UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Next Fight
Age 32
Height 6' 2"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 6' 5"
Reach 80"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Sharabutdin Magomedov
5.93 SLpM
62.0% Str. Acc.
3.85 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Antonio Trócoli
1.27 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.3 SApM
26.0% Str. Def.
0.88 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Sharabutdin Magomedov
Moneyline
BetWay -549
KO/TKO
DraftKings -190
Submission
FanDuel +950
Decision
FanDuel +490
Antonio Trócoli
Moneyline
Caesars +500
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1700
Submission
DraftKings +1200
Decision
FanDuel +1100
Sharabutdin Magomedov - Fight History
SCHED vs Michel Pereira
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 93 of 142 65% 103 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:57
Marc-André Barriault 0 39 of 77 50% 60 of 100 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 36 61% 23 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 17 29% 12 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:27
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 37 of 61 60% 37 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Marc-André Barriault 0 29 of 44 65% 39 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:47
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 34 of 45 75% 43 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Marc-André Barriault 0 5 of 16 31% 9 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 93 of 142 65% 42 of 82 27 of 33 24 of 27 58 of 93 30 of 39 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 39 of 77 50% 24 of 54 13 of 19 2 of 4 21 of 56 18 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 36 61% 5 of 15 4 of 7 13 of 14 19 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 17 29% 4 of 12 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 37 of 61 60% 19 of 40 14 of 15 4 of 6 20 of 40 17 of 21 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 29 of 44 65% 16 of 28 12 of 13 1 of 3 13 of 26 16 of 18 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 34 of 45 75% 18 of 27 9 of 11 7 of 7 19 of 23 10 of 12 5 of 10
Marc-André Barriault 5 of 16 31% 4 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting he is the much better striker with power and a granite chin. He expects Shara to test Barriault's chin and light him up, as Barriault relies on empty forward pressure and volume but lacks power. He dismisses Shara's loss to MVP as a stylistic mismatch.

"Shara Bullet is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a clear setup spot. He notes Barriault is likely washed and has a compromised chin, having been knocked out by lesser fighters. He expects Barriault to stand and trade, which plays into Magomedov's hands. He predicts a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I got Shara here. I think Shara knocks him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor believes Barriault's recent durability issues and tendency to stand and trade will play into Shara's hands. He notes Shara's incredible speed and creativity, and while Barriault could win by clinch pressure, he expects him to kickbox and get outclassed.

Odds are too wide; Connor says 'That's a little wide, frankly.'
"I got to take Shara, like Barrio is going to go out there and try to kick box with him and just be a step slower."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Although the host usually fades Magomedov at high chalky lines, Barriault cannot eat the shots Magomedov will throw. Magomedov will land big shots and find a finish within a round and a half.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"Look for Magov to land those big shots and find that finish within a round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, calling it a 'layup' and criticizing the matchmaking. He notes Magomedov's high-volume striking on the back foot and believes Barriault's pressure will play into his hands. He predicts a second or third-round TKO after breaking Barriault down.

TKO, round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go with Sharon Magamemedov getting this one done. second or third round TKO after breaking down Mar Andre Barry all in the first and second."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane agrees, noting that Barriault's best chance is to wrestle and clinch, but he expects Barriault to stand and trade. He points out that Shara's speed and power will be too much, and Barriault's chin is questionable after recent knockouts.

"Yeah."
LOSS vs Michael Page
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 38 of 87 43% 50 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 43 of 75 57% 47 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 7 of 30 23% 9 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Page 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 32 68% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Michael Page 0 16 of 29 55% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 38 of 87 43% 8 of 42 17 of 20 13 of 25 34 of 82 4 of 5 0 of 0
Michael Page 43 of 75 57% 23 of 53 11 of 12 9 of 10 38 of 69 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 9 of 25 36% 1 of 10 2 of 3 6 of 12 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Page 13 of 21 61% 7 of 14 1 of 2 5 of 5 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 7 of 30 23% 0 of 18 5 of 7 2 of 5 7 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Page 14 of 25 56% 5 of 16 6 of 6 3 of 3 13 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 32 68% 7 of 14 10 of 10 5 of 8 18 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
Michael Page 16 of 29 55% 11 of 23 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michael Page

Angelo picks Michael Page, calling it his 'last ride' with MVP. He notes Page's unorthodox karate style, speed, and ability to cover distance. He believes Page's striking will frustrate Sharabutdin Magomedov, who is creative but may struggle with Page's movement. He acknowledges Page's age (37) and the risk of a knockout loss, but thinks Page can win a decision. He suggests looking at prop bets like MVP +3.5.

Suggests MVP +3.5 (spread) and decision prop.
"I'm going to pick MVP this is probably my last ride with MVP"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Michael Page

Big Brady thinks the odds make no sense and favors Michael Page at plus money. He praises Page's striking defense, noting he made Kevin Holland and Ian Garry look silly. Sharabutdin Magomedov has 42% striking defense and is there to be hit. Brady expects a close fight but predicts Page wins by decision, possibly split. He doesn't see Magomedov wrestling.

decision
"I got to go paig here especially at like plus 170 I I just don't see in what world Shara is looking anywhere near minus 200 he's not going to wrestle he's not going to he's going to have a …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Connor picks MVP, expecting him to produce his typical frustrating fight. He notes that Magomedov is directionally aimless and has a punchable face that invites aggression, but MVP's style of staying at range and countering is difficult to deal with. Connor believes Magomedov's leg kicks could be a factor, but MVP's willingness to make the fight boring and his reach advantage give him the edge.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, primarily due to hometown bias in Saudi Arabia favoring the Russian Muslim fighter. He also cites Magomedov's leg kick advantage against Page's karate stance, better durability, and finishing upside. He notes Page moves up to middleweight at 37-38, which is a disadvantage. He expects a close fight but sees Magomedov winning by decision, with potential for a knockout.

Magomedov by decision is implied; mentions leg kick damage and finishing upside.
"overall my prediction is going to be sh magedov wins the fight I'm going to say that he wins a fight via decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Page is very hard to hit and will set up counters effectively, potentially scoring a knockout if he lands the perfect shot. Magomedov lacks a wrestling background despite his name, which will be an issue. Page is expected to pick him apart similar to the Kevin Holland fight and win on the scorecards.

"I think that will cause him issues here as he goes up against a fighter in Page who is very hard to hit look for Page to set up a ton of counters move effectively maybe score a knockout if …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by late-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes Magomedov's kicks and clinch will cause problems for MVP, and that MVP's takedown defense is weak. He notes MVP struggled with Ian Garry's grappling and that Magomedov has been drilling takedowns. He thinks MVP's move to middleweight may reduce his presence.

late rounds finish, ground and pound TKO in the third
"I'm going to go Sharon magedov getting this one done late rounds finish maybe ground and pound TKO in the third"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michael Page

Zane picks MVP, agreeing with Connor that Magomedov's lack of defensive structure and tendency to be countered will be exploited. He notes that MVP's style of frustrating opponents and waiting for mistakes is effective, and Magomedov's leg kicks may not be enough to overcome MVP's reach and movement. Zane expects a boring fight but sees MVP winning.

"I'm picking MVP, by the way. I know it's supposed to be your pick first, but yeah, I've got feeling I'm picking MVP. He's just too weird and I don't know."
KO (spinning backfists) R2 4:52 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 65 of 106 61% 67 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 77 of 140 55% 77 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 33 of 49 67% 35 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Armen Petrosyan 0 46 of 81 56% 46 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 32 of 57 56% 32 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 31 of 59 52% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 65 of 106 61% 24 of 53 29 of 34 12 of 19 63 of 104 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 77 of 140 55% 22 of 66 10 of 14 45 of 60 75 of 138 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 49 67% 12 of 24 13 of 14 8 of 11 31 of 47 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 46 of 81 56% 14 of 35 5 of 7 27 of 39 44 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 32 of 57 56% 12 of 29 16 of 20 4 of 8 32 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 31 of 59 52% 8 of 31 5 of 7 18 of 21 31 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov despite being disappointed in his lack of finishes. He believes Shara is the better striker and counter-striker, and Armen's forward pressure will play into Shara's hands. However, he also sees value in betting on Armen Petrosyan at plus money via a spread bet, as Shara has not been finishing fights and Armen could win rounds.

Sneaky good bet on Armen Petrosyan +3.5 if available; over 2.5 rounds if plus money.
"I'm going to pick Shara because I think arman's forward pressure will play in to's very good counter striking but I think a sneaky good bet... plus three and a half on Arman petosan might be a very good bet."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Big Brady picks the underdog Petrosyan, calling this the closest fight on the card. He thinks Petrosyan can hang on the feet and may mix in takedowns, which could be a key factor. He notes that Petrosyan has been taken down a lot but might have improved his wrestling, similar to Roman Kopylov. He believes at worst it's a 50/50 fight and doesn't understand the odds.

"I'm going with with the dog here I just don't understand these odds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody picks Armen Petrosyan as a slight underdog, citing Magomedov's lack of grappling and takedown defense. He notes that Petrosyan has faced strong grapplers and survived, and that he has the striking volume and power to outwork Magomedov. Cody also mentions that Petrosyan may mix in takedowns of his own. However, he is not highly confident due to potential hometown cooking for Magomedov.

"I'm actually going to go with Arman petan as well"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor picks Magomedov, noting his speed and volume, though he acknowledges his takedown defense is still a work in progress. He believes Petrosyan lacks the power to hurt Magomedov and that Magomedov's boxing improvements will be enough to win a striking battle. Connor is not fully confident but sees Magomedov as the likely winner.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosyan opened at +167, currently +142
"So unfortunately I think I have to picture our bullet Magomedov."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, citing his movement and elusiveness as key factors against the more flat-footed Petrosyan. He acknowledges Petrosyan's striking credentials but believes Magomedov's lateral movement and ability to stay on the move will frustrate Petrosyan. Vreeland also mentions the potential for favorable judging in Abu Dhabi for a fighter with a name ending in 'ov'.

"I'm going sha magam medov"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a clear pick for this fight. He sees value on Petrosyan but is not confident enough to bet. He notes that Magomedov has a unique kicking style that could trouble Petrosyan, but Petrosyan has grappling upside and may shoot takedowns. He plans to study more tape before deciding.

"it's a tough one for me guys... I'm going to say that there is some value on patan but I do want to look into the fight a little bit more"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Petrosyan is the technically superior striker with a cleaner, straighter style that will counter Magomedov's orthodox approach. He may mix in some grappling but his fundamental striking and clinch work should lead to a decision win.

"look for petosan winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul picks Petrosyan, noting that Magomedov has no wrestling and that Petrosyan has good volume and kicks. He believes Petrosyan's experience against grapplers will help him, and that he can win the striking exchanges. Paul is not confident due to potential judging bias but leans Petrosyan.

"I'll take Armen but I don't like it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov by decision, believing Petrosyan's rangey, point-fighting style plays into Magomedov's strengths. He notes that Petrosyan doesn't mix in grappling and will engage in a striking match where Magomedov's volume and durability should win rounds. He criticizes Magomedov's finishing ability but thinks he will outwork Petrosyan. The Guru also mentions Petrosyan's short reach as a disadvantage.

"I'm going to go with Sharabutdin Magomedov here getting it done by a decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane also picks Magomedov, citing his speed and volume. He notes that Petrosian is not a powerful striker and that Magomedov's improved takedown defense, while still imperfect, should be enough to avoid being controlled. Zane thinks Magomedov's pace will overwhelm Petrosian.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosian opened at +167, currently +142
"I think Magomedov is more powerful. I think Petrosian, he's much faster and Petrosian himself is not, it's not like he's a great defensive fighter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane picked Magomedov, noting his elite speed and dedication to volume. He pointed out that Petrosyan is a low-power, slightly less volume kickboxer with okay but not good wrestling, which was a good matchup for Magomedov. Zane highlighted that Magomedov is getting better at MMA, improving his takedown defense, and that Petrosyan started well but got discouraged by the absurd speed and second-guessed himself.

"chara bullet is really fast and really dedicated to volume he is elite in his speed"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 97 of 178 54% 123 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 77 of 146 52% 94 of 172 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 40 of 74 54% 42 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 53 66% 36 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 35 of 64 54% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 28 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 40 55% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 97 of 178 54% 52 of 112 33 of 52 12 of 14 89 of 163 8 of 15 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 77 of 146 52% 45 of 103 18 of 27 14 of 16 72 of 138 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 40 of 74 54% 16 of 39 17 of 26 7 of 9 38 of 69 2 of 5 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 53 66% 23 of 38 9 of 11 3 of 4 34 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 35 of 64 54% 24 of 48 7 of 12 4 of 4 33 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 12 of 35 5 of 9 7 of 8 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 40 55% 12 of 25 9 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 34 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 41 43% 10 of 30 4 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov despite concerns about his recent activity and lack of killer instinct. He thinks Magomedov is still very powerful and should be good enough to win, especially as Oleksiejczuk fades late. He notes Magomedov's busy schedule and possible lack of camp, but still expects a win.

Over 1.5 rounds if line available
"Char marov is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady is confident in Sharabutdin due to Oleksiejczuk's concerning situation: he is not with a team, training in his garage, talking about retirement, and has been finished quickly in recent fights. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's heart is not in it and he will fold after the first few minutes, predicting a first-round knockout for Sharabutdin.

"I got to go sh here I I'm not sure what's going on with meluk but whatever is going on it's it's super weird"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk has one foot out the door, training in his garage and talking about retirement. He believes Shara is still improving and has more upside, while Oleksiejczuk has stagnated. Cody thinks Shara's cardio and grappling will improve fight to fight, and that Oleksiejczuk's only path is an early knockout. He also mentions Shara is being fed winnable opponents.

"Char is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel believes Shara has a superior striking arsenal and will capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's overly aggressive style. He notes that Oleksiejczuk makes bonehead mistakes on the mat and likes to brawl, which plays into Shara's hands. He thinks Shara will blast the body and take advantage of openings, and that the time to fade Shara is not now but against a real grappler.

"give me Shara there to come out here and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk will crowd Magomedov, causing issues for his kicking game. If he reins in his durability, he should land big power and possibly knock out Magomedov in the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"ol shj has a little bit of a durability issue but if he can Reign it in for this matchup and really keep Mago medov on the back foot he should be able to land that big Power and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio and submission losses. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has been submitted multiple times and that Shara's striking is good enough to outvolume him. Paul expects Shara to finish late or win a decision, and mentions a potential Shara late finish prop. He also points out that Oleksiejczuk has no cardio and poor grappling.

Shara late finish prop
"I'd be interested in like um Mega mov late prop maybe this squeez into the third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Magomedov's superior striking and low kicks. He notes Oleksiejczuk's poor mindset, having commented that he will probably lose. He thinks Magomedov's technical outside work will be enough, despite his weak ground game. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's vulnerability to low kicks while moving backwards.

"I'm going to pick Shara magedov to win this fight I think he's better than maau Alex Atri on the feet"
TKO (knee and punches) R3 2:27 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 82 of 108 75% 108 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 77 0 of 7 0% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 19 of 27 70% 39 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 12 of 17 70% 26 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:05
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 30 of 40 75% 36 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 4 of 11 36% 13 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 33 of 41 80% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 82 of 108 75% 28 of 52 22 of 24 32 of 32 69 of 94 13 of 14 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 16 of 34 47% 8 of 22 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 19 of 27 70% 4 of 12 5 of 5 10 of 10 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 30 of 40 75% 8 of 18 11 of 11 11 of 11 21 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 4 of 11 36% 1 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 41 80% 16 of 22 6 of 8 11 of 11 31 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to …"
WIN vs Bruno Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 113 of 154 73% 222 of 274 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 65 of 91 71% 107 of 138 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 46 of 66 69% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 28 of 42 66% 28 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 43 of 58 74% 82 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 26 of 36 72% 44 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:25
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 24 of 30 80% 94 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 11 of 13 84% 35 of 40 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 113 of 154 73% 56 of 92 22 of 24 35 of 38 74 of 106 15 of 21 24 of 27
Bruno Silva 65 of 91 71% 51 of 76 6 of 7 8 of 8 35 of 56 5 of 5 25 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 46 of 66 69% 16 of 31 10 of 12 20 of 23 46 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 28 of 42 66% 20 of 33 3 of 4 5 of 5 27 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 43 of 58 74% 21 of 36 9 of 9 13 of 13 24 of 35 7 of 9 12 of 14
Bruno Silva 26 of 36 72% 20 of 30 3 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 3 15 of 18
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 24 of 30 80% 19 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 12 12 of 13
Bruno Silva 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Sharabutdin Magomedov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Magomedov (-250), Silva (+205)

Round 1
It is time for the UFC’s annual show in Abu Dhabi, and it begins early for stateside audiences. Morning mayhem is on the menu for fight fans in the Western Hemisphere, and the UFC has done its darnedest to build a card that can excite from fight no. 1 to 13. The action begins in the middleweight division between two men that crave knockouts. Making his debut with the promotion against a tough test, Magomedov (11-0, 0-0 UFC) will be taking a serious step up in competition when he battles “Blindado” Silva (23-9, 4-3 UFC). Before the fists and feet fly, referee Jason Herzog checks them in. The gloves are touched, and Magomedov swats away a few flies before engaging. Magomedov takes the center of the cage and whips a kick out low to test the waters, and Silva no-sells it and slowly walks him down. Magomedov lands another from range, but Silva is slowly backing him towards the fencing despite getting off kicks. Silva ignores a few more as he closes distance, and he paws out his foot to the waist in a single response. Silva leans over with a left hand and turns awkwardly with a heel kick to the side, but when he recovers, he cracks the Russian with two heavy punches. Silva chains a punch into a whipping low kick, and Magomedov whiffs on the leg kick reply. Magomedov nails his man with a leg kick, and Silva crowds him but gets knocked back with a few fists. Magomedov fires off a head kick out of nowhere to shock Silva, and a jump knee from “Bullet” follows to further get his attention. Silva wobbles back to the fencing, and he gathers his thoughts and bounces off it to re-engage. Silva lunges forward with punches, and he pops Magomedov at the end of them. The unbeaten fighter parries a few strikes and signals to his foe that Silva’s fingers were extended, so Silva apologizes with a glove touch offer. Magomedov nails his man with another solid kick, and when he turns around lazily, Silva sprints towards him with winging punches. As Silva turns about during an exchange, Magomedov boots “Blindado” in the groin with full force and then brings up a head kick as Silva is stung from the foul. Herzog calls the illegal blow and gives Silva time to get his thoughts, and the two get back to it. The Russian hammers Silva’s lead leg with a vicious kick that makes Silva change stances, and when Silva returns to southpaw, he attacks it again on the inside. Silva snipes Magomedov with a left hook, and Magomedov shakes it off and pins a kick to the ribcage. Magomedov stays on his bike with kicks, and Silva sits down on punches to hurt Magomedov badly. This draws a fiery brawl, and Silva lays into the heavy favorite with a flurry while Magomedov attempts to return fire with kicks. As Silva hurts Magomedov, the round ends.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves to initiate the round, and Silva is quick to pick up where he left off. Magomedov tries to keep away and uses his legs as his best weapons, with a few low kicks that set up body kicks and even a hook kick up high. Silva hammers him back with nasty punches, but the damage is starting to mount from Magomedov’s leg kicks. Magomedov lets fly a head kick that glances off the guard, and Silva keeps his wits about him and looks to line up a long right hand as Magomedov pecks and picks at him with his effective kicking game. Magomedov chains together multiple punches into a knee up the middle, and he continues bombarding Silva with kicks that land with thuds rather than slaps. Silva lunges with strikes, but he cannot quite catch Magomedov as the Russian has his preferred range. Silva checks a kick after eating a few more, and “Shara Bullet” goes up high with a hook kick. Silva times a diving takedown to take Magomedov off his feet, and he succeeds in planting his adversary on his back. Magomedov defends himself off his back by hacking with elbows, and he cuts Silva on the top of his head with them. Magomedov remains fully active from on his back, and Silva tries to get off shots but is taking damage despite being in top position. Magomedov is happy to get into a slugfest from his back, and he gets some space and smacks Silva with an upkick. Silva manages to connect with some heavy ground-and-pound as well to rip open a cut on Magomedov’s eyebrow, but Magomedov is not at all concerned by it. Silva maintains heavy top pressure and picks his moments to strike so that Magomedov cannot get to him with sneaky elbows. Silva drives home a few more punches until he gets kicked off, and Magomedov turns and whips Silva in the face with a shocker of a kick off his back. Silva blinks it out and dives back down to strike until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 3
Having reached the final round, the two men are ready for five more minutes of carnage. Magomedov reintroduces himself with a number of leg kicks, and one foot thumps into Silva’s cup. Silva tanks it so that he can charge forward, and he manages to hit a double-leg takedown in the middle of the cage to ground the Russian. Magomedov immediately spurs into action with slicing elbows, all while pushing off Silva’s chest with his feet when he can get any space. Silva lowers himself into the guard to slug Magomedov in the face with powerful, gravity-empowered punches, and he passes to half guard briefly. Magomedov keeps busy from his back, and he scoots himself to the wall in hopes of standing up. Silva cannot keep him down, and Magomedov celebrates by kneeing Silva in the face. Silva bull-rushes with a double to take the fight down, and Magomedov stuffs it and elbows Silva in the face. Silva takes every strike on the chin so that he can secure a double, and “Shara Bullet” slams the back of his head on the mat in pain. Magomedov appears stunned, and he does not attack from his back after this takedown. Herzog asks Silva to do more, as Silva is slowing down, and Silva tries to respond with some slugs on the chin. Magomedov delivers several blows despite in the disadvantageous position, and Silva shifts over to side control with 30 seconds to spare. Magomedov kicks him off, and Silva threatens one more takedown that is stuffed. Magomedov drives home one more knee up the middle, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Magomedov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)

The Official Result
Sharabutdin Magomedov def. Bruno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo is very high on Shara Magomedov, calling him a massive prospect and the next big thing. He notes Bruno Silva's power and BJJ but questions his chin after being dropped by Brendan Allen, who isn't a one-punch knockout guy. Angelo expects Shara to win by KO and mentions he has parlays including Shara. He is confident in Shara's striking and power.

Shara by KO, parlay inclusion
"Shara by KO probably a very solid bet I think he's great to Parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by second or third round knockout. He notes Magomedov is a powerful striker with all wins by KO except one decision, while Bruno Silva has looked off lately, taking heavy damage in the Pereira fight and getting dropped by lesser opponents. Brady believes Silva's durability is fading and that Magomedov will put him away.

second or third round knockout
"I think mamedov comes in here gets his first win in the UFC and does it by second or third round knockout against Bruno Silva."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov, emphasizing his striking and cardio. He notes that Silva is a first-round KO artist who fades if he doesn't finish early. Cody believes Magomedov's pace and volume will wear Silva down, leading to a late finish or decision. He acknowledges the eye issue but thinks Magomedov has adapted.

"I'm gonna go with Shara Magomedov but yeah at the same time I understand why there's value on the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, praising his dynamic kicking and clinch knees. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's power and experience, noting that Silva has 20 knockouts and could close the distance to land. However, he believes Silva's durability is waning after taking damage in recent fights, and that Magomedov's range and body attacks will be key. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and says he would not bet at these odds.

Magomedov minus 275, Silva plus 235; mentions possibility of Silva knocking out Magomedov if they trade in the pocket
"I'm gonna go with Shara in the spot but I think at plus 235 the plus 250 I think it might be a doger pass situation."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2023 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

James bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov at -225, believing there was value as the line closed at -350. He noted that Sharabutdin beat Bruno Silva brutally for three rounds, winning 30-27 on all scorecards. He acknowledged Sharabutdin's poor takedown defense and get-ups but felt his guard was solid and his striking was elite. James considered Bruno Silva a tough opponent but thought Sharabutdin would win the majority of the time.

"We actually bet on Sharabutdin Magomedov minus 225 and that closed about minus 350... minus 225 in my opinion is value all day."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Magomedov's movement and speed advantage will allow him to touch up Silva from distance, stay on his bicycle, and roll with shots. Silva's power is a threat but Magomedov's durability looks good. Expects Magomedov to win by decision, playing it safe with the jab and leg kicks.

over 1.5 rounds at -140
"I think that the movement and the speed of advantage that magov is going to have here will be enough to allow him to touch up uh Sila from distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva as a dog, citing Magomedov's lack of wrestling and his disability (one eye). He notes that Silva has fought tough competition and has power, and that Magomedov's regional tape shows he can be taken down. Paul believes Silva can make it ugly and possibly win by KO.

"I guess I'll pick Bruno Silva here I'm picking way too many dogs Cody this is not going to end well"
Antonio Trócoli - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mantas Kondratavičius 1 75 of 107 70% 135 of 177 2 of 4 50% 1 0 6:06
Antonio Trócoli 0 17 of 39 43% 29 of 54 1 of 12 8% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 28 of 42 66% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 14 42% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 1 39 of 47 82% 73 of 88 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 5 of 10 50% 7 of 12 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 8 of 18 44% 21 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 15 40% 13 of 23 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mantas Kondratavičius 75 of 107 70% 61 of 93 14 of 14 0 of 0 42 of 68 17 of 19 16 of 20
Antonio Trócoli 17 of 39 43% 10 of 28 3 of 7 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 28 of 42 66% 19 of 33 9 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 14 42% 2 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 39 of 47 82% 35 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 22 7 of 7 16 of 18
Antonio Trócoli 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 2
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 15 40% 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

"I think Mantis is going to run through him here. He's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Mantas Kondratavičius by first-round KO
"Contra Vicious probably knocks this guy out in the first round. He should knock this guy out in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

"I do have Montasis to uh you clip him with something eventually and put him down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"Yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

"Down goes Tracoli and Montas gets his arm raised and a performance of the night bonus."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

"I think he knocks him out in the first round. Maybe chokes him out."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

"It would be crazy to bet an unknown like Mantas, but yeah, it's another one of those fights where you just don't have a whole lot of information."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

Mantas Kondratavičius by KO, round 1
"It should be a round one finish for Mantas in my opinion."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

under 1.5 rounds (-210), Mantas win in round 1 (+115), Mantas win by KO in round 1 (+185)
"Antonio Truckley versus Mantas Contrativicius under one and a half rounds at odds of minus 210."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Round one prop at +115
"I'm going to go with the Lithuanian here to make short work of Antonio Tralli. I'd rather take the round one prop than his money line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

"I think he's going to catch Trolley at some point and put him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Mantas early first or second round finish. I'd say first round finish for Mantas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"So yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."
LOSS vs Tresean Gore
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:23 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Angelo is baffled that Tresean Gore is nearly a 2-to-1 favorite given he hasn't fought in two years and has only six professional fights. He sees Trócoli as bigger, more skilled, more experienced, and better trained. He also notes Trócoli's length and aggressive grappling as key advantages. He has placed a half-unit bet on Trócoli at +145.

half unit bet at +145
"Antonio troli is the pick he's bigger he's more skilled he's more experienced he's better trained he has the hotter girlfriend literally everything I have a half a unit on him at Plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Big Brady is not high on either fighter but gives Gore the edge due to takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Gore's low volume and overrated power as concerns, but believes Gore's higher ceiling and ability to keep the fight standing will lead to a decision win. He expects the fight to be unexciting.

Gore by decision
"give me Gore here to win this fight probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Cody reluctantly picks Gore, noting both fighters are inactive and unproven. He gives Gore the edge in athleticism and upside, but admits it's a narrative-based pick. Cody expects a messy fight and advises against betting it.

"If you're a smart guy just don't even bet on this crap altogether but if you're chasing an underdog I suppose troli has a chance and if you got a gun to my head and you're telling me to take …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Connor picks Trócoli hesitantly, noting Gore has been out for two years with injuries and got outstruck by Cody Brundage. He thinks Trócoli will blitz early and if Gore can't handle it, Trócoli wins. Connor acknowledges Trócoli is bad but believes Gore's inactivity and lack of proven ability make Trócoli the pick.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Connor says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Daniel Vreeland picks Tresean Gore despite concerns about his inactivity and mental toughness. He notes Gore's athletic gifts and finishing ability, while criticizing Antonio Trócoli's lack of development and athletic disadvantage. Vreeland worries Gore might pull a stunt but believes he has more potential and skills.

"I'll go Tre Shawn but you know do I sound confident?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tresean Gore

Gore is favored due to his speed, explosivity, and power. The pick expects him to land big shots on Trócoli and find a knockout within two rounds.

wins inside distance, round 1-2
"I'm going to have to lean with the speed explosivity and power of the Tron gors side to land Big Shots Onre coli and find that knockout within two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Paul is not confident in either fighter. He notes Trócoli's poor striking defense and Gore's inactivity. He prefers betting on a finish rather than picking a winner, suggesting the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds
"Rather than aide I'm more interested in betting for somebody to get a finish in the first two and or first 12 and a half minutes of this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

The Guru picks Tresean Gore but is hesitant due to Gore's KO loss to Cody Brundage. He criticizes Antonio Trócoli as 'dog [__]' with no offensive output. He believes Gore can chew up Trócoli's legs and get a TKO, but worries about Gore being outgrappled.

TKO win
"I'm going to go with Tre sha Gore he could be outg grappled here maybe but as long as this fight's on the feet I see Gore chewing up his legs and eventually getting a TKO win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Zane picks Trócoli, agreeing with Connor. He describes Trócoli as an Instagram model who will sprint at Gore and either wreck him or self-destruct. Zane notes Gore has only six pro fights in a decade and has been injured. He thinks Trócoli's early blitz could overwhelm Gore, but acknowledges Trócoli's limitations.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Zane says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
TKO (knee and punches) R3 2:27 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 82 of 108 75% 108 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 77 0 of 7 0% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 19 of 27 70% 39 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 12 of 17 70% 26 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:05
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 30 of 40 75% 36 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 4 of 11 36% 13 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 33 of 41 80% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 82 of 108 75% 28 of 52 22 of 24 32 of 32 69 of 94 13 of 14 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 16 of 34 47% 8 of 22 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 19 of 27 70% 4 of 12 5 of 5 10 of 10 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 30 of 40 75% 8 of 18 11 of 11 11 of 11 21 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 4 of 11 36% 1 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 41 80% 16 of 22 6 of 8 11 of 11 31 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to …"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to suggest that sharah would lose this one."