision if he fights perfectly, but believes Temirov's power and aggression might sway the judges. He does not bet on this fight due to its razor-thin nature.

No bet; fight too close
"I am going to slightly ever so slightly lean OV here because I think that power perception might matter to the judges"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson, citing his superior experience, cardio, and output. He notes that Ramazan Temirov relies on power shots but flyweight knockouts are rare, and Johnson has never been finished. He expects Johnson to win by decision, and even made a bet that if Johnson wins, he'll buy a 'Scallet Gang' t-shirt.

Johnson by decision; bet on Johnson moneyline; if Johnson wins, Big Brady will buy a Scallet Gang t-shirt; if Johnson wins in round 3, Big Brady will shave his head into a scallet
"I'm going Charles Johnson here I'm going to be picking him to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ramazan Temirov

The host believes Temirov is a future title contender and will showcase his potential this weekend. He highlights Temirov's footwork, angle cutting, and explosive approach in the pocket, expecting his power shots to be more impactful. He predicts a knockout within the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"I believe tamarov is a future title uh Contender and I believe believe we'll see that potential this uh weekend as he goes out there and utilizes his footwork uh angle cutting and explosive uh approach especially when he gets …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Johnson

The Guru picks Charles Johnson over Ramazan Temirov. He acknowledges Temirov's danger and finishing ability but doubts he can land a KO shot on Johnson, who has a great chin, good cardio, and range. He notes Johnson's win over Joshua Van and close fight with Sumudaarji. He predicts a decision win for Johnson, possibly a late TKO if Temirov slows down.

PrizePicks: Ramazan Temirov under 56.5 significant strikes (using code Guru)
"I'm leaning towards Charles Johnson for this pick... I'm going to go of Charles Johnson getting this one done by decision 2928 maybe even a late rounds TKO."
WIN vs Sumudaerji
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 1 65 of 150 43% 84 of 177 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:58
Sumudaerji 0 75 of 144 52% 78 of 149 0 of 3 0% 2 1 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 19 of 50 38% 33 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Sumudaerji 0 24 of 43 55% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Charles Johnson 1 30 of 60 50% 34 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:03
Sumudaerji 0 23 of 44 52% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:30
3 Charles Johnson 0 16 of 40 40% 17 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Sumudaerji 0 28 of 57 49% 29 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 65 of 150 43% 42 of 113 15 of 22 8 of 15 49 of 123 5 of 10 11 of 17
Sumudaerji 75 of 144 52% 41 of 96 7 of 15 27 of 33 68 of 135 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 19 of 50 38% 12 of 42 5 of 5 2 of 3 16 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0
Sumudaerji 24 of 43 55% 12 of 26 2 of 3 10 of 14 20 of 39 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 30 of 60 50% 20 of 41 5 of 11 5 of 8 19 of 43 0 of 0 11 of 17
Sumudaerji 23 of 44 52% 15 of 32 2 of 5 6 of 7 22 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Charles Johnson 16 of 40 40% 10 of 30 5 of 6 1 of 4 14 of 36 2 of 4 0 of 0
Sumudaerji 28 of 57 49% 14 of 38 3 of 7 11 of 12 26 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Su Mudaerji
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Johnson (-225), Mudaerji (+185)

Round 1
Once with his back firmly against the wall, Johnson (16-6, 5-4 UFC) has given himself plenty of breathing room with a three-fight win streak. While he has plenty of momentum on his side, the matchmaking results him in facing Mudaerji (16-6, 3-3 UFC), who has lost his last two. Whether fortune continues to smile on “InnerG” or the Chinese fighter gets back in the win column, referee Mark Smith will be there for it every step of the way. Fists are bumped, and Johnson walks through a leg kick to immediately swarm Mudaerji with a flurry of fists. Johnson pressures Mudaerji up to and against the wall, kneeing him when they tie up. Johnson lifts knees to the gut while “The Tibetan Eagle” is pinned against it, and Mudaerji tries to get away and ultimately wrenches his way out and raps a right hand on the side of Johnson’s dome. Johnson shakes it off and plods forward, absorbing a few punches and a flush calf kick so he can charge in with his own offense. Johnson misses his strikes, dodges a low kick and keeps marching forward. Mudaerji sticks his man with a calf kick and jabs him to mix things up, and Johnson preemptively picks his leg up after these kicks start to add up. Mudaerji goes on the inside with two kicks, and Johnson sits down on a right hook to drive Mudaerji back. Mudaerji steps in with an elbow, and he flicks out a few jabs and splits the guard with a left. Mudaerji batters the front leg with a kick, and Johnson eats a jab and drops his hands to reset. Johnson checks a kick when crashing the pocket, and he loads up on power punches to the body. Johnson ties him up, and he knees his man in the chest and thighs while Mudaerji is warned for grabbing inside the glove. Mudaerji lashes out with an elbow to break, and he keeps his volume high by picking jabs and low kicks from his preferred range. Johnson crowds his man and unleashes a big right hand, only to get pulled into a Thai clinch and a sharp knee on the chin. Johnson frantically chases after his opponent, loading on up big strikes and forcing Mudaerji to ricochet off the fencing. Mudaerji dodges and weaves the worst of the attacks coming his way, and Johnson backs him against the wall and loads up on him. Johnson lets him have it until the bell sounds mid-exchange.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji

Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up to get going in the second stanza, and Johnson dashes out of his corner to engage. Mudaerji is prepared to defend the initial blitz, succeeding in staving off the most threatening of the strikes. Mudaerji keeps shifting and moving actively, occasionally getting backed to the wall but never truly cornered. Mudaerji catches Johnson coming in with a right hand, and he scores two low kicks before Johnson can get to him. Johnson goes high with a kick that bounces off the guard, and he stomps the knee with his foot twice. Mudaerji shifts to the left to tag Johnson with a straight strike, and he flicks out a front-leg side kick and a number of punches to follow. Mudaerji wings big right hands that land behind the head, and he stumbles Johnson coming forward thanks to a low kick. Johnson finds his range with a left hook, but it is one-and-done as Mudaerji keeps moving and did not take the brunt of it. Mudaerji lines up a left hook around the guard, and Johnson barely blocks it in time. Mudaerji intercepts Johnson coming in once more, with Johnson leaving his hands low after throwing big. Johnson runs forward, hands by his side, and he jacks Mudaerji in the jaw with a vicious right hand. Mudaerji tries to escape, but Johnson is a dog with a bone chasing after him. Johnson backs Mudaerji to the fence and uppercuts him so hard, Mudaerji’s head snaps back like a Pez dispenser. Johnson lays into his opponent with a long barrage of punches, hurting Mudaerji badly and putting him down. Johnson tries to finish the job, swinging his way into the guard, where Mudaerji manages to survive and circle around to threaten with a triangle that transitions into an armbar. Johnson fights through it, gets put on his back, fights back up and somehow puts Mudaerji on the mat. Mudaerji sweeps him as soon as his seat hits the floor, and a mad exchange of grappling magic ensues until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Johnson

Round 3
The third round kicks off with Mudaerji tough as nails ready and willing to trade. Mudaerji sticks out two front kicks, spins with a wheel kick and smashes it on the side of Johnson’s dome. The forward pressure of Mudaerji allows him to trip Johnson up, and he slams the American to the mat. Johnson jumps back up and meanders forward, checking kicks but otherwise breathing hard and not striking. Mudaerji splits the guard with a left hand, potshotting Johnson coming forward while Johnson’s offense is practically nonexistent. Johnson grits his teeth after taking a few jabs to plow forward with telegraphed hooks, and the Chinese fighter sees them coming from a mile away. Johnson slings a right to open up a straight left, and the latter catches Mudaerji on the chin. Mudaerji chops his front leg back a few times, and he turns his hips into a body kick and then resets to land one more to the inner calf of “InnerG.” Johnson stalks Mudaerji down, walking through strikes but taking more than he is landing back. Johnson’s pressure results in a brief clinch, and Mudaerji fights his way out of it and just misses with a head kick. Mudaerji times a level change when Johnson wings a right hand, and Johnson reverses him with a throw to put “The Tibetan Eagle” on his back. Mudaerji scrambles wildly to get to his feet, and he breaks away from a clinch with an overhand right. Mudaerji puts three punches on the chin as Johnson shoots for a takedown, and he sets up a brabo choke to hurl Johnson to his knees. Johnson fights the hands to break up the submission, and he drops to one knee so he does not absorb a knee from the Chinese fighter. Johnson and Mudaerji swing it out right to the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji (29-28 Mudaerji)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji (29-28 Mudaerji)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Mudaerji (29-28 Mudaerji)

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Su Mudaerji via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo is very confident in Charles Johnson, citing his high output, technical striking, and ability to maintain pace for 15 minutes. He notes Sumudaerji's takedown defense is untested (only one takedown attempt in UFC) and that Johnson has survived tough moments before. He expects Johnson to pressure forward, be the cleaner striker, and take over as the fight goes on. He also mentions Johnson's activity and recent success.

"Charles is the pick I am very confident in that pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson by second-round submission. He highlights Sumudaerji's poor takedown defense and six submission losses. Johnson has good wrestling and submission attempts, though no UFC submission wins. He warns that if Johnson strikes, it's a different fight, but expects him to mix in takedowns and submit Sumudaerji.

second round submission
"I'm going to Charles Johnson give me Charles Johnson to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Johnson as a craftsman who should handle Sumudaerji's straightforward style. He notes that Sumudaerji lacks footwork to be a true sniper and that Johnson is durable and calculating. He expects Johnson to get on his front foot and take over in round two.

"I'd expect to see Johnson start to get on his front foot and really take over in round two"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Both are strikers, but Johnson has a better gas tank, better discipline striking, and good enough footwork and defensive striking to stay away from Sumudaerji's power. Johnson will chip away and win by decision or get a late finish.

"Johnson the better gas tank better discipline striking and good enough footwork and defensive striking to stay away from the big Power of sumod darji allowing Johnson to chip away at sumod dargi either win this fight by decision or …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

The Guru picks Charles Johnson despite not liking him personally, citing Johnson's recent momentum and wins over Joshua Van and Jake Hadley. He criticizes Sumudaerji's lack of power and relevant wins, noting he was dominated by Tim Elliott and struggled against Matt Schnell. He believes Johnson can take the fight to the ground if needed and predicts a later-rounds finish.

later rounds finish
"I'm going to go with Charles Johnson getting this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Zane picks Johnson, expecting him to calculate and counter Sumudaerji's linear, lunging strikes. He notes that Sumudaerji is a one-track fighter who backs straight out after throwing, and Johnson's durability and craftiness should allow him to take over in round two. He acknowledges that Johnson might be lackadaisical against a less dangerous opponent.

Sumudaerji opened +176, now +187; Johnson opened -201, now -216; odds feel right
"I think Charles Johnson can find the counters to those strikes"
WIN vs Joshua Van
KO (punches) R3 0:20 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 0 67 of 133 50% 72 of 140 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Joshua Van 1 88 of 191 46% 90 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 22 of 46 47% 27 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Joshua Van 0 44 of 80 55% 46 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
2 Charles Johnson 0 44 of 83 53% 44 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 36 of 100 36% 36 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Johnson 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 67 of 133 50% 44 of 106 17 of 20 6 of 7 60 of 123 7 of 9 0 of 1
Joshua Van 88 of 191 46% 44 of 124 25 of 41 19 of 26 84 of 184 3 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 22 of 46 47% 13 of 36 8 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 37 6 of 8 0 of 1
Joshua Van 44 of 80 55% 18 of 41 13 of 23 13 of 16 41 of 74 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 44 of 83 53% 30 of 66 9 of 11 5 of 6 43 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joshua Van 36 of 100 36% 19 of 74 11 of 16 6 of 10 36 of 100 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Charles Johnson 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joshua Van 8 of 11 72% 7 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-205), Johnson (+170)

Round 1
Capping off the prelims is the flyweights, who will likely engage in a high-paced frenzy of feet and fists. Van (10-1, 3-0 UFC), training out of 4oz Fight Club in Texas, comes in on an eight-fight win streak with stoppages in six of those. While he has only won two in a row, Johnson (15-6, 3-4 UFC) is on the first winning stretch of his UFC career as he has already picked up two decisions this year. This speedy affair will be joined in the cage by referee Joe Coca, and it kicks off with an appropriately quick glove touch. Johnson leads off in a hurry with a leg kick, a jab to the body and a high kick. Van blocks a subsequent body kick, and he keeps his guard up to defend a jab. Johnson picks at him from distance, mixing his attack up to all targets. As Johnson crashes forward, he clips Van with a right hand, and Van takes it flush and does not bat an eye. Johnson stays active with several chopping low kicks, flicking out jabs and flustering Van. Van tries to close the distance with his own strikes, but Johnson is far more active than the self-described slow starter. Johnson peppers him with jabs and low kicks, pushing out a front kick to make Van back away. Van pushes in with a jab and an overhand right, and he uses it to tie Johnson up. “InnerG” turns him around and pounds Van in the thigh and breadbasket with knees, and Van tries to fight out of it to no avail. Johnson shoots in for a double, and Van stonewalls him and backs him away with his own jab. Van protects his ribs with a kick and sets his right hand on the chin. Johnson strings together three punches in response, and he brushes his face to say Van did not land. Van ignores this and touches him two more times with an overhand right, and Johnson stumbles and escapes when backed to the cage. Van brings up a knee that bounces into the cup, and Johnson tells Coca he is fine and that there is no stoppage necessary. Van walks Johnson down, fighting behind a jab and landing right hands to follow. Van knocks his man off his feet, and Johnson defends with an armbar off his back. Johnson jumps back to his feet when Van pulls out of the submission, and he shoots for a takedown that fails. Johnson prods out jabs, and Van busts him in the chops with a right and a left. Van makes Johnson shell up with a right hand and two body shots, and the power difference is fast. Van puts a lot more behind his strikes, and he gets the reactions he seeks when landing until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
Van comes out of his corner ready to pick up where he left off, marching “InnerG” down and landing a few strikes on the way in. Johnson is also similarly active, picking and poking with distance strikes. Van smashes him in the face with an uppercut, and Johnson does not like this and circles away. Van gives chase, chaining three punches together as Johnson escapes. The Terminator-like Van plods forward, aiming strikes to the body when not going up top. Johnson reaches out with a swiping left hook, and it does not make Van back up one inch. Van comes out throwing with two hooks, and Johnson barely gets out of the way. Johnson jabs twice and powers out a left hand, and Van no-sells him and gives him back a sharp jab that makes Johnson turn his head dismissively. Van pops him with a left and comes at him with a head kick, and Johnson bounces off the cage and lets loose with a right hand. Johnson whiffs on two hooks, and Van stays tightly compact and dings Johnson with a left hook on the nose. Van buckles the leg with a kick, ignoring Johnson’s jabs and straight punches. Johnson scores a left, and Van does too. Van jabs his way into a short combination, and Johnson punches back as he strafes to the side. Van nails him with a right hand, and Johnson shakes it off and throws back. Van loops a few right hands around the guard, and Johnson strikes back and gets in an elbow down the middle. Van keeps pursuing his foe, and the two flyweights are trading without fear. Johnson steps through with a knee, and Van responds with a right hand over the top and barely blocks a spinning back elbow in time. Van misses with a right as Johnson jumps forward, and his head kick is blocked. Two Johnson jabs end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
There is a brief glove touch to begin the last round, and Johnson lands the first strike with a right hand. As they both swing for the fences, Johnson nails his opponent with a right hand. Johnson blasts the body with a kick and ducks to avoid a screaming left hook, and he fakes a leg kick to spin with an elbow that bounces off Van’s forehead. Van tries to make him pay with an overhand right, but Johnson’s own fast right finds its mark and gets Van’s attention. Johnson jabs the body and comes up top with two punches, and his crisp right staggers “The Fearless.”
Johnson walks Van down and clobbers him with a thunderous uppercut, sending Van careening to the mat. As Johnson leaps down to smash Van with a big right hand, Coca dives between them, and Van’s head bounces off the mat to bring him back around.
While Van sits up to potentially protests the stoppage, he realizes he got his bell rung and that there is nothing more he can do. Johnson celebrates his wild comeback victory after a thrilling battle, and he sets the crowd up to drown out the arena with “USA” chants.

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Joshua Van R3 0:20 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo picks Charles Johnson as an underdog, citing his experience against higher-level competition and short-notice adaptability. He acknowledges Joshua Van's power and prospect status but believes Johnson's veteran savvy and awkward style could frustrate Van. Angelo has a small bet ($25, quarter unit) on Johnson at +170 and mentions a potential plus 3.5 round bet as a safer alternative.

Has a $25 bet at +170; considering plus 3.5 round bet for Johnson.
"I am going to pick Charles Johnson here I am going to go the underdog here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Cody picks Van, citing his youth, volume, and cardio. He notes Van's slow starts but believes his pace will overwhelm Johnson, who tends to fade. He expects Van to win by decision or late finish.

"Joshua Vans a play for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Johnson to win a close decision. He notes that Johnson is a veteran who has been in tough battles and has prepared well for the altitude. He acknowledges Van's talent but thinks Van may face a roadblock. He likes the plus 180 underdog value and expects a split decision type fight.

"I'm g go with Charles Johnson with the veteran experience here uh via a very close type Split Decision type fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Joshua Van's style is more reliable with consistent output. Despite a height and reach disadvantage, Van will crash the pocket and land body shots, setting up his striking game. The minus 200 line is a bit wide, but Van should win on the scorecards.

Van by decision; odds comment: line a bit wide
"the minus 200ish line on Van a little bit wide for my liking but I do think we see him come through and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Paul picks Van, citing his volume and cardio. He notes Johnson's tendency to lose rounds early and then fade, while Van gets stronger as the fight goes on. He expects Van to outwork Johnson and win a decision.

"I'm going to have to go with volume I'm going to go with Joshua van."
WIN vs Jake Hadley
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 1 70 of 168 41% 88 of 188 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Jake Hadley 0 48 of 128 37% 50 of 130 0 of 11 0% 0 0 2:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 19 of 40 47% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jake Hadley 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:35
2 Charles Johnson 1 32 of 74 43% 37 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Jake Hadley 0 20 of 38 52% 22 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:27
3 Charles Johnson 0 19 of 54 35% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jake Hadley 0 11 of 43 25% 11 of 43 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 70 of 168 41% 36 of 125 12 of 18 22 of 25 66 of 159 0 of 2 4 of 7
Jake Hadley 48 of 128 37% 15 of 86 15 of 22 18 of 20 46 of 124 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 19 of 40 47% 5 of 21 5 of 8 9 of 11 19 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 17 of 47 36% 3 of 27 6 of 10 8 of 10 15 of 43 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 32 of 74 43% 19 of 58 4 of 7 9 of 9 28 of 67 0 of 0 4 of 7
Jake Hadley 20 of 38 52% 6 of 22 5 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Charles Johnson 19 of 54 35% 12 of 46 3 of 3 4 of 5 19 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 11 of 43 25% 6 of 37 4 of 5 1 of 1 11 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jake Hadley vs. Charles Johnson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hadley (-170), Johnson (+142)

Round 1
The next matchup comes at the men’s flyweight bracket, with a fighter in St. Louis’ own Johnson (14-6, 3-4 UFC), who is looking to push his UFC record to .500. If he does so, his opponent Hadley (10-2, 2-2 UFC) will slide beneath the midpoint mark, so something might have to give here. Referee Gary Copeland will take charge of the cage in this pairing, one that begins with a glove touch. The two paw at one another with jabs and low kicks to get going, and Hadley walks Johnson down to crowd him and back him against the cage. Hadley feeds his foe a steady diet of jabs and leg kicks, and Johnson responds in kind. Johnson mixes things up with a kick to the chest, and Hadley replies with a left hook. Hadley measures his left hook again, and it bounces off the pectorals harmlessly. Hadley keeps pressuring forward, staying active and giving Johnson plenty of reads. Johnson escapes to the side and eats part of a right hook, and Hadley takes advantage of this to clip him with a left and shoot in for a double-leg takedown. “InnerG” hits the mat and bounces back up as if he had springs in his shorts. They chip away at one another with leg kicks, and Hadley tries again for a level change but is intercepted and met with effective dirty boxing from the Missouri native. Johnson doubles up on his jab, and he leans back as a left hand flies past him. One after the other, they throw body kicks, and Johnson hops away to avoid a big left. Johnson blocks a head kick and the two otherwise potshot each other with effective but not overly powerful blows. Johnson backs his man off briefly with a one-two, and Hadley aims his own similar combination to the midsection. Johnson kicks the chest and punches the midsection, and Hadley also targets the body with a few punches. Johnson gets off two low kicks, and the extremely close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hadley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hadley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hadley

Round 2
The flyweights touch ‘em up, and Johnson reintroduces himself with a head kick that Hadley barely blocks. Johnson follows it with a straight right hand that wobbles the Brit’s legs, and Hadley smiles at him and corks back his left hand to prepare a counter. Johnson does not get reckless and walk into anything dangerous, and instead picks at him as Hadley gets his sea legs back beneath him. Hadley tries to shoot for a takedown, only for Johnson to stop it before it materializes and push away. Johnson switches stances, puts three hands on his foe’s face, and slips away before “White Kong” hits back. Johnson aims another high kick that bounces off the guard, and Hadley steels himself and digs a left hand to the liver. Johnson does not bat an eye and eats a body kick and another left to the same spot. Johnson wipes his face and rifles out a right hand and a hard low kick. Johnson stifles a half-hearted takedown and shoves his man back. When Hadley misses with a one-two, Johnson is there to jab and then string a few punches together after it. Leg kicks from both men get through, and Johnson stabs the midsection with his toes. Hadley’s leg kick leads to him backing away and eating two punches, and Johnson digs a right to the body. Hadley keeps working on the long lead leg of his opponent, and he absorbs a right hook flush on the face. Johnson lands a right hand, slips a punch and drills him with a right. As Hadley blinks it out, Johnson unloads with a vicious right hand that sends the Brit collapsing to his seat. The cobwebs are almost immediately cleared, as Hadley shoots in for a takedown and puts Johnson on his seat for half a second. Johnson climbs back up, Hadley hangs on from behind, and the round ends with the two men giving it up to one another.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Johnson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johnson

Round 3
The crowd is alive and fully in support of their local man, who has momentum after dropping his opponent in the last round. Chants of “USA” echo through the building, and the two high five before getting going. Hadley tries to take them out of it by pressuring forward, but Johnson’s footwork allows him to not only get away from heavy shots but also stop any takedowns from getting remotely close. Johnson tries to counter shots as Hadley crowds him, and a good right hand intercepts and bloodies Hadley’s nose as Hadley goes for a low single-leg takedown. If Johnson was officially grounded, it was only for a second before “InnerG” is back on his feet. In the position with Hadley hanging on, Johnson elbows the calf over a dozen times before Hadley sets his leg down. The two separate, and the audience is elated. Johnson strafes from side to side offering jabs, and Hadley’s offense has waned to single left hands. Johnson pushes his hand out and a finger jams in the Brit’s eye, and Hadley waves Copeland off and says he wants to get right back to it. Johnson strings a few punches together on the restart, and Hadley ducks down but fails to take the fight down. Johnson keeps volume relatively high and his combinations steady, generally tossing at least two strikes in an exchange at a time. Johnson parries the oncoming hands and jabs the body with his foot, peppering “White Kong” from his preferred range. Johnson gives chase and scores a solid left hook on the nose, and Hadley sits down and delivers two left hands of his own. Johnson lets his hands go, resulting in a Hadley low single. Johnson sprawls and tosses it aside, where he ends the fight chasing after Hadley with punches and kicks. The two flyweights hug it out after 15 minutes of combat, and it could be a tough one to score depending on this last round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Johnson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Johnson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Johnson (29-28 Johnson)

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Jake Hadley via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Angelo leans towards Jake Hadley because he cannot trust Charles Johnson's one phenomenal showing over several mediocre ones. He notes Hadley has good takedowns and BJJ, though his takedown accuracy is low due to bailing on attempts. He acknowledges that if the version of Johnson that beat Azat Maksum shows up, he wins, but that version has only appeared once.

"I am going to lean Jake Hadley here because Jake Hadley has pretty good takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson, citing the hometown advantage in St. Louis and the possibility that Johnson can do enough on the feet while mixing in takedowns. He notes that Johnson has been taken down in every UFC fight but that Hadley has zero takedowns in the UFC, so the fight likely stays standing. He is not confident because Johnson can be low volume and hesitant, but if the version that fought Maxim shows up, he can win. He expects a decision and thinks the hometown rub could help Johnson in a close fight.

PrizePicks play: Jake Hadley more than 45.5 significant strikes
"I'm thinking about maybe taking the the hometown guy because I think he can do enough to win on the feet maybe mixing some takedowns in his own right and then also if it's a close fight or even if …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Cody picks Johnson as a confident underdog. He argues that Hadley is overhyped, with poor cardio, weak striking, and a questionable chin. Johnson has excellent get-up game, having been taken down many times but always getting back up. He also has superior boxing and volume. Cody believes Johnson can stuff takedowns or get up quickly, and outwork Hadley on the feet. He notes that Hadley has looked bad against wrestlers and grapplers, and Johnson is a tough veteran.

"Charles Johnson dog money over Hadley all day sign me up"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Johnson, noting that the fighters who beat Johnson are relentless wrestlers, which Hadley is not. He believes Johnson's cardio and volume will be key, and that Hadley's weight cut (walking around 160 lbs) will be a factor. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Johnson.

by unanimous decision
"I'm going to have to go with Charles Johnson via unanimous decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Paul picks Johnson, echoing Cody's reasoning. He notes that Johnson showed improved takedown defense in his last fight and has never been submitted. Hadley's cardio and striking are suspect, and Johnson's volume should win rounds. Paul thinks Johnson's get-up game and durability will be key. He is confident in the underdog.

"Charles Johnson plus 140 for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Charles Johnson as an underdog over Jake Hadley. He criticizes Hadley's performance against Cody Durden, particularly his inability to secure takedowns and his stationary style. He praises Johnson's elusiveness, outside movement, Olympic-level cardio, and world-class takedown defense. He believes Johnson's style will frustrate Hadley and that Hadley's best wins come against fighters who stand in front of him.

"I'm gonna go the underdog of Charles Johnson here over Jake Hadley."
Joshua Van - Fight History
WIN vs Tatsuro Taira
KO R5 1:32 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 2 131 of 209 62% 190 of 269 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:21
Tatsuro Taira 0 55 of 151 36% 100 of 199 8 of 21 38% 0 0 10:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 16 of 26 61% 20 of 31 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:40
2 Joshua Van 1 21 of 32 65% 47 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 19 26% 16 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:53
3 Joshua Van 1 57 of 89 64% 64 of 96 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:50
Tatsuro Taira 0 14 of 49 28% 16 of 51 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:42
4 Joshua Van 0 19 of 37 51% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Tatsuro Taira 0 13 of 34 38% 41 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:15
5 Joshua Van 0 27 of 38 71% 27 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 131 of 209 62% 118 of 195 12 of 12 1 of 2 104 of 173 9 of 10 18 of 26
Tatsuro Taira 55 of 151 36% 45 of 131 3 of 10 7 of 10 43 of 131 4 of 7 8 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 16 of 26 61% 12 of 22 1 of 1 3 of 3 9 of 16 2 of 2 5 of 8
2 Joshua Van 21 of 32 65% 20 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 14 of 22 1 of 1 6 of 9
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 19 26% 3 of 15 2 of 3 0 of 1 3 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 57 of 89 64% 54 of 85 3 of 3 0 of 1 41 of 68 4 of 4 12 of 17
Tatsuro Taira 14 of 49 28% 13 of 46 0 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 1
4 Joshua Van 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 18 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 13 of 34 38% 10 of 29 0 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 30 0 of 0 3 of 4
5 Joshua Van 27 of 38 71% 18 of 29 9 of 9 0 of 0 24 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 7 of 23 30% 7 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 2 7 of 21 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Flyweight Title Fight: Joshua Van vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-170), Van (+142)

Round 1
They say a champion is only truly a champion when they successfully defend their title. Van (16-2, 9-1 UFC) earned it in December by forcing Alexandre Pantoja to snap his arm during a post when Pantoja defended a takedown. His first test as a beltholder will be once-beaten Taira (18-1, 8-1 UFC), who may have the edge on the mat and is currently the betting favorite. Referee “Shaolin” Vitor Ribeiro will issue instructions, standing back as the flyweights touch ‘em up.
Taira gets right behind his jab, bouncing in and out to score a hard low kick. Taira sets up another low kick, and he shoots after it with a deep double-leg entry. These Japanese fighter peels Van away from the cage and wrenches him down with a body lock, landing in a dominant position he uses to climb into full mount. Fans start raining down boos as Taira resides on top, and Taira ignores them all to smother the champ. Van bucks to get some space, and he recovers back to half guard thanks to a butterfly hook he sneaks in. Van uses his legs to push Taira away, only for Taira to practically step over to side control like he was in a day-one BJJ course. Van muscles his way back to his feet, finding that Taira wraps up a guillotine choke on him to keep him down. Van shrugs it off to stand, and he walks the Japanese fighter down to punch him square in the face.
Both men land flush jabs on the other, and Taira gathers himself to connect with a heft y low kick. Van slowly, calmly works forward, snapping the head back with a jab. Taira races forward to complete a takedown, putting Van’s seat on the floor and back to the cage. Taira prefers at this point to maintain control rather than inflict damage, so Van is able to wall-walk back to his feet practically uncontested. Taira leans on Van and yanks him to the floor with a body lock, stepping into full mount in seconds. Van sits up, and Taira forces him back down and misses with an elbow. When Van stands, Taira lashes out with punches. Van strikes back from up close, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 2
The flyweights rush towards one another to start off the round, and when they reach striking range, they bounce backwards simultaneously. Van is the one who opts to push forward, and he fights off a faked takedown entry. Taira puts a one-two and a jab on the nose, offering a half-hearted shot and then a strong one after. Taira switches quickly from a double to a single, and they jostle one another around with Taira thumping his man in the sternum with a knee. Van stands up him with fast, powerful hands, and Taira’s face starts to glow red. Van chases after Taira, whose hands are down, and he rocks him with a right hand. Taira has to circle away to regain his composure, and he darts in to strike but Van is out of the way. Taira times an advancing Van to take him off his feet, and he climbs to mount practically the moment they hit the mat.
Van bucks and wriggles to break out of the mount position without absorbing any damage, but he remains stuck on his back as Taira smothers him and reapplies mount. Taira rides the champion like a bucking bronco, getting pulled back to half guard when Van keeps active off his back. Van hacks away from his back, and he appears to be the only one attacking with anything of note. Van sits up and finds himself in choke danger, shucking off the choke to explode back to his feet. Taira stands tall and is about to rush after a takedown, only for Van to knock him clean off his feet with a right hand. Taira hits the deck, and Van leaps down after him in hopes of finishing the job. He cannot, and Taira makes it to Round 3 and wobbles back to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
Brimming with confidence, Van stalks down the challenger and jabs his way in. Taira shoots for a desperate takedown, and Van shoves him to the floor and lets him stand back up so he can do work on the feet. Van no-sells a takedown shot and puts his fists in Taira’s face repeatedly. Taira gets his bell rung with a three-punch combo ending with an uppercut, and he throws back single strikes but is nowhere near as fast as his opponent. Taira’s takedown shot fails again, and Van rails him with an overhand right and a left to the liver. Taira circles out to reposition himself in the center of the cage, and his nose gets blooded up by the champ’s jab. Taira throws a calf kick and rushes for a takedown, but he sprints face-first into a flush but questionable knee that rocks him to his core. Taira’s nose bleeds from both nostrils, and he takes a quick count of his teeth and rebounds off the cage wall to swing back. Van beats him to the punch figuratively and literally with speedy combinations, an effective jab and a constant pace. The jabs of Van knock Taira to his seat, who looks around confused but is still in the fight.
Taira tries for a takedown to get his wits about him, so Van turns it against him and slings him to the floor like a side of beef. Van, rather than going after a ground-and-pound finish, slips around to take the back and hunt for a rear-naked choke. Van settles on a neck crank, and Taira steels himself to survive it. Van reapplies the crank, and once more, Taira toughs it out. Van’s third try slips his arm beneath the neck, and the rear-naked choke is tight and appears academic. The Japanese challenger somehow wills himself back into the fight, working out of the choke danger and twisting to work to his feet. Van has no issue with this, as he continues beating three shades of something into Taira’s face. Blood pours from several places around his visage, but he still wants the takedown. He shoots and completes the takedown, and on Van’s return to his feet, Taira hits a mat return. Van gets out of this as well, and Taira walks him down and busts him in the nose. The horn sounds, with Taira surviving after that onslaught.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 4
The championship rounds are here, and the flyweights are ready to fight again. Taira nails his opponent with a stern calf kick that draws a big reaction out of the champ, and he uses his momentum to rush forward and grip hold of a body lock to chuck Van to the mat. Van on his back uses his butterfly guard to keep Taira from moving to a dominant position. Van looks for a sweep, and Taira lowers himself flat to slip into full mount again. Taira pummels Van with his shoulder from above, and he stops Van from turning to the side by clubbing him with his free right hand. Van tries to buck and kick, but Taira transforms himself into a 125-pound lead weight.
Van sits up, and Taira throws his legs up to grip hold of a triangle armbar. Van wriggles free and stands back up, and he motions for Taira to follow him. Taira obliges him and gets behind his jab, but Van nails him in the nose a few times to force blood to flow some more. Taira slaps himself in the face a few times after absorbing damage like Curly from the “Three Stooges,” and Van stays right in front of him putting fist to face. Taira kicks low and high, reaching behind his long jab to chain them together. Taira runs face-first into the ground when going after a takedown, avoiding a knee that Van has ready for him by a margin of inches. Taira grinds on the champ until 10 seconds remain, with Van breaking off and jabbing into a right hand. The fourth round is now over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 5
The fighters share a smile, having reached the last round. It is jab city when they resume fighting, with Van working his way in behind a right hand. Taira ducks strikes to shoot for a takedown, and he gets stood up when Van’s back hit the wall. Taira tries again, and Van pushes off and lets him have it. Both men trade heavy leather, with Taira ending a combination with another failed shot.
Van rips a few punches to the body, bending the challenger over to open up head shots. The champ stabs out with a front kick to the stomach and hurls a rapid barrage of punches at his adversary until Taira turns to his side and tries to circle out, stumbling all the while. This is apparently enough for Ribeiro to think he should step in. Riberio waves things off, and Taira instantly protests that it was premature.
His cries call on deaf ears, so he throws his mouthguard away in frustration. The result is what it is, as Van has successfully defended his flyweight strap with a fifth-round stoppage, while becoming the first fighter to finish Taira. In his victorious post-fight interview, Van tells former champ Pantoja to heal up so that they can run it back.

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Tatsuro Taira R5 1:32 via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van, citing his incredible volume and takedown defense. He believes Van's striking will be too much for Taira, similar to how Royval beat Taira with volume. He notes that Van doesn't get frustrated when taken down and focuses on getting back up.

"I'm gonna pick Josh Van here. And I'm only gonna pick Josh Van because I think his takedown defense is good and I'm 100% sure he is going to let his hands go no matter what."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van, emphasizing his striking pressure and volume. He notes Van lands a high number of strikes and has shown takedown defense against wrestlers. He thinks Taira's striking pressure is weak and Van will keep the fight standing. He expresses concern about a possible injury to Van that caused the fight to be moved, but assumes both are healthy. He compares Taira's loss to Brandon Royval as a blueprint for Van.

"I'm picking Josh Van. I'm picking the guy that lands a ridiculous amount of strikes. The guy that has shown us on more than one occasion... that he can defend takedowns and stay composed and get his hands going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his elite back-taking and grappling. He notes Van has been submitted before and Taira has power on the feet. Brady expects Taira to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission. He acknowledges Van's volume but thinks grappling will decide the fight.

"Give me Tatsuro Taira. I'll take Taira to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody picks Taira, emphasizing his well-rounded skills and ability to take Van down and control him. He notes Taira's improved striking and grappling, and believes he can neutralize Van's volume by wrestling. Cody expects Taira to win by submission or decision, as Van's takedown defense is suspect.

Taira by submission (plus 200)
"I got Tyra because again, I'm minus 160. He'll be minus 200 after the first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Connor picks Van, emphasizing his faith in Van's game in Taira's area of expertise (striking) over Taira's game in Van's area. He notes Taira's lack of pocket feel, as seen against Moreno, and Van's ability to metabolize takedown threats. Connor believes Van's fight-building style will break Taira down, as Taira has no build-back plan.

Odds: Taira opened -200, now -160; Van opened +170, now +140. Connor surprised Taira is favorite.
"I got to pick Van, but it's a cool fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Daniel picks Van, agreeing with Cody and Malcolm. He highlights Van's superior striking and ability to defend takedowns, though he notes Taira's back-taking ability and heart. Daniel is confident Van will make the fight his and Taira will have to absorb many strikes.

"I think Joshua Van is just really good at what he does. He keeps it simple. He doesn't do anything flashy. He has the same basic jab, the twos, simple footwork, a straightforward approach. But he is so good at …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host leans toward Taira but does not place a pre-fight bet. He notes Taira's superior grappling and back takes, but Van's dangerous boxing and potential cardio advantage. He prefers to live bet this fight to get more information on Van's takedown defense. He mentions Van +5.5 fight spread as interesting but holds off.

No pre-fight bet. Suggests live betting. Mentions Van +5.5 fight spread as interesting.
"My lean is Tyra, but I could see it going both ways. And to be honest with you, this is probably one of those fights that is better left for live betting."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Predicted method: Submission Round 3. Taira's grappling-heavy style (3.12 takedowns per round, 1.6 submission average) poses a clear threat to Van, who has 81% takedown defense but has faced less relentless wrestlers. Van's striking volume (8.84 SLpM) is impressive, but Taira's 2.44 SApM indicates he absorbs few strikes, and his recent KO win over Brandon Moreno shows improved power. Taira's reach advantage (70" vs 65") helps him close distance for takedowns. Expect Taira to mix in takedowns, neutralize Van's striking, and secure a submission or dominant decision.

Taira by submission +220
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Jacob is confident in Joshua Van, praising his confidence and athleticism. He thinks Van's takedown defense and cardio will be key, and that Taira will struggle to get takedowns in later rounds. He believes Van will dominate once the takedowns stop working.

"I think Joshua Van is just going to stay alive until the takedowns stop working. When the takedowns stop working, he's in a world of fucking hurt with Joshua Van in front of him."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Lucrative James favors Tatsuro Taira because he believes the grappling gap is larger than the striking gap at flyweight, and submissions are more decisive than knockouts at this weight class. He notes Taira needs one moment to finish, while Van needs multiple moments. He also cites Van's high fight frequency (5 fights in 13 months) as a potential negative, and Van's chin issues. He predicts Taira by submission.

"I'm going to go with Tatsuro Tyra here. ... inside the distance via submission is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host picks Van, believing his defensive grappling has improved enough to keep Taira from dominating. He expects Van to outstrike Taira, work the body, and win on the scorecards. He notes that Taira is dangerous early but Van's pace and striking will be too much in championship rounds.

"I got to go with Van here. I think he outstrikes Tyra, defends well enough in the grappling and I think he retains his title here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul also picks Taira, citing his grappling advantage and experience in five-round fights. He thinks Taira's takedowns and control will be key, and that Van's slow starts and defensive holes will be exploited. Paul expects Taira to win by submission or decision.

Taira by submission (plus 200)
"I just don't think Josh Van's grappling has been tested to the capabilities. I like Tyra by sub."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The MMA Guru picks Tatsuro Taira, citing his superior grappling and reach advantage. He notes Taira's ability to secure dominant positions and improved ground and pound. He believes Van's takedown defense against lesser grapplers won't hold up against Taira's explosive entries. He predicts a finish in the second or third round.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Tatsu Roter getting this one done by finish in the second or third round over Joshua Van."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Zane picks Van, noting his superior striking and ability to handle takedown threats. He points out that Van has good wrestling instincts and has faced grapplers like Durden and Suraya, defending well. Zane believes Van's fight-building style will break Taira down, as Taira struggles in the pocket and relies on range. He sees Taira's only chance as a submission, but Van's defensive wrestling makes that unlikely.

Odds: Taira opened -200, now -160; Van opened +170, now +140. Zane surprised Taira is favorite.
"I got to pick Van, but it's a cool fight."
KO R1 0:26 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexandre Pantoja 0 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexandre Pantoja 0 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexandre Pantoja 6 of 11 54% 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joshua Van 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexandre Pantoja 6 of 11 54% 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joshua Van 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Flyweight Title Fight: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pantoja (-245), Van (+200)

Round 1
Herb Dean is the referee. Pantoja is aggressive early with leg kicks and combinations, taking the fight to the young challenger. However, what was shaping up to be an entertaining fight quickly takes an unfortunate turn. “The Cannibal” throws a high kick, which is caught by Van. Pantoja is shoved to the canvas by his opponent, and when he attempts to break his fall, his planted left arm appears to break or dislocate in gruesome fashion. Pantoja lays on the canvas, clutching his limb, and Dean has no choice but to wave off the bout. Van, who didn’t throw any ground-and-pound after the injury, celebrates the triumph — one in which the Miyanmar native becomes the first Asian-born male champion and the second-youngest title holder in UFC history. Van also takes a moment to console the dejected fallen champion. Pantoja then briefly consults with UFC CEO Dana White before being escorted from the Octagon, presumably to receive immediate medical care.

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Alexandre Pantoja via TKO (Arm Injury) R1 0:26
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Angelo picks Alexandre Pantoja, calling him one of the best flyweights ever. He praises Pantoja's pressure, takedowns, and jiu-jitsu. While he acknowledges Joshua Van's impressive pocket striking and takedown defense, he believes Pantoja's experience and wrestling will be too much for Van at this stage. He thinks the odds are a discount on Pantoja.

"I think Alexandre Pantosa is too good of a wrestler, too experienced, has too much pressure. I think Pantosa wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Big Brady picks Alexandre Pantoja, citing his elite ground game and ability to take Van's back. He notes Van's grappling inexperience and mistakes, and expects Pantoja to submit Van with a rear-naked choke in the second round.

Pantoja by second round submission
"I'm going to go Alexander Pantosia to win this fight. I'll say he wins this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Cody picks Pantoja, noting his submission threat and takedown ability. He acknowledges Van's striking and pace but questions his takedown defense, as he has been taken down by lesser grapplers. He mentions that Pantoja took Van's back and submitted him, and he has a bet on Pantoja by submission at plus 200. He believes Pantoja's path to victory is via submission.

Pantoja by submission +200
"Pantosia will also take him down. The difference between Pantosia and say Felipe Bunes in Cody Duran is that when he takes you down, he probably take your back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Connor picks Van, believing that Pantoja must get a finish or will be outworked. He notes that Van is a rare pocket fighter who stays dialed in and adjusts well late in fights. Connor points out that Pantoja tends to gas and, while he fights brilliantly tired, Van's defensive wrestling and striking are superior to other dangerous punchers Pantoja has faced. He thinks Van can replicate Steve Erceg's success but with better defense and aggression.

Odds: Pantoja opened -260, now -223; Van opened +220, now +188. Notes that Van's nickname should be 'Unmarked'.
"I'm going to pick Van. I'm going to go out on the limb. I think this is a fight where Pantoja has to get the finish or he is going to find himself in increasing exchanges that he cannot manage."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)

Daniel is torn on this fight, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He respects Pantoja's elite back-taking and championship pedigree but also acknowledges Van's volume, takedown defense, and youth. He sees paths to victory for both and plans to finalize his pick on fight week.

"I think this is a Dogger Pass situation."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Lucrative James sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Pantoja's relentless wrestling and superior jiu-jitsu will be the difference, especially given Joshua Van's relative inexperience in grappling (only 3 years of wrestling training). He worries about Van's overconfidence in his jiu-jitsu and thinks Pantoja can submit him or control him on the ground. He notes the line should be closer to -150 and mentions the under 4.5 rounds as a potential play.

under 4.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with Pantoia as my pick for this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

The host acknowledges that many think it's too soon for Van, but believes Van will be prepared to defend submissions early and then put it on Pantoja in the championship rounds. He even suggests a TKO finish for Van to become the new champion.

TKO finish
"I believe Van it will be prepared enough in terms of defending the submissions early and then starting to really put it on Pantoia in the championship rounds. And I think that could even muster up a TKO finish for …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Paul leans toward Van as a live underdog, citing his youth, striking volume, and cardio. He notes that Van outpaced Brandon Royval and has a path to victory if he keeps the fight standing. However, he is concerned about Van's takedown defense and Pantoja's back-taking ability. He admits he is flip-flopping but ultimately picks Van for the plus money.

"I feel like Josh Van is one of them. This is a flyweight fight as you mentioned. Expect the unexpected."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

The Guru picks Alexandre Pantoja to submit Joshua Van, despite Van's striking talent. He believes Pantoja's relentless grappling and takedowns will overwhelm Van, who is inexperienced in championship fights. The Guru predicts a first or second round rear-naked choke.

round one or two rear naked choke
"I've got Pantosia round one or two rear naked choke."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Zane also picks Van, agreeing that it's the right time for the prospect. He highlights Van's incredible year, including a win over Brandon Royval where Van out-struck him at range and adjusted in the pocket. Zane notes that Van's defensive wrestling and scrambling have been tested against good grapplers, and he doesn't accept bad positions. He acknowledges Pantoja's elite grappling and finishing ability but believes Van's striking and composure give him the edge.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"Yeah, I tend to agree. And I am picking him as well. Makes me a little sad because Pantoja has really just garnered the respect that he has deserved for a long time."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 215 of 467 46% 216 of 468 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 204 of 305 66% 209 of 311 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 42 of 116 36% 42 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 52 of 79 65% 52 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brandon Royval 0 87 of 174 50% 87 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 74 of 106 69% 77 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brandon Royval 0 86 of 177 48% 87 of 178 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 78 of 120 65% 80 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 215 of 467 46% 179 of 422 22 of 27 14 of 18 205 of 451 10 of 16 0 of 0
Joshua Van 204 of 305 66% 138 of 232 37 of 43 29 of 30 181 of 270 20 of 27 3 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 42 of 116 36% 27 of 95 6 of 10 9 of 11 41 of 114 1 of 2 0 of 0
Joshua Van 52 of 79 65% 31 of 55 9 of 12 12 of 12 46 of 71 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Brandon Royval 87 of 174 50% 77 of 163 7 of 7 3 of 4 81 of 165 6 of 9 0 of 0
Joshua Van 74 of 106 69% 50 of 81 18 of 19 6 of 6 65 of 95 9 of 11 0 of 0
3 Brandon Royval 86 of 177 48% 75 of 164 9 of 10 2 of 3 83 of 172 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joshua Van 78 of 120 65% 57 of 96 10 of 12 11 of 12 70 of 104 5 of 8 3 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-120), Royval (+100)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night,” flyweights roll the dice to see who may get the next crack at the champ. As it turns out, this de facto tournament will be resolved one bout later, when Alexandre Pantoja rematches Kai Kara-France for the throne. Having come up short in 2023, and already 0-2 against the champ Pantoja, Royval (17-7, 7-3 UFC) more than likely hopes there will be change in beltholder in about an hour. Looking to spoil the party of “Raw Dawg” will be the fast-rising 23-year-old Van (14-2, 7-1 UFC), who has shot up the ranks like a cannon and takes this bout on short notice. Despite that, Van is the betting favorite. Referee Jason Herzog will keep things on the up-and-up, although they kick off with a sporting fist bump.
Royval probes with his jab and sets up an early low kick. He digs a kick to the ribcage and goes back low to the calf on either side. Royval uses his reach to keep the younger man at bay, chipping away at him from a safe distance. For the first minute, Van is doing nothing more than taking potshots. Royval goes to the body again with his toes extended, and he rushes forward into the awaiting right hand from the 23-year-old. Van catches Royval twice more with his big right hand, and Royval shrugs them off and continues doing work from the outside. Royval splits the guard with jab after unanswered jab, moving and evading to not let Van get to him. Van misses on a right hand, and Royval clips him with his own short right hook. Van strikes the body with a right, and Royval reaches his target with jabs and a short check hook.
Van lands multiple blistering right hands, hitting “Raw Dawg” much harder than Royval has struck him yet. Royval goes to the body with a kick as he skirts away, and Van reaches him with a right. Van knocks Royval to his seat, although Royval stumbled on the way out. He bounces back to his feet, and Van is ready to crack him with another heavy right. Any time Royval closes the distance, Van has a right hand awaiting him. Van gets Royval’s attention twice, and Royval knees him hard in the chest. Van knocks Royval back a step with two powerful right hands on the cheek, and a third connects when Royval puts hands on him. Royval gets up close and personal, and although he delivers a single knee, Van rips the midsection with several fast fists. The strikes have marked up Royval’s nose, who does not appear concerned after getting hit hard. He potshots Van a few more times until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Van
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
The fighters tap gloves before engaging, and Royval gets right back to his high-volume, low-power approach. He jams Van in the sternum with a smattering of knees before backing off, where he takes a right hand on the way out. The two swing at one another, forming a cloud of feet and fists reminiscent of an Andy Capp comic. Van drills Royval at the end of two right hands, only to eat a sharp knee on the jaw. Royval drives him back with a flurry, and his body kick allows him to get in and swing a left. Royval stings Van with a straight left, and Van comes over the top with a right. Van gets off a clubbing right in the midst of Royval’s jab-a-palooza, and he absorbs a low kick and two powerful uppercuts. Royval plants a one-two on the chin to shake up the youngster from Myanmar, and he opens up with several more punches. Van stands in the pocket and bangs with him, with Royval getting knocked back and needing to reset, his nose leaking.
Royval starts putting more behind his punches, and Van is still hurling with power. The stats are racking up fast, and Van’s right hand is a weapon that seemingly cannot miss. Van drives a knee to the chest and follows with an overhand right, and Royval rifles off a number of piston-like jabs. Van misses with his right, and Royval works him with three speedy punches. Royval’s right cheek shows damage, and he gets stood up in a combo. Royval lets jab after jab land on the nose, and he follows with long, straight left hands. Van attacks the body, and just when he is about to gain momentum, Royval is on him with a powerful salvo. They continue to unload into one another’s faces, stealing the hearts of the crowd. Royval walks straight through a hard combination, fires back and gets staggered ever-so briefly. Royval goes to the body, and they swing it out to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 3
The flyweights tap gloves, and it takes nary a second for Royval to get behind his jab. He sways to avoid the worst of a right hand and fires back with a one-two. Van connects with a quick left hook, shaking Royval up with two more punches but eating a few on the way out. Van reaches out with a right hand, and he allows Royval to close in so he can smash him in the temple with his overhand right. Royval surges forward behind long arms, ignoring a few body shots to put his fists on Van’s face. Van cracks him with a huge right hand, and Royval just smiles. Royval drops a body kick on his foe, and they take a moment to compose themselves before going for broke again. Van lands a one-two, and Royval pays him right back with a knee up the middle and a few fiery fists back. Van gets in tight for a second to land body shots, and Royval disengages.
Royval drives four punches him, and Van drills him with a right hand that surprises Royval. The Factory x fighter takes a hard leg kick and goes to the body with his shin. The two brawl it out, and Royval may be bloody in the nose but he is not slowing down. Van digs a kick to the body, and Royval reaches him with a left. Van pays him back with a combo, and Royval gets in his face with a flurry. Royval goes to the body with a kick, and Van counters him up top. Royval strings together a three-punch combo, and he darts away before Van reaches him. Van stumbles his opponent with his power right, and he knees Royval in the nose. Royval checks a kick and crashes the pocket with an uppercut and several more punches. Van kicks Royval’s leg out, and he swings a right hand over the top. He catches Royval on the way in with a left, and Royval is not about to let him off the hook. With 15 seconds to go, the two batter and smash one another. Van knocks “Raw Dawg” to the mat in an insane exchange, following the former title challenger down to the mat and hammering him until time expires. What an incredible fight! Royval was hurt but made it to the end, and a new challenger has emerged. The flyweights delivered easily one of the best fights of the year, giving it everything they had and more. If only this one had two more rounds...in victory, Van proudly declares that whomever wins the title in the next match will have to go through him.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Brandon Royval via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Brandon Royval because he believes Royval is still in his prime and will be the best fighter Joshua Van has ever faced. He notes that Van's UFC record is loaded with wrestlers and lower-level guys, and the last time Van fought a predominant striker, he was finished in the third round. He placed a bet on Royval weeks ago and is confident in the pick.

Angelo says he placed a bet on Royval a few weeks ago.
"I think Royval wins here. I've got a bet on Royval, and I placed that bet a few weeks ago."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady believes Royval is underrated, citing his wins over top competition like Taira, Moreno, and Nicolau. He notes Van has durability concerns, having been knocked out by Charles Johnson and hurt by Edgar Chairez. Brady thinks Royval's experience, cardio, and grappling advantage will be key, and predicts Royval will hurt Van, who will then shoot for a takedown and get submitted. He picks Royval by second-round submission.

Royval wins by second round submission
"I'll go Brandon Roy Val. Brandon Royal by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Connor initially wanted to pick Van but was convinced by Phil that Royval's style is a bad matchup for Van. He notes that Royval has become a long-range volume fighter who can frustrate opponents, and Van has struggled against tall, rangy fighters. He also mentions Royval's durability and pace as factors. However, he is not fully confident because Royval's style is not championship-level and he gives away a lot.

"I think I'm going to go with Rival and just say that the quick turnaround is going to be too much for van and that the, that Rival can put out pace round after round and at a range that …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host acknowledges Royval's unorthodox striking may cause early trouble, but expects Van to land big shots in the second and third rounds, possibly getting a late TKO, but ultimately winning on the scorecards in the biggest win of his career.

win on scorecards, possible late TKO
"I expect Van to eventually touch up Brandon Roy Val, land those big shots, especially in the second and third round, maybe find a TKO late, but I think the 23-year-old ends up going on to win this fight on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host picks Joshua Van, praising his boxing, head movement, and body work. He notes that Royval's volume often lacks sting and that Van's activity and recent form are advantages. He predicts Van will win a decision, taking the first two rounds, while Royval may take the third.

decision
"I'm going to go with Joshua Van. I think his boxing would be great. I think he can find the body very well here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Zane is also leaning towards Royval after being convinced by Phil. He notes that Royval's leaf-blower style at range could be problematic for Van, who has struggled against fighters who keep him at distance. He also mentions that Royval is durable and has a high pace. However, he is not confident because Royval's style is not impressive and Van could potentially overwhelm him if he gets inside.

"I kind of have just sold you on this, the way Phil sold me, because I was also thinking like, yeah, I'm like you, I'm not super impressed by Rival's game, but on reflection, he may in fact, be one …"
WIN vs Bruno Silva
KO R3 4:01 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 76 of 149 51% 77 of 150 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:09
Joshua Van 3 125 of 217 57% 149 of 241 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 28 of 55 50% 28 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Bruno Silva 0 22 of 49 44% 22 of 49 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:09
Joshua Van 2 52 of 93 55% 76 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
3 Bruno Silva 0 32 of 60 53% 33 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 45 of 69 65% 45 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 76 of 149 51% 37 of 101 13 of 19 26 of 29 73 of 146 3 of 3 0 of 0
Joshua Van 125 of 217 57% 108 of 196 11 of 14 6 of 7 97 of 177 4 of 5 24 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 22 of 40 55% 7 of 22 2 of 4 13 of 14 22 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joshua Van 28 of 55 50% 24 of 48 2 of 4 2 of 3 26 of 52 1 of 1 1 of 2
2 Bruno Silva 22 of 49 44% 9 of 33 5 of 8 8 of 8 22 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joshua Van 52 of 93 55% 45 of 86 4 of 4 3 of 3 33 of 65 2 of 3 17 of 25
3 Bruno Silva 32 of 60 53% 21 of 46 6 of 7 5 of 7 29 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
Joshua Van 45 of 69 65% 39 of 62 5 of 6 1 of 1 38 of 60 1 of 1 6 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno “Bulldog” Silva vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-625), Silva (+455)

Round 1
Vitor Ribeiro will oversee our last preliminary fight. Silva immediately scores a knockdown with his opening leg kick. Van pops back up. Both men are feeling each other out early. Silva scores with several inside leg kicks. Van fires back with a jab and then a straight right hand just barely misses. Silva scores again with a leg kick. Van lands a right-hand counter and then sneaks in an uppercut after Silva tries to flurry. The sharp striking of Van is really hurting Silva each time he lands. Silva tries to enter by charging forward. A straight right that is followed by a left hook floors Silva. Van is in complete control. Van lands a left hook as Silva misses with an overhand right. Silva goes back to his leg kicks, which is the only success he is having. Silva is eating jabs.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
Van comes out aggressive to start the second round. Silva clinches with Van to slow down the pace, but can't keep control of him. Van is working his jab while avoiding the punches of Silva. Van sneaks in a jab as Silva tries to throw a hook. Silva's face is reddened, while it doesn't look like Van has taken a single punch. Silva goes back to leg kicks, which are still effective. Nice hook to the body for Silva, who tries to throw a front kick, but it misses. Van drops Silva with a straight right hand that came as Silva was rushing forward. Van scores with ground and pound, but Silva gets back to his feet and charges for a takedown. While successful, Silva can't keep Van on the ground. Van lands a right hook that wobbles Silva. Van lands a knee to Silva as his opponent was changing levels. Van is in guard and lands punches before letting Silva up as the round expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
Silva uses the outside and lands a nice body kick. Van is working his jab well and then slips in a right straight. It feels as if every punch Van throws finds its mark. A nice 1-2 lands for Van, who follows it up with an uppercut. Silva is throwing back, even if he's outgunned and is showing some serious toughness. Van eats a right hand, which Silva follows with a leg kick. So far, this is Silva's best round, but he's still getting pieced up. A right hand for Van lands, bloodying the nose of Silva. A heavy jab lands for Van before landing another 1-2. Silva walks into a right hook, which stuns him. Van takes full advantage as he charges forward with uppercuts that knock Silva down, and then
Van rains down punches for the TKO victory
.

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Bruno Silva via TKO (Punches); R3, 4:01.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van because of his rapid improvements and clean technique. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's power and toughness but thinks Bruno is sloppy and older. He worries about Joshua's chin after the Charles Johnson KO but believes Joshua's striking will be too clean. He notes the odds are becoming unusable at 5-to-1.

"Josh is going to be the pick. The odds just continue to run away and eventually they're going to get to unusable territory, but five to one favorite."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Big Brady picks Joshua Van but acknowledges this is his toughest test. He likes Van's volume, pressure, and pace, and thinks he will break Silva in the later rounds. He notes Silva's power and that Van has been finished before, but expects Van to overcome early adversity and knock Silva out in the third round. He cites Silva's history of being finished in the third round.

Van by KO in round 3
"I think Joshua Van's going to break Bruno Silva and I think he's going to knock him out in the third round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing Van's ability to build momentum and adapt. He notes that Van's biggest danger comes from reach disadvantages, which he doesn't have here. Connor highlights Silva's power but thinks Van's jab and feints will allow him to control the fight.

"I think it is vans fight to lose."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The fight may be competitive early, but Van's classic style is expected to take over as he batters Bruno Silva through the last 12.5 minutes. Van wins on the scorecards.

"I expect Van's classic style to come through as he batters Bruno Silva through the last maybe 12 and 1/2 minutes of this fight and winning this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The MMA Guru picks Joshua Van, citing his composure, distance control, and improving takedown defense. He notes Bruno Silva is underrated and has power, but Van can slow the fight down and build momentum. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Van, possibly 30-27, with a scare if Van's back is taken.

Finish prediction: decision win.
"I've got Joshua Van getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Zane sees Van as a momentum-building fighter who pressures and reads opponents, eventually taking over. He notes Van's ability to adapt and break down opponents like Bruno Silva, who is dangerous in the pocket but lacks control. Zane acknowledges Van's vulnerability to getting hit early but believes Van's reach advantage and pattern recognition will carry him.

Silva by KO is plus 750 to plus 1100; inside the distance plus 455; Silva by submission plus 1600 to plus 2000. Zane says a straight bet on Silva wouldn't be the dumbest idea.
"I think it is vans fight to lose."
WIN vs Rei Tsuruya
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 0 59 of 97 60% 127 of 169 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Rei Tsuruya 0 32 of 84 38% 47 of 104 4 of 21 19% 0 0 3:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 17 of 29 58% 37 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Rei Tsuruya 0 6 of 14 42% 13 of 24 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:49
2 Joshua Van 0 18 of 28 64% 31 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Rei Tsuruya 0 11 of 33 33% 19 of 43 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:24
3 Joshua Van 0 24 of 40 60% 59 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Rei Tsuruya 0 15 of 37 40% 15 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 59 of 97 60% 39 of 74 19 of 22 1 of 1 53 of 90 5 of 5 1 of 2
Rei Tsuruya 32 of 84 38% 28 of 78 2 of 4 2 of 2 32 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 17 of 29 58% 10 of 22 6 of 6 1 of 1 14 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 1
Rei Tsuruya 6 of 14 42% 6 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joshua Van 18 of 28 64% 13 of 22 5 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 25 2 of 2 1 of 1
Rei Tsuruya 11 of 33 33% 9 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 24 of 40 60% 16 of 30 8 of 10 0 of 0 24 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rei Tsuruya 15 of 37 40% 13 of 35 1 of 1 1 of 1 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruya
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-192), Tsuruya (+160)

Round 1
Preliminary headlining focus shifts from the heaviest weight class in the UFC instead to the lightest men’s division, as Van (12-2, 5-1 UFC) vs. Tsuruya (10-0, 1-0 UFC) has been elevated to that vaunted cable slot. As a note, this will be the first fight in the history of the promotion between two competitors born after the year of 2000, and referee Jason Herzog will do his best to keep pace with these two youngsters. The flyweights bump fists, and Tsuruya takes the center of the cage and hand-fights his opponent. Van starts to walk forward, where he jabs the body. Tsuruya shoots in on his hips, and Van shucks him off and escapes. Van stuffs a second takedown, and he turns Tsuruya towards the fence but is unable to keep him there. They jockey for position while kneeing one another in the thigh and midsection, and Van frees himself. When Tsuruya fakes for another takedown, Van sells out defending it and eats a left hand down the pipe. Van pays him back with a snappy right hand, and Tsuruya turns and runs to reset. Van tags him with another right, and he has to fend off another takedown from a long way away. Van works his way to the wall to put his back against it, helping defend the level change. Tsuruya keeps him tied up until Van explodes out of position, and he throws himself off-balance when trying to back off. Van walks him down and punches him in the face, stifling a takedown effort and breaking out of the tie-up. Tsuruya reaches out with a right hand, and he leans back to dodge a head kick that buzzes his cornrows. Van times a perfect right hand when Tsuruya ducks, and Tsuruya has to take a moment to recover. Van keeps after him, ready for the incoming takedown, and Tsuruya still manages to get lower and throws Van to his back. Van gets to his knees and escapes before anything comes from the successful takedown, and he gets back to walking the unbeaten fighter down. Tsuruya again ducks away to get safe, and Van punches him in the nose to bloody it. When Van looses a head kick, Tsuruya hits a successful single-leg entry and puts Van on his seat. Van jumps back up again and elbows Tsuruya on the break to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
It takes no more than a few seconds for Tsuruya to shoot for a takedown, and Van shuts him down. The second effort results in both men dropping to their knees, and Van gets out of this one again and goes back to marching his opponent down. Tsuruya ducks and eats a right hand, and Van runs at him with his hands flying. Tsuruya takes one or two on the chin before grabbing Van’s arm and expertly slinging him to the floor. Tsuruya holds on from a high side control, keeping his right arm beneath Van’s head while his left hand slugs Van in the face. Van bursts back to his feet, and he uncomfortably frames of Tsuruya’s face to get some space. Van stuffs a takedown and lands a punch, and Tsuruya gives him two back that set up a single. Van drops to his knees to stop the takedown from going anywhere, and he lets go to stand up. Tsuruya connects at the end of a one-two, and he gets back to circling on the outer edge of the cage. Van disallows him from getting another takedown, pushing out of the clinch so he can throw hands. Tsuruya tries to pay him back, and Van goes to the body with two thudding punches. Tsuruya whiffs, dodges and comes out with a right hand over the top, only for Van to be in his face working him with front kicks and right hands. One particularly damaging front kick forces Tsuruya to shoot, and Van laughs it off and elbows Tsuruya in the face. Tsuruya tries to spin with an elbow in close range, and Van ducks and walks him down to club him in the face with a right hand. Van scores a left hand, grabs the back of Tsuruya’s neck and lowers himself into a painful knee, and Tsuruya shakes it off and spins with a back fist that does land. Van keeps after him until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
There is a glove touch to open the last round, and three seconds in, Tsuruya shoots. Van is reminded by Herzog that his opponent is grounded so he does not throw knees, and he lets Tsuruya up so he can bust him in the face with an elbow. Van keeps plodding ever forward, kicking Tsuruya in the face and eating a right hand on the way out. Two more shots from Tsuruya run into a 125-pound brick wall, and Van wants nothing to do with the grappling and gets back to throwing hands. Any time he is about to land with something effective, Tsuruya shoots, and Van easily sprawls. Tsuruya sneaks in a right hand, and he wobbles back when apparently clipped on the way out. Van goes to the body, and his foe fakes a takedown to knee him in the body. Van fires off a front kick, and it bangs into Tsuruya’s cup to force a Herzog stoppage. After 75 seconds, the fighters get back to it with a touch of gloves. Tsuruya shoots in with a naked takedown, and Van belts him in the side of the head as he backs himself to the fence. Van unleashes vicious left hands to the side, with Tsuruya all the way in for a takedown that he is not landing. Van turns the corner and gets out, and he puts his foot on the gas and hops away from a low kick. Van jabs his way in, and he walks through a Tsuruya punch to put one on Tsuruya’s chin. Tsuruya comes up short on a one-two, and Van stings him with a straight right hand. A second from “The Fearless” stumbles Tsuruya, who gathers his thoughts and spins with a back fist that brushes off the side. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 20 failed takedowns have now come from Tsuruya, and Van walks him down and kicks him in the gut. Van goes to the body and wings a right hand up top, but the big right hand misses his target. Van jams a front kick into Tsuruya’s midsection, and Tsuruya goes down clutching his groin. However, the toes from Van are shown to have stabbed into Tsuruya’s torso, and Herzog ushers them back to restart the fight despite that it was partially a groin shot. Van walks his man down, punching in the face repeatedly, and nearly dropping him right before the final bell. When time expires, Van raises his arms in the air and goes to talk to someone outside the cage, proud that he very likely ejected the Japanese fighter from the ranks of the unbeaten.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (30-27 Van)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Van (30-27 Van)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van (30-27 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Rei Tsuruya via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
WIN vs Cody Durden
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 0 70 of 217 32% 74 of 223 2 of 8 25% 0 0 3:14
Cody Durden 0 165 of 304 54% 184 of 323 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 14 of 33 42% 18 of 38 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Cody Durden 0 30 of 49 61% 46 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Joshua Van 0 27 of 99 27% 27 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 72 of 136 52% 73 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Joshua Van 0 29 of 85 34% 29 of 85 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 63 of 119 52% 65 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 70 of 217 32% 60 of 203 6 of 8 4 of 6 70 of 217 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 165 of 304 54% 131 of 262 22 of 27 12 of 15 144 of 279 19 of 22 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 14 of 33 42% 13 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 30 of 49 61% 24 of 39 2 of 4 4 of 6 15 of 32 13 of 15 2 of 2
2 Joshua Van 27 of 99 27% 22 of 93 4 of 5 1 of 1 27 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 72 of 136 52% 57 of 119 14 of 15 1 of 2 71 of 134 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 29 of 85 34% 25 of 80 1 of 1 3 of 4 29 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 63 of 119 52% 50 of 104 6 of 8 7 of 7 58 of 113 5 of 5 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-155), Durden (+130)

Round 1
Speed is the name of the game in this flyweight affair, as skilled grappler Durden (17-6-1, 6-4-1 UFC) will try to ply his trade against offense-first Houstonian by way of Myanmar Van (11-2, 4-1 UFC). The two 125ers looking to climb the ranks share similar stoppage rates of 71% and 73%, respectively, which is rare at this division and something referee Chris Tognoni should keep in mind when officiating this contest. Fists are bumped, and they come into close range to trade. Durden lands a low kick and comes up short on a one-two. Van connects with a hard low kick, and Durden fires back with a surprisingly effective high kick and a punch salvo. Durden punches his way into a double-leg takedown, and he gets elbows in the side of the head when trying. Durden drops all the way down to fish for Van’s ankle, and he lifts “The Fearless” up and deposits him to his seat. Van methodically works his way back to his feet with Durden pressuring and leaning on him, and he hacks with a few elbows before Durden drags him back down to the floor. Van strikes with elbows to the side of the dome, and Durden takes a moment to cover as he does not like absorbing them. Van muscles his way up to his feet, but Durden is on him like a cheap suit. Van rips the body with a right hand to break away, and he rushes forward behind his jab. Durden fires off a left hand, and the two trade blows in the pocket. Van pierces the guard with a few jabs and works the body in subsequent strikes, and he snaps the head back with a sharp uppercut. Van gets Durden’s attention, slipping an uppercut to get Durden’s attention. Van slams his shin on the front leg of his foe, and he walks square into an uppercut that Durden is spamming. As Van meanders forward, Durden stops him with a double-leg entry. Van defends with elbows until Durden switches to a single-leg takedown attempt, and Van is able to set his leg down while keeping himself upright. Durden tries to lift Van up in the air, but he settles for grinding out the remainder of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
The flyweights race out of their corners to re-engage, and engage they do. Both men load up on wild strikes, and Van rocks his opponent with a flurry. Durden fires back, and he keeps Van honest but is not taking him out of the equation. Van shrugs off a head kick to do some damage with punch combos, and he sprawls to stop a takedown and clips Durden with an uppercut. Van chains his punches together, and Durden’s balance is starting to betray him as his knees wobble. Van knocks his man back with an accurate series of punches, and he drills the midsection and is ready to stop a takedown. Durden flops to his back, and Van tells him to get up. Tognoni has him stand up, and they start up throwing fire again. Durden lands, and all Van does is smile and swing back with a vengeance. Durden’s power is starting to slip due to fatigue, while Van is accurate and putting high volume that marks Durden’s face up on the nose and eyebrow. Durden overswings, and he eats a crisp overhand right for his effort. “The Fearless” fearlessly engages in a slugfest, landing first and last in exchanges. Van is not loading up, instead allowing Durden to do that so he can capitalize on the wild, lumbering swings and retaliate sharply. Van stops a takedown in its tracks so he can drive home an uppercut, and he wades away from a spinning back fist and slides in to connect with a right hand. Durden’s inaccurate left hook leads to three punches busting him in the chops. Durden keeps swinging hard, and the telegraphed strikes are either missing entirely or sliding off the target and getting rolled with. Van puts a one-two on the chin, and Durden responds with a left and a big right. Van strings together five punches in rapid succession, leaning back to dodge “Custom Made” and forward to connect cleanly. When Van eats the power strikes, he does not budge, while every other blow seems to draw a reaction out of the slowing Durden. The round ends with the two trading leather.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
A glove touch commences the final frame, and Van is immediately in striking range as he flusters Durden with movement and footwork. Durden fights behind his jab, and he puts some mustard behind a follow-up right hand. Van no-sells the strike and nails Durden with two powerful low kicks, and Durden swipes back at him with left hooks. Van goes high and then to the body and low calf, mixing things up to keep Durden guessing. Durden tries a Superman punch from up close, only fur Van to block it and knock him back a step. One-twos from both sides land on the guard, and Van clubs his foe on the temple and drops Durden to a knee. Durden signals that it was not a big deal, drawing Van into a brawl. Yan’s offense is gradually breaking Durden down, and he connects with a particularly rough left hand that makes Durden fall to his back. Durden is forced to stand back up, and he keeps his right hand covering the eye socket that might have been hurt. Van strings three punches into a knee to the liver, and Durden shells up and launches a huge right hand that goes wide. Van stifles a takedown and misses with a haymaker, only to drift back when Durden spins with a back fist. Van slips and counters his foe, and Durden wobbles but stays on his feet. A jab from Van makes Durden frown, but it does not slow him down as he hurls huge hooks anywhere he can aim them. Van walks him down and connects cleanly, knocking Durden’s mouthpiece out. Tognoni calls time during a moment to break to replace Durden’s gumshield, and the two resume their torrid brawl. Durden may be leading with his chin, but he is swinging with everything he has. Van hurts him with a few hooks, a knee and a head kick, and Durden is hanging on tight but just taking damage. Durden swings it out until the final bell, putting an end to an exciting striking affair.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (30-27 Van)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Cody Durden via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Angelo picks Cody Durden as a dog, citing Durden's relentless pressure wrestling and cardio as key factors. He believes Durden's takedowns will frustrate Joshua Van and deplete his confidence. Angelo notes both fighters are chinny but expects Durden to focus on winning rather than brawling. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if the odds widen further.

Plus 138 as a dog, might bet plus 3.5 spread if odds widen
"Cody Duran is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Cody picks Van but expects a tough first round. He notes Durden's wrestling and fast starts, but thinks Van's cardio and volume will take over in later rounds. He suggests live betting Van after the first round.

"Van for me, but I expect round one to be difficult."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Connor picks Durden, though he hates to do it. He notes that Durden starts fast and pressures aggressively, which could overwhelm Van, who tends to start slow and build into fights. Connor points out that Van has been taking too much damage recently and is fighting too frequently, which raises concerns about his durability. He also mentions that Durden's pace and wrestling could be a problem for Van, who has shown vulnerability early in fights.

"I think i'm gonna pick durden here. They hate to do it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel admits bias as Durden's friend but provides analysis: he believes Durden's well-rounded attack and ability to exploit Van's uncomfortable ranges will lead to a win. He expects Durden to mix takedowns and striking effectively.

"I think that Cody Duran with a more well-rounded attack."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Van successfully bounced back from his knockout loss to Charles Johnson by defeating Edgar Chairez. He will take that momentum, showcase improved takedown defense, keep the fight standing, and eventually catch Durden slipping to get a knockout victory.

knockout victory
"I believe you'll be able to take that momentum showcase his improved takedown defense keep this fight in The Standing Room and eventually catch dirt and slipping leading to a knockout victory for Joshua van"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Paul picks Durden as an underdog, citing his wrestling and fast starts. He notes Van's high fight frequency and potential wear. He thinks Durden can win the first two rounds and hold on, but acknowledges the risk.

"I actually think I will take Durden and hope he wins the first and wins the second."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden, citing Van's tendency to get rocked on the feet and Durden's improved hands and grappling. He thinks Durden's size and takedowns will be too much for Van, and that once Durden gets a lead he is hard to catch. He predicts a 29-28 decision based on the first two rounds.

"I'm going to go Cody Duran I'm going to go of Cody Duran over Joshua van"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Zane also picks Durden, expressing concern for Van's health and development. He notes that Van is inexperienced and makes bad decisions under duress, and that Durden's early pressure and wrestling could exploit that. Zane points out that Van has been in wars recently and is fighting too often, which could lead to him getting knocked out or losing a decision. He believes Durden is a tough out and that Van's ceiling is higher but not yet realized.

"I think i'll pick durden too. I do not like it."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 0 79 of 189 41% 87 of 197 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:27
Édgar Cháirez 0 118 of 200 59% 183 of 276 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 40 of 81 49% 40 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Édgar Cháirez 0 23 of 48 47% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Joshua Van 0 28 of 73 38% 33 of 78 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Édgar Cháirez 0 71 of 108 65% 101 of 144 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:14
3 Joshua Van 0 11 of 35 31% 14 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Édgar Cháirez 0 24 of 44 54% 59 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 79 of 189 41% 46 of 145 12 of 18 21 of 26 77 of 187 2 of 2 0 of 0
Édgar Cháirez 118 of 200 59% 79 of 155 24 of 30 15 of 15 109 of 187 4 of 4 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 40 of 81 49% 15 of 52 6 of 8 19 of 21 39 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
Édgar Cháirez 23 of 48 47% 12 of 37 4 of 4 7 of 7 23 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joshua Van 28 of 73 38% 21 of 62 6 of 8 1 of 3 27 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
Édgar Cháirez 71 of 108 65% 52 of 85 14 of 18 5 of 5 67 of 104 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 11 of 35 31% 10 of 31 0 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Édgar Cháirez 24 of 44 54% 15 of 33 6 of 8 3 of 3 19 of 35 0 of 0 5 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Edgar Chairez vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-218), Chairez (+180)

Round 1
Plugging right along, flyweights take center stage in a fast-paced matchup that is likely to make referee Mark Smith dizzy before it is all over. Once expecting to battle Kevin Borjas, the tables have turned and previously favored Chairez (11-5, 1 NC; 1-1, 1 NC UFC) is now an underdog to replacement Van (10-2, 3-1 UFC). With finish rates of 100% and 80%, respectively, the two will go to battle in hopes of leaving the judges out of the equation once more. They touch gloves before getting down to it, and Chairez introduces himself with three quick kicks. Van resets, and Chairez walks him down to kick him another time in the lead leg. Van fires back, but the kick is checked with a thump. Chairez jabs with the ball of his foot and slams home an outside low kick, and he chambers to release a body kick. Van is getting chewed up by kicks, and Chairez opens up with a pair of swatting left hands. Van lets loose a head kick, and he doubles up on a jab that may have poked Chairez in the eye. Smith warns Van about his outstretched fingers, and Chairez hammers the front leg of his opponent with two more kicks. When Chairez stutter-steps his way in, Van counters with a right hand over the top. Chairez nails the calf once more with a kick, and as Van attempts to counter, Chairez kicks it again. Chairez scoops an uppercut that bangs in the chin of his foe, and Van shakes it off and sticks out a jab. Van evades a low kick but is not out of the way of a sharp jab, and a second kick from Chairez shakes Van up. Van gathers his thoughts and gets up close and personal to throw hands, only to get met with a step-in knee. They both kick one another low, but Chairez’ is much more powerful and damaging. Chairez whiffs on a one-two, but he uses his jab to set strikes up. Van dips under a jab to loop a right hand over the guard, and he connects with two low kicks on the way out. Van scores another low kick that irritates Chairez, but Chairez kicks him back and forces him to limp as well. Chairez’ jab and low kick seemingly cannot miss, and he plants a body kick to the ribs and pecks out with jabs. Van misses on a wheel kick, and Chairez smiles at him and pushes out a jab and a left hook. When Van throws a naked leg kick, Chairez sets him down with a powerful straight right hand. Van pops back up, and Chairez is in his face throwing punches. Chairez calms himself down after missing with a kick, but Van wants to keep swinging in the pocket. Van succeeds in brushing a left hand by the jaw, and Chairez answers with an Andy Hug-inspired spin kick to the lower leg. The horn sounds after the unorthodox blow.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chairez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Chairez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chairez

Round 2
After a glove touch, Chairez says hello with a leaping knee. Van pushes past it and puts his hands together. Chairez keeps him at bay with jabs and low kicks, and one calf kick from Van makes Chairez change stances. Van sits down on a short left hand and hammers the front leg with two kicks, and Chaires frowns and tries to give him back a few punches. Van is quicker to the punch on these exchanges, starting combinations first and ending them last. Van strings several punches up high to body, and Chairez leans over showing he is a little hurt. Van turns it on, chasing after the Mexican and letting loose a flurry of fists and feet. Chairez feebly responds, but Van breaks him down with body shots. Van unloads an onslaught of punches and kicks, especially targeting the body, and Chairez is barely on his feet and leaned against the fence. Chairez grabs the fence with one arm, and when Van sells out for a blitz, he spins with a back fist that smashes Van in the face. Van staggers back to the wall, and now it is he who is hurt badly. Van tries to compromise himself by tackling Chairez to the ground, and they both share a laugh and catch their breath after ferocious exchanges. Van decides to stand back up, and they get back to it, with Van landing punch combinations and aiming at the body. Chairez digs deep and launches an overhand right that rocks the man from Myanmar. Van tries to steel himself and charge into the fray, and Chairez jumps guard with a guillotine choke that is tight in an instant. Van manages to work his head out of danger, and he settles down on top. Both fighters need to again get their wind back after another slugfest, and they trade ground strikes until the horn sounds. Talk about a “Round of the Year” contender.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
It is anyone’s guess how much these two flyweights have left in the tank after 10 minutes of frenetic action, but they are eager to get going and tap gloves. Chairez starts the round with several low kicks, and he uses them to keep enough distance along with his jabs. Van pushes through a few with a one-two, and he slams home a low kick only to get met with a leg kick coming right back. Van sneaks a right hand over the top, and Chairez jabs him back to the body with a front kick. Van jabs the body, and he receives a one-two in response. Chairez uses head movement to keep himself safe from the majority of the strikes, but a body shot does get to him. Van jabs low and punches high, and Chairez tries to slip and move but finds himself square in the center of a methodical slugfest. Van goes after two punches and a front kick to the gut, and he chases after his foe. As Chairez looks to escape, he trips on Van’s foot and falls to his seat. Van assumes top control in a hurry, but Chairez does not settle for this position and instead tries to stand. Van answers by dropping to his back in pursuit of a heel hook, and he makes Chairez drop back to the mat as well to defend it. Chairez fights out of the leglock and takes Van’s back while they both stand up. Van shoots in for a double-leg takedown, and he lifts Chairez up and slams him back down with emphasis. Chairez defends by throwing his legs up to go after a triangle choke, and he looks his left leg over the shoulder but cannot get his right leg locked up. Van pushes through it and hammerfists his foe in the face several times, and he keeps Chairez stuck in the corner of the floor and the fence. Van sits comfortably in half guard pounding down, using his free left hand to shut Chairez down until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Edgar Chairez via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Angelo picks Joshua Van, calling him the better fighter skill-for-skill. He notes Van is a solid striker with good aggression and decent grappling, while Cháirez is hittable with a negative striking differential. Angelo acknowledges Van is coming off a KO loss but sees this as a good bounceback spot against a more stationary target. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins if nervous about the short notice, but expects Van to win as a 2-to-1 favorite.

Suggests waiting for weigh-ins before betting due to short notice.
"Edgar's not very good guys Edgar is not very good I feel like you're getting a discount on Josh van here... skill for skill Josh van is the better fighter here he's got clean striking decent power good enough grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Big Brady initially considered Cháirez as a live dog due to his submission threat and Van's recent KO loss, but after watching Cháirez's fights, he found Cháirez rarely wrestles and relies on opponents shooting in. He believes Van will win if the fight stays on the feet, but he hates the price and is concerned about Van's durability coming back from a knockout. He predicts Van by decision.

"I do like van here I hate the number I think he's you know too big of a favorite I don't trust him at the price tag but in terms of picking a winner I think Joshua van might be …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Daniel picks Joshua Van, citing his volume and pressure, but warns that Cháirez is dangerous with heavy hands and opportunistic submissions. He thinks Van will out-volume Cháirez but could get caught. He ultimately believes Van gets the win.

"I think he gets guy personally get knocked out yeah I mean that's what I do know"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Van is the cleaner and crisper striker of the two, but there is concern about his recent knockout loss. However, his defensive striking is normally not bad. Expects Van to deal with Cháirez's aggressive style early and run away with the fight in deep water, winning on the scorecards.

"I do believe that van is the cleaner and crisper striker of the two but you have to wonder how much he is debilitated by The Knockout loss"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The MMA Guru picks Joshua Van by decision. He notes that Cháirez doesn't have huge knockout power and is more of a submission guy, but Van won't get submitted. He expects a standup fight and Van's patient approach to see out the first round and work into the second and third. He also justifies the quick turnaround after a KO by noting Van is a small flyweight who doesn't drain himself making weight.

"I'll actually go over Joshua van decision here a little bit more of a patient approach sort of see out that first round get the explosiv explosiveness out the way and then start working into the fight in the second …"
LOSS vs Charles Johnson
KO (punches) R3 0:20 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Johnson 0 67 of 133 50% 72 of 140 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Joshua Van 1 88 of 191 46% 90 of 195 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Johnson 0 22 of 46 47% 27 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Joshua Van 0 44 of 80 55% 46 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
2 Charles Johnson 0 44 of 83 53% 44 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 36 of 100 36% 36 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Johnson 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Johnson 67 of 133 50% 44 of 106 17 of 20 6 of 7 60 of 123 7 of 9 0 of 1
Joshua Van 88 of 191 46% 44 of 124 25 of 41 19 of 26 84 of 184 3 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Johnson 22 of 46 47% 13 of 36 8 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 37 6 of 8 0 of 1
Joshua Van 44 of 80 55% 18 of 41 13 of 23 13 of 16 41 of 74 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charles Johnson 44 of 83 53% 30 of 66 9 of 11 5 of 6 43 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joshua Van 36 of 100 36% 19 of 74 11 of 16 6 of 10 36 of 100 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Charles Johnson 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joshua Van 8 of 11 72% 7 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-205), Johnson (+170)

Round 1
Capping off the prelims is the flyweights, who will likely engage in a high-paced frenzy of feet and fists. Van (10-1, 3-0 UFC), training out of 4oz Fight Club in Texas, comes in on an eight-fight win streak with stoppages in six of those. While he has only won two in a row, Johnson (15-6, 3-4 UFC) is on the first winning stretch of his UFC career as he has already picked up two decisions this year. This speedy affair will be joined in the cage by referee Joe Coca, and it kicks off with an appropriately quick glove touch. Johnson leads off in a hurry with a leg kick, a jab to the body and a high kick. Van blocks a subsequent body kick, and he keeps his guard up to defend a jab. Johnson picks at him from distance, mixing his attack up to all targets. As Johnson crashes forward, he clips Van with a right hand, and Van takes it flush and does not bat an eye. Johnson stays active with several chopping low kicks, flicking out jabs and flustering Van. Van tries to close the distance with his own strikes, but Johnson is far more active than the self-described slow starter. Johnson peppers him with jabs and low kicks, pushing out a front kick to make Van back away. Van pushes in with a jab and an overhand right, and he uses it to tie Johnson up. “InnerG” turns him around and pounds Van in the thigh and breadbasket with knees, and Van tries to fight out of it to no avail. Johnson shoots in for a double, and Van stonewalls him and backs him away with his own jab. Van protects his ribs with a kick and sets his right hand on the chin. Johnson strings together three punches in response, and he brushes his face to say Van did not land. Van ignores this and touches him two more times with an overhand right, and Johnson stumbles and escapes when backed to the cage. Van brings up a knee that bounces into the cup, and Johnson tells Coca he is fine and that there is no stoppage necessary. Van walks Johnson down, fighting behind a jab and landing right hands to follow. Van knocks his man off his feet, and Johnson defends with an armbar off his back. Johnson jumps back to his feet when Van pulls out of the submission, and he shoots for a takedown that fails. Johnson prods out jabs, and Van busts him in the chops with a right and a left. Van makes Johnson shell up with a right hand and two body shots, and the power difference is fast. Van puts a lot more behind his strikes, and he gets the reactions he seeks when landing until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
Van comes out of his corner ready to pick up where he left off, marching “InnerG” down and landing a few strikes on the way in. Johnson is also similarly active, picking and poking with distance strikes. Van smashes him in the face with an uppercut, and Johnson does not like this and circles away. Van gives chase, chaining three punches together as Johnson escapes. The Terminator-like Van plods forward, aiming strikes to the body when not going up top. Johnson reaches out with a swiping left hook, and it does not make Van back up one inch. Van comes out throwing with two hooks, and Johnson barely gets out of the way. Johnson jabs twice and powers out a left hand, and Van no-sells him and gives him back a sharp jab that makes Johnson turn his head dismissively. Van pops him with a left and comes at him with a head kick, and Johnson bounces off the cage and lets loose with a right hand. Johnson whiffs on two hooks, and Van stays tightly compact and dings Johnson with a left hook on the nose. Van buckles the leg with a kick, ignoring Johnson’s jabs and straight punches. Johnson scores a left, and Van does too. Van jabs his way into a short combination, and Johnson punches back as he strafes to the side. Van nails him with a right hand, and Johnson shakes it off and throws back. Van loops a few right hands around the guard, and Johnson strikes back and gets in an elbow down the middle. Van keeps pursuing his foe, and the two flyweights are trading without fear. Johnson steps through with a knee, and Van responds with a right hand over the top and barely blocks a spinning back elbow in time. Van misses with a right as Johnson jumps forward, and his head kick is blocked. Two Johnson jabs end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
There is a brief glove touch to begin the last round, and Johnson lands the first strike with a right hand. As they both swing for the fences, Johnson nails his opponent with a right hand. Johnson blasts the body with a kick and ducks to avoid a screaming left hook, and he fakes a leg kick to spin with an elbow that bounces off Van’s forehead. Van tries to make him pay with an overhand right, but Johnson’s own fast right finds its mark and gets Van’s attention. Johnson jabs the body and comes up top with two punches, and his crisp right staggers “The Fearless.”
Johnson walks Van down and clobbers him with a thunderous uppercut, sending Van careening to the mat. As Johnson leaps down to smash Van with a big right hand, Coca dives between them, and Van’s head bounces off the mat to bring him back around.
While Van sits up to potentially protests the stoppage, he realizes he got his bell rung and that there is nothing more he can do. Johnson celebrates his wild comeback victory after a thrilling battle, and he sets the crowd up to drown out the arena with “USA” chants.

The Official Result
Charles Johnson def. Joshua Van R3 0:20 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo picks Charles Johnson as an underdog, citing his experience against higher-level competition and short-notice adaptability. He acknowledges Joshua Van's power and prospect status but believes Johnson's veteran savvy and awkward style could frustrate Van. Angelo has a small bet ($25, quarter unit) on Johnson at +170 and mentions a potential plus 3.5 round bet as a safer alternative.

Has a $25 bet at +170; considering plus 3.5 round bet for Johnson.
"I am going to pick Charles Johnson here I am going to go the underdog here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Cody picks Van, citing his youth, volume, and cardio. He notes Van's slow starts but believes his pace will overwhelm Johnson, who tends to fade. He expects Van to win by decision or late finish.

"Joshua Vans a play for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Johnson to win a close decision. He notes that Johnson is a veteran who has been in tough battles and has prepared well for the altitude. He acknowledges Van's talent but thinks Van may face a roadblock. He likes the plus 180 underdog value and expects a split decision type fight.

"I'm g go with Charles Johnson with the veteran experience here uh via a very close type Split Decision type fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Joshua Van's style is more reliable with consistent output. Despite a height and reach disadvantage, Van will crash the pocket and land body shots, setting up his striking game. The minus 200 line is a bit wide, but Van should win on the scorecards.

Van by decision; odds comment: line a bit wide
"the minus 200ish line on Van a little bit wide for my liking but I do think we see him come through and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Paul picks Van, citing his volume and cardio. He notes Johnson's tendency to lose rounds early and then fade, while Van gets stronger as the fight goes on. He expects Van to outwork Johnson and win a decision.

"I'm going to have to go with volume I'm going to go with Joshua van."
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Angelo picks Charles Johnson as an underdog, citing his experience against higher-level competition and short-notice adaptability. He acknowledges Joshua Van's power and prospect status but believes Johnson's veteran savvy and awkward style could frustrate Van. Angelo has a small bet ($25, quarter unit) on Johnson at +170 and mentions a potential plus 3.5 round bet as a safer alternative.

Has a $25 bet at +170; considering plus 3.5 round bet for Johnson.
"I am going to pick Charles Johnson here I am going to go the underdog here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Cody picks Van, citing his youth, volume, and cardio. He notes Van's slow starts but believes his pace will overwhelm Johnson, who tends to fade. He expects Van to win by decision or late finish.

"Joshua Vans a play for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Johnson

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Johnson to win a close decision. He notes that Johnson is a veteran who has been in tough battles and has prepared well for the altitude. He acknowledges Van's talent but thinks Van may face a roadblock. He likes the plus 180 underdog value and expects a split decision type fight.

"I'm g go with Charles Johnson with the veteran experience here uh via a very close type Split Decision type fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Joshua Van's style is more reliable with consistent output. Despite a height and reach disadvantage, Van will crash the pocket and land body shots, setting up his striking game. The minus 200 line is a bit wide, but Van should win on the scorecards.

Van by decision; odds comment: line a bit wide
"the minus 200ish line on Van a little bit wide for my liking but I do think we see him come through and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Paul picks Van, citing his volume and cardio. He notes Johnson's tendency to lose rounds early and then fade, while Van gets stronger as the fight goes on. He expects Van to outwork Johnson and win a decision.

"I'm going to have to go with volume I'm going to go with Joshua van."