vs
-160 +150
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 9"
Reach 73"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Muin Gafurov
3.36 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
2.51 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.57 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kyung Ho Kang
3.13 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
3.32 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.97 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Muin Gafurov
Moneyline
Caesars -160
KO/TKO
BetWay +350
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
BetRivers +188
Kyung Ho Kang
Moneyline
DraftKings +150
KO/TKO
BetMGM +1400
Submission
FanDuel +700
Decision
BetRivers +275
Muin Gafurov - Fight History
LOSS vs Jakub Wiklacz
Submission R3 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muin Gafurov 0 79 of 158 50% 92 of 174 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:44
Jakub Wiklacz 0 56 of 148 37% 97 of 193 0 of 0 --- 2 2 4:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muin Gafurov 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Jakub Wiklacz 0 27 of 67 40% 30 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Muin Gafurov 0 2 of 5 40% 11 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
Jakub Wiklacz 0 7 of 11 63% 45 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 1 4:19
3 Muin Gafurov 0 50 of 92 54% 54 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Jakub Wiklacz 0 22 of 70 31% 22 of 71 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muin Gafurov 79 of 158 50% 43 of 110 34 of 43 2 of 5 68 of 144 11 of 14 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 56 of 148 37% 23 of 89 32 of 56 1 of 3 44 of 133 7 of 9 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muin Gafurov 27 of 61 44% 17 of 47 9 of 11 1 of 3 21 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 27 of 67 40% 9 of 41 17 of 24 1 of 2 24 of 63 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Muin Gafurov 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 7 of 11 63% 3 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6
3 Muin Gafurov 50 of 92 54% 25 of 60 24 of 30 1 of 2 45 of 86 5 of 6 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 22 of 70 31% 11 of 42 11 of 27 0 of 1 18 of 65 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, expressing confusion that 81% of Tapology voters picked Jakub Wikłacz. He describes Gafurov as an aggressive Tajik wrestler with good skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wikłacz is a nasty grappler but reckless, and in his last fight against Patchy Mix, he had no offensive wrestling success and poor wrestling defense. He thinks Gafurov hits hard and can wrestle, making this a straightforward win for him.

"I think Muin wins this fight. I don't know what I'm missing here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov, noting that Gafurov is a well-rounded fighter who is a much better striker than Wikłacz. He believes Wikłacz needs to get the fight to the ground to win, but that will be difficult against Gafurov's wrestling and grappling. He expects Gafurov to win by decision.

by decision
"I like Gaffrov... I'm still going Gaffrov. I'm going to go Gaffrov to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Cody also picks Wikłacz, highlighting his experience in five-round fights and ability to scramble. He notes Gafurov's one-dimensional wrestling and poor cardio. Cody expects Wikłacz to win a decision, possibly a split.

"Give me the Polish power. Get the job done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Connor also picks Wiklacz, noting that Gafurov doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of a fight. He points out that Wiklacz is a solid, scrappy fighter who won't drift through the fight, unlike some of Gafurov's previous opponents. Connor expects a close fight but favors Wiklacz.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I'll take Vic Watch as well. I think Gaffer does not really have the ability to, he doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of any fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Lucrative James leans toward Muin Gafurov to win, citing his power and wrestling advantage. However, he is not confident because Gafurov can make poor decisions, like diving into submissions. James notes that Wikłacz is dangerous with submissions, so this is a close fight.

"I'm going to lean with Gaffarov just because on paper, he can win this fight if he comes in with good fight IQ and good game plan."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Wikłacz, liking the plus money. He believes Wikłacz's height and reach advantage will allow him to stick Gafurov from distance, and that Gafurov's desperation takedowns will play into Wikłacz's submission game, particularly his guillotine. He notes Wikłacz is a solid submission specialist with a good kicking game and active submission threats, and that Gafurov has shown vulnerabilities to submissions in the past.

submission win
"I got to go with the poll here. I like that we're getting plus money on him right off the bat here. So, I'm going to go Yakov Vicwatch and I think he gets the submission win over Muen Gaffrov."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Paul picks Jakub Wikłacz, citing his superior volume and cardio. He notes Gafurov's low output and tendency to tire. Paul expects Wikłacz to take over in later rounds and win a decision, especially with judges favoring damage.

"I think I'm going to take Yakob White Claus again. He's plus money and he just cashes plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Jakub Wikłacz (referred to as Youssef Wehbe, likely a mistake) over Muin Gafurov. He thinks Wikłacz is a decent prospect with submission ability and can get the better of grappling positions. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds.

submission in first two rounds
"I'm going to say that Youssef Wehbe gets a submission in the first two rounds over Muin Gafurov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Zane leans toward Wiklacz, noting that he is a big bantamweight who can make Gafurov's control difficult and will scrap the whole time. He believes Wiklacz is more likely to be scrapping consistently, while Gafurov doesn't make full use of his athletic ability. Zane expects a close fight.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I think I'm going to take Vic Wash. Yeah. I'm leading that way myself that he can just with his size as a pretty big Bantam weight. Yep. He can make a lot of the control stuff that Gaffer would …"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muin Gafurov 0 31 of 73 42% 39 of 82 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:41
Rinya Nakamura 1 37 of 90 41% 73 of 130 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muin Gafurov 0 10 of 24 41% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rinya Nakamura 0 12 of 29 41% 42 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
2 Muin Gafurov 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rinya Nakamura 1 14 of 32 43% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
3 Muin Gafurov 0 12 of 25 48% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:41
Rinya Nakamura 0 11 of 29 37% 14 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muin Gafurov 31 of 73 42% 10 of 44 8 of 9 13 of 20 28 of 70 3 of 3 0 of 0
Rinya Nakamura 37 of 90 41% 20 of 65 9 of 12 8 of 13 32 of 76 4 of 7 1 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muin Gafurov 10 of 24 41% 0 of 8 3 of 4 7 of 12 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rinya Nakamura 12 of 29 41% 6 of 21 3 of 4 3 of 4 11 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 6
2 Muin Gafurov 9 of 24 37% 5 of 18 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Rinya Nakamura 14 of 32 43% 10 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 4 10 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 1
3 Muin Gafurov 12 of 25 48% 5 of 18 4 of 4 3 of 3 11 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rinya Nakamura 11 of 29 37% 4 of 19 4 of 5 3 of 5 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Angelo is very confident in Rinya Nakamura, highlighting his high-level wrestling, power, and the fact that Muin Gafurov was taken down three times by Kyung Ho Kang. He believes Nakamura's wrestling advantage will be decisive and that the -400 price is justified, unlike other favorites on the card.

"Rena Nakamura is the very confident pick he absolutely gets this done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Cody picks Rinya Nakamura confidently, viewing him as a top prospect. He highlights Nakamura's Olympic-level wrestling, fluid transitions, and improving striking. Cody notes that Gafurov has poor takedown defense and tends to gas, as seen against John Castaneda. Nakamura's wrestling and cardio should be too much. Cody expects Nakamura to take Gafurov down repeatedly and control the fight, possibly earning a finish. Nakamura is part of the Saftic Super Boost.

Mentions submission prop at +575 as a possibility, but not a strong play.
"renho is at the top I I would put Rena right at the top which you most definitely can if you just want to be a little conservative then that's the move"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Daniel picks Nakamura, citing his physicality, strong grappling, and good hands. He notes that Gafurov is well-rounded but lacks athleticism and can be out-hustled. Daniel expects a competitive decision but thinks Nakamura grinds out the win. He is not betting due to the high price.

Daniel says it's a favor to pass situation. He expects Nakamura to grind out a decision.
"I'm gonna take the big favorite here but I do think it could be a competitive decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

The host sees Nakamura as the future of the division, praising his wrestling, chain wrestling, and knockout power. He expects Nakamura to use a combination of those traits to win a decision over Gafurov.

"I think Nakamura is the future of this Division and his wrestling obviously allows him to stay safe in most positions he chain wrestles very well he knows when to implement it and he has huge knockout power I expect …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Nakamura. He notes that Gafurov has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and that Nakamura's wrestling pedigree is elite. Paul believes Nakamura will find takedowns early and often, banking control time. He also mentions that a submission is possible but not guaranteed. Nakamura is a solid parlay piece for Paul.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"I like I like Rena as well with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

The MMA Guru picks Rinya Nakamura but expresses hesitation. He worries about Nakamura's wrestling-heavy style that may not translate to finishes in MMA, similar to Raul Rosas Jr. However, he notes that Muin Gafurov is 'fat and terrible' and that Nakamura has dangerous stand-up with pop on his punches. He also likes that Nakamura had time off to fix issues and expects him to come in good form.

"I'm going to go over R Nakamura I do worry that we are going to see a bit of a more Asian version of a Ral rosis Jr fraud check"
WIN vs Kyung Ho Kang
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muin Gafurov 0 12 of 35 34% 119 of 152 3 of 11 27% 0 0 4:56
Kyung Ho Kang 0 47 of 71 66% 110 of 144 1 of 3 33% 0 1 6:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muin Gafurov 0 3 of 11 27% 43 of 52 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:39
Kyung Ho Kang 0 15 of 21 71% 44 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
2 Muin Gafurov 0 9 of 16 56% 40 of 49 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Kyung Ho Kang 0 22 of 33 66% 40 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:09
3 Muin Gafurov 0 0 of 8 0% 36 of 51 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:23
Kyung Ho Kang 0 10 of 17 58% 26 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muin Gafurov 12 of 35 34% 8 of 28 2 of 4 2 of 3 11 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 47 of 71 66% 27 of 45 10 of 14 10 of 12 25 of 47 6 of 6 16 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muin Gafurov 3 of 11 27% 0 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 15 of 21 71% 10 of 14 2 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 8 of 8
2 Muin Gafurov 9 of 16 56% 8 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 22 of 33 66% 9 of 17 6 of 8 7 of 8 13 of 24 4 of 4 5 of 5
3 Muin Gafurov 0 of 8 0% 0 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 10 of 17 58% 8 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 1 5 of 10 2 of 2 3 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, noting he was winless in the UFC but has the wrestling and durability to win. He worries about Muin's willingness to brawl because Kang has power, but thinks Muin's wrestling and durability will work for him. He regrets not betting Muin when he was -110 instead of the current -160. He also mentions a potential takedown prop bet on Muin.

Considering takedown prop; mentioned DraftKings takedown lines
"I do think muin wins this fight he is going to be the pick and I'm wishing I placed a bet on him when I saw him at minus1 10"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov despite his recent struggles, citing his youth and activity advantage. He expects the fight to go to a close decision, with Gafurov landing the better and harder strikes. Brady acknowledges Gafurov's chin issues and Kang's toughness, but believes Gafurov's volume and power will edge him the win.

"I'm going to take mu Gaff who's younger I think he's going to be more active I think he's going to be landing the better strikes the harder strikes give me mu Gaff to win this fight by very close …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang, citing his superior cardio, grappling, and striking. He notes Gafurov's tendency to gas and lack of finishing ability. Kang's ability to get back up and outwork opponents in later rounds is key. He expects a decision win.

"I see the slight plus money uh for killo Kang and I agree with it I think he's an excellent pick"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muin Gafurov to win a hard-fought decision, citing his higher pace and skill set. He notes Kang's experience and durability but believes Gafurov's pressure will be too much. He is concerned about Gafurov's cardio and chin but thinks he can outwork Kang.

"I'm G pick Gaff via a hardfought decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Jacob likes Muin but is not confident enough to bet him. He notes Muin has bigger moments and power, but worries about Kang's sneaky submissions. He recalls Muin's predictable guillotine loss to Silva and thinks Kang could catch him similarly. Jacob wants to see Muin get a win before betting him, especially against a guy who can be sneaky good like Kang.

"I like muin here but I don't love it man... I need him to win before I'm betting him at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

JP dismisses this fight as a 'poop Bowl' and says he won't bet on it, but he leans toward Gafurov as a toss-up. Brevan agrees, calling it a boring fight and advising viewers to skip it. He notes Gafurov's wrestling base and susceptibility to guillotines, but Kang's lack of guillotine wins makes that less of a threat. Both are unenthusiastic and avoid a strong pick.

"I'll go for muine gabov probably but this is one where I'm just both of them are cheeks"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Paul picks Kang, noting his durability and pace. He believes Gafurov's cardio issues will be exploited and that Kang can force a hard 15 minutes. He likes the plus money on Kang.

"it's got to be Mr perfect for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

The MMA Guru picks Kyung Ho Kang over Muin Gafurov, citing Kang's talent and reach advantage. He criticizes Gafurov's body type and competition level, noting that Gafurov lost to Christian Quinones on the Contender Series. He believes Kang's takedown defense and striking at range will be key, and that he will sting Gafurov as the fight goes on. He predicts a 2-1 decision for Kang.

"I'm going to go Kung Hyo Kang here over mu gafarov maybe I'm off on this but I've got another feeling about this matchup I think gafarov is like who invited this guy."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:13 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Muin Gafurov 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Muin Gafurov 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 5 of 11 45% 2 of 7 2 of 2 1 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Muin Gafurov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 5 of 11 45% 2 of 7 2 of 2 1 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Muin Gafurov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Said Nurmagomedov but fades the bet. He notes Gafurov's wrestling could be a problem, as seen when Kakhramonov dominated Said with takedowns. However, he thinks Gafurov might get sucked into a brawl, where Said's striking will prevail. He is wary of the clear path to beat Said via wrestling.

fade the bet
"s marov is going to be the pick here but again this is another fight that could just be sort of a trap"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov to win by second round submission. He notes that Gafurov is reckless, gets hurt often, and has a questionable chin, while Nurmagomedov has power and a dangerous guillotine. Brady expects Nurmagomedov to hurt Gafurov on the feet, then snatch a submission when Gafurov shoots for a takedown.

second round submission
"see meide her magedov to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Nurmagomedov, emphasizing his well-rounded skills and ability to mix striking with wrestling. He notes that Gafurov gasses out and has been out-struck by lesser opponents, while Nurmagomedov has better speed, volume, and wrestling. Cody expects Nurmagomedov to drown Gafurov in deeper waters and win a decision or late finish.

"I like Said quite a bit so again here's no actual relation to Khabib Nurmagomedov but he's rocking that last name and he's trying to do them proud"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Daniel picks Said Nurmagomedov to win, citing his length, explosiveness, and dynamic kicking style. He notes that Nurmagomedov has a gas tank issue due to his explosive style but believes he is on a different level than Gafurov. He respects Gafurov's heart and well-roundedness but thinks the athleticism and size disparity will be too much. He expects Nurmagomedov to win a decision but says Gafurov could raise his stock in defeat.

Nurmagomedov minus 205, Gafurov plus 175; mentions possibility of decision
"My pick is s Nago medov um I think the length the explosiveness is going to be a little bit too much for gaffo."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Nurmagomedov lacks output and assertiveness, relying on spectacular finishes. Gafurov has good forward movement, volume, and a wrestling game. He can set the pace and manage his gas tank better. As long as Gafurov doesn't get caught in a choke or knocked out, he can win by decision. He is a solid underdog spot.

"I think he could be a solid Underdog spot here against Nar goov"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Paul picks Nurmagomedov, citing his diverse striking, high fight IQ, and ability to adapt. He notes that Gafurov has poor cardio and has struggled against lower-level competition, while Nurmagomedov has shown he can compete with top bantamweights. Paul expects Nurmagomedov to use his speed and wrestling to outwork Gafurov, likely winning a decision.

Said by decision (+230)
"I think Said by decision is how I would approach this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru calls this a mismatch and picks Said Nurmagomedov. He notes that Gafurov lost to John Castaneda and Chad Anheliger, while Nurmagomedov had a close fight with Jonathan Martinez, who is very good. He believes Nurmagomedov is top-15 level and has higher finishing potential.

"I think this is an absolute mismatch I don't know why they've done this one"
LOSS vs John Castañeda
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Castañeda 1 40 of 88 45% 70 of 121 3 of 6 50% 0 0 4:16
Muin Gafurov 0 61 of 157 38% 93 of 204 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Castañeda 1 18 of 32 56% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Muin Gafurov 0 21 of 44 47% 21 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:11
2 John Castañeda 0 15 of 40 37% 25 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:40
Muin Gafurov 0 29 of 86 33% 44 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:14
3 John Castañeda 0 7 of 16 43% 20 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:45
Muin Gafurov 0 11 of 27 40% 28 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Castañeda 40 of 88 45% 30 of 73 4 of 8 6 of 7 37 of 83 1 of 2 2 of 3
Muin Gafurov 61 of 157 38% 45 of 135 11 of 16 5 of 6 47 of 132 14 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Castañeda 18 of 32 56% 11 of 21 2 of 5 5 of 6 16 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 3
Muin Gafurov 21 of 44 47% 14 of 33 4 of 7 3 of 4 17 of 37 4 of 7 0 of 0
2 John Castañeda 15 of 40 37% 14 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Muin Gafurov 29 of 86 33% 23 of 78 5 of 7 1 of 1 20 of 71 9 of 15 0 of 0
3 John Castañeda 7 of 16 43% 5 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Muin Gafurov 11 of 27 40% 8 of 24 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 24 1 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
John Castaneda vs. Muin Gafurov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: N/A

Round 1
An action-packed bantamweight clash should treat fans next, as “Sexi Mexi” Castaneda (19-6, 2-2 UFC) collides with Tajikistani newcomer Gafurov (18-4, 0-0 UFC). The latter will hope to end the night with a sweep for his country, and he brings with him a 94% stoppage rate to keep the American on his toes. Referee Chris Tognoni will need to similarly be ready for anything, and he appears prepared as the fighters clap hands together. Gafurov is the first one to strike, potentially energized by his countryman getting his hand raised moments ago. He swings his way into an engagement, and Castaneda slides out of the way and avoids the brunt of the danger. Castaneda slides to his side, and Gafurov gives chase and goes after a takedown. “Sexi Mexi” escapes it and absorbs a body kick on the way out, and he tries to reply with one of his own. Gafurov wings a right hand over the top to get his foe’s attention, and he connects partially with an axe kick and a spinning wheel kick that give Castaneda pause. Castaneda sticks out a straight left hand to snap the head back, and he chips at the lead calf with a kick. Castaneda has a kick caught, and Gafurov lifts it up high and tries to take the fight down, but cannot. Castaneda evades the lunging, winging strikes whizzing at him, and he bats away a spinning back kick aimed at his midsection. Castaneda gets in another straight punch to redden the nose, and he sends the shin upside the head. Straight lefts from Castaneda continue to find their home cleanly, further disrupting the ultra-aggressive Gafurov. “Tajik” ducks down with a right hand, and Castaneda replies with a high kick that rings Gafurov’s bell. Castaneda bowls his man over with a series of punches, having hurt Gafurov with the kick, but he cannot keep him there. Gafurov works his way up, the two wildly scramble, and they return to space to strike. The Tajikistan-based fighter scores a body kick and bullies Castaneda back to the wall to unload with several punches to the body before Castaneda can get out. Gafurov swings and misses before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda

Round 2
The bantamweights touch gloves to re-introduce themselves to one another, and Gafurov appears to have fully recovered from the knockdown. Gafurov is fired up, and he chases Castaneda around the cage throwing everything he has at him. The two clash heads, but Tognoni does it see it even as Gafurov protests. This leads to Gafurov getting angry, and he wants to make Castaneda pay for this transgression and swings for the bleachers again and again. Gafurov sweeps the leg with a calf kick, and Castaneda pops back up and uses a body lock to drag “Tajik” to the mat. Castaneda takes the back during a scramble, and he latches on to a rear-naked choke and slides the arm under the chin. Gafurov stands back up and shakes Castaneda off, and he gets up and begins drilling Castaneda with an onslaught of punches. As Gafurov is advancing, he gets tagged, and he races ahead and ends up headbutting Castaneda squarely on the chin. Tognoni pauses the action, and he deducts one point from Gafurov for what he determines to be an intentional headbutt and not an incidental head clash, with Gafurov leading with his head ducked . Castaneda takes the time he needs to recover from the foul, and when they resume, Gafurov is ready to engage and lash out any way he can. Gafurov drives forward with strikes, and ends up pursuing a takedown that he secures briefly. Castaneda rolls to his knees and powers his way back up, and Gafurov is on him with a front kick to the body and a few punches. Castaneda is giving it as much as he is receiving, but he is not swinging as wildly and reckless as his opponent. Gafurov throws everything he has into his punches, and Castaneda counters him cleanly and staggers the Tajikistani fighter. Castaneda elects to crash forward for a low takedown by the ankles, and Gafurov fights it off by grabbing the fence. The round ends with the two tied up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 9-9
Tyler Treese scores the round: 9-9

Round 3
Tognoni sternly warns Gafurov through the interpreter between rounds, as heads have bumped together repeatedly through this match. When they begin fighting, Gafurov leads off with a low kick that nearly sweeps the leg, and Castaneda recovers and leans back from a looping left hand. Gafurov recklessly pursues a takedown, and Castaneda escapes it and returns to his feet where he belts Gafurov with a right hand and a left to follow. Gafurov replies with a body kick, and Castaneda is pressing the action while Gafurov is just throwing with overhands that largely do not land. Castaneda clinches up and has his ear slapped a few times, and he spins with a back elbow on the break. Gafurov shakes it off and eats a body kick, but he is not faltering in spamming wide-arced hooks. Castaneda ducks them and ties his man up again, and Gafurov signals to Tognoni that he was the victim of a headbutt or some clash. When he is paying attention to the referee, he does not keep his balance, as Castaneda slings him to the floor. Castaneda stacks his man up until Gafurov turns to his knees and partially gives his back up. Gafurov tugs the fence a few times to pull himself upright, and Castaneda is doggedly pursuing the takedown as Gafurov appears to be fading. Castaneda lifts Gafurov up, and Gafurov grabs the cage with both hands to stop the takedown from succeeding. Castaneda exerts enough energy for a second attempt, and this time, Gafurov is not able to foul his way to remain on his feet. When Gafurov lowers to his knees, Castaneda searches for a rear-naked choke. Time expires before anything can come of it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (29-27 Castaneda)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (29-27 Castaneda)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (29-27 Castaneda)

The Official Result
John Castaneda def. Muin Gafurov via Unanimous Decision (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Angelo has a very slight lean to Castañeda due to Gafurov being on short notice. He notes Castañeda's forward pressure and D2 wrestling, but is concerned about his takedown defense (60%). He acknowledges Gafurov is a savage with power and good wrestling, but the short notice gives Castañeda the edge. Angelo also has a plus money bet on Gafurov, contradicting his lean.

Has a plus money bet on Gafurov.
"very very slight lean for Castaneda because of the short notice but I do have a plus money bet at plus one oh my God I forgot that you did"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Cody agrees with Paul, noting Gafurov's cardio problems and that he missed weight on Contender Series. He thinks Gafurov on a week's notice is likely to gas out and that Castañeda's wrestling and cardio are better. Cody also mentions Gafurov's weight cut issues and advises caution.

"yeah that all makes sense to me you got my vote"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
John Castañeda

Connor also picks Castañeda, agreeing with Zane that the short notice factor is significant. He notes that Gafurov's pressure and wrestling are a good stylistic matchup against Castañeda, but questions whether Gafurov can be effective without proper preparation. Connor sees Castañeda as a tough, busy counter-striker who can handle a slower-paced fight if Gafurov fades.

"I'll take castaneda as well, but it is it is kind of an x factor pick"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Daniel explains he bet Gafurov at plus money, citing Castañeda's extremely low output (never over 60 strikes in a UFC fight). He believes Gafurov's pace and wrestling will overwhelm Castañeda, and that Gafurov has improved since his Contender Series loss, where he was sick and on short notice. He sees this as a value play at underdog odds.

"I actually took gafferov earlier today on Pinnacle and it was not plus 115 it was plus one fourth plus 114"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Jacob picks Gafurov, believing he can outwork Castañeda with takedowns and power. He notes Gafurov has been training and staying ready, and his LFA fights showed improved conditioning. Jacob thinks Gafurov's body work and power will break down Castañeda, who got tired in his last fight. He is not concerned about short notice because Gafurov has been preparing for this opportunity.

"I think Moen just kind of grinds him gets the takedowns maybe finds him a big shot on the feet but I think he pulls out this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Gafurov is an improved striker who blends takedowns well. Castañeda is solid but struggles with forward pressure and power. Gafurov's relentless style and improved striking will allow him to win a decision. He is a slight underdog and one of the better dogs on the card.

"I'm going to lean with him in this matchup I know he's the slight Underdog here and I think he is probably one of the better underdogs on this card"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Paul picks Castañeda, citing Gafurov's cardio issues and weight cut problems on short notice. He notes Gafurov is strong early but fades, and that Castañeda has decent wrestling and power. Paul advises waiting for weigh-ins due to Gafurov's history of missing weight. He thinks Castañeda can survive the early onslaught and take over later.

"I'm going to take John castanata but 100 keeping my eye on weigh-ins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

The MMA Guru picks Muin Gafurov over John Castañeda, citing Castañeda coming off a brutal KO loss. He notes Gafurov's experience at a high level, including a close split decision loss to Chad Anheliger (decided by a big knockdown) and a loss to John Lineker. Gafurov is on a two-fight finish streak and has fought in UAE Warriors and ONE Championship. The Guru acknowledges Gafurov took the fight on short notice but still thinks he gets the win.

"I'm gonna have to go with gaffarov over John Castaneda just because John Castaneda... coming off a brutal KO loss"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
John Castañeda

Zane picks Castañeda primarily due to Gafurov taking the fight on short notice, which raises questions about his conditioning and preparation. He acknowledges that Gafurov's wrestling and pressure could work well against Castañeda, who tends to let opponents set the pace. However, Zane is unsure if Gafurov can maintain his output without a full camp, and leans toward Castañeda's durability and ability to outwork a fading opponent.

"I think I should just pick castaneda for the short notice"
Kyung Ho Kang - Fight History
LOSS vs Muin Gafurov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muin Gafurov 0 12 of 35 34% 119 of 152 3 of 11 27% 0 0 4:56
Kyung Ho Kang 0 47 of 71 66% 110 of 144 1 of 3 33% 0 1 6:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muin Gafurov 0 3 of 11 27% 43 of 52 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:39
Kyung Ho Kang 0 15 of 21 71% 44 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
2 Muin Gafurov 0 9 of 16 56% 40 of 49 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
Kyung Ho Kang 0 22 of 33 66% 40 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:09
3 Muin Gafurov 0 0 of 8 0% 36 of 51 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:23
Kyung Ho Kang 0 10 of 17 58% 26 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muin Gafurov 12 of 35 34% 8 of 28 2 of 4 2 of 3 11 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 47 of 71 66% 27 of 45 10 of 14 10 of 12 25 of 47 6 of 6 16 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muin Gafurov 3 of 11 27% 0 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 15 of 21 71% 10 of 14 2 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 8 of 8
2 Muin Gafurov 9 of 16 56% 8 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 22 of 33 66% 9 of 17 6 of 8 7 of 8 13 of 24 4 of 4 5 of 5
3 Muin Gafurov 0 of 8 0% 0 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 10 of 17 58% 8 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 1 5 of 10 2 of 2 3 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, noting he was winless in the UFC but has the wrestling and durability to win. He worries about Muin's willingness to brawl because Kang has power, but thinks Muin's wrestling and durability will work for him. He regrets not betting Muin when he was -110 instead of the current -160. He also mentions a potential takedown prop bet on Muin.

Considering takedown prop; mentioned DraftKings takedown lines
"I do think muin wins this fight he is going to be the pick and I'm wishing I placed a bet on him when I saw him at minus1 10"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov despite his recent struggles, citing his youth and activity advantage. He expects the fight to go to a close decision, with Gafurov landing the better and harder strikes. Brady acknowledges Gafurov's chin issues and Kang's toughness, but believes Gafurov's volume and power will edge him the win.

"I'm going to take mu Gaff who's younger I think he's going to be more active I think he's going to be landing the better strikes the harder strikes give me mu Gaff to win this fight by very close …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang, citing his superior cardio, grappling, and striking. He notes Gafurov's tendency to gas and lack of finishing ability. Kang's ability to get back up and outwork opponents in later rounds is key. He expects a decision win.

"I see the slight plus money uh for killo Kang and I agree with it I think he's an excellent pick"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muin Gafurov to win a hard-fought decision, citing his higher pace and skill set. He notes Kang's experience and durability but believes Gafurov's pressure will be too much. He is concerned about Gafurov's cardio and chin but thinks he can outwork Kang.

"I'm G pick Gaff via a hardfought decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Jacob likes Muin but is not confident enough to bet him. He notes Muin has bigger moments and power, but worries about Kang's sneaky submissions. He recalls Muin's predictable guillotine loss to Silva and thinks Kang could catch him similarly. Jacob wants to see Muin get a win before betting him, especially against a guy who can be sneaky good like Kang.

"I like muin here but I don't love it man... I need him to win before I'm betting him at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

JP dismisses this fight as a 'poop Bowl' and says he won't bet on it, but he leans toward Gafurov as a toss-up. Brevan agrees, calling it a boring fight and advising viewers to skip it. He notes Gafurov's wrestling base and susceptibility to guillotines, but Kang's lack of guillotine wins makes that less of a threat. Both are unenthusiastic and avoid a strong pick.

"I'll go for muine gabov probably but this is one where I'm just both of them are cheeks"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Paul picks Kang, noting his durability and pace. He believes Gafurov's cardio issues will be exploited and that Kang can force a hard 15 minutes. He likes the plus money on Kang.

"it's got to be Mr perfect for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

The MMA Guru picks Kyung Ho Kang over Muin Gafurov, citing Kang's talent and reach advantage. He criticizes Gafurov's body type and competition level, noting that Gafurov lost to Christian Quinones on the Contender Series. He believes Kang's takedown defense and striking at range will be key, and that he will sting Gafurov as the fight goes on. He predicts a 2-1 decision for Kang.

"I'm going to go Kung Hyo Kang here over mu gafarov maybe I'm off on this but I've got another feeling about this matchup I think gafarov is like who invited this guy."
LOSS vs John Castañeda
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Castañeda 0 111 of 179 62% 119 of 187 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:18
Kyung Ho Kang 0 88 of 202 43% 88 of 203 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Castañeda 0 33 of 51 64% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kyung Ho Kang 0 18 of 40 45% 18 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 John Castañeda 0 38 of 64 59% 39 of 65 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
Kyung Ho Kang 0 30 of 81 37% 30 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 John Castañeda 0 40 of 64 62% 47 of 71 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:23
Kyung Ho Kang 0 40 of 81 49% 40 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Castañeda 111 of 179 62% 47 of 103 30 of 39 34 of 37 109 of 176 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 88 of 202 43% 59 of 170 17 of 19 12 of 13 82 of 194 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Castañeda 33 of 51 64% 6 of 18 10 of 13 17 of 20 33 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 18 of 40 45% 12 of 33 5 of 5 1 of 2 18 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 John Castañeda 38 of 64 59% 21 of 44 10 of 13 7 of 7 37 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 30 of 81 37% 18 of 67 6 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 John Castañeda 40 of 64 62% 20 of 41 10 of 13 10 of 10 39 of 62 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 40 of 81 49% 29 of 70 6 of 6 5 of 5 36 of 75 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
John Castaneda vs. Kyung Ho Kang
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Castaneda (-142), Kang (+120)

Round 1
Even if South Korea’s “Mr. Perfect” Kang (19-9, 1 NC; 8-3, 1 NC UFC) has not been perfect as a member of the UFC roster, his pattern of three wins followed by a defeat has held perfectly for the last decade. Should this continue, it would mean a victory over Castaneda (20-6, 3-2 UFC) tonight. Due to this pairing coming together on late notice, it will be contested at a catchweight of 138 pounds, and neither mad had a problem with the scales ahead of time. Prior to the action, a touch of gloves is shared, and referee Dan Miragliotta is on standby. Kang stays light on his feet early to hops back to avoid a low kick, and he jabs with the ball of his foot to Castaneda’s chest. Castaneda responds with a quick leg kick, and Kang crowds him and looks to corner him. The South Korean fighter sits down on a body kick, and he springs away from a counter. Castaneda gives him a body kick back, but he does get countered before he can get away. Castaneda starts to chew up the lead wheel with a plethora of calf kicks, and he whips a kick to the side that makes Kang grimace. Castaneda spins with a back kick to the body as well, with very few strikes aimed up high early. Castaneda jabs the head and body, and he gets driven back with a straight right hand. Castaneda goes body and leg with a punch and a kick, and Kang ignores the strikes and continues to walk him down. Castaneda just misses with a right hand as Kang closes in, and he keeps chipping at the inside and outside of Kang’s left leg. Castaneda jabs the body and slides to the side, and he brings his shin high to bang into Kang’s raised guard. Kang checks a kick as he plods forward, and he belts Castaneda in the midsection with his own foot. Castaneda doubles up on leg kicks and spins with a heel to the ribs, and he surprises Kang with a left hand. Castaneda does not slow down kicking the front leg, and he wades through a few strikes to sit down on a right hand. Kang counters with a clean straight right, and he finds his target with a second shortly thereafter much to the dismay of “Sexi Mexi.” Castaneda comes up short with a body kick, and he darts forward suddenly with two swiping punches that brush sweat from Kang’s brow. Kang intercepts Castaneda with a jab, and he bull-rushes forward and goes wide. Castaneda stays elusive and lands a number of additional kicks until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda

Round 2
The second round begins in a hurry, as Kang is ready to hit harder than before. When Castaneda attempts a low kick, Kang sends Castaneda to his seat with a right hand. Castaneda climbs back up and is not concerned, as he keeps right on kicking. Kang whiffs with an elbow from up close, and he lands his own leg kick for good measure. Castaneda tags him with a right hand over the top, and Kang sees the success of that kick and goes to the same spot. Castaneda jabs and moves, and he clips Kang with a short right hand. Kang shakes it out and absorbs a leg kick, and Castaneda times his right hand again. Kang looks for his own counter during a leg kick, and this allows Castaneda to duck it and sneak around to take his back. Castaneda looks to take Kang down, and he succeeds in scooping up the Korean from behind and dropping him down on his arms. Kang turns around, his back to the fence and his backside on the floor, but Castaneda controls him from any further activity. Kang explodes to get back to his feet, and he targets the body and gets blasted with one to the solar plexus. Kang protests that the kick went low, and Miragliotta calls time and checks on the replay. Miragliotta rules the strike was clean, and they get back to it. Castaneda sprints into action, working Kang’s leg to draw a counter, duck it and take Kang’s back again while upright. Kang defends from the takedown attempt this time around, so Castaneda meets him with a thudding kick to the ribs and numerous punches up high. Castaneda connects with a punch and kick to the body, and he lands a kick on the inside and outside of Kang’s lead leg to follow. Kang prods out his jab, and he smacks Castaneda with an ineffective left. Kang puts a little more mustard behind a left hand, but Castaneda does not flinch. Castaneda fires a left hand over the top, and Kang gets tagged with a series of punches from “Sexi Mexi.” The sparring match of a round ends as Kang shells up against the fence.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda

Round 3
Castaneda hops out of his corner offering a glove touch, and Kang accepts it and kicks him square in the groin. Castaneda groans but waves Miragliotta off, as he is energized and wants to walk it off. As Kang kicks his body again, Castaneda rifles a right hand down the middle on the chest and knocks Kang down. Kang climbs back up, and Castaneda is on him, stringing together combinations of punches and leg kicks. The latter starts to draw reactions out of his opponent, as Kang is wearing it from the assault to his left leg. Kang toughs it out and gets back to his own forward momentum, and he comes in close enough to block a body kick. Castaneda mixes things up with kicks to the body and legs, and he punches the head and body. A few head shots from “Sexi Mexi” make Kang nod at him and try to entice a brawl, but Castaneda instead backs off as a strike from Kang appears to have opened a cut on the top of his right eye. Castaneda scores a clubbing right hand, and Kang lures him into the slugfest he wanted, as the two trade punches. Kang backs off, taking the worse of the exchanges, and Castaneda follows after him and pursues a single. Castaneda drags Kang to the mat, and Kang explodes back up and is met with a solid left hand and a liver kick. Kang fires back, getting a bit of space from the crowding Castaneda, and he gets Castaneda’s attention with a kick to the ribs. Castaneda sprints forward, looking for a high crotch to lift and dump Kang, and Kang keeps his balance when lowered to the floor. Kang keeps moving and lets Castaneda slide off the side and back, and he threatens suddenly with a guillotine choke. Castaneda escapes and retreats, and Kang gives chase and loads up on all the offense he can muster until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (30-27 Castaneda)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (30-27 Castaneda)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Castaneda (30-27 Castaneda)

The Official Result
John Castaneda def. Kyung Ho Kang via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Angelo is very confident in Castañeda, highlighting his forward pressure, wrestling, and pace. He expects Castañeda to break Kang down with takedowns and ride out a decision win. He notes Kang is dangerous but thinks Castañeda's style will overwhelm him.

decision win
"John C is going to be the pick and I'm very confident in that."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Big Brady is taking the dog Kyung Ho Kang in what he expects to be a close fight. He likes Kang's improved striking, power, and toughness, noting Kang has never been finished in the UFC. He thinks Castañeda may struggle to keep the fight on the mat and will be out struck. Brady admits he doesn't have a strong read and expects a decision.

"I'm going to take the dog here in what I think is going to be a very close fight... give me Kyung Ho Kang for the win."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Cody leans Castañeda, citing his forward pressure and power. He notes Kang's inconsistency and tendency to not use his wrestling. He thinks Castañeda can make it a scrap and mix in takedowns, but he's on the fence and wants to see weigh-ins.

"I'm leaning towards John C and yeah that that makes sense to me"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Castañeda has the striking advantage and grappling chops to put opponents through the ringer. Kong is aging and will struggle with Castañeda's pressure and inability to get the fight to the ground where he could use his BJJ. Expects Castañeda to dictate the pace with crisp boxing combinations and grind out a win by mixing striking and grappling.

"I expect castan to dictate the pace here utilizes crisp boxing combinations to really hurt Kong throughout this match"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
John Castañeda

Paul picks Castañeda, noting Kang's age (36) and recent close fights. He thinks Castañeda's power and wrestling will be key, and that Kang's best path (wrestling) may not be utilized. He expects Castañeda to make it ugly and get the win.

"cat is showing a little bit of pop in his hands... make this ugly Force this up against the cage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
John Castañeda

The MMA Guru picks John Castañeda, disagreeing with the majority who favor Kyung Ho Kang. He believes Kang is not that good, noting that his last win was a flash knockout and that he has never been impressed with Kang's performances. He thinks Castañeda is a better striker and can keep the fight standing, predicting a decision win.

by decision
"I just don't think Kio Kang's that good... I reckon he's got what it takes to keep it standing and I just think on the feet John castanada is a better Striker than khoo Kang"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:25 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 1 22 of 37 59% 31 of 46 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:40
Cristian Quiñonez 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 1 22 of 37 59% 31 of 46 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:40
Cristian Quiñonez 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 22 of 37 59% 14 of 28 3 of 4 5 of 5 17 of 31 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cristian Quiñonez 13 of 29 44% 11 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 2 13 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 22 of 37 59% 14 of 28 3 of 4 5 of 5 17 of 31 0 of 0 5 of 6
Cristian Quiñonez 13 of 29 44% 11 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 2 13 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo picks Alessandro Costa, noting that if Jimmy Flick looks like he did in his last fight, Costa should be a much heavier favorite. Costa is a patient striker with power and good takedown defense, while Flick had nothing to offer on his feet in his return. Angelo also mentions he would bet the under 2.5 rounds if that line becomes available, expecting a stoppage.

under 2.5 rounds (if line drops)
"Alessandro Costa is just sitting at a very comfortable three to one favorite here and you know if Jimmy flick looks like he did in his last fight then Alessandro should be a nine to one favorite"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Cristian Quiñonez

Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez to win by decision. He was initially not high on Quiñonez but was impressed by his knockout of Khaos Williams and his overall skills. Quiñonez is a high-volume striker with solid grappling, though he can make mistakes on the mat. Kang is a solid fighter but typically low volume, though he showed improvement in his last fight. Brady thinks Quiñonez is the better striker and as long as he isn't held down for long periods, he should win a decision. He has some concerns about Quiñonez's chin and cardio.

"I gotta go with Christian Quinones here... I think he has some solid upside in the UFC."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody agrees with Paul that Kang at plus money is the pick. He notes Kang has legitimate skills in wrestling and striking, but his ring IQ is poor and he makes stupid mistakes. However, at 35 and coming off a layoff, Kang still has the volume and wrestling edge over Quiñonez. Cody thinks Kang can win striking exchanges and mix in takedowns, and at +140, he's willing to take the chance.

"I'm actually going to agree with you in that I I think Kang at plus 140 plus 138 plus money it is the pick"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cristian Quiñonez

Connor picks Quiñonez, arguing that while Kang is a sharp boxer, he doesn't press advantages and lacks layers behind his striking. Quiñonez, on the other hand, is willing to sit in the pocket and throw combinations with vigor. Connor notes that Quiñonez's low kicks and ability to mix in wrestling could trouble Kang. He acknowledges Quiñonez can get messy but believes his recent improvements under Brandon Moreno's tutelage are durable enough to win a close fight.

"I think with the low kicking and the jab we saw out of his last fight, I think the low kicks especially can maybe take Keanu's out of the fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cristian Quiñonez

Daniel Levi leans toward Cristian Quiñonez, but only at the underdog price he got (opener +145). He sees it as a 50-50 fight and notes Kang's experience and close fights. He likes Quiñonez's volume and style but wouldn't bet him at current juice. He expects the fight to go the distance.

bet at +145 opener
"I got the opener on Quinones at plus 145 I think"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cristian Quiñonez

Quiñonez is a long, lanky striker with great footwork and a solid jab. Kang is a solid all-around fighter but will have trouble dealing with Quiñonez's range and movement. Quiñonez has power and can keep the fight standing where he has the advantage. Kang has a slight edge in grappling but Quiñonez should be able to avoid takedowns. Quiñonez wins by decision.

"I'm giving kinones the Dub here and I think it comes by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Paul is stunned that Kang is the underdog, given his experience and skills. He notes that the market moved from Kang -180 to +160, which he finds surprising. Paul thinks Kang has skills in every aspect and has been in there with every style. He picks Kang to bring the upset.

"I'm kind of stunned by this one Cody like Kung old Gang has been in the division for such a long time fighting some of the best guys"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Zane picks Kyung Ho Kang, emphasizing his consistent technical boxing and reach advantage. He notes that Kang has a great jab and straight punches, and is willing to pressure opponents. Zane believes Kang's experience and sharpness will edge out Quiñonez, who is still developing and can get messy in exchanges. He also suggests Kang could employ wrestling to make the fight easier, but expects a competitive striking battle where Kang slightly gets the better of it.

"I think I'm going to pick Ken Hong Kong with you."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 0 100 of 155 64% 100 of 155 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 109 of 284 38% 110 of 286 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 0 28 of 41 68% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 34 of 84 40% 35 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Kyung Ho Kang 0 33 of 52 63% 33 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 43 of 100 43% 43 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kyung Ho Kang 0 39 of 62 62% 39 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danaa Batgerel 0 32 of 100 32% 32 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 100 of 155 64% 82 of 134 2 of 4 16 of 17 99 of 153 1 of 2 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 109 of 284 38% 68 of 223 19 of 36 22 of 25 103 of 276 5 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 28 of 41 68% 17 of 29 1 of 1 10 of 11 27 of 39 1 of 2 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 34 of 84 40% 22 of 67 6 of 11 6 of 6 31 of 81 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Kyung Ho Kang 33 of 52 63% 30 of 48 0 of 1 3 of 3 33 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 43 of 100 43% 27 of 75 8 of 15 8 of 10 41 of 97 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Kyung Ho Kang 39 of 62 62% 35 of 57 1 of 2 3 of 3 39 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danaa Batgerel 32 of 100 32% 19 of 81 5 of 10 8 of 9 31 of 98 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Angelo picks Kang as an underdog, citing his durability and grappling advantage. He worries about Kang's last performance but believes Batgerel may fade if he doesn't get an early stoppage, especially coming off a knockout loss. He notes Batgerel's speed and power are dangerous but thinks Kang can weather the storm and take over.

"i'm going to go kang he is a very very durable guy and i think dana might get frustrated if he doesn't get that stoppage early and then tired after the first round"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Big Brady picks Kyung Ho Kang as an underdog, citing his superior grappling and durability. He notes that Danaa Batgerel has poor takedown defense, as seen in his fight against Aletang Haili, and that Kang is a much better grappler. He expects Kang to take Batgerel down, control him, and grind out a decision, though he acknowledges Batgerel's power could lead to a knockout.

"I'm going in with another dog here I'm taking Kyung Ho Kang to win I'm going to take him to win and grind out a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang as an underdog, citing his wrestling and durability. He notes Batgerel's takedown defense is untested against grapplers and that Kang has a history of close decisions. He thinks Kang can grind out a win in Singapore.

fight goes to decision
"i'm gonna take a flyer on the underdog here the plus money on mr perfect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Daniel Levi picks Danaa Batgerel but is not confident. He acknowledges Kang's scrambling and grappling skills but notes Kang's age and questionable fight IQ. He sees Batgerel's power as a game-changer and thinks if Batgerel can hurt Kang early, he can win. He is not betting the fight.

"pure pick I'll just go with the not bad Gary"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Batgerel has knockout power and should have the advantage on the feet. Kang is a grappler but has struggled to implement his game recently. If Batgerel keeps it standing, he can knock Kang out. However, I'm wary of picking slight favorites as it's a weak spot for me. I'll lean Batgerel but likely bet the under 2.5 rounds instead.

Under 2.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm more so on the batgerel side here as long as he can keep this fight in the standing position he should be able to really touch up kong on the feet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

Paul picks Batgerel, believing his power striking will be too much for Kang. He thinks Batgerel's knockout power is real and that Kang's chin may not hold up. He is not fully confident but leans Batgerel.

"backery is my my pick but again they're not matching them up the way i want them to match up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Danaa Batgerel

The MMA Guru confidently picks Danaa Batgerel to win by first-round KO. He believes Kyung Ho Kang is past his prime, citing a loss to an older Rani Yahya. He praises Batgerel's physical strength and size for bantamweight, and notes that Kang's grinding grappling style won't be effective. He mentions Batgerel's cardio could be a concern in later rounds, but expects a quick finish. He calls it one of the locks of the card.

first round ko
"i'm actually going to call a first round ko for dana batgirl"
LOSS vs Rani Yahya
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rani Yahya 0 27 of 48 56% 152 of 218 3 of 8 37% 1 1 10:36
Kyung Ho Kang 1 43 of 82 52% 103 of 154 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rani Yahya 0 21 of 35 60% 23 of 37 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:24
Kyung Ho Kang 1 33 of 61 54% 45 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:57
2 Rani Yahya 0 1 of 2 50% 59 of 85 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:48
Kyung Ho Kang 0 4 of 4 100% 10 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rani Yahya 0 5 of 11 45% 70 of 96 1 of 2 50% 0 1 4:24
Kyung Ho Kang 0 6 of 17 35% 48 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rani Yahya 27 of 48 56% 7 of 25 1 of 1 19 of 22 26 of 47 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 43 of 82 52% 36 of 73 1 of 3 6 of 6 40 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rani Yahya 21 of 35 60% 4 of 15 1 of 1 16 of 19 21 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 33 of 61 54% 28 of 55 1 of 2 4 of 4 30 of 57 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Rani Yahya 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyung Ho Kang 4 of 4 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rani Yahya 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyung Ho Kang 6 of 17 35% 6 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rani Yahya

Angelo picks Rani Yahya but calls it razor thin. He notes Yahya's relentless takedown attempts and superior grappling should be the difference, but Kang is the better striker and could keep it standing. He is concerned about Yahya's age (36) but says it's not as old as he thought. He expects Yahya to smother Kang with wrestling.

DraftKings prices: Yahya 8000, Kang 8200; monkey knife fight less/less
"ronnie's the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Big Brady picks Kyung Ho Kang to win by decision. He notes that Kang is the more well-rounded fighter, younger, and has better cardio. He believes Kang's 71% takedown defense and good grappling will keep him safe from Rani Yahya's submissions. He sees Kang having multiple paths to victory, including out-striking Yahya or using his own takedowns. He predicts a clear decision win.

win by decision
"give me congo kong to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang but with low confidence. He notes that Kang often goes to split decisions and judges don't always favor his style. However, he believes Kang has the physical strength, judo, and grappling to implement a game plan similar to Ricky Simone's: box, defend the guard pull, pass, land a few strikes, and back out. He thinks Yahya is limited, with poor cardio and a one-dimensional guard-pulling game. Cody is not sold on Yahya's striking or wrestling improvements.

"i gotta go with mr perfect who of course ate low losses not exactly perfect but uh if he pl if he fights a near perfect game plan here he's gonna get"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Daniel Levi picks Kyung Ho Kang, citing his well-rounded skills and better cardio. He notes that Kang has never been submitted in the UFC and can scramble well. He points out that Rani Yahya tends to gas out after seven minutes, shooting from a mile out, and that Kang can take advantage of that. Levi believes Kang has more weapons and less damage in his career, making him the pick.

"i think he can scramble with hani even attack not with submissions but at least position positional-wise... i'm gonna go with him for a win here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Lock leans Kang but is not confident. He notes Kang has a height, reach, and youth advantage, and that Yahya gasses out. However, Kang has been off for two years and Yahya is dangerous on the ground. Lock thinks Kang by decision is the most likely outcome, but also likes a round three sprinkle because Yahya fades.

Kyung Ho Kang by decision +200, Kyung Ho Kang round 3 +1400
"I'll say kyung ho kang I'll say kyung ho kang by decision for my prop but definitely a spot where I think that round three sprinkle is warranted."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Yahya has looked a bit sharper recently but is still a guard puller with terrible cardio. He thinks Kang's path to victory is sprawling and brawling, and that Yahya will likely flop to his back in round three. Paul is not confident because Yahya is crafty and has burned tickets before, but he leans Kang due to Yahya's limitations.

"yeah yeah you were taking yeah has anything changed probably not considering yaya was the one who got coveted and this guy already kind of had a gas tank issue so"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Rani Yahya

The MMA Guru picks Rani Yahya over Kyung Ho Kang. He notes that Kang gets lazy on top in later rounds and has poor cardio, while Yahya is active and experienced. He expects Yahya to lose the first round but win the scrambles in the second and third, reversing position and landing strikes. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Yahya.

"i'm going with rani yaya here over kyung hyo kang"
WIN vs Pingyuan Liu
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 0 20 of 40 50% 108 of 153 3 of 7 42% 0 0 12:23
Pingyuan Liu 0 25 of 53 47% 114 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 0 9 of 14 64% 43 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:25
Pingyuan Liu 0 9 of 15 60% 53 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kyung Ho Kang 0 4 of 10 40% 38 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:48
Pingyuan Liu 0 5 of 8 62% 31 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kyung Ho Kang 0 7 of 16 43% 27 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:10
Pingyuan Liu 0 11 of 30 36% 30 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 20 of 40 50% 17 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 26 0 of 0 12 of 14
Pingyuan Liu 25 of 53 47% 16 of 42 2 of 2 7 of 9 8 of 33 0 of 0 17 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 9 of 14 64% 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 6
Pingyuan Liu 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 7
2 Kyung Ho Kang 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 4
Pingyuan Liu 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 3
3 Kyung Ho Kang 7 of 16 43% 5 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 4
Pingyuan Liu 11 of 30 36% 7 of 24 2 of 2 2 of 4 3 of 20 0 of 0 8 of 10
WIN vs Brandon Davis
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 1 50 of 101 49% 120 of 180 3 of 6 50% 0 0 6:20
Brandon Davis 0 77 of 187 41% 114 of 231 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 1 23 of 42 54% 38 of 60 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
Brandon Davis 0 23 of 70 32% 30 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kyung Ho Kang 0 16 of 41 39% 17 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Brandon Davis 0 32 of 71 45% 41 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
3 Kyung Ho Kang 0 11 of 18 61% 65 of 78 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:55
Brandon Davis 0 22 of 46 47% 43 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 50 of 101 49% 46 of 96 1 of 1 3 of 4 42 of 89 0 of 0 8 of 12
Brandon Davis 77 of 187 41% 32 of 126 17 of 20 28 of 41 62 of 163 4 of 6 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 23 of 42 54% 20 of 38 1 of 1 2 of 3 23 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 1
Brandon Davis 23 of 70 32% 6 of 45 3 of 4 14 of 21 22 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Kyung Ho Kang 16 of 41 39% 15 of 40 0 of 0 1 of 1 16 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brandon Davis 32 of 71 45% 12 of 45 10 of 11 10 of 15 28 of 66 3 of 4 1 of 1
3 Kyung Ho Kang 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 11
Brandon Davis 22 of 46 47% 14 of 36 4 of 5 4 of 5 12 of 29 0 of 1 10 of 16
SUB R1 3:59 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyung Ho Kang 1 17 of 47 36% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Teruto Ishihara 1 26 of 58 44% 30 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyung Ho Kang 1 17 of 47 36% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Teruto Ishihara 1 26 of 58 44% 30 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyung Ho Kang 17 of 47 36% 12 of 36 1 of 5 4 of 6 11 of 35 6 of 10 0 of 2
Teruto Ishihara 26 of 58 44% 19 of 46 7 of 12 0 of 0 15 of 40 11 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyung Ho Kang 17 of 47 36% 12 of 36 1 of 5 4 of 6 11 of 35 6 of 10 0 of 2
Teruto Ishihara 26 of 58 44% 19 of 46 7 of 12 0 of 0 15 of 40 11 of 18 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, noting he was winless in the UFC but has the wrestling and durability to win. He worries about Muin's willingness to brawl because Kang has power, but thinks Muin's wrestling and durability will work for him. He regrets not betting Muin when he was -110 instead of the current -160. He also mentions a potential takedown prop bet on Muin.

Considering takedown prop; mentioned DraftKings takedown lines
"I do think muin wins this fight he is going to be the pick and I'm wishing I placed a bet on him when I saw him at minus1 10"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov despite his recent struggles, citing his youth and activity advantage. He expects the fight to go to a close decision, with Gafurov landing the better and harder strikes. Brady acknowledges Gafurov's chin issues and Kang's toughness, but believes Gafurov's volume and power will edge him the win.

"I'm going to take mu Gaff who's younger I think he's going to be more active I think he's going to be landing the better strikes the harder strikes give me mu Gaff to win this fight by very close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Cody picks Kang, citing his superior cardio, grappling, and striking. He notes Gafurov's tendency to gas and lack of finishing ability. Kang's ability to get back up and outwork opponents in later rounds is key. He expects a decision win.

"I see the slight plus money uh for killo Kang and I agree with it I think he's an excellent pick"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muin Gafurov to win a hard-fought decision, citing his higher pace and skill set. He notes Kang's experience and durability but believes Gafurov's pressure will be too much. He is concerned about Gafurov's cardio and chin but thinks he can outwork Kang.

"I'm G pick Gaff via a hardfought decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Jacob likes Muin but is not confident enough to bet him. He notes Muin has bigger moments and power, but worries about Kang's sneaky submissions. He recalls Muin's predictable guillotine loss to Silva and thinks Kang could catch him similarly. Jacob wants to see Muin get a win before betting him, especially against a guy who can be sneaky good like Kang.

"I like muin here but I don't love it man... I need him to win before I'm betting him at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

JP dismisses this fight as a 'poop Bowl' and says he won't bet on it, but he leans toward Gafurov as a toss-up. Brevan agrees, calling it a boring fight and advising viewers to skip it. He notes Gafurov's wrestling base and susceptibility to guillotines, but Kang's lack of guillotine wins makes that less of a threat. Both are unenthusiastic and avoid a strong pick.

"I'll go for muine gabov probably but this is one where I'm just both of them are cheeks"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

Paul picks Kang, noting his durability and pace. He believes Gafurov's cardio issues will be exploited and that Kang can force a hard 15 minutes. He likes the plus money on Kang.

"it's got to be Mr perfect for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kyung Ho Kang

The MMA Guru picks Kyung Ho Kang over Muin Gafurov, citing Kang's talent and reach advantage. He criticizes Gafurov's body type and competition level, noting that Gafurov lost to Christian Quinones on the Contender Series. He believes Kang's takedown defense and striking at range will be key, and that he will sting Gafurov as the fight goes on. He predicts a 2-1 decision for Kang.

"I'm going to go Kung Hyo Kang here over mu gafarov maybe I'm off on this but I've got another feeling about this matchup I think gafarov is like who invited this guy."