UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 37
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Claudio Puelles
1.54 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
2.62 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
3.29 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joaquim Silva
3.43 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.17 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Claudio Puelles
Moneyline
Bookmaker -110
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +1047
Submission
Cloudbet +350
Decision
Cloudbet +270
Joaquim Silva
Moneyline
BetUS +100
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +610
Submission
Cloudbet +972
Decision
Cloudbet +234
Claudio Puelles - Fight History
LOSS vs Joaquim Silva
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 21 of 63 33% 58 of 102 4 of 16 25% 0 0 7:25
Joaquim Silva 1 25 of 66 37% 95 of 136 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 8 37% 37 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:22
Joaquim Silva 0 0 of 4 0% 29 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Claudio Puelles 0 6 of 31 19% 6 of 31 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 11 of 29 37% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
3 Claudio Puelles 0 12 of 24 50% 15 of 27 1 of 8 12% 0 0 2:08
Joaquim Silva 1 14 of 33 42% 53 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 21 of 63 33% 14 of 56 7 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 56 2 of 2 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 25 of 66 37% 12 of 50 9 of 12 4 of 4 19 of 52 3 of 5 3 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Claudio Puelles 6 of 31 19% 3 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 11 of 29 37% 2 of 18 5 of 7 4 of 4 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Claudio Puelles 12 of 24 50% 8 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 14 of 33 42% 10 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 19 3 of 5 3 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo is torn on this fight. He calls Puelles a 'butt scooter' who looks like a puppy cleaning a dingleberry, but acknowledges his takedowns looked improved in his last fight. He says if Puelles' takedowns look as good as they did last time, he wins. He admits his gut won't let him say it out loud, but he's leaning Puelles. He notes Silva is a BJJ guy with big power and explosive striking, always looking for the knockout.

"I'm not going to say it. I'm going to think it. I'm going to write it down on the website. I can't say it with my own words, but that's the direction we're going with this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady leans toward Silva because Puelles is one-dimensional and has no plan B if his grappling fails. He notes Silva has a BJJ base, power on the feet, and has hurt top competition. He predicts Silva wins by second-round knockout, as Puelles has been knocked out before and Silva has the power to do it.

Second round knockout
"I'm going to take Silva to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a big fan favorite and the host is surprised he is an underdog. He notes Silva has never been submitted and has a striking advantage. He expects Silva to fend off takedowns, walk Puelles down, and win by knockout in the second or third round.

win by knockout in second or third round
"I think he'll be able to fend off the takedowns from Puyus. Walk Pyus down on the feet and eventually on Cork knockout either in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, expressing disdain for Claudio Puelles' jiu-jitsu style. He describes Silva as a strong, powerful, explosive lightweight who can cause problems on the feet. He criticizes Puelles as a 'martial artist, not a fighter' and recalls his quit against Dan Hooker. He believes Silva's power will be a big factor.

"I can't pick Clauddio Poles to win a fight. Can't do it. ... I'm going to go with Wim Silva."
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farès Ziam 0 4 of 9 44% 17 of 27 7 of 13 53% 0 0 7:14
Claudio Puelles 0 31 of 48 64% 58 of 82 0 of 0 --- 1 2 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farès Ziam 0 2 of 4 50% 6 of 9 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:21
Claudio Puelles 0 9 of 17 52% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
2 Farès Ziam 0 0 of 3 0% 4 of 11 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:39
Claudio Puelles 0 14 of 20 70% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
3 Farès Ziam 0 2 of 2 100% 7 of 7 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:14
Claudio Puelles 0 8 of 11 72% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 2 1:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farès Ziam 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Claudio Puelles 31 of 48 64% 23 of 38 6 of 7 2 of 3 5 of 15 2 of 3 24 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farès Ziam 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Claudio Puelles 9 of 17 52% 8 of 15 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 9
2 Farès Ziam 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Claudio Puelles 14 of 20 70% 11 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 1 12 of 12
3 Farès Ziam 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0
Claudio Puelles 8 of 11 72% 4 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 6 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Claudio Puelles vs. Fares Ziam
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ziam (-218), Puelles (+180)

Round 1
Former training partners will put any friendship they formed aside from their time under the Kill Cliff FC roof, as grappler Puelles (12-3, 5-2 UFC) reps Peru against French striker Ziam (14-4, 4-2 UFC). The former holds the record for the most kneebars performed in UFC history, while the latter’s primary method of defeat is via submission, but anything is possible in the fight game. The gloves are touched in front of referee Herb Dean, and Ziam leads off with a stern low kick. Puelles shoots in for a single-leg takedown, and although Ziam defends the first attempt, a second effort for “Prince of Peru” gingerly sets Ziam down on his back. Ziam scrambles with all his muster, ultimately getting Puelles back to his butterfly guard. Ziam continues to buck and moves, and he works his way back up as Puelles follows him and nearly takes his back. Puelles forces a mat return, where he lands hard in half guard while hanging on with heavy chest pressure. Ziam nearly kicks him off, and Puelles hooks his foe’s legs beneath his own to keep him stuck. The Frenchman moves to his knees and wall-walks his way back up, and Puelles drags him right back down with his arm interlocked around Ziam’s. Ziam explodes back upright, and Puelles stays tightly pressed to him like a cheap suit until Ziam turns the corner and throws him aside. Puelles whiffs on a pair of chasing punches, and Ziam crowds him with a right up top and a left to the body. Puelles fakes for a takedown and lands a left hand, and as he throws a high kick, Ziam jacks him in the jaw with a jab that sends Puelles down like a sack of potatoes. Ziam rains down ground-and-pound until Puelles recovers enough to start scrambling, and Ziam backs off. Puelles gives chase and shoots for a desperate single, and Ziam stuffs it and walks away. Puelles keeps going after him, and he scoops “Smile Killer” up and makes him frown by slamming him to the mat with a high-amplitude double. Puelles jumps over the top to hunt for a kimura, isolating Ziam’s left arm while sitting on Ziam’s head. Ziam sees it coming and defends it, and Puelles steps all the way over and fishes for a leg lock that does not come before time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 2
The fighters bump fists before getting to it, and Ziam leads the dance early with jabs while not letting Puelles get close. Ziam succeeds in fighting off takedown setups, until Puelles desperately pursues one that ultimately ends up with him landing on his back thanks to a Ziam sweep at the last second. Puelles turns over to his back and leans back to set up a leglock, and Ziam abandons ship before anything is remotely close to coming together. Both men stand up, and Puelles fires off a head kick that bounces off the raised guard. Ziam paws out a low kick, and he steps in with a knee and follows it with a second on the dome. Puelles shoots from afar, and Ziam stops the first effort and fails to halt the second. Puelles slings his man to the mat, and he sits on top in an odd position with Ziam turned partially to his side. This allows Puelles to easily moves into full mount, and Ziam bucks him back to half guard. Puelles frames off to smack Ziam with an elbow, and he smothers from on top to disallow Ziam from escaping. As Ziam turns to his side, Puelles lets him do this so he can jump on Ziam’s back like a malicious backpack. Puelles wraps up a rear-naked choke, and Ziam falls to the ground and turns over to break up the choke. Ziam slows down and tags Puelles with an elbow, and he jumps to the other side to stop Puelles from setting up some maneuver. Ziam briefly unloads with ground-and-pound, mixing in elbows and posturing up at the right moments to not expose him to submission danger. The big punches keep coming until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 3
There is a final glove touch before engagement, and Ziam is quick to flick out his jab to get his range again. Puelles tries to punch his way into a single, and Ziam stops him in his tracks and stands him up. Puelles pushes him back to the wall and knees him in the chest, and Ziam spins around to drive in some knees of his own. Puelles shoots in low for a double, and Ziam keeps his arms locked beneath Puelles groin before snatching up a guillotine choke to threaten with his own offense. Puelles does not seem remotely flustered, turning his neck to the right way before sliding himself out and getting upright again. Puelles shoots and secures a takedown, landing in full guard and otherwise stalling out. When Puelles does try for some offense, Ziam stifles it. The crowd grows restless at Puelles’ damage-free approach, and Ziam sits up and goes for another guillotine. Puelles shakes it off and continues his smothering top control. An awkward scramble results in Puelles sitting on Ziam’s face for a moment, and Ziam keeps moving and pushes “Prince of Peru” to his back. Puelles ties up his guard, and Ziam elbows him in the ribs. Puelles sits up and attempts a reversal, and Ziam nullifies it and postures up to rain down punishment. Ziam delivers some hammering punches and elbows, and Puelles gets to his knees right before time expires. The crowd showers the fighters with boos when it is all over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (30-27 Ziam)

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Claudio Puelles via Split Decision (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Angelo picks Ziam, citing his range control and technical striking. He believes Puelles will struggle to get the fight to the ground and may resort to pulling guard. He expresses frustration with Puelles' style but acknowledges his danger on the ground.

may bet on Ziam out of spite
"fram's going to be the pick I think his range control is going to make claudo just frustrated"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Big Brady picks Claudio Puelles to win by second-round submission, but with low confidence due to Puelles' terrible performance against Dan Hooker. He notes that Ziam is the better striker but has low volume and no power, so Puelles isn't in much danger on the feet. On the mat, Puelles is an incredible grappler with a BJJ black belt, and Ziam has been submitted in three of his four losses. Brady worries about Puelles' wrestling but thinks he can find ways to get the fight down.

Puelles wins by submission in round 2
"I'm actually going to take puus here as a dog hard to have a ton of confidence in the guy after this the crazy stunt he pulled against Dan hooker but you know I think a path is definitely there …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Cody picks Ziam, noting Puelles is a one-trick pony with leg locks and hasn't evolved. Ziam has shown improvements in takedown defense and striking volume. He thinks Ziam keeps the fight upright, lands shots, and tires Puelles out. He acknowledges the leg lock threat but believes Ziam can avoid it.

"the pick is fr oziah"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

The host sees this as a grappler vs. striker matchup, with Puelles being a knee-bar specialist but a sitting duck on the feet. He believes Ziam has shown enough improvement to keep the fight upright and use his kickboxing advantage to outbox and outkick Puelles en route to a decision win.

"I think that we've seen enough improvements from Zam throughout his career that he should be able to keep this fight upright and utilize his kickboxing advantage to outbox out kick and eventually win this fight on the scorecards over …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Ziam. He echoes that Puelles is a one-trick pony with no evolution in his game. Ziam has improved takedown defense and striking. He thinks Ziam will box him up on the feet and avoid the leg locks. He notes Puelles' only path is a leg lock, which is low percentage.

"I'm gonna agree so pis is a guy that was fighting in the UFC he was like 21 years old and then six years later he's now 27 there really is no evolvement to his game"
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
TKO (body kick) R2 4:06 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 1 29 of 63 46% 37 of 73 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:08
Claudio Puelles 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 8 0% 1 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 10 of 27 37% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
Claudio Puelles 0 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:00
2 Dan Hooker 1 19 of 36 52% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Claudio Puelles 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 29 of 63 46% 8 of 34 13 of 16 8 of 13 24 of 58 0 of 0 5 of 5
Claudio Puelles 5 of 18 27% 1 of 12 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 10 of 27 37% 2 of 13 2 of 3 6 of 11 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Claudio Puelles 0 of 5 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 19 of 36 52% 6 of 21 11 of 13 2 of 2 14 of 31 0 of 0 5 of 5
Claudio Puelles 5 of 13 38% 1 of 8 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Angelo likes Hooker's striking and believes he can keep the fight standing. He notes that Puelles has poor takedown defense and Hooker has only been submitted once in his career. He picks Hooker to win the striking exchanges and get his mojo back. He plans to bet on Puelles inside the distance (decision no action) because he sees Hooker winning by decision or Puelles by submission, not Hooker by stoppage.

Claudio Puelles inside the distance (decision no action) on BetOnline
"Dan hooker's the pick I'm curious what you guys think"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Big Brady picks Dan Hooker to win by knockout in the first or second round. He argues Hooker's competition has been much tougher (Islam, Arnold Allen, Chandler, Poirier) and that Puelles is a big step down. He praises Hooker's takedown defense (78%) and notes he has beaten good grapplers like Gilbert Burns and Jim Miller. He criticizes Puelles' striking and believes Hooker will beat him up on the feet, though he acknowledges Puelles' knee bar threat.

Hooker by KO in round 1 or 2; Puelles by knee bar is possible but unlikely
"I think Dan hooker honestly just beats the crap out of poisonous on the feed"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Cody picks Dan Hooker, arguing that Hooker's losses have come against elite competition and that Puelles has not impressed him. He notes that Puelles' wins are against lower-level opponents and that his striking is not dangerous. Cody believes Hooker's takedown defense and striking volume will allow him to dominate on the feet and win a decision, as Puelles is durable but not a finisher.

"I'll take Dan hooker... I think hookers still got a little something left in the tank which is enough to beat Paula so sign me up for the hangman."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Daniel Levi picks Dan Hooker, citing Hooker's superior striking volume, variety, and experience against top competition. He notes that Puelles is a submission specialist, but Hooker has shown he can defend leg locks (e.g., against Ian Entwistle and Al Iaquinta). Levi is concerned about Hooker's durability after recent knockdowns but believes Puelles doesn't have the power to exploit that. He sees this as a test for Puelles to see if he's ready for the top 15, and he's not convinced yet. Levi expects Hooker to win via striking or top control.

"my pick is Dan hooker um but let's see if Claudio's ready for it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

The host believes Hooker is the far superior striker and BJJ player, and that Puelles' only path is a submission like a kneebar, which won't work against Hooker. He dismisses Hooker's 1-4 run because the losses were to elite fighters (Poirier, Chandler, Islam, Allen), while Puelles is not at that level. He expects Hooker to win easily, possibly by KO or submission, and recommends the moneyline or inside the distance.

Hooker inside the distance
"I'm considering you know what inside the distance probably the best way to go hooker via KO is live submission is live"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Paul also picks Dan Hooker, agreeing that Puelles' stand-up is not a threat and that Hooker should dominate on the feet. He notes that if the fight goes to the ground, Puelles could grab a leg, but on the feet it should not be competitive. Paul believes Hooker's durability is slightly compromised but still enough to beat Puelles.

"I'm with you on that... on the feet this shouldn't even be remotely competitive to be perfectly honest."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

The MMA Guru picks Dan Hooker, believing he will stuff takedowns and expose Puelles' stand-up. He notes Puelles' struggles against strikers and Hooker's takedown defense against elite grapplers like Al Iaquinta and Gilbert Burns. He predicts a vintage Hooker KO at the end of the first round, citing Hooker's comfort at lightweight.

TKO in the first round
"I'm going with Dan hooker"
WIN vs Clay Guida
Submission (kneebar) R1 3:01 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 4 75% 4 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:10
Clay Guida 0 1 of 3 33% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 4 75% 4 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:10
Clay Guida 0 1 of 3 33% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Clay Guida 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Clay Guida 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo picks Claudio Puelles to win a decision via grappling. He notes Puelles is young, hungry, and dangerous, and that it's easier to finish a bad takedown than defend one. He says Puelles will entertain striking but ultimately push a grappling game plan, get takedowns, and ride out a decision. He mentions Clay Guida only has two wins in 35 UFC fights against opponents who took him down.

"i like claudio playlist to ride out a decision win and he's going to do so with the grappling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Big Brady picks Claudio Puelles to win by submission, citing his youth, size advantage, and BJJ brown belt. He notes that Puelles is 15 years younger and has a four-inch height and two-inch reach advantage. He thinks Puelles can submit Guida if the fight goes to the mat, especially since Guida has been submitted 10 times. However, he acknowledges Guida's cardio advantage and that the fight is close, so he won't bet on it.

Win by submission, first round submission
"I'm actually going to take uh poyus here to win... I'm going to take him to win by submission at some point... first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Clay Guida

Cody leans Guida, citing Puelles' poor takedown defense and Guida's grinding style. He notes Puelles is young and improving but has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Guida's submission defense has improved, and his cardio should wear on Puelles. He suggests live betting Guida after the first round.

Live betting opportunity after round 1
"the official pick will ever so slightly be with uh the carpenter clay guido"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Clay Guida

The host picks Clay Guida to win, betting 1.07 units at -107. He expects the fight to go the full 15 minutes with Guida getting his hand raised. He also includes Guida in a parlay with Andrade and Barriault.

Included in a parlay with Andrade and Barriault. Also bet on over 2.5 rounds in the totals parlay.
"i'm going clay guido 1.07 units at -107 so pretty much just to win one unit there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Clay Guida

Paul agrees with Cody, highlighting Guida's durability and activity. He thinks Guida's wrestling and pressure will be key, and that Puelles may tire. He mentions Guida's recent grappling improvements and suggests a decision win or live betting opportunity.

Clay by decision; live betting
"clay clay by decision could be uh good looks and clay in the live market could even could even be better"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Clay Guida

The MMA Guru picks Clay Guida, expressing shock that 70% of tipsters are picking Puelles. He argues Puelles is mediocre and had a tough fight with Chris Gruetzemacher. He highlights Guida's submission defense from Quintet and his wrestling pace that prevents submissions. He believes Puelles has no power or technique on the feet to worry Guida. He predicts Guida will grind out a win, possibly a third-round finish, and notes Guida's recent activity. He hopes the public money on Puelles will make Guida an underdog.

third round finish possible
"i am going to go have clay guida here it is a shock to me it is an absolute shock to me that seventy percent of topology are picking claudio poelas here"
Submission (kneebar) R3 3:25 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 43 of 68 63% 72 of 103 1 of 8 12% 1 0 6:20
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 38 of 55 69% 96 of 123 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 18 of 25 72% 38 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:26
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 9 of 11 81% 23 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Claudio Puelles 0 17 of 30 56% 21 of 35 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:14
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 12 of 23 52% 37 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:46
3 Claudio Puelles 0 8 of 13 61% 13 of 19 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:40
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 17 of 21 80% 36 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 43 of 68 63% 31 of 48 11 of 18 1 of 2 19 of 32 5 of 11 19 of 25
Chris Gruetzemacher 38 of 55 69% 15 of 28 16 of 20 7 of 7 22 of 33 10 of 14 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 18 of 25 72% 14 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 21
Chris Gruetzemacher 9 of 11 81% 6 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 4
2 Claudio Puelles 17 of 30 56% 11 of 18 6 of 11 0 of 1 12 of 19 3 of 9 2 of 2
Chris Gruetzemacher 12 of 23 52% 3 of 11 6 of 9 3 of 3 6 of 14 5 of 8 1 of 1
3 Claudio Puelles 8 of 13 61% 6 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 9 2 of 2 2 of 2
Chris Gruetzemacher 17 of 21 80% 6 of 9 9 of 10 2 of 2 9 of 12 5 of 6 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo picks Puelles, citing his grappling and takedown volume. He notes Gruetzemacher has power and showed toughness against Garcia, but his wrestling defense is a hole. Angelo wishes Gruetzemacher were a bigger underdog to bet him, but goes with Puelles.

"with the amount of takedowns claudio attempts i i have to go with him to end up on top"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Big Brady picks Claudio Puelles to win by submission. He notes Puelles is 10 years younger, has a height and reach advantage, trains at a better camp (Sanford MMA), and is a BJJ black belt with excellent control. He criticizes Gruetzemacher's takedown defense (61%) and notes he has been submitted in losses. Brady also mentions Gruetzemacher is training in a garage, not at ATT as listed. He expects Puelles to take the fight down and submit him.

by submission
"give me a play loss to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Gruetzemacher

Cody picks Gruetzemacher, emphasizing his cardio and pressure. He thinks Puelles has looked awful in recent fights and that Gruetzemacher's experience and durability will win out. Cody believes Gruetzemacher will march forward and beat Puelles over three rounds.

"chris krutzmacher is a 20-fight veteran who has cardio for days who's not going anywhere that is the complete opposite of livid and i think he's just going to march down paulus put a beating on him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Gruetzemacher

Daniel Levi picks Chris Gruetzemacher to win, citing his toughness, durability, and ability to absorb punishment and keep coming forward. He notes that Gruetzemacher is economical and efficient, with good boxing and calf kicks. He questions whether Claudio Puelles is ready for a dog fight and thinks Gruetzemacher will put it on him down the stretch, possibly losing the first round but winning the last two.

"I'm going to go with chris kritsmacher but i i am curious to see the progression of pulis"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Jacob picks Puelles, emphasizing he must get open-mat takedowns and not gas against the cage. He notes Gruetzemacher is hard to take down against the cage but Puelles can succeed with open-mat shots. Jacob thinks Puelles is the pick but needs to avoid striking exchanges.

"i think claudio is the pick here um but he's got to get those takedowns and they got to be open matt takedowns"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Claudio Puelles

I lean Puelles. He has a slight technical striking advantage and should be able to land takedowns. His grappling is solid and he can control the fight on the ground. However, Gruetzemacher is durable and tough to finish. I expect Puelles to grind out a decision, and the decision prop at plus 210 is appealing.

Puelles by decision +210
"i'm going twice twice by decision as a prop that i like here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Chris Gruetzemacher

Paul picks Gruetzemacher, citing his cardio, pressure, and recent win over Ralphy Garcia. He thinks Puelles is a one-dimensional grappler who gasses out, and that Gruetzemacher's volume and durability will be too much. Paul notes that Gruetzemacher has fought tougher competition.

"give me a chris chris grootsmocker but you're right both guys not the most trustworthy this thing could theoretically go anyway but it's minus 110. you got to have a pony on one side and the other so we're going …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Claudio Puelles

The MMA Guru picks Claudio Puelles to win by 29-28 unanimous decision. He believes Puelles will secure enough positional control and takedowns in the first two rounds, despite losing some stand-up exchanges. He notes Puelles' good hips and control on the mat, but expects Gruetzemacher to win the third round as Puelles tires. The fight will be decided by the early rounds.

"i'm going with claudio puedes i think he's going to secure enough positional control and total strikes in the first two rounds"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 20 of 33 60% 71 of 100 4 of 4 100% 0 0 10:01
Jordan Leavitt 0 21 of 34 61% 170 of 213 2 of 7 28% 0 1 2:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 9 33% 11 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Jordan Leavitt 0 12 of 16 75% 38 of 53 2 of 6 33% 0 1 2:06
2 Claudio Puelles 0 4 of 7 57% 23 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:41
Jordan Leavitt 0 7 of 13 53% 35 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Claudio Puelles 0 13 of 17 76% 37 of 53 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:37
Jordan Leavitt 0 2 of 5 40% 97 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 20 of 33 60% 6 of 14 12 of 14 2 of 5 7 of 15 0 of 0 13 of 18
Jordan Leavitt 21 of 34 61% 4 of 14 5 of 8 12 of 12 19 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 3 of 9 33% 0 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 4 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 12 of 16 75% 0 of 2 3 of 5 9 of 9 12 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 1
2 Claudio Puelles 4 of 7 57% 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 3
Jordan Leavitt 7 of 13 53% 3 of 8 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Claudio Puelles 13 of 17 76% 3 of 6 10 of 11 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 14
Jordan Leavitt 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Claudio Puelles vs. Jordan Leavitt

Round 1
After a very important week to recover, the UFC is back with a stuffed card packed with 14 fights. We begin this marathon evening with a matchup in the lightweight division between promising prospects Puelles (9-2, 2-1 UFC) and “The Monkey King” Leavitt (8-0, 1-0 UFC). The first fight of the night sees a glove touch in front of referee Chris Tognoni, and the fun begins! Leavitt sticks out a long jab and reaches low with a leg kick, and another sticks the calf. Puelles responds with his own kick, and the two stand in front of the other striking with body kicks. Leavitt takes a heavy kick to the torso, and he reaches his arm out before shooting in low for a takedown. Puelles rolls through to scramble, and he stuffs one attempt only to wind up going to the ground on the second try. When the Peruvian gets back up, Leavitt doggedly continues to pursue his single, and they roll to get back to their feet. Leavitt continues to hold on to Puelles’ right leg, where he grinds his foe into the fence. After a stalemate, he trips Puelles’ leg out and gets him down, but only for a moment before Puelles pops back up. The two lightweights break apart, and Puelles chops at Leavitt’s lead leg repeatedly until shooting low for his own takedown. Leavitt reverses the position, but at the end of an exchange, Puelles puts him on his back. Leavitt throws his legs up for a high rubber guard as Puelles looks to advance position, and this forces the Peruvian to stand up and nearly get nailed with an upkick. Puelles lowers himself into his opponent’s guard, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Leavitt
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Leavitt
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Leavitt

Round 2
The lightweights cautious touch gloves to clock in the second round, and Puelles goes over the top with a left hand and a body kick. The two come together, with Puelles moving into the clinch, and he gets backed off with a sharp elbow from “The Monkey King.” A few jabs from both men come out as they try to reestablish their range, and Leavitt keeps his right elbow reached out until changing levels suddenly for a single. Puelles sprawls and aims to step over to gain advantageous position, but Leavitt sees it coming and changes angles to get down. Puelles takes Leavitt’s back for a second, but in the ensuing scramble, Leavitt defends with a kneebar or ankle lock setup. The Peruvian makes his way to take top position, and Leavitt throws his legs up for a shoulder lock and then another kneebar try, but Puelles sees them setting up and breaks them up with a stern elbow from on top. Leavitt responds with elbows from his back, and he backs Puelles off with an upkick. “El Nino” storms down with a left hand that surprises Leavitt, and he uses the momentum to circle around and take Leavitt’s back. Puelles hammers away with his fist as he swings it back and forth, all while looking to assume full control of the American’s back. Puelles secures a body triangle to lock up the position, and he starts methodically fishing for a choke. Leavitt keeps wrist control to stop any choke from being locked up, and Puelles elects to slap Leavitt in the face a few times and land heel kicks to the kidney before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Puelles
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Puelles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Puelles

Round 3
One last glove touch checks in the final round, and Puelles immediately hits a takedown. Leavitt bucks and kicks, but Puelles stays composed and keeps him trapped on the canvas. Puelles postures up to nail his foe with an elbow, and Leavitt puts his legs up only to get smacked in the face by several fierce punches. Leavitt appears no worse for wear, but precious seconds are quickly ticking off the clock as he is stuck on his back. “The Monkey King” tries to kick off the cage, and his legs snatch Puelles’ neck with an inverted triangle, but the grip is not tight so he lets it go in north-south position. Puelles decides to sit flat on Leavitt’s face and pound at his body, and Tognoni asks for the Peruvian to stay busy in this uncomfortable position. Leavitt once more looks for an inverted triangle choke, and when nothing comes from it. Tognoni stands up. Puelles protests, and Leavitt is energized and rushes in to strike. Puelles shoots in for a reactive single, and he hits it with ease, leaving Leavitt frustrated and flat on his back. Leavitt throws hands from his back, but when Puelles sits or stands up with long punches, they are much more impactful than anything Leavitt can muster. The Peruvian ignores Leavitt’s submission setups and slaps on the ear, and he stays busy and advances his position. A few light ground strikes from both concludes this full-length bout.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Puelles (29-28 Puelles)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Puelles (29-28 Puelles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Puelles (29-28 Puelles)

The Official Result
Claudio Puelles def. Jordan Leavitt via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Big Brady struggles with this fight, calling it a tough call. He notes that Jordan Leavitt's striking is poor and his takedowns are not set up well, but when Leavitt gets on top he looks good. He acknowledges Claudio Puelles is a brown belt and may have improved training at Sanford MMA, but ultimately favors Leavitt's grappling on the mat. He says he will have zero action on this fight due to the line being too wide.

zero action on this fight
"ultimately i will side with jordan levitt to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Cody picks Leavitt, noting his grappling advantage and Puelles' long layoff. He thinks Leavitt's jiu-jitsu will be too much. Cody is confident but notes the price is high.

"levi should take this one leva should take this one all day long"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Daniel picks Leavitt via close decision, citing his superior ground game and transitions. He notes that Puelles has improved and trains at Sanford MMA, but Leavitt's jiu-jitsu is a step ahead in scrambles. Daniel believes Leavitt will get top control and win rounds, possibly by submission if Puelles makes a mistake. He acknowledges Puelles could survive and grind out a win, but favors Leavitt's experience and grappling edge.

"i'm gonna go with levitt via you know a close decision here just by slightly getting more top control in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Claudio Puelles

I'm not sold on Jordan Leavitt; he's one-dimensional with poor striking. Puelles has a striking advantage and can nullify Leavitt's grappling. I expect Puelles to win, possibly by knockout or decision.

Puelles by KO +677, Puelles inside distance +345, Puelles by decision +450
"I'm still a skeptic of the monkey god... I'm not sold on him he seems very one-dimensional his striking leaves a lot to be desired"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Paul picks Leavitt confidently, citing his superior grappling and youth. He notes Puelles has been out for three years and looked poor in the UFC. Paul thinks Leavitt will dictate where the fight goes and win via submission or decision.

"i'm all over jordan lovett and this spot personally i think he just has his way with them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The Guru picks Jordan Leavitt, citing his nasty jiu-jitsu transitions and grinding style. He notes that lesser grapplers have had success against Puelles on the ground, referencing the Felipe Silva fight where Silva controlled Puelles before getting caught. He believes Leavitt's grappling will be too much and predicts a late first-round arm triangle submission.

submission in round 1, arm triangle
"i feel like he's gonna lose to jordan levitt by submission in the first round i'll go with jordan levitt late first round arm triangle submission over claudio pueles"
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 22 of 34 64% 101 of 116 4 of 6 66% 2 0 13:20
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 2 of 9 22% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 4 of 5 80% 23 of 24 2 of 4 50% 1 0 3:41
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Claudio Puelles 0 10 of 14 71% 51 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:51
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Claudio Puelles 0 8 of 15 53% 27 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:48
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 1 of 2 50% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 22 of 34 64% 21 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Marcos Rosa Mariano 2 of 9 22% 0 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 4 of 5 80% 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4
Marcos Rosa Mariano 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Claudio Puelles 10 of 14 71% 10 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 13
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Claudio Puelles 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 12
Marcos Rosa Mariano 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Felipe Silva
Submission (kneebar) R3 2:23 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 2 of 7 28% 1 0 1:29
Felipe Silva 1 70 of 130 53% 103 of 171 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:29
Felipe Silva 0 12 of 28 42% 21 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
2 Claudio Puelles 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Felipe Silva 0 39 of 73 53% 55 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
3 Claudio Puelles 0 2 of 13 15% 2 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Felipe Silva 1 19 of 29 65% 27 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 16 of 49 32% 11 of 41 3 of 6 2 of 2 12 of 44 0 of 0 4 of 5
Felipe Silva 70 of 130 53% 48 of 101 12 of 17 10 of 12 30 of 75 4 of 6 36 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 6 of 10 60% 5 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 5
Felipe Silva 12 of 28 42% 7 of 21 4 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 11 3 of 4 8 of 13
2 Claudio Puelles 8 of 26 30% 5 of 20 2 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felipe Silva 39 of 73 53% 28 of 58 4 of 7 7 of 8 19 of 47 1 of 2 19 of 24
3 Claudio Puelles 2 of 13 15% 1 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felipe Silva 19 of 29 65% 13 of 22 4 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 17 0 of 0 9 of 12
Joaquim Silva - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Claudio Puelles 0 21 of 63 33% 58 of 102 4 of 16 25% 0 0 7:25
Joaquim Silva 1 25 of 66 37% 95 of 136 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Claudio Puelles 0 3 of 8 37% 37 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:22
Joaquim Silva 0 0 of 4 0% 29 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Claudio Puelles 0 6 of 31 19% 6 of 31 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 11 of 29 37% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
3 Claudio Puelles 0 12 of 24 50% 15 of 27 1 of 8 12% 0 0 2:08
Joaquim Silva 1 14 of 33 42% 53 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Claudio Puelles 21 of 63 33% 14 of 56 7 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 56 2 of 2 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 25 of 66 37% 12 of 50 9 of 12 4 of 4 19 of 52 3 of 5 3 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Claudio Puelles 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5
Joaquim Silva 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Claudio Puelles 6 of 31 19% 3 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 11 of 29 37% 2 of 18 5 of 7 4 of 4 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Claudio Puelles 12 of 24 50% 8 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 14 of 33 42% 10 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 19 3 of 5 3 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo is torn on this fight. He calls Puelles a 'butt scooter' who looks like a puppy cleaning a dingleberry, but acknowledges his takedowns looked improved in his last fight. He says if Puelles' takedowns look as good as they did last time, he wins. He admits his gut won't let him say it out loud, but he's leaning Puelles. He notes Silva is a BJJ guy with big power and explosive striking, always looking for the knockout.

"I'm not going to say it. I'm going to think it. I'm going to write it down on the website. I can't say it with my own words, but that's the direction we're going with this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady leans toward Silva because Puelles is one-dimensional and has no plan B if his grappling fails. He notes Silva has a BJJ base, power on the feet, and has hurt top competition. He predicts Silva wins by second-round knockout, as Puelles has been knocked out before and Silva has the power to do it.

Second round knockout
"I'm going to take Silva to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a big fan favorite and the host is surprised he is an underdog. He notes Silva has never been submitted and has a striking advantage. He expects Silva to fend off takedowns, walk Puelles down, and win by knockout in the second or third round.

win by knockout in second or third round
"I think he'll be able to fend off the takedowns from Puyus. Walk Pyus down on the feet and eventually on Cork knockout either in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, expressing disdain for Claudio Puelles' jiu-jitsu style. He describes Silva as a strong, powerful, explosive lightweight who can cause problems on the feet. He criticizes Puelles as a 'martial artist, not a fighter' and recalls his quit against Dan Hooker. He believes Silva's power will be a big factor.

"I can't pick Clauddio Poles to win a fight. Can't do it. ... I'm going to go with Wim Silva."
LOSS vs Drakkar Klose
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 1 59 of 93 63% 143 of 179 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 70 of 123 56% 96 of 151 0 of 7 0% 0 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 20 of 30 66% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Joaquim Silva 0 29 of 54 53% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 20 75% 79 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Joaquim Silva 0 17 of 23 73% 35 of 43 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:58
3 Drakkar Klose 1 24 of 43 55% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Joaquim Silva 0 24 of 46 52% 26 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 59 of 93 63% 25 of 53 21 of 27 13 of 13 33 of 63 22 of 26 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 70 of 123 56% 40 of 82 22 of 30 8 of 11 44 of 91 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 20 of 30 66% 6 of 14 7 of 9 7 of 7 15 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 29 of 54 53% 18 of 36 8 of 12 3 of 6 19 of 41 10 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 15 of 20 75% 3 of 6 10 of 12 2 of 2 6 of 11 9 of 9 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 17 of 23 73% 5 of 9 11 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 24 of 43 55% 16 of 33 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 29 8 of 10 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 24 of 46 52% 17 of 37 3 of 5 4 of 4 21 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.

"jakar Clos is a guy that you can trust"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.

"I'm taking close to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.

Klose by KO/TKO in round 3
"Late stoppage close is what I would look at... I think close just breaks them down systematically and then takes them out late."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.

"I'll lean with uh with the underdog with yoim Silva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.

"give me close and close by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.

Klose by decision
"Close late or by decision is how I see it... the volume adds up..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.

by decision
"I'm going to go with him by decision here"
WIN vs Clay Guida
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 0 43 of 134 32% 63 of 155 2 of 11 18% 0 0 4:23
Clay Guida 0 46 of 91 50% 85 of 141 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 18 of 64 28% 19 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Clay Guida 0 15 of 32 46% 40 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
2 Joaquim Silva 0 14 of 33 42% 29 of 48 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:19
Clay Guida 0 15 of 20 75% 26 of 34 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
3 Joaquim Silva 0 11 of 37 29% 15 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
Clay Guida 0 16 of 39 41% 19 of 42 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 43 of 134 32% 19 of 103 14 of 20 10 of 11 36 of 127 7 of 7 0 of 0
Clay Guida 46 of 91 50% 33 of 72 9 of 15 4 of 4 28 of 64 15 of 19 3 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 18 of 64 28% 6 of 51 6 of 6 6 of 7 17 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Clay Guida 15 of 32 46% 13 of 30 0 of 0 2 of 2 8 of 20 4 of 5 3 of 7
2 Joaquim Silva 14 of 33 42% 9 of 26 5 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 15 of 20 75% 12 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 9 8 of 10 0 of 1
3 Joaquim Silva 11 of 37 29% 4 of 26 3 of 7 4 of 4 8 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 16 of 39 41% 8 of 25 6 of 12 2 of 2 13 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, echoing that Guida is old and Silva has power. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is okay and his cardio is decent. He notes Guida's only path is takedowns and Silva can stuff them. He also mentions a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a possible sprinkle.

considering Clay Guida by split decision prop
"wae Sila would be the pick I suppose for whatever that's worth"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Lucrative James picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva showed enough in his last fight to be favored. He believes Silva can get a submission, possibly a guillotine when Clay Guida shoots for a takedown. However, he is not betting at -350 due to Guida's grappling ability and durability.

Silva inside the distance, possibly by submission
"I definitely feel like he could get a submission Guillotine here when Clay is shooting in on a Tak down"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a powerful striker with a BJJ black belt, and he should be able to land big shots on Guida if he lets his hands go. Guida relies on movement and cardio, but Silva's power and pressure could lead to a finish. However, if the fight reaches the third round, Guida's cardio could make things competitive. Silva is expected to win, possibly by finish.

finish predicted, but not confident inside distance
"I'm going to go waim Silva I think he gets the Finish over Guida but if this fight reaches the third round things could get a little bit shaky"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva but doesn't love the money line. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is decent and his cardio is good enough to outlast Guida. He notes Guida is almost 42 and slowing down, and if Guida can't get takedowns early, he'll get boxed up. He considers a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a sprinkle.

considering Clay Guida by split decision prop
"the pick's got to be Yim Silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power, jiujitsu, and finishing ability. He notes that Clay Guida tends to lose to fighters with finishing ability and that Silva is dangerous. He believes Silva's technical skills outweigh Guida's grit and expects Silva to win.

"I got to go Joaquim Silva... dangerous powerful good jiujitsu... if you have finishing ability you beat Clay Guida."
LOSS vs Arman Tsarukyan
TKO (punches) R3 3:25 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 80 of 115 69% 134 of 175 4 of 5 80% 0 0 9:01
Joaquim Silva 0 23 of 41 56% 77 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 12 of 13 92% 28 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:26
Joaquim Silva 0 2 of 3 66% 27 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 33 of 57 57% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:47
Joaquim Silva 0 16 of 30 53% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Arman Tsarukyan 0 35 of 45 77% 67 of 83 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:48
Joaquim Silva 0 5 of 8 62% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 80 of 115 69% 64 of 95 13 of 17 3 of 3 32 of 64 7 of 8 41 of 43
Joaquim Silva 23 of 41 56% 11 of 27 9 of 11 3 of 3 11 of 25 10 of 13 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 12 of 13 92% 9 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 9
Joaquim Silva 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Arman Tsarukyan 33 of 57 57% 23 of 43 7 of 11 3 of 3 23 of 46 6 of 7 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 16 of 30 53% 8 of 20 6 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 19 7 of 10 1 of 1
3 Arman Tsarukyan 35 of 45 77% 32 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 28 of 30
Joaquim Silva 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.

"Armin is a minus 1100 favorite there is no reason to over complicate this armin's gonna dominate with the wrestling he's gonna avoid the submissions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.

"I think saruki and not only wins this fight but wins it in uh vicious fashion and probably a first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.

Tsarukyan wins in round 2 at +300; mentions prop hunting
"I would think in the second round he's not necessarily like I need to kill you in the first round as much as he's got that traditional Russian style where he's gonna grind on you and lean on you and …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.

"This is a gimme matchup, but to layup."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.

knockout round 1, knockout round 2
"I like The Knockout round one for most of what I'm gonna put down on it and then some knockout round two"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.

Tsarukyan inside the distance
"I'll be looking at that walk uh sarukian inside the distance line rather than taking the minus 1000... give me sarukin via KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.

suggests chasing a prop or avoiding the fight; mentions Tsarukyan by second round TKO
"you definitely gotta chase a prop here or just don't like I mean I probably just want that this fight at all because that's just not how I roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.

"I'm going to be going with Armand sarukian I reckon he wins this matchup pretty easily"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.

"It's a layup. Like it is a complete stylistic layup."
WIN vs Jesse Ronson
TKO (knee and punches) R2 3:08 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 1 45 of 90 50% 51 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jesse Ronson 0 39 of 83 46% 39 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jesse Ronson 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Joaquim Silva 1 25 of 49 51% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Jesse Ronson 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 45 of 90 50% 26 of 67 12 of 16 7 of 7 38 of 76 0 of 0 7 of 14
Jesse Ronson 39 of 83 46% 22 of 55 11 of 18 6 of 10 39 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 20 of 41 48% 13 of 31 3 of 6 4 of 4 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jesse Ronson 25 of 53 47% 12 of 32 9 of 14 4 of 7 25 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquim Silva 25 of 49 51% 13 of 36 9 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 35 0 of 0 7 of 14
Jesse Ronson 14 of 30 46% 10 of 23 2 of 4 2 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jesse Ronson

Cody picks Jesse Ronson as an underdog, citing his better striking and size advantage. He acknowledges Ronson looked bad in his last fight but attributes it to the illegal knee and layoff. He believes Ronson's counter-punching could knock out Silva, who has a questionable chin. He is not very confident but likes the plus money.

"I'm gonna take Jesse Ronson but uh yeah I think you like the PRP pick it might be like one line above the PRP pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Joaquim Silva, but is not confident. He notes that both fighters are coming off losses and are in a 'kill or be killed' situation. He believes Silva has a slight grappling advantage and that Ronson looked poor in his last fight. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop as the best bet on this fight.

Fight doesn't go to decision -145
"I'll fade Canada I'll take joaquim Silva but I throw one more wrench in the middle but I think the best bet is fight doesn't go to decision by far on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva has fought better competition and is more reliable than Jesse Ronson. He mentions that Ronson is 'chokey' and has questionable split decision losses, while Silva has been training grappling extensively. He thinks Silva can win by submission or decision, but is not confident enough to bet on it.

"I think I'd pick Silva in that one. There's no way I would ever trust Jesse Ronson with any form of bet."
LOSS vs Ricky Glenn
KO (punches) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Glenn 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 2 10 of 17 58% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Glenn 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Angelo picks Joaquim Silva, citing his knockout power and ability to close distance. He notes that Silva's power is always present and that he doesn't give up. However, he is hesitant due to the long layoff for both fighters. He does not have Silva in his DraftKings lineup and is not placing a money bet.

"joaquim silva wins this fight and joaquim silva is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady is hesitant due to long layoffs for both fighters. He notes Silva hits hard and Glenn is hittable, but Glenn has never been knocked out. He expects Silva to land harder shots and win a decision, but recommends staying away from betting.

win by decision
"I'm going to say that you know silva does win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing Silva's power and experience at 155 lbs. He notes Glenn's long layoff (almost 3 years) and move up in weight, which could be problematic. Silva's power and pressure should be too much for Glenn, who is not a big hitter.

"i would go with joakim silva but uh looking at the line which is 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Levi picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes that while Ricky Glenn has better technique, he is defensively vulnerable and marks up easily. He thinks Silva will bruise Glenn up and possibly get a knockout or decision. He also mentions Silva's black belt in jiu-jitsu as an additional threat.

"i'm going to go with joking silva man um and i'm not worried about the big layoff on either side"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Jacob also picks Joaquim Silva, but with low confidence. He worries about Silva's cardio and notes that Silva's last loss was to a southpaw, and Ricky Glenn is also a southpaw. He sees both as counter punchers and expects a slow fight. He is not putting Silva in his lineup and would not bet on it.

monkey knife fight: less on Silva, less on Glenn (or less more)
"i'm going with silva but i'm not i don't feel good enough about it to put him in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The host is confident in Joaquim Silva, citing his heavy Muay Thai striking, power, and ability to capitalize on Ricky Glenn's wild, open striking. He notes Glenn's low takedown accuracy (13% in UFC) and that Silva has put cardio concerns to rest with third-round finishes. He expects Silva to land damaging blows and predicts a second-round knockout, as Glenn's durability may be tested by Silva's power. He mentions Silva's body work and that Glenn's layoff and hip surgery could be factors.

Fight doesn't go to decision at +160 mentioned as a bet; Silva by second-round knockout predicted
"i'll go with silva to win by a second round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Glenn's layoff and weight class change, and Silva's recent competition. Paul thinks Silva's power and durability will be key.

"i think i'm gonna go with joakim silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Glenn's size and strength will be too much for Joaquim Silva, despite Glenn moving up from featherweight. He expects Glenn to land good shots on the feet early, mix in takedowns, and use his range with kicks. He thinks Silva won't have the strength to deal with Glenn's pressure and grappling.

"i'm gonna go over rick glenn here... 30-27 unanimous decision"
KO (punches) R2 0:36 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nasrat Haqparast 0 15 of 56 26% 15 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 1 21 of 38 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nasrat Haqparast 0 13 of 49 26% 13 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nasrat Haqparast 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joaquim Silva 1 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nasrat Haqparast 15 of 56 26% 0 of 35 6 of 11 9 of 10 15 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 21 of 38 55% 18 of 33 2 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 29 0 of 0 9 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nasrat Haqparast 13 of 49 26% 0 of 30 5 of 10 8 of 9 13 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nasrat Haqparast 2 of 7 28% 0 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 12 of 16 75% 11 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 9
WIN vs Jared Gordon
KO (punches) R3 2:39 · UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 · Dec 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquim Silva 0 116 of 194 59% 149 of 228 3 of 8 37% 0 0 4:24
Jared Gordon 0 95 of 191 49% 121 of 218 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquim Silva 0 37 of 55 67% 60 of 79 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:39
Jared Gordon 0 19 of 37 51% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Joaquim Silva 0 37 of 56 66% 45 of 64 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:45
Jared Gordon 0 25 of 51 49% 45 of 72 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:38
3 Joaquim Silva 0 42 of 83 50% 44 of 85 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jared Gordon 0 51 of 103 49% 51 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquim Silva 116 of 194 59% 94 of 166 10 of 15 12 of 13 88 of 163 13 of 15 15 of 16
Jared Gordon 95 of 191 49% 54 of 138 30 of 42 11 of 11 78 of 172 15 of 17 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquim Silva 37 of 55 67% 28 of 43 3 of 5 6 of 7 18 of 34 9 of 11 10 of 10
Jared Gordon 19 of 37 51% 13 of 28 2 of 5 4 of 4 14 of 32 3 of 3 2 of 2
2 Joaquim Silva 37 of 56 66% 26 of 44 6 of 7 5 of 5 30 of 48 2 of 2 5 of 6
Jared Gordon 25 of 51 49% 14 of 39 10 of 11 1 of 1 21 of 47 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Joaquim Silva 42 of 83 50% 40 of 79 1 of 3 1 of 1 40 of 81 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jared Gordon 51 of 103 49% 27 of 71 18 of 26 6 of 6 43 of 93 8 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquim Silva vs. Jared Gordon

Round 1
Gordon opens with a front kick to the face. Gordon mixing up his kicks early, going low and to the body of his opponent. A one-two lands for Gordon. “Flash” hurts Silva in an exchange and catches him in an arm-triangle choke as he drives the Brazilian to the canvas. Silva works his way to his feet and eats a knee to the face. Silva presses forward with a combination and gets dazed by a massive right hand. Gordon lands a takedown after eating a couple shots. The Roufusport member is in half guard, applying pressure from above. Silva recovers full guard but has his head bounced off the canvas with a right hand. Silva works his way toward the fence and stands. Silva’s ear has busted open and his eye is swollen. The Brazilian hurts Gordon with an overhand right and follows up with a flying knee. Gordon shoots out of desperation. Silva locks in a 10-finger guillotine. Gordon appears to be on his way out, but Silva lets go just before the horn sounds. 10-10.

Round 2
Silva is aggressive right away. Gordon mixes up his kicks before shooting. Silva sprawls and Gordon tries again, but “Neto BJJ” defends once more. Silva lands an uppercut before Gordon shoots for a takedown against the fence. Gordon is working his way toward Silva’s back, but the Brazilian falls to his back. Gordon is inside Silva’s full guard. “Flash” lands some solid left hands after passing to half guard. Silva stands with Gordon attached to him. Gordon lands a knee in the clinch before the combatants separate. Gordon follows a combination with a high kick. Silva answers with a knee. Silva shucks off a takedown attempt, and both fighters trade in the pocket. Gordon lands a hard right during the exchange. A jab and a low kick connect for Gordon, and Silva responds with an uppercut. Silva explodes for a takedown with about 30 seconds remaining in the round. Silva is attached to his foe’s back as Gordon returns to his feet. Silva nearly has a kneebar as time expires. 10-9 Gordon.

Round 3
Gordon makes Silva stumble back briefly with a right hand. Gordon might be feeling the effects of the kneebar at the end of the previous round, as he’s movement somewhat gingerly around the Octagon. Nonetheless, another right hand lands for “Flash.” Gordan works his jab while Silva attacks with leg kicks. A right hook to the body lands for Silva, but Gordon is doing well with combinations. Both fighters are trading willingly in the pocket for an extended period. Silva sprawls on a takedown and they go right back to trading punches in the pocket. Silva digs numerous body shots to Gordon. Silva lands a left hook and follows up with a pair of straight shots. They’re still going toe-to-toe and it’s a left hook to the chin followed by a a massive right hand from Silva that stuns Gordon. The American falls back into the fence, and
Silva seals the deal with a three-punch combination.
The fight is halted with Gordon out on his feet.

The Official Result
Joaquim Silva def. Jared Gordon via TKO (Punches) R3 2:39
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Claudio Puelles

Angelo is torn on this fight. He calls Puelles a 'butt scooter' who looks like a puppy cleaning a dingleberry, but acknowledges his takedowns looked improved in his last fight. He says if Puelles' takedowns look as good as they did last time, he wins. He admits his gut won't let him say it out loud, but he's leaning Puelles. He notes Silva is a BJJ guy with big power and explosive striking, always looking for the knockout.

"I'm not going to say it. I'm going to think it. I'm going to write it down on the website. I can't say it with my own words, but that's the direction we're going with this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady leans toward Silva because Puelles is one-dimensional and has no plan B if his grappling fails. He notes Silva has a BJJ base, power on the feet, and has hurt top competition. He predicts Silva wins by second-round knockout, as Puelles has been knocked out before and Silva has the power to do it.

Second round knockout
"I'm going to take Silva to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Silva is a big fan favorite and the host is surprised he is an underdog. He notes Silva has never been submitted and has a striking advantage. He expects Silva to fend off takedowns, walk Puelles down, and win by knockout in the second or third round.

win by knockout in second or third round
"I think he'll be able to fend off the takedowns from Puyus. Walk Pyus down on the feet and eventually on Cork knockout either in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, expressing disdain for Claudio Puelles' jiu-jitsu style. He describes Silva as a strong, powerful, explosive lightweight who can cause problems on the feet. He criticizes Puelles as a 'martial artist, not a fighter' and recalls his quit against Dan Hooker. He believes Silva's power will be a big factor.

"I can't pick Clauddio Poles to win a fight. Can't do it. ... I'm going to go with Wim Silva."
Comments (2)
BR
brian 8 months, 2 weeks ago

Watched the fight and couldnt tell you what happened. Cladio got some takedowns?

BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Both doing weight training. Joaquim loves to stiffen the shoulders and start swinging. Claudio comfortable being choked.